40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Xavier -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Xavier cashing in a cover as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against Creighton. I just think this is a great spot to jump on the Musketeers who are off an upset loss at home to Seton Hall and will be extremely motivated to avoid a 1-3 start in Big East play. 

The Bluejays just can't be trusted on the road against a good team. They are just 1-2 in true road games with double-digit losses to both Michigan and Butler. Creighton also doesn't have the size to match up with the big bodies of the Musketeers and that 3-point happy offense for the Bluejays will be up against an Xavier defense that is holding opponents to 28% shooting from deep. Give me the Musketeers -3.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Oklahoma State +3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Cowboys covering as a 3.5-point road dog at TCU. I just don't think the Horned Frogs are anywhere close to as good as their 11-3 record would lead you to believe. They have started out 2-0 in Big 12 play, but wins over ISU at home and K-State on the road are nothing to get excited about. 

Oklahoma State on the other hand has started out 0-2 in Big 12 play, but their two losses are to two of the best teams in the conference in West Virginia and Texas Tech. Cowboys were 7-0 before going just 2-5 in their last 7, but note that in this last 7 game stretch they have played 6 teams in the Top 50 of the KenPom rankings. TCU's only game all season against a team in the Top 50 was a home game against Xavier, which they lost by 8 points. I just think the wrong team is favored. Give me Oklahoma State +3.5! 

50* NBA NON-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Suns -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Suns laying a small number at home against the Magic. I think this is the perfect spot to fade Orlando. Magic are getting some love from the books due to the fact that they have won and covered 4 of 5, but a big part of that is they just played 4 straight at home. and the wins were against the Heat on no rest and the Nets and Wizards.

Magic only got one day off after their last game against Washington and have to travel clear across the country. Orlando is just 5-12 on the road this season. Suns have lost 2 straight at home to Memphis and Sacramento, so we know we are getting a big effort from them. Give me Phoenix -3! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Hawks +1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawks at basically a pick'em on the road against the Wizards. While Atlanta has just 8 wins on the season and are a mere 4-16 on the road, I like them in this spot. Hawks have been playing much better of late and a big part of that is the return of John Collins from suspension. He should have a field day here against the depleted frontcourt of the Wizards. 

Hawks have covered 4 of their last 5 games. While they are just 2-3 SU during this run, the 3 losses have come against the Celtics, Nuggets and Rockets. Big thing to note is all 3 were by 8 or fewer. Washington just lost 89-123 at Orlando and have allowed 114 or more in 4 of 5. Good chance they are still without their best player in Beal. Either way I like Atlanta to get the win. Give me the Hawks +1! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Over 146.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 146.5 between Iowa and Maryland. Hawkeyes are just built for high-scoring games, as they come in 5th in the country in offensive efficiency and 99th on defense. In Iowa's 4 Big Ten games the average score for those games has been 159.7, as they are averaging 79.7 ppg and giving up 80.0 ppg. 

Last time out they only scored 70 at Nebraska, but that's pretty impressive if you factor in they shot just 42% from the field and were a dreadful 4-33 (12%) from deep. They should shoot much better at home in this one, as they are shooting 48% from the field and 36% from deep at Carver this season. 

Maryland averages 74.8 ppg and have done so against a tough schedule. This will be only 7th time they have faced at eam outside the Top 85 in defensive efficiency. They have scored 80 or more in 4 of the 5 with the only exception being in a 74-55 blowout win over Fairfield. Give me the OVER 146.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Stanford -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Stanford as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against the Huskies. Cardinal have been one of the big surprise teams early on this season, as they are 12-2 with their only losses coming against Butler and Kansas, who are both ranked in the Top 10 of the KenPom rankings. Washington is 42nd. 

The other thing that I love is that the Cardinal are 9-1 at home with the only loss coming to the Jayhawks who are in a different class than a lot of teams. The defense did their part as they have all season (Stanford only giving up 58.3 ppg and 38.5% shooting), but they just couldn't get the offense going. Washington's defense is great inside, but they are vulnerable against the 3 and that's a big strength of the Cardinal. 

Another thing is this will be Washington's first true road game this season outside of a game at Hawaii in the Diamond Classic. To be in January and not really faced a hostile environment like they will in this one is a big task to overcome. I think they fail. Give me Stanford -2.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 224) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER 224 in tonight's matchup between Portland and Minnesota. If you look at the overall resume of these two teams the OVER might seem like the obvious play here. However, both teams are dealing with serious injuries and tough scheduling spots, which I think make the UNDER the clear choice. 

Portland is playing their 5th and final game of a brutal 5-game road trip and in their last 6 games rank a mere 23rd in pace of play at 97.2. As for Minnesota, they have really been a different team without Karl Anthony Towns. In the 11 games he's missed the Timberwolves have the 29th worst offensive rating and the best defensive rating. I just think given the circumstances there's a ton of value here. Give me the UNDER 224! 

40* NCAAB SHARP MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Marshall -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Thundering Herd laying a short number on the road against Middle Tennessee. Marshall comes in with a mere 7-8 record overall, but have been a different team since Andrew Taylor inserted the lineup 6 games ago. 

Herd did lay an egg last time out at home against North Texas, but that makes me like them that much more. Middle Tennessee is ranked 289th in the KenPom rankings and have lost 6 straight and 11 of 12 overall. Their only win against a Div. 1 opponent is against 224th ranked Lipscomb and they won that by a mere 3-points. In their last 3 games the Blue Raiders have fallen behind by 20 or more points in every game. I just don't think they got any business here being on the same floor as Marshall. Give me the Herd -4.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 216) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 216 in Thursday's big matchup between the 76ers and Celtics. I'm just not sure why the total is this high. I get the Celtics just gave up 129 points at home to the Spurs last night and will be on no rest, but I'm convinced that was more of a lack of effort than anything, as they had their eyes set on this matchup. 

On top of that, the 76ers won't have their best player, as Embiid is out with a dislocated finger. That's a massive blow for Philadelphia's offense. He's by far their best offensive threat and he was the main reason that the 76ers won in Boston earlier this season, as he scored 38 points on 12 of 21 shooting. 

Key here is that I do think those that will be playing for Philadelphia are going to give a max effort here with Embiid sidelined and that's going to come on the defensive end. Also, while I expect a much better effort from Boston, I do think they will be playing at a slower pace than normal with their tough schedule of late. Give me the UNDER 216! 

50* NCAAB AAC TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Over 140.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 140.5 in tonight's big matchup between Memphis and Wichita State. I just don't think the number here is anywhere close to high enough with the fire-power these two teams have on offense and the likely pace of play we are going to see. 

Memphis comes in playing at the 9th fastest tempo in the country. Tigers on average shoot the ball in 14.9 seconds, which is the 7th fastest mark. While Wichita State's defense has been great, opponents shots have gone up in 16.4 seconds which is 38th fastest. 

Also the Shockers defensive numbers have been greatly skewed by who they have played. Memphis is 68th in offensive efficiency. It will be the first team Wichita State will have faced that ranks in the Top 125 (9 of their 14 opponents have ranked outside the Top 200). 

Memphis also has great defensive numbers, but in their two games against good really good offensive teams they gave up 82 to Oregon and 78 to NC State. I think both teams hit 70 points no problem. Give me the OVER 140.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL DESTROYER (Over 215.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 215.5 between the Jazz and Knicks. I originally liked Utah at -11, but the line has gotten out of control and in turn see a lot more value on the OVER. Knicks played last night in LA and are giving up 120 ppg when playing on no rest this season (124.3 ppg if it's against a team with a winning record). 

Utah is known for their defense, but they are quietly transitioning into a more offensive team. Jazz are 11-1 in their last 12 games and in this stretch have scored 109 or more points in 9 of those games. I also don't see them being all that focused defensively against a bad Knicks team. Note that while New York did score just 87 in last night's loss to the Lakers, they had scored 112 or more in each of their previous 3 games. If they can simply get to 100 I think we cash this easy. Give me the OVER 215.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Texas -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Longhorns as a mere 3-point home favorite against the Sooners. Both teams come in at 10-3, but all 3 of Oklahoma's losses have come on the road and Texas is sitting with a perfect 7-0 record at home. 

This is also a big bounce back spot for Texas off an ugly loss at Baylor, where they scored just 44 points and shot 35% from the field. It's just kind of been how it's gone for the Longhorns on the road, as they are shooting a healthy 47% from the field at home. Big difference here is defense. Longhorns are allowing a mere 59.6 ppg at home and Oklahoma gives up 73.3 ppg on the road. Give me Texas -3! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Wisconsin -4.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Badgers covering the 4.5-point spread at home against Illinois. This is an easy one for me. Wisconsin is 7-0 at home, where they are outscoring teams by almost 20 ppg. Illinois is 9-1 on their home floor, but are just 1-4 on the road. Not to mention the Badgers are 30-16 ATS in their last 46 home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Illini are 1-5 ATS last 6 as a road dog and 1-6 ATS last 7 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Badgers -4.5! 

50* NCAAB MWC PLAY OF THE MONTH (Boise St -5.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Boise State as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Rebels. Great spot here to back the Broncos and fade UNVL. Boise State is going to be 100% locked in for this one after an ugly showing at Nevada in their last game. It's not the first time they have struggled on the road, as Boise State is a mere 3-5 away from home and 7-1 on their home floor. 

Big key here is UNLV has played 5 straight at home and have not played a true road game since way back on Dec. 4th when they barely squeaked by against a sub-par Fresno State team. I also think we are getting a good price on Boise because of the fact that the Rebels have won and covered 4 straight. Expect a different looking UNLV team on the road tonight. Give me Boise State -5.5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Xavier -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Musketeers laying a mere 2.5-points at home against Seton Hall. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with Xavier, as they are a perfect 8-0 at home. Not to mention a good time to fade the Pirates, who are getting a little too much love having won and covered their last 4. 

One thing to note here is Xavier's defense. Musketeers are only giving up 61.9 ppg and holding teams to 38% shooting at home. Seton Hall's offense has not been nearly as good away from home, as they are only shooting 41% from the field on the road. 

Xavier has covered 55 of their last 87 at home in the month of January, which comes out to 63% of the time. They are also 4-0-1 ATS last 5 times they have played at home against a team with a winning road record. Give me the Musketeers -2.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MONEYMAKER (Over 220.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 220.5 between Boston and San Antonio. OVER has cashed in 11 of the Spurs last 15 games as they continue to show signs of progress offensively, while continuing to struggle on the defensive end. In the Spurs last 5 games they are scoring 120 ppg and giving up 112.4 ppg. 

Celtics are a good defensive team, but I don't think we see them play up to their potential on that side of the ball tonight, as they will have a hard time not holding back for tomorrow's huge division game against the 76ers. Also 4 of the last 5 meetings in the series have gone OVER, including a game earlier this season where they two combined for 250. Give me the OVER 220.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pacers -1) 

I'll gladly back the Pacers as a slim 1-point home favorite against the Heat. All you got to do is look at the home/away splits to see the value is with Indiana in this one. Pacers are 15-4 at home compared to just 8-10 on the road. Miami is just 9-9 on the road compared to 17-1 at home. 

I also we are getting some value here with the Pacers due to the fact that Sabonis and Brogdon are both listed as questionable. I think both play. Sabonis hurt his knee in their last game and had to leave but came back and finished the contest. As for Brogdon he's reportedly been full court scrimming in practice, which is a pretty good sign he's ready to play. Even if both sit out, I still like Indiana to win and cover. Give me the Pacers -1! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Alabama -3) 

I'll take my chances with the Crimson Tide laying a small number against Mississippi State. Alabama got off to a slow start, going just 2-4 in their first 4 games, but a lot of that can be attributed to a tough schedule, as the 4 losses were against Penn, Rhode Island, UNC (before they lost Anthony) and Iowa State.  

Since that slow start they have gone 5-2 SU with their only losses coming on the road against Penn State by 2 and most recently a double-overtime 98-104 loss at Florida. They had the lead at the half in both of those games and were up by as many as 20 in Gainesville on Saturday. 

They have been an absolute covering machine to say the least. Alabama has covered 7 straight and 9 of their last 10 overall.  I think they are showing big time value here laying a small number at home against a Mississippi State team that has not lived up to the hype. Bulldogs just lost at home by 12 as a Pick’em to Auburn in their last game, falling to 1-3 ATS in their last 4.

One thing I really like here is the fact that this is the first real true road test for Mississippi State, as their only other true road game this season was at Coastal Carolina.  Note Alabama has played 22nd ranked toughest schedule according to KenPom, while Bulldogs have played the 114th toughest. Give me Alabama -3! 

50* NCAAB A-10 PLAY OF THE MONTH (Rhode Island -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Rhode Island as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against the Wildcats. This is an ideal spot to back the Rams at home as we can bank on a max effort after a couple of upset losses in their last two games, including a 61-69 setback against Richmond at home to open up A-10 play. 

It was almost like the Rams didn't give the Spiders their full attention to start the game and by the time they woke up it was too late. Rhode Island scored just 19 first half points and then put up 42 in the 2nd half. I expect them to be locked in from the start against a struggling Davidson team that has lost their last two and playing their 4th straight on the road. Give me Rhode Island -3.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT OVER/UNDER SLAUGHTER (Over 226) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 226 in tonight's late action between the Kings and Suns. No one has been playing at a faster pace in their last 3 games than Sacramento and the Suns have been a consistent Top 10 team all season in pace of play (3-points higher at home). I not only think these two teams eclipse the mark, but I think they fly past it. 

In the Kings last 5 games they are giving up 112.6 ppg and scoring 111.2 ppg. In the Suns last 5 they are scoring 115 ppg and giving up 115.2 ppg. Take that combined with the pace of play and both teams have a realistic shot of scoring 120 in this one. Give me the OVER 226! 

50* NCAAB BIG 12 PLAY OF THE MONTH (K-State -1) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Wildcats as a mere 1-point home favorite against TCU. Kansas State is off to a disappointing 7-6 start, while the Horned Frogs come in at 10-3. What people will fail to realize is the Wildcats have played the tougher schedule and have been really unlucky in close games. Of their 6 losses, 5 have been by single digits and only one of them have come at home. 

As for the Horned Frogs, they have benefited from a schedule that has had them play 11 of their first 13 games at home and the two exceptions were both games played on a neutral site. It's crazy to believe that this will be their first true road game of the season. They also are in a tough spot coming off an overtime game against ISU just three days ago. Give me the Wildcats -1! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS NO-BRAINER (Texas Tech -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders as a mere 3-point home favorite against Baylor. The fact that Texas Tech is favored at all over the No. 4 team in the country is worth noting. I just think people are sleeping on this Red Raiders team. I was all over them in their last game as a mere 5.5-point favorite against Oklahoma State and they won 85-50. 

Baylor comes in having won 10 straight and are 11-1 overall, but a big reason for that is the schedule has been favorable with only two true road games and one of those was a cupcake against Coastal Carolina. The other was against a decent Washington team, which they lost and shot just 35.4% from the field in defeat. They are also off a game against Texas where they shot just 31.2%. With how well Tech defends, especially at home, I think they win this one rather easily. Give me the Red Raiders -3! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL DESTROYER (Over 132)

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs and Ramblers going OVER the total of 132. UNDER has cashed in 3 straight and 7 of Loyola's last 9 games, which I think is playing into this small total. Drake can light it up, as they have scored 72 or more in 4 straight, eclipsing 80 in 3 of those. All 4 games saw a combined score of 152 or more. 

Last year both meetings between these two combined for at least 150, going off for 159 in the game at Drake. OVER is 7-0 in Drake's last 7 home games after a game that went OVER the total and 9-0 in their last 9 at home after allowing 75 or more in 3 straight games. Give me the OVER 132! 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Wolves +3.5) 

I'll take a shot here with the Timberwolves as a small road dog against the Grizzlies. Both of these teams come in playing well. Minnesota has won 4 of 6 and are 5-1 ATS in this stretch. Memphis has won and covered 3 of their last 4, including two straight outright wins as a dog at Clippers and Suns. 

Most are going to assume the value here is with the Grizzlies at home, but I don't know that's the case. Memphis just played 3 straight on the West Coast in a 4 day stretch and will have had just one day off after playing a back-to-back in LA and Phoenix. Jet lag could be a real problem here. Minnesota is playing their second straight on the road, but it's only their 2nd game in the last 5 days. Give me the Timberwolves +3.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 220) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 220 in tonight's matchup that has Toronto hosting Portland. I just think the number here is way too high given the circumstances for both teams. For Toronto they just can't catch a break. Already down Siakam, Powell and Gasol, they are now going to be missing VanVleet. That's a big loss, as he's a big scorer for them right now and also a guy that gets people easy shots. 

Raptors have also slowed the pace way down with all these injuries. Since losing all those guys in that game at Detroit back on 12/18 their pace of play rating is a mere 24th and figures to drop even more without VanVleet. 

Blazers have been in a lot of high-scoring games of late, but this will be their 4th straight game on the road in a span of just 7 days, as they have had to go from New York, to Washington, to Miami to Toronto. They too are decimated with injuries and I think they will be happy slowing things down and playing at Toronto's new slow pace. Give me the UNDER 220! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 122.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 122.5 as Missouri hosts Tennessee in SEC play. I just don't know where the offense is going to come from in this one. The Vols offense has been a complete mess since they lost starting point guard Lamonte Turner. They made 13 3-pointers in their last game against LSU and still only managed 64 points. The game before they totaled a mere 46 at home against Wisconsin. 

Tennessee will be up against an elite Missouri defense here, as the Tigers are allowing just 56.8 ppg overall and a mere 50.7 ppg at home. As for Missouri's offense, they aren't very good either. Tigers are only averaging 67.3 ppg against opponents that allow 66.9 ppg, which is not good at all for a Power 5 team given the cupcakes they face in non-conference play. Only once in the Tigers last 8 games have they scored more than 66 and that was against Chicago State. Give me the UNDER 122.5! 

50* NCAAB SUN BELT PLAY OF THE MONTH (UT-Arlington -6) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Mavericks winning by 7 or more at home against South Alabama. This might seem like a big number for UT-Arlington to be laying given that they come with a mere 5-10 record. Thing is the Mavericks have played the 12th toughest schedule in the country. 

They have already played 4 true road games against the likes of Nevada, Oregon, Gonzaga and Houston. Not to mention each of their first 4 conference games have all come on the road. UT-Arlington has also been a bit unlucky in close games. Each of their 3 conference losses have all come by 6 or fewer points. Their only loss all season by more than 11 points was at Oregon. They only lost by 6 as a 26-point dog at Gonzaga and by just 8 as a 14-point dog at Houston. 

South Alabama is 8-7, but have played the 223rd ranked schedule. They too are 1-3 in conference play, but note that all 3 of their losses have come by at least 10 points, including a 20-point setback in their last game at ULM. Give me the Mavericks -6! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Magic -5) 

I'll take my chances here with Orlando cashing in a cover as a small 5-point home favorite against the Nets. Magic come in off a loss at home to the Jazz, but that was more a result of them being in a really tough scheduling spot playing their 3rd game in 4 nights on no rest. Look for a much more energized and focused Orlando team in this one. 

As for the Nets, they come in having lost and failed to cover each of their last 5 games. All 5 losses coming by at least 7 points and 4 of the 5 by double-digits. Brooklyn has played zero defense in their last 3 games, giving up 122 to the Timberwolves, 123 to the Mavs and 121 to the Raptors. Magic are only allowing 100.9 ppg at home, so another lackluster defensive showing and this could get real ugly. Give me Orlando -5! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (76ers -6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the 76ers as a 6.5-point home favorite. Most will probably look to grab the points with OKC in this one, as the Thunder come in having won 5 straight and 9 of 10 overall, while the 76ers have lost 4 in a row. 

Not me. I think we are going to get a massive effort here from Philadelphia to make sure the losing streak ends tonight and let's not forget the 76ers are a dominant 16-2 at home where they are outscoring teams by an averaging of 10 ppg. As for the Thunder and their recent run, it's come against a very favorable schedule. While they do have wins over the Clippers Raptors and Mavs during this run, all 3 of those teams were missing key players when they faced them. I think they get a bit exposed tonight. Give me the 76ers -6.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Washington -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Huskies as a 5-point favorite against the Trojans. Perfect spot to jump on Washington after losing their last two, most recently falling at home to UCLA as a big favorite. No doubt we are going to get a max effort here from Washington and I just don't think USC is as good as their 12-2 record would lead you to believe. This is their first true road game in a month and by far their toughest test away from home this season. Trojans are just 2-11 ATS last 13 as a road dog and the favorite is 19-9 ATS last 28 meetings in the series. Give me the Huskies -5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Suns -6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Suns as a 6-point home favorite against the Grizzlies. Memphis comes in off a shocking 140-114 win at the Clippers on Saturday as a 10-point dog. Clearly LA was not motivated for that game giving up 140 points and I just think it has Memphis getting too much love here in a really bad spot. Grizzlies will be playing on no rest and their 3rd road game in 4 nights. Suns are also playing well they are 3-1 SU (only loss at LAL) and 4-0 ATS in their last 4. Give me Phoenix -6! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Illinois -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Fighting Illini as a small home favorite against the Boilermakers. Illinois is off an ugly 20-point loss at Michigan State, which I think is definitely playing into the number. Thing is the Illini are 8-1 at home and Purdue is 2-4 away from home and in their only true road game in Big Ten play they lost by 14 to a bad Nebraska team as a 13-point favorite. Give me Illinois -1.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Duquesne -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Dukes as a small 3.5-point home favorite against Davidson. I played on won on Duquesne as similarly priced 3-point home favorite against St Louis last time out. Dukes won going away 73-59 and are now 6-0 at home. Wildcats are off a 76-71 loss at Vandy that was much worse than the final score. Davidson is just 3-6 away from home and their only win in a true road game came against Northeastern by just 7. Give me the Dukes -3.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS ANNIHILATOR (Kings -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Sacramento covering as a small home favorite against the Pelicans. Kings finally snapped their losing streak with a 128-123 win over Memphis on Thursday and I look for them to build on that with a win here against what I feel will be a flat Pelicans team. New Orleans is on no rest and just gave all they had against LeBron, AD and the Lakers last night. Pelicans simply getting love here cause of their recent strong play, but it's not warranted in this spot. Give me the Kings -2.5! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Jazz -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Utah laying just 3.5-points on the road against the Magic. Orlando is off a big 20-point win over Miami, but that was more of Miami not showing up on no rest after a big win than it was Orlando playing well. Magic only shot 41% from the field in the win. Now it's Orlando in that spot, playing on no rest and I think they really struggle here against a red-hot Utah team that is 9-1 in their last 10 with 5 straight covers. Give me the Jazz -3.5! 

40* NCAAB AFTERNOON ATS MASSACRE (Syracuse -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange as a small home favorite against the Fighting Irish. Syracuse isn't as strong as what we are use to seeing, but this is just too good a price to pass up against what I feel is a very mediocre Notre Dame team. Syracuse has won 3 straight and outside of a home win against UCLA, the Irish haven't done much. ND has only played two true road games and lost both pretty bad and both games shot 35% or worse from the field. GIve me Syracuse -2.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 154) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Saturday's Big 10 matchup between Iowa and Penn State. These are two explosive offensive teams. Iowa is 4th in the country in offensive rating and the Nittany Lions are in the Top 50. Penn State also plays at one of the fastest tempos and this thing will be like a track meet with how both like to get out in transition. 

Iowa has scored 77 or more in 4 of their last 5 and are averaging 80.8 ppg on the season. Penn State has scored no fewer than 73 in in their last 7 and are averaging 80.4 ppg. Neither team is all that great defensively, especially when they get matched up against better teams. Give me the OVER 154!

50* NCAAB BIG EAST PLAY OF THE MONTH  (DePaul -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with DePaul as a small home favorite against the Friars. I think we are getting an exceptional price on the Blue Demons because of how the last game went for both teams. Providence routed Georgetown at home 76-60 and DePaul lost at home to Seton Hall 66-74.

Thing is the Friars win over the Hoyas isn't all that impressive, as Georgetown was down one of their top scorers and just don't have the depth to deal with an injury like that. As for the Blue Demons loss to the Pirates, I think they were caught a bit off guard with Seton Hall's start Powell playing when he was doubtful. I think DePaul bounces back in a big way here. Give me the Blue Demons -2.5! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS DESTROYER (Texas Tech -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders laying it on the Cowboys and covering as a 5.5-point home favorite. Texas Tech is 9-3 with their 3 losses coming in games where leading scorer Jahmi'us Ramsey either didn't play or left with an injury. We saw what this team was capable of when they had their way with then No. 1 Louisville in a 70-67 win. They won that game without Ramsey, but he's returned and I think this team is a lot better than people realize. 

As for Oklahoma State, they are also 9-3 and have actually played the tougher schedule, but I just haven't been all that impressed with them. They lost by 7 at home to Georgetown and just recently lost by 20 to Minnesota on a neutral court. They are not a great offensive team and Texas Tech's defense can be smothering, especially at home where they are 7-0 and giving up just 58.3 ppg on 39% shooting. Give me the Red Raiders -5.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 138) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 138 between Temple and Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane are 289th in pace of play and should be able to dictate the tempo at home, especially with the Owls figuring to be a bit flat footed playing their second road game in a 4-day stretch. 

Both of these teams are also really strong on the defensive end. Temple is only giving up 61.9 ppg and just held UCF to a mere 58 points on the road in their last game. Tulsa is only giving up 65.4 ppg and holding teams to 39.5% shooting at home. Owls are a miserable 38.8% from the field in road games this season. Give me the UNDER 138! 

40* NBA 76ERS/ROCKETS ATS NO-BRAINER (Rockets -4)

I'll take my chances here with Houston laying a short number at home against the Rockets. I know this is going to be a big public play, but no way I'm not taking a shot on Houston at this price. Rockets are 12-4 at home and it's no secret that the 76ers are not a good road team. Philadelphia is 16-2 at home compared to 7-11 on the road. I just don't think they got the fire-power offensively to keep this close and it's not like they are playing well or in a great spot. 76ers have lost 3 straight and are playing their 4th straight on the road. Give me the Rockets -4! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 143) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 143 in Friday's Big Ten matchup that has Rutgers visiting Nebraska. I just think both teams are going to easily hit the 70-point mark and that makes it an easy play with a total of 143. Rutgers is 0-3 on the road and scoring just 66.3 ppg away from home. However, they should not have a hard time scoring more than that here. Nebraska is giving up 74.9 ppg and are getting owned inside, so the Knights are going to get a ton of easy looks at the rim to get them going. 

As for the Cornhuskers offense, they have been playing much better of late and Rutgers defense has been not been near as good on the road as it has at home. Nebraska put up 90 at Indiana and 70 at home against Purdue in their two early Big Ten games. I think they come real close to their 75 ppg average in this one. Give me the OVER 143! 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Blazers -6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Portland laying what looks like a big number against the Wizards. I was on the Blazers as a 4-point favorite in their last game at New York and they wound up losing by 24. It was their 5th straight loss. I'm not letting that game deter me from taking advantage of Portland in this spot. 

Blazers are going to give a big effort here to snap the losing streak and this line tells me that Bradley Beal, who is questionable, likely isn't going to play. Even if he doesn, the Wizards are so decimated with injuries right now that they just don't have the talent to compete even at home. We just saw them lose to the Magic by 21 as a mere 3.5-point dog. GIve me the Blazers -6.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 223.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 223.5 between the Celtics and Hawks. Atlanta will be getting back their best offensive player in Trae Young and their offensive net rating is 13.9 points higher with him on the floor compared to when he's not. Not to mention he also makes their defense worse. Atlanta just can't defend the pick and roll and Celtics are one of the best in the league at pick and roll offense. 

Other big key here is that because Boston is so much better than Atlanta, this is not a game where they are going to feel the need to lockdown defensively. The proof of that is in recent matchups. OVER has gone 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams including 4-0 in the last 4 games in Boston. Give me the OVER 223.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Utah -2) 

I really like the value here with Utah as a small home favorite against the Beavers. I just think we are getting a great price on the Utes coming off that ugly 28-point loss to San Diego State. Sure the margin of defeat is a bit surprising, but the result was not. Utah had just laid everything on the line in their previous game, which they upset Kentucky as a 10-point dog. They only had 2 days between games and simply didn't have enough in the tank. 

Utah comes into this one having not played since that loss to the Aztecs on 12/21. Oregon State is 10-2, but have only played two true games and the only real test of those two was at Texas A&M and they lost that one 64-49 as a 6.5-point favorite. Give me the Utes -2! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 209.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 209.5 as the Bulls host the Jazz on Thursday. Chicago has been great against bad teams this year, but are just 1-12 SU when playing a team with a winning record and just gave up 123 pontis on 55% shooting in a home loss to the Bucks. I just don't think their defense can keep up against Utah. 

Jazz are known as a defensive team, but they really clicking on offense right now. The addition of Jordan Clarkson has really lit a fire under them. They have scored 100 plus in 9 straight games and are averaging 112.6 ppg in their last 5. Bulls are also playing better offensively of late at 108.4 ppg in their last 5 and a big part of that is the emergence of rookie Coby WHite, who has scored 18+ in 3 of the last 4 and is shooting 61% from deep during this run. Give me the OVER 209.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Heat -5.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Miami covering the 5.5-point spread at home against the Raptors. This just feels like the perfect spot to not only fade Toronto but jump on the Heat. Raptors are still down 3 starters in Siakam, Gasol and Powell.While they have remained competitive without those 3, they are playing their 4th game in 6 days, which I think is only that much harder given it's been over the holidays. 

As for the Heat, Miami is poised for a breakout game after failing to cover their last 3 and fresh off an ugly ugly 123-105 loss at Washington. Heat have had a full 3 days to stew over that defeat and should win here going away. Give me Miami -5.5! 

50* NCAAB ATLANTIC 10 PLAY OF THE MONTH (Duquesne -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Dukes as a small home favorite against the Billikens. St Louis comes in at 11-2, which is why we are getting such great value with Duquesne here. Thing is the Billikens just recently lost one of their best players in freshman sharpshooter Gibson Jimmerson, who was third on the team in scoring at 10.8 ppg. He was without a doubt their best shooter from deep (43%). He had accounted for 29% (24) of their 82 made 3-pointers. Add in point guard Yuri Collins playing at less than 100%. 

The Dukes are also off to a strong 10-2 start and that's no surprise. Duquesne returned 4 of 5 starters from a 19-win team. They 5-0 at home this season where they are outscoring teams by 21.6 ppg. They are shooting 47% from the field at home while holding opponents to 37.6%. Give me the Dukes -3!

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Portland as a small road favorite against the Knicks. I just feel like this is the perfect spot to jump on the Blazers who are desperate for a win after losing 4 straight and are matched up against a bad Knicks team that I got hard time believing wasn't out celebrating New Year's with how big a deal it is in New York. Blazers have gone a perfect 5-0 against the Knicks in the last 3 seasons, winning both games in NY. They make it 6 in a row with an easy win and cover tonight. Give me Portland -4! 

40* NCAAB SHARP MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Cincinnati -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Cincinnati as a mere 1.5-point home favorite against the Huskies. I just think the fact that the Bearcats are a mere 3-9 ATS on the season and have lost 3 of their last 4, has them showing tremendous value here at basically a pick'em on their home floor. This the same team that just recently beat Tennessee on their home court by 12 as a 2-point dog. I get UConn has been playing well, but what a lot of people will overlook here is the fact that this is the Huskies first true road game of the season. Sure they have played some neutral site games, but it's a whole different beast playing on the road in college basketball and Cincinnati has a great home court advantage. Give me the Bearcats -1.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 220) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 220 in Tuesday's NBA showdown with the Nuggets and Rockets. I know James Harden may or may not play, but I don't think it will matter. If Harden plays the Rockets are going to put up points, as Houston is averaging 118.8 ppg at home. if he doesn't they still probably score a lot as they got more than enough weapons. 

Keep in mind the Nuggets come in averaging 116 ppg in their last 5 and are giving up 110.4 ppg during thsi stretch, so they have been in a lot of up tempo games of late. You also factor in both defenses probably not giving a max effort here on New Year's Eve and this thing should fly past the number. Give me the OVER 220! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 152) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 152 in Tuesday's Big East showdown between Providence and Georgetown. I just feel the books have really missed the mark in this one. I get the Hoyas are a strong offensive team and are averaging 81.8 ppg, but those numbers are definitely inflated due to the non-conference schedule. 

It won't be so easy, especially on the road against a strong defense like Providence, which is only giving up 59.6 ppg and holding teams to 38% shooting at home. Friars are also not the best offensive team, as they have scored 70 or fewer in 5 of their last 7 with the two exceptions coming against Stony Brook and Pepperdine. Give me the UNDER 152! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Under 136) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 136 in Tuesday's NCAAB matchup that has Clemson hosting Miami. I think we are getting value here on the total because Miami comes in averaging 78.6 ppg over their last, but that has more to do with who they have played during that stretch. 

It just isn't going to be that easy on the road against a conference foe, especially the likes of the Tigers who are only giving up 61.4 ppg on the season and just 57 ppg at home. Clemson just played a game at home against Yale that didn't even get to 100 as the two combined for 99. UNDER has cashed in 4 straight games for the Tigers and it's no surprise with how good they are on defense and how limited they are on offense. Give me the UNDER 136! 

40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Pacers +2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a home dog against the 76ers. Indiana is 14-3 at home this season, while the 76ers are a mere 7-10 on the road. It's also not like Philadelphia comes in playing well, as they have lost their last 2 and are just 3-5 in their last 8 games. 

I also think it's tough on the road team playing on New Year's Eve and we should get a max effort from the Pacers. Not only are they going to be out for revenge against Philadelphia, they will be highly motivated to avoid a 3rd straight loss after losing their last two on the road. Give me Indiana +2! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Blazers -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Portland cashing in an easy win at home against the Suns. I think this is the perfect spot to buy low on the Blazers. Portland has lost 3 straight and will be 100% locked in for this matchup. Phoenix is off a win, but are just 1-8 in their last 9. Suns don't play much defense and are allowing 118.6 ppg in their last 5. Don't expect that to change with the Suns playing their 3rd road game in 4 nights and facing a Blazers team that is averaging 115 ppg at home this season. Give me the Blazers -4! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Over 142) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 142 between Davidson and Vanderbilt. Only 3 times all season has a Commodores came finished under this total. The only games that didn't is when they couldn't get their offense going and that won't be a problem here. Davidson plays small a lot and are vulnerable inside and Vanderbilt has the guys to take advantage of that. 

Both of these teams are very efficient offensively, as the Wildcats come in having hit 46% from the field and Vanderbilt is at 47.3%. Both can also light it up from deep, as Davidson averages 9 made 3-pointers and the Commodores average 10. I think this has the potential to hit 160. Give me the OVER 142! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (UMass +9.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Minutemen covering as a big road dog against Akron. I just think we are getting too good a price to pass up with UMass. Minutemen are just 1-6 in their last 7, but did get back on track in their last game in a 74-53 win against Maine, which they covered easy as a 12.5-point favorite. 

The thing with their 6-game losing streak, is all 6 opponents during that stretch ranked inside the TOp 100 in KenPom. As for Akron, they come in at 9-3 with a 7-0 record at home, but a lot of that is a result of a soft schedule. The Zips best wins on the season are against the likes of Tulane and Marshall and they far from dominated either of those. I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Minutemen won outright. Give me UMass +9.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Spurs -4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Spurs covering as a small home favorite against the Pistons. I San Antonio has been playing much better of late and I think we are getting a great price on the Spurs due to the fact that the Pistons are fresh off a 30-point win at home against the Wizards. I'm not buying into that result at all. Prior to that Detroit had lost 5 straight all by double-digits. Give me the Spurs -4! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Syracuse -22) 

I'll take my chances here with Syracuse covering the massive spread at home against Niagara. Most will be hesitant to lay this kind of number with the Orange, especially given they are just 1-6 ATS last 7 games. Not me. I think Syracuse is going to have this thing covered early win by 30+. Note that we have already seen Niagara lose by 47 on the road to Rutgers and this team has been absolutely dreadful against the zone this season. Not to mention they are awful defensively. Niagara is giving up 80.3 ppg and have allowed 82 or more in 4 straight. Give me Syracuse -22! 

40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Heat -5) 

I'll take my chances with Miami covering as a mere 5-point home favorite against the Pacers. As good as Indiana has been this season, I just feel there's to much value with the contrasting home/away splits for these two teams. Pacers are 14-3 at home compared to 7-7 on the road. Heat are 13-1 at home and just 9-7 on the road. Miami isn't just sneaking by at home. They are outscoring opponents at home by 13.5 ppg. Give me the Heat -5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Magic +3) 

I'll take my chances here with Orlando as a small home dog against the 76ers. This is 100% a fade of Philadelphia off their biggest win of the season. 76ers put everything they had into their Christmas Day game against the Bucks and wound up rolling Milwaukee 121-109. No surprise to me, as this Philadelphia team has a tendency to play great in the big games, especially at home and then lay an egg against bad teams, especially on the road. 76ers are 16-2 at home compared to 7-8 on the road, where they are actually getting outscored on the season. Magic are a respectable 9-6 at home and Orlando is going to be the much fresher team playing at home on a full 3 days of rest. Give me the Magic +3! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 225) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 225 in Thursday's NBA matchup between Memphis and Oklahoma City. Since Ja Morant returned from injury the Grizzlies have been playing at a super fast pace and that combined with their lack of defense has led to the OVER cashing in 6 of their last 7 games. Thunder are also trending up offensively, as they are averaging 116.2 ppg in their last 5 a stretch that has seen an average combined score of 227.8 ppg. Give me the OVER 225! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 226.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 226.5 in tonight's game that has the Mavericks hosting the Spurs. Dallas should have Doncic back in the lineup and with him they should do whatever they please against a bad Spurs defense that is giving up 116.2 ppg. In fact, both teams could go off here. San Antonio is averaging 120.0 ppg in their last 5 and the Mavs are scoring 117.2 ppg on the season. Both have also brought the offense in division games. Spurs are averaging 121.2 ppg against division opponents and the Mavs are even better at 127.2 ppg. Give me the OVER 226.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Lakers -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Lakers getting their revenge from an earlier loss to the Clippers. I know LA comes in having lost 3 straight, but they have been short-handed in a couple of those. With LeBron and AD both expected to play the Lakers are as close to full strength as they have been all season. I just think that combined with the homecourt edge will be too much for the Clippers to overcome. LAC is 1-4 ATS last 5 as a road dog. Give me the Lakers -2! 

50* NBA XMAS DAY VEGAS SHARP TOP PLAY (Under 223) 

My money is on the UNDER 223 in the huge Christmas Day matchup between the Lakers and Clippers. These two teams are so good that their numbers can sometimes be misleading, especially on the defensive end. Because they have so much offensive talent they don't have to bring it defensively on a nightly basis. There's no concern here with them showing up on that side of the ball in this one. These two have played once already and only combined for 114 points and that was with the Clippers shooting 51% from the field and the two combining for 24 made 3-pointers. I just think a slower pace and a little more defensive intensity are going to keep this thing well below the mark. Give me the UNDER 223! 

40* NBA XMAS DAY TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 220) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 220 in the big Christmas Day showdown between the Bucks and 76ers. Not many teams have had much success slowing down Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee offense, but few teams have the size and athleticism that the 76ers bring to the table. I really think Philadelphia is going to be able to slow this game down and play more at their tempo at home. Not to mention these are two really good defensive teams. Bucks lead the league in defensive efficiency and the 76ers are sitting in 7th. UNDER is also 6-1 in Milwaukee's last 7 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 11-4-1 in the 76ers last 16 home games vs a team with a winning road record. Take the UNDER 220! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers -6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Indiana covering here as a 6.5-point home favorite against the Raptors. Indiana has gone 13-3 at home this season and are going to be extremely motivated after getting annihilated 117-89 at Milwaukee yesterday. 

Toronto is also playing on no rest after a win at home against the Mavs, but this couldn't be a better time for the Pacerst to be catching a injury depleted Raptors team. Toronto will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and have a huge game looming at home against Boston on Christmas Day. Give me the Pacers -6.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Iowa -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Hawkeyes laying a short number against the Bearcats. The game will be played at the United Center in Chicago, but it's going to feel like a home game with all the Iowa fans that will make the short trip. Hawkeyes did lose Bohanan to a red-shirt, but are capable of playing well without him. Garza is playing like an All-American and this team is outstanding offensively with their ability to shoot from deep and unselfish play. Cincinnati just doesn't have the fire power offensively, especially with Cumberland not at 100%. Bearcats also in a tough spot after laying it all on the line at home against Tennessee on Wednesday. Iowa is the much more rested team. This is their first game since Dec. 12. Give me the Hawkeyes -2.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 218.5) 

I'll once again take my chances here with the OVER in a game involving the Grizzlies. We should have cashed the OVER last night with Memphis and Cleveland, but the Grizzlies were a no show in the 4th quarter and Ja Morant was off with just 8 points. I fully expect Morant to bounce back and for this thing to fly past the total. OVER is still 4-1 in the Grizzlies last 5 and each of their last 6 have seen at last 220 points. OVER is also 2-0 since Fox returned for Memphis. Give me the OVER 218.5! 

40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS ANNIHILATOR (Pistons -3) 

I'll take my chances here with Detroit laying just 3-points at home against the Bulls. While Pistons are playing on no rest after an ugly loss last night at Boston, they basically punted that game sitting both Blake Griffin and Luke Kennard. I don't think either injury is all that serious and it felt like more of them just resting those two in a back-to-back. Bulls are off a big come from behind win at Washington, but simply can't be trusted in this spot. Chicago is just 5-9 away from home and have only won back-to-back games once all season. Give me the Pistons -3! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Butler -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs covering as a mere 2-point favorite against Purdue in Saturday's neutral site showdown at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Butler is not only the better team, but they will be facing a shorthanded Boilermakers team that won't have big man Matt Haarms. That's a big blow for Purdue, as Harrms is averaging 10.8 ppg and 6.2 rpg. He's also the glue to their defense with his ability to protect the rim (2.5 blocks/game). I just don't think the Boilermakers will have enough offense to keep this close. Give me Butler -2!  

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS SLAUGHTER (Indiana -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers laying a small number against the Irish. I just think this is a complete mismatch in talent. Indiana looks to be back as a serious contender in the Big Ten. Hoosiers are 10-1 and come in off back-to-back solid wins over UConna and Nebraska. They also have a blowout win over FSU. Most of Notre Dame's success has come against bad teams. Their best win was their last game at home against UCLA, but even then they shot just 38% from the field. I think Indiana wins this going away. Give me the Hoosiers -2! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS DESTROYER (Blazers -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Portland laying 3.5 at home against the Magic. Portland comes in having won 3 of their last 4 and are 6-4 in their last 10 with the 4 losses coming against the Clippers, Lakers, Thunder and Nuggets. Blazers are really fighting right now to get back in the playoff race and this is the time to get on them with all their key guys playing well. 

As for Orlando, this is the perfect spot to fade. The Magic are coming off two crushing losses against Utah and Denver on Tuesday and Wednesday. Orlando is playing their 4th and final game of a 4-game road trip. Magic's defense has been slacking on this trip, as they have allowed 56%, 54%, 47% and 48% shooting in their last 4 games. Give me the Blazers -3.5! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the WIzards as a decently priced road dog against the Raptors. I just don't get why Washington is this big of a dog, as Toronto has recently been decimated with injuries. Raptors' best player, Pascal Siakam is out with a groin injury. They also won't have Marc Gasol or Norman Powell and Fred VanVleet is questionable. 

I just think because the Wizards come in having gone just 3-10 SU and 4-9 ATS in their last 13, we are getting a good price on them in this spot. I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Wizards won this game outright. Give me Washington +6.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Furman -9.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Paladins winning by double-digits on the road against Mercer. I've really liked what I've seen out of this Furman team. They are 10-3 and their 3 losses are all true road games against the likes of Alabama, USF and Auburn. They were competitive in all 3, including a mere 3-point loss to the Tigers. 

Furman is great on both sides of the ball, as they come in averaging 79.7 ppg on 48% shooting and are allowing just 64.2 ppg on 43% shooting. Mercer is off a win against UNC-Wilmington, but had lost 5 straight prior to that. They are scoring less and giving up more than their opponents allow/score on the season. Furman has also owned this series with a 10-1 record in the last 11 meetings, including 4 straight wins by double-digits. Give me Furman -9.5! 

50* VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 223)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 223 between the Grizzlies and Cavs. Memphis' is rolling offensively right now and pushing the pace while they are at it. Grizzlies have scored 110 or more points in 7 straight games. They have also allowed 111 or more in each of their last 4 and are giving up 115.4 ppg on the road. OVER has cashed in each of their last 4 games. 

Cavs aren't the best offensive team, but are scoring 109.6 ppg in their last 5 and should be able to score plenty here at home against a soft Memphis defense. Prior to their last game against Charlotte where the two combined for just 198 points, Cleveland had played 4 straight games with a combined score of 126 or more. Give me the OVER 223! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Georgia -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Bulldogs laying a small number at home against the Mustangs. Perfect spot here to jump on Georgia after they were just embarrassed in a 79-59 loss at Arizona State. That was just a tough spot for the Bulldogs. It was clear across the country and their best player Anthony Edwards wasn't at full strength. Georgia also shot miserable, connecting on just 35.6% of their shots. 

I expect a big effort here at home and the Bulldogs should get a boost with senior guard Jordan Harris eligible to return from suspension. As for SMU, they are 8-1 and were 8-0 to start the year before losing by 17 at home to Georgetown in their last game. Mustangs record is fluky, as they have played the 352nd ranked schedule. Give me Georgia -4! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 234.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 234.5 in Thursday's big NBA showdown on TNT between the Rockets and Clippers. These big TNT games on Thursday are often some of the biggest bet NBA games of the week and the books definitely inflate the total to the OVER in these games. Which is what I think is happening here. 

These two teams have played twice already, so there's familiarity between the two, which favors the defense. They did combine for 141 points in their most recent meeting, but LA shot 52% and Houston shot 46%. I just don't think we are going to see that good of shooting in this one, as I expect max effort defensively. Not to mention the previous meeting this season only saw 195 points and the total for that game was 233.5. GIve me the UNDER 234.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 225) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 225 in Thursday's big NBA showdown on TNT between the Lakers and Bucks. These big TNT games on Thursday are often some of the biggest bet NBA games of the week and the books definitely inflate the total to the OVER in these games. Which is what I think is happening here. 

No question these two have a ton of star power and come in scoring at a high rate, but I'm expecting a playoff like atmosphere in this one and both of these teams can be really good defensively when they want to. In fact, Bucks are No.1 in the NBA in defensive efficiency and the Lakers are No. 3. Both are also going to be without some key players, as Bledsoe is a no go for Milwaukee and Kuzma is likely out. Anthony Davis is also likely playing here at less than 100%. Give me the UNDER 225! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Marshall -10.5) 

I cashed in on Marshall in their last game, which saw them destroy Morehead State on the road 89-62 as a 2-point dog. One of the big reasons I liked the Herd in that game was they were adding in point guard Andrew Taylor for the first time this season. Taylor didn't disappoint with 13 points 3 board sand 3 assists. A lot of guys were playing out of position before he was inserted into the lineup. 

I just think his addition is going to really spark this team and there's value to be had on Marshall right now because of how poorly they had been playing. Eastern Kentucky is just 3-7 with their 3 wins over UT-Chatannooga, Chillicothe and Alice Lloyd. All 3 of those were at home. They come in having lost 5 straight, failing to cover in all 5 and all 5 losses came by at least 12 points. Give me the Thundering Herd -10.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 148) 

*Analysis Coming* 

50* NCAAB SUN BELT PLAY OF THE MONTH (Coastal Carolina -3) 

I'll take my chances here with Coastal Carolina easily covering here as a small road favorite against Troy. The Chanticleers are 7-4 compared to the Trojans who come in at 4-7 and the big thing to note is that Coastal Carolina has played the tougher schedule. 

I just don't think people realize how good this Chanticleers team is. All you have to do is look at their resume, which includes a 22-point win over Utah and a mere 12-point loss to Baylor. They enter having won 4 straight and are absolutely lighting up the scoreboard at 84.2 ppg on 49% shooting. 

Coastal Carolina comes in 162nd in the latest NET ratings for college hoops and Troy is way back at 275th. The Trojans 4 wins have come against Carver Bible, Shorter, North Alabama and Jacksonville State, so there's no hidden value with them. I mention how well the Chanticleers have played against some Power 6 teams. Troy has faced one so far and they lost by 38 at Indiana, giving up 100 points to the Hoosiers. Give me Coastal Carolina -3! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 136.5) 

I'll take my chances with St. Mary's and Arizona State flying past the total of 136.5 in tonight's neutral site matchup in Phoenix. OVER is 6-1 in St. Mary's last 7 games as they continue to light it up from deep. The Gaels are No. 1 in the country in 3-point percentage, hitting 43.8% of their outside shots and average 9-made 3's a game. Arizona State has scored 70+ in four straight and just put up 79 last time out against Georgia. St Mary's defense has struggled of late. Last time out they let Cal shoot 50% and put 77 points. The game before they allowed 53.8% shooting an 78 points to Dayton on a neutral site. I just feel there's a really good chance both teams get to 70-points. Give me the OVER 136.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 218.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 218.5 in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Grizzlies visiting the Thunder. This is not your Grizzlies from the last decade. Memphis is pushing the pace behind rookie point guard Ja Morant, who has really been playing well. Grizzlies have posted two of their best offensive ratings in their last two games. Memphis loves to get out in transition and that's one area OKC is struggling. Thunder 30th in PPP allowed in transition. On the flip side the Grizzlies are not a good defensive team. They are giving up 114.5 ppg on the road nad while OKC's offense isn't great, they are averaging 112.7 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 218.5! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Cavs -3) 

I'll take my chances here with Cleveland laying a short number at home against the Hornets. Always tough to lay points with bad teams, but I just think there's too much value here with the Cavs to not take a shot. Charlotte is in a terrible scheduling spot playing on no rest and 3rd in 4 days. Cleveland has struggled of late, but the schedule has been brutal. They just got done playing 5 of 6 on the road and the lone home game was against the Rockets. I think we get a big effort here and wouldn't be shocked if this turned into a blowout. Give me the Cavs -3! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 130.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 130.5 as Cincinnati hosts Tennessee. Both of these teams are built around their defense and this is a huge game for both teams in trying to build up that postseason resume. Not to mention both teams are coming off a loss. Vols are only giving up 55.3 ppg and that's against teams that average 71.1 ppg. Cincy only averages 73.9 ppg. Bearcats are giving up 63.4 ppg and Tennessee only averages 68.6 ppg. I think there's a full 10-points of value with this total. Give me the UNDER 130.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (St Bonaventure -15) 

I'll gladly take the Bonnies to lay it on the Purple Eagles tonight. Since adding in juco transfer Jaren English in late November St. Bonaventure hasn't lost, going 5-0 and have covered each of their last 3. They did start out just 1-4 before English arrived, so it's why we are still getting value with them. Niagara is a team they should beat by 20+. I mean the Purple Eagles lost by 47 to Rutgers. In that game against Rutgers they let them shoot 59% from the field. Bonnies have shot 46% or better in 4 straight and should score at will here inside, as Niagara has no one to guard 6-10 Osun Osunniyi. Give me St Bonaventure -15! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Washington -16) 

I'll take my chances here with the Huskies cashing in a win by at least 20 points at home against the Redhawks. Washington is going to be licking their chops for this one, as they have had to sit around for 8 days following a loss at home to Gonzaga. Seattle simply has no shot here of keeping this close against a motivated Huskies team. Redhawks have already lost by 31 at Washington State and by 22 at Syracuse. 

It's also worth noting that Seattle is an awful 3-point shooting team and one of the worst in the country in assist rate. That's a big time problem, as those are arguably the two biggest keys to attacking Washington's 2-3 zone. Redhawks also like to foul a lot and the Huskies are 32nd in the country in free throw rate. All signs point to a blowout. Give me Washington -16! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 226.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 226.5 in Tuesday's NBA matchup that has the Suns visiting the Clippers. These two teams played at Phoenix earlier this season and combined for 152 points with the two combining for 28 made 3-pointers and 58 made free throws. Suns will finally get back DeAndre Ayton from his 25-game suspension and he's a big add offensively. Devin Booker is questionable, but I think he could play here. 

Also, Phoenix played a grueling game last night at home against Portland, so don't expect a big defensive effort here. Offensively this team has scored at least 108 points in 10 straight games. Clippers are scoring 116.4 ppg at home and the Suns give up 113.6 ppg on the road. LA could also come out a bit flat defensively, as they just recently finished up a 6-game road trip and have a much bigger game on deck Thursday at home against the Rockets. Give me the OVER 226.5! 

50* NCAAB NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (OVER 153) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 153 between Oklahoma and Creighton. These two teams can both light up the scoreboard. Creighton comes in averaging 78.5 ppg on 48% shooting and those numbers jump up to 83 ppg and 50% from the field at home. The offense figures to get even strong as mid-year transfer Denzel Mahoney is expected to make his debut tonight. Mahoney average 19 ppg and shot 43% from 3 last year with SE Missouri State. 

Oklahoma is scoring 76.3 ppg and only once all season have they failed to hit the 70-point mark. They should have no problem hitting that mark against a soft Creighton defense that has given up 75+ in each of their 3 games so far against a Power 5 opponent. 

OVER is 4-0 in the Sooners last 4 road games and 7-0 away from home in the month of December over the last 3 seasons. Give me the OVER 153! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -4.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Sacramento covering the 4.5-point spread at Charlotte. I've really been impressed with the Kings start to this season, as they have had a couple key guys mis significant time and yet they sit 7th in the Western Conference standings. They just recently got back Marvin Bagley III and point guard De'Aaron Fox is expected to play for the first time since Nov. 8th. 

Charlotte has won 3 of their last 4, but are coming off a 107-85 loss at Indiana and have now scored fewer than 90-points in each of their last 2 games. Hornets are also 8-14 in their last 22 games and those 8 wins are against the likes of the Pistons (3x), Knicks, Warriors, Wizards, Nets and Bulls. Charlotte has also shot 41% or worse from the field in 3 straight and 5 of their last 6. 

You might think it's silly to lay points with the Kings on the road, but Sacramento is actually 10-1 ATS over the last 2 seasons when listed as a road favorite of 6 points or less. Hornets are also a team to fade off a bad loss, as they are 3-13 ATS last 16 off a blowout loss by 20 or more. Give me the Kings -4.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (North Texas +16) 

I'll take my chances here with the Mean Green covering this big spread on the road against the Flyers. Dayton comes in ranked No. 13 in the country, have won 3 straight and are off an absolute beating of Drake 78-47 at home as a 15.5-point favorite. I just think it has the Flyers getting a little too much love in this spot. 

This North Texas team is a lot better team than their 4-6 record would lead you to believe and the books have been consistent undervaluing them here of late. Mean Green are 4-0 ATS in their last 4, which includes a mere 2-point loss to Oklahoma as a 6.5-point dog. NT will be ready to roll for this one with a full 9 days to prepare. As for Dayton, they just played on Saturday and have a big lookahead game on deck against Colorado at the United Center in Chicago. 

Flyers are also just 9-19 ATS last 28 off a home win and a mere 1-8 ATS last 9 at home off a home win by 10 or more. North Texas is 9-1 ATS last 10 on the road vs a good team that's outscoring opponents by 8+ ppg and 9-2 ATS last 11 as a dog of 10 or more points. Give me North Texas +16! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Blazers PK) 

I'll take my chances here with Portland as a pick'em on the road against the Suns. Good chance Phoenix is without their best player in Devin Booker, who is questionable after getting held out of their last game against the Spurs. I think they give Booker another day off and let him return on Tuesday at LAC, which is also the first game back for DeAndre Ayton after his 25-game suspension. Blazers are just 5-4 in their last 9, but note that their 4 losses have come against the likes of the Clippers, Lakers, Thunder and Nuggets. They most recently lost by 15 at Denver on Thursday. I think we get a big effort here off that ugly loss and I really like the rest angle for Portland, as they will be playing on 3 days of rest, while Phoenix is on just 1 day of rest after playing Saturday in Mexico City. Give me the Blazers PK! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Pittsburgh -11.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Pitt covering the double-digit spread at home against the Huskies. Great spot to jump on the Panthers, as they are well rested and should be plenty motivated. Pitt hasn't played since a 18-point loss at Louisville on Dec. 6. Prior to that setback the Panthers had gone 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS. Northern Illinois has been on since Dec. 7, but had played back-to-back games in California before the break and are scoring just 62.4 ppg and shooting 38% from the field on the road this season. Hard to see Northern Illinois getting their offense going against a motivated Pitt team that is holding opponents to just 59.4 ppg and 39% shooting. Give me the Panthers -11.5! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS KNOCKOUT (Mavs -7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Mavs covering the 7.5-point spread at home against the Heat. This might seem like a big number for Dallas to be laying against a Miami team that has started strong, but this is simply the ideal spot to fade the Heat. Miami put everything they had on the line in last night's game against the Lakers and to make matters worse they blew a big lead and wound up losing a heartbreaker by 3. They are also playing shorthanded with several key guys out, which I believe makes it almost impossible for them to keep it close against the Mavs. We saw Miami in a similar spot earlier this month. They beat Toronto on the road as a dog and then the next night lost by 19 at Boston. Give me the Mavs -7.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Arizona State -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Sun Devils cashing in a win and cover at home against Georgia. I just think the books have completely missed the mark here with this line, as I got Arizona State winning this one by double-digits. This is really the first big true road test for the Bulldogs and it's a long long way from home. Arizona State is 7-2 with their only two losses coming to Colorado and Virginia. I just think an inexperienced Bulldogs team is going to struggle to keep this close. Give me the Sun Devils -3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Texas -14) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Longhorns covering the 14-point spread at home against Central Michigan. The Chippewas want to try to outscore their opponents and are doing a decent job of it against teams of their caliber. It hasn't quite worked against the big boys. They lost by 25 at Minnesota, by 13 at DePaul and by 22 at Valpo. Central Michigan allowed 82.3 ppg in those 3 losses, so look for Texas to score at will here. As for the Chippewas offense, they are averaging 90.0 ppg for the season, but just 62.3 ppg in those 3 road losses and Texas is giving up just 58.4 ppg. GIve me the Longhorns -14! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 137.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 137.5 in Saturday's big non-conference game that has Michigan hosting Oregon. The Wolverines are a really good offensive team and as is the case with most teams they are much better at home. Michigan is averaging 88.4 ppg at home and last time they played at the Crisler Center they scored 103 points against Iowa. Oregon comes in scoring 78.9 ppg and are scoring 76.8 ppg in their last 5. I just think both teams are going to hit at least 70 points and if they do we cash this thing easy. Give me the OVER 137.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Bulls -6) 

I'll take my chances here with Chicago laying it on the Hornets at home Friday night. Bulls were a team a lot of people were high on coming into the season, but they disappointed in a big way. A lot of people jumped off the bandwagon and the books made their adjustments on them. I believe it now has the Bulls flying under the radar and we see just that with their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games. Hornets are playing their second straight on the road and 3rd in the last 4 days. Last time out the Bulls won 136-102 as a similarly priced 6.5-point favorite at home against Atlanta and I really like them to win here by double-digits. Give me Chicago -6! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 223.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 223.5 in Friday's matchup that has the Hawks hosting the Pacers. Atlanta is just a great team for the OVER, as they are capable of going off on the offensive side of the ball, but play absolutely no defense. Hawks are giving up 118.8 ppg on the season and opposing teams are shooting 48% against them. Indiana is a strong offensive team and while they can be really good defensively, I don't think we get a great effort on the defensive side of the ball in this one. Pacers are fresh off a max effort in a big upset win at home over Boston and two days prior to that hosted the Clippers. They have to go play this game at Atlanta and then head right back home for 3 more at home, so really easy for them to kinda take the night off defensively against a bad Hawks team. Give me the OVER 223.5!