40* NBA -76ers/Pelicans- Bookie ATS Crusher (Pelicans -3.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Pelicans as a short road favorite against the 76ers. Philadelphia is improved over recent years, but are still just 7-20 and missing No. 1 overall pick Ben Simmons. While the Pelicans are just 9-20, they are finally starting to get healthy and have one of the best players in the game in Anthony Davis, who I think is going to torment the young big men for Philadelphia. Coming off back-to-back double-digit losses against the Rockets and Spurs, plus playing with revenge from an earlier loss at home to the 76ers, we should get a max effort here from the road team. Give me the Pelicans -3.5!

40* NBA -Pistons/Bulls- No Doubt Total Annihilator (Under 196)

This has the feeling of a must-win game for these two Central Division rivals, as both come in off some ugly performances. The Pistons have lost 108-122 at Washington and 90-105 at home to the Pacers in their last 2 games, while Chicago has dropped 3 straight, the last two by double-digits and the most recent being a 69-95 embarrassing loss at home to the Bucks. I look for both of these teams to come out extremely motivated on the defensive side of the ball and both are very good on that side of the ball. Each ranks in the top half of the league in defensive efficiency and bottom 10 in pace. Give me the UNDER 196!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Washington -12)

This is the ideal spot to jump on Washington, as they are way undervalued after losing 4 straight. The key here is the losses came against some quality teams. Two were against TCU (both away), one was one the road against Gonzaga and the most recent coming at home against Nevada, who is now 9-2 on the season and much better than they get credit for. Western Michigan is a big step down in class from what Washington has been playing and they are poised to lay a beating on them. Keep in mind this is a Huskies team that has a couple of 30-point wins under their belt already this season. The Broncos on the other hand have lost by 23 to Cleveland State, 21 to Boise State, 17 to Oakland and 10 to UTEP. Give me Washington -12!

40* NBA -Raptors/Magic- Bookie Crusher (Raptors -5.5)

I'll back the Toronto in this spot. The Raptors are coming off a rare home loss to the Hawks and I look for them to be all business in this one. Toronto hasn't lost back-to-back games since late November. Their previous loss at home came to the Cavs on 12/5 and they responded with a 14-point win and cover of the Timberwolves. Orlando has been playing better of late, but they are no where close in talent and I look for them to struggle to keep this game within 6-points. Note that Toronto has gone 6-1 in the last 7 meetings with the Magic. Give me the Raptors -5.5!

40* NCAAB -BYU/Illinois- Late Night Bailout (Illinois -1.5)

I like the Fighting Illini laying this small number here against the Cougars. Illinois comes in having won 4 straight and have beat some good teams during this stretch, knocking off NC State 88-75 and VCU 64-46. They have shot 50% or better from the field in 3 of their last 4 and I look for that hot shooting to continue here against a BYU defense that is giving up 77 ppg when playing outside of Provo. While technically a road home, this is going to have the feel of a home game for Illinois, as it's being played at the United Center in Chicago. That's a big key here as the Illini are 7-1 at home this season. This is going to be the closes BYU has come to playing a true road game and I don't see them being up to the task. Give me Illinois -1.5!

40* NBA -Knicks/Nuggets- Bookie Crusher (Nuggets -2)

I'll back the Nuggets laying a small number at home against the Knicks, who are in a bad spot here. New York is running on fumes right now, as they get ready to play their 5th straight road game on a road trip that has now spanned 9 days. Just the thought of returning home is going to make it tough for the Knicks to come out and play well here against a Nuggets team that I feel is about to go on a run. Denver is finally at full strength and they showed some of their potential when healthy in their last game, where they rolled the Blazers 132-120 at home. I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Nuggets turned this one into a blowout. Give me Denver -2!

50* NCAAB -UNI/Iowa- Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Iowa +3)

I think the books have the wrong team favored here, as this Iowa team is much better than their 5-5 record would lead on. That was evident in their last game, when they knocked then No. 25 Iowa State 78-64 and never really were threatened in that one. What I was impressed with, was the defense, which was a problem early in the year. The Hawkeyes held a talented ISU offense to just 35.7% shooting, while shooting 47.3% against a Cyclones defense that had been exceptional up to that point. UNI has rebounded of late with a couple of solid wins at home, but this isn't the same caliber a team as years past and I just don't think they have the offensive fire-power to knock off Iowa. Give me the Hawkeyes +3!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Hawks +8)

This is going to look like the books set a bad line on this one. Atlanta has been struggling of late and come in off a 11-point home loss to the Magic, where they gave up 131 points to Orlando. The Hawks also recently made a trip to Toronto on 12/3 and were blown out of the gym in a 84-128 defeat. Toronto on the other hand has won 10 of 11 and it would appear they are in full on cruise control. What's worth noting here is the Raptors were a 8.5-point home favorite in that previous meeting against the Hawks and are now laying fewer points. I believe that's the books hinting on Atlanta being the right side. The Hawks are certainly better than what they have shown of late. I look for them to lay it all on the line in this one. Atlanta is fresh and have had plenty of time to get this straightened out, as they are playing just their 3rd game in the last 7 days. Give me the Hawks +8!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Pelicans -2.5)

This is a really bad spot for the Pacers, who had to pack up and hit the road for New Orleans after last night's 89-95 loss at Miami. Not only is Indiana playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but this is also their 5th game in 7 days. I just don't see them having a lot left in the tank here. They are playing short-handed with Ellis and Stuckey both out. Note that Young, Turner and George all played 37+ minutes last night. The Pelicans have been struggling of late, but have played an absolutely brutal schedule during this stretch. While it came in a losing effort, I think this team gained a lot of confidence from their last game, which they only lost 109-113 to the Warriors. With a 3-game road trip on deck, I expect an all out effort here from New Orleans. Give me the Pelicans -2.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Rockets -9.5)

Houston has been on an absolute roll, as they come in having won 7 straight and 12 of their last 14 overall. James Harden is playing lights out and this Rockets offense should have their way against a suspect Kings defense. Houston already went into Sacramento and beat up on the Kings by a final of 117-104 and it wasn't really even that close (up 18 at half). Sacramento will be without second leading scorer Rudy Gay and that's a big loss, as they are going to need to put up a lot of points just to keep this game competitive. I don't think they can. Give me the Rockets -9.5!

40* NBA Dog of the Day (Lakers +2)

The Lakers were playing some really good basketball early in the season, but injuries to starters D'Angelo Russell and Nick Young really hit this team hard. Both have now been back for a few games and I look for this team to get back to playing well. The Nets are definitely a team they can take advantage of the on the road. Brooklyn is just 2-12 in their last 14 and have struggled to keep games close both at home and on the road. Last time out the Nets played in a high-scoring game against the Rockets (118-122) and that's been a good key of when to go against them, as they are just 5-16 over the last 2 seasons after a game with a combined score of 225 or more points. Give me the Lakers +2!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Heat Pick'em)

The Pacers continue to get a lot of love, despite the fact that they are just 13-12 and clearly not playing up to their potential. Indiana's biggest struggles have come on the road, where they are 3-8 both SU and ATS. Miami's not a great team, but have been hit hard with injuries. They are starting to get some key guys back and are going to be coming out with some confidence after a 11-point home win over the Wizards last time out. Pacers are 1-13 ATS in their last 14 road games after scoring 110 or more points in their last game and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games after a SU win. Give me the Heat -110! 

40* Thunder/Blazers Late Night ESPN Bailout (Blazers -105)

I'm backing the Blazers at home on ESPN against the Thunder. Portland is going everything got into winning this game at home, as they look to snap a 4-game losing streak (all 4 losses came on the road). The Blazers are a solid 7-4 at home compared to just 5-10 on the road. OKC has won 7 of 8, but are poised for a letdown here after two grueling games at home against the Rockets and Celtics. Public will be all over Westbrook and the Thunder with this line, but the value is with the home team. Give me the Blazers -105 (ML)!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Suns +2)

I'm backing the Suns at home against the Knicks tonight. Phoenix comes in off a 119-120 loss at home to the Pelicans as a 2-point favorite, setting them up in a big bounce back spot, which they have cashed in on a regular bases. The Suns are 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 after failing to cover in their last game and 21-6-1 ATS in their last 27 after a SU loss. Knicks are playing their 3rd straight on the road and could find it hard to get up for this game with a huge showdown at Golden State coming up on TNT this Thursday. Give me Phoenix +2!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 203.5)

I look for a low-scoring game tonight in this Southeast Division showdown between the Hawks and Magic. Both teams are going to be motivated in this one. Orlando will be looking to snap a 3-game losing streak, while the Hawks are trying to get things going back in the right direction after a miserable 1-10 stretch, which they have followed up with 2 straight wins coming into this one. The key here is that we have two teams that rank in the Top 11 in defensive efficiency and bottom 5 in offensive efficiency. UNDER is 6-0 in the Magic's last 6 road games against a team with a winning record and 8-3 in their last 11 against the Eastern Conference. UNDER is also 4-1 in the Hawks last 5 home games, 11-4 in their last 15 overall and 4-0 in their last 4 against a division opponent. Take the UNDER!

40* NBA Blockbuster ATS Blowout (Nets +14.5)

I like the value we are getting here with Brooklyn, as a massive road dog against the Rockets. I believe we seeing a big overreaction here with this line, as the Nets come in off a 29-point loss to the Spurs, while Houston just won by 22 as a 12-point favorite against the Mavericks. The Nets are finally starting to get healthy and will be getting back point guard Jeremy Lin, who was really playing well before going down with a hamstring injury. I also think it's going to be really hard for Houston to get up for this game, as the Nets aren't exactly a team that gets your juices flowing. Give me Brooklyn +14.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Auburn -9.5)

This might seem like a big number for Auburn to be laying on a neutral court, but I really like what I have seen from this young Tigers team, who are quietly going under the radar early. Head coach Bruce Pearl continues to win wherever he goes and the Auburn players are going to be chomping at the bit to get back on the floor, as they haven't played since 12/3. They should have no problem beating a horrible BC team by double-digits. The Eagles have lost 4 of 5 with the last two losses coming at home against the likes of Harvard and Hartford. The other two were double-digit losses on a neutral court against K-State and Richmond. Give me Auburn -9.5!

40* NBA Situational ATS Blowout (Bulls -10)

It's all about picking your spots with Chicago, as the Bulls have a tendency to not play up to their potential against bad teams. I don't see that being an issue here against the Heat, as Dwayne Wade wants to make sure to remind Miami what they lost by not resigning him. I expect the rest of the Bulls players to also bring their "A" game for their new teammate, as they want to remind Wade he made the right choice leaving them. At the same time, the Heat are decimated with injuries right now and playing on no rest. This one should get ugly in a hurry. Give me the Bulls -10!

40* NCAAB Late Night ATS Bailout (Northern Iowa -10)

I was upset I didn't pull the trigger on UNI in their last game at home against South Dakota State, as they were only laying 10.5 and went on to win 86-58. The Panthers shot lights out in that game, hitting 51.9% from the field and hit 20 3-pointers. I look for that hot shooting to continue at home against another inferior team in North Dakota. UNI simply isn't getting the respect the deserve because they are 4-4, but two of those losses were against an elite team in Xavier. This team is playing with a chip on their shoulder right now and should turn this into a blowout early. Give me UNI -10!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Valparaiso -2)

We are getting Valparaiso at a great price here as a small road favorite against the Bears. The Crusaders are 7-2 and their only two losses have come against power houses on the road in Oregon and Kentucky. The most recent loss being the defeat to the Wildcats. Big bounce back spot for Valpo against an inferior team. Missouri State is simply getting some love here for starting out 5-2, but they have played an easy schedule and already lost to two teams no where close as talented as the Crusaders. Valpo won by 29 at home against these Bears last year and while I don't think it will be that big of a blowout on the road, they should win here comfortably. Give me Valparaiso -2!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie ATS Crusher (Blazers -1)

Really tough spot here for the Pacers, who are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set after losing last night in Dallas. Indiana also just finished up a 5-game road trip and it's tough for teams to play well in the first game back home after a long road trip. Portland has had the Paers number of late, including a 22-point win at home back on 11/30. Indiana is also just 15-26 ATS in their last 41 against the Western Conference and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 after scoring 100 or more points in 4 straight games. Give me Portland -1!

40* NCAAB Big Chalk No Doubt Knockout (Michigan State -20.5)

The Spartans are flying under the radar after a slow start against an absolutely grueling schedule and should have no problem demolishing a bad Tennessee Tech team at home. Tennessee Tech is 4-6 with their wins coming against the likes of Alabama A&M (twice), Hiwassee College and Crowley's Ridge. They were a 16.5-point dog at Ohio earlier this season, which speaks volumes to the value we are getting with the Spartans only laying 4 more points on their home floor. I see Michigan State leading by 20+ at the half in this one and cruising to an easy cover. Give me the Spartans -20.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Rockets -105 ML)

James Harden might say he no longer holds a grudge against the Thunder for trading him, but I guarantee you it's something that still doesn't sit well with him and he's going to continue to want to prove them wrong every time he faces them. I know Westbrook is putting up insane numbers and the Thunder have started out 14-8, but I'm just not buying this team, which ranks in the bottom half of the league in offensive efficiency. OKC comes in having won 6 straight, but the competition during this stretch has been weak. Houston on the other hand is a team I really like and I don't think people realize just how good they are playing. The Rockets are 15-7, despite playing 14 of their first 22 on the road. They are 9-5 SU and 11-3 ATS on the highway this season and I look for them to add another victory here against an overrated Thunder squad. Give me Houston -105 (Money Line)! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (OVER 211)

This is a clear flat spot for Golden State off that big game against the Clippers, but I don't feel good about backing the Jazz given their injury problems. Where I think the letdown is going to really show up is on the defensive side of the ball, as the Warriors went all out on that side of the ball in their last game. As for the offense, I think Golden State can't wait to get back on the floor. Steph Curry was just 7-16 from the field and 0-8 from 3-pt rang, Klay Thompson shot just 8-18 and Durant was a mere 5-17. I look for these 3 to go off tonight against a Jazz team that has allowed 100+ in 5 of their last 6. With the defensive intensity likely not there, at least like it was last night, Utah should be able to do enough damage here to push this total over the mark, as the Jazz have scored 100+ in 6 straight. Give me the OVER 211!

40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Kings -3.5)

I like the Kings to cover this small spread on the road against the Mavericks. Sacramento isn't as bad as their record would lead on, but clearly have a ways to go. Dallas is awful and I just don't see it getting any better for the Mavericks anytime soon, especially with the injuries they are dealing with. The loss of Bogut is huge for this one, as they are already without Dirk, leaving them no good options to matchup up against Cousins inside. He should absolutely dominate this game and it wouldn't surprise me if this one got ugly in a hurry. Give me the Kings -3.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 200.5)

If you like offense, you are going to want to stay away from tonight's game between the Heat and Hawks. Both of these teams rank in the Top 15 in defensive efficiency with Atlanta sitting at #2 and Miami at #13. We should see a max effort here defensively from the Hawks, who are desperate to end a 7-game losing streak. They should have no problem doing just that against a depleted Heat team that will be without several key players here. Miami's only chance of keeping this game close is to slow this game way down and rely on their effort on the defensive side. Give me the UNDER 200.5!

50* NCAAB Non-Conference Game of the Month (Indiana State +10.5)

I'm going to back the Sycamores at home as a big double-digit dog in a game I think they not only can cover, but win outright. Indiana State is just 4-4, but could easily be sitting here with an identical 8-0 record as Butler. All 4 Sycamores losses have come by 3-points or less, including a 71-73 loss against a top level Iowa State team (should have won outright). Butler is getting a lot of love for their 8-0 start, but I'm not as impressed with their wins over Vanderbilt, Arizona and Utah as others. Playing on the road is never easy, especially against an elite defensive team like we have here with Indiana State. The Sycamores are holding opponents to just 38.1% from the field and a mere 29% clip from 3-point range. If they can get some shots to fall at home and I think they will, this has the makings of a big upset for the home team. Give me Indiana State +10.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Suns +7)

This is a great spot to back the Suns, who are showing a lot of value here as a decently priced road dog against the Jazz. Phoenix is going to come out motivated here after getting embarrassed in a 109-138 loss at Golden State last time out. They will also have fresh legs, as they have had the last two days off. That's key here, as Utah will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set after playing last night in LA in a hard fought 107-101 win over the Lakers. This is also the Jazz's 3rd game in 4 nights and a big look ahead spot with a huge game against the Warriors on deck. Look for the Suns and their fast-paced attack to give the tired legs of Utah trouble here. Note that Phoenix is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 after allowing 110+ points in their previous game and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 off a blowout loss by 15 or more points. Take Phoenix!

40* NBA Dog of the Day (Wolves +4.5)

The books have made the Spurs a short road favorite here trying to entice some action on San Antonio in a bad spot. The Spurs will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set after playing last night in Milwaukee. This is also their 7th game in the last 12 days, which makes this a golden opportunity for Popovich to rest some players against a bad team. While Minnesota has been a major disappointment so far, they have been playing a lot better than their 6-14 record would lead on, as they have suffered a number of close losses. This is a statement game for the Timberwolves at home and with 2 days off before this one, they should be able to take advantage of the tired legs of the Spurs. Give me Minnesota +4.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Purdue -11.5)

This might seem like a big number for the Boilermakers to be laying on a neutral court, but I see Purdue having no problem turning this into a blowout. The Boilermakers are a legit Top 20 team in the country and have the potential to be a Top 10 team. Their only two losses have come in a 3-point home loss to Villanova and a 7-point defeat in a true road game against Louisville. Arizona State comes in off an impressive 24-point win against UNLV at home, but have not fared well when facing a top tier team, losing by 19 to Northern Iowa and 46 to Kentucky on a neutral court. They also lost by 8 to a decent Davidson team. It's the defense that really concerns me with the Sun Devils, as they allowed both UNI and Kentucky to shoot over 50% from the field and this Purdue team comes in shooting 49.5% on the season and will have a big edge inside with all their size. Give me the Boilermakers -11.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wizards -5.5)

Washington isn't as bad as their 6-12 record would lead on, while the Nets are every bit as bad as their 5-14 record. Brooklyn caught a lot of teams off-guard early in the season with their hard play and they opened up 7-2 ATS because of it. That hard play isn't paying off anymore, as the Nets are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10. Not only are they not covering, they are struggling to keep games close. During their current 1-9 SU stretch the closest loss has been 7 points and 7 of the 9 defeats have come by double-digits. The Wizards are a desperate team right now, so there's no overlooking Brooklyn here, which should allow them to win here comfortably. Give me Washington -5.5!

40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Kings +2.5)

This line is begging you to take the Knicks at home as a small favorite, but my money is on the Kings to get the big road win here. New York has won 7 of 10, but the majority of those wins have come against bad teams or teams that haven't been playing well of late. With a trip to Miami and their warm weather on deck after this one, I look for the Knicks to come out flat here. I also think think this is a bad matchup for New York, as they really don't have an answer inside for Cousins and the defense hasn't been good even during this recent stretch where they have been winning. The Knicks have allowed 100+ in 6 straight and 8 of their last 9 overall. Give me the Kings +2.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Blazers -6.5)

This is the time to fade the Heat after pulling off back-to-back road wins over the Nuggets and Jazz. While it's not easy winning at those two venues in consecutive nights, the wins are a little misleading, as Denver isn't playing well and Utah was missing several key players to injury. Miami simply can't have any gas left in the tank for this one. Portland likes to play at a fast pace and can light up it up offensively. The Heat simply won't be able to keep up, as they are team that relies on their defense to keep them in games. It's also worth pointing Miami continues to play short-handed, which only makes this spot that much more difficult, as they get ready to play their 3rd road game in 4 nights against a Blazers team that is out to get their season back on track and playing with fresh legs on two days rest. Give me Portland -6.5!

40* NBA Situational ATS Money Maker (Bulls -3)

This year's Bulls team has made a point of not suffering let downs against lesser opponents and for the most part they have done just that. Even coming off the huge win at home last night against LeBron and the Cavs, I expect Chicago to show up and take care of business against the Mavs tonight. With Wade not playing, I look for Butler to really take it on himself to deliver a big game in this one. Dallas is 3-15 and have shown little signs of life, as they have dropped 10 of their last 11. Give me Chicago -3!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Gonzaga -4.5)

This is not the same Arizona team that opened the season with a win over Michigan State, as the Wildcats have lost several key players to injury/suspension. Gonzaga on the other hand looks to have not missed a beat, despite losing several key players from last year's team. That's because they reloaded with a strong freshman class and added in some great pieces in transfers from Power 5 schools. They are a perfect 7-0 on the season with impressive wins over Florida and Iowa State. There's also a bit of a rivalry here and the Bulldogs have been on the short end of the stick the last few meetings, so this is a game they desperately want to win. They finally have the edge in talent in this matchup and I expect them to deliver with a comfortable win over the Wildcats. Give me Gonzaga -4.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Hawks -2.5)

Love the value here with the Hawks laying less than 3-points at home against the Pistons. Atlanta comes in having lost 7 of 8, but most of those came on the road. The Hawks are 6-2 at home and will be all business in this one. Detroit comes in playing well and off a couple of big road wins at Charlotte and Boston, but this is a bad spot for the Pistons, who will playing their 4th straight on the road and 3rd in the last 4 days. Detroit is still just 3-8 ATS on the road this season and are 2-4 ATS this season when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. Atlanta is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 and  3-1 ATS over the last 3 seasons after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less. Give me the Hawks -2.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Magic -1.5)

It doesn't seem right that Orlando is a road favorite against a Memphis team that has a winning record at 11-8, but it's more than justified. The Grizzlies are playing short-handed and in about as bad of a rest situation as you are going to find in today's NBA. Memphis will be playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 5th in the last 7 days. They will be doing so without starters Mike Conley, Chandler Parsons and James Ennis. They are also without a huge bench player, who plays big minutes in Zach Randolph. Orlando might not be the most talented team, but are certainly capable of winning this game against a depleted and tired Memphis team. The Magic will be playing with a lot of confidence after taking down the Spurs on the road 95-83 last time out. Give me Orlando -1.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Pacers +7.5)

Indiana is worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Blazers. I believe we are getting value here with Indiana because of Paul George not expected to play. However, the Pacers have been playing well without him of late, including a 118-97 win over Brooklyn and 91-70 win against the Clippers in their last 2 games. This is a deep Indiana rosters that is built to withstand an injury to a key player like George. As for the Blazers, they are not playing great to start the season, as they come in just 9-10. They are only 5-4 at home (2-7 ATS) and their struggles can be pinpointed to their inability to get stops on defense. Portland comes in giving up 113.7 ppg on the season and are even worse at home, where they are allowing 115.3 ppg. When you don't play defense, it's hard to blow teams out. Give me the Pacers +7.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Temple -1.5)

The betting public is on St. Joseph's, yet the line has flipped in favor of the Owls and for good reason. Temple is playing with all kinds of confidence after winning the NIT Season Tip-off with wins over No. 25 Florida St (89-86) and No. 19 West Virginia (81-77). While the Owls are riding a huge wave of momentum, the Hawks enter off a couple of ugly losses in their first two real tests of the season. St Joseph's fail 68-81 to Ole Miss and 63-73 to NC State. I don't see the Hawks bouncing back here, as they are going to have a tough time getting up for this game with a showdown at defending champ Villanova on deck Saturday. Give me Temple -1.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Bucks +7.5)

Milwaukee is worth a look here as a decently priced home dog against the Cavaliers. Cleveland has been on a mission to start out the season, going 13-2 in their first 15 games, but they also have been overvalued on a consistent basis, as they are just 6-8 ATS. Milwaukee is still trying to get things figured out, but despite their losing record (7-8), they have been competitive against a lot of the upper-tier teams and I expect an all out effort here at home in their first crack against the defending champs. Easy game for the Cavs to overlook with a huge showdown at home against the Clippers on deck Thursday and 3 big road games against the Bulls, Raptors and Knicks following that. Cleveland also figures to be minus two key players here, as Frye is on personal leave and Shumpert is questionable with a hamstring injury (no reason to rush him back). Give me the Bucks +7.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (VCU -5.5)

This is a great price to back VCU at home against Princeton. The Rams return 4 starters from last year's near Sweet 16 team that won 25-games. They certainly look the part of one of the top tier teams in the country, as they have started out 5-1 with the only loss coming in a neutral site loss to Baylor (63-71), who is ranked inside the Top 10. Princeton is a quality team and should compete for an Ivy League title, but this is a huge step up in competition to what the Tigers will face in the Ivy League, especially with it being a true road game. Princeton has already lost by 9 on the highway to both BYU and Lehigh and neither of those teams are as talented as VCU. Give me the Rams -5.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Utah +1.5)

Everyone is going to be on Butler here, as they are a perfect 6-0, Ranked in the Top 20 and come into this game after winning the Las Vegas Invitational with an upset of No. 8 Arizona in the title game. However, I think this is going to prove to be a tough spot for the Bulldogs against a very underrated Utah team that is not in as bad a shape as people think after losing so much from last year's team. Butler just played two games in Vegas on back-to-back days and have had just two days off before turning around and traveling back west to Utah, which is a very difficult place to play. I believe the size of the Utes will be the difference in this one. Give me the Utah +1.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (UNDER 195)

This has all the makings of a low-scoring game. Utah is clicking on the defensive end, having held the Nuggets to 83 points and the Hawks to 68 points in their last 2 games. The Jazz come in ranked 2nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency and dead last in pace. Minnesota also ranks in the bottom half of the league in pace and don't figure to be running up and down the floor here playing their 3rd game in 4 days. The Timberwolves come in giving up 103.5 ppg on the season, but have held 3 of their last 5 opponents under 100 points. Utah has only scored 100+ points in 3 of their last 9 games and each of the last 5 in this series have seen fewer than 194 points. Give me the UNDER!

40* NBA Situational Vegas Line Mistake (Hawks -4)

I had my eye on this game and was hoping the books would set a low number here on Atlanta after their dreadful performance last time out against the Jazz. This is the perfect bounce back spot for the Hawks and a game they know they can't afford to lose with a road date against the Warriors looming tomorrow. The Lakers on the other hand just played a home-and-home set against Golden State and were completely outclassed in both meetings, losing 106-149 at Golden State and 85-109 at home. The absence of Russell is huge for LA. Not only is he one of their top scorers, but it takes away from their depth, which is a big reason for their strong start to the season. They could also be missing Julius Randle, which would be another big loss. Atlanta is the better and more motivated team in this one. Give me the Hawks -4!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Gonzaga -3.5)

Both these teams lost some huge pieces from last year's team, but I've been more impressive with Gonzaga in the early going. The Bulldogs dominated their first 4 opponents and last time out beat a very good Florida team. Iowa State comes in off a 73-56 win over Miami, but were very fortunate to beat Indiana State in their previous game. Two big keys here that favor Gonzaga, the Bulldogs are the much bigger team and should have their way scoring inside and on the glass. They are also excellent at defending the 3-point shot, which is what ISU lives and dies off of. Give me Gonzaga -3.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Thunder -3.5)

I think we are getting some great value here on OKC due to a couple of things. Detroit just won at home 108-97 over the Clippers last night as a 6.5-point dog and the Pistons crushed the Thunder 104-88 in an earlier meeting in Detroit. What is getting overlooked is the Pistons don't travel well and are in a horrible spot playing the 2nd of a back-to-back on the road. Detroit is just 1-7 away from home and are giving up 104.9 ppg on the road, which is a staggering difference from what they allow at home, as they are only giving up 96.5 ppg on the season. Thunder have a solid home court edge and should come out with a chip on their shoulder after losing the way they did to the Pistons a few weeks back. Give me Oklahoma City -3.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Richmond -6)

I cashed in on the Spiders +6.5 last night against Maryland, as they lost 82-88 in OT against Maryland (nearly a horrible bad beat). Richmond really let that one get away, as they had a 12-point lead at the half and were in great position to win in regulation. On the bright side, I believe the loss has helped keep this line lower than it should be. Boston College is just 3-2 and were completely outclassed in their first game against a legit opponent, losing 54-72 to Kansas State yesterday. That's a K-State team that I don't think is as talented as this Richmond team, so only having to lay 6-points is an easy play for me. Give me the Spiders -6!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Richmond +6.5)

I really like the value here with Richmond catching 6.5-points against the Terrapins, as I see this as more of an evenly matched game and it's being played on a neutral court. Richmond has got back to playing the stingy defense they are known for, as they have held all 4 of their opponents under 70 points after giving up 73.8 ppg last year. They have two big time play makers in big man T.J. Cline (17.0 ppg) and senior guard ShanDre Jones (19.5 ppg). Maryland is 5-0, but the only real legit team they have played is Georgetown, which they were very fortunate to win 76-75. That victory looked impressive at the time, but not so much after watching the Hoyas get manhandled by Wisconsin and Oklahoma State. The Terps have a special player in Melo Trimble, but not a lot of star talent around him. Give me the Spiders +6.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Bulls -7.5)

I like Chicago to make easy work of the 76ers on Friday. I look for the Bulls to come out extremely motivated after losing 107-110 at Denver on Tuesday, a game they feel like they should have won after jumping out to a 31-19 lead in the 1st quarter. This is also the last game of their 6-game road trip and a win gives them a winning record on the trip at 4-2. Philadelphia has been a lot more competitive than the last few years, but are still just 4-11. Their best player so far has without a doubt been big man Joel Embid, but he's on a minutes restriction and won't suit up for this one. Chicago should run away with this one, as they come in averaging 105.3 ppg and will be facing a 76ers defense that is giving up 106.9 ppg. Give me the Bulls -7.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Pacers +1)

This is a great price to bet the Pacers at home, especially with most of the key players that have been out with injury expected to return. Indiana may be just 7-8 overall, but they are 6-3 at home and will be extremely motivated here off that ugly 83-120 home loss to the Warriors last time out. Atlanta is getting a lot of respect from their strong start, but the Hawks are in a funk right now. They have lost 3 straight, including a 94-112 loss at home to the Pelicans last night. Atlanta is a tired team that will be playing on no rest here and I look for their struggles to continue. Give me the Pacers +1!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Michigan State -7.5)

I believe this is a great spot to jump on the Spartans, who are getting near as much respect after their 2-2 start and mere 1-point win over Florida Gulf Coast last time out. Two of those losses came against two of the elite teams in the country in Arizona and Kentucky. This is a young team that is only going to get better with each game and I expect Izzo to have them ready to roll here against a St John's team that is no where close in terms of talent. Last time out the Red Storm had a huge lead on the road against Minnesota and ended up losing the game 86-92. Michigan State isn't going to let them light up the scoreboard and the Spartans young offense should have their way against a bad St. John's defense. I see no reason why Michigan State doesn't win here by double-digits. Give me the Spartans -7.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Bulls -1.5)

Chicago has been one of the bigger surprises to start the season, as a lot of people thought the Bulls would struggle offensively with the additions of Wade and Rondo with Butler, as none of the three are great 3-point shooters. That hasn't been the case at all, as Chicago ranks in the Top 10 in offensive efficiency. They are also in the top half of the league in defensive efficiency and come into this one clicking on all cylinders. The Bulls are 3-1 to start out their west coast road trip and have won 5 of their last 6 overall. They have also covered the number in all 6 games during this stretch. Denver is just 5-8 overall and 2-4 at home this season. A lot of that has to do with their struggles defensively, as they come in allowing 106.9 ppg overall and 109.0 ppg at home. I'll gladly take my chances with the red-hot Bulls laying a small number. Give me Chicago -1.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wisconsin -5)

I'll gladly take the Badgers at this price against the Hoyas. Both teams are playing on no rest off a big win yesterday. Wisconsin took care of Tennessee 74-62, while Georgetown stunned Oregon 65-61 as a 9-point dog. The Hoyas have already shown inconsistency early. Prior to their big won over the Ducks, they lost 75-76 at home to Maryland as a 6.5-point dog and then fell 72-78 as a 22-point favorite at home against Arkansas State. They nearly blew a huge lead in the win over the Ducks, as they were outscored 40-27 in the 2nd half. Offense continues to a problem for the Hoyas, as they shot just 34.4% from the field in the win over Oregon. Wisconsin's veteran unit is rock solid on the defensive end and should be able to have enough success offensively to put the Hoyas away from a comfortable win here. Give me Badgers -5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Pistons +2.5)

I'll gladly back the Pistons as a home dog against the Rockets tonight. I believe the Rockets are getting way too much respect here and a lot of that has to do with the fact that they come in having covered 4 straight and 8 of their last 10 overall. At the same time, Detroit is undervalued after losing their last 3 and going just 2-6 in their last 8 overall. The key here is that this bad stretch for the Pistons has come with them playing 6 of their last 8 on the road. Returning home is huge for Detroit, as they are 5-1 at home this season. I expect an all out effort from the Pistons in this one and they should win here rather comfortably. Give me Detroit +2.5! 

40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Georgia -5.5)

I'll gladly back the Bulldogs at this price against George Washington. Georgia is the much better team in this one, despite having the worse record through 3 games. The Bulldogs have one of the best players in the SEC in senior guard J.J. Frazier and he makes quite a duo with talented junior forward Yante Maten. It's not just these two that make Georgia a great team, it's arguably the best overall talent the Bulldogs have had in the 7 years under head coach Mark Fox. George Washington won 20+ games a year ago, but lost a lot from that team, including 3 starters, who combined to average 35.2 ppg. I see this as a statement game for the Bulldogs and expect them to win here by double-digits rather easily. Give me Georgia -5.5!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Minnesota -6.5) 

I got no problem laying this short number on the Gophers at home against a St. John's team that will be hitting the road for the first time this season. There's a lot of excitement around the Red Storm program under head coach Chris Mullen and he's got them headed in the right direction. However, this is still a team that is lacking talent and are going to struggle to keep games competitive on the road. Minnesota is a team that I think is flying under the radar early, as the Gophers should be greatly improved over last year's team that finished 8-23. It might just be the most well-rounded team that Richard Pitino has had since coming to Minnesota. Give me the Gophers -6.5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Celtics +6.5) 

I'll take the points with Boston at home against the Warriors Friday night. I don't think it's any secret who is going to want this game more. This is a game the Celtics have had circled on the calendar ever since Durant decided not to come to Boston and took his talents to Golden State. I know they might be shorthanded here with Crowder sidelined and Horford potentially out as well, but this is a deep team that's going to lay every once of energy they have to win this game at home. It's also worth pointing out that it's going to be electric inside the Garden with this being a nationally televised game on ESPN. I also like the fact that Boston is a disciplined and efficient team on both sides of the ball, which is critical if you want to have success against this Warriors team. I also like the fact that Boston played the Warriors tough in both meetings last year, losing by just 5 at home and winning on the road at Golden State. Give me the Celtics +6.5! 

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Providence +6.5)

I believe the Friars are going to show great value early in the season, as the perception on Providence is that they are going to be down after losing Dunn and Bentil to the NBA. While big losses, this Friars team still has a lot of talent left over and I really like the addition of Indiana transfer Emmitt Holt, who showcased his talents in the opener, scoring a team-high 22 points. I also think junior Kyron Cartwright is more than capable of filling the void of Dunn and he dished out 12 assists in the opener. Same goes for junior Rodney Bullock and his ability to fill the void of Bentil. Ohio State is getting a lot of love, due to returning all 5 starters, but this is also a team that missed the postseason last year. They struggled in non-conference play a year ago and have already had two close calls against inferior opponents in Navy and NCCU. I'll gladly take the points here and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Friars won outright. Give me Providence +6.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 201.5)

I think the value here is clearly on the UNDER. Dallas is limited offensively when they are healthy and even more so with the injuries to Nowitzki and Williams. The Mavericks have scored fewer than 90 points (3 times) more than they have eclipsed the 100-point mark (2 times). I know Boston comes in allowing 101.3 ppg, but the defense has been much better of late, as they are only giving up 97.3 ppg. I look for a strong effort here defensively after the defense cost them in a 105-106 loss at New Orleans last time out. It's also worth pointing out that Dallas is going to try and slow this game way down, as they come in ranked 29th in pace. The other key here is while the Mavs have struggled offensively, they are ranked 11th in defensive efficiency. UNDER is 6-1 in Dallas' last 7 against the east and 8-2 in Boston's last 10 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the UNDER 201.5!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Northwestern +8)

I like the value we are catching with the Wildcats in this one. I really like what Chris Collins is doing in Evanston and while Northwestern lost two key players from last year in Demps and Olah, they get back Vic Law, who missed all of last season. He's came out on fire, averaging 22.0 ppg in the Wildcats first two games. I also like their veteran backcourt of Lindsey and McIntosh. Butler is a great program, but I think that's playing into the line here. I think these are two evenly matched teams and Northwestern is fully capable of winning this game outright. Give me the Wildcats +8!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Kansas State -13)

I'm high on Bruce Weber's Wildcats this season, especially early on, as they got to benefit from playing in Europe in August, which I believe is huge. Kansas State also brings back a lot of experience with 6 players who started at least 11 games. Nebraska-Omaha lost two huge pieces to their team from last year in Patterson and White, who combined for 25.3 ppg. They did just cover on the road at USC as a 12-point dog in a 10-point loss, but the Trojans are down this year and were overvalued in that contest. Kansas State was on point in their opener, crushing Western Illinois 82-55 as a mere 18-point favorite. I see now reason why the Wildcats don't win here by at least 20. Give me K-State -13!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Hawks -6)

I got no problem laying this big number on Atlanta away from home against Miami. Even though the Hawks come into this game at 7-2, I don't think people realize how well they are playing. Atlanta is outscoring opponents on average by 10.7 ppg. The only team better is the Clippers at 16.6 ppg. They rank in the top 10 in both offensive and defensive efficiency. Miami has played well on the defensive side of the ball, but they are 29th in offensive efficiency and figure to be without starting point guard Goran Dragic for this one. Miami also likes to play at a slow pace, but I think it's going to be Atlanta that dictates the tempo and the Hawks rank 4th in pace. The Heat are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 3rd in 4 nights overall. Atlanta on the other hand is well-rested, as this will be just their 2nd game in 6 nights. I look for the Hawks to push the pace and pull away for a comfortable win here. Give me Atlanta -6!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Auburn -7)

I think this Auburn team is flying under the radar right now. The Tigers went just 11-20 overall and 5-13 in SEC (13th) play last year, but nothing went right for this team. They were decimated with injuries, had players suspended and even had one player dismissed. Head coach Bruce Pearl used 14 different starting lineups in 31 games. I think this team is on a mission in 2016 and are one of the more young and talented teams that no one is talking about. Georgia State was a great story in the NCAA Tournament a couple years ago, but they are way down from that magical run and have just 2 starters back from last year. Even with this being a neutral site, I think Auburn should roll here and easily take this one by double-digits. Give me the Tigers -7!

40* NBA No Doubt Total Crusher (Under 203)

Both of these teams rank in the top 10 in defensive efficiency and bottom 10 in offensive efficiency. Both teams are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, so both figure to play at a slower pace than normal. Key here is the game is being played in Detroit and the Pistons are coming in off a day off. They should be able to control the pace more and are in the bottom 10 in pace. It's also worth pointing out that OKC is not the same offensive team on the road, as they are only averaging 94.7 ppg away from home. Detroit is even stronger defensively at home, where they are only giving up 85.0 ppg. I think there's a great chance neither team breaks 100 in this one, making this an easy play for me. Give me the UNDER 203!

40* NCAAB No Doubt Blowout (Colorado -20)

I really like the potential of this Colorado team. Unlike a lot of the other top teams in the country, who are relying on freshman to shoulder a big load, the Buffaloes have a ton of experience on their roster, including 4 seniors who will play a big role. They should be explosive offensively and won't have to rely on 1 guy to shoulder the load. Tad Boyle is singing the praises of this team and I look for them to come out with a statement win at home against Sacramento State, who is coming off 10th place finish in the Big Sky and went just 14-17 overall. Give me Colorado -20!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Hornets -2.5)

I'm backing the Hornets as a small home favorite against the Raptors tonight. Charlotte has really been impressive to start the season. They are 6-1 and come in riding a 4-game winning streak. This wasn't a team that was getting a lot of hype coming into the season, so I still think the books aren't giving them the respect they deserve. Toronto on the other hand is a team that was picked to be right behind Cleveland in the east standings and are coming in off a what's perceived to be a big win at OKC. I'm not as big on the Thunder as others and look for the Raptors to come up short in this one. Hornets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings at home against Toronto and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Give me Charlotte -2.5!

40* NBA Situational ATS Blowout (Bulls +2.5)

I know the Bulls just lost at Atlanta last night and the Heat have the edge here in rest, but I just like this spot to much with Chicago. This will be Wade's first game back in Miami since jumping ship in the offseason. The Bulls' players understand just how important this game is to Wade and I expect them to lay everything they have on the line in this one to make sure he leaves with a win against his former team. I believe their poor play last night, especially on defense, had a lot to do with them looking ahead to this matchup. Chicago is also the much better team in this one. Miami is just 2-4 and their wins have come against the Magic and at home against the Kings. Give me the Bulls +2.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Blazers +9.5)

I like the value here with Portland as a near double-digit road dog against the Clippers. I know the Blazers are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but this is a young team that can handle this spot early in the season. I also think the line here is inflated due to LA coming in off a 32-point blowout win against the Pistons, which followed 24-point win at San Antonio. Not to mention the Clippers are 6-1 ATS on the season, so the books really have no choice here but to make this line a lot higher than it should be. Portland played the Clippers tough at home in back in the opening week of the season and I like the revenge angle here. Give me the Blazers +9.5!

40* Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 202)

I think the books have set the bar too high for this one. These are two of the better defensive teams in the league. Toronto is ranks 3rd in scoring defense and 7th in defensive efficiency, while Oklahoma City is 7th in scoring defense and 3rd in defensive efficiency. Toronto's not the same offensive team on the road as they are at home and the Thunder rank in the bottom 5 in offensive efficiency. UNDER is 8-2 dating back to last season in the Raptors last 10 road games against a team with a winning home record and 6-1 in OKC's 7 games this season. Give me the UNDER 202!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Kings -5.5)

This might seem like a lot of points for the Kings to be laying, but I think we see a dominant performance at home by Sacramento tonight. The Kings are just 3-5, but they have also played 6 of their first 8 on the road and one of their 2 home games was against the Spurs. This team is hungry for a win and are catching the Pelicans in a bad spot, as New Orleans just played last night in Golden State and are depleted with injuries right now. I just don't see the Pelicans having the energy needed to keep this one competitive. Give me the Kings -5.5!

40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Knockout (Timberwolves -4)

Minnesota has not got off to the start most expected, as they are just 1-4 in their first 5, but they could just as easily be 4-1, blowing double-digit leads in 3 of those 4 losses. The Nets are playing hard, but are clearly behind the 8-ball in terms of talent. Minnesota isn't going to overlook the Nets in this spot and that should be more than enough for them to get the win here by at least 5 points, as I could see this one getting ugly in a hurry. Give me the Timberwolves -4!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Hawks +9)

Atlanta is worth a look here as a near double-digit dog against the Cavs. We knew Cleveland was going to be overvalued coming into the season after winning it all last year and that certainly hasn't changed after they have started out 6-0. They are just 2-4 ATS and have failed to cover in 4 straight. This Hawks team is a lot better than people think and are certainly capable of giving the Cavs a run for their money here. Keep in mind Cleveland's only win this season by double-digits is their opener against the Knicks. Give me the Hawks +9!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 196.5)

*Analysis Coming*

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Kings +1.5)

I believe the books are begging for you to take the Bucks as a small home favorite. Milwaukee comes in having won 2 straight and 3 of 4 overall, including back-to-back outright wins as an underdog. The Kings on the other hand have lost 3 straight on the road, including an ugly 94-102 defeat at Orlando last time out. I know they are just 2-4, but I like what I have seen from the Kings early on and I expect them to bounce back here in what feels like a must-win game with a road game at Toronto on deck tomorrow. On the other side of this, I don't trust this Bucks team, at least not until Middleton returns from injury. Kings swept the season series a year ago, including a 129-118 win at Milwaukee as a 4.5-point dog. There's a reason this line has dropped from it's opening number of the Bucks -4. Give me Sacramento +1.5!

40* Warriors/Lakers Late Night ATS Bailout (Lakers +11)

This situation is just too good to pass up and if you play against teams like the Warriors in this spot, I'm confident you will profit long-term. Golden State just played the biggest game of their season to date last night at home against the Thunder, as Durant got his first crack at his old team. The Warriors laid everything they had into winning that game for their new teammate. I believe they are going to have a hard time matching the intensity of this young Lakers team in another nationally televised game, especially playing on no rest and this being their 3rd game in 4 nights. This is LA's chance to showcase themselves in a primetime game and I expect them to lay everything they have on the line at home tonight. Give me the Lakers +11!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 206)

The books have set the bar too high, as we have an early season rematch here between the Hawks and Wizards, who opened the season against each other in Atlanta. Adding even more value here is that this is a big game for both teams. Washington is fighting to avoid starting the season 0-3 and playing with revenge after letting one get away against the Hawks in the opener. Atlanta on the other hand will be motivated off an ugly home loss to the Lakers, where they only have themselves to blame with the effort they gave defensively in the 2nd half of that contest. Give me the UNDER 206!

40* NBA No Doubt ATS Knockout (Wolves -3)

After blowing double-digit leads in their first two games on the road, the Timberwolves returned home and routed the Grizzlies 116-80. I know Memphis was missing some key players, but I really like this Minnesota team and expect them to be a great bet at home at least in the early portion of the schedule until the public catches on. It's no secret the Nuggets are a better team at home than on the road and I think they struggle to keep this one close against a Timberwolves team that is loaded with young talent. I also think we are getting some value here because Minnesota is without starting point guard Ricky Rubio, but I don't see a dropoff with rookie Kris Dunn at the point and he's a better defender, which fits Thibodeau's style. Give me the Timberwolves -3!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Clippers -7)

I really like this Celtics team and I even though they are 3-0 and have covered all 3 of their games, I don't feel like they are getting the respect they deserve. On the flip side of this, I think OKC was way overrated coming into the season and it hasn't changed after the Thunder's 3-0 start. I'm still not buying this team. They have beat the 76ers, Suns and Lakers and could have easily lost two of those. LA is a well coached team an unlike the other teams OKC has faced, they are going to make a point of making someone other than Westbrook beat. Either way, the Thunder rely way too much on Westbrook and it's not a recipe for long-term success. Give me the Clippers -7! 

40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Celtics -3.5)

Big time revenge spot for Boston, who lost at Chicago last Thursday. They fell behind by 15-points in the first half. They rallied to take the lead late, but just didn't have enough left in the tank to get the win. Boston was on no rest in that game, so it made sense they couldn't finish off the Bulls on the road. Now they get them at home on 2 days of rest. It's also important to note that we are getting a great line here due to the Bulls coming into this one at 3-0 and having covered in all 3 games. Give me the Celtics -3.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Wizards +100)

I'll take the Wizards at home in this one. Washington comes into this game 0-2 and pissed off, as they have to feel like they should be 2-0. The Wizards were outscored by 14 in the 4th quarter in their opener at Atlanta, which they lost by 15. They then blew a 8-point lead with less than 4 minutes to play in the 4th of a 103-112 overtime loss at Memphis. We are going to get the Wizards best effort here and on top of that this is their home opener, so they should feed off the crowd. Toronto's a really good team, but they are not nearly as good on the road as they are at home and I think this Washington team is one of more improved teams in the league. Give me the Wizards +100 (money line)! 

40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Wolves -3.5)

This is a big revenge spot for Minnesota, who blew a big lead in a loss at Memphis to open the season. The Timberwolves are a talented young team that have to feel like they should be 2-0 instead of 0-2. The key here is the 0-2 record provides us with some great value, as the Grizzlies are not a great road team. Keep in mind each of their first two games were on the road. Minnesota brings an all out effort here and I just don't see the Grizzlies keeping pace. Give me the Timberwolves -3.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Magic -4.5)

I know both teams have yet to win a game this season, but I think the value here is with the Magic. Until the 76ers get Ben Simmons back from injury they are going to struggle to be competitive and even then they are still not a great team. Embid is the only thing they got right now and he's on a minutes restriction, limiting him to just 20 mins a night. Orlando has some nice young talent and I fully expect them to win here by at least 5 points. Orlando has won each of their last 3 trips to Philly and are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 after playing two straight games as an underdog. Give me the Magic -4.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Suns +10.5) 

I think we are getting some great value here with the Suns catching double-digits here. Phoenix is still be undervalued from last year's 23-win campaign, but injuries played a big part of their struggles last year. I see this Suns team as one of most improved teams in the league, as they have a lot of young talent. They are 0-3 SU, but have covered each of their last 2, losing by just 3 in OT at OKC and by just 6-points at home to the Warriors as a 11.5-point dog. While Phoenix is way undervalued, the Clippers are way overvalued here after starting out 2-0 both SU and ATS. The Suns are going to be the more motivated team in this one and win or lose I expect them to keep this one within double-digits. Give me the Suns +10.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (Under 205.5) 

I believe we are getting some great value here with the UNDER in this one. Both of these teams have a renewed focus on the defensive side of the ball, but this number is more reflective of how they played on that side of the ball a year ago. Sacramento brought in Dave Joerger, who made a name for himself with Memphis and their tough defense and their play on defense got the attention of Greg Popovich when they hosted the Spurs on Thursday. Minnesota added Tom Thibodeau as their new head coach and he's considered one of the best defensive minds in the game. He wasn't happy with the Wolves play on that side of the ball in their opener and I expect a full out effort here from both teams, as they look to avoid losing two straight. Give me the UNDER 205.5! 

40* NBA Dog of the Day (Magic +11.5) 

Orlando is showing great value here as a double-digit dog against the Cavs on Saturday. I just don't see Cleveland taking this game all that seriously. They just played in a dog fight last night in Toronto, which they escaped with a 94-91 win. The previous game was at home against the Knicks in an emotional affair, as they got their rings and watched the banner fall for winning the championship last season. Orlando comes in off a 12-point loss at home to Miami in their opener and 26-point defeat last night in Detroit. I look for an all out effort here against the defending champs as they try to secure that first win of the season. I just don't see the Cavs matching the intensity, which is going to make it hard for them to win here by more than the number. Give me Orlando +11.5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Jazz -8.5) 

This might seem like a big number for the Jazz to be laying, but I really think Utah is going to be one of the most improved teams in the league. I know they are still without Hayward and might not have Favors, but I don't think it hurts them against this young Lakers team that will struggle on the road. Not to mention LA is coming off a huge home win against the Rockets, which made them look a lot better than they were. Houston plays zero defense and now they face a Utah team that prides itself on that side of the ball. Lakers biggest issue is their defense. With this being the Jazz's home opener and then coming off a loss, I believe it adds up to a blowout win. Give me Utah -8.5! 

40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Pacers -6) 

Each year there's a team that cathes fire early in the year and the books are slow to adjust. I believe that is going to be Indiana. The Pacers are one of the most improved teams in the league and are right there with the Raptors as the second best team in the east. Brooklyn on the other hand is one of the worst teams in the league. They covered on Wednesday at Boston, losing by just 5 as a 11.5-point dog. However, that's a misleading final, as they were down 23 in the 4th quarter. I have the Pacers ranked ahead of Boston, so if they are a 11.5-point home favorite over the Nets, no way should Indiana only be laying 6 at Brooklyn. Keep in mind the Nets don't exactly have a great home court edge. Give me the Pacers -6! 

40* NBA Underdog of the Week (Kings +8.5) 

I really like the value here with the Kings catching a big number at home against the Spurs. San Antonio just embarrassed the Warriors on their home floor on Tuesday and the betting public isn't going to hesitate backing them here at Sacramento. I really like this Kings team and they didn't disappoint in their opener last night, going into Phoenix and routing the Suns. This is also a significant game for Sacramento, as they debut their new $557 million stadium. Give me the Kings +8.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (UNDER 199.5)

I think the books have set the total too high here for this one. The addition of Thibodeau is going to do wonders for Minnesota's play on defense, something that kept them from being a serious threat last year. He's definitely got the talent to make that defense one of the better units in the league. The Timberwolves showed some of that new defensive mentality in the preseason and it's only going to intensify in the regular season. Memphis wasn't a great defensive team last year, but injuries had a lot to do with that. I look for them to get back to their bread and butter and try and grind out wins. The offense could be better once Parsons is back from injury, but it doesn't figure to be good out of the gates. Give me the UNDER 199.5! 

40* NBA Over/Under Total Crusher (Under 194.5) 

I like the value here with the Bucks/Hornets to go under the total set by the books. Charlotte returns their nucleus from last year, plus bring in Roy Hibbert and get back Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, who are both strong on the defensive side of the ball. Milwaukee had to trade for Tony Snell to fill the void of shooting guard Khris Middleton, last year's leading scorer. Snell is limited offensively, but he is an above average defender. I just don't think these teams are going to struggle offensively more times than not, especially the Bucks early on until Middleton returns. With the defensive intensity that comes with the season opener, I think we are going to see a low-scoring game here. Give me the UNDER 194.5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Heat +4) 

I believe the perception of this Heat team is they aren't going to be very good after losing Wade in free agency and not bringing any big names in free agency. I think they are going to surprise some people. Wade's departure opens a bigger role for Justise Winslow, who showed flashes in his limited role as a rookie. They have one of the best young centers in the game in Hassan Whiteside and one of the more underrated point guards in Goran Dragic. I also like their two young guards in Josh Richardson and Tyler Johnson. As for the Magic, they are getting some love after adding in Serge Ibaka, Bismack Biyombo and Jeff Green, but I'm just not sold on this team. They don't have a ton of outside shooting, so teams are going to be able to clog up the paint and really make them work to score. Miami's definitely not a team you want to try and attack inside often with Whiteside. I think the Heat win here outright, but I'll take the points as some added insurance. Give me Miami +4! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Total Crusher (Under 204.5) 

I think the total here has been set way too high by the books. The Knicks were not a good defensive team last year, but should be much improved on that side of the ball with the additions of Noah and Lee. Cleveland's offense also figures to be a bit sluggish in their first game, as their primary focus is on getting their rings and seeing the banner dropped. LeBron's teams also have a history of starting out slow. With that said, I think Cleveland is going to bring the defensive intensity in this one and the Knicks offense doesn't figure to be great early, as they are still trying to figure out how to play with each other. There's also a chance this game turns into a blowout in favor of the Cavs, which should also lead to a lower-scoring game. Give me the UNDER 204.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (Under 208)

The last two games have gone OVER the total and I believe it's created some great value here on the UNDER in Game 7. These do or die games are typically lower-scoring than people expect, as there's a tremendous amount of pressure on both teams and the defensive intensity is at an all-time high. Cleveland did put up 108 in Game 5 at Golden State, but keep in mind that was with Green sidelined. James and Irving also played out of their minds, scoring 41 a piece and shooting over 60% from the field. I don't see those two matching that in Game 7. While the Cavs offense doesn't figure to be as good, their defense has been great over the last 4 games and I don't see that changing in this one. Give me the UNDER 208! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (Under 207.5) 

I wasn't the least bit surprised to see Game 5 go over the total, as the loss of Draymond Green was going to tough for the Warriors to overcome on the defensive side of the ball. It definitely played a big role in James and Irving going off for a combined 82 points. I look for things to come a lot harder for Cleveland's 1-2 punch and the Cavs should play some pretty solid defense of their own at home. I see a very similar type of pace to Game 4 in Cleveland, which went under the same total of 207.5. Give me the UNDER 207.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (OVER 204.5)

I know that each of the first two games in Golden State finished below the total set and 3 of the 4 have gone UNDER in the series, but without Draymond Green in the lineup for the Warriors in Game 5, I'm expecting a spark in scoring. Even without Green the Warriors have enough weapons offensively to score 100+. It's his defensive presence, most notably on James, that will hurt them. I Cleveland also seemed to figure out some things at home that are working on the offensive end. Give me the OVER 204.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (Under 207) 

After going well below the total in the first two games, the Cavs and Warriors eclipsed the mark set of 206 in Game 3 with a 210 points. That was with Cleveland scoring 120 points. Golden State simply didn't show up to play and basically threw in the towel in the 2nd half of that contest. I look for a completely different Warriors team to take the floor after getting embarrassed by 30-points. Keep in mind they held Cleveland to just 89 points on 38.1% shooting in Game 1 and 77 points on 35.4% shooting in Game 2. The defensive intensity is going to be there for both teams tonight and I wouldn't be shocked if we saw the lowest scoring game of the series so far. Either way the total is too high. Give me the UNDER 207! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (OVER 205)

Each of the first two games in this series have gone well below the total. As a result, oddsmakers have adjusted. The total for game 1 was 211.5 points, now it's just 205. The key here is we are getting a change of scenery with the series shifting to Cleveland. The Cavaliers were pathetic on offense in Golden State, but I look for them to come to life at home. Golden State's offense travels well and the defensive intensity for the Warriors isn't going to be as strong on the road, especially with a 2-0 lead in the series. Forget who will cover the spread. Give me the OVER 205! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Cavs +6.5) 

I was on Cleveland in Game 1 and they failed to cover, but I'm not jumping off the Cavaliers bandwagon just because of one loss. Cleveland got a bit of a wakeup call in Game 1, as they no longer are playing against the weak Eastern Conference. If the Cavs can continue to hold Curry and Thompson in check, I like their chances of making this a series. It was the Warriors role players who stole the spotlight in Game 1 and this time I look for Cleveland's role players to be the difference. James knows that this is a must-win game for the Cavs and while I'm taking the points, I like Cleveland's chances of winning this game outright. Give me the Cavaliers +6.5)! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Cavs +6) 

I look for the Warriors to come out a bit flat here in Game 1 against the Cavaliers. Golden State just laid everything they had on the line to come back from a 3-1 deficit against the Thunder. Cleveland on the other hand had another easy series against the Raptors and have been waiting for this moment since the postseason started. I know the Warriors made easy work of the Cavs in the regular season, but Cleveland is playing at a whole different level right now and the addition of Frye has really changed the dynamic of this team. I expect this to be a very close game and wouldn't be shocked if Cleveland pulled off the upset. Give me the Cavaliers +6! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (Under 218) 

The UNDER is worth a look in tonight's highly anticipated Game 7 between the Thunder and Warriors. So far the UNDER has cashed in 4 of the 6 games. These two teams are very familiar with one another buy now and we know we are going to get a max effort here defensively. Golden State has adjusted and started playing a bigger lineup, which takes away from their offense. Add in the pressure of a Game 7 and the potential for Golden State to turn this into a blowout and I see big time value here with this high total. Give me the UNDER 218!