-Golden State was terrific in the second half of Game 3 after trailing by 15 points; regress now
-offense hasn’t got any production from anybody else besides Curry, Green, and Thompson
-Warriors defense has given up 66 and 65 points in the first half in the last 2 games; bad sign

-Portland is on the brink of elimination; tremendous line value now; 37-11 SU at home; big effort
-offense is shooting 47.4% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 45.9% shooting
-Trail Blazers allow 44.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% 

9* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (+).

-New York starter J.A. Happ projects to give up 2.2 earned runs with a 3.57 ERA and 1.23 WHIP 

-lefty projects to have an 8.3 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.4 strikeout/walk ratio

-Orioles offense has hit .225 (32-142) with an average .749 OPS against Happ in his career

-Baltimore’s Andrew Cashner is set to give up 3.0 earned runs with a 4.90 ERA and 1.48 WHIP 

-righty is slated to have a 6.4 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 1.8 strikeout/walk ratio 

-Yankees lineup has hit .328 (38-116) with a strong .905 OPS against Cashner in his career

10* Play YANKEES (-1.5 runline).

-Milwaukee won Game 2 by 22 points; they dominated from start to finish; regress on the road
-offense is shooting 34.4% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3
-Bucks defense allows 36.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

-Toronto returns home down 2-0 in the series; off a blowout loss; 37-11 at home; big effort here
-offense is shooting 47.4% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 45.9% shooting
-Raptors allow 105.4 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 110.7 points per game

10* Play RAPTORS (-).

-Houston starter Wade Miley is set to give up 3.8 earned runs with a 6.58 ERA and 1.81 WHIP 

-lefty is slated to have a 5.5 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 1.6 strikeout/walk ratio 

-Red Sox lineup has hit a solid .323 (21-65) with a strong 1.023 OPS against Miley in his career

-Boston starter Chris Sale projects to give up 2.3 earned runs with a 3.49 ERA and 1.19 WHIP 

-lefty projects to have an 11.3 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 5.2 strikeout/walk ratio

-Astros lineup has hit just .207 (24-116) with a weak .501 OPS against Sale in his career

9* Play RED SOX (-1.5 runline).

-Kansas City’s Jakob Junis is set to give up 3.0 earned runs with a 4.54 ERA and 1.41 WHIP 

-righty is slated to have a 6.3 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 2.6 strikeout/walk ratio 

-Angels lineup has hit a solid .379 (11-29) with a strong 1.055 OPS against Junis in his career

-LA starter Griffin Canning projects to give up 2.1 earned runs with a 3.40 ERA and 1.16 WHIP 

-righty projects to have a 9.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.4 strikeout/walk ratio

-Royals offense has hit .249 while averaging 3 runs per game over their last 7 games; poor form

10* Play ANGELS (-1.5 runline).

-Golden State played bad in Game 2 at home yet they still won; bounce back performance here
-offense is shooting 49% from the field on the road vs. defenses that only allow 46.1% shooting
-Warriors allow just 43.8% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.9%

-Portland returns home down 2-0 in the series; a must win game; line is inflated based on that
-offense made 18 three’s in Game 2; out-scored Golden State by 27 points from 3 and still lost
-Trail Blazers allow 35.6% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that also shoot 35.4% from 3

9* Play WARRIORS (+).

-Toronto blew a great opportunity to win Game 1; off that late meltdown, expect a bounce back
-offense is shooting 47% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.9% shooting from the field
-Raptors defense allows 33% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.3% from 3

-Milwaukee had an easy path to the conference finals; huge step-up in class; tough matchup here
-offense is shooting 35.1% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from three
-Bucks defense is allowing 35.7% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from three

9* Play RAPTORS (+).

-Portland was in a terrible spot for Game 1; similar situation for Game 2; bad matchup again
-offense is shooting 34.4% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.3% shooting from 3
-Trail Blazers allow 35.9% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that also shoot 35.4% from 3

-Golden State still won by 22 points despite being out-scored by 12 points at the free throw line
-offense is shooting 49.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 46.1% shooting
-Warriors allow just 44.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% from the field

10* Play WARRIORS (-).

-Toronto won Game 7 at home on Sunday; they’ve had 2 days to recover; momentum carries
-offense shot just 38.2% and 43.2% in their last 2 games; expect much better production tonight
-Raptors defense allows 33.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.3% from 3

-Milwaukee has steamrolled their first 2 opponents, but 6 days off since a game is not good now
-offense is shooting 35.3% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from three
-Bucks defense is allowing 35.7% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from three

9* Play RAPTORS (+).

-Portland won Game 7 on the road in Denver on Sunday; terrible spot while jumping up in class
-offense is shooting 34.4% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.3% shooting from 3
-Trail Blazers allow 35.6% shooting from three vs. offenses that also shoot 35.4% from three

-Golden State returns home off their win in Houston; huge scheduling advantage; 3 days off
-offense is shooting 49.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 46.1% shooting
-Warriors allow just 44.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% from the field

9* Play WARRIORS (-).

-Pittsburgh’s Nick Kingham projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a 4.40 ERA and 1.37 WHIP 

-righty projects to have a 5.3 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 1.8 strikeout/walk ratio

-Diamondbacks have hit .375 with a 1.500 OPS in limited at-bats against Kingham in his career

-Arizona’s Robbie Ray is set to give up 2.1 earned runs with a 3.38 ERA and 1.16 WHIP 

-lefty is slated to have a 10.5 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.3 strikeout/walk ratio 

-Pirates lineup has hit just .265 (9-34) with an average .757 OPS against Ray in his career

10* Play DIAMONDBACKS (-1.5 runline).

-Philadelphia somehow found a way to bounce back and win Game 6 at home; regression now
-offense is shooting 33.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.4% shooting from 3
-76ers allow 114.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 110.7 points per game

-Toronto returns home off an ugly double digit road loss in Game 6; 36-11 at home; big effort
-offense shoots 47.6% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Raptors defense allows 43.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.8% 

10* Play RAPTORS (-).

-Portland hits the road after surviving in Game 6 at home; different team on the road; bad spot
-offense is shooting 45.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting
-Trail Blazers allow 46.1% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that are shooting 46%

-Denver returns home off a double digit road loss; 39-9 SU at home; expect a big winning effort
-offense shoots 48% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Nuggets defense allows 32.1% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.7% from 3

9* Play NUGGETS (-).

-Golden State hits the road without Kevin Durant; more efficient and a focused effort here
-offense is shooting 38.9% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.3% shooting from 3
-Warriors allow just 43.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.9%

-Houston was down 20 points in Game 5 before coming back to lead; blew a great opportunity
-offense is shooting 44.8% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.8% shooting from the field
-Rockets allow 46.3% shooting from the field vs. offenses that also shoot 46.3% from the field

10* Play WARRIORS (+).

-Detroit starter Tyson Ross projects to give up 3.1 earned runs with a 5.25 ERA and 1.53 WHIP 

-righty projects to have a 5.7 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 1.7 strikeout/walk ratio

-Twins lineup has hit a solid .333 (14-42) with a strong .799 OPS against Ross in his career

-Minnesota’s Jake Odorizzi is set to give up 2.3 earned runs with a 3.67 ERA and 1.23 WHIP 

-righty is slated to have a 10.2 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.8 strikeout/walk ratio 

-Tigers lineup has hit just .207 (12-58) with a weak .654 OPS against Odorizzi in his career

9* Play TWINS (-1.5 runline).

-Denver played a perfect Game 5 at home; 124 points in regulation; most since March 12th
-offense is shooting 44.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting
-Nuggets defense allows 46.9% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2%

-Portland returns home off an ugly 26-point road loss; 36-10 at home; expect a big bounce back
-offense is shooting 47.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 46% shooting
-Trail Blazers allow 45% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that are shooting 46%

10* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).

-Toronto hits the road after dominating Game 5 on their home court; expect the series to end
-offense is shooting 47.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Raptors defense allows 33.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.3% from 3

-Philadelphia failed to show up for the all important Game 5; bad spot here even playing at home
-offense has struggled to score points in this series; held to 96 points or less in 4 of the 5 games
-76ers defense allows 111.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.6 points per game

9* Play RAPTORS (-).

-Houston won both games at home to tie this series at 2 games apiece; now on the road; bad spot
-offense is shooting 44.4% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 45.8% shooting
-Rockets defense allows 46.6% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.3%

-Golden State returns home off back-to-back losses; 33-13 at home; expect a focused effort here
-offense is shooting 49.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting
-Warriors defense allows just 34.9% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3

10* Play WARRIORS (-).

-Chicago’s Reynaldo Lopez projects to give up 3.0 earned runs with a 4.95 ERA and 1.53 WHIP 

-righty projects to have a 5.8 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 1.6 strikeout/walk ratio

-Indians lineup has hit a solid .312 (10-32) with a strong .832 OPS against Lopez in his career

-Cleveland’s Shane Bieber is set to give up 2.2 earned runs with a 3.23 ERA and 1.09 WHIP 

-righty is slated to have a 9.7 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 5.9 strikeout/walk ratio 

-White Sox lineup has hit just .231 (6-26) with a weak .605 OPS against Bieber in his career

9* Play INDIANS (-1.5 runline).

-Portland lost Game 4 on their home court; on the road now; expect a strong bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 46.5% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Trail Blazers allow 45.5% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46% from the field

-Denver bounced back with a solid win off their 4 overtime loss in Game 3; at home; regression
-offense averages just 110.5 points per game vs. defenses that give up 111.3 points per game
-Nuggets defense has given up 112 points or more in 3 of the 4 games in this series; bad form

10* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (+).

-Philadelphia hits the road after losing Game 4 on their home court as a favorite; bounce back
-offense is shooting 47% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-76ers defense allows 33% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 

-Toronto was in a good spot to win Game 4 off a loss in Game 3; now at home; complacency
-offense is getting little production off the bench; second unit scored 12 points in 48 minutes
-Raptors defense allows 35.1% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.3% from 3

9* Play 76ERS (+).

-Milwaukee dominated the 3rd quarter to win Game 3; game was even other than that quarter
-offense is shooting 34.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Bucks defense allows 36.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 

-Boston is now off back-to-back losses in this series; must win game tonight; big bounce back
-offense is shooting 47% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting
-Celtics defense allows 44.2% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.9%

10* Play CELTICS (-).

-Chicago starter Ivan Nova projects to give up 3.4 earned runs with a 5.73 ERA and 1.54 WHIP 

-righty projects to have a 5.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 2.0 strikeout/walk ratio

-Indians lineup has hit a solid .379 (25-66) with a strong 1.082 OPS against Nova in his career

-Cleveland starter Trevor Bauer is set to give up 2.3 earned runs with a 3.16 ERA and 1.09 WHIP 

-righty is slated to have an 11.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and 4.5 strikeout/walk ratio 

-White Sox lineup has hit just .207 (31-150) with a weak .568 OPS against Bauer in his career

9* Play INDIANS (-1.5 runline).

-Houston’s Justin Verlander is set to give up 2.3 earned runs with a 3.45 ERA and 1.16 WHIP 

-righty is slated to have a 9.4 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and 3.6 strikeout/walk ratio 

-Angels lineup has hit just .171 (27-158) with a weak .568 OPS against Verlander in his career

-Los Angeles’ Matt Harvey is set to give up 2.9 earned runs with a 5.01 ERA and 1.44 WHIP 

-righty projects to have a 6.0 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 2.0 strikeout/walk ratio

-Astros lineup has hit .600 with a 1.536 OPS in limited at-bats against Harvey in his career

9* Play ASTROS (-1.5 runline).

-Toronto has now played back-to-back poor games; off a 21-point loss; big bounce back here
-offense is shooting 47.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Raptors defense allows 107.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.5 points per game

-Philadelphia once again played perfect in Game 3; 6 players scored in double digits; regression
-offense shot 51.2% (43-84) from the field, 87% from the free throw line, and they made ten 3’s
-76ers defense allows 111.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.6 points per game 

10* Play RAPTORS (+).

-Golden State won the first 2 games on their home court by a combined 10 points; bad sign
-offense shot 48.2% (80-166) from the field in the 2 games and couldn’t win by margin; regress
-Warriors defense allows 111.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.3 points per game

-Houston returns home down 0-2 in the series; must win game; expect a big bounce back effort
-offense averages 116.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 111 points per game
-Rockets defense allows 108.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.3 points per game

10* Play ROCKETS (-).

-Denver played a clunker in Game 2 on their home court; expect a strong bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 46.4% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Nuggets defense allows 33.9% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.7% from three 

-Portland got a complete team effort in Game 2; 6 players scored 10 points or more; regression 
-offense averages 109.3 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 111.3 points per game
-Trail Blazers defense allows 35.7% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

10* Play NUGGETS (+).

-Milwaukee bounced back strong in Game 2 as expected; 3 starters scored 21 points or more
-offense is shooting 34.6% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Bucks defense allows 36.4% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3 

-Boston figured to be flat for Game 2; off that loss expect a big bounce back at home tonight
-offense is shooting 47% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting
-Celtics defense allows 44% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.9%

9* Play CELTICS (-).

-Toronto hits the road off a home loss in Game 2; expect a focused effort here; bounce back
-offense is shooting 47.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Raptors defense allows 107.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.4 points per game

-Philadelphia got a complete team effort in Game 2; 5 players scored in double digits; regression
-offense scored 54 of their 94 points from 3-point land and the free throw line in Game 2
-76ers defense allows 112.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.6 points per game 

10* Play RAPTORS (-).

-Portland lost Game 1 in Denver as expected; this is still a bad matchup, so expect a 2-0 deficit
-offense is shooting 35.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3
-Trail Blazers allow 36.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

-Denver has won 4 of their last 5 playoff games after losing 2 of their first 3; in good form now
-offense is shooting 48.3% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting
-Nuggets defense allows 103.1 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 111.5 ppg 

10* Play NUGGETS (-).

-Boston dominated Game 1 and won by 22 points; shocking result; expect major regression here
-offense shot 54% (47-87) from the field and they made 13 three’s in Game 1; won’t repeat that
-Celtics defense has been worse on the road; give up 107.8 ppg and 45% shooting from the field 

-Milwaukee played one of their worst games of the season; off that loss expect a big bounce back 
-offense is shooting 48.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting
-Bucks defense allows 43.1% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.7%

10* Play BUCKS (-).

-Portland had it easier than expected in beating Oklahoma City in Round 1; bad matchup now 
-offense is shooting 35.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3
-Trail Blazers allow 36.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

-Denver lost Game 1 on their home floor to the Spurs in Round 1; expect a focused effort here
-offense is shooting 48.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting
-Nuggets defense allows 102.9 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 111.5 ppg 

10* Play NUGGETS (-).

-Houston’s Justin Verlander is set to give up 2.4 earned runs with a 3.40 ERA and 1.07 WHIP 

-righty is slated to have an 11.0 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and 5.3 strikeout/walk ratio 

-Twins lineup has hit just .154 (14-91) with a weak .572 OPS against Verlander in his career

-Minnesota’s Jake Odorizzi is set to give up 3.1 earned runs with a 5.38 ERA and 1.54 WHIP 

-righty projects to have a 5.2 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 1.8 strikeout/walk ratio

-Astros lineup has scored 14 runs on 27 hits in 103 at-bats against Odorizzi in his career

9* Play ASTROS (-1.5 runline).

-Houston had little trouble in beating Utah in Round 1; taking a huge jump up in class now
-offense is shooting 44.4% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 45.9% shooting
-Rockets defense allows 46.5% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2%

-Golden State lost 2 games on their home floor in Round 1; expect a focused effort here
-offense is shooting 49.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting
-Warriors defense allows just 34.8% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3

10* Play WARRIORS (-).

-Boston swept Indiana in Round 1; every win came by 10 points or less; massive class jump now
-offense is shooting 45.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting
-Celtics defense has been worse on the road; 108.2 ppg and 45.3% shooting from the field 

-Milwaukee dominated Detroit in their Round 1 sweep; every win came by 16 points or more 
-offense is shooting 48.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting
-Bucks defense allows 42.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.6%

9* Play BUCKS (-).

-Philadelphia had an easy matchup in Round 1 against the Nets; huge step-up in class now
-offense is shooting 33.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3
-76ers defense allows 114.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 110.6 ppg 

-Toronto lost Game 1 on their home floor to Orlando in Round 1; expect a focused effort here
-offense is shooting 47.8% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting
-Raptors defense allows 106.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 110.4 ppg 

10* Play RAPTORS (-).

-Golden State lost as 14.5-point home favorites in Game 5; embarrassing result; big effort now
-offense is shooting 49.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting from the field
-Warriors defense allows 43.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46% 

-Los Angeles got a complete team effort in Game 6; very unlikely they’ll repeat that performance
-offense shot 54.1% (46-85) from the field and made 13 three’s in Game 5; major regression here
-Clippers allow 115 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 111.5 points per game 

10* Play WARRIORS (-).

-Denver has played 2 perfect games after losing Game 3 in San Antonio; expect regression here
-offense is shooting 44.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting
-Nuggets defense allows 46.9% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% 

-San Antonio returns home off a blowout loss; also lost previous home game; big bounce back
-offense is shooting 41.6% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3 
-Spurs allow just 106.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 111.2 points per game 

10* Play SPURS (-).

-Utah finally got a win in this series in Game 4; off that win expect major regression tonight
-offense is shooting 34.3% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.4% shooting from 3
-Jazz defense allows 36.6% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3

-Houston returns home off an ugly road loss in Game 3; 7-3 at home off a road loss this season
-offense is shooting 36.3% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Rockets defense allows 33.6% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from three 

10* Play ROCKETS (-).

-Detroit starter Tyson Ross projects to give up 3.6 earned runs with a 6.11 ERA and 1.75 WHIP 

-righty projects to have a 5.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 1.9 strikeout/walk ratio

-Red Sox offense is in good current form; they’ve scored 22 total runs over their last 5 games

-Boston’s Eduardo Rodriguez is set to give up 2.3 earned runs with a 3.69 ERA and 1.18 WHIP 

-lefty is slated to have a 10.2 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.8 strikeout/walk ratio 

-Tigers offense has been at their worst in night games; hitting just .214; only 16 runs in 7 games

9* Play RED SOX (-1.5 runline).

-Brooklyn blew a 4th quarter lead in Game 4 at home; off that close loss, expect a flat effort here
-offense is shooting 44.1% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting
-Nets allow 113.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111 points per game

-Philadelphia lost Game 1 on their home court; won in a blowout in Game 2; focused effort again
-offense is shooting 48.4% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting
-76ers defense allows 34.1% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from three 

10* Play 76ERS (-).

-Portland is a much better home team than road team; 13 win difference; expect another loss
-offense is shooting 34.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3 
-Trail Blazers allow 46.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% from the field

-Oklahoma City bounced back strong as expected in Game 3; they will match that effort here 
-offense averages 114.6 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 111.3 points per game
-Thunder defense allows 45.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% 

10* Play THUNDER (-).

-Houston played 2 perfect games at home, and they won by a combined 52 points; regression
-offense is shooting 44.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting
-Rockets defense allows 46.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% 

-Utah just played their 2 worst games of the season; return to their strong home court; big effort
-offense is shooting 36.3% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3 
-Jazz defense allows 104.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that score 111.4 points per game 

10* Play JAZZ (-).

-Portland has played well above their level in the first 2 games of this series; regression coming
-offense is shooting 34.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3 
-Trail Blazers allow 46.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% from the field

-Oklahoma City returns home where they’ve played much better this season; big bounce back
-offense averages 114.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 111.3 points per game
-Thunder defense allows 45.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% 

10* Play THUNDER (-).

-Boston was extremely fortunate to win Game 2; needed a miraculous finish; regression here
-offense is shooting 45.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting  
-Celtics allowed 165 points in 2 games; gave up 102 points or more in 16 of previous 17 games  

-Indiana returns home down 2-0 in the series; must win game; big bounce back effort at home
-offense is shooting 38.1% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3
-Pacers allow 43.3% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% from the field

9* Play PACERS (-).

-Houston’s Justin Verlander is set to give up 2.2 earned runs with a 3.38 ERA and 1.11 WHIP 

-righty is slated to have a 11.4 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 4.1 strikeout/walk ratio 

-Rangers lineup has hit just .240 (77-321) with a weak .658 OPS against Verlander in his career

-Texas starter Drew Smyly is set to give up 2.8 earned runs with a 5.00 ERA and 1.47 WHIP 

-lefty projects to have a 5.2 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 1.9 strikeout/walk ratio

-Astros lineup has hit a solid .310 (18-58) with a strong .980 OPS against Smyly in his career

9* Play ASTROS (-1.5 runline).

-Golden State blew a 31-point lead in Game 2 at home; embarrassing result; bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 49.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting from the field
-Warriors defense allows 43.9% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46% 

-Los Angeles won by a fluky result in Game 2; that’s not going to happen again; regression here
-offense shot 56.5% (48-85) from the field and 45.2% (14-31) from 3 in Game 2; won’t repeat
-Clippers defense allows 114.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.4 points per game 

9* Play WARRIORS (-).

-Kansas City’s Homer Bailey is set to give up 3.3 earned runs with a 5.10 ERA and 1.49 WHIP 

-righty projects to have a 5.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 2.4 strikeout/walk ratio

-Yankees lineup has hit a solid .385 with a strong .813 OPS in limited at-bats against Bailey   

-New York’s Domingo German is set to give up 2.2 earned runs with a 3.51 ERA and 1.15 WHIP 

-righty is slated to have a 10.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.6 strikeout/walk ratio 

-Royals offense is hitting just .202 on the road while averaging a measly 3 runs per game 

10* Play YANKEES (-1.5 runline).

-Utah still has a terrific matchup edge despite losing Game 1 by 32 points; bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 46.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting
-Jazz defense allows 106.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.4 points per game

-Houston shot 50% from the field and made 15 three’s in Game 1; high variance team; regress
-offense is shooting 45% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Rockets allow 46.6% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% from the field

10* Play JAZZ (+).

-Oklahoma City was terrible in Game 1; shot just 15.2% (5-33) from 3; expect big bounce back
-offense is averaging 114.3 points per game vs. defenses that allow 111.3 points per game
-Thunder allow 45.9% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% from the field 

-Portland got a complete team effort in Game 1; 3 players scored 20 points or more; regression 
-offense made 11 three’s in Game 1; held a +18 point advantage from 3 and only won by 5 points
-Trail Blazers allows 35.6% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from three

9* Play THUNDER (+).

-San Antonio was in a good spot for Game 1 and they took advantage with a win; opposite now
-offense shot 48.2% (40-83) from the field and 46.7% (7-15) from 3; expect regression tonight  
-Spurs allow 47.5% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that only shoot 46.1% 

-Denver was 34-7 SU at home prior to their loss in Game 1; strong home court; big bounce back
-offense is shooting 48.4% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting
-Nuggets allows 32.3% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.6% from 3

10* Play NUGGETS (-).

-Brooklyn is the lone team in the playoffs with a negative point differential; hit 11 3’s; regress
-offense is shooting just 44.1% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting
-Nets allow 113.1 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 110.9 points per game

-Philadelphia was terrible in Game 1; shot just 12% (3-25) from three; expect big bounce back
-offense is shooting 37.7% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3
-76ers allows 44.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.8% from the field

9* Play 76ERS (-).

-Utah has a terrific matchup edge here; played the best of any team against Houston; bad line
-offense is shooting 47% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting
-Jazz allow 106.5 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111.4 points per game

-Houston has been a hit or miss team in the playoffs recently; high 3-point shooting variance
-offense is shooting 44.9% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Rockets allow 46.6% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% from the field

10* Play JAZZ (+).

-Detroit’s Jordan Zimmermann is set to give up 3.1 earned runs with a 4.93 ERA and 1.44 WHIP 

-righty projects to have a 5.8 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 2.2 strikeout/walk ratio

-Twins lineup has hit a strong .351 (27-77) with a robust 1.052 OPS against Zimmermann  

-Minnesota’s Jose Berrios projects to give up 2.5 earned runs with a 3.41 ERA and 1.16 WHIP 

-righty is slated to have a 10.0 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.8 strikeout/walk ratio 

-Tigers lineup has hit just .160 (4-25) with a weak .410 OPS against Berrios in his career

9* Play TWINS (-1.5 runline).

-San Antonio closed the regular season by winning their last 3 games; confidence and good form 
-offense is shooting 39.2% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from three
-Spurs defense allows 110 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.4 points per game

-Denver closed the regular season by going 5-6 SU over their last 11 games; bad current form
-offense is shooting 35.1% from three vs. defenses that give up 35.6% shooting from three
-Nuggets defense has given up 110 points or more in 4 of their last 6 games; not a good sign 

9* Play SPURS (+).

-Orlando has a terrific matchup edge here; played the best of any team against Toronto; bad line
-offense is shooting 35.6% from three vs. defenses that also give up 35.6% shooting from three
-Magic allows 105.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111 points per game

-Toronto has a history of underperforming in the playoffs; some new pieces; still question marks
-offense shot 50% or better from the field in 4 of their last 6 games; not happening here; regress
-Raptors defense allows 35.5% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

10* Play MAGIC (+).

-Toronto’s Aaron Sanchez projects to give up 3.2 earned runs with a 5.47 ERA and 1.71 WHIP 

-righty projects to have a 5.2 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 1.5 strikeout/walk ratio

-Red Sox offense is starting to heat up; they’ve scored 18 total runs over their last 4 games

-Boston’s Nathan Eovaldi projects to give up 2.3 earned runs with a 3.64 ERA and 1.19 WHIP 

-righty is slated to have an 8.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.4 strikeout/walk ratio 

-Blue Jays lineup has hit just .053 (1-19) with a woeful .153 OPS against Eovaldi in his career

10* Play RED SOX (-1.5 runline).

-Portland is still playing for playoff positioning, so they are not mailing this game in; focused
-offense has scored 110 points or more in 4 straight games; continues vs. a bad Lakers defense
-Trail Blazers allow 110.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.3 points per game 

-Los Angeles comes in off back-to-back SU wins as double digit underdogs; not happening again
-offense is shooting 32.4% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3
-Lakers defense allows 113.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.6 points per game

9* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).

-Miami starter Jose Urena projects to give up 2.8 earned runs with a 4.84 ERA and 1.49 WHIP 

-righty projects to have a 5.7 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 2.0 strikeout/walk ratio

-Reds lineup has hit a solid .378 (17-45) with a strong .993 OPS against Urena in his career

-Cincinnati’s Luis Castillo projects to give up 2.1 earned runs with a 3.19 ERA and 1.03 WHIP 

-righty is slated to have a 10.4 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 4.9 strikeout/walk ratio 

-Marlins lineup has hit just .120 (3-25) with a woeful .360 OPS against Castillo in his career

10* Play REDS (-1.5 runline).

-Texas Tech has been ultra impressive in the tournament; meet their defensive equal here
-offense averaged 3.5 points per game less on the road; facing one of the best defenses tonight
-Red Raiders defense allows 32% (#176 overall) of points scored to come from 3; bad matchup

-Virginia didn’t take full advantage of their matchup edge vs. Auburn; lucky win; undervalued
-offense is shooting 39.3% from three vs. defenses that give up 33.1% shooting from three  
-Cavaliers defense allows 55.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 73 points per game   

10* Play VIRGINIA (-).

-Denver has just about clinched their playoff position; resting their starters in this game
-offense is shooting 44.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting
-Nuggets defense allows 46.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.2%

-Portland returns home off a loss in Denver; 5-2 at home off a road loss; average win by 15 ppg
-offense is shooting 47.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up just 46% shooting 
-Trail Blazers allow just 44.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.1%

10* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-).

-Texas Tech has been the most impressive team in the tournament; confidence and momentum
-offense is shooting 47.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.8% shooting from the field
-Red Raiders defense allows 59 points per game vs. offenses that average 73 points per game

-Michigan State had an easy path prior to their last game against Duke; another tough out here
-offense faced four mediocre defensive teams; now they are facing one of the best in the country
-Spartans defense is also terrific, but they had the pace edge in every tournament game; not here 

10* Play TEXAS TECH (+).

-Auburn needs to play at a fast pace to be at their best; not happening tonight; bad matchup
-offense is shooting just 43.5% from the field on the road; facing one of the best defenses here
-Tigers defense allows 35.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.4% from 3 

-Virginia plays at an extremely slow pace; they grind teams in the half court; excel vs. fast teams
-offense is shooting 39.4% from three vs. defenses that give up 33.1% shooting from three  
-Cavaliers defense allows 55.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.8 points per game   

9* Play VIRGINIA (-).

-Sacramento comes in off a home win last night over Cleveland; back-to-back in altitude now
-offense is shooting 46.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46% shooting from the field
-Kings defense allows 116.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111.2 ppg

-Utah is 11-1 SU over their last 12 games; in excellent current form; last night off; blowout here
-offense has scored 114 points or more in 11 of their last 12 games; continues vs. a bad defense
-Jazz defense allows 43.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that are shooting 46% 

10* Play JAZZ (-).

-Milwaukee will conclude their 3-game East Coast road trip tonight; bad spot with season ending
-offense is shooting 34.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Bucks defense allows 36.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

-Philadelphia returns home off back-to-back road losses; expect a big bounce back effort here
-offense is shooting 37.7% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3
-76ers defense allows 44.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.8%

10* Play 76ERS (+).

-Memphis comes in off a loss in Los Angeles to the Clippers; 6-2 SU their last 8 when off a loss
-offense is shooting 35.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Grizzlies defense allows 105.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.9 points per game

-Portland returns home from a 4-game road trip; 1 day off since; back on the road after; bad spot
-offense just scored 132 points after shooting 54.9% against Minnesota; expect major regression  
-Trail Blazers defense allows 35.9% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3

9* Play GRIZZLIES (+).

-Houston starter Gerrit Cole projects to give up 2.2 earned runs with a 3.36 ERA and 1.17 WHIP 

-righty is slated to have a 10.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.4 strikeout/walk ratio 

-Rangers lineup has hit just .216 (19-88) with a weak .651 OPS against Cole in his career

-Texas starter Mike Minor projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a 4.47 ERA and 1.42 WHIP 

-righty was not good last year; gave up 73 runs on 138 hits in 157 innings of work; 4.18 ERA 

-Astros lineup has hit a solid .287 (25-87) with a strong .874 OPS against Minor in his career

9* Play ASTROS (-1.5 runline).

-Boston just beat Miami at home on Monday despite shooting 39.6% from the field; good sign
-offense is shooting 36.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3
-Celtics defense allows 108 points per game vs. offenses that average 110.8 points per game

-Miami returns home for this one off game before playing 3 of their next 4 on the road; bad spot
-offense is shooting just 44.8% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting
-Heat defense allows 35.9% shooting from three vs. offenses that are shooting 35.4% from three

9* Play CELTICS (+).

-Toronto has won 4 straight games against teams that have quit on the season; different opponent
-offense has scored 245 total points in their last 2 games; expect some major regression tonight
-Raptors defense allows 45.5% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.9%

-Brooklyn comes in off a home loss to Milwaukee; won previous 4 home games; bounce back 
-offense averages 114.1 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 111.2 points per game
-Nets defense allows just 33.5% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

10* Play NETS (+).

-Denver hits the road off an ugly home loss to Washington; last night off; big bounce back here
-offense is shooting 46.6% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Nuggets defense allows 106.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 111.4 points per game

-Golden State is just 11-8 SU over their last 19 games; team is on cruise control into the playoffs
-offense scored 268 total points in their last 2 games; regression coming against a good defense
-Warriors defense allows 35.7% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.3% from 3

10* Play NUGGETS (+).

-Boston’s Chris Sale projects to give up 2.1 earned runs with a 3.23 ERA and 1.01 WHIP 

-lefty is slated to have a 11.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 5.5 strikeout/walk ratio 

-Athletics lineup has hit just .206 (22-107) with a weak .666 OPS against Sale in his career

-Oakland starter Mike Fiers projects to give up 2.8 earned runs with a 4.86 ERA and 1.45 WHIP 

-righty was not good last year; gave up 68 runs on 166 hits in 172 innings of work; 32 home runs 

-Red Sox lineup has hit a solid .290 (20-69) with a strong .790 OPS against Fiers in his career

9* Play RED SOX (-1.5 runline).

-Orlando is 7-1 SU over their last 8 games; in excellent current form; confidence and momentum
-offense has scored 119 points or more in 5 of those 7 games; expect more of the same tonight
-Magic defense allows 105.1 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 110.9 ppg

-Toronto has faced the Bulls twice and the Knicks in their last 3 games; big step-up in class here
-offense is facing a good defensive team; scored just 98 points on the Magic last time they played
-Raptors defense allows 35.4% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

10* Play MAGIC (+).

-Michigan State has been dominant in their tournament games; terrific in the half court as well
-offense is shooting 39.4% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 33.3% shooting from 3
-Spartans allow 37.8% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.2% from the field

-Duke needs to play at a fast pace to be at their best; won’t be easy to dictate pace in this game
-offense is shooting 27.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 32.9% shooting from 3
-Blue Devils defense was worse on the road this season; allowing 4.1 points per game more

10* Play MICHIGAN STATE (+).

-Auburn has been quite impressive throughout this tournament; expect another solid game here
-offense is shooting 38.1% from three vs. defenses that allow just 33.7% shooting from three
-Tigers defense allows 68.8 points per game vs. defenses that average 73.2 points per game

-Kentucky won their last 2 games in the final minute; team is now overvalued here by a 2 points 
-offense is shooting 34.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.2% shooting from 3
-Wildcats defense has been worse away from home this season; allow 3.2 points per game more 

9* Play AUBURN (+).

-Boston’s Eduardo Rodriguez projects to allow 2.1 earned runs with a 3.46 ERA and 1.18 WHIP 

-lefty projects to have a 10.4 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and 3.3 strikeout/walk ratio

-Mariners lineup has hit just .234 (15-64) with a poor .701 OPS against Rodriguez in his career

-Seattle starter Mike Leake is slated for 2.9 earned runs with a 4.34 ERA and 1.41 WHIP 

-righty projects to have a 5.5 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and 2.4 strikeout/walk ratio

-Red Sox lineup has hit a solid .299 (35-117) with a .777 OPS against Leake in his career

9* Play RED SOX (-1.5 runline).

-Texas Tech comes in off an ultra-impressive win over Michigan; confidence and momentum
-offense is shooting 47.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.9% shooting from the field
-Red Raiders defense allows 58.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.6 points per game

-Gonzaga has had an easy path to the Elite 8; every win by 12 points or more; big jump in class  
-offense faced three mediocre defensive teams; now they are facing one of the best in the country
-Bulldogs defense has been worse away from home this year; allowing 5.1 points per game more 

10* Play TEXAS TECH (+).

-Houston quietly went 31-3 during the regular season; impressive in the tournament so far too
-offense is shooting 36.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow just 33.6% shooting from 3
-Cougars defense allows 60.7 points per game on the road vs. defenses that average 72 ppg

-Kentucky is a very young team, and may be without their starting center; bad pace matchup here
-offense is shooting 34.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.1% shooting from 3
-Wildcats defense has been worse away from home this season; allow 3.1 points per game more 

9* Play HOUSTON (+).

-Virginia Tech plays at a slow pace, so the matchup here is good; beat Duke 77-72 last month
-offense is shooting 39.5% from three vs. defenses that give up 33.2% shooting from three  
-Hokies defense allows 61.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.1 points per game   

-Duke needs to play at a fast pace to be at their best; won’t be easy to dictate pace tonight
-offense is shooting 30.7% from three vs. defenses that allow just 32.9% shooting from three
-Blue Devils defense was worse on the road this season; allowing 4 points per game more

10* Play VIRGINIA TECH (+).

-Oregon took advantage of 2 easy matchups to reach the Sweet 16; stepping way up in class now
-offense averages 66.4 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 71.5 points per game
-Ducks defense faced inefficient offenses throughout the season in the Pac 12; skewed numbers 

-Virginia has yet to play 48 minutes of their best basketball in this tournament; happens tonight
-offense is shooting 40.1% from three vs. defenses that allow just 33.1% shooting from three
-Cavaliers allowing just 55 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.9 points per game  

10* Play VIRGINIA (-).

-Florida State comes in off one of their best games of the season; regression off that blowout win
-offense is shooting 43% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.3% shooting
-Seminoles defense hasn’t faced many fast-paced teams; allow 70 points or more when they do

-Gonzaga had a tough matchup with an undervalued Baylor team; easier matchup here; blowout 
-offense is shooting 52.5% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow just 44% shooting
-Bulldogs defense allows 30.5% shooting from three vs. defenses that shoot 34.9% from three

9* Play GONZAGA (-).

-Boston’s Chris Sale projects to give up 1.5 earned runs with a 2.39 ERA and 0.89 WHIP 

-lefty is slated to have a 12.7 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 6.4 strikeout/walk ratio 

-Mariners lineup has hit just .179 (12-67) with a weak .515 OPS against Sale in his career

-Seattle’s Marco Gonzales projects to give up 2.4 earned runs with a 4.13 ERA and 1.46 WHIP 

-lefty was not good last season; gave up 74 runs on 172 hits in 166.2 innings of work; 4.00 ERA 

-Red Sox lineup has hit a solid .316 with a strong .879 OPS against Gonzales in his career

9* Play RED SOX (-1.5 runline).

-Los Angeles comes in off a home spotlight TV win last night; 3rd game in 4 nights in altitude
-offense is shooting just 32.9% from three vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from three
-Lakers defense allows 116.1 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 111.2 ppg

-Utah is 7-1 SU over their last 8 games; in excellent current form; last night off; blowout coming
-offense has scored 114 points or more in 8 straight games; trend will continue vs. bad a defense
-Jazz defense allows 43.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that are shooting 46% 

10* Play JAZZ (-).

-Boston is 0-4 over their last 4 games; 2-5 their last 7 games; bad current form; no Kyrie Irving
-offense is shooting 45.5% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.1% shooting
-Celtics defense has given up 114 points or more in 7 straight games; in terrible form right now

-Cleveland comes in off an ugly 22-point road loss in Milwaukee; big bounce back effort here
-offense is shooting 36.2% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 35.4% shooting from 3
-Cavaliers defense has give up just 212 total points in their last 2 home games; in good form

10* Play CAVALIERS (+).

-Oklahoma City is just 1-4 over their last 5 games; 6-11 their last 17 games; bad current form
-offense is shooting 33.3% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Thunder defense has give up 566 total points over their last 5 games; bad unit all season too

-Memphis comes in off an ugly 13-point home loss to Minnesota; big bounce back effort here
-offense has scored 337 points over their last 3 games; in good form and facing a bad defense
-Grizzlies defense allows 44% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.2%

10* Play GRIZZLIES (+).

-Ohio State was a surprise to make the tournament; win over Iowa State was an upset; run ends 
-offense is shooting 39.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.5% shooting
-Buckeyes defense held a negative efficiency rating in conference play this season; bad sign

-Houston quietly went 31-3 during the regular season; easy win over Georgia State; momentum 
-offense is shooting 37% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow just 33.6% shooting from 3
-Cougars defense allows 60.9 points per game on the road vs. defenses that average 72.2 ppg

10* Play HOUSTON (-).

-Oklahoma took advantage of an easy matchup on Friday; stepping way up in class for this game
-offense needs to play at a fast pace; not happening here; 3-8 SU when held to less than 70 points
-Sooners defense allows 34.8% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.6% from 3 

-Virginia was terrible in the first half on Friday; they dominated the second half; blowout here
-offense is shooting 40.5% from three vs. defenses that allow just 33.1% shooting from three
-Cavaliers allowing just 55.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.9 points per game  

9* Play VIRGINIA (-).

-Texas Tech has the goods to make a deep run in this tournament; great pace matchup here 
-offense is shooting 47.3% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.9% shooting from the field
-Red Raiders allow just 59.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.3 points per game

-Buffalo needs to play as fast as possible to be their best; not going to happen here; bad matchup
-offense has faced a terrible collection of defenses that allow 71.3 points per game; class jump
-Bulls allow 74.3 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 72.5 points per game

9* Play TEXAS TECH (-).

-Iowa rallied in the second half to beat Cincinnati on Friday; unlikely they can repeat that effort
-offense shot 54.7% (29-53) from the field and 50% from three (11-22) in that game; regression
-Hawkeyes allow 46.1% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 43.8%

-Tennessee struggled a bit with Colgate; that wasn’t unexpected; better matchup for a big win
-offense is shooting 49.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.1% shooting from the field
-Vols defense allowing 40% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 43.8% from the field

9* Play TENNESSEE (-).

-Kansas beat Northeastern much easier than expected; facing a better matchup here; undervalued
-offense is shooting 46.5% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.2% shooting from the field
-Jayhawks defense allowing just 33.2% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.1% from 3

-Auburn’s fatigue from their run in the SEC tournament showed late on Thursday; bad spot here
-offense is shooting 42.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.8% shooting
-Tigers defense allows 36.9% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.3% from 3

9* Play KANSAS (+).

-Michigan State didn’t play their best on Thursday; already beat Minnesota by 24; big effort here
-offense is shooting 48.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.4% shooting from the field
-Spartans allow just 31.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.7% from 3

-Minnesota beat Louisville 86-76 on Thursday; they made 11 three’s in that game; regression  
-offense is shooting 31.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 33.1% shooting from 3  
-Gophers allowing 45.1% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.1% from the field

10* Play MICHIGAN STATE (-).

-Michigan beat Montana by 19 points; that game took nothing out of them; another blowout here 
-offense is shooting 45.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.4% shooting from the field
-Wolverines allow 39.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.3% from the field

-Florida took advantage of a shorthanded and sick Nevada team; still fortunate to win; bad spot
-offense is only averaging 64.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 70.8 ppg
-Gators defense is good and they play slow, but their opponent is much better at doing the same

9* Play MICHIGAN (-).

-Wofford quietly went 30-4 this season; crushed Seton Hall on Thursday; dangerous team
-offense is shooting 41.8% from three vs. defenses that give up 35.3% shooting from three
-Terriers defense allows 65.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 73.7 points per game

-Kentucky is a very young team, and without their starting center; bad matchup vs. slow team
-offense is shooting 34.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34% shooting from 3
-Wildcats allowing 35.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.9% from 3

9* Play WOFFORD (+).

-Maryland beat a well-coached Belmont team on Thursday; different style of team now is better
-offense is shooting 45.3% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.7% shooting from the field
-Terrapins allow just 39.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.6% from the field

-LSU shot the lights out in the first half in their win over Yale; struggled to hold on; overvalued
-offense is shooting 31.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 33.2% shooting from 3
-Tigers allowing 75.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 73.3 points per game

9* Play MARYLAND (+).

-Virginia Commonwealth had an excellent season; flew under the radar; dangerous team here
-offense is shooting 44.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.2% shooting from the field
-Rams defense allows 27% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 33.7% from 3 

-Central Florida unexpectedly lost their final two games of the season; stepping-up in class now
-offense averages 66.9 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 70.3 points per game
-Knights defense had problems at the end of the season; gave up 146 points in their last 2 games

10* Play VCU (+).

-Liberty lost 6 games this season; 4 of those losses came by 9 points or less; tough team to beat
-offense is shooting 49% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.4% shooting from the field
-Flames defense allows 60.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 71.3 points per game

-Mississippi State had a down year based on their preseason expectations; 2-5 to close the season
-offense was much worse on the road; shot 3.4% and 3.6% less from the field and from three  
-Bulldogs allowing 35.3% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot just 35% from three

9* Play LIBERTY (+).

-Utah State closed the season by going 17-1 over their last 18 games; terrific tournament team
-offense is shooting 47.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.7% shooting from the field
-Aggies allow just 39.1% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44% from the field

-Washington likes to play at a slow pace while confusing teams with their zone; bad matchup
-offense is only averaging 68.9 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 70.4 ppg
-Huskies defense allowed 70 points or more in 3 of their last 4 road games to close the season

9* Play UTAH STATE (-).

-UC Irvine quietly went 30-5 this season; they have an efficient offense and a solid defense
-offense is shooting 36.1% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.3% shooting from three
-Anteaters defense allows 62.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 71 ppg

-Kansas State isn’t built to win games in blowouts; play at a slow pace and rely on their defense
-offense is averaging 65.8 points per game vs. defenses that give up 70.3 points per game
-Wildcats defense has been a little worse away from home this season; 1.3% more from the field 

9* Play UC IRVINE (+).

-Oklahoma went just 19-13 this season; lots of close losses was a big reason for that; tough out
-offense is shooting 44.5% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.3% shooting from the field
-Sooners allow just 40.2% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.3% from the field

-Mississippi built their record against a weak non-conference schedule; 2-5 to close the season
-offense is shooting 32.4% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.1% shooting from 3
-Rebels defense allowing an ugly 37.2% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.1% from 3

9* Play OKLAHOMA (+).

-Saint Mary’s lost 11 games this season, but they’re in excellent form; 9-2 their last 11 games
-offense is shooting 47.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.3% shooting from the field
-Gaels defense allows 30.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35% from 3 

-Villanova is household name now after recent championships and deep runs in this tournament
-offense is shooting 43.9% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.5% shooting from the field
-Wildcats allowing 35.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.9% from 3

9* Play SAINT MARY’S (+).

-Abilene Christian lost 6 games this season; 4 of those losses came by 9 points or less; tough out
-offense is shooting 47.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.9% shooting from the field
-Wildcats defense allows 63.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 67.8 points per game

-Kentucky is extremely talented, but they are also a very young team; bad matchup vs. slow team
-offense scored 66 points or less in 3 of their last 5 true road games to close the season; bad form
-Wildcats allowing 36.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.8% from 3

9* Play ABILENE CHRISTIAN (+).