50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Heat +5.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Miami as a 5.5-point home dog against the Lakers. As good as LA has been to start out this season, the Heat come into this one with a perfect 11-0 record at home and you know they will lay it all on the line against one of the league's best. I just think this is a tough spot for the Lakers, who are a long way from home. LA just played at Orlando on Wednesday and this will be their 5th road game in their last 6 games overall. While they beat the Magic by 9, they only shot 43% from the field, which was their worst mark in almost a month. Miami is only giving up 103.1 ppg and hold teams to 43% shooting at home this season. Give me the Heat +5.5! 

50* NBA ATLANTIC DIVISION TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 210.5) 

My money is on the UNDER 210.5 in Thursday's big showdown between the Celtics and 76ers. Both of these teams are trying to lay claim as the best team in the east and both are going to bring it. 76ers are not the same offensive team on the road as they are at home, while Boston is likely down one of their top scorers in Hayward. Both teams are also in some tough scheduling spots with not a lot of rest, so the pace should be even slower than it typically would. Give me the UNDER 210.5! 

40* NCAAB IOWA/ISU IN-STATE ATS MASSACRE (Iowa +4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes getting points in this one. Iowa has one of the best players in the country that not many people are aware of in Garza. He's playing at an All-American level and it's why this Hawkeyes team is surprising a lot of people with how they have played against some good teams. ISU is off a big win at home against Seton Hall, but that was a rematch and the Pirates were down one of their better players. Iowa's defense isn't elite by any means, but they play a good zone defense and this Cyclones team doesn't exactly shoot it great from deep. I think Iowa wins here rather comfortably. Give me the Hawkeyes +4! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS NO-BRAINER (Warriors -4.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Golden State laying what I feel is a really short number at home against a Knicks team that has been atrocious on the road and are unlikely to play well given they just played at Portland last night. Which they might as well just not have shown up for, as they got annihilated 115-87. New York is now getting outscored by more than 15 ppg on the road. Warriors should have no problem here winning by double-digits. Give me Golden State -4.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bulls -5) 

I'l gladly take my chances here with Chicago as a small home favorite against the Hawks. Bulls have lost 3 straight, but are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. This team is way better than their record and I think we are getting too good a price here with Chicago at home against a less talented Hawks team that doesn't play good on the road. Atlanta is just 3-10 away from home, where they are giving up 123.2 ppg and are being outscored by more than 13 ppg. Also worth noting these two teams played in Atlanta a little over a month ago and the Bulls won by 20. Give me Chicago -5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Rutgers -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Scarlet Knights cashing in a win at home against Wisconsin. A lot of people will just take the Badgers here, as they are the more recognized program and are coming in off a 84-64 blowout win against a good Indiana team. However, that was at home, where Wisconsin is 5-0. The Badgers are 0-4 on the road with losses to the likes of St. Mary's, Richmond and New Mexico. Wisconsin also has been way overvalued by the books as whole. Prior to covering against Indiana they were just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. Rutgers is a better team than a lot of people realize and they showed that in a mere 12-point loss at Michigan State. Give me the Scarlet Knights -2! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -8.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Portland laying it on the Knicks tonight at home. Blazers have lost 3 of 4 and are off an ugly 12-point loss to OKC at home. The previous two defeats were to the Clippers and Lakers. Prior to that they had won 3 straight. The Knicks are the perfect team to get right against, especially on your home floor. New York is 1-9 away from home, where they are getting outscored by 13.8 ppg. Key here is Blazers won't be overlooking the Knicks at all as they desperately need a win here. Give me Portland -8.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (UConn +3) 

I'll take my chances here with UConn as a dog against the Hoosiers in Tuesday's big showdown at Madison Square Garden. I had some big concerns with Indiana finally leaving home after looking so good to start the year at home and they absolutely laid an egg in a 84-64 loss to Wisconsin. Badgers abused them inside and I look for UConn's Josh Carlton to do the same in this one. I really think the wrong team is favored in this one. Give me the Huskies +3! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Baylor -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bears covering the 5.5-point spread at home against Butler. I just think this is the perfect spot to fade undefeated Butler. The Bulldogs are often a one-man show with Kamar Baldwin and that really makes this a tough matchup for Butler, as they got a guy in Davion Mitchell who is a lockdown defender. Mitchell was outstanding against Arizona's Nico Mannion last time out. Other big key here is I don't think Butlers defense is as good as the numbers. Give me Baylor -5.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia as a mere 4-point home favorite against the Nuggets. You got a 76ers team that is rolling right now, with a 10-2 record in their last 12 games. Not to mention Philadelphia is such a good team at home. They are 12-0 at home, outscoring teams by 13.2 ppg. Denver has lost 4 of 5 and are running on fumes playing their 4th straight road game in a span of just 6 days. Give me the 76ers -4! 

40* LOUISVILLE/TX TECH ATS NO-BRAINER (Texas Tech +7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Texas Tech as a pretty big dog on a neutral site against Louisville. Red Raiders are being way undervalued here after losing their last 3. The last two have been without their best player in Jahmi'us Ramsey. He's a game-time decision tonight and I feel there's a good chance he plays. Even if he doesn't Chris Beard will have his team ready to  put up a fight against the Cardinals. Louisville's only real impressive win is against Michigan and the Wolverines were in an awful scheduling spot. Upset is not out of the question. Give me Texas Tech +7.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Suns -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Phoenix laying a short number at home against the Timberwolves. I just think this is a great spot to back the Suns, as well as solid spot to fade Minnesota. Phoenix has been playing better of late, covering 3 of their last 4 and will be motivated here to take the floor at home after playing their previous 4 on the road. As for the Timberwolves, they are primed for a letdown playing in the 2nd leg of a back-to-back, especially given the first game was at LA against the Lakers. This is also Minnesota's 3rd game in 4 days and their 4th straight on the road. Give me the Suns -4! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Kings +12.5) 

I'll take my chances with Sacramento covering the double-digit spread at Houston on Monday. I think this line has been inflated due to the Kings playing in the 2nd leg of a back-to-back. Kings have been a great bet just about every time they take the floor, as Sacramento is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games. Houston is great, but they are playing short-handed right now Tyson Chandler, Eric Gordon, Nene Hilario and Gerald Green all expected to be out for this one. Give me the Kings +12.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Toronto laying a short number on the road against the Bulls. Both teams are in the second leg of a back-to-back, but Chicago's game against Miami yesterday went to OT and I just think a far inferior Bulls team will have a tough time playing well here. Also, Raptors come in having lost 3 straight and are going to be extremely motivated to put that losing streak to rest. The big positive with the slide is it came against the likes of the Heat, Rockets and 76ers. These two also played once already in Chicago back on Oct. 26 and Toronto won going away 108-84. Toronto has also won 10 straight in the series with each of the last 7 coming by more than the number here. Give me the Raptors -5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Iowa -6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes laying 6 at home against the Gophers. Iowa continues to play better than expected and offensively this team is really good. Hawkeyes rank third in the country in offensive efficiency. Minnesota doesn't have a deep bench and the reserves they do have tend to get in foul trouble. I just don't think the Gophers will be able to keep pace offensively in this one. Iowa also needs to win here to avoid a 0-2 mark in Big Ten play. Expect a rowdy atmosphere in Iowa City tonight. Give me the Hawks -6! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Portland laying a small number at home against the Thunder. I just think the Blazers are a good buy low option right now, as this team has come alive since adding Carmelo Anthony and are playing much better than their 9-14 record. They did lose last time out at home to the Lakers, but that should have them playing with that much more urgency here. As for the Thunder, they only had 1 day off after that grueling 139-127 OT win against the Timberwolves on Friday and are a mere 2-7 away from home, where they are getting outscored by 7 ppg. Give me the Blazers -3.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Seton Hall +3)

I'll take my chances here with the Pirates cashing in a cover as a road dog against a Iowa State team they just beat by 8 at home a little over a week ago. I just don't think the Cyclones are that great and they have played 3 teams in the KenPom Top 64 and lost all 3. The staggering stat in those losses is those 3 teams have posted a 59% effective field goal percentage. Playing at home might help the Clones keep it close early, but I'm backing on the Pirates talent to win out in this one. Give me Seton Hall +3! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Washington +5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Huskies cashing in a cover at home against Gonzaga. I'll gladly take the points as insurance, but I fully expect Washington to win this game outright. Washington has a huge home court edge and the atmosphere is going to be electric with a top 10 team coming to town. Gonzaga's big make them a matchup nightmare for a lot of team, but the Huskies are well equipped inside. Give me Washington +5! 

40* NCAAB EARLY AFTERNOON ATS ANNIHILATOR (Oklahoma St -4)

I'll take my chances here with the Cowboys covering the 4 at home against the Shockers. Big bounce back spot for Oklahoma State after they laid an egg at home in Wednesday's 81-74 loss to Georgetown as a 11-point favorite. Prior to that the Cowboys had started out 7-0. Wichita State is a quality team, but have played a really soft schedule, lost by 14 to West Virginia and are playing their first true road game of the season. Give me Oklahoma State -4! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Jazz -11.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Utah cashing in as a big home favorite against the Grizzlies. I just think now is the time to pounce on the Jazz. Utah has lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall, plus were embarrassed at home last time out by the Lakers. To say this team is going to be pissed off when they take the floor is an understatement. I just don't think the Grizzlies have the talent to make a game of this without star rookie Ja Morant running the point. Give me the Jazz -11.5! 

40* NCAAB BIG TEN PLAY OF THE WEEK (Wisconsin PK) 

I'll take my chances here with Wisconsin at a pick'em on their home floor against Indiana. I was on the Hoosiers in their blowout win over FSU last time out. I like the talent with Indiana, but I also think they got a huge homecourt edge, which is why I liked them in that spot. I don't think things are going to go as smoothly on the road and I think the methodical pace of the Badgers and their ability to spread the floor with all those 3-point shooters really make this a tough matchup for Indiana, especially given it's their first game away from home all season. Give me Wisconsin! 

40* NCAAB SHARP MONEY ATS DESTROYER (NC State -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolfpack going on the road and covering the spread against the Demon Deacons. NC State has been rock solid to start the year. They come in having on 6 of 7 with the only loss by 5 to Memphis on a neutral court. Wake Forest just isn't very good. They have played 3 teams from a power six conference and lost all 3, including a recent 22-point setback at Penn State. In those 3 games the Demon Deacons have shot a miserable 35% from the field. Not a good sign when you are facing a NC State offense that is putting in 81.7 ppg on 47% shooting. Give me the Wolfpack -5! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS KNOCKOUT (Butler -4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs covering the small number at home against Florida. I just haven't been impressed at all with the Gators early on. The offense has not produced anywhere close to expectations and now they have to face a really good Butler defense on the road. Gators only other true road game they lost at UConn. Look for the Bulldogs to make a statement on Saturday. Give me Butler -4! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD LINE MISTAKE (Baylor -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bears covering the small number at home against Arizona. I've really liked what I've seen out of Baylor and while I think the Wildcats are a really strong team, they are dealing with some injuries and have the difficult task here of playing their first true road game of the season against a really good opponent. Give me Baylor -4.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Celtics -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Celtics laying just 3-points at home against the Nuggets. This is simply too good a price to pass up with Boston at home, where they are a perfect 8-0, outscoring teams by 8.4 ppg. Denver comes in off a blowout win at New York last night, but this is not an ideal team to be playing on 0 days rest. Jokic only had 10 points in the win and is in arguably the worst funk of his career right now. I just don't think the Nuggets have a shot here without a monster game from Jokic, as Celtics will be out for blood after how bad they played at Denver a couple weeks ago (had just 57 points going into the 4th quarter). Give me Boston -3! 

50* NBA SHARP MONEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (Thunder -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Oklahoma City cashing in a win at home against the Timberwolves. I get Minnesota is 7-3 SU and 7-3 ATS on the road, but I think it has them overvalued here. They did just lose and fail to cover in a 121-114 loss at Dallas on Wednesday. They could also be playing this one without one of their best players in Andrew Wiggins. I know the Thunder are just 8-12, but they have played a really tough schedule. They are 7-3 ATS at home and I think they win this one going away. Give me OKC -2.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Va Tech +7) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hokies covering the 7-point spread against the Blue Devils. Duke is coming off a big win at Michigan State, but we seen this team struggle to bring it on a consistent basis. I'm not saying they will lose here, but I think the Hokies will give them all they can handle. Va Tech is 4-0 at home, where they are outscoring teams by almost 30 ppg. Everyone knows about Duke's star freshmen, but the Hokies have a couple of legit freshmen studs. The most notable being Landers Nolley II, who is averaging 20 ppg and shooting 50% from deep. Give me Virginia Tech +7! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Michigan -8) 

I'll take my chances here with Michigan laying it on the Hawkeyes in their conference opener at home. I would have liked the Wolverines to win by double-digits regardless, but I like it that much more that we are getting Michigan off an ugly loss at Louisville. That poor showing was to be expected given the spot, as the Wolverines had just played 3 games in 3 days against Iowa State, North Carolina and Gonzaga. Iowa has played well in their last 3 games against some decent competition, but I think it has them getting a little too much love here. They were a 7.5-point dog to Texas Tech on a neutral site and now are basically the same price against a much better Michigan team. Give me the Wolverines -8! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 139.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 139.5 between Mississippi State and La Tech in Thursday's college hoops action. These are two really good offensive teams. The Bulldogs are averaging 80.4 ppg and have scored at least 72 in every game. In their two step up games against Creighton and Indiana, they combined for 154 and 163 points, giving up 80+ in both matchups. Mississippi State just put up 81 on the road at Coastal Carolina and are shooting 49.7% from the field on the season. I think both teams could hit 75 in this one. Give me the OVER 139.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 233)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 233 in Thursday's NBA matchup between the 76ers and Wizards. Washington is just an ideal OVER team, as they like to push the pace and don't play any defense. Wizards are No. 1in the league in pace of play and No. 30 in defensive efficiency. With Thomas Bryant a no go for Washington, Wizards frontcourt is in big trouble here against Embiid. Note backup big man Ian Mahinmi is also out and Mortiz Wagner is questionable. I could see Philadelphia scoring 130+ in this one, but they likely only need to hit 120 for us to cash this one, as Washington is averaging 121.4 ppg at home. GIve me the OVER 233! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Blazers -3.5)

I'll take my chances here with Portland covering as a small home favorite against the Kings. Who would have thought that Carmelo Anthony would be this good. In his 7 games since joining Portland he's averaging 16.4 ppg 6.0 rpg and 2.0 apg. He's only getting better as he put up 22.3 ppg last week. The Blazers as a team have won 3 of 4 and I'm not concerned about them playing on no rest, especially given how they were able to limit minutes in a blowout loss to the Clippers with no starter playing more than 30 minutes. Give me Portland -3.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Jazz -3) 

I'll take my chances with Utah covering as a slim 3-point home favorite against the Lakers. I played against LA and lost last night in Denver, but that won't keep me from fading them here. The only starter for the Lakers that didn't play more than 30 minutes was McGee. I just don't think they will have enough gas here going from the thin air of Denver to the thin air of Utah in back-to-back games, arguably the worst scheduling spot in the league when it comes to back-to-backs. Utah is also going to be extremely motivated here after losing 4 of 5 on their recent 5-game road trip. Give me the Jazz -3! 

50* NCAAB NON-CONF PLAY OF THE MONTH (DePaul +2) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with DePaul as a home dog against the Red Raiders. I was actually shocked to see the Blue Demons listed as a dog here. DePaul has been sensational in route to a perfect 8-0 start, which includes road wins over two quality Big Ten teams in Iowa and Minnesota. The same Iowa team that just recently had their way with Texas Tech in Vegas. I just think the Red Raiders are still being overvalued from last year's run to the title game. This is not the same caliber a team. Give me DePaul +2! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 144.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 144.5 between BYU and Utah. The Cougars come in ranked 26th nationally in offensive efficiency and senior Yoeli Childs will make his debut after being suspended for the first 9 games. Childs averaged 21.2 ppg and 9.7 rpg last year. Utah can also score, as they are averaging 81.4 ppg on the season and 97.7 ppg at home. They have shot a ridiculous 59.3% from the field at home and 47.9% from deep. Give me the OVER 144.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Iowa St -19.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Cyclones winning by 20+ at home over UMKC. With ISU having lost 2 of 3 and fresh off a loss at Seton Hall, I think we are poised to get a big effort here against an inferior team. UMKC has no business being on the same floor as the Cyclones. The Kangaroos lost by 18 at Drake to give ya an idea of their talent level. UMKC also wants to play slow and that's a problem as ISU is going to push the pace. Cyclones are also great at forcing turnovers, while UMKC has turned it over a lot early on. All these thing should allow ISU to turn this into a blowout. Give me the Cyclones -19.5! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS KNOCKOUT (Nets -3) 

I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn covering as a small road favorite against the Hawks. Atlanta was able to snap their 10-game losing streak with a 104-79 blowout win at home against the Warriors, but that's nothing to get excited about, as Golden State is one of the least talented teams in the league with all their injuries. Nets are still without Irving, but have really played well without him and should have their way here. Give me Brooklyn -3! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Virginia +1) 

I'll take my chances here with Virginia winning on the road against the Boilermakers. I just think Purdue is destined for a down season, as they just don't have anyone on this year's team that can replace the production of Carson Edwards. They also lost a 3-point sharpshooter in Ryan Cline. They have played 3 legit opponents and lost all 3, including a 6-point loss at home to Texas. Virginia is not an ideal matchup for this team, as they built to grind out wins with their defense, which is how Purdue wants to play. I just don't see the Boilermakers being able to score enough to win. Give me Virginia +1! 

40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS SLAUGHTER (UMass +2) 

I'll take my chances here with UMass as a home dog against the Gamecocks. I just think South Carolina isn't very good. They are just 5-3 to start the season despite playing the 332nd ranked schedule. The books just keep overvaluing them too, as they come in having failed to cover in 5 straight games. Now they got to play their first true road of the season against a hungry and talented UMass team that will be looking to snap a 3-game skid. All 3 of those losses came on the road and the Minutemen figure to struggle away from home with all the freshmen they are playing. This is also a big time home game for UMass, as they don't get to host many Power 5 teams. Give me the Minutemen +2! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Nuggets -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Nuggets covering the small spread at home against the Lakers. The public loves this LA team and the Lakers amazing 17-3 start to the season has only fueled their love. I think the Lakers are way overvalued because of it. What the public ignores with LA's incredible start is 14 of their 20 games are against teams with a sub .500 record. They are just 3-3 in games against teams with a winning record. Denver only has one more loss than LA at 13-4 and are 8-2 at home having recently knocked off both the Celtics and Rockets at home. Give me the Nuggets -2! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Indiana -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers laying a short number at home against the Seminoles. I'm well aware that Indiana has played a soft schedule to start the year, but they pass the eye test for me and Assembly Hall is not an easy place to play. Not only that they have covered 4 of their last 5, so it's not like they are just squeaking by. I also like that Indiana hasn't left home all season. FSU on the other hand just played back-to-back games Friday/Saturday against two really tough teams in Tennessee and Purdue. They won both, but both were grueling 3-point wins. Only two days of rest before this one and I just think this is a big flat spot against a quality opponent. Give me the Hoosiers -3! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Toronto laying what I think is a short number at home against the Heat. Raptors have been one of the biggest surprises, as they have not missed a beat after losing Kahwi to the Clippers in free agency. Toronto is 15-4 and have gone a perfect 9-0 at home, covering the number in 8 of those games. Miami has a solid record at 14-5, but they are just 6-5 SU and 5-5-1 ATS on the road compared to 8-0 SU and 7-0 ATS at home. Heat will also be playing without one of their best players in Goran Dragic. Give me the Raptors -4.5! 

50* NCAAB  VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Louisville -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Louisville. Michigan has went from a nobody to the No. 4 ranked team in the country after knocking off ISU, UNC and Gonzaga in 3 consecutive days. I just wonder how much the Wolverines have left in the tank. They Battle 4 Atlantis got over on Friday, so they will have just 3 days off before this one. Louisville has been every bit as impressive to start and are going to be playing just their 2nd game in the last 9 days. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Cardinals at home, especially given the tough scheduling spot for Michigan. Give me Louisville -4.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 144.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 144.5 in Tuesday's Big 10/ACC matchup between Iowa and Syracuse. This is not your usual Orange powerhouse team. They just gave up 85 to Penn State and 86 to Oklahoma State. I think the defensive woes are going to be a lingering problem and Iowa is a team that not only loves to push the pace, but score the ball effectively. I also think they got the shooters to exploit the Cuse zone defense. I got both teams easily eclipsing 70 and this thing finishing closer to 155. Take the OVER 144.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Suns -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Suns as a small road favorite against the Hornets. Phoenix has lost 3 straight and 6 of 7, but their struggles in this stretch have a lot to do with injuries. They got some key guys back here of late and should be 100% locked in for a win tonight. Charlotte is the ideal team to get right against, as the Hornets are one of the least talented teams in the league. If you take away their 3 wins against the Pistons, they are just 1-10 in their last 11. GIve me the Suns -4.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 146.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 146.5 in Monday's ACC/Big Ten challenge matchup that has Miami visiting Illinois. The Fighting Illini have the looks of one of the most improved teams in the country and are absolutely on fire offensively to start out the new season. Illinois comes in averaging 88.3 ppg and that goes up to 93.3 ppg at home. They will be facing a Miami team that has not been able to stop any quality opponent from putting up a ton of points. Hurricanes allowed 87 to Louisville, 78 to Florida and 80 to UConn. All 3 of those teams shot 53% or better from the field. I would be shocked if Illinois didn't get 80 and that means we need just 70 from Miami to get us clear of the number. Give me the OVER 146.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Texas Tech -6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders cashing in an easy cover here as a 6.5-point favorite against the Hawks in Las Vegas. I just think the Hawkeyes got no business being on the same floor as the Red Raiders. Iowa is 4-1, but in their only game against a decent opponent they got absolutely annihilated at home by DePaul 93-78. I think this could be every bit as lopside as that one. Give me Texas Tech -6.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 226.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER. The Clippers just put on a defensive clinic last night against the Mavs and have the looks of an elite defensive team when they want to be. I don't think we get that same effort on the defensive side of the ball in the second game of a back-to-back, especially against a bad Memphis team. Grizzlies are awful defensively and I could see the Clippers scoring 125 or more here. I think we get more than enough offense from Memphis at home to push this over. Give me the OVER 226.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -5.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Houston covering the spread at home against the Heat. THis might seem like a lot for Miami to be catching with how well they have been playing, but there's a chance they won't have Jimmy Butler for this one. This is also their 4th game in 6 days and 3 of those have come on the road. Rockets also going to give a max effort here coming off 3 straight losses and playing on a full 2 days of rest. Give me Houston -5.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Syracuse -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Syracuse laying a short number against the Cowboys. I just think Oklahoma State is getting a little too much love here against a really good Orange team. Cowboys are 5-0, but they haven't beat anyone. Their toughest opponent was Charleston. They are also just 2-3 ATS in those 5 games. Syracuse has been on a roll since losing their opener to Virginia and they look like an even better team since moving Joe Girard into the starting point guard spot in place of Jalen Carey. Offense has gotten better and better with each of his starts and the Orange aare elite an excellent defensive team. Take Syracuse! 

40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Celtics -7) 

I'lll take my chances here with Boston winning by double-digits at home against the Nets. I think we are actually getting a decent price here with the Celtics. Should be a rowdy home crowd with everyone having tomorrow off and Kemba Walker is expected to be back. Brooklyn has won 4 straight, but those 4 wins have come against the Hornets, Kings, Knicks and Cavs. Last time they played a good team was the Pacers on Nov. 18th and they got annihilated 115-86. I just don't think they have any shot of keeping it close without Kyrie on the floor. Give me the Celtics -7! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Penn State -2) 

I'll take my chances with the Nittany Lions laying a short number against Ole Miss in the opening round of the NIT Tip Off. While Penn State failed to cover in their last game as a double-digit favorite against Yale, they did go on a ridiculous 16-2 run over the final 5:38 of regulation to get the win. I think the fact that they didn't cover has them a bit undervalued and I also think they are riding a wave of momentum off that win. Nittany Lion's Lamar Stevens should have his way against a soft Ole Miss defense. Rebels also off a much different rally, as they battled from 16 down against Memphis to lose by 1. Those are tough losses to swallow after fighting your way back. Give me the Nittany Lions -2! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (California -11.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Golden Bears bouncing back with a big win and cover at home against UC-Davis. Cal had started out 4-0 before getting destroyed in back-to-back games by Duke and Texas. The Aggies are a good team for them to get back on track. UC-Davis is just 2-5 to start the season with 4 of those defeats coming by double-digits, including a 34-point loss at Loyola-Illinois. No surprise to see the Aggies struggling, as they brought back just 2 starters from a team that went 11-20 last year. UC-Davis is 5-16 ATS last 2 seasons as a dog and 4-12 ATS last 16 vs a team with a winning record. 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Clippers -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Clippers cashing in a win as a small favorite at Dallas. The Mavs have been playing unreal of late, as they come in having won and covered 5 straight. I just think this recent run has put a target on their back for this one and we are going to see LA come out looking to send a message, especially with this being a prime time game on NBATV. I still feel like the Clippers are the best team in the NBA and I look for the trio of George, Leonard and Beverley to make things extremely difficult for Donic and if he's not great the Mavs are in serious trouble. Give me the Clippers -2.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -6) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with OKC covering the 6 on the road against the Warriors. Golden State is a mere 1-7 in their last 8 games with their only win coming against a bad Memphis team that simply didn't give the depleted Warriors the respect they deserve. Golden State is down Curry, Thompson and Russell and could also not have Draymond for this one. OKC will be looking past this one having lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. Give me the Thunder -6! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS BLOODBATH (Louisiana Tech +11)

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs covering as a double-digit dog against the Hoosiers. I played an won on Indiana as a 18.5-point favorite in their last game against Princeton. They ended up winning going away 79-54, but that was a mere 4-point game at the half. I just don't see them pulling away from a good LA Tech team that has started 4-1 with their only loss coming by a mere 10-points at Creighton, where they only trailed by 2 in the final 5 minutes. They also take great care of the ball and I think if they do that against the Hoosiers they can not only cover, but win this game outright. Give me the Bulldogs +11! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bradley -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Bradley covering as a small favorite against Northwestern. I think it's going to be a long year for the Wildcats. They were one of the worst offensive teams in the country last year and lost their top 3 scorers from that team. They are a very young team and will be on the road for the first time this season, which is always a tough spot. Bradley put together an impressive run to close out last year and ended up winning the MVC tournament to get to the Big Dance. They got a lot of their key guys back from that team and are 4-1 to start the year. I think they win here going away. Give me the Braves -2.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Cavs +1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Cavs as a home dog against the Nets. Brooklyn is still without their best player in Kyrie Irving, but are getting some love due to the fact that they have won 3 straight. Thing is those 3 wins were against the Hornets and Kings at home and the Knicks on the road. They only beat New York by 2 yesterday and are now in a brutal spot playing their second straight on the road in a back-to-back and 3rd in 4 day stretch. Cavs are off a 110-104 upset win at home against the Blazers and should be able to take care of business here. Give me Cleveland +1! 

40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Pistons -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Detroit covering as a small home favorite against the Magic. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Pistons, as Orlando will be playing without two of their best players in Nikola Vucevic and Aaron Gordon. Magic were already one of the worst offensive teams and are 0-6 getting outscored by 7.2 ppg on the road. Pistons are just 1-6 in their last 7, but 5 of those 6 defeats came on the road. Last time they were at home they annihilated the Hawks 123-103 as a 6-point favorite. Give me Detroit -4.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS SLAUGHTER (Kansas St -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Kansas State covering the 3.5 point spread against the Panthers. Wildcats are off to a 4-0 start as Bruce Weber just keeps delivering. K-State has been exceptional on the defensive end, allowing just 53.7 ppg and teams are shooting just 37% from the field and 27% from deep against them. They will be taking on a Pitt offense that has struggled to get their offense going. Panthers are shooting just 40% from the field and 28% from deep. Pitt's already lost twice at home, including a 5-point loss as a 18.5-point favorite to Nicholls State. Wherever Weber has coached his teams have been a good bet to play well in these early tournament games, as his teams have gone 21-8. They get another win and cover tonight. Give me the Wildcats -3.5! 

40* NBA (Grizzlies +7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Memphis covering as a home dog against the Lakers on Saturday. Big game here for the Grizzlies at home against one of the top teams in the league and they couldn't be catching LA at a better time. Lakers will be on no rest after a really fast paced game last night at OKC where the two teams combined for 257 points. LeBron and AD both logged a ton of minutes and I could see them resting here. Either way they shouldn't be at their best in this spot and to make matters worse they are facing a Memphis team that is playing on 3 days rest. Give me the Grizzlies +7.5! 

40* NCAAB (Purdue -20) 

I'll take my chances here with the Boilermakers covering the big 20-point spread at home against the inferior Jacksonville State. Purdue is just 2-2 to start and I think it has them a bit undervalued here. It's not like they lost to bad teams, as their two losses came against Texas and Marquette. We just saw Jacksonville State get annihilated on the road at VCU 93-65 and I think this could be even more lopsided with the massive edge Purdue has on the inside. Give me the Boilermakers -20! 

40* NBA (Bulls -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Chicago cashing in a win and cover on the road against Charlotte. Both of these teams are playing on no rest and while both are off to poor starts, I don't think there's any arguing who is the more talented team. Bulls laid an egg last night early against Miami, but showed a lot of grit fighting back to lose by just single-digits. Charlotte is a team I think that's only going to get worse and they just aren't the kind of team that is built to play well on no rest. Bulls also have some revenge to take care of, as they were upset in their opener against the Hornets a game in which Charlotte shot a ridiculous 51.1% from the field and 52.3% from deep. Even with that hot shooting the Hornets still had to rally from double-digits down to sneak out a 1-point win. Give me the Bulls -1.5! 

40* NCAAB (Penn State -14.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Nittany Lions laying it on Penn and easily covering the 14.5-point spread. I've really been impressed with what I've seen out of this Penn State team. They are 4-0 and have dominated every team they have faced, including a 81-66 win at Georgetown and the Hoyas have since beat Texas and lost by just 8 to No. 1 Duke. Penn is already a far inferior team and may not have much in the gas tank after a grueling 100-89 overtime win against Siena last time out. This is also their 4th road game already this season. Give me the Nittany Lions -14.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Nuggets -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Denver as a small home favorite against Boston. I think the Nuggets are showing tremendous value here. They are right there at the top of the standings at 10-3 and are extremely difficult to beat at home when they are playing well. 

As for the Celtics, this just feels like a massive letdown spot. Boston laid everything they had on the line in Wednesday's OT loss to the Clippers. Now they have to go play in the thin air of Denver in what will be their 5th straight road game and 4th game in the last 6 days. It's very similar to the Nuggets last opponent in the Rockets, who came in having won and covered 8 straight and scored 95 points in a 10-point loss. Give me the Nuggets -4! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 216.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 216.5. I was on the OVER and lost in Chicago's last game, as the Pistons were a complete no-show scoring just 89 points and shooting 34% from the field. I'm not buying that being a sign of the Bulls defense turning a corner. IT's also the second time this season Chicago has held an opponent under 100 points. 

Bulls aren't the best offense, but they are playing as fast as anyone right now and I don't think we get a max effort here from Miami on the defensive side in the first game of a back-to-back with a much bigger at Philly on deck tomorrow. I do think the Heat's offense has a big game. Miami has hit 50% or better from the field in 4 straight games and will have their way against this Bulls defense. Give me the OVER 216.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Pistons -6) 

I'll take my chances here with Detroit bouncing back from that awful performance on the road Wednesday at Chicago. That loss was their 5th straight overall and I think we are going to get their best effort tonight at home against a struggling Hawks team. Atlanta has lost their last 4 and are just 2-10 in their last 12. Note that all 10 of those losses during this stretch have come by 8 or more points. 

Some of Detroit's recent struggles can be attributed to playing on the road and they are 5-1 ATS last 6 at home off a road trip of 7 or more days. Pistons are also 9-2 ATS last 11 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Give me Detroit -6! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Maryland -18) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Terps cashing in a win by at least 20 at home against the Patriots. George Mason comes in at 5-0, but it's come against a bunch of bad teams. All 5 of their wins have been against teams ranked outside the Top 200 in KenPom's rankings. 

George Mason did win a respectable 18 games last year, but they lost two of their better players from that team to transfers in Otis Livingston II and Jaire Grayer. They also lost their likely go-to-guy this year in senior guard Justin Kier to a season ending wrist injury. 

Maryland just doesn't lose at home in non-conference and are playing more of a full court press that I think will give the Patriots troubles. Too much talent and too much depth for the Terps for George Mason to keep it respectable. Give me Maryland -18! 

40* NCAAB AFTERNOON ATS SLAUGHTER (FIU -6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Panthers covering the 6.5-point spread against Eastern Kentucky. FIU is 3-0 ATS and covering against the number by almost 20-points game. I just think FIU has a big edge across the board in this one. Both these teams like to run and I just don't see the Colonels being able to keep pace. Eastern Kentucky lost their best player in Cick Mayo, who averaged 23.7 ppg. Turnovers have been a big problem for the Colonels and if they don't take care of the ball here this could get real ugly. FIU is shooting lights out from 3 (42.4%) and will give up no easy shots inside. Give me the Panthers -6.5!

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Arizona -23.5) 

I'll take my chances with Arizona covering as a massive 23.5-point favorite against South Dakota State. The Wildcats were one of the biggest disappointments last year, but you could see it coming. They just didn't have the talent as years past. That's not the case this year. Arizona is loaded and are a team on a mission to start the season. They have gone 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in their first 4. All 4 wins coming by at least 20 points, including a 21-point win over Illinois. 

The Jackrabbits are a very young team with primary a bunch of freshmen and sophomores in their rotation. They just don't have the talent to hang with Arizona, especially given they are playing out west on just 1 day of rest after hosting North Alabama on Tuesday. GIve me the Wildcats -23.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 227.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 227.5 in Thursday's TNT matchup that has the Bucks hosting the Blazers. Portland's offense figures to be in a world of hurt in this one, as star point guard Damian Lillard is out with a bad back. They got no choice here but to try and slow this game down, as they simply can't go score for score with the Bucks and expect to keep it close. As for Milwaukee, I think they too will be looking to play at a slower pace given they are in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and just finished up a 3-game road trip. Also, good chance this gets out of hand and I think blowouts are much more favorable to games staying under the mark. Give me the UNDER 227.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Texas -6.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Longhorns covering the 6.5-point spread against Georgetown in the opening round of the Empire Classic at Madison Square Garden. I've really been impressed with what I've seen out of the Longhorns to start this season. They are 4-0 and have a big road win as a 6.5-point dog at Purdue. 

Georgetown is 3-1, but in their long game against a Power 5 team, Penn State, they lost at home by 14 as a favorite. Big thing here is the Hoyas are a very limited offense and really rely on their ability to score inside, as they don't take or make many 3's. That's a problem against what I think is an elite Texas defense that will give them no easy looks inside. Give me the Longhorns -6.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Colorado St -12) 

I'll take my chances here with Colorado State laying 12 at home against Arkansas State. The Rams are a team I've been impressed with early on and could see them being a big time factor in the MWC. They are 3-1 to start the year with their only setback coming at Duke. Arkansas State is a fluky 4-1 as they have played a soft schedule. I think the RedWolves defense will get exposed here as teams have been able to score at will inside and the Rams have a big time talent in big man Nico Carvacho. This is also a tough spot for Ark St, as they will be playing their 4th game in 7 days. RedWolves are not a deep team either, playing just 7 guys and I think they run out of gas in this matchup at high altitude. Give me Colorado State -12! 

50* NBA CENTRAL DIVISION TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 219)

I'll gladly take my chances with the OVER 219, as I think these two could easily get into the 230's. Chicago might be a bad team, but they got some playmakers on offense and love to push the pace. Bulls have played at a 107.6 pace in their last 5 games, which is the best mark in the league over that span. Chicago loves to attack in transition and the Pistons are one of the worst at defending in transition. Bulls also have a bad defense. Chicago is giving up 111.3 ppg and 115 over their last 5. Detroit is averaging 111.2 ppg over their last 5 and giving up 112 ppg. Give me the OVER 219! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Nets -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn as a small home favorite against the Hornets. I just think we are getting a good price on the Nets because of the fact that they won't have Kyrie Irving. While he's without a doubt their best player right now, they got more than enough talent to take down this Charlotte team. Hornets are no where close to as good as their 6-8 record. They got a net rating of -7.9, which is the 4th worst in the league. They should be closer to 3-11 than 6-8. Another big factor here is the Hornets have to be running on fumes. Charlotte is playing their 3rd straight on the road and 4th overall in the last 6 days. Give me the Nets -3.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 208) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 208. I just think we are going to see a very slow paced game and both of these teams are strong defensively. Magic play at one of the slowest paces in the league and the Raptors pace of play has been on the decline, largely because they haven't had Kyle Lowry in the lineup. He's still out. Toronto has gone 6 straight games holding opponents to 44% or worse from the field and are facing a Magic team that is only scoring 98.5 ppg on the road this season. These two played back on 10/28 and combined for just 199 and I wouldn't be surprised if they stayed below the 200 mark in this one. Give me the UNDER 208! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Columbia +10.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Columbia as a double-digit dog against the Red Storm. The Lions bring back 5 starters, as well as senior guard Mike Smith. This is a better team than a lot of people will realize, especially after their 1-3 start. St John's rolled Mercer and Central Connecticut State, but didn't cover in a home win over New Hampshire as a big favorite and lost outright at home to Vermont as a favorite. Columbia has the experience and talent to handle St. John's pressure and I think an upset could be in the works. Give me the Lions +10.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Indiana -18.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers winning by 20+ at home against the Tigers. Indiana didn't live up to expectations last year and I think it has them flying under the radar to start this season. They have started out 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. The only game they didn't cover was by a 1/2-point in a 19-point win as a 19.5 point favorite against Portland State. That 19 point is their smallest margin of victory on the season. Princeton is 0-3 SU and 0-3 ATS. Tigers are allowing an effective fieldgoal rate of 60% and offer little to no rim protection. Indiana is averaging 93.5 ppg and shooting 54% from the field. Give me the Hoosiers -18.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UMass -6) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with UMass laying it on Rider and cruising to an easy win and cover at home. The Minutemen have started out a perfect 4-0 and their only non-cover was a 2-point win as a 3-point favorite at Fairfield. Rider opened up with road wins against Coppin State and Delaware State, but that was to be expected as those are two bad teams. They got a big test at ASU and failed miserably, losing 92-55. Rider doesn't shoot the 3 and gives up a ton of them, which is a recipe for disaster. I also think the Brons will be out of gas here. Rider is playing their 4th straight on the road and had just two days off from going way out west to face the Sun Devils. Give me the Minutemen -6! 

40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Grizzlies -6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Memphis covering the 6.5-point spread at home against the Warriors. It's no secret that Golden State is in a world of hurt right now. I get Memphis isn't a great team, but with D'Angelo Russell now sidelined the Warriors just don't have the offensive playmakers to beat anybody, especially on the road. Not to mention teams are really enjoying beating up on Golden State after what they have done the last 5 years. Grizzlies are also a team playing well, as they have won 3 of their last 4. I think they win here by double-digits rather easily. Give me Memphis -6.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa St -18) 

I'll take my chances here with the Cyclones winning by 20+ at home against the Golden Eagles. Southern Miss isn't built to compete with Power 5 teams like ISU, especially on the road. Golden Eagles have almost no depth, as they basically play 6 guys. They need games to be played at a slower pace to have a chance and ISU likes to push the pace behind star point guard Tyrese Haliburton. Another thing here favoring the Cyclones is turnovers. Southern Miss does not take good care of the ball and ISU ranks in the top 40 in steal rate. If the Golden Eagles get into any kind of foul trouble with their lack of depth, this thing could get real ugly. Give me the Cyclones -18! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Northern Iowa -15) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Northern Iowa covering the big number at home against Tennessee-Martin. Not only is this a really tough matchup for the Skyhawks, they are in a horrible situational spot playing their 3rd straight on the road in just a span of 7 days. They had to play Wichita State on the road on just 2 days rest last time out and got annihilated 103-62 as a mere 16-point dog. UNI is off to a perfect 4-0 start. Defense will be the key in this thing getting out of hand. Panthers are a really good defensive team. They are allowing 58.5 ppg and holding teams to 16 points below their average. Tennessee-Martin is givin up 83.5 ppg and almost 13 ppg more than their opponents average. Give me UNI -15! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (FIU -7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with FIU winning by double-digits on the road against Cleveland State. I think this is the perfect buy low spot on the Panthers, who have started out 1-2, but those two losses have both come on the road against Power 5 teams in Mississippi State and NC State. They were competitive in both. They only lost by 8 as a 16.5-point dog at the Bulldogs and by just 9 as a 17.5-point dog at the Wolfpack. 

Cleveland State has started out just 1-3 with their only win coming against a non-D1 opponent. They two have played two power 5 teams on the road and lost by 35 at Minnesota and by 27 at South Carolina. They also lost by 20 at Missouri State. Give me FIU -7.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Mavs -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Dallas covering the 4.5 point spread at home against the Spurs. I just feel like San Antonio is getting way too much respect on the road with how poor they are playing. Spurs have lost 5 straight and are not in a good spot here, playing their 3rd game in 4 days on the road. SA is just 2-10 ATS on the season and have gone 4-16 the last 3 seasons ATS in road games vs a team that's won 51% to 60% of their games. Give me the Mavs -4.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (UCLA -8) 

I'll take my chances here with UCLA winning by double-digits at home against the Rebels. I just think this Bruins team is poised to make some noise under new head coach Mick Cronin and this also is an ideal spot to fade UNLV. The Rebels will be playing their 3rd game in a week span and each of the last two went to overtime with UNLV's star guard Amauri Hardy playing 40+ minutes in both games. I just don't see them being able to keep this close. Give me UCLA -8! 

40* NCAAB ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Utah -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Utes laying a short number at home against the Gophers. Minnesota is coming off a couple of losses and failed covers against Oklahoma and Butler. They shot the ball poorly in both games, hitting just 39% against the Sooners and 33% against the Bulldogs. They are getting next to nothing out of their bench and I always think it's tough for these midwest teams to travel out west, especially early in the season. Utah is also a team I think is a lot better than people realize. Give me the Utes -4.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pacers +5) 

I'll take my chances here with Indiana covering here at Houston. I just think this is an ideal spot to fade the Rockets coming off that emotional win over the Clippers on Wednesday. Houston was able to overcome a lot of injuries in that win, but I think it will be a lot tougher to bring that same injury against a team like Indiana. Not to mention they have added Clint Capela to the list of guys out and there's talk of them resting Russell Westbrook in this one. Pacers are also playing great basketball right now. Indiana has won 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall. Give me the Pacers +5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Magic -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Orlando laying a small number at home against the Spurs. I won with the Magic in their last game, as they beat the 76ers 112-97 as a similarly priced 2.5-point home favorite. I think they are fresh right now, playing just their 3rd game in the last 7 days, all at home, so no travel. 

San Antonio has lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. Spurs are simply not very good right now, but their brand is so good that they continue to get respect from the books and the public. No bigger evidence to the Spurs not being what people think is the fact that they are 2-9 ATS in their first 11 games. They are giving up 119.4 ppg on 50.2% shooting in their last 5 and even last year when they were decent they payed awful on the road. Give me the Magic -3! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Michigan State -6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Spartans cashing in a win and cover at Seton Hall. The Pirates are expected to be really good this year, but will be playing without their best player in Myles Powell, who suffered an ankle injury. I also think Michigan State is playing inspired for their star point guard Cassius Winston, who just lost his younger brother earlier this week. Give me the Spartans -6.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Bulls +12) 

I'll take my chances here with Chicago as a double-digit dog against the Bucks. I cashed in on the Bulls in their last game, which they easily covered as a 6-point favorite in a 120-102 win against the Knicks. Big reason I liked Chicago in that game was they finally got some rest after a brutal schedule that had them traveling all over the place the first few weeks of the season. They are much better team than their 4-7 record. Bucks have been overpriced a lot lately, as they have failed to cover 3 straight and will be without Khris Middleton for this one, who is their No. 2 option behind the Greek Freak. Give me Chicago +12! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Pelicans +4) 

I'll take my chances here with New Orleans covering as a small home dog against the Clippers. I know it's tough backing the Pelicans given they are just 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS on the season, but this line is begging for you to take the Clippers. I just think this is a tough spot for LA, who is just 1-3 on the road. Clippers off a massive game last night against the Rockets and could easily suffer a letdown playing in the second game of a back-to-back road set. Good chance Kawhi rests in this one and while Paul George is expected to make his debut, he's likely on a minutes restriction and will have to work through some rust. Give me New Orleans +4! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Blazers as a small home favorite. I know Portland is in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and just lost as a favorite last night at Sacramento, but I still think they got the upper hand on a depleted Raptors team that won't have OG Anunoby, Kyle Lowry or Serge Ibaka for this one. Toronto also off a very emotional game against the Clippers, as that was their first game against Kawhi after he left town following last year's title run. Raptors are also playing their 4th straight on the road and 3rd game in the last 4 nights. Give me Portland -2.5!

40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SHOCKER (Magic +1) 

I got a good feeling we could see both Embiid and Simmons sit this one out for the 76ers and the line definitely suggests that's what the bookmakers are thinking. On top of that, Philadelphia is not playing great basketball right now and are in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. All 5 starters played 31+ minutes in last night's mere 1-point win over the Cavs as a double-digit favorite, so even if Embiid and Simmons play I like Orlando here. Magic are desperate for a win and will be the much fresher team on two days rest. Give me Orlando +1! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (UConn -14.5) 

I'll take my chances here with UConn making easy work of St. Joe's tonight. The Huskies struggled in the first year under Dan Hurley last season, going just 16-17 overall and 6-12 in the American, but I'm expecting big improvements in year two under Hurley. Note that he went just 8-21 in year one with Rhode Island and by the time he left they finished 25-8. UConn was way undervalued in their opener, as they cruised to a 22-point win as a 16.5-point favorite against Sacred Heart. St. Joe's is in a full on rebuild, after losing 4 of their best players who combined for 54.4 ppg last year. Note the Hawks only averaged 70.5 ppg, so that's 77% of their scoring they must replace. Give me UConn -14.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Villanova +2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Villanova going on the road and knocking off Ohio State. I think the Wildcats are one of the better teams people aren't talking about. All Jay Wright does is deliver great teams. I mean they went 26-10 and won both the Big East regular-season and tournament titles and yet it was considered a disappointing season. I was on the Buckeyes in their win and cover against Cincinnati in their opener, but Ohio State was extremely fortunate to cover that contest. The offense is really hard to watch and I just don't think the Buckeyes will be able to keep pace offensively in this one. Give me Villanova +2.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (VCU -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with VCU as a small home favorite against No. 23 LSU. Anytime a ranked team is getting points against an unranked opponent, it's usually a good idea to take the favorite, especially if the public is on the road dog like they are here. The Rams went 25-8 overall and 16-2 in the A-10 last year (won the conf). They should be even better with 4 starters back. Will Wade is doing some nice things with LSU and there's a lot of talent there, but they are very young (basically entire roster is freshmen and sophomores). They lost 3 really good players from last year's team in Tremont Waters, Naz Reid and Kavell Bigby-Williams. I think that inexperience will be too much to overcome in their first road game of the season. Give me VCU -2.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 140.5)

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 140.5 in tonight's big college hoops matchup between Oklahoma and Oregon State. Both of these teams are really strong on the defensive side of the ball. It's why the total is what it is when Oklahoma is averaging 78 ppg and Oregon State is scoring 83.5 ppg. UNDER is 13-3 in the Sooners last 16 non-conference games and 13-4 in the Beavers last 17 after scoring 75 or more in 2 straight games. Give me the UNDER 140.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (E Illinois -19)

I'll take my chances here with the Panthers winning by 20+ at home against Chicago State. Eastern Illinois did themselves no favors to start the season, as they opened up with road games at Texas Tech and Wisconsin. They just missed out on a cover against the Red Raiders, losing by 25 as a 22.5-point dog. They then only lost by 13 to the Badgers as a 19-point dog. 

I expect the Panthers to be 100% locked in for their home opener tonight. Chicago State is not good. The Cougars went just 3-29 last year and were winless in the WAC. Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points who were outscored by 12 or more points/game the previous season are a mere 5-25 (17%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Give me Eastern Illinois -19! 

40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Pacers -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a small home favorite against the Thunder. Indiana has completely flipped the script from their 0-3 start, as they are 6-1 in their last 7. I just can't pass up on a team playing this well at home, especially against a OKC team that I think will be running on empty. Thunder are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and are massive game at home against the Bucks, which they lost in heartbreaking fashion 121-119. Give me the Pacers -3! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs +10)

I'll gladly take my chances here with Cleveland as a double-digit dog against the 76ers. The Cavs have been a lot more competitive this season under John Beilein. They come in having wno and covered two straight and I like their chances of making a game of it with Philadelphia. 76ers have not been playing great of late, will be resting Al Horford and Ben Simmons is questionable. Even if Simmons plays, I would expect they try to ease him back. Give me the Cavs +10! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Mavs +4) 

I'll take my chances here with Dallas covering as a small road dog. Boston comes in having won 7 straight and are 5-1-1 ATS during this stretch. Even the injury to Hayward isn't going to keep the public from taking the Celtics as a small home favorite. I just think that injury will be tough to overcome. This Mavs team has also played exceptionally well on the road early on. Dallas is 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS on the road, where they are outscoring teams on average 125.2 to 113.7. Celtics are just 4-14 ATS last 18 at home after giving up 115 or more points in their last game (allowed 115 to SA). Give me the Mavs +4!