50* NCAAB BIG TEN TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 148.5)

My money is on a much higher-scoring game than what the books are projecting with this total. A big key to this is I don't think Michigan State is going to be locked in defensively here coming off that emotional win at home over Purdue. Keep in mind prior to that highly anticipated matchup with the Boilermakers they combined for 189 points at Iowa. Minnesota plays at the second fastest pace in the Big Ten and are averaging 81 ppg at home this season. The other key here is they aren't a great defensive team, ranking 12th out of the 14 teams in the conference in defensive efficiency. They have allowed 75 or more in each of their last 4 games and 10 of their last 11. The Spartans are averaging 83.1 ppg on the season and 75.1 ppg on the road. Give me the OVER 148.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE DESTROYER (Cavs +2.5)

I was dead wrong with the Cavs in their last game at Boston. I thought it was going to take some time for this team to gel, but that's no longer the case. Cleveland's offense absolutely shredded the best defensive team in the league. It was the Cavs who looked like the elite defensive team, as they held the Celtics to just 40.4% from the field on their home floor. I think this team is one of the few teams excited to play going into the break. OKC on the other hand is just 2-5 in their last 7 games and have a major target on their back from the 148 points they put up on the Cavs in Cleveland back in late January. LeBron will this team ready to go and out to make another statement tonight. Give me the Cavs +2.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Texas Tech -7) 

The betting public has fallen in love with Oklahoma because of all the nationally publicity this team gets with star fresh Trae Young and the ridiculous numbers he's been putting up. It's had the Sooners overvalued for quite some time (0-5 ATS L5 and 1-8 ATS L9). This might seem like a favorable number to catch Oklahoma, as a near double-digit dog, but I think Young and company are in for a long night. The Red Raiders are the real deal. However, while they are ranked No. 7 in the country, they don't get the publicity of other top teams. They just won by 19 at Kansas State, which was their straight victory by 12 or more. They aren't going to be overlooking Oklahoma, as they lost to the Sooners by 10 in Norman back in early January. Look for Texas Tech's defense to be the difference in this one. Give me the Red Raiders -7! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 134.5) 

I think we are getting a great price here on the UNDER in Monday's Big 12 game between Texas and Baylor. These two teams played back in early January and combined for just 129 points. These are two strong defensive teams and given how much this game means for both of these teams, I think we get a huge effort here from both sides. UNDER is 12-4 in the last 16 games Baylor has played with a line of +3 to -3 and 7-1 in their last 8 off a win. UNDER is also 20-9 in the Longhorns last 29 games when revenging a loss and 12-1 in their last 13 when revenging a same season loss. Give me the UNDER 134.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pistons -2) 

I'll take my chances here with Detroit bouncing back at home against the Pelicans on Monday. The Pistons might have got a little too confident with how well things were going after landing Griffin in a trade. That's no longer the case after dropping a game at Atlanta, who is hands down one of the worst teams in the league. I believe that loss will light a fire under this team and have them looking to get back on track before the All-Star break. The other thing is I think this Pelicans team is getting too much respect after the loss of Cousins, especially on the road. A road win over a struggling Brooklyn team that isn't playing any defense doesn't change anything for me. Give me the Pistons -2! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -4.5) 

I think you have to roll the dice here with Boston laying less than 5-points at home against the Cavs. I just don't see Cleveland being in sync enough to compete with a team like the Celtics on the road. I know the Cavs won their first game after making all those moves at the trade deadline, but it wasn't against the Hawks and none of their new additions played. George Hill, Rodney Hood, Jordan Clarkson and Larry Nance Jr. are all expected to make their debuts. The problem is these guys have been with the team for just a few days. The Cavs aren't going to be able to run many set plays with all the new pieces, plus it's going to take some time for these guys to learn how to play with each other. That puts them behind the 8-ball here against an elite Boston defense. It's not just the offense that will be hurt by the new pieces, you aren't going to have the chemistry or communication on the defensive side of the ball. Give me the Celtics -4.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 127.5) 

I'll take a shot here on Sunday's Big Ten matchup between Michigan and Wisconsin finishing below the total set here by the books. Wisconsin is a team that's ideal for UNDER bettors with their grind it out style of play. The Badgers are one of the worst offensive teams in the country, averaging just 67.4 ppg (63.2 in Big Ten play), but only give up 66.5 ppg due to their slow pace of play. The Wolverines have a little more fire-power, but are still only putting up 68.6 ppg in Big Ten play. Like Wisconsin, they want to grind out possessions and are allowing only 63.4 ppg. Add in the early start time here in a Sunday game and I think we get a very boring and low-scoring affair. Give me the UNDER 127.5! 

50* NCAAB SEC TOTAL OF THE MONTH (UNDER 141.5) 

My money is on Saturday's big SEC showdown between Kentucky and Texas A&M finishing UNDER the total. I was on the UNDER in the Wildcats last game against Tennessee and won easily, as the two teams combined for just 120 points with a total of 143.5. I think we see a very similar defensive battle here, as Kentucky has to rely so much on their defense with how limited they are offensively. Texas A&M has been excellent defensively, holding opposing teams to just 39.4% shooting, which is the 8th best mark in the country. Kentucky isn't far behind, as they only allow teams to shoot 40.8% (31st). Both of these teams also rank outside the Top 240 in both 3-point shooting and free throw percentage. I'll take my chances with a total in the 140s given these circumstances every time. Give me the UNDER 141.5!

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Wizards -6)

I'll take my chances here with Washington having their way with the Bulls. The Wizards have been playing extremely well without their All-Star point guard in John Wall. They have lost their last two games, but one was a road game against a Philly team that's playing as well as anyone on their home court and the other against the Celtics at home, who were out for revenge from a Christmas Day loss. I think we see Washington get back on track here against a Bulls team that is poised for a long second half of the season. I also think this is a tough spot for Chicago, who really invested a lot into last night's game against the Timberwolves, as it was the big return home for former Bulls Jimmy Butler and Taj Gibson. They already traded away a big part of their offensive in Mirotic and now will rest LaVine in the second game of a back-to-back and Kris Dunn is still out with a concussion. Give me the Wizards -6! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Michigan State -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Spartans as a slim 3-point home favorite against Purdue. Michigan State has won 7 straight, but aren't getting a ton of love during this run, as they have gone just 2-4-1 ATS during this stretch. I think a big reason for the Spartans not being as dominant as most would expect, is all the off-court drama they had to deal with during the Nassar deal. That's no longer on the front page of the news and I expect Izzo to have Michigan State locked in for this one. I also think they are catching Purdue in a good spot. The Boilermakers just played a huge game at home against Ohio State on Wednesday and lost in heartbreaking fashion 63-64. Those close losses are tough to bounce back from, especially on the road. Give me the Spartans -3!  

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 160)

I think the OVER is worth a look here in Saturday's ACC action that has in-state rivals NC State and North Carolina going to battle. These two teams played once already this season and combined for 186 points in the Wolfpack's 95-91 win at UNC. It was the 3 straight meeting in the series that saw the two teams combined for at least 163 points. NC State is averaging 87.5 ppg at home and I think they will have plenty of success here as they catch the Tar Heels off that big win over Duke Thursday. On the flip side of this, North Carolina should put up a big number here as they have scored 80 or more in 5 of their last 7 and NC State isn't a great defensive team. Give me the OVER 160! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS SLAUGHTER (Maryland -4.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Terrapins laying a short number at home against Northwestern. Maryland has is just 1-4 in their last 5, but 3 of those came on the road, where they are a mere 3-8 on the season. The lone loss at home during this run was to one of the best teams in the country in Michigan State. Even with that loss the Terps are 13-2 at home, winning by an average of 16 ppg. Northwestern has won 4 of 5, but I think that's helping this number. The Wildcats are just 4-7 on the road, where they are getting outscored by 8 ppg. Maryland is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs a team with a losing road record and 11-3 in their last 14 home games off a loss by 6 points or less. Give me the Terrapins -4.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Jazz -5.5)

I'll take my chances here with Utah in what I think is horrible spot for the Hornets. Charlotte just played an overtime game last night in Portland, where they used all the energy they had in rallying from 17 down in the 4th quarter to force overtime. Not only are they on no rest after logging some heavy minutes, but Utah is already one of the more difficult places to play for opposing teams because of the high altitude. On top of all that, Utah is on a roll right now. The Jazz have gone 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games and had scored 120 or more in 4 straight before grinding out a win against the Grizzlies last time out. Charlotte has allowed 105 or more in 6 straight games and  have allowed their opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field in 5 of those 6 games. Give me the Jazz -5.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 198)

My money is on the Bucks and Heat finishing well below the total set by the books on Friday. Milwaukee comes in having won 3 straight and are 7-1 over their last 8 games. During this stretch the Bucks are the No. 1 rated team in the league in defensive efficiency. Part of that is the tempo they are playing at, as they rank 25th in pace over this run. Miami has been playing this way all season, as the Heat are 28th in pace and 8th in defensive efficiency. I also think we get a big time defensive effort here from Miami on their home floor having lost 5 straight and allowing 100+ in each of their last 4. Give me the UNDER 198! 

50* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (76ers -4.5) 

I'll gladly back the 76ers at home here against the Pelicans. Philadelphia comes in off a 115-102 win at home over a Wizards team that has been playing extremely well and I think we are seeing a boost in effort here from the 76ers after watching the Eagles win the Super Bowl. The other big key here is just how well Philadelphia has been playing at home, where they have won 7 straight with all 7 of those wins coming by at least 6 points. I think we could see a much bigger margin of victory here, as the Pelicans are just 1-4 since losing Cousins to injury. The only win came at OKC, where they caught the Thunder were playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set after a game in Denver the night before. It was also their 5th game in 7 nights. They simply had nothing left in the tank. That won't be the case here with the 76ers having had the last two days off and note that the other 4 games they lost, they lost all 4 by 9 or more points. Give me the 76ers -4.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Blazers -3.5) 

Few teams have been playing as well as Portland has at home since the start of the new year. The Blazers are a perfect 7-0 at home since the calendar turned to 2018. They have an offensive efficiency rating of 117.5 during this stretch, which is the best mark on a home floor of any team. That offense figures to be in store for another big game here against the Hornets, who have seemingly forgot how to play defense. Charlotte has allowed 114.4 ppg in their last 5 games and all 5 opponents during this stretch have shot 51% or better from the floor. Another key factor here is we can bank on a big effort from the Blazers after losing 3 straight. All of which were on the road. The first two were at Toronto and Boston and the last against at Detroit, which is playing their best basketball since acquiring Blake Griffin in a trade. Give me the Blazers -3.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 139.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Thursday's AAC action between Houston and SMU finishing below the number set here by the books. SMU just recently lost leading scoring Shake Milton (18 ppg) to a hand injury. Keep in mind not that long ago they lost Jarrey Foster, who is second on the team in scoring (13.2 ppg). The Mustangs are a team that likes to grind it out and rely on their defense and come in ranked near the bottom of the country in terms of pace of play. They are going to have to slow things down even more and really lock in defensively if they want to keep it competitive against the Cougars. The big question is can they score enough against a very good Houston defense that is allowing opponents to shoot just 39.5% from the field on the season, which is the 13th best mark in the nation. Give me the UNDER 139.5! 

40* DUKE/UNC PRIME TIME MASSACRE (Over 165)

I think we are in store for a ton of offensive fireworks in tonight's anticipated showdown between Duke and North Carolina. These are two of the most explosive offenses in the country and both love to push the tempo, which I believe is going to have this game flying over the total set here by the books. Duke is averaging 89.6 ppg and UNC has scored 90+ in two of their last 3 games and are averaging 88.7 ppg at home. I just don't think either team is good enough defensively to slow down the other side and it would take a horrific shooting night by both sides for this not to go over the mark. Give me the OVER 165! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 148)

I'll take my chances here with Wyoming and Utah State eclipsing the total set here by the books. Wyoming features an explosive offense that averages 79.1 ppg (60th) and they are an even better 82.3 ppg at home. A big reason for that is they like to push the tempo, which has also led to some shaky defense, as they are giving up 78.4 ppg. I think Utah State has more than enough fire-power offensively to hang with the Cowboys and I wouldn't be shocked if we saw both teams surpass 80 points to fly over this total. Keep in mind these two played in late January and combined for 162 points and have eclipsed the total in each of their last 4 meetings, with all 4 seeing at least 155 points. Give me the OVER 148! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 209) 

Lot of factors here working in favor of tonight's game between the Pistons and Nets going under the mark set by the books. Detroit has really come alive with the recent trade that landed them Blake Griffin. They have won 4 straight with each of the last 3 coming at home. In those 3 home wins the defense has been excellent and I expect another big effort here as I look for them to ride the momentum they got going into the break. Offensively they have been shooting great, eclipsing 50% in each of their last 2 games, but also only scored 111 points in those two games. That kind of shooting isn't sustainable and chances are we don't see a 3rd straight game over 50%. Brooklyn just played a high-scoring game last night at home against the Rockets, but had really been struggling offensively of late. I could see them coming out flat here and that could easily lead to a blowout and even greater chance this stays under the mark. Give me the UNDER 209! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 131)

I think the number here is high enough that there's a really good chance this game stays UNDER the mark. Anytime Virginia is involved in a game you have to expect a low scoring game. The average score in their games this season is just 121 points and it's even lower at 117.4 in conference play. The fact that FSU comes in averaging 91.2 ppg on their home floor is definitely playing into this number. I just don't see the Seminoles coming close to that mark against Virginia, who hasn't allowed more than 64 points in a single ACC game. What people will overlook with FSU is how good a team they are defensively. Opponents are shooting just 40.9% against them, which is the 39th best mark in the country. They should be able to hold their own against the Cavaliers offense, who like to grind each possession on the offensive side of the ball. Give me the UNDER 131! 

50* ATLANTIC 10 GAME OF THE MONTH (Duquesne +8)

I love the price we are getting here with the Dukes as a near double-digit dog against the Flyers on Wednesday. Duquesne comes in at 15-9 and are 6-5 in A-10 play, while Dayton is just 10-12 and 4-6 in conference action. These two teams played once earlier this season on the Dukes' home floor and they won 70-62 as 3.5-point home dog. The books were way off with that line and I don't think they have come close to making the proper adjustments here. Offensively both of these teams come in right around 73 ppg, but it's a whole different story on the defensive side. Duquesne is only giving up 67.3 ppg, which is the 59th best mark in the country. Dayton is allowing 72.9 ppg, which is 201st. Note the defense hasn't been a whole lot better at home like it is for a lot of teams, as they give up 72.4 ppg at home. I actually think there's a decent chance the Flyers lose this game outright. Note they are just 1-4 in their last 5 games with the only win a 1-point victory at home over Davidson. Give me the Dukes +8! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Hawks -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Atlanta laying a short number at home against the Grizzlies. The big thing here is Memphis is holding out one of their best players in Tyreke Evans due to the team trying to trade him before the deadline. Evans has been the Grizzlies biggest playmaker offensively this year, as he leads the team in scoring (19.5 ppg) and assists (5.0 ppg). He's also been their biggest 3-point threat. He's sat the last 3 games and Memphis has lost all 3 and are averaging just 96.3 ppg. I know the Hawks are a bad team, but they gained some confidence with a late rally and 99-96 win at New York last time out. Atlanta has also won 6 straight at home against Western Conference teams and are facing a Grizzlies side that is a mere 5-19 on the road, with just 3 wins in their last 18 road games against a team from the east. Give me the Hawks -3! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Raptors -4.5) 

I think we are getting the right price to back Toronto at home against the Celtics tonight. Boston not only has the best record in the Eastern Conference, but they are also 32-18 ATS this season. They have also been winning and covering without some of their best players. I think all of that has them way overvalued here on the road against the Raptors, who will be out to make a statement. Toronto is just 2-games back of Boston in the east. They have had one of the biggest home court advantages in the league this season. The Raptors are 21-4 at home, where they are outscoring teams by more than 11 ppg. I think a big key here is that Toronto is the much more efficient offensive team and can match the intensity that Boston brings on the defensive side of the ball. Give me the Raptors -4.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bucks -1.5) 

Milwaukee is now 6-1 in the 7 games since firing Jason Kidd and have won each of their first two games since Jabari Parker joined the rotation for the first time this year. The Knicks on the other hand have lost 3 straight and are just 5-13 in their last 18 games. Last time out they lost at home to the Hawks off all teams, which I really think says a lot about how this team is playing right now. I know these two teams just played in Milwaukee and the Bucks squeaked out a 92-90 win, but I think the fact New York was competitive is creating value with this line. Note that in that last game against the Knicks the Bucks were playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. New York is also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, while Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Bucks -1.5! 

40* TENN/KENTUCKY PRIME-TIME MASSACRE (Under 141) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Tuesday's SEC showdown between Kentucky and Tennessee finishing below the total of 141. For starters, the UNDER is 15-5-2 in the last 22 meetings overall in the series and is 9-1-2 in the last 12 games played at Kentucky. One of the big strengths of this Volunteers team is their 3-point shooting. They average 8 made 3-pointers a game and are shooting 39.8% from long distance. That plays right into the strength of the Kentucky defense, which is 3rd in the country at defending the 3-pointer, holding teams to just 28.9% from long-distance (even better at 27.1% at home). The other big key here is the Vols are very strong defensively, holding teams to just 40.6% shooting from the field. They matchup well here with a Kentucky offense that doesn't have a lot of outside shooting. Note they only scored 65 points in the first meeting vs the Vols and shot 46% from the field. Give me the UNDER 141! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 122.5)

These two teams played UCF back on Jan. 16th and combined for a whopping 87 points in a 49-38 Cincinnati win. Not a big surprise given how good both of these teams are defensively. The Bearcats are 2nd in the country, allowing just 56.8 ppg and are holding opponents to just 36.6% shooting, which is the 2nd best mark. The Knights are 3rd in the nation, giving up just 60.6 ppg and are holding opponents to just 38.6% shooting (5th). Chances are they will score more than the 87 points they combined for in the first meeting this season, but I don't think we see a big enough spike here to where they eclipse the mark here. UNDER is a ridiculous 40-15 in Cincinnati's last 55 home games vs a team with a winning road record and 9-2 in the Knights last 11 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. UNDER is also 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in the series. Give me the UNDER 122.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pistons -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Detroit as a slim home favorite against the Blazers on Monday. The trade for Blake Griffin has really lit a fire under this Pistons team, which has won all 3 games since acquiring him. I think they have a great shot here at home to keep it going, as they are catching the Blazers at the perfect time. Portland just played yesterday at Boston and suffered a crushing 96-97 loss with the Celtics winning at the buzzer. Now they are playing on no rest in what will be their 3rd road game in the last 4 days and 5th game in the last 7 overall. Give me the Pistons -2.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Pacers -1.5) 

Indiana has won 6 straight and are 8-1 in their last 9 home games overall. That makes them an easy play here for me as a slim 1.5-point home favorite Monday against the Wizards. Washington has surprised a lot of people by going 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in the 4 games since losing John Wall to injury, but I think it has them way overvalued here on the road. Washington is just 18-32 ATS in their last 50 off a road win and are a mere 5-14 ATS in their last 19 when they come in having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Give me the Pacers -1.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Louisville -7) 

My money is on the Cardinals to not just win at home Monday against Syracuse, but put a beating on the Orange. Louisville is going to be all business after losing a close one at home against Florida State on Saturday. That was the Cardinals first home loss in ACC play, as their previous 3 had been on the road against the likes of Clemson, Miami and Virginia. Louisville has won and covered all 3 meetings with the Orange over the last 3 seasons and are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games at home against Syracuse. The Orange come in off a 15-point home loss to Virginia and are just 4-6 in ACC play with their only road win at Pitt, who they have beat twice, which is the worst team in the league. I just don't think they will have enough gas in the tank here, as they used a mere 6-man rotation against Virginia (4 players played 35 or more minutes, 3 played all 40 minutes). Give me the Cardinals -7! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Tulane +2) 

I think this is an ideal spot to go against Temple. The Owls are in a massive letdown spot after their big come-from-behind overtime win at home against No. 16 Wichita State as a 7-point dog. I think it has the Owls overvalued here on the road, where they are just 6-6 on the season. Tulane clearly isn't perceived to be on the same level as Temple, but both of these teams have 4 wins in conference play and the big key here for me i the Green Wave are 9-3 at home this season. They have also won each of their last two games as home dogs, beating Houston 81-72 as a 7-point dog and SMU 73-70 as a 8.5-point dog. It's also important to note we know that Tulane matches up well with the Owls, as they went into Temple earlier this season and won 85-75 as a 10-point dog. Give me the Green Wave +2! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -1)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Blazers to pull out a road win over the Celtics on Sunday. This is a big bounce back spot for Portland, who suffered an embarrassing 25-point loss at Toronto on Friday. Prior to that the Blazers had won 4 straight and are 7-2 in their last 9 overall. Big key here is the Celtics are depleted due to injuries. Marcus Smart is still out with an injury and both Kyrie Irving and Marcus Morris will not suit up for this one. I just don't think Boston will have the offensive fire-power to pull out the win. Give me the Blazers -1! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS SHOCKER (Heat +3.5) 

I think we are getting a good price here on the Heat as a dog against the Pistons. I think Detroit is getting a little too much love here. The Pistons were able to win their first game with Blake Griffin in the lineup, but it was a mere 2-point home win over Memphis, who isn't a very good team. I think it's going to take time for the Pistons to figure things out with Blake and I look for them to struggle here offensively against the Heat. Miami plays exceptional defense and are well-coached as any team in the league. I think we get a big effort here from them off back-to-back losses. Give me the Heat +3.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pacers -1.5)

This is simply too good a price to pass up on the Pacers at home. Indiana has been playing like an elite team on their home floor here of late and I think they will be the more motivated side here. Pacers are off a loss at Charlotte on Friday, while the 76ers nearly let a huge lead slip away in a 6-point win at home over the Heat. I was on Philadelphia in that win and had Charlotte as a free pick over the Pacers, so neither of those results surprised me. I just think the 76ers are getting too much love here. Sure Embiid is playing for the first time on a back-to-back, but this is still a big letdown spot for Philadelphia and a big bounce back spot for Indiana, who is 31-17 ATS in their last 48 home games when revenging a road loss. Give me the Pacers -1.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Mississippi State -3) 

I'll gladly lay just 3-points at home with Mississippi State against Georgia. Mississippi State is a team that I think is flying under the radar right now. They followed up a 12-point win at home over Missouri with a 81-76 win at South Carolina as a 4.5-point dog. They are just 4-5 in SEC play, but 4 of the 5 losses have come on the road. Mississippi State is a dominant 14-1 at home this season, where they are winning by close to 15 ppg. Georgia is coming in off a big upset win over Florida, but I just think that was more of the Gators not showing up to play, as Georgia only shot 39.7% in the win. Georgia is also not a great road team, which makes this an easy play for me. Give me Mississippi State -3! 

40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS BLOWOUT (Iowa +9) 

The price is right here to take a shot on the Hawkeyes as a near double-digit dog against the Nittany Lions. While Penn State beat Iowa in Iowa City earlier this season, that was a closely contested game that could have went either way. I think it's a good indicator that the Hawkeyes will be able to keep it competitive, despite their road woes in Big 10 play. Nittany Lions have failed to cover the spread each of the last 6 times they have been a favorite of 6.5 to 9 points and have lost on average by 6.4 ppg in these contests. Give me the Hawkeyes +9! 

50* NCAAB BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH (Marquette -5) 

I think this is the ideal spot to jump on the Golden Eagles. I think we are getting a good price here on Marquette with them coming in off back-to-back losses and the most recent being a 20-point home loss to Butler as a 2.5-point favorite. A lot of people had the Eagles in that game against Butler, but what they failed to factor in is how hard it is to bounce back from a heartbreaking loss like they had in their 82-85 defeat to Villanova. Marquette has also had problems against that Bulldogs team. The Golden Eagles are 15-5 in their last 20 and 9-1 in their last 10 at home against Providence. Tough spot here for the Friars playing their 3rd straight on the road. Last time out they lost big at Seton Hall and are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games off a conference loss by 10 or more points. Give me Marquette -5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Virginia Tech -4) 

I'll jump on the Hokies here as a small home favorite Saturday against Miami. Virginia Tech is coming into this game playing their best basketball of the season. It started with a 80-69 win at home over UNC as a 3.5-point dog. They then when on the road and won and covered against both Notre Dame and Boston College. I expect another huge effort here at home against the Hurricanes, as this would be a big win for the resume. More than anything I just don't feel this is a big enough number given the Hokies are 11-2 at home. Va Tech is also 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games after covering 3 straight and are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3-point shots. Hurricanes are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 off a win. Give me the Hokies -4! 

50* NCAAB BIG 12 GAME OF THE MONTH (TCU -4) 

I'll gladly back the Horned Frogs at this price on their home floor against the Red Raiders. TCU is a team on a mission and simply are flying a bit under the radar right now due to their 3-5 record over their last 8 games. The thing is all 5 of those losses came by 5-points or less. and the only home loss they have suffered in Big 12 play was a 4-point defeat to Kansas. Texas Tech has won 3 straight and are off that thrilling win at home over Texas, but this is a team that has not been good on the road in Big 12 play and I think their road woes continue here against a TCU team that is 11-2 on their home floor this season. Give me the Horned Frogs -4! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Thunder -5) 

The spot here for OKC isn't great, but I think the price is right here to back the Thunder at home. OKC got off to an awful start last night at Denver before nearly coming way back for a win. I think the way they finished that game is a positive they will carry over to their home floor, where they are 19-7 on the season. I also think playing at home will help with the lack of rest that OKC will be dealing with. The other big thing here is the Pelicans are in the midst of a major transition, as they try to adjust to the loss of DeMarcus Cousins. This team I think had hope it could figure something out with Cousins and be a factor in the postseason, but now they know this year is a lost cause. Adding Mirotic will help ease the loss, but he's not playing tonight and I think we see this team continue to struggle, especially on the road in a hostile environment. Give me the Thunder -5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (76ers -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Philadelphia laying a short number at home against the Heat. I think we are getting value here due to the 76ers coming off a loss at Brooklyn as a 8-point favorite and have failed to cover 3 straight overall. Miami on the other hand is a team I think people are a little afraid to bet against, as they have been playing well. For me, I just think the 76ers have such a big home court edge and this isn't a great spot for the Heat, who are playing third straight on the road and fresh off that crushing 89-91 loss to the Cavs. I also think Simmons takes this game personal. Simmons wanted to be an All-Star and might not be all that happy about Miami's Goran Dragic being named to the team yesterday after the Kevin Love injury. Give me the 76ers -4! 

50* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH (Raptors -4) 

I think we are getting a great price here on Toronto at home against the Blazers. The Raptors have one of the best records on their home floor this season. They are also a team that for whatever reason doesn't get as much love as you typically see for a team that is 34-16 (4th best record in the league). I know they just lost at Washington last night and the Wizards didn't have Wall, but sometimes it's hard to get up for games when a team is missing a star player. Either way, that loss should have them locked in for tonight's game. Portland has won 4 straight and are 7-1 in their last 8, but I'm not a believer in this team and this latest run has been more of a result in a very favorable portion of their schedule. Give me the Raptors -4! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT TNT KNOCKOUT (Nuggets +1) 

I'll take a shot here with Denver as a home dog against the Thunder. OKC had won 8 straight games before going on the road and laying an egg in Tuesday's 96-102 loss to the Wizards, who were playing without John Wall. I think the Thunder have a tough time bouncing back off the long trip from D.C. to Denver. The Nuggets on the other hand are going to be excited to test their talents against one of the top teams in the league in front of a nationally audience. I think Denver not only wins this game, but does so rather convincingly. Give me the Nuggets +1! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +3.5) 

I've liked what I have seen from Washington without John Wall. The defensive intensity has been turned up a notch and the ball isn't sticking on the offensive side of the ball. A lot of people forget that Wall has missed a bunch of games already this season, so it's not like the Wizards don't know how to play without him. In fact, each of the two previous meetings this season against the Raptors were without Wall. Washington played well in both, winning the first meeting 107-96 at Toronto and losing by just 9 in the other meeting at Toronto. Raptors were only around a 7-point home favorite in those two games and based on those lines this game in Washington should be closer to a pick'em. Give me the Wizards +3.5! 

50* AMERICAN ATHLETIC GAME OF THE MONTH (Temple +7) 

I'll gladly take the points here with the Owls at home against nationally ranked Wichita State. The Shockers come in off a pair of wins at home, but prior to that they lost at home to SMU and on the road at Houston by 14 points. Wichita St has a target on their back in the first season in the AAC and I expect Temple to lay it all on the line here against the Shockers at home. Temple won 3 of their last 4 with the only loss being a road defeat to Cincinnati, which is nothing to be ashamed about. This is also a team that went on the road and beat SMU and nearly upset the Bearcats on their home floor. This team has also gone 21-9 ATS under Dunphy when matched up with high-scoring teams that average 77+ points/game at least 15 games into the season. They are also 4-1 AATS in their last 5 at home vs a team with a winning road record, while the Shockers are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs a team that's won 60% or more of their home games. Give me the Owls +7! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Blazers -7) 

I think this is a great spot to go against the Bulls. Chicago has been playing like a team that could compete for a playoff spot in the east since Nikola Mirotic returned from the injury suffered in the preseason fight with Bobby Portis. While it was nice to see, the Bulls don't exactly want to win now and Mirotic has been rumored in trades left and right the past couple of days. He's on the injury report as questionable with leg injury. They say he's available, but I just don't think they want him to play, as Zipser has already been named the starter for rookie Lauri Markkanen, who is out for personal reasons. They also still don't have starting point guard Kris Dunn. I think the news of Mirotic basically out the door takes away some of the fight of this Bulls team. Portland has been playing well and I think they lay it on Chicago at home. Give me the Blazers -7! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBUT ATS KNOCKOUT (Alabama -5.5) 

I think the price is right here to roll the Crimson Tide. Alabama is playing as well as they have all season. The Crimson Tide have won 5 of 6, which includes a 7-point win over Trae Young and the Sooners last time out. They also have a win over Auburn during this run, the only team to beat the Tigers in SEC play. Missouri on the other hand has lost 3 straight and are 1-4 in their last 5. The Tigers have not been nearly as good on the road as they have at home and Alabama has big time home court edge. They are 10-1 at home, behind an offensive attack that averages 77.5 ppg and shoots 51% from the field. Give me the Crimson Tide -5.5! 

40* NBA BOOKIE ATS MASSACRE (Knicks +8.5) 

I like New York to cover the spread here prior to the news that Irving wouldn't play. I like it just as much without him (even at the new line). Boston is in a really tough spot here coming off a long road trip and grueling game to conclude the trip at Denver. I think it's smart the Celtics choose to rest Irving in a game they likely weren't going to play well in given the circumstances. The Knicks should still show up here and without Irving I think New York has an excellent shot at winning this game outright. Give me the Knicks +8.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Georgia Tech +1) 

I think Syracuse is getting way too much respect here as a road favorite against the Yellow Jackets. The Orange have won 3 straight, but two of those are against the worst team in the league in Pitt and the other was a home game against BC. Prior to this run Syracuse had lost 4 straight. With a massive home game against Virginia looming on deck, I think we see the Orange struggle to match the intensity of Georgia Tech, who I don't think will take too kindly to being an underdog at home. Give me the Yellow Jackets +1! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Penn St +13.5) 

I'll take a shot here with the Nittany Lions as a double-digit dog against Michigan State. There's no questioning the talent with the Spartans. I just think all the outside drama going on at the program isn't the easiest thing to play around. This line isn't just requiring them to beat the Nittany Lions, but blow them out. This is a talented Penn State team that's playing well and will give everything they got against a team like Michigan State. Give me the Nittany Lions +13.5! 

40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS DESTROYER (Texas A&M -5.5) 

I think we are getting a great price here to back the Aggies at home in what feels like a must-win game. We also are seeing value here because of the fact that Texas A&M is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. Injuries and suspensions got this team off track, but they are near full strength right now and have been playing much better. They are also still a strong 9-2 at home and are taking on an Arkansas team that is 4-5 on the road this season and just 1-3 away from home in SEC play. Give me the Aggies -5.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 222) 

Houston is going to be without Trevor Ariza and more than likely Chris Paul. I don't think losing those two is going slow down this offense at all against Orlando. The Magic have been right there with the Cavs and Suns in terms of the worst defensive play of late and I don't see them keeping this explosive Houston offense in check, especially when you consider that Magic struggle to defense the 3-point line and no team shoots more 3's than the Rockets. These two played at the very beginning of this month and the Rockets scored 116 without James Harden (shot 44% from 3). The two teams did only combine for 114 points, but that was with Orlando shooting a mere 38.5% from the field. No Paul and Ariza takes away from the defensive mentality of Houston and I just don't see this being a game they are going to be all that motivated to lockdown the Magic. Give me the OVER 222. 

50* NBA VEGAS  SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors -6) 

I just think the price is right here to back Toronto at home against Minnesota tonight. The Timberwolves aren't playing well at the moment. They are just 3-5 SU in their last 8 games and a big reason for their struggles is the schedule makers weren't kind to Minnesota. While they haven't played more than 3 straight on the road, they also haven't played more than 1 game in a row at home since a 5 game home straight that ended way back on 1/14. This team has basically traveled from one spot to another for each of their last 9 games. Toronto has been flying under the radar and are a very tough team to beat on their home floor. I think the Raptors show up and make a statement here. Give me Toronto -6! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (TCU PK) 

These two teams both come in at 3-5 in Big 12 play, but I don't see these two as even teams on the court. I give the edge here to TCU, whose 5 conference losses have all come back by 5 or fewer points. The Cowboys simply aren't on the same level as the Horned Frogs and we are at the points now where TCU can't afford to lose. Oklahoma State also banged up right now and have a big looked ahead game on deck at Kansas. My money is on the Horned Frogs to find away to win one of these close games. Give me TCU! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Ohio St -10) 

The Buckeyes perfect 9-0 start to Big Ten play came to end in a 79-82 loss at home to Penn State as a 10-point favorite. Ohio State lost the game despite shooting 56% from the field, because of a horrible defensive effort, where they allowed the Nittany Lions to shoot 58% on the road. I think that loss will turn into a positive for this Buckeyes team and will at least have them locked in for this game against Indiana. 

I just don't think the Hoosiers can hang here. They are coming off a crushing home loss to rival Purdue, where they had a chance to win that game and have struggled to play well on the road inside conference play. Hoosiers also suffered another injury inside, losing forward Collin Hartman, which only makes the loss of De'Ron Davis that much bigger. Give me the Buckeyes -10! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Nuggets -1) 

I think it's worth a shot here to back Denver. The public is simply going to look at this matchup and see that Boston is 35-15 and one of the best teams in the league, while Denver is barely over .500 at 26-23 and jump all over the Celtics at basically a pick'em. Note the public just got a great taste of this Boston team in Saturday's prime-time game against the Warriors, where they covered and almost won outright as 11-point dogs. The public will just assume that same Celtics team is going to take the floor two days later in Denver, but that's just not the case. There's a better chance Boston struggles to find a way to get up for this game. It won't help that they are short-handed without a key reserve in Marcus Smart and potentially another reserve in Terry Rozier, who is questionable with an ankle injury. Give me the Nuggets -1! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 131) 

These two teams played at Nebraska back on 1/9 and combined for 122 points with a similar total (132) to what we have here. I don't see why we shouldn't expect a similar defensive battle in the rematch. One of the reasons I think we aren't seeing a lower total is the fact that Nebraska comes in off a game against Iowa where the two teams combined for 182 points. That's more of a result of who they played than anything. Iowa is a team that opens the game way up and offers little to no resistance on defense. Prior to that contest the Cornhuskers hadn't scored more than 74 in 9 straight games. They also have had struggles offensively on the road in Big Ten play, scoring 62 or fewer in 4 of 6 road games. Wisconsin only scored 67 against Iowa and are averaging a mere 62.8 ppg in Big Ten Play. Key here is I think the Badgers play hard defensively at home and that should put us in a great spot to cash this ticket. Give me the UNDER 131!

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pacers -3) 

This is simply too good a price to pass up on the Pacers at home against a mediocre opponent like the Hornets. Indiana fell way-behind and didn't cover in a 2-point win at home against the Magic in their last game. I think that is keeping this number much lower than it needs to be. It wasn't that big of a surprise to see the Pacers not play well against Orlando. The Magic are an awful team, so there's little to get excited about playing and they were coming off a huge game at Cleveland the night before. I expect a locked in Pacers side tonight, while the Hornets could be the ones struggling to get going. Charlotte is playing for the 3rd time in 4 days and fresh off a crushing 91-95 loss to division rival Miami. They are also mere 6-14 away from home on the season. Give me the Pacers -3! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Lakers +10) 

I'll take my chances here with the Lakers as a double-digit dog against the Raptors on Sunday. LA is playing some of their best basketball of the season right now. They have won 4 straight and are 8-2 in their last 10. However, they are just 19-29 overall and Toronto comes in at 32-15 and are perceived to have a huge home court advantage. The thing is the Raptors aren't playing well right now and it's not uncommon for teams to go into a funk before the All-Star break. Toronto is just 4-5 in their last 9 and have gone just 1-5 ATS in their last 6. Given how these two teams are playing, I wouldn't be shocked if the Lakers won this game outright. Give me LA +10! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Georgia Tech +2.5) 

I think we are getting a great price here with Georgia Tech catching points at home against Clemson. The Yellow Jackets come in having lost 3 straight, but that's more of a result of their schedule taking a brutal turn for the worst. First they had to host Virginia, who might be the best team in the ACC and then had to play back-to-back road games at UNC and Florida St. Prior to that this team had turned a corner and I think we see a big time effort at home today. As for Clemson, they are struggling a bit right now. They have lost 3 of 5 and are just 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7. I think the wrong team is favored in this one. Give me the Yellow Jackets +2.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Bucks -2)

I think Chicago is starting to feel the loss of starting point guard Kris Dunn, who had really turned a corner this season. He's still out with a concussion and the offense has sputtered without him here of late. However, I think the line here is reflecting how good the Bulls have been of late and the fact that while Milwaukee is off a win, they are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. I just think the coaching change was a blessing for this team and they played one of their better games of the season last time out against the Nets, shooting 52% from the field and going 12 of 23 from long-distance. Antetokounmpo looked refreshed after the long layoff, scoring 41 points with 13 rebounds and 7 assists. I think he keeps it going and the Bucks aren't going to overlook this game having already lost twice at home to the Bulls. Give me Milwaukee -2! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Wake Forest +9) 

I like this spot for the Demon Deacons, as they are getting a big number against a Louisville team that is coming off a crushing loss at Miami in their last game. The Cardinals led most of the way, but couldn't finish the job in a 3-point loss. Those games you let get away that you should have won are the toughest to bounce back from, especially against a mediocre team like Wake Forest and a massive game looming on deck at Virginia. Give me the Demon Deacons +9! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS BLOWOUT (Hawks +5.5) 

Atlanta burned me last night. The Hawks led 110-109 with less than 3 minutes to play and were getting 7. They proceeded to allow the Hornets to close the game on a 13-0 run to win by 11. As bad as that was to stomach, I'm going to fire right back with them on Saturday at home against the Wizards. Washington isn't playing well at all right now and have a major problem of playing down to their competition. Wizards are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games vs a team with a losing record and 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 road games vs a team with a losing home record. Give me the Hawks +5.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SHOCKER (Pistons +4) 

This line makes no sense. Oklahoma City has won 6 straight and covered 3 of their last 4, while Detroit has lost 6 straight and are 1-5 ATS during this stretch. The public won't be able to get to the ticket window fast enough to pound the Thunder. I'm going to side with the books here, who clearly see an edge for the Pistons in this one, or they would have set this line a lot higher given the state of these two teams. OKC is just 5-14 ATS vs the eastern conference this season and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games after 4 or more wins. Detroit is also 13-3 ATS in their last 16 when listed as a dog of 3.5 to 9 points. Give me the Pistons +4! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rutgers +8.5) 

This Rutgers team is a lot better than they get credit for and I think they are going to give the Nittany Lions all they can handle this afternoon. Penn State is in a major letdown spot here after their 82-79 win at Ohio State as a 10-point dog, where they won the game on a last second shot at the buzzer. Prior to that win and cover the Nittany Lions had been way overvalued, as they failed to cover each of their previous 4 games and were just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 lined games. Penn State is also 0-6 ATS over the last 3 seasons when listed as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points, while Rutgers is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after failing to cover their last game. Give me the Scarlet Knights +8.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Alabama +2.5) 

*Analysis Coming* 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Georgia +7.5) 

I think the price is right here to back the Bulldogs. Kansas State comes in riding high on a 3-game winning streak, which includes wins over Oklahoma, TCU and Baylor. They have also covered 5 straight. Georgia on the other hand is just 1-4 in their last 5. I believe all of that is playing into this inflated line here. I think the Bulldogs are going to be the more desperate team here, as they really need to win this game, while K-State is likely looking ahead to their home game against Kansas on Monday, where they have serious revenge from a 1-point loss at Kansas a few weeks back. Give me Georgia +7.5! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS NO BRAINER (Baylor +6.5) 

I think we are getting a big enough number here to take a shot on the Bears. Baylor is simply undervalued right now after going just 2-6 in their last 8 games. While a loss is a loss, 3 of those defeats were by 3-points or less and only 1 was by more than 10 points. Florida is a good team, but did just lose at home to a very mediocre South Carolina squad 72-77 as a 10.5-point favorite. Baylor is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Bears +6.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 202)

I think we are going to see an offensive struggle tonight in San Antonio. The Spurs have had no choice but to slow things way down and rely on their defense to win games without Leonard. San Antonio ranks 29th in pace, a mere 17th in offensive efficiency and are 2nd in defensive efficiency. They lead the league, holding opponents to just 97.4 ppg (Celtics are the only other team holding opponents to fewer than 101.5 ppg. 76ers play at a little faster tempo, but are very similar otherwise, as they are 16th in offensive efficiency and 3rd in defensive efficiency. With the game being played in San Antonio, the Spurs should be able to force Philadelphia to play at their pace and I believe that's going to make it tough for either team to put up a lot of points. Note the 76ers recently played at Boston and that came finished with a mere 169 points. Give me the UNDER 202! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Nets +6.5) 

Brooklyn has been playing extremely well here of late and I think we are getting a great price to back them against the Bucks. Milwaukee just recently fired head coach Jason Kidd, which didn't sit well with the "Greek Freak" and I just question the direction of this team right now. They squeaked out a win at home against the Suns last time out, but failed to cover for their 7th time in their last 8 games. Brooklyn on the other hand has covered 3 straight and are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games. Key here is because they aren't considered to a good team and the public doesn't trust them, especially on the road, we continue to see them undervalued. Nets are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 vs the east, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 on the road and 21-8 ATS in their last 29 vs a team with a winning record. Give me Brooklyn +6.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 211)

With all the injuries that each of these teams are dealing with I think people just assume they don't have enough talent available to be any good offensively. Over the last 15 games these have been two of the most efficient offensive teams in the league with Memphis ranking 10th and the Clippers 5th. Defense has been optional for the Grizzlies and they come in having allowed 100+ in 3 straight games and face a Clippers offense that has scored 100+ in 18 straight. Only twice during this stretch has LA held an opponent under 100 points and in their last 3 they haven't allowed less than 113. I just think given how these two teams are playing this total is more than low enough to take a shot. Give me the OVER 211! 

50* NBA BOOKIE KNOCKOUT GAME OF THE MONTH (Bulls -4) 

I've made a ton of money on the Bulls during their 15-10 run over their last 25 games and I think we are getting them at a great price at home tonight against the Lakers. Chicago comes in off an ugly showing on the road against the 76ers Wednesday. You could see that bad outing coming, as they had just played a grueling double-overtime game two days earlier at New Orleans and were sick about the loss after playing a 15+ point lead in the final 5 minutes. I think we see a completely different team take the floor tonight and we are getting value on the line because LA comes in having won 7 of 9, but that's a bit of fools gold with all but one of those wins coming at home. Lakers aren't nearly as good on the road and I think they struggle to keep this competitive. Give me the Bulls -4! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Hawks +7) 

The Hawks have been playing much better here of late and I think we are getting a great price to back them against the Hornets. I haven't been impressed with Charlotte this season and they hav been overvalued often here of late. Hornets have failed to cover 3 straight. Atlanta did lose 93-108 at home to the Raptors last time out, but Toronto is one of the best teams in the league. That loss is actually a positive, as the Hawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 off a SU loss, 25-10 ATS in their last 35 off a double-digit loss at home and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 off a game where they failed to cover the spread. Hornets are just 8-19-1 ATS in their last 28 vs a team that's won less than 40% of their games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home. Give me the Hawks +7! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 214) 

These are two teams that can play at an elite level when they are locked in, but both have had their struggles with consistency and playing with that same energy against sub-par teams. I think we get a big time effort here from both sides, as their's a lot of star power and the game will be televised nationally on TNT. Washington averages 106.5 ppg on the season, but just 102.6 on the road, where they only shoot 44%. OKC only gives up 100.0 ppg at home and outside of that 148-point outburst against the Cavs, the offense hasn't been anything special. In fact, they have worse than 43% from the field in 4 of their last 6 games, including a mere 42.6% in their last game at home against the Nets. Give me the UNDER 214! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Michigan +10) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines as a double-digit dog against the Boilermakers. I just think we are seeing Purdue a little overpriced here due to their long winning streak and high national ranking. I know winning on the road in the Big Ten is no easy task, but we have seen this Wolverine team go on the road and knock off Michigan State by 10-points as a 9.5-point dog. They also have shown they can hang with this Boilermakers squad, losing by just 1-ponit at home to Purdue earlier this month. Coming off as easy as a win as they have had in Big Ten play at Iowa, I think the Boilermakers are on upset alert tonight. Give me the Wolverines +10!

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Connecticut +6) 

I'll take a shot here on the Huskies as a decently priced home dog against SMU. I know the Mustangs recently went on the road and beat Wichita State, but prior to that they were just 1-5 on the road. UConn is down this year, but are 8-2 at home and are going to be extremely motivated here after an ugly showing last time out at home against Villanova. SMU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs a team that's just won 60% or more of their home games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win. Give me the Huskies +6! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS NO BRAINER (Blazers -2) 

Portland is worth a look here as a short home favorite against the Timberwolves. Minnesota has been playing well of late, but are expected to be without both Jimmy Butler and Jamal Crawford for this one. This is already a team that doesn't have a ton of depth and I just don't see the focus or energy being their without those two tonight, especially with tomorrow's big game against Golden State looming in the back of their minds. Portland has won 3 of 4 and 6 straight at home and will be out for revenge from a recent loss at Minnesota on 1/14. Give me the Blazers -2! 

50* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE MONTH (Missouri -1.5) 

I think the line says it all here. Auburn comes into this game sitting at 17-2 overall, 5-1 in SEC play and ranked No. 19 in the country, yet are a dog to a Missouri side that is just 3-3 in their last 6 and fresh off an 11-point loss at Texas A&M. No question Auburn has been playing well, but a closer look at the schedule reveals they have had a relatively easy path so far and the books are telling you that with this line. I think we see Missouri come out fired up and catch Auburn sleep-walking a bit here and win this one going away. Give me Missouri -1.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Suns +7.5) 

Phoenix has quietly posted a 14-8 ATS mark on the road this season and have covered each of their last 3 on the road, including an outright win at Denver as a 9-point dog. Indiana comes in off a big upset win at San Antonio, but I think we see a flat Pacers team tonight, as they just recently finished up a 5-game west coast road trip and have a monster game on deck Friday night at Cleveland against LeBron and the Cavs. Suns are 7-2-1 ATS last 10 off a SU loss and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when playing on 2 days rest and just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games against Phoenix, including a 1-6 ATS mark in their last 7 at home vs the Suns. Give me Phoenix +7.5! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Hornets -2) 

Last time out the Pelicans pulled out a 132-128 win at home over the Bulls, but that was a game they had no business winning. Chicago blew a 17-point lead in the final 5 minutes and also missed a free throw that would have clinched it in the final seconds. New Orleans deserves credit for the comeback win, but it took 2 overtimes. Cousins logged 52 minutes, while Davis, Holiday, Moore and Miller all played 40+. I just don't think the Pelicans will be able to find the energy needed to win on the road over the Hornets. Charlotte has won 3 of their last 4 and 6 of 9 and are well rested playing their 4th straight at home. Give me the Hornets -2! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (S. Carolina +10.5) 

I think it's worth a shot here to jump on the Gamecocks as a double-digit dog against the Gators. I believe this is an ideal letdown spot for Florida, whose seniors just won for the first time at Kentucky last Saturday. A game you know the Gators had circled on their calendar for a long time. I think they have a hard time giving South Carolina the respect they deserve. As for the Gamecocks, I think we get an all-out effort here against the leaders of the SEC, especially off that loss at home to Tennessee, which wasn't a big surprise to me given they just upset Kentucky at home in their previous game. South Carolina is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games, while the Gators are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 at home and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 at home against a team with a winning road record. Give me the Gamecocks +10.5! 

50* NCAAB ACC GAME OF THE MONTH (Georgia Tech +10)

The Yellow Jackets are worth a look here as a 10-point dog against the Seminoles. Georgia Tech is just 10-9 overall, but have got off to a strong 3-3 start in ACC play with their only losses coming at Notre Dame and UNC and at home to Virginia. The poor overall record has a lot to do with their top players not being in the lineup. Leading score Josh Okogie has missed 8  games and second leading scorer Tadric Jackson has missed 3. This has been a much different team with these two healthy and as well as FSU has been playing, this is simply too many points for Georgia Tech to be catching in a game they could win outright. Give me the Yellow Jackets +10! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Marquette +7) 

I'll take my chances here with Marquette as a decent sized road dog against Big East rival Xavier. The Golden Eagles will be out for revenge from a crushing 87-91 home loss to the Musketeers earlier this season. Most will just assume Xavier will win by more now that they are the home team, but Marquette won by 11 as a 3.5-point dog in their last trip to Xavier. I also like the fact that the Golden Eagles are fresh for this contest, as they haven't played since last Monday. Xavier on the other hand is playing for the 3rd time in the last week. Marquette is 4-1 ATS last 5 on the road, while the Musketeers are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after covering the spread in their previous game. Give me the Golden Eagles +7! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Under 209)

It's no secret that the Celtics are one of the leagues best defensive teams. What I think a lot of people don't realize is how good the Lakers have been playing defensively here of late. In the Lakers last 8 games they rank 4th in the league in defensive efficiency (Celtics are No. 1). With this game being in front of a national audience on TNT, I think that only adds to the intensity both teams come out with on the defensive side of the ball. It's also worth noting that the Lakers don't play at near the frantic pace that we are use to without Ball in the lineup. What also gets overlooked is how much the Celtics are struggling offensively. Over their last 15 games only the Nets are worse in offensive efficiency. Give me the UNDER 209! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wake Forest +10)

I think it's worth a shot here to back the Demon Deacons as a double-digit home dog against the Blue Devils. Duke is a team that is almost always overvalued and even more so when facing a team like the Demon Deacons, who has a losing record and come in having lost 5 straight and 7 of 8 overall. Not to mention the Blue Devils already beat Wake Forest at home by 18 earlier this month. Most will assume that Duke will just roll here, but I think this is the ideal scenario where the Blue Devils don't take their opponent seriously and end up having to scratch out a win. Keep in mind Duke has a massive game on deck with Saturday's home contest against Virginia. It's also worth noting that last time out the Blue Devils rolled Pitt, so they are feeling good about themselves. It's a spot they have struggled with in the past, as they are just 1-8 ATS over the last 3 seasons in road games after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. Give me Wake Forest +10! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Minnesota -2) 

I love this spot for Minnesota as a short home favorite against Northwestern. The Golden Gophers are just 1-5 in their last 6 games which came after an impressive 13-3 start to the season. A big reason for that is they lost Reggie Lynch to a suspension and Amir Coffey had missed the previous 5 before returning in their last game against Ohio State. With Coffey back in the lineup, I think the Gophers are going to be a tough out for any team at home, where they are 10-3 on the season. I especially like their chances here against Northwestern, who is just 2-6 on the road, where they are giving up 74.1 ppg and allowing their opponents to shoot 50% from the field. Give me the Gophers -2! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Ole Miss -2.5) 

I think it's worth a shot here to back the Rebels as a short home favorite against the Crimson Tide. Ole Miss is just 10-9 on the season, but are 9-3 at home and have been a covering machine here of late, going 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games. While they are covering the number, they are just 2-4 SU in their last 6, which continues to have them undervalued. Alabama comes in having won 4 straight, but 3 of the 4 were at home. The Crimson Tide have a losing road record and could have a hard time here not looking ahead to Saturday's huge home game against Trae Young and the Sooners. I think the spot is right to back Ole Miss. Give me the Rebels -2.5!

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 214) 

The OVER is worth a look here in Tuesday's NBA action that has the Magic hosting the Kings. Orlando isn't a great defensive team and rank near the bottom of the league in defensive efficiency over their last 8 games. I don't see them being all that interested in playing defense against a bad team like the Kings. This is also a flat spot for them defensively off that upset win at Boston. Magic have allowed 112.4 ppg in their last 25 off an upset win as an underdog. 

In Sacramento's last 6 games they have allowed 120 or more 3 different times and don't figure to be playing a whole lot of defense tonight in the second game of a back-to-back on the road after last night's game in Charlotte. Orlando's offense has been much better of late and they are average 107.2 over their last 5. Both teams also rank in the Top 10 in terms of pace of play in their last 8 games. I think these two fly over the mark here. Give me the OVER 214! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Baylor -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bears at home against the Wildcats on Monday. Baylor is just 2-5 in Big 12 play, but a big reason for that is they have had to play 4 of their first 7 conference games on the road. They are 2-1 at home with the only loss being a mere 3-point defeat to TCU. Kansas State has been playing well, but I think this team is in a really tough spot here coming off two huge games at home against TCU and Oklahoma and playing on the road here with just 1 day off. I think we see the Bears jump on the Wildcats early and end up winning here by double-digits. Give me Baylor -5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Bulls +6.5) 

Chicago has been an absolute money-making machine since Mirotic returned from an injury. The Bulls have covered 5 straight and are 19-5 ATS in their last 24. I'm not saying they should be favored here at New Orleans, but 6.5 is too many points for a team that is more than capable of winning this game outright. Chicago has quietly put together a deep roster that has formed some great chemistry. They also play at a fast tempo and are great from behind the 3-point line, which is the new recipe for success in the NBA. Give me the Bulls +6.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Nebraska +10.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Cornhuskers making a game of this and keeping it within single-digits against the Buckeyes. Ohio State has been a huge surprise and come in having won 7 straight and are a perfect 8-0 in Big Ten play. It's only a matter of time before this team slips up and I think we could see a flat Buckeyes team coming off their big game this Saturday against Minnesota at Madison Square Garden. Note that was Ohio State's 3rd straight on the road, as they haven't played at home in more than 10 days. 

Nebraska is a team that no one seems to want to give any respect too, but all they do is keep competing at a high level. The Cornhuskers are 7-2 in their last 9 games with the only losses being a 8-point defeat at Purdue and mere 2-point loss at Penn State. If this team can go on the road and keep it within single digits against the Boilermakers, they can do the same against Ohio State. Give me the Cornhuskers +10.5!

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Pistons -6) 

I think it's worth a shot here to lay the points with Detroit at home against the Nets. I know the Pistons come in off an ugly loss at home to the Wizards, but that's actually a positive when it comes to backing them here. That's because Detroit is a dominant 11-1 ATS in their last 12 off a double-digit home loss as a favorite and have won in this spot by just under 10.0 ppg. Give me the Pistons -6! 

40* NCAAB SHARP MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (NC State +1) 

I think we are getting a great price here on NC State at home against Miami. The Hurricanes are the ranked team and thus are getting the respect on the line, but I don't think Miami should be favored at all here. The Wolfpack are 12-1 at home and seem to thrive at home against top tier teams like the Hurricanes. Miami is also not playing great at the moment. They come in off a crushing loss at home to Duke where they shot just 37.2% from the field and are just 1-3 SU in their last 4 and 2-5 ATS in their last 7. Hurricanes are also just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games in January. Give me the Wolfpack +1! 

50* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH (Wolves -3)

I was on the Timberwolves in their last game at Houston and they didn't show up to play. I got no problem firing right back with Minnesota here as a short home favorite against the Raptors. Toronto is playing on no rest and off a grueling defensive game against the Spurs yesterday. The Timberwolves have shown the ability to respond from a bad performance like they had against the Rockets. They are also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 at home, while the Raptors are a mere 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs a team with a winning record. Give me the Timberwolves -3! 

40* NCAAB PRIME TIME ATS MASSACRE (Kentucky -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Kentucky as a short home favorite against the Gators in prime time Saturday night. The Wildcats come in off an upset loss at South Carolina. That's only going to have them that much more locked in for this game. I know they might be missing a couple key players, but this team is loaded with talent. Kentucky is a perfect 11-0 at home this season and Florida has had their struggles away from home, including a 6-point loss at Ole Miss in their last road game. Wildcats are also 18-8 ATS in their last 26 home games vs a team with a winning record and have won these games by an average score of 84.5 to 67.7 (+16.8 ppg). Give me Kentucky -3! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Hornets -4.5)

I think this is a great spot to not only jump on Charlotte, but to fade the Heat. The Hornets have found new life with the return of head coach Steve Clifford. They went on the road and beat the Pistons 118-107 on Monday and followed that up with a 133-109 thrashing of the Wizards at home on Wednesday. I see no reason for them to not keep it going here coming off 2 days of rest. As for Miami, they just lost last night in Brooklyn 95-101. This will be their 4th straight on the road and their 5th game in the last 7 days. Not to mention they have a big lookahead game on deck at Houston Monday. I think it's going to be hard for the Heat to match the energy of Charlotte here and we are getting a favorable line because of how well Miami had been playing. Give me the Hornets -4.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (TCU +2.5) 

I believe TCU is a team on a mission after starting out 1-4 in Big 12 play. They improved to 2-4 in their last game, destroying Iowa State 96-73 at home. As much respect as I have for K-State, I don't think they have the talent to stack up here against a locked in Horned Frogs team. On top of that I think this is a bit of a letdown spot for the Wildcats, who are coming off a huge win over Oklahoma at home. TCU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs a team with a winning home record and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 in the series. Give me the Horned Frogs +2.5! 

50* NCAAB SHARP MONEY GAME OF THE MONTH (Northwestern -2.5) 

I think we are getting an exceptional price here to back the Wildcats at home against the Nittany Lions. Northwestern has been a different team at home than they have on the road and are a team that I think hasn't quite played up to their potential. I expect an all-out effort here by the Wildcats at home, as this is simply a game they can't afford to lose. Penn State on the other hand is a team that I think get's way too much respect, especially on the road. The Nittany Lions have failed to cover 3 straight and are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 lined games. Northwestern is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 after failing to cover 2 straight games, 13-6 ATS in their lat 19 home games vs a team with a losing road record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 off a SU loss. Take Northwestern! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (ISU +8)

I think we are getting a great price here to back the Cyclones at home against the Red Raiders on Saturday. Iowa State is being way undervalued here by the books due to a 1-5 start in Big 12 play and the fact that they are coming off an ugly 23-point loss at TCU. Prior to that they beat Baylor at home by 10 as a 3-point dog and lost by just 5 at Kansas as a 16-point dog. The Cyclones have one of the better home court advantages in the country and I think they are catching Texas Tech at the right time. The Red Raiders have lost 2 of 3 and are fresh off an ugly showing on the road against in-state rival Texas. I not only think the Cyclones do enough here to keep this within the number, but I like their chances of winning this game outright. Give me ISU +8! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa +12) 

It's been a rough season for the Hawkeyes, but I think we are getting too many points with Iowa at home to pass up. Purdue comes in having won 14 straight and are fresh off a 28-point blowout win at home against Wisconsin. I just have a hard time seeing the Boilermakers being all that excited about playing this game as they are well aware of how big a favorite they are on the road. This is an Iowa team that has talent but just hasn't been able to put it all together for 40 minutes. I expect a rowdy home crowd and for the Hawkeyes to play as hard as they have all season in this game. It wouldn't shock me if they won the game outright, but more than anything I think they give the Boilermakers a scare here and are right there with a chance to win late. Give me the Hawkeyes +12!