I don't trust this Thunder team on the road at all as most of you know.  They only have on road win the last 5 games.  The Kings will bounce back here after a hard fought loss to the Cavs 

The Packers are everyone's hot team but they suffered a huge blow last week losing Jordy Nelson.  This offense just isn't the same without him.  Also the Packers secondary is very banged up which is a huge red flag going against Dallas and their run game.  packers also have no one who can match up with dez on the outside 

I like the Buckeyes here today as this will only be their 2nd home conference game.  They have had a couple of close losses.  I'm just not sold on this Spartan team plain and simple.  I will gladly take the most desperate team 

These are by far the two best teams in the Missouri Valley this year and it's not even close.  The Shockers are getting a lot of respect here simply because of their name.  I actually believe that Illinois St should be favored in this match up.  This is a game Illinois St has had circled from the get go and you can expect a huge effort here from them tomorrow night.  I look for the so called "upset"

I love Illinois here tomorrow night against Maryland.  As most of you know by now I'm not high at all on this Maryland team.  Illinois two losses in conference both on road.  Maryland also blew Illinois out first game of conference play.  I had Iowa last night who got big revenge on Purdue after being blown out @ Purdue earlier.  Same situation applies here 

This line is one that probably smells the funniest throughout the day.  Utah is playing a lot better and that is the key here for me.  The reason for their better play is because they are now at full strength.  Obviously the betting public will be madly in love in the UCLA here.  Utah is an extremely difficult place to play and I look for them to pull the upset 

Great price here to back TCU who is 10-1 @ home.  I was against Iowa St in a loss for me @ Oklahoma St the other night.  They did rally from 6 down, but I don't think they can do that here.  TCU is one of the biggest surprises in all of college basketball this season.  Also a huge key here is that Iowa St has a massive look ahead on Big Monday with Kansas.  

This line is jumpin for a reason.  I missed the good opener but still like it here. The Falcons are wanting revenge from how the first game ended between these teams earlier in the season. The key for me is that the Falcons offense is absolutely rolling right now and the Seahawks clearly miss Earl Thomas who was their leader in the secondary. Seahawks will have a hard time stopping them

Baylor is sure in a rough spot here after being embarrassed @ WVU.  Will they respond after that beat down is the key here.  I think K St is one of the most underrated teams in the country as they could easily be undefeated in conference losing to Texas Tech by just 1 and @ Kansas by 2 in which should have been OT but refs didn't call a travel.   

This is a situational play here pretty plain and simple.  West Virginia is coming off a blowout win over #1 Baylor ad now travel to Texas.  They are getting a ton of respect here being favored by double digits.  Well, this is a brutal spot for them as the intensity won't be as high and they are due a for a let down.  Shaka will have his guys ready as they are due for a big win themselves. Not saying they pull the upset but double digit home dogs with talent are hard to pass up on 

Notre Dame comes into this game tied for the lead in conference coming off a big win which I was against and now are underdogs? Hmmm this is the perfect let down spot for them as Va Tech is very tough @ home already beating Duke very handily.  Notre Dame has a huge game on deck as well @ Florida St next who is tied with them for conference play.  

I realize Davidson doesn't have a great record to start the season, but this still a quality team.  We are getting a bonus here with Davidson due to the fact they haven't covered 5 straight and losing SU to Fordham as a 15 point favorite.  IMO they were clearly looking ahead to this game.  This is a do or die game for Davidson and I expect them to respond in this situation 

This Minnesota team is getting a lot of credit as they are ranked, but Penn St has been just as impressive to me.  This is a young team getting better as the season goes along with evidence of that last game vs Michigan St.  I think the Gophers will be looking forward to their home meeting come against Wisconsin as opposed to this game.  

I was on Miami the other night as they let one slip away against Notre Dame.  I will go against them here as Pitt has lost 3 of 4 and simply cant afford a home loss here at all.  Pitt did just upset Virginia @ home a few games ago.  I look fro Pitt to bounce back here 

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

The Hawks are quietly playing their best basketball right now winning 7 straight and 8 of 9.  This line is low because the Celtics have been playing well themselves.  This will be the Celtics 3rd game in 4 nights with travel everyday which is difficult.  The Hawks are extremely rested here as this will only be their 2nd game in 6 days

NBA UNDERDO!

Great value with the T Wolves here as I believe they should be favored.  T Wolves are playing a lot better right now and coming off an impressive performance against the Rockets.  I say it a lot but I don't trust this Thunder team on the road and I doubt they are very motivated in this spot either.

I believe most will grab Purdue here as they dominated Iowa in the Big Ten opener.  Iowa was just returning their stud Tyler Cook back from injury and Purdue hit 10 3's in the first half.  That won't happen again here tonight.  Iowa is young, but I really like how these guys have handled adversity.  Purdue could be sleep walking here knowing they just blew them out.  

This Cincinnati team is going way under the radar because of their style of play.  However, I really believe this a legit top 10 team.  This is a huge game for the Bearcats and they will be out to make a statement.  SMU lost true road game @ USC and Boise St both teams aren't as good as Cincy.  They were also very lucky to come away with a win @ Memphis as well.  

Big bounce back spot here for the Knicks.  We all know what happened last night as the Sixers hit a buzzer beater to beat them.  They will be ready for this game obviously with Rose playing his former team.  The Bulls are a team that has struggled big time on the road.  Knicks bounce back with a big effort 

This is a very big game here for Miami and I believe they will respond.  They are undefeated @ home on the season and are coming off a very ugly game @ Syracuse which they are due for a big bounce back.  They also have 3 straight road games after this so you know there has been extra focus here given that.  Notre Dame in their only recent road game were very lucky to win @ Pitt.  Everything points here to Miami 

I'm going against Iowa St here on the road.  They did play Baylor very tough in a loss but I think Baylor was looking ahead to their match up with West Virginia.  The Pokes have dropped 3 straight so you can expect a big effort coming here tonight.  I also dont trust Iowa St on the road because their defense a a huge liability.  

I'm gonna take Creighton here at a fairly short price @ home.  Butler is a quality team no doubt, but what is keeping this line low is because of their win over Nova last week.  Creighton will be ready for this as they have a huge home court advantage.  

I really believe the wrong team is favored in this game.  Michigan has failed to cover 4 straight games with their only conference win coming against Penn St and that was a nail bitter.  Illinois coming off a blowout loss to Indiana.  I just think Illinois should be -2 or -3 here @ home given Michigan hasn't proved much at all

This looks like a big number but the Wizards are absolutely horrible on the road with only 4 wins all year.  Both teams played last night, but the Celtics will be hungry as they let one slip away @ Toronto big time while the Wizards hung on against the Bulls.  Celtics respond in a big way 

I know going against the Rockets isn't wise but this T Wolves team let the first game slip away from them.  The Rockets did play last night so travel is an issue.  They also hit 17 3's in the first meeting which I expect to come down.  T Wolves will be the more motivated team here 

I fully expect this line to flip flop here for Texas.  TCU is getting a lot of credit because of their record alone.  I'm simply nut buying it.  TCU played an extremely weak non conference schedule to rack up those wins.  Texas has been playing very well as of late although it hasn't shown up in the win column.  This will pull this one out tonight 

This line is climbing and I'm not quite sure why.  South Carolina are frauds to me so ignore their 12-3 record.  Tennessee is playing a lot better they were in a tough spot after upsetting @ Texas AM followed that up by 2 straight losses giving us the value here.  

The wrong team is favored here in this game tonight.  Portland is a terrible 6-15 on the road this season.  They just beat the Lakers last week so revenge plays a huge role here. Also the Lakers have been playing better winning 3 of 4 with their only loss as I have mentioned being @ Portland.  Lakers get the easy revenge here

I normally look to play against teams first game back of long road trips, but this is one where the Jazz won't have let down as they will be fired up for this one.  Both teams come into this game struggling to cover spreads, but all of Utah's were on the road and same with the Cavs.  Well the Cavs are on the road here and have failed to cover 3 of 4.  Also I don't believe Korver will play tonight so the Cavs are limited with players here.  The Jazz lost to Boston, Toronto, and Memphis all quality teams on the road so nothing to be alarmed about that.  

Had this one circled last night and as soon as I saw that line switch I was all over it.  I have faded Maryland a lot this season, but I just dont think this team is truly any good.  We are obviously catching a very short price because of the Hoosiers recent struggles.  They have way more talent than Maryland and I expect a huge effort here from them tonight. 

Really like FSU here tonight at a very short price @ home.  I actually think this team is a top 10 quality team.  Duke is a team I will be looking to fade on the road a lot as conference play goes along.  They are now without their glue guy and best defensive player in Jefferson which means Duke will struggle big time and will rely on the 3 ball all night night.  I believe they will literally shoot themselves out of the gym here tonight 

This is a really short price here to back Tech @ home.  They have dropped two in a row, but both games were on the road.  Cuse is a team I don't trust at all in this spot.  They are coming off two big back to back wins over Pitt and Miami and now travel.  Remember this Va Tech team handled Duke fairly easily on their home court.  Cuse getting way too much respect.  This team simply isn't very good 

I know it's hard to go against Bama as they have proven they are capable of blowing about any team out.  This Clemson team IMO is the only team I believe is capable of up beating them.  We all know about Watson the stud QB for the Tigers.  He has revenge on his mind from last year and wont scared of the moment.  Bama has a freshman QB and now a big question mark with Kiffin leaving.  Replacing an OC is an extremely hard thing to do especially given the shortness of time and take into count the magnitude of this game.  That's a big red flag for me here.  Clemson has the 2nd best defense behind Bama.  I honestly wouldn't be surprised to see Clemson come out on top here

I'm buying on the Bulls here as they are playing better basketball.  They have no won and covered 3 in a row and deserve to be bigger favorites against the Thunder.  The Thunder are just 8-10 on the road this year and have lost 4 straight on the road.  They are just 2-4 their last 6 games as well.  The time is right to buy on the Bulls. 

Good spot here to back the Raptors as I was against them last night.  They were in a tough spot vs the Bulls.  Yes the Rockets are playing very well but don't deserve to be favored here.  

I really like Purdue here today taking on Wisconsin.  The Badgers are coming off a huge road win @ Indiana and now have another tough one.  Purdue hasn't covered two in a row and had a loss to Minnesota SU which is giving us the value here.  

Not sure the last time UNI was catching double digits @ home.  They will be up for this game as it is a rivalry.  They have failed to cover 6 straight and now are getting some big adjusted lines.  

I know the Bulls have been disappointing this year but they don't deserve to be underdogs here.  They have won two in a row including a upset win over the Cavs.  They will no doubt want to build of that momentu.  I see them winning this one outright

I'm just not convinced this Maryland team is any good.  the betting public won't have anything to do with Michigan because they have only covered 3 times this year.  Michigan coming off an ugly game vs Penn St but they are primed for a huge game here.  Lay the points

Pitt is in a very difficult situation after upsetting Virginia @ home. Ow travel to Syracuse which is a hard place in itself but they also have Louisville on deck.  I was very impressed with what Cuse did to Maimi last game and I see them pulling this one out

I know this won't be a popular choice but this is all about the situatio.  Georgetown is desperate for their first conference win and Butler is coming off besting #1 ranked Niva.  After winning such a big game like that it's very difficult to travel no matter who you are playing

I will back the Wizards here as they return home.  They should be motivated following the loss to the Mavs.  Wizards are a lot better home team and the T Wolves strue on the road 

This line is one that will definitely be getting played by the betting public.  Nebraska is coming into their first conference home game after winning @Indiana and @Maryland.  This is a difficult spot for them and just begging for you to take the home team.  Iowa is playing a lot better as of late and are coming off a win in OT over Michigan that will serve this young team with a lot of confidenc.  Hawkeyes are a live dog here tonight 

I actually thought this line would be doubled.  Minnesota is no doubt vastly improved but it's a difficult spot as they are coming off a huge upset @Purdue.  NW will be hungry here as they are coming off a loss to the Spartans.  NW is a tourney team I habe no problem laying the short number with the Wildcats here

I still don't think then markets are being friendly enough to the Pelicans.  Now a healthy team they are playing up to their potentia.  They have covered 4 in a row and have won 4 straight home games as well.  The Hawks are playing better which is keeping this line low as they have won 5 of their last 6 but this is a back to back situation with travel which is always hard while the Pelicans have had two days off

It's pretty simple here for me as simply this is gut check time for the Pistons.  Pistons have the dreaded 5 game west road trip coming up so they should be ready here.  They are also catching the Hornets at a great time with them thumping the Thunder last night which I had but obviously are in a tough back to back situation here

This is one of those situations where people often over look.  The Raptors are a very good team no doubt and have an impressive record @ home which is playing into this line.  However, this will be their first game home since coming off a dreaded 6 games west coast trip.  These guys are very tired make no doubt it.  Well the Jazz failing to cover @ Boston they won't get much support here either

I fully expect this line to change as ND should be favored here.  They are being way undervalued due to them not covering 4 in a row.  Louisville is in a tough spot here coming off a big win over Indiana.  Their only true road game they struggled against Grand Canyon as they only won by 9.  

I will gladly fade away on the Hokies here as they are going on the road now after beating Duke.   The thing was is that they caught Duke at a great time with Allen being out.  NC St will be motivated as they are coming off a blowout loss @ Miami.  I like this spot for the Wolfpack

I will back the Hornets here as the Thunder are simply an overrated team on the road.  Hornets have lost two in a row but they are a good team @ home.  Hornets have a big road trip coming up so you can expect a max effort here from them tonight 

I will take Butler here as I believe they will beat Nova SU tonight.  Nova is now in consecutive road games as they pulled away from Creighton last week.  Butler plays better defense than any team Nova has faced.  Home dog wins out right 

I'm willing to back the Lakers here as they want revenge from earlier this season and plus the Grizzlies I doubt are too interested here as they have a bigger game tomorrow night against the Clippers then the Warriors after that.  Also Gasol probably won't play here tonight and they will miss him.  Lakers are a live dog 

This line is a big over reaction here to me as Texas Tech was only 4.5 point underdogs @ Iowa St and actually blew a huge lead in that game and even failed to cover.  Now they are 4.5 point under dogs @ home?  WVU isn't 9 points better than Iowa St.  Since WVU blew out Oklahoma St on the road they are getting the love, but I'm not buying it all here 

I like St Bonaventure here as a short home favorite.  They are a very under rated basketball that has a legit shot of making the tournament.  The key here though is that Dayton will be playing their first true road game and will likely be without their best player in Charles Cooke.  If some how he does play Dayton will probably go to favorites, but I would still like St Bonaventure then.  

I like the Pistons here as they now have something to build off with a good win @ Miami.  This Pacers team is simply one you cant trust on the road at all this season.  They are just 4-13 SU & ATS on the road.  With the Pacers winning and covering their last two games @ home it only adds to the value here with the Pistons.  

I know a cardinal rule you don't play against good teams after a road loss generally they bounce back.  However, I'm not sold this Carolina team is as good as people think .  Clemson is a very quality basketball team and they will be ready for this game tonight.  They are undefeated @ home to start the season.  

It's simply to hard to pass up on the value here with the Sooners.  IMO they have the edge everywhere.  Auburn is extremely one dimensional and that will cost them in this game.  OU is playing their best football of the season right now while Auburn is limping into this game.  The Tigers get blown out by Bama lose to Georgia and barely beat a bad Vanderbilt team @ home by just 7 while favored by 25.  Auburn will have no answer for the Sooners on offense. 

I like the Bucks here tonight as I believe they are playing very good basketball.  The betting public will likely be all over the Thunder and especially since they are coming off a blowout win over the Clippers.  If you throw out the two losses to the Cavs on back to backs for the Bucks they are 5-2 their last 7.  The Thunder are 5-1 ATS their L6 which is having them over valued and they have also benefited from playing teams with key injuries 

I love the Trojans here in this spot against Penn St as I think this will be a blow out from the get go.  It really reminds me a lot of the Iowa Stanford game from last year.  Penn St won the Big 10 and now are getting nearly a TD? It shows you what Vegas actually thinks of this team.  USC is one of the hottest teams in all of college football and they by far have a lot more talent.  Sam Darnold will expose this secondary in a big way lay the points

I'm going to back the Hawkeyes here as I believe the only reason Florida is favored is because this game is in their home state.  Florida really struggles on offense and the Hawkeyes are very good against the run.  Iowa finished their season very strong after they were embarrassed at Penn St by beating Michigan SU and blowing out Nebraska by 30.  

I missed a chance to grab a really good number but I still like the Falcons to lay it on the Saints here.  Falcons still have a lot to play for as they want that bye first week.  This line started low because the Saints winning and covering back to back weeks which created value for the Falcons.  Atlanta had no problem thumping them the first time around.  I see no reason why it doesn't get ugly this time either 

The Chiefs haven't gotten the respect they deserve throughout the course of the season.  I was against the Chargers last week @ the Browns and what do you know the Browns got their first win.  This Chargers team is done and I know some may think they will show up because its a division game.  The Chiefs still have a lot to play for here and I see a max effort coming from them.  

Yes I'm going to go with my team here in Iowa. I personally feel they should be favored here.  Iowa matches up extremely well with Michigan and their guards.  The Hawkeyes are coming off an ugly loss @ Purdue, but they don't match up well against those big men plus Purdue made 10 threes in the first half.  This is a great spot for a bounce back.  

I like the Eagles here as the Cowboys plain and simple have nothing to play for.  I knew this line would be going up and surely enough it is.  The Eagles still have a sour taste in their mouth from blowing a big lead @ Dallas and losing in OT.  That loss was to the starters and now Dallas will be resting a lot of guys.  Take the Eagles 

This is a very difficult situation for Nebraska here.  They are coming off a huge upset win over Indiana in which they nearly shot 50% from the field.  Now they travel again to face Maryland.  Maryland took care of business easily in their first conference game over Illinois and I see them blowing out Nebraska here today as well.  

I really think the wrong team is favored here tomorrow night.  Ohio St is a quality team no doubt, but I wasn't really impressed with them this year.  They actually should have lost to Michigan and wouldn't even be here if the "spot" was different.  Clemson has the better defense the better QB and overall the better athletes.  I will gladly take the field goal here

The betting public will be all over the Cavs here, but I think the value is with the Hornets who are playing very well as of late.  They have won 5 of 6 and want revenge of two losses to the Cavs both at Cleveland from earlier in the year.  I'm not sure how much interest the Cavs will have here in this game.  Also Kyrie isn't 100% either even though it looks like he is going to play.  Hornets are a sneaky good team 

I will back the Hurricanes here as I think NC St is getting a lot of credit based on their record.  Well, looking back they haven't played anyone and their two toughest games which were Creighton and Illinois they lost by double digits in both.  Miami has failed to cover 7 in a row, but a lot of those games are huge numbers.  One team being over valued and one team being under valued here

I know generally I have been going against a lot of teams in their first true road test, but the situation with Virginia is very hard.  They are coming off two huge road wins in a row @ Cal and @ Louisville.  This Florida St team has just as much talent as anyone in the ACC. I will take the points here as this line seems very inflated

Both teams are starting conference play and I will go with Pitt here.  This team doesn't get much love because of how they play plus they don't have any future NBA studs well.  They just play solid team basketball.  Notre Dame is a very good team themselves I think they have a huge look ahead here with Louisville coming to South Bend next.  Notre Dames does rely a lot on outside shooting and those are the teams I look to fade when they get away from home

I really like this Creighton as I have backed them several times this year.  They have everything you are looking for when it comes to a top team.  Nova is undefeated as well , but has really only had one big challenge IMO so far.  Creighton has had this game circled and is looking to make a splash which I think they will today

I really like this Duke team going forward, but this is a tough situation for them.  They have been under the spotlight with Grayson Allen and is tripping incident.  He is the guy that I would call the glue on this team.  Bolden and Giles are back, but both have seen limited action so far.  The question is will Luke Keenard be able to carry this team on the road.  I'm willing to bet no in the first game given this situation.  Va Tech is a sneaky team this year as they only have one loss which came to Texas A&M by just 3.

I realize Kentucky won their last two game to get here, but they are simply over matched in my eyes here.  Georgia Tech is playing with a ton of confidence.  They ended the season in great fashion winning @ Va Tech, blowing out Virginia and then beating rival Georgia at their place.  This is an option team and everyone knows it.  Generally people say when you have a lot of time to prepare for it you can stop it.  Well, this Kentucky team is terrible against the run giving up nearly 5 yards a carry.  I think they are in for a long day!

Cal isn't getting any credit as they failed to cover against Virginia last out which I did have them.  They blew that game though having a huge scoring drought when up 7.  Arizona is a good team, but they are battling injuries and their best player returning hasn't played a minute yet because of grades.  This is a young Arizona team as well in their first true road game.  I like Cal to pull away

I believe this line will change and Memphis will be favored by tip.  I backed them last out in a losing effort against SMU.  They actually should have won that game if it wasn't for the free throws and we see a totally different line.  I'm also not very high on South Carolina as they have benefited from an easy schedule IMO.  Memphis should be hungry for a big bounce back win here.  They also only shot 35% against SMU you can expect that to go up as well.

I was really surprised when this bowl line opened up a full TD.  This match up alone will sure as motivation for Florida St here.  Michigan is getting a lot of respect because of the season they had and how close they were to beating Ohio St.  Talent wise I actually think FSU has the better talent and they are playing in their home state as well.  Dalvin Cook will be a RB Michigan hasn't seen all year.  I really expect this line to drop closing to game time so grab the points now 

This line has dropped from the opener, but in no way can I back the Pistons here.  Their only win in the last 7 games was against the Cavs as they rested all the key players.  The Hawks are starting to play a little better and I am ready to jump back on board with them.  Also the best angle for me here is that the Pistons embarrassed the Hawks winning by over 30 @ Atlanta at the beginning of the month.  Hawks will want revenge here no doubt about it

Now is the time to buy on the T Wolves.  This team has been frustrating this year to figure out, but they are playing their best basketball right now.  They have covered 7 of their last 9 games.  During that stretch they have had 3 SU losses by 4 points or less.  The Bucks are coming off a blowout win over the train wreck Pistons so I'm not putting much stock into that.   

I fully expect this line to go up.  I'm not buying the Red Raiders 11-1 start.  They have played a very easy schedule and this will be their first true road in a extremely tough environment.  Iowa St has the talent of a Top 10 team they just need to play better defense as a whole.  I like the Cyclones to make a statement in the Big 12 opener. 

I know Sparty is down this year, but I have say I was extremely impressed the other night with them going on the road and winning @ Minnesota in OT.  They showed a ton of fight without their best player in Bridges.  Northwestern is a vastly improved team but this line is saying the Sparty is only a few points better than Penn St.  Winning on the road in college basketball is very hard and winning 2 in a row is even more difficult.  

The Pacers are in a primed bounce back spot here against the Bulls tonight.  They just lost @ Chicago a few days ago and this will be the last time they play in the year.  The home team has covered every game so far this season.  Pacers play very well @ home with a 11-5 record and the Bulls struggle on the road with a 6-10 record.  Pacers have lost 4 a in row, but I expect a huge effort here tonight.  

I think the wrong team is favored here in this spot.  Georgia will get a lot of love because of being in the SEC, but the SEC East was a terrible conference this year and the Bulldogs did nothing that impressed me.  Georgia lost to rival Georgia Tech @ home to end the season they struggled against UL Lafayette, should have lost to Kentucky in only winning by 3.  TCU was 3-9 ATS this season and teams that struggle ATS covering less than 35% of spreads cover over 60% in the bowl season.  

I know it's hard to back the Suns but they blew that game last night being outscored by almost 30 points in the 2nd half and not covering.  The Raptors fought like hell to get back into the game last night @ the Warriors used a ton of energy and now won't be as interested here.  The Suns are a good home dog and getting this many points is a treat.  

I'm going to lay the the short number here with the Grizzlies as I expect them to respond with a big effort tonight after dropping back to back road games.  The Thunder are being overvalued due to their 4 game winning streak and covering 5 of 6 games.  The Thunder are just 2 games SU above .500 on the road and this is a very good home team.  

This just seems like way to points for this young Kentucky team to be laying on the road in conference.  The SEC is hard to figure it out, but I think Ole Miss is easily a top 5 team in conference and with them catching double digits it's just to hard to pass up.  Ole Miss has played some tough competition as well this season so they should be ready for the test 

I will take the Raptors here as I think this is a tough spot for the Warriors.  They are coming off a heartbreaking loss to the Cavs on Christmas day.  I believe this line is inflated because everyone knows about the Warriors never losing back to back games.  The Raptors are 11-3 SU on the road this season and will definitely be ready for tonight's big game.   

The wrong team is favored here and the Kings are getting way too much respect for me.  They have won 4 in a row including a win over Portland not to long ago.  The Trailblazers are without Lillard again but dont deserve to be underdogs.  They made a team worst 4 threes against the Kings and will be out for revenge here tonight.  

Temple simply isn't getting enough credit here as this was a game I think should be closer to a PK.  The Owls have beat West Virginia and Florida St two teams that are way more athletic than Cincinnati.  I know Cincy went on the road and won @ Iowa St earlier, but the Cyclones shooting was pathetic that game.  Temple is a live dog here

There is no doubt that UCLA is a very good team as they have been the surprise of college basketball so far.  However, I feel people are overreacting and also forgetting that this Oregon team was preseason Top 5.  If this game would have been played early in the season the Ducks would have been favored by 5 or more.  Now we are getting a ton of value here.  

Wizards are on fire right now and the books haven't adjusted much for them.  Indiana is one of the worst road teams in the NBA with a 4-12 SU record.  Wizards are another team that realyl struggles on the road, but at home it's a different story with a record of 11-6.  The Wizards will also want revenge from an earlier loss this season just by 2 @ Indiana.  

Indiana St may be 6-6 but don't let that record fool ya.  They are a live dog here tonight against the Shockers.  Indiana St sure they have had a couple bad losses but this team also beaut Butler and should of beat Iowa St if it weren't for some tacky calls down the stretch

It's now time to buy on UConn here as they open up conference play.  This was a team picked to finish 2nd in their conference behind Cincinnati.  They have under achieved to say the least, but the fact they are favored despite records says a lot to me.  In Houston's only two true road games they lost to LSU and Arkansas two teams I think are equal or if not worse than UConn.  Ollie will have his guys ready to start conference play.

I was hoping this number would some how get to 6, wishful thinking I guess.  This Pitt team is getting a lot of credit and respect because of one game and that was beating Clemson.  There is one glaring reason I can't back Pitt here and that is because of their defense.  Pitt is giving up 6 yards per play and are actually being out gained by 5 yards a game, definitely not a sign of a 8-4 team.  Northwestern plays the type of ball that will keep Pitt's offense off the field with long possessions on offense.   

This Memphis team is on the improve here big time.  I really like their neutral court win over Oklahoma and now get a rival in SMU who struggles away from home.  They are just 1-3 awa from home this year and in no way I can back a team knowing that.  I actually think the wrong team is favored in this spot.  

The betting public will be all over the Thunder here.  I just doubt they have much interest at all coming of their Christmas day game.  The Thunder were just 5.5 point favorties @ home vs the Heat earlier which suggests this line should be closer to a PK @ Miami.  Heat have Winslow back should be getting Ellington back as well.  I will take the home dog here

I was all over this line early when I heard the new of Gopher players being suspended.  It is clear that Minnesota doesn't have an interest in this game and are missing starters on the defensive side against a pass happy team.  Also Minnesota has never seen a tempo like this and I expect a route to say the least from the get go here

This Temple will be getting a lot of love here as they have gone a College Football best 12-1 ATS.  I just don't like the situation here for them to blow out Wake Forest.  They are playing the same place they just won their conference title at which may not seem like much, but it is a factor for me big time.  Also their HC has left for Baylor which is a big distraction as I have already gone against one school in Houston with their coach leaving and we all know how that worked out.  

Conference bball is now here and there is one important thing to remember and that is the road is very very difficult.  Northwestern is off to a great start no doubt and have beaten some realy quality teams.  I need to see it first before I back them in a a true road game.  Penn St has 5 losses but 4 of those will be tournament teams.  Penn St has great young talent and I see them knocking NW off here tonight 

The betting public is now off the Cowboys as they have failed to cover 4 in a row now.  The Cowboys are still a far superior team than the Lions are.  The Lions I feel like are one of the biggest frauds in the NFL.  This team has benefited from playing an extremely easy schedule and actually aren't very good on the road.  Lions were just 4 point dogs last week @ Giants an failed to cover and now are practically the same against a better team.  

I'm willing to lay the short price with the Pelicans here as I believe the Mavs are being way over valued here with due to them winning 3 of their last 4 while 2 were big road upset wins.  Also the Pelicans who were banged up will be looking for revenge here as they lost earlier in the season this bad Mavs team.  This is a different Pelicans team when healthy plus the Mavs will be without PG Barea