NBA TOP PLAY!

I'm backing the Raptors here as they are coming off an ugly loss to the Thunder where they were just outplayed from the get go in that game.  Atlanta is coming off a nice road win @ Chicago and have won 9 out of their L10 which is why we are getting a short price here.  Tough spot for the Hawks as they have the Cavs coming to town next and are due for a let down here after a nice win over the Bulls.  The Raptors will be highly motivated and will need a win to keep the Hawks away from stealing their #2 seed in the East.  The Raptors have won all 3 meetings this year and with 3 of their next 4 on the road I expect them to take care of business again 

NIT PLAY OF THE YEAR!

Odds makers are giving to much credit to San Diego St as they have covered easily in their 3 NIT games.  I have been very impressed with GW and who they have played/beat to get here.  They won @ Monmouth then followed that up by beating Florida.  Let's also take not the George Washington is a school that is right in the heart of Washington DC and many of their kids grow up wanting to play in Madison Square Garden.  I see GW really wanting to make a statement here playing in front of what will be a home crowd compared to San Diego St.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

I was against the Thunder last night and will be against them again here as they are playing their 2nd of a back to back.  The Raptors were flat out horrible last night and the Thunder lights out.  The Pistons have a lot to fight for here as they are trying to get in the playoffs.  Also the Thunder do have the Clippers on deck making this spot a little bit harder as well.  The Pistons have had two days off and coming off an ugly home loss vs the Hawks.  They will be the more motivated team here tonight and you can't trust the Thunder to cover two in a row on the road with a road ATS of 12-21

This is another game where I like the spot.  The Nets are still getting some respect because of their wins over the Cavs and Pacers.  Now they are playing their 2nd in a back to back and have the Cavs on deck again.  The Magic had a nice win over the Bulls Saturday night, but the public won't be giving them any credit due to the Bulls recent struggles.  Also the Magic have had two days of rest and are getting Oladipo and Vucevic back tonight as well.  Nets are 1-5 ATS L6 games playing on 0 days rest.  Magic are 14-2 ATS after playing a home game as an underdog.  

EASTERN CONFERENCE PLAY OF THE YEAR

The Bulls aren't getting any respect here due to their 3 game skid which including 2 losses to the Knicks and a terrible performance @ Orlando in getting blown out.  The Bulls are still without a doubt one of the most talented teams in the league.  They currently sit in the 9th spot and this is an absolute must win game for them as 5 out of their next 6 are on the road.  This will be the Hawks 4th game in 6 days and have the Raptors and Cavs looking ahead for them.  I just can't street enough how crucial this game is for the Bulls and they will have a max effort here vs the Hawks who have beat them 3 times already but won't make it a 4th!  Take the Bulls here you won't be disappointed 

This may look like a big number since both teams have bad records, but I see Minnesota controlling this one from the start.  The home team has won and covered in their 3 meetings this year, but the Timberwolves absolutely destroyed the Suns @ Minnesota earlier by 30 as 4 point favorites.  The T Wolves lost @ the Suns 2 weeks ago but that was only by 3 points.  Minnesota hasn't gave up on their season since they are a young team.  They did beat the Kings @ home as 4 point favorites who are better than the Suns and also won in double OT @ the Wizards.  The Suns are 2-3 their L5 games but both wins came against the Lakers so not very impressive.  Suns are 1-8 ATS L9 road games vs team with a losing home record.  

NON CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH!

The Thunder have been playing better but I was very surprised to see them favored @ Toronto who is a very good home team.  The Thunder have won 7 in a row but most of those were to lesser teams and the Spurs win doesn't count as a quality win since they rested their whole team.  The Raptors are getting ready to make a big playoff run this year and will be up for the Thunder tonight.  The Thunder are also terrible on the road vs the spread,  as they are 11-21 ATS on the road.  The Raptors are 6-0 ATS L6 home games vs team with a winning record and have a home record of 28-8.

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

I like this spot to back the Pacers as they are coming off a bad loss last night vs the Nets while the Rockets are coming off a big win @ home over the Raptors.  Rockets 0-4 AS L4 after scoring 100 or more and have lost 3 consecutive road games.  Pacers are 5-1 ATS L6 following a SU loss 

I think Virginia picks up where they left off.  Syracuse is very lucky to even have won their last game and made a great comeback in doing so.  Syracuse will struggle to score as I am very high on Virginia's defense.  These two teams are familiar with each other as Virginia swept them during the regular season and will make it 3 in a row tonight.  

Both of these teams play last night in losing efforts.  Hornets made a crazy comeback @ Detroit late but just ran out of time.  The Bucks will be playing their 5th game in seven days and are coming off 3 road games as well.  The motivation here will be with the Hornets as they are right in the middle of the Eastern Conference playoff race.  Bucks are 3-7 ATS L10 home games vs team with a losing record.  Play against home underdogs after playing 2 consecutive road games and playing on back to back days  64%! 

TOP NBA PLAY!

This is really a do or die spot here for the Bulls as they dropped two games in a row to the Knicks and have fell out of the 8 spot by 2 games.  They simply can't afford another loss here with the Hawks coming to town followed by two tough road games.  The Bulls didn't play last night while the Magic had a hard fought game vs division rival Miami.  The Magic aren't playing well themselves as they have lost 6 in a row.  Bulls are 5-2 ATS L7 games after losing by 10 or more the previous games.  The Bulls also return Gasol to the lineup and the Magic could be without Oladipo and llyasova.  

I really think Oregon is on a mission here.  They still aren't get the respect they deserve, but this team has a legit chance to win it all.  I can't remember the last time a #1 seed that wasn't in the headlines as they aren't.  The Ducks have a ton of guards that will match up well with the Sooners. Oklahoma will get a lot of love because of Buddy Hield, but he will have to work for everything tonight.  Both teams shot 49.2% last game and won by 14 however, A&M shot terrible as they were 34% from the field while Duke shot 44%.  That is very impressive to win by 14 while the other team is shooting nearly the same percentage as you.  Ducks will force tough shots and control the glass again tonight 

Indiana is getting a lot of respect here because of their win over Kentucky.  However, Kentucky was a two man show that game and what the Wildcats lack is what the Tarheels have and will be difficult for the Hooisers stop.  UNC inside game and ability to control the glass will be the difference here.  Indiana relies heavily on the 3 to get them going but will struggle with the length of UNC.  I see Carolina getting a lot of easy buckets inside and Indiana trying to play catch up by shooting a ton of 3's and ultimately shooting themselves out of he game

This is a great line here for Gonzaga who to me has been very impressive.  They easily be Seton Hall by 16 in the first round and remember Seton Hall was one of the hottest teams coming into the tournament winning the Big East Tourney.  Then they absolutely destroyed Utah by 23!  Gonzaga also hasn't let their opponent score over 60 yet which is almost impossible in the tournament.  They have had a week to prepare for the zone and will handle it easily.  Syracuse has really benefited from their draw.  They beat Dayton who missed nearly 10 layups that game then played MTSU who pulled off the shocker over Michigan St, but they weren't gonna follow that performance up.  

This game here is all about motivation.  The Rockets are still playing to try and make the playoffs, meanwhile, the Raptors pretty much have locked up the 2 seed in the Eastern Conference.  With the Rockets coming off an home loss to the Jazz and tough road games @ Indiana & @ Cavs on deck I see a max effort here in a must win game to stay alive for playoff hunt 

TOP NBA PLAY!

The Hornets are getting way to much respect here.  Sure they have been playing good ball as of late but they have benefited from playing a ton of home games.  In fact this will only be their 3rd road game this month.  The Pistons are playing well also winning 4 of their last 5 and they have a lot of motivation riding as they are in the hunt for a playoff spot.  This Pistons are a solid 23-12 @ home and meanwhile the Hornets aren't a great road just 14-19.  Pistons are 15-5-1 ATS L21 home games vs team with a losing road record.

Virginia for whatever reason just doesn't get much respect.  They are probably the most balanced team left in the tournament I would argue.  Iowa St has played two double digit seeds and I was on them over ALR last game.  However, the match ups really favor Virginia here as Niang will struggle with a great defender like Brogdon.  Virginia will get you to play their style of ball and I really see that frustrating Iowa St who likes to get out and run.  Iowa St isn't a great defensive team either and Virginia has no problem taking to under 10 seconds on the shot clock almsot every possession.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

This is a nice short price here on the Clippers who have been struggling as of late losing 3 in row.  They lost by double digits last night @ the Warriors and look for a big bounce from them tonight.  The Trailblazers played as well last night and beat the Mavs by 6.  I really believe they are in for a tough one tonight given this spot.  The last meeting the Clippers were favored by 3.5 @ Portland so clearly there is a ton of value with the Clippers only laying 4.5 @ home given that.  

This is another game where big mismatches favor Oregon.  The Ducks has tremendous guard play and so does Duke, but they have been lucky so far in facing UNC Wilmington and Yale.  Duke was in dog fight vs Yale despite shooting 11-23 from three while Yale only made 4!  Duke also struggles on the glass and inside the paint and that is were Oregon big Boucher will have a field day.  Duke will go back to strictly shooting threes and shoot themselves right out of the game.  Also Duke is a bad defensive team and with Oregon's good guards they will take advantage of them.

I actually thought this would be a pick em game.  Villanova getting a lot of love because of their blowout win over Iowa.  Well they shot the lights out of it and even Coach Wright said he thought the first half was the best they have played all year.  They were clearly the better team vs Iowa but Miami matches up way better against their guards.  Another thing that stands out is Miami feels like they are not getting enough respect.  If you listened to PG Angel Rodriguez after the game they are all playing with a chip on their shoulder.  I expect a big game from Miami here who isn't getting enough credit and also Villanova won't be raining in threes like they did vs Iowa.

This is a great spot to back the Suns tonight as the Lakers are coming off a nice upset win over the Grizzlies, but they also caught the Grizz on a back to back.  Believe it or not the Suns were favored by 11 earlier in the season over the Lakers @ home and covered!!  That is pretty remarkable when you think about it.  The Suns will be motivated here and don't trust the Lakers on the road as they are 5-30 SU so this short line shouldn't be a problem.  

This is a great spot to back to the Jazz who will be hungry for a win tonight considering they are battling for the 8th spot with the Rockets.  The Rockets just played a heck of a game last night vs the Thunder but came up short and now on a back to back this line wants you to take them here.  The Jazz however are well rested having two days off so expect a max effort here.  Rockets are 2-8 ATS L10 games playing on zero days rest.  Rockets also just 1-6 ATS L7 home games. 

This is a huge game for the Celtics tonight and love the price we are getting with them.  The Raptors have won 7 of 8 including a recent win over Boston by double digits.  The Celtics will be giving it their all tonight for several reason.  1.  They have a big 5 game west coast trip coming up which will be difficult,  also seeds 3-6 in the Eastern Conference are only divided by half a game, and last is the revenge factor.  The Raptors have beat the Celtics every meeting this year it won't happen tonight.  Raptors are 3-9-1 ATS L13 meetings in Boston.  

NBA UNDERDOG SPECIAL

This is a very tough spot for the Grizzles who just upset the Clippers @ home last night as 9 point underdogs.  Now they travel all the way to Phoenix where the Suns are well rested and have had two days.  The Grizzlies are also very banged up still with a ton of players out.  The Suns won't get much respect because of their record, but they already won @ Memphis two weeks ago.  Also the Suns have been playing better with the return of Knight as they are 4-4 SU L8.  Considering they only have 19 wins that is playing well for them.  

We are getting good value here with the Wizards who are finally starting to get healthy.  The Hawks have won 5 in a row with the last two being by double digits.  They were only favored by 8 over the Nuggets @ home and the Wizards are clearly 1 point better than the Nuggets.  The Wizards also have a lot to play for here as the season is winding down they need a big run to make the playoffs.  I expect a lot of effort here from them tonight as they have won 4 in a row themselves and are being under valued here.  

I like Xavier here as a short favorite over Wisconsin.  The Badgers made a nice come back in a win over Pitt and Xavier was pretty much on cruise control vs Weber St.  Xavier doesn't get enough respect by the oddsmakers because they aren't a flashy team don't have the high NBA prospects and just go under the radar.  Badgers are 0-5 ATS L 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in previous game.  

I like the UNI Panthers to ride the momentum here as they are coming off a half court shot to beat Texas Friday night.  Texas A&M played well in their first game but Green Bay didn't defend them at all.  UNI is a veteran team that is arguably playing better than anyone right now.  Their guards will put a lot of pressure on the Aggies tonight.  UNI is 8-0-1 ATS L9 games vs team with a winnin record.  Aggies are 0-7 ATS L7 games after scoring 90 points or more in previous game 

This looks like a big line because of each teams results, but Maryland blew a large lead and really had this game in control for the last 5 minutes.  Hawaii played a great game vs Cal, but I don't buy into Cal as they were very over seeded and had a couple injured players.  Maryland has a ton of talent and won't let off the gas tonight.  

I see no problem with Iowa St pulling away here.  They were cruise control much of their first game vs Iona and should in this one.  ALR is coming off an big time emotional win which was in double OT vs Purdue.  Iowa St has a way better offense than Purdue I see ALR struggling on the defensive end to slow them down 

I think Kentucky is playing as a top 5 team right now.  I really like what I am seeing from them as a whole.  This will be a different test for Indiana as Kentucky has big time length and can really defend and that will hurt the Hooisers as they rely so much on the out side shot.  I thought this line would be closer to 6 or 7 but with Indiana coming off a blowout also its lower.  

We are seeing an over reaction here with Yale taking down Baylor.. This is a rare case, but these two teams have already met earlier in the season.  Duke was favored by 14.5 and won by 21.  This Duke team has been here before and I see an emotional let down for Yale.  

I actually thought St Joe's would be favored here in tonights games.  They are coming off an impressive conference tournament win in the A10.  The A 10 is one of the most underrated conferences in basketball and they aren't getting love here.  Cincy is a team that has really struggled to score only averaging 65 away from home.  

I was on the Shockers last night and this is a similar play as Michigan already played a game in beating Tulsa to get here and like them to ride the wave here.  Notre  Dame really struggles to defend and that isn't a good recipe when your playing Michigan who is the best 3 pt shooting team in the Big 10.  Really good match up for Michigan here 

This is a play just based on the talent gap.  SDSU comes from a bad conference and they rely heavily on a freshman.  It's fine to rely on a freshman, but the when the competition gets a lot higher it becomes tougher when they will key around him with better players.  Maryland has three pro's on the team and believe that they are going under the radar here as most people aren't talk about them at all.  Maryland was once ranked in the top 5 so clearly shows the talent is there.  

We are getting a nice price here with Dayton because Syracuse well has their name to go off of.  I don't like this Cuse team as they really struggle to score this year and their 2-3 zone which they are known for isn't nearly effective as they don't have the size they normally do.  I like to look at the away/ neutral games and Dayton is an impressive 11-4 and Cuse is just 6-9.  Cuse also entering the tournament on 3 straight losses and expect a 4th here. 

Providence is starting to come back to how they played earlier in the season.  Kris Dunn will lead them to victory here.  USC is a team that benefited from an home schedule and are just 5-10 on away/neutral courts.  These are also two teams heading in the opposite direction as USC is just 2-5 SU last 7 while Providence is 4-1 last 5.  Also USC has to travel across country here which is a huge factor.  

I just really believe that Kentucky is on a mission here.  If you watched Coach Cal's rant regarding the seeding and how the committee messed up I think they are more focused than ever.  Kentucky is just far superior than Stony Brook and can't see them hanging especially down low where they will get owned in every category.  Ulis is playing very well and I expect Murray to show why he is a top 5 pick.  Kentucky rolls 

This isn't the Arizona team we are a custom to seeing here.  I'm just not very impressed with them as a whole.  The shockers were another committee mistake as they were seeded wrong as well.  They will also be out to prove something here and believe they will have a lot of momentum after their win last night vs Vanderbilt

Chattanooga isn't getting much of a chance here, but they have played a lot of quality/ big school teams unlike most of the small schools in the tournament.  They won @ Georgia and @ Dayton which is very impressive.  They did get blown out @ Iowa St, but the Cyclones made 14 threes that game so they were in trouble.  They can shoot it well and give Indiana trouble.  I dont trust Indiana as they rely so much on the outside shot and we all know what happens when those don't fall away from home.  

NCAAB TOP PLAY THURSDAY

This line makes zero sense at all.  Yale has one top 50 win and that was against Princeton and they should even be considered that high.  Baylor is coming from the Big 12 a very tough conference and most would argue the best conference this year.  Baylor has way more talent than Yale and think this line is because of Baylor's recent losses, but all of those are to quality teams.  This game shouldnt be close.  

This is more of a play against Duke than on UNC Wilmington.  Duke always get a lot of love especially since they are the defending champs but this years team is very shaky.  Duke has no depth at all really struggle inside and rely a ton on the three point shot.  I believe the Seahawks will keep it close here as they do have goo guard play and will get plenty of good looks 

I think to much is being made of the Clippers so called recent struggles.  Their losses were @ OKC home to Cavs and @ Spurs all elite teams.  Now they are catching points @ Houston.  Rockets are being over valued winning 4 of their last 5.  I really think the Clippers ware desperate here and will come out with the win.  Clippers are 8-2 ATS L10 following a SU loss. 

NIT BLOWOUT SPECIAL

Georgia Tech is playing their best basketball right now.  Sure they were blown out last game vs Virginia and that is why we are getting the value.  Prior to that game Georgia Tech had won 7 of their last 9 games.  Their home court being in the ACC is worth more than what the oddsmakers are giving credit to.  Houston is a team that plays very well @ home but are coming off a terrible loss to the worst team in the conference in Tulane.  I wonder where their state of mind is after that.  

The Pistons were embarrassed last time out losing 81-124 @ the Wizards.  The Hawks are coming in off a blowout win vs the Pacers.  I really see a big bounce back here for the Pistons as they are still in the playoff hunt and need every win they can grab especially at home.  This is just a one game road trip for the Hawks so I don't any motivation here with them.  After the Piston suffered a blowout loss @ the Knicks they returned home and had an easy victory over the Trailblazers.  

This line really surprised me here with a very good home team catching this many points.  The Thunder are coming of a blowout win over the Trailblazers, but they had to following 2 straight loses.  The Celtics deserve more respect here with a 23-11 home record.  They are coming off a tough loss last night and will be ready for tonight.  The Thunder are also a terrible 9-20 ATS on the road this season.  Celtics are 9-3-1 ATS L13 games vs a team with a winning percentage above 60% and the Thunder are 5-11 ATS L16 on road games vs a home team with a winning percentage above 60%

I was probably as shocked as anyone that the Shockers were in this position.  Major part of the reason here is because Van Fleet was hurt early in the year.  I personally don't even believe that Vanderbilt should be in the tournament given how bad they under achieved all year.  Vandy is coming in after losing to Tennessee who is a very bad team.  Shockers are 7-3 ATS L10 tournament games.  Tennessee is 1-4 ATS L5 tournament games 

NBA MARQUEE MATCH UP

We are getting good value here with the Clippers as they are coming off an embarrassing @ home vs the Cavs.  I expect the Clippers to be very motivated here as they are just 2-3 SU their last 5.  The Spurs are coming off a big home win in a come back vs the Thunder.  The Clippers are 8-1 ATS L9 games following a SU loss and ar3 3-0-1 ATS L4 games following a double digit home loss.  Spurs are 0-5 ATS L5 games following a SU win and are 0-4 ATS L4 games vs a team with a winning record.  

NBA BLOWOUT WINNER

I like the Magic here at a short price vs the hot Denver Nuggets who are playing their 2nd of a back to back.  The Nuggets gave everything they had last night vs the Heat and have covered 5 in a row and that is why the line is low.  The Magic are 1-4 SU their last 5 and are coming off a 4 game west coast road trip but have had two days.  Orlando is also expected to get back Payton and Jennings tonight which is key.  Magic are 6-1 ATS L7 games following a loss by 10 or more points 

The Jazz have won 2 in a row both by double digits and like them to carry on the momentum here.  The Cavs are coming off a blowout win over the Clippers yesterday and will be getting all the public love.  The Jazz have a lot to play here as they are fighting for a spot in the Western Conference playoffs.  Cavs are 8-19 ATS L27 games after two consecutive wins by 10 or more points.  Jazz are 8-1 ATS l9 homes games vs a team with a winning road record.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

The Suns have dropped 3 games in a row including a close loss @ the Warriors.  The betting public is missing one major key here because they want noting to do with the Suns.  Eric Bledsoe returned from injury and that is huge for them as he is immediately their best player.  Also the T Wolves caught the Thunder in a perfect spot when they beat them last and it's simply an over reaction.  Play against all teams when the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win as a road underdog then playing a team with a losing record.  30-8 ATS 79%!

The Wizards need a win and need one bad if they want to play in the post season this year.  They come in losing 5 in a row and failed to cover in all of those contests.  However, 4 of those 5 were on the road and their home loss only by 1 to Indiana.  I expect a big effort from them tonight.  The Pistons are coming off a 14 pt win @ the Sixers and this will be their 4th consecutive road game in 6 days.  I doubt they play with much motivation here given they have already won twice on this road trip an return home for 8 games in row.  Pistons are 1-8 ATS L9 games playing on 1 days rest and Wizards are 5-2 ATS L7 home games. 

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

The Pacers played with a lot of effort last night after having a few days off and are returning home after this game for a 5 game home stand.  I think the Pacers will be looking ahead to that as they have the Celtics Raptors and Thunder coming which are all big games.  The Hawks are playing good basketball going 6-2 their last 8 with losses coming @ Warriors and @ Raptors.  They played pretty sloppy last night vs a Memphis team battling injuries and clearly weren't interested in that game.  Pacers are 7-15 ATS L22 games @ Atlanta and are 5-13 ATS L18 playing on 0 days rest

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY OF THE DAY

I was very surprised to see how low this line was.  Maryland to me is the better team than Purdue and Michigan St is laying 3 less points?  Purdue is being over valued here as they dominated the paint yesterday and late in the game ran away with it.  There blowout wins on paper are creating the value for Michigan St here.  They match up very well inside with them and do have the better guard play.  Also let's not forget Michigan St's last loss was @ Purdue by 1 point where they will be looking for revenge here and the other key factor is Michigan St is they are playing for a #1 seed.  

SEC TITLE GAME

These two teams split regular season games but I really believe Kentucky is by far the better team.  A&M is getting a lot of respect here because of their blowout win over LSU yesterday.  Coach Calipari knows the importance of having a young team play well right now as they did have some rough moments throughout the season.  Now Kentucky is starting to click and I see them handling the Aggies today.  Texas A&M is 3-9-1 ATS L13 games following a win by 20 points or more.  

I really don't believe that North Carolina should be favored here as I see Virginia as the better team.  UNC is getting to much credit from yesterday's blowout win over Notre Dame, but the Irish were tied from a hard fought game with Duke and only shot 30% yesterday.  I see Virginia on a mission here and this is a chance for them to lock up a #1 seed in the tournament.  Virginia is a team that makes you work for everything.  UNC and Roy Williams aren't exactly known for defense either.  Virginia is 10-1 ATS L11 games vs a team with a winning record.  

This is a really tough spot here for the Pelicans who are very banged up from a lot of injuries.  They also just played last night in a losing effort @ Memphis in which that game went to OT.  Thin bench as I have mentioned now playing @ Bucks I see no motivation here for the Pelicans and they also have the Warriors on deck Monday night.  The Bucks are still fighting and are coming off a nice win vs the Heat.  I don't see a let down here as they have had two days off after that game.  This is a young team that wants to end the season on a high note.  Bucks are a solid home team with a 19-12 record and Pelicans are a pathetic 7-25 on the road.  

I'm gonna roll with the Hornets again here tonight as they won for me last night.  They are quietly playing some of the best basketball right now.  They have won 6 in a row and have covered in 5 of those.  Why we are getting a nice price here despite that is because the Rockets have won 3 road games in a row.  The Rockets pulled off a nice upset last night @ Boston, but I don't see them being able to win 4 in a row and especially on back to back nights it's very difficult.  I believe they will be content here as they have a winning road record during this current trip.  Rockets are 2-6 ATS L8 games playing on 0 days rest.  Hornets are 7-0 ATS L7 games following a win by 10 points or more.  

BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP SPECIAL

Kansas didn't really play their A game yesterday and still were able to win by 6 vs Baylor.  After further looking into this game I just don't see WVU keeping up.  Their style of play works very well but when it's happening for the third day in a row and second against a quality opponent its tough to keep up.  Kansas turned it over 18 times yesterday and I expect Self to hammer that home today as the ca't turn it over against a pressing team like WVU.  Also WVU forced 21 turnovers vs Oklahoma held Hield in check and still almost lost.  Kansas will be ready here today.  

We are seeing a big over reaction here due to the Spartans recent success.  Granted they have been playing solid basketball right up there with Kansas.  Michigan St was only favored by 4 over Maryland @ Michigan St earlier this season and are now 7 point favorites on a neutral court?  This line is inflated.  Maryland is still one of the most athletic teams and they match up very well with the Spartans. 

UConn played in a unbelievable basketball game yesterday vs Cincinnati.  They went to 4 overtime's, but thy need a 60ft plus bomb to tie it with .8 seconds left in the game.  UConn is extremely lucky to even be here and now they are favored?  They have to be exhausted from that game and are due for an emotional let down.  Meanwhile, Temple coasted vs South Florida winning by 17.  They have the fresh legs here and still have a lot to play for as some people question if they are in.  They will be in after today once they beat UConn.  UConn is 0-4 ATS L4 meetings and 2-5 ATS L7 games vs team with a winning record.  

NON CONFERENCE PLAY OF THE DAY 

I really feel like the Mavs are in a must win game here.  They have dropped their last 3 home games in a row which is he first time all yer that has happened and I see them being extra motivated here tonight to end that streak.  They are tied with the Rockets for the 7th and 8th spot, but the Jazz are lurking.  Mavs have had two days off which will help them because their schedule gets very tough from here.  Pacers have had a rare 4 days off and don't see much motivation from them tonight as they have Eastern Conference Rival Atlanta tomorrow.  The Pacers are coming off a big win over the Spurs as well which I had.  Pacers are 2-7-1 ATS L10 games following a SU win.  

EARLY BIG TEN TIP

I realize this will be Michigan's 3rd game in 3 days and they have had two close calls but I really think there is something to this Michigan team.  They are really clicking together and when Indiana had a chance to put them away they came fighting back.  Purdue caught a bad Illinois team at the right time a made 13 threes in a blowout.  This line suggests that Michigan is only 3 points better than Illinois?  I don't buy.  Purdue will struggle matching that performance yesterday where they didn't miss.  Michigan has the better athletes and way better guards.  Give me the better guards come March Madness all the time.  

I was against Cal last night and missed the cover in the final seconds.  Cal and Utah are two of the hottest teams not only in the PAC 12 but also in the country.  I see Cal struggling here with their young players vs Utah's experience.  These two teams did split during the regular season.  It also looks like Utah might be adding a couple players back here tonight to help with depth.  Utah is 6-1 ATS L7 following a SU win

Virginia was very impressive last night vs Georgia Tech as it was a pretty easy game for them the last 25 minutes.  Miami was in a battle with Virginia Tech despite shooting 56% which shows how bad they struggled on defense.  Virginia will be out for revenge here as they lost a nail bitter @ Miami by only 3.  Virginia has a lot to play here as well as they are in the discussion for an overall #1 seed.  Virginia is 6-1 ATS L7 following a SU win 

I was on Seton Hall last night as they covered vs Creighton, but that game was very close and could have gone either way.  Seton Hall just beat Xavier 2 weeks ago, but they shot 50% compared to Xavier 39% and it was still a single digit ball game.  Xavier will be out for revenge here tonight and they also have a lot to play for as they can sneak in and get a #1 seed.  Xavier is 7-0 ATS L7 games on a neutral court.  

I like the Jazz to bounce back here tonight vs the Wizards who aren't exactly playing quality ball either.  The Wizards have only covered 2 out of their L7 road games and that was to the Sixers and the Timberwolves.  The Jazz are 19-13 @ home but have lost 3 straight @ home and don't see them dropping one tonight.  Wizards are 0-5 ATS L5 road games vs a team with a winning home record. 

I will gladly back Maryland here laying single digits to Nebraska.  Nebraska has already played 2 conference games making this their 3rd in a row.  Meanwhile,  Maryland will be ready to play toda as they are coming off an ugly loss @ Indiana to finish up the regular season.  Maryland also has a lot to play for as the seeds 4-6 are a complete toss up.  Nebraska will run out of gas here as Maryland has fresh legs.  Maryland is 16-6 ATS L22 neutral site games.  

St. Bonaventure isn't getting enough credit here as they have played themselves into the discussion for making the tournament which will give them a ton of motivation here tonight.  The Bonnies swept Davidson during the season and see it no different tonight as they are fresh and Davidson is coming off an ugly performance against Saint Louis.  Davidson is 1-6 ATS L7 neutral court games.  Bonnies are 13-3 ATS L16 neutral court games.  

Both teams are extremely banged up, but the Grizzlies have it a lot worse than the Pelicans.  This line is begging you to take Memphis @ home but they may only have 8 in uniform.  They will also be missing 4 starters and I just don't see how they can overcome this tonight.  Pelicans are 4-1 ATS L5 following a SU loss.  

Both of these teams have been playing extremely well as of late.  I will take the home team here as the Pistons are due for a letdown coming off two big wins.  The Hornets are 23-9 @ home while the Pistons are just 14-20 on the road.  Pistons are 1-7 ATS L8 games playing on 1 days rest.  Hornets are 7-1 ATS L8 games playing on 1 days rest 

Very surprised at this line with Providence coming off an impressive victory over Butler as 4 point underdogs.  Providence can ride the momentum here and give Nova all they can handle as they are down a starter for tonight's game.  These two teams split during the regular season and have a hard time seeing a blowout here.  Kris Dunn is a superior PG who can keep in check.  Providence is 12-2 ATS L14 neutral court games.  Nova is 1-4 ATS L5 games following a SU win

We are getting nice value here with St Joe's who I believe is a very scary team come the tournament.  St Joe's has slipped up their last two games which is why this line is low.  If youdo look back at those games though St Bonaventure shot 63% for the game so they didn't have a chance there and the next game vs Duquesne, St Joe's shot a terrible 34%.  I expect them to bounce back here as they have already handled GW easily @ GW winnng by 18

To me this is really good value here as Michigan will be out for revenge.  If you remember earlier this season when these two teams met Indiana went on a 23-0 run right before half which is unheard of.  I will promise you that Michigan hasn't forgot about that.  I also don't trust Indiana, yes I know they won the Big 10 but they played the weakest schedule in the conference.  They also rely a ton on 3 point shooting which they are very good @ home.  March is when you see the jump shooting teams that have just on so so game get knocked off.  I really see this being a tight game all the way through.  The underdog is 5-0 ATS L5 meetings 

LATE NIGHT PAC 12

I was on Oregon St last night in a easy win and will be on them again tonight.  They will be playing with a sense of urgency tonight as they are right on the bubble for the NCAA tournament.  These two teams split during the regular season with each team winning @ home.  I simply don't trust Cal here as they are 4-9 away from home and this seems like a large number for them to cover given the circumstances.  Cal is 1-4 ATS L5 neutral court games 

LATE NIGHT BIG EAST SPECIAL

Seton Hall is still getting no respect here as they are one of the hottest team in the Big East right now.  They have won 4 out of their L5 games and only have 2 losses since January 27th! Creighton comes limping in here winning 1 out of their L5 with their only win being vs St Johns who is absolutely terrible.  Seton Hall is 11-3 ATS L14 Big East Games.  Seton Hall is 9-2 ATS L11 games vs a team with a winning record.  

MOUNTAIN WEST PLAY OF THE YEAR!

This is more than a fair price here with Fresno St who has won 6 in a row and only has two losses since January 23rd.  Fresno St was 13-5 in conference play while UNLV was 8-10.  UNLV is getting some respect here because the game is played in Vegas their hometown obviously.  UNLV is also coming off a very hard fought tripe over time game which will be hard to bounce back from.  They pretty much had 3 starters play the whole game and only used 3 off the bench.  Fatigue will set in big time here and look for Fresno to run away with it.  UNLV is 1-5 ATS L6 following a SU win 

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

We are getting a nice short price here on the Raptors due for a couple reason.  The Raptors have only covered 1 game in their last 5 and had to come back against the Nets @ home, but I believe they were looking ahead to this one.  The other reason is that the Hawks are riding a 3 game road winning streak.  Hawks were very lucky to escape @ Denver with a victory because the Nuggets shot 35%.  Raptors are 4-0 ATS L4 home games vs a team with a winning record.  

BIG 12 GAME OF THE YEAR!

This game is obviously a rivalry, but Kansas St doesn't have enough weapons here to hang with the Jayhawks.  Playing this game in Kansas City will be more like a home game for Kansas.  They are playing I believe the best basketball in the country right now and won't take the Wildcats lightly here.  Kansas won by 9 @ K St and by 18 @ home.  The favorite in this series is 28-10-1 ATS L39 meetings.  Kansas St is 0-6 ATS L6 following a SU win.  Kansas is 4-0 ATS L4 neutral court games 

Duke is being way over valued here.  They played a very close game yesterday to NC St who isn't anything special and gave up 89 points!  Duke is terrible at defense and with a short bench and playing in a tight game yesterday I don't them hanging around.  Duke also hit 12 threes in that game yesterday which they live by, can they do that two days in a row?  Notre Dame has already beat Duke this year @ Duke and scored 95 @ Cameron which is almost impossible.  Duke is 0-5 ATS L5 neutral court games

SEC ATS WINNER

This line is simply an over reaction to how these teams have finished the season.  Arkansas finished 4-1 last 5 and Florida 1-4 last 5.  Florida has losses to the better teams in the conference like Kentucky Vanderbilt and @ South Carolina.  Arkansas is a terrible 3-11 away from home this season and don't see them winning 3 straight games on the road.  Florida still has plenty of motivation to play for here as they have an outside shot to make the tourney,but need a win today.  Arkansas is 7-19 ATS L26 neutral site games.

Northwestern is being over valued here as they have won 3 in a row, but they have beat Rutgers Penn St and Nebraska who are the bottom teams in the Big 10.  Michigan still has a lot to play for and has an outside shot of making the tourney.  They will need 2 wins at least and they have enough talent and fire power to do so.  Michigan creates a lot of problems for Northwestern and can really stretch them out and knock down threes all game long which Michigan is #1 in the Big 10 in three point shooting.  These teams met not to long ago and it was a bad spot for Michigan coming off a close loss @ Maryland then having Wisconsin on deck and they still beat the Wildcats by 9.  

Arizona St is getting to much respect here due to their 2 recent home games.  They beat Stanford handily and took Cal down to the wire.  However, Oregon St is a desperate team right now and this is a must win game for them to make the tournament.  Also Oregon St will be looking for revenge here after they took a beat down @ Arizona St, but that was  very misleading as the Sun Devils shot 59% from the field.  ASU is 7-20 ATS L27 neutral court games 

I believe the odds makers are really showing who they believe the better team is.  Florida St is the 11th seed and Virginia Tech is the 6th seed.  Virginia Tech has been a nice surprise especially as of late winning 5 in a row coming into this game including a win over Florida St.  Virginia Tech has benefited greatly from their schedule.  They beat Pitt after Pitt beat down Duke then got Miami @ home when Miami was coming off of two wins vs ranked teams.  Also their road wins were @ Wake and Boston College nothing great there.  Florida St is by far the more athletic and expect them to show up big time looking for revenge here tonight.  

MARQUEE SHOWDOWN

This is a game the Thunder have had circled a week ago since blowing a huge 4th quarter lead @ the Clippers.  The Thunder controlled 90% of the game, but had some costly turnovers down the stretch and that was the difference.  I expect a big effort from Durant and Westbrook here tonight.  The Thunder have had two days off and they are 5-1 ATS L6 games having that.  Clippers are 4-10 ATS L24 games following a ATS win.  Thunder are 27-9-2 ATS L38 home games vs a road team with a winning percentage greater than 60% 

NON CONFERENCE BLOWOUT WINNER

We are getting a nice short price here on the Mavs who have lost and not covered 3 in a row.  The Mavs are still in the hunt for the playoffs, but they can't afford to lose to teams that are equal or less than them like the Pistons.  Detroit is getting some respect here because they are coming off a 20 point blow out win over the Trailblazers and have won 4 of their L6.  Pistons are 2-6 ATS L8 road games. Mavs are 4-1 ATS L5 games playing on 1 day rest.  

Both of these teams come into this game struggling.  In fact, Oklahoma St last win was against Kansas St @ home in OT.  Oklahoma St is 4-11 in road games and while this is a road game for Kansas St it's not even an hour drive to Kansas City where the Big 12 Championship is.  Oklahoma St also has 2 guys questionable for tonight's game with an already short bench.  Oklahoma St is 1-7 ATS L8 games following a double digit loss @ home.  The favorite has owned this series going 14-3 ATS L17 games. 

Washington St is getting credit here for taking Colorado to OT @ Colorado when clearly they weren't very interested in the game.  Now it's tourney time and there won't be any backing off here.  Washington St also shot 51% for the game which is the only time they did that going back to early January.  Colorado also has a chance to improve their NCAA tourney seeding here which is a key factor.  Wash St is 0-5 ATS L5 games following an ATS win.  

We are getting good value here with the Jazz as a short home favorite.  The Jazz snapped a 5 game losing skid last time out @ Pelicans.  I believe this young team will try and rally here as they are fighting for the 8th spot in the Western Conference.  The Hawks have covered 5 in a row but I think they are due for a letdown here coming off a win @ the Clippers and have Eastern Conference rival the Raptors next.  Atlanta is 16-33 ATS L49 games playing on 2 days rest.  

I don't think the Nuggets are getting enough credit here tonight as the Knicks are coming off a big victory over the Pistons as underdogs.  Nuggets were lucky escape with a win vs the Mavs but the Knicks are a terrible team on the road with just 10 wins. 

I realize it's hard to beat a team 3 times in a season but this line is based of pure reputation as Gonzaga is a big marquee name.  St Mary's is a solid ball club who doesn't get enough credit and look for them to sweep the Zags tonight.  St Mary's is 11-2 ATS L13 games following an ATS win

I hit my TOP PLAY winner with the Bulls last game vs the Rockets and will back them again tonight.  The Bulls are still being under valued here because of that 4 game losing skid when Jimmy Butler was out.  The Bucks are coming off a hard fought game last night vs the Thunder and it's very difficult for the lower quality teams to play with that intensity back to back nights against tough competition.  Bucks are just 1-6 ATS L7 meetings @ Chicago.  

We are getting good value here on the Pacers since they have been struggling lately.  I believe they can ride a little momentum in this game coming off a hard fought road win @ Washington.  The Pacers in my opinion are still a quality Eastern Conference team and I just don't see the Spurs blowing them out.  The last time these teams met were @ the Spurs and they were favored by 9 so if adjusting for Pacers home court the line should be around 3.  Also if you look back at the recent road games for the Spurs like the Pelicans Kings those lines were only between 8-10 and the Pacers are way better home team than those two.  I expect a battle here tonight.  Indiana is 4-1-1 ATS L6 games playing a team with a winning percentage greater than 60% 

This may look like a big number, but the Hornets aren't getting enough credit here as they have been playing really basketball as of late.  They are 9-2 SU their L11 and look for them to roll tonight.  I really don't trust Minnesota in this spot either as they are coming off a blowout win over the Nets @ home.  Somehow the T Wolves shot 68% from the field which is unheard of.  There is no way that happens again and they also have the Spurs on deck tomorrow night @ home.  Minnesota is 1-8-1 ATS L10 games after scoring 125 points or more in the previous game.  Hornets are 6-1 ATS L7 games when their opponent scores 100 or more point the previous game.  

After looking at this I feel this line is high for a reason and is begging you to take Wisconsin.  Wisconsin has no doubt been the hottest team in the Big 10 as they have covered 10 of their last 12.  These two teams did met earlier in the year @ Wisconsin they they were struggling but Purdue was favored by 5 at their place which means they should be favored by 11 @ Purdue.  Also Purdue is a bad match up for Wisconsin as they have a ton of size where Wisconsin really doesn't  Purdue is the best defensive team in the Big 10 and will take away Wisconsin shooting the 3 ball.  Purdue will control the glass and continue to play good ball as they are coming off a double digit win @ Nebraska and were only favored by 4 

This line here is solely base off of last night's performance.  The Pistons played the Knicks at the wrong time.  The Knicks shot 53% from the field and when a team does that your in for a long night.  Portland is still getting a lot of love here since they took the Raptors down to the wire Friday night, but this will be their 6th road game in 9 days!  I look for the Pistons to bounce back from last night especially since they have a 4 game road trip coming up as well.  The Pistons are 4-0 ATS L4 games playing on 0 days rest.  

I really like the value here with Maryland as odd makers are telling you that Indiana would be roughly a 3 point favorite on a neutral court?  I don't buy it.  Indiana is coming off a huge win @ Iowa and that gave them the out right conference title.  I really question how much they have left in the tank because they have absolutely nothing to play for today as they are the #1 seed for the Big Ten Tournament.  Maryland does have a seed to play for as it is clogged up top the Big Ten.  I see a lot of motivation here for Maryland as I still believe talent wise they are the best in the Big 10.  

I normally don't like to play on teams in the NBA that have a big game ahead of them the next day like the Grizzlies do with the Cavs, but I don't seem them looking past the Suns here who just recently beat them @ Phoenix.  The Suns also just destroyed the Magic Friday night and are being way over valued as they have won just 5 road games.  I look for the Grizzlies to really take it to them as the Suns are just 5-21 ATS L26 road games.  Suns are also 1-10 ATS L11 games following a SU win.  

MVC CONFERENCE TITLE GAME

We are getting a really good price here on UNI who is back to playing the basketball everyone thought they would throughout the year.  They have only one loss since January 27th and that was in a bad spot.  UNI has already swept Evansville this year including a recent win @ Evansville despite shooting 39% from the field.  Evansville is getting respect here because both games were close that they played and they are coming off a blowout win over Indiana St.  UNI is very familiar with this spot as they have had recent success in the MVC Tournament and also March Madness.  Rolling with the Panthers here.  

Virginia isn't getting enough credit here for being undefeated @ home this year.  This Virginia senior class has really put this school on the map and I expect a huge game out of them tonight.  Virginia already spanked Louisville by 16 @ Louisville earlier this year and so reason why it doesn't happen again with how good Virginia plays defense.  Also now since Louisville can't go to the post season I'm sure that is on the kids minds now.  Louisville is 1-8 ATS L9 road games.