40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Hawks +3) 

I'll take my chances here with Atlanta as a small home dog against the Blazers. This line is just begging you to take Portland, which makes me instantly want to be on the Hawks. Atlanta is far from tanking right now. They come in having won 3 straight and are 13-4 ATS last 17 games. Portland has won 5 straight and they just blew out the Bulls in the first game without Nurkic, but Chicago played a bunch of scrubs in that game and were essentially trying to lose. Trae Young is playing out of his mind and I think he carries the Hawks to a win. Give me Atlanta +3! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Oregon +8.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Oregon as a near double-digit dog against the Cavaliers. I think people are trying to talk themselves into Virginia, despite the fact that they have not impressed at all in the first two rounds and simply have not performed anywhere close to expectations in the NCAA Tournament under head coach Tony Bennett. I not only think they struggle to cover, but I could easily see them losing this game outright. 

You can't judge Oregon by their overall record and numbers. This has simply been a different team down the stretch. Dana Altman has the Ducks playing elite level defense and that alone makes them a candidate to win, as Virginia doesn't exactly light up the scoreboard. I could Oregon jumping out to an early lead and never letting go of that advantage. Either way, I don't see a blowout here by the Cavaliers. Give me the Ducks +8.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Florida State +8) 

I think Gonzaga is a bit overrated. Sure they have the win over Duke, which is definitely nothing to ignore, but they also lost to Tennessee and North Carolina. They only beat Creighton by 11, Illinois by 6 and Washington by 2. I think if they played in the ACC they wouldn’t be much better than Florida State’s mark of 13-5. At the same time I think Florida State could easily come close, if not match the 16-0 record that Gonzaga had in the WCC.

Keep in mind the Seminoles come in having gone 15-2 over their last 17 and their only two losses are to arguably the two best teams in the country in Duke and North Carolina.  Simply put, I think this line should be closer to a pick’em, especially when you factor in what the Seminoles did to the Bulldogs in last year’s tournament. No. 9 seed Florida State beat No. 4 seed Gonzaga 75-60 as a 6-point dog.

There were 9 guys in that game for the Seminoles who played 14 or more minutes and 7 of those are back this year.  Florida State’s defense was instrumental in the win, as they held Gonzaga to just 34% shooting. They are really strong on that side of the ball again this year. They just held Morant and Murray State to 62 points on 33% shooting. The same Murray State team that put up 83 on 54% just 2 days earlier in a win over Marquette.  

There’s no doubt in my mind that the Seminoles coaches and players are aware of the line for this game. I don’t think they will have any beef with being the underdog, but this line suggests that these two teams aren’t even close in terms of talent. I love when the better team is the one playing with a chip on their shoulder. Give me Florida State +8

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pistons -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Detroit snapping their 3-game losing streak with a solid win at home against the Magic. Pistons come in having lost 3 straight but all 3 were on the road and it was against the likes of the Blazers, Warriors and Nuggets. 

Not only is that 3-game skid helping the line, but Orlando is getting a ton of love right now, as they have won 6 straight and gone 5-1 ATS during this run. A lot of that success has came at home. Magic are just 16-22 on the road, while Pistons are 23-13 at home and have covered each of their last 9 home games. Give me Detroit -3.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -6) 

I’m going to take the Oklahoma City Thunder -6 at home over the Indiana Pacers. I just really like the spot here with Oklahoma City, as I think we are going to get a max effort here. Not only have the Thunder lost 5 of their last 6, but they come in off an awful 115-103 loss at Memphis, who was playing without Mike Conley. That came just one game after they pulled off a big upset win at Toronto.

I think the Thunder knew that Memphis hadn’t won a game this season without Conley and just thought they could show up and get a win. They brought zero energy from the start and it simply cost them. Not to mention Memphis has been taking great pride in playing hard against playoff teams, especially at home. Russell Westbrook by his standards was awful. He shot just 6 of 20 and was below his season averages in points, rebounds and assists.  

Great players seem to always respond from bad games like this and I expect a huge game for Westbrook in this one.  

I also like the revenge angle here. While revenge isn’t as big in the NBA as it is in college, it does play a role when there’s a short turnaround between games. It will be less than 2 weeks since they last played each other in Indiana and there’s zero doubt the Thunder have forgot about that loss. OKC blew a 19-point lead in a 108-106 loss. Keep in mind that’s a Pacers team that plays drastically different at home than on the road. Indiana is 28-9 at home and just 17-20 on the road.  

Another thing here is I think this one means more to OKC in terms of playoff seeding. Thunder are in danger of having to play Golden State in the first round, so every win is critical down the stretch. As for Indiana, they are sitting pretty in the No. 4 spot, 2 games back of 76ers and 2 ahead of Boston. Also no danger of falling back to No. 6, so they pretty much know they are facing the Celtics in the first round.  

Lastly, Pacers are just 1-7 ATS last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Thunder -6!  

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS BLOWOUT (Nuggets -7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Denver laying the big number at home. I believe the situation here sets up big time for a Nuggets blowout win. We know we are going to get a max effort here from Denver after they completely laid an egg in Sunday's 124-88 loss at Indiana. You could just see the lack of energy the Nuggets brought to that game. They are still just 1/2-game back of the Warriors for the No. 1 seed, so there's plenty of incentive to show up for this game, especially with the next two against at Houston and at OKC. 

They should be able to take advantage of a worn down Pistons team that is playing the final game of a 5-game road trip. Not to mention they are in a letdown spot with the last game being against the Warriors and this being their 3rd game in 4 days and 4th in the last 6. Give me the Nuggets -7.5!

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 225)

I"ll take my chances with Tuesdays' marquee matchup between the Bucks/Rockets going UNDER the total set by the books. Anytime you get two elite teams paired against each other, I think both teams come out looking to make a statement, especially when those teams each have an MVP-caliber player like we have here with James Harden and Giannis Antetokounmpo. 

There's also other incentives here. Milwaukee is trying to secure the No. 1 seed so they can start getting some guys like Giannis some much-needed rest over the final few weeks. Houston on the other is desperately trying to stay in the No. 3 seed in the west. 

These are also two teams that are very underrated on the defensive side of things and both have been playing really well on that side of the ball of late. Houston is only giving up 105.6 ppg over their last 5 and Milwaukee isn't far back allowing 106.0 in their last 5. UNDER is 15-5-1 in Rockets last 21 and 4-0 in the Bucks last 4 at home vs a team with a winning record. Give me the UNDER 225! 

50* NBA SOUTHEAST GAME OF THE MONTH (Heat -5) 

I'll take my chances here with Miami covering the short number at home against division rival Orlando. Magic come in having won 5 straight and fresh off a 119-98 blowout win over the 76ers last night. This latest run has kept Orlando alive for a playoff spot, but I think it's a bit of fools gold when you take a closer look at the schedule. 

All 5 wins came at home with the first 4 all against non-playoff teams in the Cavs, Hawks, Pelicans and Grizzlies. As for the win over Philadelphia, the 76ers played without Ben Simmons. Orlando has lost their last 4 on the road all by 8 or more, which included losses to both the Grizzlies and Cavs.

Miami is that team the Magic are chasing for that 8th and final spot, so there's big time incentive for the Heat to show up and take care of business. However, the biggest key here is rest. Heat are playing on 2 days rest, while the Magic are playing on 0 days rest. Give me the Heat -5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nets +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn covering the spread at Portland. I just think the Blazers are getting a little too much respect here, especially with C.J. McCollum still sidelined. Brooklyn comes in having won their last two and are still fighting to secure a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. Last time out they won at the Lakers. Nets are 14-4 ATS last 18 road games off a road win. It's also worth noting the Blazers won the first meeting in Brooklyn by 14 back in February, as the Nets are 14-4 ATS last 18 when revenging a home loss of 10 or more. Give me Brooklyn +6.5! 

40* NCAA TOURN LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Oregon -4.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Ducks laying the short number against the Anteaters. UC-Irvine pulled off the upset of Kansas State in the first round, but that was a Wildcats team that lost their mojo and one of their best players late in the season. Anteaters come in having won 17 straight and that's worth noting, as teams seeded 13-16 in the NCAA Tournament, who are underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 and have won 5 or more consecutive games are just 19-48 (28%) ATS since 1997. Oregon has been playing outstanding basketball and are 100% locked in on the defensive side of the ball. While all the other Big Ten teams were advancing, the Ducks annihilated Wisconsin 72-54. Give me Oregon -4.5! 

50* NCAA TOURN SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Virginia Tech -8) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Hokies blowing out the Flames. I'm just not reading too much into the Liberty upset over Mississippi State. Flames shot lights out and had a guy go off that barely averages 13 ppg on the season. This is also a much better Virginia Tech team than people realize. Hokies have multiple NBA talent level players and just got back their senior leader at point guard. Give me Virginia Tech -8. 

40* NCAA TOURN VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Washington +12) 

I'll take my chances here with the Huskies covering as a double-digit dog against the Tar Heels. Washington plays a very effective zone defense and ranks 17th in the country in defensive efficiency. UNC isn't a great 3-point shooting team and I think they could have a hard time getting into a rhythm in this one. I don't think it will be enough for the Huskies to get the win, but I do like them to make a game of it and keep it within single digits. Bet Washington +12! 

40* NCAA TOURN PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Auburn -2) 

I'll take my chances here with Auburn advancing past the Jayhawks and on to the Sweet 16. Auburn won by just 1-point over New Mexico State, failing to cover as a 6-point favorite. However, they had that game in the bag and let the Aggies back in it late. I think that has Auburn undervalued here, especially with how good KU looked in their 34-point win over Northeastern. I just think Auburn is a tough team to play on short rest and the Tigers are simply the better team. Give me Auburn -2! 

50* NCAA TOURN VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Minnesota +10.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Gophers as a double-digit dog against the Spartans. Minnesota was impressive in Thursday's drubbing of Louisville. Gophers shot lights out in Des Moines and a big reason for that is it had to feel like a home game with all the Minnesota fans that made the short drive down for the game. I expect the same thing here. While Gophers looked great, Michigan State won by 11 over Bradly, but that was a dog fight 90% of that game. I think the loss of Kyle Ahrens is bigger than people are making it out to be. Give me Minnesota +10.5! 

40* NCAA TOURN BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Michigan -6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines laying the 6 against the Gators. Michigan impressed in their opening round win against Montana, as that Grizzlies team is better than people think. Florida upset Nevada, but after watching that game the Gators should have never been a dog. Wolf Pack really gave that game away with their sloppy play and poor shot selection. Michigan always play their best when it matters the most and they are extremely tough to prepare for on just 1-day of prep. Give me the Wolverines -6! 

50* NCAA 1ST ROUND TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Under 126.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Friday's matchup between Virginia Tech and St. Louis. I don't think either of these two teams are going to find it easy to score, as both of these teams are built on their defense. Both rank in the Top 15 in the country in defensive efficiency. St Louis also likes to grind things out and limit the number of possessions, which is ideal for unders. It's why the UNDER has cashed in 37 of the last 54 non-conference games for the Billikens. Give me the UNDER 126.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Mississippi St -6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs covering the 6-point spread against the Flames. I love No. 12 over a No. 5 upset as everyone else, but I don't think it's happening here. Mississippi State is hands down the better team and will have no problem here winning by double-digits. Liberty lost to two SEC teams in Alabama and Vanderbilt by more than this number, including a 9-point loss to a Commodores team that didn't win a single game in the SEC. Mississippi State won by 16 on the road in their only meeting against Vanderbilt. Give me Mississippi State -6! 

50* NCAA TOURN VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Houston -12) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Houston. While I think most people are aware of what Houston had done, but I don't think the majority understand just how good this team is. The Cougars rank 19th in offensive efficiency and 15th in defensive efficiency. Georgia State in comparison ranks 102nd in offensive efficiency and 143rd in defensive efficiency. 

One thing that Georgia State does well is shoot the 3-pointer, but that's a big problem. Houston ranks 3rd in 3-point percentage D. I just think that this is going to be a blowout right from the start. Give me Houston -12! 

40* NCAAB UNDERDOG ATS SHOCKER (Colgate +17.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Raiders keeping this thing closer than expected against the Vols. Don't get me wrong, I'm not expecting a win here for Colgate, but I think they can keep this close. 

That's because the Raiders can effectively score the basketball and are really good from behind the 3-point line. All five of Colgate's starters can shoot the 3. The worst of the bunch is Tucker Richardson and he shoots 36%. Tennessee only had 3 guys who play significant minutes that shoot better than Richardson. The Raiders will use the long ball to keep this close and the backdoor will be wide open if it comes to that. Give me Colgate +17.5! 

40* MARCH MADNESS ATS MASSACRE (Texas Tech -12.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders making easy work of the Norse. Texas Tech is better than people think. The surprising loss to West Virginia in the Big 12 Tournament is the only reason they aren't getting more love. 

I'm confident that was more of them just not taking that game all that seriously, as they had beat West Virginia by 31 in the most recent meeting between the two. They had also won 9 straight prior to that upset, so it's not like that was a continuation of bad play. The fact that this team stood toe-to-toe with Duke in non-conference lets me know they are for real. Give me the Red Raiders -12.5! 

50* NCAA TOURN LATE NIGHT SHARP TOP PLAY (Montana +15) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Grizzlies covering the 15 against the Wolverines in the opening round. It's not suppose to happen, but the NCAA Tournament made a mistake and for the second straight year the same two teams will play in the 1st round of the tournament. Michigan won the meeting last year, but only by 14 points and it was a mere 3-point game at the half. 

That was also the same Wolverines team that made it all the way to the title game. I just this year's Michigan team is down a few notches from last year's squad, while Montana is a better version of themselves. Grizzlies did bring back their top 3 guys and 4 starters overall from last year's team. They also have one of the best coaches no one knowns about in Travis DeCuire. 

One thing that I really like is Michigan is not a team likes to push the pace, which is really what Montana struggles with. Grizzlies would prefer it be a half-court game. That's what their offense excels against. 

Another thing is Michigan offense is pretty unique and I think it's really tough on teams that haven't seen it before, which could be why they have had so much success in the Big Dance. Montana won't be caught by surprise. 

Lastly, I really don't like the mental state of Michigan after they blew yet another game against in-state rival Michigan State in the Big Ten Tournament. It might not be pretty, but I think Montana keeps this thing a lot closer than expected. Give me the Grizzlies +15! 

40* NCAA TOURNAMENT SOUTH REGION ATS MASSACRE (Villanova -4.5) 

*Analysis Coming* 

50* NCAA TOURN 1ST ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR (Nevada -2) 

I'll gladly lay a mere 2-point with Nevada against a Florida team that I'm not so sure deserves to be in the field of 68. Florida was just 9-9 in the SEC and outside of a couple of wins over LSU, they really struggled against the top teams in the conference. They lost by 21 to FSU, were outplayed at home by Michigan State and lost to the likes of Butler and Oklahoma.

On the flip side of this, I think Nevada is one of the best kept secrets in the country. Very few have any idea that this team was ranked in the Top 25 all season long. They were No. 16 in the BPI, No. 18 in the new NET ranking and No. 23 in Kenpom, which tells me they are a lot closer to a 5-seed. 

Nevada is also a team that lost out on a trip to the Elite 8 in the final seconds against Loyola-Chicago. They have an all senior lineup that consists of 5 different transfers. They are a very athletic bunch that has plenty of size (all 5 starters is 6'7 or taller). Look for Nevada to get a lot of freebies in this one. Wolf Pack rank 19th in free throw rate, while Florida has the 310th ranked free throw rate D. 

Gators rely on turnovers. Ranke 11th in TO percentage D. That's really negated here, as Nevada has the 9th ranked TO percentage on offense. Only reason Nevada isn't a better seed and not a bigger favorite is the non-conference schedule wasn't overly challenging. Still they didn't lose a single game out of conference. Give me Nevada -2! 

40* NCAA TOURN PUBLIC ATS BLOODBATH (Northeastern +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Northeastern covering the 6.5-points against the Jayhawks, as I really think the Huskies are capable of pulling off the upset. It's no secret that this is not the best Kansas team Bill Self has fielded in his time at Lawrence. Jayhawks failed to win the Big 12 regular-season title for the first time in forever, have lost multiple key players to injury or other reasons. 

Where Kansas really struggles is on the defensive end, especially at defending the 3-point shot. They ranked 136th in 3-point percentage D. Northeastern can light you up from downtown. Huskies have 3 different guys that are shooting better than 40% from behind the line and rank 15th in the country in 3-point percentage. 

This is also a veteran Northeastern team and I think that experience will really pay off big for this team against a young and short-handed KU squad. Not to mention the CAA has had it's share of teams from that conference who have played well in this thing. There's a reason why the Jayhawks aren't a bigger favorite here. Give me Northeastern +6.5! 

40* NCAA TOURN MIDWEST REGION NO-BRAINER (Auburn -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Auburn at this price all day. I think people are really sleeping on this Tigers team, which is kinda shocking given they just won the SEC Tournament, taking down No. 2 seed Tennessee by 20 in the title game.  

Auburn comes in having won 8 straight and there's no doubt they are playing their best basketball of the season at the perfect time. I not only think they cover the spread in route to a victory over New Mexico State, but this is a team I have picked to make the Elite 8 and wouldn't be shocked if they found their way to Minneapolis. 

Auburn is a very difficult team to prepare for. They really create chaos on the court for their opposition, as they were No. 1 in the country in defensive turnover rate. They not only get a lot of steals, but they protect the rim with a ton of blocks down low. Offensively this team likes to shoot 3-pointers and ranked 27th in 3-point percentage. Offensive as a whole was 12th in offensive efficiency. 

Props to New Mexico State for ending the year on a 19-game winning streak and making easy work of the WAC. I think it has the getting too much respect. Aggies lost 73-58 at home to a pretty average St. Mary's team, only beat Pac-12 bottom feeder Washington State by 6 at home. Their biggest claim to fame is a mere 3-point loss at Kansas, but Jayhawks had a big lookahead game against Villanova and had just played a good Wofford team. 

Also there were 9 times during their 19-game winning streak where they won by single-digits. Auburns only non-conference losses were a 6-point neutral site defeat to Duke and a road loss at NC State. They really had their way with everyone else and I expect the same here. Give me the Tigers -5.5! 

50* NIT VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nebraska -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Nebraska laying the small number at home against the Bulldogs. I think the public perception here is that the rumors regarding Fred Hoiberg will have a negative impact on this team. I think it will have the opposite. I think they come out inspired to send out their current head coach, Tim Miles, out in fashion. This is a Nebraska team that won 3 of their final 4 games, which included two victories over NCAA Tournament teams in Iowa and Maryland, as well as a mere 4-point loss to Wisconsin and they were playing their 3rd game in 3 days vs the Badgers (Wisconsin had a double-bye). Butler lost 5 of their last 6 and were just 4-9 in their final 13 games. Give me Nebraska -4.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (76ers -3) 

I'll take my chances with the 76ers covering the small number at home against the Celtics. To some this might seem like a pretty reasonable line, given these are two of the elite teams in the Eastern Conference and Philadelphia will be playing on no rest after visiting Charlotte on Tuesday. The thing is, the 76ers are resting Joel Embiid to make sure he’s full strength for the Celtics. 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Cavs +9.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Cleveland as a near double-digit dog at home against the Bucks. Just feel like this is a really tough spot for Milwaukee, as I think they will have a hard time giving the Cavs their full attention. Bucks are also not nearly as potent without Brogdon, who they came out and said they missed after losing at home to the 76ers. With the Greek Freak not 100% (ankle injury) and how well the Cavs have been playing at home since the break, I would be surprised if Cleveland didn't make a game of this. Give me the Cavs +9.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Sacramento laying a short number at home against the Nets. Kings are still fighting for a playoff spot and really looked impressive in their last game, whooping up on the Bulls 129-102. The record of late isn't great, but a lot of that has to do with who they have had to play. So many of their games have been against the top teams. Kings are 21-14 at home and the Nets have really fallen off in the 2nd half. Brooklyn is just 4-7 in their last 11 and the 4 wins are against the Mavs, Cavs, Hawks and Pistons. Give me the Kings -3.5! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAl ATS NO-BRAINER (Hornets +1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Charlotte as a small home dog against the 76ers. This line is going to to look too good to be true for a lot of the public, as they won't be able to pass up Philadelphia at basically a pick'em. The key here is this is a massive letdown spot for the 76ers off a statement road win against the Bucks and another huge game on deck tomorrow at home against the Celtics. Embiid is also sitting this one out and they are not the same team without him on the floor. Give me Charlotte +1.5! 

40* NIT VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Hofstra +9.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Pride as a near double-digit dog. The NIT has a lot of quality teams in it, but what people forget to factor in is whether or not teams actually are motivated to do well in it. Teams that were on the bubble and felt like they should have made the NCAA Tournament and ended up getting left out, often struggled to play well in this one, especially out of the gate. Hofstra is no joke of an opponent. This team only lost by 11 at Maryland and 2 at VCU in non-conference. Even if NC State was 100% locked in, I think the Pride could cover this number and given the spot I wouldn't be shocked if they won outright. Give me Hofstra +9.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Blazers -4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Blazers laying a short number at home against the Pacers. I think we are getting a great price on Portland due to the injury to C.J. McCollum. No question that's a big loss, but the Blazers are pretty deep at shooting guard and should be able to make due without him for a few games, especially at home where they are 25-9 on the season. Pacers are coming off a crushing 102-100 loss at Denver and are just 6-7 in their last 13 and a .500 team on the road. Give me the Blazers -4! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Dallas staying hot and covering the small number at home against the struggling Pelicans. Mavericks snapped a 7-game losing streak with a 121-116 win over the Cavs on Saturday and shot 51.1% from the field in the victory. That was Dallas' best shooting performance since they shot 53.65 from the field in late January. New Orleans is the ideal team to keep it rolling against, as the Pelicans have allowed 116.6 ppg and 46% shooting on the road and are giving up a ridiculous 129.0 ppg and 50% shooting over their last 5 games. Give me the Mavs -4.5!

 40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 225.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in tonight's marquee matchup between the Spurs and Warriors. Golden State is coming off one of it's best defensive performances of the season, as they held Russell Westbrook, Paul George and the OKC Thunder to just 88 points on 32.3% shooting in Saturday's 22-point blowout win. The game before they limited James Harden and the Rockets to 104 points. Spurs have won 8 straight and during this run have been locking opponents down. San Antonio has allowed more than 105 in just one game during this hot stretch and we can bank on a big effort here. Give me the UNDER 222.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGTHER (Bulls +7) 

I'll take my chances with Chicago covering as a big road dog against the Kings. This is simply too many points for Sacramento to be laying. While the Kings aren't officially out of the playoff race, they are a full 6-games back with just 14 to play. They know their chances are slim to none and they come in having lost 3 straight. Bulls have been hit or miss, but I'm expecting a big effort here after watching their coach get ejected in their last game, as he was sticking up for his players. Wouldn't surprise me at all of Chicago won this game outright. Give me the Bulls +7! 

40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (76ers +6.5) 

I'll take my chances with the 76ers covering as a big road dog against the Bucks. Milwaukee is simply getting way too much respect in this one. Philadelphia has won 3 straight and have simply been a different team when at full strength. Milwaukee on the other hand is going to have to adjust to life without Michael Brogdon, who is expected to miss 6 to 8 weeks. That's a big blow. Brogdon is averaging 15.6 ppg and is one of the Bucks best 3-point shooters. I not only think the 76ers cover, but I like them to win outright. Give me Philadelphia +6.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Michigan -104) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines on the money line in the Big Ten title game. I know the Spartans won both meetings in the regular-season, but that actually has me liking Michigan that much more in this one. The most recent meeting was at Michigan State, which the Spartans won by 12 and that's worth noting, as the Wolverines have covered 6 straight when revenging a road loss of 10 or more. Give me Michigan -104! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Washington +2) 

I'll take my chances here with Washington as a dog against the Ducks. No way should the Huskies be getting points in this one.  Sure Oregon just won on the road at Washington late in the year, but they were the team with something to play for, as the Huskies had already beat the Ducks and had the Pac-12 title on lockdown. Washington has been the best team in the conference all season and are a  dominant 13-4 ATS last 17 when coming off back-to-back wins. Give me the Huskies +2! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS KNOCKOUT (Grizzlies +2)

I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a small road dog against the Wizards. This is going to look like a favorable line to back Washington at home, but there's a reason this line is what it is. Wizards will be playing on no rest and for the 3rd time in 4 nights, while the Grizzlies come in off a full 2 days of rest and playing just their 2nd game in 6 days. Memphis also in a big bounce back spot after an ugly 21 point loss at Atlanta. Wizards not only figure to be fatigued, but could be without starting point guard Tomas Satoransky. Give me Memphis +2! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Villanova -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Villanova laying a small number in the Big East title game against Seton Hall. Villanova got revenge from a late season loss to Xavier on Friday, as they took down the Musketeers 71-67. Now it's time to get their revenge from a late season loss at Seton Hall (79-75). Wildcats are a ridiculous 17-3 ATS last 20 games played on a neutral site and 14-3 ATS last 17 tournament games. Give me Villanova -3.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa State +2) 

We cashed in free picks on the Cyclones Thursday and Friday and I'm not jumping off the ISU bandwagon in the Big 12 Championship. Cyclones were my pick to win the Big 12 Tournament and nothing has changed after impressive wins over Baylor and top seeded Kansas State. Kansas is still a team I don't trust in the slightest. This is going to feel like a home game for Iowa State and the Cyclones beat up on the Jayhawks 77-60 at home during the regular-season. No way should they be an underdog here. Give me ISU +2! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kentucky -1) 

I'll take my chances with the Wildcats at a pick'em against the Vols. Kentucky was my pick to win the SEC Tournament coming into this thing and that was an easy choice given they have won the last 4. Calipari simply knows how to get his team to peak at the perfect time. Tennessee is a good team and did beat the Wildcats by 19 earlier this month, but that was on their home floor where they were nearly unbeatable and Kentucky had already won the first meeting 86-69. Wildcats also played the second meeting without one of their best players in Reid Travis. Give me Kentucky -1! 

50* DUKE/UNC IN-STATE RIVALRY GAME OF THE MONTH (Duke -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Duke at basically a pick'em agains the Tar Heels. This isn't just another game for the Blue Devils. They got routed at home by UNC in the game where Zion hurt his knee and then lost at North Carolina again without him on the floor. This time Zion is going to be in action and he looked like the best player in the country in yesterday's blowout win over Syracuse. The big key is how Zion will impact the game defensively. May and other Tar Heels won't be getting near as many easy looks. Keep in mind Duke was favored by 10 at home in the first meeting, which means they should be around a 7 or 6.5 point favorite on a neutral site. Give me the Blue Devils -2.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Michigan -8) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines winning by double-digits over the Hawkeyes. Iowa had one of the more impressive wins on Thursday, as they rolled Illinois 83-62 as a 4.5-point favorite. Hawkeyes shot 52% from both the field and behind the 3-point line. Thing is they did the same thing to Illinois when they played them in the regular-season. Michigan is a much better defensive team and when Iowa doesn't have easy looks they find it tough to score. Hawkeyes also playing on no rest against a Wolverines team that has been off since Saturday and Michigan is playing with revenge from an earlier loss at Iowa. Wolverines are 9-1 ATS last 10 when revenging a road loss. GIve me Michigan -8! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Tennessee -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Tennessee covering the 5.5 against the Bulldogs. No question Mississippi State is a quality team, but I just think the Volunteers are on a different level. That certainly seemed to be the case in the only meeting between the two during the regular-season, as the Vols won by 17 and in the process Mississippi State to just 54 points and 33% shooting. Bulldogs are also a bit overrated in my opinion, they didn't beat any of the top 3 teams in the SEC (LSU, Tenn, Kentucky). Give me the Vols -5.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Marquette -4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Golden Eagles covering the small number against Seton Hall. We cashed in an easy winner on Marquette yesterday as they rolled St. John's 86-54 as a similarly priced 4-point favorite. After struggling offensively down the stretch, the Golden Eagles shot 51% and I like them to carry that over to this one. No question Marquette will be motivated, as they just recently lost at Seton Hall. Golden Eagles get their revenge and I wouldn't be shocked if this turned into a blowout! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS DESTROYER (Washington -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Huskies at basically a pick'em against the Buffaloes. We suffered a tough loss yesterday with Washington, who blew a double-digit lead and ended up winning by just 3 as a 5-point favorite. I still think this is the best team in the Pac-12 and the only reason this line isn't more is because Colorado has been playing well. Given that, the Huskies won both regular-season meetings, beating the Buffaloes by 7 on the road and by 9 at home. I see a very similar outcome here. Give me Washington -1.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Kentucky -11.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats covering the big number against Alabama. Kentucky was my pick to win this tournament before it started. Wildcats have won this thing each of the last 4 years and while teams like Tennessee and LSU are good, I still believe Kentucky is the most talented team in the conference and capable of winning the NCAA Tournament. Sure Alabama upset the Wildcats in conference play, but that was way back in early January and that's only going to have Kentucky that much more motivated for this one. Give me the Wildcats -11.5! 

50* NCAAB BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR (Wisconsin -7.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Badgers covering the 7.5 against the Cornhuskers. I paid the price for going against Nebraska yesterday, as they upset Maryland 69-61. That's not going to stop me from going against them again. Nebraska is not a deep team and will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days, while Wisconsin had a double-bye and is playing their first game in the Big Ten Tournament. Nebraska basically played 6 guys against Maryland, as Heiman only played 6 minutes. Badgers are the last team you want to play on tired legs, as they are going to really grind you down. The other big key for me is Cornhuskers are pretty much a one-man show offensively with James Palmer and Wisconsin has one of the best defensive players in the country in Khalil Iverson. Look for the Badgers to take control early and cruise to a double-digit win. Give me Wisconsin -7.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS DESTROYER (Iowa -4) 

I'll take my chances with the Hawkeyes snapping out of their late season funk and covering the small number against the Fighting Illini. Illinois is 12-20 and Iowa is 21-10. Hawkeyes have lost 4 straight and have failed to cover 8 straight. 3 of the 4 losses were on the road during their 4-game skid. Iowa has a big edge playing on multiple days of rest, while Illinois had to play in-state rival Northwestern on Wednesday. Iowa won the only meeting between these two by 24 and shot 68% from the field. Give me the Hawkeyes -4! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Arizona St -4) 

I'l take my chances here with Sun Devils covering the small number against UCLA. Bruins had to play on Wednesday against Stanford and snuck out a 7-point win. I don't see UCLA having any shot here of keeping this close on no rest against Arizona State. Only meeting between these two was at UCLA and the Sun Devils won by 11 as a 1.5-point dog. Give me Arizona State -4! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Texas Tech -12.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Texas Tech easily covering the big number here against the Mountaineers. West Virginia was able to pull off the big upset over Oklahoma in the opening round of the Big 12 Tournament, but lets be real, this team is a joke and are just not even close in terms of talent as the Red Raiders. Texas Tech enters on a 9-game winning streak and are motivated to win this thing to increase their chances at a top seed in the NCAA Tournament. they won by 31 last time the face West Virginia and it wouldn't shocked me if we saw a similar outcome in this one. Give me the Red Raiders -12.5!

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Marquette -2) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Marquette at basically a pick'em against St. John's I get the Golden Eagles had their struggles down the stretch, but I expect them to come out refocused and on a mission to win the Big East Tournament. It certainly helps they have the best player in the conference in Markus Howard. St. John's is a good team, but they haven't won a game on the road since early February. Red Storm are also 3-12 ATS last 15 on a neutral site  and 2-10 in their last 12 tournament games. St John's did win at Marquette, but the Golden Eagles are 29-12 ATS last 41 when revenging a loss as a home favorite. Give me Marquette -2! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Auburn -8.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Auburn winning by double-digits over Missouri. That shouldn't be a problem seeing how Auburn won by 34 in the only meeting between the two in the regular-season. Auburn is also one of hotter teams in the country, as they have won 4 straight and are 9-3 in their last 12 with two of those losses coming on the road to LSU and Kentucky. Missouri has won 3 of their last 4, but two of those were against Georgia and they are playing on no rest in this one. Give me Auburn -8.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Maryland -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Terps covering the small number against Nebraska. Maryland has been flying under the radar all season it feels like. They had lost 2 straight before a much-needed win over Minnesota in the final game of the season and I just think they are the far superior team. These two played in early February at Nebraska and Maryland won by 15 despite shooting just 38% from the field. Terps have feasted on mediocre teams like the Cornhuskers, as they are 9-1 ATS last 10 vs a team that's won 51% to 60% of their games. Give me Maryland -5.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Washington -5) 

I'll take my chances here with Washington covering what I feel is a really low number against USC. Washington didn't play their best down the stretch, going 2-2 in their final 4 after starting 13-1. I look for them to use that as motivation to play well in this tournament. Huskies were hands down the best team in the Pac-12 this year and won by 13 at home over the Trojans and really didn't play their best. I think the Huskies win here by double-digits easy. Give me Washington -5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -3.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with Houston laying a short number at home against the Warriors. The Rockets have already won each of the first 3 meetings in the series this season and have a chance to really make a statement here with a full 4-game sweep of the defending champs. Not to mention Houston is rolling right now, Rockets have won 9 straight and are 24-9 at home this season. Warriors are just 4-6 in their last 10 and will be without Durant for this one. Give me the Rockets -3.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Syracuse -7) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange easily covering the 7-point spread against the Panthers. Pittsburgh in my opinion is getting way too much respect in this one. Panthers had lost 13 straight before beating a couple fellow bottom feeders in their last 2 games. They will be on no rest against a Syracuse team that will be playing desperate after losing their final 2 and 4 of their last 5. Orange are without a doubt the better team and should win here by double-digits. Give me Syracuse -7! 

40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Heat -1.5) 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards -2.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Wizards laying the short number at home against the Magic. Washington continues to get no love from the books and that's evident by the fact that they have covered 5 straight. Magic caught the eye of a lot of people with how well they payed going into the All-Star break, but they are just 4-5 since returning and have lost 3 of 4, failing to cover in all 4 games. Washington is 11-2 ATS last 13 home games after 2 straight games with a combined scored of 215 or more, while the Magic are 0-5 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record and 1-4 ATS last 5 on the road. Give me the Wizards -2.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Louisville -7.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cardinals laying it on the Irish in the second round of the ACC Tournament. I'm not reading anything into Notre Dame's win over Georgia Tech in the opening round on Tuesday. Irish had a fluke 1st half where they scored 52 points. Note they hadn't scored more than 62 in an entire game over their final 5. Louisville is just 3-7 in their last 10, but a lot of that is because of the schedule and playing all the top teams late. What I love is the Cardinals are built on defense and with how Notre Dame struggles to score, this should get ugly in a hurry. Give me Louisville -7.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Blazers -2) 

I'll take my chances here with Portland as a small road favorite against the Clippers. This one comes down to rest. The Blazers have quietly been playing some great basketball over the last couple of months, but just don't get talked about all that much, which definitely plays into the line value. They just won 5 of 7 on their last road trip and will be playing here on a full 2 days of rest. Clippers are hot, but will be playing on no rest and 3rd in 4 days. Give me the Blazers -2! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Spurs -5) 

I'll take my chances here with San Antonio as a small road favorite against the Mavs. Star point guard Luka Donic has been downgraded to questionable with a knee sprain and with Dallas having little to nothing to play for, I would be shocked if they risked playing him in this one. Either way, I don't see the Mavs being able to keep this close. They have lost 5 straight and 10 of their last 11 overall. Spurs have won 5 straight and covered 4 of 5. Give me San Antonio -5! 

50* NBA UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE MONTH (Pelicans +10.5) 

I'll take my chances here with New Orleans as a double-digit dog at home against the Bucks. I just think the number here is way too much for Milwaukee to be laying on the road. Bucks have not played well away from home of late (lost 3 straight). They also really don't have a ton to play for right now, as they sit 2.5-games up in the East. I also think the line here is being inflated some for the injuries to Pelicans guards E'Twaun Moore and Jrue Holiday, but Frank Jackson has been balling in Holiday's absence. I don't think it's out of the question the Pelicans win this one outright. Give me New Orleans +10.5!
 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Celtics -2) 

I'll take my chances here with Boston laying a short number on the road against the Clippers. This isn't just another game for the Celtics. Last time these two teams played Boston blew a 28-point lead in a 11-point loss at home. Those are the games you don't forget about and I pretty confident the Celtics lay one on the Clippers. Boston has won 3 straight, all on the road, including a blowout win at Golden State. Clippers have won 4 straight, but their only win against a current playoff team since that win over Boston is last time out against OKC, who has been playing their worst basketball of the season. Give me the Celtics -2! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -1)

I'll take my chances here with Sacramento getting a road win over the Wizards. The Kings come in off a win at New York and need to get going if they want to have a realistic shot at catching the Spurs for the 8th and final spot in the Western Conference. I know Sacramento is just 3-6 in their last 9 games, but all 6 of the losses came by 7 or less and 4 of those were against the Nuggets, Warriors, Celtics and Bucks. Washington is just 5-10 in their last 15 and those 5 wins have come against the Cavs, Bulls, Nets, Wolves and Mavs. Give me the Kings -1! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Spurs -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with San Antonio at basically a pick'em at home against the Bucks. The Spurs are an elite team when playing at home. San Antonio has won 7 straight games at home and are 25-7 at home on the season. They also come in having won 4 straight and a big reason they are back on track is Derrick White is back healthy and playing well. Spurs last played on Wednesday, so they are on a full 3 days of rest. Bucks are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and have struggled on the road of late. Milwaukee did win the first meeting, but the Spurs are 8-1 ATS last 9 at home when revenging a same season loss. Give me San Antonio -1.5! 

50* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF TH MONTH (Heat +1) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Miami at basically a pick'em. Heat have won 4 straight and are a team that I really like to stay hot down the stretch. Miami didn't have one of their better players in Dragic until after the All-Star break and he's just rounding into form. He's only played 19 games (14 starts) and is now second on the team in scoring at 15.1 ppg. Toronto is the better team in most scenarios, but the Raptors are sitting their best player in Kawhi Leonard and are simply getting too much respect with him not available. Give me Miami +1! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Cincinnati -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bearcats at basically a pick'em at home against the Cougars. These two teams played a tightly contested game at Houston earlier this season. The Cougars wound up winning by 7, but there's every reason to think a change of venue will be more than enough for Cincinnati to come out on top. The Bearcats shot just 33.3% from the field in the first meeting at Houston and had the lead with just over 6 minutes to play before missing their final 11 field goals of the game. Have to think Cincinnati shoots better at home and the defensive intensity won't be as high on the road for the Cougars. Give me the Bearcats -2! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +7) 

I'll take my chances with the Wizards as a decently priced road dog against the Timberwolves. I think we are getting value here with Washington because they are playing the second game of a back-to-back. Nothing new, as the books have routinely undervalued this team in this spot. Wizards are 5-1 ATS last 6 playin on 0 days rest. Minnesota on the other hand, has had 2 days off and you would think would be better off, but they are 1-7 ATS last 8 when playing with 2 days of rest. Give me the Wizards +7! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS NO-BRAINER (Xavier -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Musketeers taking care of business at home against the Red Storm. Xavier comes in off a loss at Butler, but have been a different team down the stretch. Musketeers have won and covered 5 of their last 6 including a 11-point win on the road against St. John's I don't think them going home is going to reverse things in this one. Give me Xavier -3! 

50* NCAAB BIG 12 GAME OF THE MONTH (Oklahoma State -4.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cowboys covering this small number at home against the Mountaineers. I just think West Virginia is getting way too much love off a 90-75 win at home against a short-handed ISU team as a 5.5-point dog. Mountaineers are 2-12 away from home with a 0-9 record in true road games. Add in this being Oklahoma State's senior day and I don't know how you pass up on a play here. Give me the Cowboys -4.5! 

40* NCAAB ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Florida +10) 

I'll take my chances here with Florida as a double-digit dog against the Wildcats. The Gators had Kentucky on the ropes in the first meeting, as they actually led by 11 in the 2nd half, only to end up losing the game by 11. Kentucky is sitting 3rd in the SEC behind Tenn and LSU and need to win and have both lose for them to earn a 3-way share of the SEC title. That's not important to this team. What's important is getting right for tournament time. Reid Travis is questionable to play, but I don't see him playing much at all if he does suit up. Florida simply needs this game more and that makes them an easy play at this price. Give me the Gators +10! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (NC State -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolfpack laying just 3-points on the road against the Eagles. Perfect spot to jump on NC State as they come in off an ugly loss at home to Georgia Tech, where they simply didn't shot up to play. Wolfpack shot 31.9% while letting the Yellow Jackets shoot 58.1%. That was a direct result of them coming off a crushing loss to FSU. They will be ready to go for this one and should win here going away. Give me NC State -3! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 234.5) 

I wanted to take the Warriors here off that embarrassing loss to the Celtics, but the spread is just a little too high for my liking. Good news is I like the OVER just as much, if not more, as these are two of the top offensive teams in the league. Both of which are not playing all that great defensively as they try to adjust to playing with a new star. For Golden State it's DeMarcus Cousins and for Denver it's Isaiah Thomas. Last time these two teams played the Warriors won 142-111 as they combined for 253. I don't know if they get there, but they easily hit 235. Give me the OVER 234.5! 

50* NBA CENTRAL DIV GAME OF THE MONTH (Bulls +4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Chicago as a home dog against the Pistons. Bulls get no love because of their 19-47 record, but they are playing their best basketball of the season right now. Chicago just beat the 76ers 108-107 at home as a similarly priced 3.5-point dog and are 6-3 in their last 9 overall. Detroit has won and covered a bunch, but this a big flat spot for the Pistons. Detroit will host the Bulls on Sunday as these two play a home-and-home. GIve me the Bulls +4! 

40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Jazz -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Utah covering the small number on the road against the Grizzlies. I just think Memphis is getting a little too much respect here. I was on the Grizzlies in their win over the Blazers on Tuesday, but that was more of a fade of Portland than it was a play on Memphis. Even with that win they are just 6-10 in their last 16 and the other 5 wins were all against non-playoff teams. Utah will be without Rubio and Neto, but Mitchell can run the point and has done so effectively this season. I don't think this is close at all. Give me the Jazz -4.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Blazers -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Portland covering the small number at home against the Thunder. The Blazers have really been playing well of late. Portland just went 5-2 on a 7-game road trip that includes wins at both Philadelphia and Boston, as well as a mere 2-point loss at Toronto. OKC on the other hand is trying to work out of a slump, as the Thunder are just 2-6 SU and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games. Paul George missed a chunk of those games and while he returned against the Timberwolves on Tuesday, he didn't shoot well and figures to take a few games to get back into that MVP form. Give me the Blazers -3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Illinois -2)

I'll gladly take my chances with Illinois laying a short number at home against the Hoosiers. The Fighting Illini have really been a different team down the stretch and just as expected they bounced back from a 3-game losing streak to knock off Northwestern at home in their last game. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games with 3 of those losses coming on the road. Indiana comes in having won 2 straight shockers at home over Wisconsin and Michigan State by a combined 3-points. I'm expecting a big letdown on the road, where the Hoosiers are just 3-9 this season. Give me Illinois -2! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS NO-BRAINER (UCF -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with UCF covering as a small home favorite against Cincinnati. The Bearcats are sitting tied on top the AAC standings with Houston at 14-2, who they will meet in the finale at home this weekend. Not only is this a big lookahead spot for Cincinnati, UCF is a team that is playing just as good as the top dogs in the American down the stretch. The Knights are 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games. The only loss coming by a mere 5-points at Cincinnati and that was them only scoring 18 points in the 1st half (trailed by 8). I think UCF wins this one outright, making them an easy play at basically a pick'em. Give me the Knights -2.5! 

50* NCAAB PAC-12 GAME OF THE MONTH (Washington -6) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Washington covering the 6-point spread at home against Oregon State. The Huskies already won by double-digits on the road against the Beavers and are 14-0 at home, where they are winning by over 12 ppg. Oregon State is also trending in the wrong direction. They just lost back-to-back at home against Arizona and Arizona State. Huskies are 12-4 ATS in their 16 conference games this season and are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 at home when they come in having won 8 of 10. Give me Washington -6! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Suns -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Phoenix laying a short number at home against the Knicks. There's not many teams I wouldn't feel pretty good about laying just 4-points at home against New York. I really like it with how well the Suns have been playing. Phoenix has won 3 of their last 4 and all 3 came as underdogs of 7 points or more. The effort and energy has really been there since the All-Star break and I'm willing to bank they show up and win this one without much problem. Give me the Suns -4! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pistons -5) 

Just a little over a month ago the Pistons were sitting at 22-29. Starting with a blowout win over the Nuggets at home, Detroit has gone 9-2 over their last 11 to get back to .500 at 31-31. With a win over the Timberwolves, they will have a winning record for the first time since they were 13-12 way back in early December.  They just beat the Raptors at home in their most recent game and their only two losses during this stretch have come on the road against the Celtics and Spurs. Not only will the be motivated to get above .500, but every game is crucial for this team down the stretch. While Detroit is sitting 6th, they are just 2.5-games ahead of both the Magic, Hornets and Heat, who are all tied for the 8th and final playoff spot.  

I expect a big effort here from the Pistons, who are also going to go into this contest feeling fresh having had the last 2 days off. Speaking of rest, that’s a big part of why I’m willing to lay the 5 with Detroit. Minnesota will be playing on no rest, as the Timberwolves have to host Russell Westbrook and the Thunder on Tuesday. While they will be coming off a home game, they only had 1-day off after finishing up a 3-game road trip. This will be Minnesota’s 8th game since returning from the All-Star break and they will have had to travel for all 8 games.  

Going into Tuesday’s game with the Thunder, the Timberwolves are 6-games back of the Spurs for the 8th and final spot in the West with just 19 games left on the schedule and there’s two teams they have to leapfrog  before catching San Antonio. I just don’t think this team really cares about making the playoffs, so it’s going to be really easy for them to not show up in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. Minnesota is also just 9-24 on the road compared to 20-10 at home.  Pistons have covered 5 straight games at home are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 when playing on 2 or more days of rest and a perfect 7-0 in the last 7 meetings with the Timberwolves. Give me the Pistons -5.  

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs +6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Mavs in this spot. No one is going to want anything to do with Dallas after seeing how this team played in their last two games, but I'm expecting a max effort here from the Mavs in this one. Head coach Rick Carlisle kept the locker room closed extra long after their most recent defeat at Brooklyn. I just feel whenever teams have a come together moment like this, they respond in a positive way. Washington is also a great team for them to get right against, as the Wizards don't play a whole lot of defense and offense has really been the downfall. Give me the Mavs +6! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Rutgers +2) 

I’ve been on this Rutgers team quite a bit this year and simply put there’s no reason they are a home dog in this matchup against Penn State. The Scarlet Knights are sitting at 7-11 in the Big Ten, which is a full 2-games ahead of the Nittany Lions, who are at 5-13. They also already beat Penn State on their home floor, winning 64-60 as a 7-point road dog back in late January.  

I just think a lot of people overlook how well this team is playing right now. Rutgers comes in off back-to-back wins, the most recent being a 14-point victory at Iowa as a 8.5-point dog. They are in a position to get a 1st Round bye in the Big Ten Tournament and guaranteed to finish out of the basement of the Big Ten standings for the first time since joining the conference.  

It’s not just the back-to-back wins that have impressed me. They are 6-5 in their last 11 Big Ten games and were competitive in just about everyone of those losses. I get that Penn State has also been playing well, but the Nittany Lions had their 3-game winning streak snapped last time out in a crushing 57-61 loss at Wisconsin.  I just think that loss will be a difficult one for them to bounce back from, as there’s nothing left for this team to play for outside of a miracle run in the Big Ten Tournament. Penn State is also just 2-9 SU in true road games this season.  It’s also worth noting that this will be the home finale/senior day for Rutgers, which is just another extra source of motivation for this team. I not only think they win the game outright, but I think this one could get ugly. Give me Rutgers +2!  

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Kentucky -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats bouncing back with a big win and cover on the road against the Rebels. I went against Kentucky on Saturday with Tennessee and it went just as I anticipated. Vols are an elite team and hadn't lost a game at home all season. Ole Miss has been a pleasant surprise, but are no where close to the elite teams in the SEC and I just don't see them being able to keep this one close. Give me Kentucky -5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Grizzlies +6.5) 

I'll take my chances with Memphis covering the 6.5-point spread at home against the Blazers. It's been quite the road trip for Portland, who are 6-1 to start their 8 game trip that concludes with this contest. I just think it's going to be tough for the Blazers to keep their foot on the gas against a bad Memphis team, knowing that they get to finally go back home after this one is over. Grizzlies have covered 3 of their last 4 and are better than they get credit for. Give me Memphis +6.5! 

50* NCAAB ACC GAME OF THE MONTH (Florida St -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Seminoles laying a short number at home against the Hokies. Virginia Tech comes in off an upset win over Duke at home, but the Blue Devils were once again without their star big man Zion Williamson. I just think that victory has the Hokies getting way too much love against a FSU team that has quietly been playing as well as any team in the country. The Seminoles are 10-1 in their last 11 games and with a win here can secure the No. 4 seed and a double-bye for the ACC Tournament. Not to mention this will be the finale home game for FSU, which adds that much more incentive. Give me the Seminoles -3.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -11.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Sacramento covering as a double-digit favorite against the Knicks. Kings desperately need a win after losing 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 overall. No better team than New York to get back on track against. Knicks lost 128-107 at LAC last night. The finally score really doesn't do justice to how lopsided that game was. Knicks trailed 82-46 at the half and I just don't see them being any more interested in playing tonight than they were yesterday. Give me the Kings -11.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -2)

I'll take my chances here with Boston laying a short number at home against the Rockets. The Celtics snapped their 4-game losing streak with a 11-point win and cover at home against the Wizards and I like them to carry over that momentum with a home win. Boston is 24-9 on their home floor this season, while the Rockets are just 15-16 on the road. Celtics are 8-0 ATS last 8 when they come in having lost 4 of their last 5. Give me Boston -2! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Oregon -4.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Ducks covering the small number at home against the Wildcats. I cashed in an easy winner on Oregon in their last game, as they absolutely rolled Arizona State 79-51 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Ducks had lost 3 straight prior all on the road before the blowout win against the Sun Devils. That win over Arizona State continued a trend of home blowout wins. Arizona is getting too much love for beating some bad teams here of late. Ducks roll. Give me Oregon -4.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Heat -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Miami laying a short number here at home against the Nets. Brooklyn is in a big slump right now, as they have gone just 4-8 in their last 12. Miami comes in off a loss at Houston, but they easily covered as a near double-digit dog. They have shot 50% or better in each of their last 2. I think this team is only going to get better as they just recently got back Dragic. Miami wins here no problem. Give me the Heat -4! 

50* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE MONTH (Tennessee -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Vols getting revenge against the Wildcats in one of the best games of the day. I was all over Kentucky when they hosted Tennessee earlier this season and they won going away. Vols are a perfect 16-0 at home and this is simply too good a price to pass up. Tennessee is also 16-6 ATS last 22 at home when revenging a loss where they gave up 85 or more. Give me the Volunteers -2.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bucks -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Milwaukee going to Los Angeles and covering this relatively short number against the Lakers. I just don't trust this Lakers team at all right now. I think there's some serious problems in the lockerroom, which stem from all those trade rumors. Basically the front office said now that we have LeBron, he's the only thing that's important. These are also young guys who have grown accustomed to losing and don't have that killer mentality that James demands. I also think LeBron is playing at less than 100%. Milwaukee is too good and there's no doubt they show up for this one. Give me the Bucks -4.5!

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Kings -3)

I'll take my chances here with Sacramento at this price all day against a team like the Clippers. I still think LAC is a bit overvalued, as this is just not the same team without Tobias Harris. They have won 3 of their last 5, but those 3 wins are against the Mavs, Grizzlies and Suns. So while they aren't as good as their record over their last 5, the Kings are a far better team than their 1-4 mark over their last 5 would suggest. Sacramento's 4 losses during this stretch are a 2-point defeat at Denver, 2-point defeat at Golden State, 7-point loss at Minnesota and a 1-point home loss to the Bucks. This is a legit team that is still flying under the radar of the public eye. Give me the Kings -3! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Nets -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn covering the small number at home against the Hornets. I know the Nets are coming off an ugly 125-116 home loss to the Wizards as a 5-point favorite, but I still really like this team and they will be getting back a big piece tonight in Spencer Dinwiddie. Not to mention, the fact that they are coming off that ugly loss, increases the likelihood we get a max effort here. On the flip side, Charlotte is a team you want to bet against as a small road favorite. The Hornets are 8-21 SU on the road this season and have covered just 2 out of their last 13 road games against a team with a winning home record. Give me Brooklyn -3.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Oregon -3)

I'll take my chances here with the Ducks as a small home favorite as a 3-point home favorite. I think we are getting a great number with Oregon because they come in having lost 3 straight and are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6. The 3 straight losses were all on the road, where they are just 4-8 this season. Ducks are 11-4 at home, winning by 12 ppg. ASU is just 2-9 ATS last 11 after winning 5+ of their last 7 and the Ducks are 15-5 ATS last 20 homes games after 2 straight conference games. Give me Oregon -3! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -7) 

I'll take my chances here with OKC covering the 7 at home against the 76ers. Philadelphia is still without Embiid and will also be without backup big man Boban Marjanovic. Even with Embiid the 76ers were not a great road team and I'm extremely confident here we get a max effort from Westbrook and Thunder, who have lost 2 straight and 3 of their lat 4. OKC is 21-8 for a reason at home and with this being on TNT, they are going to want to show out. Give me the Thunder -7! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Wichita St -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Shockers laying another short number at home. We failed to cash in on Wichita State in their last home game against Memphis, but I think that has created the great number we are getting here. UConn has lost 5 straight and are simply not the same team since Jalen Adams went down to injury. They have especially struggled on the road, losing by 18 at SMU and Temple. Give me Wichita State -4.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Villanova -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Villanova laying a small number at home against Marquette. The Wildcats have lost 3 straight and 4 of 5 after their perfect 10-0 start to Big East play. It has a lot of people looking to play Marquette here, who started this all with a 66-65 win. 

I just think now is the time to jump on Villanova, as we know we are going to get the best they got in this one. Not just to snap the losing streak, but to get revenge. The big thing to keep in mind with the Wildcats struggles is all 4 of the losses during this stretch came on the road. They are 12-2 at home and will be playing with a chip on their shoulder after getting dropped from the Top 25. Give me Villanova -5!