40* NIT BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (NC-Asheville +16.5) 

My money is on the Bulldogs to cover this big spread against the Trojans. This is simply a play against USC, as teams who just miss out on the NCAA Tournament typically have a hard time getting up for their NIT matchup. However, because the perception is that the Trojans are the vastly superior team, they are overvalued. Making matters even worse for USC is they might not have Chimeze Metu, which would be a massive blow given they are already without Bennie Boatwright. Look for Asheville to give the Trojans a big scare in this one and maybe even win this game outright. Give me the Bulldogs +16.5! 

40* NIT BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (SE Louisiana +14.5) 

My money is on the Lions to keep it close enough to cover against St. Mary's on Tuesday. In fact, I think there's a decent chance SE Louisiana wins this game outright. That's because I don't see the Gaels being all that excited about playing in the NIT, as they were one of the last 4 teams left out of the Big Dance. Keep in mind one of the strengths of St. Mary's is their defense, which only allowed 64.5 ppg. Motivation is a key component of playing good defense, so look for a few more holes in the Gaels stop unit tonight. St. Mary's last game was against BYU in their conference tourny and they lost by 13 points. The Gaels are a 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games off a conference loss by 10 or more. They are also just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Give me the Lions +14.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Jazz -8)

*Analysis Coming* 

50* NIT VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Hampton +20.5) 

My money is on the Pirates to give the Fighting Irish a much bigger scare than the books are expecting. The biggest thing here is I just don't see Notre Dame being excited at all about playing this game. The Irish came into the season thinking they had the talent to be a legit Final 4 contender, but injuries to star players like Bonzie Colson put those hopes to rest. Winning the NIT isn't going to make them feel any better about how this season went and I don't expect them to be around long. Take Hampton! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans -4.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Pelicans laying a short number at home against the Hornets on Tuesday. New Orleans had their 10-game losing streak snapped last Friday in a loss at home to the Wizards, but were without Anthony Davis. He returned for their next game against Utah, but as you would expect for a team that just suffered their first loss after a long winning streak, they came out flat and lost by 17. Now the Pelicans are in a major bounce back spot at home against the Hornets, who I think are getting way to much love right now. Charlotte won their last game at home against the Suns, but only won by 7 as a 12.5-point favorite and are now just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Give me the Pelicans -4.5! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO BRAINER (Wizards -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wizards as a small home favorite against the Timberwolves. Minnesota comes in off a win over Golden State to snap a 3-game skid, but that was a Warriors team that was playing without Steph Curry, as well as some other key pieces. I think it has the Timberwolves getting way to much respect here against what should be an extremely motivated Wizards team that will be looking to bounce back from an awful showing in their last game at Miami. Give me Washington -3.5! 

40* NIT PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Northern Kentucky +8) 

My money is on the Norse to cash in here as a decently priced road dog against Louisville on Tuesday. The Cardinals played their way out of the NCAA Tournament by going just 4-8 over their final 12 games and simply put this is not a program that is use to not being in the field of 68. It can be extremely hard for programs like Louisville to get up for a tournament like this. I not only think the Cardinals will fail to cover the spread, but I think Northern Kentucky has a great shot at winning this game outright. The Norse are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 road games vs a team with a winning home record and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games. Give me Northern Kentucky +8! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Heat +7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Miami as a decently priced road dog against the Blazers on Monday. The Heat won't have Whiteside or Wade, but I don't see that keeping them from making a game of this against Portland. Miami is playing with a ton of confidence right now, as they are 6-2 in their last 8 and fresh off 2 impressive wins at home over the 76ers and Wizards. This Heat team has relished in this role of a road dog, as they are 18-8 ATS as a road dog this season. They are also 15-4 ATS in their last 19 as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points. Portland has won 9 straight and are playing extremely well, but they have a big game on deck against the Cavs and will be playing just their 2nd game in the last 6 days. I think the Blazers come out a bit flat here and wouldn't be shocked if the Heat put an end to their winning streak. Give me Miami +7.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs +9.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Dallas as a near double-digit home dog against the Rockets on Sunday. I just think this is an ideal spot to go against Houston. The Rockets aren't expected to have James Harden or Ryan Anderson. I think they are also in a very underrated letdown spot after having their 17-game winning streak snapped in their last game. I think most people just assume is going to rebound after a loss when they have won so many in row, but that first game after a loss following a lengthy winning streak can be very difficult to get up for. I think not having Harden only magnifies the chance the Rockets don't play well. I know Dallas is in tank mode, but this is one where they should show up. Give me the Mavs +9.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Arizona -3) 

My money is on the Wildcats here as a short favorite against the Trojans. There's been so much negative talk around this Arizona team that I think it has them undervalued, despite the fact that they are playing some of their best basketball. I feel like all the off the court crap has actually been a positive for this team and they are using the negative talk as motivation. The Wildcats are also an elite team with two of these best players in the country. Great teams win in March and I expect a very motivated Arizona team here. USC has been playing well, but are short-handed and that should play a big factor here in what will be the Trojans 3rd game in 3 days. Give me Arizona -3! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Virginia -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Virginia taking down the Tar Heels and covering the spread in Saturday's ACC title game. For whatever reason the Cavaliers continue to be underrated, which isn't easy to do for a team that's sitting No. 1 in the country. They just don't play a style of basketball that draws attention to them and the public typically struggles to get on board with teams that rely so much on their defense. Not only do I think Virginia is the better team, but I also think this is a really tough spot for North Carolina. They invested a ton in yesterday's rubber match against their biggest rivals in Duke. Beating Virginia won't bring the same satisfaction as that victory over the Blue Devils and I think they struggle to bring the energy needed here to take down this Cavaliers team. Give me Virginia -4.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Heat -4.5) 

I cashed in on the Wizards yesterday as a short road favorite against the Pelicans. That was simply a great spot for Washington, as New Orleans was without their best player in Anthony Davis and were way overvalued after winning 10 straight. Now it's the Wizards in a tough spot, as they are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set against a Miami team that will be chomping at the bit to get this game underway. The Heat are going to be out for revenge from a 113-117 overtime loss at Washington on Tuesday. It's a spot they have been excellent in, as they are 30-15 ATS over the last 2 seasons when revenging a same season loss. Give me Miami -4.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT SLAUGHTER (Oregon +120) 

You can take the points with the Ducks if you like, but my money is on the money line. Oregon got better and better as the season went on and quietly finished the year with 22 wins. They closed out the season on a 9-4 run and kept it going with a win over Utah yesterday. USC also has a great record and won yesterday over Oregon State, but I just think this team is getting way too much respect without Bennie Boatwright. Not having him wasn't a big deal against a mediocre Beavers team, but it will be against the Ducks and keep in mind the Trojans lost their regular season finale at home to UCLA by double-digits, which I think speaks volumes to how much the loss of Boatwright hurts this team. Give me Oregon +120!

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Florida -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Gators laying a short number against the Razorbacks. Florida had a brutal stretch where they went just 3-6 over a 9 game period, but they closed out the year with 3 straight wins. They knocked off Auburn at home 72-66, one ton the road and routed a good Alabama team 73-52 and closed things out with another big win in a 80-67 victory over Kentucky. I think the Gators are primed to carry over that success here against a pretty average Arkansas team that had to scratch out a 69-64 win yesterday over South Carolina. While the Razorbacks were in a dog fight, Florida had a bye and that rest edge should be huge in the outcome. Give me the Gators -3.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Wizards -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wizards laying a short number on the road against the Pelicans. New Orleans comes in having won 10 straight, but the most recent victory over the Kings was costly, as Anthony Davis injured his ankle and that's going to keep him out of this game. He's the one guy this team can't afford to lose, as he's one of the elite players in the game and makes everyone else around him better. Washington has a brutal schedule over the next couple of weeks and should be highly motivated to take advantage of this opportunity to get the Pelicans without their best player. Give me the Wizards -3.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Arkansas -3) 

My money is on the Razorbacks to cover this short number against the Gamecocks on Thursday. South Carolina was able to escape with a 85-84 win over Ole Miss in the opening round of the SEC Tournament yesterday. The Rebels are the worst team in the league, so that's nothing to get excited about. South Carolina is still just 4-8 SU in their last 12 games and lost both meetings against the Bulldogs during the regular season. I don't see any reason to expect anything different, especially with Arkansa playing on rest and the Gamecocks on no rest. Give me the Razorbacks -3! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Suns +10) 

I'll take my chances here with the Suns catching double-digits against the Thunder on Thursday. I think this is a great spot to go against OKC off that massive game just two days ago against the Rockets. It's not easy coming off a game like that and playing a bad team like Phoenix, especially when you just recently beat that team on the road (won at Phoenix on 3/2). The Suns haven't been winning games, but the offense is playing extremely well and I think they have enough fire-power here to keep this within the number. Give me Phoenix +10! 

40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Heat +1) 

My money is on the Heat to cash this ticket at home against the 76ers. There's no denying that Philadelphia is a team on the rise, but the public has been all over this team and I believe their recent success has them overvalued here. Miami is no pushover and just don't get the respect they deserve. My numbers have this closer to the Heat favored by 2 and they were 1.5-point favorites at home back in late February. Give me Miami +1! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Tulane +5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Green Wave at least keeping it close enough to cover against Temple in Thursday's AAC Tournament play. Tulane comes in just 2-10 in their last 12 games, but they haven't played as bad as the record would suggest. Of those 10 defeats during this rough stretch, 6 came by 7 ore fewer points. The Green Wave won at Temple earlier this year by double-digits and kept it close in the rematch. I wouldn't be surprised at all of they won this game outright. Let's not overlook the Owls haven't been playing great either down the stretch, as they are just 1-4 in their last 5. Give me Tulane +5.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Mississippi St -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs taking out the Tigers in the SEC Tournament. Mississippi State did just lose at LSU in the regular season finale by 21-points. Needless to say they will be out for revenge from that embarrassing showing. The thing with that outcome is LSU is simply a different team on their home floor and the Bulldogs were coming off a much bigger game against Tennessee at home. The Tigers finished 11-4 at home compared to just 4-9 on the road. LSU is also just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 off a conference home win and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 off a  conference win by double-digits. Give me Mississippi State -1.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Texas Tech -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders knocking off the Longhorns and covering this spread. Texas Tech got a huge win in their regular season finale over TCU, snapping a 4-game skid. However, I still think this team is undervalued because of the fact that they are just 1-4 in their last 5. A big reason for the poor stretch was injuries. Texas Tech got back Keenan Evans in that last game against TCU and he responded with 23 points in the 2nd half. Texas barely scraped by ISU in the opening round last night are going to be without Eric Davis Jr and possibly Mohamed Bamba. Give me the Red Raiders -5.5! 

50* NCAAB BIG 12 GAME OF THE YEAR (Kansas -2) 

My money is on the Jayhawks to cash in with an easy win over Oklahoma State. This will be the 3rd meeting between these two teams this season and surprisingly the Cowboys won both games. The most recent game in the regular-season finale, where Oklahoma State routed Kansas by 18-points. To say the Jayhawks will be motivated for revenge here is an understatement. Let's not forget that blowout loss to Oklahoma State in the finale came right after Kansas had secured the regular-season conference title. No disrespect to the Cowboys, but they are going to be outmatched here, especially after having to play yesterday in the opening round against their in-state rivals in Oklahoma. Give me the Jayhawks -2! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Cavs +3)

I'll take my chances here with the Cavs catching points in Wednesday's showdown at Denver. These two teams just played at Cleveland on Sunday, which the Nuggets were able to pull off the upset 126-117. While Denver is a better team at home, I think the revenge angle here is going to be the key factor in the Cavs not just covering but winning this game outright. Keep in mind the Nuggets are off a bad showing in a loss at Dallas last night, where they shot just 41.3% from the field. I think this is a legit flat spot for Denver in the 2nd game of a back-to-back off a 3-game road trip. Give me the Cavs +3! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 226)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER in this one. Orlando scored just 80-points in their last game, but shot a miserable 34.1% from the field. Prior to that they had scored 100+ in 12 straight games. I think they are in a prime spot to bounce back offensively against a Lakers team that has given up 100+ in 9 straight. In LA's last game they combined for 211 points with the Blazers and that was with the Lakers shooting just 39.5% from the field and Portland hitting on just 42.2% of their attempts. Prior to that LA had scored at least 111 points 8 straight games. I also think both of these teams being out of the playoff race will have both sides not 100% invested defensively in this one. Give me the OVER 226! 

50* NCAAB BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH (Marquette -5.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Golden Eagles covering this number against the Blue Demons. Marquette is the far superior team here. They went a respectable 9-9 in Big East play, while DePaul was a mere 4-14. I think a big reason why we are getting such a favorable number here is the fact that the Blue Demons did knock off the Golden Eagles 70-62 at home recently on 2/24. They also lost by 18 on the road at Marquette and keep in mind that last meeting was a tough spot for the Eagles, who were playing on just 2 days of rest and their 3rd game in a week span. The Blue Demons are a mere 1-8 ATS over the last 3 seasons as a neutral side underdog. Give me Marquette -5.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 139) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Washington and Oregon State going over the mark set here by the books. These two teams combined for 191 points in early February at Oregon State. While the rematch at Washington wasn't as high-scoring, they still combined to put up 156 points. Both teams shot 50% or better from the field in both games. Note the total was right around this same number in both of those games. The books simply aren't willing to budge on their numbers and I think that's a mistake given what we have seen. Give me the OVER 139! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Notre Dame -2)

I'll gladly back the Irish here as a short favorite against Va Tech. I just feel like this line represents the Notre Dame team that struggled in ACC play, when they are a much better team right now with Bonzie Colson back in the lineup. I also think we are seeing the Hokies overvalued because of a 9-3 ATS run over their last 12 games. I'm not saying Va Tech won't make a game of this, I just don't think they are good enough defensively to win this game. Give me Notre Dame -2! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Clippers -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Clippers laying a short number at home against the Pelicans. New Orleans is simply overvalued right now due to the fact that they have won 8 straight, but a lot of that has to do with a favorable schedule that has had them facing off against a lot of bad teams and teams not playing well at the moment. LA on the other hand isn't getting the respect they deserve, as just about everyone wrote off this team once they traded away Blake Griffin. The Clippers have won 9 of their last 12 with their only 3 losses being road defeats at Philadelphia and Golden State and a home loss to the Rockets. I think LA wins here and should have no problem doing so by more than this small line. Give me the Clippers -2.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 215)

I'll take my chances here with Tuesday's showdown between the Hornets and 76ers going UNDER the mark set by the books. Charlotte is trying to make a late season push for one of the final playoff spots in the east. They looked well on their way with 4 straight wins out of the break, but have since dropped 3 straight. All of those were on the road, including a 99-110 loss at Philadelphia last Friday. The Hornets were in a great position to win that game before collapsing in the 2nd half and should be extremely motivated here for revenge. As for the 76ers, I also think they come out extremely motivated off a loss at Milwaukee. The defensive intensity should be there for both sides and keep this well under the mark. Give me the UNDER 215! 

40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS KNOCKOUT (Syracuse -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange laying what I think is a short number here in the opening round of the ACC Tournament. Syracuse comes in off a huge 55-52 home win over Clemson to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive, but the Orange are still firmly on the bubble and need to take out the Demon Deacons. I think that win over the Tigers was huge for the morale of this Syracuse team and I look for them to blow Wake Forest out of the gym today. The Demon Deacons are not a good team. They are a mere 3-13 in their last 16 games with the only road win a mere 6-point win at Pitt, who is hands down the worst team in the conference. Wake is just 3-11 ATS this season as an underdog and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games with a lower total in the range of 130 to 139.5. Give me the Orange -4.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 207) 

I'll take my chances here with the Jazz and Magic finishing below the mark set by the books. I think the fact that Orlando has scored and allowed 100 or more points in 9 straight games has this total higher than it should be. The Jazz are not only one of the better defensive teams in the league, but they also like to grind it out and slow down the pace. I don't see the Magic dictating the tempo here on the road. At the same time, I think Orlando's defense can hold their own in this game. Utah has been brutal offensively of late, averaging a mere 95.4 ppg over their last 5 games. Give me the UNDER 207! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bulls +8.5) 

I like Chicago in this spot even before the news that Boston is planning on resting star point guard Kyrie Irving. The Bulls are clearly in full-on rebuilding mode, but there's still a lot of fight in this team and I expect a big effort here at home against one of the top teams in the conference. As for the Celtics, I think this is a big letdown spot off that crushing 120-123 loss at Houston on Saturday.  Boston played their hearts out in that game and had a 6-point lead with 4 minutes to play. I think they struggle to get up here for this game and while they still might win without Irving, I think Chicago keeps it close. Give me the Bulls +8.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Cavs -6)

It's been a rough go of things for Cleveland since returning from the All-Star break. The Cavs are just 1-3 with 3 home losses to the Spurs, 76ers and Nuggets. The lone win came against the lowly Nets. I just feel like this is a great spot for the Cleveland to get back in the win column. Detroit's trade for Blake Griffin has completely back-fired. The loss of Tobias Harris doesn't get enough talk, as the Pistons don't offer near the same threat from behind the 3-point line. They ranked in the Top 5 with him and are now 20th without him. Detroit is just 2-8 in their last 10 and both wins came at home. During this stretch they have shot better than 44% from the field just twice. In comparison, the Cavs have shot 50% or better from the field in 7 of their last 10 games. I just don't think the Pistons have enough offense to keep this close on the road. Give me Cleveland -6! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers +4) 

I'll take a shot here on the Pacers as a road dog against the Wizards. I think the public perception here is this is a favorable line to get Washington in what they see as a big bounce back spot after losing their last two games against two of the best teams in the league in the Warriors and Raptors. I don't see it that way. I think Washington has a tough time here playing well off those two hard fought losses. It's not easy getting up for 3 straight games, especially when that 3rd game is against the weakest of the 3 opponents in the stretch. As for the Pacers, this is a team I think is still flying a bit under the radar. They just went on the road and beat the Bucks 103-96 as a 3.5-point dog and I see a similar type of outcome here. Give me the Pacers +4! 

40* BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP ATS KNOCKOUT (Purdue -3) 

It's been a great run here for the Wolverines to get to the Big Ten Tournament title game, but my money is on Michigan struggling to finish off the job against the Boilermakers. I really like this Purdue team and they are rolling right now, having won 5 straight. A stretch in which they have been ridiculously efficient from the field. During this 5-game run the Boilermakers have shot 52.9% from the field, while averaging 82.6 ppg. They have not only played 1 fewer game to get to the title contest, but I also think it's going to be tough for Michigan to bounce back and play as well as they just did yesterday in their upset win over in-state rival Michigan State. Give me Purdue -3! 

50* NBA SHARP MONEY GAME OF THE MONTH (Suns +3)

I'll gladly take my chances here with Phoenix as a live dog against the Hawks on Sunday. I just think this is an awful spot for Atlanta, who is clearly not trying to be any good this season. The Hawks just laid everything they had into their last game at home against the Warriors and nearly pulled off the upset. I look for them to have a difficult time getting up for this game against the Suns. Phoenix isn't a great team and I wouldn't trust them on the road at this low of a price against most teams, but I think they have a big advantage here. I also think now is a great time to buy on the Suns with how well Devin Booker is playing, he's scored at least 27 in each of his last 6 games, which includes a 34, 39 and 40 point performance. Give me the Suns +3! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Celtics +8.5)

I just can't pass up on getting this many points with the Celtics on Saturday. I just think Houston is way overvalued right now due to the fact that they have won 14 straight, covering each of their first 4 games out of the break. The thing is, Boston has also been playing lights out out of the break. The Celtics have gone 4-0 with all 4 wins coming by double-digits. The way this team can defend and make things difficult for Houston should be more than enough to keep this within the number. Keep in mind that the Celtics defeated the Rockets at home earlier this season. They are also 10-2 ATS as an underdog this season, while Houston is a mere 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games against teams from the Eastern Conference. Give me the Celtics +8.5! 

50* NCAAB ACC GAME OF THE YEAR (NC State -3)

This is every bit a play on the Wolfpack as it is a fade of the Cardinals. NC State comes in off an ugly 75-78 loss at Georgia Tech and that should have them 100% locked in for what will be their final home game of the season. On the flip side of this, Louisville is coming off about as gut-wrenching of a loss as you will see. The Cardinals had a 4-point lead with less than 1 second to play in a near upset of No. 1 Virginia and somehow lost the game 66-67. It's hard enough bouncing back from any kind of close loss, but almost impossible to rebound from a loss like that, especially with only 1 day off between contests. Give me the Wolfpack -3! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Texas Tech -6.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Red Raiders righting the ship at home against the Horned Frogs in their regular-season finale. Texas Tech is in the ultimate bounce-back spot, as they come in having lost 4 straight after opening up 10-3 in Big 12 play. The biggest thing has been the schedule during this run, as 3 of the 4 were on the road and the other was at home against red-hot Kansas. Note that the Red Raiders were competitive in all 4, as each defeat came by 10-points or less with two of the 3 by less than 3 points. TCU comes in having won 4 straight and a favorable schedule has played a big part in that, as 3 of the 4 were at home and the lone road contest was at lowly Iowa State. Let's also not forget that Tech whooped up on the Horned Frogs at TCU earlier this season 83-71 as a 3.5-point dog. I think we see another double-digit win and easy cover. Give me the Red Raiders -6.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Marquette -2)

My money is on the Golden Eagles to take care of business at home against the Bluejays. Marquette has been playing well here down the stretch. They are 4-2 in their last 6 games and 5 of those 6 contests were on the road. I think we are going to get a max effort here from the Golden Eagles on senior day against a top tier opponent. Creighton comes in off back-to-back wins, but both of those wins came at home. The Bluejays are just 5-7 SU and 4-8 ATS in road lined games this season. The other big key here is just how well Marquette matches up with the Bluejays. The Golden Eagles won 80-86 at Creighton in mid February as a 6-point dog and are now 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in the series. The Bluejays are also just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 as an underdog and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 off a home win by 10 or more. Give me Marquette -2! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Clemson +1.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Tigers at basically a pick'em on the road against the Orange this Saturday. Most will be looking to lay the short number with Syracuse at home on senior day, but I just don't like how this team is playing down the stretch. The Orange come in having lost 3 straight and are just 3-6 SU in their last 9 overall. As for Clemson, I think the Tigers continue to be undervalued because of the season-ending injury to Donte Gratham. This team has continued to play extremely well without him. The only hiccup came when starting point guard Shelton Mitchell got hurt at FSU and missed the next two games. They lost all 3 of those contests, but since Mitchell's return have won 2 straight. To top it off we got a great system in play here. Road dogs off 2 straight wins at home against an opponent off 2 straight road losses by 10 or more are 38-15 (72%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Give me Clemson +1.5!

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Hawks +13) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawks catching a big number at home against the Warriors. If Golden State wanted to they could win here by 20+, but I don't think we get a very interested Warriors team in this contest. Atlanta simply isn't a team to get the juices flowing and that's going to make it tough for them to show up here, especially with this being the final game of 5-day east coast trip. While the Warriors will likely have a difficult time getting up for this game, we can be confident that the Hawks are going to lay it all on the line in their first meeting against the defending champs. Do I think Atlanta has a shot to win? No, but I think they give Golden State a minor scare here. Give me the Hawks +13! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Magic +2.5) 

I think this line really says it all. Orlando comes in having lost 7 straight, while the Pistons are coming off their best game in weeks, defeating the Bucks at home 110-87. What will get overlooked with that win over Milwaukee is the Bucks were in a brutal spot. They not only were playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 3rd game in 4 days overall, but they were also fresh off a crushing 104-107 home loss to the Wizards. I think there's a good chance Detroit goes right back to their losing ways (mere 1-6 in previous 7 games). Give me the Magic +2.5!  

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Ohio St -2.5) 

My money is on the Buckeyes laying a short number here against the Nittany Lions. I just don't understand why this Ohio State team doesn't get more respect than they get for going 15-3 in the Big Ten with a 16-point home win over Michigan State and road win at Purdue, the consensus two best teams in the conference. I was on Penn State yesterday in their game against Northwestern, but that was more of because of how bad the Wildcats were playing. I think the Nittany Lions are going to run into a serious problem here, as this Ohio State isn't going to take this game lightly after losing both regular-season meetings. The Buckeyes get their revenge when it matters the most. Give me Ohio State -2.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cavs laying a short number at home in the opener of Thursday's double-header on TNT. This might seem like it's too good to be true, but Cleveland has failed to cover 3 of 4 out of the break, which includes outright home losses to both the Wizards and Spurs. I'm still very high on this team after the trades and it's only a matter of time before they go on a serious run. I also think we are seeing the 76ers get some love here for their recent play. While they have lost their last 2, they had won 7 straight before that. I just think this is a tough spot off that crushing loss at Miami. It's also worth noting that the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in the series and Philadelphia is a mere 0-4-1 ATS in their lsat 5 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Cavs -3! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (UNDER 145)

I'll gladly take my chances here with this huge C-USA showdown between Middle Tennessee and Western Kentucky going under the mark set by the books. This game figures to decide the C-USA regular-season title, as just 1-game separates the two teams. The Blue Raiders won the first meeting at Western Kentucky 66-62, as the two combined for a mere 128 points with a total of 140. Given what's at stake and just how good these two teams are defensively, I think we see a very similar scoring output as the last meeting. Give me the UNDER 145! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Louisville +4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Cardinals as a home dog against Virginia on Thursday. I just think this is going to be a tough spot for the Cavaliers to match the intensity of Louisville. Virginia has already locked up the regular-season ACC title and a loss here wouldn't keep them from a No. 1 seed. The Cardinals on the other hand are no sure thing to make the NCAA Tournament. They are currently one of the last teams in as a No. 11 seed. A win here would secure a spot and there's every reason to believe they can pull off the upset. Louisville gave the Cavaliers all they could handle in a 10-point loss at Virginia and did so by shooting 50% on the road against one of the best defenses in the country. The Cardinals are even better offensively at home, where they are 11-1 this season. Give me Louisville +4! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Boston College -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Eagles at basically a pick'em at home against the Orange. While Syracuse rolled over BC 81-63 on their home floor earlier this season, the Eagles are simply a different team at home than on the road. Boston College is 13-3 at home this season compared to just 3-10 on the road. Add in the extra incentive here for the Eagles to play well on senior night in their final home game and I think we are getting some big time value. Keep in mind that Syracuse is in a bit of a letdown spot here. They just lost at Duke, which concluded a brutal 3 game stretch where they had to go at Miami, host UNC and go to Duke. They lost to the Blue Devils by 16 and are a mere 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games off a road loss by 10 or more points. Give me the Eagles -1.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUST ATS KNOCKOUT (Georgia -1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs at basically a pick'em at home against the Aggies. Georgia comes in playing well, as they have won 3 of their last 4. That's definitely a positive, but the real key here is where the game is being played. The Bulldogs are 11-3 at home this season and will be extra motivated here with this being their final home game of the season. Another key here is Georgia has owned Texas A&M of late. They are 5-1 in the last 6 with the lone loss coming at Texas A&M by 1-point. Aggies are also a mere 1-7 ATS this season in games with a line of +3 to -3. Give me the Bulldogs -1! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (OVER 226.5)

My money is on the Warriors and Wizards flying over the total tonight. Washington continues to surprise people with how well they are playing without All-Star point guard John Wall. They just won on the road last night 107-104 at Milwaukee. It was the 14th straight game that the Wizards eclipsed the 100-point mark. The Warriors haven't scored fewer than 112 points in 7 straight games. A stretch where the OVER has gone 5-2. Golden State continues to play at a frantic pace and with the Wizards in the 2nd game of a back-to-back, they should dictate the tempo here and I believe that will have this one in the 230s and maybe even the 240s. Give me the OVER 226.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kansas St +6.5) 

I'll gladly back the Wildcats here as a big road dog against the Horned Frogs, as I actually think there's a good chance Kansas State wins this game outright. TCU has won and covered their last 3 games, but it's far from an impressive run with two of the wins at home against Oklahoma St and Baylor, with the other a road win at ISU. K-State did lose last time out at Oklahoma, but that's won of the toughest places to play in the country. The Wildcats have only lost back-to-back games twice all season. The first being a 2-game set against West Virginia and Texas Tech. The other being Kansas and West Virginia. K-State has racked up 4 road wins already in Big 12 play. It's also worth noting that even with the recent run they are on, TCU is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 off a SU win. Give me the Wildcats +6.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Miami +10)

I think the price is right here to take a shot on the Hurricanes as a double-digit dog against the Tar Heels. Miami is a young team that can sometimes come out flat/not give a lesser opponent the respect they deserve, but this team has consistently shown up against the top tier teams in the ACC and I expect nothing but their best effort here, as a win would all but secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament. As for North Carolina, I know they have won 6 straight, but I think the books have finally adjusted here. Keep in mind they were a similarly priced 10.5-point home favorite against Notre Dame just a couple weeks ago and Miami is a far superior team than the Irish right now. While it is senior night, with no shot at winning the ACC and their resume for the Tournament a sure thing, I think they have a hard time not looking ahead to this Saturday's rematch with Duke. Give me the Hurricanes +10! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Heat +1)

My money is on the Heat as a home dog against the 76ers tonight. I just think the price here is too good to pass up with Miami. Philadelphia has become quite the public team and I think we are still seeing them overvalued despite coming off a loss. That's because the 76ers had won 7 straight prior to that. They are just 1-3 ATS in their last 4. The Heat are a sneaky good team and while they are just 1-3 in their last 4, they have covered 5 straight. Last time out they crushed Memphis at home 115-89 and are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 off a home win by 20 or more. Another key is they lost a heartbreaker to the Heat in the previous meeting 102-104 at Philadelphia on 2/14 and are a perfect 8-0 ATS over the last 2 seasons when revenging a loss of 3-points or less. Give me the Heat +1! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Magic +10) 

My money is on the Magic keeping this within double-digits against the Thunder. I just feel like this is a great spot to go against OKC, as they are coming off a massive game against the Warriors, which they lost by 32 points. Most are going to just expect this team to rebound, but I think they have a hard time getting up for this Orlando team, at least to the point where they blow them out of the arena. While the Magic have lost 5 straight overall, they are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games, with a 10-3 ATS mark in their last 13 vs a team with a winning record and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Thunder are 4-10 ATS last 14 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Give me Orlando +10! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 218.5)

My money is on Monday's NBA total for the Raptors/Pistons game going UNDER the mark set here by the books. I think we are going to see a spirited effort from both teams on the defensive side here. Detroit just allowed 114 in a 16-point loss at Charlotte and head coach Stan Van Gundy called out his team for their lack of effort on defense. As for the Raptors, they just suffered a rare home loss (24-5 at home this season) to the Bucks in their first game out of the break and it was their defense that was to blame. Toronto put up a solid 119 points, but allowed the Bucks to score 122. Given how good the Raptors have been defensively this year (ranked 3rd in defensive efficiency), I think they make life miserable for the Pistons here and keep this well below the number. Give me the UNDER 218.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Va Tech +6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hokies keeping this within the number at home against Duke and wouldn't be shocked if they won outright. Virginia Tech is a very talented team and are 20-9 overall (just 4 fewer wins than Duke) and own a 13-4 record on their home floor. They did just lose at home to Louisville over the weekend, but I think that was a result of them looking ahead to his game. The Blue Devils defeated Syracuse in their last contest, but now are in a major lookahead spot of their own with a revenge on the line in Saturday's upcoming rematch with UNC. Note this is also a revenge spot for the Va Tech, as they got embarrassed at Duke a couple weeks back by 18 points. Give me the Hokies +6!  

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 221.5)

Since the Pelicans lost DeMarcus Cousins to a season ending injury they have really looked to push the tempo to make up for his absence. In the 11 games since Cousins went down, New Orleans leads the league in pace of play at 105.4. No surprise that the Warriors are second, but Golden State is at just 102.8. That 2.6 difference is impressive as that's the same margin of gap that separates the Warriors from the 10th fastest pace during this stretch. They come in absolutely on fire averaging 129.8 ppg during a 4-game winning streak. Milwaukee has allowed 134 and 119 in their last 2 games. The Bucks are also clicking offensively, as they are averaging over 120 in their last 2 games. I think we could see this get into the 240s. Give me the OVER 221.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Temple -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Owls winning by a comfortable margin at home over the Knights.  This is a golden spot to jump on Temple. The Owls suffered a crushing 86-93 loss at Wichita State, where they blew a 56-42 halftime lead. As is often the case with teams, Temple came out flat at home against Houston and got embarrassed by the Cougars 80-59. Not only will the Owls be motivated off that ugly performance at home, but there's added incentive here, as they will be out for revenge from a 39-60 defeat at UCF back in January. Give me Temple -5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Michigan St -7.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Spartans laying what I think is a short number on the road against the Badgers. While Michigan State has already earned a share of the Big Ten regular season title, a loss here would have them sharing the title with Ohio State and losing out on the No. 1 seed in the Big Ten Tournament due to a loss at Ohio State in the only meeting between the two teams. Keep in mind this is a team that still needs to build their resume for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. I think we get the very best the Spartans have to offer. As for Wisconsin, yes they have been playing better of late, but they are completely outmatched here. Note that Michigan State was a 17-point home favorite in the first meeting between these two teams. Based on that line they should be around a 13.5-point favorite on a neutral site and a 10-point favorite on the road. My money is on a double-digit win for the road team. Give me the Spartans -7.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT NO BRAINER (Oregon -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Ducks at home against the Wildcats. Arizona is a complete mess right now. Star point guard Alonzo Trier is no longer eligible because of a failed PED test and now future NBA lottery pick DeAndre Ayton is questionable to play after the recent wire tap that came out with head coach Sean Miller (also not likely to be around for this one) taking a payment. On top of all of this, Oregon has been playing extremely well of late. The Ducks have won 5 straight at home and likely need to win out to feel comfortable about making the NCAA Tournament. Give me Oregon -4! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Florida -2.5) 

My money is on the Gators to knock off the Tigers at home on Saturday. Florida will be in desperation mode here after losing their last 3. The simple fact that they are favored here over the No. 12 team in the country really says it all. Auburn is a comfortable 2-games ahead of the next best team for the outright SEC regular-season title and could be in line for a letdown here after a big home win over their biggest rival in Alabama. Florida is an impressive 34-14 ATS in their last 48 games when they come in having failed to cover 3 straight and are 16-8 ATS over the last 3 seasons with a line of +3 to -3. Give me the Gators -2.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Kentucky -6)

My money is on the Wildcats making easy work of the Tigers tonight. Not much went right for Kentucky during a recent 4-game losing streak, but the Wildcats got back on track with a 81-71 win at home over Alabama and carried over that momentum with an even more impressive 87-72 win at Arkansas. I like Kentucky's chances of keeping it rolling against the Tigers, who come in having lost their last 2. The Wildcats are 12-2 SU at home this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 10.3 ppg and I think they have no problem winning here by more than that margin. Give me Kentucky -6! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 207.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with Saturday's Atlantic Division showdown between the Celtics and Knicks staying under the mark set here by the books. These two teams have already played 3 times this season and all 3 have been low scoring, with each finishing with 199 or fewer points. I see now reason that trend won't continue. The Celtics weren't exactly locked in defensively going into the All-Star break, but came out and held the Pistons to just 43% shooting on the road in their first game back and now face a Knicks team that is averaging just 97.1 ppg in their last 9 games. A stretch in which they have shot 44% or worse from the field 7 times. Give me the UNDER 207.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Notre Dame +1) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Fighting Irish pulling out a win on the road against the Demon Deacons. Notre Dame comes in off a close 3-point loss at home to Miami and I feel that has them in a prime bounce back spot. The Irish had won 3 of their previous 4 with the only other loss at UNC. Wake Forest comes in off a win at Pitt, but the Panthers are the worst team in the league. The Demon Deacons are also still a mere 4-12 in ACC play and have gone just 5-8 ATS in lined home games this season. Notre Dame has won and covered each of the last 3 meetings in the series and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs a team with a losing home record. Give me the Irish +1! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Spurs +3.5) 

My money is on the Spurs to get their revenge against Denver in the first game out of the break. San Antonio actually played at Denver in their final game before the break. It was part of 3 straight losses going into the break for the Spurs. I'm extremely confident with Popovich having his team ready to roll here against the Nuggets tonight and it will help the Spurs are as healthy as they have been in a while with Aldridge, Ginobili and Gay all expected to suit up tonight. San Antonio is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 off a loss and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 off 3 or more days of rest. Give me the Spurs +3.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Jazz -3.5) 

No team was hotter than Utah going into the break. The Jazz return to action looking to build on an 11-game winning streak and I expect them to just that. Utah is no longer just a team that relies on their defense, as the offense has some fire-power thanks in large part to the play of rookie Donovan Mitchell. Key here is that even with the recent winning streak, Utah is still sitting 10th in the Western Conference standings and one of those teams they are chasing is Portland, making this one the Jazz will be extremely motivate to get. Utah is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs a team with a winning record, while the Blazers are a mere 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Jazz -3.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs -5.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cavs bouncing back from that surprising home loss to the Wizards last night. It was the first defeat for Cleveland since the big moves. I'm simply chalking that loss up to being a bit flat out of the break. This is a team that I believe is extremely motivated to start playing their best basketball and this Grizzlies team simply doesn't have the man-power to keep this close. This is not the same Memphis team that has been a playoff contender in the West over recent years. The Grizzlies are tied for the fewest wins in the league at 18 and went into the All-Star break having lost 7 straight. Give me the Cavs -5.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Oregon -3.5) 

I'll be the first to admit I wasn't high on this Ducks team coming into this year, but Dana Altman has done a tremendous job once again turning Oregon into a contender. I expect a very motivated and locked in Ducks team here at home after losing two hard fought games on the road to USC and UCLA. Oregon had won 5 of their previous 6 before the recent skid, are 5-1 in their last 6 home games and 13-3 at home overall. Arizona State comes in off a crushing home loss to Arizona after two big wins over USC and UCLA and I just don't think the Sun Devils will have enough left in the tank for this one. The Ducks won the first meeting at Arizona State 76-72 as a 7.5-point dog and the Sun Devils are a mere 3-13 ATS in their last 16 when revenging a road loss. Take Oregon! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs -5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with Cleveland laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Wizards, who are still without All-Star point guard John Wall. The Cavs are just 6-20 ATS at home this season, but this was a different team going into the All-Star break following all the big moves they made. I think Cleveland is hands down the best team in the east right now and wouldn't be shocked if we saw them go on a massive run here out of the break. Wizards have played well without Wall, but that's not going to last much longer and I think they have zero chance of keeping this one close. Give me the Cavs -5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (OVER 212)

These are two of the bottom-feeders in the east and I have a hard time seeing either of these teams being all that locked in defensively in the first game out of the break. Keep in mind these two teams aren't good defensive teams to start with. New York is giving up 109 ppg on the road and allowed 112.6 ppg over their final 5 games before the break. Orlando is giving up 110 ppg on the season. I'm also expecting a fast tempo here from both teams, which should have this one flying over the number. Give me the OVER 212! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 214.5)

I'll take my chances with this one going OVER the mark set by the books. I think Charlotte is a sneaky good offensive team and the Hornets come in averaging 107.2 ppg at home this season. They shouldn't have any problem getting that offense going against the Nets, who are allowing 109.9 ppg on the road and I wouldn't be surprised if they struggled to bring the defensive intensity out of the break. As far as the offense is concerned, Brooklyn can put up some points and with Russell now back in the starting lineup, we should see an uptick in their scoring. Charlotte not exactly a great defensive team either, as they give up 106.5 ppg at home and went into the break allowing 112.2 ppg over their final 5 contests. Give me the OVER 214.5! 

50* NCAAB BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR (Northwestern -3.5) 

My money is on the Wildcats at home with or without senior Bryant McIntosh. Northwestern comes in having lost 4 straight, so motivation will not be a problem here, but this is also senior night, so there's even more incentive to play well in front of the home fans the final time this season. As for Wisconsin, I'm not buying the recent success of the Badgers, which includes an upset win over Purdue.

That win over the Boilermakers came just after they suffered that crushing 3-point loss at Michigan State, so a letdown was not a surprise for Purdue. Then they pulled a rabbit out of their hat in an OT win at home against Minnesota, rallying from 7 down in the final 6 minutes of regulation. Their only other 2 wins in their previous 11 games were both against bottom-feeder Illinois.

There's just not a lot of incentive for Wisconsin to get up for this game and it will be even harder to focus on this contest with a massive home game against Michigan State on deck. Give me the Wildcats -3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kansas St -3) 

I'll gladly lay a mere 3-points at home with Kansas State against the Longhorns. I believe this Wildcats team is one of the more underrated teams in the country. While they are just 8-6 in the Big 12, all 6 of those losses came against the top 3 teams in Kansas, Texas Tech and West Virginia. They have had their way with the rest of the conference and already won on the road at Texas earlier this season. They are 12-0 at home against any team not named Kansas, Texas Tech or West Virginia. I also think we are seeing some unwarranted respect here for the Longhorns off a road win at Oklahoma. The Sooners are in a free-fall right now. Prior to that, Texas had lost 3 straight, including an ugly 16-point loss at TCU. Give me the Wildcats -3! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (North Carolina -4)

If this were earlier in the season I might consider taking the points with Syracuse, but not right now. It's getting down to it and teams are doing whatever it takes to build up their resume and make sure they are playing well going into tournament time. North Carolina comes in having won 5 straight and two of those were on the road against really good teams, as they knocked off NC State 96-89 and laid it on Louisville 93-76. I think this team is locked in right now and will make easy work of a good but not great Syracuse team. Keep in mind the Orange have lost 2 of their last 3 at home, including an ugly 15-point loss to Virginia. Give me the Tar Heels -4! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO BRAINER (Va Tech -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Hokies at home. This isn't just a play on Virginia Tech, but I also think it's a great spot to go against Clemson. The Tigers somehow didn't miss a beat after losing one of their best players in Donte Grantham and were likely due for a regression here soon. Then came the injury to guard Shelton Mitchell, who will still be out for this game because of a concussion. I just think it will be too much to overcome on the road against a very good Hokies team that is playing well and this feels like a game they need to win to secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament (final 3 games are Louisville, Duke and @ Miami). Give me Virginia Tech -4! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Penn St -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Nittany Lions at basically a pick'em on their home floor tonight. Penn State has been very good at home this year, where they are 14-3 with a winning ATS record. This is a game they desperately need to win and we know we are going to get a big time effort here with this being their final home, which means senior night. Michigan is a quality team, but are not nearly as good on the road and could struggle to match Penn State's intensity after laying it all on the line in their last game at home against rival Ohio State, which was their senior night. Give me the Nittany Lions -2.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Texas Tech -3.5) 

I'm sure that some will be calling this a trap game for the Red Raiders with their big game against Kansas on deck, but the fact of the matter is this game means just as much to Texas Tech, as they try to win the Big 12. If they win here and beat KU at home, they would then be able to lose at West Virginia and still claim the crown. While they did just lose on the road at Baylor, the Bears came into that game playing their best basketball of the season. Prior to that the Red Raiders had won 3 straight on the road, including a 66-47 win over Kansas State. I just don't think Oklahoma State is good enough to pull off the upset and certainly aren't playing well, as they come in just 2-6 over their last 8 games. Give me Texas Tech -3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (LSU -4.5) 

I just think the price here is too good to pass up on the Tigers laying a short number at home against the Commodores. LSU has been a pleasant surprise under first year head coach Will Wade, who has been every bit as good as advertised. While the Tigers are just 15-11 overall, they 11-4 on their home floor. They come in having won 4 straight at home in SEC play over the likes of Texas A&M, Arkansas, Ole Miss and most recently Missouri. Vanderbilt comes in having won their last two, which I think is getting them some respect here, but the Commodores are winless at 0-11 away from home this season and all but one of their 7 conference losses have come by more than the number listed here. Give me the Tigers -4.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 157)

I think we see this one fly past the number set here by the books. On one side you have an NC State team that is loaded with scoring options at all 5 positions. Last time out they hung 90 on the road against Wake Forest and come in averaging 87.4 ppg at home this season. BC has scored 80 or more in 4 of their last 6 games, so this is definitely a team that can get it going offensively as well, in large part because they have two of the best guards in the conference. I think they reach that mark tonight against a very poor NC State defense that is giving up 78.4 ppg in ACC play. They are also 7-2 to the OVER at home this season, while the OVER is 9-4-1 in the Eagles 13 conference games. Give me the OVER 157! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Texas A&M -6.5) 

My money is on the Aggies to make easy work of the Bulldogs at home tonight. Texas A&M is going to be 100% locked in for this contest after dropping 2 straight on the road to Missouri and Arkansas. The Aggies return home, where they are 12-2 on the season, winning by an average of 13.2 ppg. A huge factor here that will get overlooked is the health of Mississippi State forward Aric Holman, who has really emerged this season. He's questionable after suffering a knee injury that forced him to leave early in their last game against Ole Miss. With just 2 days off from that game against the Rebels, I have a hard time seeing Holman play and even if he does he won't be 100%. That's a massive loss for the Bulldogs, as they don't have a ton of depth inside and this Aggies team can abuse you with their size. Give me Texas A&M -6.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 141) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Monday's Notre Dame/Miami matchup going UNDER the total here of 141. Both of these teams expected to be sitting better than they are at this point in the season, but each has struggled to cope with the loss of one of their best players. For Miami they lost Bruce Brown. Notre Dame not only lost an NBA talent in Bonzie Colson, but they are also without star freshman D.J. Harvey. Both teams are on the fringe of being considered for the NCAA Tournament and both desperately need this game. I think that will have the defensive intensity all the way up and with Miami's recent shooting struggles and Notre Dame's methodical pace, this game will stay well below the mark. Give me the UNDER 141! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Duke -1.5) 

You have to give Clemson credit for how well they have played after Donte Grantham tore his ACL and was lost for the season. However, I believe that success has them way overvalued here against Duke. That's because the Tigers will now also be without starting point guard Shelton Mitchell. Not only is Mitchell a big part of the scoring, but he's also the guy that runs the show and has been playing over 30 mins a game. Even with Duke expected to be without Marvin Bagley III, I don't see the Tigers being able to hang with the Blue Devils here. Give me Duke -1.5! 

40* NCAAB PRIME TIME TOTAL DESTROYER (Over 156)

I'm expecting plenty of offensive fire-works to push this total well OVER the mark set here by the books. North Carolina comes in having won 4 straight and have scored 82 or more points in all 4 games during this stretch. Louisville has looked great defensively in their last 2 games, but that's come against two of the bottom feeders in the ACC in Georgia Tech and Pitt. The defense hasn't been nearly as good when they have been matchup up with one of the top teams in the ACC. The other key here is pace. Louisville averages just 15.7 seconds of possession when they have the ball, which is the least of any team in the ACC and UNC isn't far behind with the 3rd best mark at 16.4 seconds. Give me the OVER 156! 

50* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE MONTH (Kentucky -4.5) 

My money is on the Wildcats snapping out of their funk at home against the Crimson Tide. Kentucky has dropped 4 straight, so we know they are going to be 100% locked in here. Three of those 4 losses came on the road, with the lone loss at home by just two points to Tennessee. Kentucky has owned this series of late, as they are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in the last 5. This is a statement game for the Wildcats and I expect them to deliver the goods. Give me Kentucky -4.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Iowa +1.5)

I think the wrong team is favored here. Sure it's been an ugly season for the Hawkeyes, but they do have a respectable 8-5 mark at home and have been strong against the bottom-tier teams in the Big Ten on their home floor. Indiana is a mere 3-7 SU on the road this season and are simply getting way too much respect here after winning 3 straight over the likes of Illinois, Minnesota and Rutgers (only road win). Indians is a mere 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games off a home win and 0-6 ATS in this scenario when the win was by 10 or more points. Give me the Hawkeyes +1.5! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS ANNIHILATOR (Oklahoma -6.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Sooners at home against the Longhorns. This feels like a must-win game for Oklahoma, who comes in having lost 4 straight. Three of those losses came on the road and the Sooners come in at 11-1 on their home floor. I know Texas beat them at Texas earlier this season, but Oklahoma is simply a different team at home and they appear to be catching the Longhorns at the right time, as Texas has lost 3 straight. Longhorns have also dropped 5 straight on the road in Big 12 play. Take Oklahoma! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 145.5)

These two teams combined for just 130 points in their first meeting and I believe it has ceased some value here with the total in the rematch. Butler simply had an off-night offensively in that first meeting, scoring just 60 points on 34.9% shooting. The Bulldogs are averaging 80.3 ppg and shooting 47.7% from the field overall, with an even better 86.7 ppg and 52% from the field at home. Providence just put up 76 in their upset win over Villanova and have now allowed 70+ in 6 of their last 7 games. OVER is 9-1 in Butler's last 10 home games off 3 or more consecutive OVERS and a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 home games when revenging a loss as a favorite. Give me the OVER 145.5!

50* HORIZON LEAGUE GAME OF THE MONTH (Ill-Chicago -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Flames laying less than 3-points on the road against the Phoenix. Illinois-Chicago is sitting 3rd in the Horizon at 10-4, while Green Bay is near the bottom of the league at 5-10. The Flame are 10-2 in their last 12, but are fresh off a loss at home to lowly Cleveland State. I think that loss will serve them well here, as we should get a max effort here after a lackluster performance. Note that winning on the road hasn't been a problem for Chicago. In fact, both losses during their 10-2 stretch have come at home. They are a perfect 6-0 on the road during this stretch. One of the reasons I think we aren't seeing a bigger spread here is due to the Phoenix having gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 with the most recent being a mere 6-point loss as a 16.5-point dog at Northern Kentucky. Green Bay is just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games on Friday night and are 0-7 ATS when they come in having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Give me the Flames -2.5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (USC -4.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Trojans covering this short number at home against the Ducks. While these two teams come in with similar overall and conference records, I've been a lot more impressed with what I have seen from USC. Oregon is simply getting too much respect here after going 5-1 in their last 6 games, but a closer look shows that 4 of the 5 wins came at home and the lone road win was against Pac-12 bottom feeder Cal. USC is 10-3 at home and will be 100% locked in for this one after dropping their last 3, all on the road against top tier teams in UCLA, Arizona State and Arizona. Give me the Trojans -4.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (UNDER 141) 

I think these two teams will have no problem going UNDER the total set here by the books. Washington is one of the top defensive teams in the Pac-12 (lead the conference in defensive efficiency), so don't get too concerned with the 97-points they just allowed in a loss at Oregon State. If anything that will only have them that more locked in on that side of the ball here against the Utes. While Utah isn't a great defensive team, the Huskies feature one of the least efficient offenses in the Pac-12 and the Utes are a team that likes to slow the game way down (12th in Pac-12 in pace of play). Another key here is Utah's offense relies heavily on the 3-point shot and the Huskies are the best in the conference at defending the 3-pointer. Note these two teams already played back in January and only combined for 132 points with a total of 145.5. Give me the UNDER 141! 

50* NCAAB AAC GAME OF THE MONTH (Connecticut -3.5) 

My money is on the Huskies to take care of the Golden Hurricane at home tonight. There's no denying that the UConn program is down, but these are two evenly matched teams in my opinion and there's a decent edge here with the Huskies given the home/away splits. UConn is a respectable 10-3 at home with the losses coming against the likes of Wichita St, Villanova and Cincinnati, three of the best teams in the country. Tulsa is a mere 4-8 on the road compared to 10-2 at home. Hurricane are also just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games after failing to cover in their last game, while UConn is 12-1 ATS when raving a loss where they allowed 85 or more points and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games when they come in having failed to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Give me the Huskies -3.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 144) 

My money is on St. John's and DePaul playing another high-scoring game and flying over the total set here by the books. These two teams played back on Jan. 6 and combined for 165 points DePaul put up 91 points on the road in that contest. I don't think it was a fluke that they scored so much. 

No team plays at a faster pace in the Big East than the Blue Demons. While the Red Storm are ranked a mere 7th in pace in the conference, they are 2nd in average length of possession on offense, which is actually ahead of DePaul. Simply put both teams like to push the tempo. Even if they have an off-night shooting, the pace still gives us a good shot to go over this total. Give me the OVER 144! 

40* NBA VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Bulls +6.5)

I like this spot with Chicago as a decently priced home dog to the Raptors. Toronto has won 6 straight and are 11-3 in their last 14. I think this team has a hard time showing up focused and ready to play on the road against a bad Bulls team with the All-Star break on deck. Chicago on the other hand is a young team that is playing hard. I think the opportunity to upset a good team at home is more than enough motivation for this team to show up here. 

Chicago's not the same team after trading away Mirotic, but they are expected to get back starting point guard Kris Dunn, who was really playing well before he got hurt. I think having him on the floor and the way this team can shoot from outside will be more than enough to get the cover and potentially outright win. Give me the Bulls +6.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS KNOCKOUT (Nets +4)

One of the things you have to try and gauge right now is what teams are going to be excited to play and which ones are looking ahead to the long lay-off that comes with the All-Star break. The Pacers are a team I think could struggle to find motivation for this game, as the Nets aren't exactly a team to get up for.

Brooklyn has lost 6 straight and are 1-10 in their last 11. With that said, I think the Nets will show up here at home to try and get something positive going into the break. The fact that Indiana is only a 4-point favorite here given how bad Brooklyn has been, tells me the books like the Nets chances of covering here, as the public will be all over the Pacers. Give me the Nets +4!

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Pistons -8) 

My money is on the Pistons cruising to a blowout win at home over the Hawks. Detroit has followed up their 5-game winning streak after acquiring Griffin with 3 straight losses. I think there's going to be a sense of urgency in this game for the Pistons, as I feel they are going to want something positive to build on going in the All-Star break. 

Atlanta is one of the worst teams in the NBA and I think they have a hard time mentally showing up for this game. The Hawks actually beat these Pistons at home on Sunday. I believe that's a negative as there's no real motivation to be this team again. Not to mention Atlanta is also playing in the second game of a back-to-back road set, which I think increases the likelihood that they don't show up. Keep in mind that even if Atlanta comes to play, there's still a good chance the Pistons overwhelm them and cover this spread. Give me Detroit -8! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Florida St -4) 

Clemson comes in ranked No. 11 and FSU isn't even in the Top 25, yet it's Florida State that is favored by 4 at home. That right there is a great indicator that the books like the Seminoles in this spot, as the public is pounding Clemson. I couldn't agree more. FSU might not be ranked right now, but they are certainly a Top 25 caliber team. 

I think we get a big time effort here from the Seminoles at home, as they aren't going to take kindly to being an underdog to this team. Especially given that Clemson recently loss one of their best players in Donte Grantham. They are 4-1 without him, but 3 of those were against bottom feeders in Georgia Tech, Wake Forest and Pitt. They also lost by 25 at Virginia. The one impressive win they had was over UNC, but it was at home. FSU is 10-2 on their home floor and I believe are the better team and should be favored. Give me the Seminoles -4! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Vanderbilt +1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Commodores pulling out a win at home against the Bulldogs. The fact that this line is even close to a pick'em says it all. Mississippi State is 18-7, 6-6 in the SEC and are 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. Vanderbilt on the other hand is just 9-16 overall, 3-9 in the SEC and fresh off a 18-point blowout loss at Arkansas. That alone will have most people backing the Bulldogs here. 

What they will overlook is how much Vanderbilt is at home. In fact, all 9 of the Commodores wins have come at home, as they are a horrific 0-11 away from home. They have won three straight at home over the likes of LSU, TCU and Georgia. Mississippi State is just 2-6 on the road this season. The offense has struggled to show up away from home, as they average just 65.6 ppg on the road, well below their season average of 74.4. Vanderbilt's offense greatly improves at home, where they average 78.3 ppg and are shooting 47% from the field. Give me the Commodores +1! 

50* NCAAB ACC TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 162)

I got no problem backing the OVER here with Duke and Virginia Tech. These are two of the best offensive teams in the country. The Blue Devils lead the nation in offensive efficiency and the Hokies are sitting at 19th. That combined with the fact that Duke also plays at the fastest pace in the country and should dictate the tempo, should have this flying over the total set here.

The Hokies give up 78 on the road and I wouldn't be shocked if they were a bit flat on that side off that big win over in-state rival Virginia. Duke averages 92.6 ppg at home and the only ACC team to keep them under 80 at home is Virginia. The Blue Devils could score 100 here. Give me the OVER 162! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 124)

I think these two teams will have no problem staying under the mark set by the books. Rutgers features one of the worst offenses in the country, as the Scarlet Knights are averaging just 57.9 ppg and shooting a mere 36% from the field in Big Ten play. Northwestern isn't a whole lot better at a mere 63.5 ppg in conference action. The Wildcats are also not nearly as good on the road, where they are averaging 61.7 ppg on the season (average 70.4 ppg overall). The other big key here is tempo. Northwestern ranks dead last in pace of play in the Big Ten. That grind it out style with Rutgers poor excuse for an offense will make this one of the more unentertaining games of the night. Give me the UNDER 124! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Alabama -7) 

I'll take my chances here with the Crimson Tide making easy work of LSU. Alabama will be playing with a ton of confidence after their dismantling of Tennessee at home on Saturday (won 78-50). The key here is they can't afford a let down here against the Tigers if they want to make the NCAA Tournament (currently projected around a 7 seed). Alabama hasn't had many lapses at home, where they are 11-2 on the season. I believe that home court edge will prove to be the difference against a LSU team that has really struggled on the road. The Tigers have lost each of their last 4 conference road games, with the last 3 all coming by 9 or more points. LSU averages a respectable 78.2 ppg on the season, but only 69.5 ppg on the road. The defense also gets worse, as they give up 77.3 ppg away from home, compared to 73.2 ppg on the season. Alabama only allows 65.7 ppg and is holding opponents to just 39% from the field at home. Give me the Crimson Tide -7!