The Cardinals grabbed their first win last week vs San Fran but it wasnt because they tore it up.  They benefited from +5 in turnovers which was the factor.  The Cardinals barely got over 200 yards against them.  Do you see this offense having much success against this Vikings team?  I sure don't  I also think Minnesota wont take them lightly because they already lost at home as a big favorite once.  Vikings jump on them early and roll.

It looks like you could probably wait and maybe get 4 here closer to kick, but it has crossed the key number for me.  I do realize the Dolphins have some injuries to the OL and that is a concern.  I just cant ignore the fact though that this look ahead line was Miami -1 and the Bears didn't even play last week.  Miami controlled 85% of the game last week @ Cincy before not only losing but not covering either which is creating some value.  The Trubisky hyper train is getting too full for me.  I will take Miami now at this price

So the classic situation again with the ranked undefeated team catching a full TD?  Colorado has played no one.  Should we be impressed with them barely escaping @ Nebraska or beating ASU last week after ASU couldnt punch it in from the 1 yard line?  USC is coming off their bye week setting up for a major rally the troops game.  The talent level belongs to the Trojans and Coach Helton knows his job is on the line.  

Miami is one of the most overrated teams in the country and love fading them here in this spot.  They are coming off a huge win over their in state rival in Florida St who is down.  They only won by 1 point as 2 touchdown favorites.  If you have watched this Miami this season they dont pass the eye test and I think Virginia will want some big time revenge here in this night game.  Virginia is also coming of their bye here with this one circled.  I wouldn't be shocked if Virginia won outright

West Virginia has played one of the easiest schedules so far and I think they lose this game.  Iowa St last weekend impressed me a ton as they went on the road and made a switch to their 3rd string QB Purdy who wasn't afraid of the moment and was the best player on the field.  Iowa St will be up for this game here and they won't be scared as they have played a brutal tough schedule so far.  They gave Oklahoma fits and that was the first week with their back up who was no good especially compared to this freshman.  The team rallies around Purdy and they win outright

I like Cal in this game as last week was very misleading against Arizona.  Cal dominated the stats against them but ended up losing.  The price is right now as they want to take it out on UCLA as Cal needs win to get to a bowl game.  UCLA is a bad team and they gave all they had last week vs Washington as they made a big come back but came up short losing by 7.  Cal is the better team and the number is too good to pas up.

People all said that Oregon isn't impressive because they had played no one.  While that may have been so I think they want to win that big one.  A few weeks back they let that Stanford game slip away as they completely dominated it but ended up blowing a big lead in a weird change in that game.  Oregon is coming off the bye as well which is huge.

 Also how good is exactly Washington?  So the week 1 Auburn game looks terrible now.  They just won @ UCLA by only 7 and beat ASU by 7.  This will be their toughest test by far and they simply dont deserve to be favored based on their performances this year

Despite both thsese team have bad records I think Miami Oh is clearly the better team here.  They have played a much tougher slate.  They played a tough Marshall team, a surprisingly good Cincy team and @ Minnesota to start the year.  I like last weeks performance blowing out Akron as an underdog.  Kent St is just pathetic especially on defense allowing 6.7 yards per play.  I also think Miami Oh is bowl hungry and they have this one circled as they let it slip away on the road losing by 3 as an 8.5 point favorite.   

Eastern Michigan is a team no one is looking to back right now.  They have lost 4 straight since upsetting Purdue as a double digit dog.  EMU has lost 3 straight games by each 3 points which clearly they could have won have them undervalued here.  EMU will also want revenge from a close loss last year.  They won't have a problem moving on a terrible Toledo defense who give up 6.2 yards per play. 

Another huge factor here is just look at the strength of schedule.  The only two tough teams Toledo has played they were blown out.  EMU has played 5 straight teams who will be going to bowl games this season.  Wrong Team is favored here because of record 

I get it the Giants haven't looked anything special, but should they really be underdogs here?  They just lost on a 63 yard field goal as time expired and the Panthers were coming off a bye. I think this is the ultimate game here for the Giants as a do or die to the season.  The effort will sure be there beings how no one has ran away with this division yet.

The Eagles are flat out terrible on defense and I'm not sold by any means with them laying points.  Their two wins are against Atlanta and Indy which is nothing worthy of laying 3 against a division rival.  

Giants were 3 point dogs just two weeks ago against a much better team in the Saints

I really like the Texans here this week facing their in state rival in the Cowboys.  They finally got the monkey off their back with an OT win.  The Texans have had a rough schedule here with 3 of the first 4 being on the road.  In fact they have been in every ball game losing 3 games by a combined 15 points.  Dallas is 2-2 with both wins coming at home but they look different on the road and I think they should have lost last week which is keeping this line lower than it should.  Dak has no weapons has everyone has talked about.  I look for the Texans to thrive off that win last week 

I think odds makers are making a big mistake here.  The Vikings are wanting revenge from last season and I wouldn't be a bit surprised if they got it here.  Philly just hasn't looked the same so far this season and their offense is banged up.  Vikings still have a great defense and can hold them in check.  I also love the fact Minnesota is coming off the Thursday game with extra time while Philly is off an OT loss.  Vikings are more the desperate team here with revenge on their minds 

Really like the Steelers here in this spot as it feels like a must win situation.  The biggest difference here is that Pitt will have zero problems moving the ball on a Atlanta team that is extremely banged up right now and cant stop anyone.  Atlanta coming off 3 straight home games and the game they played on road when healthy was @ Eagles on grass in week 1 and boy did they struggle.  Pitt wins easily 

This is a situational spot play at its finest.  The Broncos are coming off a Monday night game against their big time rival in the Chiefs in a game they should have won actually.  Now they travel east coast for an early kick against a hungry Jets team.  Denver could easily be 0-4 as they escaped week 1 and 2 both at home in the final seconds against the Seahawks and Raiders not exactly great teams.  The spot is perfect for the Jets and I believe they get it done 

I'm not a believer at in the Packers this season.  This team should only have 1 win.  I'm also not putting much stock into last week over the Bills.  Lions probably should have won last week @ Dallas but they did cover the number.  Remember two weeks ago when everyone wrote them off and they blew the doors off New England.  The Packers have injuries to the WR position and Rodgers is clearly not 100%.  I think Stafford will torch their defense as well. I think the Lions will go off favored here

This is just too many points for me to pass up here.  The only negative for me here is the fact this is played at night.  I do think Vandy is a sneaky good team though with a very good defense.  This Vandy team hung right in there on the road @ Notre Dame.  This is a lot like last week where I dont see Georgia scoring 40 therefore if they dont then I need Vandy to get to 10 basically which I easily see happening.  Georgia has a huge on deck game with LSU as well

I jumped on this one early as we have a highly ranked undefeated Kentucky team catching points? HMM... This is a night game in College Station in which they won't be over looking.  The Aggies have two losses but were to Bama and Clemson to playoff teams.  This is one of those that Kentucky gets behind early and simply cant play catch up.  I trust Jimbo a lot more here and this is a big game for him now

So Colorado gets ranked this week because they are 4-0 and they have played such a terrible schedule.  The wrong to me is favored here.  Colorado has played Nebraska and UCLA as their toughest games and that isn't a joke.  

ASU to me right now is the best PAC 12 south team.  They have beat Michigan St lost by 7 @ SDSU and @ Washington.  I think ASU knows the importance of this game right now to control the south.  I think the Buffs stats are misleading due to the fact that their schedule has been so easy.  

LSU is by far the most overrated team in the country.  They are outside of my top 10 and therefore I will play Florida.  Everyone knows both teams have a solid defense.  LSU was extremely out played @ Auburn and that win actually doesn't look that great now.  I trust Mullen here the head coach at Florida coming off back to back road conference wins which is very impressive.  This is one of those statements games for a new coach to make his imprint and I believe they win this outright

Iowa St is in a world of trouble here this game I think.  They failed to reach 200 total yards despite forcing 3 turnovers against TCU last week.  Give them credit they hung tough but that score was misleading a bit.  I also think this is the game where Oklahoma St scores a ton and the back up QB for Iowa isn't capable of putting up those type of points.  Oklahoma St jumps on them early here and keeps the pedal down

NC St isn't getting a lot of love here, but I do think they have the better talent here.  They are lead by stud QB Finley who is one of the top QB prospects this year.  He is airing it out right now and averaging 8.9 yards per attempt. The similar style BC faced to this team would have been @ Purdue and Purdue blew them out that game.

Last week BC had a misleading final against Temple as the Owls outgained them.  They also struggled against a bad Wake Forest and team and as I mentioned were blown out by Purdue.  This will be by far their toughest test and I think the Wolfpack destroys them

I will take Texas here as we have seen this same song and dance again in this game.  Texas is coming in underrated and I think because they let the gas off the pedal last week @ Kansas St.  The public now has a love affair with Murray the QB for OU but this will by far be his toughest test.  I trust Herman here and we have seen the improvements as the season has gone along with Texas and their defense.  OU has a pathetic defense that won't be able to stop Texas at all.

I was on the Patriots last weekend as they blew out the Dolphins.  I will back them again here as they are facing a Colts team coming off a heart breaking loss to the Texans.  The main reason though is that the Colts have injuries up and down the board.  Not being 100% when facing Brady is always a scary situation.  Luck still has issues in my mind throwing the deep ball and with no weapons here I think he is in trouble 

Well, we all know who the betting public will be all over here and that is the high powered offense of the Chiefs.  In this prime time game @ Denver this is simply too many points.  The Denver defense will be all over Mahomes here.  I also dont trust the Cheifs defense as they have gave up their fair share of yards so far.  I think Denver can really control the clock here with some long drives and keep Mahomes off the field.  Not calling for the upset, but I think Denver keeps it very close 

This is a circle the wagons game for the Giants here after winning their first game last weekend.  While it may not look that impressive right now beating the Texans the confidence it gave them will be huge.  Remember this is the same line the Giants were week 1 against the Jags who are better than the Saints.  Also with the Saints coming off that big division win over Atlanta leads to a little let down.  Saints defense simply cant be trusted.  I think OBJ has a huge game

I was on the Browns last week as a winner as Baker saved the day, but now will fade them even though they have extra time to prepare.  The Raiders are a very very desperate football team right now and this is a absolute must win.  The Raiders have been in every game so far this season, but the ball hasn't bounced their way yet.  With what Baker came in and did was impressive no doubt but I also think this leads the public to their side.  

I think now the betting public will back off the Patriots after what they saw on Monday night football against the Lions.  There is no doubt Miami could actually be 0-3 but since they have won and covered every game they are being over hyped.  The fact that they haven't blown anyone out besides being +6 in turnovers so far says a lot.  The Patriots have owned Miami at their place over the last several seasons and I think they do so again 

The Titans are getting to much respect from last weeks win over the Jags as they caught them in the perfect spot after the Jags beat the Patriots.  Titans still have QB issues as neither is 100% healthy.  I also like that the Colts got Wentz back but didnt cover even though they should have sine they actually dominated them in yards.  Let's be honest in today's game how many teams win a game let alone not get blown out after only passing for 83 yards?  Eagles win easily

Well another great situational play here.  Oregon is coming off a just a brutal loss to Stanford last week as they were dominating that game and let it slip away which is extremely hard to bounce back from.  Throw in fact we have a much improved Cal team this season and they are coming off a bye I think the wrong team is favored here.  Cal wins this game SU

I think Toledo is in over their heads here.  This team is legit and they have play makers as we have already witnessed.  They are also coming off a bye after a dominating win @ UCLA.  Some other key factors here is that this will be Toledo's first road game and throw in the fact that this will be a super super late kick compared to east coast time for these kids which is a factor that goes under looked IMO.  I think Fresno has their way with them from the start.

I look for the Sun Devils to be hungry here and blow out a bad Oregon St team.  ASU is coming off two close losses but both of those were on the road.  Herm has changed the culture down their and this team can still win the south.  I think Oregon St is really deflated after last week because they probably thought that was their one chance to get a win.  

Little upset I missed an earlier and better line but Notre Dame found a QB in Book and I dont think odds makers are making a big enough adjustment for him.  Throw in the fact ND has dropped the past 2 games against Stanford I believe they have this one circled.  Also Stanford is in a tough spot coming off a crazy win @ Oregon a game they shouldn't have been in at all and they used a ton of energy in that monster come back.  I think Notre Dame wins easily

I think Iowa St is in a world of trouble here against TCU.  The Horned Frogs will be extremely pissed after losing two in a row to Ohio St and @ Texas.  Some will argue that this is a let down spot but I don't think it will be as they can still win conference.  They also will want revenge as they had a game slip away from them @ Ames last season in one they should have won.

So a lot of people including myself may have pegged Washington St wrong as I though they would be the 2nd worst team in the conference.  I think they are now getting too much respect because they have covered every game so far.  I also love that Utah is coming off their bye week and will be more than motivated here as they want revenge from last year

I like Texas Tech here who seems to have figured out things out especially on defense.  Texas Tech went into Oklahoma St last week as a two touchdown underdog and just throttled them.  The most important thing is that they held them to 17 points.  I love backing teams who won as a road dog and then return home as a home dog.  They seem to ride the momentum when this happens and I believe Tech wins out right

Let's go ahead and grab the Vikings here.  These are still the two best teams in the NFC and I think Minnesota was clearly caught looking ahead and before they knew it they couldn't come back.  The public based on those results will be all over the Rams since they have covered every game.  Mind you the Rams were just favored by this much against a lesser team in the Chargers.  Here is the main key and that is the Rams are battling so many injuries.  Talib is out for sure and sounds like Peters isn't going to play.  They lost other key players as well on that defense and that will be the main difference.  I wouldn't be surprised if the Vikings bounced back and won

Here is one of the classic situations as we have a 0-2 home team giving points.  This Seattle team is desperate as they know you simply cant fall to 0-3 as you have a very very slim chance of making the playoffs.  Wilson is their leader and I think he steps up in a must win game.  Also Dallas looked good on national TV against the Giants and so did their defense but Eli is absolutely terrible right now so how much stock do you put in that.  Sounds like Seattle will get some of their starters back and a huge effort will follow

Odds makers are still giving the Saints a lot of respect because so many were extremely high on this team to begin the season.  Falcons didn't struggle at all last week in the red zone against a much better defense in the Panthers.  The Saints so far lost to the Bucs and should have lost to the Browns last week.  Clealry they are thinking a big bounce back, but I'm not sold that the Saints are that good.  I like what the Falcons found on offense last week and to keep that going 

I like Carolina here in this spot after losing to the Falcons.  They hung in there really tough despite some key injuries.  They are now healthier while the Bengals lost a key piece in RB Mixon who I think meant a lot to that team than what people realize.  The Panthers have a stout defense and I believe they will hold Cincy in check.

This is one of those fishy lines that we all know the public will jump all over.  I think Washington responds here with a better effort even though last week didn't look very well.  The Packers played their you know whats off and ended in a tie with the Vikings.  Rodgers is clearly not 100% and I don't think the Packers D is anything special.  Also throw in the fact this is their first road game of the season.   This has upset written all over it

This line to me is the biggest over reaction of the week.  The look ahead line was Chiefs -4 and since Mahomes is rolling right now putting up crazy numbers their line is moving up.  San Fran last week was a very misleading final as they were up 17 with under 9 minutes left and gave up two TD's to win by 3.  San Fran was everyone's darling team this year and now it seems everyone is writing them off since they haven't covered yet.  I totally expect Jimmy G to have a field day with a Chiefs secondary I think is suspect at best

This is a great spot to fade the Broncos here who are 2-0, but could clearly be 0-2.  They beat a down Seahawks team and Raiders in the final seconds.  Keenum is going to get ate alive against this nasty Ravens defense.  Throw in the fact the Ravens have had extra time here as well.  This may seem high but I think the Ravens are legit a top team in the AFC especially.  

I had the Colts last weekend at the Skins catching a TD and they won out right.  Indy was driving week 1 with a chance to score against the Bengals and could easily be 2-0.  It goes to show what Luck does mean to this team.  

The Eagles so far have had some defensive issues to say the least and Luck and put up the yards.  Also I think the fact that Wentz returns this week is inflating this line.  I dont think he is 100% healthy and not sure how in sink everyone will be with him.

I will take my chances with the Colts catching a TD

With this line going up so much I have to take Eastern Michigan here. I was on the Aztecs last week in a SU winner as an underdog vs Arizona St.  Now the spot and situation has flipped here.

SDSU as mentioned coming off that big win in a let down spot but more importantly have a big rivalry game with Boise St up next.  EMU is no team to sleep on as they went into Purdue and won SU.  I think Purdue is a better team and SDSU and with the lines nearly being the same I will take the points with a live dog here.

My only loss last week in college was going against LSU. I will go against them again here as I believe the motivation won't be there and this is a huge let down spot following a late second FG win over highly ranked Auburn on the road.

LA Tech is coming off a bye week so that is a big key as well.  This team isn't a easy push over and they can move the ball averaging 6.9 yards per play.  LSU also right now has some injuries on their defense and I don't expect them to be full strength and probably even sit a couple to get ready for all SEC play coming up.  LA TECH is the right side here

UNLV is a much improved team here and I have already back them twice winning both times.  This team will have no problem moving the ball on Arkansas St.  I would also argue the talent level is better on the UNLV side of the ball.  UNLV with nip and tuck with USC week 1 going into the 4th quarter.  I know USC is down but still they have the athletes.  Arkansas St was pretty fortunate to have a win last week as they were +2 in turnovers which was the difference in the game  

I have to take Texas AM here who I believe is the 3rd best team in the SEC behind Georgia, but I think it's close.  With that, it's clear the Bama is now being way over valued.  Clearly yet again they are the best team again in the country and have had no problems so far.

I dont expect Bama to have any problems here more or less, but at least the Aggies have proven themselves to compete with the best as they took Clemson down to the wire. Bama was favored less playing against Louisville and Ole Miss who are both a lot worse than Texas AM.  

Bottom line this is simply way too many points and with what we have seen from Texas AM you have to take all the points

How interested will the Buckeyes be in this game after having a very hard fought battle against TCU where they were on the ropes?  I'm guessing not very interested at all.

Ohio St doesn't face teams that run the option all that often so that is different for them to prepare for.  Also Bosa their best defensive player is sitting out this game which does help Tulane a lot.  This game similar to Clemson and GA Southern last week will be played on the ground and a fast clock.  Ohio St classic sandwich spot with Penn St on deck. 

I think we are getting a nice discount on Ball St here.   I back this team two weeks ago @ Notre Dame as a 33.5 point dog and they only lost by 8.  I will give WKU a little credit here as they should have won against Louisville as it was a misleading final.

The main thing here for me is that WKU is without their starting QB here.  I also like the fact that Ball St lost to WKU last year so revenge is for sure on their mind.  WKU already has their struggles on offense only averaging 16 ppg.  Ball St is averaging 450 yards per game and I dont see them having any issues here.

I will bite here and take Virginia who I think is vastly improved especially on offense.  They are averaging nearly 450 yards per game and 6.7 yards per play.  Virginia is still be underrated by the odds makers here as they have covered every game so far. 

Louisville I think most are giving a pass too because they have played Bama and got blown out like everyone else has.  Well they haven't covered a spread yet this season and should have lost last week as they were completely out played by Western Kentucky.  

I think Ohio who is one of the better teams in the MAC is similar to Louisville they handled them easily winning by 14. 

This Browns team is could easily be 2-0 if they had a kicker.  They took the Steeler down to the wire in week 1 tying the game and lost last week blowing lead against the Saints.  

I think the Jets are still getting some respect because of week 1 Monday Night Football against the Lions scoring all those points.  The Browns defense is legit and I believe they will cause all sorts of problems for Darnold here.  The Browns know this is the game they can win and ultimately will win.  

The Brewers are fighting for a playoff spot right now and do hold a 3 game lead in the wild card race.  They actually though aren't far out of the division race either.  They have a huge advantage on the mound with Anderson who has a 1.93 ERA his last 3 starts.  Lorenzen is making his first start in 3 years so you can expect a little rust here

Neither one of these teams covered last week but I actually felt the Giants had a real shot at winning the game as the Cowboys were dominated by the Panthers.  Dallas was clearly hurting last week as they have a lack of weapon.  I also think their defense is up to a bigger task facing a team with a lot more play makers.  Giants win this game outright

This one here surprises me as the Redskins are getting that much respect for drumming the Cardinals.  I'm not high at all on the Cardinals this season this is an overreaction especially since the Skins have some injuries which are their WR's.  The Colts blew the game last week in the 4th quarter but really controlled a majority of that game.  They also out gained the Bengals by 50 yards.  

Really like the Falcons here to get the job done.  They struggled in the red zone @ Philly but I think that gets cleaned up as the Panthers are hurting on defense right now with some key injuries.  They will also miss Olson their TE for a few weeks.  Atlanta has had extra time to prepare here since they played on Thursday and that will show.  Also I'm not high on the  Cowboys this year and Carolina couldn't pull away from them last week

This to me is a bit of a stretch especially after game.  The Jets were 6.5 to 7 point underdogs and now they are favored by a field goal at home?  That seems like an overreactio.  I was impressed with Miami last week as I did have them.  They are a much better team with Tannehill running the show.  I believe this game is a coin flip so I will take a full field goal

The Chiefs were very very impressive last week @ the Chargers.  I just think this will easily be the public play of the week based on last weeks results alone.  The Steelers couldn't have looked much worse as they had 6 turnovers.  When doing that in the NFL you normally lose the game and by a blowout.  So yea, it was the Browns but give them credit as they still has a 21-7 lead with 8 minutes left in the game.  Big Ben will clean up his act and Pitt responds with a big effort 

Here is a weird line and an over reaction.  I had Arizona St last week and they pulled the upset over Michigan St.  Well, after seeing Sparty struggle week 1 vs Utah St and now @ ASU you have to wonder how overrated they are.  Also, ASU was projected by Vegas with a 4.5 win total this season, which means they were underdogs in this game at the start of the season.  Now just after 2 games they are favored on the road?  Maybe they are just this much better but this is a huge overreaction IMO and I will take the live dog

This is a much bigger game for Texas here now after laying an egg to Maryland in week 1 and just edging by Tulsa last week.  Herman knows the importance of this game as simply he was brought into this position to compete and win these types and he has underachieved so far.  USC is clearly rebuilding after they struggled week 1 vs UNLV and last week @ Stanford.  Texas has revenge on their minds and they get it done this weekend 

I think this Buffalo team is being underrated in the MAC this season.  They have returned a good nucleus from last season and the spot here is what really intrigues me. 

EMU is getting way too much credit for beating Purdue last as that was misleading because Purdue out gained them but EMU won the turnover battle.  It is also worth noting that game was played in some bad weather as well. 

More or less I think Buffalo is a play on team here as they will be under valued for several weeks. 

I truly believe the line tells the story here.  I'm not buying that LSU win over Miami at all in the first week.  First, it was a little misleading as Miami actually out gained them in the game and LSU won the turnover battle 2-0.  

The next thing is, how good do we truly believe Miami is?  Well I don't think they are that good this season but since they were ranked high LSU gets all the credit here.  

I was very impressed with Auburn week 1 vs a very good Washington team.  Their defense will get after the one dimensional LSU offense here.  Auburn was a 6 point favorite on the road last year and lost now the revenge will play a factor.  I think Auburn destroys them.

I was against Notre Dame last weekend in a win as they struggled with Ball St.  Granted they werent that interested in the game, but this week they better show up.  Vandy looks improved big time so far this season and the main reason is because of their offense. Midd Tenn and Nevada are smaller schools, but they aren't exactly dumpster fires and Vandy really put it to them.  I dont think Vandy gets blown out and their defense alone will keep them with a great chance to pull the upset IMO

Is there anything good to say so far about this Florida St team?  I sure dont think so.  They just gave up 475 yards in the air to Samford and only won by 10.  Cuse has revenge on their minds from last season blowing a game @ FSU.  Cuse will have no problem here putting up the points and they should be favored IMO.  

This was on I had circled coming into the week.  GA Southern isn't world beaters everyone knows that, but they have played well so far covering both games.  They run the option and that is the reason I like them here because they are going to be having the hurricane weather roll through.  With the weather I expect this game to be played a lot on the ground.

Also throw in the fact that Clemson just came off a thrilling win @ Texas AM last week.  This isn't the most ideal spot for them.  The motivation won't be there to blow them out as well.  I expect this number to drop as we go along

I had the Bengals last week in a winner and will back them again here.  I think this team is a playoff team no doubt about it.  I also think the betting public will fall in love with the Ravens since they did blow out the Bills who are the worst team in football.  I just think they are being underrated here at home in this division game and I will take them catching a point. 

The A's are red hot now making a strong push for the playoffs.  I dont think they have a problem here sweeping the Orioles with Bundy on them mound.  He is 4-7 at home with a 5.77 ERA and is in terrible form with a 8.16 ERA his last 3 while Anderson is rolling with a 2.60 ERA his last 3 

I'm not high on the Cowboys at all this season.  Some might argue they are tired of hearing how bad they will be, but the players they have surrounding Dak just aren't capable. Their WR's are possible the worst in the league and I'm not sure how good that defense will be.  I think Carolina isn't getting enough respect here and at 2.5 I will gladly take them

I love the Giants here this week catching 3 at home.  I think this game should be a PK at the very least.  Giants are coming off their worst season in a long time, but I think they are due for a huge bounce back.  I'm not buying that the Jags can repeat this season and I dont trust Bortles.  Giatns have added big time improvment to the offensive line and I love the draft pick of Barkley at RB.  I think the Giants win outright tomorrow. 

This is honestly more of a play against the Titans.  I don't think they should be favored.  IMO both of these team are 7 or 8 win teams therefore the home team should get a little nod.  Tannehill is returning and that is a bright spot or at least a lot better than Cutler.  I don't trust the Titans and I think they are a play against this season 

So all the hyper and talk is about Jimmy g and company.  Sure he hasn't lost as a starter and yes the team played different last year, but some of those late games were meaningless for the Niners.  I think the Vikings have the best balanced team in the league on both sides of the ball.  The Niners will have zero chance of running the ball against the Minnesota.  I like the upgrade with Cousins at QB as he will have something to prove.  Minnesota gets up early and San Fran cant play catch up

Andrew Luck is really getting some serious respect here in this game.  Maybe he does come out and light it on fire, but I will be willing to go against and have him prove me wrong here.  Cincy will be an improved team here and I think AJ Green gets back to his normal ways.  The Colts still have a lot of questions on defense and with that I will take the points with Cincy 

This is just a weird game here.  Michigan St looked bad last Friday night as a huge favorite over Utah St just beating them by 7.  They now travel and play a super late kickoff for them which will be 9:45 CT plus a 100 degree day.  ASU is a big question mark as a lot of people have pegged them one of the worst teams in the conference.  I just think this spot is good and I maybe Michigan St isn't as good as their ranking 

I backed UNLV last week against USC catching a ton of points and they covered fairly easily.  I will go back to them again here laying a massive number.  I just think UTEP is just flat out awful.  They could easily be one of the worst teams in the last 10 years.  UNLV will score a bunch in a hurry.  This is UTEP knows they are horrible and I expect them to be distracted by Vegas itself not focusing on the game.

Iowa St here will be very motivated after what happened last year to them in their own stadium giving this game away.  I like the group of players they have returning with some major athletes on offense which will give the inexperienced Iowa defense fits.  I didn't come away sold on Iowa last week either but the betting public will be all over them as they did cover and will love to lay the short number at home.  I think Iowa St wins outright

Now that this game has hit the crucial number of 10 I will gladly back the Gamecocks.  Jake Bentley is a stud QB and let's not forget this team finished with 9 wins last year and two of their 4 losses were too playoff teams last season.  Georgia has so much to replace on defense I just dont trust them laying a big number here.  This is a rivalry game and I think the Gamecocks believe they belong and I see them responding here

Here is another game where we all know where the betting public will be.  I leaned Notre Dame last week and upset obviously I didn't pull the trigger, but what is the Irish motivation here after having a huge win vs Michigan?  Ball St returns 13 starters and I think they will be a play on team for a while as the markets have them priced wrong.  Notre Dame I see just trying to control the game on the ground run clock get the win and move on. Therefore, I see Ball St being able to put up at least 14 points and that alone will give them an easy cover

I'm going to take the number here with Rutgers.  I think the betting public will be in love with Ohio St here since not only did they cover but they scored a ton of points in 77 to be exact.  The betting public loves teams that score we all know that.  I think this Rutgers team is vastly improved this season especially on defense with 8 starters back.  Texas St isn't great I get that, but they held them to under 200 total yards.  

Ohio St had a lot of motivation last week with everything that has gone on during the off season.  The players were eager to get out there and make a statement.  Now that is game over I dont think they will be that motivated for this game.  

Let's go with Arkansas St here catching a ton of points.  This team is a very good team and one of the best outside the power 5 conference.  I also think the motivation is gone here for Bama as they rolled Louisville last week.  Bama will likely play the back ups earlier here.  I also think Arkansas St can score twice  which means Bama needs another huge offensive output, but like I mentioned I doubt the motivation will be there to do so

I'm going to take the Brewers on the RL here.  They are leading the Wild Card right now and the Giants are tanking.  They have lost 6 straight right now.  Anderson is 5-3 at home has a 3.94 ERA his last 3 and his coming off a very good performance against the Nationals only giving up 1 run

A lot of value here with the D Backs on the RL.  The D Backs have been struggling big time and after dropping game 1 last night I think they respond with a big effort here.  The main reason though is that Lucchesi just gets owned by the D Backs as he has a career ERA of 7.72 and hasn't recorded a victory against them

I like the D Backs to roll here after a bad performance at the dodgers.  Godley is coming off a great start and I think he continues that.  Mitchell is in terrible form with a 8.76 ERA his last 3 starts

I really like Miami Oh here in this matchup.  I actually think they should be favored.  Miami Oh returns 16 starters from last year.  I actually think this team played a ton better than their 5-7 record. Gus Ragland is a very good QB probably the second best in the MAC.  They also reutrn arguably the best WR in the MAC.  There is also a huge revenge factor here as Miami outplayed Marshall everywhere but the scoreboard last year.  

I think Marshall will have a good team again this year but they have to replace a QB that entered the draft early in Litton.  Throw that in as well and now playing a true road game out of the gate, I think it will be a challenge for Marshall.

Wrong team favored lets take Miami Oh

There is no doubt which team here has the most talent in USC.  They are having to replace an All American highly thought after Sam Darnold.  USC will be starting a highly touted freshman and while all signs point to him being a stud you just never know.  Also a couple key injuries on the OL looks like some starters out.  Also missing a couple from the secondary.  More importantly USC has a huge look ahead next week with Stanford on deck.

UNLV returns 14 starters from a team that was 5-7 and should have had 6 and with a little luck 7 wins.  True sophomore QB Armani Rogers returns this year and he was the Mountain West freshman of the year last year.  UNLV has improved a lot since Sanchez has taken over.  They aren't world beaters but they can score a couple times and keep it within this big number.

For those who do follow me on twitter, I have talked about this Cal team for the season and I think they are a play on.  Cal returns 10 starters on offense and 7 on defense.  This team improved a ton on the 1st season head coach in Justin Wilcox.

They finished 5-7 last year but had a loss in OT and back to back 3 point losses both on the road to Stanford and UCLA.  I think we see them take a huge leap forward and I wouldn't be surprised if they won 8 games.

North Carolina could end up being the worst team in the Coastal Division of the ACC.  This team won just 3 games last year and only have 12 starters back.  2 of their wins were against non Division 1 teams.  I see them struggling against a vastly improved team in Cal

The more I look into this game I have to take Northern Illinois.  Iowa lost All-Americans on defense and those guys just dont walk through the door every day at Iowa.  None of their LB's have started a game and they are facing a experienced offense with 8 starters back.  

Iowa will also be without 2 starting offensive linemen which won't bold well going against Sutton Smith who was an All-American last year at DE and should have a hay day.  Northern Illinois went on the road last year and won @ Nebraska so they wont be afraid here. 

To me this game here is all about perception.  I think Ole Miss is getting credit because of their name and also that they are in the SEC.  The thing here is though Ole Miss had the worst offense in the SEC last year and quite frankly I don't see it improving much.  Yes, I know Texas Tech doesn't have a great one either but they also face a tougher style to defend.  Tech has a better defense and I think Kingsbury knows this the year to put up or shut up.  He needs this win over an SEC school

Well this is an obvious choice here but Colorado St was just awful losing to Hawaii at home.  Hawaii wasn't expected to do anything this season and they dominated the game. If Hawaii can expose the Rams on defense like that Colorado shouldn't have a problem themselves.  

I also don't like this spot here for Colorado St having to play such a fast turn around rivalry after being deflated.  Colorado is a little raw on offense but they do have junior college transfers in and I do like their QB Montez who returns.  This is a rivalry game so Colorado won't be letting up here.  

The Cardinals are making a charge for the playoffs.  Gomber has had 6 starts this year and has been lights out with a 2.51 ERA.  The Cards should have no problem teeing off on Bailey who has a 6.17 ERA on the season. 

I do like this Michigan St team this year I will be clear about that.  I just don't think they should be laying this much to a experienced team like Utah St who returns 9 on offense and 7 on defense.  I really Jordan Love their QB who started the final 6 games of the regular season as a true freshman.  

Michigan St is going to be a lot of people's sleepers picks to make the Big Ten title game which I understand.  While their defense is solid they did only average ppg on offense last year.  I see Utah St scoring at least twice here which would put Sparty scoring 40 or more to cover

Well, the first play of the season will be on Purdue.  This team had new life built in them last season as first year head coach Jeff Brohm did just a terrific job winning 7 games and also a bowl game.  

This Purdue team last year lost the opener to Louisville by 7, @ Wisconsin by 8 @ Rutgers by 2 and Nebraska by 1.  They could have easily on 9 games.  

Purdue's biggest question will be on defense but it's not like Northwestern is a juggernaut on offense.  Also I like that Thorson is playing now coming off an ACL tear which is keeping this line low.  

Northwestern won 10 games last year but I think a lot were a fluke.  They won 3 straight games all in OT.  What are the odds of that?  

Let's take Purdue to get the season going!

Let's go right back to the Astros again on the RL.  This team is rolling right now winning 7 straight and 8 of 9.  Morton brings his best stuff at home with a 8-2 record.  Edwin has had a couple shaky last starts even though he did beat the Astros.  Houston has a ton of momentum and I think it carries over

Like the Astros here to get some revenge after losing the series to the A's just here recently.  Anderson is in great form, but he has struggled on the road and as well against the Astros.  I think Astros have found a little something here winning 5 straight and 6 of their last 7.  

The Braves are making that push to try and stay in first place.  They could really use a sweep here and try and gain more ground.  Folty can get them off started just right, as he has a .86 ERA his last 3 starts.  He has pitched well on the road with a 2.82 ERA.  He is 5-1 for his career and Miami and the Braves have owned the Marlins this year with 13-3 record. 

Like the value here with the Cubs and Hamels.  The bats came alive last night in Detroit and I think they carry over here.  Hamels has just been lights out lately and looking very comfortable in a Cubs uniform.  

Buchholz has been rock solid for the D Backs with a 2.10 ERA in 12 starts this season.  The D Backs have won 5 of their last 6 games.  Despaigne has had two starts this season and both have been terrible 

What a pathetic showing by the Cubs last night.  i expect them to bounce back with Lester here.   He is 8-2 on the road with a 3.18 ERA.  He is also coming off a 6 inning shutout so I puke where he is trending.  The Cubs pound left handlers and Liriano is in terrible form with a 6.94 ERA his last 3

The Cardinals stole game 1 last night, but my money is on LA for a big response with the now healthy Ryu back.  This will be just his second start since May but his last start was a beauty giving up 0 runs.  Poncedeleon had a great debut for St Louis, but it was against the Reds.  This is a big time spot for him and I think the Dodgers get one back

The Rockies are red hot right now going 8-1 their last 9 games.  I will ride them here facing a Padres team that is 1-6 their last 7.  San Diego sends Erlin to the mound who has struggled on the road with a 5.79 ERA and has been shelled by the Rockies in his career with a 8.64 ERA.  Anderson on the other hand has pitched very well against the Padres with a 2.27 ERA in his career. 

Really like the A’s here on the RL tonight.  I was against the A’s yesterday in a winner but

now will back them here against Colon.  He has a 6.35 ERA his last

3 starts and a 4.72 ERA on the road.  Fiers is solid at

home  a 2.71 ERA and 2.03 ERA his last 3 starts

The Phillies lost to one of the best pitchers in the league in DeGrom yest and there is no shame in that.  I think the Phillies bounce back here only trailing the Braves by half a game.  Vargas has been flat out terrible across the board this season.  Pivetta is in great form with a 1.50’ERA his last 3 starts.