40* NBA PLAYOFFS ATS NO BRAINER (Warriors -12)

As much as the Spurs don't want to let Golden State win this series on their home floor, I just don't think there's anything they can do about it without Leonard and David Lee (was giving them great minutes). I also think the spirit of the Spurs is broken and even the great Popovich said they had to play a near perfect game just to be competitive for a full 48. When the Warriors have smelled blood in the two previous series up 3-0, they have closed out in convincing fashion and I see no reason why they don't do the same here. Give me the Warriors -12!

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (OVER 218)

It came right down to the final seconds of Game 1 before it went over the total and I think that has a lot of people looking to take the UNDER in Game 2. I'm going the other way, as these two just combined for 221 points with the Celtics failing to score more than 20 points in either of the first two periods. They combined for 121 points in the 2nd half, which is a pace of 242. I'm not saying it gets to that mark, but I don't think Boston has any answer for the Cavs offense and can't be as poor as they were on offense in Game 1 at home. Give me the OVER 218!

40* CAVS/CELTICS GAME 1 ANNIHILATOR (Cavs -4)

I actually think the fact that Boston has the No. 1 seed and is getting to host Game 1 of this series has created some big time value here. Cleveland is well rested having swept their first two opponents. Boston on the other hand just played a tough 7-game series against the Wizards and that was after playing a 6-game series to open up the playoffs against the Bulls. The biggest thing here is the lack of time the Celtics have had since closing out that series against Washington. Boston just played Game 7 against the Wizards on Monday. I just don't see them being able to match the pace of the Cavs, who are going to be looking to push the tempo and take advantage of those tired legs for Boston. Give me the Cavaliers -4!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (OVER 209)

I feel like the absense of Leonard along with a more focused Warriors team than we saw at the beginning of Game 1, is going to lead to Golden State playing the entire game at their pace. Keep in mind they put up 71 points in the 2nd half in Game 1. Leonard is a big part of the Spurs offense, but the system that Popovich runs is going to produce open shots, especially with the advantage San Antonio has inside. I think this one flies past the total. Give me the OVER 209!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (UNDER 211)

This is all about the magnitude of this being Game 7 with a spot in the Eastern Conference Finals on the line for these two teams. For most of the star players on both sides, this is as far as they have got in the playoffs. I think the pressure started to show itself in Game 6, when they combined for a mere 183 points. Thanks to the public's love of betting the OVER, we are getting a huge total here. Simply too much value for me to pass up. Give me the UNDER 211!

40* Celtics/Wizards NBA Playoffs Total No Brainer (Over 216)

I'm usually an UNDER player in the playoffs, but sometimes you just get a matchup like we have here. Both teams love to get up and down the floor, so there's a lot of possessions both ways, they can each light it up from 3-point range and neither is all that great defensively. Washington had scored 110+ in each of the first 4 games of the series before getting held to 101 in Game 5 (They eclipsed 100 points shooting 38.5% from the field). Only one game in the series has finished below the total set by the books and that was an epic bad shooting night for Boston. I'll take my chances these two eclipse the mark again. Give me the OVER 216!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (Under 214)

The deeper you get in a series the more familiar each team gets with the other side and what they are trying to do offensively. Houston is known for their up tempo style, but facing elimination, I expect a little more focus on defense and not going quite so fast early in the game, so they have something left in the tank in the 4th quarter. There's always a chance the Rockets could go off with the 3-ball, but San Antonio has held them to 101 or fewer points in regulation in 3 of the last 4 games. Give me the UNDER 214!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (Over 216)

These two teams have combined for 223 or more points in 3 of the first 4 games in the series and the only one that didn't was in Washington, where the Celtics couldn't buy a basket. They shot 35.1% from the field, easily one of their worst shooting performances of the entire season. They shot 51.1% from the field in each of the first two games at home in this series and I expect a big night from the Celtics' offense in this one. Washington has scored now fewer than 111 points in the series. Give me the OVER 216!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (UNDER 214)

I absolutely love the under here in Game 5 tonight. I expect to see the same San Antonio team on defense that we saw in Game 2 and Game 3, where they held the Rockets to 96 and 92 points, respectively. These two teams are also starting to get really familiar with one another. UNDER is 13-3 the last 16 times the Rockets played in a Game 5 and 8-3-1 in Houston's last 12 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Give me the UNDER 214!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Wizards -4.5)

Both of these teams have such a huge home court advantage and to no surprise the home team has won each of the first 3 games in the series. I'm confident that trend is going to continue here with Washington, who has to be sitting there thinking they should at worse have a 2-1 lead in the series instead of being down 1-2. Boston has a superstar in Thomas, but the rest of the team is a bunch of role players. I look for the duo of Wall and Beal for Washington to dominate this one. Give me the Wizards -4.5!

40* NBA Vegas Total No Brainer (Under 208)

These two teams combined for 219 points in Game 2 after totaling just 200 in the series opener. I think with the series sitting 2-0 Golden State and it shifting to Utah for Game 3, we are getting some great value here with the total at 208. Utah knows they have to ugly up the game to beat this Warriors team and to do that they have to lock down defensively. They did a pretty good job of it in Golden State and I expect their best defensive effort here, as they know their season is all but over if they fall behind 3-0 in the series. Give me the UNDER 208!

40* NBA Vegas Big Money ATS Blowout (Raptors +4.5)

Even with the series shift to Toronto, I can't see the public wanting anything to do with the Raptors given how bad they looked in the first two games in this series. As well as Cleveland has played, if there's a game they are going to struggle to play well in, I think this is it. They have to feel like they can do whatever they want against Toronto and have to be a bit over-confident right now. As for the Raptors, we can bank on the very best effort they have to offer us and we should see better offensive numbers with them playing at home. At the same time, we should see a dip in the Cavs 3-point shooting on the road. I think those factors make Toronto the play here as a home dog in a game I feel they win outright. Give me the Raptors +4.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Wizards -5.5)

Washington will be heading back home for Game 3 wondering how they aren't the ones up 2-0 in the series or at least sitting at 1-1. Regardless of how they let the first two slip away, we can bank on an all out effort here from the Wizards tonight. Washington has shown they can take advantage of the Celtics defense and build some big leads. I just don't think we are going to see Boston shoot near as well from behind the 3-point line on the road and that's really what this team relies on offensively. At the same time, I look for a few of Washington's reserves to step up and have a big game here. Give me the Wizards -5.5!

40* NBA Playoffs Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Spurs -5.5)

It couldn't have looked much worse for the Spurs in Game 1, but I trust in Popovich and his staff to make the proper adjustments. We know the effort will be there for San Antonio, as this feels a lot like a Game 7 for them, as they simply can't afford to fall behind 0-2 with the next two and 3 of the next 4 games in Houston. The Rockets aren't going to get the same looks offensively and there's still major holes in their defense. Part of the problem in Game 1 was San Antonio didn't shoot well. I'm confident that won't be the case here. Give me the Spurs -5.5!

40* Jazz/Warriors Late Night BAILOUT (Under 208)

Utah is going to try and slow down the pace of this game as much as possible. They aren't going to have the energy to play at Golden State's pace after just playing a Game 7 on Sunday against the Clippers. The Jazz will lean heavily on their defense. While I don't think it will be enough to win the game, I think they keep this from turning into a shootout and put the value here on the under. Keep in mind this Golden State defense is no joke and held the Jazz to just 74 points in a matchup this season. Give me the UNDER 208!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Raptors +7)

Toronto is worth a look here in Game 1 of this Eastern Conference showdown. The Raptors played Cleveland tough in the regular season and I still have my concerns with the Cavs right now. Cleveland was fortunate that their first round series against the Pacers ended in a sweep. They had that ridiculous come from behind win in Game 3 and didn't win a single game in the series by more than 6 points. I believe the fact that Cleveland was able to continue to not play their best and still get the sweep works in our favor here. I just don't see this team locking in defensively until they face some kind of adversity and until they play defense it's going to be hard for them to blowout the opposition. Give me the Raptors +7!

40* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer (Over 216)

This might seem like a big total, given the intensity teams play with on defense in the playoffs, but there tends to be a let down on defense when shifting to a new series. Both of these teams just went on the road and closed out their 1st round series in Game 6. Boston's last 4 games in their series were all low scoring, but that was due to the Bulls offense losing Rondo and just not being able to play at the same pace. Both of these teams love to push the pace and I look for this to be an entertaining game that sees these two combine for more than 220. Give me the OVER 216!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Bulls +3)

Even though it came in a loss, I think Chicago showed more than enough in Game 5 on the road that they can send this series back to Boston with a win at home in Game 6. The Bulls were right there an actually had the lead going into the 4th quarter. They should get a lot more out of their role players at home and this figures to be a tough spot for Boston after laying it all on the line to go from down 0-2 to up 3-2. Home dogs over the last 5 years are 61% against the spread when revenging a loss of 10 or more and playing just their 2nd game in 5 days. Give me the Bulls +3!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Spurs -4.5)

I know the home team has won all 5 games in the series, but I think that trend comes to an end tonight, as the Spurs finish off the Grizzlies in Memphis. San Antonio is the better team and could have easily won Game 4, which they ended up losing in OT. All 3 wins by the Spurs in the series have come by double-digits and I wouldn't be shocked if they turned this into a blowout. Note that they won Game 5 by 13 despite allowing the Grizzlies to shoot 51% from the field. I don't see Memphis being able to match that here. Give me the Spurs -4.5!

40* Bulls/Celtics NBA Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Bulls +7.5)

As bad as the Bulls looked in Games 3 and 4 without Rondo at home, I still think Chicago is the smart play here with this line. Boston just played their hearts out with their backs against the wall in Chicago and could come out a little flat here after getting the series tied up 2-2. While it came in a lost, the Bulls appeared to figure out how to best replace Rondo on the floor  and I look for that to carry over into this one. I look for veteran Dwyane Wade to step up big here and wouldn't be shocked at all if the Bulls won this game outright. Give me Chicago +7.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Rockets -7.5)

I got no problem laying what might look like a big number to some in Game 5 tonight. As entertaining and exciting it is to watch Westbrook, Houston is the far superior team in this series. With that said, I'm expecting a huge effort here by the Rockets to finish off OKC at home and not give the Thunder any hope of turning this series around. The impressive thing with the Rockets 3-1 lead in the series is they have really only played one game up to their potential and that was a 118-87 in Game 1. I just think it's going to be hard for Oklahoma City to keep this close. Westbrook has to be running on fumes and he's really all the Thunder got, plus the role players typically don't play as well on the road. Give me the Rockets -7.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Bucks +6)

Milwaukee is worth a look here. Based on what we have seen in the first 4 games of this series, all signs point to this being a closely contested game and one that it wouldn't come as a big surprise if the Bucks won outright. Toronto isn't getting much production from their bench and that puts a ton of pressure on DeRozan and Lowry to play. Note the Raptors barely squeaked out Game 4 and that was with DeRozan scoring 33 on 12 of 22 shooting, while Milwaukee start Giannis Antetokounmpo was just 6 of 19 for 14 points, his lowest output of the series. Look for a big bounce back game for the "greek freak" Give me the Bucks +6!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Bulls +3)

It wasn't pretty for Chicago in Game 2, but I like them in this spot. The Bulls clearly missed Rondo on the floor. I also think the news of the injury and the fact that Chicago had the 2-0 lead coming back home, had them far from locked into at the level needed to compete in a playoff game. I expect to see a completely different Bulls team and I'm still not all that impressed with Boston. If Chicago turns up the defensive intensity, their offense will find it hard to score outside of Thomas. I'll take my chances with Wade and Butler having a big game and delivering a win at home. Give me the Bulls +3!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Hawks -2.5)

Washington leads the series 2-0, but both of those games came at home. Atlanta was right there in each game. The Wizards are an exceptional home team, but had a losing record on the road. I look for Atlanta to be a completely different team now that they are at home. The Hawks also have the huge motivational edge. Atlanta knows they can't lose this one if they want any chance to win the series. Washington isn't going to lay down by any means, but will struggle to match the intensity of the Hawks. Give me Atlanta -2.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 206)

I'm not quite ready to count out Chicago without Rondo, but I think his absence has created some great value here on the UNDER. Rondo is a huge part of Chicago's offense and without him there simply won't be as many open shots. He also did a good job of pushing the ball up the floor, so expect a slower pace than we saw in the first two games of this series. You also have to factor in how big a game this is for Boston being down 0-2 on the road. They are going to give everything they got on defense. Not to mention these two teams are getting familiar with each other. Give me the UNDER 206!

50* Cavs/Pacers NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Pacers +3)

Indiana is worth a look here. The Pacers covered the spread in each of the first two games of this series and nearly pulled off the upset in Game 1. I see no reason to quit backing them now that the series has shifted to Indiana and Cleveland is comfortably up 2-0. Any hope the Pacers have of winning this series comes down to them leaving with a win in Game 3 and I expect them to do just that, though I still think the Cavs will advance. Indiana might have been the No. 7 seed in the east, but they played like an elite team at home, where they went 29-12. Until Cleveland shows more on defense, I think they will continue to be a great fade in the playoffs. Give me the Pacers +3!

50* Thunder/Rockets NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Thunder +8)

I'm not letting the result of Game 1 cause an overreaction here. These two teams played 4 times during the regular season and 3 of those were decided by 3 points or less. The final score makes it look like Houston dominated Game 1 throughout, but it was really just the final 2 quarters, as the Thunder trailed by a score of just 54-59 at the half. They just couldn't get anything going in the 3rd quarter and with Westbrook struggling they started looking ahead to Game 2. I'm not saying the Thunder will win, but I fully expect this one to go down to the wire. Give me OKC +8!

50* Jazz/Clippers NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Clippers -8.5)

Despite losing Game 1, the Clippers are a bigger favorite at home in Game 2. A big reason for this is the injury to Utah's Rudy Gobert, who isn't expected to play. Gobert only played 17 seconds in Game 1 and the Jazz won. The public is going to see this as an overreaction by the books and jump on the points with Utah. Not me. This game has Clippers blowout written all over it. Los Angeles will have a gameplan in place to attack Utah without Gobert, something they weren't expecting to see in Game 1. I also don't think the Jazz can match their shooting from Game 1 and are going to be happy just going back to Utah with the series at 1-1. Give me the Clippers -8.5!

50* Pacers/Cavs NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Pacers +8.5)

I believe the fact that Cleveland was able to hold on for the win in Game 1, has created value once again on the Pacers. Indiana isn't going to hang their heads after coming so close in the opener. If anything, that's going to motivate them even more. As for the Cavs, I don't see them flipping that so called switch everyone is talking about until the face some adversity. I also need to see this game play some legit defense before I'm going to feel confident laying a big number with them, even at home. Give me the Pacers +8.5!

50* Bulls/Celtics NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Bulls +6.5)

The news regarding Isaiah Thomas' sister is sad and unfortunate. The star point guard is expected to play and while I applaud him for that, I think this situation is going to prove to be too much for him to overcome. Even if he does play well, which isn't out of the question, I still like the points here with the Bulls, who I think are capable of not only winning this game but winning this series. Chicago has got their offense going and have the veteran leadership in Wade and Rondo that have won titles an know how to get their teams to take their games to the next level this time of year. Give me the Bulls +6.5!

50* Bucks/Raptors NBA Playoffs Weekend BEST BET (Under 199.5)

This is without a doubt my favorite play on the board in the NBA Playoffs this weekend. Toronto isn't viewed as a great defensive team and they weren't for a good part of this season. The Raptors defensive numbers improved drastically with the additions of Ibaka and Tucker. On the flip side of this, defense was a major part of the Bucks big run down the stretch. Milwaukee's got the size to matchup with anyone and make things difficult on that side of the ball. With the pressure of the playoffs I think we are getting more than 10-points in value here. Give me the UNDER 199.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Mavs +1)

Denver's hopes of making the playoffs came crashing to an end with their 105-106 home loss to Oklahoma City on Sunday. For a team that really believed they were going to the playoffs, it's nearly impossible for them to get up for a road game against a bad team like Dallas, who has lost 4 straight and are a mere 1-8 in their last 9 overall. This is the Mavs final home game and while they have struggled of late, I don't think they are tanking with no real shot at a top 5 pick given their record. Give me the Mavericks +1!

40* NBA Vegas Big Money ATS Blowout (Pacers -8)

This game has blowout written all over it. Indiana desperately needs to win to ensure a spot in the playoffs. This is essentially a playoff game to them, as there's a good chance a win here could lock them into the postseason. The 76ers have been a great story and a covering machine for a good portion of this season, but that was before all their top players ended up sidelined. This team has tanked down the stretch, losing 6 straight and have gone just 1-5 ATS during this stretch. Give me the Pacers -8!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Heat +6)

I feel like the value here is clearly with Miami as a 6-point dog. This game means so much more to the Heat than it does the Raptors. Miami is fighting for the final playoff spot, while Toronto is locked into at worst home court in the first round. This is also a bit of a flat spot for the Raptors, who are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and returning home after a 2-day road trip. Toronto is also adjusting back to playing with starting point guard Kyle Lowry. They were very fortunate to win their last game against the slumping Pistons, as they had to overcome a 20-point deficit. I like the Heat to win here, but will gladly take the points for a little extra insurance. Give me Miami +6!

40* NBA No Doubt ATS Knockout (Bulls -6)

I backed the Bulls in an ugly 91-100 loss at New York, which snapped their 4-game winning streak. I see that as more of a blimp on the radar than a sign of things to come. Chicago is still 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games and will be 100% locked in for this one. As for the 76ers, they have been a great surprise, but are running out of gas down the stretch. Philadelphia has basically all of their good players out with an injury or playing hurt. They come in having lost 4 straight and the most recent being a home loss to the Nets, where they allowed a ridiculous 141 points. That was the third straight game in which they allowed their opponent to shoot 53% or better from the field. Give me the Bulls -6!

40* Mavs/Clippers ESPN ATS Knockout (Mavericks +11.5)

While the Mavericks are out of playoff contention, they aren't the type of team to just throw in the towel and not compete down the stretch. Especially in a prime time game like we have here with these two facing off in the second game of tonight's ESPN double-header. Another key factor here is we are getting great value with this line, as the books have no choice but to inflate this number knowing that the public will be all over the Clippers. Note that Dallas has won each of the last two meetings in the series and LA is a mere 2-12 ATS in their last 14 home games when playing with double-revenge. Give me the Mavericks +11.5

40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Bulls -3.5)

Oddsmakers didn't give Chicago any respect in their last game, as they were a 8.5-point dog at New Orleans and won 117-110. Now they are only a 3.5-point favorite at New York against a Knicks team that is out of playoff contention and not exactly showing a lot of life down the stretch. This would have been a game the Knicks got up for had Rose and Noah been healthy, but both are out, so that motivation card can be thrown out the window. Chicago needs every win they can get to ensure a playoff spot and given how well they are playing right now, it's worth the risk to play them at this price in this spot. Give me the Bulls -3.5!

50* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month (Thunder -4.5)

Oklahoma City comes into this game having lost their last two, both at home, and are going to be playing with a chip on their shoulder in this one. Backing this up is the fact that favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more home losses are 35-11 (76%) ATS in April games dating back to 1996. Milwaukee has been playing well, but have failed to cover in 4 of their last 6 and aren't exactly coming in with a good frame of mind off a 105-109 home loss to the Mavericks. Bucks are also not a great road team and OKC is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the Thunder -4.5!

50* UNC/Gonzaga NCAAB Championship Game of the Year (UNC -1)

The public has jumped on the Gonzaga bandwagon and I believe it's created exceptional value here with North Carolina. I firmly believe that the Tar Heels are the more talented team and if they play up to their potential, this could turn into a blowout. The Bulldogs have had the much easier route to the Championship Game and who knows if the beat South Carolina if Thornwell was 100%. North Carolina's size is going to make it tough on Gonzaga's offense to find easy shots and defensively with foul trouble and rebounding. Give me the Tar Heels -1!

40* NBA Big Money ATS No Brainer (Wizards +9.5)

Washington is worth a look here as a big dog against the Warriors. The Wizards are fighting for playoff position and are going to show up to play against what everyone believes to be the favorite to win it all. I can't say the same for the Warriors and their motivation coming into this one. Golden State is due for a letdown after their last 3, which included two against the Rockets sandwiched around a game at San Antonio. They are now comfortably in the No. 1 spot in the west and are going to start worrying more about resting up their stars than blowing teams out. Washington should be in this one all the way and I could see them leaving with a victory, making them an easy play at this line. Give me the Wizards +9.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Hornets +5.5)

I'll gladly take my chances with Charlotte at this price. The Hornets are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They come in having won 6 of their last 8 and this run includes wins over the Wizards, Hawks, Raptors and Nuggets. OKC always gets a lot of love from the books because of all the attention Russel Westbrook gets. I just think Westbrook and the rest of the Thunder are running on fumes right now. Having already clinched a playoff spot and off a huge game against the Spurs, this is a big letdown spot for OKC against what should be an extremely motivated Charlotte side. Give me the Hornets +5.5!

50* NCAAB Final Four Game of the Year (North Carolina -4.5)

I'll gladly back the Tar Heels laying at this line against the Ducks. I believe North Carolina is head and shoulders above the rest of the field in terms of talent. On top of that the Tar Heels have experience from last year to fall back on. The biggest factor here in my opinion is the size and depth that North Carolina has. They should be able to abuse the Ducks inside. Oregon's offensive rebounding will be negated and the Tar Heels should get plenty of second chances. I also think the size of North Carolina will force Oregon to be strictly a jump shooting team and really make it tough on them to keep pace with the Tar Heels high-powered offensive attack. Give me North Carolina -4.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Rockets +9.5)

Sure the Rockets are playing on no rest after last night's loss in Portland, but I actually think that's only adding value here. Golden State has been playing well and just erased a 22-point deficit in a 110-98 win at San Antonio. That came one day after they won at Houston 113-106. That win over the Spurs all but locked up the No. 1 seed for the Warriors and considering they just beat the Rockets a few days ago, I think there's a good chance Golden State comes out flat. I don't think that will be the case for Houston, who will be out for revenge and to make a statement against what everyone is calling the favorite to win it all. I'll gladly take the points, but I wouldn't be shocked if Houston won this game outright. Give me the Rockets +9.5!

40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Pelicans -10.5)

New Orleans playoff hopes are slim, as they are 5-games back of 8th place Portland and 3.5 behind 9th place Denver with just 7 to play. Regardless of where they stand, this is a game the Pelicans are going to show up for and give everything they have. It's the first game for newly acquired big man DeMarcus Cousins against his old team and his new teammates are going to do whatever it takes to help him win this game. An inspired Pelicans team should be all it takes to win here by more than the number, as the Kings are not a good team. They just lost by 30-points at home to the Jazz in their last game. Sacramento really struggles to score and New Orleans can lock down defensively when they want to. Give me the Pelicans -10.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Nuggets +2)

I see this is a good spot to back Denver, as they are undervalued coming off two straight losses. Prior to the recent setback the Nuggets had won 9 of their previous 13 with two of those losses coming to the Rockets. They also had an ugly 10-point home loss to these Hornets sandwiched in there and it's certainly won they haven't forgot. I'm simply not a believer in this Charlotte team and look for them to struggle to keep this competitive at home against the Nuggets. Hornets haven't exactly been playing well at home, as they are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 home games. Denver on the other hand is 5-1 ATS in their last 8 away from home and 6-2 in their last 8 against the east. Give me the Nuggets +2

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 211.5)

I look for the Bulls and Cavaliers to have no problem eclipsing this total tonight. Cleveland comes in off an absolutely miserable offensive performance, scoring just 74 points in a 29-point loss at San Antonio on Monday. There were a lot of factors that played into that awful showing, including the Spurs being an elite defensive team and the Cavs just being tired from a brutal schedule. Prior to that game Cleveland had scored at least 112 points in 4 straight games. Note that they lost 78-108 at Los Angeles (Clippers) and the next game combined for 145 points with the Lakers. Chicago's scored 107 or more in 4 straight and should be able to keep that streak going, pushing us well over the mark here. Give me the OVER 211.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Celtics -8)

Big number for Boston to be laying against the Bucks, but I believe it's for good reason. Milwaukee got a big road win last night at Charlotte and are now primed for a letdown in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set on the road. On top of that, Milwaukee is playing their 6th game in the last 9 days overall. The Celtics on the other hand are playing on a full 2 days of rest, plus have a ton to play for here now that they are sitting No. 1 in the east standings. Boston has won 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall and I just don't see them leaving this one to chance. I look for the Celtics to jump all over the Bucks early and cruise to a double-digit win. Give me the Celtics -8!

50* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year (UNDER 201)

I expect the intensity to be very similar to that of a playoff game tonight, as these two teams are both fighting for the 8th and final spot in the Eastern Conference. Miami currently holds that spot, but they have a mere 1-game lead on the Bulls and 1.5-game lead on the Pistons. Neither team can really afford to lose this game. I believe it's going to lead to max effort on the defensive side of the ball and this one finishing well below the mark. Note that Detroit hasn't scored more than 96 points in each of their last 4 games and aren't expected to have Reggie Jackson for this game. Miami's offense simply isn't the same without Waiters and it doesn't help that Dragic is playing at less than 100%. Both teams are also playing with tired legs. the Pistons are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set after a 4-game road trip and Miami is playing their 2nd straight on the road in a span of just 3 days. Give me the UNDER 201!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 200)

I'm expecting a playoff type atmosphere here with these two teams. Utah is holding on to a slim 1-game lead for the 4th spot in the west with just 9 games left to play, while New Orleans is clinging onto hope of sneaking in as the No. 8 seed, though they need to make up 4 games with just 9 to play. Unlikely, but with them coming off a 25-point blowout win at Denver yesterday, they aren't giving up just yet. Utah is a dominant defensive team and the Pelicans have been playing really good defense overall of late. I look for this to finish close to 190 than 200. Give me the UNDER 200!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (North Carolina -2.5)

These two teams played earlier this season in a shootout, as the Wildcats won 103-100. The defense will be a lot better this time around and I just trust North Carolina's ability to score a lot more than Kentucky. The Wildcats don't have a lot of great shooters and I just think they are outclassed inside by the Tar Heels. The size of North Carolina will be too much for Kentucky to overcome unless they get another crazy game from Monk like they did in the previous meeting with UNC. Monk had 47 points on 18 of 28 shooting (8 of 12 from 3-pointers). I'm confident he won't put up those same kind of numbers with the Tar Heels defense locked in on him. Give me North Carolina -2.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Rockets -5.5)

I think this is a great spot to back Houston at home against the Thunder. Westbrook has been able to keep OKC respectable in terms of competing in the west, but they are not a legit threat to Golden State in the postseason. The Rockets on the other hand are a team that is capable of winning it all. Westbrook and the Thunder are simply outclassed against the elite teams, especially on the road, where they are just 14-20 on the season. Give me the Rockets -5.5!

50* Elite 8 Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Gonzaga -7.5)

I really like this matchup for the Bulldogs. Gonzaga has been pushed to the limit in their last two games against Northwestern and West Virginia. Both of which are excellent defensive teams. Xavier is not all that great defensively and have been playing out of their minds offensively in the tournament, shooting better than 50% from the field in all 3 games. The Musketeers are lucky Arizona choked in the final minutes and I just don't think Gonzaga even lets it get to that point. Not only do I look for the Bulldogs to go off offensively, but I believe this is where their underrated defense will shine. It's been quite a ride for Xavier, but the Cinderella story ends here in a blowout loss. Give me Gonzaga -7.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (UNDER 202.5)

I'm expecting a playoff type atmosphere in LA this afternoon, as the Jazz and Clippers meet for the final time. This game is huge for both sides, as Utah currently has a 1.5-game lead over LA for the No. 4 spot in the west. A win for Utah and they have a 2.5-game with less than 10 to play. The Clippers can not only pull within a 1/2-game, but they would also earn the tie-breaker with a victory, as they have already won 2 of the first 3 meetings this season. These two combined for 122 recently, but had failed to eclipse 165 in the previous two. Given the circumstances, I look for this to well below the total. Give me the UNDER 202.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UCLA -1)

The Bruins went on the road and beat Kentucky in the regular season 97-92 and believe there's an excellent chance that UCLA knocks off the Wildcats again. Keep in mind that the Bruins shot 53% from the field against Kentucky's defense and held the Wildcats to just 41% from the field. The only thing that kept it from being a blowout was the fact that UCLA turned it over 18 times. Sure a lot of that had to do with Kentucky's defense, but the Bruins should be better prepared this time around. Not to mention they have had a total of 9 turnovers in their first two tournament games. What makes the Wildcats so great is their ability to lock down their opponents, as they can be a bit limited offensively. UCLA just has too much fire-power. Give me the Bruins -1!

40* NBA Big Money ATS Blowout (Bucks -6)

Milwaukee is worth a look here against the Hawks. Atlanta is in a free-fall right now and it doesn't figure to improve with Millsap and Bazemore both still sidelined. Not to mention the Bucks are playing some of their best basketball right now. Milwaukee is 10-2 over their last 12 and have won 5 straight at home. The Hawks have lost 5 in a row with 3 of the 5 coming by double-digits. The fact that Atlanta is short-handed won't have the Bucks overlooking their opponent, as Milwaukee has some serious revenge on their minds after losing each of the first 3 meetings to the Hawks this season. Give me the Bucks -6!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (North Carolina -7)

As much as I like Butler, I think this is a horrible matchup for the Bulldogs. The Tar Heels are extremely athletic and have a ton of size that Butler won't be able to match. UNC should feast inside on offense and get a number of second chance points with offensive rebounds. The Bulldogs are going to have to work extremely hard on offense for everything they get and would need to shoot lights out just to keep this close. Let's also not overlook the fact that Butler has benefited from getting to play a couple double-digit seeds in Winthrop and Middle Tennessee. I also like the fact that North Carolina got out to a big lead and lost it before pulling out the win against Arkansas. They aren't going to mess around with a lead anymore. Give me the Tar Heels -7!

40* Late Night Sweet 16 Total No Brainer (UNDER 145)

This Arizona team is the real deal and I believe their defense is going to be the deciding factor in this one. The Wildcats held a potent St. Mary's team to just 60 points in their last game and I look for them to slow down the Musketeers. Xavier has shot lights out in their first two tournament games, but this Arizona defense is by far the best they have seen. Musketeers are no slouches on defense either, as they have held 5 of their last 6 opponents to 66 or less. It's also worth pointing out that neither of these teams like to play at a fast pace, which only adds that much more value here. Give me the UNDER 145!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Raptors +5)

Toronto is worth a look here as a dog against the Heat. The Raptors will be without Ibaka due to suspension and are still without Lowry, but this team has started to figure out how to win without their star point guard. Miami comes in off a 15-point win over the Suns at home, but I think this team is in trouble with the injury to Waiters. Keep in mind that Phoenix is tanking to close out the season and prior to that win they lost at home to the Blazers by 11 and Portland is an awful road team. Give me the Raptors +5!

50* Sweet 16 GAME OF THE YEAR (Michigan -1)

I'm not the least bit surprised to see the Wolverines in the Sweet 16. Like with every sport, it's not always about the overall record, but how you are playing when it matters the most. Michigan is without a doubt playing at an elite level right now. They are extremely difficult to stop offensively, as they are efficient and have a number of different players who can beat you. The Wolverines have shot 49% or better from the field in 4 straight and 6 of their last 7. Oregon isn't the same team after losing Boucher and have benefited from getting to play two double-digit seeds to this point. Not that they allowed Rhode Island to shoot 51% from the field. I don't see them being able to slow down this Michigan attack. Give me the Wolverines -1!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Nuggets +4)

Most are going to see the Cavs as a short road favorite and jump on Cleveland. I actually feel the value here is clearly with the Nuggets. Denver has quietly been playing extremely well of late and are fighting for their playoff lives. The Nuggets are going to treat this as a must-win and I'm just not buying the Cavs having that same level of interest in this game. Cleveland has the best record in the east, but are just 18-16 on the road. The Cavs won 125-120 against the Lakers in their last game as a 11.5-point favorite and are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 after a win as a favorite where they failed to cover the spread. Give me the Nuggets +4!

50* NBA Southwest Game of the Month (Pelicans -2)

This is a great price to back the Pelicans at home against the Grizzlies. New Orleans has finally figured out some chemistry with Cousins and the results have been impressive. The Pelicans are 4-1 in their last 5 games and that includes a 128-112 win over the red-hot Houston Rockets at home. They also knocked off the Blazers 100-77 (3/14) and Wolves 123-109 (3/19) at home. Both of those teams had been playing well (Portland is 8-2 in their last 10). Memphis has won 4 straight and are off a big win over San Antonio, but I believe that's what's creating the value here with the Pelicans. Memphis should suffer a bit of a letdown after the win over the Spurs and could be looking ahead to their two huge road games on deck against San Antonio and Golden State. Give me New Orleans -2!

40* NBA Big Money Dog of the Day (Nuggets +9)

Denver lost by 4-points at home to the Rockets on Saturday. With some injuries piling up and the rematch in Houston, I think the value is clearly with the Nuggets. Denver has a deep and talented roster that can overcome the guys who are out. Most importantly, big man Nikola Jokic will be in action and he's one of the best players most people don't know about. The Rockets have nothing to play for right now, as they going to be the No. 3 seed in the west. Denver has also played well against teams like the Rockets. The Nuggets are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 in the 2nd half against teams who shoot 36% or better from behind the 3-point line and 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games against teams who allow 106 or more points/game. Give me Denver +9!

40* NBA Over/Under Total Knockout (UNDER 203.5)

I'm expecting a low-scoring affair tonight. The Hawks are just going through the motions right now and are going to be without two key pieces to the rotation in Millsap and Bazemore. Not to mention Atlanta has scored less than 100 points in each of their last 3 games and just shot a mere 36.4% from the field in their last contest. Charlotte is fighting for their playoff lives and will be locked in defensively at home in this one. Hornets have held each of their last two opponents under 100 points. UNDER is also 15-2 in Charlotte's last 17 home games against a division opponent and 8-1 in the Hawks last 9 road games when revenging a straight up loss. Give me the UNDER 203.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Magic -5)

The 76ers are primed for a letdown here on the road against a team like the Magic. Philadelphia clearly isn't tanking like they have in year's past, but I just don't see them being all that interested in this one. The 76ers put a lot of energy and effort into beating division rival Boston yesterday at home. Not only are they playing on 0 days rest, but this will be their 3rd game in 4 days overall. Orlando on the other hand is playing on a full 2 days of rest and are fresh off a road win over the Suns. 76ers are just 13-24 ATS in their last 37 road games after playing a game at home and a mere 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games when playing against a bad team like the Magic, who have won less than 40% of their games. Give me Orlando -5!

40* NCAA Tournament Total No Brainer (UNDER 153.5)

UCLA and their high-powered offense leaves the books no choice but to lay a big number on the total, but I think the matchup here with Cincinnati is going to be a lot more lower scoring than most people think. The Bearcats know they can't win this game by trying to trade blows offensively with UCLA in transition offense. Their only chance is to ugly up the game and slow the tempo way down and really bring the intensity on defense. That's the stretch of this Cincinnati team and I think it's going to take the Bruins some time to figure out how to attack the Bearcats defense. Keep in mind this is a Cincinnati team that went on the road and held the likes of Iowa State's high-powered offense to just 54 points. Give me the UNDER 153.5!

40* NCAA Tournament ATS Knockout (Rhode Island +5.5)

Rhode Island is worth a look here as I actually think this line should be closer to a pick'em. Don't get me wrong, Oregon was an elite team this season. They simply aren't that same elite team after losing Boucher. While the Rams are a No. 11 seed, this team has been playing it's best basketball and not a lot of people realize that there was a lot of big things expected from this Rhode Island team. It's similar to Duke and their emergence down the stretch, just on a much smaller scale. I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Rams won this game outright. Give me Rhode Island +5.5!

50* NCAA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Kentucky -4)

I was on the Shockers in their win over Dayton and while they covered the 5.5 for me, it wasn't the dominant performance I was expecting. Regardless, I think there's been so much talk about how Wichita State got screwed on their seeding that it's got people loading up on them. I don't think that's a wise move, as this not an elite Shockers team. Kentucky on the other hand is elite and are playing their best basketball. The Wildcats are loaded with NBA talent and will be too much for Wichita State to handle. Give me Kentucky -4!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Virginia +2)

I'm shocked that Virginia is getting points here. I'm not buying the Gators as a Sweet 16 team and more than anything I just think the Cavaliers are the much better team here. Virginia played in the much tougher ACC conference and Florida just isn't the same team after losing center John Egbunu. We saw the Gators offense really struggle against a solid Vanderbilt defense in the SEC Tournament, managing just 62 points on 34.4% shooting. Now they face an elite Cavaliers defense and I just don't see them doing enough here offensively to get the win. Virginia is a streaky team offensively and I love the fact that they just shot 50% in their last game. Give me the Cavaliers +2!

40* NCAAB 2nd Round ATS Knockout (Arizona -5.5)

St. Mary's is a strong team and looked good in the win over VCU, but I look for them to struggle to keep up with an elite team like the Wildcats, who just might be the best team in the tournament. I have them rated right there with Gonzaga and the Bulldogs beat the Gaels by 10 or more all 3 times they faced off this season. I don't see any reason why the Wildcats won't do the same. Give me Arizona -5.5!

40* NCAAB 2nd Round ATS No Brainer (Northwestern +11.5)

The Wildcats are worth a look here as a double-digit underdog. Gonzaga struggled out of the gate in their opener before pulling away late. It's not that I don't think the Bulldogs are a good team, I just think they are way overvalued. I don't believe they would be anywhere close to a No. 1 seed if they played in a legit conference. I look for Northwestern to keep this close and wouldn't be shocked if they pulled off the huge upset. Give me the Wildcats +11.5!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 162)

I think the smart play here is to take the UNDER. I know UCLA comes in averaging 90.4 ppg, but Kent State is not a team that wants to run with them. In fact, they want to limit the number of possessions and to do that they have to grind it out each time they have the ball and make sure they avoid letting UCLA get out in transition. Easier said than done, but you also have to factor in that the Bruins could come out a bit flat here like a lot of the top seeds have so far in the tournament. There's also much bigger games looming for UCLA, so if they get up big, they aren't going to be looking to run up the score. I also think we are getting an inflated number here with how much the public likes to back the over in UCLA games. Give me the UNDER 162!

40* NCAAB Big Money ATS Blowout (Wichita St -5.5)

There's been a lot made about Wichita State and their No. 10 seed and for good reason. The committee dropped the ball on this one. I know Dayton is a good team and won't go down without a fight, but the Shockers are the more talented team and have the much better coach, which is a big factor in these tournament games. Wichita State gets it done on both sides of the ball. They are 21st in scoring at 82.1 ppg and 14th in points allowed at 62.4 ppg. Give me the Shockers -5.5!

40* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake (USC +6.5)

The Trojans already beat SMU 78-73 earlier this season and keep in mind that USC was a 3.5-point home favorite in that contest. That suggests that this line should be closer to a pick'em. The Trojans come in off that big win over Providence and I expect them to come out with a chip on their shoulder when they see this line. Don't be fooled by the Mustangs overall record. they padded their resume in a very weak American Athletic Conference. I'll gladly take the points here as I think there's a good chance USC wins outright. Give me the Trojans +6.5

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 152) 

This one should have no problem eclipsing the total set here by the books. Oregon can light up the scoreboard, as they come in averaging 79.1 ppg. They will be facing an Iona defense that is awful. Keep in mind they allowed 90+ to both FSU and Nevada early in the year and 80+ in 4 of their last 8 overall, including 103 points to Rider at home on 2/19. The key here is that while the Ducks will be soaring up and down the court, Iona is capable of keeping pace. The Gaels average 80.5 ppg and will be facing an Oregon defense that is minus one of the better defenders in Chris Boucher, who averaged an impressive 2.5 blocks per game. Give me the OVER 152!

40* NCAAB Early Bird ATS Knockout (New Mexico St +12.5) 

The Aggies are worth a look here as a big dog against the Bears. Baylor got off to a fantastic start this season, but they haven't looked nearly as good down the stretch. The Bears went just 5-6 in their last 11 games and really played poorly in their Big 12 Tournament opener against K-State, losing 64-70 as a 4.5-point favorite. Most haven't had a chance to watch this New Mexico State team, but I have and I like the way they matchup with the Bears. I see this one coming right down to the wire and wouldn't be shocked if the Aggies won this game outright. Give me New Mexico State +12.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Nuggets +1.5)

Those that aren't hardcore NBA fans will have a hard time believing that the Nuggets are a playoff team right now. Denver holds the No. 8 seed in the west by a full 2-games and have really been playing some great basketball of late. They come in having won 3 straight and 7 of their last 10 overall. Big key here is they are catching the Clippers in a bad spot. Los Angeles is playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 3rd in the last 4 days overall. That's an even tougher challenge in the thin air of Denver. I just don't see LA having much left in the tank for this one and they also could have a hard time not looking ahead to Saturday's primetime showdown at home against the Cavaliers. Give me the Nuggets +1.5!

50* Vegas NCAA Tourn 1st Round Game of the Year (Purdue -10.5) 

I personally think Purdue should be a No. 3 seed, but the Big Ten is getting no love. The conference as a whole might not be great, but this Boilermakers team is the real deal and I love that they are coming into the tournament with a chip on their shoulder. Purdue won the Big Ten regular season title by a full 2 games and more than proved themselves in non-conference play. On top of the Boilermakers being undervalued, Vermont isn't that good of a team. They lost by 22 to Providence, 18 to South Carolina and 12 to Butler. The size of Purdue will be too much to overcome and I think this one gets ugly in a hurry. Give me the Boilermakers -10.5!

40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (West Virginia -13.5)

I really like this Mountaineers team and think they could do some serious damage and make a deep run in the tournament. West Virginia's pressure is unlike anything most of these teams have seen, especially a team like Bucknell. It's not just the pressure that makes the Mountaineers such a dangerous team. They score close to 82 ppg on a 46% shooting and allow just 66.3 ppg on 42% shooting. I just don't think Bucknell has the talent to handle the press and keep this game close. Keep in my were talking about a Bucknell team that lost by 20 to Wake Forest and 26 to Butler in non-conference play. Give me the Mountaineers -13.5!

50* Vegas NIT Sharp Money Top Play (UC-Irvine +10)

Illinois State was one of the last teams left out of the NCAA Tournament and that's a tough pill to swallow. Some might think they will be out to prove something, but I just don't think they were as good as people think. The Missouri Valley was way down this year and while they finished with the same record as Wichita State in the conference, they also lost by 20+ points to the Shockers twice. I just think the line here is way too too many points, as UC-Irvine is a talented team that is more than capable of winning this game outright. Give me the Anteaters +10!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Houston -8)

The Cougars are worth a look here at home against the Zips. Houston was very strong at home this year (13-4) and a big part of that was their defense, allowing just 62.4 ppg at home. I look for the Cougars to take the NIT very seriously and I can't say the same for Akron. The Zips had one goal in mind and that was to make the NCAA Tournament. All was good until they blew it in the MAC Tournament. Keep in mind this is a team that finished a full 3-games better than any other team in the MAC regular season standings. I look for Houston to take control early and put this one away by double-digits. Give me the Cougars -8!

40* NBA No Doubt Underdog Annihilator (Mavs +7)

I like this spot for the Mavericks. Dallas comes in off an ugly 78-100 loss at Toronto, but are still a respectable 6-3 over their last 9. I expect a much better effort here and more importantly they are catching the Wizards in a bad spot. Washington just finished up a brutal 5 game road trip over a span of just 7 days (included overtime games on back-to-back days). While they are home now, they had just 1-day off making this their 6th game in 9 days and I just don't think the energy level will be there to turn this into a blowout. Give me the Mavericks +7!

40* NBA Late Night Total Bailout (OVER 219)

It hasn't been pretty for the Warriors of late, as they come in having lost 3 straight and 5 of 7 overall. Three times during this stretch Golden State has failed to score at least 90 points. The big thing to keep in mind is that most of these games came on the road and the scheduling/rest was brutal. Not to mention they were adjusting to life without Durant. They rested their top 4 guys in Saturday's blowout loss to the Spurs and that means all 4 have had a full 3 days to rest up. I see this as a statement game for the Warriors and I just don't think the 76ers will be able to do anything to keep Golden State's offense from putting up 120+ here. Note this is Philadelphia's 4th and final game of a west coast trip that has spanned just 6 days. 76ers give up 110 ppg on the road and the Warriors average 120.3 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 219!

50* Vegas NIT Sharp Money Top Play (Utah -11.5)

The Utes finished 4th in the Pac-12 behind the 3-headed monster of UCLA, Oregon and Arizona with a respectable 11-7 record in league play. This is a very talented Utes squad, they just struggled to win on the road and had some bad breaks in close games. I firmly believe they are a lot better than they get credit for, especially on their home floor, where they finished 14-3 with the 3 losses to the likes of Butler, UCLA and Oregon (all by single-digits). Boise is a decent team that finished 3rd in the MWC, but I just think they are outclassed and Utah is too difficult a place to win. Give me the Utes -11.5!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Illinois -8.5)

I believe the fact that Illinois fired head coach John Groce actually works in their favor for this game. The Fighting Illini didn't play well in their final two games, but I expect this team to show up for interim head coach Jamall Walker at home. That's not even the biggest reason to like Illinois in this one. Valparaiso lost their best player and Horizon Player of the Year in Alec Peters. The kid averaged 23 points and 10 rebounds a game and was the heart and soul of this team. Without him there's not a lot to get excited about and I just don't see the Crusaders showing up for this one. Give me Illinois -8.5!

40* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer (Over 205)

I like to look towards the OVER later in the season when you get two bad teams that are out of the playoff race. Especially when it's a non-conference matchup and there's no real bad blood or reason for either team to get motivated. I believe that's exactly what we have here with the Kings and Magic. On the plus side, we are getting a favorable number here due to both offenses not being very good, but it's the defense that matters. Neither team has been playing much of it. Magic are allowing 109.5 ppg on the road this season and have allowed 110 or more in 4 of their last 5. Sacramento gives up 106.6 ppg at home and have allowed 100+ in 7 straight. Each of their last 4 opponents have shot 47% or better from the field. Give me the OVER!

50* NBA Western Conference Total of the Month (UNDER 201.5)

This is a huge game. Utah currently holds the No. 4 seed in the west, but are just 1-game ahead of the Clippers at No. 5. All signs point to this being a 1st round matchup. Getting the No. 4 seed and homecourt in that series is huge. I expect both teams to treat this like a playoff game and that means high intensity on the defensive side of the ball. Note that these two teams have played twice already and both have been extremely low-scoring. The two combined for 163 in a game at LA back in October and 160 at Utah back in February. I don't think it's going to be that low-scoring, but we got 30+ points to work with. Give me the UNDER!

40* NBA Over/Under Total Knockout (Under 214.5)

I'm not expecting a lot of energy at all from Washington int this one. The Wizards are playing their 3rd game in 4 days, 5th in the last 7 and all 5 will be on the road. They are coming off back-to-back overtime games on Friday and Saturday. This is a team that likes to get out and run. I just don't see them being up to it tonight. Minnesota has been playing well and a big part of that is their improvement on the defensive side of the ball. The Timberwolves are allowing just 94.4 ppg over their last 5 and have held 9 of their last 11 opponents to 102 or fewer points. I look for Minnesota to dictate the tempo and keep this well below the mark set by the books. Give me the UNDER 214.5!

40* Bulls/Celtics Early Bird ATS Knockout (Bulls +7.5) 

It's going to be hard for anyone to take Chicago here, as the Bulls come in having lost 4 straight and have scored 95 points or less in each of those defeats. The most recent was an embarrassing 21-point home loss to the Rockets and I believe that is going to bring out the best in the Bulls today. Boston is without question the better team, but this is not a great spot for the Celtics, who have had just 1-day off since returning home from a brutal 5-game road trip that clearly got the best of them, as they lost 99-119 at Denver in the final stop. Would't surprise me at all if the Bulls won this one outright. Give me Chicago +7.5! 

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Kentucky -7.5) 

Most are going to stay away from the Wildcats after failing to cover the spread in each of their first two games in the SEC Tournament, but I like the value here with Kentucky in the title game against the Razorbacks. Arkansas was no match for the Wildcats when these two met in the regular season, as Kentucky rolled to a 26-point win, nearly scoring 100 points (97). Simply put, this is a bad matchup for Arkansas. The Wildcats have played much better now that the games mean something and I expect them to play their best with a SEC title on the line. Give me Kentucky -7.5! 

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Oregon -2) 

Arizona is getting some love here after knocking off UCLA yesterday, but I actually think that games gives the edge to Oregon, who had a much easier go of things against Cal. Not to mention I think the Ducks are the best team in the Pac-12, making this a great price to back them. Keep in mind that Oregon absolutely had their way with the Wildcats earlier this season. The Ducks won 85-58 at home. It figures to be a lot closer at a neutral site, but I don't think it's enough to keep Oregon from pulling out the victory. Give me the Ducks -2! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie ATS Knockout (Heat -5) 

Miami is worth a look here at home against the Raptors. Given the overall records and the fact that Toronto is viewed as a power in the Eastern Conference, this might seem like a big number for Miami to be laying. However, the Heat are playing the better basketball right now and have a huge advantage in the scheduling department. Miami is playing on 2 days of rest, while the Raptors are in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set which is also their 5th straight on the road and last of their trip. Give me the Heat -5! 

40* NCAAB Situational ATS No Brainer (Vanderbilt -2.5) 

The Commodores have been playing exceptional basketball in 2017, especially down this stretch run. Vanderbilt is 7-1 in their last 8 and that includes 2 wins over Florida and the only loss coming by just 6-points on the road at Kentucky. As good as Arkansas has been playing, I just don't see them being able to get in the way of the Commodores. Vanderbilt won the most recent meeting by 13 and did so by dominating on both sides of the ball. They shot 52% from the field and held the Razorbacks to just 38%. Arkansas is just 9-22 aTS in their last 31 road games revenging a same season loss. Give me the Commodores -2.5! 

40* Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Oregon -9.5) 

The Ducks are on a mission to win the Pac-12 tournament and hopefully land them a No.1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Oregon absolutely owned Arizona State yesterday and I look for them to do the same here against the Golden Bears. Cal will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days and just won't be able to keep pace. While Oregon only won by 3 points at Cal, they crushed the Golden Bears by 23 at home. I see this one being an easy double-digit win for the Ducks. Give me Oregon -9.5! 

40* NBA Big Money ATS No Brainer (Hawks -2.5) 

This is a great price to back Atlanta at home against the Raptors. This is a huge game in terms of seeding in the Eastern Conference and the Hawks aren't getting enough respect here at home, especially with this being the Raptors without one of their best players in Kyle Lowry. Toronto did win last time out at New Orleans, but keep in mind they benefited from Davis missing the 2nd half. The previous game saw them lose at Milwaukee by 7 and that's how I'm expecting this one to play out. Give me the Hawks -2.5! 

50* Conference Tournament Game of the Year (ISU -4.5) 

This Cyclones team has been flying under the radar in the Big 12 this season and are not getting near enough respect here against an inferior TCU team. The Horned Frogs knocked off No. 1 seed Kansas yesterday, but that was because the Jayhawks didn't have one of their best players. I was a lot more impressed with the way ISU played in their win over a red-hot Oklahoma State team and I think they turn this into a blowout early. The Sprint Center in KC is like a home game for ISU with all the fans that travel down from Ames. Give me the Cyclones -4.5! 

40* NCAAB Situational ATS Knockout (Arizona -7.5)

The fact that Colorado went 9-3 over their last 12 games has this line a lot lower than it should be. There's a big game between the top 3 teams in the Pac-12 (Arizona, UCLA and Oregon) and the rest of the league. During this run by the Buffaloes, only one of those wins came against the Big 3 and that was at home against Oregon, when they caught the Ducks in a bad spot. Arizona is somehow flying under the radar with all the attention to the Ducks and Bruins. I look for them to come out looking to make a statement here. Give me the Wildcats -7.5! 

50* NCAAB SEC Game of the Month (Ole Miss -6) 

Missouri pulled off one of the more surprising wins yesterday, as they upset Auburn 86-83 as a 7.5-point dog. Keep in mind were talking about a Tigers team that had gone just 2-16 in league play during the regular season. Ole Miss isn't a great team by any means, but they did close out the season strong with a 7-3 record over their last 10 games. They have the edge here with them not playing yesterday and Missouri now on no rest. I think this is going to turn into a blowout in a hurry. Give me the Rebels -6! 

40* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money ATS Blowout (Northwestern -7) 

Rutgers was without a doubt the worst team in the Big Ten. They were able to upset Ohio State in the first round of the Big Ten tournament, but that only makes me like the Wildcats more in this one, as I just don't see the Scarlet Knights being able to compete at the same level as they did yesterday on no rest. Northwestern didn't finish the season great, going just 3-6 in their last 9, but injuries played a big part of that. They showed signs of getting back to the dominant form from earlier this season and are going to be extremely motivated to perform well here and that's really all it should take for them to win here by double-digits. Give me the Wildcats -7! 

40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Grizzlies -2.5) 

The Grizzlies come into this game having lost 3 straight and none of those stung more than their last game, which they lost 109-122 at home to the Nets as a 10-point favorite. Those are the types of losses that don't sit well and with Memphis coming off a full 2 days of rest, I'm calling for a maximum effort here. The Clippers figure to struggle to match that intensity, as they are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 5th game in the last 7 days overall. Give me the Grizzlies -2.5! 

50* NCAAB Pac-12 Game of the Month (Utah -2.5) 

Great price here to back the Utes in their Pac-12 Tournament opener against the Golden Bears. Utah got a first round bye, while Cal had to battle their way to a 67-62 win over Oregon State yesterday. This is a much bigger edge than people think and the Utes already were the better team. Note that these two didn't play that long ago and Utah won 74-44 at home. I know this is on a neutral court, but I just don't see it being enough to allow Cal to keep this one close. Note that the Golden Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 tournament games and 0-6 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in a span of 3 or less days. Give me the Utes -2.5!