Look the books have been telling you they don't like this UNC team at all and I believe this is the perfect spot to fade them now.  A couple weeks ago they were only laying 7 to a bad Minnesota team.  Miami off the brutal loss last week refusing to kneel I think has them hungry this week in a rivalry game for a perfect bounce back.

Both teams coming off a loss setting up for a nice bounce back for both.  Missouri is just the better team here.  They had a goofy loss very misleading last week to. LSU with that wacky ending.  Wrong team favored here Missouri wins outright

I think the betting public will be all over Iowa here since they are catching nearly double digits.  Iowa is a team that plays a lot of close games but they were horrible last week in the box score vs Purdue.  The backup QB for Iowa is no good and this Badger team will force some turnovers here with a much better defense than Purdue.  Iowa is a fraud 5-1 team lay the points.

Great bounce back spot here for Texas AM after that close loss to Bama last week.  I think wrong tram is favored here.  The Vols are still living off pre season expectations here but their only competition was Florida and we all saw how they were dominated in that game.  Also the Vols have a massive look ahead here with Bama next week

Cal is underrated here.  This team has shown the ability to play both low scoring and high scoring affairs.  Cal scored 40 last week but didn't cover at Oregon St giving us some value here.  Oregon St is a very good home team this year also.  Utah is off the bye so it helps them but USC and Oregon on deck the following two weeks is a huge look ahead.

Arkansas has lost 4 straight but 3 of those games are by 7 or less so clearly they are competitive.  I think this is also a little let down spot for Bama off the A&M road win plus they hav Tennessee on deck here also.  This isn't the same type of Bama team that goes and gets a ton of margin against bottom SEC teams.  Arkansas getting a lot of points I like here

I know the Buckeyes have a look ahead on deck here with Penn St, but man this Purdue temple just isn't it.  They were in a great spot last week vs a backup with Iowa and failed to respond.  The Buckeyes here can name their score if they are just semi interested and I believe they rise to the occasion.  

I think this game should be near a PK here.  Iowa St isn't a great team by any means but TCU laying this many on the road is very questionable.  I know this is a bounce back spot for TCU after losing as double digit favorites but Iowa St will be hungry also after getting blown out @ Oklahoma.  

Ole Miss is getting a ton of respect here after beating LSU last week.  I think this is a brutal spot as they are coming off Bama and LSU back to back weeks which sets up for a major let down here against Arkansas.  Ole Miss doesn't have a great defense and they get into too many shootouts.  Arkansas will control the clock limit the positions which set up nicely as a 12 points dog.

Wrong team is favored here.  I think this UCF team will be very hungry this week and they blew a massive lead last week to Baylor which I did have in a lucky cover.  UCF high powered offense here will put up some points.  Kansas just isn't a team I have been impressed with as they only won by 7 over Nevada as 28 point favorites.

I will take Texas AM here and and I think they should be favored.  I think people believe Bama has figured it out after covering their last two games against Ole Miss and Miss St.  A&M will be hungry here and two that Auburn win two weeks ago looks decent now as Auburn gave Georgia all they wanted.  Wrong Team Favored.. Jimbo gets his squad right here

Purdue is in a good spot here against Iowa.  Iowa just lost their starting QB for the year and they have already struggled big time on offense as is.  This Iowa team relies so much on defense and special teams to get the win like they did last week.  Purdue with a nice win last week I think they have played a better schedule also.  

So South Carolina has two losses to Georgia and UNC.  Well both are quality losses and they really played well vs Georgia taking it into the 4th quarter.  Tennessee has already been exposed this season vs Florida which was their hardest test.  I think this Vols team is crazy overrated and shouldn't be laying this amount of points.

I had Iowa St in a winner last week.  I really liked how they did switch up the offensive look.  I also know that Oklahoma St isn't anything special.  Iowa St will have to air it out again but I think they will have success.  Sooners won by 14 last week and covered depending on the number you grabbed.  Iowa St has a very very good defense and I believe it keeps them in the game.  Worst case if they have their worst performance they will still be live to back door here.  OU is getting too much respect. 

This is a big overreaction here in this game.  Just last week this Baylor squad was catching 17 vs a very good Texas team.  Yes, they got blown out and failed to cover but getting 12.5 here against UCF?  UCF just gave up 44 to Kansas St last week and I seriously question their defense.  Two weeks ago Baylor almost upset Utah. I think this game is very close. 

I will take Nebraska here in this spot.  This is Matt Rhules first big time game at home and I believe he will have his guys ready.  Couple reasons here,  Nebraska on defense is a really stout group and I believe they show up.  Second, the pace of which both of these teams play is slow and I don't expect many possessions giving a big advantage to taking the dog with this many points.  Michigan has yet to cover this season and have really laid off the gas in the 4th of games.

Georgia hasn't covered yet this season and they haven't look great by any means.  I believe we are getting a discount here because of that.  They did finally. breakout and score 49 last week and I see no reason why they won't scored 35+ here this week.  Auburn has their first loss last week but man this team has issues on offense.  They only scored 10 last week @ AM and failed to cover.  They should have tossed at Cal in week 2 which was a misleading game.  Georgia doesn't have a look ahead here and I believe they get their first cover.

I think the Raiders are being undercooked here because of the blowout loss to the Bills last  week. Most people see the final the score but the Raider had over 6 yards per play which is impressive, however they were -3 in turnovers which will do it to ya in the NFL for getting blown out.  Raiders first home game on Sunday night and the Steelers coming off a two defensive touchdown game in prime time.

Andy Dalton is a go here for the Panthers and I trust him to delivery here in this game.  The Panthers have looked lost on offense but their defense is more than respectable.  I think they will move it on a Seattle team who's defense hasn't looked anything special at all.  Seattle being overvalued. here because of the misleading win last week @ Detroit.  Carolina keeps this close

Lawrence and company are just a tad overrated here IMO.  The Chiefs last week did everything to lose the game with double digit penalties and 3 turnovers, yet the Jags still couldn't find the end zone.  Stroud is gaining some confidence also throwing the ball and since the Texans haven't covered in any game yet they are being way undervalued.  

The Broncos are really in a do or die spot this week and I believe Payton gets them to respond here as he knows how important this is.  The Broncos are 0-2 and filled to cover both games so they will be desperate here.  Miami has had maybe the worst travel spot you could ever ask for to start the season.  They went to LA week 1, then @ Patriots last week and now back home.  Miami is a very good team but their D is suspect at best.  Denver can shorten up the game here control. the clock long possessions. 

Most will say this is an elimination week for the loser of this week.  People are forgetting here at the Chargers were favored by 3 over the Dolphins in week 1 and that Miami team is easily a top 5 team right now, now they are a dog?.  Look, I know Ecjler might be out but Herbert will be having a field day here against a soft D in Minnesota.  

I think the narrative here is that the Browns are done with Chubb being out.  Well they signed Hunt who is very familiar with the offense and gameplay which is a huge help.  The Browns blew that game last week given the fact that the Steelers needed two defensive touchdowns to beat them.  Titans are off a big OT win against the Chargers given them a little bit of respect.  The difference will be the Browns defense who hasn't allowed a snap inside the red zone this season.  

Wrong team is favored here in this game point blank.  The Packers only lost by 1 last week vs the Falcons but they were outgunned by 200 yards last week so it was pretty misleading.  Jordan Love is getting a lot of credit but he only has a 55% completion which isn't good.  The Saints D is no joke most would consider border line top 5.  The Saints are 2-0 but haven't covered yet this season so the betting public won't be on them here.

I believe the narrative here is that we are see tow ranked teams and it's a lot of points.  Also Iowa generally plays a lot of close games which is true because of their style.  I think Iowa has looked pretty bad especially given the quality of their opponents.  Penn St has a nasty defense against a very bad Iowa offense and that will be the difference.  Penn St gets up early and this Iowa team isn't built to play from behind 

Too much respect for LSU here in this matchup.  Arkansas has covered 4 of the last 5 meetings in this matchup.  I think Arkansas way undervalued because of their loss last week which I believe they were looking ahead.  Arkansas has one of the best defenses in the country only giving up 4.3 yards per play and 3rd best against the run giving up 1.7 yards per play. 

This is a brutal spot here for Colorado St.  They played in an all out effort in a great game last week that everyone tuned in for again their rival in Colorado.  It was a double OT loss and now they travel again this week.  Just a tough bounce back spot here for them.  Midd Tenn has already played Bama and gave Mizzou all they wanted so they are familiar with stepping up in class also.

Really like Washington St here and I believe the wrong team is favored.  Washington St in week 1 went on the. road and thumped Colorado St and well you have to upgrade them. after what we saw from the Rams vs Colorado on Prime Time last week.  They followed it up with a win over Wisconsin who was ranked at the time.  Wazzu has won 8 of the last 9 meetings here 

Im taking my chances with the Cyclones here.  This is the ultimate bounce back spot after losing to Ohio last week with a pathetic performance from the offense.  Oklahoma St is in a rough spot also as they have no idea who their QB's are.  Cyclones still have a top 25 defense and that will be the difference here to cover a short number in a great spot.

I will take the points with BYU here this weekend.  I like the way this team is trending with a great road win at Arkansas last weekend.  I just haven't been that impressed with Kansas in a couple of their close wins over Illinois and @ Nevada.  Too many points 

Really like Rutgers here in this game.  First, they have covered every game this season and have looked very good in doing so.  Their offense is really moving the. ball and their defense through 3 games is equal to Michigan in going up just 4 yards per play.  Michigan hasn't covered yet this season and generally with these popular teams the books are slow to adjust and they will continue to not cover.  With both defenses in current form I believe this this is a 24-17 type of game.

I know I am on the betting public side here with FSU, but if you have watched these two teams play. you can tell that Clemson just doesn't have the horses this season.  Now, they are being priced that they do and maybe that's because of their name alone.  FSU last week was in a dog fight vs Boston College but I believe that was a massive look ahead to this game last week.  What FSU did to LSU in the first week in a game that they were focused tells me a lot.  There is zero doubt they will be interested here and I believe they put one on Dabo here

I really like SMU here this weekend.  SMU was tested in week 2 @ Oklahoma and they field to cover, but the important thing there was that it was a 3 point game going into the 4th.  TCU I believe is now being over valued with that road win and cover last week against a very down Houston team.  Remember last year TCU hard their greatest team ever and they were favored by just 2.5.  Now they are favored by more?  SMU is a live dog here.

I'm playing Cincy here and I faded them last week which they lost outright vs Miami Oh as a double digit favorite.  Oklahoma has won and covered every game so far but if you have watched them they just don't pass the eye test here to me.  That is having them extremely over valued in this spot.  Cincy will keep this within two touchdowns.

I had the Dolphins last week in a winner vs the Chargers but I will fade them this week in what feels like a brutal spot.  They have to travel clear across the country here on Sunday night.  Also, I love playing the angle here of 0-1 vs 1-0 teams.  The Patriots flat out blew a huge chance to beat the Eagles last week.  The Dolphins D I wasn't impressed with at all giving up chunk plays and they won't be able to have the huge plays on offense either in this game. Patriots win outright

Way too much of an over reaction here in this game.  We all know the news to Rodgers and yes the line deserved to climb some,  but nearly double digits?  The Cowboys are getting a ton of respect because of the 40 point blowout vs the Giants.  The main thing here is that the Jets defense can simply keep them in games.  If Zach doesn't make the massive mistake they will have a chance to win this game outright.  Way too many points here

I'm rolling with the Texans here in this game.  I give them a little pass last week with a new HC and rookie QB on the road.  They hung tough in the first half against what most are considering a playoff team in the Ravens.  Colts did make it interesting vs the Jags but they had the fluky defensive TD that helped them and still didn't cover.  Texans D a little better and played the better opponent.  I think wrong team is favored here. 

I think the betting public will be all over the Packers here in this game simply because of last week.  Everything went the Packers way just from the start as they stopped the Bears on a 4th and 1 and scored on that possession.  Both these teams had a similar win total entering the season so based upon that the Falcons should actually be favored and they were in the look ahead lines.   But, we know public perception means a lot.  I think the Packers will have their hands full and the Falcons defense is just so much better than the Bears.

This game should be PK.  The Bucs had probably the biggest misleading final of the week as their offense was just horrible.  They had no business winning that game outright vs the Vikings and are being inflated because of that.  I wasn't impressed with the. Bucs D either and Fields and company will move the ball here.  This is just the buy low spot on the Bears coming off what appears to be a big loss and sell high on the Bucs in a game they are getting too much credit for 

I love Deion and everything about what he is doing.  However now the line has gotten out of control.  They have went from 20 point dogs in week 1 to now a 23 point favorite in matter of two games.  Colorado St was only single an 8 point dog to Washington St who just beat Wisconsin last week. Colorado St will score here.  I also think a major let down spot with Oregon on deck 

Have to take Florida here in a rivalry setting in which they have dominated this series.  Tennessee did win last season but the Gators have won 8 of the last 10.  This is the biggest favorite @ Florida Tennessee has been in over 35 years also.  Florida didn't look great @ Utah but that s a tough spot to travel to for a team that isn't use to it.  I also think the SEC is pretty overrated this season and we really don't know what the Vols have right now besides a high ranking next to their name.

No choice but to look at Miami Oh here.  Cincy is coming off a nice upset win as a 7 point dog @ Pitt and that has them big time over valued here. Miami Oh was a 16 point dog @ Miami week 1 and now are nearly the same here?  Miami is a good team has we saw last week with them beating Texas AM so you have to consider that here with Miami Oh.  In an under the radar rivalry game I like Miami Oh to keep it close 

I love Nebraska here.  This team is desperate now for a win and I believe they get it done in blowout fashion.  Look last week played a good Colorado team tough but the turnovers were just too hard to overcome for them.  Northern Illinois struggles running the ball which won't bold well vs this Nebraska team.  

I have been less than impressed with the Buckeyes so far to start the season.  The first game they just looked lost even though they did handle Indiana.  The Hoosiers are bad football team though and. they only put up 23.  WKU is the best opponent they will have faced and WKU catching them at the right time as the Buckeyes have Notre Dame on deck.  WKU with a nice blowout win covering against South Florida in week 1.  They can score and I expect them 17 from them when should be an easy cover if they get to that number.

I really like the spot here for ECU. We  will be getting a major effort here from ECU looking for their first win of the season.  App St in a tough spot here. putting up a huge effort in a double OT loss to ranked North Carolina.  This is the exact. flat. spot here after a big game against a team they aren't looking forward to playing.

We are getting a massive inflated number here with Central Michigan.  They were just 14 point dogs to Sparty.  Yes ND is better than Spraty but by 3 touchdowns?  ND has covered twice hence why they are putting this line that high plus CMU hasn't covered yet.  Massive is an understatement here as the Irish have Ohio St on deck.  No need to run it up here.  

I know that Ohio is a good MAC team but man Iowa St just has a solid defense here that I think will propel them.  They were in that game vs Iowa last week and actually won the box score but a pick 6 was ultimately the deciding factor.  I think Campbell and company know the importance of this game on the road with conference play coming up.  I expect a big effort and nice bounce back spot. 

A lot of unknowns here with both teams entering this season, but the Broncos have already been bitten by the injury bug.  Patrick and Judy out for them at WR.  I also think Wilson is a huge problem as there were no signs of improvement as the season went on last year.  The Raiders are being priced too low here as  they blew 5 leads up by double digits last season.  McDaniels coaching for his job this season.  Jimmy G is also healthy here which won't last but hey as long as he's 100% I. think the Raiders went outright 

I'm going to trust the Patriots here with all off season to prepare for this game.  The Patriots have the defense here even though the Eagles are loaded on both sides here the Super Bowl loser always has that hangover outside of a guy named Brady.  The betting public will be all over Philly and the books know that.  They are really taking a stand here not moving this line and I believe for right reason.  

I love the Browns here this week vs their rival in the Bengals.  The whole betting public will be all over the Bengals because of the star power they have.  I think Burrow injury and him not playing does play a factor into this as we witnessed him having a slow start last season.  The Browns and Watson I expect major improvement this season.  Also the Browns have dominated going 8-2 SU the last 10 games. 

I'm not convinced at all in the Jags despite them making the playoffs as they. backed into last season.  This is just too many to be laying on the road vs a division rival in week 1.  I know the Colts have rookie QB but it's an upgrade to what the Colts have been. playing with last season.   By all accounts also Richardson has won the. locker. room over this off season.    People are giving the Jags too much respect 

The Texans I will admit didn't look great this preseason and Stroud for sure had his struggles.  This. is just too many not to take against a Ravens team who has had. their struggles on offense and they really dont blow many teams out.  Also this is a young Ravens crew they are relying on here for points outside of Lamar.  I'm also down on the Ravens this year as I think that division is so hard they won't make the playoffs this season.  Texans will be mighty improved on the defensive side which is why I believe they can keep this close 

I'm adding the Bucs here this week.  Tampa I don't believe will be. a good team at all this season and I think most will agree.  I do think though they will be a team to play getting 6 or more in certain spots. Look, the Vikings were literally the luckiest team we have. seen in a while winning all those close games.  Baker has a major chip on his shoulder while Minnesota tries to replace a horrible defense.  It's just the perception here that has this line way too high. 

I was hoping for a little bit more here but Temple is live to win.  Rutgers last week got the win and cover vs Northwestern but I mean will there be a worse Power 5 team than that messed up school?  I think not.  Temple returns their young stud at QB in EJ Warner who. set a school record for freshman last season.  Temple has bad season last. year but in large part because of the youth.  This is too many points and Rutgers getting too much respect from last week

We will be taking Texas here.  I honestly wasn't that impressed last week with Bama and their QB.  I think he's going to struggle big time as competition gets tough which is exactly what we have this week.  I actually think Texas has the. overall better players.  If you recall last season Texas had them beat before their QB went out early.  I also believe we are seeing a little decline with Bama as NIL has hurt some of the powerhouses as they aren't as deep anymore.  Bama defense will. give up big plays here and I think Texas pulls off the upset. 

Here is another game that is an overreaction to last week alone.  I went against Boise last week in a. winner with Washington but that Washington team is very explosive led by Penix.  UCF coming off a blowout over Kent St has them also overvalued.  Boise is a tough place to travel too especially with UCF. who wouldn't be familiar with this type of situation.  Boise in a great bounce back spot here so will take a nice 3.5 point dog

I believe this is a discount here on Pitt who returns 11 starters from a 9 win team.  They actually get BC transfer at QB in Phil Jurkovec.   Pitt for sure believes that they can the Coastal here with UNC on their side.   Cincy is in a rough spot this season losing their head coach in Fickell.  They also are getting respect because of their name here but they only return 8 total starters.  Cincy blew out Eastern Kentucky last week which also gives some value here in the line.  I think much tougher competition spells trouble. 

Oklahoma is going to be a sexy option for the public betters this weekend as they won 73-0 vs Arkansas St.  IMO this is a great sell high spot here now following that type of performance.  SMU is a team who won 7 games last season with 4 losses by one score.  They also took care of business last week against LA Tech covering a big 21 number.  Public perception here on the Sooners and I believe SMU puts up a nice fight. 

I'm gonna ride with Maye here. at QB.  If you are suppose to be the next big hyped thing I believe you gotta win games like this.  UNC defense was absolutely brutal on defense as everyone knew that so they can't get any worse.  I also think we are getting a discount here because it is a neutral field. Rattler and the Gamecocks here are over matched.  

I really like Toldeo here against Illinois.  Illinois  is coming off a great season as they won 8 games.  I just think they will be really up against here vs. the best team in the MAC in Toledo.   Toldeo does bring in a high power offense averaging over 31 points per. game last season.  The Big Ten West is a brutal division as we witnessed last night with Nebraska and Minnesota.  Toledo will be hungry here and I believe they are live to win outright.

This Midd Tennessee team had a great season going 8-5 and winning their bowl game.  They have 13 starters returning here and remember this team went on the road last season and beat Miami. Fla. Granted I know there is a big difference but the fact they did that shows a lot.  I'm not on Bama this season and I think they will have some offensive issues.  They are going to win this game no doubt but covering 40 plus out of the gate with a lot of question marks is crazy to me.  I will take the points here as I think Midd Tenn can score 10 and get the cover.

I'm putting a lot of faith here in first year head coach. Eric Morris.   He comes from the tree of Mike Leach and he does have a solid group returning with 17 total starters in all.  I also really like these smaller schools hosting a school from the Power 5 conference as they really get up for these games as a dog.  Cal was a horrible team last season winning 4 games.  They return a lot of starters as well but man this team on defense was so bad you can't lay any number with them on the road.  

I think this. play will be on the popular side but it's just a difference in talent here.  What Boise likes to do is run the ball and that will fed right into the hands of this stout Washington defense.  I also think Washington led by Penix at QB will be able to score fairly easily.  I love this Huskies team and they are a dark horse to make the. playoffs.  

We will take Utah tonight laying a short number here at home.   I believe most will look at this because of their stud QB Cam Rising being out tonight and take a team from the SEC.  Utah is loaded here on defense with 7 returning players.  Florida is a team that. returns 7 total starters from 6 wins last year.  I also very much dont like their QB transfer in Mertz from Wisconsin.  I like the revenge angle here. for Utah as they blew this game last season on the road.  Utah makes a statement without their best player tonight.