Clearly the line tells the story here with the Piston being favorites over the Cavs.  Simple reason for that is the Cavs are resting players after yesterday.  That was a huge win for them coming back from being down 14 in the 4th.  They have no interest in playing @ Detroit here.  The Pistons will be the motivated team to get back on track.  I see a big effort from them tonight given this situation.  

This is a good spot to back the Wizards are this is the 2nd of a home and home series.  The Wizards were in a tough situation @ Milwaukee now will be looking for revenge after getting embarrassed.  Wizards are quietly playing their best basketball winning 7 of 11.  Lay the short number here

I like the Chiefs here tonight as they still have everything to play for and aren't getting enough credit because last week they were in a very tough spot vs the Titans.  This Chiefs defense will have no problem shutting down an offense well if you consider it an offense.  Denver will struggle to move the ball Chiefs just make plays week in and week out.  

I will take the points here with the Cavs as they will be wanting to make a statement here.  Even though the Cavs are missing players I really like LeBron here.  The Warriors no doubt will be read as well, but I'm not sure they should be laying any points.  

Early NBA TIP

I like the Knicks here @ home against the Celtics today.  The Knicks are a solid team @ home going 11-4.  The Knicks have had the big advantage here as they haven't had any travel while the Celtics have had travel for the last 5 days.  Knicks take this one 

Christmas Eve Saturday Night Top Play!

The Bengals are getting a lot of respect for the last couple weeks. They played the Steelers very hard and probably should have won that game.  Well now their season is over and this isn't a division rival. Last week the Texans found something and that was backup QB Tom Savage.  The switch clearly motivated this team and they have everything to play for as they are fighting for the playoffs

The Packers are rolling right now winning 4 in a row and since they let the Bears back into the game failing to cover that has created some value here. The Vikings are a mess right now and are eliminated from the playoffs and even though this is a division game it's hard for me to see them get up here.  Rodgers will want to lay it on them here and I fully expect that to happen

I know I know this will be my first time backing the Browns, but this is a terrible situation for the Chargers here.  They have nothing to play for and I highly doubt they will have any interest here playing @ Cleveland.  The Browns are desperate for their first win and I see it happening this week.  

I will back the Bills here as I feel the Dolphins are being overrated.  Mat Moore had a career game @ the Jets and I don't believe he can repeat that performance two weeks in a row.  The Dolphins are one of the hottest teams right now, but given this situation I don't trust them.  Rex will have his guys ready as he is fighting for his job sake. 

The Hawks are still a mess right now and even though I like this team better without Howard, he is a key guy missing when facing a big team like the Nuggets.  Nuggets are playing better here winning 4 of their L6 games.  Hawks are just 3-7 ATS L10 and there is something going on in that locker room.  Nuggets have had two days off as well coming off an ugly loss @ Clippers. 

I'm gonna take the Grizzlies here as sure odds alone they surely won't lose 4 home games in row.  The Rockets are rolling, but the Grizzlies do play some nasty defense and I see that having a big effect tonight against a Rockets team that likes to shoot a lot of 3's.  With the Rockets coming off a big win @ the Suns I doubt they are too motivated in this situation tonight 

I'm not so sure the wrong team is favored here.  I know Idaho just won last night as a big underdog and they are in the same conference as Troy, but I'm not buying much into the conference as a whole.  I think the MAC is way better than the Sun Belt.  I also like Ohio coming off a hard fought loss to undefeated Western Michigan in which they did have a chance to win at the end.  Ohio has the better defense here as well.  Troy has been getting torched on the ground and that doesn't serve well come bowl season.  Frank Solich is also the better coach here.  I will take Ohio and the points 

I know the Pistons are playing like crap, but this is a good spot to back them here.  The Warriors clearly came not not very interested in last nights game @ the Nets, but they did have to use some energy.  Now they travel on a back to back with a Christmas day game vs the Cavs looming.  The spot is just terrible for the Warriors and I expect a motivated Pistons team here tonight 

This is just a lot of points here for the Cavs to be laying coming of two games against a division rival and of course they have the biggest Christmas day game vs the Warriors.  There is no motivation here for the Cavs to blow this team out.  They simply want to just win this game and are obviously looking ahead.  

NBA LATE NIGHT SHOWDOWN!

Wrong team is simply favored here in this spot.  I know the Spurs are playing very well, but this Clippers team is being under valued due to Blake Griffin being out.  Remember last year when Griffin missed a majority of time?  Well go back and look the Clippers happened to rally and play their best basketball during that stretch.  The underdog as owned this series as of late going 6-2 ATS L8 meetings.  I see the Clippers winning this one tonight 

NBA TOP PLAY ALERT!

I love Indiana in this spot as this team right now is clearly a home/away team.  11 of their 15 wins have came at home so far.  This Celtics team burned me the other night with a lucky comeback win in OT @ Memphis.  The Pacers have a big break following this game so you can expect a huge effort here.  They would love to gain some confidence by beating a quality team like the Celtics.  Pacers are 5-1 ATS L6 following a SU loss.

This Cal team will be ready here for the big game tonight with Virginia coming to town.  Virginia is a very good team, but most will go by their ranking when in fact they haven't played a very hard schedule and this will be their first true road game and traveling across country in never easy to do especially with college athletes.  

LATE NIGHT BAILOUT!

I will gladly back the Suns here with the Rockets coming off a very hard fought loss last night and now they travel to Phoenix quite frankly a place they won't be to excited about playing at.  The Suns as I have mentioned before are great to back as home underdogs and given this situation no doubt I will take all the points I can get.  

The line says it all in this game.  The fact that South Carolina is ranked and nearly a PK @ home says a lot about how over rated they actually are.  Clemson has the better athletes and that will be on full display tonight.  South Carolina has also played a lot easier schedule hint their record.  

I was very impressed with how the Bulls responded last game and I expect that to carry over into tonight's game.  The Wizards are getting a lot of respect because they have covered 6 of their L7 but this time is just 2-9 on the road this season.  They are a terrible defensive team giving up 106 points and this will also be their 3rd game in 4 nights

This will be a game that the public will be all over the Thunder, but they haven't been a great road team by any means as they are just 5-6 SU and they are still missing Oladipo.  The line is being factored since the Pelicans played last night, but this team now healthy is showing you what they are capable of.  Their last 3 losses have came to the Warriors Rockets and Spurs so don't let those results fool you.  They are playing much better 

There is no doubt that everyone will be on Kentucky here tonight, but this is a very hard spot for a young and talented Wildcat team coming off that win over UNC.  Louisville is simply very underrated to me right now their only loss came to Baylor on a neutral court and I believe they should have won that game!  This is a huge rivalry as most are aware of, but the fact the Louisville has the huge home court advantage here I will gladly take them.  

I don't think the books have adjusted enough for Iowa because they are just 6-5.  5 of their losses have came to tourney teams and this Hawkeye team is playing very well lately beating Iowa St and just destroyed a good UNI team.  North Dakota isn't a good team as they have only beat two division 1 teams.  I see the Hawks winning easily 

The value is simply to great to pass up here with this young Bucks squad that is playing with a ton of confidence right now. This is the first of a home and home between these two teams and the Cavs are without Love for tonight's game.  The Cavs are just 2-5 ATS L7 road games.  

I think we are seeing an over reaction here to the Grizzlies losing 2 home games in row.  Let's face it you would make a lot of money if you take good quality teams to avoid losing 3 in a row @ home and that is what we have here.  The Grizzlies should be extra motivated here tonight.  The Celtics have won 2 in a row, but that was to the Hornets without Kemba and @ Miami who is banged up.  The Grizz are now healthy and should win this game here tonight

I will lay the number here even though this is a flat spot for Northwestern.  However they are just way better than IUPUI.  They have played at Marquette and got blown out.  They did played well @ Illinois but were lucky IMO and shot 55% for the game still lost by 8.  NW should have no problem hanging a big number here

This line is climbing for a reason so grab it quick.  Sorry, wish I was on it earlier for everyone.  Pelicans are simply under valued because of their slow start, well now everyone is healthy and they want revenge here on the Sixers.  Pelicans have lost 3 of 4 creating the value here, but those were to playoff teams.  I see a big effort from the Pelicans here tonight.

I realize the Bulls have been struggling but it's not like the Pistons have been playing much better.  After now losing 3 in the Bulls will look for revenge here after having a couple days to regroup.  I look for them to come out motivated against a division rival that just beat them less than 2 weeks ago. 

This may seem like big number because the Wizards are playing bettter but this team is still 2-8 on the road.  They are playing their second of a back to back and coming off a big upset over the aClippers.  

I really think the wrong team is favored here.  The Grizzlies will be ready here as they return Mike Conley and the Jazz are missing George Hill who has been very well for the Jazz this year.  The Grizzlies some how did an unbelievable job of winning with all the injuries they have had.  This team will bounce back after losing to the Kings @ home last game

I really like the Chargers here in a big rivalry game against the Raiders.  They  would love nothing more to play spoiler here and really make the Raiders sweat the last couple weeks.  When these teams met earlier in the season @ Oakland, the Raiders were favored by 3.5 then and the Chargers only lost by 3 despite being -3 in turnover.  I don't trust this Raiders defense at all especially against a pass happy team like San Diego.  

I will lay the point here in a division game on the road.  I normally never do that, but the Steelers are simply on fire right now winning and covering 4 in a row.  The reason this line isn't higher is because the Bengals have covered two in a row themselves.  Big Ben and Bell will get the job done today.

I realize this is a public play no doubt, but I believe this line has dropped simply because of the weather.  Granted it's going to be very cold there, but the Packers still have everything to play for.  Rodgers is simply to good and this Bears defense isn't anything that will scare him.

This is a "neutral court" game as well, but is played @ the United Center in Chicago so you can clearly see who has the advantage in this situation.  I'm not sure how good this BYU team actually is, but I have no problem fading them.  Illinois has found something with that blowout win over VCU a few games back.  I see them taking this one as well 

I was on the Nuggets the other night over Portland and will back them again here tonight.  The Knicks got their 2 wins early on this road trip and this will now be their 5 consecutive road game.  This Nuggets team is well rested as this will only be their 2nd game in 5 days.  

I realize the Rockets are red hot right now, but I feel this is the certain spot to fade them.  They played last night in a blowout win over the Pelicans and now have to travel over night to face Minnesota which I'm sure they aren't to excited for this game.  The T Wolves will look to build off a nice upset win over the Bulls.  They have also had 3 days of rest which is key.  

I think Midd Tenn is getting  to much respect being 10-1 here as their schedule has been a lot easier compared to VCU.  Sure VCU had a couple rough games, but I really like the way they bounced back @ ODU who is a very underrated team.  They will be focused here tonight

This Kentucky team is simply way to talented here for UNC.  I know Berry is back and that will help, but I like the young Wildcats.  Kentucky's only loss was to UCLA and everyone now realizes how good that team is.  

This line really caught me off guard as Iowa just beat Iowa St last week granted on their home court, but now they are catching 3 on a neutral court vs UNI?  This young Iowa team has found something since Coach McCaffrey has changed the line up.  They don't deserve to be underdogs IMO

I like the Aztecs here catching the points.  This is mainly based off motivation alone here as Coach Herman left Houston for Texas which I feel was a big distraction for this team as they under achieved this season.  Also now they head to Vegas and I looked at their roster they only have two kids on that team west of Texas.  I'm pretty sure for most of them it will be their first time in Vegas and when they had dreams of possibly playing in final four series or even a New Years Day Bowl I don't seem them interested here.  SDSU is playing hard and there is no better evidence than them winning @ Wyoming for their conference championship as they just lost there 2 weeks prior.  Pumphrey is a load at RB for the Aztecs and I know the Cougars have a solid D, I question again the effort level here with everything that has gone on

This Ohio St team isn't very good IMO and should be a lot bigger dog here.  They are getting credit because of playing on a neutral court.  UCLA has 5x as much talent here and that will take over the game

Wrong Team Favored

I will take the Irish and the points here on a neutral court.  This team had Nova on the ropes last week and actually should have won that game.  Purdue does have the size, but they simply don't have the guard play to keep up here.  I look for the Irish to win outright. 

I'm gonna back the Aggies here as I feel right now this team has more talent than Arizona with all their injuries.  This Aggies team played UCLA extremely tough so they will be up for the challenge.  This is a neutral court game, but is being played in Texas.  Take Texas A&M  

Making this short and sweet I believe the fact the Lakers went from dogs to favorites here tells the story.  They will be extra motivated coming off that loss to the Nets last out.

Grab the Bulls now.  I was on the Bucks last night as they dominated from start to finish, however I see that changing tonight as the Bulls really struggled behind the arc and the Bucks made 6 more threes.  This line looks high for a reason coming of that game but don't be afraid here 

I don't believe the betting public will have anything to do with the Hawks here given they have been playing terrible lately.  However, I feel this is a big over reaction as the Raptors were favored by this amount over the Sixers and T Wolves two teams that are obviously worse than the Hawks.  Atlanta if they have any fight which I believe they do, they will show up tonight.  They are extremely well rested as this will only be their 2nd game in 6 days.  Take the points

This is going to look like a huge line as the Celtics have been struggling but they now return Thomas who has been out and the Hornets have Kemba out tonight which is huge.  They will struggle to find a go to option as he makes everyone better around them.  Lay the points

Will gladly back the Wizards here as they are heating up.  i backed both teams in wins last time out but with the Wizards recent trends and Wall, Beal playing well together they should be favored here

I like the Nuggets here in this spot tonight vs a very tired Portland team. Denver has had two days off and are coming off a bad loss to the Mavs which they will be looking to bounce back from here.  Meanwhile Portland has to be extremely tired in this situation coming off a 5 game road trip played a home game vs the Thunder and now back on the road in a tough place.  I like the Nuggets to win this one 

I will take the Bucks here tonight as the betting public will be all over the Bulls I am sure.  The Bucks have lost 3 in a row and are coming off a blowout loss to the Raptors, but are primed for a big bounce back here.  This is also the first of a home and home so you can expect the Bucks will be focused.  This is a rivalry that most people don't know about as well.  Rondo is a question mark for the game tonight as well.  I see the Bucks winning fairly easy here

This might seem like a lot of points to be laying here with the Pistons, but I seem them being extra focused here after getting absolutely embarrassed at home by the Sixers.  I also think the Mavs are being a little over valued with their big win over the Nuggets.  Pistons have also had 2 days off so I expect a huge effort.

I will take the Kings here as the Rockets continue to be over valued for a team that doesn't play defense.  This is the first game of a 3 game road trip for the Kings so you can expect a big effort from them here.  The betting public will be all over the Rockets with them winning 9 of their L10 and covering 7 of those.  I will take the Kings and the points here

I'm gonna take the Wizards here who are playing better ball as of late despite dropping their last game @ Miami.  The Hornets are in a rough part of their schedule right now playing 4 games in 6 days and this will be their 3rd consecutive road game.  Wall and Beal are trying to get this thing turned around and the realize in order to do so it starts with the home games.  Hornets are 1-4 ATS L5 following a SU loss.  Wizards are 4-1 ATS following a SU loss.  80% system play there!

One thing I have noticed this year is that you fade the Suns as home favorites and back them as dogs.  Knicks are being extremely over valued here winning 6 of 7, but none of them have came against a winning team.  While I know the Suns fit that category this is a huge look ahead game for the Knicks with the Warriors on deck.  This will be the 2nd time all season the Knicks are favored on the road with the first being the last game @ an banged up Laker team.  The Suns should be favored here given the situation.  Grab the points and enjoy.  

After the win over the T Wolves Coach Kerr admitted that the Warriors are tired from this road trip.  With that being said I doubt they are highly motivated here to blowout the Pelicans.  This will actually be the third meeting in which both games have been decided by 10 or less and that is with the Pelicans being very injured during those times.  I see the Pelicans keeping it close than people think here.

Even though the Gamecocks are undefeated and ranked I'm not buying to much into that as this Seton Hall team will be the best they have faced so far.  Also this is a neutral court game @ MSG which really benefits Seton Hall as well.  With this line being so low I have no choice but to grab the Pirates here as they are the better team.  

The Raptors are playing very good ball right now there is no doubt about it, I just believe they won't have much interest here coming off two days off.  This is a perfect flat spot for them.  The Bucks have been playing very well themselves, but haven't always won.  They have lost 3 of their last 4 but all 3 losses were only by a total of 10 points.  They haven't lost by double digits in nearly a month.  Grab the Points

I think most will think this is too many points for this young Auburn team, but Boston College is just flat out bad.  They have lost 4 of their last 5 with two losses coming to Hartford and Harvard not exactly good teams by any means.  Auburn has plenty of talent and I expect that to show big time here.

I will take the Packers here as a home underdog with a ton to play for yet.  Teams that have scored over 40 points in the previous week haven't covered any time the following week.  Also Rodgers is a perfect 14-0 in December home games.  That right there is enough for me to back the Packers.  

Grab This Now...will be going up

I said grab this line early for my subscribers and sure enough this line has gone up to 3 now.  The Steelers are still one of the best teams in football and when their back are against the wall Tomlin responds big time as we saw what happened last week.  Take the Steelers 

This is more of a play against the Panthers as I believe they are officially throwing in the towel after last weeks performance against the Seahawks.  Where the Panthers really struggle is in their secondary and that plays right into the red hot hands of Phillip Rivers.   

I like the value here with the Titans even though Siemian is returning this week.  I still have doubts that he is actually 100% to go here as well.  The Broncos are just brutal on offense right now as they were lucky last week since Bortles through another pick 6.  This Titans team is very underrated and have a great defense as well that is healthy.

This won't be a popular play, but I will take the Jags here as a live home dog IMO.  This Vikings team relies so much on their defense because they can't score enough points.  It's hard for me to lay any points with a team that struggles to get to 20.  The Jaguars even though they have a bad record they are playing well as they have outgained their opponents by over 300 yards the last 5 games.  That is very impressive!

I think ODU is a lot better than they are getting credit for here as actually dont deserve to be an underdog.  They took Louisville down to the wire earlier this season.  VCU is coming off two losses in a row and were a 15 point favorite against Georgia Tech.  I'm not buying this VCU team at all.  

I think we will start to see Wizards turn it on here and this is also not a great spot for the Bucks tonight.  The Bucks lost last night as a home favorite vs the Hawks and now travel a long ways for this game tonight which I doubt they are very interested in.  

I'm going to back the Nuggets here as I feel they will be fired up for a road win on this trip.  I faded the the Magic last night and will do it again tonight as they are still tired.  They have had so much travel and this is also their 4th game in 5 nights which is rare and the toughest spot in the NBA.

I really believe this line tells the story here.  Xavier is coming off two losses in a row, but both were on the road so they will be taking that out on Utah here today.  Utah is absolutely horrible this year no way around it.  Their schedule has been very easy and now will leave the start for the first time.  Blowout written all over it

I will gladly back Butler here as a short home favorite over Cincy.  Butler is coming off a bad loss @ Indiana St and will be looking to take that out on the Bearcats today.  Cincy has proven they can go on the road and win @ Iowa St, but the Cyclones shot horrible in that game.  Butler is a tough place to play and I see them pulling away.  

I'm not sure how good either one of these schools will be as Evansville did lose a ton from last year, but they still have a tough place to play and their 5-0 home record proves that.  Murray St is just 1-4 away from home here as this falls into another cant back short road dog when haven't proven anything.  

Always a general rule of mine early in the season.  You can't back a short priced dog on the road when they haven't won a true road game yet.  Rhode Island is a good team but their recent losses @ Valpo and Providence tell me this team might be the home/away split.  Houston is coming off a loss @ Arkansas and are looking for a big win to their season started.  I see that happening today!

With the T Wolves getting blown out last night @ Raptors I believe that is creating some value with them tonight.  I don't trust this Pistons team on the road yet even though they did have some nice road wins recently.  I don't think they will be up for this game at all.  T Wolves actually play extremely well on back to back going 4-0 ATS L4 times.  T Wolves need a win badly and I see them getting it here tonight 

I really like the Celtics here tonight against the Raptors even though Thomas is out again.  Boston is playing very well winning 7 of their L10.  I was on them @ Orlando the other night when Thomas was out as well, it was a big over reaction, Boston won by 30.  Raptors will be getting all the love especially coming off a blowout last night vs the T Wolves.  They have 3 days off after this game which I believe they are looking forward to that.  With Boston having two hard road games @ OKC and @ Spurs next I believe we see a big effort tonight

I see a blowout happening here tonight.  The Magic failed to show against Boston coming off that tough road trip and now are back on the road again.  The Hornets were nearly favored by this amount vs the Pistons who are way better than the Magic.  Magic are just flat out tired right now

I will back the Bulls here as I expect them to give a huge effort here tonight with the Spurs coming to town.  This will be the Spurs 3rd game in 4 nights and all on the road.  With the Bulls recent struggles it has created the value with this line as I think it should be around a PK.  Tony Parker is also very questionable and if he is out you will definitely see a big line move for the Bulls.  Grab the points now 

I like this Chiefs team here tonight as they continue to prove me wrong.  I feel the Raiders will be getting plenty of love, but this team is extremely lucky with that bad defense.  They made a crazy come back being down 20 + more points against the Bills.  It's also worth noting that the Chiefs already have had their way with the Raiders a few weeks back and I expect the same result here tonight 

I was really hoping for more points here with the Hawkeyes.  This is a fun rivalry game to watch as I expect a ton of threes and a high scoring affair here.  Neither team as of now have played much defense.  I'm always hesitant to take jump shooting teams on the road no matter what the situation is. This Hawkeyes team is very young, but I like what I have seen here recently from them as are getting more comfortable.  I will take the home dog here to slow the jump shooting Cyclones down 

NBA TOP PLAY!

I love the Clippers here in tonight's game as this will be a playoff type of setting.  The Warriors are coming off two huge blowouts, but I'm not buying much stock into those performances.  The Clippers just won @ the Cavs as point dogs and now are 4.5 underdogs @ home?  The Clippers have had two days rest as well which is very important.  You know Doc will have this team ready and I see the Clippers winning outright

I'm going to back Creighton here as most of you know I am very high on this team this year.  While this is a little rivalry and Nebraska is getting some respect,  I just dont see it here as the Huskers struggle to score.  Creighton is averaging nearly 91 ppg while Nebraska is just 69.  In order to stay with the Blue Jays you need to be a sharp shooting team and the Huskers aren't that at all.  I know this will also be a public play, but I thought this line would be around 8 so clearly the value IMO is with Creighton

I will take a chance here with Davidson as the Tarheels are missing their key player in Joel Berry tonight. He is the glue to this team and I see them missing him big time.  Davidson has more than enough players here and have great shooters as they have showcased so far this season.  UNC obviously still has more talent, but asking to cover 16 is a ton of points without their best player

I will grab the Bucks here as I am very high on this team and they are now starting to play up to their potential.  This team should have beat the Spurs the other night, but failed to score the last minute and a half here.  Portland getting a lot of credit here due to their win over the Bulls, but I just don't see them having much interest here tonight.  The Bucks have won 5 of their last 7 with two losses coming to Raptors and Spurs.  I will gladly back the Bucks here as a short home favorite 

This is a play against TCU.  I don't believe they are anywhere near as good as their record is.  They have only had one true road game that was @ UNLV which is a very bad team and they struggled to win that.  SMU has played the likes of Pitt, Michigan @ USC, this team is tested and I see them blowing TCU out who is getting way to much respect.  

The books are obviously adjusting a lot due to the fact that Thomas is out for Boston.  Even though he is out I still really like this spot and value for Boston.  The Magic have won and covered 4 of their last 5, and 3 in a row including last night @ Wizards.  This is the Magic 3rd game in 4 nights with travel every day.  I see them coming out flat here tonight as they return home for their first home game after a 5 game road trip.  Don't let Thomas being out bother you others will step up. The Celtics are still the superior team

This Duke team is about to show everyone that they are the real deal.  I love this team, but the problem has been that their 3 stud freshman have all been hurt.  Well Bolden and Tatum are back and good luck stopping them.  This Gator team only big test was Gonzaga and they lost by 5 which was misleading considering the Zags shot over 50% from the field.  Odds makers will have to adjust big time going forward with a huge upgrade in this Duke team

I was against the Spurs last night in a game they should have lost and will be against them again tonight.  Coach Pop hates these back to back games and normally rest players.  I assume he will do the same here as they were in a tough battle last night.  The T Wolves have had two days off so they will be more than ready for this one.  

I see no problem for Illinois to blow this team out.  The markets haven't adjusted enough for Illinois as they have been playing very well as of late.  They just beat NC St in the Big 100/ ACC Challenge which I had and they just destroyed VCU on a neutral court.  IUPUI played @ Marquette gave up 104 in a blow out loss.  Thats all I need to know 

The Celtics are now healthy and it's starting to show.  They are 7-3 SU their L10 games and I feel the Rockets are being over valued here winning and covering 4 of their 5.  This Celtics team plays great defense and the Rockets simply play none.  This is also the Rockets first game back from a 5 game road trip so I expect them to be flat as well

This game took me a while to pull the trigger but I like the Bucks here.  This young team was won 4 in a row and have a ton of confidence right now.  They have only lost once at home by more than 6 points so far this season.  Spurs have a tough slate of games coming up and wouldn't be surprised to see them rest some guys tonight.  

I will back the Hawks here and yes I realize they have been struggling but this is the spot they end it tonight.  The Thunder will be playing their 2nd of a back to back while the Hawks had a much needed day off from two ugly performances.  No one will want any to do with them but jump on board tonight they win SU

I absolutely love the Steelers here as they are in a must win situation with their AFC North still up grabs.  I call this a must win because they have two hard road games up next which bringing in the 8-3 Giants I feel will motivate them.  The Giants are one of the luckiest teams in the NFL besides the Chiefs, Raiders and Lions.  They have only played one road game in the last 6 weeks and that was last week @ the terrible Browns.  Big Ben will tear this overrated defense a apart and I see a very easy victory here for the Steelers

I'm going to take another favorite here simply because their season is on the line.  The Cardinals sit 4-6 overall and still have chances at the playoffs, but that would require a win against the Redskins and I see them doing exactly that.  Cousins doesn't have his blanket Jordan Reed tomorrow which is a bigger loss than most people believe.  This Cardinals defense is still superior and I don't Cousins on the road at all.  

NCAAB PLAY OF THE DAY!

I'm not really sure how good this Marquette team is.  Looking back they blew out a bad Vanderbilt team and the two other quality teams they played they lost both of them.  I need to see more before I can back a team in a true road game.  Georgia has lost to both Clemson and Kansas, but were extremely competitive in both.  I look for the Bulldogs and their guards to take control on this game!

The Falcons simply have one of the best offenses in all of football and some could argue if not the best.  I don't trust in the Chiefs has they have been out gained in 5 of their last 6 games.  During those 6 games they havent played what I would consider an explosive offense.  The Chiefs defense is a strong unit no question, but I see their offense letting them down in a big way 

Packers have a ton of momentum right now as they won Monday night @ the Eagles.  I see that momentum carrying over here as the Vikings just lost Thursday night.  With that the Packers have a lot to play for here.  The Texans are one of the most overrated if not the most overrated teams in the league and there is absolutely no way they can keep up here with a determined Aaron Rodgers.

In some of my other statements regarding games this weekend,  I have mentioned I am fading what I consider the overrated teams in the NFL.  The Lions fit that description to a tee as they have been trailing every game heading into the 4th quarter.  Dont let that 7-4 record fool ya this team is not good at all as they just lost to the Texans on the road a few week back.  Take the Saints here in a blowout  

I believe the wrong team is favored here tonight.  Wisconsin QB is banged up and still isn't listed to go although I do expect him to play.  Penn St is on a roll here the last 8 games averaging over 40 ppg and their QB Trace McSorely is on fire as well with just 2 INT's dating back to Sept 24th.  I see Penn St pulling this one out

I do like this Wichita St team and they have played a tougher schedule no doubt.  I'm curious about this Colorado St team as they are coming off an impressive win @ Rival Colorado as 13.5 point underdogs.  I don't believe the markets are reacting toward that with them getting double digits @ home here.  This seems like a live dog

This is a short enough line here for me to back Baylor.  This team is simply the real deal and I have been very impressed with what they have been able to do so far.  They have by far played the tougher schedule.  Don't get me wrong Xavier is a quality team as well, but they haven't dealt with a team like this.  Baylor wins easily!

I like the Hawkeyes here to bounce back with a nice blowout performance today.  You could make the case that all of their losses have came to NCAA Tournament teams.  This is huge class relief here.  They are without stud freshman Tyler Cook, but I liked what I saw from the other younger guys in a tough game @ Notre Dame.  I see them running away here

Late add... simply to much value to pass up on with a team I feel is top 25 in West Virginia.  I believe they can create a lot of problems for Virginia here as they like to play a whole different type of pace, but I like WVU to really make a statement here

I will lay the 3.5 here as this lined as climbed a lot despite the Rockets beating the Warriors last night on the road.  Rockets gave everything they had last night in that double OT effort and now this is a very difficult spot.  The Nuggets are in the prime bounce back spot here as they laid an egg against the Heat and this is their final home game before a big road trip so you can expect a huge effort here.