40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS KNOCKOUT (Dayton -8.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Flyers winning by at least 9 at home against Tennessee Tech. It's been a rough start to the season for Dayton, who comes in at just 3-4, but the slow start has a lot to do with a tough schedule. They have only played 3 home games and one of those was against a good Auburn team. They do have a win over Ball State, who just knocked off Notre Dame. Given the slow start, this team can't afford to take any games off and I just think there's a huge gap here in talent. Tennessee Tech is 7-2, but have played a cupcake schedule. Their two losses were a 37-point defeat at TCU and most recently a 14-point loss at Furman. Dayton should be able to score at will here and take complete control of this one early. Give me the Flyers -8.5! 

50* NBA NON-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Blazers -5.5)

The absence of John Wall finally hit this Wizards team in last night's game at Utah. Washington was a complete no show in a 69-116 loss at the Jazz and now have to turn around on no rest and play a highly motivated Blazers team that is looking to avoid losing 3 straight. I don't think it's as ugly as it was last night for the Wizards, but I also don't see them keeping this one close. Give me the Blazers -5.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (UNLV -19) 

I think this is a great spot and price to jump on UNLV at home. The Rebels had started out 6-0 before dropping their last two, but no shame in either of those losses. The first was a true road game against UNI and the other was an overtime 3-point loss to Arizona. I think those two losses will have UNLV locked in to make sure they get a win here and I just don't see Oral Roberts putting up much of a fight. The Golden Eagles are one of the worst teams in the Summit (projected to finish 2nd to last) and have already lost by 19 at Tulsa, 43 at Oklahoma State and 38 at Penn State. I don't know what else you need to see here. Give me the Rebels -19! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Rutgers +14.5) 

There's no denying that Michigan State is the superior team, but I just don't think the Scarlet Knights are getting nearly enough credit here at home. It's simply not that easy to blow out opponents on the road in conference games and I think this Rutgers team is a lot better than people think. The Scarlet Knights had started out 6-0 before dropping their last 2. The most recent was an ugly 22-point loss at Minnesota, but no real surprise to see Rutgers struggle on the road against a good team. The other loss was a 5-point home defeat to FSU and they had a great shot at winning outright. That's the same Seminoles team that just rolled an elite Florida team on the road last night. Look for Rutgers to give the Spartans a scare here and keep this within the number. Give me the Scarlet Knights +14.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs -2.5) 

The Mavs aren't a great team, but they are simply not getting enough respect here at home against a Nuggets team that is just 3-7 on the road and down two of their best players in Nikola Jokic and Paul Milsap. Jokic is simply too big of a loss to overcome on the road. Denver was able to beat the Lakers 115-100 at home in their last game, but that's actually a positive for us here, as the Nuggets are a miserable 0-7 ATS in their last 7 off a win by 10 points. Give me the Mavs -2.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Indiana -5.5) 

I think these are two similar teams in that they are capable of beating any team on their home floor, but simply don't have the experience to be trusted on the road. Just look at how well Indiana played at home against Duke and then how poorly they played on the road at Michigan. Iowa has been struggling no matter where they play and a big reason for that is they just don't have a true point guard. I look for the Hoosiers to jump all over the Hawkeyes here at home and win by double-digits. Give me Indiana -5.5!

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Nets +1) 

I was on the wrong side of the Nets 102-114 loss at home to the Hawks on Saturday, but will happily back them again here as a dog in Atlanta in the rematch of this home-and-home series. The team that loses the first game in these matchups has big edge in the rematch and on top of that I think the Nets are the much better team. Atlanta also hasn't won back-to-back once all season. In fact, they haven't even won 2 of 3 during any stretch of the year. Give me the Nets +1! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS NO BRAINER (Iowa PK)

It's been a rough go for the Hawkeyes early on in 2017. After losing to Lafayette and South Dakota State in their Thanksgiving tournament last week, Iowa lost by 24 on the road to Virginia Tech. It was a horrible 2nd half for Iowa, as they looked good early on in that game and were tied with the Hokies at 38-38 at the half. The Hawkeyes are a team that have struggled away from home under Fran McCaffery and all 3 of their loses this year have been on the road. I think we are going to a completely different Iowa team at home here against Penn State. Keep in mind the Hawkeyes have a lot of young talent they brought back from last year. Penn State will be improved this season, but I think they are getting way to much respect here. It's not easy winning on the road in the Big ten and this team just lost by 7 at NC State as a 3-point favorite. Give me the Hawkeyes! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Nets -4.5)

Brooklyn has quietly been playing well and I'll gladly back them at home against this awful Hawks team. The Nets are just 3-4 SU over their last 7, but have covered all 7 of those games. Good chance here if Brooklyn wins they cover with this short line. Atlanta has won just 4 times all season and are coming off a home game against the Cavs where they played their hearts out. They actually led at the half and wound up losing by just 7. I think that strong showing is keeping this line lower than it should be. I don't see the Hawks playing with that same energy on the road. Keep in mind that these two teams play in Atlanta on Monday, which is even more reason for the Hawks to not show up here. Give me The Nets -4.5!

40* NCAAB VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Virginia Tech -2.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Hokies as a short road favorite against the Revels. Virginia Tech is a team that I think is flying under the radar coming into this season. The Hokies won 22 games last year and are a legit NCAA Tournament team, yet no one is talking about them, despite a 6-1 start. Last time out they beat a decent Iowa team by 24 as a 8.5-point dog. They have covered 5 of 6 on the season, which is another sign of how undervalued they are. Ole Miss is the complete opposite. The Rebels are coming off a 22-win season, but are still a bottom of the pack team in the SEC. Ole Miss has started out 4-2, but the 4 wins are against bad teams. They lost by 9 to Utah on a neutral court as a 1.5-point favorite and last time out lost 97-99 at home to South Dakota State as a 10.5 point favorite. A game in which they trailed by 23 at the half. Give me the Hokies -2.5! 

40* NCAAB DOG OF THE DAY (Indiana +7.5)

The Hoosiers are worth a shot here catching a big number against the Wolverines. Indiana is a team I think is flying under the radar. They were stunned in their opener at home, losing to Indiana State by 21 as a 13-point favorite. They also lost at Seton Hall by 16 in their first 3 games. They got things turned around with a 17-point win over USF and had won 3 straight before losing to Duke by 10 at home. A game they failed to cover as a 9-point dog. However, if you watched that game, you know Indiana was the right side and had a great shot at winning outright. Michigan lost by 15 at North Carolina in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge and I just haven't been impressed with this team early on. They deserve to be favored at home, but not by this much, as Indiana is more than capable of winning outright. Give me the Hoosiers +7.5!

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pistons -1.5)

I love the value here with Detroit laying a short number on the road against the Wizards, who continue to play without their best player in point guard John Wall. Washington was able to cover in each of their first two games without Wall, rallying late to stun the Timberwolves on the road 92-89 and had a late push in a 5-point loss to the 76ers as a 7-point dog. I just don't think they can continue to play well without Wall and this will definitely be a tough spot, as they are playing for the 3rd time in 4 days. This is also a really good Pistons team, who I think is still flying under the radar despite their strong start. Detroit has won 3 straight, which includes road wins over both the Thunder and Celtics. Give me the Pistons -1.5!

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Maryland +2.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Terps catching points at home against the Boilermakers. Purdue got all the pre-season press and are going to be at or near the top of the Big 10 standings, but so is this Maryland team. While they lost a big time player in Melo Trimble, they have a ton of young talent coming back, as well as some stud freshman who are already making a big impact. All 3 starters they returned are sophomores in Anthony Cowan, Justin Jackson and Kevin Huerter. All 3 have started out strong, as has true freshman big man Burno Fernando. Purdue is coming off wins over Arizona and Louisville, but we also saw them lose on a neutral court to Tennessee and Western Kentucky. I think they fall again here. Give me the Terrapins +2.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Blazers -3)

Two evenly matched teams here in terms of overall talent, but I just think there's a big home court edge with Portland in this prime time game that will be televised on NBA TV. I also think the Blazers are playing the much better basketball right now. While the Bucks come in off a blowout win over the Kings, Sacramento was playing on no rest and off that huge upset win over the Warriors, putting them in an ideal letdown spot. Milwaukee is still just 2-3 in their last 5 and simply not a great road team. Portland on the other hand has won 3 straight and are 7-2 in their last 9. Give me the Blazers -3! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (UAB -4.5) 

I think this line really tells you all you need to know about what the oddsmakers think of this Memphis team. The Tigers are sitting at 3-1, while UAB is just 4-3, yet it's the Blazers laying 4.5-points at home. I couldn't agree more and see UAB winning by double-digits. I know the Blazers didn't do well in their tournament last week, losing on a neutral court to Richmond, Buffalo and Iowa over a 3-day stretch. I still really like the talent with this UAB team. They got 4 guys averaging double-figures and one of those is a legit NBA prospect in William Lee. Memphis is in year two under Tubby Smith and are in full on rebuilding mode after basically the entire team save for two starters either graduated or transferred out of the program. Their 3 wins have come against Arkansas-Little Rock, New Orleans and Northern Kentucky and they struggled to put away all 3. I just don't see this team playing well on the road with such an inexperienced team and this is their first true road game of the season. Give me the Blazers -4.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Nebraska -3.5)

It hasn't been pretty for the Big Ten early on in this Big Ten/ACC Challenge, but I'm confident that the Cornhuskers can take care of business here at home against the Eagles. Only Pitt, who is just awful this season is worse than Boston College. The Eagles have started out 5-2, but have lost by double-digits in their only two games against good competition and the most recent was an ugly 20-point loss at Providence where they were just a 6.5-point dog. 

Nebraska is 5-2 and aren't likely a real threat in the Big Ten, but they are also far from a pushover, especially on their home floor. I wouldn't be surprised here if this one turned into a blowout in favor of Nebraska. Give me the Cornhuskers -3.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Louisiana Tech +11) 

I'll gladly back the Bulldogs here as a double-digit dog against the Crimson Tide. Louisiana Tech won 23 games last year and brought back a big time talent in senior guard Jacobi Boykins, as well as two stud sophomores in Jalen Harris and DaQuan Bracey. The Bulldogs have started out 5-0 and have solid wins on a neutral court over both Georgia Mason and Evansville, which is a good sign they can compete here with Alabama. 

The Crimson Tide are 5-1 and ranked inside the Top 25. I'm not saying they won't be a really good team down the road, but they are missing some big pieces right now, including their leading returning scorer in Braxton Key. They are also without reserve Armond Davis and their highly touted freshman John Petty is questionable with a ankle injury. Give me the Bulldogs +11! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS BLOWOUT (Raptors -7.5)

The Raptors haven't been getting a ton of love early on and while they are just 12-7 overall, they have been nearly unbeatable on their home court, where they are 6-1. Not that they have also 12 of their 19 games on the road to this point, which is a big reason why they don't have a better record. I look for them to have no problem here at home against the Hornets, who are just 1-8 on the road and will be without their best playmaker in Kemba Walker. Give me the Raptors -7.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (NC State +1.5) 

The Wolfpack are getting zero respect here at home against the Nittany Lions and I'll gladly take them here as a home dog against a good but not great Penn State team. Yes the Nittany Lions returned just about everyone from last year and have started 6-1, but are still being picked to finish in the bottom half of the Big Ten and have got off to their hot start thanks to an even schedule. The only legit opponent they played was Texas A&M and they lost by 11 on a neutral court. 

I wasn't sure what to expect from NC State this season, but I've really liked what I have seen. The Wolfpack made a statement with a 90-84 win over Arizona this past week. While they followed it up with losses to UNI and Tennessee, they were right there in both of those games. I think coming off 2 straight losses is certainly playing into this line and overlooking how big the homecourt edge is here. Give me the Wolfpack +1.5! 

40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (76ers -5)

I like Philadelphia here as a short home favorite against the Wizards on Wednesday, regardless if Ben Simmons suits up for the 76ers. Washington pulled off a stunner last night, beating the Timberwolves on the road 92-89 without John Wall. Wizards had to make a really big run in the 2nd half to get that win. Now they are being asked to play on no rest against a pissed off 76ers team that just got embarrassed on their home floor in their last game by the Cavs. Keep in mind that Washington was already a thin team before the Wall injury, plus that's just not a player you can be without an expect to win a lot of games. Another key factor here is revenge, as the 76ers lost a closely fought battle 115-120 at Washington in the first week of the season. Give me Philadelphia -5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Iowa +9.5) 

Iowa had a couple of surprising losses last week in their Thanksgiving tournament, as they lost 71-80 to UL-Lafayette and 72-80 to South Dakota State. Things could have went the other way in both of those games and I still see a ton of potential in this team, as they can score at an alarming rate when the shots are falling from the outside. Winning on the road here against a good Virginia Tech team won't be easy, but I really like their chances of keeping this within single digits. Give me the Hawkeyes +9.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Heat +5) 

The Heat are worth a look here as a short road dog against the Cavs on Tuesday. No question that Cleveland has been playing better here of late, as they come in having won 8 straight. The most recent coming last night in Philadelphia, where it was clear LeBron was out to send a message to the upstart 76ers team. What people are overlooking here is Cleveland isn't really built to play on no rest, as they are one of the oldest teams in the league. The last two times they played on no rest they lost 95-114 at home to the Knicks and 107-112 at Brooklyn. I don't think another outright loss is out of the question here, as Miami is playing well and come in having won 3 straight with each of the last two coming on the road. Give me the Heat +5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Florida St -4.5)

The Scarlet Knights have started out the season 6-0 and I think are getting a little too much respect here at home against the Seminoles. Florida State is 5-0 and while they have played an easy schedule, they have won all 5 by 17, so they are taking care of business against the bad teams. As easy as the Seminoles schedule has been, Rutgers has been even easier. 

What stands out to me is FSU's efficiency on offense, as they have shot 48% or better from the field in all 5 games. However, it's not just the offense, as the defense has also been playing well and I think they make life miserable here for a Scarlet Knight's offense that has shot under 40% from the field in 3 games, which is a pretty staggering number given the teams they have played. Give me the Seminoles -4.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS NO BRAINER (Lakers +4.5) 

I actually think the wrong team is favored in this one. These two teams opened he season against each other and the Clippers won 108-92 as a 6-point road favorite. That was part of an impressive start for LAC, who opened up 4-0. Since then, injuries have caught up to the Clippers and they are just 3-11 over their last 14. 

No question that the Lakers are a work in progress, but this young team has shown some flashes and there's no question they are going to be extremely motivated here to get revenge against their rivals. On top of that, LAL has a huge advantage here in terms of rest, as they have had the last 4 days off leading up to this game. Clippers on the other hand just played Saturday, which concluded a 5-game road trip. It was also their 8th road game in their last 9 overall. I think they struggle here to keep up with the fast-paced LAL attack. Give me the Lakers +4.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pistons +7)

The Celtics are a ridiculous 18-1 SU and 16-2-1 ATS over their last 19 games. As difficult as it is to against teams on this kind of a run, I think Boston is way overvalued in tonight's matchup against a very good Pistons team. Detroit has quietly started the season 12-6 and are an impressive 7-2 ATS in their 9 road games, which includes outright wins over the likes of the Warriors, Timberwolves and Thunder. 

I fully expect the Pistons to give the Celtics all they can handle in this one and wouldn't be shocked if they added Boston to their list of top teams they have knocked off on the road. It's also worth noting Detroit is playing on 2 days of rest and are 10-4 ATS in this spot. They are also a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a winning home record. Give me the Pistons +7! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Michigan St -1)

I really like this Michigan State team and after losing to Duke earlier this season in a game they could have easily won, I think the Spartans take care of business here against the Tar Heels. North Carolina is a good team, but won't be able to overpower teams inside like they have against Michigan State. Keep in mind this Spartans team held what I think is the best team in the country in the Blue Devils to just 39.5% shooting. That defense will be the difference here, as UNC has struggled on the defensive side of the ball early on. Give me the Spartans -1! 

40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS SLAUGHTER (Oklahoma -2.5) 

Oregon is 5-1, but have feasted on bad teams and I just think they are overvalued right now, as this is not the same caliber a team as the one that went to the Final Four a year ago. We saw signs of that in their recent 8-point loss to a pretty average UConn team in a game they were favored to win by 8. Oklahoma's only loss came to a very good Arkansas team and this is a team that I think is a lot better than people realize. I look for the Sooners to make easy work of the Ducks in this one. Give me Oklahoma -2.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Magic +6.5) 

I'll take the points here with Orlando against the 76ers on Saturday. Philadelphia won't have the services of Ben Simmons, who is out with a elbow injury. That's a huge loss for this team, as Simmons is the main reason they have taken their play to the next level. I know the Magic haven't been playing great, but I think we see them snap out of their funk here and potentially win this game outright. Orlando failed to cover last night in a loss to the Celtics, but that's a positive when it comes to this game, as they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 off a game in which they didn't cover the spread. 76ers have also had trouble playing up to their potential at home against bad teams, as they are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the Magic +6.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS BLOWOUT (Minnesota -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Golden Gophers needing to win by just 4 points over the Crimson Tide. Both these teams come in having yet to lose in 2017. Alabama is 5-0 and Minnesota is 6-0. I think that's a big reason we are seeing value here with the Gophers, as I don't think there's any doubt that Minnesota has been playing the better basketball. All 6 of the Gophers wins have come by double-digits, including an impressive 12-point win in a true road game against a good Providence team. Alabama covered last time out, but are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 after a cover in their last game. Minnesota on the other hand is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a win and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs a non-conference opponent. Give me the Golden Gophers -3.5! 

40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Hornets +5.5) 

With Cleveland coming in having won 6 straight, just about everyone is going to be on the Cavs here as a short home favorite, but I'm going the other way and taking the Hornets to keep this close enough to cover and maybe even win outright. Charlotte has been playing much better of late, as they come in having won 3 straight and they will be out for revenge from a 107-115 loss at home to the Cavs back on 11/15. Hornets are just 1-7 on the road, but 6 of those 7 losses have come by 8-points or less, so it's not as bad as the record would indicate. Cleveland is just 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 home games and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Give me the Hornets +5.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS ATS SHOCKER (Hawks +2) 

Just about everyone is on the Knicks in this one, which has me looking the other way and willing to take a shot here with the Hawks as a small home dog. New York's 10-7 start to the season is a bit misleading, as they have benefited from playing the majority of their games at home. They are just 1-4 SU and 1-4 ATS in the 5 road games they have played and with a much bigger game on deck tomorrow at Houston, I think we see the Knicks come out flat and Atlanta gets a rare win. Give me the Hawks +2! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Magic +8)

I'll take the points here with Orlando against the Celtics. While Boston's 16-game winning streak came to an end on Wednesday at Miami, they are still being way overvalued because of that run. I love to go against teams who just lost for the first time after a big win streak, especially when they are laying a big number like they are here against the Magic. Orlando hit a rough stretch, but showed some signs of getting back to their early form with an OT loss at Minnesota last time out. I think they could catch the Celtics sleepwalking and win this one outright. Give me Orlando +8! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Eastern Michigan +9)

Indiana has put together a couple of impressive showings against USF and Arkansas State after their 1-2 start which saw them lose by 11 at home to Indiana State and by 16 at Seton Hall. The public hasn't wasted any time jumping back on the Hoosiers and I think it's created some value here with Eastern Michigan, who is 4-0 and has posted similar results against two common opponents in Howard and Arkansas State. Indiana beat Howard by 9, while the Eagles defeated them by 10. Both teams beat Ark St by 17. I'll take my chances here with Eastern Michigan, as I wouldn't be shocked at all if they won this game outright. Give me the Eagles +9! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Arizona -7.5)

I was on the Wildcats in yesterday's upset loss to NC State and while I didn't see that coming, I'm not backing down on this Arizona team just yet and will take my chances on them rebounding with a big time effort here against what I feel is a very overrated SMU team, who just lost as a 8-point favorite to UNI. The effort on the defensive side of the ball was a big part of the problem for the Wildcats in the loss to NC State and it didn't help they were ice-cold from long-distance. Look for the defensive intensity to be turned up a notch and for Arizona to win here by double-digits. Give me the Wildcats -7.5. 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Texas -1.5) 

I've got really high expectations for Texas in year two under Shaka Smart and so far the Longhorns have looked the part with a 3-0 start and all 3 coming in blowout fashion. Butler is a good program and I believe that's keeping this line closer than it should be. The Bulldogs are 3-1, but lost by 14 at Maryland in their only real test so far this season. The Terps defense really caused problems for Butler and this Texas defense has been lights out to start the season. The Bulldogs also let Maryland shoot 57.4% from the field. Give me the Longhorns -1.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Bucks -5.5)

I love this spot for Milwaukee, as we can bank on a big time effort here from the Bucks after getting embarrassed in each of their last two games. Not to mention this one means a little extra for Milwaukee's new point guard in Eric Bledsoe, as he came over from Phoenix a few weeks ago. The Suns have won 2 straight, but are still just 3-7 in their last 10. Phoenix has the potential to sneak up on teams, but I don't give them much of a chance here against a focused and highly motivated Milwaukee team. Give me the Bucks -5.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (St. Louis -11)

I don't see this one being close at all, as the Billikens are simply not getting the respect they deserve against an inferior opponent. Detroit is 2-2 and we are going to focus here on the 2 losses, which were a 31 point defeat to Virginia Tech and 31-point defeat to Seattle. Why are those important to note? St Louis has played both teams and won each, defeating Seattle by 16 and the Hokies by 6. Unless they decide to take the night off and don't show up to play, the Billikens should have no problem winning here by 20. Give me St. Louis -11! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kentucky -19.5) 

It's been a rough start for Kentucky against the spread, as the Wildcats have covered just one spread in their first 5 games. It might have some looking to take the points here with Fort Wayne, but not me. This is the ideal opponent for Kentucky to lay a beating on. The Mastodons are 3-1, but the 3 wins are against bad teams. The lone loss is important to note, as they lost by 14 to Oakland, who isn't a good team. The Grizzlies already have a 10-point loss to Toledo and a 24-point loss to Syracuse. Look for Kentucky to score at will here, while the defense makes life miserable for the Mastodons. Give me the Wildcats -19.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors -4) 

I just think the Knicks are getting too much respect here against the Raptors at home. Toronto is playing some of their best basketball of the season right now, as they have won and covered each of their last 4, which includes a 107-84 beatdown against these Knicks as a 7.5-point favorite. New York has done a nice job beating the bottom-tier teams, but are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record and 1-6 in their last 7 vs a team with a winning percentage above 60%. Give me the Raptors -4! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Arizona -13) 

I've really been impressed from what I've seen from the Wildcats so far this season. Arizona has a legit player of the year candidate in junior guard Allonzo Trier, as he's averaging 30.0 ppg through the Wildcats first 3 contests and already has made 10 3-pointers. Arizona also has one of the top freshman in the country in 7-1 forward DeAndre Ayton, who is averaging 18.7 ppg, 11.7 rpg and 1.7 bpg. While NC State is 4-0 to start the year, they haven't played anybody and I think it has them getting too much respect here, as the Wildcats are poised for a down year here after losing 3 double-digit scorers, including NBA Lottery pick Dennis Smith. Not to mention they are in the first year under a new coach. NC State is simply outclassed here and will be lucky to keep this within 20 points. Give me the Wildcats -13! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Davidson +7)

I'll gladly take my chances here with Davidson as a 7-point dog against the Wolf Pack. The Wildcats have been an offensive juggernaut to start the season, scoring 110 in their opener against Charleston Southern and 108 against UNC-Wilmington. Most expected big contributions from senior Peyton Aldridge, but two youngsters have really impressed early in sophomore Jon Axel Gudmundsson and freshman Kellan Grady. While Aldridge leads the way at 27 ppg, both Gudmundsson and Grady are averaging 20+ ppg. Senior Oskar Michelsen is also producing well early at 10.5 ppg. These 4 players are absolutely lighting it up from downtown. Each has made at least 7 3-pointers and are a combined 31 for 57 (54%) from downtown. Nevada hasn't seen anything like this and I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if Davidson pulled off the upset here. Give me the Wildcats +7! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Penn St -9.5) 

I've went against Pitt with success early on this season and will gladly back the Nittany Lions here in this one. Penn State has started out 4-0 and covered both games that have had lines and that includes a 70-57 win over Montana as a 12-point favorite. The same Montana team that beat Pitt on their home floor 83-78 as a 2.5-point favorite. Penn State has a ton of experience and that should pay off big here in this neutral site game, as the Panthers are in full on rebuilding mode with just 3 players back from last years team. I just don't see Pitt making a game of this and wouldn't be shocked if they lost by 20. Give me the Nittany Lions -9.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Hornets -2)

Charlotte put an end to their 6-game losing streak in a big way, defeating the Clippers 102-87 at home on Saturday as a 5-point favorite. I look for the Hornets to carry over that momentum with another comfortable win at home against the Timberwolves. Minnesota is in a tough spot here playing on no rest after last night's 97-100 defeat at home the Pistons. All 5 starters logged 30+ minutes with Wiggins, Butler, Teague and Towns all playing 38 or more. This is also a big revenge game for Charlotte, who lost 94-112 at Minnesota earlier this month. Give me the Hornets -2! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Boise St +1.5)

Iowa State is way down this year. The Cyclones are way down this year. They have lost a ton a talent the last two years and are in a major rebuilding phase right now. Boise State on the other hand is a program that doesn't get near the respect they deceiver and are going to be one of the top teams in the MWC again. I look for the Broncos to pull off the upset here. Give me Boise State +1.5!

40* NBA BOOKIE SLAUGHTER (Pistons +105 -Money Line-)

*Analysis Coming* 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Ole Miss -10)

Georgia State comes in at 2-0 and fresh off an impressive 75-54 win over Rice, where they easily covered as a 9.5-point favorite. I think it has them getting a little too much love here against a talent Ole Miss team that I think is flying under the radar. I actually considered taking Georgia State in that game against the Owls. Rice is getting way to much respect out of the gates due to winning 23-games a season ago. That team was absolutely gutted once head coach Mike Rhoades left for VCU. They lost junior Marcus evans, who was a 2x All-CUSA player, as well as two other double-digit scorers. It simply wasn't as good as win as it looks. 

The Rebels won 22 games and went 10-8 in SEC play. They were firmly on the bubble and got left out of the dance. I believe that has this team on a mission early to build up that resume so they don't get left out again. Ole Miss has 3 starters back including one of the best players in the SEC in senior guard Deandre Burnett, who is poised for a monster final year in Oxford. They also bring back junior Terrance Davis, who put in nearly 15 ppg and add Memphis transfer Markel Crawford. I just think this is a bigger gap in talent than this line would suggest, as I think Ole Miss wins here by 20. Give me the Rebels -10! 

50* NCAAB NON-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Kentucky -23)

This is the first really big favorite (20+) that I'm going to lay the points with and I don't think it's going to be close. Kentucky comes in off a much better showing than most were expecting in a 4-point loss to Kansas in the United Center after a couple of less than impressive showing to start the season against Utah Valley and Vermont. Two teams you would expect this team to dominate given all that talent, but this is a young Wildcats team that's starting 5-fresman. Both Utah Valley and Vermont were experienced teams with 4 returning starters, so not a big surprise to see them keep it closer than expected. 

I believe those two showings and the loss to Kansas has Kentucky way undervalued here against East Tennessee State, who has no business being on the same floor. The Buccaneers won 27 games last year, which is part of why this number isn't higher, but they only have 1 starter back and simply don't have the talent to keep it competitive against a team like Kentucky. They already lost by 18 to Northern Kentucky, which says it all. With the Wildcats motivated off a loss, I think they win here by 30 or more. Give me Kentucky -23! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Xavier +3.5)

Last time these two teams played was the 2016 NCAA Tournament and the Musketeers blew a 9-point lead and lost on a last second buzzer-beater, which propelled the Badgers to the Sweet 16. Several of the Xavier players who were on that team are still around, including the dynamic backcourt duo of Trevon Bluiett and J.P Macura. This isn't just another non-conference game for the Musketeers and I think they are the much better team. We are simply seeing the Badgers get some love because it's on their home floor and they have looked good out of the gate. They are 2-0 with 2 blowout wins over South Carolina St and Yale. Big deal. This is not your same caliber Wisconsin team, as they have to replace 4 starters. That lack of experience is going to be hard to overcome here against a legit Final Four caliber opponent this early in the season. Give me the Musketeers +3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (South Dakota +19) 

Most will look at the TCU team, which returns all 5 starters from last year's 24-win team that won the NIT and just expect them roll against a team like South Dakota. I don't think that's going to be the case. This Coyotes team is no pushover. South Dakota has 3 starters back from last year's squad that won 22 games and won the Summit League regular-season title. That includes a big time playmaker in junior guard Matt Mooney, who can not only torment teams with his great outside shooting but he's an excellent defender. TCU is also a team that's not built to blow teams out, we saw that in their opener when they only won by 10 at home over ULM as a massive 25-point favorite. I think this one is close the whole way. Give me the Coyotes +19! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Heat -1) 

I'll gladly back the Heat here at just a pick'em at home against the Wizards. Miami has has Washington's number, as they have won each of the last 5 meetings in the series and both home wins during this stretch have come by at least 8 points. Wizards simply getting too much respect here due to the fact they have won and covered each of their last 3 games and the perception that they are a top tier team in the east. I just don't see that big of gap between these two and this is a tough spot for Washington, who has played just 1 road game in the month of November. Give me the Heat -1! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Kansas -4.5) 

My money is on the Jayhawks in Tuesday's big showdown between Kansas and Kentucky. No surprise that the Wildcats are getting a lot of love out of the gate, but this is far from the juggernauts that we have seen from Kentucky in years past. The biggest thing is they don't have any experience to fall back on and are starting 5 freshman. They trailed Utah Valley by 9 at the half before eventually winning by 10. That's the same Utah Valley team that lost by 30 to Duke on the road. Kansas also has a ton of young talent, but also bring back some veteran players who played big roles and others who were at least with the program last year. I just think it's going to take some time for Calipari to get this team at the level needed to compete with a team like Kansas. I also think a big thing here is Kentucky has little to no outside shooting and the Jayhawks have the talent inside to not give them easy baskets. Give me Kansas -4.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Raptors +6.5) 

I think this is a good spot to go against the red-hot Rockets, as I feel the line has been inflated quite a bit here against a good Raptors team that has proven they can compete against the big boys on the road. Toronto is also the fresher team in this contest. The Raptors are playing just their 2nd game in the last 5 days, while Houston is playing for the 3rd time in 4 nights. Rockets have won 6 straight, but a lot of those victories came against bad teams. Toronto played Houston tough in both meetings last year and won by 13 on the road in their lone meeting in Houston. 

Raptors come in having failed to cover 4 straight, which is another big reason why this number is what it is, but it puts Toronto in a great spot historically, as they are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 after a stretch where they failed to cover 4 of their last 5. Rockets are also just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 home games against a team from the Eastern Conference and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 at home against good shooting teams like Toronto who are hitting 46% or better from the field. Give me the Raptors +6.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (76ers +2) 

I think this is a great spot to jump on the young upstart 76ers, who are going to be locked in after back-to-back losses following that 5-game winning streak. This might seem like a short number for them to be getting on the road, but that's because this is not the same Clippers team that we saw to start the season. LA is down 3 starters, including two key pieces in Patrick Beverley and Danilo Gallinari. It's why the Clippers come in having lost 5 straight and 7 of their last 8 overall. I'll take my chances the poor play continues here against a more talented Philadelphia team. Give me the 76ers +2! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wisc-Milwaukee +13.5) 

The Cyclones are getting a little too much respect here to open the season, as they are going to be way down this year after losing 4 double-digit scorers, including one of the best point guards in college basketball in Monte Morris. Just not enough talent left on the roster for this team to be laying this many points against the Panthers, who should be greatly improved with 4 returning starters and several of their top reserves back from last year. Keep in mind ISU lost 59-74 as a short road favorite against Missouri and the Tigers best player and potential No. 1 overall pick in next year's NBA draft, Michael Porter Jr, played just 2 minutes because of an injury. Give me the Panthers +13.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Vermont +13.5)

I'm just not buying this Kentucky team being as good as previous years and believe we saw a sign of their struggles to come in their opener against Utah Valley State, where they trailed by 9 at the half and needed an 18-0 run in the 2nd half to pull out a 73-63 win as a 20.5-point favorite. The Wildcats are starting 5 freshman and that lack of experience makes them primed for an upset here against an experienced and talented Vermont team that returns 4 starters, including reigning American East Player of the Year Trae-Bell Haynes, who forms quite a 1-2 punch with sophomore Anthony Lamb. Give me the Catamounts +13.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS ATS SLAUGHTER (Pelicans -6.5) 

The Clippers are down 3 players who started for them in their opener, including two really big pieces in forward Danilo Gallinari and point guard Patrick Beverly. LA had to start rookie 2nd round pick Sindarius Thornwell at the point in last night's 111-120 loss to the OKC. I just think the Clippers are going to be gassed here on the road in the 2nd game of a back-to-back after playing their hearts out short-handed in their last 2 against the Spurs and thunder. On the flip side, New Orleans has been playing well, taking 3 of their last 4, and just missed out on a win at Toronto last time out. I think they are going to be the much fresher and more motivated team in this one. Give me the Pelicans -6.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Bradley -8.5) 

I think we are getting a great price here on the Braves at home against the Jaguars. Bradley went just 13-20 last year, but finished the season strong and have reason to be excited about the 2017-18 season, as they basically bring everyone back from last year's team, including all 5 starters. I believe this is the year head coach Brian Wardle gets this team to post a winning record. Either way I like them to win by double-digits against IUPUI, who lost 3 starters who combined for over 40 ppg, including leading scorer Darell Combs, who put in 16.8 ppg. This is a rebuilding year for the Jaguars, who are expected to finish at or near the basement of the Horizon League. Give me Bradley -8.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Navy -4) 

A lot of people are going to look at this line and wonder how in the world is Navy laying points against a ACC power like Pittsburgh. I believe it's for good reason. The Midshipmen were one of the big surprises of the Patriot League last year and are a serious threat to win the league this year with 4 starters back.

As for the Panthers, things aren't looking good for them this season. Pitt lost it's top 5 scorers from last year and only return 3 players and one of them is a walk-on. One of the players the Panthers lost was point guard Cameron Johnson and they really don't have anyone suitable to fill the void at the most important position on the floor. I think a loss to Navy is just the beginning of a miserable season. Give me the Midshipmen -4! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Jazz -3.5) 

Utah is worth a look here as a short home favorite against the Heat. I believe the Jazz are being way undervalued by the books in this one due to the fact that they have lost 3 straight. That losing streak combined with 2 days of rest coming into this game is a big reason why I'm backing Utah here, as I expect a max effort. 

Miami on the other hand has to be running on fumes right now, as they are now playing their 5th straight road game out west and their 4th game in the last 6 days. The thin air of Utah is one place you don't want to play with tired legs and I think this has a clunker written all over it for the Heat, who are getting a little too much respect for covering 3 of their last 4. Give me the Jazz -3.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers -6) 

I'll gladly back the 76ers at this price against the Kings on Thursday. Philadelphia has won 5 straight and the most recent was an impressive 104-97 win at Utah with Embiid sitting out due to rest. He's back and I look for the 76ers to make easy work of one of the worst teams in the league. 

Sacramento is also primed for the picking here, as they come in off a huge win over the Thunder in their last game. I believe that was more of OKC's lack of focus and effort than anything to get excited about with the Kings moving forward. Keep in mind they trailed in that game by 17 points and prior to the victory had lost each of their previous 7 games and all but 1 of those came by at least 7 points. 

Philadelphia is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against a team with a losing record, 6-1 ATS when facing a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games when facing a team with a losing home record. Give me the 76ers -6! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MOMEY TOP PLAY (Under 210.5) 

The Lakers come into this game having scored 107 or more in each of their last 4 games, but only one of those came on the road and that was against a Blazers team that was playing on no rest after a grueling overtime loss the night before against the Jazz. Speaking of Utah, that's the best defense the Lakers have faced away from home and they managed just 81 points in a game that featured just 177 combined points. 

Boston allowed 107 in their last game at Atlanta, but that was a major letdown spot with the Celtics playing on no rest and the Hawks being one of the worst teams in the league. Prior to that Boston had held 8 straight teams to 94 or fewer points and that includes the likes of the Bucks, 76ers, Spurs and Thunder. Lakers aren't a great team, but teams are gearing up to play them because of all the Lonzo Ball drama with his dad running his mouth.

I look for the Celtics to really come out looking to make a statement here against LA. At the same time, I think the Lakers will bring the defensive intensity here and they are better on that side than people think, as they have held 5 of their last 7 opponents to 102 or fewer points. Give me the UNDER 210.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS NO BRAINER (Jazz -7)

I've been on the 76ers early and often this season, but I think this is the ideal spot to fade Philadelphia. The big key here is that Joel Embiid is going to sit this game out to rest. It will be the second time Embiid has sat out for rest and the first wasn't pretty for the 76ers, as they lost by 34 at Toronto (94-128). They also won't have starting guard Jerryd Bayless, who is averaging in double-figures and one of their better 3-point shooters. 

Philadelphia does still have Ben Simmons, but I think he could struggle here against a stingy Utah defense that has the best interior defender in the league in Rudy Robert. Keep in mind almost all of Simmons offense has come at the basket, as he's not made a single 3-point basket (0 for 5). It's also a lot harder to drive when Embiid isn't drawing the opposing big men out of the paint. 

This is also a very good Jazz team that is more than capable of beating Philadelphia at home with Embiid on the floor. Utah is 5-1 on their home floor this season, where they are holding opponents to just 94.2 ppg. I just don't see enough offense here for the 76ers to keep this close. Give me the Jazz -7! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT BOOKIE SLAUGHTER (Knicks -110)

New York has quietly been playing some really good basketball and I just don't think they are getting the respect they deserve here at home against Charlotte. The Hornets have been two different teams depending on the location of the game, as they are 4-1 at home, compared to 1-4 on the road. Charlotte is also missing some key guys to injury, which I think gets overlooked cause they aren't superstars. 

Knicks are 5-1 over their last 6 games with the only loss coming against one of the best teams in Houston. They are riding the outstanding play of Porzingis, who is 2nd in the NBA at 30.2 ppg. He's scored 30 or more in 5 of the Knicks last 6 games. 

Hornets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games and just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs a team with a wining record. Give me the red-hot Knicks! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (PACERS -110)

I'll gladly back the Pacers here at basically a pick'em at home against the Pelicans. Indiana comes in off back-to-back losses, but both of those came on the road. I look for a big effort here at home against New Orleans, where they are 3-1 on the season. 

Indiana might not have Paul George anymore, but don't let that fool you into thinking this isn't a quality team. The Pacers have a lot more talent on their roster than they get credit for. Pelicans are the exact opposite. They have two stars in Davis and Cousins, but the team as a whole isn't that great. They come in with an impressive 4-2 road record, but those 4 road wins have come against the Lakers, Kings, Mavs and Bulls. This is also a tough spot for New Orleans, playing their 3rd straight on the road. Give me the Pacers! 

50* NBA NON-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Nets +1.5) 

I absolutely love this spot for Brooklyn. The Nets are going to come out extremely motivated to get a win after losing 4 straight. They will also be out for revenge, as they lost 114-122 at home to the Suns last Tuesday.

That's not the only factors that have me liking Brooklyn. The Nets have a huge edge in terms of rest here, as they come in fresh off 2 days of rest (only 2nd game in the month of November), while the Suns are in the second game of a back-to-back and just concluded a 5-game road trip that started back on 10/28 yesterday at San Antonio. 

Suns are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games vs a team with a losing record and an identical 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Give me Brooklyn +1.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Under 196) 

Last time out the Jazz won 112-103 at home over the Blazers, which saw them go OVER the total set of 191.5. The thing is the OVER didn't come until overtime, as the two were tied at 92-92 at the end of regulation. That's now 6 straight games where the final scored in Utah games has been 193 or less at the end of regulation. Even with that extra time, the Jazz are still only allowing 91.2 ppg at home. It's not just Utah's defense that makes them such a great team to back the UNDER with, it's the fact that they play at such a slow pace, the slowest in the league. Toronto is a pretty good defensive team in their own right, ranking in the Top 10 in defensive efficiency. The Raptors also average nearly 5 points fewer on the road than they do at home. Give me the UNDER 196! 

50* NBA CENTRAL DIV GAME OF THE MONTH (Pistons -1.5) 

I feel like this is a great spot to back Detroit as a slim home favorite against the Bucks. The Pistons are coming off a clunker in their last game, which saw them lose 93-113 on the road to the Lakers. However, that was to be executed given they were coming off two huge road wins against the Clippers and Warriors. They just didn't have the right mindset against LA. That's a positive for us here, as we can bank on the Pistons bouncing back with a big effort at home, especially with this being against a division opponent. Milwaukee gets a ton of love because of how great a player Antetokounmpo is, but there's not a ton of talent around him. They are also still without Jabari Parker and recently lost big man Greg Monroe. I expect defense to be the difference in this one. Detroit is only giving up 96 ppg at home, while the Bucks are allowing 110.7 ppg on the road. Give me the Pistons -1.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Jazz -3.5) 

Utah simply isn't getting the respect they deserve early won this season and a lot of that has to do with the perception that they aren't going to be any good after losing Hayward to the Celtics. That starting 5 is sneaky good and more than anything they have the ability to lock down defensively and take teams out of the comfort zones by slowing down the game. Utah is a perfect 4-0 at home, where they are winning by an average of 12.3 ppg and that includes victories over the Nuggets, Thunder and Lakers. Portland has lost 3 of 5 and failed to cover 3 straight. Give me the Jazz -3.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (76ers -8) 

This might seem like a big number for Philadelphia to be laying, but I really like the 76ers in this spot, as they are going to be extremely motivated to get that first home win of the season. On top of that, I think Philadelphia is better than expected, as Ben Simmons is playing at an elite level right out of the gates, averaging 18.4 ppg with 9.1 rpg and 7.7 apg. Combine that with the freakish skills of Embiid and this is hands down one of the top teams in the east. Atlanta is just as bad as we expected and I don't think they put up much of a fight here. Give me the 76ers -8! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Lakers +4) 

I like this spot for the Lakers and also feel like it's a great spot to fade the Pistons. LA is coming off  a couple of losses and that should have them locked in for this matchup, which will be aired on NBA TV. The Pistons on the other side are primed for a letdown after knocking off the Clippers and Warriors on the road in back-to-back days over the weekend. Detroit is a mere 3-13 ATS in their last 16 after 2 or more consecutive wins and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Give me the Lakers +4! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Magic +7.5) 

I cashed in on the Hornets yesterday as a short home favorite against Orlando, as I just felt the Magic were getting a little too much respect after their 4-1 start and them coming off a huge home win over the Spurs. That loss to Charlotte combined with the fact that New Orleans is coming off a huge home win over the Cavs, now has Orlando showing value here as a near double-digit dog. The Magic can score the basketball and get up and down the floor. Orland is 3rd in pace and 2nd only to the Warriors in offensive efficiency. The Magic are also quietly playing well defensively, ranking in the top half of the league in defensive efficiency. I see this one going right down to the wire with a decent chance Orlando leaves New Orleans with a win. Give me the Magic +7.5!

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Nuggets -4.5) 

I think this is the perfect time to fade the Knicks. New York couldn't be in a bigger letdown spot after yesterday's improbable 114-95 win on the road over the Cavaliers as a 10.5-point dog. That came just two days after they laid it all on the line against rival Brooklyn to secure their first win of the season. This is still one of the least talented teams in the league and I just think they lay an egg here. Denver is also playing the second game of a back-to-back set, but I like the direction this team is playing and I expect them to come out strong here as they look to move above .500 for the first time this season. Give me the Nuggets -4.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY ATS BLOWOUT (Hornets -3.5) 

Orlando has caught a lot of people by surprise with their 4-1 start, but I also think it has them getting a little too much respect here on the road in a prime letdown spot after their blowout win over the Spurs on Friday. While the Magic are feeling good about themselves and might of had a little too much fun Saturday night, I look for Charlotte to come out locked in on their home floor after an ugly 16-point home loss to the Rockets on Friday. Note that prior to that loss the Hornets were dominant at home, beating the Nuggets 110-93 and the Hawks 109-91. Charlotte is also starting to get healthy. Kidd-Gilchrist returned against the Nuggets after missing the first 3 and Zeller is expected to play his first game since the opener. Give me the Hornets -3.5! 

40* NBA SHARP MONEY ATS NO BRAINER (76ers -1) 

The 76ers are a much better team than their 1-4 record would suggest. Philadelphia's 4 losses have come against some of the top teams in the league in the Wizards, Celtics, Raptors and Rockets. They were competitive in all but the defeat to the Raptors in which Embiid didn't play in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. In their lone game against a bottom-tier team they beat the Pistons 97-86 on the road. 

Dallas is 1-5 and it's no fluke. The Mavericks only win came against the Grizzlies, who were in a big letdown spot after wins over the Warriors and Rockets. They played Memphis the very next night and lost. Dallas also has home losses to both the Hawks and Kings, who are two of the worst teams in the league.

The offense has been non-existent for the Mavs, as they are scoring just 97.8 ppg and will be up against an underrated Philly defense. This is also the 3rd game in 4 nights for the Mavs, while the 76ers are coming in on a full two days of rest and desperate for a win. I think they get it in comfortable fashion. Give me Philadelphia -1! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Wizards +11) 

The books are setting these lines so high on the Warriors that you have to play the other side. The public however will keep backing Golden State, so the value will continue to be there. No surprise that the Warriors are just 1-4 ATS to start the season.

Last time out they were a 12.5-point favorite to the Raptors at home and only won by 5. Toronto is a top level team out of the east. So is Washington. In fact, I think the Wizards are the 3rd best team in the conference behind Cleveland and Boston. John Wall is a man on a mission and will be locked in tonight against Curry. The entire team for Washington really seems to be locked in to start and if not for a tip in at the buzzer they would be 4-0. I'll take my chances on the Wizards hanging around and keeping this close enough to cover. Give me Washington +11!  

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Knicks -2) 

Might be the only time we back the Knicks as a favorite, but I just love the spot here for New York. The Knicks are searching for that first win of the season and they would love nothing more than for it be against Brooklyn.

New York should be fresh, as they have played just 3 games. They got blowout in both road games, but were extremely competitive and should have won outright in a 4-point home loss to the Pistons. 

Nets on the other hand will be playing their 6th game of the season and are in a huge letdown spot off a shocking 112-107 home win over the Cavs. That's as big a victory as Brooklyn can ask for right now and it unfortunately came at a cost, as D'Angelo Russell hurt his knee and is out for tonight's game. That's a massive loss. Russell was playing at an All-Star level at 23 ppg and 5.5 apg. (avg 2+ made 3-pt/game). Keep in mind they already lost Jeremy Linn for the season, so it will be Spencer Dinwiddle starting at point. Give me the Knicks -2! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 211.5) 

*Analysis Coming* 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Grizzlies -4) 

Every year there's a team that no is giving any respect to to start the season and they end up surprising. I think Memphis could be that team and the Grizzlies have quite a resume to start out. They are 3-0 with wins over the Pelicans, Warriors and Rockets. Dallas on the other hand is a team that isn't built to win this year and to no surprise are 0-4 to start the year. They have already lost at home to awful teams like the Hawks and Kings. I just don't think the books have made Memphis a big enough favorite here and think they cover this easily. Give me the Grizzlies -4! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Nets +7.5) 

The public is going to be all over the Cavs here, but I think the value is clearly with Brooklyn at this price. The Nets are a vastly improved team over last year and Cleveland is still trying to figure things out after the Irving trade. It doesn't help that his top two replacements in Rose and Thomas are both out. James had to play the point last night and needed to play 37 minutes to sneak out a 7-point home win over the Bulls, who are playing with a bunch of scrubs right now. Cleveland doesn't have a ton of depth and a bunch of the old guys aren't built for playing on no rest, just look at that ugly loss to the Magic on no rest. I'm not saying they lose, but I think the Nets keep it close. Give me Brooklyn +7.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers +4) 

I really like this 76ers team and will be looking to back them all season when they are a dog at home, as long as it's not a back-to-back with Embiid not playing. Houston is 3-1, but haven't looked great to start the year and a big reason for that is they aren't shooting it well from long-distance. They are only hitting 27.5% from 3-point range and given how much this team relies on the deep ball that makes it hard on them. They only had 90 points last time out against the Grizzlies and this Philadelphia defense has been really good when Embiid is the lineup. I look for an outright win, but will take the points as some added insurance. Give me the 76ers +4! 

50* NBA WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH (Clippers -4.5) 

Most wrote off the Clippers after they lost Chris Paul, but Los Angeles did a nice job filling out the roster and are again one of the top teams in the west. They certainly have certainly looked like it to start, beating the Lakers by 16 and destroying the Suns by 42. Utah is going off a big win over OKC at home, but are going to be without Rodney Hood (13 ppg) for this one and that's a big loss for a limited Jazz offense that is only averaging 99.7 ppg. I look for Utah to struggle to keep pace here, as the Clippers are locked in defensively to start the season and have more fire-power offensively than people think. Give me the Clippers -4.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Blazers -4) 

I really like this Blazers team and don't think they are getting enough respect here at home against the Pelicans. New Orleans has two superstars in Cousins and Davis, but that's it. I just don't see the Pelicans being able to keep pace offensively with the Blazers, who are going to be locked in for their home opener. Keep in mind that Portland is averaging 116 ppg over their first 3 on the road. New Orleans has scored 119+ in each of their last two, but that was against a less than focus Warriors team and an awful Lakers defense. Pelicans are just 2-15 ATS over the last 3 seasons in road games after two straight games that went over the total. Give me the Blazers -4! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (UNDER 208) 

New York's offense is one of the worst in the NBA and wouldn't be shocked if the Celtics held them to 90 or less here. Boston has started out just 1-2, so there will be no overlooking the Knicks at home tonight and while the defense should have no problem keeping New York in check, the Celtics are still trying to find themselves offensively after losing Hayward. They are also still missing Marcus Morris and likely without Marcus Smart, who didn't practice yesterday. Knicks should give enough effort here against a division rival to keep Boston from scoring too much to push this over the number. Give me the UNDER 208! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Nuggets -3) 

I really like the Denver team and think we are getting some big time value here with the Nuggets only laying 3-points at home against the Wizards. Washington is a top-tier team in the east, but are not as good on the road as they are at home and are a little overvalued right now. They are 2-0, but failed to cover the spread in both games, winning by just 5 at home over the 76ers and 4 at home against the Pistons. Denver had a tough road loss at Utah in their opener, where they blew a big lead late, but bounced back at home with a blowout win over the Kings and should have no problem winning here. Give me the Nuggets -3! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Hornets +6.5) 

The Bucks are getting a little too much respect here against the Hornets. Milwaukee has one of the best players in the game in a Antetokounmpo, but he's their only real offensive threat and it's hard for the Bucks to put teams away with their lack of 3-point shooting. They also haven't been great at defending the 3 early, allowing teams to hit on 41% of their attempts from long range. Charlotte is limited offensively, but are good defensively to not only keep this close but win the game outright. Give me the Hornets +6.5! 

50* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Pelicans -4) 

The public loves to back the Lakers and I feel we are getting some great value here with the Pelicans only laying 4-points against this team. All the hype with Lonzo Ball and his dad has everyone talking about LA making a playoff push in the west, but that's just not going to happen. New Orleans has the two best players on the floor and the Pelicans will be all business here after losing their first two. Lakers looked bad against the Clippers and barely held on against a bad Suns team. That win over Phoenix puts LA in a very favorable spot to fade, as home dogs off a close win by 3 points or less are just 43-66 (39%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Lakers are also just 14-30 ATS at home off a road win by 3 or less. New Orleans is a crazy 25-9 ATS under Gentry when playing on the road in the first half of the season. Give me the Pelicans -4! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Suns -3) 

I believe this line says it all. Phoenix just lost at home 76-124 in their season opener, which was the worst loss in NBA-history to start a season, and yet are laying points against a Lakers team that the public is on because of all the media attention this team has been getting since they drafted Lonzo Ball. All that talk Lonzo's dad has been doing has put a serious target on his back and this team. We saw Patrick Beverely take it personal against him last night. I expect to get the best effort the Suns have and they should be able to attack the tired legs of the Lakers on no rest. Give me Phoenix -3!  

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Nets -1.5) 

Ideal spot to jump on Brooklyn at home, as the Magic are getting way too much love here for their home win over the Heat to start the season. This Nets team is not anywhere close to as bad as they have been in the past and I expect them to be a good bet at home for quite a while this season. The Magic closed out last season going just 9-25-1 ATS after a cover and were a mere 8-20 ATS after scoring 100 points or more. Still a young team that's going to struggle on the road. Give me the Nets -1.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Raptors -12.5) 

I just don't think people understand how bad this Bulls team is going to be. While 12.5 looks like a huge spread, especially this early in the season, I don't think it's near enough. With the recent brawl in practice, the Bulls just lost two more key players in Bobby Portis and Nikola Mirotic. They are already without projected starters Zach LaVine and Kris Dun. They also won't have backup point guard Cameron Payne and forward Paul Zipser is questionable. Bulls simply don't have the depth to overcome that, especially against a Raptors team that is going to be motivated in both their season and home opener. Give me the Raptors -12.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 205.5) 

Tom Thibodeau had to be sick with how bad the Timberwolves were defensively a season ago, but they don't figure to struggle on that side of the ball this year. Minnesota went out an added Jimmy Butler, Jeff Teague and Taj Gibson to pair with youngsters Karl-Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggins. All 3 of those new guys are defensive upgrades. It won't hurt that the Spurs are going to be without both Tony Parker and Kwahi Leonard. Even minus two starters, San Antonio will show up at home and this team led the league in defensive efficiency last year. Give me the UNDER 205.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Nuggets +2.5) 

Denver is one of my favorite under the radar teams coming into this season and I'm shocked that they aren't getting more love here against a Utah team that has clearly taken a step back after losing their top two scorers in Gordon Hayward and George Hill. The Nuggets were a team that really played well down the stretch of last season and only got better in the offseason with the addition of Paul Milsap. He joins the dynamic young 1-2 punch of center Nikola Jokic and guard Jamal Murray. I just don't see Utah being able to keep pace offensively with Denver in this one. Give me the Nuggets +2.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Warriors -9.5) 

Houston is getting talked up like they are going to threaten the Warriors in the West and I think that's got a lot of people looking to take the Rockets and the points in the opener. I'm taking Golden State in what I feel is a bit of a statement game for them at home, especially after last year's horrific showing in their home opener to the Spurs, where they lost by 29-points. The big difference here is the Warriors basically have their same team back and unlike last year at this time aren't trying to figure out how to incorporate Durant in the offense. That problem is one the Rockets have, as they added in Chris Paul to team with James Harden. I like the move and feel like it makes them better, but I also think it's going to take up to a month before they really have a good feel for playing with each other. Give me the Warriors -9.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS ANNIHILATOR (Cavs -4) 

The Cavs are worth a look here at this price with or without LeBron James, though I do expect him to play. This isn't just another game for Cleveland after Kyrie Irving demanded to be traded. I look for Irving and the Celtics to struggle here, not only because of Irving now playing for the opponent, but Boston has a lot of new pieces and I just don't see them meshing well out of the gates on the road. One of the reasons I like Cleveland if James decides not to play, is the Cavs are deeper than in years past and have a couple of veterans in Dwayne Wade and Derrick Rose that can shoulder the load. I also love Cleveland's decision to go small and play Love at the 5 and get even more shooters on the floor. Give me the Cavaliers -4! 

40* NBA FINALS GAME 5 ATS NO BRAINER (Warriors -8.5)

Golden State covered a similar number at home in both Game 1 and Game 2 and I see no reason why they don't do it again, as they are destined to put an end to this series. What gets overlooked in Cleveland's 137-116 win in Game 4, is that despite a 49 point 1st quarter and unthinkable shooting from long-distance (24 of 45), not to mention some favorable calls early, the Warriors were still within striking distance in the 4th quarter. I'm betting the Cavs don't shooting 53.3% from behind the 3-point line and the Warriors do a much better job defensively, while also shooting the ball better. Give me Golden State -8.5!

40* NBA FINALS GAME 4 ATS NO BRAINER (Warriors -6)

I see this getting ugly in a hurry with Golden State putting the finishign touches on a perfect 16-0 playoff run in blowout fashion. It's just asking too much of the Cavs to play with the intensity needed after how well they played in Game 3 and losing that game in the final minutes the way they did. They looked defeated and as competitive as they are, they know this thing is over and done with. Even up 3-0, I don't see the Warriors letting the foot off the gas here after blowing that 3-1 lead last year. Not to mention I think they desperately want that 16-0 record. Even if Cleveland plays hard and tries to win, I still think we have a decent shot here Golden State wins by double-digits. Give me the Warriors -6! 

50* NBA FINALS VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 227)

I would lean Warriors here, but I feel the real value is with the total. Cleveland is saying they aren't going to slow things down and will continue to play fast. I'm not buying it. The Cavs know they can't contain this Warriors offense if they let them get out in transition. They don't have to play at a snails pace, but they have to play slower. The pace of these first two games has been ridiculous. On top of that, we are going to get the very best the Cavs have to offer defensively at home in what I think most agree is a game they have to win if they want any shot at making this a series. At the same time, I don't see the Warriors letting off the defensive intensity after blowing a 3-1 lead last year. Give me the UNDER 227! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Cavs +9)

Cleveland played about as bad as they could have possibly played in Game 1 and I just don't see this one going as poorly. The Cavs are going to struggle to slow down the Warriors offense, but they should be able to keep pace with the weapons they have. James will put this team on his back and I expect this one to go right down to the wire and we got plenty of wiggle room with the spread approaching double-digits. Give me the Cavaliers +9! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Warriors -7)

As much respect as I have for LeBron James, I just don't think Cleveland has a fighting chance against this Warriors team. Let's not forget, James and the Cavs were down 3-1 and likely would have lost last year's finals if it wasn't for Draymond Green getting suspended for Game 5. Cleveland basically has the same team, while Golden State added Durant, who is as motivated as anyone and makes this Warriors team nearly impossible to guard. I look for the Warriors to win this series in 5 and when to cruise to a double-digit win here at home in Game 1. Give me Golden State -7! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 215.5)

Boston played much better in the two games in Cleveland than they did in the first two at home and I think part of it is they are moving the ball better offensively. They simply can't play as bad as they did in Games 1 and 2 at home, at least offensively. These two combined for 121 in Boston for Game 1 and then just 116 in Game 2 and that was with the Celtics scoring just 86 and shooting 37.2% from the field. I look for a locked in Cavs offense with the chance to close the series and a good enough showing here from Boston to push this over the mark. Give me the OVER 215.5!

40* NBA NO DOUBT TOTAL NO BRAINER (UNDER 218)

After letting Game 3 get away from them after building a huge lead and watching the Warriors finish off the Spurs last night, I look for a pissed off and extremely motivated Cleveland team to take the floor here and 100% locked in on the defensive side of the ball. At the same time I also think the fact that Boston was able to get a win in Game 3 keeps them locked in and actually gives them some extra incentive here. I think we see the lowest scoring game in this series by far. Give me the UNDER 218!