40* (NBA) - Clippers/Mavs VEGAS INSIDER (Mavericks +131) 

You can take the 2-3 points if ya want, but I'm confident the Mavs won't need them. I really like Dallas to win Game 6 at home to end this series. I know the road team has won each of the first 5 games in this series. You can't let something like that change how you view a game. 

Luka Doncic not Kawhi Leonard has been the best player on the floor in this series. I just think the perception is that the Clippers are the more talented team when it really hasn't shown on the floor. If Luka doesn't have that nerve problem in Game 4, who knows, maybe this series is over. Either way I like the Mavs to find a way at home tonight. Give me Dallas +131! 

50* (NBA) - Suns/Lakers MAX UNIT Top Play (Under 207.5) 

I like the UNDER 207.5 in Game 6 tonight between the Lakers and Suns. I'm torn on whether or not LA can win this game, but I am pretty confident that it will be low scoring. I think the Lakers are not only desperate facing elimination, but also embarrassed from that ugly loss in Game 5. The level of intensity they are going to have at home with their backs against the wall is going to be really high. 

At the same time, I don't think the Suns are feeling good about things. Sure they like that AD is hurt, but this thing can flip in a hurry if he comes back. Chris Paul knows to not like his team take this game lightly, just because they got a Game 7 at home if needed. I expect Phoenix to be just as motivated here to finish this thing off. I just don't think there's going to be enough pace and shot making to get this to the 210 range. Give me the UNDER 207.5! 

50* (NBA) - Hawks/Knicks MAX UNIT Top Play (Knicks -1) 

I've had a lot of success in this series. I passed on Game 1 to just get a feel for the matchup. I won and covered with the Knicks -2 in Game 2 and then cashed on the Hawks -4 and -4.5 in Games 3 and 4. 

I will keep on firing in this series, as I absolutely love the value here with the Knicks -1 at home facing elimination down 3-1 in the series. I've said I think NY is a bit overvalued because their regular-season record is more off of effort than it is talent, that doesn't mean they aren't a good team. 

If they can just get their offense going, the energy at the Garden combined with the effort defensively, should keep the Hawks offense in check. Julius Randle by far had his best game of the series in Game 4. I think he breaks out with a huge game here, as I could see the Knicks blowing this thing wide open. Give me New York -1! 

40* (NBA) - Situational VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Wizards +6) 

I think because the 76ers are up 3-1 in the series and playing at home, it has Philadelphia way overvalued in Game 5. More than likely the 76ers find a way to win one of these next 3 games, but I'm not 100% convinced they will. 

If Embiid doesn't come back (doubtful Game 5), Washington could easily win 4 straight and take the series. That's how huge Embiid is to the 76ers success. The Wizards had no answer for him in the first 3 games. His absence completely changes the mindset of Washington. They have to really think they can do this with him out. 

I just think this line should be closer to -3 without Embiid. Keep in mind the 76ers were -8 in Game 1 and -8.5 in Game 2 with Embiid on the floor. Give me the Wizards +6! 

40* (NBA) - Lakers/Suns VEGAS INSIDER (Suns -5) 

Nothing is a sure thing when LeBron is involved, but I feel pretty confident that LA will lose this series if AD doesn't come back. As good as LeBron is, it's asking too much from him to carry this team without Davis on the floor, especially against a top tier team like the Suns. 

I also love that the Suns have Chris Paul. He's going to make sure that no one on Phoenix takes this game lightly because AD isn't playing. He will have them 100% locked in to take care of business and go up 3-2 in this series. It's really a must-win game for Phoenix if they want to win the series. There's no guarantee they can beat LA on the road without AD, especially in a close out game. Suns get the job done. Give me Phoenix -5! 

40* (NBA) Blazers/Nuggets ATS NO-BRAINER (Nuggets -2) 

I'll take my chances with the Nuggets winning the all important Game 5 at home on Tuesday. I'm shocked that Denver isn't a bigger home favorite. I know the Blazers just won Game 4 by 20, but it was pretty clear that the Nuggets just didn't have that same energy we saw in Games 2 and 3 after they lost Game 1. 

Denver did their job and got back home court. If there was a game they were going to come out flat it was Game 5. Losing by 20 looks bad, but it also lights the fire that much more. I wouldn't be surprised at all if the Nuggets controlled this game from start to finish. Give me Denver -2! 

50* (NBA) - Jazz/Grizzlies MAX UNIT Top Play (Grizzlies +5.5) 

We took a tough loss on Memphis in Game 3 at basically the same price, as the Grizzlies lost by double-digits after leading in the final 5 minutes. Give Utah credit for how they closed out that game, but I think Memphis showed a lot fighting back to take that late lead after really not playing up to their potential for the majority of that game.

Also not a lot you can do with Utah making 19 3's on 44% shooting. Memphis only shot 43% from the field and 32% from deep. I think there's a good chance we see the Grizzlies shoot better in Game 4, while the Jazz regress a little bit. I like the Grizzlies to win this game, but I'll take the points for a little added insurance.  Give me Memphis +5.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sunday MAX UNIT Top Play (Nets -7) 

I love the Nets to blowout the Celtics in Game 4. Boston played a near perfect game and got 50 from Jason Tatum and still almost lost Game 3 at home. I just don't see the Celtics doing what they did offensively in Game 4. 

Brooklyn got the wakeup call they needed in Game 3. They are going to be 100% locked in on both sides of the ball in this one. The Celtics simply don't have the talent to make a game of it. Look for the Nets to pull away and win this one by double-digits. Give me Brooklyn -7! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Hawks -4.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Hawks as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Knicks in Game 4. We won with Atlanta in Game 3, as the Hawks went on to win 105-94. I backed Atlanta in that game because I just don't trust this Knicks team in the playoffs. I just feel like teams coached by Thibs are extremely overrated in the playoffs. 

They play hard defense in the regular-season, which leads to a lot of wins, but everyone plays hard defense in the playoffs. Knicks also are struggling to score. Julius Randle has been a complete non-factor. Outside of Rose, no one is doing much. 

Trae Young is the best player on the floor and he seems built for this stage. I just don't see the Hawks losing at home here. Give me Atlanta -4.5! 

50* (NBA) - Jazz/Grizzlies MAX UNIT Top Play (Grizzlies +5) 

I will take a shot with the Grizzlies as a 5-point home dog against the Jazz in Game 3. Utah won Game 2 141-129 to even the series at 1-1. A lot of people will attribute the Jazz winning Game 2 to the return of Donovan Mitchell.

While Mitchell played great in his first game back from a long absence, it was just one of those nights for the entire Jazz team. Everything they threw at the rim was going in. Utah shot 54.4% from the field and were 19-39 (48.7%) from behind the 3-point line. 

What people overlook is that the Grizzlies also finished that game shooting 54.1% from the field. The only real difference in the game was 3-point shooting. Grizzlies made 11 fewer 3's going just 8-23 (34.8%) from deep. 

With the series shifting from Utah to Memphis, we should see the Jazz's 3-point shooting regress and for the Grizzlies to be a little better. I would not be surprised at all if Memphis won this game. Give me the Grizzlies +5! 

40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Wizards +5.5) 

I'll roll the dice with the Wizards as a 5.5-point home dog against the 76ers in Game 3 on Saturday. I'm pretty confident Philly is going to win this series, but I also don't think Washington is going to go down without a fight. Not with two superstars. 

Bradley Beal has been great in the first two games. He put up 33 in Game 1 and followed it up with another 33 in Game 2. He's shot 53.3% from the field in the series, despite going a mere 2-12 (16.7%) from behind the 3-point line. 

I'm excited to see what we get out Russell Westbrook. Not only does he desperately want to help his team avoid a 0-3 hole, but I see him coming out with a chip on his shoulder after how mad he was about the popcorn incident in Game 2. 

Philadelphia's offense is also just not the same on the road as it is at home. 76ers are scoring close to 118 ppg at home compared to just 110 ppg on the road. Give me the Wizards +5.5! 

40* (NBA) - Late Night VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Clippers -2) 

I'll take my chances with the Clippers finding a way to win Game 3 and avoid going down 0-3 in the series to the Mavs. Props to Dallas for taking Game 1 and 2 on the road, but they far from dominated. 

I just think the Clippers are going to do a better job defensively than they have. After letting Dallas shoot 50% in Game 1, the Mavs shot 58.5% in Game 2. Some of that is the Mavs just made shots. Just because they are going home, doesn't mean they are going to be better offensively than they have been. 

The Clippers are just too talented a team to go down 0-3. Mavs are also a young team that maybe doesn't know the importance of not taking your foot off the gas. Give me Dallas -2! 

50* (NBA) - Knicks/Hawks MAX UNIT Top Play (Hawks -4)

I love the Hawks at -4 in Game 3 against the Knicks on Friday. I thought Atlanta played exceptionally well on the road in the first two games of this series. They were dangerously close to going up 2-0 and that was with New York in a must-win situation. 

I like Thibs, but I think his teams are overrated in the playoffs. The biggest reason they are so good in the regular-season, they play with playoff-like intensity every single game. You can win a lot of regular-season games on just effort. In the playoffs, everyone is playing at that level.

I loved them with their backs against the wall at home in Game 2, but I think the Knicks are going to struggle to keep this one close. Give me the Hawks -4! 

50* (NBA) - Thursday MAX UNIT Top Play (Blazers -3.5) 

I absolutely love the Blazers as a slim 3.5-point home favorite in Game 3 of their first round series with the Nuggets. Portland won Game 1 of the series 123-109, but as expected Denver came back with all they had and evened up the series with a 128-109 win in Game 2. 

I just don't think the Nuggets are going to be able to go on the road and keep it close against what I feel is a much deeper and talented Blazers team. Denver has had no answer for Damian Lillard, who is averaging 38 ppg and 11.5 apg in the series.

I look for Lillard to keep doing what he does, but we should also see an uptick in production from the role players in front of the home crowd. Opposite for Denver. Look for their role players to struggle a little more on the road. Give me the Blazers -3.5! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Heat +2) 

I will take a shot with the Heat in Game 3 against the Bucks. It's not Game 7, but this is a MUST WIN for Miami after losing the first two games in Milwaukee. Heat fall down 0-3 in the series, they are done for. 

As bad as Miami looked in their 98-132 loss in Game 2, there wasn't a lot they could do given the 46-point haymaker the Nets landed in the 1st quarter. You never expect a team to start that bad, but you have to wonder if Miami didn't suffer a mental letdown after that heartbreaking 2-point loss in OT in Game 1. 

I also think it's a little harder on the Bucks to come out swinging after a blowout win like that in Game 2. I certainly don't see them making another 22 3-pointers in Game 3. I just trust Miami to deliver in this spot. Give me the Heat +2! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 219) 

I don't play a ton of OVERs in the NBA playoffs, but the OVER 219 in Wednesday's Jazz/Grizzlies game is one I just can't help myself with. These two combined for 221 in Game 1 and that was with neither team shooting great.

The Jazz were especially off their game, shooting 42.0% from the field and 25.5% from behind the 3-point line. Utah in the regular-season shot 47% from the field and 38.8% from behind the 3-point line at home, where they averaged 117.2 ppg. 

I think the Jazz were sleep walking a bit after the week layoff and it definitely didn't help matters that star player Donovan Mitchell was a late scratch. He's expected to play in Game 2, but either way Utah will be more mentally ready if he can't go. 

I could see the Jazz eclipsing the 220 mark in this one and confident we are going to get enough from Memphis to cash this ticket. Give me the OVER 219! 

50* (NBA) Hawks/Knicks MAX UNIT Top Play (Knicks -2) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Knicks as a slim 2-point home favorite in Game 2. Atlanta won Game 1 107-105, which means New York will be desperate to get this thing tied up 1-1 as they head to Atlanta for Game 3 on Sunday. 

All the talk from Game 1 is about how good Trae Young was for the Hawks. He was special. Young had 32 points with 10 assists and 7 rebounds. For Young to play that well and New York's star player Julius Randle to have only 15 points on 6-23 shooting, you would expect the Hawks to win by more. 

I just think the Knicks are poised to not only win Game 2, but win this one going away. Give me New York -2! 

40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Nets -9.5) 

I got no problem laying the 9-points with the Nets at home in Game 2 against the Celtics. Brooklyn won Game 1 by 11 points 104-93. They did so after a very sluggish start. Nets were a different team in the 2nd half, outscoring Boston 57 to 40. 

They also won by double-digits with Durant, Irving and Harden going a combined 5-24 (20.8%) from behind the 3-point line.

I don't see those 3 shooting as poorly in Game 2. On the flip side, I think people are underestimating this Brooklyn defense. Jason Tatum had 22 points, but he had to work for 22 and wasn't that efficient (6 for 20). No other Celtics player had more than 17. Look for the Nets to continue to focus on Tatum and make the other guys try to beat them. I don't think they can. Give me the Nets -9.5! 

40* (NBA) - Blazers/Nuggets Vegas STEAMROLLER (Nuggets -1.5) 

I will take my chances with the Nuggets as a slim -1.5 home favorite against the Blazers in Game 2. Portland got the best of Denver in Game 1, winning 123-109. It was a great performance by Portland, who shot 47% from the field and 48% from behind the 3-point line. They also were 18 of 19 from the foul line, while Denver was a mere 4 of 8. I just think everything that could have went right for Portland, did in Game 1. I'm confident the Nuggets bounce back and send this series back to Portland tied up 1-1. Give me Denver -1.5! 

50* (NBA) - Lakers/Suns MAX UNIT Top Play (Suns -2.5) 

I love the Suns as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against the Lakers in Game 1 of their series that starts on Sunday. I really expected more out of the Lakers in their play-in game against the Warriors. Yes they were able to win, but it was a struggle. LeBron hit the big shot at the end, but still only finished with 22 points on 7 of 17 shooting. The explosiveness just wasn't there. 

I also think there could be a bit of an emotional letdown for the Lakers. I know it wasn't do or die in their game against the Warriors, but that was a huge game for them. 

You also have to look at the Suns. Phoenix nearly passed the Jazz for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference. Like the Warriors, the Suns can get after you defensively. I also think they got a big edge here in guard play with Chris Paul and Devin Booker. Add in the home court and I just think the Suns will have no problem getting a win in Game 1. Give me Phoenix -2.5! 

40* (NBA) - Wizards/76ers Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (76ers -7) 

I will roll the dice here with the 76ers as a 7-point home favorite against the Wizards. I've been backing Washington a lot of late, but this is one spot I will go against them. Washington lost to the Celtics on Tuesday for the No. 7 seed, but came back on Thursday to blowout the Pacers for the No. 8 seed. 

I just think this is a big letdown spot for the Wizards after just playing in a win or go home game a couple of days ago. Not to mention they are on the road against a very good 76ers team that I think doesn't get near the hype it deserves. A lot of that is just no one thinks anyone is getting in the way of the Nets in the east. Philly is loaded, healthy and extremely tough to beat at home. I see them winning here by double-digits rather easily. Give me the 76ers -7! 

40* (NBA) - Nets/Celtics VEGAS INSIDER (Under 229.5) 

I think the UNDER 229.5 is worthy of a play in Game 1 Saturday between the Nets and Celtics. People are just assuming Brooklyn can't be stopped with the Big 3 of Durant, Irving and Harden all healthy. They also see Boston just score 118 in their win over Washington on Tuesday. 

I'm not about to say the Nets won't lethal on offense, but let's not forget they didn't a lot of time together in the regular-season. I also don't trust the Celtics offense without Jaylen Brown. Tatum put up 50 in that game against the Wizards and they still only had 118. 

What I think people are sleeping on is the Nets defense. They got better and better on that side of the ball as the season went on. I also think all 3 of the Big 3 have the ability to take their defense to a different level. They just don't need to play hard on that side of the ball in the regular-season. I think they make it really tough on Tatum and the Boston offense. I just don't think they get to 230. Give me the UNDER 229.5! 

50* (NBA) - Mavs/Clippers MAX UNIT Top Play (Clippers -5) 

I love the Clippers as a mere 5-point home favorite against the Mavs in Game 1 of their playoff series. I don't think LA is getting enough respect not just in this game, but just in general. There's just not the hype around this team that there was last year or early on this season. 

I think everything the Clippers have done was to get ready for the playoffs. I believe we are about to see a completely different team. I also think this is a really tough matchup for the Mavs. LA is every bit as good as Dallas offensively, but are by far the better defensive team. I think the Clippers' defense and the homecourt edge will propel them to a comfortable win. Give me the Clippers -5! 

40* (NBA) Heat/Bucks Early Bird STEAMROLLER (Heat +5) 

I will roll the dice with the Heat as a 5-point road dog against the Bucks in Game 1 of their first round matchup. All the talk going into this series is about how Milwaukee is going to get their revenge on Miami after the Heat eliminated them from the postseason a year ago. I'm just not buying it. 

I think people are sleeping on this Heat team going into the playoffs. No one is talking about the reigning Eastern Conference Champs. A lot of that has to do with how their regular-season went. They really struggled early. However, that was to be expected. What matters is they finished strong. 

I also love the fact that Miami has a gameplan and the pieces to slow down Antetokounmpo. He's only averaging 18.6 ppg in his career against the Heat. I'll take the points for some insurance, but I like Miami to go up 1-0. Give me the Heat +5! 

50* (NBA) - Grizzlies/Warriors MAX UNIT Top Play (Under 221) 

I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 221 in Friday's Play-In matchup for the No. 8 seed between the Warriors and Grizzlies. While we just watched the Wizards/Pacers fly past the total last night, the UNDER has hit in 3 of the 5 play-in games with the only two OVERs coming in games that involved the Pacers. 

The Grizzlies/Spurs matchup on Wednesday went UNDER the total of 225 by 29 points, as the Grizzlies won that game by a final of 100-96. The Warriors/Lakers game stayed UNDER the total of 217 by 14 as LA won 103-100. 

Both of these teams were exceptional on the defensive end, as Memphis held the Spurs to just 35% shooting, while Golden State held the Lakers to 40.7% from the field. If you go back it's nothing new. Grizzlies have held 6 of their last 7 opponents to 44% or worse, while the Warriors have held 7 of their last 10 under that mark. These two played late in the regular-season and only combined for 214 points and that was with GW shooting 49%. Give me the UNDER 221! 

50* (NBA) - Thursday NBA Play-In MAX UNIT Top Play (Wizards -3.5) 

I will gladly take the Wizards -3.5 at home against the Pacers in Thursday's winner take all matchup in the Play-In Tournament. Washington watched a halftime lead evaporate in a 100-118 loss at Boston. Wizards couldn't buy a 3-pointer, as they shot just 3 for 21 and it didn't help that Jason Tatum went off for 50. 

Pacers beat Charlotte 144-117 even after LeVert was a late scratch. I'm just not buying that performance from Indiana. They couldn't have shot it any better and the Hornets are awful defensively. 

Washington's defense will put up a much bigger fight and the Wizards have the two best players on the floor in Westbrook and Beal. Give me Washington -3.5! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Lakers -5) 

I just can't help myself here with the Lakers as a mere 5-point home favorite against the Warriors. No way anyone thought LA would be in the play-in game. They definitely wouldn't have been had injuries not derailed their season. 

Good news is they got all their key guys back, including their two stars AD and LeBron. I know LeBron is going to be less than 100%, but this is LeBron James we are talking about. He will be fine. I just think it's a bigger mismatch than people realize. I know Steph Curry is playing out of his mind, but he's going to have to score 50 just for Golden State to keep it close. Give me the Lakers -5! 

40* (NBA) - Wizards/Celtics Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Under 233) 

I will gladly take the UNDER 233 in Tuesday's Play-In game between the Wizards and Celtics. I just think the total here is way too high for a game of this magnitude. The intensity for a winner take all game is massive and people forget just how much better the defenses get in the postseason. 

We saw that in the Wizards matchup with Charlotte in the regular-season finale, where they winner got to the No. 8 seed. That game had a total of 231 and finished with 225. Both these teams are better defensively than what they showed in the regular-season. Play the UNDER 233! 

50* (NBA) - Play-In Tournament MAX UNIT Top Play (Hornets +3.5) 

I really like Charlotte to win this game, making them a no-brainer at +3.5. The Hornets lost their last 5 games, but I liked what I seen out of this team in those losses. They really should have beat the Wizards in the regular-season finale to be the No. 8 seed. Charlotte has got a lot of key guys back in recent weeks. 

I just feel the Hornets are the much better team. The Pacers are without a huge piece in Myles Turner, as he made a huge impact on both ends of the floor. They also got a lot of other guys banged up and really haven't been the same team since trading Oladipo. I just don't think playing at home will be enough to propel them in this spot. Give me the Hornets +3.5! 

40* (NBA) Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Clippers -8) 

I'll roll the dice here with the Clippers as a 8-point road favorite against OKC. I know LA just rested everyone and lost outright as a 7-point favorite at the Rockets on Friday, but I think that was just more of a planned off day for all the key guys in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. I don't think they sit everyone on Sunday, as they get the rest of the week off while the play-in tournament goes on. 

The other big key here is that OKC does not want to win this game. Thunder need to lose to ensure they finish at least tied for the 3rd worst record. Tanking is clearly a priority for OKC. They are 1-23 in their last 24 games. 

I know there's the narrative that LA should lose to avoid being the No. 3 seed and potentially having to face the Lakers in the first round, but it's unlikely the Lakers surpass the Blazers for that No. 6 spot. I also don't think they are scared of the Lakers and wouldn't you want to play them early compared to late when they have had a chance to regain their chemistry. Give me the Clippers -8! 

40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards -6) 

I will gladly lay the 6-points with the Wizards at home in their big showdown with the Hornets. A lot at stake here, as the winner will likely by the No. 8 seed and get to go to Boston on Tuesday for a shot to be the No. 7 seed. The loser moves to the No. 10 seed (assuming Pacers beat the Raptors) and will have to travel to Indiana for a win or go home matchup on Wednesday. Keep in mind the winner can lose to the Celtics and still make it as the No. 8 by beating the winner or the No.9/No. 10 game. 

With Bradley Beal being upgraded from out to questionable, I think there's a good chance he plays here with what's at stake. Even if he doesn't I still like Washington to win by 7 or more. I just think they are the much better team and in a much better spot. Hornets just played a OT game at New York on Saturday. A game that saw 6 different players log 30 or more minutes with Rozier logging a team high 46 (Graham and McDaniels also had at least 40 minutes). Keep in mind the Wizards were off yesterday. Give me Washington -6! 

40* (NBA) - Situational MONEY-MAKER  (Nets -10.5) 

With the Wizards 120-105 win over the Cavs on Friday, the Bulls are officially eliminated from playoff contention. That has me thinking blowout. I just don't think there will be much fight in Chicago. Hard to stay motivated after having your playoff hopes come to a crashing end this late in the season. Especially for a team like the Bulls who thought they would at least make the play-in tournament. 

The Nets are expected to have their Big 3 of Durant, Irving and Harden for the first time in what seems like forever. Just being on the court together has to have these guys excited to play. There's also incentive here to win, as the Nets are just 1-game up on the Bucks for the No. 2 spot and Milwaukee owns the tie-breaker. 

I got a feeling this line will only keep climbing, so get your bets in early! Give me the Nets -10.5! 

40* (NBA) Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Wizards -8.5) 

I got no problem laying the 8.5 with the Wizards at home against the Cavs. Washington will be without Bradley Beal, but I don't think it matters. The Wizards are going to be extremely motivated to win this game, as they have not yet clinched a playoff spot. If they lose their last two and Chicago wins out, the Bulls would surpass them for the No. 10 spot. 

As for Cleveland, I think we are actually getting a favorable number here because the Cavs just won outright 102-94 as a 6-point dog to the Celtics. Couple big things to note with that game. That was Cleveland's last home game and I think it meant something. Kevin Love was quoted saying, "I just wanted to win one at home before the season was over." It also helped the Celtics were down multiple starters and are just a team that has been on the decline. 

I don't think there's a lot here for Cleveland to get excited about. They got two road games before going on vacation. Prior to that win over the Celtics the Cavs had lost 7 straight games by at least 9 points. Give me the Wizards -8.5! 

40* (NBA) Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Grizzlies -7.5) 

I can't help myself with Memphis as a mere 7.5-point home favorite against the Kings. Memphis sits in the No. 9 spot, but are just 0.5-game back of the Warriors for the No. 8 seed. Catching Golden State would be huge. You get two chances if you are the No. 8, where the No. 9 seed has to win two straight to make it. 

Not only is their motivation for Memphis to play well, but the Kings are missing a ton of key players. They won't have De'Aaron Fox, Tyrese Haliburton, Harrison Barnes, Marvin Bagley or Robert Woodard. This has blowout written all over it. Give me the Grizzlies -7.5! 

40* (NBA) - 76ers/Heat TNT Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Heat -1) 

I will take my chances here with the Heat as a slim 1-point home favorite against the 76ers in Thursday's first of two prime time games on TNT. I just don't trust Philly to show up in this spot. I know the 76ers still haven't officially clinched the No. 1 seed in the east, but it's all but a done deal. Even if they lose here, they need to just win their final two at home against the Magic. 

Miami on the other hand has a ton to play for. Thanks to the Celtics loss to the Cavs last night, Heat don't have to worry about the play-in tournament. They do however, have plenty to play for with seeding. Hawks, HEat and Knicks are all fighting for the No. 4 to No. 6 seeds. The key here is the team that finishes No .6 will have to face the Bucks in the first round. Give me Miami -1! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Pelicans +10) 

I just think the Mavericks are getting a little too much respect in this one. I know the Pelicans are without Ingram/Williamson and their playoff hopes are hanging on by a thread, but this team hasn't shown any quit. I don't think they will until they are officially out of it, so as slim as their shot is to make the playoffs, they are going to come into this one not just looking to keep it close against the Mavs, but to win outright. 

Dallas just lost 104-133 at Memphis last night and I just wonder if this team isn't running out of gas. Mavs will be completing their 3rd back-to-back already this month. Pelicans have only had to play one back-to-back in May and were off yesterday. NO has covered 4 straight and 8 of 9 overall. Give me the Pelicans +10! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Pacers +6.5) 

I think we are getting a great price here with the Pacers as a 6.5-point home dog against the 76ers. Indiana not only still needs to win to ensure they make the playoffs, but there's incentive for them to try to catch the Hornets for the No. 8 spot. 

As for the 76ers, there's just not a lot to play for down the stretch. Philly is the No. 1 seed in the East. They are a very comfortable 3-games up on Nets, which is more like 4 given they own the tiebreaker. The most important thing for Philly is just staying healthy. So I got a hard time seeing Embiid playing after showing up as questionable with an illness. There's just no incentive to play him. Give me the Pacers +6.5! 

50* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER Top Play (Pacers -6.5) 

No need to overthink this one. I just think the books really have a hard time setting this line high enough. You can't focus too much on how the Pacers have been playing down the stretch. This is more a play against an awful Cavs team against a team that still has something to play for. 

Cleveland knew they weren't a playoff team before the season even started and they look like they have thrown in the towel down the stretch. Cavs have lost 10 in a row with each of the last 6 losses coming by at least 16 points.

Cleveland has allowed 9 straight opponents to shoot 48% or better from the field. Pacers have shot 48% or better from the field in 4 of their last 5, twice shooting better than 60%. Offense hasn't been their problem. Give me Indiana -6.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO BRAINER (Over 228.5) 

I think we are getting some exceptional value here with the OVER 228.5 in Sunday's game between the Magic and Timberwolves. A lot of people will just stay clear of this game as both of these teams are out of the playoff picture. 

That's where I feel the value lies. There's zero incentive for either of these teams to play defense. That's definitely how Minnesota likes it, as the Timberwolves are scoring 124.6 ppg and giving up 124.2 ppg in their last 5. Magic should be able to keep pace and I could see this thing flying past the total and into the 240s. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

50* (NBA) Sunday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Hornets -3.5) 

I love the Hornets as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against the Pelicans. I think the fact that New Orleans is very much alive in the playoff race, just 2 games back of San Antonio for the 10th and final spot, and they come in having covered 6 of 7, has them getting too much respect here. 

Charlotte is still down a couple key pieces, but they have recently got back star rookie LaMelo Ball and he's a difference maker. He does it all and more importantly makes the game easier on his teammates. 

The Hornets injuries don't even begin to compare to that of the Pelicans who are down their two best players in Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram. New Orleans may put up a fight early, but Charlotte should take control of this one in the 2nd half. Give me the Hornets -3.5! 

40* (NBA) - Early Bird VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Under 221.5) 

I think there's some decent value with the UNDER 221.5 in Sunday's early matchup between the Celtics and Heat. This is the first of two straight games these two teams will play, as they will square off in Miami again on Tuesday. 

These two games could very well decide which of these two teams finish as the No. 6 seed and get next week off and which finishes No. 7 and is forced to earn a spot in the postseason in the play-in tournament. 

I just think with how much these games mean, it's going to have a playoff-like feel to it. Look for both teams to turn up the defensive intensity and for this to stay well below the mark set by the books. Give me the UNDER 221.5! 

40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Blazers -6) 

A lot of people might see this as a letdown spot for Portland coming off that huge win last night against the Lakers, which moved them into the No. 6 seed and out of the play-in tournament. They also won the season series 2-1 with that victory, so while they are just 1-game up in the standings, it's more like 2. 

With just 5 to play and how big it is to these teams to not have to play in the play-in tournament, I'm not concerned with the Blazers not showing up here on no rest. Let's also not ignore the fact that the Spurs are also on no rest. San Antonio is also playing their 4th straight on the road having to travel from Sacramento last night to Portland, while the Blazers got to go home to their own beds. Give me the Blazers -6! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Grizzlies -5) 

I will take my chances here with Memphis as a 5-point road favorite against the Raptors. While Toronto is not officially out of the playoff picture, their chances of making it after Thursday's home loss to the Wizards are slim to none. 

Raptors are a full 4-games back of the Wizards for the 10th and final spot with just 5 games to play. The fact that Kyle Lowry is sitting out this game for rest really says it all. Not only will they be without Lowry, VanVleet and Anunoby are also both out. 

Memphis on the other hand desperately needs a win here as they are just 0.5-game back of the Warriors and the 8th place spot. I don't see this one being close at all. Give me the Grizzlies -5!

40* (NBA) - Situational ATS DESTROYER (Knicks +7) 

I really like the value here with New York as a 7-point road dog against the Suns. I think Knicks are getting a bit undervalued here for two big reasons. One they lost to Phoenix at home not that long ago by a final of 118-110. The other is the Knicks are going to be without Quickley. 

I just think New York is playing with a chip on their shoulder and I'm confident they respond in a big way from that ugly 97-113 loss at Denver last time out. They couldn't have started any worse, scoring just 12 points in the 1st quarter. 

I also think the Suns might be a little tired right now. They just lost 103-135 at Atlanta on Wednesday and are looking like at worst will be the No. 2 seed in the West. This feels like it could be a flat spot, especially with a game at Lakers on deck. Give me the Knicks +7! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Blazers -8) 

I got no problem laying the big number with the Blazers at home against the Lakers on Friday. With LeBron James out and AD questionable with a back injury, hard to see LA keeping this competitive. Note they are also without one of their top guards in Dennis Schroder. 

Portland doesn't care who suits up for the Lakers in this one. They are going to be 100% locked in as a win here could move them into the No. 6 seed and the Lakers down to the No. 7 seed and in that dreaded 4-team play-in tournament. Blazers are healthy and playing well, having gone 5-1 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games, scoring 128 or more in 5 of those games. Give me Portland -8! 

50* (NBA) - Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH (Mavs -9.5) 

I got no problem laying the big number with the Mavs at home against the Cavaliers on Friday. I think some might hesitate to lay it with Dallas here given they are on the second leg of a back-to-back after a big game against Brooklyn last night and will be without Porzingis, but Cleveland has shown little to no interest in finishing the season strong. Cavs have lost 8 straight and 11 of 12 overall. Each of their last 4 losses coming by at least 16 points. 

This is also a game the Mavs just can't afford to not show up and secure a win. With the Lakers and Blazers playing each other tonight, they got a chance here to move a full 2-games in front of one of those teams. Whoever that is will be in the dreaded No. 7 seed and have to play in the play-in tournament. There's a big urgency with a lot of teams to avoid that play-in tournament. Dallas is one of them. Give me the Mavs -9.5! 

50* (NBA) - Thursday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Hawks -5) 

We cashed in a huge GOM Top Play on the Hawks last night, as Atlanta cruised to a 135-103 win at home against the Suns as a 1-point dog. I will take that profit and fire right back with the Hawks on Thursday, as they are a  mere 5-point favorite at Indiana. 

The Pacers are somehow still in the playoff picture, sitting 9th in the east standings, but this team has looked nothing like a playoff team the last few weeks. Indiana is just 5-8 in their last 13 games and their 5 wins during this stretch have come against the Rockets, Pistons, Magic and Thunder (twice). They just lost at home last night to a Kings team that has nothing to play for 93-104. Give me Hawks -5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 235) 

I will gladly take my chances with the OVER 235 in Thursday's NBA matchup between the Raptors and Wizards. OVER has cashed in 3 straight and 6 of 8 overall for Washington. Easy to see why when you look at how good this team is playing offensively and how much they struggle defensively. Washington has shot at least 47% from the field in 13 of their last 14, including each of the last 8 games. They have allowed 125, 141 and 135 in their last 3 games. 

Raptors are a team that relies more on their offense to win games than their defense. Toronto has allowed each of their last 5 opponents to shoot 47% or better from the field. There's just going to be no defense played in this game. Give me the OVER 235! 

40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Knicks +3.5) 

I made the mistake of getting in front of this red-hot Knicks team in their last game at Memphis. I thought the Grizzlies were in prime position to get a win and cover as a small home favorite, but that was not the case. New York dominated that game from the get go and won 118-104. Knicks are now 15-1 ATS in their last 16 games. 

I just don't see them taking their foot off the gas down the stretch. Nuggets have gone a respectable 9-4 in their last 13 games, but are just 5-8 ATS during this stretch. They just aren't the same team without Jamal Murray. They are also down three other key guards in Monte Morris, Will Barton and P.J. Dozier. Not to mention Jokic is playing at less than 100% with a toe injury. Give me the Knicks +3.5! 

50* (NBA) - Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH (Hawks PK) 

I absolutely love the Hawks here as a Pick'em at home against the Suns. If all things were equal (both teams on the same rest and no injuries), I would probably back Phoenix, but that's just not the case. 

This is an awful spot for the Suns, who to their own fault let the Cavs hang around and ended up needing OT to get a win in Cleveland last night. Now they are no rest with tired legs playing an Atlanta team that has really turned a corner under interim head coach Nate McMillan. Hawks have also got a lot of their guys who were out with injuries back in the rotation. Only De'Andre Hunter and Cam Reddish are on the injury report. Reddish hasn't played since late Feb. and Hunter since late March. Give me the Hawks PK! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Magic +11) 

I will take my chances here with the Magic as a double-digit home dog against the Celtics on Wednesday. I just think people are sleeping on Orlando a little bit down the stretch. Yes the Magic are out of it, but unlike some other teams they aren't just mailing it in over the last month of the season. 

In fact, Orlando has won 3 of their last 4 and covered 4 of their last 5. There's a lot of young talent on this team playing really hard. Boston just has never got it going like you would expect. They are just 2-4 over their last 6, which includes a 4-point home loss to OKC as a 11-point favorite and a 21-points loss at Charlotte as a 8-point favorite. Celtics just can't be trusted at this price, especially with Jaylen Brown ruled out and both Tatum and Walker playing at less than 100%. Give me the Magic +11! 

50* (NBA) - Tuesday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Under 215.5) 

I really like the UNDER 215.5 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Heat and Mavs. These two teams are in similar spots down the stretch, as both are fighting to avoid the play-in tournament. Right now both are safe, but not by much. 

Mavs sit 6th, just 0.5-games ahead of 7th place Portland. Miami is 6th in the east, but are just 1-game up on 7th place Boston. Every win is huge for these two teams and I think with both teams having Monday off, we are going to get a big defensive effort. 

Both teams also figure to be without two of their top offensive playmakers, as the Mavs aren't expected to have Kristaps Porzingis and the Heat are going to be without Tyler Herro. Note Miami is also still without Oladipo and may not have the services of Iguodala. Give me the UNDER 215.5! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Lakers +4) 

I just can't pass up a play here on the Lakers as a 4-point home dog against the Nuggets. I know LA is playing on the 2nd of a back-to-back and LeBron James is listed as questionable on the injury report. This just feels like the perfect get right spot for the Lakers. 

Big thing to note with James is they are saying he left the Raptors game with ankle soreness. However, he left the game to take his usual rest early in the 4th with the Lakers down big. I just think they were being smart. No reason for him to play in a game they aren't going to win. I believe he plays tonight and when that's confirmed this line will drop. Either way I like the Lakers in this spot. 

If he plays LA is the better team catching 4 at home, if he doesn't I think the Nuggets are primed to come out flat. Everyone wants to play LeBron. Your intensity isn't the same when he's not on the floor. Denver could also just come out flat in general having been in LA all weekend (played Clippers Saturday). Give me the Lakers +4! 

50* (NBA) - Knicks/Grizzlies *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Grizzlies -2.5) 

I love the Grizzlies as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against the Knicks. This just feels like the perfect spot to fade New York. The Knicks have been on a ridiculous run, but so have the Grizzlies. Memphis has gone 18-8 (69%) ATS in their last 26 games. They are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 at home and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 as a home favorite. 

Knicks are also not in a great spot. While they had an easy time beating the Rockets 122-97 on Sunday, they will be playing their second straight on the road on no rest. 

The game also doesn't mean as much to New York, who comfortably sits 4th in the Eastern Conference, 1.5-games ahead of the Hawks and Heat who are T-5th. Memphis is also in if the playoffs started today, but they are 8th, just 0.5-games ahead of the Warriors and 3.5 ahead of NO, who is on the outside looking in. Give me the Grizzlies -2.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sunday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (76ers -5) 

I will gladly lay just 5-points with Philly on the road against the Spurs. The 76ers come into this game having won and covered 3 straight. None of those 3 games were close. They routed OKC 121-90, before crushing the Hawks 127-83 and 126-104 in two straight against Atlanta. This little mini run has coincided with Philadelphia getting healthy. 

I just think this team is locked in right now. For them to do what they did to the Hawks in the second meeting with Atlanta after beating by nearly 50 the game before, really says a lot about the mindset of this team right now. I think they really want that No. 1 seed and it's definitely within reach, as they are just 0.5-game back of the Nets. 

Spurs have definitely overachieved, which is to be expected under Popovich, but they aren't anywhere close to as talented or as good as Philly. You are basically asking them (Spurs) to win outright for them to keep this within 4 or less. Give me the 76ers -5! 

40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Clippers -4.5) 

I'm not passing up on the Clippers as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Nuggets on Saturday. LA is expected to get back Kawhi Leonard for this game, which is huge. Not only is he great, but it just adds to level of intensity that LA should bring to this game.

One they definitely use to lock in at least the No. 3 seed, as they sit 0.5-games up on Nuggets. With the Lakers sitting at No. 5 and not figuring to be able to finish any higher, no way the Clippers want to risk falling back to No. 4 and having to play them first round. 

One thing to note about the Nuggets. While they are 16-3 in their last 19 games, 12 of those 16 wins came on their home floor, where they have one of the biggest home court edges with that thin air in Denver. Even more so this year with how tired teams are in a condensed schedule. I just think it has them a bit overvalued in this spot. Give me the Clippers -4.5! 

40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS B-L-O-W-O-U-T (Hawks -4.5) 

I will fire right back with the Hawks, this time as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Bulls. Atlanta didn't really sniff a cover last night as a 9.5-point dog in a 22-point loss to the 76ers. It was a rough two games in Philly for the Hawks, who lost the first matchup 83-127 on Wednesday. 

I just think those two results really have Atlanta undervalued here at home against a struggling Bulls team. Chicago just doesn't have enough talent to consistently be competitive without a guy like Zach LaVine on the floor. They could also be without key reserve Lauri Markkanen in this one. 

Hawks have been one of the best teams in the league since Nate McMillan took over. They still got a lot to play for sitting in 5th, but the Heat, who are in 7th, are just 0.5-game back. No team wants to be below the No. 6 seed and have to deal with the play-in tournament. Give me the Hawks -4.5! 

50* (NBA) - Friday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Under 219) 

I absolutely love the UNDER 219 in Friday's huge Western Conference showdown between the Suns and Jazz. The winner of this game will be in the drivers seat for the No. 1 seed in the west, as Utah comes into this matchup just 1-game up on the Suns with both teams having just 9 left on the schedule after this contest. Phoenix has the tiebreaker, so if the two finished tied they get the top spot. 

I think the defensive intensity is going to be very high on both sides. You also got Utah playing this game without Donovan Mitchell or Mike Conley. So while these two did combine for 230 in their last meeting, that was with Mitchell carrying the Jazz with 41 points. Conley was also in double-figures with 11. Give me the UNDER 219! 

40* (NBA) - Situational MONEYMAKER (Hawks +9.5) 

I'm going to take the 9.5 with the Hawks tonight. I know Atlanta just got absolutely annihilated when these two teams played in Philly on Wednesday, as the 76ers cruised to a 127-83 win over a depleted Hawks team. That result is a big reason why I like Atlanta. 

It will be really hard for Philly to bring that same energy against a team they just beat by 44 points. On the flip side, we should get a really big effort here from the Hawks. Atlanta could also be getting back two guys that didn't play in the first game in Trae Young and Bogdan Bogdanovic. Either way I like Atlanta to keep it respectable. Give me the Hawks +9.5! 

40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Raptors +3) 

The books are begging you to take the Nuggets as basically a pick'em at home against the Raptors. No one is going to want to bet Toronto here, yet we have seen this line drop, as Denver opened at -4.5. 

That tells me the books know of the Nuggets resting some guys here in the second of a back-to-back. It would make sense. Denver is safely sitting in 4th place in the west a full 5 games ahead of the Lakers. They would have to lose out to even flirt with not being a Top 4 seed. 

Toronto doesn't have that luxury. It's do or die for the Raptors, as they are tied with the Bulls 2-games back of the 10th and final spot in the east. Toronto has been playing better of late as they have got healthy. Raptors are 5-2 in their last 7 with their only losses coming at New York and at home to the Nets. I'll side with the books in this one. Give me Toronto +3! 

40* (NBA) - Late Night Total ANNIHILATOR (Under 222.5) 

I will take my chances with the UNDER 222.5 in tonight's late game between the Suns and Clippers. This game could very well decide home court if these two were to meet in the second round, as Phoenix is in the No. 2 spot, 1-game up on the Clippers. 

I think because of what is at stake, we get a strong effort defensively from two teams that can really excel on that side of the ball. Clippers are also going to be without one of their top scorers in Leonard and the Suns are in a big flat spot off that grueling 5-game road trip that had them playing the Bucks, 76ers, Celtics, Nets and Knicks. Give me the UNDER 222.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 228.5) 

I like the OVER 228.5 in Wednesday's game between the Nuggets and Pelicans. These are two of the better offensive teams in the league with New Orleans averaging 115.0 ppg and Denver at 115.5 ppg. 

Pelicans had a rough stretch recently with a lot of guys out, but they are back to full strength and have shot extremely well over their last 4 games. They hit 56% against the Nets, 56% against the Magic, 47% against the Spurs and 54% against the Clippers. Nuggets are also giving up 114.4 ppg in their last 5. Pelicans defense can't be trusted, especially on the road. NO gives up 116.0 ppg on the road and Nuggets average 117.1 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

50* (NBA) - Wednesday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Grizzlies -1.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Grillies as a mere -1.5 home favorite against the Blazers. Portland was able to snap a 5-game losing streak with a 133-112 blowout win over the Pacers last night, but let's not forget Indiana is extremely short-handed right now. 

I also think it's important to note that Lillard wasn't spectacular. He had 23 points, but was just 6 of 14 shooting. It was reserve Anfernee Simons that won them the game. Simmons scored 27 in 24 mins, going a ridiculous 9 of 10 from behind the 3-point line. 

I just don't think the Grizzlies are getting near enough respect at home in this game. Memphis has been one of the hottest teams in the league for over a month now. Give me the Grizzlies -1.5! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Rockets +2) 

I think we are getting some great value here with the Rockets as a home dog against the Timberwolves tonight. I know betting on Houston can be a tough ask, but the Rockets have covered their last 2 games and couldn't be catching Minnesota at a better time. 

The Timberwolves just won back-to-back games as a double-digit dog against the Jazz. First one was in Utah on Saturday and then last night at home. Really easy for them to suffer a letdown here off those two games, especially playing a team like the Rockets. Not to mention they are on no rest and have a big game on deck against Steph Curry and the Warriors on Thursday. Give me the Rockets +2! 

50* (NBA) - Monday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Mavs -5.5) 

I will gladly lay the 5.5 points on the road with the Mavs against the Kings. I just think this is a great spot to fade Sacramento. The Kings are without their best player in De'Aaron Fox and while they covered and nearly won outright at Golden State without him last night, that was clearly a game the Kings wanted to show well in. Some of that is probably how good Curry is playing, you also got former Warriors players and coaches on Sacramento (Barnes/Walton). 

That game also felt like it was the Kings last shot at getting back in the playoff picture, as the Warriors are the team they needed to catch for that 10th and final spot. Sacramento is now 6.5-games back with only 12 to play and have to also jump the Pelicans in the process. I just think we are going to see a really flat Kings team here on no rest. Give me the Mavs -5.5! 

40* (NBA) - Suns/Knicks NBATV Vegas STEAMROLLER (Under 215)

We didn't get there with the UNDER in Sunday's Suns/Nets game, but it's not going to keep me from playing the UNDER here. Phoenix is playing on no rest and will be finishing up an absolutely brutal 5-game road trip that has seen them play the Bucks, 76ers, Celtics and Nets away from home over the last week. 

Knicks are a team built on energy and defense and couldn't come into this game with more momentum on their side. There's a buzz in New York about this team and for good reason, as they have won 9 straight games. This is another chance to prove to themselves they are for real against one of the hottest teams in the league. Give me the UNDER 215! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 228.5) 

I will take the UNDER 228.5 in Monday's matchup between the Spurs and Wizards. Bradley Beal is listed as probable after suffering a leg injury late in yesterday's win over the Cavs. While it would be better if Beal wasn't playing, I definitely think he could struggle playing here at less than 100%. It's also going to be tough for Washington here to play with a ton of pace in the second of a back-to-back. 

I know the let the Cavs shoot 51.3% yesterday, but the Wizards defense has really been playing better of late. Prior to that game Washington had held 5 straight opponents to 44% or worse from the field. Spurs just shot 43.5% in their last game and have shot under 44% in 3 of their last 4 now. UNDER has cashed in 6 straight games for the Spurs. Play the UNDER 228.5! 

40* (NBA) Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Under 232) 

I think we are going to see a lower scoring game than what most expect in Sunday's huge matchup between the Suns and Nets. These two teams know there's a chance they meet up in the Finals. Brooklyn is arguably the team to beat if they get their Big 3 all healthy. Phoenix is quietly sitting out west 1.5-games back of No. 1 Utah. They just haven't got the love the deserves, as it feels like they are still viewed as the 4th or 5th best team in the west. Most see it Lakers/Clippers and then the Jazz before even thinking Phoenix. 

With the Nets expected to have 2 of their 3 with Durant and Irving, I think the Suns are going to treat this like it's a "test" to see where they really stand in the NBA hierarchy. I think with Phoenix playing their 4th straight on a grueling road trip that has already been to Milwaukee, Philly and Boston over the last week. 

Nets can light it up, but they have also shown they can turn it up defensively when they want to. I think they will match the Suns intensity in this one and this finds a way to stay UNDER 232! 

40* (NBA) - Situational Money Line MASSACRE (Lakers +125)

You can take the +2.5 if you want, but I think the better value is with the Lakers on the money line at +125. I really like this spot for LA, as they get another shot at the Mavs, after barely losing 110-115 at Dallas on Thursday. 

Anthony Davis made his return to the lineup and scored just 4 points in 17 minutes. Davis shot a miserable 2 of 10 from the field. I know there's some rust he's got to shake off, but it's hard to believe he will be any worse than that. I think he will be much better and while LeBron is still out, there's enough talent on this roster for them to start winning games with Davis on the floor. I also just don't trust this Mavs team. Give me the Lakers +125!  

40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Pistons +4.5) 

I will take my chances here with the Pistons as a 4.5-point road dog against the Pacers. I'm not so sure Indiana should even be favored. The Pacers will be without their top two big men, as both Domantas Sabonis and Myles Turner are ruled out. Jeremy Lamb and Doug McDermott are also questionable to play. 

Detroit may be out of the playoff picture, but this is a young team that is playing extremely hard down the stretch. Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7. They did fail to cover in their last game at San Antonio, but that was in the second leg of a back-to-back. Detroit hasn't failed to cover two games in a row since not covering in home games against the Kings and Knicks back on Feb. 26th and 28. Give me the Pistons +4.5! 

50* (NBA) Saturday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (76ers +7.5) 

I love the 76ers as a 7.5-point dog in Saturday's rematch with the Bucks. Milwaukee won the first matchup 124-117 on Thursday. One thing to note about that game, is the Bucks had a huge rest advantage. Milwaukee was on two days of rest, while Philly was playing in the 2nd of a back-to-back after a hard fought 3-point loss the night before to the Suns. 

I know Embiid is questionable to play, but I'm okay either way. I just feel that if Embiid sits, it will make it hard for Milwaukee to show up with the right mindset. I don't think the effort will be lacking from the 76ers side. There's a lot more to this team than Embiid and let's not forget we don't need them to win, just keep it respectable. I believe they do that. Give me the 76ers +7.5! 

40* (NBA) - Late Night VEGAS INSIDER (Blazers -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Blazers as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against the Grizzlies. Memphis is not a team I want to be betting against a lot right now, as they have been playing really good basketball and been extremely undervalued for a while now. 

However, I don't think they being undervalued here. In fact, I think it's Portland that is getting disrespected. The Blazers have lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall, but keep in mind that 3 of those losses have come by a mere 1-point. Not to mention the last two were 1-point losses to two of the best teams in the west in the Clippers and Nuggets.

With a healthy Portland team playing at home in what feels like a must-win, I think they get the job done. Also, Memphis could be in some trouble as long as Jonas Valanciunas is sidelined (ruled out for this game). Give me the Blazers -3.5! 

50* (NBA) - Friday Night *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Heat -5)  

I love the Heat as a mere 5-point road favorite against a Hawks team that will be without All-Star point guard Trae Young. Not only will Young be sidelined, but Clint Capela is questionable, while Tony Snell, Cam Reddish, De'Andre Hunter and Kris Dunn are all out. 

Key here is I don't see Miami letting Young's absence change how they approach this game. This is huge for playoffs. It's really important this year to be a Top 6 seed, as you avoid the play-in tournament. Right now the Heat are 7th in the east, but just 1-game back both the Hawks and Celtics. Not only can they make ground on Atlanta with a win, but with Boston playing at Brooklyn tonight they got a good chance here to make ground up on both teams. I just don't see the Hawks being able to compete without Young in this spot. Give me the Heat -5! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Bucks -5.5) 

I will take my chances here with Milwaukee covering the 5.5 at home against the 76ers. I just feel like this is going to be a really tough spot here for Philadelphia after last nights grueling 113-116 loss at home to the Suns. A game that played without both Ben Simmons and Tobias Harris. Not only are those two listed as questionable, but Joel Embiid and Seth Curry are showing up on the injury report tonight. 

With the postseason looming, it would makes sense for the 76ers to rest Embiid in this game. As for the Bucks, they should be ready to roll here after losing their last 2 games at home. It's also worth noting that Milwaukee has won the last two at home against Philly by double-digits. Give me the Bucks -5.5! 

40* (NBA) Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Knicks +1.5) 

I wish I would have took notice earlier and been backing this Knicks team more, as they have just been an absolute covering machine. New York has covered 10 straight games. Normally I would be cautious backing a team that has covered this many games in a row, but Atlanta is 9-2 ATS in their last 11, so there's not the inflation with the number that you might normally see with a team like the Knicks. 

The Hawks big turnaround is being credited to the change in head coach. It definitely helped light a fire under this team, but I think more than anything the schedule just got a lot easier for Atlanta. Their 9 wins during this 9-2 run are against the Magic, Pacers, Raptors, Hornets, Bulls, Pelicans (2x), Warriors and Spurs. Every one of those teams has a worse record than the Knicks. Give me New York +1.5!

40* (NBA) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 221) 

I will take a shot with the UNDER 221 in Wednesday's big non-conference clash between the Suns and 76ers. Phoenix doesn't get near the respect they deserve in the Western Conference. This has arguably been the best team for over a month now. Suns are 15-3 in their last 18 games. They just won at Milwaukee on Monday. 

While the game against the Bucks saw 255 combined points, both teams shot lights out. This here will be a matchup of two teams that both rank in the Top 5 in defensive efficiency. 76ers should be motivated off a rare home loss and could be without two of their top scores here with Harris and Simmons questionable. Not having Simmons would also slow down the pace even more for Philly. I also think Suns will be fine playing slower in the second road game in 3 days, especially knowing they got to play at Boston tomorrow. Give me the UNDER 221! 

50* (NBA) - Wednesday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Warriors -2) 

I will gladly take my chances here with the Warriors as a slim 2-point road favorite against the Wizards. There's a couple of reasons I like Golden State here. The most obvious is the play of Steph Curry. It's pretty clear to me that Curry took all that hate and criticism he was getting early in the year to heart. He's been the best player in the league for weeks now. I don't know how you don't bet on the Warriors at this price when he's playing like this. 

The other thing here is I don't see Golden State suffering any kind of letdown against the Wizards after their big win at Philadelphia. That's because Washington recently won at Golden State. A game the Warriors played very poorly in the 1st half and let slip away in the final seconds. I just think this team is locked in right now and while I think the Wizards are playing well, they have beat up on a lot of bad teams during their 7-1 run here. Give me the Warriors -2! 

50* (NBA) - Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 237.5) 

I love the OVER 237.5 in Tuesday's game between the Timberwolves and Kings. I just don't see any defense being played between these two Western Conference bottom feeders. Neither plays much defense as it is. Both certainly haven't been playing much of late, as Minnesota is giving up 121.8 ppg on 50% shooting in their last 5, while Sacramento has allowed 119.4 ppg on 51% shooting in their last 5. 

Key here is that both of these teams can score. I don't think it will take much for both of these teams to reach 120 points. Also, I think the fact that these two are scheduled to turn around and play each other again in Sacramento tomorrow night, gives that much more incentive to not try defensively in this first meeting. Give me the OVER 237.5! 

50* (NBA) - Monday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Spurs -1) 

I really like the Spurs as a 1-point road favorite against the Pacers. This line opened at Indiana -2.5 and completely flipped to San Antonio. No way the public is rushing to back the Spurs as a small road dog. That tells me there's either a lot of sharp money on the Spurs. 

There's definitely reason to like San Antonio here, as they will have a big advantage in terms of rest with the Pacers playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after playing 3 straight on the road. Spurs are also coming in off a 111-85 win at Phoenix as a 12-point dog. Pacers are also lost defensively right now, as they are allowing 124.6 ppg over their last 5. Give me the Spurs -1! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 225.5) 

I really like the UNDER at 225.5 in Monday's big NBA matchup between the Warriors and 76ers. The spread for this game looked way off with the 76ers sitting as a 9-point favorite, but now that we see Steph Curry listed as questionable it makes more sense. The line tells me that Curry isn't likely to play. 

Even if he does, I think the 76ers will come to play, as Curry and Embiid are two of the top choices right now for MVP. I also think the scoring in this game could be hindered by the fact that Philadelphia has two key guys listed as questionable with Seth Curry and Tobias Harris. Those are two big losses, as both are shooting over 40% from 3. 

Neither Curry played in the first meeting between these two and that game ended with a mere 206 points. Give me the UNDER 225.5! 

40* (NBA) - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT (Wolves +10.5) 

I think we are getting some big time value here with the Timberwolves as a massive 10.5-point road dog against the Clippers. Minnesota has been playing much better of late, especially when they have had the trio of Karl Anthony Towns, Anthony Edwards and De'Angelo Russell on the floor. They just won 119-111 at home over the Heat as a 7-point dog. 

As for the Clippers, they are just overvalued right now. Even though LA loss their last game, it was by just 3-points on the road to the 76ers, so that's not going to move the needle. It's just not a good spot for LA, who had to play 3 games in 4 nights on the road before a day off Saturday and they got to go right back on the road after this game for a showdown with the Blazers in Portland. Give me the Timberwolves +10.5! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Pelicans +1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans putting an end to the Knicks 5-game winning streak and ridiculous run of 8 straight covers. New Orleans will be out for revenge in this one, as they just lost at home to the Knicks 106-116 last week. 

Since that game the Pelicans have got back a big piece to their rotation in Lonzo Ball, while the Knicks will at least for this game be without Alec Burks. Burks played a big role in the Knicks win over NO last week, as he scored 21 points. 

Knicks are just 1-10 ATS last 11 when they come in having covered 7 or more games in a row. Give me the Pelicans +1! 

40* (NBA) Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Cavs +2) 

I'll take my chances here with Cleveland as a small road dog against the Bulls on Saturday. I'm not so sure Chicago should even be favored in this game. The Bulls are not playing well at all right now. They have lost outright and failed to cover 4 straight games. On top of that they are down their best player in Zach LaVine and potentially starting SG Tomas Satoransky. Those two are tied for the team lead in assists at 5.1 per game. 

While both teams are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, Chicago is at a bigger disadvantage in terms of rest here, as they were in action last night against the Grizzlies. Another thing to note is that the Bulls are just 9-24 ATS in their last 33 home games with a line of +3 to -3. Cavs have won 3 straight games on the road. Cleveland is also 7-3 ATS last 10 off a loss and 6-1 ATS last 7 vs a team with a losing record. Give me the Cavs +2! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Wolves +7.5) 

I like the value here with the Timberwolves as a 7.5-point home dog against the Heat. While Minnesota has lost their last 2 games in blowout fashion, falling 97-127 to the Nets and 105-130 to the Bucks, they didn't have Karl Anthony-Towns for either of those games. 

He's going to be back in the lineup tonight and with him the Timberwolves have a formidable 3 guys who can score with rookie Anthony Edwards and D'Angelo Russell. This is also not a great spot for Miami, who will be playing their 3rd road game in 4 nights and 4th straight away from home overall. Give me the Timberwolves +7.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 223.5) 

Give me the OVER 223.5 in Friday's game between the Rockets and Nuggets. I just feel like this total should be closer to 230 with the way Houston is defending. Houston has allowed at least 125 in each of their last 4 and 118 or more in 9 of their last 10. If the Rockets can simply put up 110 in this one at home, this thing should fly past the total. Give me the OVER 223.5! 

50* (NBA) - Friday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Pelicans -2)

I will gladly take my chances here with the Pelicans as a slim 2-point road favorite against the Wizards. New Orleans is coming off an ugly 106-116 loss at home to the Knicks, which I feel is playing into the favorable number. As is the fact that the Wizards have won 4 of 5 and covered 5 of 6. 

Key here is the Pelicans are simply the better team and will be getting back a big piece to their rotation with Lonzo Ball upgraded to probable. Ball just helps the offense flow better when he's on the floor. Another key here is this is not a good spot for Washington, who just finished up a 6-game road trip that started with two games in Florida an ended out on the west coast. Give me the Pelicans -2! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 212) 

I'll take my chances her with the UNDER 212 in Thursday's TNT late night matchup between the Celtics and Lakers. It doesn't matter who is available to play, when these two franchises face off, they are going to treat it a little differently. Add in the fact that it's on TNT and I think we get a really strong defensive effort from two really good defensive teams. 

UNDER has also been a really strong play for both of these teams of late. UNDER has cashed in 8 of the last 10 for Boston and 10 of the last 15 for LA. UNDER is also 9-1 in Boston's last 10 as a favorite and 6-0 in the Lakers last 6 at home. Give me the UNDER 212! 

40* (NBA) Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Nuggets -4) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Nuggets -4 at home against the Celtics. Denver is going to be extremely motivated here after losing their last two and let's not forget this team was playing as well as any team prior to their last two losses, as they had won 8 in a row and 12 of 14 overall. 

Miami is 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS in their last 8 games, which I believe is playing into the value here with Denver. Key here is the Heat have lost 3 of 4. This is also not a good spot for the Heat, who are playing on no rest and their 3rd game in 4 nights. Denver is one of the most difficult places to play well on no rest. Give me the Nuggets -4! 

40* (NBA) No Doubt ATS B-L-O-W-O-U-T (Bulls -9.5) 

I got no problem laying the big number here with Chicago at home against the Magic, as I got the Bulls winning this one by double-digits easy. While Chicago comes in having lost 3 straight and failed to cover all 3, those 3 games all came on the road. Now they are back home and facing one of the worst teams in the league in the Magic. Orlando is in full on tank mode. 

The Magic showed some fight early on after trading away all their top players, but it's been all downhill since. They come in having lost 6 straight with 5 of the 6 defeats coming by double-digits. 

Key here is the Bulls are fighting for that 10th and final playoff spot, making this a game they simply can't afford to lose. Give me the Bulls -9.5! 

50* (NBA) - Wednesday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Pistons +9)

I love the value here with Detroit as a near double-digit home dog against the Clippers. This just feels like the perfect spot to fade LA, as they are way overvalued right now due to winning 6 straight and 12 of 14 overall. 

The key here is the Clippers just played a nationally televised game last night against the Clippers. Will be really easy for them to not give their best effort here in the second of a back-to-back. It's also their 3rd game in 4 nights and 5th in the last 7 days. Detroit on the other hand is going to be fresh having been off the last two days. Give me the Pistons +9! 

50* (NBA) - Tuesday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Lakers +2.5) 

I love the value here with the Lakers at basically a pick'em on the road against the Hornets. I think we are getting some value here with LA due to the fact that they will be playing on no rest after last night's ugly 96-111 loss at the Knicks. A game they have to feel like they beat themselves with 24 turnovers. 

I not only think we are going to get a big effort out of the Lakers off that ugly showing, I see the Hornets as an easy fade right now. They just lost at home to a Hawks team that was missing a ton of their top players, including Trae Young. I just think LA will be able to exploit Charlotte's awful defense and the Lakers defense should feast here against a Hornets team that is without Gordon Hayward, Malik Monk and LaMelo Ball. Give me the Lakers +2.5! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Pacers +2.5) 

I will gladly take my chances here with the Pacers as a slim 2.5-point home dog against the Clippers. Some might be wondering why LA is such a small favorite in this game, as the Clippers come in having won 5 straight and 11 of 13 overall. 

However, this is not a good spot for LA. The biggest factor working against them is they won't have the services of Kawhi Leonard. They are also down Pat Beverley and Serge Ibaka. Another thing I think could give the Clippers trouble is they are hitting the road for the first time in a long time. LA just finished up a massive 9-game homestand and will be playing their first road game since March 25. 

Pacers aren't the team we thought they might be this year, but they do come in playing well. Indiana has won 3 straight. I think they stay hot with another win here. Give me the Pacers +2.5! 

40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (OVER 229)

I will take my chances with the OVER 229 in Monday's game between the Bulls and Grizzlies. Both of these teams have been strong OVER plays of late. OVER has cashed in each of Chicago's last 3 games and the last 4 for the Grizzlies. 

The Bulls have been a team that played in a decent amount of high scoring games, but I feel they are even more offensive-minded after the moves they made at the trade deadline. They gave up defense for offense by getting Vucevic and it also strengthened their bench. They got a lot more fire-power on the bench than they had early in the year. 

Memphis has scored 110 or more points in 12 of their last 13 games. Even the game where they didn't that contest still had 218 points scored. With Bulls on no rest and playing their 5th and final game of their road trip, I don't see them playing a whole lot of defense in this one. Give me the OVER 229! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Magic +6.5) 

I will roll the dice with the Magic as a 6.5-point home dog against the Spurs. I just think this is the perfect time to sell high on San Antonio and buy low on Orlando. Spurs were able to snap a 5-game skid with a 119-117 win at Dallas on Sunday as a 6-point dog. It's just not going to be easy for them to play up to their potential on no rest against a bad team, especially with it being their 4th straight on the road and 3rd in the last 4 days. 

Magic got destroyed in their last game by the Bucks 124-87. That's going to happen with this team when they face a motivation top tier team. Spurs are not top tier. Magic had covered 6 of their previous 8 games before that lopsided defeat. I not only think they cover, but I could definitely see them winning this game outright. Give me the Magic +6.5! 

40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Over 231.5) 

I like the value here with the OVER 231.5 in Sunday's NBA matchup that has the Pacers visiting the Grizzlies. The OVER has cashed in 3 straight for Memphis and this Grizzlies offense has been on an absolute tear for a few weeks now. Memphis has scored 116 or more in 5 straight and 110 or more in 11 of 12.

They should be able to put up a big number here against a Pacers team that is without their best interior defender in Myles Turner. It's just not the same defense without one of the league's best shot blockers on the floor. Key here is the Pacers should be able to keep pace offensively with Memphis. This is a game I think we could see both teams eclipse 120 points. Give me the OVER 231.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sunday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Bulls -4.5) 

I love the Bulls -4.5 in Sunday's road game against the Timberwolves. Chicago had their 3-game winning streak snapped in a 108-120 loss at Atlanta on Friday, but are still 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. I really like the look of this Bulls team after the moves they made at the trade deadline. 

Minnesota is a team I will be backing as a big dog, but this is just not the price or spot we want anything to do with the Timberwolves. Minnesota is coming off a 2-game road trip at Indiana and Boston, where they gave up 141 to the Pacers and 145 to the Celtics. They also could have a hard time here not looking ahead to tomorrow's home game against the Nets. Give me the Bulls -4.5! 

40* (NBA) - Situational VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Kings +12.5) 

I will take a shot with Sacramento as a big road dog against the Jazz on Saturday. I just feel like Utah is being way over-priced in this spot. The Jazz have had quite a week. They played at Dallas on Monday, at Phoenix on Wednesday and then home against the Blazers on Thursday. All 3 of those are playoff caliber teams. 

I think they are going to have a tough time getting up for the Kings, who come in losers of 5 straight and fresh off a double-digit loss at Minnesota on Monday and double-digit home loss to the Kings on Thursday. Sacramento was favored to win in both of those games. The books really got no choice but to inflate this number with how much the public likes backing Utah right now. Give me the Kings +12.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 227) 

The OVER 227 is definitely a play for me tonight in the Pelicans/76ers matchup. New Orleans has been one of the worst defensive teams all season and are really playing poorly on that side of the ball right now. Pelicans are giving up 123.6 ppg on 50% shooting over their last 5 games with all 5 opponents scoring at least 115 points. 

With the 76ers playing at close to full strength and coming in fresh off 2 days of rest, I would be shocked if they don't put up at least 120 in this game. If they do that, this should fly past the mark, as the Pelicans are averaging 116.7 ppg at home. I also don't think Philadelphia will be laying it all on the line defensively like they did in their last game at Boston. Give me the OVER 227! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Wolves +9) 

I really like the value here with the Timberwolves as a big 9-point dog at Boston on Friday. Minnesota has covered 4 of their last 6 and are a team on the rise right now as they just recently added back one of their best players, D'Angelo Russell to the mix. Russell scored 25 off the bench in the Twolves 116-106 win against the Kings on Monday and 17 in a mere 4-point loss at Indiana on Wednesday. 

As for Boston, I don't love this spot as they will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Celtics are also just not shooting the ball great right now. They only hit 42% from the field in their last game against the Knicks. The loss of Evan Fournier is a big one. Another thing here is Boston could have a hard time not looking past this game with a huge 3-game road trip at Denver, Portland and LAL looming. Give me the Timberwolves +9.5! 

40* (NBA) - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT (Blazers +7) 

I will take my chances with Portland as a 7-point road dog against the Jazz. Utah is one of the more overrated teams in the league right now and are definitely being overpriced in this one. This is an awful spot for the Jazz, who just played in a grueling game against Phoenix last night, which they wound up losing 113-117 in OT. 

I also think we are getting a little value with Portland after they just got annihilated 116-133 at the Clippers in their last game. Thing is, that was a mere hiccup for this Blazers team, as they are 5-2 in their last 7. Portland is also well rested here, playing just their second game in the last 5 days. Give me the Blazers +7!