This is a great spot here for the young T Wolves tonight.  They have had 2 days rest here and are just playing their 3 home game of the season.  The Clippers will be playing their 4th game in 6 days and 2nd on a back to back.  They are coming off a hard fought win last night @ Thunder which I believe will take a lot out of them.  

To me Washington still isn't getting enough credit here.  The Huskies are a legit team and their QB Jake Browning is one of the best in the country there is no doubt about it if you have watched them at all this year.  I feel that USC is getting just too much respect for the fact they have won 5 in row and covered 4 of those 5.  During that stretch they only played one quality team in Colorado and only one game was on the road.  This Huskies team will be ready for this match up.  Add that it's a night game I see it getting ugly.

This line really shocks me again with Arkansas.  Last week I had my SEC Play Of The Year on Arkansas and they were an easy winner against Florida.  Now they are underdogs again against an LSU team who gave everything they had last week vs Bama.  The motivation clearly lies with the Razorbacks here as LSU really doesn't have anything to play for.  Also this will be their first road game since late part of September which is a key factor.  I look for Arkansas having a very good chance of pulling the upset.

So we have a 1-8 team favored over a 5-4 team with the Lakers being one of the early surprises this year.  The betting public will love them some Lakers here no doubt about it.  While I can't blame them, but this line is a telling sign to me.  The Pelicans just got their first win and should be extra motivated following that.  I also think this young Lakers team won't have much interest here and plus they are coming of a road win @ Kings.  I need to see it before I believe it that the Lakers can win back to back games on the road

Oregon has no love as they have only covered one spread all year and the betting public won't back them here.  However I do see the value as Stanford shuoldn't be road chalk.  They have struggled on the road as the  Arizona was was very misleading.  They were very lucky at a bad Notre Dame team.  Let's remember since Oregon has struggled to cover odds have been adjusted.  A month ago this team was favored by 14 over Colorado.  Everyone writing Oregon off it's the time to buy

I sure do love this value here with the Hoosiers.  Let's just look back at last week with Penn St being favored by 7 over Iowa and sure they blew them out.  Now, they are favored by the same but on the road against a better team?  It makes no sense to me and we are clearly seeing an overreaction here with Penn St winning 5 in a row and covering 4 in a row.  Remember just a few weeks ago Indiana was just underdogs by 3 against an undefeated Nebraska team and they took them to the wire.  I love Indiana and wouldn't be surprised to if they pulled the upset.

I really believe the line tells the story here with Texas being a short favorite.  This team simply isn't as bad as what the average person thinks.  I really like how they how followed up their big win over Baylor 2 weeks back and went on the road last week @ Texas Tech and destroyed them.  That says a lot to me that this team is still fighting.  They have two losses their last 5 games and they were a 5 point loss to Oklahoma and 3 points @ Kansas St.  I'm also not sold on West Virginia they have benefited greatly from a home favorable schedule.  I was against them last time on the road @ Oklahoma St and they lost out right.  Texas has plenty of fight left and I see them coming out on top.

I will gladly take the 6 points here with the Hoosiers who are being very underrated IMO here.  Kansas is ranked high and will get a ton of love, but I see some struggles coming out of the gates here as they lost a ton.  They lost 6 key contributors including their glue guy in Perry Ellis.  I realize they do have stud freshman Josh Jackson but asking him to be the go to guy right away is always difficult.  It reminds me a lot of the Wiggins situation.  Indiana I am very high on this year they have two big time players in Thomas Bryant and OG Anunoby.  This team will defend at a high level and they can shoot it at a high level.  Getting this many points is a gift I feel 

I have been against them a couple times, but now I'm on board.  This Hornets team is simply on fire to start the season and are playing with a ton of confidence.  Hornets are 6-1 to start the season and I see them having another victory here tonight.  The Raptors will get a lot of love because of their road win @ OKC but it will be hard to follow that up.  

I really like this Arizona team coming into the season.  They have a great nucleus of guards and that includes their leading scorer from last year in Allonzo Trier.  They have stud freshman coming in all across the board.  If you haven't watched or heard of Kobi Simmons you will by tonight.  This kid is the real deal.  Michigan St is a good team no doubt but I really question their guard play this early with the do it all guy last year in Denzel Valentine obviously gone.  This Wildcats team comes away with the win

This Denver Nuggets team simply isn't getting enough credit right now.  I have briefly talked about them before the season had started about they were a team to watch out for in the West as a surprise.  The only thing I'm concerned about here is that they are coming off a east coast road trip, but I believe with them playing the Warriors that won't have a big effect as they will be ready for this contest.  This is the Warriors second of a back to back here winning in blowout fashion last night.  The Warriors have only had one other back to back situation and that resulted in a loss @ Lakers as double digit favorites.  I see the Nuggets keeping it real close tonight

I was on the Bulls last night and what a mistake that was.  This team still struggles big time on the defensive end of the ball.  They were in a great spot there and couldn't come through.  Now they are playing their 2nd of a back to back.  The Heat have had 2 days off now and I will gladly back them in this situation.  Also it is worth noting that this will be Wade's first return to South Beach so you can bet the Heat will have extra motivation here as well.  Bulls are 1-5 ATS L6 road games vs team with a losing record.  

I have no problem backingthe Tarheels here tonight against their rival Blue Devils.  UNC is simply on a roll right now winning and covering 3 in a row.  Why I feel the value is with UNC here is because Duke themselves have covered 4 in row.  Also North Carolina's QB Mitch Trubisky is having himself a season that most people are over looking.  He is completing 70% of his passes with 19 TD's to just 2 INT's on the season.  North Carolina also has the motivation edge here as they still have a chance to play for the conference title 

This game has the classic let down written all over it.  I was on the Hawks last night as they handed the Cavs their first loss of the season.  The Hawks played great while the Cavs really shot terrible from the field.  Now the Hawks get a Bulls team who will be more than ready tonight.  It's just simply gonna be hard for the Hawks to match the intensity for the whole game tonight as they did last night.  Bulls are 4-1 ATS L5 games following a SU win

I know I just lost with the Wizards the other night, but I have no problem firing back again with them here.  This is more of a play against the Celtics as they are banged up right now with Horford and Crowder out again.  The Wizards truly need this game tonight so show some signs of life.  Celtics are 2-9 ATS L11 games playing on 2 days rest. 

I really believe this line is telling the story here as the Hornets are red hot but they are begging for you to take them here.  To me as I have mentioned a lot I am very high on this Jazz team as they are a top 4 team in the West.  They key here is now they are healthy with Gordon Hayward back in the lineup.  I was also not impressed with the Hornets blowout win over the Pacers as they are struggling big time on defense.  The Jazz have no problem playing defense and will lock down the Hornets tonight. 

This line definitely depends on whether Mike Conley plays, but I haven't found anything that he is out or will be a late scratch so I will be on Memphis here tonight.  This is a big game for them in the sense they have lost back to back home games will be putting forth a huge effort here tonight with 6 of their next 7 being on the road.  The Nuggets are on their final game of the trip with it being 4 games in 6 days.  This has already been a successful one for them picking up two win with one of them coming last game in a big upset over the Celtics.  This is simply a very bad spot for them here tonight.  Nuggets are 1-5 ATS their L6 following a SU win

This is simply to hard pass up on and maybe I'm on the wrong side but the Hawks are no joke this year.  The Cavs have been favorites around this number a lot being favored by 9 over the Knicks, which the Hawks are a lot better than them.  Favored by 10 over a injured Celtics team and 9.5 against the Rockets who are worse than the Hawks.  Both teams have had two days here.  I just think the Hawks will really want to make their presence known here.  I see this being an extremely competitive game.

I like Eastern Michigan here tonight as they travel to take on Ball St.  To me EMU is flat out the better team here.  Both teams have lost two in a row and 3 of 4 and Ball St has actually lost 4 of 5.  Both teams have lost to Western Michigan so I won't hold that against either, but they have lost to Northern Illinois Central Mich & Akron.  This EMU team is one of the most improved in the country if not the most improved.  This team is very hungry to make a bowl and would do so with a win tonight.  

I'm going to take the Bulls here in a spot where I feel they will respond with a big effort.  The Bulls have lost 3 in a row and have failed to cover in each of those games.  Losing to the Celtics Knicks and Pacers is nothing to hang your head on and 2 of those were on the road.  The home loss to the Knicks doesn't have me as concerned considering you were going to get a huge effort from Noah and Rose returning back.  So with the Bulls having 2 away games coming up and then a huge west coast road trip they will want to get the ball rolling in a positive direction.  The Magic have won 3 in a row but to the Sixers Kings and Wizards.  I see the Bulls responding with the big defensive effort here and pulling away 

I was on the Wizards as 1.5 point favorites over the Hawks in a nice win which was their first of the season.  I'm going to back them again here tonight as there is no better way of getting out of a slump than playing a team that doesn't play a lick of defense.  I Wizards realize that with Boston and Cleveland coming to town later this week this is a big chance for a win.  The Rockets IMO could simply over look this game here as they have a big one with rival Spurs on deck.  Washington should be more than desperate here and I see them coming away with a victory tonight.

I like the Pacers here tonight who I realize hasn't won a road game yet but I feel that is also creating the value here with them.  I was on the Pacers Saturday night in a nice win over the Bulls and I see them bringing forth a big effort again tonight.  The Hornets are off to a nice start themselves with a 4-1 record, but they have played a very easy schedule so far.  With wins over the Sixers Nets Bucks and Heat all 4 are below average teams.  Also the Hornets are dealing with injuries and illness.  Hibbert is out tonight which is a big loss in this matchup with Myles Turner down low.  Also Marvin Williams is very questionable being sick and even if he does go he is clearly not 100%.

This line really tells the story here for this game.  The win less Mavs are favored over a team that has won 3 in a row and 4 of 5.  They key here is that the Mavs catch Milwaukee at a perfect time with them playing their second of a back to back.  Another key here is that the Mavs go on the road for 4 straight games so you can definitely expect a huge effort today despite Dirk being out.  Bucks just 3-7 ATS L10 playing on 0 days rest and Mavs are 5-2 ATS L7 games following a double digit home loss.  

NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK!

I really like the Giants here in this spot winning two games in a row and now are coming off hteir bye week.  They have all the motivation here to have a great second half of the season and they know it starts this week.  The Eagles are in a tough place right now coming off a deflating OT loss @ Dallas.  I feel it will be a lot more difficult than what people are thinking to bounce back from that game.  The Eagles only have 1 road win this year and that was week 2 @ the Bears.  Also the last 3 games are very telling for the Eagles as they have been out gained by a combined 466 total yards. Take the Giants

The Jags are one of the top 3 worst teams in football no doubt about it.  Their two wins are both very lucky and this team is a disaster right now after firing their OC and Bortles @ QB is playing awful.  The reason this line isnt higher is because Charles and Smith are out.  I trust Nick Foles here as he is a proven QB in this league.  The Chiefs have a lot going for them right now and simply cant afford a slip up.  I like where this team is heading the second half of the season

I have no problem laying the 3.5 here with the Dolphins.  This team is now very healthy especially on the OL and that is the key here.  They have won and covered two in a row same as the Jets, but that is creating the value with the Dolphins.  Miami is also coming off their bye week and with 3 of the next 4 on the road you can guarantee they will show up here against a division rival.  Also people are forgetting the Jets were extremely lucky last week against the Browns in that come back.  Hard for me to back a team that struggled that bad vs the Browns

Nebraska will be the public underdog of the week there is no doubt about it.  They are in a difficult spot here as their undefeated season came to an end last week @ Wisconsin.  They are going to have a hard time bouncing back here in a tough situation.  Ohio St had no interest playing Northwestern last weekend as they were coming off their loss @ Penn St.  Now after being fired up by Meyer I look for a big time performance.  Tommy will struggle big time with the Ohio St defense.  This game won't be close 

There is no doubt Penn St is rolling right now, but this is a lot of points to ask here.  Iowa is coming off their bye week here and Penn St could be due for a big let down after Ohio St and then a blow out last week.  However, last week that game was tied going into half.  The final score was very misleading there and I feel that is why we are getting over a TD with the Hawkeyes.  Both these teams are very similar in style of play.  I see one of those hard fought low scoring affairs coming down to the wire for either team 

I was high on this Pacers team before the season and it doesnt surprise me that they have struggled out of the gate but I feel in large part that is due to the coaching change.  This a key game for the Pacers here just to gain some confidence.  They are catching the Bulls at the right time with it being a back to back here for Chicago.  Pacers get the job done tonight 

This is a very tough spot for the Cowboys who just beat undefeated West Virginia and now have to travel to take on Kansas St who hasn't lost at home yet this year.  Kansas St is a lot better than what people think here.  They will have no trouble moving the ball on the Cowboys defense who is suspect to say the least.  Both scores were very misleading last week as Kansas St had full control of the game @ Iowa St and gave up a few late TD's to make it closer than what it was.  Oklahoma St was actually out gained by WVU by 63 despite winning by 17.  I just really like the spot here with Kansas St

SEC PLAY OF THE YEAR!

I love the Razorbacks here in this spot.  Most people will remember their blowout loss @ Auburn, but they were in a very tough spot there coming off of Alabama and a upset win over Ole Miss.  I look for them to bounce back here coming off their bye week.  Florida is getting way to much love as I'm not even sure they are the better team here.  Florida has covered the last two beating Missouri and Georgia who are both terrible.  Arkansas has also played a lot tougher schedule than Florida has so their good defensive numbers are inflated some.  I dont trust Florida at all on the road and love the points here.

This is a very big number to ask of Clemson to cover after coming off a very emotional win @ Florida St last week.  Cuse is playing better football right now coming off back to back wins and now coming off a bye week which is crucial here in this spot.  Clemson has no motivation to play these guys as they simply to want victories right now and don't need to rely on style points.  Cuse will score some points here and keep this a lot closer than what people think 

I'm gonna take the points in this one with Vanderbilt.  This is a similar situation to a few other plays as Vanderbilt is coming off their bye week and should be well prepared to defend Auburn here.  Also Vanderbilt does have a respectable defense.  Auburn is coming off a rough stretch of games and just don't see them truly interested in this one.  I will gladly take the points in this one. 

The reason this line is a lot lower than it should be is because this is a neutral field game.  ND isn't as bad as what people think as the games they have lost has been by all 7 or less.  They also have by far played a tougher schedule and will have all the motivation to make a bowl game and that starts with a win here.  Navy has also really struggled away from home this season barely winning @ Tulane losing by 14 @ Air Force.  I look for ND to build off a nice win last week vs Miami

This is simply going to be a situation play here.  We all watched what the Warriors did last night, but they caught the Thunder in a perfect spot last night and the Thunder ran out of gas.  The Lakers have only played one home and won that game beating the Rockets.  I feel this is a team that you will want to back @ home as big underdogs.  It will be hard for the Warriors to match the intensity as they did last night.  The Lakers young team plays hard and can score.  I see them hanging in here tonight. 

This is just a lot of points here for the Clippers to be laying.  They were favored by 7 points @ home over Thunder and now are favored by 6 on the road?  I don't believe the Thunder is that much if at all better than Memphis.  Grizzlies has struggled shooting the last two games and like them to get out of the funk here tonight. The Clippers have a huge game tomorrow with the Spurs as you can bet they are looking forward to that one.  Wouldn't be surprised to see the Grizz beat them here but grab the points anyways. 

I believe this line is telling you everything.  The Atlanta Hawks have been favored in every game so far this season and now playing a team that hasn't covered a spread yet or win a game for that matter and the Hawks are underdogs?!  These teams have already met as well playing the first game of the season in which the Hawks won.  Second time around on the road is always difficult in conference play.  I like the Wizards to get their first win tonight

Grab Now

Sure the Suns are 0-4 to start the season, but to me they have played one of if not the hardest schedule so far in the league.  Facing the Warriors Clippers Thunder is nothing to shake your head at.  From what I have seen Devin Booker looks like a go tonight for the Suns.  They were without him last game @ Clippers.  Portland is in a tough spot here.  They rely so much on the outside shot and are coming off a ugly loss last night vs the Warriors.  I think that loss will be harder for them to get over.  The Suns will put everything they have on the table here as they do match up very well and also will want their first win with a 3 game road trip coming up.  

This is very similar to those who jumped on board last night with the T Wolves in a blowout fashion.  The Celtic and Bulls have already met in the first game of the season where the Bulls came away with the win.  They are now 3-0 ATS and 3-0 overall and flying high.  However, Boston won't lose to them again here tonight.  They have had 3 days off here to get healthy as all the key players are expected to go tonight.  The Bulls killed the Celtics by 23 on the boards in the first game and you can expect that Brad Stevens wont let that happen again.   

I'm not worried at all that this lined has flipped here.  The betting public will be all over the Raptors in this game here tonight.  Early in the season you have to take desperate teams and that is exactly what the Wizards are right now.  They have had two days off since losing @ Memphis and are 0-2 to start the season.  This will be their home opener tonight and I see them coming away with the victory.  For the Raptors sure they are a very good team, but so far they have played every game @ home.  I can't back a team that hasn't played a road game yet vs a quality team that really wants a victory bad.  Raptors are just 2-7 ATS L9 meetings against Wizards.

NBA TOP PLAY!

There is going to be a lot of love here for the Grizzles here tonight as they already beat the T Wolves on opening night.  However, if you remember the T Wolves took a lot of sharp money as they ended up being favored by tip.  This Wolves team will be desperate for a win following two road losses.  This will be their home opener and you can expect a huge effort.  T Wolves have had 2 days while this will be the Grizzlies 3rd game in 4 days 

I'm gonna ride the Cubs here tonight with Arrieta on the mound.  I like him a lot better than Tomlin.  The key for me is that Kyle Scchwarber returns to the Cubs lineup being a DH.  I believe that will be a huge addition and bigger than what most people will think.  He was on fire the first two games.  I like the Cubs taking this to game 7 here tonight.  

I really like the spot here for the Heat as the Kings are playing their second of a back to back here.  The Heat have lost back to back games here @ home but to the Hornets and Spurs.  Kings are a step down for them here.  The Heat really need this game in a big way with two hard roads coming up.  This will also be the Kings 3rd game in 4 days as well.  I like the Heat here tonight

NBA DOG OF THE DAY!

Really like the value here with the Nuggets tonight.  They are one of the most improves teams in the NBA this season and I totally expect them to compete for a playoff berth down the stretch.  The Nuggets should have beat Portland the other night but blew that game in the final seconds.  I dont see the Raptors being totally invested here in this game.  I also like backing teams when they are on their first road game of a long trip and that fits perfect here with the Nuggets tonight.  Road team has dominated this series going 7-1 ATS L8 games.  

NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!

I'm gonna roll with the Jazz here which I expect them to give a tough battle against the Clippers.  The Clippers were extremely lucky to win @ Portland in their first game.  They shot a bad percentage in 40% and normally you don't win game on the road shooting that low.  Portland was also way off from the outside only making 4 threes all game.  The Jazz are a team I am very high on this year and wouldn't be surprised if they were the 3 seed in the West.  They haven't covered a spread in their 2 games yet so the public will be staying away.  The Jazz match up very well with the Clippers as well.  I expect a very close game here today.

The Packers clearly aren't the same team this and something looks wrong or is wrong with Rodgers.  That being said I don't trust this Packers defense against the leagues best offense.  This will also only be Green Bay's 1 road game in a month.  The betting public will love getting Rodgers as a underdog but I'm not buying it.  

I'm going to go ahead here and grab this line as I believe it will only go up.  The Broncos just lost to the Chargers a couple week back despite the Broncos out gaining them by nearly 40 yards.  The Broncos will most definitely want revenge here against a division rival.  This is also a tough spot for the Chargers coming off a big upset win @ the Falcons in OT.  I look for Denver to dominate this game just like what we saw on Monday Night  

AFC EAST GAME OF THE MONTH!

Love the revenge angle here with the Patriots as the Bills are the only team to beat them so far this season and in fact did so by having the Patriots not score at all.  I was against this Bills team last week @ Miami and they were dominated in that game.  The Patriots are simply on a mission and that is clear.  I fully expect Brady to run the score here up on the Rex Ryan.  Patriots are 19-8 ATS in revenging games from a home loss.  The Patriots will be very motivated here and I totally expect a blowout win as the Bills are a fraud team 

I was against the Raiders last week vs the Jags and have no problem fading them again this week.  I simply cant trust as Raiders team that has been very lucky to say the least going 5-2 when they easily could be 2-5.  Their defense is flat out awful and I dont trust them at all.  The Bucs will return home after winning two games on the road.  That should have their confidence flying high.  Also they aren't out of the division yet either and with 3 consecutive home games I see them getting hot here.  Also the Raiders have a big look ahead game with division rival Denver.  I like the Bucs to take care of business here as the Raiders luck runs out

I'm gonna grab the two points here with the Saints.  Saints are coming off a very misleading score against the Chiefs where they nearly put up 500 total yards.  The turnovers cost the Saints big time and they are in a goof spot here also.  Seahawks are beat up right now Russell Wilson isn't 100% and plus they are coming off a tie which they had to play a lot longer game now travel east coast for early kick.  Saints win outright 

Gonna back Utah here at home who are quietly having a very good season.  Washington couldn't be more over valued right now but this is by far the toughest test they have had this year.  Also odds makers have adjusted the lines for Washington now if you look back a couple weeks ago they were favored by 10 @ Oregon now favored by the same amount @ Utah? Will gladly take the points here 

Really like the value we are getting here with the Cyclones coming off of their bye week.  Most people will forget that Iowa St took Baylor down to the wire at home and followed that performance up by leading by 17 going into the 4th at Oklahoma St and lost.  This team has improved a lot as the season has gone on.  Kansas St is in a difficult schedule spot here coming off two hard games with Oklahoma and Texas and have Oklahoma St on deck.  Iowa St will plenty motivated here to get their first conference win.  It is also homecoming week for them as well.  Take the points here

I know this game will be a tough one to swallow as Michigan St couldn't be any worse and Michigan couldn't be any hotter.  To me first and for most obviously this is a huge rivalry.  Michigan St would love nothing more than to spoil their perfect season.  No doubt it's going to be a tough task.  This is the first time all season we have seen a huge adjustment here for Michigan St which is creating the value.  They have lost 5 in row now, but in all those games Vegas has them favored and that was including a game vs Wisconsin.  Now we are seeing a huge over reaction with them getting 24.5 @ home.  Sparty may not win, but expect a huge effort.  

BIG TEN PLAY OF THE YEAR!

I have no problem back Purdue here in this situation.  I was on them last week as they covered easily being 24 point underdogs @ Nebraska.  In fact were only down 3 heading into the 4th quarter.  The new coach has installed life and belief in these players.  They are catching Penn St at the right time with them coming off a huge emotional upset win over Ohio St.  It's hard to trust a team that was nearly a 20 point dog to now laying 2 touchdowns in a week span.  Penn St has been horrible on the road as well under Franklin has they haven't covered a road game in three years!!!  Penn St offense ranks 97th in the country which is another reason for me not to back them as nearly two touchdown favorites.  Take Purdue and the points!

I had this game as a PK and will gladly take the 3.5 with Oklahoma St in the home underdog role.  The reason I say this line is to high because when you simply look at last week with West Virginia @ home vs TCU they were only favored by 6 now laying more than a FG on the road basically saying they have to win by 6.  I think it's a lot to do with the fact they haven't lost.  This will be just their second true road game as their first was @ Texas Tech and that game was PK.  Odds makers have caught up with the Mountaineers here.  Oklahoma St has a great home field advantage and look for them to expose WVU

I backed the Jazz in their first game as a loss @ Portland and will now gladly back them here again as they won't take the Lakers lightly.  This is the Jazz home opener which will provde plenty of motivation in itself.  The Lakers are still the worst team in the league and even though they upset the Rockets the other night I'm not buying it as the Rockets play right into the hands of LA buy playing zero defense. Lakers are 3-13 ATS L16 games after scoring 100 points or more in previous game.  Jazz are 4-1 ATS L5 game after allowing 100 points or more in previous game. 

You have to roll with the hot hand here in Hendricks who right now is the Cubs best pitcher.  He has been dominate as of late with a 1.65 ERA his last three starts and has been great at home as well with a 10-3 record and 1.31 ERA.  Cubs bats came a live in Game 2 and that will carry over here tonight

I will take the points here with the Raptors as they will want revenge from the Cavs as they eliminated them from the playoffs last year.  This has been a series that is dominated by the team going 8-1 ATS the last 9 home games.  With the Cavs coming off a blowout win over the Knicks the betting public no doubt will love to lay this low number.  This is a bigger game for the Raptors 

I was against the Kings last night, but have no problem backing them here tonight.  I came away very impressed with what I saw especially their big men.  They took full control of that game in the 2nd quarter and never looked back.  I do realize this is obviously a back to back situation here, but the starters did have plenty of rest since they were up large.  The Spurs are coming off a blowout win over the Warriors which everyone is going to fall in love with, but the Warriors will continue to struggle as I have mentioned before their bench is gone and it will take them a while to figure things out.  I like the Kings to stay competitive here tonight.  

I'm gonna lay the points and back the Trojans here tonight.  They are in a very good spot right now coming off their bye week and playing their best football of the season, so they will be plenty motivated here.  Cal is simply a team you cant trust on the road with how horrific their defense is.  They give up over 40 points a game and nearly 500 yards per game which is recipe written for disaster.  Remember just a few weeks back this USC team racked up over 500 total yards on Colorado.  I see USC hanging a big number here and Cal won't be able to catch up.

I will take the 3.5 with the Pittsburgh here tonight.  This team is well rested coming off their bye week and are IMO being over looked here.  They are just 8 points away from being undefeated with losses coming @ Oklahoma St and @ North Carolina, nothing to hang their head on there.  They know this is a huge statement game for them tonight if they want a shot to play for the conference title.  I was on Virginia Tech last week as my ACC Play of the Year, but that blowout win over Miami is honestly nothing special.  The Hurricanes are really struggling on offense right now.  The Panthers have a legit offense this year and I see them keeping this close if not winning outright 

Both of these teams had bad seasons no doubt and that is why this line is low.  However, the Suns had to deal with major injuries all year long from key players Brandon Knight and Eric Bledsoe.  The Suns will be one of the most improved teams in basketball this year.  You simply can't trust this Kings team.  The Kings jump shooting I question a lot this year.  Their additions I don't feel like they actually got any better.  Take the Suns to win their opener tonight

To me it's really hard to back the Heat here going into this season with all the question marks.  Wade is gone Bosh having health issues.  The Heat will be one of the worst teams in the East right next to the Sixers.  While I do see the Magic fighting for an 8th seed.  They quietly have a nice front court with big additions of Jeff Green, Serge Ibaka & Bismack Biyombo.  This team matches up very well against the Heat as they aren't a jump shooting team and Josh Richardson maybe their best outside shooter is out for the game.  

The NBA is back!!

Im gonna go with the Jazz here as I fully expect them to be a threat for a top 3 team in the western conference this year.  I realize they will be without Hayward here but they have a great nucleus espec with the additions of Joe Johnson George Hill and Boris Diaw to go along with a lot of young talent in Hood Favors and Gobert.  The Jazz play great defense and will loock down on Lillard and McCollum here tonight.  Take the Jazz and the points 

I'm gonna take the Chargers here as I feel they will be a live dog in this game.  I still dont trust the Falcons here and their defense. The Chargers are also a lot better than their record indicates as they have lost several close games, but are coming off a nice Thursday win over the Broncos.  They have had extra time to prepare here and also the West to East coast doesn't factor since this is a late start.  Falcons are coming off a tough battle vs the Seahawks and teams after playing Seattle typically struggle big time and in fact rarely cover.  I will take the points here with Rivers who will have no problem lighting up the bad Falcons defense

There is simply way to much love on the Bills as this game should be a PK at worst. Sure they have won 4 in a row, but lets look at who they have played.  They were catching the Cardinals in a great spot plus they were in desperate mode themselves.  Patriots have QB problems still so not counting it and now the Rams and Niners to bad teams.  This is a division rival game here.  They will be without McCoy as well which will hurt their offense.  The key here is that the Dolphins are finally getting healthy especially on their OL.  Even before Big Ben went down last week Miami was dominating the Steelers.  I see the Dolphins winning this one out right as well

NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK!

Love the Eagles here who are being way undervalued here.  Just two week the Eagles were in a similar situation @ Detroit where the Lions look ahead line was -1 well it flipped based on one game results Eagles ended up being favored by 3 and lost outright.  Same here with this game Vikings coming off their bye look ahead line was Eagles -1 and now based on one game the Vikings are -3.  Eagles will be extra motivated here and let's not write them off yet as both games were on the road.  Minnesota still has a terrible offense while the Eagles actually have a good defense as well 

The Jaguars have won two in a row now and I realize it was just the Colts and Bears, but that can do a lot for a young team.  They scored all their points last week in the 4th when they looked dead in the water.  The Raiders are a fraud as they have been out gained in every single game so far and that will be catching up with them.  This is a huge game for the Jags to get back to 3-3 on the year as well.  I know the Raider have had some success from the West to East coast this year, but it catches up with them here playing an early game.  Take the Jags they are being extremely under valued 

Love Auburn here in this situation as the Razorbacks are coming off of Alabama and an upset win over Ole Miss last week.  Arkansas is flat out terrible against running teams losing by 21 & 19 to Bama & A&M.  Arkansas gives up a massive 6.4 yards per play and Auburn ranks 12 in the country in running the ball at 4.8 yards per carry.  I see Auburn really controlling the clock here and running it down their throats.  Auburn also wants revenge from last years Quadruple OT loss.

Really like the value here with TCU as WVU is getting way too much credit for pounding a bad Texas Tech team.  WVU is undefeated and that is why this line is inflated.  This will no doubt be the hardest game for the Mountaineers.  WVU was only favored by K St by 3.5 and clearly they are a lot worse than TCU.  Last 13 games coming off a bye for TCU they are 13-0 ATS.  TCU will be ready here 

I know this Purdue team isn't anything special, but neither is the Cornhuskers offense to be laying this many points.  Nebraska laid less points to Illinois and didnt cover and that was a team that Purdue did beat.  The firing of their coach will provide a spark as Purdue can put up points and I see them rallying behind their new guy in charge.  Nebraska will have its biggest game of the season next week @ Wisconsin so you can assure they are looking ahead to that

I was on VA TECH last ngiht as my ACC play of the year and wanted to see how they would respond after the beating they took to Cuse.  It worked out perfect and now I will be playing Boston College who is in a great spot here.  As I just mentioned Cuse has a big time win over Virginia Tech and their celebration went viral, but now they are due for a major let down.  I simply dont trust this Syracuse defense especially on the road defending this running attack of Boston College.  Also BC is coming off a bye week as well so they will be ready here.  I see them controlling the game on the ground as remember their defense is still very good.  

This game here is simply a sign of two misleading scores from last week.  Louisville dominated Duke every where expect the scoreboard.  They only won by 10 but out gained them by a massive 230 yards.  They turned it over once in the red zone and also missed a FG this game easily should have been a 20 point win or more.  NC St is coming off a big Notre Dame and a hard fought loss to Clemson in which they should have won.  Clemson dominated that game as well by out gaining them by over a 100 yards.  The Tigers also turned it over on their own side of the field 3 times and the time they didn't it was a pick six to start the 2nd half.  I see Louisville more focused here and will dominate this game

While I know the Hawkeyes haven't lived up to expectations this year they are catching this Wisconsin team in a great spot here.  I'm sure everyone watched as the Badgers lost in OT to a very good Ohio St team.  I see that having a big effect on them in this game.  Iowa's season is on the line right now and they also have a bye week looming which I like.  Iowa has never been a great favorite but is a great home dog.  Iowa has a great running game with Daniels and Wadley and they will be a load.  Not saying Iowa wins this game but it will be close no matter what.  

Both these teams are 1-6 right and Miami is coming off it's first win of the season which I'm sure they were extremely happy about.  Bowling Green has struggled no doubt but they are playing a lot better as of late and have been in each of the last 4 of 5 but just haven't broke through.  I was really impressed with their performance last week @ Toledo who to me is the 2nd best team in the MAC only lost by 7 as 32 point underdogs and put up over 500 total yards.  This team is on the improve and will take it to a Miami Oh team who really struggles on offense.  

Everyone is now writing off this Oregon team and I believe it's time to jump back on board.  Granted they aren't the same team they use to be, but let's look at who they have played.  They lost by 3 @ Nebraska who is now ranked in the Top 10, and lost to the three best schools in the PAC 12 IMO in Washington St, Washington and Colorado.   Dropping four straight they are coming off a bye week to re group and play a Cal team that has just as many questions marks.  This Cal team doesn't impress me much at all losing as 13 point favorites to the worst team in the PAC 12 in Oregon St.  They don't deserve to be favored here

I'm gonna take the home team and the points here tonight.  Temple has been a great bet all season as they have covered every game as an underdog.  South Florida does have a very good offense, but the defense is a big question mark and Temple will be able to hang some points.  Temple is coming off of two hard road games as the were underdogs in both, while South Florida is coming off two easy home wins.  Take the points and Temple tonight

Yes this is a rivalry game and generally you would think it's close, but the Broncos have had this one circled all year.  They want revenge big time from last year.  BYU has played a brutal schedule so far and coming off another OT win they are due for a let down.  The line is low because Boise hasn't been blowing teams away simply because they aren't interested for example last week vs Colorado St.  That will have people backing off them as well when big favorites play close games.  Boise St is a lot better than what people think.  Lay the points!

I was on the Cubs last night and will be backing them on the RL tonight.  Their bats finally woke up and that is a scary sign for the Dodgers.  I see the Cubs having all the confidence right now with the performance last night and totally expect that to carry over.  Lester is 9-3 on the road this season with a 3.17 ERA.  He just pitched a gem against the Dodgers going 6 innings and only giving up 1 run.  Dodgers really struggle with lefties only averaging 3.7 runs.  They send out Maeda who the Cubs tagged first out as he only made it 4 innings.  I see it no different this time around!

ACC PLAY OF THE YEAR!

I love Virginia Tech here coming back home after they suffered a bad loss in which I did have Syracuse +20.  The Hokies were in a very tough spot last week coming off a big road win @ North Carolina and have this big Thursday night game on deck.  Last game was the only time VA Tech has been out gained all year as the Orangemen pulled out all their tricks.  I was also against this Miami team Saturday as they lost SU to North Carolina.  They are really struggling right now as they have been out gained 3 games in a row have lost back to back home games and now face a pissed off Virginia Tech team.  Miami hasn't scored above 20 points their last 2 games which is very concerning.  Virginia Tech has the 7th ranked overall defense in the country and will have no problem shutting down Miami.  

I like the RL here with a desperate home team avoiding the dreaded 3-0 in the series.  It's an obvious must win situation and I look for the Blue Jays to come through with Stroman on the mound.  He is in great form right now with a 2.70 ERA his last three starts and has pitched really well in his two starts vs the Indians with a 1.29 ERA.  The Indians will counter with Trevor Bauer who has never beaten the Blue Jays and has a career ERA of 8.57 against them.   

NFL GAME OF THE MONTH!

Love the Packers here as they arent getting much respect because of the hot start from the Cowboys.  Dallas has had one of the easiest schedules to start the season and that has helped Dak out a lot get comfortable.  Green Bay will by far be the best defense Dallas has seen and also the best offense the Cowboys defense has been.  Packers play the run very well which is the Cowboys strong suit.  You have to love Rodgers being a short home favorite.

AFC WEST GAME OF THE MONTH

Love the Chiefs here who are getting zero respect.  Sure the Raiders have a good record, but they are one of the most overrated teams in the league winning several close games that could have easily gone the other way.  Also the Raiders have a terrible defense and I see the Chiefs being able to expose that with Charles coming back and also they are coming off a bye week and most importantly they have the best coach in the league coming off byes

I was against the Redskins last week vs the Ravens as they were once again extremely lucky as the Ravens had a pick six that was fumbled at the goal for a touch back and totally changed the out come of the game.  The Eagles lost @ the Lions last week which is creating some value here.  This line opened for the Redskins -1 so clearly a ton of sharp $ came in on the Eagles and I agree here with this situation 

Panthers just lost to the Bucs on Monday Night Football to make that 3 losses in a row and yet are still favored over the Saints even though they are coming off a bye week.  The Saints defense is the worst in the NFL and now the Panthers return Cam and Stewart who obviously are major upgrades.  The Panthers are primed for a big bounce back spot here 

I'm gonna back the Ravens one more time this week as they let me down last week.  They are by far the better team on both sides of the ball.  The Ravens still rank 3rd in the NFL in yardage differential while the Giants are near the bottom half.  The Giants could easily be 0-5 right now as well and shouldn't be laying points in this situation.  I also liked that the Ravens fired their OC after the game last week which I expect that to be a positive result for Flacco.

This may seem like a huge line especially with Wisconsin coming off a bye, but Ohio St is a whole different animal.  I was on Michigan vs Wisconsin as they completely dominated them the whole game, but failed to cover.  Wisconsin is getting to much credit for that cover IMO.  Ohio St was clearly looking ahead last week vs Indiana as they looked a bit sloppy.  Wisconsin will struggle to move the ball here and I also believe that the Badgers will have hard time matching the speed of the Buckeyes on offense.  Ohio St wins in comfortable fashion 

Cubs are rolling right now and this is great value to take them here on the RL.  Jon Lester is having a terrific season with a 20-5 record.  He is 11-2 @ home with a 1.62 ERA.  I see the Dodgers having a rough time here with Maeda on the mound or other reports are saying some one else.  Either way Cubs take control Game 1 win on the RL

We are seeing an over reaction here because of the 19 points loss to Alabama last week.  Also the line has been adjusted as well since Ole Miss is coming off a bye week.  I'm not buying this Ole Miss team quite yet.  They are giving up 4.8 yards per carry right now and we all know what Arkansas does best and that is run the ball.  Also the Razorbacks committed 5 turnovers with the dagger being the 108 yard pick six with as Arkansas had a chance to really cut into Bama's lead.  That pretty much sealed the deal for that game. This is a great bounce back spot for Arkansas and I see them staying with single digits here if not winning out right

I'm gonna take Syracuse here as Virginia Tech is simply getting to much credit for last week's blowout win over North Carolina.  UNC was trying to throw the ball like they always do but through the rain and wind that is a terrible combination.  Tech is a good team no doubt but given this situation and hosting Miami next week on Thursday I see them in a huge look ahead game here.  The best parts of Tech's defense is their ability to stop the run.  Well Cuse isn't a team that likes to run anyways as they are very pass happy.  Cuse will put up some points here.  Simply to much value to pass up on as Louisville wasn't even favored by this much visiting Syracuse 

I was against the Vols last week in which they failed to cover the 6.5 I got them at.  Tennessee nearly won that game on the road despite turning it over 7 times.  Alabama is coming off a huge win @ Arkansas and is creating some value here.  In fact the line is only 1 point different and I feel the Vols are better than the Razorbacks.  Also the game of the year line has changed big time in this case as the Vols were actually -1 to start the season.  I do realize they have many key injuries on the defensive side of the ball.  I see Tennessee keeping it close here in what is by far their biggest game of the season

I'm gonna ride with the Tarheels here as they were embarrassed last week vs Virginia Tech, however I am giving them a slight pass due to the fact they played in the hurricane.  UNC didn't change their game plan and still tried to throw it all over the field which clearly didnt work.  Miami on the other hand suffered a hard fought loss to their rival Florida St @ home in which UNC has beat already @ FSU.  Miami has played an extremely easy schedule and hasn't seen anything like the pass happy UNC offense who will be the more motivated team here.  

I'm gonna ride with Maryland here against a very banged up Minnesota squad.  The Gophers will be without their QB while he is struggling I don't see things getting any better as now they will be starting a walk on who has thrown one pass.  Maryland lost their QB in the 2nd half last week @ Penn St and while he is still questionable I actually look for him to play.  Even if he doesn't I still like their team a lot better than the Gophers who are extremely limited.  Maryland is a whole different animal @ home averaging over 500 yards of offense.  Gophers can't play catch up by any means

I'm gonna lay the big number with the Tigers here who are really playing well on both sides of the ball.  As we know their offense started off shaky this season, but needed Louisville to wake them up.  I was very impressed with how the followed up the Louisville win vs Boston College last Friday.  I'm not buying much stock into NC ST as I feel this line is low because they have covered 4 of 5 and are coming off a Notre Dame win.  NC St has played a very easy schedule and will be shocked for the defense they are about to face.  

There is no doubt to me that Tulane is one of the most improved teams in the country this year.  They are out gaining their opponents by about 50 yards per game.  They average nearly five yards per carry and Memphis give up 4.2 yards per carry.  I see Tulane really controlling the clock here on the ground.  Tulane only lost by 7 to a Navy team we just witnessed last week beat Houston.  Take the home dog here tonight  

I'm gonna go with the Broncos here tonight as they will get back their QB Trevor Siemian.  Denver suffered their first loss last week vs the the Falcons but in large part was due to the fact that Siemian didn't play.  San Diego simply can't find a way to win right now and there is no way you can trust that defense.  They are trending downwards in a hurry losing 3 in a row when they could have actually won all 3.  They will simply wear on a team and with some of their players caught laughing on the sidelines last week even they believe they are done.  Denver's defense is still one of the best in football if not the best actually.  I see them bringing all sorts of pressure to Rivers and causing multiple turnovers.  

There is a lot of love on e Cowboys right now, but I'm not buying it as they have had a very easy schedule so far.  The Bengals are no slouch and this will be the best defense by far that Dak has faced.  Cowboys are still without Dez and likely without their best OL in Tyron Smith.  This is also be the most explosive offense the Cowboys have faced and I see them having trouble stopping AJ Green along with that running attack.  

I missed the line here but I obviously still like the Broncos a lot here as the Falcons are flying high.  They have faced 3 of the worst defenses in the NFL so far which is padding their offensive numbers.  The Falcons facing this Broncos defense with be nothing like they have seen so far.  Also the Falcons aren't very good on defense themselves and should have no problem moving the ball on them.  I will gladly lay the points here and it doesn't matter to me who is playing QB for as I was impressed with Lynch last week when he got to come in