Im putting a lot of faith in Iowa St here with Campbell.  I think the bye week came for them at the right time to try and figure out their offense.  Their defense is still one of the best in the country and I think they will contain Kansas St.  Mostly Iowa St has shot themselves in the foot this season with mistakes or special teams errors.  I think Purdy gets right and this team gets back into the Big 12 race as most aren't talking about them anymore 

I will fade Oklahoma here off that crazy win over Texas.  The fact they won was very lucky and the fact they covered was nothing short of a miracle.  This Oklahoma team is vastly overrated and I know they made the QB change which I do think that provides a spark.  However, they are still laying crazy numbers.  TCU I do trust and their offense will move the ball on this Oklahoma defense.  You're going to give me nearly two TD's with TCU?   I will gladly take

I will lay it here with Alabama.  I mean last week as everyone knows that Bama lost and they were favored by more actually in that game.  Texas AM is better than this Miss St team.  I also think the style that Leach loves to play fits right into the hands of Saban and company.  Saban doesn't lose and I guarantee he has his boys ready this week and makes a statement.  

This line is way out of control here.  So last week BYU losses to Boise giving them their first loss of the season.  We are seeing a big time overreaction here though.  Baylor last week was favored by 2.5 over WVU and blew them out.  Well you're telling me that BYU is worse than WVU? In way am I buying that at all.  Baylor has Texas on deck.  I love BYU here

Michigan St is one of the most overrated teams in the country here.  They are undated but should have lost a couple weeks back to Nebraska.  I think Indiana is live here for the upset Saturday.  The Hoosiers have lost to Cincy, Iowa and Penn St.  That isn't anything to hang your head-on as all those teams are very good.  Penix being out I believe helps the Hoosiers and he has simply been a shell of himself this season coming off that injury.  

Alright I love the price here for LSU.  I mean just two games ago they were favored -3 over Auburn. Is there a huge difference between Auburn and Florida right now?  I sure don't think so but you are going to give me 10?  I will gladly the Tigers here and all the points.  

I will take all the points here with this UCF team.  The love for Cincy right now is just out of control.  yes, the Bearcats are a great team but now laying 3 touchdowns against a more than capable team here in UCF. I know Gabriel being out has something to do with this but UCF has just as good of athletes here.  Cincy is 4-1 ATS and UCF is 1-4 ATS.  The love from the public will be there and this is why I side with UCF

Give the Aztecs credit here for winning every game so far this season.  There is no doubt that their undefeated record is playing into this line.  They have each played New Mexico St and the line differential for those games were that SDSU should be -5 on a neutral but now are -8 @ San Jose?  They are way off and we are getting big time value here.  Remember that San Jose St was 13.5 point dogs @ USC to start the season

I will take the Eagles here and the points.  We all know the Bucs are really banged up here in the secondary and I backed the Dolphins last week in a losing effort.  I think here though where the Eagles have the edge is that they have a QB that can move the ball down field with Hurts.  I fully believe they will score points here and keep it within this key number of 7.  

I will take the 49ers here in this game.  So the Cardinals had a great performance last week vs the Rams and props to them.  However, lets not overreact to just that one game.  They were very sluggish against the Jags and should have lost to the Vikings.  I just think with a week to prepare for Shanahan and I believe his guy in Lance I think the Niners are live here.  This team will expose the Cardinals on the ground as their rush defense is pretty bad.  

I will gladly take the points here with the G Men.  This team made a crazy comeback and won in OT. I love the fact that they didn't give up and came away with a win giving them some extra confidence.  The Cowboys on offense are very good no doubt.  Everyone thinks their defense is much improved but it's only because of turnovers.  Their D is still very bad and in fact one of the worst in the league.  They give yup a ton of yards and with the Giants getting back some healthy WR's, I expect Jones and company to move the ball down the field.  This is a division game and love getting touchdowns with the dog.

I am honestly shocked this line didn't open hire.  Now I know the look ahead was a pick em in most spot but to me this Chargers team is underrated.  I had them Monday night vs the Raiders and they were in full control of that game.  Their only loss was against the Cowboys in week 2 in which they controlled that game but had two offensive touchdowns taken off the board.  To me this Chargers team is just really really good. They pass the eye test and I love both sides of the ball.  Losing Flynn as their coach is clearly and upgrade.  Lay the short price with the Chargers 

The Eagles are one of the best teams in the league in the classic yards per play differential averaging +1.2 more per play.  I think that has the Eagles extremely undervalued here.  Also the Eagles have lost to the Cowboys, Chiefs and Niners all 3 of those teams are good and most likely 2 will be playoff teams.  I was against Philly last week but I actually was impressed with their offense.  Also the Eagles and Panthers both have played at Dallas.  The Eagles were 3.5 point dogs and Panthers last week were 4.5.  Neither team covered but that is saying the Eagles on a neutral would be -1 just based on the closing lines.  Well if so then adjust for Carolina at home should be -1 or -1.5.  Hmm we are getting +4.  Give me the Eagles

I really like the Dolphins here this week.  Yes, the Dolphins have looked pretty bad and it's clear to say that they will be one of the biggest under achievers for this season.  I know their offense has looked bad but I do expect them to have success here.  The main reason is because the Bucs secondary has all new face and they have cluster injuries everywhere.  Also, the spot here isn't great for Tamps coming off that Brady homecoming game @ New England.  This is a let down spot.  The Bucs ardent a covering team either just 1-3 ATS this season and the only one they covered they were very lucky against the Falcons with two pick sixes in the 2nd half.  I think the Dolphins can take care of the ball and move it here.  

I really like the Bengals here this week.  To me the Packers dont pass the eye test at all and they most certainly aren't a top 10 team.  Their best CB is out this week and now their 2nd best LB is out.  I think this injures are big for a defense that isn't very good.  This Packers team should be 2-2 if it weren't for a absolute miracle win @ San Fran.  The Bengals are vastly improved and it starts on defense as they bring in a top 10 ranked unit.  Tee Higgins returns for the Bengals and Burrow is the real deal.  I think the Bengals win this game outright, I love them

The Saints have no business at all being favored on the road.  They currently have the 2nd worst rated passing offense in the league.  Well, the worst part of the Washington D has been their pass defense but clearly the Saints won't be prime to expose that here.  I just think the wrong team is favored.  Yes, most had higher hopes for Washington but I think now is the time to back them.  

The Michigan love is getting a little out of hand here now.  I will gladly take the 3.5 with the Huskers here in a night game.  I really believe this win this one outright and this the Frost moment if you will for the team going forward.  Michigan is improved I give them credit and and they are 4-1 ATS while the Huskers are 5-1 ATS.  Michigan will be the darling public side now being highly ranked and laying a short price.  I believe they fall flat here in Lincoln

I will happily take Penn St in this game.  Iowa has been a team that has just feasted off turnovers this season.  Penn St only has 3 turnovers on the season and Clifford has improved a ton which was needed if Penn St wanted to make the leap forward this season which they have done.  I dont think Iowa gets the short fields like they have with their offense.  Penn St defense is also no joke.  Iowa is creating all the turnovers they need to win this game.  Wrong team is favored.

I just think Virginia is the better team overall here.  Louisville to me just doesn't have enough here vs this Virginia team.  Virginia is better on both side of the ball.  I also really love the spot here for Virginia having on a Thursday so they have plenty of time to prep for this one.  That win at Miami for Virginia was enough to save their season and I believe they win outright.

This is a big number here for the Vols to be laying.  They are coming off a huge blowout win over Missouri but more importantly they were dogs in that game. Missouri is showing that they are one of the bottom team with Vanderbilt in the SEC.  Now Tennessee is laying double digits?  I think way too big of an adjustment here as has been made.  Both defenses here are pretty good so I dont expect a ton of points. The underdog has thrived in this series going 9-1-1 ATS last 11 games.

I can't believe this Michigan St team is laying points on the road.  The betting public will be all Sparty here as they come in undefeated.  Throw in the fact Rutgers is off back to back losses against Michigan and a ugly blowout at Ohio St last week, this is setting up for a nice Rutgers ML play as well.  Rutgers was getting 15 last week vs Ohio St and you're telling me there is only a 10 point difference between Sparty and Ohio St??  No way I'm buying that.  Rutgers is the right side here

I will take Texas here in this game.  I truly believe that Oklahoma currently is the most overrated team in the country.  Outside of the beat down of Western Carolina the Sooners have had all their others games be pithing 7 points or less.  They are bound to have another close not go their way. Texas is 4-1 ATS while the Sooners are 1-4 ATS.  I just couldn't be any less impressed with Oklahoma and I really trust Sark here in his first rivalry game to make a statement.  

I'm going to lay it with the Chargers.  They went on the road to Washington in week 1 and handled their own then actually outplayed Dallas big time lost by 3 but had two offensive touchdowns taken off the board and you have to upgrade that performance based on what we have seen from Dallas.  Last week they went o the road and beat KC.  This Chargers team is really good IMO.  Raiders are undefeated with 2 wins coming in OT.  I think their luck runs out here

Love the 49ers here this week.  The 49ers were -3.5 to the Packers last week and now laying less to Seattle and we all know that Green Bay is better than the Seahawks.  49ers should have won that game and if they did I firmly believe this line is 4 or 4.5.  This is great value here under the key number of 3.  The Seattle defense is the worst in the league right now and that is playing the Colts, Titans and Vikings not exactly world beaters on offense. 

I really like the Giants here in this game.  They are the desperate team here sitting 0-3.  You could make the case though that they should be 2-1 losing two close games back to back weeks.  I just dont believe the Saints and company deserve to be laying more than a TD to anyone.  We haven't seen anything special on offense from the Saints as Winston doesn't even have over 400 passing yards this season.  Way too many here, give me the G Men

I have been pretty spot on with this Chiefs team so far in the early on.  I really like them here though to get the job done.  The Eagles on a short week and just flat out looked horrible.  Sure, I maybe overreacting some but the offense has really done nothing so far with Hurts outside of Atlanta week 1.  I think we get a pissed off Chiefs team and really focused here and I fully expect them to score in the 30's which should cover this number easily

I like the Vikings here in this game.  We could easily make the case that this team should be 3-0 and at worst 2-1.  Now I know that this line is suggesting that the Browns and Seahawks are equal based on last week but I think the Vikings finally had their outbreak game.  Cousins is playing great right now and Cook should be back.  The Browns were down to Tyrod Taylor and the Texans before he got hurt and had to leave the game.  Last week they destroyed a horrible Bears team.  Minnesota wins outright

I really like the Colts here in this game.  Indy just 2 weeks ago was getting 3.5 to the Rams and they lost by 3.  Granted I know that was at home but that is also the best team in football.  Since the Colts haven't won a game yet that is why they are dogs.  I believe this Dolphins team has serious issues on offense. Last week the Raiders spotted them 14-0 in the first and Miami went flat.  The importance of this game for Indy to avoid 0-4 is huge.  I think they win outright

I will take the Huskers here in this game. Nebraska is a team that gets a ton of hate but yet all they have done is cover 4 straight games.  They should have won last week @ Michigan St.  Here is the reason this team has a legit defense and no one is talking about them.  One dimensional NW won't be moving the ball and the Huskers will have huge chunk plays on the ground as the Wildcats have already been exposed to that.

Sparty is off back to back all out games here vs Miami and Nebraska.  They should have lost last week and I think are due for a let down here.  I had Western Kentucky last week vs Indiana and they covered and had a chance to win that game outright losing by just 2.  I think the Hilltoppers give Mich St all they want here

I think this line stinks and it's not moving with everyone be all over Oklahoma St.  The Cowboys could easily be 1-3 as they won some coin flips their first 3 games.  Baylor I will admit the score last week was misleading as Iowa St did dominate the game and ultimately special teams cost the Cyclones the game.  I do think Baylor is a sneaky team here and that is what this line is telling you.   Also Iowa St has a top 5 defense in the country so you can't really blame them for not moving the ball great. Oklahoma St has Texas on deck which is a huge look ahead.

I will gladly take La Tech here in this game catching all these points.  I had them in week 1 vs Miss St and they only lost by 1 point as a 23 point dog.  I just love the situation here as NC St is coming off a massive massive win over Clemson and you know they are celebrating all week here.  I fully expect a let down. I just dont see the motivation here at all for the Wolfpack as they just wanna win this game.

I do like this WVU team but I dont want any part of them laying more than a TD.  Tech just got embarrassed last week vs Texas so I think they really are motivated for a bounce back here.  WVU I could see coming out a little flat with an all out effort last week vs Oklahoma in a game they could have won. WVU might be a tad better but give me the 8 here. 

So we get Cincy off the bye here and this is absolutely the most circled game of the year for them.  The bye week scheduled here is no accident.  Also Notre Dame pulling away last week was extremely misleading with the final score.  Notre Dame had a kick return for a TD and if they dont get that then I think this game is totally different.  They have been very lucky all year long.  It catches up with them this week against a very good Cincy team

This line has been adjusted here a ton as if they game were the beginning of the year it would have been around 17.  Yes, USC has looked horrible and there are a ton of questions right now.  Colorado is a very bad football team.  They barely had over 100 yards vs Minnesota.  They were blown out @ ASU last game.  The talent gap is wide here and I trust USC to bounce back just like they did after the ugly Stanford loss

I like the Badgers here quite a bit here as the betting public will be all over Michigan.  The Badgers game last week was very close in fact they had the lead going into the 4th.  the game really flipped when ND returned a kick for TD.  Mertz doesn't look good I know but has Michigan really impressed you with the schedule they have played?  Badgers win by 6.

I like the buy low spot here with the Gophers.  This team is coming off their worst loss in the PJ Fleck era losing to Bowling Green as a 31 point favorite.  Well, now Purdue is favored and they dont deserve to be.  This Purdue offense is very very bad scoring just 13 points each the last two games.  Gophers will control the game on the ground in a great bounce back spot and I expect them to win outright

Everyone and I mean everyone will be all over Iowa tonight.  I mean the #5 ranked team in the country only laying 3.5 on the road against an average team yup it's a lock.  I think people are ignoring that Maryland beat a very good WVU team.  Also Iowa has a huge look ahead game with Penn St coming to town and there is a lot of talk about gamely being there for that one.  I don't trust this Iowa offense at all as they are flat out horrible. Terps win this game outright

I like the Rams here in this game.  Everyone will be all over the Bucs here in this game especially with Brady laying a short number.  What the Rams do really well is throw the ball and where the Bucs are very weak is their secondary.  The difference will be the Rams pass rush here to put some pressure on Brady.  Bucs will be without Brown at WR also.

We have a unique one here.  First, the Broncos were -3 @ Giants then -7 @ Jags.  Yes, they won and covered both of those games.  Well now they are favored by 10.5 vs the Jets.  I mean are the Jets Jags and Giants any different and if so more than 3?  I dont think so.  Clearly this is inflated big time here.  The Broncos have key inures losing Jewell and Chubb here two stud LB's.  Denver also isn't high scoring so I think 21-13 type of win

I like Washington here.  Yes, their defense hasnt played up to par so far based on what most thought.  I still believe they are a good unit and the fact that Buffalo is so pass happy make me think that DL just pushes their ears back and go all game long. The Bills game last week was very misleading despite winning 35-0. Josh Allen hasnt looked the part at all so far this season.  Simply too many points for this Bills team to be laying

I wil take the Saints here as I dont think the Patriots deserve to be a FG favorite.  I know this will be the Saints third straight road game.  The Patriots lost to the Dolphins and beat a Jets team who Wilson handed it to them throwing 4 picks.  The Patriots defense might be really good who knows but facing Tua and Wilson a rookie QB isn't the same as Jamies who can move the ball down field.  

Do I wish the Chiefs would have still won Sunday night against the Ravens...yes.  I do like the Chargers here though and it's pretty simple.  First, this is a division dog and this early I the season this angle has been extremely profitable over the years.  Also the Chargers can move the ball with Herbert against what looks like so far easily the worst defense in the whole league.  If this does hold up any team with an above average offense getting more than 6 points is a play vs the Chiefs.  

I love Western Kentucky here in this game.  This is literally like the perfect spot that you look for with a team especially catching this many points.  Indiana is off a huge game over Cincy in which they blew it but now have Penn St on deck.  Oh and WKU is coming off their bye week as well and you can guarantee they have this one circled and its a night game! 

I like the Huskers here in this game.  So ever since the first game they lost vs Illinois which was misleading this team has covered the next and still aren't getting credit.  Heres the thing though that their defense is flying around and Sparty is so one dimensional running the ball I think Nebraska can really shut them down.  Huskers put up nearly 400 yards of offense on the Sooners is that bad?  I also think last week Sparty benefitted from 4 turnovers and eventually Miami just throw in the towel late as they knew they couldn't overcome. This would make a ML play also

I will take Illinois here and all the points.  I think this is a gift.  First, I believe Nebraska is better than Purdue and we are getting more points here now than when did when Illinois beat Nebraska.  Also Illinois returned their starting QB and they nearly beat Maryland last Friday only losing by 3.  Purdue off a big time game against ND I could see them being flat here.  I like Illinois

Iowa was extremely lucky last week to get the cover by half a point.  I wasn't on the game but Kent St was driving and fumbled at the 1 yard line into the end zone and Iowa recovered.  That would have made the game 14-16 late in the third.  Kent St never recovered from that at all.  I also love Iowa has the Big Ten schedule on deck here and I think this is a pretty blah game for them just to get through.  Colorado St is coming off a huge win also winning @ Toledo last game.  I love back big dogs that are playing confident.

This is one of those sneaky under the rdar rivalry games as campuses are less than an hour apart here.  Yes, TCU is big brother but this game means more to SMU. SMU is 11th in the country in scoring offense right now.  Also both defense are off to a good start holding opponents to each under 20 ppg.  TCU is off their bye but the most important thing here is that they have their big brother on deck in Texas.  I think both of these teams are equal so give me all the points.

I'm going to lay it here with LSU.  I think the healthier this team gets clearly the better they will be and evidence was last weekend vs Central Michigan.  Well you ask what's so impressive about that?  They dominated that game it was a a big number to lay.  I also haven't been a fan of Miss St and they lost @ Memphis last week.  I think we are still getting a super cheap price here on LSU since the loss @ UCLA.

I didn't get the best of the number but I still the Chargers are worth it here.  Dallas had every chance vs the Bucs to win that game being +3 in turnovers.  Their offense was impressive yes but also the Bucs secondary is by far their worst part of the team.  The Cowboys now suffered a huge blow to an already bad defense in losing Lawrence their DE who is a stud.  Herbert should have a field day again this bad D and I see them covering fairly easily.

I will take the Vikings here this week.  First, the Cardinals go from a 3 point dog to the Titans and now a 3.5 point favorite vs the Cards.  Which team is better?  To me the Vikings are clearly better than the Titans but yet the Cardinals are laying more than a FG?  The line is way off here and I think in large part because of the Vikings loss to the Bengals.  The Titans secondary is very very bad this matchup favors the Vikings. 

Last week was line was available at -8.  Now, the line has passed several key numbers and shot up to 13.  The Falcons fall into a crazy dog role here after being favored by 3.5 last week.  I know the Bucs have extra time but these teams are familiar with each other being in the same division.  I also wasn't impressed with the Bucs secondary against Dallas as Dak and company lit them up.  They also lost a starter now back there as well.  This is a classic overreaction to me grab the points.

I really like the Panthers here this weekend getting 3.5.  The Panthers last week didn't do anything sexy but simply took are of business against a bad Jets team.  They were in full control of that game as the Jets scored both touchdowns in the 2nd half.  The Saints will be a sexy pick here in large part because of the blowout win over the Packers.  While that win was good yes I'm just not sure they deserve to be laying 3.5 on the road. 

I like the Bears here.  The Bears actually impressed me Sunday night against the Rams.  They ran the ball for 135 yard against a very good Rams DL.  With their success on the ground there they won't have an issue here against the Bengals.  I also believe the Bengals will be a sexy underdog pick here since they beat the Vikings in OT.  I'm not ready to crown the Bengals here at all as they have much more to prove.  

I will happily take the Eagles here.  I know the Eagles beat a probably below average team in the Falcons but they really dominated the game.  The Niners did control the game against the Lions but I think the injuries for the Niners will play a part.  They have cluster injuries to the RB's and just lost their best CB in Verrett.  The Eagles have a great and OL and DL and they are healthy this season.  

Yes, I know plug your nose but this line is a crazy overreaction to week 1.  Last week the Broncos were favored by 2.5 in this game and now it's up to 6?!  The Jags looked bad yes but wow really the Broncos beating the Giants is that impressive? I expect major improvement here from the Jags.  Also Broncos lost a huge weapon in Jeudy their WR.  

This probably square and I know the line has gone up a little from 3.5 or 4 from the preseason.  I just think it is warranted though.  Penn St was in a tough spot last week coming off a huge road win @ Wisky week 1 but they really answered the call.  They blew out a Ball St team who is a very good MAC team and the defense here is the real deal.  Auburn to me has played tow cupcakes and put up a ton of points.  Does that impress you?  It's a white out for Penn St and I love this defense 

Wrong team is favored here in this game.  I was against Miss St in both games so far and have went 1-1.  They were extremely lucky to have won week 1 against La Tech and they were favored by 23.  They won the turnover battle last week and that played a large part of them beating NC St.  This Memphis team especially on offense will have no issue moving the ball on this weak Leach defense.  Grab this now

I am just very surprised here by this line.  So Wyoming last week was -6.5 at Northern Illinois and they were projected to be one of the worst teams in the MAC this season.  They snuck away late and won by 7.  Now they are favored granted at home but is there an advantage at home?  Ball St most had as a top 3 team in the MAC and I think them getting blown out at Penn St is playing a part of this.  Too many points I will take Ball St.

I will gladly take all the points here in this game.  Yes, Mama blew the doors of Miami Fla and looked impressive but as we have found out the ACC is just flat out bad and I'm not putting much into that game.  Florida has had a couple easy ones here early on looking ahead to this game here.  I think the key number here for Florida is 20. If they can get there which I believe they do then they will cover this game.  First true road test for Jones lets see how he handles it in a very tough environment. 

I really think this line climbs during the week so grab it now.  USC laid an horrible egg last week losing to Stanford as 17 point favorites.  That lead to the firing of their head coach Clay Helton which I think is now a positive and that will motivate the kids to play hard this week.  Washington St isn't a good team at all.  Wazzu lost to a horrible Utah St team as 18 point favorites in week 1 and Portland St they beat by 20 but didn't cover the -31.  

I fully expect sharp money to come in here on Florida St.  This is most defiently an all out game for Norvell and his team.  They simply have to win this game or he will be fired.  I also think the fact that Wake Forest isn't favored by more tells you exactly what the books are thinking.  They don't wanna give you the 6.  FSU has the better athletes and that doesn't always matter clearly but for this circle the wagon game here I will back them.

I really like West Virginia here in this game.  Va Tech is getting a ton of respect because of their win over high franked UNC in week 1.  It became very clear that the Tarheels are very over ranked and for that part the ACC clearly is.  West Virginia had a bye last week after dropping week 1 to Maryland.  They were actually in control of that game despite having 4 turnovers to the Terps 0 and only lost by 7.  I think that says a lot by how much WVU is improved this season.  Also worth mentioning that everyone will be on Va Tech because they are ranked. 

I will gladly take the Washington Football team here in this game.  So Fitzgerald is out of this game and it is always tough to throw a back up in then and get things going.  However Washington had their fair share of chances but literally couldn't get stop on defense and gave up a huge 3rd and 14 that gave the Chargers a big drive.  The Giants are horrible and literally IMO are top 5 worst team in the league.  The Washington Defense here will be the difference because you can rely on them to cause a few turnovers with Danny dimes at QB

I will take the Browns here who has revenge on their mind after losing to the Chiefs last season in the playoffs.  The Chiefs are great and Mahomes is everything you want no doubt.  I just think the Chiefs OL and their lack there of chemistry here vs a very good D line in the Browns.  Browns have weapon across the board and I just think they can have long drives and keep Mahomes in company off the field which is the key here to beat them.  

I will take the Steelers here getting all these points.  I think the Steelers are very undervalued here with all the weapons they have on offense and they do have a deathly roster.  I also think the Bilss are the most overrated team in league right now.  Allen has his coming out party last year but can he back it up?  I think the Bills will be good but are they really going to blow out a playoff caliber team here week 1?  I dont think so

I like the Vikings here on a bounce back season.  The Vikings last year were banged up and banged up bad especially on D.  I have zero doubts about them bouncing back.  This team has Cook, Jefferson & Theilin and there is nothing not to love about them.  I do love Burrow going forward but they are getting a lot of respect and I do think it will take Burrow some time to get his feet under him following the surgery from last season.  

I'm going to take the Cardinals here.  I think they have improved their defense and while it may not be great per say I defiantly believe it's better.  I also think the betting public will love the Titans here as everyone knows the Julio trade by now.  The thing is though that the Titans secondary IMO is just flat out bad and I fully expect Murray to carve them up big time.  

So last week this line was -1.5 for Michigan and now since the Huskies lost to Montana and looked really bad we are getting some crazy value.  Michigan blows out directional Michigan and now gets a lot of love.  I just need to more from Harbaugh in these types of games.  I love the overreaction to these types of games from 1 week.  The total is very low here also and I lean to the under which I think the under and the dog are correlated. 

I am high on this NC St team.  I had them last week -18 in a winner over South Florida as they skunked them 45-0.  Yes, USF is a bad team I know but the. fact they held a. shutout says a lot to me.  Also Miss St. was one of the luckiest teams and I went against them taking La Tech. +23 and they only lost by 1.  La Tech let a double digit lead blow against Miss St in the 4th.  I also love the extra time off here for NC St.  

I will lay the number here with Texas.  I was beyond impressed with Texas last week facing a very good Rajun Cajun team who had a lot of hyper surrounding them and they returned a lot of players.  Texas won by 20 and dominated from the start of the game.  I really believe Sark is going to have a huge impact on this team and culture.  Arkansas was very misleading as they were tied 17-17 heading into the 4th but yet covered the 19 as they scored 21 in the 4th. Jefferson their QB was horrible 12/21 against a Rice team.  Arkansas doesn't have much of an home field advantage and I like Texas to get the job done.

I like App St here in this game.  This team is very underrated and I think we are getting really good value here.  I also think this is a very tough spot for Miami who is coming off Bama and this game will be easy to over look fro them.   I definitely dont think that Miami. will be blowing this veteran group out.  App St is a solid program and one thing is for sure here that you know they have this game circled.

Eastern Mich here retunes 10 starts on offense and while the Badgers defense is very good their offense really struggles.  Wisky has no motivation here to blow out this team even after losing to Penn St.  They also have a huge game next vs Notre Dame so I expect a pretty vanilla game plan.  Hutchinson the QB for EMU is a go this weekend and give me just two scores here and I believe they cover this number

I love the Cyclones here this weekend.  All summer long oddsmakers had this game at 7 and now based on 1 game they are dropping this line by 3!  Iowa St is better on both sides of the ball and plus they have the better QB here in Purdy.  Also Iowa was pretty lucky last week as they had two pick sixes in the first half.  Petras their QB hasn't improved a lick and I think in a hostile environment he folds.  

I wil take Miami Oh here. The gophers lost their best RB for the season against Ohio St and I think that is a big loss as he is their best player.  Also the Gophers love to run the ball and that means the clock will run also.  Miami Oh will score as the gophers defense isn't world beaters.  I will take all these points here

Illinois is still getting a little respect from beating Nebraska.  However, if you did watch that game it was misleading and there were a couple things that happened they really flipped the game in favor of Illinois.  To me last week again UTSA they showed their true colors giving up 497 yards.  I trust Bronco Mendenhall here to get it done.  Last week Virgnia played horrible William and Mary I know but they took care of business winning 43-0

I love both of these teams and I really like Ulagalelei at Clemson for QB but Clemson did lose a lot. on offense and replacing Lawrence isn't going to be an easy task at all.   I think both of these teams are equal here so with this being a neutral field game I think Georgia and the points here have a ton of value.  Georgia did lose some pieces on D and they were ranked #1 against the rush last season.  Smart has had great recruiting classes so I'm not so worried about guys stepping up and replacing them.  I am also putting a lot of trust in QB JT Daniels here as well.  

So yes we have Conference USA team here in LA Tech against an SEC school and I think most will give Miss St the edge but this team is probably bottom 3 in the SEC.  They had 3 regular season wins over LSU Vandy and Missouri last year.  Leach is trying to get his style going but I think that's tough in this league as you need some sort of balance.  Also their defense especially in the passing game was horrible ranking 105th in the country.  

In regarding La Tech here I love that they return 10 defensive starters.  When backing teams from outside the power 5 you need to look at the experience and La Tech fits that here.  I also love we dont really need this to be a close game.  Just keep it within 3 TD's here and we are good.  I think they do that easily. 

I'm very high on this Missouri team this season and they are playing a bottom team in the MAC.  I think this is a great spot here to back a team that isn't getting much love but will be explosive on offense.  

Give me Indiana and the hook here in a game I think both teams are equal.  The Hoosiers season last year was for real and they return 17 starters from that team.  Their only two losses were Ohio St by 7 and Ole Miss by 6.  Penix their QB is definitely one to keep an eye on.  

Iowa here has one of the worst QB's in the Big Ten in Petras and so much of their season will be riding on him. They also had big shoes to fill on the DL which is a. big question mark right now.   They only have 13 starts coming back which isn't much at all considering most teams have at least 16 with everyone getting a free year.  I think Iowa is a play against until Petras the QB shows any hope.

I dont see this number hitting 6 because it will disappear quickly.  Penn St just couldn't get out of their own way last season starting 0-5.  However, though give them some credit for winning their last 4 when it could have been easy to really pack it in.  Clifford their QB is back and I fully expect big improvement from him.  Im not taking anything away from Wisconsin last year but their wins were Illinois Michigan Minnesota in OT and Wake Forest in the bowl game.  Nothing to special there but they are laying 5.5?  Maybe they are that good but I need to see it

I'm really high on this NC St team.  I think they are the 2nd best team in the Atlantic behind Clemson obviously.  Last year this team went 8-4 and two of those losses were by 2 and 3 points.  They were right there for a double digit win season.  they return 17 starters which is exactly what we are looking for following a good season.  They dont get much love or attention.  South Florida on the other hand is the worst team I the AAC and its not close.  Both offense and defense last year ranked in the 90's.  They had one win and it was the Citadel.  NC St shouldn't have an issue scoring 35+ here

First play of the season will be on the Cornhuskers here.  There is no doubt with everything that is surrounding this team that Frost will be looking to make a statement and I think he does it in a big way.  Illinois just doesn't have anyone and the talent gap here is huge.  Yes, I know it didn't matter last year but I think we see major improvements with Martinez at QB and this Nebraska team is one to watch covering the number this season.  Big Red for the first win this season!

I'm taking the Suns here tonight in game 1 of the finals.  I dont think the time off will hurt them.  I know the Bucks have played well without Giannis and I have had them the last two game.  You have to take into consideration though that the Hawks were no where near full strength as Young was really banged up.  Suns are a different animal.  I think they put their foot down tonight

I love the Bucks here tonight.  No Giannis no problem for Milwaukee.  Hawks really took advantage when he went down and I think too much is being played into this line.

I will take the Bucks here in this game.  I just think they have too much fire power here for the Hawks and the depth will be a big thing as well.  Hawks did make a statement game 1 but I think that was pretty much fools gold.  Bucks win this series and take a 2-1 lead tonight 

I really do like this Suns team quite a bit.  I think the love is getting a little out of hand here though. Yes, the Suns beat the Lakers but it was because of no Davis.  If he's playing I think the Lakers win that series.  I see a tight game down to the wire here tonight

This series is going 7 here. I know AD isnt playing and the Lakers looked horrible without him but one game doesn’t make me jump on the Suns.  I think this is going 7 and LeBron makes a statement 

I think this series is going 7.  Portland let one slip away last game but I think they bounce back here and win easily. 

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Well it's absolutely a do or die situation here for the Clippers.  You simply can't go down 3-0 in the series and expect to win it. With that being said I believe Kawhi rises to the challenge here and we see their best game. 

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