50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Pacers -1) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Pacers as a slim 1-point road favorite against the Magic. We backed the Pacers in their 128-107 win at home against the Celtics as a 9.5-point dog on Sunday. I stayed clear of backing Indiana in their next game at Orlando and they lost that one 103-119. 

Big reason we stayed away was it came on no rest and the Magic were playing on a full 2 days of rest. Now we get to back the Pacers at basically the same price in a much better spot. Not only is the rest even, but the motivation is clearly with Indiana playing with revenge on such short notice. Give me the Pacers -1! 

40* (CBB) - Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Oklahoma St +4.5) 

I'll take my chances with Oklahoma State as a 4.5-point dog at Iowa State on Wednesday. The Cyclones have won 4 in a row after losing 4 straight. It didn't come easy, as 3 of the 4 wins were by 3 points or less. The big key is this team has found a way to get to 7 wins in conference play and hit the 20-win mark overall. Even if they lose this game and at Baylor in the finale, they are going to be in the Big Dance. 

Cowboys will  be out for revenge, as they suffered a heartbreaking 81-84 OT loss at home to ISU a little over a month ago.

Cyclones are 0-4 ATS this season as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points and OSU is 11-5 ATS last 16 revenging a same season loss. Give me the Cowboys +4.5! 

50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Vandy PK) 

I love Vanderbilt at a Pick'em on the home floor against the Gators Tuesday. The Commodores have been a money-maker down the stretch. Vandy is 6-1-1 ATS over their last 8 games and I think we are getting a steal at this price. Florida has some nice wins at home, but are just 6-7 on the road this year and have gone just 2-6 ATS over their last 8 games. 

Plenty of motivation for Vandy, as it will be their final home game of the season and a chance to end their season on a positive note after dropping 4 of their last 5. As for the Gators, their senior day is this Saturday against the likes of Kentucky. Hard to believe Florida won't have their eyes set on that game. Give me the Commodores PK! 

40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS MASSACRE (Hawks +7.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Hawks as a 7.5-point dog against the Celtics. Boston has gone 11-12 over their last 13 games, but they haven't quite been as dominant out of the break. They beat the Nets without any of their stars before barely holding on to win at Detroit and then losing outright at Indiana as a 9.5-point favorite. I just think Boston is getting a little too much love here. 

Atlanta's a good enough team to not only cover this number, but win this game outright. Hawks have looked good out of the break, losing by just 4 at Chicago and then crushing the Raptors by 27 at home. Give me Atlanta +7.5! 

40* (CBB) - Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Richmond -2)

I'll take my chances with Richmond as a slim 2-point home favorite against the Flyers. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Spiders at home. Richmond is 11-3 on their home floor this season. 

Dayton just lost 60-62 at LaSalle last time out, which pretty much was the end of their hope of getting at least a share of the A-10 regular-season title. They are 2-games back of Davidson (also 1 back of VCU) with just 2 to play and the Wildcats host George Mason on Wednesday to wrap it up. Give me Richmond -2!

40* (CBB) - Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Texas +1.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Texas as a 1.5-point home dog against Baylor. Upsets have been happening like crazy of late. Most of those upsets for the higher ranked teams are coming on the road. Baylor was one of those to do that, as they just beat Kansas at home on Saturday. 

I think we are going to see the Longhorns do the same thing on Monday. Texas is 16-2 on their home floor this season with one of those being a mere 3-point loss to Texas Tech after they had jumped out to a 31-16 lead. Baylor isn't a bad road team, but I just think the spot here is a tough one. They put everything they had into beating the Jayhawks. Asking them to do the same on the road just two days later in a place that's extremely hard to win at is asking a lot. Give me the Longhorns +1.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Raptors -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Raptors as a 3.5-point road favorite at Brooklyn. The Nets are coming off that big 126-123 upset win at Milwaukee as a 9.5-point underdog. That's just the difference having Kyrie Irving in the lineup, as he scored 38 points. Without him they lost 106-129 at home to the Celtics two days earlier. 

With this game back in Brooklyn, that means Irving is out and with that I think you got to go big on Toronto in this one. We should be getting a big effort here from the Raptors, who got embarrassed in their first two games back from the All-Star break, losing by 32 at Charlotte Friday and by 27 at Atlanta on Saturday. 

You also got to think about what the books are saying about this Brooklyn team without Kyrie for them to be a dog at home against a team that's been outscored by a combined 59 points in their last two games. Give me the Raptors -3.5! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Penn State -10.5) 

I got no problem laying double-digits with the Nittany Lions at home in this one. Nebraska is 0-9 in road games this season with 7 of those 9 losses coming in Big Ten road games. Of those 7 conference road losses, 6 have come by 12 or more points. So while Penn State may not seem like a team that should be laying this kind of a number, it's really not asking a lot for them to cover this spread. 

Especially given the bad spot for Nebraska. The Cornhuskers just played their final home game and really gave a big effort on senior night against Iowa on Friday. I could definitely see Nebraska coming out extremely flat in this game. 

On the flip side, Penn State is a team playing with some confidence right now. Nittany Lions have won 3 of their last 4. Penn State will be celebrating their senior night in this one and they have 4 seniors who either start or play big minutes in Sam Sessions, Jalen Pickett, Myles Dread and John Harrar. Give me the Nittany Lions -10.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Pacers +8.5) 

I think we are getting some exceptional value here with the Pacers as a 8.5-point home dog against the Celtics. Boston comes in having won 11 of their last 12, which I believe has them overvalued against a Pacers team no one is high on right now. 

The key here is the spot. The Celtics will not only being playing the second of a back-to-back on the road, it's their 3rd road game in 4 nights since the NBA returned from the All-Star break. Indiana's only game since the return from the break was Friday's home game against OKC. 

While the Pacers lost that game, they were sharp offensively with 125 points on 49% shooting. I think they can surprise a tired Boston team and not only keep it close enough to cover, but win the game outright. Give me Indiana +8.5! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Jazz -1.5) 

I'll take my chances with Utah as a 1.5-point road favorite against the Suns. I just think Phoenix is in for a really tough finish to this season without Chris Paul in the lineup. Devin Booker is being tasked with running the point while Paul is sidelined and that's just not where he's at his best. 

Suns were able to win without Paul in blowout fashion against OKC on Thursday, but they turned around and lost outright 102-117 as a 6.5-point favorite against the Pelicans on Friday. Scoring just 102 points and shooting 43.7% against that bad New Orleans defense really stood out to me. Now they face a hungry and motivated Utah team that has been one of the best defensive teams in the league over the last month. Give me the Jazz -1.5! 

40* (CBB) - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT (St. Mary's +10) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Gaels as a double-digit home dog against No. 1 ranked Gonzaga. KenPom says this line should be 7 and that just goes to show you how overrated this Bulldogs team is in the betting market right now. 

Not saying Gonzaga isn't a great team, but the price here is just too good to pass up, especially give the spot. The Bulldogs just played a pretty big road game at San Francisco on Thursday and now must play another road game on just 1 day of rest. There's also not a lot at stake for Gonzaga, who already has locked up the WCC regular-season title and outside of an early exit in the WCC tournament are all but a lock to be a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. 

St. Mary's would be in the field of 68 if the tournament started today, but are only projected at the moment to be a No. 8 or No. 9 seed. A win here would lock them in and more important get them out of that 8/9 game and avoid having to play a No. 1 or No. 2 seed in the second round. Either way we can bank on the Gaels giving us everything they got in this game. Give me St. Mary's +10! 

40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS MASSACRE (+7.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Kings as a 7.5-point road dog against the Nuggets on Saturday. These two teams just played at Sacramento on Thursday. Denver went on to win the game 128-110, but it was just a 5-point game going into the 4th quarter. I was on the wrong end of that one, as I had the Kings +4.5. 

Never easy taking a team that just burned you, but I got no problem backing the Kings at an even bigger price, especially with the short term revenge in play. Will be much harder for the Nuggets to get up for this game. Defense is going to be a problem for the Kings, but that offense is playing extremely well. Sacramento shot 50% from the field in that loss to the Nuggets and have shot 50% or better in 6 of their last 8 overall. Give me the Kings +7.5! 

50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Rutgers -2.5)

I love the value we are getting with the Scarlet Knights as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Badgers. This is a massive game for Rutgers, who are not a sure thing to make the NCAA Tournament, despite their impressive 10-7 record in Big Ten play, especially after dropping their last two on the road to Purdue and Michigan. 

That's not to say I don't think Rutgers should be in the tournament. The Scarlet Knights have been playing some great basketball over the last couple of months. Prior to losing their last two, they had won 4 straight over ranked opponents, including a 73-65 win at Wisconsin. 

The other big thing here is the huge home court advantage that Rutgers has. When this team is playing like they are, they are as tough as any team in the country to beat on their home floor. Scarlet Knights have only dropped 2 games at home all season and just one since December. Give me Rutgers -2.5! 

40* (CBB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Tennessee -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Vols as a mere 3-point home favorite against Auburn. While the Tigers are No. 3 in the country and Tennessee is back at No. 17, there's good reason the Vols are favored in this one. 

Tennessee is a perfect 14-0 on their home floor this season, which includes wins over the likes of Arizona and most recently Kentucky. Auburn is a very respectable 10-3 away from home, but they have lost their last two on the road to Florida and Arkansas. They also have a lot of close calls that could have went the other way. They only won by 2 at Georgia, by just 1 at Missouri, by 9 at Ole Miss, by 4 at Alabama and by 4 at St Louis. Give me Tennessee -3! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Arkansas -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Arkansas as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against Kentucky. As good as the Wildcats are, they are always going to be overvalued in spots like this. Not many teams are playing as good as basketball right now as the Razorbacks. 

Arkansas is 12-1 over their last 13 games with the only loss being a mere 1-point setback on the road against Alabama. They have wins over both Auburn and Tennessee on their home floor during this run and are 15-1 on their home floor this season. Kentucky is just not the same team away from Lexington. The Wildcats are 17-0 on their home floor and just 6-5 everywhere else. Last time on the road they lost by double-digits at Tennessee. Give me Arkansas -2.5! 

50* (NBA) - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH (Pelicans +7.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Pelicans as a 7.5-point road dog against the Suns. This just feels like a few too many for Phoenix to be laying in the second leg of a back-to-back coming out of the All-Star break, especially given that New Orleans is playing their first game out of the break. 

You also got to keep in mind that this is no longer a Suns team that has veteran Chris Paul to help them stay on task in these tough scheduling spots. They did win by 20 last night, but that was against OKC and it was only a 8-point game going into the 4th quarter. 

Pelicans lost 4 of 5 going into the All-Star break, but they did show some life during that stretch, especially on the offensive side of the ball. New Orleans shot 49% or better from the field in their last 4. Big part of that is the addition of C.J. McCollum. Not saying the Pelicans will win this one, but I like them to take it down to the wire. Give me New Orleans +7.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Kings +4.5) 

I love the value we are getting here with the Kings as a 4.5-point home dog against the Nuggets. I really liked what I saw out of Sacramento after they made the big trade with Indiana to bring in Sabonis. I also think they made a couple of under the radar moves acquiring the likes of Donte Divincenzo and Justin Holiday.

These guys combined with Fox and Barnes give them quite a potent offensive attack and the extra practice time over the All-Star break should really help them, especially with the communication on the defensive side of the ball. 

Nuggets are a good team and went into the break winning 5 of 6, but they are just 17-15 on the road this year and there's not a ton of incentive for Denver coming out of the break in this game, especially with a home game on deck against Sacramento on Saturday. Give me the Kings +4.5! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Indiana -6) 

I'll take my chances with Indiana winning by 7 or more at home against Maryland. I just really like this spot for the Hoosiers, who are now in desperation mode after dropping their last 5 games. They did show some life in their last game, losing in OT on the road to Ohio State. 

I think returning home and getting a very favorable matchup with a pretty average Terrapins team is exactly what this team needs to get back on track. Indiana already went on the road and beat Maryland 68-55. Hoosiers really had their way inside in that game and their defense, which is one of the best in the Big Ten, made it really hard on Maryland to score. It won't get any easier for the Terps on the road. The other big thing is the Terps are not a good defensive team and Indiana packs a much bigger punch offensively at home than on the road. Give me the Hoosiers -6! 

40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (UCF -2) 

Easy play for me on UCF as a slim 2-point home favorite against the Bearcats. I just don't think the Knights are getting near enough respect at home in this one. UCF is 12-3 at home on the season. They have won 6 of their last 7 at home with the only loss coming to Houston. 

Cincinnati has lost 3 of their last 4 and are fresh off an ugly 71-75 home loss to Temple. Bearcats are just 5-5 away from home on the season with their only two road wins over the last month coming against the likes of ECU and USF. 

Cincinnati is just 3-11 ATS last 12 on the road after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 and 4-11 ATS last 15 after playing their previous game as a favorite. Knights are 8-1 ATS last 9 off a home win as a favorite where they failed to cover the spread. Give me UCF -2! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Notre Dame -4.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Irish as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Orange. Notre Dame is coming off a 74-79 loss at Wake Forest, but have not lost back-to-back games since losing 3 in a row in late Nov./early Dec. Irish are 16-4 over their last 20 games and are 11-1 on their home floor this season with the only loss coming at the hands of Duke. 

Syracuse has gone an impressive 6-1 over their last 7 games, but it's come in a very soft portion of their schedule. Four of the six wins were at home and the two road wins were against NC State and BC. The one game they lost was on the road to Va Tech by a score of 69-71. Orange or just 4-9 away from home on the season. Give me Notre Dame -4.5! 

50* (CBB) Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Iowa State -5) 

Love this spot and price with Iowa State as a 5-point home favorite against West Virginia. The Cyclones have put their 4-game losing streak behind them with two straight wins. First winning on the road at TCU and then clobbering Oklahoma 75-54 at home on Saturday. ISU will be extremely motivated for this game, as they played horribly in a 63-79 loss at West Virginia a couple weeks ago. 

That's really the only positive for the Mountaineers over the last couple months. In fact, it's West Virginia's only win in their last 12 games as they come into this game just 14-13 overall and 3-11 in Big 12 play. Mountaineers are just 3-9 away from home on the season. They have not won a road game in Big 12 play. You have to go back to a Dec. 18th win at UAB to find their last win outside of Morgantown. 

Mountaineers are 2-10 ATS as a dog this season, 1-9 ATS last 10 off a conference loss and 0-6 ATS last 10 off a loss by 10 or more. Give me the Cyclones -5! 

50* (CBB) - Big East PLAY OF THE MONTH (UConn -2) 

I will gladly take my chances with UConn as a slim 2-point home favorite against Villanova. There's no doubt the Huskies have had this game circled.

UConn will not only be out for revenge from a 74-85 loss at Villanova earlier this month, but they will be looking to snap a 5-game losing streak to the Wildcats. Huskies haven't beat beat Villanova since knocking them off in the opening weekend of the 2014 NCAA Tournament. 

This team is more than equipped to do so, especially on their home floor, where they are 12-2 this season. As good as Villanova is, they are much more beatable on the road than they are at home (11-1 at home). 

Huskies are 11-3 ATS last 14 at home when they come in having won 3 of their last 4 and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 when revenging a loss where they gave up 85 or points. Give me UConn -2! 

50* (CBB) Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (TCU -4) 

I'll take my chances with TCU laying 4-points at home against West Virginia. Both teams come into this game having lost 3 in a row, but there's just not a lot to like about this Mountaineer's team. West Virginia is way down. They are just 3-8 in road games this season and winless on the road in Big 12 play. 

It's also a horrible spot for the Mountaineers, as they just hosted Kansas on Saturday and now have to play on the road with just one day between games. You also have a West Virginia offense that ranks dead last in the Big 12 in effective FG% and dead last in the Big 12 in defensive efficiency. They need so much to go right just to be competitive on the road. 

West Virginia is 2-9 ATS as a dog this season and 3-10 ATS in Big 12 games. They are also just 6-17 ATS last 3 seasons on the road after playing their previous game at home. Give me the Horned Frogs -4! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Memphis -2.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Tigers as a 2.5-point road favorite against SMU. Memphis has been one of the hottest teams in the ACC over the last month. The Tigers have won 6 in a row with their last two victories coming on the road against Houston and Cincinnati. Memphis hasn't lost since falling 62-70 at home to SMU back on Jan. 20. 

No doubt that loss is going to serve as a big motivator here and simply put this is a different looking Memphis team than the one that lost that previous meeting. I also think you have to take into account the possibility that Kendric Davis may not suit up for SMU, as he's listed as questionable after missing their 57-64 loss at Temple with an ankle injury. 

Davis had a game-high 20-points in SMU's win over Memphis earlier in the season. Even if he plays, I still like the Tigers in this one. I just think with the way they are playing defense and the edge they have in size, they should win this game. Give me Memphis -2.5!  

50* (CBB) - Missouri Valley PLAY OF THE MONTH (UNI -1.5) 

Love the value with Northern Iowa as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against Missouri State. The Panthers have been on an absolute roll after their ugly 4-7 start to the season. UNI is 11-3 over their last 14 games with 2 of those 3 losses coming in overtime. Panthers are 6-1 at home in MVC play. The only loss coming in OT to in-state rival Drake. 

Missouri State has also been playing some strong basketball over the last couple of months, but I just don't see them winning on the road here. UNI is 31-14 in their last 45 at home as a favorite of 3 points or less. They have also won and covered in 4 of the last 5 meetings against the Bears, including a 85-84 road win at Missouri State back on Jan. 8. Give me Northern Iowa -1.5! 

40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS SLAUGHTER (Wisconsin -2.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Badgers as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Wolverines. Hard to pass up on Wisconsin at this price. Michigan is coming off a solid 84-79 road win against Iowa and I just don't think the Wolverines will be able to pull off back-to-back road wins in the Big 10 in a span of just 3 days, as they took on the Hawkeyes Thursday. 

Not only that, this Michigan team has to be running on fumes right now, as they will be playing their 5th game in less than a 2-week span. 

I also like backing the Badgers here at home after they laid an egg in their last home game, losing 65-73 to Rutgers. Wisconsin is still a very strong 10-3 on their home floor this season. Give me the Badgers -2.5! 

40* (CBB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Northwestern -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Northwestern as a mere 3.5-point road favorite against the Gophers. These are two teams I think are headed in different directions. While the Wildcats have lost their last two, those two losses came on the road at Illinois and at home against Purdue, arguably the two best teams in the Big Ten. Prior to that they had won 3 straight. 

Minnesota is just 3-12 in Big Ten play and are just 2-12 since they started the season 10-1. Gophers last 5 losses have all come by 10 or more with each of the last two coming by 20 or more. The offense has been a complete no show of late, scoring just 45 and 46 in their last two games. Give me Northwestern -3.5! 

50* (CBB) - Sharp Money SEC PLAY OF THE MONTH (Arkansas -2.5) 

I love the Razorbacks as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against the Vols. Arkansas has been one of the most impressive teams in the SEC over the last couple of months. Razorbacks are 10-1 over their last 11 games with the only loss coming by a mere 1-point on the road against Alabama. They have won 7 straight at home and are 14-1 at home on the season. 

The Vols come in having won 5 straight and 8 of their last 9. None bigger than Tuesday's 76-63 blowout win at home against Kentucky. Tennessee is just not the same team on the road as they are home. Vols are 5-6 in neutral site/road games, compared to 14-0 at home. Tennessee is 18-38 ATS last 56 on the road after winning 15 of their last 20 games and a mere 3-11 ATS last 14 after covering 3 of their last 4. Arkansas is 31-18 ATS last 49 at home, 6-0 ATS last 6 at home after winning 4/5 of their last 6 and 11-0 ATS last 11 games in the month of February. Give me the Razorbacks -2.5! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Davidson -2) 

I'll gladly lay a mere 2-points at home with Davidson as they host St. Louis. The Wildcats are 19-2 over their last 21 games. They are 10-1 at home this season with the only loss being by a mere 2-points to VCU. 

The Billikens are a good team, but they should be a bigger dog in this fight. Davidson has won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams, with 3 straight wins on their home floor. 

I just think the value stems from the fact that the Wildcats have failed to cover each of their last 4 games and are just 1-7 ATS over their last 8. Too much value to pass up. Give me Davidson -2! 

40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Iowa State -1.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Cyclones as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Sooners. It's been tough sledding for Iowa State here of late, but they were able to snap a 4-game skid with a 54-51 win on the road against TCU. I like the Cyclones to build off that win and get some revenge against Oklahoma, who beat them by 13 in Norman earlier this season. 

While the Cyclones have lost their last 2 at home, there's no denying the huge home court edge this team has. You also got to look at the fact that Oklahoma is just 2-9 since that win over ISU back in early January. Sooners are just 4-7 away from home this season with a 1-6 record in road games in Big 12 play. 

Last time out Sooners lost 78-80 in OT at home to Texas. Oklahoma is 16-30 ATS last 46 on the road after a conference home loss and 0-6 ATS last 6 on the road after a game that saw 155 or more points. ISU is 12-3 ATS last 15 after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 and 32-6 ATS last 38 as a home favorite of 3 points or less. Give me the Cyclones -1.5! 

40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS MASSACRE (Kansas State +5.5) 

I'll take my chances with Kansas State cashing as a 5.5-point road dog against Oklahoma State. The Wildcats are a much better team than their 14-11 (6-7 Big 12) record would suggest. K-State was hit hard with Covid earlier in the season and even then they still had a number of close games not go their way. Wildcats have 4 losses in Big 12 play by 3-points or less. 

K-State comes into this one having won 4 of their last 5 with the only loss coming to Baylor. I not only think they can keep it close enough to cover, but win this game outright. Cowboys are just 2-6 over their last 8 games and while they are a respectable 8-5 at home this year, they are just 5-8 ATS in those games. Give me the Wildcats +5.5! 

50* (CBB) Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (VCU -2.5)

I will gladly lay a mere 2.5-points at home with VCU as they take on Richmond Friday night. The Rams are 14-3 over their last 17 games with their 3 losses coming to 3 of the best teams in the A-10 in St. Bonaventure, Davidson and Dayton. 

VCU has won 14 of the last 18 at home against the Spiders and have won and covered 3 of the last 4 meetings overall. 

The Rams have also had a lot of success playing teams like Richmond who rely heavily on the 3-point shot. VCU is 11-2 ATS this season vs teams who attempt 21+ 3-pointers per game and 10-1 ATS vs teams who average 8 or more made 3-pointers per game. Give me the Rams -2.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Pelicans +3) 

I really like the Pelicans as a 3-point home dog against the Mavs tonight. This just feels like the perfect spot to bet against Dallas, coming off that big 107-99 road win at Miami. Mavs are still just 14-13 on the road this year and for a team that has been playing really well of late, I think they could struggle to get up for this last game before the All-Star break. 

As for the Pelicans, this is a team that has been playing better of late. New Orleans is 5-3 over their last 8 game sand are 6-3 ATS over their last 9. They seem to be finding some chemistry with C.J. McCollum. I think they are going to be extremely motivated to win this game and it's not uncommon for Dallas to lay an egg against a lesser opponent. Mavs are just 9-21 ATS last 2 seasons vs teams that have won between 25% to 40% of their games. Give me the Pelicans +3! 

40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Iowa -4.5) 

I'll take my chances with Iowa cashing as a mere 4.5-point home favorite against the Wolverines. The Hawkeyes come in having won 3 straight and while it's come against some of the lesser teams in the Big Ten, they have more than handled their business in these games. Iowa beat Minnesota 71-59 at home, crushed Maryland 110-87 on the road and cruised past Nebraska 98-75 at home. 

You also have to factor in just how much better this Iowa team is at home compared to on the road. Hawkeyes are 13-2 at home this year compared to just 4-5 away from home. Michigan is just 5-7 in road games this year and fresh off a bad 57-68 loss at home to rival Ohio State. 

This also figures to be a tired Wolverines team, who will be playing their 4th game in the last 10 days. I also don't think Michigan has enough fire-power offensively to keep pace with Iowa. Give me the Hawkeyes -4.5! 

50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Texas Tech -1.5) 

I love the Red Raiders as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Bears. Texas Tech is Final Four caliber team and this is just too good a price to pass up on the Red Raiders at home. Tech is a perfect 15-0 at home this season and we have seen Baylor struggle a bit in big road games. Most recently losing 59-83 at Kansas and 78-87 at Alabama. 

I also think there's a lot to be said about the fact that Tech was able to go to Baylor and get a 65-62 win earlier this season. The Red Raiders won that game despite shooting just 4-14 (28.6%) on 3-pointers, attempting 6 fewer free throws and basically being even in rebounds and turnovers. 

I just think the difference in this game will be the Texas Tech defense, which is giving up a mere 58.3 ppg on 38.6% shooting at home this season. Red Raiders are also a much better offensive team at home than they are on the road. Give me Texas Tech -1.5! 

40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors PK) 

I'll take my chances with the Raptors at a pick'em on the road against the Timberwolves. I like this spot for Toronto, as we should get a big effort out of them, as they try to avoid losing 3 in a row going into the All-Star break. They also are coming off one of their worst performances of the entire season in Monday's 90-120 loss at the Pelicans. 

While you have to believe the Raptors are going to be extremely motivated to play this game, I don't know that the same can be said for Minnesota. The Timberwolves will be playing this game on no rest after yesterday's 126-120 OT win over the Hornets. A game they had to fight back from 9 down in the 4th quarter. They also figure to have to play this game without Anthony Edwards, who left that game against Charlotte with an ankle injury. 

Raptors are 9-0 ATS over the last 3 seasons after an awful offensive showing where they scored 90 or fewer points. Minnesota is 4-14 ATS last 2 seasons off a win by 6 or fewer. Give me Toronto PK! 

40* (NBA) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Thunder +8) 

I'll take my chances with OKC as a 8-point home dog against the Spurs on Wednesday. The Thunder have been one of the most profitable teams over the last couple of months. OKC is 13-5-1 ATS over their last 19 games and are working on a 7-2 ATS run over their last 9 games. 

The Thunder have really found some life behind the play of rookie point guard Josh Giddey, who recorded his second straight triple-double in Monday's 127-123 win at the Knicks as a 10-point dog. Giddey scored 28 points with 12 assists and 11 rebounds. 

Spurs aren't exactly in a great spot, as they will be playing their 5th straight on the road and 4th game in the last 6 days. 

San Antonio did win the previous meeting 118-96 at home, but OKC is 8-1 in their last 9 when revenging a road loss of 20 or more. Give me the Thunder +8! 

40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS SLAUGHTER (Tennessee -1.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Vols as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Wildcats on Tuesday. You can be assured that Tennessee has had this one circled after the ugly beating they took in a 79-107 loss at Kentucky back on Jan. 15. 

It's almost like that win lit a fire under this team, as the Vols have gone 7-1 since that loss with the only setback being a 1-point loss at Texas. 

The other big thing is where the game is being played. Tennessee is a different beast when they take the floor at Thompson Boling Arena. Vols are a perfect 13-0 at home this season. 

Kentucky just won and covered as a big favorite at home against Florida, but are just 4-15 ATS last 19 off a cover and a mere 2-10 ATS the last 3 seasons off a cover as a double-digit favorite. Wildcats are also 2-9 ATS last 2 seasons when favoring a top tier defensive team that is holding teams to 42% or worse shooting 15+ games into the season. Give me the Volunteers -1.5! 

50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Indiana -3) 

Give me the Hoosiers as a 3-point home favorite. This line isn't going to make a lot of sense, as you have an Indiana team that has lost 3 straight favored over the No. 15 ranked team in the country. Everyone is going to be taking the points with Wisconsin, which is why we will gladly load up on the other side. 

There's plenty of reason to like Indiana in this spot. The Hoosiers last two losses were both on the road, where they just aren't the same caliber a team as they are at home. Indiana is a defensive minded team that feeds off the energy of their home crowd. It's a big reason why they are 13-2 SU and 11-4 ATS at home this season. 

Hoosiers are 7-1 ATS at home this season when playing only their 2nd game in a week and a perfect 6-0 ATS at home this season after failing to cover the spread in their previous game. Give me Indiana -3! 

40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Cavs -1) 

I'll take my chances with the Cavs as a slim 1-point road favorite against the Hawks on Tuesday. Cleveland comes into this game having gone 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS over their last 5 games. The only loss coming at Philly where Embiid was simply too much to overcome. Atlanta is 1-4 SU and 1-4 ATS over their last 5 and just aren't playing well going into the All-Star break. 

Cavs are 13-3 ATS when they come into a game having covered 4 of their last 5. Hawks are 9-19 ATS last 28 after failing to cover 4/5 of their last 6 and are 2-12 ATS last 14 after a loss by 10 or more. Atlanta is also a mere 8-20 ATS this season when playing a team with a winning record and just 1-8 ATS when playing a team that has won 60%-70% of their games. They are also 8-23 ATS last 31 vs strong defensive teams, who give up 108 or fewer ppg. Give me the Cavs -1! 

40* (CBB) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Oklahoma State +10.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Cowboys catching 10.5 against the Jayhawks. I just think the number here is too high, which has been a common them for KU here of late. The Jayhawks are just 3-8 ATS over their last 11 games. 

One of the biggest things that stand out to me is we have Kansas laying 10.5 when they have just 1 conference win by more than 11 points this season. 

Oklahoma State is just 5-7 in Big 12 play, but have shown up in some big games. Most notably beating Baylor 61-54 on the road. They have just one conference loss by more than 11 points. 

It's also worth noting that these two teams played once already. KU won that game 74-63 at Oklahoma State. The Cowboys are 11-3 ATS last 3 seasons when revenging a same season loss and are outscoring opponents in this spot 73.5 to 70.0. Give me Oklahoma State +10.5! 

40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors -4) 

I got no problem laying the 4-points with the Raptors, as they go to New Orleans to take on the Pelicans. The Pelicans were able to acquire C.J. Mccollum at the trade deadline. A nice piece, but I don't think it really changes much overall for New Orleans. 

One thing that really concerns me is that McCollum has come in and tried to put this team on his back. He attempted 21 shots (6 more than the next most) in his debut, a 97-112 loss at home to the Heat. He then took 24 in a 114-124 loss at home to the Spurs. I wonder how that's being accepted in the locker room. Keep in mind they had won 4 in a row before he got there. 

Raptors don't have any chemistry problems. While they did lose at home to the Nuggets in their last game, it's a mere blemish on the schedule of late. Toronto had won and covered each of their previous 8 games. I like their chances of bouncing back with an easy win. Give me the Raptors -4! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Kings -3) 

I'll take my chances with Sacramento laying just 3-points on the road against a depleted Brooklyn team. Durant won't be back until after the All-Star break, Irving can't play in home games and Simmons isn't ready from a conditioning standpoint to make his debut with his new team. That leaves the Nets with a bunch of role players and I just don't think they have enough to really compete. 

I also like what I've seen out of this Kings team since they added in Sabonis in that trade with the Pacers. He makes quite a trio with Barnes and Fox. All 5 starters scored 12 or more in their 123-110 win at Washington last time out. That's after they beat the Timberwolves 132-119 in Sabonis' debut with the team. Give me the Kings -3! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 236.5) 

I got no problem laying the big number with the OVER 236.5 in Sunday's NBA game between the Pacers and Timberwolves. The OVER has been a money-maker of late in Minnesota games, cashing in 15 of their last 18 games. In 5 of their last 6 games they have seen a combined score in the 140s with the only exception coming against an awful Pistons team and even that game saw a respectable 123 points. 

Indiana is a complete mess on the defensive end as they are adjusting to a slew of new players and continue to play without some of their key pieces. Pacers are giving up 118.4 ppg on 50% shooting in their last 5. 

Key here is the Pacers should be able to keep pace for the most part with Minnesota's offense, especially playing at home. Indiana has some guys who can score the ball and the Timberwolves are giving up 117.1 ppg on the road this season and have allowed 120.4 ppg over their last 5. Give me the OVER 236.5! 

40* (CBB) - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR (Over 147) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 147 between Purdue and Maryland. In the Terps last two games their defense has given up 82 to Ohio State and 110 to Iowa. Buckeyes rank 8th in the country in offensive efficiency, while the Hawkeyes are 5th. Now they face a Boilermakers team that is No. 1 in the country in that departement. It wouldn't surprise me in the slightest if Purdue hit the century mark. You know they are going to be motivated offensively after scoring just 58 points in a blowout loss at Michigan last time out. 

The key here is that Purdue is far from a great offensive team, so we should see Maryland have a strong day offensively as well. The Boilermakers are just 11th in the Big Ten in defensive efficiency and 11th in effective FG% defense. My numbers have this thing closer to 155 than 145. Give me the OVER 147! 

40* (NBA) - Public Money ATS MASSACRE (Clippers +7.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Clippers as a 7.5-point dog against the Mavs. These two teams just played on Thursday and Dallas won that game 112-105. Mavs covered in that game as a 6.5-point favorite, which is why we are seeing a bigger line here. 

Thing is, they got a career-high 51 points from Doncic in that game. Not impossible, but highly unlikely they get another game like that from him. It's just really tough to beat the same team in back-to-back games in this league. Give me the Clippers +7.5! 

40* (NBA) - Big Money ATS SLAUGHTER (Kings -2.5) 

I will gladly lay the short number with Sacramento on the road against the Wizards. A lot of people questioned the moves the Kings made at the deadline, but I think they clearly got better with the addition of big man Domantas Sabonis. He was outstanding in his debut with the Kings, scoring 22 points with 14 rebounds and 5 assists. Sacramento beat a Minnesota team 132-119 that they had just lost to the previous night 114-134. 

I think this team all of the sudden has some life. The same can't be said for Washington. They too made a lot of trades and were able to acquire a talented big man, as they got Porzingis from the Mavs. Thing is, he's questionable to play with a knee injury. They also are going to be without Daniel Gafford, who has been one of their best players this season.. Give me the Kings -2.5! 

50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Michigan -2) 

Love the Wolverines as a mere 2-point home favorite against the Buckeyes. Michigan was one of the bigger disappointments early on this season. A lot of people thought this team was Final 4 caliber and yet they started the season 7-7 and just 1-3 in Big Ten play. They have started to turn it around, winning 6 of their last 8, with the only two losses coming on the road to Michigan State and Purdue. Last time out they didn't just beat Purdue, they annihilated the Boilermakers 82-58 at home. 

Ohio State is a good team, but I think they are not quite as good as what people think. I definitely don't trust this team on the road. They are just 3-4 away from home in Big Ten play with their 3 wins coming against 3 of the bottom half teams in Penn St, Nebraska and Minnesota. 

I also think it could be tough here playing their second road game in 4 days after Wednesday's hard fought 64-66 loss at Rutgers. Give me the Wolverines -2! 

40* (CBB) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Vanderbilt +11.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Commodores catching double-digits on the road against in-state rival Tennessee. Vandy isn't going to be scared of the Vols. While Tennessee did win on the road at Nashville earlier this season, they only did so by 8 and the Commodores had a lead in the 2nd half of the game. 

Not saying the Vols will win, but the number here is just too high given the matchup. The line inflation comes from Tennessee being viewed as an elite team and they coming in having won 3 in a row and 6 of their last 7 with the only loss being by 1-point at Texas. 

Having already beat the Vols this season and a monster home game on deck against Kentucky Tuesday, I think this could be a bit of a flatspot for Tennessee. Give me Vanderbilt +11.5! 

40* (NBA) - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR (Knicks -4.5) 

I will gladly lay the 4.5 with the Knicks on the road against the Blazers. While New York will be without R.J. Barrett, they didn't need him in Thursday's 116-114 win at Golden State. That's the win this Knicks team has been dying for and I think it's going to serve as a spark for them in these last few games before the All-Star break. 

The other big thing is this is not the same Blazers team as a couple weeks ago. Portland unloaded their assets at the trade deadline. This is a MUCH worse team than it was and it wasn't great to start with, especially without Lillard. I know they just beat the Lakers at home in their last game as a 8-point dog, but I think that's more of how much LA is struggling. I also think that's the kind of win for a bad team that can be tough to play well the next time out. Give me the Knicks -4.5! 

40* (CBB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Florida +10)

I just don't feel like the Gators should be a double-digit dog in this fight. Kentucky's a really good team and just keep stacking up the wins, but they are overvalued because of just how big a name they are. 

Everyone just assumes the Wildcats are going to play their best every time out and that's tough to do when you are getting the best shot from every team you play. I just wonder if Kentucky won't struggle to lock in for this game with Tuesday's big showdown at Tennessee looming in just a couple days. 

This is also a Florida team that has been playing better of late. The Gators have won 4 straight and are 7-2 in their last 9 with one of those two losses being a mere 7-point setback at the Vols. Give me the Gators +10! 

40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Michigan St -4.5) 

I will gladly lay the 4.5-points at home with the Spartans against Indiana. Love this spot for Michigan State, who is going to be extremely motivated after dropping their last two games at Rutgers by 21 and then at home by 8 to Wisconsin.

I also don't think the home court edge for the Spartans is getting near enough respect with this line. Indiana doesn't pack the same punch the same punch on the road as they do at home, largely due to the fact that they rely so much on their defense, which just isn't as strong without the home crowd to feed off of. Give me Michigan State -4.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Celtics -5) 

I'll take my chances with Boston cashing in as a 5-point home favorite against the Nuggets on Friday. The Celtics have been playing some of their best basketball since the calendar shifted to 2022. Boston is 13-4 over their last 17 games and come into this one having won 6 straight. 

They have really dominated during this recent 6-game run, winning 5 of the 6 by 9 or more points. While the Nuggets are far from a pushover, I don't think it's asking a lot for them to win here by 6 or more. 

The biggest deter for me when it comes to Denver in this game, is starting point guard Monte Morris has been ruled out with a concussion. I see that as a big time loss, especially with how well the Celtics are playing on the defensive side of the ball. Give me Boston -5! 

40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Arizona -5.5) 

I got no problem laying the 5.5-points on the road with Arizona at Washington State. I don't think this is near enough points for the Cougars to be catching. The Wildcats are 20-2 with a 10-1 record in the Pac-12. Their only two losses have come in road games against the likes of Tennessee and UCLA, who are two of the 15 best teams in the country. 

It just feels like we are seeing Washington State get a little too much respect here due to the fact that they come in having won 5 straight. Thing is, they have put together this winning streak against some pretty mediocre teams in Cal (twice), Utah, Colorado and Stanford. 

It's also worth noting that in Arizona's 10 win in Pac-12 play, the smallest margin of victory has been by 9 points. Give me the Wildcats -5.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (OVER 214.5) 

I really like the OVER 214.5 in Thursday's game between Los Angeles and Dallas. The Clippers have shown no interest in getting stops of late. LA gave up 137 at home to the Bucks on Sunday and then turned around and gave up 135 at Memphis on Tuesday. They have allowed 5 of their last 6 opponents to shoot 47% or better from the field, with 3 of the last 4 eclipsing 51%. No surprise the OVER 7-1-1 in their last 4 games. 

I don't see that defense flipping a switch against a good Mavs team, especially with how well Luka Doncic is playing right now. Doncic is averaging 31.0 ppg, 11.8 apg and 9.0 rpg in 4 games this month. 

Dallas does have a good defense, but LA's not been held under 100 points since scoring 94 against the Spurs way back on Jan. 15. I think as long as the Clippers can get to the century mark, this think will easily go over the number. Give me the OVER 214.5! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Maryland +4.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Terps as a 4.5-point home dog against the Hawkeyes. I'm not so sure Iowa should be favored. While Maryland has lost 3 in a row and are just 3-9 in Big Ten play, it's not like the Hawkeyes have been dominating the opposition. Iowa has a losing record of their own in conference play at 5-6. 

I also don't trust this Iowa team away from home. The Hawkeyes are just 1-4 in Big Ten road games with losses to the likes of Rutgers and Penn State away from home. 

You also have to look at the previous meeting between these two teams. Iowa won at home in a very closely contested game 80-75. 

Terps are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games when playing after 3 straight conference losses. Iowa is just 2-9 ATS last 11 on the road after failing to cover the spread in their previous game. Give me Maryland +4.5! 

40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Alabama -5.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Crimson Tide as a 5.5-point road favorite against the Rebels. This feels like the perfect get right spot for Alabama, who is coming off a couple of ugly losses to Auburn (81-100) and Kentucky (55-66) in their last two games. 

Ole Miss should be a team they can make easy work of. The Rebels were able to cover as 10.5-point dogs in a 57-62 OT loss at Florida last time out, but were very lucky to do so. Ole Miss scored just 46 points in regulation and shot 32.8% from the field for the game. Their first since losing star freshman point guard Daeshun Ruffin to a season-ending knee injury. 

Rebels aren't going to get away with that kind of offensive production against a team like the Crimson Tide, who are averaging 80.2 ppg for the season and 76.3 ppg in SEC play. Give me Alabama -5.5! 

40* (NBA) - Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Spurs +6.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Spurs as a 6.5-point road dog against the Cavaliers on Wednesday. Cleveland recently made a big splash by acquiring Caris LeVert in a trade with the Pacers. While it's a move that I believe makes the Cavs an even stronger team going forward, I think it has them a bit overvalued in this game. 

It's likely going to take some time for LeVert to adjust to his new role with an established team. Cleveland is also still dealing with some injuries. Most notably Darius Garland, who has missed the last 4 games with a back injury and is listed as questionable. 

Spurs on the other hand have to be chomping at the bit to get back on the floor, as San Antonio hasn't played since beating the Rockets 131-106 last Friday. San Antonio recently saw Zach Collins play for the first time in almost 2 years and he provided quite the spark of the bench with 10 points, 7 rebounds, 3 assists and 2 steals in just 13 minutes. Give me the Spurs +6.5! 

50* (CBB) Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Rutgers +3.5) 

I love Rutgers as a 3.5-point home dog against the Buckeyes. I don't think the Scarlet Knights should be catching points at home. Rutgers is 11-2 on their home floor this season and in their last game they just annihilated Michigan State 84-63 at home. They also have wins over Purdue, Iowa and Michigan at home in Big Ten play. 

Ohio State is 14-5 SU and 7-3 in Big Ten play, but they are just 4-5 away from home this season with a 3-3 mark in Big Ten road games. The 3 wins coming against 3 of the worst teams in the league in Penn State, Nebraska and Minnesota. 

Rutgers is 6-0 ATS under Pikiell in home games off an upset win as a conference dog. Give me the Scarlet Knights +3.5! 

40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Indiana +1)

I'll take my chances with the Hoosiers at basically a pick'em on the road against the Wildcats. I think this is a good time to sell high on Northwestern after back-to-back wins and buy low on Indiana after an ugly 57-74 home loss to Illinois last time out. 

The Hoosiers haven't lost back-to-back games all season and not that long ago we watched them lose 80-62 at home to Michigan and then turn around and beat Penn State 74-57 at home and Maryland 68-55 on the road in their next two games. 

Prior to Northwestern scraping by Rutgers 79-78 in OT at home and beating Nebraska on the road, the Wildcats had lost 8 of 10 in Big Ten play. Give me the Hoosiers +1! 

50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Illinois +6) 

I love the value we are getting with Illinois as a 6-point road dog against the Boilermakers. Purdue comes into this game having won 5 straight, but in their last two home games they have beat Ohio St by just 3 and Michigan by 6. I not only think the Illini will keep this one close, but I give them a realistic shot of winning this game outright. 

There's no doubt Illinois will be highly motivated for this game, as these two teams played back on Jan. 17 and the Boilermakers won that game on the road 96-88 in double-overtime. 

You also got to look at the fact that Illinois has lost just 5 games all season and have lost by more than 6 points just one time in Big Ten play. That being a 65-81 loss at Maryland, which was sandwiched between that game with Purdue and a home game with Michigan State. They also didn't have Kofi Cockburn for that game against the Terps. Give me the Fighting Illini +6! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (OVER 227)

I'll gladly take my chances with the OVER 227 in Tuesday's matchup between the Clippers and Grizzlies. I see this thing easily getting to 230. Memphis has scored 118 or more points in each of their last 6 games. Grizzlies figures to look to really push the pace in this one, as they will have fresh legs, playing just their 2nd game in 6 days. 

As for the Clippers, they have scored 110+ points in 7 straight games and the recent addition of Norman Powell only bolsters their offense. Powell scored 28 points in just 24 minutes in his debut with LA after being acquired in a trade with Portland. 

You also have to look at what the Clippers have been doing defensively here of late. LA's really struggled on that side of the ball, giving up 120+ in 3 of their last 5. Memphis is also no juggernaut defensively. Give me the OVER 227! 

40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Celtics -6) 

I'll take my chances with Boston covering as a 6-point road favorite against the Nets on Tuesday. Celtics come into this game having won 5 straight and are now 12-4 over their last 16 games. They have been absolutely dominating teams during their 5-game winning streak, as they are scoring 112.0 ppg on 49.3% shooting, while giving up 94.4 ppg on 38.5% shooting. 

I don't see Brooklyn being able to keep this one close. The Nets are still without Kevin Durant and won't have Kyrie Irving with it being a home game. There's also no guarantee James Harden suits up, as he's dealing with a hamstring injury. LaMarcus Aldridge, Paul Millsap and Joe Harris are also unavailable. 

Brooklyn has lost 8 in a row and that's with 6 of the 8 coming on the road, where they get the benefit of having Irving. In their last 5 games they are scoring just 104.8 ppg on 43.9% shooting, while allowing 118.4 ppg on 49.3% shooting. Give me the Celtics -6! 

50* (NBA) - Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH (Knicks +7.5) 

I really like the value we are getting with the Knicks as a 7.5-point road dog against the Jazz on Monday. This just feels like a few to many for Utah to be laying. The Jazz have won two straight and are fresh off a 125-102 win at home against the Nets.

Thing is, that win came against a depleted Brooklyn team. Utah is still without their anchor inside in Rudy Gobert, they recently lost key reserve Joe Ingles to a season-ending injury and both Jordan Clarkson and Rudy Gay are questionable to play. 

I know the Knicks have lost 8 of their last 10, but it almost makes me like them more. It's getting to the point where it's becoming a bit do or die for New York. They did have a 21-point lead against the Lakers in their last game and that was with LeBron, AD and Westbrook all in the lineup for LA. 

Not saying they win this game, but I would be shocked if the Knicks didn't put up a fight in this one. Give me New York +7.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Cavs -5.5) 

I will lay the 5.5 with the Cavs at home against the short-handed Pacers on Sunday. While Malcolm Brogdon and Domantas Sabonis are both showing up as questionable, both figure to be on a minutes restriction if they do get cleared to play. They will still be without Myles Turner and Isaiah Jackson and likely Goga Bitadze. 

The Pacers are really short-handed in the frontcourt and this Cavs team is probably the last team you want to face without any big men. Look for Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley to have a field day. There's also a chance that Cleveland gets back star point guard Darius Garland after he's sat out the last 3 games with back soreness. I just don't see the Pacers being all that competitive in this one. Indiana is just 6-20 on the season in road games. Give me the Cavs -5.5! 

40* (CBB) - Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Minnesota +12) 

I'll take my chances with the Gophers as a 12-point road dog against the Hawkeyes. These two teams played at Minnesota back on Jan. 16. While Iowa won and covered in a 81-71 win as a 7-point road favorite, the Gophers held their own and were without a couple key rotation players in Eric Curry and Sean Sutherlin. Both will be available for the rematch. 

You also got an Iowa team that hasn't been playing that great. Hawkeyes have lost 3 of their last 4 and are just 4-6 in Big Ten play with just one of those wins coming by more than the number here. Hawkeyes should win this thing on their home floor, but I don't see it being as lopsided a matchup as this number would suggest. Give me the Gophers +12! 

40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Thunder +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with OKC catching 6.5 against the Kings. While the Thunder will be on the 2nd of a back-to-back, they are playing with a ton of confidence right now. OKC has won 3 straight, beating the Blazers twice and winning 120-114 at Dallas as a 12-point dog. 

Sacramento is just 1-8 SU over their last 9 games and this is a bad spot for the Kings, who have really been through the gauntlet of late. After a 5-game road trip against the Bucks, Celtics, Hawks, 76ers and Knicks, Sacramento hosted the Nets and then went to the Warriors in a Wednesday/Thursday back-to-back. I think the Kings will have a hard time finding a reason to get up for this one. Give me the Thunder +6.5! 

40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Knicks +2) 

I'll take my chances with New York as a road dog against the Lakers. I just don't think LA can be trusted without LeBron James. I know AD is back and playing well, but he's playing great and they are still not winning. Davis had 30 points, 17 rebounds, 2 steals and 2 blocks in their loss to the Clippers last time out. 

The even bigger factor here is the scheduling spot for these two teams. New York just had 3 days off, which has to feel like 2 weeks at this point in the season. The Lakers on the other hand are playing their 3rd game in 4 days and 6th in the last 10 days. Everyone is going to be on the Lakers as a short home favorite. Give me the Knicks +2! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Florida -8.5) 

I think there's plenty of reason to believe the Gators will win by double-digits at home against Ole Miss. The Rebels just suffered some devastating news, as they learned that the knee injury that forced freshman Daeshun Ruffin to leave their last game against LSU is going to require season-ending surgery. It's heartbreaking for this team to lose arguably their best player when it felt like they were just hitting their stride. 

Ruffin ranks 29th in the country with a 32.0 %Poss (# of possessions used). I think we saw the problems of him not being on the floor in that LSU game. The Tigers only field goal in the last 9:50 of that game was a breakaway layup with 10 seconds to go. 

Florida isn't going to feel sorry for them, as they lost 54-70 at Ole Miss a couple weeks ago. Gators also need this win, as they are just 4-5 in SEC play right now. I just don't think Ole Miss will have the offense to make a game of it on the road. Give me Florida -8.5! 

40* (CBB) - Early Bird Total NO-BRAINER (Under 137.5) 

The two best defensive teams in the Big Ten will be facing off in this game and I just see too much value at 137.5 to not take a shot on the UNDER. Illinois is only giving up 66.4 ppg in Big Ten play and Indiana allows a mere 63.8 ppg.

Not that long ago we saw Indiana host Purdue, who is statistically the best offense in the country. Boilermakers have a 116 OE (Offensive Efficiency) rating and the next best is Michigan at 110.8. That game only saw 133 points scored and that was with both teams having a pretty good shooting night. 

I think the fact that Indiana is favored (-1.5) also tells you a lot about how the books think this game will go. They think the Hoosiers can win this game and I believe that a low-scoring ugly game is their ticket to success. Give me the UNDER 137.5! 

40* (CBB) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Butler +1.5) 

Butler should not be a home dog in this one. The Bulldogs have been playing much better of late. It started with a mere 7-point loss on the road to Providence. They then won back-to-back games at home against Creighton and Georgetown before losing by just 2 on the road at Xavier. 

While an 8-4 home record doesn't look all that great. It does when those 4 losses are to Michigan St, Seton Hall, Xavier and UConn. St. John's just won 90-77 on the road against Georgetown, but had started out 0-4 on the road in Big East play before that. 

This is also a bit of a lookahead for the Red Storm with a home game against Villanova on deck Tuesday. Give me Butler +1.5! 

40* (NBA) - Late Night ATS BAILOUT BLOWOUT (Blazers -8) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Blazers as a 8-point home favorite against the Thunder. This line will probably look a bit off to some, as Portland doesn't look like a team that should be laying this kind of number. Blazers have lost 5 of 6 and failed to cover 3 straight. They have scored just 81 and 94 points in their last two games and just last week lost 81-98 at OKC. 

I think it's more than a fair price given the spot. Portland is not going to let this awful Thunder team embarrass them in two games over a 5-day stretch. Not when OKC is in as bad a shape as they are. Portland couldn't have shot any worse in the previous meeting. I could see them going for 130+ in this one. Give me the Blazers -8! 

50* (NBA) - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH (Hawks +2.5) 

I really like the Hawks to go into Toronto and get a win Friday night. Atlanta knocked off the Suns 124-115 last night and are now 8-1 in their last 9 games. Their work isn't done, as the Hawks still sit just 10th in the Eastern Conference at 25-26. 

This to me feels like a team that is really motivated to go into the All-Star break on a roll. I also love backing the Hawks at this price with Trae Young ballin. Young has scored 36 and 43 in his last two games against the Lakers and Suns. 

While both teams are in a bad scheduling spot, playing on no rest, I think it's a lot worse for the Raptors. Toronto has had quite the 5-game stretch. They played at Chicago, at Miami and at Atlanta before returning home to face the Heat and Bulls in rematches. They went 4-1, but I think they are going to be out of gas after last night's OT game against the Bulls. All 5 starters played 37+ minutes with 4 of the 5 playing 40+ mins. Give me the Hawks +2.5! 

40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Hornets -4.5)

I will gladly lay the 4.5-points at home with the Hornets. Cleveland was one of the most undervalued teams for the first couple months of the season, but as they always do, the books have caught up. Cavs are 5-13-1 ATS over their last 19 games. 

I just don't understand the respect they are getting right now with one of their best players in Darius Garland out. Keep in mind Charlotte was a 5-point home favorite when these two teams played back on Nov. 1 and the Cavs are down 3 starters from that game in Garland, Sexton and Markkanen. 

I also like the spot for the Hornets, who I think will be motivated coming off 2 straight losses. Charlotte has really been playing well in 2022. They are 10-5 SU and 10-5 ATS over their last 15 games. Give me the Hornets -4.5! 

40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Clippers -2.5) 

I will gladly lay the 2.5-points with the Clippers, as they take on their cross town rivals in the Lakers on Thursday. While the Clippers are no where close to the team they would be if they had Paul George and Kawhi Leonard, they are far from a pushover. Clippers come in having gone 6-2-1 ATS over their last 9 games and you know they are going to be up for this one. 

As for the Lakers, they are in a bad spot here. Lakers still without LeBron James and will be playing on no rest after a game against the Blazers last night. Anthony Davis as of right now is expected to play, but he's not played a back-to-back since returning from injury and played 37 minutes last night. Lakers also had to play from behind late in that game, which is only going to make it harder for them to bounce back with a good effort here. Give me the Clippers -2.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Raptors -3) 

I really like the value with the Raptors as a mere 3-point home favorite against the Bulls on Thursday. Toronto has won 3 straight and it just so happens their last loss was to Chicago back on Jan. 26. Love the revenge angle for the Raptors against a depleted Bulls team that is still without both Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso. 

Toronto is 9-2 ATS last 11 after covering 3 of their last 4. They are 26-10 ATS off a win by 6 or less and 6-0 ATS last 3 seasons when off 2 straight wins by 6 or fewer. Give me the Raptors -3! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 224.5) 

This is an easy play on the UNDER at 224.5 in Wednesday's game between the Nuggets and Jazz. Utah is dealing with some serious injury problems right now. Already without arguably their two best players in Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert, the Jazz just lost their top reserve, Joe Ingles, to a season-ending injury. They could also be without Hassan Whiteside, who is questionable with a back injury. 

As for the Nuggets, they don't figure to be looking to push the pace in this one. Denver has to be running on fumes, as they will be playing on no rest after a game last night in Minnesota. It's also their 6th straight on the road and 3rd in the last 4 nights. Give me the UNDER 224.5! 

40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Wisconsin +7) 

I'll take my chances with the Badgers as a 7-point road dog against Illinois. I'm not sure why the books are giving the Illini this much love against Wisconsin, but I'll gladly take advantage of it. Illinois is a great team, but no way should they be laying more than 5-points against this Badgers team. 

Some of Wisconsin's best work has come away from home this season, as the Badgers are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS. The most notable of those being a 74-69 win at Purdue as a 12.5-point dog. Win or lose, I expect this to be a closely contested game the entire way. Give me Wisconsin +7! 

40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers -4) 

I'll take my chances with the Pacers as a slim 4-point home favorite against the Magic. It's been a rough go for Indiana this season, as they are just 19-33 when they were expected to at the very least be a team fighting for a playoff spot. Add in all the guys they got out right now because of injury and I just feel it has them undervalued against a bad Magic team in a bad spot.

Orlando is just 6-23 away from home this season, where they are losing by more than 7 ppg. Magic are also playing on no rest in this game, as they were at Chicago last night. Give me the Pacers -4! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Miami -4) 

I will gladly lay the 4-points at home with Miami against the Fighting Irish. I think we are seeing Notre Dame getting way too much respect on the road. Irish have gone an impressive 10-2 over their last 12 games, but it's come against a pretty favorable schedule. Notre Dame's onlywins away from home in ACC play are against Pitt, Georgia Tech and Louisville. 

Miami has been every bit as good as Notre Dame of late, as the Hurricanes are 12-2 over their last 14 games and are sitting at 8-2 in ACC play. Miami's only home loss in conference play is a 1-point setback to FSU when they were rolling. Give me the Hurricanes -4! 

40* (CBB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Clemson -3) 

I will gladly take my chances with Clemson as a short 3-point home favorite against a short-handed Florida State team. While the Tigers are a disappointing 3-6 in ACC play, they have shown some signs of life here of late. Clemson followed up an impressive 75-48 win at home over Pitt with a near upset win at Duke, as they fell 69-71 to the Blue Devils. 

Tigers should be highly motivated for this one and will definitely be the fresher of the two teams, as they have had the last 8 days off. FSU is a team I was high on not that long ago, but injuries have really derailed things. Malik Osborne has been lost for the season, Caleb Mills is battling an illness and Rayquan Evans is likely out due to the loss of a loved one. Give me Clemson -3! 

40* (CBB) Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Texas Tech -4) 

I'll take my chances with the Red Raiders laying just 4-points at home against the Longhorns. Texas Tech has been a money maker in Big 12 play so far with a 7-1 ATS record in 8 games. It's also really hard to not lay a mere 4-points with how good they have been at home. Red Raiders are a perfect 13-0 at home with a 9-3 ATS mark. 

It's the opposite for Texas, who is 13-1 at home compared to just 3-4 on the road. The only top tier team they have played on the road in Big 12 play is ISU and they lost 70-79. This one also has a little extra meaning as it's the first time these two teams will have faced since Chris Beard left the Red Raiders to take over at Texas. Give me Texas Tech -4! 

40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Wolves -4) 

I'll take my chances with Minnesota as a mere 4-point home favorite against the Nuggets on Tuesday. While the Nuggets come into this game having won 5 in a row, there's a good chance they won't have Jokic, who is being listed as questionable with a toe injury. Backup big man DeMarcus Cousins is also questionable, which means the Nuggets could have to play this one without a true big man. 

The Timberwolves may look like they are treading water with a 9-8 record in their last 17 games, but its actually been a pretty impressive run, as 12 of the 17 games have come on the road. Minnesota has actually not lost on their home floor since late December. Their last 3 home games have seen them beat the Jazz 126-106, Nets 136-125 and the Warriors 119-99. Give me the Timberwolves -4! 

50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (St Bonaventure -2.5) 

I will gladly lay the 2.5-points at home with the Bonnies as they host Davidson on Tuesday. The Wildcats have an impressive 17-3 record, but a lot of that is the schedule they have played. While they have only loss 1 game in their last 17, they have been very fortunate in a number of games here of late. In their last 6 wins, all 6 have come by 10 or fewer with 4 of those by 4 points or less. 

You also have a St Bonaventure team that is extremely tough to beat on their home floor. The Bonnies are 7-1 at home this season. This to me feels like a statement game for St Bonaventure and I wouldn't be shocked at all if they won this game going away. Give me the Bonnies -2.5! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Rockets +11)

I'll take my chances with the Rockets as a double-digit home dog against the Warriors. This just feels like a few too many for Golden State to be laying on the road in what feels like a bit of a letdown spot after their big home win against the Nets on Saturday, which was the primetime game on ABC. 

While the Warriors could have a tough time getting up for this game, you got to believe we are going to get a big effort here from Houston. Everyone gets up to play Golden State and the Rockets have to believe they got a fighters chance after only losing 103-105 at Golden State just 11 days ago. Give me the Rockets +11! 

40* (NBA) Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers -1.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Pacers as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Clippers. This is more a play against LA in a bad scheduling spot than anything, but I do think we are going to get a big effort here from the short-handed Pacers at home. 

The Clippers will be playing the final game of a lengthy 8-game road trip that started back on Jan. 19. LA is also going to be playing on no rest after a game at Charlotte last night. On top of that, it's their 5th game in 7 days. Not only will the Clippers be excited to get on a plane back home, they got a showdown with the Lakers on deck Wednesday. Give me the Pacers -1.5! 

50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Iowa -4.5) 

I really like the Hawkeyes as a slim 4.5-point road favorite against the Nittany Lions. These two teams just played 10 days ago and Iowa won that matchup handedly 68-51 at home. Penn State had just 1 guy finish that game in double-figures, where the Hawkeyes had 4. Iowa also won that game without a big game from their star player Keegan Murray, as he had just 15 points on 4 of 12 shooting. 

I just don't think it's enough to be playing at home for Penn State to see a different result, especially with Iowa motivated to play well after a loss at home to Purdue last Thursday. Nittany Lions just don't have the offense to keep it close. They have eclipsed the 70-point mark just once in 9 Big Ten games and that was back on Jan. 5 against Northwestern. Iowa is averaging 73.6 ppg in conference play. Give me the Hawkeyes -4.5!

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 228.5) 

I really like the OVER 228.5 in Sunday's NBA matchup between the Bulls and Blazers. I think this game easily gets into the 230's. Both of these teams come into this game really feeling good about themselves offensively. In Portland's last two games they have shot 51.2% against the Mavs and 56.8% against the Rockets. Similar story for the Bulls, who have shot 54.8% against the Raptors and 52.3% against the Spurs in their last two. 

Both teams are also not at full strength defensively. Chicago is without two of their best perimeter defenders in Ball and Caruso, while the Blazers recently loss one of their better defenders in Nassir Little. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

40* (CBB) Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Providence -2) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Friars at basically a pick'em at home against the Golden Eagles. I just think Marquette is getting a little too much respect here coming into this game on a 7-game win streak. 

Providence is 17-2 on the season and the only loss they have suffered in the last two months is a 56-88 blowout loss at Marquette back on Jan. 4. There's no doubt that embarrassment is still fresh in the minds of these Friars' players. Providence has not lost a game on their home floor all season and they keep that perfect record at the Dunkin' Donuts Center. Give me the Friars -2! 

40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Nets +7)

I'll take my chances with Brooklyn as a 7-point road dog against the Warriors in Saturday's big prime time game on ABC. I faded the Nets in each of their last two games at home against the Lakers and Nuggets. Cashing both tickets. 

Both were easy plays. Brooklyn was getting way too much respect at home with Kyrie Irving not being able to play and Durant out with an injury. James Harden also sat out the game against the Nuggets. 

Now the Nets are being way undervalued on the road. Irving is going to play with it not being in Brooklyn and Harden is expected back in the lineup. I think it's enough for them to at the very least make a game of it. Give me the Nets +7! 

40* (NBA) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Kings +10.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Kings as a 10.5-point road dog against the 76ers on Saturday. This for me is all about the price and the spot. I think we are seeing Philly way overvalued in a big letdown spot. 76ers just beat a healthy Lakers team on Thursday and have a big game on deck with Memphis coming to down on Monday. 

We have seen Philadelphia play down their competition a lot this year and the Kings are definitely a team right now that isn't getting much respect. Sacramento has lost 5 in a row and 10 of their last 12. They had that 50+ point loss at Boston on Tuesday and followed that up with a 17-point loss at Atlanta on Wednesday. 

Hard to see a lot of positives for the Kings, but I think we are going to see them come out and give a big effort against a top tier team like the 76ers. I just don't think Philly will be motivated enough to pull away and cover this big number. Give me Sacramento +10.5! 

40* (CBB) Prime Time ATS MASSACRE (Rutgers -2) 

I will take my chances with the Scarlet Knights as a mere 2-point road favorite against the Cornhuskers. We backed Nebraska in their last game at home against Wisconsin and took it on the chin, as they lost by 8 as a 7.5-point dog. 

I know the Cornhuskers play better at home, but there's just too much value at this price with Rutgers. There will be no overlooking Nebraska for the Scarlet Knights, as they just lost at home to Maryland after losing at Minnesota a few days earlier. This will be an extremely motivated Rutgers team and they are the more talented team in this matchup. It's going to take a really bad showing by the Knights and a great showing by Nebraska, just for this game to be close. Give me Rutgers -2! 

40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Kansas State PK) 

I will gladly take my chances with Kansas State as a mere pick'em on the road against the Rebels. While the Wildcats come in off back-to-back losses, those came at home to Kansas and on the road to Baylor. The two best teams in the Big 12. Prior to that they had won at home over Texas Tech and at Texas. They also lost by just 3 to the Jayhawks. 

I think they are without a doubt the better team. Ole Miss is just 10-10 and are a mere 2-6 in the SEC. Losses at home to the likes of Samford and Missouri really speak to the talent level on this team. Give me Kansas State PK! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa State -9) 

I will lay the 9-points with the Cyclones at home against Missouri. I think anything in the single-digits is a great price on Iowa State. I think the Big 12 is head and shoulders ahead of the SEC and you have one of the Big 12's better teams against one of the worst. 

I also like the fact that while the Cyclones come in off a big 84-81 OT win at OKlahoma State, they are just 3-5 SU over their last 8 games. I see a very motivated ISU team taking the floor, especially at home. 

The other big thing here is the awful spot for Missouri, who just suffered a heartbreaking 54-55 loss at home to No. 1 ranked Auburn on Tuesday. For a team like the Tigers, who aren't sniffing an at-large bid, this could be a really tough game for them to get up for. 

It's also a bad matchup. Iowa State is really good defensively and this Missouri team has been one of the worst offensive groups in the SEC this year. Tigers are 10th in the SEC in offensive efficiency and 10th in effective FG%. They are bad in the turnover department and struggle big time on the offensive glass, both getting them and giving up second chance opportunities. Give me the Cyclones -9! 

50* (CBB) -Big 12/SEC Max Unit PLAY OF THE DAY (Oklahoma +10) 

I love the value we are getting with the Sooners as a 10-point road dog against the Tigers. I just think the Big 12 is a lot better than the SEC and there's some value on the Big 12 in this midseason cross-conference showdown. 

I'm not saying a team like Oklahoma is going to go on the road and upset a team like Auburn, but there's no reason for Auburn to be laying double-digits here. Not in this spot. The Tigers are off a thrilling 55-54 win at Missouri and have a MASSIVE lookahead with rival Alabama coming to Auburn on Tuesday. 

Oklahoma is just 3-5 in Big 12 play, but are ranked No. 27 in the country at KenPom, which just goes to show you how good that conference is. This is a huge game for the Sooners, as this would be quite the resume builder when selection Sunday comes around. I think they make a game of it. Give me Oklahoma +10! 

50* (NBA) Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Bulls -1)

The Bulls are far from full strength right now, with Alex Caruso and Lonzo Ball both out of the lineup, but I still think they got enough to go into San Antonio and get a win Friday night. Chicago still has 3 All-Star caliber players on the floor in LaVine, DeRozan and Vucevic. They also got an emerging rookie in Ayo Dosunmu. 

As for the Spurs, this is a team that just isn't that good and the books have been slow to adjust. San Antonio is a mere 4-13 SU over their last 17 games and are just 6-11 ATS during this run. 

While it's not the same as when DeRozan played his first game against the Raptors after spending all those years in Toronto, this one definitely has a little more meaning to it. It's DeRozan's first game against the Spurs since leaving San Antonio for Chicago in the offseason. 

I also think this is a hungry Bulls team. While they have won 2 straight, they had lost 6 of their previous 7 and are no longer the top dog in the Eastern Conference. Give me Chicago -1! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 231.5) 

I'm going to take my chances with the OVER 231.5 in Friday's NBA matchup between the Blazers and Rockets. I've been backing Portland quite a bit of late, but just don't like the spot here with this being the Blazers 4th game in 6 days and Houston playing on a full 2 days of rest. 

I think this has a good chance to be the highest scoring game of the night. Portland's defense has taken a huge hit with the loss of Nassir Little and one of their other better defenders, Robert Covington, is questionable with a knee injury. Add in the tough scheduling spot and I just don't see the Blazers having much to give on the defensive side. 

Good news for the Blazers offense is the Rockets are one of the worst defensive teams in the league. That combined with Houston playing at the fastest pace in the NBA this year, makes them a great OVER team when it's a plus matchup for their offense. Give me the OVER 231.5! 

40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Grizzlies -3.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with Memphis as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against a struggling Jazz team. This is just too short a price for the Grizzlies to be laying at home. Ja Morant is playing like a legit MVP candidate this season and just tied his season-high with 41 points in Wednesday's win at the Spurs. Memphis is 12-3 ATS over their last 15 games. 

Utah has lost 3 in a row and are just 2-9 over their last 11. Jazz are without Rudy Gobert and are just not the same team when he's not on the floor. There's also a chance Donovan Mitchell won't play. He's questionable after missing the last 5 games with a concussion. Either way, I like the Grizzlies to get the win and cover here. Give me Memphis -3.5! 

40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Minnesota +7) 

This is a few too many for the Gophers to be catching at home against the Buckeyes. Minnesota had lost 4 straight prior to pulling out a 68-65 win at home against Rutgers last Saturday. Even though this team is 11-5 and have played the No. 48 toughest schedule, it doesn't feel like people are buying into this team being all that good. 

Part of that is their 2-5 record in Big Ten play, but that's a big reason why I feel we are getting such a great price with the Gophers in this spot. Ohio State is 12-4 and ranked No. 16 in the country, but I'm not convinced they are as good as they look. Yes, they beat Duke at home, but you have to remember that came just a few days after the Blue Devils pulled out that massive win against Gonzaga. 

The Buckeyes do have an impressive 73-55 win at home against Wisconsin, but their other 4 wins in Big Ten play are against Nebraska, Northwestern and Penn State (2x). They lost by 16 at Indiana and by 10 in the rematch at Wisconsin. They also needed OT to win at Nebraska, who doesn't have a  conference win. Give me Minnesota +7! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (76ers -1.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the 76ers laying just 1.5 at home against the Lakers. I know Anthony Davis is back for LA and they just won 106-96 at Brooklyn in his first game back, but I'm sorry, the Lakers should be a bigger dog here. Davis is still on a minutes restriction and likely won't be anywhere close to his old self for a couple weeks. The win over the Nets also came with Brooklyn playing without both Durant and Irving. 

Philly will be missing Seth Curry and it's unsure if Danny Green will play, but as long as Embiid is on the floor, it doesn't matter. Embiid is playing out of his mind right now. He's averaging 35.2 ppg over his last 5 and has hit 40+ in 3 of his last 4. LA has no answer for him. 

This is also a Philly team that I think is playing with a bit of a chip on their shoulder. It's like no matter how good they play, no one takes them seriously because of the Ben Simmons drama. They don't need him and they prove it once again with an easy win at home in prime time. Give me the 76 -1.5!