I like Carolina here as the Saints are still getting way too much respect for me.  Yes, they are off their bye week but laying over a TD against a division rival seems crazy.  I was against the Panthers last week as the Bears came in and won outright.  Well the Saints dont present that much of a problem on defense and Teddy should have no issue moving the ball.  I think we get an all out effort here from Carolina give me the points.

I think Missouri is a live dog here.  I had them a couple weeks ago as they won outright as two touchdown underdogs vs LSU.  They aren't getting any credit here.  Their first two losses were too Bama and Tennessee clearly both quality teams.  Kentucky could easily be 3-1 but I don't love the spot for them coming off a big time win over a rival in Tennessee as they were 6 point dogs.  This Missouri team is improved and I wouldn't be surprised if they won outright

I like Pittsburgh here getting double digits.  Basically they are saying that Pitt is the same as Louisville and quite frankly that isn't anywhere near the truth. No one will want anything to do with Pitt here because they have lost 3 straight, but two of those losses came by 1 point and the other was last week @ Miami losing by only 12.  They are clearly better than their record indicates.  This will be Notre Dame's first road game as well and their offense does worry me.  I expect a low scoring affair here.

I believe the wrong team is favored here.  In fact Purdue opened up the favorite here in this game and with the Brohm news as he won't be coaching because he tested positive the line quickly flipped.  I'm not sure about that.  Purdue returns 17 starters and will be one of the most improved teams in the Big 10.  Iowa has a lot to replace and too many questions on offense for me for them to be laying points right out of the gate here.  Purdue wins this game outright

Iowa St to me is the best overall team in the Big 12 and will gladly take the points here with them.  I think people still have that first game in their mind as they were upset in week 1.  They also have big time revenge from last season as Oklahoma St was a double digit dog and won outright in Ames.  Oklahoma St simply doesn't deserve to be favored here as they haven't proven anything yet this season.  Yes, they had a ton of talent returning but it hasn't translated to the field.  I think Iowa St wins outright

I like the Longhorns here in this game.  This is the ultimate buy low spot here on Texas.  They have lost two straight games but still have a ton of talent.  I also think Baylor here will be the square dog of the week.  Baylor has played WVU and Kansas and couldn't have looked any less impressive in those games.  Texas has revenge on their mind from an ugly loss last year 

I think this line is really telling you the story here.  UNC is coming off their ugliest game of the season with a loss @ Florida St.  I trust Mack here to have them ready for a big time performance here.  NC St at a glance is 4-1 and has had some good showings.  NC St will be missing their starting QB who has been really solid this season with over a 60% completion ratio and 8 TD's to just 2 INT's.  His leadership and accuracy will be missed.  UNC does struggle. against the run but NC ST isn't great at it and I think they will put all sorts of pressure on the back up QB.

So Auburn is 2-0 at home and 0-2 on the road and I definitely believe that is playing into the line here plus the fact that they lost week @ South Carolina.  I just think this is a great matchup for them here this. week.   This Ole Miss team has big holes in their defense giving up 6.2 yards per carry.  I think that will play right into Auburn's hands here.  I know last week Ole Miss QB struggled throwing 6 picks  and sure he can do better but that's hard to get out of your head IMO.  Auburn won't have any issue scoring and I will lay the short number.

I like the Bucs here.  I know most will be in love with the Packers here sitting undefeated and coming off their bye week.  Throw in the fact Tampa lost in the prime time game Thursday against the Bears and most people lost money with them. But, the biggest thing here is that last week Tampa was -3 in this game now just based on one game we are seeing near a 6 point move?! That's crazy to me.  Packers have beat the Lions, Vikings, Saints and Falcons.  Which one of those wins impress you?  Exactly none of them

I will go back with the Bengals here.  I lost last week with them but if you told me Baltimore would score 27 I would have bet Cincy covers that game easily.  Well, they failed to show up on offense here. Rivers shouldn't be laying more than a TD against anyone right now.  I just really like the bounce back spot here for Cincy.  Colts have faced a very easy schedule so far and I think that has inflated their defensive numbers.  Burrow bounces back with a solid game here

The Lions season here isn't lost quite. yet.  They know this is the game that they have to win if they have any hopes here and with coming off the bye week I expect a big effort.  The Jags defense is in for a long day here against Stafford.  You just have to wonder where the Jags heads are after losing back to back road games to winless teams at that time in Cincy and Houston.  It's a long up hill battle for the Jags and give me the desperate team

I like the Bears here in this matchup.  I think Carolina is now riding a little too hot as they have won 3 straight games as an underdog and now they are favored and begging for action.  I just worry about this Carolina offense against a very good D and that is exactly what the Bears bring in here.  Chicago might have their issue on offense but Carolina doesn't have a good D and I think Foles will take care of that.  Bears win this game outright

This line is just too high.  I get it the Eagles haven't looked by any means but I think they will be big time motivated here.  First, they actually gained new life with the Dak injury as now the Eagles are the front runner for the division.   Throw in the the fact the Ravens are coming to town and the Eagles know the importance of this game.  They are getting healthier as well. Ravens offense just isn't clicking right now this year ranking 24th in the league.  I think its smart to look the opposite way here getting more than a TD at home.

Late add info coming 

I'm just not convened that this Alabama team is that good especially on defense.  Last week Ole Miss went up and down the field on them and now they have to play a Georgia team who clearly looks the part right now.  This Georgia defense is giving up 2.8 yards per rush which is key a Bama loves to establish the run.  Georgia has a well balanced attack here that will create problems for this Bama defense based on what I have seen so far.  I wouldn't be surprised if Georgia came away with victory here.

Late Add

I think last week showed what this team was capable of and I had them vs Florida as they won outright as a 6.5 point dog.  I know with this line dropping it's sharp money but I have a hard time seeing why.  Miss St put everyone on notice week 1 with a big win over LSU well now that win doesn't look very good.  They have followed that up with back to back losses to Arkansas and Kentucky who as well will be considered bottom teams in the SEC.  Jimbo has a veteran group here and I dont think a letdown is in store.  

I'm taking South Carolina here and actually believe this game should be more of a PK.  This team is being undervalued here.  They took a good Tennessee team down to the wire in week 1 but the turnovers were the difference.  I also think Auburn is very overrated here as they should have lost last week vs Arkansas but the refs messed up big time.  South Carolina will move the ball against this weak secondary.  I think they win this one outright 

I was hoping for more points. here but will take the 6 as I dont see it going higher.  This is about the worst spot you could ask for if you're a Tennessee fan.  They are coming off a big time emotional game vs Georgia and now face Kentucky who they clearly won't be as up for but the key here is they have Alabama on deck setting up a big sandwich spot here.  I think this Kentucky team is very undervalued as they did outgain Auburn week 1 but lost the turnovers 3-0.  They lost to Ole Miss by 1 in a coin flip and held an high power offense with Leach and company to just 2 points.  

I think the jury is still out on this Miami team.  A few weeks back Miami went on the road @ Louisville and won which looked like a big time win at that time but now that win just looks bad. Miami first true test was last week and I was against them and Clemson just blew the doors off them.  This Pitt team is 2 points from being 5-0 and being extremely undervalued since they have lost 2 straight.  What I love here is that Pitt is giving up 1.7 yards per rush which will be great as King is a run first QB.  I think Pitt is a live dog here

I really think this Chargers team is a lot better than most want to believe or give credit for.  They should have beaten the Chiefs and Bucs letting leads slip away in both games.  I’m not impressed at all with the Saints and Brees.  They can sure put up points still but they don’t look the same when you watch them. 

I think the Browns here are the right side.  I'm not overreacting to last weeks big win over Dallas as their offense came alive.  The Colts have played one of the weakest schedules in the league and lets not forget they did lose to the Jaguars. The Browns are playing with some major confidence right now winning 3 straight.  I know the Colts D is ranked #1 but I think that is a fluke because of who they have played.  Big statement win coming from the Browns this week

I had the Dolphins last week in a losing effort but they were clearly the fight side vs Seattle.  They covered 90% of the game but a mistake late cost them the cover.  This 49ers team is just really messed up right now.  They looked flat out horrible Sunday night vs the Eagles.  While I know jimmy G is back, I know he isn't 100%.  The Dolphins will move the ball and score here against the banged up defense of San Fran.  

I'm taking the Falcons here in this game.  Yes, they are 0-4 but they should be an was 2-2 right now and because of that we are getting good value.  Falcons last week were 3.5-4 point favorites and now this line has dropped big time.  Carolina has won back to back games as a dog and no one wants any piece of the Falcons right now.  Atlanta has won 4 straight in this series.  

I'm taking the Redskins here in this game for several reasons.  The Rams are in one of the toughest travel spots you could ask for.  They are currently playing their 3rd game on the East Coast in 4 weeks.  That is extremely hard for a team. Throw in the fact that I dont think they will be that motivated here as well.  I actually think the Redskins will be motivated because they switched QB's finally and are starting Kyle Allen who will be an upgrade.  This Washington defense is the real deal and can contain the Rams. 

The Bengals here are being very much under valued.  Burrorw has made this team a competitive team and while they may not win a lot of games they will be in a lot of games.  I love the Cincy is coming off their first win of the season giving them plenty of confidence.  Lamar Jackson is also a little banged up right now and definitely isn't 100% here.  Jackson also hasn't covered at home vs the Bengals either.  

This may look like a big number here as Miami is a top 10 ranked team catching two touchdowns.  Miami has won and covered every game this season so they are getting respect.  Clemson so far has won but hasn't covered a game yet.  I just dont think they have been that interested because of the competition.  I think Clemson is well aware here of who they are playing and will be extremely focused.  This is the best team in football and I think they make a big time statement 

Both teams here in this game have a great defense.  Georgia was expected to but Tennessee has been a surprise on that side of the ball.  The can really shut down the Georgia running attack as they are only giving up 2.5 yards per carry.  Georgia is a run first type of team so that plays right into the Vols hands.  Also everyone will be back on Georgia after they destroyed Auburn.  I like the points here with the Vols. 

I like Missouri here in this matchup.  First they are being undervalued because they are 0-2.  Well, they have lost to Bama & Tennessee who aren't exactly bad teams.  In fact they are getting more points now this week @ home than they were last week @ Tennessee who is a better team.  LSU isn't a good team and dont let last week fool ya with them blowing out Vandy. 

I'm really big on Oklahoma here in this game.  The Sooners ave dropped 2 straight games now and this line should be a lot higher.  If this game were played two weeks Oklahoma would be laying over a TD no doubt.  Texas if you have watched them haven't been impressed at all especially on defense yet again.  I just dont believe this line is warranted at all here.  OU is by far better team with a better QB in Rattler. Lay the points and this line will go up.

I'm all over Texas AM here in this game.  I was against Florida last week in a winner and they didn't cover against South Carolina.  I also really like this spot for the Aggies coming off getting blown out vs Bama Jimbo should have his horses ready.  Florida is much improved offensively I will give them credit but this is a complete step up in competition.  Aggies haven't looked great I get it , but Florida's defense isn't lighting it up either.  This is the ultimate buy low spot here for the Aggies 

I’m going to take the Lakers here tonight in a big bounce back after losing game 3.  The Lakers dropped Game 3 because of the crazy performance by Butler.  Lakers don’t want this series being tied and the Heat aren’t 100% healthy right now.  LeBron makes this a big time statement game tonight 

Grab this one now as well.  I had the Bills last week in a winner and will. back them again here.  They were just dominating the Rams up 28-3 then some. questionable calls and the Bills pulling their foot off the pedal lead to a crazy comeback but the Bills ended up covering.  The main thing is here is that the Raiders are banged up pretty bad with injuries on defense which they were already weak but losing several OL is a huge concern.  Buffalo is the real deal 

I'm doing this game early here.  I had the Panthers last week in a winner as they won SU as a 6.5 point dog vs the Chargers.   I think now they are getting too much respect.  They were +4 in turnovers and still couldn't pull away which is a concern on offense.  The Cardinals lost to the Lions but. the Cards were -3 in turnovers and still had a chance to win.  I just think this line makes zero sense based on the fact that the Raiders were -3 @ Carolina and won and covered and that was with a healthy McCaffrey.  You're telling me that the Cardinals are actually worse than Oakland considering that McCaffrey is out.  I'm not buying it.

I simply don't believe the Bucs are a TD good over a quality opponent especially with a quality defense like the Chargers have.  Tampa is getting some respect now because they have covered back to back games.  Well, last week they covered against the Broncos who are so banged up.  The week before was extremely lucky as Fournette housed a long run for them to cover against Carolina.  People are quick to forget that SD took the Chiefs down to the wire two weeks ago.  I simply dont think we have seen enough from Brady and company to be laying this amount.  Chargers are live here

I'm taking the Texans here in this game.  I think most will be scared as both teams here are 0-3.  The Texans however have played the toughest schedule in the league losing to the Ravens, Chiefs and Steelers.  Vikings have lost to Packers, Colts and Titans.  Vikings defense is so banged up right now and with the whole practice issue this week due to the cover I think that is a big red flag for them here.  This is a get right game for the Texans 

Let's take the Dolphins here tomorrow.  First, Seattle is in a tough spot here with the travel situation and also coming off back to back tough games  against Dallas and Patriots.  The Seahawks are just so injured especially on the defensive side of the ball you can't. trust them.  They weren't even good with the healthy players.  Miami and Fitzpatrick can move the ball on these guys and I like the extra time they have had here playing Thursday the previous week.  

Iowa St is a team that isn't getting any respect because everyone is remembering that week 1 performance as they lost outright to the Cajun Cajuns.  I think that creates some value here with Iowa St who has the best defense in the conference.  Also how can you trust this Oklahoma team as they have proven once again you can't trust them.  Iowa St is also allowing fans for the first time and this is a national TV night game which I love these situations.  

I will take Arkansas here in this game.  First, we are seeing a big time. overreaction in the line as Miss St we're 14.5 point dogs and won outright over LSU who looked flat out terrible.  I think this spot is. extremely hard. for them here given the fact they have a new coach in Leach and QB in Costello.  They are now fat and happy and roles are reversed here now with them laying more than they were getting which you rarely see especially given the fact both are conference games.  Arkansas was actually ahead at half of Georgia last week.  They had a bad 8 minute stretch there where the game was lost.  They showed me enough last week and given the situation I will gladly take all these points

Let's go with Vandy here this week.  If anyone watched LSU last week you saw how bad they were.  They were favored by 14.5 and had a major let down losing to Miss St giving up over 600 yards in the air.  I know Vandy isn't an exciting offense. but I worry about LSU and their confidence.  They lost a ton from last season and now start off with a devastating loss.  I want no part of them.  Vandy played very well last week vs an experienced Texas AM team losing by only 5.  Also worth noting was a 24 point dog to LSU last year, you mean to tell me this LSU team is only 4 points worse?  I'm not buying it

Florida I can't say I was. too impressed with last week.  Yes, they got the win and the cover but they have some issues on defense as they let Ole Miss rack up over 600 total yards.  They will get some love though because they are highly ranked.  I also think the look ahead next week with Texas AM plays a role here.  South Carolina played a hard fought game against a good Tennessee team and could have won despite being -2 in turnovers.  I think South Carolina will move the ball here get their points and can keep this well within the 18

This line has now crossed to a key number here and will glad take Missouri.   I just think Tennessee is getting to much credit for barely covering against South Carolina despite winning the turnover 2-0.  Im not convinced at all that Tennessee is to where they should be laying double digits.  Missouri did outscore Bama in the 2nd half so they have fight in them after being down big early.  This line last year was Missouri -2.5 have these teams really had a big change to warrant this line move?

I think the Miami Heart story is a great one and you have to love the way they play basketball.  My things here is that this is a little bit of different pressure for these young shooters.  This is familiar territory for LeBron and he knows the importance of game 1 in the finals.  I do think the Heat will win 1 game so will be looking to back them at some point but just not tonight for the opener. 

The betting public will be all over the Chiefs here.  When you can grab points with someone like Mahomes and the reigning Super Bowl champs.  KC was extremely lucky to come away with a win Sunday afternoon against the Chargers and their rookie QB in Herbert.  Chargers outgunned the Chiefs by over 50 yards for the game.  I think the Ravens defense will be able to get after Mahomes just like the Chargers did.  I also have a lot of concerns regarding the. Chiefs defense as they are giving up 6.4 yards per play.  They have yet to face an offense like Lamar and company.  I think Baltimore runs up and down the field on them.

The Cowboys are worth a look here as now a lot of momentum has shifted with their crazy comeback against the Falcons. I know, their defense isn't very good at all and they are missing some key players but so is Seattle.  I had Seattle last week in a winner but had to sweat it out as New England and Cam had no problem moving it up and down the field.  Well, this Cowboys team has a ton of firepower on offense.  If all else fails this will set up for a perfect back door situation if we even need it.  I think Dallas is a live dog here.

Interesting game here.  The Panthers suffered a major blow losing their all everything in McCaffrey.  While you can't simply replace a player like that I do think we are getting some extreme value here.  The Panthers had the Bucs on the ropes and actually should have covered as Tampa housed a 50 yard run while just running out the clock.  Carolina also had a rough game with 4 turnovers so the fact they were even in it tells me they are better than people are giving them credit for.  I also think the betting public will be all over the Chargers because of last week as they took the Chiefs down to the wire.  I see this game being played a ton on the ground which means less possessions less big plays and ultimately a lower score keeping the dog alive here.  

This is just one of those weird lines to most.  The Bears are 2-0 and the Falcons are 0-2 yet Atlanta is favored by more than a FG.  Clearly they are telling you they don't believe at all in the Bears and their record.  I clearly dont either.  Bears should have lost week 1 to the Lions as Swift dropped a wide open TD with just seconds left.  Then the Bears get lucky and face the Giants as Barkley tore his ACL in the 2nd quarter yet they could barely pull away.  I think Atlanta has faced two of the best offenses in Seattle and Dallas in the NFC and the Bears won't pose as big of threat.  Atlanta really gave that game away @ Dallas as they were by far the better team.  If the Falcons have any chance at the post season they quite frankly can't lose this game.  I think Atlanta exposes this fraud team in the Bears

I'm going to take the Bills here in what I feel is a big discount.  This Buffalo team isn't getting any respect at all plain and simple.  Their offense with Allen right now is just lighting it up going for over 500 and 400 total yards in both games.  I'm not taking anything away from the Rams as they look improved and I did back them in week 1 against Dallas.  The Bills defense is legit here and will create plenty of pressure.  This is also back to back east coast road games for the Rams which is a difficult task for West coast teams.  

So we have the classic 2-0 team here vs the 0-2 team.  So many will hate on the. Texans and their coach in O'Brien and while I'm not a fan of him either I do think you can semi excuse them.  Look, they lost to the Chiefs and Ravens who IMO are the two best teams in the league so can you really fault them?  Also the Texans held Mahomes and Jackson to 380 yards passing combined.  Thats extremely impressive.  Throw in the fact that this team is desperate and I think we get a huge effort and the relief of competition should help them as well.  Steelers lets face it have faced the Giants and a banged up Bronco team.  

I really like the Lakers here tonight.  I definitely think the betting public will be all over the Nuggets here as now for once again a 3rd straight series they are down 3-1.  Well, they aren't pulling any major comeback here to the Lakers.  LeBron and company will be extra motivated here to end the series and get a few days off before the finals.  Denver even shot 50% from the field last game and still lost by 6.  I think this is a nice discount here to back the Lakers given the situation

I'm actually surprised this line isn't a little higher.  NC St was a horrible team last season going 4-8 and only return a total of 12 starters.  I also think they are getting some respect because they did play last week and pulled a small upset over Wake Forest.  That doesn't convince me though.  Virginia Tech is a team that I have winning the Coastal.  VA Tech won 8 games last season and return 19 starters from that team.  3 of their 5 losses were by a one point score or less.  I think their defense controls this game making it very difficult for NC St to score.  I trust Fuente here. 

I think this is a big do or die year here for Muschamp and company.  I think the return of now Sophomore QB Hilinski is huge here.  They also will start a big time RB prospect in Lloyd who is a blue chip prospect.  He will definitely be a game changer.  I just think these two teams are fairly equal and Tennessee is getting too much respect.  The Vols always start slow just look at last season losing to Georgia St.  Sure, they turned it on at the end but they didn't beat any of big time significance.  I still think they have QB issues and I also dont trust Pruitt their head coach.  South Carolina will be much improved on both sides of the ball this season.

So Florida St looks sloppy two weeks ago and lay an egg against Georgia Tech.  I understand a little bit of line move in favor of Miami but in this type of rivalry game this is simply too many even if there was a home crowd advantage.  Everyone will be on Miami as they have covered back to back games and coming off a big road win on national TV.  I also think people are scared to back the Seminoles because their head coach Norvell won't be at the game which you can bet is playing into the line here.  I think this is one possession either way and will take the points. 

I'm not going to overreact to week 1 when Iowa St was flat and embarrassed themselves losing to UL Lafayette.  The Rajun Cajuns are more than a respectable non power 5 school.  I also trust Campbell and his crew to bounce back from that defeat.  Granted it's a bad loss but still the whole conference season is in front of them and I expect a big effort.  TCU lost a ton off a bad team that only won 5 games.  They only have 7 returning starters here which is a major concern.  

I will take Kentucky here in this game catching over a full TD.  This team won 8 games last season and finished the season winning 5 of their last six including a bowl victory and return 15 starters.  Their defense was a top 25 unit last season and you can expect them to pick that right back up.  The main reason though here is because Terry Wilson their QB and company facing a very inexperienced Auburn defense who only returns 4 starters and they weren't that great to begin with especially against the pass.  Bo Nix is a stud and they will rely on him but with only 3 on offense there are so many questions unanswered here.  I will gladly take Kentucky 

I'm going back to the Lakers here as they know this is a big time important game with the Nuggets coming off a win.  The Lakers. cut into the lead but really couldn't do much as in the 4th they have 3 straight possessions that ultimately cost them the game.  The Nuggets seem to be everyones choice now because of beating the Clippers.  I'm not buying it here.

A lot of love here for the Celtics based on the return of Hayward from the last game.  I just think Miami is the overall better team with much better shooters.  This Heat team is the real deal and aren't getting respect just because of one guy now?  Seems like an overreaction to me.  

This series is over plain and simple.  The shot that AD hit at the buzzer last game to give them the win and 2-0 lead just. ended this and the Nuggets know this.  I think it will be extremely hard for them to bounce back from a loss like that.  The momentum they were playing with is now all gone just like that IMO.  Lakers smell blood in the water and I think they capitalize.

I really like the Raiders here tonight.  I'm just not sold on the Saints here at all especially seeing how the Bucs have looked which was their week 1 opponent.  Brady threw a pick 6 which ultimately was the deciding factor.  Brees IMO has a noodle arm now and just can't throw the ball down the field like he use too.  Throw now in the mix that Thomas is out tonight.  I also think the Raiders playing in Vegas is big even though no fans I still the energy will be high.  

I love the Seahawks here in this game.  I was on them last week vs Atlanta and they came through really controlling the whole game.  I think they are a legit Super Bowl contender especially coming from the NFC.  Wilson has weapons and that is a scary thing with him.  Atlanta did have some big plays but they also do that to a lot of teams with their stud WR's.  I am not putting anything into stock with what the Patriots did.  They covered vs Miami but Fitzpatrick was absolutely horrible and the fact Miami still had a chance to cover before another interception late in the end zone.  Cam's success came on the ground and that won't happen here against Seattle.  His days of making plays with his arm are over.  I think Seattle. rolls here

I like the Falcons here in this matchup.  First, I was against Dallas last Sunday night in a winner and McCarthy just doesn't do it for me.  The offense failed to do anything given all the talent they have.  Falcons came up short against Seattle but they did put up 500 yards of offense.  I think Ryan will expose their secondary here with Ridley and Jones.  Also Dallas suffered some big injuries here as well. Jarwin their TE done for the year, Vander Esch is out and so is starting OL Erving.  Simply to many points for Dallas to be laying here

I'm sorry but Pittsburgh has no business being more than TD favorite here over Denver.  So Denver played the team that was extremely hot and went to the AFC Championship last season and took them down to the wire with injuries on offense.  Pitt played a horrible Giants team and are getting too much respect from that performance.  Hamler and Sutton will be a go for Denver which they clearly missed at the WR position.  Pitt did nothing special but did cover so they will be getting some respect only because of that.

I had the Packers last weekend in a. winner vs this Vikings team.  The thing is though we are seeing a major over reaction in this line based on 1 week.  Vikings didn't look great and their defense had issues, but that was also Rodgers who they were facing.  Also, Vikings were the favorite in that game and now they are a dog to a worse team?  Did anyone else not see the Colts lose to the Jags?  I know boxscore wise the Colts should have won that game but now they lost Mack at RB which is huge. Vikings are the overall better team and I look for a bounce back game here. If Minshew can complete every pass but 1 surely Counsins can do pretty well

I believe this is simply the biggest overreaction to week 1 results.  The Eagles were up 17-0 on Washington and blew that lead and lost the game.  The look ahead line had the Eagles favored by a FG or a little more.  Based on one game they are now underdogs because the Rams beat Dallas which I do have the Rams.  Teams that go from the home underdog role to the road favorite really scare me when it's not really based on anything.

I'm grabbing the Niners here.  I simply think the Jets could quite frankly be the worst team in the league.  They just lost Bell at RB for now a few weeks and will have to rely on Darnold throwing the ball 40+ times especially here since they won't be able to run on this San Fran D at all.  I think that spells for a disaster here.   San Fran will also be extremely hungry here coming off a loss as a big favorite to the Cardinals who have their number.  I think this price is a bargain

I think we see a big regression here in this La Tech team.  They lost their 3 year starter and all conference QB in Smith who simply was their everything.  La Tech was a 10 win team and I just dont see how they can keep pace.  They also only have 2 starters back on defense which is a glaring concern.  Southern Miss on the other hand will have revenge on their mind from last season and returning 15 starters.  They didn't play well in their opening game but I do like the fact they at least have a game under their belt 

I think Marshall is a live dog here and actually would throw some on the ML as well.   was against App St last week playing Charlotte and that was an easy winner.  They were pretty sloppy with 3 turnovers on offense and gave up 4.9 yards per rush against a far less team than Marshall.  App St is still a household name and they will get the respect.  Marshall was favored by 26 and all they did was win 59-0!  Thats impressive to beat the number by that much I dont care who you are playing.  They held EKU to 166 total yards.  Take the points

I dont think Cuse is as bad as they showed last week.   We are definitely seeing an overreaction in the line as well considering Cuse was a 24 point dog to UNC who are ranked and considered the best team in the Coastal side.  I'm not going to let one game sway me here.  Cuse should be fired up after that performance as these teams are actually similar.  

I think the betting public will fall in love with the Nuggets here given the fact they just pulled off a mo miracle comeback against the Clipppers.  I just wonder how much is in the tank here as the Lakers know that and will be looking to jump on them early.  I see this series going 5 with the Lakers taking it fairly easy!

I really like the Browns here tonight for a big bounce back tonight.  You honestly can't fault the Browns in week 1 as they lost to a very good team in the Ravens.  Many think they are the Super Bowl winner.  Well now the Benglas who also lost a heartbreaker because of the FG kicker now on a short road week with a rookie QB.  The Bengals have no where near the secondary that the Ravens did.  OBJ should have a big game.  I think the Browns can really create pressure and make it hard for the rookie QB to play from behind.

A lot of Cowboy love right now going on.  I just dont see it all honestly.  I think people are just hoping that McCarthy can turn it around but can he really?  Also why is Dallas favored here are they really that much better than the Rams?  Rams had a down year following a Super Bowl loss and that was to be expected.  Even though no fans they do open in their new stadium on prime time and I expect them to bring it and actually pull of the upset

I will take the Browns here this week.  I just think what happened last season to them was extremely humbling and they would love nothing more to come out and make a statement against one of the best teams in the league.  I do expect big things from Baker here in a bounce back season.  The Browns have major pieces across the board here and will be able to score no doubt about it.  Browns are 3-1 ATS last 4 meetings so clearly they get up for this meeting.  Ravens getting way too much respect here

The Dolphins have made quite the splash this off season with some moves.  I think they are going to be vastly improved especially in a division that is wide open IMO.  The Patriots have Cam now who really doesn't fit the system.  They just have so many question marks here with really no weapons and a lot of key players on defense choosing to sit out.  Patriots lay 7 in this spot is crazy to me

Lets go with the Packers here in this game.  Vikings have a very weak secondary which is never a good thing when facing one of the best QB's in the league.  Was the Packers 13-3 record last year a little fluky sure, but you you have to give them credit.  Vikings also lost Diggs and replace him with a rookie WR which is a lot to ask.  Vikings also have a huge home crowd advantage but that has been taking away 

I'm very high on this Seahakws team this season lead by Wilson.  This team was road warrior last year.  I love the addition of Adams to help their secondary big time.  Ryan is a QB that just continues to come up short.  I also think the addition of Gurley is a little overrated.  Wilson last 5 seasons as a road favorite is 20-8 SU.  He clearly shows up in this spot. 

Western Kentucky is no joke for a team that is non power 5.  They won 9 games last season and have high hopes this year as most are picking them to be the winner of C-USA.  They return a healthy nucelus here of 15 starters and 9 on defense.  Their D actually ranked top 25 in the country last season.  I'm not as high on Louisville as most are.  They do have plenty of returners back but I just don't see them being 2 TD's better here than WKU.  Louisville had major issues on D ranking 102 in the country.  I also think next week they could be looking ahead a little to ranked Miami coming to town

I think this line is just very high. Arkansas St has already been tested which I feel is a huge thing here.  They lost last week @ Memphis who is a very good team.  They covered the number and racked up over 400 yards of offense.  Kansas St hasn't even had one practice yet and they have to replace the whole OL.  While the Wildcats had a nice break though year last season, they lost a ton and I believe the lack off seeing what they have is just an uphill battle for a quality Arkansas St team.

I think this is simply too many here for App St to be laying.  They are a solid program not taking anything away from them but you are also paying a few extra points based on their name.  Charlotte racked up 41 points on them last season and actually outgained them in the game but turnovers were the difference.  Reynolds is now an upper class men QB for Charlotte and is arguably the best QB in the C-USA.  I think he can really keep this game close for the 49ers. 

This Miami team is one to keep an eye on this season.  I am extremely high on them especially with QB transfer King from Houston.  Their offense really struggled last season and I think this is the piece that can really put them over the edge here.  Their defense was top 15 in the country last season and they do return 5. 

Crunch time here for the Rockets tonight.  Down 2-1 in the series you simply can't lose this game and expect to come back.  The Lakers were crazy hot last game shooting 55% for the game.  In fact they shot 56% the game before that.  They are due to come back to earth a little here.  I think this game comes down to the wire. 

I think this series is all but over right now.  The Celtics should have won this series already if it weren't for the last second shot in game 3 that avoided the Raptors going down 3-0 in the series at that time.  Boston will want to end this game tonight and I believer they do fairly easily once again.  

I know there is still a chance that Giannis plays here tonight but clearly he won’t be anywhere near 100%.  The Bucks played well without him give them credit but this series is over.  Miami looks like the team going to the finals.  They are extremely balanced lead by Butler.  Miami puts them away easily tonight 

Let’s go with Boston here now after dropping 2 straight game.  The Raptors I have backed but they were extremely lucky in game 3 to win at the buzzer.  Celtics are the better overall team and I think they prove that today and come out on top

The Bucks have enough pride here to show up.  They don't wanna get swept plain and simple.  This series is over but Milwaukee I think gives a big effort.  I also think Giannis doesn't want a sweep on his resume.  Bucks have shot poorly the last two games just. above 40%.  Miami has also lite it up from the outside and I dont think that happens. 

I know the Rockets are coming off a tough series and that was part of the reason I went against Denver last night and they failed to show.  I do think the Rockets are a little different here as Westbrook and Harden are going to be very tough matchups for the Lakers.  Lakers were pretty lucky IMO vs Portland with Dame getting hurt. Lakers outside shooting is very suspect

How much is left in the tank right now for Denver.  They spent a ton of energy winning 3 straight games and closing out Utah in game 7.  I could totally see them being flat here tonight vs a well rested Clippers squad.  Clippers match up extremely well with Murray and Jokic as well

I absolutely love the Raptors here tonight in this spot.  They will be hungry for the win as they simply know a loss here tonight and the series is over.  Toronto gave away the last game and it didn’t help that Smart went nuts for a while to seal the deal.  Celtics will win this series but given the spot I love the Raptors here

I’m taking the Rockets here tonight.  I think Harden and Westbroo both respond with a big game together here.  The Thunder shot the ball extremely well and that isn’t exactly their cup of tea.  When it comes crunch I have to side with the superstar 

I backed the Heat in game 1 and will go right back to them here again tonight.  I think they are going to win this series.  The Bucks haven’t honest looked good since the bubble started.  The Heat present matchu problems across the board for them.

What a fun series this has been.  Denver won the first game then Utah rattled off 3 straight and Denver jumped back with two to force game 7 here tonight.  Can Denver shoot over 50% from the field for a 3rd straight game?  I dont think so and I'm sure most agree with me.  Utah still didn't get blown out in the games with Denver shooing crazy hot which really says something here.  A lot of hyper with Murray right now, I trust Mitchell more.  Jazz tonight

I think everyone is going to be on the Celtics again here tonight based off of game 1.  The game was literally over in the 2nd quarter as the Raptors couldn't hit anything.  Raptors just shot the ball horrible as a whole and even from 3.  Celtics really shot it well from deep and I expect those numbers to come back down.  Toronto knows the importance of this game tonight big bounce back win

I really love the Heat matchup here against the Bucks.  I think this series is going to be extremely tough and believe this is going 6. or 7.  I was extremely impressed with what Miami did the the Pacers and really not impressed with the the Bucks looked.  I trust Jimmy Butler more than Giannis.  

Denver took game 1 then Utah rattled off 3 straight and then Denver took game 5.  I have been really impressed with the Jazz here in this series.  Most of the talking heads loved the Nuggets with Murray and Jokic and you have to be disappointed if you're a Denver fan.  Utah let a 4th quarter slip away last time.  I think they end the series tonight 

I'm going to give the Raptors game 1 here even though I think the Celtics will win this series.  I also believe the betting public will be all over Boston here catching points.  Raptors and Coach Nurse have been nothing short of impressive even after losing Kawhi.  I think Toronto takes game 1

Let's roll the the Blazers here.  I'm just not completely sold on the Lakers and their big question mark regarding the outside shooting.  Blazers know the importance here tonight in a big way simply avoiding going down 3-1.  The effort will most definetly be there tonight and wouldn't be surprised if they won this one tonight 

Alright Portland was blown out as they shot horrible from the field.  Everyone will know think that they will roll the series.  I don’t view that as the case here.  I very much think Portland will be in this game and yes it’s a critical game for the series.  Lillard will be fine and this is too many points

I don’t think much adjustment has been done here for this game.  The Rockets have flat out owned this series and se no reason they don’t take care of business here today.  This Rockets team is no joke and I think they are a serious contender when Westbrook comes back

This is obviously do or die time tonight for the Sixers.  Game 2 the Celtics were hot and the Sixers were cold just plain and simple.  They still have enough pride here and I expect a big time effort tonight from Philly. We know the betting public will be all over Boston with them winning and covering both games.  

Coming later