40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (UConn -6) 

I'll take my chances here with UConn laying 6-points at home against the Owls. I just think this is the perfect time to jump on the Huskies, who have lost 4 straight and 6 of 7 overall. As bad as that looks, 4 of the 6 losses have come on the road, the last two by just 4 at Houston and by 6 at Villanova. Their two home losses have both come in OT. 

This is a much better team than I think people realize and I think we see them show up in a big way at home against a struggling Temple team. The Owls have also lost 6 of 7, but have not been nearly as competitive. In their last two AAC road games they have lost by 16 at SMU and by 26 at Tulsa. Temple is the worst offense in the conference and are just middle of the pack defensively. Give me UConn -6! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Duquesne +8.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Dukes as a 8.5-point home dog against Dayton. I know the Flyers are great and come in having won 9 straight and covered each of their last 5, but I just feel like this is too many points to pass up with Duquesne at home. The Dukes have yet to lose on their home floor this season and while that streak may come to an end, I just don't see Dayton turning this into a blowout. Give me Duquesne +8.5! 

50* NCAAB MWC PLAY OF THE WEEK (Air Force -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Falcons laying just 3.5-points at home against a struggling Fresno State team. Air Force is just 3-6 in MWC play and have lost 3 straight, but this is a game they should not only win but dominate. Falcons have one of the best home court advantages in the country (5th best according to KenPom) and are taking on a Fresno State team that is 2-9 away from home this season with their only two true road wins coming against Cal Poly and San Jose State. Cal Poly is ranked 329th in KenPom and San Jose State is 296th. 

I just don't see the Bulldogs being able to keep pace. Air Force is scoring 83.1 ppg at home, where they are shooting 51.8% from the field. Fresno State on the other hand is scoring a mere 63.4 ppg and shooting 39.2% from the field on the road. Give me the Falcons -3.5! 

40* NBA SHARP MONEY ATS ANNIHILATOR (Grizzlies +1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Grizzlies cashing in a win at home against the Nuggets. Denver comes in off a 117-110 win at home over the Rockets, but Houston played that one without James Harden. I know the Nuggets got some guys back, but they are still down 3 of their best players in Milsap, Murray and Plumlee. 

I think it's a lot easier to overcome injuries at home than it is on the road and this Memphis team has really been playing well over the last few weeks. Grizzlies are 9-2 in their last 11 games. I just don't think people realize how well this team is playing, especially on offense. Memphis has shot 50% or better from the field 8 times during this current run. Give me the Grizzlies +1! 

50* NCAAB BIG 10 PLAY OF THE WEEK (Rutgers -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Scarlet Knights laying a mere 3-points at home against the Boilermakers. I'm shocked Rutgers isn't favored by more. I don't know if this is an overreaction to the Scarlet Knights not covering as 13.5-point favorites in their last game at home against Nebraska, but it shouldn't have come as a huge surprise that they didn't play their best coming off a brutal loss at Iowa and playing a far inferior team. 

Rutgers still won the game and are now 14-0 at home. I also think we are seeing a small line because Purdue is off such an impressive win, as they took down Wisconsin 70-51 in their last game. However, that was a home, where the Boilermakers are really tough to beat. Purdue is 2-7 on the road this season with a 0-5 mark in true road games. Give me Rutgers -3! 

40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Pelicans -7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans covering the 7.5-point spread at Cleveland. New Orleans got their first win with Zion and he's been better than expected. It should only get better for the Pelicans the more minutes he gets. His minutes have jumped each game he's been back. After playing just 18 minutes in his debut, he got 21 minutes the next game out and most recently played 27 on Sunday against the Celtics a game the Pelicans won by 15 points. 

Cavs are a legit bottom feeder and I just don't see how Cleveland is going to be able to keep this close with how potent the Pelicans are on offense and how bad the Cavs are defensively right now, especially with Cleveland playing on no rest after a game in Detroit last night. Give me New Orleans -7.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Rhode Island -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Rams as a 5-point road favorite against the Patriots. Rhode Island is rolling right now, as they come in having won 6 straight and have covered the number in 5 of those. That includes impressive road wins over both VCU and St Bonaventure. 

George Mason has what would appear to be a solid home record at 9-3, but the Patriots are just 1-3 SU at home in A-10 play with the only win coming against a bad UMass team. What really stands out to me is that all 3 home losses have come by double-digits, as they lost by 13 to VCU, by 12 to St Bonaventure and most recently by to Richmond. They have also not shot the ball well at all of late, 41.8% last 5 games, and are facing a Rams defense that isn't just one of the best in the A-10, but the country (38th in defensive efficiency). Give me Rhode Island -5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (SMU +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Mustangs cashing in a cover as a 6.5-point dog at Cincinnati. I get the Bearcats are a tough team to take down on their home floor, but so is Memphis and SMU just won 74-70 at Memphis in their last game. The Mustangs are now 11-4-1 ATS last 16 on the road and have covered 7 of their last 10 vs a team with a winning home record. 

Cincinnati comes in having won 4 of 5, but it's come in a very easy portion of their schedule. Note the lone loss was a 11-point setback at Memphis. I'm not saying the Bearcats shouldn't be favored here, but this is too many points against a team as good as SMU. This line should be closer to 3 than 7. Give me the Mustangs +6.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Michigan -4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines figuring out a way to pull out a win on the road against Nebraska. I know Michigan is going to be down starting point guard Zavier Simpson and have lost 4 in a row, but this is Nebraska they are playing and they simply don't have to be at full strength to beat this team. I also think the Simpson suspension will really have them locked in for this game. One that I think they know they absolutely have to have. 

I think a big key here is Nebraska doesn't have a big that can exploit the Wolverines weakness inside and the Cornhuskers are also a team that doesn't defend the paint well (look for a big game from Teske). In their last 5 games Nebraska is giving up 76.2 ppg on 47% shooting. I just think the price is right given they were recently a 8-point dog at home to Iowa and catching 6 against Indiana. Give me the Wolverines -4! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS DESTROYER (Jazz -12.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Utah as a massive 12.5-point favorite against the Rockets. This might seem like a ridiculous number for the Jazz to be laying, but not so much when take into account Houston is likely going to be without their two best players in Harden and Westbrook. Harden is doubtful to play with a thigh contusion and Westbrook has been ruled out for rest in the second leg of a back-to-back. 

Not only will the Rockets be down their two stars playing on no rest, but Houston has to be emotionally drained after having to suit up following the tragic news of Kobe Bryant's death. No one wanted to play yesterday, but they had to fight through it and I just think the Rockets are poised to play one of their worst games of the entire season. Give me the Jazz -12.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 135) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 135 in Monday's Big Ten showdown between Iowa and Wisconsin. I just think this is too low a total to pass up a play on the OVER. The Hawkeyes aren't just the best offensive team in the Big Ten, they are No. 3 in the country in offensive efficiency.

Last time out they hosted a Rutgers team who in a lot of ways is similar to Wisconsin with how they like to ground out wins with their defense. That game ended with a 165 points, flying past the total of 138. Opposing teams are shooting lights out from 3 against the Badgers and there's simply no slowing down Luka Garza inside, so I see no reason not to expect Iowa to score close to their season average of 80.2 ppg (79.5 ppg in Big Ten). 

Iowa's fast pace forces teams to play a little faster than they would like and I think the Badgers will be able to get a lot of clean looks from deep, as they got guys 1-5 who can knock it down from 3. Give me the OVER 135! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bulls +2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Bulls as a 2.5-point home dog against the Spurs. Chicago has been playing better of late going 5-4 in their last 9 with 3 of those losses coming on the road to the Celtics, 76ers and Bucks. They have covered 3 of their last 4 and I think they easily cover this one. 

A big reason for that is I just don't see the Spurs being able to get up for this game. San Antonio had the difficult task of playing yesterday shortly after the tragic news of Kobe Bryant's death. It had to be brutal playing that game against the Raptors and I just think they are going to be emotionally drained and this is also a physically tasking spot playing on the road on no rest. Give me the Bulls +2.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 218.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 218.5 in Monday's NBA contest that has Detroit hosting the Cavs. These two teams played a home-and-home earlier this month and both games saw a combined score of at least 227. 

Detroit is dealing with some injuries, but it's not slowed them down. Pistons are averaging 117.2 ppg in their last 5. They will be facing a Cleveland team that is playing no defense right now. Cavs have allowed each of their last 7 opponents to shoot 48% or better with 6 of those going for at least 51%. 

Detroits' defense hasn't been much better in their last two, giving up 125 to the Grizzlies at home and 121 to the Nets. You have to go back to Dec. 3rd to find the last time the Pistons held a team under 100 points. Give me the OVER 218.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (NC State -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolfpack as a 5-point home favorite against the Tar Heels. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with NC State at home against a struggling UNC team. Sure the Tar Heels are off a 94-71 blowout win at home against Miami, but don't let that result fool you. The Hurricanes were down their two best players in Chris Lykes and Kameron McGusty. Prior to that UNC had lost 4 straight and their only win all season in a true road game was back in early November against UNC Wilmington. On the flip side of this, NC State is 11-1 and haven't lost at home since early November. Give me the Wolfpack -5! 

40* NBA PRIME TIME ATS SLAUGHTER (Pelicans +1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with New Orleans getting that elusive first win with Zion in the mix. Pelicans were favorites in each of Zion's first two games but came up short against the Nuggets and Spurs. I just think this is a great spot for them to take down the Celtics. Boston was just at Orlando on Friday and while they were able to rally for a win, it certainly helped they were playing a limited Magic offense. 

Pelicans can really score and Boston could be without two of their best players in Tatum and Brown. Both didn't play against the Magic and are questionable here. Either way I like the Pelicans to win this game. GIve me New Orleans +1.5! 

50* NCAAB MISSOURI VALLEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (UNI -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with UNI as a mere 4-point home favorite against the Ramblers. I just think this is way too good a price to pass up with UNI at home, as they Panthers are a perfect 10-0 at home this season. 

No question we are getting the very best UNI has to offer in this one. Not only will they be motivated off a loss, but they can move into a tie for 1st in the MVC with a win. A lot of people think the Ramblers are the best team in the MVC, but according to KenPom the Panthers are and it's not really close. UNI is ranked 46th and Loyola is 84th. 

Ramblers defense is great, but so is UNI's offense, especially at home. Panthers should also be able to dominate the offensive boards. They are the best offensive rebounding team in the MVC and that's a big weakness of Loyola. Give me UNI -4! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Nuggets -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Nuggets as a slim 2-point home favorite against the Rockets. These two teams just played at Houston this past Wednesday. Rockets won that game 121-105 to snap a 4-game skid, but they did so against a short-handed Nuggets team that had just played in Minnesota two days earlier. 

Since that game Denver has gotten two key pieces back and while they aren't full strength, I still think this is too good a price to pass up with them at home and playing with revenge. Rockets have won their last two, but James Harden is still not himself and may not even play. Houston is also just 1-5 ATS last 6 on the road. Give me the Nuggets -2! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Minnesota +3) 

I'll take my chances here with Minnesota as a home dog against the Spartans. Even though Michigan State just lost on the road at Indiana, who is not as good a team as Minnesota, public perception is that the Spartans won't lose two straight. Teams are going to go on skids in the Big Ten and Michigan State is not an exception to that. 

I know the Spartans beat the Gophers 74-58 at home earlier this month, but Minnesota is a different team at home and the Gophers come in playing well with 3 wins in their last 4, including a 62-59 victory at Ohio State last time out. Minnesota is 4-0 at home in Big Ten play and have lost just once at home all season. I don't think they are outmatched at all here. GIve me the Gophers +3! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS NO-BRAINER (Indiana -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Terps. Easy play here for me with Indiana. The Hoosiers are simply a different team at home compared to on the road and we saw that in their last game when they took down Michigan State 67-63 on their home floor. It was their 3rd win this season at home against a team ranked in the Top 15 of the KenPom rankings. 

Maryland has not looked the same on the road as they have at home. Terps were able to pull out a 77-66 win at Northwestern in their last game, but they were lucky to do so after trailing 40-26 at the half. That was their first win on an opponents home court this season, as they had lost each of their previous 4. Give me Indiana -1.5! 

40* NCAAB PRIME TIME ATS NO-BRAINER (Utah -7) 

I'll take my chances here with the Utes as a 7-point home favorite against the Cougars. I played and won on Utah in their big come-from-behind win and cover at home against Washington. A game the Utes needed to have after losing 4 straight. As I mentioned in my write-up with the Utes against Washington, Utah's recent struggles were more about the schedule they were dealt, as they had to play 3 straight on the road against Colorado, Arizona and Arizona State, plus had a home game against Oregon. 

Washington State isn't just a team they can beat, it's a team they should handle with ease. The Cougars have played 3 true road games in Pac-12 play and lost all 3, including 20+ point losses at Colorado and Stanford. Give me the Utes -7! 

50* NCAAB NON-CONF PLAY OF THE MONTH (Texas Tech -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Red Raiders as a 4-point home favorite against Kentucky. Most will think this line is way off, as you don't see the Wildcats as a dog often, but I actually think there's value with Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are going to be at their best here off an ugly 2nd half collapse at TCU where a 4-point lead at intermission turned into a 11-point loss. 

While I was on Tech in that loss, it's not a huge surprise to see them struggle on the road, as defensive teams like the Red Raiders are vulnerable on the road when the shots aren't falling. I expect a different looking team at home, where Tech has one of the best home court advantages in the country (4th according to KenPom). Kentucky has also not looked nearly as good on the road as they have at home. Give me the Red Raiders -4! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Georgia -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Georgia as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Rebels. At this point I don't know how you don't fade Ole Miss at this price. The Rebels haven't won a game in SEC play (0-5) and are a mere 1-7 ATS over their last 8 games. Most recently losing by 25 at Tennessee. That's now 4 straight losses by 10 or more in true road games. 

Georgia has lost 4 of 5, but 3 of those 4 were on the road against the likes of Kentucky, Auburn and Mississippi State. The other was a home loss to the Wildcats. The one favorable matchup for the Bulldogs was a home game against Tennessee and they whooped the Vols by 17. Give me Georgia -5.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 224.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 224.5 in Saturday's big Western Conference matchup that has Utah facing off against Dallas. The Mavs are one of the most explosive offensive teams in the league and just got back one of their biggest offensive weapons in Porzingis. Dallas comes in having scored 120 or more in 4 of their last 5 games. 

Dallas is also vulnerable on defense and even more so right now with the recent loss of big man Dwight Powell. Utah is known for their defense, but they are winning games more with their offense this year. The Jazz come in having scored 118 or more in 6 straight games. I could see both teams scoring 120+ in this one and we likely need just one to cash a winner. Give me the OVER 224.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE  (Georgia Tech +1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Yellow Jackets as a home dog against the Wolfpack. Great time to buy low on Georgia Tech after losing 3 in a row. Thing is, all 3 of those could have been wins, as all 3 came by 5-points or less, including a mere 4-point loss at Louisville last time out. 

While it's to jump on the Yellow Jackets, I think it's also time to fade NC State, who has won 3 straight and are primed for a letdown after a grueling 2-point upset win at Virginia last time out. Prior that win over the Cavaliers, Wolfpack had last their previous 3 on the road. Give me the Yellow Jackets +1.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Memphis -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis as a slim 4-point home favorite against the Mustangs. I just feel like this is too good a price to pass up with the Tigers at home. Part of the value here stems from how bad Memphis played in their last game, which saw them get absolutely annihilated by 40 at Tulsa. 

I just feel like that had more to do with the Tigers not showing up and giving The Golden Hurricane the respect they deserve. We should get the absolute best Memphis has to offer in this one and the Tigers are a different team at home, where they are 10-1 this season. SMU is the same way. The Mustangs are 11-1 at home and just 3-3 on the road. Give me Memphis -4! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Miss St +1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs staying hot and covering as a 1.5-point dog against Oklahoma. While the game will be played in Oklahoma City, which is close to home for the Sooners, this needs to be treated as a neutral site, as Oklahoma has not played at this venue this season. 

Bulldogs were a team that many felt would be a Top 25 squad when the season started. They struggled out of the gate, but are looking more and more like that team of late. They have won 3 straight and rank in the Top 5 in both offensive and defensive efficiency in the SEC. They are also the best offensive rebounding team in the country and when the Sooners have been outclassed on the boards they have struggled to keep games close. I think the wrong team is favored. Give me the Bulldogs +1.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS BLOODBATH (Providence +2)

I'll take my chances here with the Friars as a slim 2-point home dog against Villanova. Books are really begging you to take the Wildcats here. Villanova is laying such a short number for a team that has won 5 straight and are 11-1 over their last 12. 

What people will overlook with Villanova and their great 5-1 start to Big East play, is 4 of their 6 conference games have come at home. They did win at Creighton, but that's a team they have owned. They lost by 11 at Marquette. Providence is a really good home team and will be at their best off back-to-back road losses following a strong 4-1 start to Big East play. Give me the Friars +2! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS KNOCKOUT (Syracuse -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange as a 5.5-point home favorite against Pitt. Syracuse has really started to play well over the last couple of weeks. Orange have won 4 straight with 3 of the 4 wins coming on the road. Syracuse won both meetings last year by 9 points and neither of them were on their home floor. I see more of the same, as Pitt has really struggled to get their offense going against zone defenses. 

Hard to see the Panthers keeping it close with how their offense figures to struggle, as the Orange come in No. 2 in the ACC in offensive efficiency and are averaging 75.3 ppg in their 3 ACC home games this season. Give me Syracuse -5.5! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD BOOKIE ATS DESTROYER (Michigan -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Michigan laying a short number at home against the Illini. I think this is the ideal spot to back the Wolverines off an ugly home loss to Penn State, as well as a great spot to fade Illinois off a big road win over Purdue. I know Michigan is sitting way back at 2-5 in Big Ten play and the Illini are tied at the top with Michigan State at 6-2, but that only makes me like the Wolverines more given they are favored by 4 in this matchup.

As good as Illinois has been playing, it's extremely difficult to win on the road in Big Ten play and I just don't see them winning two straight away from home, especially against a desperate Michigan team. Not to mention Illini are down one of the best players in Alan Griffin, who is suspended for this matchup. GIve me the Wolverines -4! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Butler -6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs cashing in a win and cover at home against Marquette. I just think this is a solid price and great spot to back Butler. The Bulldogs are going to be 100% locked in after losing 3 straight.

Butler was 15-1 before their skid with their only loss by 1-point at Baylor. The last two losses were on the road and the other was a home setback against a really good Seton Hall team. Marquette is good but not great and while they won their last road game at Georgetown, they have also lost by 14 at Seton Hall, but 17 at Creighton, by 16 at Wisconsin and by 19 on a neutral site to Maryland. 

Golden Eagles have one of the better players in Markus Howard, but he's really all they got and Butler is as well-equipped as any team to slow him down with the likes of Aaron Thompson and Kamar Baldwin. Give me the Bulldogs -6! 

40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Pelicans -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with New Orleans as a 3.5-point favorite at home against the Nuggets. I played on the Pelicans and lost in Zion's debut against the Spurs, but that's not deterring me from backing them here. Zion started slow, but exploded with 17 straight points n the 4th quarter. 

I look for him to be a lot more aggressive from the start tonight and while he's still going to be on a minutes restriction, he should be cleared to play a few more. You also have to think Ingram will be a bigger factor, as he was just 6 of 22 from the floor against the Spurs, missing a lot of easy shots he normally makes.

Nuggets are also playing their 3rd straight on the road and are absolutely decimated with injuries right now. Give me the Pelicans -3.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Houston cashing in as a 5-point road favorite against the Timberwolves. Rockets finally got some positive vibes going in a 121-105 win against the Nuggets on Wednesday. While Denver was short-handed that really doesn't matter. Houston's 47% shooting was their best mark in two weeks. 

They should have no problem keeping it going against the Timberwolves. These two have already played twice and the Rockets have won 125-105 at Minnesota and 139-109 at home. Timberwolves have allowed their opponents to shoot 46% or better in 7 straight, with 5 of those seeing the opposition shoot 50% or better. Give me the Rockets -5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 230) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 230 in tonight's NBA action that has the Grizzlies visiting the Pistons. Memphis ran into a buzz-saw last time out at Boston scoring just 95 points. However, the fact that they got to 95 is impressive, given they had just 17 points in the 2nd quarter and only 19 in the 3rd quarter. 

Prior to this game the Grizzlies had scored 110 or more in 15 straight games. Defense is always going to be a problem for Memphis and Detroit comes in off a 127 outburst at home against a Kings team that was pushing the tempo. Pistons are averaging 117.8 ppg in their last 5. The return of Reggie Jackson is huge as it allows them to keep the pace up with him and Derrick Rose. Give me the OVER 230! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Purdue -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Purdue bouncing back from that ugly home loss to Illinois with a big win at home over the Badgers. The Boilermakers couldn't have played much worse in the loss to the Illini and it didn't help that Illinois had one of their better shooting nights. The Illini are only shooting 31.2% from 3 on the season, yet were 44% from deep with Frazier hitting 5 of 7. Not to mention that's an Illinois team that is now tied with Michigan State on top the Big Ten and also won at Wisconsin earlier. 

Prior to losing at home to the Illini, Purdue had gone 3-0 at home in Big Ten play with a 29-point home win over Michigan State. Wisconsin is a team that loves to shoot the 3 ball and that's really the strength of the Boilermakers defense, which is 6th nationally allowing teams to hit just 28% from deep. Give me Purdue -4! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Indiana +4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Indiana as a home dog against the Spartans. Most people have Michigan State in a class of their own in the Big Ten and they are sitting on top the conference at 6-1, but I don't think they are that much better than the rest of the league. 

What people fail to realize with the Spartans strong start to Big Ten play is the favorable schedule. Michigan State has played just two road games in Big Ten play and one of those was at Northwestern, which they only won by 5. The other was at Purdue, where they got absolutely annihilated 71-42. 

Indiana is one of those teams that is a completely different monster at home than on the road. Hoosiers are 3-0 at home in Big Ten play and 1-3 on the road. Sure two of those home wins were against bottom feeders Nebraska and Northwestern, but they did beat Ohio State by 12 at home. THey also had a 16-point win at home against a really good FSU team in non-conference play. Give me the Hoosiers +4! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 228)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 228 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Lakers and Nets. Since Kyrie Irving has returned from injury the Nets have gone just 1-4 with their only win at home against a Hawks team that was down their best player (Trae Young).

In their 4 losses they have allowed no fewer than 117 points and three of those they allowed the opposing team to shoot 50% or better. After going through the motions last night at the Knicks, I expect a much more aggressive LA offensive attack in this one. 

A big reason for that is Irving is back on the floor for Brooklyn, as I don't think there's a guy LeBron enjoys beating more than Irving after what he did to get out of Cleveland. I think the Lakers could score 130 with ease in this one. 

I also think Brooklyn will score here as we just aren't going to get anything close to a max effort defensively from LA playing on no rest in their 4th straight on the road, especially with a big game at Philly on deck Saturday. Give me the OVER 228! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Ohio St -8) 

I'll take my chances here with Ohio State laying 8-points at home. This line isn't going to make much sense to a lot of people. You got a Buckeyes team that has lost 5 of their last 6 games laying almost double-digits to a team they lost to by 13 on the road. That's the Big Ten for ya and if you look at how different the Gophers have been on the road compared to at home you would see why this line makes perfect sense. 

Minnesota has played 8 conference games, 4 at home and 4 on the road. In their 4 Big Ten home games their offense is averaging 77.8 ppg. In their 4 road games they are scoring a mere 57.0 ppg in regulation (did have 78 in 2OT at Purdue). Maybe the most telling game is their matchup at Iowa, where they scored just 52 against a bad Hawkeyes defense. 

Another thing to note with Ohio State and their recent struggles is almost all of their losses came away from home. In fact, they are 10-1 at home, where they are outscoring teams by nearly 23 points/game and giving up just 56.4 ppg. Give me the Buckeyes -8! 

50* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Pelicans -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with New Orleans as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against the Spurs. Pelicans have really been playing some great basketball of late and are about to add their best player in rookie Zion Williamson. With the recent return of Jrue Holiday they are as healthy as they have been all season. 

Some might be concerned with Williamson throwing off the chemistry of this team, but I'm just not buying it. This is a very unselfish team and will only be better with him on the floor. Spurs have been playing better of late, which is also playing into this number, but San Antonio can't be trusted on the road, where they are just 7-13 on the season. Not to mention this is the Spurs second road game in 3 days and their 6th road game in their last 8 games overall. Give me the Pelicans -3.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Grizzlies +9) 

I'll take my chances here with the Grizzlies as a 9-point dog at Boston. I just think we are seeing a big overreaction with this line due to the recent results of both teams. Memphis just laid an egg in their last game against the Pelicans at home, as loss that snapped the Grizzlies 7-game winning streak. It was simply a rare off night for Memphis and a bit of bad luck that Jrue Holiday comes out after missing 5 games and scores 36 points with a career-high 7 3-pointers. Not only that but the Pelicans as a team made a franchise best 21 3-pointers. Not a lot you can do when a team shoots like that. 

Prior to that game Memphis was playing as well as any team out there. Their net rating in the previous 7 games was the 3rd best mark in the NBA with both their offensive and defensive ratings in the Top 10.

As for Boston they just absolutely laid it on the Lakers in a 139-107 win at home against LeBron and AD. Much like the hot shooting of New Orleans did in the Grizzlies, Boston had one of those nights against the Lakers, shooting 55.9% from the field and 47% from deep with 16 made 3-pointers.

That was not just another game for Boston. Kemba Walker won his first ever game against LeBron. I just think the Celtics are going to have a really tough time bringing their “A” game in this one. I also wouldn’t be shocked if they rested some guys, as they got a lot of guys banged up right now. Prior to the win over LA, Boston had lost 6 of their previous 8 with home losses to the Suns and Pistons and Spurs, as well as a road loss to the Wizards and a loss at Philly without Embiid playing for the 76ers.

Celtics are just 1-5 ATS last 6 off a cover, 2-6 ATS last 8 as a home favorite and 1-4 ATS last 5 off a win by 10 or more. Memphis is 6-1-1 ATS last 8 as a road dog and 4-0 ATS last 4 off a SU loss. Grizzlies have also covered a ridiculous 16 of their last 20 visits to Boston. Give me Memphis +9.  

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Raptors -5) 

I'll take my chances here with Toronto as a 5-point home favorite against the 76ers. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Raptors at home against a Philadelphia team that has really struggled on the road and is missing their best player in Embiid. 

I just think we are getting value due to the fact that the 76ers have won 4 straight, but two of those were against the Nets and the other two were against the Bulls and Knicks. Big thing to note is how bad Philadelphia's offense has been on the road without Embiid. Outside of the 117 they scored at Brooklyn (playing no defense) they scored just 91 at Dallas, 95 at Indiana and 90 at New York. 

That simply won't cut it with how Toronto's offense is going right now. Raptors have scored 122 or more in their last 4 games and 3 of those were on the road. Toronto is finally back to full strength and have really picked up the tempo. 76ers won't be able to keep this close. Give me the Raptors -5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Michigan -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Michigan as a 4-point home favorite against the Nittany Lions. The hype around the Wolverines has cooled off considerably from their 7-0 start, when everyone was all over them after winning 3 straight against ISU, UNC and Gonzaga. They have gone just 4-6 over their last 10 games, losers of 3 of their last 4 and are just 2-4 in Big Ten play. All of that is playing into this favorable line. 

Not only are Big Ten teams now 42-7 at home going into Tuesday’s games, but Michigan is 8-1 on their home floor with the only loss coming in OT against a really good Oregon team.  I still think this is a really good team and there’s a chance here they get back a key piece in Isaiah Livers, who is really close. Livers dressed for their last game against Iowa and went through the pre-game warm-ups. I also think freshman Franz Wagner is emerging into a star with this team. 

 As for Penn State, I was all over them in their big blowout win at home against Ohio State last time out. I also played against the game before at Minnesota, as well as their previous road game at Rutgers. Nittany Lions have yet to win on the road in the Big Ten and I think there recent win against the Buckeyes really speaks volumes to how different things are on the road compared to at home. That same Ohio State team annihilated the Nittany Lions 106-74 in Columbus in a previous matchup this season. 

40* NCAAB SHARP MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Mississippi State -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Razorbacks. Bulldogs have really got thing going in the right direction with those back-to-back blowout wins at home and I think they will be able to that momentum with another home game here. I also think this is a tough spot for the Razorbacks off a really gut-wrenching loss at home to Kentucky. 

Mississippi State should have a big edge here in offensive rebounding as they are the best in the SEC in that creating second chances and Arkansas is one of the worst. Razorbacks also foul a lot and the Bulldogs are a strong free throw (4th SEC) shooting team.  Arkansas’s defense has also been much better at defending the 3-pointer, as they are 9th in the SEC in 2-point % allowed on defense. That plays into the strength of Mississippi State, which is a mere 12th in the SEC in 3-point % and 4th in 2-point %.  Give me the Bulldogs -2.5! 

40* NCAAB SMALL CONFERENCE ATS DESTROYER (Marshall -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Thundering Herd as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Hilltoppers. I still think Marshall is a bit undervalued from their sloppy 2-6 start to the season. They are 7-4 since that slow start and the turnaround has come with the addition of freshman Andrew Taylor into the lineup. 

Western Kentucky has opened up 5-1 in C-USA play, but a big reason for that is they have played 4 of their first 6 conference games at home. They are 1-1 in league play on the road with a double-digit loss at UAB and the lone win coming against Middle Tennessee, who sits last in the conference winless at 0-6. 

Marshall has a potent offense, but the one thing that has really killed them is offensive rebounding. However, that's not a big issue here as WKU ranks 13th out 14 in C-USA in offensive rebound percentage. WKU is also 12th in 2-point % defense in league play and Marshall is 4th in offensive 2-point %, so Herd should be able to get a lot of easy looks in this one. GIve me Marshall -1.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Xavier -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Musketeers cashing in a cover as a slim 3-point home favorite against the Hoyas. The perception couldn't be much worse on Xavier right now, as they have lost 3 straight to fall to a dismal 1-4 in Big East play. I still think this is a good team and one that will found a way to put that losing streak to rest with a win at home. 

Georgetown isn't exactly playing that great. Hoyas are just 2-4 in their last 6 games and both of their wins have come at home. They have not been competitive at all in their 3 Big East road games, losing by 16 at Providence, 16 at Seton Hall and by 14 at Villanova. A big reason for that is their defense, which is dead last in the conference in both defensive efficiency and effective field goal defense. When you can't defend, it's really tough to win on the road in a league as talented as the Big East. Give me Xavier -3! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 135.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 135.5 between Wake Forest and Clemson. We have seen the Demon Deacons get torched on several occasions in conference play, as they are giving up 78 ppg. Recently giving up 80 at home to Va Tech and 90 at Duke. 

Clemson is coming off a horrible shooting night at NC State, where they managed just 54 points on 38% shooting, which I think is playing into the favorable number here. Prior to that the Tigers had scored 79 or more in 3 straight. 

The other big thing here is tempo. Wake Forest is playing at the 2nd fastest tempo in the ACC, behind only Duke. I think Clemson will be just fine playing up tempo with how easy it's going to be for them to score. I think that pace will allow the Demon Deacons to contribute enough to push this well over the mark. Give me the OVER 135.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Texas Tech -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Texas Tech laying 2.5 on the road against the Horned Frogs. I just don't think this is anywhere close to as even a fight as this line would suggest. TCU is 3-2 in Big 12 play, but their 3 wins are against the 3 worst teams. They just got annihilated by 32 at West Virginia and by 20 at Oklahoma. It's like they are getting a pass because those were on the road. 

Horned Frogs are 9th in offensive efficiency and 7th in effective field goal percentage. That's a problem against this elite Texas Tech defense. Also, TCU is a very young team with a lot of guys that haven't seen the defensive pressure and switching that Tech brings to the table. It's really asking a lot for them to win this game, which is what this line is calling for. Road team has gone 15-5-1 ATS in the series and Tech has gone 5-0-1 ATS last 6 with 4 straight wins by an average of 13 ppg. Give me the Red Raiders -2.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Iowa State -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Iowa State laying just 5-points at home against a struggling Oklahoma State team that is fresh off a heartbreaking loss at home to Baylor, blowing a double-digit lead in the final 15 minutes of play. 

Cyclones have struggled a bit in Big 12 play at just 1-4, but 3 of the losses are on the road and the other a loss at home to Kansas. The one real favorable matchup they have had at home they won 81-68 over Oklahoma. I just don't think Oklahoma State will have enough in tank after that loss to the Bears to keep this one respectable. Give me the Cyclones -5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Purdue -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Boilermakers covering the 5.5-point spread at home against Illinois. If this line doesn't tell you just how big home court is in the Big Ten, I don't know what does. Fighting Illini beat Purdue 63-37 at home a little over two weeks ago. 

Thing is, that's the norm in this conference. Teams are getting destroyed on the road by one team and coming back and beating them at home. Purdue is a completely different team at home. They have already knocked off two highly ranked teams at home in Virginia (69-40) and Michigan State (71-42). 

Illinois has won 4 straight, but I think that only makes them more likely to lay an egg here, as they are going to have a hard time, especially given how lopsided the earlier matchup was between these two teams. Illinois is just 2-5 ATS last 7 as a road dog and Purdue is 9-1-2 ATS last 12 off a loss and 15-5-1 ATS last 21 as a home favorite. Give me the Boilermakers -5.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Wichita State -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Shockers righting the ship and avoiding a 3rd straight loss with a win and cover at South Florida. Losses in their last two games against Temple and Houston really came down to their inability to make shots as the defense did their part.

Good chance the offense returns to form against a Bulls defense that ranks dead last in the AAC in 2-point % and 3-point % defense. USF really relies on turnovers and rebounding, but those are two areas that Wichita State performs well in. I just think the Shockers are too good to pass up on at this price in this spot. Give me Wichita State -4.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis laying a short number at home against the Pelicans. Grizzlies are the hottest team in the league right now, as they are working on a league best 7-game winning streak. They are 6-1 ATS in this run with the only non-cover coming in a crushing ATS loss last time out against the Cavs at home. A game they won 113-109 after being up by 21 in the 4th quarter. 

I just don't think people realize how good this team is playing right now and this feels like a great spot to fade the Pelicans. New Orleans is coming off a crushing 133-130 loss at home to the Clippers, as they were outscored by 11 in the 4th quarter (only managed 20 points). Not only are they off a tough loss, but they could have a hard time not looking ahead to Wednesday's home game against the Spurs, which is expected to mark the debut of No. 1 overall pick Zion Williamson. Give me the Grizzlies -2.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Old Dominion -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Monarchs cashing in a cover as a small home favorite against the 49ers. I think we are getting a great price on Old Dominion due to them having lost 3 straight, but note that those 3 losses all came on the road and it's not like they weren't competitive as they came by a combined 9 points. 

Prior to the three straight losses they had won and covered both of their conference home games against Middle Tennessee and UAB. Monarchs also out for revenge as they opened up that 3-game skid with a 47-53 loss at Charlotte. Note they only lost by 6 despite going 1-22 (4.5%) from behind the 3-point line and 4 of 10 (40%) at the free throw line. 

49ers also in a tough spot here playing their 3rd road game since playing at Marshall on Thursday. They were able to beat the Herd in that game, but then lost on Saturday 80-63 at WKU. Give me the Monarchs -4.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Under 221) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 221 in Monday's matchup between the 76ers and Nets. Since losing Embiid to injury Philadelphia has really slowed things down. In the 6 games without him they have a pace rating of just  95.42 which is 29th slowest in the league and well below their season average of 101.1. 

The offense without Embiid has been especially bad on the road, scoring just 91 at Dallas, 95 at Indiana and 90 at New York. It's why I'm not concerned at all about the fact that these two teams just combined for 223 points in their meeting last week at Philly. If anything the fact these two teams just played each other adds more value to the UNDER. Give me the UNDER 221! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL VEGAS ATS MASSACRE (Loyola Chicago -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Ramblers covering the short 3.5-point spread at Illinois State. Loyola is ranked in the Top 100 of the KenPom rankings, while Illinois State is sitting at 215th, only team worse than that in the MVC is Evansville. 

I get winning on the road is tough in the MVC, but there's just to big a gap in talent to not take a shot with the Ramblers. Loyola's only got an offensive efficiency rating of 105.1 in conference play, Illinois Stat is at 93.7. They are also best in the league at not turning it over and Rebirds are one of the worst (8th out of 10). Not mention the Ramblers are No. 1 in the league in defensive efficiency, No. 2 in effective field goal percentage and No. 1 in defensive turnover rate. Give me Loyola-Chicago -3.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Rutgers -5) 

I'll take my chances here with Rutgers laying 5-points at home against Minnesota. I just don't know how you don't back every Big Ten team at home outside of Northwestern and Nebraska laying a short number. Big Ten teams are a ridiculous 41-7 at home this season and the disparity of how well a team plays at home compared to on the road is pretty significant. These two teams are prime examples of that. Rutgers is 12-0 at home and 1-4 away from home. Gophers are 9-2 at home and 1-5 on the road. 

Minnesota's offense has really struggled to get anything going in their Big Ten road games, scoring just 52 at Iowa and 58 at Michigan State. They did have 78 at Purdue, but that went to double-overtime. They only had 62 in regulation. That's crazy given they have scored 84, 77, 75 and 75 in their 4 Big Ten home games. Rutgers has the best defense in the Big Ten and I think they win this going away. Give me the Scarlet Knights -5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Kings +9) 

I'll take my chances here with the Kings as a 9-point dog against the Jazz. Utah has been the hottest team in the league over the last month. Jazz are 15-2 since a loss to OKC back on Dec. 9th. Key here is they just had their 10-game home winning streak snapped in a OT loss at New Orleans. 

It's always tough to bounce back from a loss after a long winning streak like that. Also, Jazz are expected to get back Mike Conley from injury. That might appear like a positive, but I'm not so sure. I think they are better with Mitchell running the point and the chemistry of this team will be thrown off some. Give me the Kings +9! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Thunder -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Thunder as a 5.5-point home favorite. I played on OKC last night in a loss against Miami. It was really just a slow start, as the Thunder allowed the Heat to score 40 in the first quarter and fell behind by 14. They were the better team the rest of the way and I just think they bounce back here in a big way. 

Both teams will be on the second leg of a back-to-back, but there's a huge here for the Thunder playing their 3rd straight at home. Blazers on the other hand are playing their 3rd straight road game in a 4 day stretch and are likely to be without one of their best players in C.J. McCollum. Give me OKC -5.5! 

50* NBA CENTRAL DIVISION PLAY OF THE MONTH (Bulls -6.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Bulls as a 6.5-point home favorite against the Cavs. While Chicago only has 3 more wins than Cleveland, there's no doubt in my mind they are the better team. 

The even bigger key here is both teams are playing on rest, which is a big advantage for the home team. Even more so when you factor in the Cavs were at Memphis last night and will be playing their 6th straight on the road. Both teams also had their flights into Chicago delayed last night until this morning. Another factor I think favors the Bulls. Give me Chicago -6.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS KNOCKOUT (SMU -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Mustangs covering as a 5-point home favorite against the Owls. Perfect spot here to jump on SMU after they lost their last two on the road. One was a bad loss at ECU (big letdown spot) and the other as a hard fought loss against a really good Houston team. 

I'm confident SMU shows up in a big way here. Same can't be said for Temple, who is poised for a massive letdown after a huge upset win at home over Wichita State. Prior to that the Owls had lost 3 straight, including a double-digit loss at home to Tulane. SMU is the better team and we are simply getting a great price. GIve me the Mustangs -5! 

50* NCAAB PAC-12 TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 137) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 137 in Saturday's Pac-12 showdown between Stanford and USC. Stanford, Washington and USC are in a class all of their own in terms of defensive prowess in the Pac-12. The gap between them and the next best team is very noticable. 

Cardinal are No. 1 in defensive efficiency and No. 3 in effective field goal defense. USC is No. 3 in defensive efficiency and No.1 in effective field goal defense. This total is basically for both teams to score 70 and I have a hard time seeing either side get to 65.

UNDER is 30-15 in USC's last 45 conference games and 10-2 in their last 12 at home as a favorite of 6 or less. Give me the UNDER 137! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Wichita State -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Shockers as a small home favorite against the Cougars. This is simply too good a price to pass up with Wichita State at home, especially with the Shockers coming off a loss. Wichita State is a perfect 12-0 at home this season and we saw just how good this team can be at home in a recent 76-67 win at home over Memphis. 

One of the keys to beating the Shockers at home is to force them into making mistakes. Houston just isn't great in that department, as they are only averaging 12 forced turnovers on the season. Wichita State is 15-4 in their last 19 vs a team that averages 14 or fewer forced turnovers and a perfect 7-0 ATS at home vs teams who average 6 or fewer steals/game. Give me the Shockers -3.5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS BLOWOUT (Texas Tech -7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders as a 7.5-point home favorite against the Cyclones. Texas Tech is a better team than their 11-5 record would lead on and simply outclass ISU in this one. Red Raiders are 8-1 at home with the only loss coming against an elite Baylor team. 

Iowa State just isn't that good. Cyclones rely too much on one player and that just won't cut it in Big 12 play. ISU is 1-3 to start out Big 12 play and this is just not a good matchup for them. Cyclones are statistically the worst defense in the Big 12 ranking dead last in both defensive efficiency and effective field goal defense. 

With how much their offense figures to struggle to score against an elite REd Raiders defense, this has blowout written all over it. Also, Tech is not just all defense. THey are the No. 3 most efficient offense in the Big 12 behind Kansas and Baylor. Give me the Red Raiders -7.5! 

40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS ANNIHILATOR (Oregon -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Ducks laying a short number on the road against the Huskies. I just think we are getting great value here because of the fact that Washington is 10-2 at home and just beat Oregon State at home as a pick'em. Thing is the Huskies have recently lost point guard Quade Green and in the 3 games he's missed the offense has scored 58, 58 and 64 points. 

I just don't think Washington can rely on their defense to beat a really good Oregon team, who is going to be 100% locked in after an upset loss at Washington State last time out. Ducks are also 12-3 ATS last 15 on the road and 7-2 ATS last 9 as a road favorite. Give me Oregon -2! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Oklahoma -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Sooners as a small home favorite against the Horned Frogs. TCU had started out 3-0 in Big 12 play thanks to a soft schedule that had two of their first 3 at home against Oklahoma State and ISU and the other a road game at K-State. Those are arguably the 3 worst teams in the league. 

We saw just how fortunate they were in their last game, as they got absolutely destroyed 81-49 at West Virginia. I get Oklahoma is off two straight losses, but this is a team I trust a lot in this spot, especially at home. Sooners are 6-1 at home with their only loss coming against Kansas in their last game. TCU only other true road game besides that West Virginia road blowout was a 2-point win at K-State. Give me Oklahoma -3! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Maryland -5.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Terps as a 5.5-point home favorite against Purdue. Big Ten home teams have been outstanding this season, going 38-6 to start out conference play. Maryland has helped that mark by going 3-0 at home in Big Ten play and are 10-0 at home overall. 

I just think we are getting a great price on the Terps because they come in having lost their last two on the road to Iowa and Wisconsin. Plus you got Purdue fresh off a 71-42 blowout win at home against Michigan STate. Boilermakers are just 1-4 in true road games with their only win coming at 212th ranked Ohio. They lost by 14 at Nebraska, by 26 at Illinois and by 6 at Michigan. Give me the Terps -5.5! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS NO-BRAINER (Penn State +1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Nittany Lions as a small home dog against the Buckeyes. Big Ten home teams have gone 38-6 SU to start the season and I just think this is the perfect spot to jump on Penn State, who is going to give us everything they got having lost 3 straight.

Nittany Lions are also out for revenge from an ugly 106-74 loss at Ohio State earlier this season. While that result could lead some to take the Buckeyes here, Ohio State is not playing anywhere close to as good as they were back in early December. They had lost 4 straight prior to a 12-point win over an inferior Nebraska team at home. That included 12-point losses at both Maryland and Indiana, moving them to 0-3 in Big 12 road games, as they also lost by 13 at Minnesota. Give me the Nittany Lions +1! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS BLOODBATH (Va Tech -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hokies as a small home favorite against the Orange. I just feel that this is too good a price to pass up with Virginia Tech at home, where they are 9-1 this season with the only setback coming against Duke. 

Syracuse followed up an upset win at Virginia with a win over a bad BC team, which I think has them getting a little too much love here. Those are by far the worst two offensive teams in the ACC. BC is 14th in offensive efficiency in the ACC at 86.9 and Pitt is 13th at 94.3. 

These two also already played at Syracuse this season and the Hokies won that contest 67-63 despite a miserable night shooting (42%). They are much better offensive team at home, where they shoot 39% from deep a huge plus against the zone defense of the Orange. Give me the Hokies -3.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes laying a short number at home against the Wolverines. It's almost a no-brainer at his point to lay a short number with any Big Ten team at home, as the home has gone 36-6 (85.7%) SU in Big Ten games. 

Iowa is a perfect 2-0 at home in conference play and in those two wins they have been impressive, beating Minnesota 72-52 and Maryland 67-49. Also, note that while Iowa is currently not ranked in the Top 25 (not sure why), they are the 15th best team according to KenPom. 

Iowa has the most efficient offense in the Big Ten and the 4th most efficient offense in the country. Michigan's defense ranks 40th in defensively efficiency at 92.0 for the season, but are dead last in the Big Ten in that department at 111.8. Iowa is 9th in Big Ten defensive efficiency but are a full 9 points better at 102.8. 

Michigan did win the first meeting between these two in a shootout 103-91, but they simply couldn't miss, shooting 55.2% from the field and 41.7% from deep. Iowa scored 91 points despite going just 3 of 15 (20%) from deep. Wolverines had no answer for Luka Garza, who went 17 of 32 for 44 points. Michigan is also 0-4 in true road games and have not scored more than 69 in any of those games. Give me Iowa -4.5! 

50* NBA SHARP MONEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (Thunder -1.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Oklahoma City laying a short number at home against the Heat. This just feels like a perfect spot to jump on the Thunder coming off an ugly home loss to the Raptors. It wasn't their offense that got them beat, as they shot 50.6% from the field (3rd time in 4 games they have shot 49% or better). Toronto just couldn't miss, as the Raptors went 52 of 85 (61.2%). 

I look for OKC to stay hot offensively in this one. While the Heat are one of the better defensive teams, they do struggle against the pick and roll and Thunder are one of the best in the league in that department to no surprise given they got Chris Paul. 

Another thing to note is Miami's defense is a shell of themselves on the road. Heat are giving up 111.0 ppg away from home compared to around 104.4 ppg at home. It's why Miami is 18-1 on their home floor and just 10-11 on the road. 

OKC is 12-4 ATS last 16 off a game where they didn't cover, while Heat are 1-5-1 ATS last 7 off a SU win and 1-4 ATS last 5 on the road. Give me the Thunder -1.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Bulls +7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Chicago cashing in a cover as a 7.5-point dog against the 76ers. I just think this is way too many points for Philadelphia to be laying without Embiid. I know they are coming off a cover at home against the Nets at almost the exact same price, but that was a very fortunate cover as they actually went into the 4th quarter trailing by 4 and that was against a Brooklyn team playing on no rest. 

I just think it's going to be tough for the 76ers to stack a lot of great performances on top of each other. I could definitely see them going through the motions against a struggling Bulls team, especially with a flight to New York following this game for a matchup with the Knicks tomorrow. I actually wouldn't be the least bit surprised if Chicago won outright. Give me the Bulls +7.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 225.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 225.5 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Jazz and Pelicans. Really hard to not like the over when you look at just how good these two teams have been on the offensive side of the ball of late. 

Utah is averaging 122.0 ppg and shooting 52% from the field over their last 5 games, while the Pelicans are scoring 118.8 ppg in their last 5. New Orleans also averages 115.7 ppg at home and have scored 112 or more points in 9 of their last 10. 

Utah is perceived as a great defensive team, but the Jazz have a tendency to not show up on that side of the ball away from home. In their last two road games against the Wizards and Nets, they let both shoot 50% from the field. Give me the OVER 225.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Over 135.5) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 135.5 for tonight's C-USA clash between Marshall and Charlotte. I just think this total is way to low. Marshall is a team that likes to play fast and aren't afraid to light it up from deep. The Herd did manage to score just 50 in their last game at UAB, but the Blazers are one of the better defensive teams in the conference. 

Key here is just that whenever these two teams play it turns into an offensive game. In the last 8 meetings they have combined for no fewer than 159 points. Marshall simply has a way of making the 49ers play to their preferred uptempo style and I expect that trend to continue, especially with the game on the Herd's home floor. Give me the OVER 135.5! 

50* NCAAB AAC PLAY OF THE MONTH (Memphis -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Tigers laying a short number at home against the Bearcats. Cincinnati has started out 3-1 in the AAC, with home wins over UConn and Tulsa and a road win at UCF. It's never easy winning on the road in this conference, but it is worth noting that the Knights are just 1-4 in league play. 

I just don't trust this Cincinnati team on the road, as they had gone 0-3 in true road games before the win over UCF, including a 5-point loss at Tulane as a 8-point favorite. They are 2-1 in neutral site games with their two wins being a 1-point victory against Illinois State and a OT win against Valparaiso. 

As for Memphis, this is a great time to buy low on the Tigers. Memphis has lost 2 of their last 3 and were far from dominant in their last game at USF. Thing is the two losses were against the likes of Georgia and Wichita State and USF is not an easy place to play. Tigers are 9-1 at home and this is just too good a price to pass up. Give me Memphis -4! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS DESTROYER (Minnesota -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Gophers as a small home favorite against the Nittany Lions. It's just so hard to win on the road in Big Ten play and this is just too good a price to pass up with Minnesota. 

Gophers are 3-3 in Big Ten play and are 3-0 at home compared to 0-3 on the road. Those 3 road wins have been a 13-point victory over Ohio State, 9-point win over Northwestern and 8-point win over Michigan. Penn State has played two true road games in Big Ten play and lost 106-74 at Ohio State and 61-72 at Rutgers. Nittany Lions are giving up 78 ppg on the road and Minnesota scores 78 ppg at home. Give me the Gophers -2! 

50* NCAAB UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE MONTH (Alabama +2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Crimson Tide as a home dog against the Tigers. If this line doesn't scream take Alabama, I don't know what does. Auburn is sitting at 15-0 and ranked No. 4 in the country and yet are basically a pick'em on the road against a Crimson Tide team that is 8-7. 

Thing is, Alabama is rolling right now under new head coach Nate Oats. They are an absolute nightmare to face with their frantic pace and litter of 3-point shooters. Their only two losses in the SEC are a overtime loss at Florida, which they had a 20-point lead in and a 9-point setback at Kentucky, where they won the turnover battle and were even on the glass. They just didn't have a good shooting day on the road. Alabama beat Mississippi State 90-69 in their lone SEC home game and shot 49%. I just don't think Auburn is going to be able to keep them in check. GIve me the Crimson Tide +2.5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Georgia Tech -1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Yellow Jackets at basically a pick'em at home against the Fighting Irish. Georgia Tech is just 8-8 but are a much better team than that. Yellow Jackets have played the 3rd toughest schedule in the country and have had to play 7 of their 16 games without point guard Jose Alvarado. 

Yellow Jackets are 4-3 since Alvarado has returned from injury with all 3 losses coming against top 30 teams in Houston, Duke and FSU. They have covered 3 straight and simply should be laying more than this at home against a team like Notre Dame. Irish are 10-6, but have played the 215th strength of schedule. THey are just 1-2 in ACC with their only win by 1 at Syracuse in a game they should have lost. Yellow Jackets have won 5 of their last 6 at home against the Irish and will add that tonight. Give me Georgia Tech -1! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Oklahoma State -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Cowboys laying a small number at home against the Longhorns. I just think this is the perfect spot to buy low on Oklahoma State, who will be in desperation mode after losing their first 3 Big 12 games. Thing is, two of those were against two of the best teams in Texas Tech and West Virginia and the other was a road game at TCU. 

They simply couldn't have shot any worse than they did in this 3 game stretch, as they shot 29% from the field against the Red Raiders, 29% against the Mountaineers and 30% against the Horned Frogs. Texas is 11-4 and off a win and cover at home against K-State, but are just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games. Give me the Cowboys -3.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS ANNIHILATOR (Heat -5) 

I'm going to take my chances here with Miami laying a mere 5-points at home against the Spurs. I really like the spot here for the Heat, as we can be assured a big effort from Miami after losing back-to-back games they had to feel like they let get away. Heat blew a 12-point lead at the half in a 113-117 loss at Brooklyn on Friday and then gave up 40 points in the 4th quarter in a 121-124 loss at New York. 

 Spurs come in off a win they probably didn’t deserve, San Antonio trailed by 14 with just over 10 minutes to play in the 4th quarter of a 105-104 win at Toronto, thanks in large part to a ridiculous 17-0 run. That win looks great given the Raptors got back Siakam and Powell for that game, but after going 5 of 7 for 12 points in the 1st quarter, Siakam was 1 of 10 for 3 points in the final 3 quarters and played 30 minutes. Toronto was still missing some key guys and just don’t have much depth right now. Raptors bench was outscored 48-24.  Spurs also have a win at Boston and a win over the Bucks in their last 4 games, but the Celtics were a no show the night before a massive game against the 76ers and Kemba Walker played just 18 minutes before getting ejected. As for the win over Milwaukee, a big part of that win was the fact that they had just lost by 9 at Milwaukee two days prior. Not easy beating a team twice in a row in those home-and-home matchups. 

Big picture is that this is San Antonio’s 4th straight road game and even with the two recent wins over the Celtics and Raptors they are just 6-12 away from home this season.  Miami has a great bench, so that edge won’t be a factor here for San Antonio. Heat are also 4th in the NBA in 2-point field goal percentage and 2nd in 3-point shooting at 37.6%. Spurs rank 19th in 2-point defense and opposing teams are hitting 36.2% against them from deep.  Miami is also a staggering 17-1 on their home floor this season, which is the best mark in the league. Give me the Heat -5 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 218) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 218 between the Nets and 76ers. The highest combined score in the 76ers last 3 games without Embiid is 207. They are clearly playing at a slower pace too, which is evident by the fact the Mavs only put up 109 points despite making 11 3-pointers and shooting 51% from the field. Nets are T-9th in defensive efficiency and opposing teams are only shooting 43.3% against them, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. Give me the UNDER 218! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Rutgers -3) 

I think we are getting some big time value here with Rutgers laying such a short number at home due to the fact that the Hoosiers come in off an impressive upset 66-54 win at home against No. 11 Ohio State. It’s just really hard to win on the road in the Big Ten, heading into Tuesday’s games the home team has won 32 of a possible 37 games in Big Ten play.  This game reminds me a lot of a spot I faded Indiana earlier this season after they defeated then No. 17 Florida State at home 80-64 and were a 2-point favorite at Wisconsin in their next game. The Badgers went on to win that 84-64.  

It wouldn’t surprise me at all if this one ended up in another Hoosiers blowout. Rutgers is no joke this season. They are 12-4 overall with a 3-2 record in Big 10 play. Their only two losses coming on the road to Michigan State and Illinois who currently have the two best records in the league.  More importantly is how good the Scarlet Knights have been at home, where they are 11-1 with wins over the likes of Wisconsin, Seton Hall and Penn State.

As for Indiana, winning at home is also the norm for them, but they are just 2-2 in road games with two ugly losses in both of their true road games as they also lost by 16 at Maryland. Their two wins on a neutral court were by a mere 3-points against UConn and by 2 against Notre Dame.  

Big thing that stands out to me is the struggles of Indiana’s offense on the road. Their highest offensive output in a game away from home is 64 points and that’s a problem against a really good Rutgers defense. Scarlet Knights rank 13th in the country giving up just 59.4 ppg and are allowing teams to shoot just 36.7%, which is the 9th best mark. Indiana in comparison ranks 107th in defensive scoring and 95th in shooting percentage allowed. Give me Rutgers -3! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Georgetown -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hoyas laying a short number at home against the Bluejays. Georgetown is just 1-3 in Big East play, but all 3 losses have come on the road against 3 of the better teams in the league in Providence, Seton Hall and Villanova. The lone win is the only won at home and that was a 87-66 victory over St. John's as a mere 4.5-point favorite. Hoyas are 8-2 at home compared to 3-4 on the road. 

Creighton comes in off an impressive upset win at Xavier, but had lost their previous two and let's not overlook how much the Musketeers are struggling right now. Also, this is a big letdown spot for the Bluejays after 3 straight big games against Butler, Villanova and Xavier, especially with this being their second straight on the road. I just think Georgetown will be the more motivated team in this one. Give me the Hoyas -3! 

50* NCAAB SHARP MONEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (Georgia -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Bulldogs as a small home favorite against the Vols. I just think there's a ton of value here with Georgia laying such a short number. Big part of that is the Bulldogs have lost their last two, but that was to be expected given one was a home game against Kentucky and the other was on the road against Auburn. 

Tennessee has won their last two, but it's come against Missouri and South Carolina. I just don't think the Vols are being priced right since losing Lamonte Turner. Prior to their two wins, they had lost 4 of 5 with 3 of the 4 losses coming at home and the lone setback on the road by 12 at Cincinnati. They were also very fortunate in their last game at home against the Gamecocks, as they won by 1 and shot a mere 25.9% from the field. Give me Georgia -2.5! 

50* NCAAB SEC PLAY OF THE MONTH (Mississippi State -2) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Bulldogs as a mere 2-point home favorite against Missouri. I think this is the ideal buy low on Mississippi State and sell high on the Tigers. Bulldogs have lost 3 straight, but two of those were on the road against the likes of Alabama and LSU and the other was a home game against undefeated Auburn. Missouri on the other hand is off a 91-75 blowout win over Florida after two hard fought games against Kentucky and Tennessee. Should get a max effort here from Miss State, while Missouri could struggle to show up. Give me the Bulldogs -2!

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS SHOCKER (VCU +8.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Shockers keeping it closer than expected against Dayton. No question the Flyers are a great team, but in the 5 meetings between the two schools with their current respective head coaches, VCU has won 4 of the 5 outright. 

Add in the fact that Dayton's Obi Toppin is likely playing at less than 100% with an ankle injury that knocked him out of their last game. I got a feeling he's trying to rush back here and wouldn't be surprised if he tweaked at some point and had to go out. Either way I like the Rams to keep it within the number. Give me VCU +8.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Texas Tech -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders laying a mere 3-points on the road against K-State. I just really like the spot here with Texas Tech, who I believe is one of the best teams in the Big 12. Red Raiders are going to be extremely motivated to avoid a 3rd straight conference loss and fall to 1-3 in Big 12 play. K-State has not one a conference game and it figures to be tough sledding for them this year with their inability to score. Wildcats are averaging just 56 ppg on 38% shooting in Big 12 play. What are they going to do here against a pissed of Tech defense that is one of the best in the country? Give the Red Raiders -3! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 228.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 228.5 in Tuesday's NBA clash between the Suns and Hawks. I think there's come value here due to the fact that Phoenix is off a couple of lower-scoring games against the Magic and Hornets, who are also two of the slowest paced teams in the league. In their last game against Charlotte they shot 50% from the field but yet only had 100 because of the pace. Hawks managed just 86 in their last game, but that was with Trae Young sidelined and he's cleared to go for this one. Neither of these teams are great defensively and both can light it up offensively. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

40* NBA BIG MONEY VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Nets +3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn as a small home dog against the Jazz. Utah definitely getting a little too much love due to the fact that they have gone 14-1 over their last 15 games. Thing is, only one of those wins was against a team with a winning record. I know the Nets don't have a winning mark at 18-20, but they have played a good portion of their schedule without their best player in Kyrie Irving. He returned to action in their last game and they cruised to a blowout win over the Hawks. Nets are 6-0 ATS as a dog this season on their home floor and covering the spread by an average of 10 ppg. Give me the Nets +3.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Pitt +6) 

I'll take my chances here with Pitt as a 6-point home dog against the Cardinals. I know Louisville beat the Panthers by 18 on their home floor earlier this season, but that's a big part of why I like Pitt in this spot. Louisville is coming off a very emotional win at Notre Dame and have a massive game on deck at Duke this weekend. I just think it's going to be hard for them to give this Panthers team the respect they deserve. Pitt is also much better than what they showed in their last game at Miami. I'm confident the Panthers come to play and wouldn't be completely shocked if they won outright. Give me Pittsburgh +6! 

50* NCAAB A-10 TOTAL PLAY OF THE MONTH (Over 136) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 136 as Davidson will host Richmond. The Spiders have really picked up the pace this season compared to last year and while it's early they are playing with the 3rd fastest tempo in the A-10. Davidson might not always play fast, but they are capable of speeding things up as they got the No. 4 ranked offense in the conference. 

Another big thing is that both of these teams can light you up from long distance. Both teams are shooting better than 35% from deep and rank among the tops in the country in percentage of shots from deep. Davidson's 3 conference games have seen an average score of 144.6 and the Wildcats are averaging 88.7 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 136! 

40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Kings -2) 

I'll take my chances here with Sacramento covering as a slim 2-point home favorite against the Magic. I just think this is a good spot to buy low on the Kings, who are just 3-10 in their last 13 games. Thing is they have been on the upward swing with 3 wins in their last 5. 

Also a good spot to sell high on the Magic, who come in having covered 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. Orlando is a long way from home and are not a good road team at just 5-13 away from home on the season. Not to mention the Magic have a number of guys banged up right now. This is also a team that relies on their defense to win games and are giving up 47% shooting on the road. Give me the Kings -2! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers -2) 

I'll take my chances here with Indiana cashing in as a small 2-point home favorite against the Embiid less 76ers. Philadelphia was able to defeat Boston without Embiid, but that was at home. They lost by 18 on the road against the Mavs last time out and no surprise at all to see them struggle away from home without Embiid, as they weren't a good team on the road with him. Philadelphia is just 7-13 SU on the road this season. 

Indiana on the other hand is a great home team. Pacers are 15-5 at home this season and could be getting back a huge piece with Brogdon questionable to return. Brogdon had missed several games because of a back problem, but would have played in their last game if he wasn't sick. That was on Thursday, so you got to think there's a good chance he's feeling up to playing in this one. Either way, I don't think they need him to win and cover the small number here. Give me the Pacers -2! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 218.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 218.5 in Sunday's NBA matchup between the Suns and Hornets. For starters, the average combined score in Phoenix' home games this season is 230.1 ppg, as they are scoring 115.3 ppg and giving up 114.8 ppg. 

Hornets allow 111 ppg and are giving up 112.4 ppg in their last 5, so we can expect to see Phoenix at least hit their average. Charlotte is coming off a game at Utah where they only scored 92, but that was with them scoring just 13 first quarter points. They averaged 26.3/quarter over the final 3. Hornets had also scored 104 or more in their previous 4 and if they simply get to 100 I think we cash this easy. Give me the OVER 218.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Miami -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hurricanes covering as slim 2.5-point home favorites against the Panthers. Pitt has gotten off to a great start at 11-4, but they have been pretty lucky to be sitting where they are. It certainly helped playing the 286th ranked non-conference schedule. 

Pitt is also 4-1 on the road, but their only true road win was at UNC last time out and that's nothing to get excited about with how bad the Tar Heels are playing. Miami is just 9-5, but have only played 6 home games. THey are just 4-2 in those games, but the two losses were to Duke and Louisville. I just think this is the perfect spot to back Miami off two bad losses to two really good teams. Give me the Hurricanes -2.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Minnesota -1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Gophers cashing in a win at home against the Wolverines. Michigan may have the better overall record, but they are just 3-3 away from home and their only two true road games were both in Big Ten play and they lost both, falling by 9 at Illinois and by 18 at Michigan State. 

Also not an ideal spot for the Wolverines off their double-overtime win against Purdue. Three different starters played 40+ minutes with 6 guys playing 28 or more. Minnesota is 7-2 at home and have won both home games in Big Ten play by 9 or more, including a 13-point win over Ohio State. Give me the Gophers -1! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 224) 

I'll take my chances here on the OVER 224 in Saturday's NBA showdown between the 76ers and Mavs. Even though Dallas is playing on no rest after last night's ugly loss at home to the Lakers, they should be ready to go here as the starters didn't have to play big minutes because of the lopsided score.

Note that Dallas shot a mere 40.6% from the field and still put up 114 points against LA. This team is just so explosive on offense and play at such a quick pace that more times than not they will find themselves in shootouts. 

76ers are without leading score Embiid, but his loss actually hurts them more defensively than it does offensively. Philadelphia shot 49% and put up 109 points against Boston without him in their last game and the Celtics are a way better defensive team than Dallas. Give me the OVER 224! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Iowa State -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Iowa State laying a mere 3-points at home against the Sooners. Cyclones are in a huge bounce back spot after an ugly loss at home to Kansas last time out. Jayhawks were simply able to take away ISU's best player in Tyrese Haliburton. The future NBA draft pick was held to just 5 points in 36 minutes. 

Oklahoma simply doesn't have the same kind of talent to throw at Haliburton and I'm just not all that convinced the Sooners are as good as their 11-=3 mark. While they were able to win at Texas last time out, I actually think that works against them here, as they are down for a letdown, especially given that they host Kansas on Tuesday. Give me the Cyclones -3! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS KNOCKOUT (Arkansas -1.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Razorbacks laying a short number on the road against the Rebels. This is just too good a price to pass up given the mismatch in talent. Arkansas is ranked 33rd in KenPom, while Ole Miss is back at 101st. The Razorbacks only two losses are a OT setback at Western Kentucky and a mere 2-point loss at LSU. 

Ole Miss has a neutral court win over Penn State on their resume, but that's really all this team has done. Every other win for the Rebels has come against a team ranked 242nd or worse in the KenPom rankings. Give me Arkansas -1.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS LINE MISTAKE (Northwestern -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats cashing in a win at home against Nebraska and securing their first Big 10 win of the season. Cornhuskers come in off a big upset win at home against Iowa, but that was more of the Hawkeyes simply not shooting well than anything. Nebraska is just not a good team and have yet to win a true road game this season. 

I know the Wildcats are just 5-9, but Northwestern has been one of most unlucky teams in the country to this point. In their last 3 Big Ten games they have lost by 5 at home to Michigan State, by just 11 at Minnesota and by 4 at Indiana. Their largest loss all season is by 14 points and have played the 41st toughest schedule. Give me Northwestern -5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS NO-BRAINER (Clemson +4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Tigers as a 4.5-point road dog against the Tar Heels. North Carolina because of their name continues to get way too much respect from the books. Tar Heels are 2-6 SU and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. This is easily the worst team Roy Williams has had since coming to Chapel Hill. 

If you think for a second that Clemson might overlook this bad UNC squad, think again. Clemson has lost 59 straight games at North Carolina. I think the Tigers will hands down be the more motivated team in this one, as I think the Tar Heels are really struggling to find any kind of motivation for playing hard right now. 

Tar Heels are 2-10 ATS this season as a favorite and 1-7 ATS when laying points at home. Give me NC State +4.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS DESTROYER (Davidson -14)

I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats laying it on St. Joes and easily covering the 14-point spread. I've actually played against Davidson in each of their last two games at Duquesne and Rhode Island and they failed to cover in both. Wildcats have lost 3 straight overall, but all 3 were on the road. 

I think it has Davidson showing great value here at home against a struggling Hawks team that is a mere 1-11 in their last 12 and have started out A-10 play with a 32 point loss to Richmond, 23 point setback to Dayton and a 18 point loss to Duquesne. Big thing to note with the Wildcats 6-8 record is they have only played 3 home games. Davidson is averaging 88.7 ppg at home and will be facing a St. Joe's defense that gives up 82.9 ppg on the road. Give me the Wildcats -14! 

40* NCAAB AFTERNOON ATS KNOCKOUT (Penn State -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Nittany Lions cashing in a cover as a mere 3-point home favorite against Wisconsin. I really like this Penn State team and this is the perfect spot to back them off an ugly road loss to Rutgers. As for Wisconsin, they just don't impress me. No way should they lose at home to Illinois and they are just 2-5 away from home this season with some ugly losses on the highway. 

I just don't see the Badgers being able to score enough to keep this close. Wisconsin is only averaging 59 ppg on the road and Penn State only gives up 60.8 ppg at home. Big difference is the Nittany Lions are averaging 81.4 ppg at home. Give me Penn State -3!