40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Warriors +2.5)

Most think the Warriors aren't going to be able to go into Oklahoma City and get a win. Hard to blame them after what happened in Game 3 and Game 4, but I think Golden State is going to remind everyone why they won 73 games. Getting Bogut going in Game 5 was huge for the Warriors. He looked a lot more fresh moving around than he did earlier in the series. If he plays close to how he did in Game 5, Golden State will be tough to beat. All the pressure is on Oklahoma City in this one and the Warriors seem to thrive with their backs against the wall. Steph Curry won't let his season end on Saturday. Give me Golden State +2.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Dominator (OVER 196.5) 

Typically when we get this deep in a series the value is with the UNDER, but I don't believe that's the case at all in Game 6 tonight between the Raptors and Cavaliers. I know Cleveland struggled offensively in their two previous games in Toronto, but when locked in they have picked apart the Raptors defense. I look for the Cavs to have no problem eclipsing the 100-point mark in this one and Toronto should provide enough here offensively playing at home to push this well over the mark set. Give me the OVER 196.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Warriors -7.5) 

I don't know if the Warriors are capable from coming back from the 3-1 deficit they are up against, but I am confident that there will be a Game 6. Golden State was too good during the regular season to go out like this and I look for them to play one of their best games here at home in Game 5. As much as OKC would love to close out the series, I think this will be a difficult game for them to get up for. They have the commanding 3-1 lead and played their hearts out in games 3 & 4 at home. I think this could be very similar to what we saw last night with the Raptors not showing up for Game 5 in Cleveland. Give me the Warriors -7.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Cavs -10.5)

No one expected this series to be headed back to Cleveland for Game 5 tied at 2-2, especially after how easily the Cavs dismantled the Raptors in games 1 and 2. Toronto certainly played much better at home, but I also think Cleveland didn't give them their full attention. I look for the Cavaliers to return to the form of the first two games of this series and make easy work of the Raptors tonight. Cleveland seemed to figure out Toronto in the 2nd half of Game 4 and I'll take my chances that DeRozan and Lowry don't carry over their hot shooting on the road. Give me Cavaliers -10.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total No Brainer (UNDER 222)

I was on the OVER when it cashed in Game 3, but the value is now with the UNDER. This is arguably the biggest game of the series for both teams and that's going to lead to an all out effort on the defensive side of the floor. If the Warriors win, they take back control of the series. If the Thunder win, they have a commanding 3-1 lead, needing just 1 more win to advance to the Finals. Golden State isn't going to let OKC go off like they did in Game 3 and this one should be on line with Game 1 and 2, which saw 210 and 209 combined points. Give me the UNDER 222!

40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Cavaliers -6) 

I'm confident that Game 3 was a fluke and the Cavaliers will return back to the form that saw them win Game 1 by 31 and Game 2 by 19. Toronto just isn't on the same level as Cleveland and are completely outmatched when the Cavs decide to show up to play. Something they didn't do in Game 3, while Toronto laid everything they had on the line to avoid falling behind 0-3. I look for Cleveland to respond in a big way after their first playoff loss and win here by double-digits. Give me the Cavaliers -6! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (OVER 220.5) 

Each of the first two games in the series have gone under the mark and we have seen the total drop considerably since Game 1 closed at 225. I believe that's created some value here on the OVER in Game 3, as the series shifts to OKC. The Warriors are going to get there's offensively and the Thunder should have a much easier time keeping pace on their home floor, where they are averaging 109.0 ppg on the season. OVER is 19-4 in the Warriors last 23 off a home win by 20 or more points and 8-2 in the Thunders last 10 after failing to cover their last game. Give me the OVER 220.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 198.5) 

Game 2 was fortunate to go UNDER the total and that's going to have most looking to take the OVER in Game 3, but I think this will be the lowest scoring game of the series. With Toronto down 0-2 and returning home for the first time in the series, we can expect the Raptors to lay everything on the line and that means all out defensive effort. Cleveland is due for a bad showing offensively and with complete control in the series, I look for the Cavs offense to stumble a bit here. At the same time, Cleveland seems to be locked in defensively in the postseason and I expect another strong effort from them on that side of the ball. Give me the UNDER 198.5! 

40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Raptors +12.5) 

The Raptors are worth a look here in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Toronto was embarrassed in Game 1 by 31 points. While that may have came as a surprise to some, it shouldn't have. Toronto simply had nothing left in the tank after playing a Game 7 just two days prior. They quickly realized they had no chance against the well rested Cavaliers and turned their focus two Game 2 before Game 1 was in the books. I look for a much more spirited effort here from the Raptors. The key here is we don't need Toronto to win, just keep it with 12-points, something they are more than capable of doing. Give me the Raptors +12.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Warriors -8.5) 

Golden State jumped out to a 14-point lead in Game 1, only to fall apart in the 2nd half in a shocking 102-108 loss. While the media has overreacted to the win, the oddsmakers haven't. After losing Game 1 as a 7.5-point favorite, the Warriors are now laying 8.5 in Game 2. Golden State is primed for a huge bounce back performance in a must-win scenario at home tonight. The Warriors simply got too comfortable with their early lead and didn't execute their offense. They won't make that mistake tonight and are going to keep their foot on the gas the entire way through. Give me Golden State -8.5! 

40* NBA No Doubt ATS Knockout (Cavs -10.5) 

This is going to seem like a big number to lay on the Cavaliers in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals, but the situation sets up for a Cleveland blowout. The Cavaliers have looked like a completely different team in the postseason. They made easy work of both the Pistons and Hawks in back-to-back sweeps. As for the Raptors, I have not been impressed with what I have seen so far in the playoffs. Sure DeRozan and Lowry are playing better, but the two are going to have to play exceptional just to keep this close, especially on the road. You also can't ignore the edge that Cleveland has here with the extra rest. The Cavs will have had 8 days off since their last game, while the Raptors just played a all or nothing Game 7 on Sunday. Give me Cleveland -10.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Warriors -7.5) 

I believe we have fallen into a perfect situation to back the Warriors at home in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. Golden State had a difficult time putting away the Blazers, even with Curry back in the lineup, but Portland was a tougher matchup than people realized, as they had the ability to go small and matchup with the Warriors. Oklahoma City on the other hand is getting all kinds of praise for taking out San Antonio, but I wasn't all that surprised to see that unfold. The Thunder lost all 3 against the Warriors in the regular season and I wouldn't be shocked if Golden State turned this into a blowout. Give me the Warriors -7.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Raptors -4.5)

Toronto is worth a look here in Game 7. These two teams have alternated wins and covers over the last 4 in the series and I expect that trend to continue with the Raptors cashing in with a victory by at least 5 at home this afternoon. Toronto is a much better team at home and the Heat have had their fair share of problems on the road. With DeRozan and Lowry both finally playing well, the Raptors have the advantage in this one. Give me Toronto -4.5! 

40* NBA Vegas Sharp Shooter (Heat -4) 

This is a great price to back the Heat facing elimination at home in Game 6. Closing out a series is hard enough, it becomes that much harder when asked to do it on the road. Miami has been a covering machine on their home floor, cashing winning tickets in 10 of their last 12. I just feel the pressure will be too much for the Raptors to overcome and based off what we have seen in the playoffs so far, there's a good chance DeRozan and Lowry both struggle after solid performances in Game 5. Give me the Heat -4! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie No Brainer (Raptors -4.5) 

Toronto is worth a look here at home in Game 5. The Raptors two starts didn't play well at all in Game 4. Lowry and DeRozan combined for just 19 points. On the flip side, Miami got a great game from Wade, who had a game-high 30 points. You would expect Miami to have won by double-digits, but instead they needed to rally late before winning in OT. I look for Lowry and DeRozan to play much better at home and easily win here by at least 5 points. Give me Toronto -4.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Spurs -7)

Oklahoma City has made this a series, but I look for San Antonio to take back control in Game 5 at home. The Spurs are simply too good on their home floor and have been a excellent team to back anytime they find themselves tied in a playoff series. San Antonio has covered the spread 30 of the last 42 times this situation has come up and have covered in this spot by an average of 7 points. The Spurs are simply a much better team at home and I look for them to have a breakout game offensively after 3 straight sub-par performances by their standards. Give me San Antonio -7! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Heat -5) 

Miami has to feel like they should be leading this series, but instead they find themselves down 1-2. The Heat are going to come out in desperation mode and I look for them to have no problem winning and covering this spread at home. Toronto's loss of Valanciunas is huge, as they now have no real threat in the paint and that's going to allow Miami to put that much more focus on stopping DeRozan and Lowry. The Raptors got the split they wanted and I just don't see them matching the intensity of the Heat, who simply can't afford to lose this matchup. Give me Miami -5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Hawks +6) 

This series may be all but over in terms of who is going to advance, but I'm not expecting the Hawks to just lay down at home in Game 4. Atlanta is going to come out and lay it all on the line to avoid getting swept by Cleveland in the playoffs for a second straight season. Atlanta looked like they were going to pull out the win in Game 3, leading by 8 with just over 9 minutes to play in the 4th. The Cavaliers are primed for a letdown here and I'm willing to bet their red-hot shooting from long-distance won't continue in this one. Hawks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 and Cleveland is 0-8 ATS this season after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7. Take Atlanta +6! 

40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Blazers +4) 

With Curry not expected to be back in the lineup like originally thought for Game 3, my money is on the Trail Blazers to cover at home with their season on the line. Portland knows that with Curry close to coming back and already down 0-2 in the series, they absolutely have to have this game. Portland is a much better team at home and showed they are capable of competing with Warriors, as they had a double-digit lead going into the 4th quarter of Game 2. Blazers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 following a SU loss by more than 10 points. Give me Portland +4! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (UNDER 199.5) 

The Cavaliers exploded for 123 points in Game 2, pushing the combined total well over the mark of  196. I believe that has created some great value here on the UNDER in Game, as the series shifts to Atlanta. Cleveland simply couldn't miss from the outside in Game 2, as they hit a NBA Playoff record 25 3-pointers. Over half the Cavs shots (45 of 87) were from long-distance and that's simply not a recipe for success, especially on the road. You also have to factor in that Atlanta is going to lay everything they have on the line defensively to avoid falling behind 0-3 in the series. I don't think Cleveland's defensive intensity will be lacking either. The Cavs are a team on a mission in the postseason. Give me the UNDER! 

40* NBA Vegas Sharp Shooter (Raptors -4.5) 

I really like this spot for Toronto and the cover. The Raptors are all but in a do or die situation in Game 2, as they simply can't afford to fall behind 0-2 in the series with the series shifting to Miami for Games 3 and 4. Toronto has shown great resilience in the postseason so far, as they have not lost back-to-back games. The Raptors lost Game 1 at home against the Pacers and came back the next game with a win and cover. I expect the same thing to happen here, as Toronto's season is on the line. Give me Toronto -4.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total No Brainer (UNDER 198.5) 

Game 1 of the Hawks/Cavs series went UNDER the total, as the two teams combined for 197 points. I expect an even lower scoring game in Game 2, as the Hawks know they have to slow down the tempo to have any chance of evening up the series at 1-1. These are two of the better defensive teams in the league when they want to be and now that they have an understand of what the other team wants to do offensively, I look for both offenses to struggle even more than they did in the series opener. UNDER is 10-1 in Cleveland's last 11 when playing only their 5th game in 14 or less days, 5-0 in the Hawks last 5 off a SU loss and 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing 100+ points. Give me the UNDER 198.5! 

40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Raptors -4.5) 

Toronto is worth a look here as a relatively small home favorite against the Heat in Game 1. The Raptors won 3 of their 4 home games against the Pacers, but are catching a great number due to having lost 4 straight against the spread. Miami is in the much more difficult spot having to travel on just 1-day of rest after playing a do or die Game 7 at home and the Heat have had their struggles on the road. Prior to winning Game 6 in Charlotte, Miami lost both Game 3 and Game 4 on the road to the Hornets. The Raptors also won both meetings at home in convincing fashion. They won 101-81 on 1/22 and 112-104 on 3/12. It's also worth noting that the home team has gone a perfect 3-0 SU & ATS in Game 1 of the conference semifinals this season. Toronto is also a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 games. Give me the Raptors -4.5! 

40* NBA No Doubt ATS Crusher (Thunder +8) 

Oklahoma City couldn't have played any worse than they did in Saturday's 92-124 loss in Game 1 and as a result we have seen the public jump all over the Spurs in Game 2 with a slightly bigger spread (Game 1 closed at 6.5). The Thunder are a team that can get beat badly when Durant and Westbrook aren't on their game, but are also capable of winning on the road against a team like San Antonio when they play well. I'm confident the duo will play better and keep this game respectable. OKC is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a SU loss of more than 10 points and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Give me the Thunder +8! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Annihilator (Blazers +9.5) 

I really like the value we are getting with Portland in Game 1 against the Warriors. Golden State was able to get past the Rockets without MVP Steph Curry for the majority of the series, but Houston was a team that didn't even look like they wanted to be in the playoffs. Without Curry I think this series is a lot closer than what the spread for Game 1 is indicating. Portland isn't going to be intimated by the Warriors at all and I wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. Give me the Blazers +9.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Annihilator (Spurs -6.5)

My money is on the Spurs to take care of business in Game 1 at home and cover the spread against the Thunder. There was a clear cap between the Thunder and the top two in the west in the Spurs and Warriors. Teams like OKC, who rely so much on 1-on-1 basketball to score offensively have little to know chance of beating the Spurs, especially on the road. San Antonio made easy work of the Grizzlies and have had 5 days to put together a game plan for the Thunder. If either Durant or Westbrook struggles at all in this game, this could get ugly in a hurry. Give me the Spurs -6.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Raptors +2) 

The Raptors outscored the Pacers 25-9 in the 4th quarter to steal Game 5 102-99 at home and I believe that win is going to give Toronto the confidence needed to close out the series tonight in Indiana. Keep in mind the Raptors won Game 3 on the road 101-85. While Toronto gained some serious momentum with how they rallied in Game 5 at home, the loss will be extremely difficult for Indiana to bounce back from. The Pacers continue to rely almost exclusively on Paul George and I think he's going to try and do too much in this spot. Give me the Raptors +2! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Destroyer (Heat -6) 

This is a great spot to back the Heat at home in Game 5. Miami won both meetings at home by double-digits before losing the last two on the road. The Heat simply didn't look like the same team in Charlotte as they did at home, but don't let that fool you into thinking they have lost their edge in the series. I fully expect Miami to come out an play well at home. The Heat shot 58% in both games 1 and 2 at home and then shot 34% and 40% in game 3 and 4. The shots will fall for Miami at home and I look for another double-digit win tonight. Give me the Heat -6! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Raptors -6.5) 

The series shifts back to Toronto for Game 5 and I give a big edge to the Raptors on their home floor. Indiana caught Toronto off guard in a 100-90 win in Game 1, but the Raptors answered with a 98-87 win in Game 2. I look for Toronto to bounce back in a big way after an ugly 83-100 loss in Game 4 at Indiana. The Raptors shot a miserable 36.5% from the field, while the Pacers shot a sizzling 47.1%. It was the first time Indiana made more than 43% of their attempts in a game in this series and I look for their shooting woes to return on the road. Pacers defense has been solid, but Indiana is just 7-22 ATS in their last 29 road games after 5 straight games holding their opponent to 42% or worse from the floor. Give me the Raptors -6.5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Clippers -3.5) 

I wasn't all that surprised to see the Trail Blazers steal Game 3 at home with the Clippers poised for a bit of a letdown after taking a 2-0 series lead. Portland was fortunate to win that game, as the Clippers shot just 41% from the field, including a miserable 3 of 18 from long distance. I look for a much more motivated LA team to take the floor in Game 4, as they want to take a 3-1 lead and close out the series at home in Game 5. Let's also not forget they won the first 2 games in this series by at least 20 points, so winning on the road by just 4 should be no problem. Give me the Clippers -3.5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Warriors -9) 

Golden State will be welcoming back Curry after he sat out the previous two games and I look for the Warriors to make easy work of the Rockets in a critical Game 4 in Houston. After losing Game 3 Golden State is going to come out extremely motivated to not allow the Rockets to tie it up at 2-2. The Warriors want to end this series as quickly as possible and let's not forget they won by 26 points in the only game Curry has played in the series so far. Houston also doesn't look all that interested and there's clearly some major chemistry problems on this roster. I look for Golden State to jump out to an early lead and the Rockets to throw in the towel. Give me the Warriors -9! 

40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Blazers +1) 

The Clippers made easy work of the Blazers in their 2 games at home, but with the series shifting to Portland I look for the Blazers to answer the call an avoid falling behind 0-3. Portland has a huge home court advantage and with their season on the line, look for an energetic home crowd. LA on the other hand is poised for a letdown here, as they are simply looking to split the two teams in Portland and take a 3-1 lead back home for Game 5. Clippers are just 8-17 ATS in their last 245 after scoring 100+ in 3 straight games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games when playing a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Portland is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 off a SU loss by more than 10 points. Give me the Blazers +1

40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Pacers +2) 

Indiana is worth a look here as a home dog against the Raptors in Game 4 on Saturday. I was on Toronto in Game 3, as they were going to be out to get back home court. This time it will be the Pacers who are the more motivated team and will come out on top with a victory to even up the series at 2-2. Raptors are just 11-25 ATS in their last 36 after an upset win of 15 or more points as a dog, while Indiana is 14-4 ATS in their last 18 after trailing by 15 or more points at the half in their previous game. Give me the Pacers +2! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Annihilator (UNDER 201.5) 

These two teams combined for just 171 points in Game 2 and I look for a similar low scoring contest in Game 3. The loss of Avery Bradley is big on the defensive end, but it's even bigger on the offensive end. Boston has shot 36.3% and 31.8% from the field in the first two games. Atlanta hasn't been much better at 40.7% and 39.0%. I look for the Celtics offensive woes to continue and with them down 0-2 in the series we can expect a max effort on the defensive side of the floor. Give me the UNDER 201.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster ATS Annihilator (Raptors -1) 

I really like the spot and value we are getting with Toronto here in Game 3 against the Pacers. The Raptors bounced back from an ugly 10-point loss at home in Game 1 with an easy 98-87 win in Game 2. Toronto is sitting here tied 1-1 in the series and have got little to nothing out of their star blackout of DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry. Those two aren't going to continue to struggle and the Pacers have to rely too much on Paul George to carry the load offensively. Raptors have won 11 of the last 13 meetings overall, including 5 of their last 6 trips to Indiana. Give me Toronto -1! 

40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Hornets +5.5) 

Charlotte got embarrassed by 32 points in Game 1 and the betting public is going to want nothing to do with the Hornets in Game 2. Like we saw with the Mavericks in their series against the Thunder, you can't overreact to one game. I look for a completely different Charlotte team to take the floor tonight and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if they won this game outright. Hornets are 20-7 in their last 27 revenging a blowout loss of 20 or more points. Give me Charlotte +5.5! 

40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Hawks -6.5) 

Atlanta nearly let a 19-point lead slip away in Game 1, as they wound up winning by a final of just 102-101. I'm not letting how that game ended change my thought process on this series. I liked the Hawks coming in and even more now that Boston is likely without Avery Bradley for the rest of the series. His loss is going to be felt on the defensive side of the ball. I'm confident we are going to see a much better shooting effort here from the Hawks, who went just 5 of 27 (18.5%) from long distance. Atlanta also is a team that has playoff experience to fall back on and understand how important it is to hold serve at home. Give me the Hawks -6.5! 

40* NBA No-Doubt Bookie Knockout (Raptors -7) 

Toronto lost 90-100 at home in Game 1 and I simply don't see the Raptors dropping both games at home against the Pacers. Indiana's primary goal was to split these 2 games on the road and with that already accomplished they are poised for a letdown in Game 2. Toronto on the other hand is going to come out like this is Game 7 of the NBA Finals, as they simply can't afford to lose this game.  Raptors had won each of the previous 2 in the series by at least 7 points prior to the loss on Saturday and I look for them to have no problem covering the number here. Give me Toronto -7! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 199.5)

I'm expecting a very low scoring game here between the Hornets and Heat in Game 1 of this opening round series. Both of these teams rank inside the Top 10 in defensive efficiency and are each in the bottom half of the league in pace. With the way teams turn up the intensity on the defensive side of the ball in the playoffs, points are going to be hard to come by for both teams. It's also worth noting that 3 of the 4 meetings between these two teams resulted in a combined score of 198 or less. Give me the UNDER 199.5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Hawks -5.5)

I really like the value here with Atlanta laying less than 6 points at home against the Celtics. After a slow start to the season the Hawks started resembling the team that won 60 games a year ago down the stretch. They made it to the Eastern Conference Finals last year and I look for that experience to pay off big in this series. I also think Atlanta and Boston play a similar style of game. Both have balanced offensive attacks and are efficient on the defensive side of the ball. Essentially the Hawks are a better version of the Celtics. Give me Atlanta -5.5! 

40* NBA No-Doubt Bookie Blowout (Bucks -5) 

Indiana has locked up the No. 7 seed in the east and have absolutely nothing to play for in the finale on the road against the Bucks. I look for the Pacers to rest several starters or at least drastically limit their minutes, which is exactly what the oddsmakers are expecting with this line. Milwaukee is just 3-9 over their last 12, but I look for them to play hard in their home finale here. Another key factor here is we have the Pacers playing on no rest after last night's game against the Knicks. I just don't see the focus being there and as long as Milwaukee shows up to play this one should get ugly in a hurry. Indiana is just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 on 0 days of rest and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 off a SU win by more than 10 points. Give me the Bucks -5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Suns -6) 

Great spot to back the Suns and fade the Kings. Phoenix has continued to play hard down the stretch, despite not having a whole lot to play for. The Suns have won each of their last two, both on the road and are an impressive 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games, including 3 straight covers. The Kings managed to beat the Thunder 114-112 in their home finale on Saturday and that was the final home game before moving to their new arena next year. That game meant everything to the Kings and I'm confident they don't show up here on the road against the Suns. Give me Phoenix -6! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Suns -1.5) 

The fact that Phoenix is favored here really says a lot about how the books see this one playing out. The Suns come in off a 124-115 road win over the Rockets as a 12-point dog, but are just 1-7 in their last 8 overall. Rarely will you see a bad team like this favored on the road. That says a lot about the state of the Pelicans, who are decimated by injuries right now. New Orleans has played hard down the stretch despite the injuries, but Phoenix isn't the type of team to get motivated for. It's a very similar spot to their road game at the 76ers, which they lost outright by 14 in just the 3rd time this season Philadelphia was favored on the spread. Give me the Suns -1.5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Pistons +2)

I really like the value we are getting here with the Pistons as a dog against the Magic. Orlando has been playing well of late. They have won 4 of 5, including a 12-point home win over the Grizzlies last time out. That has this line way off rom what it should be. The Magic can't be trusted at this point in the season with nothing to play for. Detroit on the other hand has a chance to cement a playoff spot. The Pistons are currently 8th in the east and 2-games up on the Bulls with just 3 to play after tonight. Detroit is also a 1/2-game back of 7th place Indiana, which is someone they want to catch, as it keeps them from having to play the Cavaliers in the first round of the playoffs. Give me the Pistons! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Heat -4) 

Dwayne Wade is questionable for this game, which is why this line took a while to come out. Regardless if he plays or not, I really like Miami at this price at home. The Heat are going to be motivated for several reasons here. They are coming off an ugly 17-point loss at Portland, are playing with double-revenge against the Pistons and are still in the running for the No. 3 seed in the east (1/2-game back of both Boston and Atlanta). Miami is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 off a loss by more than 10 points, 15-5 ATS in their last 20 against the east and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Detroit is 4-13 ATS in last 17 road games after playing their previous on the road and 1-5 ATS last 6 off a cover. Give me Miami -4! 

50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Villanova +3) 

My numbers actually have Villanova as the team that should be favored in this game, giving us quite a bit of value here with the Wildcats catching 3-points. North Carolina is a great team, but if they have a weakness it's their ability to shoot from the outside, as they come in just 31.9% from behind the 3-point line. Villanova has shown the ability to adapt to whatever opponent they face. They grinded out a 64-59 win against Kansas, who I believe is very similar to that of the Tar Heels. I look for the Wildcats to make a point of pressuring Paige and at the same time making sure that UNC gets no easy looks inside. Villanova's offense should be able to score here against a North Carolina defense that struggles to defend the 3-point shot. Give me Villanova +3! 

40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Rockets +3)

Oklahoma City has the No. 3 spot in the west locked up and I just don't see them coming out all that motivated here against the Rockets. Houston on the other hand is coming off a devastating loss at home to the Bulls and now trail both the Mavericks and Jazz by 1-game. Great value here with Houston catching points, as I have them winning this game outright. Give me the Rockets +3!

50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Syracuse +9.5) 

I really love the value we are getting with the Orange as a near double-digit dog in the Final Four against ACC rival North Carolina. Syracuse may have had a borderline resume for getting into the NCAA Tournament, but they have more than proven they belong. This Orange team is playing their best basketball and aren't going to be intimidated by the Tar Heels. Sure, North Carolina won both regular season meetings, but Syracuse was right there with a chance late in both games. They had a 6-point lead with less than 10 minutes to play in a 12-point home loss and had a chance to tie it in the final seconds of a 5-point loss at North Carolina in the rematch. Beating a team 3 times in the same season is no easy task and while it's hard to envision Syracuse pulling off the upset, I'm confident they can keep this within the number. Give me the Orange +9.5! 

50* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month (Heat -8) 

I made the mistake of backing the Heat on the road against the Lakers as a big favorite, as they wound up losing the game outright. I'm not letting that loss keep me from backing Miami in a great spot here on the road against the Kings. Sacramento will be without their best player in Cousins and have really struggled when he's not on the floor. At the same time, I look for Miami to come out pissed off after letting a game they know they should have won get away from them. The Heat won't take this game lightly and should cruise to a double-digit win over the Kings. Give me Miami -8! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 207.5) 

I'm expecting both teams to come out extremely motivated, as this is a statement game for both teams. There's a good chance that these two teams meet in the playoffs, so each will be looking to send the other a message. When Cleveland decides it wants to play, they can be a dominant defensive team and Atlanta has been playing exceptional on the defensive end for quite an extended stretch. The Hawks have held 5 straight opponents to 45% or worse from the field and are only giving up 97.6 ppg at home. UNDER is 17-7 in Cavs last 24 as a road dog and 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. UNDER is also 7-2 in Atlanta's last 9 at home and 4-0 in their last 4 at home against a team with a winning road record. Give me the UNDER 207.5!

40* NBA No-Doubt Total Annihilator (UNDER 202)

I'm not expecting either team to crack 100-points in this one, making this any easy play on the UNDER with the total sitting over 200. New York is really struggling on the offensive end right now, as they have scored 93, 91 and 89 over their last 3 games. That doesn't figure to get any better with Kristaps Porzingis not expected to play. New York may also be without point guard Jose Calderon. Brooklyn will be playing their 4th game in 5 nights, so the legs simply aren't going to be there on the jump shots and should also have them looking to slow down the pace. New York doesn't like to push the pace either, so possessions will be limited. Give me the UDNER 202! 

50* NBA Sharp Money Vegas Top Play (UNDER 209)

The books have set the bar way too high for tonight's matchup between the Pelicans and Nuggets. It's well known that New Orleans is missing basically their entire starting lineup and then some due to injuries. That's had a huge impact on their offensive production, as they are averaging a mere 93.0 ppg over their last 5, well below their season average of 102.6. Denver isn't a great defensive team, but I do expect them to play hard, as they continue to cling on to the slim hope that they can make the playoffs. At the same time, Denver figures to play at a much slower tempo than normal. The Nuggets are not only playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set, but this will be their 4th game in the last 5 days. I know this total has dropped quite a bit, but I still recommend the UNDER at the current line of 206.5 and will continue to recommend it unless noted here. Give me the UNDER 209! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Heat -10) 

I'm not buying the Lakers coming out inspired after a 48-point loss at Utah last time out. This team has quit on the season and there's zero chemistry right now in the locker room with D'Angelo Russell's latest antics with Nick Young. Even if LA plays with more effort than they did against the Jazz, I don't think it will be enough to keep this game competitive. Miami is safely in the playoffs, but has a lot to play for. The Heat are just 1-game back of Atlanta for 3rd in the east and with the Hawks playing at 2nd place Toronto, Miami knows this is a golden spot to close the gap. The Heat are also just a 1/2 game up on both Boston and Charlotte. They simply can't afford to lose this game. They have won 7 straight in the series including an easy 13-point win at home back in November. Give me Miami -10! 

40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Jazz +5) 

This line really says it all. Oddsmakers aren't setting this number this low without good reason, which has me thinking the Warriors are resting some of their key players in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. Either way, I look for Utah to put up a serious fight at home and wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. The Jazz are playing some of their best basketball, as they have won 8 of their last 10. Keep in mind they almost beat Golden State at home earlier this season, losing by just 3-points in a game they arguably should have won. Utah was a 7-point dog at home against the Cavs back on 3/14 and won that game outright 94-85. This line is simply too far off from what it should be. Give me Utah +5! 

50* NBA Sharp Money Top Play (Hornets -11.5)

I have no problem laying this big number on the road with the Hornets against the 76ers. Charlotte is a team on a mission to not only secure a playoff spot, but potentially climb up the standings. The Hornets are just 2-games back of Atlanta for the No. 3 spot, but also just 3.5 ahead of 8th place Detroit. I don't see this team letting their foot off the gas until they have officially clinched a spot in the postseason. Beating the 76ers by double-digits doesn't figure to be a problem. Philadelphia is in a free-fall to close out the year and will struggle to come out with any intensity after closing out a 4-game road trip with a max effort at Golden State on Sunday. These two teams have played twice this season and the Hornets have won by 25 and 20. I expect a similar outcome in this one. Give me the Hornets -11.5! 

40* NBA No-Doubt ATS Blowout (Knicks -5.5) 

The public may have a hard time laying this many points on the road with a bad team like the Knicks, but I like the value New York is showing in this matchup. The Pelicans are decimated with injuries right now and homecourt isn't going to be enough to save them. New Orleans has really struggled offensively of late, scoring 99, 84 and 91 points in their last 3 games. They are also giving up 108.4 ppg over their last 5 on the defensive side of the ball. The Knicks have held 4 of their last 7 opponents under 100 points and are still playing hard despite nothing to play for. Give me New York -5.5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Bulls +3) 

This is going to seem like an obvious spot to back the Hawks as a small 3-point favorite against the slumping Bulls, but I really like Chicago in this spot. Atlanta is due for a let down and are going to have trouble taking the Bulls seriously given their poor play of late and back-to-back double-digit wins in the series. Chicago is going to lay everything on the line in this game, as they try to fight their way back into the playoffs. Bulls have played the better teams well at home and I expect that trend to continue tonight. Give me Chicago +3! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 211) 

Both the Raptors and Thunder have been playing well on the defensive side of the ball coming into this game. Oklahoma City is allowing just 99.6 ppg over their last 5, while the Raptors are only giving up 97.0 ppg in their last 5. Both teams should bring the defensive intensity, given this is a big time matchup between two of the top teams in the league. UNDER is 15-5 in OKC's last 20 after scoring 110+ points in 3 straight games and 19-9 in their last 28 against the east. UNDER is 12-2 in the Raptors last 14 after a combined score of 105 or more in 2 straight games and 12-3 in their last 15 home games after 2 straight games where they made 9 or more 3-point shots. Give me the UNDER 211! 

40* NBA No-Doubt Bookie Blowout (Wizards -7) 

Washington is showing decent value here even as a relatively large road favorite against the Lakers. The Wizards season is on the line in this one, as a loss here would all but end their hopes of making the playoffs. The Lakers are the perfect opponent to get back on track against, as LA is a complete mess right now. Kobe Bryant isn't helping matters by playing hurt and the Lakers aren't expected to have the services of D'Angelo Russell. After an embarrassing home loss to the Timberwolves last time out, I look for Washington to keep their foot on the gas in this one. Give me the Wizards -7! 

50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Virginia -8) 

I'm not buying the Orange being a serious threat to Virginia. Syracuse was fortunate just to make the NCAA Tournament and have had about as easy of a path to the Elite 8 that they could have drawn up. The Orange have faced #7 Dayton, #15 Middle Tennessee and #11 Gonzaga. All three good matchups for Syracuse and none of those teams really knew what to expect against their zone. Virginia knows the zone and absolutely picked it apart in their regular season meeting, scoring 73 points on 57% shooting. While the Cavaliers only won the game by 8-points, it could have been a lot worse. Syracuse shot 43.3%  (13-30) on 3-point shots (only 38.9% overall). Virginia isn't going to let that happen again and I look for another easy double-digit win for the top seed in the Midwest. Give me Virginia -8! 

40* NBA Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Pacers -4.5) 

I'm well aware of the fact that Paul George is listed as questionable and may not play. If anything that's giving us some extra value here with the Pacers. Indiana is fighting for their playoff lives and with or without George are going to come out highly motivated for a win. The same can't be said for Brooklyn, who is in a major letdown spot after pulling off a massive upset at home over the Cavaliers last time out. The Nets have won consecutive games once since Dec. 12. Brooklyn is just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 off a SU win, while the Pacers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Give me Indiana -4.5! 

50* Elite 8 Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Oregon -1.5) 

I really like the value here with the Ducks at basically a pick'em against the Sooners. The Pac-12 may have been overrated as a whole, but this Oregon team is the real deal. Oklahoma is simply getting too much respect due to the public being a lot more familiar with them and the Sooners having what most consider to be the best player in the tournament in Buddy Hield. I look for Oregon's pressure to give the Oklahoma guards problems and the Ducks to be able to have their way offensively in this one. Give me Oregon -1.5! 

40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Grizzlies +13) 

The Grizzlies have been hit hard with injures of late, but have continued to play well. Memphis laid an egg in their last game against the Lakers, losing 100-107, but as a result are showing great value here against the Spurs in a game where they are going to be missing a lot of key pieces. Kawhi Leonard is out with a quad injury and Boris Diaw, Patty Mills and Danny Green are all taking this game off for rest. Note that the Grizzlies have won each of the last 3 meetings against the Spurs when Leonard has been sidelined. I don't expect an outright win for Memphis, but I'm confident they keep this within the number. Give me the Grizzlies +13! 

40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Pistons -2) 

Detroit is worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Bobcats. The Pistons come into this game playing extremely well, as they have won 4 straight. All of those victories came at home, where they are 23-12 on the season. Charlotte has been playing really well of late, but a lot of that success has come at home. The Hornets are just 14-19 on the road. You also have to factor in how much more this game means to the Pistons, as they are fighting just to make the playoffs. Detroit is also going to be out for major revenge, as they have lost each of the first two meetings in the series by 15+ points. Give me the Pistons -2! 

50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Notre Dame -1.5) 

The fact that Wisconsin pulled off a huge 66-63 win over #2 seed Xavier and Notre Dame barely held on for a 76-76 win over #14 Stephen F. Austin, has the Fighting Irish showing great value here as a small favorite. Wisconsin matched up extremely well with both Pittsburgh and Xavier in their first two games, while Stephen F. Austin was an awful matchup for Notre Dame. This time it's Notre Dame that has the edge on court. Wisconsin is a very limited offensive team and have won with their defense, most notably their ability to shut down the 3-point shot. The Badgers are weak inside and the Fighting Irish have the talent to exploit them there. Wouldn't be surprised at all if Notre Dame won this one one convincingly. Give me the Irish -1.5! 

40* CBB Late-Night ATS Annihilator (Duke +3) 

While the ACC has made quite a statement with 6 teams in the Sweet 16, the Pac-12 has been the exact opposite. Oregon is the only team out of the 7 that were invited to the NCAA Tournament to make the Sweet 16 and Utah was the only other team that made it out of the 1st round. This might seem like a low number for the Ducks to be laying against the Blue Devils, but I really like Duke's chances of winning this game outright. Oregon was great in conference play, but if you look at their non-conference games and how poorly the Pac-12 has performed in the tournament, they are not deserving of a No. 1 seed. Give me Duke +3! 

50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Game of the Month (Maryland +6.5) 

The Terrapins haven't exactly been impressive on their way to the Sweet 16, but as a result we find Maryland showing great value here against the Jayhawks. Melo Trimble is a difference maker and he's averaging 21.5 ppg despite shooting just 1-10 on 3-point shots. I look for him to come out with a statement performance against Kansas, who likes to push their defensive pressure to the perimeter and allow opposing guards to drive inside. That's going to get Maryland's offense flowing and the Terps have the bigs inside to give the Jayhawks problems. An outright win isn't out of the question, but I'm confident they keep it within the number. Give me Maryland +6.5! 

40* CBB Situational ATS Knockout (Villanova -4) 

Villanova has been in my opinion one of the most impressive teams in the tournament. They made a very good Iowa team that hadn't lost a game all year by more than 8-points look like they didn't even belong in the field. The Wildcats are simply clicking on all cylinders offensively and as good as Miami is, this is not a great matchup for the Hurricanes. Villanova is going to make it really difficult on Angel Rodriguez and he's the one guy that needs to play well for the Hurricanes offense to succeed. Villanova is simply the better team and playing the better basketball. Give me the Wildcats -4! 

40* NBA Situational ATS KNOCKOUT on (Blazers -6) 

Here we have a case of two teams that just played each other. The Mavericks won 132-120 in overtime at Dallas on Sunday and that's keeping this line lower than it should be. Dallas is a team that's trending the wrong direction even with that win. They are just 2-7 in their last 9 and just lost Parsons to a season-ending injury. Portland is a very good team at home, having gone 21-12 at home on the season. The Blazers will simply be the more motivated team in this one and should be able to put away Dallas and cover this spread rather easily. Give me Portland -6! 

50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (San Diego St -5) 

I was all over Georgia Tech in their blowout win at South Carolina, but now it's time to fade the Yellow Jackets. That game against the Gamecocks was on Monday and that left them little time to travel across the country for this game against the the Aztecs. Georgia Tech isn't exactly use to playing this far away from home and this San Diego State is a tough matchup for them. The Yellow Jackets like to work their offense inside (don't shoot a ton of 3-pointers). That plays right into the hands of the strength of the Aztec defense. Give me San Diego State -5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Nets +6.5)

This is a great spot to fade the Hornets after last night's huge win at home over San Antonio. Charlotte managed to rally from a 23-point deficit (trailed 7-30) to pull out a 91-88 win. It's safe to say that the Hornets invested a lot into that victory and that leaves them vulnerable on the road playing without no rest. You also have to factor in this being Charlotte's fifth game in the last seven days. Brooklyn is not only capable of keeping this game within the number, but winning this game outright. The Nets have really been playing well offensively of late, as they have shot 50% or better in 3 of their last 4. They should be able to take advantage of the tired legs and unfocused Hornets in this one. Give me Brooklyn +6.5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Grizzlies -2) 

Despite being hit hard with injuries, Memphis continues to play well and are coming off a an impressive 113-102 home win over the Clippers as a 9-point dog. Normally I would consider this a letdown spot against a bottom feeder like the Suns on the road, but the Grizzlies will be out for double-revenge after losing twice to the Suns in just 9 days from late February to early March. Phoenix comes in off a 95-90 win over the Lakers and will be playing on 2 days of rest, but they have struggled in this spot. The Suns are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 off a win by 6 points or less and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 playing with 2 days of rest. Memphis is 29-13 ATS in their last 42 road games off an upset win as a home dog. Give me the Grizzlies -2! 

40* CBB Undervalued Underdog (Georgia Tech +4) 

There's a lot to like about the Yellow Jackets in this matchup. Unlike South Carolina, Georgia Tech is happy to be playing in the NIT. The Yellow Jackets also come in playing their best basketball, as they are 7-2 in their last 9 games. Georgia Tech went 8-10 in the ACC and could have been a lot better (lot of close losses). That has become even more impressive, given the ACC has 6 teams in the Sweet 16. Texas A&M is the only team out of the SEC in the Sweet 16 and that was only because of an epic meltdown by UNI in the Round of 32. South Carolina is also dealing with distractions. 5 players have been suspended. While none of them are starters, their bench is now depleted. I'll gladly take the points, but I look for the Yellow Jackets to win here outright. Give me Georgia Tech +4! 

40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Bulls -7.5) 

This is every bit a fade of the Kings as it is a play on the Bulls. Chicago is starting to play up to their potential and are catching Sacramento in a horrible spot. The Kings have nothing to play for at this point in the season, which is going to make it extremely difficult for them to match the intensity of the Bulls in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set. This is also Sacramento's 3rd road game in the last 4 days and 5th game overall in the last 7 days. Bulls beat the Kings 107-102 in Sacramento earlier this season and the Kings are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 when revenging a home loss this season. Chicago is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games against a team with a losing record. Give me the Bulls -7.5! 

40* CBB Late-Night Bookie Destroyer (St. Joe's +6.5) 

The big reason that Oregon was a #1 seed, is all the credit the Pac-12 was getting for being such a good confidence. As it turns out, the Pac-12 wasn't all it was made out to be. The Ducks are the only team from the conference still in the tournament. Not only do I think St. Joseph's is capable of keeping this within the number, but I give them a realistic shot at winning this game outright. The Hawks caught fire in the A-10 Tournament and I look for them to carry over that momentum here. St Joseph's is now 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games played on a neutral site. Give me the Hawks +6.5! 

40* CBB Situational ATS Knockout (Syracuse -6) 

We are seeing the public jump all over Middle Tennessee after that big upset of Michigan State, but rarely do #15 seeds advance to the Sweet 16 after winning their first game. That victory for the Blue Raiders made their tournament and I look for a huge letdown here against a Syracuse team that is flying under the radar. The Orange are not an easy team to prepare for in the tournament and are better defensive team against the 3-point shot than people realize. Look for Syracuse to take control of this game early and easily cover the spread. Give me the Orange -6!

50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Oklahoma -6) 

VCU is a quality team, but it wasn't a huge surprise to see them beat Oregon State, especially with how poorly the Pac-12 has shown in the Tournament. Oklahoma is one of the most dangerous teams in the field that not a lot of people are talking about. With this game being played in Oklahoma City, this is going to feel like a home game for the Sooners. At the same time, I don't see the Ram's press working against Oklahoma's talented guards. I look for the Sooners to win here comfortably. Give me Oklahoma -6! 

40* NBA Situational ATS No Brainer (Thunder -3.5) 

I believe we are getting some great value here with Oklahoma City due to the fact that this line is a little lower than it should be due to the Thunder playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. The key here is that this is a huge revenge game for OKC, as the Pacers went into their house and won 101-98. A game the Thunder let get away late. Indiana is just 9-18 ATS in their last 27 against the Western Conference and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. Give me the Thunder -3.5! 

40* CBB Midwest Region ATS Knockout (Virginia -7.5) 

I believe the Cavaliers are flying under the radar right now. Hardly anyone was picking this team to win it all and I feel the books have left open the door here in what should be an easy win for the Cavaliers. Butler is a team that wants to outscore the opposition. That's not the recipe for success against the Cavaliers. Virginia will limit the easy looks from the outside for the Bulldogs and should have no problem scoring on the other end. I look for the Cavaliers to win here by double-digits without much problem. Give me Virginia -7.5! 

50* CBB *Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Kentucky -3.5) 

Indiana is a quality team and likely deserved better than a #5 seed, but Kentucky is definitely better than #4 seed. I look for the Wildcats to have no problem sending the Hoosiers home early. Kentucky has the athleticism to matchup with Indiana and the defensive pressure that can limit their 3-point looks. I look for Kentucky to have the much easier time scoring on offense and are the better defensive team. If the Hoosiers aren't careful, this one could turn into a blowout early. Give me Kentucky -3.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Blazers -1) 

The Blazers are showing big time value here at basically a pick'em against the Pelicans. New Orleans comes in off a blowout win against the Kings, but that's nothing to get excited about. Prior to that the Pelicans had lost 8 of their previous 9. Portland is without a doubt the better team and we can count on a max effort here after dropping their last two. Blazers are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 after allowing 110 or more points and 21-12 ATS in their last 33 off a SU loss. Pelicans on the other hand are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 off an upset win as a road underdog. Give me Portland -1! 

40* CBB Situational ATS Blowout (Wisconsin -2) 

The Badgers suffered an embarrassing 58-70 loss to Nebraska in the Big Ten Tournament, which I believe has them flying under the radar. Wisconsin's style has worked well in the NCAA Tournament over the years and I expect it to continue here against Pittsburgh. The Badgers went 11-3 over their last 14 with wins over Michigan St, Indiana, Maryland and Iowa. The Panthers only have a couple quality wins all season and most of their success came at home. I look for Wisconsin to have no problem covering this small spread. Give me the Badgers -2! 

40* CBB Vegas Dog of the Day  (South Dakota State +10) 

I like the value we are getting here with the Jackrabbits against the Terrapins. Maryland struggled down the stretch, going just 3-5 over their last 8 games. Opponents seem to have figured out how to slow down Melo Trimble and without him playing at a high level this team really struggles. South Dakota State proved they can hand with the Power 5 schools in non-conference play, winning at TCU by 9 and at Minnesota by 14. Jackrabbits are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 after 15+ games against teams who are holding opponents to 42% or worse from the field. Give me South Dakota State +10! 

50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Temple +7.5)

Iowa completely fell apart at the end of the season and I just don't see them snapping out of it. The Hawkeyes went just 2-6 over their last 8 games with an ugly loss to Illinois in the Big Ten Tournament. Temple isn't a great team but are more than capable of keeping this within the number and I wouldn't be surprised if they won this game outright. The Hawkeyes are just 3-11 ATS in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons. Give me the Owls +7.5! 

40* CBB Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Providence -2) 

USC went just 3-7 over their final 10 games and almost all of their success this season came at home. If you ask me, that's a recipe to fade in the NCAA Tournament. Even more so when you take into consideration where this game is being played. The Trojans have to travel clear across the country for this one and I don't see it ending well. Providence started to figure things out late in the year and have a deadly 1-2 punch with Bentil and Dunn. Give me the Friars -2! 

40* CBB Dog of the Day (Wichita State +1.5) 

The Shockers reminded everyone just how talented a team they are with a 20-point win over Vanderbilt in Tuesday's First Four matchup. The Shockers are so much better than a #11 seed and it's why we see this game almost at a pick'em. Arizona is a quality team, but they are way down this year compared to previous versions. The Wildcats played an easy conference schedule that gets overlooked and the non-conference portion of the schedule was a joke. I also don't like how Arizona was playing down the stretch and a lot of their success came at home. Give me the Shockers +1.5! 

50* CBB NCAA Tournament *BEST BET* (Miami -14.5) 

This might seem like a big spread for a No. 3 seed, but this Miami team is the real deal and should have zero problems turning this into a blowout against Buffalo. The Hurricanes were right there with North Carolina and Virginia in the ACC and both of those teams are No. 1 seeds. Miami was really impressive in non-conference play too. They beat Utah by 24, Butler by 10, and Florida by 11. Buffalo is far from the best team in the MAC and they got owned in non-conference play. The Bulls lost by 22 to St. Joes, 23 to Duke, 21 to Iowa State and 21 to VCU. Miami is simply going to make it too difficult on Buffalo to score and the Bulls will have no answer for the Hurricanes offensively. Give me Miami -14.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie BLOWOUT (Rockets -3) 

This is a great price to back the Rockets at home against the Clippers. Los Angeles is slumping and find themselves in an awful spot. The Clippers just invested a lot of energy in back-to-back games against the Cavaliers and Spurs. Both ended in losses by 20+ points, including last night's 87-108 defeat at San Antonio. Now LA has to turn around and play on no rest against a Houston team that likes to play at a fast pace. The Rockets also have had the Clippers number of late, winning 5 of the last 6 meetings. The only loss coming in LA. Houston is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and the Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against at team with a winning record. Give me the Rockets -3! 

50* NIT Game of the Month (Georgia Tech -3.5) 

The Yellow Jackets finished up with an 8-10 record in the ACC, but made steady progress as the season wen on. They opened just 1-5 in conference play and were sitting at 3-9 before winning 5 of their last 6. The only loss coming at Louisville by 3-points. They went on to lost to Virginia by 20-points in the ACC Tournament, but that's helping the line here. Houston went a respectable 12-6 in the AAC, but their lack of quality wins and cupcake non-conference schedule kept them out of the NCAA Tournament. Needing to win the ACC Tournament to get in, they went out and lost to last-place Tulane. I just don't see them bouncing back on the road against a talented Georgia Tech team that is playing their best basketball. Give me the Yellow Jackets -3.5! 

40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Clippers +9) 

Los Angeles comes into this game off an ugly 24-point home loss to the Cavaliers. That combined with the fact that the Spurs are 32-0 at home this season, has the Clippers showing some big time value here in a huge bounce back spot. LA has proved to be a difficult matchup for San Antonio. The Clippers have shot 47% or better in each of the last 6 meetings with the Spurs. Winning 4 of those outright. LA is an impressive 20-11 on the road this season, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 off a SU loss and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 off a double-digit loss at home. Spurs are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me the Clippers +9! 

50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Ohio State -5) 

The Buckeyes have known for quite a while that their fate was going to be in the NIT, which is important to note. These NIT matchups are all about motivation and I believe the Buckeyes have the edge in that department. Akron was the best team in the MAC and the favorite to represent the conference in the NCAA Tournament. Those hopes came to a crashing end in a 61-64 loss to Buffalo in the MAC title game, as the Bulls hit a game-winning 3-pointer in the final seconds. This being an in-state rival actually adds value in my mind, as it should have the Buckeyes locked in on making sure they win this game. Ohio State was very good at home this year and the only team to beat them in their last 9 games was Michigan State. Ohio State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games off a conference loss. Give me the Buckeyes -5! 

50* NBA Sharp Money Top Play (Jazz +4.5) 

The Cavaliers are coming off an impressive 114-90 road win over the Clippers, giving them 6 wins in their last 7 games. However, I think this will prove to be a tough spot for Cleveland, playing on the road in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set is no easy task, especially when that second game is in Utah. The Jazz are finding their form again, as they have won two straight. Utah needs this win more and have the defense to keep the Cavaliers in check. Utah only lost by 4 on the road at Cleveland earlier this season and have won 5 of the last 6 meetings at home against the Cavaliers. Underdogs revenging a loss where they allowed 110 or more points are 30-8 ATS over the last 5 seasons off 2 straight covers as a favorite. Give me the Jazz +4.5! 

40* NBA Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Jazz -2.5) 

Utah comes into this game off an impressive 114-93 blowout win at home against the Wizards, which was a much-needed victory after losing 7 of their last 8. The Jazz can't afford to let their foot off the gas if they want to make the playoffs and Sacramento is a team they simply can't afford to lose to, especially with the current form of the Kings. Sacramento has lost 4 straight and 8 of 9 overall and there's clearly some major chemistry issues with the players and head coach. Add in the fact that Utah is playing with double-revenge and the Jazz should have no problem covering this spread. Give me Utah -2.5! 

50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Connecticut -5.5) 

The Huskies have something special going right now. Most thought Connecticut wouldn't be able to bounce back after that 4OT thriller against Cincinnati, but they responded with a 77-62 win over Temple. I look for them to continue to ride that momentum with a win and cover here against a Memphis team that was fortunate to get to face Tulane in the semifinals. Connecticut won both meetings with the Tigers during the regular season, including a 20-point win at Memphis in the most recent matchup. The Huskies held the Tigers under 40% shooting in both contests and I expect more of the same here. Give me Connecticut -5.5! 

40* NBA Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Bucks -5.5) 

This is a great spot to fade the Pelicans. Injuries have derailed New Orleans' season and they come in having lost 6 of their last 7. The Pelicans are just 7-25 on the road and will be playing their 2nd straight on the road and will be on no rest. It's also important to note that yesterday's game against Memphis went into overtime, which is going to make it that much harder for New Orleans to bounce back. Pelicans are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 after playing in a game where they allowed 120 or more points. Give me the Bucks -5.5! 

50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (VCU -7) 

Davidson was fortunate to escape with a 90-86 overtime win over St. Bonaventure yesterday and now will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days against the best the A-10 has to offer. VCU cruised to an 85-70 win over Mass yesterday and had a first round bye. The Rams won both regular season meetings by 10 points and I'm expecting an even bigger blowout in the 3rd meeting. VCU is 14-5 ATS as a favorite this season, 10-3 ATS in their last 13 off a win by 10 or more points and a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 after 2 straight games attempting 10+ more shots than their opponents. Give me the Rams -7! 

40* NBA Dog of the Day  (Mavericks +1.5) 

This is the perfect spot to jump on the Mavericks. Dallas comes into this game having lost 4 straight, which has them way undervalued as a home dog against the Pacers. The Mavericks are still tied for 7th in the west and we can expect a max effort here after their recent poor play. Indiana comes in off 4 days of rest and I look for them to come out flat after that big home win over the Spurs. Pacers are just 8-18 ATS in their last 26 against the Western Conference and 23-41 ATS in their last 64 off an upset win at home. Give me the Mavericks +1.5! 

40* CBB Late-Night ATS KNOCKOUT (Utah -2) 

I believe the Utes are the best team in the Pac-12 and will have no problem securing a win and cover here against the Golden Bears. Cal has greatly improved over the course of the season, but most of their success came at home. The Golden Bears were just 5-9 on the road. Utah won by 9 in the most recent meeting and come in having won 8 straight. Cal covered in their last game and are just 17-31 ATS in their last 48 after a cover. Utah is the better team and more equipped for success in tournament play. Give me the Utes -2! 

40* CBB Vegas Sharp Shooter (Virginia -3) 

These two teams split their two regular season meetings with the home team winning each matchup. The big difference is Miami won by just 3-points and Virginia won by 8. The key here is the Hurricanes win was the most recent and is definitely keeping this number low. Keep in mind Miami won by only 3 and that was with them hitting 53% from behind the 3-point line. The Cavaliers are an elite team and are playing their best basketball when it matters the most. Miami is just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games when they come in having won 8 of their last 10, while Virginia is 9-1 ATS revenging a road loss and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after 2 straight games with a combined score of 125 or less. Give me the Cavaliers -3! 

40* CBB No-Doubt Bookie BLOWOUT (Tulsa -3.5) 

The Golden Hurricanes are worth a look here in this one. Tulsa closed out the regular season winning 6 of their last 8 games. The only two setbacks came on the road against Connecticut by 2 and at Memphis by 10. That loss to the Tigers is giving us great value here, as I fully expect the Golden Hurricanes to get their revenge. Memphis is simply a bad road team. The Tigers only won 3 games all season away from home and two of those were against bad teams. The most recent was their regular season finale, which they beat East Carolina by 30. That has Memphis way overvalued here and the Tigers are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 off a game where they covered the spread. Give me Tulsa -3.5!