50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Boston to win and cover at home in Game 7 against the Cavs. The Celtics are a perfect 10-0 on their home floor and I'm not the least bit concerned about the 10-point loss they suffered in Cleveland in Game 6. Boston wasn't all that competitive in losses in both Games 3 and 4 at Cleveland, yet returned home and won Game 5 by 13. 

The Celtics defense has really been the difference on their home floor. Boston has held the Cavs to 83, 94 and 83 points in the 3 home games in the series. I just don't see Cleveland having enough offensive fire-power to win on the road without Kevin Love, who has been ruled out for this contest. Give me the Celtics -2.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 212.5) 

As you can tell by the spread, the books aren't expecting a close game in Game 6, as the Warriors are laying close to 13-points at home. While I wouldn't be shocked if Golden State covered the big spread, given they are facing elimination and the Rockets are without a key piece in Chris Paul, I think the real value is with the total. After combining for just 187 points in Game 4 and 192 in Game 5, we have seen the total drop almost 15 points from Game 4 to Game 6. I just think Houston is looking more ahead to Game 7 at home and won't be as good defensively here, especially with Paul sidelined. Golden State is also due for an offensive explosion and I think we see them get to around 220 with Houston doing more than enough to push it over the mark here. Give me the OVER 212.5

40* NBA CAVS/CELTICS ATS KNOCKOUT (Celtics +7) 

I'll take my chances here with Boston as a decently priced road dog in Game 6. The home team has dominated this series, but I got a good feeling that the Celtics will flip that script and really give the Cavs a scare here and maybe even win this game outright. LeBron James has carried this worthless Cavs team further than any other player in the league could. The problem is, I think we saw a worn down LeBron in Game 5 after he laid everything he had on the line in Games 3 and 4 (defensive intensity was way up from previous games). Playing at home will help, but after a bad 1st quarter in Game 4, the Celtics really played well in the final 3 quarters. Their defense has been outstanding and I think knowing that they have a Game 7 at home in their back pocket will allow them to come out loose, which I think will help their offense. Give me the Celtics +7! 

40* WARRIORS/ROCKETS NBA ATS NO BRAINER (Warriors +1) 

I'll take my chances here with Golden State to take back control of the Western Conference Finals with a big road win in Game 5. The Warriors won Game 1 at Houston to take control of the series, only to let their guard down in Game 2. They responded in a big way in a 41-point win in Game 3 at home, then scored just 12-points in a 92-95 loss in Game 4. 

I just think that when Golden State is up against the wall and needs to win they are going to get the job done. While Iguodala is still questionable for this one, I think there's a good chance he plays given how big the game is. I also look for the Warriors to make the proper adjustments offensively and get back to sharing the ball and not playing so much 1-on-1 like they did in Game 4. Give me the Warriors +1! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 206.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Celtics and Cavs staying UNDER the mark of 206.5 set by the books. These two teams combined for 113 points in Game 4 to go OVER the total for the first time in the series. Most will just assume this will be another high-scoring game, but the first two games in Boston suggest otherwise. The Celtics were a completely different team defensive in Games 1 and 2 at home, holding the Cavs to 83 and 94 points respectively. I think Cleveland once again has trouble to score away from home. I also think with how big this game is that we get another big effort from the Cavs on the defensive end to keep Boston from going off. I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if we saw both teams fail to reach 100 points. Give me the UNDER 206.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Warriors -8.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Golden State winning by double-digits at home. I just think the Warriors are hands down the best team in the NBA and I believe they have shown when they are locked in the opponent has no chance. That was pretty evident in Game 3, where they beat a very good Rockets team by 41-points. Some will say that Houston will use that ugly loss as motivation, but I think that game crushed the will of the Rockets and as soon as things spiral out of control in Game 4, this is going to get ugly again. Golden State isn't going to let their guard down and risk being tied at 2-2 and giving the home court edge back to Houston. They will bring that same intensity as Game 3. Give me the Warriors -8.5! 

40* NBA (Celtics/Cavs) BOOKIE SLAUGHTER (Celtics +7) 

I'll take my chances here with Boston in Game 4 against the Cavs. I had Cleveland in Game 3, as that was just the perfect scenario for a blowout. The Celtics were up 2-0 and feeling good about themselves and simply didn't match the intensity of the Cavs, who absolutely had to win to have a realistic shot at winning this series. A lot of people will expect the same result in Game 4 as we got in Game 3, but adjustments will be made and the effort is going to be completely different here for Boston. We saw the Celtics get a big road against Philadelphia last round and I wouldn't be shocked if Boston pulled off the upset. Either way, I think we get our first closely contested game of the series and a cover from the Celtics. Give me Boston +7! 

40* NBA (ROCKETS/WARRIORS) ATS KNOCKOUT (Warriors -7.5) 

I'll take my chances with Golden State taking care of business in Game 3 by a comfortable margin. The Warriors started out the series with a dominating 119-106 win at Houston. The intensity that Golden State brought to win Game 1 and take back the home court advantage wasn't there in Game 2. That's why I'm not about to overreact to the Rockets big win in Game 2. 

I still think the Warriors are hands down the best team and will be crowned champions when it's all said and done. Look for that offense to come to life at home (Curry is due to go off), while the defense makes life miserable for the Rockets. Give me the Warriors -7.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs -6) 

I'll take my chances here with Cleveland not only winning, but covering the decent spread here. The Cavs couldn't have played much worse in the first two games in Boston, but we have seen this team look bad and come out the next game and dominate. The Celtics won't make it easy, but we should see more production from the role players for the Cavs at home, while Boston's role players don't produce at near the level they did at home. Keep in mind that's been a theme for the Celtics in the playoffs, as they have not been nearly as efficient on the road. Give me the Cavs -6!

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -1) 

Houston had their chances to win Game 1, but were unable to get the job done. I don't think their confidence is lost, as they really were to blame for the defeat. The Rockets didn't play up to their potential on the defensive side of the ball and were careless with the basketball. These are two things that Houston had been excelling at, so there's every reason to think they can bounce back. I also think the motivational edge here is going to play a big role in the outcome. The Warriors have done their job and taken home court away from Houston. The Rockets have no choice here but to treat this like a Game 7. I think it will be tough for Golden State to match that intensity. Give me Houston -1! 

40* CAVS/CELTICS NBA ATS KNOCKOUT (Cavs +1) 

I'll take my chances here with LeBron James and the Cavs rebounding from that ugly Game 1 loss with a win in Game 2. I think Cleveland got a little big headed with the sweep of Toronto and didn't give this Celtics team the respect it deserved in the first game. Regardless if that was the case, the effort/hustle wasn't there and the Cavs had about as poor a shooting night as they can have. James didn't play anywhere close to the level we have seen throughout the playoffs and he's too good to be held in check on this stage in back-to-back games. I look for James to take control of this game early and not let Boston get off to another strong start. I also expect the others for Cleveland to start hitting some shots. Give me the Cavs +1! 

40* WARRIORS/ROCKETS TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 225) 

This has the feeling of an NBA Finals matchup, as most people agree that the winner of this series is going to end up the champs when it's all said and done. I know both teams are littered with elite offensive players, but it's their defense that makes them so special. These are two of the best defensive teams in the game. I just think that given what's at stake and how important each game is, both of these teams will be giving everything they got on the defensive side of the ball. I wouldn't be shocked if these two failed to eclipse 210. Give me the UNDER 225! 

40* EASTERN CONFERENCE ATS SLAUGHTER (Cavs -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Cleveland going into Boston and handing the Celtics their first home loss of the postseason. After looking like they weren't going to get out of the first round against the Pacers, the Cavs looked like a completely different team in route to a sweep of No. 1 seed Toronto in the quarterfinals. I have nothing but respect for the Celtics and think the world of head coach Brad Stevens, but I don't think you can out coach a talent like LeBron James, especially when you are down your two best players. James has been playing out of his mind the entire postseason and the supporting cast finally showed up against the Raptors. Cavs also have a 2-day edge in rest, which should definitely benefit them here. I could see Boston keeping it close early, but Cleveland should leave here with a 1-0 lead. Give me the Cavs -1.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -1)

I'll take my chances here with the Celtics taking Game 5 at home against the 76ers. As you would expect, Boston couldn't quite match the energy of Philadelphia in Game 4 on the road. The Celtics owned a comfortable 3-0 series lead and the 76ers were in a do-or-die situation. While Philadelphia is still in that spot, the Celtics will be ready to play here at home. Let's not forget that Boston is a perfect 6-0 at home in the playoffs. The Celtics role players are balling right now and the biggest thing is the defense. Boston hasn't allowed the 76ers to shoot better than 43.5% from the field in each of the first 4 games. Give me the Celtics -1! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 208) 

I'll take my chances here with the Jazz/Rockets going UNDER the mark set here by the books. All the attention with Houston is on their offense and how many 3-pointers they make and take. What is getting overlooked is their defense, which has shined in the last 2 games. After giving up 116 in a loss at home in Game 2, the Rockets held the Jazz to 92 on 41.7% shooting in Game 3 and 87 points on 38.6% shooting in Game 4. With a chance to put the series away, I expect another big effort from Houston at home in Game 5. AT the same time, we are going to get a max effort here from Utah facing elimination. Take the UNDER 208! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers -6) 

I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia not only winning Game 4 at home and extending the series, but also covering the spread. You have to tip your hat to Boston for taking a 3-0 series lead, but the 76ers could just as easily have the series lead. I know the Celtics are saying all the right things about not letting their guard down with the commanding 3-0 lead, but it's a lot easier said than done. I just don't see how Boston matches the intensity of Philadelphia, who I think could run away with this thing early and cruise to victory. Give me the 76ers -6! 

40* NBA 'ROCKETS/JAZZ' ATS NO-BRAINER (Jazz +5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Utah at least keeping this close enough to cover. I think the Jazz have a realistic shot at winning this game outright. I just don't trust Houston as much as others now that we are in the postseason. The Rockets responded well from that butt-kicking they got at home in Game 2 with a 113-92 win in Game 3. Houston did play better defensively than they had, but that was also an off night for Donovan Mitchell. Given how this kid has played so far, I expect a big bounce back performance and for Utah to feed off the home crowd in what has to feel like a must-win for them. Give me the Jazz +5.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers -8.5) 

I'm going to take my chances here with the 76ers as a big home favorite. The public is all over Boston after getting burned by the Celtics in the first two games. I just think given the 76ers are down 0-2 and how much worse Boston has played on the road compared to at home in the postseason, the 76ers are going to be able to take complete control of this game and should have no problem winning by double-digits. Keep in mind the Celtics lost all 3 games at Milwaukee in the first round with two of those losses coming by double-digits. Give me Philadelphia -8.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 232) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans and Warriors going OVER this big total set by the books. These two teams combined for 124 in Game 1 with Curry sidelined. He returned in Game 2 and came off the bench with 28 points and the two combined for 137. I know defense usually wins out over a series in the playoffs, but these two teams play at such a frantic tempo that they are going to score a ton even if they don't shoot well. New Orleans offense has been great the entire postseason, but it was exceptional in their 2 home games against the Blazers in the first round. I expect their offense to improve at home in Game 3, but I don't know that they will be able to do anything to slow down Golden State's offensive attack. Keep in mind the Warriors scored 121 in Game 2 with Thompson scoring just 10 points and Durant/Thompson going a mere 4-18 from deep. Give me the OVER 232! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors -6) 

I'll take my chances here with Toronto winning by at least 7 in Game 2 of their series with the Cavs. I know it's a 7-game series, but this is every bit like a Game 7 for the Raptors. If they lose here and have to go to Cleveland down 2-0, this series is all but over. The Cavs played one of their better games in Game 1, but also trailed by quite a bit for most of the game. Coming off that Game 7 win over Indiana and then the big OT win in Game 1, this is the ideal letdown spot for Cleveland. Simply put, I don't see the Cavs matching the intensity of the Raptors in this one. Give me Toronto -6! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Raptors -6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Toronto laying it on the Cavs in Game 1. I have major concerns with Cleveland getting past the Raptors in this series and certainly think they are behind the 8-ball in Game 1. The Cavs just played about as grueling a 7-game series in the first round as you will find and that conclude just 2-days ago. We saw how Cleveland responded after that massive win in Game 5 over the Pacers, losing by 34 in Game 6. I could see a similar lopsided final in this one. Cleveland's offense has been a 1-man show with LeBron and he's simply got to do too much. Keep in mind the Cavs didn't shoot better than 45% from the field in each of the final 5 games vs Indiana. Toronto is too talented and too deep for a worn tired Cleveland team and the Raptors are going to be out to make a statement. Give me Toronto -6.5! 

40* NBA '76ERS/CELTICS' TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 207.5)

The Celtics just cant catch a break in the injury department, as they will be without Jaylen Brown for Game 1 tonight against Philadelphia. That's a crushing loss for Boston on the offensive side of the ball. It's not going to kill the defense, as they can just play Smart in his spot and he's arguably a better defender, but not as skilled offensively. I look for the Celtics to really rely on their defense in this game and I think they could make it really tough on the 76ers. Miami was a great matchup for Philadelphia in the first round. I think Boston knows this team a lot better and will be able to make it a lot harder. There's also a drastic difference in playing on the road in Boston than Miami in the postseason. This is going to be the first real hostile environment for the 76ers in the postseason and I think we could see some rust here for Philadelphia having last played 6 days ago. Give me the UNDER 207.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER GAME 7 ATS KNOCKOUT (Pacers +5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Indiana as a decently priced dog against the Cavs in Game 7 at Cleveland on Sunday. I know whenever the Cavs have needed a win they have been able to pull it out in this series, but I just don't trust this team. I think it's been such a remarkable run for LeBron getting to the NBA Finals, that everyone just assumes he will rise to the occasion. The thing is, the supporting cast for James isn't all that talented and simply aren't playing well right now. The Pacers should have already won this series and I don't see them being nervous or overcome by the moment here. I think all the pressure is on the Cavs, as there's a real sense that if they lose this game it will be the final game for LeBron with the franchise. Give me the Pacers +5.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 195.5) 

I'll take my chances with Game 7 between the Celtics and Bucks finishing UNDER the mark set by the books. This series has really shifted to a defensive battle. After combining for at least 206 in each of the first 4, they scored just 179 in Game 5 and 183 in Game 6. The Bucks have held the Celtics to 42% or worse from the field in each of the last 4 games and Boston held Milwaukee to a mere 87 points on 37% shooting last time these two played at the Garden. With this being a winner-take-all scenario, I think the pressure and defensive intensity from both sides will have this game finishing in the 180's. Take the UNDER 195.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors +2) 

I'll take my chances with Toronto going into Washington and securing a win. The Raptors moved on last year in the 1st round by winning Game 6 at Milwaukee and I look for them to do what they failed to do in Game 3 and Game 4. Toronto should have done the job in Game 4, but blew a double-digit lead in the 2nd half. Given how they have dominated the Wizards at home and how close they came in their last game at Washington, I wouldn't be shocked if the Raptors not only won here, but turned this into a blowout. Either way the wrong team is favored in this one. Give me Toronto +2! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -3.5)

I'll take my chances here with OKC avoiding elimination and forcing a Game 5. The Thunder have surprisingly dropped 3 straight since winning the opener. Not a big surprise to see them lose both games in Utah, as I really thought home court was going to be the difference in this series. I just don't see the Jazz closing this thing out on the road against a team as talented as the Thunder. Westbrook should get the benefit of the calls at home and be able to stay out of foul trouble early, while the other guys should step up their game at home to secure the win. Give me OKC -3.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Heat +10.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Miami as a double-digit dog in Game 5 on the road. The 76ers are new big thing and have quickly become a big public team. I'm not saying Philadelphia won't win here, but I don't see the Heat going out quietly and there's a different pressure when you are the team trying to close out your opponent. Which is not a spot most of these 76ers are familiar with. Look for Miami to at least give Philadelphia a scare here and at worse keep this within the number. Give me the Heat +10.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Rockets -5.5) 

I like the value here with Houston to not only win, but cover this spread in Game 4 of their series against the Timberwolves. Minnesota was able to avoid the dreaded 0-3 hole by taking Game 3 121-105. I believe that was more of a result of the Rockets not matching the intensity of the Timberwolves, who were in a do-or-die situation. I think that's really evident by the lack of defensive intensity that Houston showed in Game 3. The Rockets allowed the Timberwolves to shoot 50% from the field after holding them to 44% in Game 1 and 39% in Game 2. They also created just 7 turnovers after forcing 29 in the first two games of the series. Look for a much more locked in Houston team in this one. Give me the Rockets -5.5!

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Cavs +1) 

I'll take my chances here with LeBron James and the Cavs bouncing back from that crushing loss in Game 3, where they blew a 17-point lead in a 90-92 defeat. Cleveland simply can't afford another setback here, as a loss here would give Indiana a 3-1 series lead and leave them needing just 1 win over the final 3 to advance to the next round. We saw the Cavs in a similar spot in Game 2 after losing Game 1 at home and James scored 46. I expect another special performance here from LeBron, as there's no one I trust more in this spot to deliver in the postseason. Give me the Cavs +1! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Rockets -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Rockets covering this short number on the road and taking a commanding 3-0 series lead over the Timberwolves. I thought Minnesota had a great shot at stealing Game 1 on the road, as they had been in playoff mode for quite some time fighting for the final spot in the West, while Houston had coasted over the final few weeks of the regular season. The Timberwolves gave them a scare in the series opener, but ended up on the short end and were  completely dominated in Game 2, despite James Harden going just 2 of 18 from the field. With Golden State up 3-0 the Rockets will be eager to match their biggest threat in the west and I see them running away with this one. Give me the Rockets -5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Bucks -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bucks securing a win and cover at home in Game 3. Milwaukee's season is on the line tonight, as they are already down 0-2 and simply can't afford to fall behind 3-0. I'm expecting the Bucks to deliver in a big way. Boston offense played well above their true potential in the first two games at home. I just don't see the Celtics being able to sustain that production on the road with a true superstar in the lineup. As for the Bucks, we can expect their offense to keep rolling. Milwaukee shot extremely well from the field in each of the first two games in Boston and a few more shots tend to fall at home than on the road. Especially the outside shots, which has really been the difference outside of turnovers. Boston has made 24 3-pointers to the Bucks 15. Look for that trend to reverse with the series shifting to Milwaukee. Give me the Bucks -4.5!

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Spurs +4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Spurs covering this short number at home, as I really like San Antonio's chances of winning this game outright. This is do-or-die for the Spurs, who are down 0-2 in the series. We were already going to get a great effort here from San Antonio with their backs against the wall, but we should see a special effort here with Spurs playing for their head coach, who just lost his wife yesterday. The other thing that people forget with San Antonio after the first two games is just how different this team was at home compared to on the road. The Spurs were 33-8 at home this season, compared to 14-27 on the road. Give me the Spurs +4.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs -7.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cavs responding in a big way from that ugly performance in Game 1. Indiana went into Cleveland and laid it on the Cavs right from the git go, as they led 33-14 after the 1st quarter. Cleveland could never recover and will not make that mistake twice. Keep in mind that after allowing 33 points in the 1st quarter, the Cavs defense allowed 22, 18 and 25 over the final 3 periods. As for Cleveland's atrocious offensive performance, that was simply a bad night at the office, as they shot just 38.5% from the field and 23.5% from long distance. The Pacers primary goal was to get a split in the first two games at Cleveland and they accomplished just that. Look for them to struggle to match the intensity of the Cavs in Game 2, as they will be treating this like a Game 7 to avoid falling behind 0-2. Give me Cleveland -7.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Bucks +2.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Bucks getting points in a game I expect them to win outright. Milwaukee really came out flat in Game 1, scoring just 17 points in the 1st quarter. For them to fight back from that start and force OT is a great sign for the rest of the series. As much respect as I have for this Celtics team, mainly head coach Brad Stevens, they are really behind the 8-ball right now without Irving to shoulder the load offensively when things aren't going their way. Milwaukee's got the best player on the court and it's not even close. Give me the Bucks +2.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wizards +7)

I'll take my chances here with the Wizards covering in Game 2. Washington ended up losing by 8-poitns in Game 1 at Toronto, but that could have went either way. The Wizards had the lead at the half and trailed by just 1-point going into the 4th quarter. Had it not been for the Raptors catching fire from long-distance (16 made 3-pointers) they likely lose that game. I expect to see a similar contest in Game 2 and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if Washington won this game outright. Take the Wizards +7! 

40* NBA "SPURS/WARRIORS" ATS KNOCKOUT (Spurs +10) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with San Antonio to keep this within single digits. Simply put the Spurs didn't play well in Game 1 and the Warriors shot lights out, hitting 54.3% from the field and 45.5% from deep. I know Golden State is a great offensive team, but they are still playing without Steph Curry and the Spurs know how to play defense. Look for Popovich to make some adjustments here and catch the Warriors a bit flat off that easy win in Game 1. An outright victory for San Antonio is not out of the question. Give me the Spurs +10! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wolves +11.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Minnesota as a double-digit dog in Game 1 of their series against the Rockets. I think this is a tricky spot for Houston, as they pretty much cruised to the finish line with the best record in the NBA. They haven't had to play a real meaningful game in quite some time. I just think they could come out a bit flat here. As for the Timberwolves, the playoffs started for them on the final night of the regular season, as it was win or go home against the Nuggets. A game they pulled off in overtime. I look for Minnesota to carry over that momentum an at least give the Rockets a scare. Give me the Timberwolves +11.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Thunder -4) 

I'll take my chances here with OKC as a short home favorite against the Jazz. I got nothing by respect for Utah and the turnaround they had this season, but their best player is a rookie and there's a good chance he struggles on the road in his first playoff game. On top of that, I just don't think the Thunder are getting enough respect on their home court. OKC was 27-14 at home, where they outscored teams by 5.4 ppg. Utah was just 20-21 on the road this season. I wouldn't be shocked here if the home team won every game in this series. There's that big of home court edge for both sides here. Give me the Thunder -4! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Pelicans +5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans as a decently priced road dog against the Blazers. I've really been impressed with how well New Orleans has been playing since losing Cousins and despite how good Lillard has been playing, the Pelicans have the best player on the court in Davis. I expect Davis to dominate and it's just a matter if he gets enough help. I think Rondo is built for the playoffs and will be the difference maker in not only the Pelicans covering, but winning this game outright. Give me New Orleans +5.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Wizards +8) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wizards as a decently priced dog against the Raptors. Washington is a much better team than what they showed down the stretch and a big reason for that is they were trying to get the No. 7 seed to face the Celtics in the first round. It didn't work out, but this is also the last team the Raptors wanted to face. Toronto has lost nine straight Game 1's in the postseason and I just think all the pressure is on them to play well here. I don't know if Washington will have enough to win this game outright, but they should be able to keep it close enough to cover. Give me the Wizards +8! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers -6.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the 76ers winning and covering this big spread. Most people are aware what's at stake for Philadelphia, a win here and they lock up the No. 3 seed in the East. That would be huge, as it would get them a favorable 2nd round matchup against either No. 2 Boston or whoever ends up at No. 7. As for the Bucks, they are currently 6th, but would prefer to lose. Milwaukee loses their 1st round pick if they finish No. 6, but would keep it if they end up at No. 7 or No. 8. They would still need some help to fall back even with a loss, but there's simply zero incentive for the Bucks to play well here. Look for reserves to see a lot of action in this one. Give me the 76ers -6.5!

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nuggets -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Denver covering the small number at home. I think a lot of people look at this game for Portland and expect them to come out giving it their all to try and secure the No. 3 seed over the Jazz. However, regardless with a win or loss in this game, chances are the Blazers will have to win their finale at home over Utah. I just don't see them matching the intensity of the Nuggets in this one. Denver is basically in a do-or-die situation, as they are currently tied with the Timberwolves for the 8th and final spot, but also just 1-game game of 5th place New Orleans. Denver has won 5 straight and I'm counting on them to make it 6 straight and cash another ticket. Give me the Nuggets -4! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS BLOWOUT (Hornets +2.5) 

I'll take my chances her with Charlotte as a home dog against the Pacers. This is more of a play against Indiana than anything. The Pacers are 2-games back of Cleveland for 4th with just 2 to play and the Cavs final 2 are against the Knicks, so their chances of catching Cleveland are slim to none. On the flip side, Indiana can't fall any lower than 5th, so there's essentially nothing to play for right now. I believe the primary focus for the Pacers will be to cut back on their key guys minutes and make sure they are ready to roll for the playoffs. Charlotte showed some fight in their last game, as they destroyed Orlando on the road by 37-points, despite nothing to play for. With this being their final home game of the season, I look for another big effort here from the Hornets. Give me Charlotte +2.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Nuggets -2) 

I'll take my chances here with Denver as a short road favorite against the Clippers. Both teams are still on the outside looking in for the playoffs in the west, but it's the Nuggets that really only have a shot. The Clippers are 2.5-games out of 8th with just 3 to play. They clearly looked like they threw in the towel on their chances in their last game, as they got blown out of the gym in a 95-117 loss at Utah. Nuggets can move into a tie with Minnesota for 8th with a win here. Denver has won 4 straight and I wouldn't be shocked if they ran away with this one. Give me the Nuggets -2! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Bulls +10.5) 

I think we are getting a great price here to back the Bulls against the Celtics. Chicago hasn't been very good down the stretch, but have won 3 straight, which is a pretty good sign that they aren't just tanking the rest of the way. However, this is more a play against Boston, who is coming off a crushing loss to the Raptors in their last game, which was a game they really wanted, as they were trying to catch Toronto for the No. 1 seed. Now that that's out of the picture, they have nothing to play for over their final 4 games. On top of that, the Celtics just got some devastating news regarding point guard Kyrie Irving. The hope was that Irving would be able to return for the playoffs, but that's no longer the case as he's undergoing another procedure on his knee and has been ruled out of the postseason. I not only think they struggle to win here by double-digits, but I wouldn't be shocked if they lost outright. Give me the Bulls +10.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Nets +9)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Nets as a near double-digit dog against the Bucks on Thursday. Milwaukee can finally take a sigh of relief, as the Pistons loss last night to the 76ers clinched a playoff spot for the Bucks. Now it's all about positioning themselves for the playoffs and most importantly, getting guys rested up for the postseason. Right now Milwaukee is sitting in 8th and while they might not come out and say it, I think they would prefer to stay in the bottom two spots and take their chances with Toronto or Boston in the first round and avoid having to face LeBron James and the Cavs, which would be their likely opponent if they kept winning and crept up to the No. 6 spot. Brooklyn has been competitive and have thrived in the role of a road dog, covering 23 of their last 35 away from home when getting points. I wouldn't be shocked if they won outright. Give me the Nets +9! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Clippers +1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Clippers as a home dog against the Spurs tonight. I think we are seeing San Antonio way overvalued here. Yes, the Spurs have won 8 of their last 10, but all 8 of those wins came at home. Both losses were on the road, where San Antonio is a miserable 14-24 on the season. While the Spurs aren't officially in the postseason just yet, they are sitting 4th in the west right now. As for LA, this is a game they can't afford to lose, as they are 2-games out of 8th place with just 5 to play. Look for Los Angeles to lay everything on the line at home and come away with a much-needed win. Give me the Clippers +1.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Nuggets -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Denver as a short home favorite against the Pacers. The Nuggets pulled off one of the most improbable wins of the season last time out, as they erased an 18-point deficit in the final 7 and half minutes and went on to win the game in OT. The Nuggets are now just 1-game back of the Pelicans for the 8th and final spot in the west playoff race. Indiana has been playing well down the stretch. The Pacers are riding a 5-game winning streak, but I think they will struggle here in the final game of a 4-game road trip with a much bigger game on deck at home against the Warriors on Thursday. Denver is the last place you want to play with tired legs and less than 100% focus. Give me the Nuggets -3. 

50* MICHIGAN/VILLANOVA SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Michigan +7) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Wolverines as a big dog against Villanova in the title game. If you listen to the major media outlets, there's really no point in even playing this game, as most experts on TV/Radio are already claiming Villanova as the winner. I love teams that are considered to have no chance of winning in big games. I not only think the Wolverines can keep this close enough to cover, but I give them a good shot at winning this game outright. Michigan is much better equipped than Kansas was to defend the 3-pointer and are a better offensive team than they have shown in their last two games against FSU and Loyola. Sure, if Villanova hits 50% from long distance they likely win this game going away, but given how well the Wolverines defend the 3-pointer, I don't see that happening. Michigan is the better defensive team and defense wins championships. Give me the Wolverines +7! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 223.5) 

My money is on the Bucks and Nuggets going OVER the total set here by the books. Milwaukee has seen the OVER go 10-1 in their last 11 games, as they continue to light it up on the offensive side and struggle to defend on the defensive side. The Bucks have scored 115 or more points in 9 of their last 11 games and have allowed 100+ in all 11. The Nuggets are in a similar boat, as the OVER is 4-1-1 in their last 6. During this 6-game stretch Denver is averaging 120.7 ppg and allowing 118.8 ppg for an average combined score just under 240. Give me the OVER 223.5! 

40* NCAAB FINAL FOUR TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 155) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER in the Final 4 matchup between Villanova and Kansas. There's no denying that these are two great offensive teams. The Wildcats are averaging 86.6 ppg on the season and the Jayhawks aren't far behind at 81.4 ppg. Kansas' last game against Duke ended up with a 85-81 final, but that game went to OT after the two were tied at 72-72 at the end of regulation. I think Duke is every bit as good, if not better, offensively than Villanova and I just think  the number here is way too high given how much pressure is on both teams, how good both teams are defensively and the week each team has had to prepare for the other side. Give me the UNDER 155! 

40* NCAAB FINAL FOUR ATS KNOCKOUT (Michigan -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines covering the 5.5-point spread against the Ramblers. Loyola-Chicago is this year's Cinderella team and it's been quite a run for this program, but I think they are in for a rude awakening in the Final Four. There' have been multiple No. 11 seeds reach this point and none have been able to reach the finals. The thing you can't overlook with the Ramblers making it this far is just how lucky they have been. They won their first two games on a last second shot and their first 3 wins came by a combined 4 points. They also played in a region where all the top teams went out early, as they got to take on No. 7 Nevada in the Sweet 16 and No. 9 Kansas State in the Elite 8. Michigan is by far the best team they have played to this point and the Wolverines should win here going away. Give me Michigan -5.5! 

50* NBA WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 197)

My money is on the UNDER in this one, as we have the Jazz hosting the Grizzlies. Memphis comes in off back-to-back upset wins over the Timberwolves and Blazers and their defense played a big part in both of those wins. The Grizzlies held Minnesota to just 93 points on the road and followed that up by allowing just 103 to Portland. Those are two of the better offensive teams in the league. While the defense has been much better of late, the offense is still a mess. Memphis is averaging just 97.2 ppg over their last 5 games, a stretch in which they have also shot just 43.4% from the field. Utah is an elite defensive team, especially at home, where they are giving up just 96.9 ppg and holding teams to just 43.5% shooting. Coming off an upset loss at home to a short-handed Boston team and the Jazz far from safe in the west playoff race (currently 8th), I think we get a big effort here from the Jazz and this game stays well below the mark set by the books. Give me the UNDER 197! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 194.5) 

My money is on Wednesday's NBA action between the Celtics and Jazz going UNDER the mark set by the books. Boston has been hit hard with injuries. They are without both Kryie Irving and Marcus Smart and aren't expected to have Marcus Morris for this game against the Jazz. Morris has been one of the Celtics best scorers with Irving out, as he leads the team with 18.3 ppg in the month of March. I just have a hard time seeing Boston being to get much of anything going offensively on the road against the Jazz, who are one of the league's best defensive teams, especially at home, where they are allowing just 96.9 ppg and holding opponents to 43.5% shooting. While The Celtics offense figures to struggle, I expect them to play hard defensively, which has been a staple of this team under Stevens. I don't see either team reaching the century mark in this one. Give me the UNDER 194.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Clippers -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Clippers as a short home favorite against the Bucks. I think the perception here is that both teams desperately need a win here, but I don't think that's the case at all. The Bucks are sitting 7th in the east, but are a solid 5.5-games up on 9th place Detroit with only 9 games to play. It's really just about whether they finish 6th, 7th or 8th. As for the Clippers, they absolutely have to have this game. LA is currently 10th in the west, but are definitely still in the mix. They are only a 1/2-game back of 9th place Denver and 2 back of 8th place Minnesota. Clippers have won 2 of 3 with the only loss at Indiana and the two wins upset victories over the Raptors and these Bucks. You could argue that Milwaukee will be out for revenge, but the Bucks simply aren't playing well and I don't see them winning on the road here. Give me the Clippers -3! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +2)

I'll take my chances here with Washington as a home dog against the Spurs. The Wizards are in a prime bounce back spot here. They come in having lost 3 straight and the most recent was an embarrassing home loss to the Knicks. On top of that, Washington will be out for revenge, as this 3-game skid started with a loss at San Antonio last Wednesday. The Spurs have won 6 of 7, but lost their last game at Milwaukee. Note that the 6 game winning streak that proceeded this all came at home, where the Spurs have lost just 8 times all season. San Antonio is just 14-23 on the road and I just feel they are getting way too much respect here. Give me the Wizards +2! 

40* NCAAB NIT SEMIFINAL ATS KNOCKOUT (Utah +2) 

I'll take my chances with the Utes in Tuesday's semifinal action of the NIT against Western Kentucky. Utah didn't make the NCAA Tournament, but there's no denying that this team was playing their best basketball down the stretch and likely could have made some noise in the Big Dance. The Utes closed out the regular season 9-3 over their final 12 games. They lost a heartbreaker in their only game in the Pac-12 tournament, falling 66-68 to Oregon, despite shooting 51.2% from the field and limiting the Ducks to a mere 37.7% shooting. Utah responsded with 3 straight impressive wins over UC-Davis, LSU and St. Mary's to get a chance to play at Madison Square Garden. WKU has also played great, but I think they benefited quite a bit from playing teams like USC and Oklahoma State, who were bubble teams that got left out and weren't all that interested in making a deep run in the NIT. I think the wrong team is favored in this one. Give me the Utes +2! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 221.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Knicks/Hornets going UNDER the mark set here by the books. Charlotte is averaging 109.6 ppg over their last 5, but that's a bit misleading, as they had a 140 points in 1 game against the Grizzlies. That's the only one of the five that went OVER the total. The UNDER is 4-0-1 in the Knicks last 5. With New York playing well and the Hornets fighting for their playoff lives, I look for a much lower-scoring game than what the books are expecting with this number in the 220s. Give me the UNDER 221.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 216.5) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER in this one. I'm expecting this game between the Blazers and Thunder to have a playoff-like atmosphere, as there's a lot at stake for both sides. Right now the Blazers own the No. 3 spot in the West, but they hold a slim 1-game edge over Oklahoma City. Keep in mind that Portland is just 3.5-games ahead of 8th place Utah. Given what is at stake, I think both sides will bring the intensity on the defensive side of the ball. Note that both teams are playing well on that side coming in, as each is giving up right around 103.5 ppg over their last 5 contests. This is also a division game and the average combined score for both teams in division games this year have been right around 207 points. I think we see a final score close to that, making this an easy play for me given the price. Give me the UNDER 216.5! 

50* NCAAB ELITE 8 GAME OF THE YEAR (Duke -3) 

My money is on the Blue Devils to cash in a winning ticket and cover the small spread in Sunday's Elite 8 action against Kansas. Duke didn't play all that well in their last game and had to grind out a 69-65 win over Syracuse as a 11-point favorite. While Kansas ended up not covering in their 80-76 win over Clemson, that was a much more lopsided affair than the final score would suggest. 

The Blue Devils shot just 39.3% against the Orange, as they struggled to crack Syracuse's zone defense. While Kansas isn't a horrible defensive team, I think this is a really tough matchup for the Jayhawks. I just feel that Duke is the better team and will find a way to win this game. Give me the Blue Devils -3! 

40* NCAAB ELITE 8 ATS SLAUGHTER (Texas Tech +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders as a decently priced dog against the Wildcats. Nothing against Villanova, but I think the Wildcats are getting a little too much respect here against a very good Texas Tech team that just beat a strong Purdue team by 13 points on Friday. Villanova ended up covering in a 90-78 win over West Virginia, but that was far from a comfortable win, as they actually trailed by 6 with just over 11 minutes to play. I think that game took a lot out of Villanova and now they have to go up against a Texas Tech team that can lock you down defensively. I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Red Raiders pulled off the upset. Give me Texas Tech +6.5! 

50* NCAAB ELITE 8 SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Michigan -4) 

I was all over the Wolverines in Thursday's complete annihilation of Texas A&M. One of the big reasons I like Michigan so much, was they just weren't themselves in their first two games and I thought a big reason for that was the long lay-off from the Big Ten Tournament being played a week earlier than it had in the past. As expected, we saw a completely different team against the Aggies. As impressive as FSU looked in their win over Gonzaga, they did catch some breaks. For one, the Bulldogs were without a key piece to their rotation in 2nd leading scorer Killian Tillie. The Seminoles also benefited from Williams and Hachimura got in early foul trouble. Let's not forget the game before against Xavier, they benefited from a big collapse by the Musketeers, who had a 12 point lead with around 10 minutes to play. Simply put, I think FSU is extremely fortunate to have made it this far and will be outclassed by Michigan. Give me the Wolverines -4! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Rockets -8.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Houston winning by double-digits at home against the Pelicans. New Orleans comes in having won 4 straight and I think that's keeping this number a lot lower than it should be. I have to tip my hat to the Pelicans, who just won 3 straight games at home in 3 days starting with Tuesday's win over the Mavs and concluding with Thursday's win over the Lakers. Note they played a back-to-back set and had just 1-day off prior to the 3 games in 3 days. This will be their 6th game in the last 8 days. I just don't see how this team will have enough left in the tank to go on the road against an elite team like the Rockets, who can bury you in matter of minutes if you aren't on your game, and keep it respectable. Give me Houston -8.5! 

40* NCAAB ELITE 8 NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Kansas St -1) 

I'll take my chances with Kansas State to come out victorious against Loyola-Chicago. The Ramblers have been this year's Cinderella story outside of No. 16 UMBC. Loyola has won 3 games in the tournament in about as dramatic a fashion as you could envision. They took out Miami and Tennessee on last second shots and barely escaped with a 1-point win over Nevada. The Ramblers are built around a strong defense that looks to frustrate opponents and really take them out of their game. That plays right into the hands of the Wildcats, who look to beat you in the exact same way. I just feel that Kansas State is the far superior team and when you look at what the Big 12 has done in this tournament, I don't understand how they aren't getting more respect. Give me the Wildcats -1! 

50* NCAAB SWEET 16 SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Texas Tech +2)

I have a lot of respect for this Purdue team, but I just think they are behind the 8-ball after losing big man Isaac Haas. He was such a difference maker inside and really forced defenses to collapse, creating wide open looks on the perimeter. They were very fortunate to get past Butler in their last game, escaping with a 76-73 win. Luckily for them Butler isn't a great defensive team, at least not on the level of what they will face tonight with Texas Tech. A lot of people forget this Red Raiders team was playing as well as anyone to start the year before the injuries started to mount up. They are finally back to full strength and aren't just a team capable of winning this game, but making the Final 4. I think their ability to lock down the Boilermakers on the defensive side of the ball will be the difference. Give me Texas Tech +2! 

40* NCAAB SWEET 16 ATS NO-BRAINER (Villanova -5)

There's no denying that West Virginia is a difficult team to prepare for with their unique style of play, especially if you haven't seen it. It's really a difference maker when you have just that 1-day off between the first and second round, which I believe explains the annihilator of Marshall in the Round of 32. While these two programs haven't played each other since 2011, Villanova is one team that I think can handle the pressure. They are an experienced bunch with outstanding guards, which you have to have to beat this Mountaineer team. West Virginia might be able to hang around early, but I see Villanova winning here by double-digits. Give me the Wildcats -5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers -3)

I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a short home favorite against the Clippers on Friday. LA had a team meeting and responded with a 127-120 win at Milwaukee, snapping their 4-game losing streak. I'm just not buying it. The Clippers caught a massive break in that game, as Antetokounmpo hurt his ankle and played just 17 minutes. Had he not got hurt, I think the Bucks win that game, as they still managed to shoot 54.9% from the field. That's now 3 straight games where the Clippers have allowed their opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. I also love this spot for the Pacers, who need to get something going after suffering their 3rd loss in their last 4 games in Wednesday's 92-96 defeat at New Orleans. Give me Indiana -3!

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Wizards -2.5) 

My money is on the Wizards to cash in as small home favorites on Friday. I think this is a great spot to jump on Washington, as they will be eager to get back in the win column after losing 90-98 at San Antonio, a loss that simply came down to their inability to make shots on the road against a good defense. Look for the offense to get back on track at home against a Nuggets team that hasn't been great defensively and figure to have some tired legs playing their 4th straight on the road. Denver does come in off an impressive 23-point win at Chicago, but you shouldn't read into that win at all. The Bulls are in full on tank mode and basically had their "C" squad out there for that game. The Nuggets are simply not a good road team. In their previous 4 road games they lost outright to the likes of the Mavs, Lakers and Grizzlies. Give me the Wizards -2.5! 

40* NCAAB SWEET 16 ATS SLAUGHTER (Clemson +5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Tigers as a decently priced dog. I'm just not a believer in this Kansas team and while they have made it this far, I haven't been all that impressed. I know Azubuike was able to play 22 minutes in their last game against Seton Hall, but he's still not 100% and Seton Hall's Delgado really had his way inside, scoring 24 points and grabbing 23 rebounds. This Clemson team has been way undervalued ever since they lost Grantham for the season, but have continued to play at an extremely high level. I thought their 84-53 win over Auburn was one of the most impressive wins in the first two rounds, yet no one is talking about this team or giving them much of a chance to win this game. I really like their chances to pull off the upset, but will gladly take the points as some added insurance. Give me Clemson +5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 212.5) 

The Hawks come in off a shocking 99-94 win at Utah as a 13.5-point dog, but that was more of the Jazz not showing up to play. What gets lost in the win is how bad the Hawks were offensively, though it shouldn't come as a surprise. It was the 8th time in their last 9 road games that they failed to score more than 100 points. It hasn't been going much better offensively for the Kings, who have scored 98 or fewer in each of their last 3 games. I know the defenses aren't great here, but I just feel this total is way too high given the lack of talent both teams have offensively. Give me the UNDER 212.5! 

40* NCAAB SWEET 16 ATS KNOCKOUT (Gonzaga -6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs. It feels like this game is flying under the radar in Thursday's Sweet 16 lineup. I'm not sure why. Either way, I see some decent value here with Gonzaga, who I think was one of the most underrated teams in the tournament. On the flip side of this, I'm not a believer in the Seminoles. Sure they took out No. 1 seed Xavier, but was it really a big surprise to see the Musketeers bow out early. Let's also not forget that it was more Xavier collapsing than it was FSU being the better team. The Musketeers blew a 12-point lead late in the 2nd half. I also think there's a massive edge here in coaching with Gonzaga's Mark Few going up against the Seminoles Leonard Hamilton. Give me the Bulldogs -6! 

50* NCAAB SWEET 16 SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Michigan -2.5) 

My money is on the Wolverines as a short favorite here against the Aggies. Michigan got off to a slow start and barely covered their opener against Montana and then needed a 3-pointer at the buzzer to escape with a 64-63 win over Houston. I think because they didn't dominate, all the buzz around this team has taken a hit and I believe it has them undervalued here. That Houston team was way better than most people realized. On the flip side of this, Texas A&M is getting all kinds of love right now after their dismantling of North Carolina (won by 21) in the Round of 32. That was impressive, but let's not forget they barely got by Providence in their first game. I also think Michigan wasn't in top form after the long layoff from the Big Ten Tournament and will be a different team when they take the court tonight. Give me the Wolverines -2.5! 

50* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH (Spurs -5) 

My money is on the Spurs laying a short number at home against the Wizards. Washington has played better than anyone expected without John Wall, but even with back-to-back wins are just 4-5 in their last 9. I just think this team is getting way too much respect here against a Spurs team that is finally playing up to their potential. San Antonio has won 4 straight and despite a mediocre 41-30 overall record by their standards, they are a dominant 27-8 at home this season, where they have gone 21-13-1 ATS. Give me the Spurs -5!  

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors +1.5)

My money is on the Raptors to go into Cleveland and get a win over the Cavs on Wednesday. Toronto is playing exceptional basketball right now and are going to relish in the opportunity to send a message to the Cavs, who are still widely considered the favorites in the east, despite the fact that Toronto owns the best record in the conference by 5 games over the Celtics and 11.5 over Cleveland. The Cavs have won 2 straight and 3 of 4, but two of those wins came against tankers in the Bulls and Suns. The other was a 7-point win over a Bucks team that isn't playing well and they won by just 7-points despite LeBron James going off for 40 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists. For LeBron to have that kind of a game and they only won by 7 at home, speaks volumes to just how far this team has to go before the playoffs start. Keep in mind the Cavs aren't healthy right now and are still working on their chemistry as Love just returned after a 21-game absence. Give me the Raptors +1.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Grizzlies +12.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a big dog against the 76ers. The Grizzlies have been a complete mess for most of the 2nd half. A big reason for that was injuries to key players, as they just don't have a ton of depth. They are as healthy as they have been in a long time and have covered their last 2, which includes an impressive 101-94 win at home over a Nuggets team that is fighting for the playoffs. I think we get another big effort here in this one and more than anything I think the books have drastically inflated this line in favor of the 76ers. Give me the Grizzlies +12.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with OKC as a short road favorite against the Celtics on Tuesday. Boston is a great team and would be favored if they were at full strength, but that's not the case here. The Celtics are really hurting right now. They won't have Kyrie Irving, Marcus Smart or Jaylen Brown for this game and this simply isn't a great team without Irving on the floor. Sure they could beat some of the mediocre and bottom feeders without Irving, but asking them to take down the Thunder is asking too much. Especially with how well OKC is playing right now. The Thunder have won 6 straight and just went on the road and snapped the Raptors 11-game winning streak. With how tight things are in the west, this game means a lot more to Oklahoma City. Give me the Thunder -3! 

40* NIT LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Western Kentucky +5) 

I'll take my chances here with Western Kentucky and the points on the road against USC. The Trojans were one of the bigger snubs for the NCAA Tournament and I just don't think playing in the NIT means a whole lot to this team. They certainly didn't play up to their potential in their first round game, as they needed double-overtime to escape with a win over UNC Asheville. It's a lot easier for these smaller schools to find motivation in these NIT games and this Western Kentucky team is no joke. The Hilltoppers had wins over Purdue and SMU in non-confernece play. They also played Villanova tough in a mere 8-point loss as a 22.5-point dog. It's not out of the question that WKU is the better team here, especially with USC being without the likes of Bennie Boatwright and Chimezie Metu. Give me the Hilltoppers +5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (OVER 217) 

Two of the NBA's worst will face off tonight when the Knicks host the Bulls. Both teams are in tank mode and it would do them a lot better in the long-run to lose this game rather than win. I don't think either team will have any interest in playing any defense and these aren't great defensive teams to start with. Each of Chicago's last 4 games have seen at least 218 combined points and 4 of the Knicks last 5 have seen at least 125 points. Give me the OVER 217! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pacers -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pacers laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Lakers. This is a big bounce back spot for Indiana who dropped their last two. It's also a revenge game for the Pacers, who lost by 13 at LA in a game where they were horrific on offense, scoring just 86 points on 38% shooting (2 for 25 on 3-pointers). As for the Lakers, I think they are overvalued here because of their recent 6-1 run. They have since dropped their last 3 and I think the injuries are catching up to them. Brandon Ingram is still out with a hip injury and Kyle Kuzma is playing at less than 100%. Give me the Pacers -4.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Xavier -5.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Musketeers as what I feel is a great price given the circumstances. Xavier might not have deserved a No. 1 seed, but that doesn't mean this isn't one of the best teams in the country. I think all the people doubting them has them playing with a chip on their shoulder. I give FSU credit for their win over Missouri, but I wonder if the Tigers wish they wouldn't have brought back Michael Porter Jr. While he's a great player, I think it really messed with the chemistry this team had going. The Seminoles suffered a massive blow in that win, as arguably their most important player, Terance Mann, suffered a groin injury and is doubtful to play. Even with Mann I thought this FSU team was going to struggle to keep pace with the explosiveness of the Xavier offense. Now I give them little to no shot. Give me the Musketeers -5.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Kansas St -10) 

My money is on the Wildcats to not just win but blow the doors open against UMBC. The Retrievers pulled off the biggest upset in NCAA Tournament history on Friday, as they laid it on No. 1 overall seed Virginia in a 74-54 win. As impressive as that win was, it has UMBC in the biggest of all letdown spots and we often see this big double-digit seeds struggle to play well in the Round of 32 after a big upset. People just don't understand the emotional toll a win like that takes on a team. Players likely didn't sleep much on Friday and have been all over the media. Kansas State isn't an elite team and I know Dean Wade is questionable, but I don't believe it's going to matter here, as this team won't overlook the Retrievers like Virginia. Give me the Wildcats -10! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS SLAUGHTER (Michigan St -9) 

I'll take my chances here with the Spartans winning by double-digits over the Orange. There's no denying that Michigan State is one of the most talented and well-coached teams in the country. While the game wasn't as close as the final score would lead on, Izzo isn't going to be happy about a mere 4-point win over Bucknell in the opener. He's going to be on his team about playing a full 40 minutes. Syracuse proved a lot of people wrong getting this far, as most thought they didn't deserve to even be in the field, but due to having to play a play-in game they are now playing their 3rd game in 5 days. I just don't think there's going to be enough gas left in the tank to compete with Michigan State and this is a team that has had their struggles against the top teams in the ACC, especially away from home. Give me the Spartans -9! 

50* NCAAB ROUND OF 32 GAME OF THE YEAR (Michigan -3) 

I have the Wolverines making the Final 4 and absolutely love the value here with them laying just 3-poitns against Houston. Michigan came out extremely flat in their first game, as they let Montana get out to a 10-0 lead. The Wolverines found their stride and went on to cover in a 14-point win. The thing to keep in mind, is Michigan hadn't played in over a week with the Big Ten Tournament being played a week earlier this year. They clearly weren't in sync to start that game, but should be a full go here against the Cougars. Houston is a quality team and won't go down without a fight, I just think this Michigan team is playing as well as any team in the country right now and are a very difficult team to prepare for on just 1-day of rest. Give me the Wolverines -3! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Florida +1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Gators as a short dog against the Red Raiders on Saturday. Florida is a team that I think is flying under the radar right now. They really looked good in their first game, defeating St Bonaventure  77-62. The Gators really brought the defensive intensity, as they limited the Bonnies to just 35.4% shooting. I had high hopes for this Texas Tech team early in the year, but injuries really got them off track. They aren't playing anywhere close to their potential right now and that's evident by the fact that they are 0-7-1 ATS over their last 8 games. I just don't think the Red Raiders have the offensive fire-power to pull this one out. Give me the Gators +1.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 130.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the UNDER in this one. These are two teams that have made it this far in large part because of how good they are defensively. Loyola-Chicago ranks in the Top 50 in both 2-point and 3-point percentages allowed and combine that with a very methodical pace that just makes it hard for the other team to get in any kinda of rhythm. They allowed Miami to shoot 50% in the first round, but the Hurricanes only finished with 62 points. Tennessee on the other hand is an elite defense that isn't just a result of playing in the SEC. It's really carried them, as they are not a great shooting team. Look for both offenses to really struggle to get open looks and with a slow pace of play, this should might struggle to hit 120. Take the UNDER 130.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS SHOCKER (Charleston +9.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Cougars, who I think has an excellent shot of not only covering the spread but winning this game outright. Charleston has three big time scoring options in Riller, Brantley and Chealey, who all average at least 17 ppg. The Cougars will make Auburn work for every basket with their 3-quarter court man defense that often leads to opponents taking bad shots late in the shot clock. Charleston also rarely turns the ball over and do an outstanding job of getting to the free throw line and racking up easy points. Auburn was a great story and are a solid team, but they went just 4-5 down the stretch and really padded their record with a pretty easy non-conference schedule. Keep in mind this team desperately needed a win or at least show well in the SEC Tournament and they came out and got rolled by Alabama 81-63. I just don't trust the Tigers here. Give me the Cougars +9.5! 

50* SOUTH REGION SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nevada -1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolf Pack at basically a pick'em against the Longhorns. Nevada ran into a buzz-saw in the MWC Tournament and lost by 17 to San Diego State. The fact that they still made it as an at-large tells you just how good this team was during the regular season and I think the Wolf Pack could be a major cinderella story this year. People just don't realize how much talent Nevada has on this roster, but a quick look at their non-conference schedule tells you all you need to know. The Wolf Pack knocked Rhode Island and Davidsona nd lost by just 6 at Texas Tech and by only 4 to TCU on a neutral court. Keep in mind the Red Raiders and Horned Frogs were two of the hottest teams in the country to start the year. Texas isn't a bad team, but they are limited on the offensive end and could easily shoot themselves out of this game early. As for Nevada, they got 3 big time playmakers on offense, plus they take exceptional care of the ball and can strike from long-range (12th in the country at 39.8% from deep). Give me the Wolf Pack -1! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 159.5)

I'll take my chance with Friday's game between North Carolina and Lipscomb going over the mark here set by the books. I know this is a high-total and tournament games can be low-scoring, but I just feel the matchup and most importantly the pace will have this one flying past the number. The only way to slow down this potent Tar Heels offensive attack is to slow the game down and make them beat you in the half-court. That's not how the Bisons are built to play. Lipscomb wants to try and beat teams with their frantic up-tempo attack and aren't going to change their ways for this game. Keep in mind that UNC put up 90+ on 5 different occasions inside ACC play and are capable of hanging 100 on the Bisons if they get hot from the outside. Lipscomb scored 100+ in 3 games this season, including 108 in the Atlantic Sun title game over Florida Gulf Coast. Give me the OVER 159.5! 

50* EAST REGION SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Marshall +12) 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHER (Texas A&M -3.5)

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Michigan -11)

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Blazers -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Blazers as a short home favorite against the Cavs on Thursday. Portland has been playing lights out of late and a big reason for that is the elite play of point guard Damian Lillard. The Blazers have won 10 straight and are a 9-1 ATS over this stretch. Cleveland has been up and down since making all those big trades, but are consistently overvalued because of the fans love for betting LeBron James. Until the Cavs get healthy, I don't see them playing up to the level needed to win games on the road against a team like Portland. Cleveland is still without Love and Thompson, while both Hood and Nance Jr. are listed as questionable. Give me the Blazers -4.5! 

50* WEST REGION SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 143) 

My money is on Thursday's game between San Diego State and Houston finishing under the mark set here by the books. Both of these teams are built around their defense. Only Cincinnati posted a better defensive efficiency in the AAC than the Cougars. Houston not only plays great defense, but they do an excellent job of limiting second-chance points. That's going to make it tough for San Diego State to score. The Aztecs were the best defensive team in the MWC, thanks in large part to their length. All that size is great, but if you can play good defense like Houston does, you can make it really hard on San Diego State to score, as they aren't a great 3-point shooting team. I just think this is the ideal recipe for a low-scoring grind it out type of game and we are getting a great price to back the under here. Give me the UNDER 143! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 138)

I don't like to play a ton of OVERS in the first round, but I just feel the price is more than right to gamble with the OVER in Thursday's game between Texas Tech and Stephen F. Austin. While both of these teams play good defense, they also both create a lot of turnovers and love to push the pace. The Lumberjacks know they aren't going to beat the Red Raiders in a half-court game and will do everything they can to speed up the pace. Note that Stephen F. Austin played 3 Power 5 opponents in non-conference play. Mississippi State, LSU and Missouri. All 3 of those games saw a combined 155 or more points with all 3 Power 5 schools scoring at least 80 points. My numbers have this finishing closer to 150 than 140, so there's plenty of wiggle room to work with. Give me the OVER 138!

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Pacers +4)

My money is on the Pacers as a home dog against the Raptors on Thursday. Toronto comes in having won 9 straight and are 16-1 in their last 17 overall. The public is going to be all over the Raptors at this price, but I think the value is with the Pacers. One of the reasons Toronto has been so good during this stretch is the schedule, as they haven't had to play a lot of top tier teams on the road. The Pacers might not be viewed as an elite team, but they are playing some of their best basketball right now. Indiana is 6-1 in their last 7 and have gone 10-3 ATS in their last 13. Pacers are also a really good team at home, where they are 23-12 on the season. Give me Indiana +4! 

50* MIDWEST REGION SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Iona +20)

My money is on the Gaels to make the Blue Devils sweat in the opening round. Iona didn't play the toughest of non-conference schedules, but they did travel to both Syracuse and Rhode Island. While they lost both games, the margin of defeat was in the single-digits. Like previous versions of the Gaels teams that we have seen, Iona can light it up from all over the floor. They have 5 games who average double-figures and just as many that can knock down the open 3-pointer. The Gaels also like to push the pace and get out in transition, which is not something Duke has defended all that well. The Blue Devils are also playing a lot more zone defense, which can be a recipe for disaster against a quality shooting team like the Gaels. As good as Duke is, 20-points is a lot for them to win by against this quality of an opponent right out of the gate. Give me Iona +20! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Rhode Island -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Rams at basically a pick'em against the Sooners on Thursday. I think Oklahoma was fortunate just to get in and if it wasn't for all the hype around Trae Young I don't know if they would be in the field. Either way this is not the same Sooners team that caught the country by surprise back in November and December. After starting out 12-1 the Sooners have gone a mere 6-12 over their final 18 games. Young is no longer putting up video game like numbers and I just don't see Oklahoma flipping a switch and returning to their old form in the NCAA Tournament. Teams that can keep Young from going off have had all kinds of success against this team and Rhode Island has one of the deepest backcourts in the country and can really get after teams with their pressure (ranked 3rd in the nation in forcing turnovers). On the flip side they have plenty of offensive fire-power to have their way with a very poor Oklahoma defense. Give me the Rams -1.5!

50* NIT VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Utah -12.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Utes covering this big number at home against UC-Davis. This was a bit of a transition year for Utah, but they still managed to go 19-11 and were a rock solid 13-3 on their home floor. They closed out the year winning 6 of their final 8 games, which included a 5-game winning streak. 

UC-Davis is simply outclassed here and will struggle to keep this within 20-points. Note that the Aggies lost Chima Moneke, their best player, in early February. They just don't have enough fire-power without Moneke to compete against the big boys. Give me the Utes -12.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 205.5) 

My money is on a much lower-scoring game than the books are expecting in tonight's NBA action between the Celtics and Wizards. Boston will basically have their "B" squad out there for this one, as Irving, Smart and Brown are all out for this game and Horford could be added to the list before tip-off. Without Irving this Celtics team just doesn't have the offensive fire-power to explode offensively. What this team will do is get after it on the defensive side of the ball. Washington is coming off a up-tempo game last night against the Timberwolves, where the two teams combined for 127 points. I just don't see the pace being their for the Wizards in this one, as they not only are in the 2nd game of a back-to-back, but they are also playing their 4th game in the last 6 days. Give me the UNDER 205.5! 

40* NIT PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Lafayette +4) 

Most are going to just jump on the small number here with LSU at home, but I'll take my chances with the Ragin' Cajuns in this one. These two teams are both from Louisiana and that adds a little more to this game, especially for Lafayette, who will be extremely motivated to play here against the Tigers. This Ragin' Cajuns team is no joke. They won 27 games and can light it up on the offensive end, as they averaged 83.4 ppg on the season. I think they simply will want this one more. I'll take the points as some added insurance, but I expect them to win this one outright. Give me Lafayette +4!