[b]Cincinnati -7 4.4* NCAAF POD[/b]
Revenge is a beautiful thing and that

Oklahoma -3 -120 (4* Prime Time)
I'm not buying this notion that Oklahoma's secondary is a major weakness. They return both starters at corner including Jamell flemming that held opponents to the 8th best pass efficiency defense a year ago. Plus it's not like EJ Manuel lights it up against BCS conference opponents as he has 6 TD's to 9 interceptions. Both WR he likes to throw to are banged up Bert Reed looks like he'll play with an ankle, but Willie Haulstead (concusion) is questionable. The two new safeties both have plenty of athletic ability. The one place Florida State can beat Oklahoma in is hte running game and I'm not so sure because they only managed 93 yards against LA Monroe. Oklahoma is filled with talent up front and their weakness comes at line backer. Most teams can get past that when they have a good defensive line and Oklahoma is big on the interior and has the speed on the outside to give FSU issues. Next to the offense of Oklahoma. The Sooners scored on their first 4 possessions in last year's game on route to a 47-17 win in a game that was not even that close. Landry Jones was 30-40 for 380 yards and 4 TD's. The talent on FSU remains on the defensive line, but that's the strength of this Oklahoma defense in their offensive line that returns 4 starters. Oklahoma faced a good opponent in the first week in Tulsa and come in with an extra week of preparation and head coach Stoops knows this defense as his younger brother coaches it. I'm not going to buy in on this team struggling on the road or outside oklahoma so much I think it's just a coincidence.

Illinois -2 (3.3* play)
This line was so screwy as Arizona State opened up as -1.5 favorites. Everyone loves this team but I thought their performance at home vs. Missouri was just subpar. They were supposed to put up points and yards on Missouri that had countless injuries. Now they go on the road to face another dual threat QB in Nathan Schelhaase as they struggled to contain James Franklin who had 319 yards passing and 84 rushing. Illinois has a more physical offensive line that could give ARizona State a lot of issues here at home. Arizona State is 8th in the Pac 12 in run defense and their rushing offense has been limited. Illinois is 8th in the nation with 283 rushing yards per game. This defense has not shown it's hand much and I think they'll bring some new blitz packages that could give Brock Osweiler some issues in his first road game in a hostile environment this weekend. I still believe Big Ten > Pac 12 and it will show today.

Navy +17.5 -115 (3* play)
South Carolina has the talent to beat any team in the nation. Navy however rarely gets blown out and they'll give South Carolina a major test as their defense has looked awful in the first two games. We know all about Navy's triple option, but South Carolina has not faced a triple option since 2008 when Wofford lost by just 10 points 23-13.

Both teams want to run the ball a lot because South Carolina just is not passing very well their QB's are 21-51 so expect a ton of running which will shorten the game. The Gamecocks just want to get out of here with a win no matter how ugly. Don't sleep on Navy's ability to keep Marcus Lattimore in check as they just held start RB Bobby Rainey from Western Kentucky to 3.9 ypc on 32 carries. Navy is 36-16 ATS in their last 52 road games and 22-7 ATS in their last 29 road as a dog 10.5+ points as I said they rare get blown out. Check out Ricky Dobbs replacement in Kriss Proctor they are saying he may be even better than Dobbs.

Miami OH +5 (5.5* NCAAF POD)
Love Miami Ohio as they are coming off a bye after holding a very explosive Missouri Offense to 17 points. Mizzo then went on the road to score 30 points vs. a very fast and athletic AZ State defense. QB Franklin is a dual threat that Miami Ohio kept in line and I don't think they'll have any problem with Minnesota QB MarQueis Gray who is a little bigger, but still should have no issue as this defense is for real that led them to a MAC Championship a year ago led by CB Dayonne Nunley and LB's Wedge and Harris forming the best secondary and linebackers in the MAC.

Minnesota as I said is a mess they just lost at home to New Mexico State and now there may be reason to believe they can bounce back but I don't see that reason facing a tough defense that is coming off a bye week well prepared for this very game after they lost opening weekend. Minnesota's strength is in their run defense and Miami Oh does not like to run the ball QB Zac Dysert is very good and should use his usual short passes for the running game moving the ball up and down the field. If they can finish in the red zone they should win out right. Something they could not do at Missouri, but Minnesota is no Missouri on defense. Dysert also gets his best receiver back this week as Sophmore WR Nick Harwell was suspended for hte first game. He had 64 receptions for 871 yards a year ago. Minnesota can't get the QB and that's dangerous if you give Dysert time as Minnesota was last in sacks in 2010 and so far through two games they have 0 sacks that includes against New Mexico State.. Mia OH is actually 4-0 ATS in their last 4 as a dog and last 4 vs. the Big Ten and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 vs. a team with a losing home record while Minnesota is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games. I expect this game to be decided by a field goal. Miami Ohio's defense will keep this to a field goal game regardless.

Wyoming +10 -120 (4* EB play) Wyoming +290 (1.5*)
This game featured the 10th and 11th ranked offenses with Wyoming being 10th with 540 yards per game. Wyoming defense coming off a solid effort holding Texas State's pistol offense to 189 yards. It's impressive because Texas Tech gave up 331 to them the week before including 256 rushing. The main story here is Offensive Coordinator Gregg Brandon who was the head coach at Bowling Green from 2003-2008. Wyoming has a real talent in dual threat QB Brett Smith who has shown the ability to pass and run and I think that could give Bowling Green big problems. Wyoming has also had more experience with challenging games. Last year they played Texas, Boise, TCU, Airforce, Utah, BYU and San Diego State. They have played well vs. the MAC in the past on the road and actually won At Toledo last year and at Ohio two teams Bowling Green lost to on the road so we know Wyoming can win this game.

There are huge question marks on Bowling Green's team despite the hot start because their offensive line gave up 34 sacks a year ago and only rushed for 62.8 yards per game ranked 120th. On the flip side this defense that really never improved gave up 33.6 ppg and 432 ypg a year ago. They lack size and have absolutely no pass rush that would rattle Wyoming's dual threat QB and true freshmen. Their secondary is young and they have committed a lot of penalties in the early going. Both defenses have shown an ability to show up in the second half, but Wyoming's offense has been much better scoring 21 points in 2H while Bowling Green has averaged 12.5 as it seems teams catch on and the OL does not wear down defenses so far. Wyoming is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 as a road dog and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 overall road games while Bowling Green is 8-21 ATS in their last 29 home games and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 overall as a favorite.

Temple +7.5 -120 (4.5* EB)
Temple has not beaten Penn State in 70 years, but last year they had Penn State on the ropes on the road leading 13-9 in the 3rd quarter and then Bernard Pierce went down with an injury and they lost 22-13 as they were -4 turnover margin. Looking at that stat losing on the road by just 9 points with a -4 turnover margin. I'll say this team has a good opportunity to win out right at home as Penn State has looked subpar so far as they have a 1 dimensional game because the passing game is awful and if they do try to pass Temple has the athletes to get into the backfield they have 11 sacks already. This is Penn State's first road game and Temple showed the ability to run a year ago 30 carries for 159 yards they run behind a big offensive line that can get some push up front as they average 6-5 and 318 lbs. They have already rushed for 545 yards in two games between the duo of Matt Brown and Bernard Pierce.

Speaking of Matt Brown he's also taking punts back for TD and that could be an issue as Penn state's punting game is an issue going into this game. Temple is not all special teams and running their QB Mike Gerardi has the skill and accuracy to make the Nittany Lions pay over the top if they stack the box as they have future NFL TE Evan Rodriguez and size on the outside in Deon Miller and SR. Rod Streater. Temple's defensive line has plenty of experience and size to disrupt the running game of Penn State. AT the end of the day this will be an ugly run first type game which I don't think has the ability to be decided by more than a TD. Lastly Temple's new coaching staff knows this Penn State team Steve Addazio and his offensive coordinator and defensive coordinator were all at Florida which beat Penn State 37-24 in the Outback Bowl.

Under 45 (4.4* NCAAF POD) Iowa State put up 44 but it was in OT vs. an Iowa team's defense that's in transition. This is the same team that struggled big time the week before against Northern Iowa. Uconn has had problems themselves on offense they do not know who their QB is and the running game is an obvious thing to stop for Iowa State that is allowing just 3.7 ypc. Uconn is big up front and Lyle McCombs comes in as the #12 rusher, but they have no balance the passing game has been awful and I expect an ugly game here tonight which will point to the under. Iowa State goes up against a very good Huskies defense that quietly had 7 sacks and 12 tackles for loss in their loss to Vanderbilt. Iowa State is under 19-7 in their last 26 overall and the Huskies under 22-8 in their last 30 after allowing less than 275 yards in previous game.

LSU/MISST U51 (4.4* NCAAF POD); LSU -2.5 -125 (3* BONUS) Love LSU and the under in tonight

Utah +9 (5* NCAAF POD) Utah 27-9-1 ATS in their last 37 as a road dog and USC is 3-9 ATS after a straight up win which I was just not impressed. USC was held to 2.4 yards per carry which was not surprising because this offensive line is super thin they lost 5 veterans in the off season. Utah's defensive line is a real strength and they should dominate USC in the trenches, tackle Star Lotolelei and Shelby/Kruger on the outside getting pressure with the line backers behind them who play hard this defense should be able to keep their team in the game. USC does have Matt Barkley and Robert Woods who had 17 receptions a week ago, but they were scoreless in the 2nd half vs. Minnesota and were lucky to hold onto the game vs. the Gophers. Utah is heading into their first Pac -12 game and there is no doubt they are pointing to this game and it certainly showed vs. Montana State which their poor play I feel has a lot to do with this line that continues to come down towards to a touchdown. Utah did not show a lot I don't care what anyone says and they did that on purpose. Jordan Wynn is capable of opening things up and I think Norm Chow the old offensive coordinator for USC under Carson Palmer and Matt Leinert will allow him to on Saturday night. Utah still rushed the ball 38 times for 191 yards and the name most will need to remember after this game is John White IV as he is a real star and has real speed. The Juco transfer had a 150 yards rushing a week ago. USC was 109th in the nation in pass defense and have all 4 starters back which is not necessarily a good thing. Minnesota's two QB's although not efficient were 14-25 for 192 yards. This defense struggles to close games and does wear down and struggle on 3rd down defense and red zone defense and that's never a good thing when you are favored at home by more than a TD.

BYU +7.5 -120 3.5* PLAY We were winners on Texas a week ago, but today I'm fading them at home vs. BYU. First of all Texas though they won 34-9 were not real efficient vs. a weak Rice defense that is perennially among the worst in the league. Texas OL did not get any push on Rice and the defensive line had no sacks and just 3 tackles for loss. Past success of Texas has been led by a strong offensive and defensive front and this team does not look like it has that this year. Jake Heaps is better than the Texas QB Gilbert who was just 13-23 a week ago. It's obvious Texas is trying to win by running the ball and defense and that's not going to cover a TD spread as a favorite vs. a team with a very under rated defensive line. BYU gave Ole Miss who has probably a top 3 SEC offensive line all kinds of fits as they rushed for just 64 yards. BYU dominated their offense and got the win late. I expect them to be competitive and start living up to the hype many had for them pre season.

Houston -21 buy 1/2 (3* play) Smaller play, but I'm confident Houston's offense which has plenty of experienced veterans with skill will easily outscore North Texas which did not score a single TD a week ago on offense as they scored on fumble recoveries and a late safety. They are 9-22 ATS in their last 31 non conference games and though they have a real NFL talent at running back in Lance Dunbar he could not run at all last week and the reason is the offensive line that returned just 2 starters. Houston should be able to do all they want on the ground and through the air vs. North Texas and there just is not enough offense on North Texas side to compete. Keep an eye on the backs Beal and Simms as they'll combine for a nice running day as Florida international had over 5.2 ypc a week ago. Houston's defense isn't as bad as advertised with Brown 3.5 tackles for loss and McGaw 16 tackles a week ago.

Marshall +7.5 (4* play) Marshall's defensive line is extremely under rated after what I saw from Vin Curry and the rest as West Virginia had troubles blocking them all day long. Geno Smith was lucky multiple times to escape and make some plays and I do not think Austin Davis behind a rebuilt offensive line will have that same luck as he's behind 4 new starters along the line and that was the reason they struggled to finish drives a week ago. Austin Davis was just 16/29 for 164 yards 18 yds rushing vs. Marshall last year despite winning 41-16. Now the game is in Marshall's back yard and the pass rush of Marshall should be the difference in the game. They held WV to 42 yards and a 1.6 yards per carry average. The weather is supposed to be sloppy so I think that will favor Marshal and the strength of their defensive line which will control the game. Marshall does start a true freshmen Rakeem Cato, but he has tremendous leadership qualities and does not get rattled and does not turn the ball over he's 15-21 and a 115 yards in a very vanilla offense. Coaches have said they will open things up a bit this week. Marshall is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 as a home dog.

Wisconsin -20 (3.3* Early Bird Special) First of all Oreg State gave up 367 yards at home to Sacramento State last week and lost 28-29. Now they go on the road to play a Wisconsin team that clicked in their debut vs. UNLV and they have to do it with 2 days less rest and at 9am body clock time as they travel across the country. The last time Oregon State did that they lost 63-27 at Louisville in 2005. The last time they faced a Big Ten school they lost 45-14 to Penn State. Add in the fact this team has plenty of injuries that are not helping them including electrifying James Rodgers and possible All American TE Joe Hahuni and now Malcolm Agnew the bright spot from last week's loss is doubtful with an injury to his hamstring. On defense they lose a pair of tackles which will weaken the defensive line vs. one of the best running teams in the country behind Monte Ball and James White as well as dual threat QB Russel Wilson who plays behind an offensive line averaging 6-4.5 and 320lbs. Wisconsin's offensive coordinator has an idea of what Oregon State likes to do he and Oregon State's head coach Mike Riley are good friends I'm sure he'll share that with the defense that will match up much better than they did a week ago vs. UNLV running the pistol, something they are not used to seeing. Wisconsin has said they will be a 4-3 base blitz aggressive team. That's the team I do not mind laying this kind of points at home with against an Oregon State team that can not even decide on a QB as both will play. Oregon State is 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games in September and I expect them to make some upsets throughout the season this just is not one of them with Wisconsin averaging 57.7 ppg in their last 6 home games.

Arizona St -3/Under 59 (4.4* NCAAF POD) I could not decide on the side, but I'm more confident in the total and Arizona State at home with a more experienced QB in the heat. I'll take the Sun Devils in this one with all the injuries on Missouri's offensive line and defensive line. With that said Arizona State's offense has not proved anything and their offensive line too is very suspect. Missouri has a deep rotation and are very talented and big up front which should give Arizona St issues in pass protection and in the running game. The LB's and DB's are also extremely fast and athletic and although I like the QB Osweiler I think he'll benefit more from the field position his defense puts him and they'll settle for field goals. Missouri on the other hand will have troubles with two offensive starters on the line missing and a sophmore QB in James Franklin making his first road start. The defense played well but put up just 17 points on a MAC team while only compiling 291 yards and going 3 for 13 on 3rd downs. LB Vontaz Burfict will be a factor all night long. I believe it will be a TD game, because Missouri's depth and defense are under rated. Looking at the humidity and temperature I don't expect the weather to play that big of a part in the game. Note Missouri defense held Tx AM to 9 points and Texas Tech to 24 on the road while AZ state defense held Stanford to 17 pts and then on the road held a very good Wisconsin offense to 20pts. Just not sold on the offense of AZ state to play them at double digits.

Arizona +14 4.5* ncaaf pod
This one has all the talent and excitement you would want on a Thursday night game.

4** NCAAF POD
smu +15.5 (4* NCAAF POD) This is a much under rated SMU squad that's been to back to back bowl games and returns a ton of talent including QB Kyle Padron and C-USA leading rusher Zach Line. Sure Texas A&M is loaded with talent with Tannenhill and Fuller, but the defense lost their two best players. I think SMU can stay within striking distance and their defense is very under rated.

Texas -24 -120 buy hook (3.5* play- 1-5SCALE) It is essential that Texas gets out to a fast start and though Rice does have some talent in dual-threat Taylor McHargue, Texas is no longer going to be looking past their opening game. They only won 34-17 last year and off a 5-7 season this Texas team is ready to make some statements. Before scoring just 34 points in last year's meeting Texas had scored 50+ points in 4 straight meetings. I think Gilbert will have his way this is a new offense as Texas brings over Boise State offensive coordinator to lead this offense. You will see a lot of movement and motions before the snap to take advantage of match ups and that is just bad news for Rice which perennially has one of the nation's weakest defenses. A year ago they gave up 449 yards 6.4 yards per play and 38.5 points per game. That's against C-USA teams mainly so playing a team like Texas with all the talent should be a nightmare. I also like that Texas went out and got Manny Diaz from Miss State to be the defensive coordinator and I think his aggressive style will give Rice dual threat QB a lot of issues leading to turnovers and points. Mack Brown has stated countless times nobody is safe at their position really challenging his players and I think it will work with all the competition and talent on this team everyone wants to play up to their potential and it'll look easy on Saturday night. Get pumped up to see Jaxon Shipley WR yes younger brother of Jordan and freshmen tailback Malcolm Brown and others that will be the future of the program.

Georgia +3 -102 (5.5* NCAAF POD) I'll get to it right off the bat. Boise State has weaknesses this year. The right side of the offensive line (blind side) features two new sophmore starters. The key to disrupting Kellen Moore is pressure. Georgia also has a huge advantage in the secondary as they are deep and strong and the front 7 should be much better this year. Back to the secondary they go up against a Boise group that lost Titus Young and Austin Pettis who combined for more than 400 receptions and more almost 5,000 receiving yards 64 TD's in their careers. Georgia should be able to take advantage with their defense in this game especially if their athleticism up front gives Boise issues. Also Boise has inexperience in their secondary. Aarron Murray is ready after 24 TD's and just 8 interceptions a year ago with 61% completion rate. If Georgia can run the ball too they win this game but Boise is very strong against the run though they gave up 269 to Nevada and 250 to Utah State down the stretch so they can be run on and Georgia's offensive line is much bigger than the Dline of Boise... Look for this to be a key in the 2nd half. Lastly Georgia has the best special teams in the nation and it can be a huge advantage in what I think will be a lower than expected scoring game. They feature the best kicker in Blair Walsh and Georgia was also 19th in turnover margin something that led Boise to winning at Virginia Tech a year ago 33-30. Boise was really lucky to win that game and I expect Georgia to be a little more ready knowing how big this game is. Note Boise is 0-4 vs. the SEC. Their non-conference schedule is still weak looking back at previous 3 years and all the success. I mean they had Vtech and Oregon state out of the ACC and the Pac 10 and Oregon the year before, but overall those conferences are not the SEC. Boise always has a weak schedule we are just stating the fact and I think Boise will not be as good as last year's team with the 3 glarring weaknesses on the blind side of offensive line, the inexperience wide receivers (good Georgia secondary), and the inexperience in Boise's secondary (Aarron Murray accurate passer can take advantage).

LSU +3.5 (3.3* Play) All the hype surrounding the loss of Jordan Jefferson is over rated and the Ducks now losing players to suspensions as well including all american corner back Cliff Harris which basically washes out WR Russel Shephard's suspension. Randle in my opinion is the better WR anyhow at 6-4. I have more confidence in Jarret Lee than most as he does have experience and LSU has 7 starters back on defense that was 16th in the nation on 3rd down conversion defense 35%. They have extremely fast athletic guys all over especially at corner back despite the loss of Patrick Peterson Morris Claiborne is going to be an All American at corner. Why LSU might win.. Oregon is not used to playing games this competitive this early in the season the last time was vs. Boise on the road where they scored just 8 points. When teams have time to prepare for this fast paced offense the Ducks struggle. The last 3 times opponents have had time to prepare were the Rose Bowl in 2009, the National Championship in 2010, and opener in 2009, we throw the opener of 2010 out because they faced New Mexico. IN those three games Oregon's powerful offense scored 8, 17, and 17 points. They face a very good defense in LSU that has the recipe to stop them. This is also a team that was tied with Auburn at Auburn with 6 minutes to play at 17-17 so I expect big things from them tonight in Cowboys Stadium where they will have more fans.

Indiana -5.5 (4* NCAAF OE play) This in state rivalry will be played at lUcas Oil Stadium and on turf. That's bad news for Ball State that will have to cover a solid group of receivers from Indiana led by Demarlo Belcher who is big and has good hands. Indiana has some seniors that remember the 2008 loss 42-20 to Ball State and will look to revenge that loss and I think they will. That was a good Ball State team that went 12-0. Both these teams are rebuilding and have new coaches. Indiana's Kevin Wilson and his team sounds like they are going to be more aggressive on defense and they have the players talking with confidence. Indiana has won 8 of their last 9 opening games and they have only lost two games vs. the MAC in the last 33 years. Their offensive line should be the difference as they have 3 seniors and 2 red shirt juniors. The defense switches to a 4-3 and they'll play lots of man to man which will force Ball State QB Keith Wenning to be accurate in his second year and that's something that won't happen in my opinion Wenning through 10 starts a year ago had 14 interceptions and 54.5% completion percentage. Ball State is also running a new no huddle offense and it looked awful in the spring Indiana's new look defense should take advantage and I look for them to run the ball effectively on Ball State with Matt Perez who is showing vision and power in practices for Indiana as he has "wowed coaches."

Houston -2.5 (3.3* Early Bird Special) Case Keenum returns to face the team who he injured his knee against in 2011 so there will be extra motivation for Houston to avenge the loss on the road to UCLA. Houston now the home team has a lot of depth back on offense with players returning from injury and eligibility. They have a 3 headed rushing attack that they never had with Case Keenum at as they rushed for 153 yards per game last year. That should provide an advantage vs. UCLA which gave up 205.5 yards per game on the ground. UCLA also lost Rahim Moore in the secondary to the NFL Draft and that will be key as Keenum should be spreading the field and finding guys open particularly Pat Edwards and Tyron Carrier who combined for 176 receptions 2,050 yards and 13 TD's in Keenum's last full year. Look out for RB Bryce Beall coming back from 5.3 yards per carry and 870 rushing yards last year and Charles Simms who in 2009 had 698 yards 5.3 ypc average along with 70 receptions for 759 yards. He did not play last year because of eligibility. This depth is what will wear UCLA down on a hot afternoon in Texas. I just am not buying into UCLA their offense only averaged 141 yards per game last year and their strength is on the ground with Johnathan Franklin (214 att for 1,127 yards) but they'll likely be forced to pass with the way Houston can put points up on the board especially at home. Houston also has an advantage in the kick return game on special teams so expect the field to be tilted in their direction for much of the afternoon. Houston is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games as a favorite.

Baylor +4 (4.4* NCAAF POD) Love Baylor here. TCU dominated them 45-10 in week 3 last year so this is a big revenge game for Baylor. Robert Griffith is a dark horse for the Heismann and he returns 4 of his top 5 receivers along with an offensive line that has been building to this point. TCU on the other hand lost 26 letterman including 3 of their top 4 receivers and QB and 4 of their 5 regulars on the defensive front. Baylor did not turn the ball over against TCU last year despite the loss and Grifftith threw 67% completion rate overall last year and I expect him to be able to move the ball a little bit on a rebuilding TCU team. While they held Baylor to 99 yards rushing a year ago I think Baylor may go through the air a little bit more early in this game. Defensively I think Baylor is going to have a better year because it could not get any worse. First things first they face a sophmore QB in Casey Pachall making his first start. Now he's supposed to be better than Dalton and I believe we'll see that before the year is out, but right now I think Baylor has the advantage despite the secondary being their weak link. The old TCU assistant takes over as defensive coordinator and put in a 4-2-5 scheme. Watch out for Baptise 335 lbs commanding double teams allowing the Baylor linebackers to come up and stop runs. Baylor looked like a completely different team at home and as home dogs on revenge I can't help but back them in this spot.

Idaho -6 (4.4* NCAAF POD)
It will be a repeat of the Humanitarian bowl won by Idaho in 2009 the only previous match up between these too. Bowling Green was in a rebuilding year last year but they still return one of the youngest rosters in college football with 54 freshmen or red shirt freshmen and 27 sophmores or red shirt sophomores. This team last year struggled big time on defense in both stopping the run and pass. They lack size and add in that they just were not very good on special teams and this team has nothing to do but improve, but I like Idaho out of the WAC. They had a disappointing year last year and gave up a bunch of sacks (main issue) with 45 sacks to QB

Auburn -1.5 (5.5 Dime POD); Under 73.5 (3.3 Dime Bonus)
SEC is 6-0 in their last 6 BCS National Championships including 4 in a row! Of course that is not the only reason why I am going with Auburn here. One thing to consider is the size advantage and each aspect of the game in how Auburn matches up against Oregon and I think they hold some significant advantages most importantly the offensive line vs. the defensive line. Oregon has a very small team their interior line is just 272lbs where Newton at 250 and 6

Auburn -1.5 (5.5 Dime POD); Under 73.5 (3.3 Dime Bonus)
SEC is 6-0 in their last 6 BCS National Championships including 4 in a row! Of course that is not the only reason why I am going with Auburn here. One thing to consider is the size advantage and each aspect of the game in how Auburn matches up against Oregon and I think they hold some significant advantages most importantly the offensive line vs. the defensive line. Oregon has a very small team their interior line is just 272lbs where Newton at 250 and 6

[b]Boston College +8 (4-Dime play)[/b]
BC is a very physical football team they only give up 72 ypg on the ground and that's where Nevada does it's damage. I expect BC to stay in this game late especially with their physical defensive style of play. This team held a similar offense to just 19 points in Virginia Tech who can run the ball but managed just 2.7 yards per carry against them. Blessed with exceptional Linebackers BC will shock alot of people here tonight.

Mtsu -2. 5dime pod
Middle Tenn has a great pass rush that will be the difference in this game. They had 33 sacks and 85 tackles for loss on the year they can do it with a 4 man rush which is why they are ranked 20th vs. the pass and that

Arkansas +3 (5.5 Dime POD); Arkansas +140 (2-Dime bonus)
I really like Ryan Mallet in this game he's had an excellent season and he can find any one guy. Expect DJ Williams, his TE to have the biggest game. I see Ohio State full of great players, but when it comes down to it they have struggled in bowl games. 1-3 in their last 4 and tonight they get to play a solid SEC team. SEC teams are 3-0 SU and ATS thus far and Big Ten is just 2-5. Normally I like the Big 10 just not against a top flight conference like the SEC. Auburn played the two best teams in America this season as far as I"m concerned and they lost to both. Alabama beat them 20-24 and they lost in a shoot out when Mallet went down with an injury to Auburn. This team is ready and I think they'll take this game out right.

Virginia Tech+3.5 (5.5 dime pod)
No surprise to me that Stanford is favorites in this spot. All the buz with Jim Harbough and Andrew Luck going to the NFL next year. What I

Wisconsin +3 (4.4 Dime POD)

Northwestern +8.5 (3.3 Dime Early bird)

Georgia -6.5 *4.4 Dime POD
Georgia is better than their 6-6 record suggests they closed the year 5-2 and Aaron Murray is clearly the future of hte program. I think he stays hot in this game and hooks up with AJ Green early and often. Georgia's offensive line played extremely well and has been healthy and it should neutralize Central Floridas strength and speed giving Murray plenty of time to operate and find his open targets. In the end Georgia scores too much and Central Florida and freshmen Godfrey's great season will come to an end.

Miami -3 (3.3 Dime play) I'm actually more confident with an interim coach for Miami I think Jeff Stoutland will be trying to prove that he can be a head coach some where and we'll see what he can do with a team that is extremely talented. This game comes down to the play of the QB's and Jacoby Harris vs. Tommy Rees. Harris is back healthy, but will he be that QB that made mistake after mistake? Notre Dame improved a lot down the stretch but I'm still not impressed as they beat Army (who cares), USC (without their starting QB), and Utah (hang over after losing to TCU). All in all those victories are more impressive on paper. The injuries are still stacked against them and I don't think they'll have enough offense in this game and Rees will be intimidated by the pass rush that Miami will bring. This will be the key difference maker in the game in my opinion. Look for Miami to get a strong rush all day and for Rees to make a few critical errors.

Nebraska -13 (3.3 Dime LNF); Jazz -1 (3.3 Dime NBA POD)
It was not good for Washington the first time around and Bo Pelini is not the type of coach to let his team get cocky. They'll be read for everything Washington will throw at them. Bottom line Nebraska had three guys run for over 100 yards in the 56-21 win and the game still wasn't even that close. Washington was home in that game and they had no answer for Taylor Martinez who was also efficient with 7-11 150 yards 1 TD. Martinez got better through his schedule throwing the ball and he'll get plenty of balance from the running game that average 7.3 yards per carry vs. Washington's 107th ranked run defense. Whenever Wash played a good team they folded. Jake Loker played his worst game ever vs. Nebraska 4-20 with 2 INT's. If he can't play well Wash has no shot. Nebraska is 4-1 in their last 5 bowls and they played Arizona last year and dominated in a 33-0 victory. The defense is not as quite dominant, but the offense is better so I expect another blow out here.

Tenn +1 (4.4 Dime POD)
I still question whether or not TJ Yates can play in big games although he had a great year. They slowed down the stretch and Tenn comes into this game hot holding their last 4 opponents to 13ppg while averaging 37.5 ppg themselves. It was a complete 180 from a 2-6 start of the season and Tenn did it with the switch at QB from Matt Simms to Tyler Bray who threw 14 TD's and just 5 interceptions over his last 5 games. He had 354 yards passing against a good Kentucky secondary ranked 18th vs. the pass. He'll have to have another big game vs. a talented secondary of UNC.

Yates too will have to pick his poison because Tenn knows the team can't run with their two starters Elzy and White out and veteran Shaun Draughn is not the same he was a few years ago he's injury plagued and they have nobody really behind him so look for lots of passing in this one and Tenn has really improved the most in their secondary. IN their last 5 games they had 11 interceptions and gave up only 5 passing touchdowns. Watch out for big play maker Prentiss Waggner already drawing comparisons to Eric Berry. He had 5 interceptions and took back 3 to the house. OL is another issue for the Volunteers and it's not for lack of talent but the lack of experience. The extra time to prepare and the extra practices for a young Tenn team is huge. They gave Bray a lot more time down the stretch.

Wrapping up here both teams played LSU. Tenn played on the road and nearly had a win before LSU pushed the ball into the endzone with 0 seconds for a 14-16 win while North Carolina lost at home to open the season 24-30 as they trailed 30-10 at the half. Look for Yates to get some yards but also to make mistakes. There will be no run game so Tenn will have UNC figured out by half time as they have a lot of veteran leadership on defense including two srs up front and 3 linebackers that are sr's.

Army +7.5 (3.3 Dime Early Bird Special)
The academy teams have done really well in these bowl games in recent years and I don't see anything that SMU did during the season that warrants a full TD and more favorite. In the Conference USA Championship the coach made stupid calls including not kicking a field goal down 10 so I have no reason to believe this team can dominate a very sound and diciplined Army team. SMU did lose at Navy where they gave up 253 yards rushing. Army dominated Navy despite losing by two touch downs. That game was all about one play the fumble at the goal line returned for a TD. SMU has the offensive talent but they have yet to show me they can put it together.

Okl St -4 (5-Dime POD); Okl St +2/Over60 (2.2 Dime Teaser)
Arizona closed the year with absolutely no momentum. They faced two similar offensive teams with balance down the stretch that can be compared to Oklahoma State in Stanford and Oregon and they gave up 48 and 44 points to both. I expect Oklahoma St to be well within that number as they have even more balance than both of of those programs with the #2 passing game and #29 running game for the #3 scoring offense. Arizona did not play well last year against a Big 12 opponent in their bowl game as they were shut out to Nebraska 33-0. Oklahoma State has been able to put up points on everyone and everyone thinks it's because of Justin Blackmon who had 102 catches for 18td's and 1,665 yards, but it all tartes with Kendall Hunter at tailback who had 1,516 yards rushing. He's also backed by Joseph Randle who is a nice back to make catches. They also have Josh Cooper at WR who is by far their best route runner and don't forget their kick returning specialist Justin Gilbert who is a budding star as a freshmen and provided 2 TD's on runbacks in last 3 games.

There is just too much to worry about here for Arizona. They'll get their points, but I don't think they can stop Oklahoma State int he end who is #1 red zone offense. Oklahoma State's defense struggled for most of the year and Arizona has a top flight offense, but the different will be Oklahoma State takes gambles. They had 16 interceptions and a +8 TO margin on the year. The extra time to prepare has made the young defense better in my opinion. When they had extra time against Texas AM they come up with 5 turnovers. LB Orie Lemon will be the key for them on defense and his 119 tackles on the year should prove that he'll be up to the task. Who I'm really more excited to watch is Big 12 defensive rookie of the year Shaun Lewis at LB. He has a chance to be the best player on defense for this team and again the extra practices only improve them more.

Lastly common opponents is what these two teams had in Washington State. Arizona got by 24-7 and was +53 yards, but Oklahoma State opened the season in a 65-17 runaway. They were +222 yards. It just goes to show you in my opinion that the Pac-10 is still down. The two top teams in Stanford and Oregon are dominating but the rest are so so and it'll show here tonight.

East Carolina +7.5 (2.5 Dime Play)
East Carolina's defense was bad down the stretch and at least one team scored at least 33 pts in all of their games this year. Their offense can light it up and Maryland's strength is in their linebackers which will be used for stopping the run. East Carolina can have a lot of success and they will through the air. This game should go back and forth a little bit, but I think East Carolina will find themselves in striking distance. They always seemed to come with their A game vs. BCS opponents. They actually had a more challenging schedule than Maryland this year as they played 8 bowl teams this year. They too beat NC State much like Maryland in similar scores. Maryland edged Navy on opening day 17-14 but were -213 yards while East Carolina got beat by Navy and were only -29 yards. We know East Carolina can play with a Maryland team and I think it helps out their struggling defense to know that Maryland has the worst offense of anyone they have played in 5 games. Maryland is one dimensional 85th in total offense their drives will stall while East Carolina and Dominique Davis is responsible for the 7th passing offense in the nation. Davis has been a surprise and he'll continue to show off his talent in this game.

Iowa +3 (3.3 Dime LNF)
I'm not buying into all those suspensions Iowa has. Iowa's head coach Kirk Ferentz has done wonders with much less talent. In a year when the Big 10 was dominant with three 1 loss teams Iowa is now flying under the radar against a Big 12 team. I believe Iowa is better because they play defense. They are #1 pass efficiency defense and should give Gabbert a lot of problems like he had against Nebraska another good pass defense.

I don't know how much I trust Missouri any way in these bowl games they lost as big favorites vs. Navy a year ago 35-13 so look out here because they have to play a team that does not turn the ball over and one with a good defense. Ricky Stanzi has been great this year with 25 TD and 4 INT he won't have his running back or top WR but I believe his defense makes it so he doesn't have to do much.

West Virginia -2.5 (4.4 Dime POD)
A healthy Noel Devine and an offense that really does not turn the ball over that much with the exception of two games this year and I love West Virginia. They clicked down the stretch to 37, 17, 35, and 35 point totals down the stretch. NC State is a team that had 24 take aways and that's how they win along with the arm of Russel Wilson who will be the biggest key in this game. Geno Smith threw just 6 int's on the year and with Devine back in the mix you can bet the fumbling issues (7 times at Uconn) won't be an issue here.

Now both these teams have two common opponents in Maryland and Cinci. West Virginia blasted Maryland at home 31-17 and racked up 260 more yards while NC State failed in their last game at Maryland 31-38 as they only were +25 yards. That game was a devastating blow it took them out of the ACC title game and I wonder how up they will be for this game. Then Cinci scores were pretty even as Nc State won 30-19 at home +108 yards and West Virginia won 37-10 +138 yards.

This is the best defense NC State will face all year and when Russel Wilson has thrown an INT in each of his last 9 games and has a one dimensional attack as they are ranked 93rd in running the ball the Mountaineers can concentrate on a pass rush they were 3rd in the nation in sacking the QB and forcing turnovers. This is one of the most talented secondaries in the nation one that features 3 all stars and they've only given up 5 TD passes in their last 9 games. The 3-3-5 scheme will really frustrate Wilson and is a perfect game plan against a pass happy team in my opinion. This is a dynamic defense and they are facing an offense that can put up points, but it all comes through the air I'll always take a dominant defense over a one dimensional offense. Look for Geno Smith to have a nice accurate game as he led the Big East in pass efficiency and for Noel Devine to make some noise in his last game in college.

Florida International +1 (4.4 Dime POD)
I like what Flint did this year there is no doubt that they had a more challenging schedule with games at 4 BCS schools to start the season in Rutgers, Pitt, Maryland and Texas A&M. Actually they lost to TX AM on the road just 20-27 and they were in a battle with Pitt before they gave up 28 4th quarter points in a 44-17 loss.

Toledo was wildly inconsistent and are also coming into this game as over achievers. This will be game #2 of the bowl season of MAC vs. Sun Belt and in the first game Troy waxed the MAC's Ohio team one that's really good. Florida International went on the road to Troy and gave them a beat down and rushed for 448 yards against a very talented defensive line. I believe they will be able to run the ball and control the clock on Toledo here today a team that does not have a great defense and they are inconsistent on offense. They won games by forcing turnovers this year with 30 in their 8 wins.

Florida International will not be turning the ball over and I think the Sun Belt player of the year TY Hilton will have a huge game. Many people have told this team they can't win they are in just their 6th year of the program. I think they love the under dog role and they'll wear it tonight in front of a national audience. Toledo closed the year giving up an average of 407.3 yards in their last 3 games and I don't think they can stop the 28th run game one that allows the fewest sacks and plays great pass defense with a better pass rush than what Toledo can offer. What does that mean? It means if Florida International can take a lead in this game I believe it'll be over. They can concentrate on running the ball limiting turnovers and finishing the game off with a win!

Tulsa +10 (4.4 Dime POD); Tulsa +310 (1-Dime bonus)
Tulsa Hawaii should be an exciting match up Christmas Eve. Lots of offense and I don't see Tulsa being beat by double digits here. They have played plenty of high octane offenses so their offense too is capable of putting up the points. A few teams come to mind that they have played that have nice offenses in Southern Miss, Houston, SMU and Oklahoma State. We already saw Boise struggle in their bowl and I'm not sold on the WAC and Hawaii just yet their non-conference schedule was not particularly hard and they lost bad to a bad Colorado team 31-13. Tulsa can score with the best of them and are much more balanced ranking in the top 15 in rush and passing offense and it comes from GJ Kinne their QB the offensive player of the year out of the conference. They have NFL talent including their receiving fullback Charles Clay. The all time leader in all purpose yards Demaris Johnson. He's just 5 foot 8 170 pounds but blazing fast and shifty. He can take it to the house at any point look for him to have a huge impact on tonight's game.

Ohio +3 buy 1/2 (4-Dime OE play)
I like Ohio and Frank Solich has his team ready as he finally gets a match up they can win. There defense has been solid all year long ranked 21st in total yards and 34st in points allowed. They surely will be tested by the Trojans here today especially by Jernigan who is #8 in all purpose yards. Troy has plenty of other weapons, but their defense is not good enough to win a bowl game and they have had turnovers that have plagued them all year. Ohio had 17 interceptions this year andt hey have more vets in more key spots as this is their 3rd bowl in 5 years. They are 0-4 in bowl games so although they choked vs. Kent State down the stretch Troy does not have a defense close to Kent St and Ohio's run option should work to perfection here today with Boo Jackson leading them at QB ast hey rushed for 170 a game with 25 TD's during the year. They are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 as an under dog and Troy themselves are 1-3 in bowl games. Don't get me wrong this game will be tight as Troy has played their losses close which is why I recommend buying the half. If you ask me Ohio wins out right but just in case we have a tie game with Troy driving at the end of the game it's good to feel insured.

Fresno State +1.5 (4.4 Dime POD)
Fresno and Northern Illinois both played Illinois this year so we do have something to gauge this game on. Fresno came up with the upset while Northern Illinois did not. However Fresno did play that game at home while Nill had to travel to play there game. Overall I don't put too much weight into that game. I do however look at the schedules and Fresno plays in a tougher conference one where they had to play Boise, Hawaii, and Nevada and they played a much tougher non-conference schedule that featured Illinois, Miss, and Cinci while Northern Illinois played Iowa State and bottom feeder Minnesota.

Northern Illinois comes into this game after a colossal gag in the MAC Championship game which they lost as 17 point favorites. Now they have to follow that up without their head coach Jerry Kill who took the job in Minnesota and interim coach Tom Matukewicz who has really nothing to coach for since the new coach is already hired. On the other side Fresno has plenty to play for and they are used to playing in bowl games. Fresno gets healthy with Andrew Jackson arguably the best blocker on the team returning as well as Robbie Rouse who could steal the show here. The key is to stop Northern Illinois running game and Chris Carter will help to do his best as he ledt he WAC with 11 sacks and 16.5 tackles for loss. Illinois ran all over Fresno but they still hung on to win. I think Robbie Rouse has the better running game between the two featured backs and I think Ryan Colburn will back up his performance that he had against Illinois.

Army +7.5 (4.4 Dime POD); Under 53 (1.1 Dime Bonus)
Love Army here granted they have scored just 6 points in the last three match ups, but they have come along way this year and I feel Navy digressed a bit this year. Navy still has Ricky Dobbs who dominated this game last year with 30 carries at QB. Dobbs was a dark horse for Heisman this year, but he didn't put up the same kind of numbers early he was hurt and it hasn't been the same Navy offense as years past. It also hasn't been the same Navy defense and I feel Army can take advantage of that with Trent Steelman having another year of experience. Navy gives up more yards in the passing game on their defense and I think Steelman who was just 7-20 last year will have a better game with his limited throws.

This game will be close to the end and that's because Army's defense will keep them in. They really missed their leading tackler Stephen Anderson a year ago in the 17-3 loss but now he's back pair him with Stever Erzinger who made 11 tackles in last years match up and you have two guys that can sniff out the triple option. Navy loves to mix it up with runs up the middle but Army is strong up front with Josh McNary. All in all Dobbs and the Navy offense will move the ball but I see them being forced to settle for field goals. Same goes for Army I have seen them look very impressive against some good teams this year, but they have failed to put the ball in the end zone. Same happens today with each team trading field position and settling for field goals. This is too big for both teams and bigger for Army who has their best team in many years and they want to make a statement that they are no longer a push over.

Army +7.5 (4.4 Dime POD); Under 53 (1.1 Dime Bonus)
Love Army here granted they have scored just 6 points in the last three match ups, but they have come along way this year and I feel Navy digressed a bit this year. Navy still has Ricky Dobbs who dominated this game last year with 30 carries at QB. Dobbs was a dark horse for Heisman this year, but he didn't put up the same kind of numbers early he was hurt and it hasn't been the same Navy offense as years past. It also hasn't been the same Navy defense and I feel Army can take advantage of that with Trent Steelman having another year of experience. Navy gives up more yards in the passing game on their defense and I think Steelman who was just 7-20 last year will have a better game with his limited throws.

This game will be close to the end and that's because Army's defense will keep them in. They really missed their leading tackler Stephen Anderson a year ago in the 17-3 loss but now he's back pair him with Stever Erzinger who made 11 tackles in last years match up and you have two guys that can sniff out the triple option. Navy loves to mix it up with runs up the middle but Army is strong up front with Josh McNary. All in all Dobbs and the Navy offense will move the ball but I see them being forced to settle for field goals. Same goes for Army I have seen them look very impressive against some good teams this year, but they have failed to put the ball in the end zone. Same happens today with each team trading field position and settling for field goals. This is too big for both teams and bigger for Army who has their best team in many years and they want to make a statement that they are no longer a push over.

Oklahoma -4.5 (3.3 Dime PTS)
Oklahoma and Nebraska both held the their common opponents to the same # of points basically with Oklahoma giving up 140 and Nebraska giving up 134. Oklahoma

FSU +4 (5-Dime OE play)
FSU their 6 common opponents that they have with Virginia Tech are very even results. Vtech won 206-85 while Florida State outscored them 193-115. The two games that they have in common in terms that they faced them both at home and away was first Wake Forest who they both played at home.

FSU won 31-0 and had +30 yards while Virginia Tech won 52-21 and were +25 yards. They both also won at Miami 45-17 +4 was Florida State while Virginia Tech won 31-17 and were -9 yards. At the end of the day I

Auburn -5.5 (5.5 Dime POD)
They say South Carolina has the #5th run defense in the country? Tell that to Auburn and Cameron Newton, Dyer, and McCalebb who only rushed for 334 yards in their earlier match up. Auburn has a premier rusher too in Lattimore, but in South Carolina

SMU +9 (4-Dime EB play) SMU +285 (1-Dime Bonus)
June Jones

Pitt +2 (2.75 Dime Play)
PITT

Fresno +6 buy 1/2 -120 (4-Dime LNF)
Fresno is a very balanced team especially on defense where it can stop the run and it's been tested by plenty of teams that can run the ball including Nevada, Boise, and Miss to name a few as they have faced six teams in the top 55 in running the ball. That's the only thing Illinois really does is run the ball with their beast Mikel Leshoure who has 1371 yards rushing on the year. Illinois has really been clicking as of late averaging 46.8ppg and they deserve to be favorites in this spot, but they don't remember what a defense looks like as they have faced and average 86th total defense and 89th scoring defense in their last 5. Fresno matches up and can stop the run in my opinion. Illinois will also face a good running game despite Fresno's Robbie Rouse looking doubtful to play. They'll have the back up Ellis ready as he ran for 55 yards on 11 carries vs. Idaho last week. The defense for Fresno is also playing well giving up just 3 pts to a high powered Idaho passing game a week ago through 3 quarters. Fresno will get to Illinois QB as they have 33 sacks on the season 10 by Chris Carter.

Again this is a tough schedule for Illinois after they have not much to play for they are already calling their season a success from last year. This will be a late start and the travel for Illinois will have an impact just ask Cincinnati who traveled to lose by 2 TD's at Fresno in the beginning of the year.

Arizona St +6 (4.4 Dime POD)
We have been hovering at .500 all season long and this is about the time last year where we just flat out dominated with 69% winners the rest of the year. Championship week this week and then the bowl games begin.

New QB for the Sun Devils as Threet suffered a concussion and he probably could play this game, but they are turning to the pre-season competition of Threet in Brock Osweiler. Osweiler is a beast at 6'8 242lbs and has a very accurate arm which is what you want in the spread offense. In the second half against UCLA Osweiler picked apart a UCLA secondary ranked 60th in pass defense. He finished the day with 27-36 for 380 yards and 4 TD's and 0 INT's (the key). Threet often got Arizona State out of contention this is a team that lost to STanford by only 4 3 to Oregon State gave Oregon their best game losing by 11 and lost on the road at Wisconsin by just 1 point as a missed extra point cost them a tie. Threet threw 16 interceptions on the year and lucky for the Sun Devils Arizona is among the worst in picking off passes with just 9 on the year. I expect a very close game in what is a huge rivalry game.

Arizona State still has a shot at a bowl game at 5-6 and I believe they finally get it done tonight! Arizona State is very fast on defense and athletic they are right behind Arizona in total defense in the Pac-10 and Nick Foles may struggle because DE Junior Onyeali is fast and get put pressure on Foles. Foles is careless under pressure. Arizona is also 112th in red zone offense with just 73% of their opportunities into scores. I expect Arizona State to possibly cause some turnovers that should give them the edge in possibly stealing this from an Arizona team that was ranked before their 3 straight losses by a combined score of 67-113 against Stanford, USC and Oregon. Arizona State against those three opponents also went 0-3 but the product was a lot closer 77 to 93 which gives me reason to believe they can pull an upset.

Arizona St has a lot to look forward to next year, but they lost this game 20-17 last year and you better believe they want it and will plan this game as their bowl game. The running game has picked up and they have weapons all over on this offense with RB's Deantre Lewis who can hurt you out of hte backfield or in the passing game he had 100+ rushing yards against each Oregon team while Sophmore Cam Russel had 147 yards in the win a week ago. They can spread it out on offense with not a single WR being the go to guy. There is a different guy each week and I like the rise of Jamal Miles who had a 99 yard return a week ago. He's fast and could go the distance.

USC -4 bookmaker (5.5 Dime NCAAF POD)
I love the Trojans at home here today. Their offense is big and explosive and that's something the Irish won't be able to contain especially on the road. This line is deflated because of how well the Irish have played of late, but they haven't played a team like USC in weeks so I expect them to get smacked around. They had to travel over the holiday out west and now they face a USC team that will be playing with a lot of confidence at home and nothing to lose. Notre Dame is now bowl eligible so they don't have that to play for and this is USC's Sr. Day.

I also love the fact that Notre Dame got beat at home by Stanford easily and USC went on the road and nearly beat Stanford 35-37. Expect USC to control this game from the start and finish.

Florida +3 buy 1/2 (4.4 Dime OE play); Ark St +5 (3.3 Dime play)
The Gators could be suffering from a hangover after their loss a week ago but they get a crack at Florida State an in state rival that they have dominated over the past few years. They should be motivated by being the under dog here I feel. FSU's offense hasn't been right all year and the Gators will shut them down this is the best defense they have faced all year long. Watch out as Florida will be able to pass the ball in my opinion with their 3 QB system that did not work against South Carolina, but it may work here. The Gators have picked off 17 passes and FSU's offensive line is a joke when it comes to protecting Ponder. Look for the Gators to generate more outside pressure from Sr. ends Justin Trattou and Duke Lemmens to get pressure on Christian Ponder.

Ark St +5 (3.3 Dime play)

Tenn -2.5

Alabama -4 (4.4 Dime OE play)
Bama, wow who could have predicted this out come this year with Auburn being as good as they are? Nobody really, but Alabama is still in position to knock out rival Auburn and I think it says a lot when this team is more than a field goal favorite in this big time game.

Couple things. Auburn's defense that struggles in coverage has never faced a team that is balanced like Alabama ranked in the top 40 in pass and run offense. Look for Julio Jones to have a big game like AJ Green did for Georgia against Auburn. You could say the same for Alabama as they have never faced an offense this good, but at the same time I still view Auburn as one dimensional although Cam Newton has shown he can throw the ball, but never has he had to throw the ball to win the game and against Alabama's defense that's what you will have to do.

Alabama in it's own stadium with a chance to pull off the upset despite being favored this would be an upset!

Western Mich -6.5 buy 1/2 -120 (5.5 Dime POD)
This is a dangerous team fighting for a bowl game while Bowling Green has nothing to play for at 2-9. This is a young team with 44 of 85 scholarship players as redshirt fresh or true fresh. QB Matt Schilz has not been the same since he sprained his shoulder in September. This team has only averaged 14.5 points in their last 5 games against similar defensive rankings of 54, 55, 62 and 72 as Western Mich is ranked 60th in scoring defense.

My opinion would be different a few weeks ago, but Western Mich has now shown they can run the ball with freshmen Brian Fields and Tevin Drake who combined for 259 yards against Kent State a team that is ranked in the top 10 in run defense. This makes their offense way more dangerous as QB Alex Carder can take over a game with WR Jordan White who is about to take over the school record for receiving yards in a season. Western Mich pass rush is aggressive and I think they get to Schilz and cause him to make mistakes.

West Virginia +3 (3.3 Dime EB play)
This game is about defense and running the ball. The last 3 match ups have been decided by 4, 4, and 3 points in the Backyard Brawl. This game will have major implications as it usually does at this time of year and these teams are simply to similar not to bet on the under dog.

At the end of the day how could you not go with the better defense overall and better run defense. West Virginia is ranked 4th overall and all of their rankings are in the top 10 including their run defense at #4. They have faced better running games than Pitt the last three weeks and have won 2 of those 3 games. They lost at Uconn despite out gaining them by 136 yards. Pitt also lost at Uconn but they were just +14.

Running game, Pitt was better last year, but not this year as they rank #59 as they have faced an average run defense ranked 51st they have faced one team with a run defense ranked inside the top 30 and that was Utah who they lost to on the first game of the season. West Virginia is ranked #46th and they have also done it against a tougher schedule an average opponent ranked 49th with some tough run defenses on the board in LSU, Cin, and Maryland.

In the end I think West Virginia has more play makers on defense DE Julian Miller and Bruce Irvin are going to get to Sunseri and force some key turnovers to get the win in a close game.

Texas +3.5 5dimes (4.4 Dime NCAAF POD)
I love this match up for a few reasons. One being that Texas finally has confidence again. Although they won for the first time in over a month over a lowly Florida Atlantic team. FAU still does some things well including ranking #22 in pass defense and 66th in scoring defense yet Texas put up their highest scoring game of the year with 51 points.

Now they can go to a bowl game again if they get a win at home against Texas A&M a team that is coming off a monster win against Nebraska at home. Not often that you would say let down when you face an in state rival like Texas, but A&M may be considering Texas has gotten beat up.

One final though here is that Texas A&M has struggled against good defenses. The two teams that are close to what Texas does in ranks of total yards, pass yards and rushing yards given up on defense are Arkansas 38/18/72 which A&M lost to Arkansas 17-24 at home. Against Nebraska 9/2/57 they squeeked out a victory 9-6 at home. Now they face Texas who is 8/11/31st very capable of shutting a team down in fact they held Nebraska to 13 poitns in a win. A&M will be at Texas where they are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings playing a good defensive team fighting for their bowl streak on Sr. Day.

I expect a great day from DE Sam Acho who had his best game a week ago he'll be the key to disrupt Tannehill. A&M is beatable through the air as they rank 97th in the nation. Gilbert will be the key as he has been all year 15-21 263 yards 2 TD's against FAU gave him the confidence he needs to put together scoring drives on Thursday.

MIA/TEM Under 45 5dimes (3.3 Dime OE play)
I leaned heavily towards Miami Oh shocking Temple here as they have played good defense all year long and have won the close games. Also Temple has got to be coming in very deflated after losing to Ohio at home in what was their game to get to the Mac Championship and now they are out with only a Bowl game left to play for but that wasn't what this team wanted. Either way Miami Ohio is still a suspect 7-4 team in my opinion. They are without their star QB Zac Dysert, so I can really call Miami Ohio a solid play even as a home dog.

I like the under with Temple having a solid defense will shut down Miami Ohio. Temple will struggle to without their work horse in Bernard Pierce in the game. Matt Brown is a capable back up, but he's 50lbs lighter than Pierce and if he can't get outside I don't see many explosive runs. He's a nice compliment but can only be that compliment when Pierce is healthy. Temple also has some shuffling of the offensive line by Al Golden that has me scratching my head. That shows doubt in the running game already and if Temple can't run you can't ask QB Mike Gerardi to make the plays they just don't have the weapons.

Miami Ohio won't turn the ball over and that's what will keep this game close and low scoring. The back up QB getting his second start is more than capable of keeping his team in the game. QB Austin Boucher plays mistake free and was accurate 22 of 32 throwing balls away instead of forcing the issue. Miami Ohio is calling this their game of the year so expect them to come up big defensively. They may even have a little running room with Thomas Merriweather who ran for a career high 141 yards as Temple lost arguably their best defender in MLB Elijah Josehp who likely out.

Army +8.5 (4.4 Dime Oe play)
Got to love this line. I thought it would be more like +4 or something, but then Notre Dame did us a solid and they went and beat Utah at home 28-3. Don't read into that too much Utah was beat down from their dissapointing loss against TCU which defined their season. I wasn't shocked that Notre Dame came up with the win. I have faded Notre Dame many times this year and each time I came away with wins. I was there on Tulsa when they upset them, and against Stanford, Navy, the Pitt push and Michigan. This weekend the game will be at Yankee Stadium the long tradition betwee these two teams.

Notre Dame looked lost against Navy at the meadowlands a couple weeks ago on the triple option. Unfortunately seeing it only once doesn't make a team able to shut it down and Army can do something better. I also think Notre Dame will be playing with two much confidence and Army will be able to stroll in and give them a close game. Notre Dame has had injuries and that also benefits us as now true freshman Tommy Rees makes his first road start against an Army pass defense ranked #22 out of 120 teams.

Army can do both pass and run as Trent Steelman will pull out all the stops against a team that can't guard the pass. He was 9 for 10 last week vs. Kent State and he just does not turn the ball over as Army is #5 in the nation in TO margin. This is a senior led offensive line with enough talent on defense to hold up a #21 ranked passing offense that is not as good as the paper says. My prediction Army wins in a tight one!

[b]Utah State -2.5 (4.4 Dime OE play)[/b]
The weather is calling for 20mph winds rain or possible snow. That's not good news for an Idaho team that is used to playing indoors as Idaho is a pass heavy team and will look to pass first as they have not gotten a rushing game going ranked 117th in the country this year. Utah State can run the ball Derruin Speight has had back to back 100 yard rushing games and dual threat QB Diondre Borel is capable of doing some running of his own. This is Utah State's last chance at a win before they go to visit Boise STate so I expect them to be pumped up in this game in their last home game. Idaho meanwhile is 8-25 ATS in their last 33 conference games they have lost three times in a row to Utah State they have allowed 36 sacks on the year. I think Utah State takes advantage and keep their slim playoff hopes alive.

Wmich -3 (5.5 Dime POD) This was a play for us just two Fridays ago and Western Mich got robbed. I'm comfortable backing them again as they have two common games with Kent State with Akron and Toledo. Western Mich is +393 yards in those two games while Kent State is -55 yards. That should tell it all, but it doesn't. Kent State has gotten a lot of credit because of their run defense which was ranked #1 for a few weeks, but slowly moving backwards. What most people don't know is this team does not have an offense and against Western Mich a team that can force turnovers and has some speedy athletic guys on that side of the ball they should have issues. This team used 3 QB's vs. Army and that won't really help them this week against another good pass defense ranked #54 in the nation. Kent State has not run the ball and I doubt they'll take advantage of the Western Mich weakness. The #17 total defense is the best Western Mich has faced all year, but that number is flawed as they have faced an average 97th total offense. In fact Western Mich is the best offensive team they have faced year to date. Yes that includes Boston College and Penn State. Western Mich with the #10 passing attack behind Alex Carder and WR Jordan White and Juan Nunez are explosive. They balanced it out last week with an effective running game 27 for 169. They won't run on this defense, but they'll score their points as Army which has the same scoring offense in terms of national ranking put up 45 a week ago. The closest passing game to what Western Mich does was Miami Ohio and Kent State lost on the road 21-27. Western Mich is much more explosive and they see a bowl game in site. I think Carder and the offense keep ticking and they come home with a win.

Duke +10.5 5dimes (3.3 Dime Play) Can Georgia Tech blow a team out by double digits? I don't think so even at home I don't think it's possible. Duke has too many options on offense including backup QB Brandon Connette who has rushed for six scores in his situational role. I like this team to continue that success and their defense is really playing better especially vs. the run. The triple option is hard for any team to contain, but Duke has already seen Navy and Army's triple threat and they were in both of those games including a win over Navy. Georgia Tech has their back up QB in their with no Nesbitt and the early struggles of Duke turning the ball over seem to have gone away as Renfree has not thrown an interception in 3 games or 116 attempts. He's found a big target in Conner Vernon who had 12 receptions against a BC team that has a good defense compared to Georgia Tech. Tech has been sloppy with penalties including 8 false starts in the past two games and they have not been able to put the ball int he end zone which means it's going to be hard to win by double digits without a dominating game in the red zone and forcing TO's from Duke.

UCLA +115 5dimes (4-Dime POD)
Don't under estimate the Bruins and Coach Rick Neuheisal. This team just came off a big win against Oregon State and with extra prep they are excited to go towards going to a bowl game. They have quality wins this year one at Texas and have played well at times, but very inconsistent. They nearly won at Arizona the week prior and their replacement QB looks to be more capable of running the pistol than Kevin Prince was. Against three defenses better than Washington QB Richard Brehaut has been decent 42 of 69 for 514 yards in his last three games. That's against Oregon (20th total def), Arizona (23), and ORegon State (87). WAshington is 110th, and 118th vs. the run which will open up plenty of holes for Johnathan Franklin and Derrick Coleman. I understand it's Senior night and everyone will be pumped up Jake Locker returns from his injury but it doesn't sound like he's 100% so will he be the same guy that wants to take off and run? I don't think so and UCLA's defense is more than capable of coming up with a big game. Though the home team should have an edge in what appears to be a very even match up I'm not buying it and I'm buying into UCLA winning 2 of their 3 final games.

Bowling Green +10.5 (3.3 Dime OE play)
Love Bowling Green to play and cover this spread on the road. If this was Toledo's last home game I'd second guess it but instead you got Toledo who just got their bells rung by Northern Illinois 65-30 in what was their chance to go to the MAC Championship game. They are mathematically alive, but this team knows Northern Ill is not losing their last two games. They still have a lot to play for and a solid bowl game if they win out, but this is a hangover game in my opinion against a Bowling Green team that is hungry to upset in what is a BIG Rivalry game. The two are just 30 miles apart and it's been a long history between the two. Toledo has their back up QB playing just like in last years game as their starter is out and they turn to red shirt freshmen Terrance Owens who was 18-38 vs. Northern Ill passing the ball. Owens can run, but his accuracy is limited. Expect a closer game and for Bowling Green to force turnovers. They have 28 take aways on the season. This team has not been able to run the ball , but I wouldn't be shocked if they can tonight as Willie Getter who has only rushed over 100 yards twice will be behind the healthies offensive lines all season as Center Ben Bojicic will return which will allow Scott Lewis to relieve freshmen LG Dominic Flewellyn. This is a huge difference and I expect Bowling Green to prove why many are calling this game their bowl game!

Ohio+8.5 visit 4-dime play
I like this play despite the likely concussion of boo Jackson ohios qb. Phillip bates is more than capable in a spread offense and though temple hasn't given up a td in three games they were off playing 105 120 112 ranked offenses. Ohio can score an bates was good enough to be recruited by Iowa state and has a 7.5 yard per carry average on the year for more than 400 yards. Temple has been suspect tothe running game ESP running games witha rb and qb zac dysert comes to mind. Ohio has owned the series and tho temple wants revenge it won't be
That easy giants a very good coach in frank solich who is 28-12-2 ats in conference games. The defense strength is against the run and Rhys what temple will do it'll be rainy and breezy so a low scoring game is more likely I give
Ohio a chance to win outright!

Arizona St +5.5 bodog (5.5 Dime POD) Ariz ST +190 1-Dime
I love this play Arizona State is really really sneaky and Threat who does have 15 interceptions has gotten better each week and will pose a lot of issues for Stanford team that is riding high after a huge prime time win over Arizona. They are due for a let down here on Saturday. Arizona State is a desperate team that needs to win out to become bowl eligible. They are also a team that has lost 3of their games by 3 points or less and are 3-1 at home with their only loss to the hands of the #1 team in the country in Oregon.

The biggest challenge all year that ORegon had was against Arizona State and then next against Stanford. They won at Arizona State 42-31 but were -192 yards as Threet put up 597 yards on Oregon. They were down 28-24 at the half and went on to score just 1 TD in the 2nd half. Stanford too gave Oregon a hell of a fight, but they were -108 total yards. Arizona State's defense is one of the quickest in the Pac-10 and I don't think Andrew Luck will have as productive as a day as he has grown accustomed to as of late. Stanford's defense has played extremely well this season, but they are prone to play poorly against this type of offense.

Threet and company love to push the tempo witha fast paced spread offense. Sound familiar? Oregon did the same thing to beat this team. I think Stanford will be victimized by this type of offense because they won't be able to easily organize their blitz packages.

This is a game where I think Arizona should be +3 or less. Arizona State plays reallyw ell at home they are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 at home and the home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings with STanford going 3-10 in Tempe in their last 10.

Georgia +7.5 (5-Dime OE play)
I haven't been one of those bandwaggon jumpers on Auburn and I'm still not going to jump. Georgia clearly has the better defense in this game and unlike a few weeks ago where LSU had no offense Georgia can put up some points. Look for Aaron Murray who has 18 TD to 6 INT's on the year to have a big game connecting with AJ Green who will be a top 10 pick in the spring. Auburn secondary is very beatable 94th in pass defense and Arkansas went over 400 yards, Ark State went over 300 and South CArolina went over 300.

I didn't want to start this off with the Cameron Newton distractions, but now that I've told you why I think Georgia covers it's important to note. I think it has an impact on a young athlete and it will on Saturday. Something those 3 teams I mentioned who put up big offensive numbers on Auburn didn't have was a balanced offense. Georgia has that and they have won 6 of 8 over Auburn. The run defense giving up just 106 yards per contest. Look for Justin Houston who leads the SEC in sacks with 9 and has 16.5 tackles for loss to be a factor here and Akeem Dent will shadow Newton although I don't think it matters as Newton will get his yards. Dent has 92 tackles on the year and is 2nd in the SEC. Georgia is a team that is clicking on offense now and this is dangerous for Auburn they have scored 41 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games. Murray has the hot hand and he'll continue with that hot hand on Saturday.

UNC +3.5 (4.4 Dime ODDSLINE ERROR)
You heard it right I was on the Heels last week over Florida State at +10.5 and now they get Ryan Houston back at RB making this offense more balanced as TJ Yates is getting attention from NFL scouts with his 66.4% completion percentage and 15 TD to 4 INT's. Virginia Tech has struggled against teams with good run defense and with Quinton Coples up front and a great group of LB's behind him that is exactly what this team has in my opinion. The two key match ups are UNC WR Dwight Jones who has 612 receiving yards in his last 4 games against Rock CarMicahael. The way this TarHeels offense clicked last week and the way Jones has played I'm giving the edge to UNC. On the other side we have Boykin vs. kendric Burney who missed the first 7 games this match up has to go to Boykin but I don't trust Taylor to deliver it to him and Burney if you remember is an NFL talent. The line opened up at +5.5 and is moving towards +3 and less.

Army +1 (3.3 Dime EB play)
Early we have got Army and their #8th ranked rushing attack against the #2 overall rush defense and I'm taking Army as they have the better overall defense and better overall offense in this game and they have both faced Temple team that just put a beat down on Kent State a week ago 28-10 Kent was -242 total yards while Army also lost against TEmple was by the score of 35-42 but they were only -48 yards. This may be Army's last chance for 6 wins with Notre Dame and Navy on deck so I think Army really musters up and blocks Kent State that won't be used to this style of offense. They are also without their MLB Cobrari Mixon who is doubtful with a shoulder injury and that will make things much tougher with a heavy running game. Kent State is 9-28 in November and their QB Spencer Keith is day to day right now with a thumb injury.

Northwestern +10 (3.3 Line Mover)
Northwestern has been good at home and I like Dan Persa's abilities he has proven he can beat just about any team in the Big Ten. A week ago he went into Penn State and had a 21-7 lead at the half. We know the story there as we had Penn State, but I think Northwestern bounces back and I think this line is a reflection of that game. I expect Northwestern to put a little scare into Iowa here early and have a chance to win out right.

Buffalo -2.5 -120 buy 1/2 (4-Dime play)
This week has been tough in NCAAF we have not gotten it done yesterday's two games looked like we were on our way to winning until the 2nd half and 4th quarter of the UAB game just fell apart, but that's gambling.

Tonight expect a difficult game to watch both Ball State and Buffalo are extremely sloppy and love to turn the ball over. I'm however going with the better defense on Buffalo's side. More importantly Ball State is one of the few teams that have not had a bye week and they are coming on a short week after a double OT game against Akron a winless team ranked 120th in the nation in total offense.

Buffalo should be licking their chops with 2 extra days of preparation and finally facing a defense not ranked in the Top 60 which they have just 1 time in their last 7 games when they went on the road and beat Bowling Green 28-26. Ball State is bad on defense ranked 92nd and they haven't faced many good offenses so that ranking is bad for a reason. Buffalo which has only 19 point in their last 3 home games faced two top 15 scoring defenses in UCF and Temple in those gamea nd then faced a very good Miami Ohio defense. Tonight they catch a break and the difference will be the defense.

keith Wenning, Ball State true freshmen QB is not afraid of thorwing the pick 9 interceptions in his last three games against pass defenses ranked 111, 88, and 83 and now they'll face arguably the best secondary of the year with next level talent from Davonte Shannon at free safety who now is the career record for solo tackles at Buffalo and two talented CB's in Josh Thomas and Sherrod Lott who were burned by Ohio for TD's a week ago I think they will look to return to what they have done well force turnovers. They have 13 on the year Cook has six and Shannon has three. On offense I expect QB Alex Zordich to start using his feat more as he rushed for 105 yards vs. Ohio this adds another dynamic that a struggling Ball State team will have to defend.

UAB -2 (4.4 Dime POD)
89% of the public is on a East Carolina team that gave up 75 points to a one dimensional Navy team? Well the public loves East Carolina tonight, but I'm on the other side. Other than the puzzling loss to Marshall on Saturday and it was puzzling, UAB has been in every game and has faced a stronger schedule in terms of defenses that they have faced and still have put up a balanced offensive attack with 43/43 for run and pass. They will tonight at home face the worst defense they have faced all year!

UAB is a team that put up some good numbers against some good defenses 27 points against UCF ranked 15thin scoring defense, 24 points on the road against MIss St ranked 9th in scoring defense Southern Miss they scored 50 points on the road. Let's just throw out the Marshall game and look at tonights match up because both teams played bad on Saturday. Now East Carolina can pass and Dominique Davis will definitely try for 300 yards and get it, but UAB has more balance and a better defense which is why I like them. East Carolina is now 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games and are 1-3 straight up this year. UAB has been impressive at times and should be able to run with Pat Shed and I expect Bryan Ellis to have a huge game and then bring in QB David Isabelle who has 72 caries for 395 yards a 5.5 ypc average. He'll be the x-factor tonight as I don't think East Carolina can stop UAB at home and I look for UAB to stop the one dimensional Pirates.

CT/PIT U46.5 (3.3 oe PLAY)
Originally leaned towards Uconn as this game reminds me of what we saw when they hosted West Virginia. Pitt just playing to well right now for me to take the home dog, but I do believe Pitt and Uconn will be running the ball that's the strength of both teams run the ball and play physical on the defense. Clock runs all game and we come up with a similar score in the teens which would point to Uconn covering. A teaser with Uconn and the under also look good right about now but we'll stick to the under.

Bowling Green +3 -115 betonline (4-Dime Play)
On the surface Miami Ohio has everything to play for and looks like they have the better offense and defense, but Bowling Green has faced a much tougher schedule and I think the edge they have at home is a big one under the national spot light. This is a huge recruiting tool and the players will be up for this one despite Miami Ohio having more to play for. I think Bowling Green shocks Miami Ohio this week as both teams can not run the ball ranked 119th and 120th. Most of the offense will come through the air and whichever team makes the most turnovers will lose. Zac Dysert has been getting better each game, but he is prone to the interception with 12 TD and 12 INT on the year. Bowling Green can take advantage here because they are 2nd in the MAC and #4 nationally in takeaways with 13 interceptions and 12 fumble recoveries. They have also been playing better including their last game on the road vs. Central Michigan a similar team to what Miami OH is. Good passing team with a decent defense the national ranks are almost identical with Central Michigan being a little better on offense actually. Well that's bad news for Miami OH because Bowling Green had a dominating defensive performance against the Chippewas holding them to 231 yards with 12 tackles for loss. DT Chris Jones will be a key player in stopping the run game and getting pressure on Dysert. They also had 6 sacks against Central Michigan and with the time off should be able to get pressure again.

Lastly the line opened at +3.5 and has moved to +2.5 in most places despite 75% of the public being on Miami Ohio for obviously reasons (their record). I still think Central Mich has a lot to improve they are too one dimensional to win on the road although they have so far this season the turnovers will haunt them tonight.

Bobcats -1 (4.4 Dime POD)
Bobcats have a 1-6 record just like Toronto the public has sided with the home team at 54% but the line has moved 2.5 points since opening up at -1.5 Toronto now at -1 Charlotte. Charlotte is the better team and a border line playoff team a year ago. Toronto is really as bad as their record indicates. Look for Wallace, Augustin, and Stephen Jackson to beat a team they are supposed to here tonight!

Toledo +11.5 sportsbetting (4.4 Dime POD)
The winner of this game may very well represent as one team in the MAC Championship game. This line is pretty high for a game of that magnitude and it's all based on a true freshmen QB starting in Terrence Owens, but Owens is pretty good including his 10-15 4TD 0 int performance vs. Eastern Mich (75th pass defense) in his first action. Granted this will be different, but the team overall matches up really well against Northern Illinois in my opinion.

Toledo is calling this the biggest game of the year and maybe their lives, said offensive lineman John Morookian. This team imposes an aggressive style defense that has produced 26 turnovers this year with 21 sacks 16 interceptions and 10 fumbles recovered. That is how they'll have to win and they'll try to do it with their 22nd ranked rushing defense in the nation. That defense has been tested in my opinion with Arizona, Ohio, Purdue, Boise State all on the schedule. They held Arizona to just 105 yards and a very similar Ohio team to 46 yards. Ohio is fairly similar to Northern Illinois when you look at both their offense as they are similar in pass and rushing offense at 99/34 national ranks where Northern Illinois is 97/11. Defense Ohio is a little bit better 32 overall and 65/21 on pass and rush defense while Northern Illinois is 41/59/ and 35. I like the strength of schedule Toledo has faced which is superior to Northern Illinois who really has only faced 3 maybe 4 bowl teams and Western Mich the common opponent they only won by 7 while Toledo won by 13. Toledo also beat Ohio on the road 20-13 and that is as I already mentioned as close to Northern Illinois as we can get on this schedule. Think 11 points is too much and I think Terrence Owens my be better than DAntin who turned the ball over too much. Toledo will put in a scare to Northern Illinois tonight.

Oklahoma -3 (4.4 Dime PTE)
I like Oklahoma they have absolutely owned this match up the last few years and although this line is a little fishy I'm sticking with my guts here as Texas A&m looks like they are making a huge gamble starting Ryan Tannehill at QB as it looks like Jerrod Johnson (darkhorse Hesiman candidate) is being benched. This will be something as Tannehill lit up Texas Tech, but that was TExas Tech 119th pass defense and this is Oklahoma ranked #29 in pass efficiency defense and under rated because of their yards allowed at #83 int he country. They are taller, stronger, faster than Texas Tech. We get a weak line for a few reasons. The idea that Oklahoma struggles on the road which they absolutely have, but I believe this is an inferior opponent that is getting more credit for blowing out two bad defensive teams in Kansas and Texas Tech. Oklahoma is better on both sides of the ball than those teams and they should really give Texas A&M's defense troubles as they are ranked 102nd vs the pass.

landry Jones is having a special year with 21 TDs and 5 interceptions leading the #5 ranked passing offense. Oklahoma should also create some issues as they will blitz A&M has allowed 27 sacks this year and could get hurt in this spot. Oklahoma's under rated defense also is top 5 in the nation in tackles for loss per game with 8.3. The common opponent was MIssouri both teams lost, but Oklahoma was much more competitive on the road vs. Missouri than AM was at home in a 9-30 beat down.

Utah +5 -110 5dimes (5.5 Dime POD) Utah +180 1-Dime
This is the biggest game of the weekend right here as two top 5 programs meet from the Mountain West Conference. This is strength vs. strength and UTah is the home team as under dogs. Kyle Whittingham is part of my fondest memories as a handicapper and better. The head coach of Utah is under rated for preparing for big games. That memory was when they shocked Alabama in their bowl game in 2008 as under dogs of 10 points as they cruised to a 31-17 game. That's not why I'm taking Utah here on Saturday.

TCU is a legit defense but their loss of DT Kelly Griffin can not go unnoticed. He was a 4 year Sr. and a huge leader on the field. Taking up that spot are two 270lb DT's and that is where I think Utah can have some success because TCU is the fastest defense they have faced all year. So what you want to do is keep it up the middle where you can pick up yards quick and I think Eddie Wide and Matt Ariata are very good at that. Utah still must play defense however.

Andrew Dalton has struggled in these spot light games and it really makes me wonder about him and I just can't back him in this game. Boise State bowl game comes to mind last year and on the road and in neutral games this year he's just 58-100 with 5 TD's and 4 Ints. I expect him to make a few mistakes here this weekend as Utah can bring pressure they've got 23 sacks on the year while TCU has allowed 5 sacks. This will be another key that Utah can take advantage of with being at home.

Jordan Wynn made his firs tstart in last years loss to TCU but now he's ready to win this big spotlight game in my opinion. Utah has several other X-factors including the fastest man ont he field in REggie Dunn and Shaky Smithson who is leading the nation in punt return yardage and hurt TCU a year ago. I expect a wide open playbook for Wynn and co and TE Devonte Christopher who has some size advantage at 6'5 to have a couple of big plays.

Iowa State +17.5 -110 5dimes (2.2 Dime Oddsline Error)
Love Iowa State to cover this although it worries me a bit that they haven't faced a Taylor Martinez type QB that can run the ball. Iowa State has by far faced a much stronger schedule and the one common opponent is Texas who Iowa State went on the road and beat 28-21 while Nebraska lost to by 7 at home. Iowa State really does not do one thing great which is why this game is so high as Nebraska handed Missouri it's lunch last week. Iowa State leads the league in turnover margin and Nebraska lieks to put the ball on the ground. Iowa State can also beat Nebraska with the running game with dual threat QB Austen ARnaud and RB Alex Robinson.

UNC +10.5 -110 5dimes (4-Dime Oddsline Error)
I like North Carolina as Florida State has faced 3 teams with run defenses this year and have struggled against each one with a 1-2 record with their only win being by 5 to Boston College who has an awful offense. North Carolina has the defense and play makers to contain Florida State and make Christian Ponder beat them which won't happen the way Ponder has been playing. DT Quinton Coples and linebackers Kevin REddick and Zach Brown will make some stops at the line of scrimmage to hold this game within winning distance all game. QB TJ Yates has been successful against some big defenses already this year that includes LSU and I think he'll come up with a surprisingly good game. This game is a little inflated do to UNC losing to William and Mary a week ago in the 4th quarter 17-7 before pulling off the come back. That has the public and oddsmakers doubting a very good defensive team one that has more offense than a year ago. I think this game is played within a touch down.

Penn State -6 -110 (4-Dime OE play)
This is another error in my opinion. Joe Pa goes for win #400 and the schedule has finally gotten easier. Penn State has seen an average defense ranked #39 in total defense and the last two weeks they have faced beatable defense much like Northwestern and they put up 74 points. RB Evan Royster was finally himself rushing for 150 yards against Michigan. QB Robert Bolden will return and will have a big game against Northwestern secondary that is very beatable especially late. They'll have to honor Royster which won't be pretty for the rest of the defense.

Don't get me wrong Dan Persa has been really impressive was leading the nation in pass efficiency but that is going to start going the other way now that he's facing some decent pass defense. Penn STate is ranked 25th and will be the best he's faced all year as an average 75th pass defense just is not impressive. They have had one common opponent in Minnesota each team won. Penn State won by 12 while Northwestern won by 1. All 6 of Penn STates other games against D1 teams have been against quality teams going bowling like Alabama, Kent State, Temple, Iowa, Illinios and Michigan. Northwestern just can't compare to that and Penn State has all motivation on their side as well.

Rice +17 (3.3 Dime play)
This line that opened at 18.5 has continued to go down to 17 and even 16.5 in some places. I like the play as Tulsa is coming off their biggest win in school history. Im not saying that, but the team is we had Tulsa last week over Notre Dame and they won outright 29-28 for their biggest win in history. This is let down time for Tulsa and although they'll win Rice will be in position to scare Tulsa a team that can't stop anyone with a the 120th ranked pass defense that's the only thing Rice really does well on offense with QB Nick FAnuzzi throwing 7 TD's in his last three games without an interception. Rice upset a similar team at home in Houston 34-31. Their schedule is loaded with bowl teams so I'm not so sure that this team is better than their record and ranking indicate as they have faced Texas, Northwestern, Baylor, SMU, Houston and UCF already.

Virginia -1 (5-Dime Early Bird Special)
Love Virginia Duke comes off a huge win last week against Navy who they have always handled and Navy just wasn't ready after they came off a big win. But this is strength vs. strength and Dukes strength is going to have issues. I'm talking about inconsisent Sean Renfree who looked great last week but still has 11 TD to 15 interceptions and he faces a secondary ranked 18th in the nation and has more interceptions than allowed passing touchdowns. This is a huge revenge spot for Virginia as they lost this game at home last year. This is a team that just beat Miami forcing 5 interceptions so watch out Renfree. Duke lost to Miami when they played them 13-28. I think Duke won't be able to stop Virginia this time around look for Keith Payne who is a bruising running back to have a good game along side of Perry Jones who can hit the edge. Duke is 103rd in total defense 102nd vs. the run and 88 vs. the pass. They have not faced anyone with a great offense besides Alabama so Virginia who can show some balance should be able to score points.

Bobcats -1 (3.3 Dime POD); Houston +3 -125 betonline buy 1/2 (3.5 Dimes)
Bobcats line has moved from -1 Detroit to -1 Bobcats with just 28% of the public on the Bobcats. I'll take the Bobcats who play excellent defense on the road.

Houston is starting to put their offense together and their defense is better than years past. David Piland has come off two huge games without throwing any interceptions he'll have a test tonight at home against UCF the best defense they have faced up to this point. UCF also has not faced a team that passes like Houston and their offense may be better than years past as they can actually run the ball to with 20 rushing touchdowns and the 43rd rushing attack. These two always play close and this game will be close too. Houston gets revenge.

Western Mich +3.5 (4.4 Dime POD) Wmich +150 (2-Dime Bonus)
This is the best passing offense that Central Michigan has had to face all year and they are riding high after nearly coming up with a victory against Northern Illinois last week as Western Mich's Alex Carder threw for 300+ yards and 3 TD's including 14 receptions to Jordan White who has 180 yards. He's been unstoppable and I don't think Central Mich can cover him. Central Mich is 1-5 in the conference and they have had all sorts of problems with turnovers. Their QB has 15 interceptions and Western Mich can take the ball away as they have 20 forced turnovers on the year. They 9 interceptions which is good for #37 in the nation and they are tied for 7th in fumbles recovered. These two teams have had two common opponents Northern Illinois the favorite to win the MAC and Ball State the results couldn't be more different. Western Mich @ Ball State won 45-16 +132 total yards while Cmich lost at home 17-31 -65 yards. Northern Illinoisbeat Western Mich 28-21, but were only +20 yards where they beat up on Central Mich 33-7 +115 yards. Western Mich has more talent this year and will put some revenge on this huge rivalry game this year.

Georgia Tech +13 (4.4-Dime pod play)
Both teams come off a bye week and will be well prepared for this game I can tell you that. With that said I think it will be closer than many think because Georgia Tech has some time to put together a game plan for the rushing offense they are about to see and same goes for Virginia Tech. The last few match ups in this series have been close. Although Georgia Tech has not been the same as a year ago I still think they have similar talent on offense to give Virginia Tech troubles.

They Jacket secondary is the real deal led by Dominique Reese. This unit has allowed only 1 passing TD in their last 4 games. Virginia Tech will try to get it done on the ground which means a shortened game with the clock constantly ticking. Vtech had the bye at the wrong time in my opinion they were a hot team scoring at least 41 points in 5 of 6 games after starting the season with a surprising 0-2 start. Now they'll have to get back up to that gear after no facing anyone since NC State 4 games ago.

Virginia Tech faced Nc State and Boston college back to back and Georgia Tech has a very similar defense to both those teams in the top 55 in total defense. Georgia Tech better against the pass than both teams and similar to the run and scoring defense. Virginia Tech was held to 19 points against Boston College and although they beat NC State 41-30 they were in trouble for most of that game and Nc States defense is not as good as the paper shows, Georgia Tech's D is better.

Georgia Tech has faced this type of team before in North Carolina yes they are similar in defense and offense believe it or not and they went on the road and won 30-24. Now Virginia Tech is much better than North Carolina but I think Georgia Tech can put up some numbers tonight as the front seven for Virginia Tech is not as good as usual and will have trouble defending the triple option.

Rutgers +10.5 (4-Dimes); Rutgers +350 (1-Dime)@5DIMES
South Florida came off their best performance and Rutgers came off their worst defensive performance. The result is in my opinion a inflated line. South Florida played what was an uncharacteristic game as BJ Daniels 13 of 16 vs. Cinci is impressive he still had 10 interception going into that game and although he threw for 286 yards and 0 INT he went up against 98th pass defense. Here he goes up against a similar defense that he has struggled against much of this season. Rutgers ranked 29th overall is 28th vs. the pass and 44th vs. the run and 25th overall in scoring defense. Daniels struggled big time a year ago with Steve Beauharnais spying him and I think he comes back down to earth.

On the other side Rutgers defense was bad, but the loss of DT Eric LeGrand who was paralyzed from the neck down in the Army game was tough to handle and they got beat by a Pitt team that was more physical than them. However, Pitt has a much better offense tha South Florida who is ranked 95th and couldn't score a touchdown at home vs. Syracuse or West Virginia and Daniels was awful. I think the time off has allowed Rutgers to heal mentally a little bit more and physically as their best player Mohammed Sanu looks more healthy and Joe Martinek (25 carries 125 yards last year) is also healthy going into this game. I do expect a very vanilla offense as their offensive line has been awful this year and with a true freshmen in Chris Dodd behind center expect lots of runs keeping this game as what it should be a low scoring defensive game giving Rutgers a shot at pulling it out in the end. Expect Daniels to throw one or two interceptions against an always opportunistic defense. Rutgers has always played well with extra preparation and I think South Florida is playing with too much confidence. Both teams have played good defenses all season and their offenses have struggled because of it. Believe it or not Rutgers passing game is a little better and South Florida's run game is a little better. In the end I trust the defense of Rutgers over South Florida and judging by the history of this match up you should too

MTSU -1.5 (4.4 Dime POD)
I love the Blue Raiders tonight despite being under dogs as I think they match up very well with Arkansas pass happy team. MTSU is 35th in the league in pass defense and that's facing an average 60th attack so they have been tested and have passed particularly against two common opponents in ULLAF and ULMON who they both waxed as they controlled the game of two top 50 passing attacks. I look for MTSU to get this done with their conference leading pass rush. Jamari Lattimore might be the Sun Belt defensive player of the year with 8.5 sacks he's tied for third in the nation. MTSU also should be able to do a lot on offense as this may be the worst defense they have faced all year ranked 116th and can't seem to do anything well.

Many will say it's because they have faced a tough schedule with offensive teams like Louisville Indiana and Auburn on the schedule, but I still think Middle Tenn who can run and pass the ball with a dual threat QB as good as any in Dwight Dasher on the roster will give ARkansas State all sorts of problem. MTSU leads this series 9-2 and if they want to continue that they can't turn the ball over. That's something Dasher has done too often, but against a team that really doesn't force many turnovers except in their last game vs. Florida Atlantic (105th in total offense). This stat is over rated for MTSU they led their conference and were among the national leaders in turnover margin now they are one of the worst. Dasher has been inconsistent and when they got waxed last time on national TV vs. Troy he had gotten hurt and came back and that was his first game back after suspension. I think he redeems himself big time tonight against a bad defense and he gets the spot light win. QB Ryan Alpin is part of a one dimensional offense and has to face another team that can get to the QB and has a pass defense. Last week against Florida Atlantic who has a solid pass defense ranked 23rd similar to what MTSU offers they struggled through the first 3 quarters before scoring 28 in the final quarter. That won't happen this week against a MTSU defense that is fighting for bowl eligibility and possibly a split of the conference crown!

USC +7 -120 buy 1/2 point (5-Dime Play)
Everyone and the public are Oregon Ducks 72% and the line has not moved if anything it's gone from +6.5 to +6, but I'm buying a half point for a full touchdown. USC is by far the best offense that Oregon has faced all year as they have faced an average 74th attack. Oregon has actually only faced an average 85th defense so I'm still skeptical about how good the Ducks actually are.

USC also has 4 extra days of preparation and will be ready for this game at home. Sit back and fasten your seat belts this will be a back and forth game with lots of points. If you need something else to weigh this game look at the common opponent in Stanford. Stanford is about as close as it gets to what Oregon will have to face and Stanford was up by a TD on Oregon at half time. IN the end Oregon cruised in the 2nd half, but Matt Barkley and the USC offense have more athletes than Stanford extra prep and the home crowd behind them.

Air Force +7 -110 (4.4Dime Play)
I love the home dog here. Air Force coming off the loss to TCU and Utah walked all over Colorado State at home. This line is a bit off for those two reasons and I'll take advantage as the two have played many close games in the last few years as Air Force has given Utah many problems including last years 23-16 over time victory for Utah.

Utah has had a weak schedule probably the weakest among ranked teams. They have faced 93rd average defense and 104th average offense. So don't take their rankings too seriously. There is a reason the line has not moved at all despite 81% of the public putting their money on Utah -7 on the road. Utah has not faced a team with a run game this good since Pitt and Pitt was banged up, and they have not faced a secondary even close to being this good all season. With that said I think Air Force will slow the game down run the ball like they always do and keep the game within reach. They have faced Colorado STate and Wyoming like Utah and the results have been similar with a 49-27 win against Col State and a 20-14 win over Wyoming while Utah won 30-6 and 59-6. Utah hasn't faced a team like Air Force unless you call them Pitt who nearly beat Utah in a 3 point loss, but Air Force has faced a team very similar to Utah in San Diego State.

San Diego State can do it all on offense and defense so far this year and they have faced a more challenging schedule. yet on the road Air Force nearly came up with an upset but lost 25-27 despite being +35 in total yards.

San Jose -3 -115 5dimes (4.5Dime OE)

Last week we had a similar game with Kent State and they won in a route! This week I like another toilet bowl game and I like San Jose St big as they have faced the most difficult schedule in the nation.

This is a schedule that has featured Boise State, Utah, Wisconsin and Alabama. Their offensive ranks are not as bad as the 119th rank says as they have faced an average 24th ranked defense with all 6 being in the top 58. The offense has started to come together as Noel Grigsby had a huge game a week ago against Fresno State team that is ranked 32nd in pass defense. They were only -14 yards in the loss and cover. San Jose is getting it done with some young talent and defense has started to improve too despite their 107th rank they too have faced an average 25th ranked offense and they will face a team ranked 117th this week which should be a breath of fresh air.

New Mexico State has a worst defense ranked 118th. San Jose hasn't faced a team they can beat all year and now they finally will where as New Mexico State has faced New Mexico I just feel San Jose has started to play better and they have been in tough games which will make them stronger moving forward.

East Carolina +8 -120 buy 1/2 (3.5 Dime EB play)
East Carolina and Central Florida square off on Saturday where the winner will be the favorite to win the conference. East Carolina is a different team than their past their offense is really surprising many ranked 36th on the season. Central Florida features #7 total defense, but they have faced 1 team with a pulse in the passing game and that was NC State and they lost by a TD at home. Now they feature Dominique Davis who can hurt them ast hey are ranked 13th in the passing game in the nation.

Really like this game to stay close as the recent meetings have. East Carolina has owned Central Florida with 4 wins in a row and 8 of 9. Either way it will be a close game and I think this is too many points for UCF that hasn't faced a stronger schedule than East Carolina. Both teams have similar results against common opponents in NC State and Marshal. East Carolina was +20 vs. NC state and Marshall +127 both at home while UCF was +69 vs. NC State and +123 at Marshall. East Carolina has faced an opponent with a Top 15 defense in Southern Miss that draws even more common traits to Central Florida with a 31st rushing attack and 53rd passing game. UCF is 89 and 30th very similar with a strong defense. East Carolina and their up tempo offense went on the road and won 44-43 against Southern Miss.

Florida +105 (4-Dime play)
Chris Rainey looks to return and will give the Florida offense a huge boost against Georgia. Everything is still ahead of Florida and if they win this gme it looks like they'll play in another SEC Championship. They have the extra week of preparation and I believe in the coaching in Florida and Georgia is about to face a defense like no other that they have faced all year. They have an average defensive opponent ranked 66th with Miss St being the best and they only scored 12 points in that game. Look for Florida to be better on offense with the bye week and Rainey back after a suspension.

Tulsa +8.5 -110 (4-Dime EB play)
Many who know me know I love to fade Notre Dame. This week is nothing different with a very dangerous Tulsa team that can score with the best of them coming in with extra preparation as they were on a bye week last year.

QB GJ Kinne the former QB that played behind Colt Mccoy called this the be biggest game in school history. This is a game that many want Tulsa to be competitive in since it will be on national television on Saturday. That's not why they cover. They cover because they have the extra week and they are going against a Notre Dame secondary that is very beatable. Notre Dame faced two balanced teams this year at home in Michigan and Stanford and they lost both.

Tulsa has faced three teams that remind me of what Notre Dame can do and can not do. Tulane SMU, and East Carolina all feature Top passing games, but a poor running game. All three feature subpar defenses, but SMU is clearly better than Notre Dame as they nearly defeated Navy a couple weeks ago as Navy just killed Notre Dame. Tulsa lost 18-21 to an SMU team on the road despite getting two field goals blocked. AGainst Tulane and East Carolina they put up 101 points. They lost on a hail mary 49-51 to East Carolina and they beat Tulane two weeks ago 52-24.

This is a very dangerous game for Notre Dame who is licking their wounds after getting pounded by Navy. Now they face a passing team ranked 28th that can also run ranked 12th. A balanced offense is not what they want in this situation and that's exactly what Tulsa has. Tulsa will give up yards too so I'm expecting a shoot out. Tulsa's 120th ranked pass defense will face Notre Dame ranked 18th, but couple reasons this doesn't scare me like it may have many on Notre Dame. #1 Tulsa has faced passing attacks all season with 5 in the top 50 in passing offense so this is nothing new and probably why they are ranked so low in pass defense. #2 Notre Dame is banged up Cris has already lost Rudolph for hte season and while Michael Floyd is probably he'll lose Theo Riddick who is doubtful those are his top three targets all with injuries.

Tulsa has a lot of next level talent nobody has heard of. FB Chris Clay is a player Notre Dame can't prepare for and hasn't seen all year. he is tied in receptions on this team with Demaris Johnson the nations leader in all purpose yards a year ago. Johnson can hurt you in punt or kick returns and might be the fastest player on the field.

Indiana +3.5 betonline (5.5 Dime POD) & +150 (1.5 Dime Bonus!)
I love Indiana this week this is not a good match up for Northwestern and if you recall they were down 25-0 last year before Indiana choked that lead away. The last three meetings have all been decided by 6 points. Northwestern is off a devastating home loss as they blew a 17 point lead and I don't think they recover from that this week.

Northwestern's 88th passing defense will be tested by Ben Chapel and Tandon Doss at WR who are ranked 6th in passing offense. Their secondary has been just awful. I remember having Northwestern at home against Central Michigan and they could not stop the team down the stretch. Central Michigan did lose 30-25 but were just -5 yards on the road. Reason I bring this up is Central Mich has very similar rankings. They are one dimensional 19th pass 96th run and they feature a subpar defense much like Indiana. But Indiana has a better offense and will take advantage of Northwestern's weakness on offense which I'll get to in a minute.

Both teams have similar defense ranked 67th and 77th with Northwestern better, but they have faced an average opponent ranked 71st in total offense while Indiana has faced 51st. Facing Michigan and Ohio State and Illinois is much more impressive than a resume of Northwestern that has only Michigan State.

This is a must win for Indiana if they hope to go bowling with Wisconsin and Penn State up next. The closest team that Indiana has faced that compared to what Northwestern is would be Arkansas State as they too have a pass game and a below average running game. Indiana beat that team 36-34 and out gained them by 158 yards at home. Indiana has only allowed 7 sacks this year on 295 attempts so Chapel will have the quick time to throw in what is a dink and dunk offense much like Northwestern is. The difference is Northwestern's offensive line is abysmal.

They have given up 25 sacks this year and Indiana will finally get a pass rush. ON defense they look bad, but they have had some decent stops when they have to come up with them. Persa should have over 300 yards passing against, but Indiana and Ben Chapel will have more. Northwestern's run game has been awful as their running backs have less than 4ypc and have had fumbling issues. Other factors are Northwestern's kicking game which has been awful. Demos has missed 7 field goals (2 blocked) and 4 extra points (1 blocked). This does not bode well for what will be a close game. Home team has won all three of the last games and they will again today.

Western Mich +7.5 (4-Dime EB play)
This line has moved like crazy despite only 23% of the public on Western Micht he line has moved from +9 to +7.5 and +7 in some places. This is the best passing game Northern Illinois will see all year in my opinion and though they are ranked 39th defending it they have an average opponent ranked 71st. Alex Carder and the receiving corps at home will give Northern Illinois a lot to handle and will take the early lead making it hard for Northern Illinois to come back with a 101st passing attack.