I love the Ravens here in this spot coming off a tough loss vs Oakland.  The Ravens completely dominated that game out gaining Oakland by 151 yards.  Ravens have the best ranked defense right now in the NFL while the Redskins haven't faced a defense in the top 10.  Baltimore is also 3rd in the league in yardage differential while the Redskins are ranked 25th in the league.  Redskins were very lucky last week vs the Browns as they our gained by 80 yards and trailing in the 4th until Browns turned one over inside their redzone that lead to the come back.  Ravens roll here! 

I realize we are now weeks into the college football season, but do we actually know how good this Alabama team is?  Their only test was @ Ole Miss and they did win but were favored by 11 and failed to cover that game.  Arkansas getting 14 @ home in a night game I will gladly take.  They play a very similar type of game to Alabama and will be one of the few teams to have success running the ball against this Bama defense.  Austin Allen the razorbacks QB is the best in the SEC to me and I see him stepping up to the challenge here.  Taking care of the football is always a key, but it's extremely crucial when playing Alabama and he has done a great job of that this season.  Give me two TD's here

Texas Tech always get way too much love because of their pass happy offense.  I just don't believe they are a good team.  Losing to Arizona St on the road tells me you simply can't trust this team especially with their defense that doesn't show up ever.  Kansas St should have won last week vs West Virginia I did have them +2.5.  Kansas St has the best defense in the Big 12 and will get stops on the Raiders offense.  Tech won't be able to slow down Kansas St on offense either.  

CONFERENCE USA GAME OF THE MONTH!

Great value here with Marshall as most people will be over looking this game.  Marshall is a still a quality football team.  Their QB is finally back to full strength here as they were without him in the Louisville game.  Marshall has faced a lot tougher competition as I just mentioned in Louisville and last week vs Pitt which is a misleading final score that game was a lot close than what people realize.  They get big time relief here facing North Texas who is just terrible.  North Texas was 7 point underdogs to a awful SMU team @ home and lost by 13.  North Texas averages 328 total yards a game which is no good considering they have only played one tough team.  With Marshall's QB Litton back to full strength and a nice relief of the schedule I see them beating down North Texas.  

I am taking nothing away from Colorado as they are having a great season and it's a great story as well.  They have covered every game this season, but now odds makers have caught up to them.  Just go back two weeks where Colorado was a 14 point dog @ Oregon.  Well USC is clearly better than Oregon,but now are less than a TD dog.  Showing the odds makers have clearly adjusted for Colorado now.  I had USC last week in an easy blowout win over Arizona St.  USC should have a lot of motivation also after that thumping.  They are still in the hunt to win their side of the division.  They won't be taking Colorado lightly here.  Load up on the Trojans

Really like the Aggies here heading home for the first time since Sept 10th.  Tennessee to me is by far the most overrated team in the country.  They have had a ton of luck go their way literally every game so far and I expect that to change come Saturday.  The vols are in a tough spot here as well with Alabama coming to town next week.  They also can afford a loss as they own the tie breaker on their side of the division.  A&M is one of if not the most improved team in the country this year and I expect that defense to completely destroy the Vols offense which isn't up to par this year ranking worse than Florida and LSU.  The Aggies have best offense in the SEC and 13th overall in the country.  Tennessee will get down early and there won't be any luck on their side in trying to catch up this weekend

I'm gonna jump on board here with the Spartans this week as they are due  for a nice bounce back win.  They have lost two in a row and everyone backing off of them now.  BYU is a solid team but when you look at their schedule it by far has been the toughest stretch I can recall.  They have to be on fumes here especially after last weeks shoot out vs Toledo in which they were lucky to win giving up nearly 700 total yards!  This is a great bounce back opportunity here for Michigan St and I see them controlling the game vs BYU 

It seems like people have already forgot about what Central Michigan did to Oklahoma St.  Granted it was a weird set of circumstances, but they still went on the road and won.  Now they come off an ugly loss to Western Michigan, but lets not get to caught up in that as I turly believe Western Michigan is easily a top 20 team right now.  Ball St has played a very easy schedule to date and last week was a telling sign to me that they aren't very good.  They lost to a Northern Illinois team who was winless on the season and have looked just terrible.  They gave up over 600 total yards to that team!  CMU bounces back here after last week and blows Ball St out

I'm gonna back Tulsa here tonight as they will be pumped and ready for tonight despite playing SMU since they are coming off a bye week.  Tulsa outside of playing Ohio St has been putting up a ton of points scoring 45, 58, 48.  SMU has played Baylor & TCU and they struggled big time to score and that is very concerning to me since those teams have terrible defenses.  SMU is going to have to score at least 24 points, but they will be lucky to get that IMO.  Tulsa should have no problem scoring at will.  

There is no doubt who the better team is here tonight in Clemson, but will they cover this big line?  They are coming off the biggest game of the football season with a thrilling win over Louisville last Saturday.  It will definitely be hard for Clemson to match the intensity here tonight as they had in that game.  Boston College comes in with the #1 ranked overall defense in football right now.  Their offense has also improved a lot from last year.  Clemson will win this game but both defenses should hold their own.  Give me Boston College and the points here in a low scoring game  

Louisiana Tech is a very solid football and I actually believe they should be favored here tonight.  In week 1 if you recall they took Arkansas down to the wire only losing by 1 @ Arkansas.  They also lost @ Texas Tech and their high powered offense but managed to put up 45 points.  They is a must win game for them tonight as they have already lost a conference game to Mid Tenn St who is a good team, but they need this one as losing a second would end their conference title hopes.  They do a great job of taking care of the ball only having 1 turnover the last three games while WKU has struggled big time in that department having 6 their last 3 games.  WKU struggled @ Miami Oh who hasn't won a game yet.  I like LA Tech to pull this one off

The Steelers were embarrassed last week vs the Eagles who no one was giving credit to but they are deserving.  I'm not high on this Chiefs team right now even though coming off a blowout win according to the box score.  They were lucky to beat a bad San Diego team week 1 lost to a bad Texans team week 2, caused 8 turnovers last week vs Jets which is unheard of.  They still only managed 24 points off those turnovers.  The Jets had no problem moving the ball up and down the field all day on them.  If the Jets can do that imagine what the Steelers will do with their offense.  Also the Steelers get Bell their stud back at RB which is a huge upgrade.  Swallow the points here take the Steelers  

Afternoon Blowout!

So the Cardinals will be hungry for a win returning home after getting out played badly last week @ Buffalo.  They had 5 turnovers in that game which will clean up this week.  I also like how they responded after they lost in week 1 and came out to beat Tampa by 33.  The Rams are coming off back to back wins, but I'm still not buying them.   They shouldn't have won let alone over last week as Tampa missed FG's and then Winston was stripped and Rams took that back for a TD which was at least a 10 point swing.  The Rams are getting out gained by over 100 yards a game and that will catch up with them here tomorrow

NFL PLAY OF THE DAY!

This line is couldn't be ore off in my eye as I thought the Jets should be favored here.  It will scare the public away because of the jets 8 turnovers last weekend with 6 of them being INT's.  The most impressive part to me was that the Jets still have plenty of chances late to get back into the game and they actually out gained KC despite all of that.  Seattle is simply getting to much credit here.  Look at who they have played so far this season...Dolphins @Rams 49ers.  3 teams that don't really impress me.  In Seattle's only loss this season @ Rams what did they have a very hard time with?  The Rams DL because the Seahawks OL isn't very good.  The Jets have a great DL as well.  They will create a ton of pressure and Russell Wilson isn't 100% healthy either.  I see the Jets winning out right, let's take the points while we can I see this line dropping throughout the week

I believe this line says a lot about the oddsmakers think of the Falcons here.  Atlanta is coming off a huge national TV road win in fact back to back road wins.  They are on a short week here as well.  I simply wasn't very impressed with Atlanta even though I was on the wrong side of them Monday night.  The Falcons had two huge breaks and that was the deciding factor.  It started right out of the gate when the Saints fumbled punt inside the Falcons 10 and they scored to tie it up.  Then later Brees threw a pick 6 that was to seal the deal.  The Saints right now are easily a top 5 bottom team in the NFL.  Carolina's offense let them down committing 3 turnovers which was why they lost the game.  Their defense played out standing only giving up 211 total yards and just one TD.  Even with the 1-2 record Carolina is still the better team.  Matt Ryan won't have the luxury to to sit back do whatever he wants against this defense.  Falcons just 1-6 ATS L7 home games

LATE NIGHT BAILOUT!

The days of the Oregon Ducks being dominate are over.  We saw this happening last year and now it is in full effect.  After seeing them get dominated by a back up RS Fresh QB last week @ home there is no way I can back them.  They have been exposed and I expect Luke Falk to have a huge game against that terrible defense.  Washington St will be hungry for a victory here coming off a bye week.  I also question exactly where the heads are at for Oregon losing two in a row and they have a huge home game next vs Washington.  The Ducks defense simply can't be trusted and especially on the road facing a top caliber QB.

This is another game where the betting public will love the Sun Devils here as USC is just 1-3 to start the year.  Let's look at who they have played though.  Neutral field vs Bama @ Stanford and @ Utah.. those are 3 very hard games and in fact ASU would have the same record if playing them.  ASU is not impressive to me at all so far.  They have been very lucky 3 weeks in a row dating back to Texas Tech played awful @ UTSA winning by just 4.  They were very lucky last week vs Cal as well returning a late onside kick for a TD as they were outplayed in that game.  Their defense you simply cant trust.  USC season is on the line here and they will be hungry for a win.  Their defense is a lot better and I don't see USC being stopped at all by ASU 

The betting public will love them some Lamar Jackson and Louisville here as short favorites.  They have been covering machines in blowing teams out.  Clemson is a whole different animal and especially in Death Valley @ night.  Clemson IMO has actually gone under the radar since they haven't looked the greatest this year.  A major thing will be is that their defense is easily top 5 in the country.  If Lamar tries to escape he is going to have to earn every yard.  To me Clemson hasn't shown much because they had this one circled from the get go and knew they could just play average against their first few opponents.  Clemson very rarely losses @ home in fact they have won 18 straight and I see them making it 19 Saturday night

Oklahoma is having a bad start to the season, but both losses came out of conference and they do still have the conference championship to play for.  After coming off a well needed bye week I expect the Sooners to be very motivated here.  TCU hasn't impressed me at all this year and their defense is very suspect.  The Sooners will wear them down on the ground.  TCU already played a team that likes to run in Arkansas and they lost @ home as 10 point favorites. 

Most people will be jumping all over Wisconsin here as they believe this line is way too many points.  Well let's look back here @ week 1 Wisky beat LSU can we say that was an impressive win? No way Lsu was very overrated.  Let's look @ the win last week @ Sparty.  Give them credit on winning these games but obviously ND isn't as good as we thought and Sparty came off a win over them.  Michigan is a whole different animal.  The back up QB for Wisky will be challenged big time as Michigan as a great defense and will bring the pressure all day.  Wisconsin has also never seen an offense like them as well.  Michigan rolls here! 

Wrong Team Favored!

I backed West Virginia last week in a very bad loss as they fumbled on the 2 yard line getting ready to cover.  I wasn't impressed at all with them in that spot.  They struggled big time with BYU and have struggled all year stopping the run.  Kansas St and Bill Snyder will have a plan to attack that weak defense.  KST is also very well rested only playing a half last week.  They also played @ Stanford in week 1 and I was impressed with their performance in that game given the situation and hype with Stanford.  Bill Snyder as a do is a great coach and I see them winning out right.  Will take the points here since they are on the road though

Really like the spot here for Oregon St catching this many points.  Colorado coming off a huge underdog win @ Oregon and now are a heavy favorite @ home?  The line move here from a week is too much to pass with the Beavers.  Colorado will get a lot of love as well since they have covered in every game so far.  Colorado also has @ USC next week being in a big sandwich spot here.  I'm gonna take the Beavers and all these points here as I see them scoring in the 20's and covering this big line 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE MONTH!

I love the value here with Washington this Friday night on a huge stage taking on Stanford.  Stanford was extremely lucky last week not only to win the game, but to also cover in one of the worst beats I have seen.  The public simply won't back off Stanford since they did cover and most don't actually realize how good this Washington football team is.  Stanford is really struggling on offense this year as they haven't even scored 30 points once yet.  Burns is clearly no threat @ QB for Stanford.  The Cardinals rank 109th in total offense while the Huskies rank 26th in total defense.  I also give the coaching edge to Chris Petersen here over David Shaw.  Washington has had this game circled from day 1 knowing that this on a national stage will elevate them into the conversation.  Washington will contain McCafferey here and I expect them to give the defense of the Cardinals fits as they haven't seen an offense like this yet.  Jake Browning the Huskies QB just wait until you watch him that's all I will say 

I realize this is a huge number to lay, but Houston is on a mission this year.  Last week they went on the road @ Texas St and won 64-3 out gaining them by over 400 yards.  Tom Herman their coach knows that if they want to be in the playoffs which they have a great shot at now they need all the blowouts possible.  I see another coming here as UConn struggles big time of offense ranking 102nd in the country and that is playing an easy schedule so far.  They also struggle against the pass and haven't played anywhere near an explosive team like this.  Plain & Simple I see an easy route here on the national stage for Houston as they continue to make a statement.  

MNF ODDSMAKER ERROR

The Saints could arguably be 2-0 right now with a couple close losses to start the season.  They will be out for blood tonight against their division rival.  Matt Ryan has struggled @ the Dome going just 1-4 ATS L5 games there.  The Saints committed 5 turnovers @ the Giants and still only lost by 6 which is a positive to stay in the game despite the turnover battle.  I see Brees leading the Saints here to a victory tonight avoiding the dreaded 0-3 mark 

The Colts season is on the line here as they take on the Chargers.  Going 0-3 to start the season in the NFL pretty much means your season is over.  The Colts are being extremely under valued here as they didnt cover last week, but they should with a late fumble recovery for a TD.  The Chargers had a blowout win over the Jags but have lost key pieces like Allen and now Danny Woodhead.  Rivers will struggle with guys who he is not familiar with.  I see the Colts pulling this one out

NFC GAME OF THE MONTH!

The Bucs return home as they were in a terrible spot last week @ the Cardinals who were coming of a bad loss in week 1 vs the Patriots.  People are forgetting how good the Bucs were in week 1 themselves vs the Falcons.  This will actually be the Bucs first home game and are in a great spot catching the Rams off a win vs the Seahawks.  Teams that beat Seattle and travel on the road the next week are set up for failure.  The Bucs will have no problem getting up early and the Rams simply cant play catch up as their offense is awful 

AFC GAME OF THE MONTH!

I love the value here with the Titans who are coming off a big win @ Detroit last week.  The Raiders are very fortunate to be 1-1 after they had a very lucky come back @ Saints in week 1 due to a very bad penalty call.  The key here is the Raiders defense is absolutely horrible giving up over 500 total yards in back to back games which is the first time since 1967 that has happened.  They are still getting a lot of credit because of their pre season hype.  It will all come to an end tomorrow.  The Titans defense is unreal and they are looking like the most improved team so far.  They are getting much respect right now but after they win tomorrow people will start taking notice 

The Broncos enter this game 2-0 but both those wins came @ home and while I do love their defense I don't love this spot at all for them.  This will be their QB's Trevor Siemian first road start and the Bengals defense is nasty as well.  With Denver also covering the first two games the public will be all over them getting the points.  To me this is just untested waters here for Trevor and will take a shot against him with a very good home team in the Bengals.  

This is a similar spot to the Colts as the Jags are 0-2 and were expected to be a team on the rise.  Well right now a lot of people are probably writing them off again, but I really like this spot for them coming home off a blowout loss.  People are forgetting that the jags played the Packers down to the wire in week 1.  I haven't been impressed at all with the Ravens who have beat the Bills who haven't won a game and a big comeback against the Browns who are the worst team in football.  The Jags will get their first win

With Cal coming off a very huge win for their program in upsetting Texas.  I see ASU getting the best of them here tonight.  Cal has a terrible defense plain and simple and ASU has already beat a team like Cal in Texas Tech.  ASU has the better D and will be able to provide a few stops and cover this small number.

This line has went up so much and crossed key numbers you simply have to take it now.  Louisville is in the toughest spot a team could be in with coming off huge win over Florida St and doing it in blowout fashion.  Next week Louisville has Clemson on deck so clearly they won't have as much intensity here and Marshall will be pulling out all their tricks here.  Marshall will be able to put some points on the board here I see them keeping it within 4 TD's.  

Nebraska is getting a lot of respect here to all of the sudden being able to win by possible double digits on the road?  I will pay to see it.  Just two weeks ago this team was only up 7 vs Wyoming going into the 4th until their QB wet the bed.  I'm not very high on Oregon this year so beating them on your home field isn't worth much to me as years past.  This series has been very close over the years as well.  With two road games looming for Northwestern I expect nothing short of a max effort here to get back to 500 as they will be dogs @ Iowa and @ Michigan St.  I also don't trust Armstrong on the road here.  If Nebraska wins this by double digits they are way better than I think they are.  

To many people are writing off Tennessee here IMO.  I was against them last week in an easy cover with Ohio.  The Vols simply didn't care about that game as they have had this one circled.  Sure Florida is 3-0, but they have beat absolutely no one hard and this is also their first road test.  They lost their starting QB in Del Rio last week and this is a very tough spot for a back up coming into this game.  Florida has a good defense but numbers are very off considering who they have played so far.  Tennessee ends their drought in a big statement game here

Really like the spot here for West Virginia catching BYU traveling from west coast to east coast.  BYU has had some really hard fought games with UCLA Arizona & Utah to start, now they travel across country and face a West Virginia team who is well rested coming off a bye week.  While this may look like a lot of points because BYU has played really close games so far I just believe they are worn out here and are catching WVU at the wrong time

BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH!

I was way wrong on Michigan St last week and will gladly back them here at a short price over the Badgers.  Wisconsin is still getting a lot of credit I feel from their week 1 win over LSU.  So far from what we have seen from LSU I am not sold at all.  Wisconsin while they probably were looking ahead they really struggled to put Georgia Southern away last week.  Their stud RB Clement still hasn't got the go ahead sign they haven't named a starting QB and good chance go with the freshman on the road very dangerous.  

This is simply way too many points here for Alabama to lay coming off a thrilling win over Ole Miss last week.  Bama will play their 2nd string most of the game.  While I know their 2nd string is better than most teams still.  I see them just running the ball a lot and trying to get out of this game with no injuries.  Kent St lost by 20 @ Penn St and while I know Bama is way better then Penn St I doubt they are 24 more points better.  I see Kent St scoring double digits which will give them the cover here

FRIDAY NIGHT BLOW OUT!

I have no problem backing Wyoming on the road here as a short priced favorite over Eastern Michigan.  EMU only out gained Charlotte by 11 yards last week despite forcing 3 turnovers.  Their win by 18 is very misleading to me.  They have really struggled stopping the run and that is what Wyoimng does best.  Wyoming was with in 7 @ Nebraska two weeks ago going into the 4th quarter.  EMU tough road test was @ Missouri in which they were blown out.  

I'm not very high on the Texans this year and they are getting two much credit for winning two home games against the Bears and the Chiefs.  Neither one of those teams have looked very good therefore I don't know how good or bad Houston is right now.  I simply don't trust Brock Osweiler in this big time game here.  I do know one thing and that is to never under estimate Bill Belichick as we all witnessed what happened week 1 Sunday night @ Arizona.  I realize Jimmy is probably out for the game.  I see the Patriots some how some way pulling this one off.  Jacoby Brissett is more than capable he wasn't a scrub in college @ NC ST.  Belichick will have a perfect game plan for him and Bill is also 11-3 ATS as a home underdog.

I'm really not sure what to think of Clemson right now and don't think you can back them from what we have seen.  Their only road test was @ Auburn who might be a little better than Tech but not by much and they only won by 6.  Georgia Tech is a difficult team to prepare for with the spread option look and with this being a short week makes it a little tougher as well.  Also throw in the fact that next week will be Clemson's biggest game of the year when they host Louisville.  I was really impressed with what Tech did last week to a pretty good defense in Vanderbilt running for 289 and passing for 222.  Tech's defense while I know the opponents aren't the greatest so far the most they had given up is 352 total yards that is very impressive.  I'm gonna take the points here in this situation as Clemson needs to show me something before I can back them.

NFL MONDAY NIGHT TOP PLAY!

Really like the value here with the Bears returning home after losing @ Texans last week.  The Bears can't afford won't start out 0-2 on the season.  I do believe the Bears are improved from last year and we will see that first hand Monday Night.  The Eagles are getting way to much respect here.  A lot of people are on the Carson Wentz band wagon already.  While he did look good in Week 1 please consider that was against the Browns who are awful and @ home where he is comfortable.  Now he is on the road and playing in the bright lights.  I will take my chances against him here and go with the Bears.  I really Chicago here.

This may seem like a big line to the eye because of Andrew Luck being the QB, but it is this high for a reason.  The Colts are flat out not very good and are extremely bad on defense.  They are very banged up in the secondary as that was evident last week vs the Lions.  The Broncos have had a few extra days playing the Thursday night game and they won't be taking this lightly.  Denver will have no problem moving the ball up and down the field on a very bad defense 

This is quite frankly a huge over reaction to last Monday night where the Rams looked awful.  However, the Seahawks didn't look any better last week vs the Dolphins as they actually should have lost the game straight up.  They have problems with their offensive line and that plays into the strong suit of the Rams with their defensive line.  I see the Rams responding in a big way here vs their division rival in which they have had success against.  

Even though the Steelers are without Bell their stud RB I expect a big performance from them tomorrow.  If you do remember last year in the playoffs WR Brown took a cheap shot last year and really caused a lot of controversy.  The Steelers simply haven't forgotten about that and I expect not let up here.  Another thing to consider is that the Bengals were extremely lucky to escape @ Jets with a win last week.  I don't see the same luck here in another road game which last week is playing into this line. 

We are getting a respectable line here with the Redskins because they were blown out vs the Steelers last Monday night.  Also the Cowboys played the Giants very close losing by one point.  However, I need to see more from Dak who is getting a lot of respect, but stats were inflated because of dink and dunk passes.  This will be a much greater test for them on the road and I dont see the Redskins who were a playoff team last year losing back to back home games to start the season.  

The Lions are getting a lot of credit here because they went on the road and won @ the Colts.  While an road win in the NFL is good the Colts defense is just so bad.  The Titans had that game vs the Vikings last week in the bag but Mariota made two bone head plays giving touchdowns to the Vikings defense.  I expect a better performance from him today and the Titans defense is a lot better than Indy

BYU comes into this game losing a very tough one to rival Utah by one point 19-20.  UCLA I was against week 1 and won was for them last week and they didn't cover.  They were only up by 7 entering the 4th against UNLV as 27.5 point favorites.  Josh Rosen their stud QB isn't off to a great start right now either throwing 4 INT's in two games.  UCLA has problems to me stopping the run which BYU will take full advantage of.  UCLA gave up 203 to Texas AM and 175 to UNLV.  Not something I like to see especially facing a mobile QB in Hill for BYU.  BYU will be extra motivated here as well to get revenge on last years 1 point loss @ UCLA.

NCAAF PLAY OF THE WEEK!

This line to most especially the public will have them running to place tickets on the Spartans who is the higher ranked team here catching points and in fact over a TD.  I am really down on Sparty this year and their first game while most will say they have no interest I get, but they played awful as 39 point favorites.  I realize they get Davis back their stud on defense, but they need a lot more of him to stop ND.  Notre Dame is really good and I like them even more now from what has taken place in the BIG 12.  ND played @ Texas week 1 and played extremely well losing in double OT.  Texas is looking like the best team in the conference and they needed an comeback late against ND.  ND will be ready here as there is no love loss between the coaches here.  This line is high for a reason as Vegas isn't high on Sparty this year either.  

Here is another game off most people's radar but simply is to hard to pass up with this much value.  Texas St is coming off a bye week and they were extremely impressive in Week 1 winning @ Ohio as a 17 point underdog.  They put up a huge 56 points in that game.  Arkansas is coming off a great win themselves as a 10 point underdog on the road @ TCU.  That is creating big time value here with Texas St.  Arkansas I picture just walking through the motions here as they start conference play next week and there is no motivation here to blow them out.  I'm also not sure they score enough anyways as TCU has a pathetic defense and Arkansas managed 41.  They will have to get to 50 points IMO if they want to cover.  Texas St will be able to move the ball against the Arkansas secondary.  I see Arkansas more focused on conference play and wanting to keep players healthy.  Like I said 0 motivation here to blow them out.

This line really caught me by surprise here.  WKU was favored by 19 over Rice week 1 @ home in an easy cover.  Rice is a terrible team period.  Now WKU is favored practically the same on road vs a lot better team in Miami Oh.  Also take note that WKU is coming off an hard fought game vs Alabama which takes a lot out of the players.  The motivation wont be near the same level this week.  Miami Oh lost last week as a 10 point fab to Eastern Illinois and that is why we are seeing a inflated line.  People are forgetting that when they played @ Iowa week 1 they actually out gained them and had more first downs.  It was the turnovers that cost them here.  This is a lot of points here and a great spot for Miami Oh who will be hungry for a win

We are truly seeing an over reaction in my eyes here due to the fact Tennessee end up beating Virginia Tech last week 45-24.  VA Tech shot themselves in the foot more than the Vols won that game.  The Hokies ended up committing 5 turnovers which is just a recipe for disaster.  VA Tech actually out gained Tennessee for the game by 70 yards.  Also take into consideration the fact that was a huge national game played at a race track in front of the most fans ever.  Now look what Tennessee has next week and that is their long hated rival in Florida which you know they are looking ahead to.  While I realize Ohio hasn't played great teams lets not let that fool us here in the MAC.  We saw what Central Michigan did last week @ Oklahoma St as a 17 point dog.. and Western Michigan winning @ Northwestern in week one.  Ohio is the 3rd best team to me and this is simply too many points.  Their defense has been impressive only giving up a total of 132 yards on the ground in their first two games and that is what the Vols do best.  I simply seeing Tennessee over looking Ohio here and they can score points as well.   

You simply can't back Arkansas St here as they have looked just flat out awful.  They were out gained by 290 to Toledo and 380 by Auburn.  They also have only managed to score 24 total points so far.  It's hard to expect a team to all of the sudden to wake up.  They also gave up an unheard of 462 yards on the ground last week vs Auburn.  Utah St will be hungry here coming off a blowout loss them selves, but they will have plenty of success going against a very bad Arkansas St team.  

THURSDAY NIGHT NFL WINNER!

The Jets really blew that game last week against the Bengals and I believe will bounce back here against the Bills who looked just pathetic on offense.  I would hate to say this is a must win game this early in the season for the Jets, but look at their next games.  @KC, Seattle, @Pitt, @AZ.  Those next four are just brutal and starting 0-2 would be impossible in my eyes to bounce back from and have playoff hopes.  The Jets will get some relief here on defense also as Dalton simply connected on some lucky deep balls to AJ at all the right times.  The Bills had just 65 yards rushing and 95 yards passing.  The line movement here is big time in our favor as the Bills opened as 3 point favorites.  Jets plain and simple can't afford a loss here.  They are the better team and I see the Bills struggling on offense again  

Matt Boyd takes the mound for the Tigers who are battling for a wild card berth right now.  They had a nice come back win last night and have the big edge on the mound.  Matt Boyd has pitched very well  @ home going 3-1 with a 3.35 ERA.  He also has pitched extremely well against the Twins for his career with a 2-0 record in three starts and an ERA of 2.50.  The Twins counter with Kyle Gibson who is really struggling lately with a 6.88 ERA and has had issues with the Tigers as well.  He has a 5.44 ERA in 9 starts.  Also the Tigers have owned the Twins this season going 11-2

I like the Redskins here tonight to open up Monday Night Football.  The Steelers are getting a lot of praise and they do deserve it especially on the offensive side of the ball.  However, they are without their stud RB in Bell and #2 WR in Bryant.  I think they will miss those guys more than what most people think.  Another thing is that I simply don't trust their defense.  Steelers were just 5-5 on the road last season.  Also the Redskins have all sorts of weapons on offense with Jackson Reed Garcon & Crowder.  Tomlin is just 5-13 ATS in the first month of the season @ Pitt.  

The Raiders are one of the hottest teams right now that everyone is in love with.  I do like the Raiders myself this season, but despite the poor season last year I expect a big turn around led by Drew Brees.  The Saints were just 7-9 last year which is the same as the Raiders, but both were viewed the exact opposite in people's eyes.  Derek Carr for the Raiders has struggled on the road and New Orleans is an extremely tough place to play especially right out of the gate.  He is just 4-12 on the road.  Also the Raiders passing defense wasn't very good and I see that being exposed today.

So the Vikings suffer the worst injury this off season to their stud QB Teddy Bridgewater and yet this line hasn't moved a wink.  Now with Dallas losing Romo we have seen as much as a 4 point swing and they have a better back up in Dak than the Vikings are starting in Shaun Hill today.  The Titans quietly had a very good defense last year ranking 18 against the rush and 7th against the pass.  The Titans now have one focus going into this game and that will be on Peterson.  The Titans have been active this off season trying to help out Marcus Mariota and I see him surprising a lot of people this year.  

Oddsmakers are really believing in a big bounce back here and maybe so, but I don't buy it when on a neutral field.  We all know how bad the SEC looked last week outside of Bama and Tennessee was extremely lucky to escape with a win in OT with their QB fumbling it at the goal line.  App St dominated 90% of that game.  Va Tech made a huge hire this off season in Justin Fuente.  They return a total of 14 starters and added the #1 ranked Junior College QB.  He is the key for the Hokies to pick up their offense from last year.  On defense they had the 19th best passing defense and return all of their secondary which I really like here because Dobbs looked bad to me in Week 1 vs a lot worse defense.  VA Tech can keep this close and wouldn't be surprised to see the upset 

BLOWOUT!

This is a big line but I was actually extremely impressed with UCLA last week.  I did pick Texas AM but UCLA played very tough despite their stud Josh Rosen throwing 3 picks.  I really expect him to have a monster bounce back game.  Rosen played @ UNLV last year and they were 33 point favorites and won 37-3.  UNLV returns just 6 on that defense and they only won 3 games last year.  I really think Coach Mora will want to get Rosen on track and will keep him in longer then most expect.  UCLA is 12-3 ATS L15 vs Mountain West. 

This play probably comes as a surprise to most, but I feel like Eastern Michigan will be the most improved team in the MAC.  Obviously lets face it they couldn't get much worse.  They return 15 starters and and actually didn't have a problem putting up last year, it was their defense that let me down big time.  Their rushing defense was horrible but with 8 starters back on defense they only let up 23 total rushing yards last week.  I know the opponent was bad, but last year they would have gave up over 100 easily.  Missouri played @ West Virginia week 1 and it was pretty much the same song and dance for them.  They flat out struggle to score only getting 11 points last week on a WVU defense I'm not to high on this year.  I see EMU being able to score around 20 which would mean Mizzou would have to get over 40 and they didn't do that once last year and in fact only scored one time in the 30's.  Missouri also welcomes Georgia next week @ home which is another huge look ahead game for them to start conference.  

I like a lot in this spot here.  This line is really confusing as I had this @ 10.  So I feel like we are getting extremely great value here.  Duke is coming in off a blowout win over NC Central in which they should do.  Wake Forest on the other hand comes into this game very lucky to be 1-0 as they couldn't even manage 200 total yards vs a Tulane team who was just awful last year and will be again this year.  Wake won that game 7-3.  Their offense failed to show any signs of improvements and have been dominated in this series as of late with Duke covering the L5 meetings.  Duke never gets enough credit and not sure why, but all signs point toward and easy victory for the Blue Devils this weekend!

EARLY KICKOFF UNDERDOG SPECIAL!

So last week Nebraska played a really bad team in Fresno St and were favored by 28.5 which I did have, but it came down very late as Nebraska picked one off and ended up covering for us.  Fresno St had a terrible defense last year and only returned 4 starters from that team which shows they are still awful.  With Nebraska covering that is creating the value here with Wyoming who I was very impressed with beating a top team in the MAC in Northern Illinois.  We saw what another top MAC school did Western Michigan to Northwestern as just 6 pt dogs last week.  Wyoming was 7 point underdogs and they racked up 242 on the ground and 245 in the air.  Another key here is that Nebraska has Oregon coming to town next week which is a huge look ahead game for them.  I see Wyoming playing with a ton of confidence after that win and being able to cover this big number 

I like the value with the Orange tonight as they take on a very good Louisville team.  First, Cuse welcomes a new coach in Dino Babers who comes over from Bowling Green and a very up tempo system.  That was evident in their first game against Colgate.  I realize Colgate is nothing to write home bout but they threw for 437 and ran for another 117.  The ACC isn't like the Pac 12 where they run these types of offenses and not that Louisville isn't good enough to handle them but I expect some trouble early for them just dealing with the pace.  Also Cuse returns 15 starters and I really like QB Eric Dungey entering his sophomore season.  The were very competitive @ home last season most remember them blowing a late really late against highly ranked LSU @ the time and they also only lost to Clemson by 10.  Another key here is that Louisville has rival Florida St coming to their place next week and we all know they are looking more forward to that one than this game tonight.  Give me the 15 here!

The defending Super Bowl champions are not favored on their own field.  This has to be a first time for that to happen.  Panthers are clearly being way over valued due to Cam Newton being the main reason.  I feel like the Panthers were extremely luck last year and look for them to struggle this year.  We all remember how bad Came struggled against the Broncos D in the Super Bowl.  I see the same thing happening this time around.  Broncos defense is still easily a TOP 5 defense in the league.  Also the coach for Denver are raving about Trevor Siemian and have no reason not to expect some good things.  There is simply to much value to pass on Denver here.  

I like Florida St here tomorrow night for several reason.  First, after watching the SEC this past weekend who can say they are impressed with anyone outside of Bama.  Ole Miss is getting a lot of respect because have had some great teams lately, but I really look for them to come back down to earth this season with only 5 returning starters on defense.  Also Vegas set their O/U win total @ 8 so even they don't believe they are worth their preseason ranking.  Florida St to me has the chance even with freshman QB Deondre Francois to win it all.  He will be protected by a very veteran line and most importantly IMO the best RB in college football in Dalvin Cook.  Also I simply don't trust Chad Kelly Ole Miss QB,  his decision making is extremely questionable and will arguably be playing against the best secondary in all of college football.  

This is a game where Texas is looking for revenge from their awful beat down last year @ South Bend.  This is now the third year under Coach Strong and he needs a statement win big time after a very poor 5-7 last year.  I fully expect Texas to compete for the Big title even before the loss to Oklahoma yesterday.  Strong now has his guys in place on both sides of the ball.  Their new offense will be a major upgrade and also a lot of people are very excited about freshman QB Shane Buechele.  

Notre Dame I do feel like will be good this year but they do only have 8 total starters back.  We all know the recent news as well with Notre Dame and I see that being a big distraction tonight.  Notre Dame lost a ton of talent and play makers on the defensive side of the ball and I just see that taking time to all come together.  While I do believe Notre Dame will be a good team come seasons end.  For this spot this is just t great of value to pass up and I feel it should be more of a pick em 

Many people may look at this and think wow this is a huge line for Nebraska, but if most of you remember they were on the wrong side of a lot of games.  In fact, four losses were by 3 or fewer points and one of those were a hail mary in which BYU beat them in week 1.  I expect a big bounce back from the Cornhuskers this year.  They will control this game from start to finish as Fresno St simply brings nothing to the table.  

Fresno St ranked 102 in total defense last year and only bring back 4 starters from that team.  They also only won 3 games the entire year and only 2 were against division 1 teams.  Their offense was nothing to write home about either as they ranked 107th in scoring.  They are simply out matched here and will wear down as the game goes along.

Georgia to me is being undervalued here for a team with finished 10-3 and return a total of 13 starters.  More importantly they get Nick Chubb back at RB who is a top 5 RB easily in the country.  This is a "neutral field" game, but is played in the Georgia dome.  That is why we are seeing a low line.  

North Carolina returns 13 as well from a team that went 11-3 and was a great season for them.  However, I feel that is also why the line is so low because of their success.  They did lose their QB.  They were a great offensive team take nothing away, but with a new QB and going against the best secondary in the country won't add up.  North Carolina also struggled big time against the run ranking 122nd in the country.  

The Bulldogs will be fired up with their new coach and Chubb will be ready to roll!

Texas A&M simply isn't getting enough respect here playing on their home field which is a very tough stadium.  The Aggies had a down year and really struggled against the run last year.  They do return 6 starters on both offense and defense.  They also bring in two big time Oklahoma transfers in Trevor Knight (QB) and Keith Ford (RB).  Sure they weren't starters last year for this team, but these guys are more than proven!  

UCLA comes in with a lot of hype but most of this is based of their ranking alone and also their QB Josh Rosen.  While I do love Rosen as a QB he is just one of 4 starters returning on offense.  When looking back at last year's results they did nothing special either.  They do return 8 on defense but did struggle big time on that side of the ball.

The Aggies will be out for this game as Sumlin knows this is very important first game @ home following a poor season.  I really expect the Aggies behind Knight to play well and get the job done

I was really surprised to see this line that low.  Stanford is coming off a terrific season which every knows about.  They return star player and many consider front runner for the Heisman Christian McCaffrey.  Stanford does only return 9 total starters from last year's team with the huge question mark coming at QB.  Ryan Burns will get the nod at QB for the Cardinals.  While he doesn't have much experience he does have a great coach and obviously a great QB to learn from the past season in Hogan.  Plus with a guy like McCaffrey he makes the QB job a lot easier.  Also go back to last year when Stanford lost their home opener @ Northwestern.  They will be ready for this game.

I know the saying always take coach Snyder as a dog and he does have great numbers being an underdog, but I feel like he is starting to lose it.  Look at last year with Kansas St and I realize some injuries a long the way but 113 in total offense and 106 in total defense.  They also only return 9 total starters. They won 3 conference games and two of them were very lucky in beating Iowa St by 3 and West Virginia by 1.  Jesse Ertz comes back after an ACL at QB which is an upgrade for them, but how successful will they be moving the ball I don't see it.  Stanford is to explosive and when they get out to an early lead K St can't play catch up.  

COLLEGE FOOTBALL IS BACK!!!!

I have no problem backing Vanderbilt here tonight vs South Carolina.  Both teams are coming off disappointing seasons, but I look for Vandy to have a nice step forward this season.  Vandy was very strong on defense last year ranking 28th in total defense and the great news is they return 7 starters on that side of the ball.  When QB Kyle Shuurmur started 5 of the last six games for the Commodores I was impressed with him as he was only a freshman.  He now has the experience needed to pick it from the start this year.

Looking at South Carolina they are simply getting respect because of their name and the fact they have owned Vanderbilt.  However, I view them as the worst team in the SEC this year.  They return 3 offensive starters from a team ranked 99th offensively last year.  Hard seeing them improve in that area.  Also they are under first year head coach Will Muschamp who I am not in favor at all as he simply hasn't proven much to be a successful head coach.  The defensive side doesn't look much better as they ranked the worst in the SEC last year and only return 5 starters.  I see them struggling all year long.  

Take Vanderbilt swallow the 4! 

The Tigers had a nice come back last night and I look for them carry that over to tonight as they continue to fight for a playoff spot.  Daniel Norris is taking the mound for the Tigers and he has been pretty solid for them in just 7 starts.  His ERA for the season is 3.74.  The Tigers have owned the White Sox this season going 6-1 against them.  Also Norris has pitched very well in two career games vs the White Sox not giving up a run in 10 innings.  Ranaudo has struggled big time in his 3 starts this season with a 7.87 ERA.  His best start was giving up 3 runs so I see no problem for the Tigers scoring here.  

We are getting excellent value here with the Tigers who will be looking for a win today as they were upset big time yesterday.  While Sanchez numbers don't look all that great his last two starts show me he is trending in the right direction.  He has gone 14 innings his last two only giving up 3 including a shutout vs the Royals.  Skaggs for the Angels has been throwing batting practice lately with a 10.95 ERA his last three starts.  Plain and simple the Tigers can't afford to lose back to back games to a team like the Angels especially this late in the season.  

MLB RL BLOWOUT!

I was on the Nationals last night in a very disappointing loss, but did show a lot of heart coming back scoring 5 in the bottom of the 9th.  Tonight they will have Max Scherzer on the mound who has an ERA of 3.05 on the season and has been even better @ home with a 2.60 ERA.  Ublado Jimenez is the Orioles worst starter as he is 1-6 on the road this season with a 7.91 ERA.  He recent form is worse with a 10.13 ERA his last three starts.  I look for the Nationals to be extremely motivated here to avoid the dreaded 4 game sweep. 

MLB RL BLOWOUT!

YU Darvish takes the mound tonight for the Rangers who had a great comeback last night in the 10th inning and I look for that momentum to carry over here tonight and for them to sweep the A's.  Darvish is 3-0 @ home with a 2.86 in 5 games and is facing Sean Manaea who is 0-4in six road road starts with a 6.88 ERA.  

Great value here to back the Cubs who lost yesterday and I expect a big come back here tonight with a huge advantage on the mound.  John Lackey is 6-4 @ home with a great ERA of 2.67.  Mike Leake for the Cardinals is in terrible form right now with a 9.00 ERA his last three starts.  Also, his road ERA is 5.02.

The Giants have a big advantage here tonight with their ace Madison Bumgarner.  He his nearly un hit able @ home with a 1.70 ERA.  Kevin Gausman is 0-8 on the road and I see the Giants bouncing back in a big way here tonight.

MLB RL BLOWOUT!

The Indians will send their ace Corey Kluber to the mound tonight despite his 11-8 record he has been rock solid.  His home ERA is 2.95 and has been in great form lately with a 2.05 ERA.  He will be going up against the Angels who have now lost 6 in a row and won't be any easier tonight.  Jhoulys Chacin taking the mound is 1-5 on the road and is in awful form with a 11.11 ERA his last three starts.  The Indians should have no problem blowing them out tonight

Really like the value here with Porcello taking the mound for the Red Sox on the RL!  Porcello is a perfect 10-0 @ home with a 3.23 ERA while Luis Severino is making is first start in nearly 3 months.  He is also 0-6 on the year with an ERA over 7.  I see no reason for the Red Sox to have their way with him

LATE NIGHT RL BLOWOUT!

This will be Felix Hernandez 4th start back from injury and his last one was very promising @ the Cubs going 5 innings and only giving up 2 runs.  He has pitched very well @ home with a 3.26 ERA on the season.  Tim Lincecum has been absolutely terrible with a 8.49 ERA on the season and a 11.92 ERA his last three starts 

This is just too good of value to pass up here with the Twins taking the first two games of this series in blowout fashion I expect them to come back to earth tonight with Tyler Duffy taking the mound who has an ERA of 13.51 his last three starts.  Trevor Bauer owns a 3.69 ERA on the season and a 3.61 in 8 home starts.  The Indians can't afford to keep slipping here and the won't with big road series @ Yankees and @ Nationals coming up 

I really like the value here with the Indians on the RL.  Danny Salazar is having a a terrific year with a 11-3 record and 2.89 ERA on the season.  He has pitched very well @ home as well with a 5-1 record and 3.10 ERA.  Jose Berrios is in a tough spot here tonight as this will be his first game back in 2.5 months.  In his two road starts his ERA is 13.50.  The Twins are a terrible road team with a 17-32 record.  Also the Indians score a ton of runs @ home averaging 5.7.  

MLB RL GAME OF THE MONTH!

The Cubs lost the first two games of this series @ the White Sox and will be extra motivated here to get one back tonight.  They have a huge edge on the mound here with Jason Hammel who is 4-1 @ home with a 2.70 ERA.  The Cubs offense has been held to 4 total runs in the first two games and are due to explode here tonight with Anthony Ranaudo making his first start this year.  He has never faced the Cubs which I look for them to capitalize on 

I see the Blue Jays continuing to roll here with Stroman coming off a great performance.  Andrew Cashner has been brutal on the road going 0-4 this year with a 6.59 ERA

The Astros are the hottest team in baseball right now.  Only 2.5 back of the Rangers.  Dallas Keuchel sure had his struggles early, but has now turned the corner with a 3.86 ERA @ home and a 2.33 ERA his last three starts.  He has also owned the Yankees in 5 starts going 4-1 with a 1.22 ERA.

Great value here to back the Orioles who are coming off a nice sweep over the Indians and are playing with a lot of confidence right now.  The Rockies send out Jorge De La Rosa who is just terrible all season long.  His ERA is 6.68 his Road ERA is 6.50 and his last three starts it's 6.35.  Gallardo pitches well at home as he has a 3.54 ERA.  Orioles win in dominating fashion 

The Red Sox bats heated up in a big way last night scoring 11 runs on 16 hits.  I look for that to carry over here tonight with Steven Wright on the mound who is 6-1 @ home with a 3.49 ERA.  Wright is also 1-0 in two career starts with a 2.03 ERA vs the Twins.

TOP RL PLAY!

I really like the value here with the Red Sox tonight and Ric Porcello taking the mound.  Porcello is having a terrific year with a 11-2 record and a 3.66 ERA.  He is also a perfect 8-0 @ home this season.  The Giants came out of All Star break with a terrible series in getting swept by the Padres.  The Red Sox nearly swept their rival Yankees @ New York.  Jake Peavy is taking the mound for the Giants who has really struggled on the road with a 1-5 record and a 6.41 ERA.  

I realize Matt Boyd has been struggling, but I am gonna give him a pass because they were all on the road.  In his two home starts his ERA is more than respectable at 3.86.  Ricky Nolasco is nothing special for the Twins having a 5.22 ERA on the season and 6.62 ERA his last three starts.  Tigers are 6-0 vs the Twins this season and will make it 7-0 tonight!

The Bluejays are really starting to heat back up here before All Star Break winning 6 in a row.  I see them having no issue tonight who will send Mike Pelfrey to the mound is 0-5 on the road and has a 5.42 ERA on the season.  JA Happ is 11-3 with a 3.54 ERA on the season and is 6-1 @ home

MLB BLOWOUT!

The Giants will be very motivated tonight to not lose back to back games with their #1 and #2 pitchers against the Rockies.  Johnny Cueto is a league best 12-1 and has a 2.58 ERA on the season.  In his two starts against he Rockies  this year he as only gave up 1 earned run in 14 innings.  The Rockies counter will Jorge De La Rosa who has pitched better as of late, but to be honest he couldn't have done any worse.  His road ERA is terrible @ 8.22.  I see the Giants teeing off here tonight 

I like the value here on the RL with the red hot Indians.  Carlos Carrasco is having a terrific year and has been dominating lately.  His last three starts his ERA is 1.14.  The Tigers will send out their worst starter in Sanchez who has been just awful with a 3-7 record and a 6.71 ERA.  The Indians red hot bats will have no problem teeing off on him

With Julio Urias taking the mound he is just getting better each start.  He has a  ERA his last three starts which the team won all of them.  He is also better @ home with a 1.93 ERA.  Gallardo has really struggled on the road with a 7.58 ERA.

Last time I picked against Archer and would be looking to fade him for a while, but the value is just to great here on the RL.  We all know Archer isn't having his best season by any means but he is still way better than Mike Pelfrey going today for the Tigers.  Pelfrey has been getting hit hard having an ERA of 7.72 his last three starts.  He is also 0-5 on the road.  The Rays will be extra motivated to not get swept here and Archer does have a very good home ERA @ 3.00.  

MLB RL Game Of The Month

The Cardianls fired back after losing Game 1 and I expect that to carry over as they are now home and have a big advantage on the mound tonight. Carlos Martinez has been nearly impossible to hit his last three starts with a .81 ERA.  His counter part Edison Volquez has really struggled all year with a 5.24 ERA in 16.  His road ERA is 7.09 and his last three starts his ERA is 10.05!  Cardinals should have no problems putting up runs early and often!

GAME 7 FINAL TOP PLAY!

First, I want to thank everyone for the support this season it has been a great NBA run the whole year!  Let's go out with a bang!!

The Cavs are now getting credit since they have pushed this to Game 7.  However this is a similar situation to Game 6 where the Cavs were coming off a home loss in Game 4.  The Warriors lost Game 5 @ home and I don't see them losing two in a row in that building.  Let's also remember Draymond was out that game which was huge for the Cavs and LeBron took full advantage.  Let's also remember Games 1 & 2 where the Warriors absolutely dominated both of those games.  I see that happening tomorrow night.  This team will go down as having the best NBA season ever! 

I really think the Cavs get it done here tonight to force a game 7.  Cavs have lost one game all playoffs long @ home and that was the last time they played.  I don't see them losing tonight and definitely don't see them losing two in a row @ home.  LeBron will be on a mission here tonight and I expect Kyrie to keep going from the outside.  Last game showed me this team still believes they can do it.