-Stanford hits the road off back-to-back home games with their last being a 2-point loss; bad spot 
-offense is shooting 35.1% from three vs. defenses that allow 35.2% shooting from three
-Cardinal defense allows 40.7% shooting from 3 on the road vs offenses that shoot 36.6% from 3 

-USC only lost by a single point (77-76) at Stanford 17 days ago; now at home, expect a big win
-offense averages 82.1 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 71.8 points per game   
-Trojans defense allow 42.2% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.6% 

10* Play USC (-).

-St. Joseph’s has 9 losses on the season, but seven of those losses have come by 6 points or less
-offense averages 75.2 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 71.6 points per game
-Hawks defense has given up just 183 points in their last three games; in terrific current form 

-St. Bonaventure is just 1-4 SU  and ATS over their last five games; in terrible current form
-offense is shooting 44.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 44.5% shooting from the field  
-Bonnies defense is in poor current form; allowed 79.6 points per game over their last 5 games

9* Play ST. JOSEPH’S (+).

-Duke will be playing their 4th road game in their last 6 games; just 2-2 SU last 4 road games
-offense scored 253 points on 50.3% (85-169) shooting in their last 3 games; can’t maintain that
-Blue Devils defense allows 79.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 76.4 ppg 

-Wake Forest has lost 5 straight games; 3 were on the road; 2 home losses by 10 and 8 points 
-offense shoots 47.4% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow just 42.5% shooting
-Demon Deacons defense allows 73.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 76.1 ppg 

10* Play WAKE FOREST (+).

-Portland has won 3 straight games, but all came at home; 0-3 last 3 road games; bad spot here
-offense is shooting 45.2% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 46.2% shooting 
-Blazers defense allows 44.5% shooting from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.1%

-Denver lost their last game at home, and with 2 days off and at home again, expect strong effort
-offense hits 47.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Nuggets defense allows 102.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 105.4 ppg

10* Play NUGGETS (-).

-Maryland is 0-3 their last 3 road games; off a home win; 3rd road game in 4 games; bad spot
-offense has scored 69 points or less in their last three road games; expect more of the same here  
-Terrapins defense has given up 250 total points in their last 3 road games; in poor current form

-Indiana returns home off an ugly 28-point road loss; Juwan Morgan is out, but he’s been limited
-offense hits 46.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 43.3% shooting from the field
-Hoosiers defense allows 41.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.8%

9* Play INDIANA (+).

-Minnesota comes in off a miraculous win, but ignore that; they led 17-0 late in the 3rd quarter
-offense is averaging 24.2 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 22 points per game
-Vikings defense has only allowed 16.2 points per game on 4.9 yards per play this season

-Philadelphia is the #1 seed yet they were home dogs to #6 seed Atlanta and here; line is telling
-offense has scored just 34 total points in their last three games; bad matchup vs. Vikings defense  
-Eagles defense faced terrible offenses that only averaged 20.8 ppg this season; big step-up here

10* Play VIKINGS (-).

-Brooklyn is just 2-6 over their last 8 games; on the road off 3 straight home games; bad spot
-offense is shooting 43.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.9% shooting from the field 
-Nets defense allows 109.7 points per game vs. offenses that only average 105.1 points per game 

-Detroit has lost 4 straight games, but they are stepping way down in class; expect strong effort
-offense hits 40.4% from three at home vs. defenses that allow 35.9% shooting from three
-Pistons defense allows 101 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 106.1 ppg

9* Play PISTONS (-).

-Miami FL is just 1-3 over their last 4 games; off a meltdown home loss to Duke; bad road spot
-offense is shooting just 33% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.6% shooting from 3  
-Hurricanes defense has given up 72, 74, and 83 points in their last 3 games; in poor current form

-NC State is 3-1 over their last 4 games; 4th home game over their last 5 games; scheduling edge
-offense hits 49.3% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 43.1% shooting from the field
-Wolfpack defense allows 31.4% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 36% from 3

9* Play NC STATE (+).

-St. Mary’s is off a huge upset win at Gonzaga on Thursday; 4th straight road game; terrible spot
-offense shot 56.6% (30-53) from the field and 61.5% (8-13) from 3; major regression coming
-Gaels defense allows 46.8% shooting from the field vs. defenses that shoot 45.5% from the field   

-Pacific has won and covered 4 straight games; in excellent current form; 4 of 5 games at home 
-offense shoots 49.5% from the field at home vs. defense that allow 44% shooting from the field  
-Tigers defense allows 45.5% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.1% from the field   

10* Play PACIFIC (+).

-Memphis beat Tulsa at home 2 weeks ago; trailed at half; shot 50% and only won by 9 points 
-offense averages 62.8 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 70.1 points per game
-Tigers defense gives up 39.9% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.1% from 3 

-Tulsa has lost 4 consecutive games, but 3 of those were on the road; expect a strong home effort
-offense averages 82.7 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 72.4 points per game   
-Golden Hurricane allow 41.4% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 44.4% 

9* Play TULSA (-).

-Memphis hits the road after a home win last night; on a back-to-back and 3rd game in 4 nights
-offense is averaging 99.4 points per game vs. defenses that give up 106.1 points per game     
-Grizzlies defense allows 37.3% shooting from 3 on the road vs offenses that shoot 36.3% from 3  

-New Orleans had two nights off after playing a 3-game road trip; rested and ready for tonight
-offense is shooting 50.6% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 46% shooting
-Pelicans defense is allowing 46.1% shooting from the field vs. offenses that also shoot 46.1% 

9* Play PELICANS (-).

-Tennessee comes in off a loss at Missouri; it was a flat spot off 3 big wins; expect bounce back
-offense is shooting 39.3% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 33.6% shooting from 3
-Vols defense only allows 69.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 78.1 points per game 

-South Carolina is off back-2-back upset wins over Kentucky and at Georgia; major flat spot here
-offense is shooting 40.8% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42% shooting from the field  
-Gamecocks defense is in poor current form; allowed 74 points or more in 3 of their last 6 games

9* Play TENNESSEE (-).

-USC hits the road off back-to-back home blowout wins; positive momentum carries over here
-offense hits 48.1% from the field on the road vs. defenses that only allow 43.5% shooting
-Trojans defense allows 43.6 shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.6% from the field  

-Oregon is just 2-3 SU over their last 5 games, and one of those wins came by 4 points; bad form
-offense only shoots 35.5% from three vs. defenses that also give up 35.5% shooting from three  
-Ducks defense has given up 169 total points in their last three games; in terrible current form

9* Play USC (+).

-Orlando is 2-16 SU over their last 18 games; expect another loss here as they step-up in class
-offense is shooting just 35.4% from three vs. defenses that give up 36.2% shooting from three    
-Magic defense allows 112.8 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 105.8 ppg 

-Cleveland has lost 4 in a row, but with 2 days off, expect a big performance with a drop in class
-offense is shooting 48.4% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 46% shooting
-Cavaliers defense is much better at home; 10 of last 13 games were on the road; big effort here 

10* Play CAVALIERS (-).

-Northeastern is playing their 3rd straight road game, and their 6th in their last 9 games; bad spot
-offense is shooting 31.6% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 36.1% shooting from 3
-Huskies defense allows 47.7% from the field on the road vs. offenses that only shoot 44.4%   

-William & Mary is off a 26-point home loss; HC Tony Shaver’s teams are 18-5 ATS in this spot
-offense is shooting 49.8% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 37.5% shooting from 3
-Tribe defense only gives up 34.3% shooting from 3-point land; big matchup edge in this game 

9* Play WILLIAM & MARY (-).

-Denver is just 2-4 over their last 6 games, but they played good defenses; big step-down in class
-offense scored 123 and 129 points on the Clippers in last 2 meetings; won by 15 and 25 points
-Nuggets defense allows 105.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 105.3 points per game

-Los Angeles has won their last 4 games after scoring 485 points; regression off big Houston win
-offense is shooting 35.9% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 36.4% shooting from 3
-Clippers defense allows 106.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 105.2 points per game

9* Play NUGGETS (+).

-Ohio State comes in off 3 straight blowout wins; on a back-to-back road set now; flat spot
-offense has faced a poor collection of opposing defenses that give up 71.7 ppg; step-up in class  
-Buckeyes defense allows 36.6% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses shoot 36.3% from 3

-Northwestern returns home off an ugly 20-point road loss at Indiana; expect big effort tonight
-offense hits 45.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 42.8% shooting from the field
-Wildcats defense allows 62.1 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 74.5 ppg 

10* Play NORTHWESTERN (+).

-Indiana State needs to play a fast pace; 2-4 SU when held to less than 70 points this season 
-offense is shooting 41.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 42.5% shooting
-Sycamores defense is poor on the road; they give up 76.3 ppg on 44% shooting from the field  

-Evansville returns home off a close road loss at Missouri State; expect a strong effort tonight
-offense is shooting 48.6% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 45.5% shooting
-Aces defense only gives up 58.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 73 ppg

9* Play EVANSVILLE (-).

-Drake needs to play a fast pace; 0-4 SU on the road when held to less than 70 points 
-offense has scored less than 70 points on Northern Iowa in their last 6 meetings; bad matchup
-Bulldogs defense is terrible on the road; they give up 81.1 ppg on 48.4% shooting from the field  

-Northern Iowa snapped their 7-game losing streak with a home win on Saturday; momentum 
-offense is shooting 43.6% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 42.4% shooting
-Panthers defense only gives up 57 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 72.6 ppg

10* Play NORTHERN IOWA (-).

-Maryland comes in off an ugly 22-point road loss at Ohio State; expect big effort tonight
-offense is shooting 48.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.3% shooting from the field
-Terrapins defense allows 66.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 75.5 points per game 

-Michigan returns home off upset win at rival Michigan State as 9.5-point underdogs; flat spot
-offense has faced a poor collection of opposing defenses that give up 73.6 ppg; step-up in class  
-Wolverines defense allows 37.1% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses shoot 35.5% from 3

10* Play MARYLAND (+).

-San Antonio will hit the road once again after making a pit stop at home for one game; bad spot 
-offense is only averaging 96.3 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 105.4 ppg  
-Spurs defense has given up 100 points or more in three of their last four road games; bad form

-Atlanta has had 2 days off to get rested and ready; expect a big performance off a home loss
-offense is shooting 38.3% from 3 at home vs. defenses that only allow 36.1% shooting from 3
-Hawks defense has allowed less than 100 points in 2 of their last 3 home games; good form

9* Play HAWKS (+).

-New Orleans is a terrific home team inside the dome; big benefit playing inside a dome here
-offense is averaging 28.2 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 21.6 points per game
-Saints defense gives up just 18.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 22 ppg

-Minnesota beat New Orleans 29-19 in Week 1, but Saints were just 20% (1-5) in the red zone   
-offense is only averaging 5.5 yards per play vs. defenses that also give up 5.5 yards per play    
-Vikings defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 22 points per game; big step-up

10* Play SAINTS (+).

-San Diego State has won and covered the spread in 3 straight games; in excellent current form
-offense is averaging 78.1 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 72.5 points per game 
-Aztecs defense gives up 64.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 73.3 points per game  

-Boise State needs to play a fast pace to be at their best; 2-2 SU when held to less than 70 points 
-offense has scored less than 70 points on SDSU in 8 of their last 9 meetings; terrible matchup
-Broncos defense has given up 71 points or more in 5 of their last 7 games; in bad current form 

9* Play SAN DIEGO STATE (+).

-Valparaiso had lost 7 of their previous 8 games, but they’ve won their last 2 games; trending up
-offense is shooting 45.4% from the field vs. defenses that allow 44.2% shooting from the field
-Crusaders defense allows 67.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 70.7 points per game 

-Northern Iowa has lost 7 consecutive games, including their last 3 home games; in terrible form
-offense only averages 64.7 points per game vs. defenses that give up 71.4 points per game   
-Panthers defense has given up 69 points or more four times during their losing streak; bad form

9* Play VALPARAISO (+).

-Texas A&M has lost 4 straight games, but they played a brutal schedule; big step down in class
-offense is shooting 46.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.6% shooting from the field
-Aggies only allow 38.8% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.4% from the field  

-Tennessee is off back-to-back big win over Kentucky and at Vanderbilt; major flat spot here
-offense shot 56.6% from the field and 53.8% from 3 in their last game; major regression here  
-Volunteers defense is in poor current form; allowed 84 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games

9* Play TEXAS A&M (+).

-Houston has won their last 2 games after scoring 237 points; regression without James Harden 
-offense is worse on the road; they shoot 45.4% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.7%
-Rockets defense allows 107.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 105 points per game

-Phoenix has had 4 days off to get rested and ready for this game; expect a big performance
-offense has scored 104 points or more in 4 of their last 5 home games; in good current form
-Suns defense allows 35.3% shooting from three at home vs. offenses that shoot 36% from three 

10* Play SUNS (+).

-Portland is off back-to-back closes losses in their last two games; expect more of the same here
-offense shoots 42.5% from three on the road vs. defenses that allow 34.7% shooting from three
-Pilots defense has given up 68 points or less in three of their last four games; good current form

-Gonzaga is off 3 straight wins where they scored 85 points or more; major regression here
-offense scored 275 points on 54.7% (105-192) shooting in their last 3 games; can’t maintain that
-Bulldogs defense gives up 36.4% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that only shoot 34.5% from 3  

10* Play PORTLAND (+).

-New Orleans hits the road after playing 4 of last 6 games at home; 2-3 last 5 games; bad form  
-offense has scored 95 points or less against Memphis’ defense in last 3 meetings; bad matchup
-Pelicans defense allows 110.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 105.9 points per game

-Memphis has had 4 days off to get rested and ready for this game; expect a big performance
-offense has scored 100 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games; in good current form
-Grizzlies defense allows 43.5% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% 

9* Play GRIZZLIES (+).

-Chicago is just 1-5 their last 6 games; in terrible current form; playing their 6th game in 10 days
-offense is shooting 43.9% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.9% shooting from the field
-Bulls defense allows 112.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 105.9 points per game

-New York returns home after playing 6 of their last 7 games on the road; 2 days off; big effort 
-offense shoots 47.6% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field 
-Knicks defense allows 42% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.6%    

10* Play KNICKS (-).

-St. Joseph’s hits the road after 2 home underdog wins; now laying points on the road; bad spot
-offense shoots just 40.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 43.6% shooting   
-Hawks defense gives up 78.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 73 ppg  

-George Mason comes in off an ugly 27-point home blowout loss; expect big effort tonight
-offense is shooting 44.3% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 43.4% shooting
-Patriots defense gives up 72 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 76.1 ppg 

9* Play GEORGE MASON (+).

-Sacramento is 1-4 SU their last 5 games; taking a huge drop in class here; expect big effort
-offense is shooting 38.1% from three vs. defenses that allow 36.1% shooting from three  
-Kings defense allowing 106.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 106.5 points per game

-Los Angeles is off a 19-point win where they scored 132 points; regression off that big effort
-offense is shooting 31.3% from three at home vs. defenses that allow 36.2% shooting from three
-Lakers defense allowing 111.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 106.8 points per game    

10* Play KINGS (+).

-South Carolina has lost their last 3 road games by a total of 37 points; expect another loss here
-offense shoots 33% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.9% shooting from 3   
-Gamecocks defense is in poor current form; allowed 74 points or more in 2 of their last 3 games

-Alabama returns home off back-to-back road losses; last was a blowout loss; expect big effort
-offense is shooting 50.8% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 42% shooting
-Crimson Tide defense gives up 66.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 74.8 ppg 

9* Play ALABAMA (-).

-Denver comes in off a loss in Sacramento; with last night off, expect a big performance here
-offense is averaging 107.4 points per game vs. defenses that give up 105.8 points per game
-Nuggets defense allows 105.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 105.2 points per game

-Golden State returns home off a 3-game road trip where they scored 370 points; flat spot here 
-offense shot 51.8% (185-357) from the field and 42.5% (57-134) from 3 in last 4 games; regress
-Warriors defense allows 36.1% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 36.1% from three

9* Play NUGGETS (+).

-Alabama head coach Nick Saban will face former assistant Kirby Smart; assistants are 0-11 SU
-offense averaged 6.7 yards per play vs. defenses that gave up 5.6 yards per play; 37.9 ppg
-Crimson Tide defense only gave up 11.1 points per game on 3.9 yards per play this season 

-Georgia won a high-scoring shootout vs. Oklahoma in overtime; freshman QB regresses here
-offense needs to run the ball to have success; Alabama defense allows just 91.8 rypg on 2.7 ypr   

-Bulldogs defense allows 143.1 rushing yards per game on the road; Alabama runs for 255.8 ypg

10* Play ALABAMA (-).

-Toronto has won 3 straight games while scoring 124 points or more in each game; regression
-offense is shooting 34.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 36.2% shooting from 3
-Raptors defense has allowed 574 total points in their last five games; in terrible current form   

-Brooklyn will be playing their 4th straight home game; off a loss, expect a big effort tonight
-offense is averaging 107.8 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 105.3 ppg
-Nets defense allows 45.3% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46%    

9* Play NETS (+).

-Oklahoma City plays their 3rd straight road game; they won their last 2 while scoring 260 points
-offense shot 56.9% (107-188) from the field and 45.3% (29-64) from 3 in last 2 games; regress
-Thunder defense allows 46.1% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46%

-Phoenix returns home off back-to-back blowout road losses; with last night off, expect big effort
-offense is averaging 105.5 points per game vs. defenses that give up 105.2 points per game
-Suns allowing just 35.6% shooting from three at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.9% from three     

9* Play SUNS (+).

-Iowa comes in off back-to-back home losses; at 9-8 overall, it’s clear that this team is way down
-offense shoots 34.3% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.3% shooting from 3   
-Hawkeyes defense is in poor current form; allowed 73 points or more in four straight games

-Maryland returns home off an ugly 30-point road loss at Michigan State; expect big effort
-offense is shooting 48.4% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 43.3% shooting
-Terrapins defense gives up just 59.6 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 75.1 ppg 

9* Play MARYLAND (-).

-New York has lost 3 games in a row, but they are taking a huge drop in class; expect big effort
-offense is shooting 46.4% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field  
-Knicks allowing just 44.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.6% from the field 

-Dallas has lost back-to-back games after scoring 122 and 124 points; hard to do that; flat spot 
-offense is averaging 102.1 points per game vs. defenses that give up 104.5 points per game
-Mavericks defense has allowed 485 total points in their last four games; in terrible current form     

9* Play KNICKS (+).

-Carolina lost both regular season meetings against New Orleans, but expect a close game here
-offense is averaging 22.7 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 21.4 points per game
-Panthers defense only allows 19.6 points per game on 5.4 yards per play on the road this season

-New Orleans lost 31-24 last week, and with 2 wins over Carolina already, expect tight play
-offense has to throw the ball to be successful, but Carolina gives up just 6.5 yppa; bad matchup  
-Saints defense is worse at home where they give up 22.5 points per game on 5.6 yards per play 

10* Play PANTHERS (+).

-Buffalo is in a bad scheduling spot; it will be their 3rd straight road game off a must win effort
-offense is only averaging 17.6 points per game on 4.8 yards per play on the road this season
-Bills defense gives up 24.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that only average 21.4 ppg 

-Jacksonville returns home off back-to-back road losses; good spot for a big bounce back effort
-offense is averaging 25.9 points per game at home vs. defenses that only give up 22.7 ppg    
-Jaguars defense gives up just 16.7 points per game on 4.9 yards per play this season 

9* Play JAGUARS (-).

-Kentucky comes in off a perfect game at LSU; now on a back-to-back road set; terrible spot
-offense shot 50% (31-61) from the field and 41.7% (5-12) from 3 vs. LSU; regression here   
-Wildcats defense has given up 76, 83, and 71 points in their last three games away from home 

-Tennessee is off back-to-back losses with their last an ugly 10-point home loss; bounce back
-offense is shooting 39.1% from three vs. defenses that only give up 34.7% shooting from three
-Volunteers defense allows just 67.1 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 80.9 ppg 

9* Play TENNESSEE (-).

-Atlanta won a big game at home vs. Carolina last week, so expect momentum to carry here
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that only allow 5.6 yppl 
-Falcons defense is only giving up 19.7 points per game on 5.3 yards per play this season

-Los Angeles rested their starters last week, but with a young QB and team, that was a bad idea
-offense needs to throw the ball to be successful, but Atlanta gives up just 6.2 yppa; bad matchup  
-Rams defense is worse at home where they give up 22.3 points per game on 5.6 yards per play 

10* Play FALCONS (+).

-Oklahoma is off a 1-point road win and a high-scoring blowout home win; bad spot stepping-up
-offense shot 54.7% from the field and 55.6% from 3 in their last game; major regression here  
-Sooners defense is in poor current form; allowed 83 points or more in 5 of their last 7 games

-West Virginia returns home off back-to-back road games; expect big effort against a young team
-offense is averaging 90.4 points per game at home vs. defenses that only give up 70.3 ppg
-Mountaineers defense allows 37.6% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses shoot 44.1%  

9* Play WEST VIRGINIA (-).

-Boston plays on a back-to-back set after winning 2 straight spotlight games; terrible spot
-offense is averaging 101.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 105.6 ppg 
-Celtics defense just held two of the top offenses in the NBA to season-low in points; regress

-Brooklyn will be playing their 3rd straight home game; off back-to-back wins; in good form
-offense is averaging 109.1 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 105.4 ppg
-Nets allowing just 35.2% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 36.6% from three     

9* Play NETS (+).

-UCLA won back-to-back blowouts after upsetting Kentucky; now on the road in a bad spot
-offense is much worse on the road where they average 7.9 points per game less (75.2-83.1)  
-Bruins defense is also much worse away from home where they allow 76.6 points per game

-Stanford will be playing their fifth consecutive home game; huge schedule advantage here
-offense is shooting 45% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.6% shooting from the field
-Cardinal defense allows just 69.1 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 77.1 ppg 

10* Play STANFORD (+).

-Houston is 12-2 SU against an extremely mediocre schedule; now on the road stepping way-up
-offense is much worse on the road where they average 5 points per game less (75.6-80.6) 
-Cougars defense is in poor current form; allowed 72 points or more in 3 of their last 5 games

-Wichita State is 11-2 SU against a difficult schedule; step-down in class here; expect big effort
-offense is shooting 50.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 43.9% shooting
-Shockers defense allows 37.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses shoot 45.4%  

9* Play WICHITA STATE (-).

-NC State needs to play at a fast pace to be at their best; 0-3 SU when held to less than 70 points
-offense is much worse on the road where they average 67.5 points per game on 38.6% shooting  
-Wolfpack defense is also much worse away from home where they allow 73.2 points per game

-Notre Dame is 6-1 SU at home this season; all 6 wins have come by 9 points or more
-offense is averaging 84.6 points per game on 48.9% shooting from the field at home this season
-Irish defense allows just 38.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.3%

9* Play NOTRE DAME (-).

-Illinois struggled to a 62-58 home win over Grand Canyon; now on the road stepping way-up
-offense shoots just 41.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.6% shooting
-Illini defense much worse on the road where they give up 75.8 points per game; 6.3 ppg more  

-Minnesota will be playing their fifth consecutive home game; huge schedule advantage here
-offense is shooting 47.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 44.1% shooting
-Golden Gophers defense allows 37.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses shoot 44%  

9* Play MINNESOTA (-).

-Indiana has lost 4 straight games, and off a 17-point home loss, expect a strong effort here
-offense shoots 48.5% from the field on the road vs. defenses that only allow 46% shooting
-Pacers allowing just 35.9% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 36.4% from 3 

-Milwaukee has played 3 straight draining games with the last 2 on the road; terrible spot here
-offense only shoots 33.7% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 36.2% shooting from 3 
-Bucks defense allows 46.6% shooting from the field vs. offenses that only shoot 45.3% 

10* Play PACERS (+).

-Florida hits the road for their first true road game of the season after 2 weeks at home; bad spot 
-offense scored 69 points or less in four of six games prior to 81-point outburst; regression here
-Gators defense worse on the road where they allow 82 points per game on 47.6% shooting

-Texas A&M returns home off a 22-point road loss at Alabama; expect strong bounce back here
-offense shoots 47.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 43.8% shooting
-Aggies defense only gives up 62.9 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 78.7 ppg  

10* Play TEXAS A&M (-).

-TCU is 12-1 on the season; off their first loss and in their first true road game, this is a bad spot
-offense has faced a terrible slate of defenses that give up 73.6 points per game; big step-up here  
-Horned Frogs defense has allowed 75.3 points per game on neutral courts; expect worse here

-Baylor returns home off a 24-point road loss in their last game; expect strong bounce back here
-offense is shooting 53.8% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 44.5% shooting
-Bears defense only gives up 64 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 76.2 ppg 

9* Play BAYLOR (+).

-Alabama is 11-1 on the season, and off their first loss, expect a supreme performance here
-offense averaged 6.9 yards per play vs. defenses that gave up 5.7 yards per play; 39.1 ppg
-Crimson Tide defense only gave up 11.5 points per game on 4.0 yards per play this season 

-Clemson went 12-1 on the season; ugly loss came to Syracuse; will face top-rated defense
-offense averaged 5.7 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that allowed 5.7 yards per play

-Tigers defense was worse away from home; gave up 5.4 ppg and 0.7 yppl more on the road 

9* Play ALABAMA (-).

-Los Angeles has lost 6 straight games, and off a double overtime game, line is greatly inflated
-offense averages 107.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 105.7 ppg
-Lakers allowing just 34% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 36.3% from three 

-Minnesota returns home off back-to-back road games; back-to-back set and 4th game in 6 nights
-offense only shoots 35.4% from three vs. defenses that give up 36.4% shooting from three 
-Timberwolves defense allows 48.3% shooting at home vs. offenses that only shoot 45.6% 

9* Play LAKERS (+).

-Virginia Tech is 11-2 on the season against a tough schedule, including a road game at Kentucky
-offense shoots 54.5% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.1% shooting from the field
-Hokies defense gives up 40.3% shooting from the field vs. offenses shoot 44.3% from the field

-Syracuse is also 11-2 on the season, but they’ve played a very easy schedule; phony record
-offense is only shooting 29.8% from 3 vs. defenses that give up 34.4% shooting from 3 
-Orange defense has skewed stats; gave up 76 points to Kansas and 79 points to Georgetown 

9* Play VIRGINIA TECH (+).

-Oakland has lost 3 straight games, but they are still playing hard; lost 17-16 to Chargers earlier  
-offense is averaging 5.5 yards per play vs. defenses that also give up 5.5 yards per play
-Raiders defense has held four of their last five opponents to 20 points or less; good current form

-Los Angeles returns home off back-to-back road games; they’ve gone just 1-3 ATS last 4 games
-offense is only averaging 21.7 points per game vs. defenses that give up 22.4 points per game     
-Chargers defense allows 5.6 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play 

10* Play RAIDERS (+).

-Carolina has played their last three games at home, and now hit the road; bad scheduling spot 
-offense is only averaging 5.3 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play
-Panthers defense is giving up 5.7 yards per play vs. offenses that also average 5.7 yards per play 

-Atlanta returns home off an ugly 10-point loss in New Orleans; expect a big effort in a big game
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.6 yards per play
-Falcons defense is giving up just 17.7 points per game on 5.2 yards per play at home this season 

9* Play FALCONS (-).

-Green Bay has lost their last two games and seem to have quit on the season; in a bad spot here
-offense is only averaging 5.2 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.4 yards per play    
-Packers defense allows 26.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.9 ppg

-Detroit returns home off a road loss in Cincinnati, and off that ugly loss, expect a big effort
-offense is averaging 25.9 points per game at home vs. defenses that only give up 20.7 ppg
-Lions defense has given up just 57 points in their last three games; in good current form  

9* Play LIONS (-).

-Wisconsin is 12-1 on the season, and their first loss came in their last game; expect bounce back
-offense is averaging 33.8 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 25 points per game

-Badgers defense is allowing just 4.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-Miami FL went 10-2 after losing their final two games; easy early schedule caught up to them
-offense only scored 17 total points in their two losses; scoring trouble will continue in this game  
-Hurricanes defense gave up 62 points in their losses against run-based teams; face similar here

10* Play WISCONSIN (-).

-New York has lost 4 straight games, but they were facing teams in great spots; expect big effort
-offense shoots 46.6% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field
-Knicks allowing just 44.3% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.4% from the field  

-New Orleans is off back-to-back games in which they scored 120 and 128 points; regression
-offense shot 51.4% from the field and they hit 25 three’s in their last two games; won’t repeat 
-Pelicans defense allows 113.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 105.6 points per game 

9* Play KNICKS (+).

-Kansas needs to play at a fast pace; 1-1 when held to less than 70 points; only won by 4 points
-offense has played a terrible group of defenses that allow 74.8 points per game; big step-up here
-Jayhawks defense worse on the road where they allow 41.2% shooting; allow 38.6 % overall 

-Texas has three losses on the season; two have come in overtime and the other came by 7 points
-offense shoots 47% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 43.4% shooting from the field
-Longhorns defense only gives up 57 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 76.3 ppg  

9* Play TEXAS (+).

-Houston plays on a back-to-back road set after blowing a 27-point lead last night; terrible spot
-offense is shooting 45.8% on the road vs. defenses that give up 45.6% shooting from the field
-Rockets defense allows 46.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.7% from field

-Washington returns home off a 14-point road loss; off last night, so expect a strong effort
-offense shoots 47.8% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 45.9% shooting
-Wizards allowing just 44.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.7%     

9* Play WIZARDS (+).

-Utah State lost their season finale; 4-1 off a loss, so expect a supreme effort in this game
-offense was better on the road where they averaged 32 points per game on 6.0 yards per play 

-Aggies defense allows 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

-New Mexico State may be the worst team to make a bowl game this season; 6-6 SU on the year
-offense averaged 29.6 points per game vs. defenses that gave up 29.9 points per game
-Aggies defense gave up 37.3 points per game on 6.0 yards per play on the road this season   

10* Play UTAH STATE (-).

-NC State went just 2-3 to close the season; Clemson and Notre Dame were 2 of their losses
-offense is averaging 30.6 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 26 points per game

-Wolfpack defense is allowing just 5.5 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play

-Arizona State went 7-5 this season; they gave up 30 points or more in all five of those losses
-offense only averaged 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that also gave up 5.6 yards per play  
-Sun Devils defense gave up 32.8 points per game on 6.8 yards per play on the road this season 

9* Play NC STATE (-).

-Stanford lost 4 games this season, and all of them came away from home; more of the same here
-offense was much worse on the road where they averaged 4.9 points per game less (27.1-32)    

-Cardinal defense allows 5.9 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yppl; average unit  

-TCU is playing in their home state, and off a loss to Oklahoma in Big 12 title, expect big effort
-offense averaged 33.2 points per game on 6.0 yards per play this season; scoring will continue
-Horned Frogs defense only gives up 17.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 31.2 ppg   

10* Play TCU (-).

-LSU is 9-3 on the season vs. a tough schedule; one of their losses came by a single point
-offense is shooting 52% from the field vs. defenses that allow 44.9% shooting from the field  
-Tigers defense gives up 44.3% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46% from the field

-Memphis is also 9-3 on the season, but against a very weak schedule; big step-up in class here
-offense is shooting 30.4% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.7% shooting from three  
-Tigers defense allows 35.6% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.1% from three

9* Play LSU (-).

-New York will play on a back-to-back road set; also their 3rd game in 4 nights; bad spot
-offense is averaging just 97.3 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 105.4 ppg 
-Knicks allow 47.1% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.4%

-San Antonio in good form as they’ve won 5 of their last 6 games; off last night; good spot
-offense shoots 47.9% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 45.9% shooting
-Spurs defense is allowing just 98 points per game vs. offenses that average 104 points per game    

9* Play SPURS (-).

-Virginia Tech went 9-3 during the regular season; Clemson and Miami were 2 of their losses
-offense is averaging 28.7 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 26.8 points per game

-Hokies defense is allowing just 13.5 points per game on 4.8 yards per play this season 

-Oklahoma State also went 9-3 this season; they gave up 151 total points in their 3 losses
-offense put up big numbers against terrible defenses that gave up 5.9 yppl; big step-up in class  
-Cowboys defense gives up 30.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 29.6 points per game  

9* Play VIRGINIA TECH (+).

-Missouri won their last 6 games of the season after a 1-5 start; long layoff bad for their rhythm
-offense put up big numbers vs. bad defenses that gave up 29.9 ppg on 6.1 yppl; step-up in class   

-Tigers defense was awful on the road; gave up 33.4 points per game on 6.1 yards per play   

-Texas is playing in their home state, and off a loss to Texas Tech in their finale, expect big effort
-offense scored 93 points in their last 3 games; scoring ways will continue with extra prep time
-Longhorns defense allows 21.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 31.1 points per game   

9* Play TEXAS (+).

-Purdue got back on track late in the season as they closed on a 3-1 SU and ATS run; good form
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that only allow 5.3 yards per play

-Boilermakers defense allows 17.8 points per game on 5.1 yards per play on the road this season 

-Arizona closed the season by going 1-3 SU and ATS; opposite direction of their opponent 
-offense put up big numbers against terrible defenses that gave up 32.7 ppg; big step-up in class  
-Wildcats defense was terrible on the road; gave up 40.2 points per game on 6.3 yards per play   

10* Play PURDUE (+).

-Dallas hits the road after an upset home win last night; bad scheduling spot on a back-to-back
-offense is averaging just 98 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 103.9 ppg 
-Mavericks allow 49.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 46.1%

-Indiana returns home off a 24-point road loss last night; off the ugly loss, expect a strong effort
-offense shoots 47.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 45.9% shooting
-Pacers defense is allowing just 45.9% shooting from the field at home this season    

9* Play PACERS (-).

-Sacramento hits the road off a 9-point home loss, and with two nights off, expect a strong effort
-offense is shooting 38.5% from three vs. defenses that only give up 36.2% shooting from three 
-Kings defense allows 105.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 106.4 points per game  

-Los Angeles has played 6 of their last 7 games on the road; home for Christmas; bad spot now
-offense shoots just 34.8% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 36.3% shooting from 3
-Clippers defense gives up 106.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 104.5 points per game  

9* Play KINGS (+).

-Utah will hit the road off a 14-point home blowout loss; with 2 days off, expect a big effort 
-offense is shooting 38.1% from three vs. defenses that allow 36.3% shooting from three
-Jazz defense is giving up 45.8% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.7%

-Denver has played 9 of their last 11 games on the road; now home off upset win at Golden State
-offense has scored 98 points or less against Utah’s defense in four of their last five meetings 
-Nuggets defense allows 47.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that only shoot 45.9%     

9* Play JAZZ (+).

-Middle Tennessee State is just 1-2 SU over their last three games; big step-up in class here
-offense is shooting 34.6% from three vs. defenses that give up 35.4% shooting from three  
-Blue Raiders defense allows 44.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. teams that shoot 45%

-Miami Florida is 10-1 on the season; off their first loss, expect a strong bounce back effort here
-offense is shooting 48.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45% shooting from the field  
-Hurricanes defense gives up 57 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.1 points per game 

10* Play MIAMI FLORIDA (-).

-Oakland hits the road after back-to-back losses; scored just 32 total points; expect bounce back
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play
-Raiders defense has held 3 of their last 4 opponents to 20 points or less; good current form

-Philadelphia returns home off 3 straight draining road games; natural letdown spot here
-offense scored 34 points in backup QB Nick Foles’ first start this season; regression in this game  

-Eagles defense has given up 88 total points in their last three games; in bad current form

9* Play RAIDERS (+).

-Seattle is off back-to-back losses with their last being a blowout home loss; expect big effort
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play
-Seahawks defense is giving up just 18 points per game on 5.1 yards per play on the road 

-Dallas has won 3 straight games, but with Ezekiel Elliott returning, their identity changes
-offense is only averaging 5.4 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play
-Cowboys defense is giving up 24.1 points per game on 6.1 yards per play at home this season  

10* Play SEAHAWKS (+).

-Los Angeles lost 30-13 in Kansas City last week, and off that ugly loss, expect a big effort
-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play vs. defenses that only allow 5.5 yards per play
-Chargers defense is giving up 18.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 22 points per game  

-New York has lost their last two games by a combined score of 54-19; in terrible current form
-offense is averaging 5.3 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play    
-Jets defense allows 24.4 points per game vs. offenses that only average 21.6 points per game  

9* Play CHARGERS (-).

-Atlanta is off 3 straight close games with their last two being 3-point wins; back-to-back road 
-offense is only averaging 22.7 points per game vs. defenses that give up 22 points per game     
-Falcons defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 22.4 points per game; big step-up

-New Orleans has scored 30 points or more in their last 4 home games; expect more of the same 
-offense is averaging 31.1 points per game at home vs. defenses that only allow 21.9 ppg
-Saints defense gives up 5.5 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

9* Play SAINTS (-).

-Minnesota is in a bad scheduling spot; it will be their 3rd road game in 4 weeks; 6th in 8 games
-offense is averaging just 5.3 yards per plat on the road vs. defenses that allow 5.6 yards per play 
-Vikings defense gives up 4.4 points per game more (21.7-17.3) on the road than overall average

-Green Bay returns home off a road loss in Carolina; 2nd home game in last 5 games; good spot
-offense has scored 24 points or more in each of their last four games; in excellent current form  
-Packers defense gives up just 20.9 points per game on 5.5 yards per play at home this season 

9* Play PACKERS (+).

-Appalachian State lost 4 games; 3 of those losses came by 7 points or less; Georgia lone big loss
-offense averaged 40.3 points per game in their last three wins; expect scoring ways to continue

-Mountaineers defense is giving up just 21.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 25.1 ppg

-Toledo went 11-2 SU against my 102nd rated schedule this season; both losses were blowouts 
-offense put up big numbers against terrible defenses that gave up 30.7 ppg; big step-up in class  
-Rockets defense was poor on the road; gave up 29.4 points per game on 6.0 yards per play   

10* Play APPALACHIAN STATE (+).

-Southern Illinois owns 7 wins against terrible opposition this season; big step-up in class here
-offense is shooting 30.6% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.3% shooting from 3  
-Salukis defense is allowing 76.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 73.6 ppg

-Nevada is 10-2 SU on the season with their two losses coming by a combined 10 total points
-offense is averaging 83.4 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 69.9 points per game 
-Wolf Pack defense allows 42.4% shooting from the field vs offenses that shoot 45.5% from field  

9* Play NEVADA (-).

-Atlanta 60% ATS on road this season with average loss by just -5.8 points per game
-offense is shooting 37.9% from three vs. defenses that only give up 36.5% shooting from three
-Hawks' defense allows 35.9% shooting from 3pt on road vs. offenses that shoot 36.4% from 3pt

-Oklahoma City off a 28-point blowout win; they shot 51.9% (40-77) from the field; will regress
-offense shoots just 43.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 46.1% shooting from the field
-Non-conference letdown spot tonight, especially with road game on deck tomorrow at Utah

10* Play HAWKS (+).

-Central Michigan closed the season strong by going 5-0 over their last 5 games; cohesive team 
-offense was better on the road where they averaged 32.7 points per game on 6.0 yards per play 

-Chippewas defense gave up just 5.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.4 yards per play

-Wyoming lost their last 2 games of the season; QB Josh Allen is dealing with a shoulder injury  
-offense averaged just 4.7 yards per play versus defenses that gave up 5.8 yards per play  
-Cowboys defense played a terrible slate of opposing offenses that averaged 24.7 ppg this season   

9* Play CENTRAL MICHIGAN (+).

-Gonzaga is off 3 straight wins where they scored 89 points or more; major regression here
-offense scored 101 points on 68% shooting and 44.4% from 3 in last game; can’t repeat that
-Bulldogs defense gives up 40.7% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that average 34.9% 

-San Diego State is off a 63-62 home loss in their last game; expect a strong bounce back effort
-offense shoots 49% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 43% shooting from the field
-Aztecs defense only gives up 56.4 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 72.5 ppg  

10* Play SAN DIEGO STATE (+).

-Boston hits the road after losing at home last night; 3rd game in 4 nights; bad scheduling spot
-offense is averaging just 102.1 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 105.2 ppg 
-Celtics defense has given up 107 points or more in four of their last six games; bad current form 

-New York has had two full days of rest to prepare for this game; off a loss, expect a strong effort
-offense shoots 48.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field 
-Knicks defense allows just 101.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 105.4 ppg    

9* Play KNICKS (+).

-Temple closed the season strong by going 3-1 over their last four games; lone loss to UCF 
-offense averaged 37.3 points per game in those three wins; expect scoring ways to continue

-Owls defense is giving up just 5.6 yards per play vs. offenses that average 6.0 yards per play

-Florida International’s last two games of the season were their best; time off a negative here 
-offense much worse on the road; they averaged just 22.4 ppg vs. defenses that gave up 26.2 ppg 
-Golden Panthers defense awful on the road; gave up 37.4 points per game on 6.4 yards per play   

9* Play TEMPLE (-).

-Kansas State is 9-2 SU on the season with their two losses coming by a combined 9 total points
-offense is shooting 49% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.4% shooting from the field
-Wildcats defense allows 38.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 43.4% from field 

-Washington State is 1-3 SU over their last four games; win over Indiana-Purdue; step-up in class
-offense has scored 69 points or less in 3 of their last 4 games; scoring troubles will continue
-Cougars defense is allowing 80.6 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 74 ppg 

10* Play KANSAS STATE (-).

-Louisiana Tech went just 6-6 this season despite playing a terrible slate of opponents 

-offense was average while averaging 5.7 yards per play vs. defenses that also gave up 5.7 yppl
-Bulldogs defense gave up 6.1 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that averaged 5.6 yppl  

-SMU went 1-3 down the stretch; those losses came to UCF, Navy and Memphis; step-down here
-offense is averaging 40.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 31.9 points per game    
-Mustangs defense played very strong offenses this season; big step-down in class for this game

9* Play SMU (-).

-Cal Poly Slo has yet to lose a game this season by more than tonight’s posted point spread  
-offense is shooting 38.4% from the 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.5% shooting from 3
-Mustangs defense gives up 70.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 72 points per game 

-SMU is off 3 straight wins in which they shot greater than 50% from the field; regression here
-offense scored 79 points or more in those games; total is only 134; expect low point output  
-Mustangs defense fouls a lot; last 2 opponents only hit 62.5% from line; Cal Poly hits 73.5%  

9* Play CAL POLY SLO (+).

-Atlanta will be playing their first road game in a month; letdown spot after Saints and Vikings
-offense is averaging just 22.6 points per game vs. defenses that give up 21.9 points per game  

-Falcons defense gives up 22.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 22.6 points per game

-Tampa Bay is playing their second straight home; good scheduling advantage here off a loss
-offense is averaging 5.7 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play
-Buccaneers defense is giving up just 16.7 points per game on 5.3 yards per play at home 

9* Play BUCCANEERS (+).

-Miami will hit the road once again for the 5th time in their last 7 games; bad scheduling spot
-offense is averaging just 100.1 points per game vs. defenses that give up 104.8 points per game  
-Heat defense allows 45.2% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.8% from the field  

-Atlanta has had two full days of rest to prepare for this game; off a loss, expect a strong effort
-offense is shooting 39.6% from 3 at home vs. defenses that only give up 36.5% shooting from 3 
-Hawks defense has given up just 32.1% shooting from 3 against division opponents this season    

10* Play HAWKS (+).

-Wake Forest opened the season with a 1-3 record, but they’ve won 5 straight games since then
-offense is averaging 80 points per game, 48.5% shooting from the field, and 39.8% from 3 
-Demon Deacons defense allows just 38.6% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45%

-Coastal Carolina is just 2-3 over their last five games with wins over Montreat and Hampton
-offense is shooting just 28.3% from 3 on at home vs. defenses that allow 33.7% shooting from 3
-Chanticleers defense gives up 36% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 33.3% from 3

9* Play WAKE FOREST (-).

-New England was in a terrible spot for their game on Monday night; expect big bounce back
-offense is averaging 28.3 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 22.4 points per game
-Patriots defense is only giving up 15 points per game and 5.6 yards per play on the road

-Pittsburgh has won 8 straight games, but 6 of those wins came by 6 points or less; jump in class  
-offense is averaging 94.8 rushing yards per game at home vs. defenses that allow 112.4 rypg   
-Steelers defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 21.2 ppg on 5.3 yppl; big step-up

10* Play PATRIOTS (-).

-Los Angeles lost 16-10 at home to Seattle earlier this season, and off a loss, expect a big effort
-offense is averaging 30.5 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 22.4 points per game 
-Rams defense is giving up 20.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 22.1 points per game  

-Seattle is 3-3 SU over their last 6 games; 2 of those 3 wins came against the 49ers and Cardinals 
-offense has scored 17 points or less in three of their last four meetings against the Rams defense   
-Seahawks defense allows 5.6 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play 

9* Play RAMS (+).

-UNLV is 8-2 SU on the season with both of their losses coming in overtime; cohesive team
-offense is averaging 91.5 points per game, 51.4% shooting from the field, and 37.3% from 3 
-Runnin’ Rebels defense allows just 27.3% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 33.9% from 3 

-Pacific has lost back-to-back games, and now they are taking a huge step-up in class; poor form
-offense is shooting just 32.5% from 3 on at home vs. defenses that allow 33.8% shooting from 3
-Tigers defense is allowing 73 points per game vs. offenses that average 70.3 points per game 

9* Play UNLV (-).

-Arizona is 7-3 SU on the season, and they are one of the most efficient teams in the country
-offense is shooting 51.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.6% shooting from the field
-Wildcats defense allows 43.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses shoot 46.5% from the field  

-New Mexico comes into this game in terrible current form; just 1-7 SU over their last 8 games
-offense shoots just 41.8% from the field vs. defenses that give up 44.2% shooting from the field
-Lobos defense gives up 76.2 points per game on 45% shooting from the field this season   

9* Play ARIZONA (-).

-Marshall closed the season on a terrible 1-4 run, but 3 of those losses came by a total of 8 points                       -offense averaged 7.3 yards per pass attempt on the road vs. defenses that gave up 7.1 yppa
-Thundering Herd defense only gives up 5.0 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yppl 

-Colorado State closed on a 1-3 SU slide, but their three losses came by a combined 27 points
-offense was much worse away from home this year; averaged 9.8 points per game less (24-33.8)       
-Rams defense gives up 6.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.4 yards per play

9* Play MARSHALL (+).

-Chicago is playing with legitimate revenge after blowing a 17-7 home lead to Detroit last month
-offense is averaging 124.3 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that only give up 107.2 rypg  
-Bears defense is only giving up 5.2 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.6 yppl

-Detroit is 2-2 SU over their last four games, but both of those wins came by exactly 3 points
-offense is only averaging 76.3 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 104.5 rypg   
-Lions defense is giving up 25.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 21.4 points per game 

10* Play BEARS (+).

-Atlanta is playing their 5th game in 7 nights on a back-to-back set; terrible scheduling spot
-offense is shooting 44.4% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 45.9% shooting 
-Hawks defense allows 109.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 105.7 points per game 

-Memphis returns home off a road loss; they had last night off, so expect a strong effort tonight
-offense will finally face a terrible defensive opponent; expect an offensive breakout here
-Grizzlies defense gives up 100.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 106.7 ppg     

10* Play GRIZZLIES (-).

-Denver is playing their 6th game of a road trip, 3rd in 4 nights on a back-to-back set; bad spot
-offense is shooting 43.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 45.8% shooting 
-Nuggets defense allows 48.3% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.8% 

-Boston returns home off 23-point road blowout loss; with Kyrie Irving back, expect big effort 
-offense is shooting 38.1% from three at home vs. defenses that allow 36.5% shooting from three
-Celtics defense only gives up 97.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 104.5 ppg     

10* Play CELTICS (-).

-Villanova is a perfect 10-0 on the season, and one of the most efficient teams in the country
-offense is shooting 50% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.9% shooting from the field
-Wildcats defense is allowing 61 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 76.8 ppg  

-Temple comes in off a high-scoring 81-78 rivalry win over St. Joe’s; big step-up in class here
-offense is shooting just 33.3% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 36.1% shooting from 3
-Owls defense is allowing 36.2% from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 33.8% shooting from 3  

9* Play VILLANOVA (-).