40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Florida -4) 

40* NCAAB UNDERDOG ATS MASSACRE (Illinois +13) 

I'll take my chances here with the Fighting Illini as a double-digit dog against the Boilermakers. While Purdue has the better overall resume, they have not been playing great of late. They were extremely fortunate to get road wins over two struggling teams in Indiana and Nebraska in their last 2 games and a big reason for that is the struggles of Carson Edwards, who has scored just 22 points on 7 of 40 shooting in his last 2 games. That includes 1 for 20 from deep. We are talking about a guy that averages 23.4 ppg on the season. Without him putting up big numbers Purdue is average at best. 

Illinois comes in off a couple of losses, but were competitive in both and have really been a different team in February. I'm not saying they pull off the upset, but I think they are primed to give the Boilermakers all they can handle. Give me the Fighting Illini +13! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Spurs -4.5) 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Celtics -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Boston covering the small number at home against the Blazers. I think we are getting great value here not only because the Celtics got their butts kicked last night in Toronto, but the Blazers come in having won and covered 4 straight. 

The good thing about the ugly loss for Boston against the Raptors is they were able to avoid anyone playing big minutes, so they should be more than ready to go for this one. I expect a big effort from the Celtics after that embarrassing performance and this is just too good a price to pass up on a team that is 23-8 on their home floor. Give me the Celtics -2.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Nuggets -3) 

I'll take my chances here with Denver laying just 3-points at home against the Thunder. I have all the respect for OKC, but this is just too good a price to pass up on the Nuggets at home. I think if healthy, which they are right now, Denver might just be the second best team in the NBA behind the Warriors. They are 26-4 SU and 21-9 ATS at home this season. Give me the Nuggets -3! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Memphis -4.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis laying a short number at home against the Owls. The Tigers are just too good on their home floor to pass up at this price. Memphis is 13-2 at the FedEx Forum and outscoring opponents by nearly 15 ppg, as they average 88 on their home floor. Temple won the first meeting at home, but only by 9, despite Memphis shooting a pathetic 39.7%. Tigers dominated the glass, as they were +12 on the board (+8 offense rebounds). I'm confident they maintain that edge on the glass and shoot much better at home. Give me Memphis -4.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Mississippi St -11) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs laying one on the Tigers at home. Not only do I think Mississippi State is the far superior team, but this is a great spot to fade Missouri off a heartbreaking 64-60 loss at Florida, where the Tigers blew a 12-point 2nd half lead. Missouri took advantage of the Gators in a big letdown spot off that huge upset win at LSU. I don't see the red-hot Bulldogs looking past them in this one. Mississippi State has won 4 straight with 3 of the 4 wins coming by double-digits. While Missouri kept it close at Florida, that's a rare competitive game on the road for the Tigers, as they had lost their previous 4 road games all by double-digits. Missouri is also 1-9 ATS last 3 seasons in road games off a loss by 6 or less, losing by an average of 13.2 ppg in this spot. Give me the Bulldogs -11! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Lakers -4.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Lakers laying the small number at Memphis. LA returned from the All-Star break with an impressive win at home over the Rockets, but then laid an egg in a 13-point loss at New Orleans. I just don't see them coming out flat again and there's just not a lot the Grizzlies can do to stop LA from winning here. LeBron and Rondo have called out the young guys after that loss to the Pelicans, which I believe will have LA 100% locked in for this matchup. Give me the Lakers -4.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Nets -1.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with Brooklyn at basically a pick'em at home against the Spurs. San Antonio has fallen on hard times in February. The Spurs are 1-6 in their last 7 all of which have come on the road. Yesterday they got beat by 12, giving up 130 points to the Knicks, who had lost their previous 18 home games. Brooklyn is 14-4 in their last 18 at home and I wouldn't be shocked if they won this thing by double-digits. Give me the Nets -1.5!  

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Cavs +9.5) 

I'll take my chances with Cleveland covering as a big home dog against the Blazers. I cashed on the Cavs as a slim 2-point home favorite last time out against the Grizzlies. That was Cleveland's 3rd win in their last 4 games. Kevin Love had 32 points and grabbed 12 boards, despite being on a minutes restriction. 

This is a much better team with Love in the lineup, but because the Cavs were so bad without him and still far from a playoff-type team, it's going to take a minute for the books to make the proper adjustments. Basically as long as the public keeps fading Cleveland, we will continue to get value like we are here. Blazers just played at Brooklyn and Philly and have to go to Boston and Toronto after this. Hard seeing them laying it all on the line here, especially having won the first two on the trip. Give me the Cavs +9.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 233.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 233.5 in Sunday's Western Conference showdown between Denver and Los Angeles. Nuggets are finally healthy and simply have a plethora of playmakers at their disposal. I just think they are going to be extremely tough to contain and we saw that in their first game back from the break. Denver shot a miserable 40.8% from the field and yet still put up 114 points. Clippers will have no answer and really have no choice but to try to outshoot the Nuggets, which should have this thing flying past the number. Give me the OVER 233.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Michigan -3.5) 

I'll take my chances with Michigan as a small home favorite against just about any team in the country. I get this is a rivalry game, but Michigan State is not 100%. The Spartans lost Joshua Langford to season-ending injury back in January and are without star big man Nick Ward right now. I'm sure Michigan State will play hard, but it won't be enough against this Michigan team, which is a perfect 16-0 at home this season. Give me the Wolverines -3.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Magic +9)

I'll take my chances here with Orlando getting almost 10-points on the road against the Raptors. Magic were playing as well as anyone going into the All-Star break, as they had won 5 straight and were 7-1 over their last 8. They returned from the break with a 110-109 upset loss at home to the Bulls as a 8-point favorite. 

Losing to a team like Chicago doesn't look good and I think it's got the Magic showing value here. Note that they really should have won that game against the Bulls, as they shot 50.6% from the field and held Chicago to just 44.4%. Toronto comes in having won 7 straight, which is also playing in to the big number. Easy spot for the Raptors to come out flat with Boston on deck Tuesday. Give me Orlando +9! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO BRAINER (Bulls +10.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulls covering as a double-digit home dog to Boston. Chicago just upset the Magic 110-109 as a 8-point road dog last night and did so despite the Magic shooting 51% from the field. Bulls are now 3-2 since the trade for Otto Porter Jr. and I don't think it's out of the question they win here. Boston is coming off a gut-wrenching 98-97 loss at Milwaukee and I'm starting to get concerns there's some chemistry problems. Just too much talent on that team for Kyrie Irving to be jacking up 27 shots. Either way I think the Bulls at worse keep it competitive. Give me Chicago +10.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wichita St -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Shockers as a small home favorite against Memphis. Wichita State is just 13-12 overall, but are playing their best basketball of the season right now. The Shockers have won 5 of their last 6 and are a perfect 6-0 ATS during this stretch. They are 9-3 on their home floor and will be taking on a Memphis team that is just 3-9 SU and 4-8 ATS away from home. 

Wichita St is 13-2 ATS last 15 at home off a win by 15 or more, while Memphis is 1-8 ATS last 9 on the road off a home win by 10 or more. Tigers are also 0-7 ATS last 7 off a conference win by 20 or more. Give me the Shockers -3.5! 

50* NBA EASTERN CONF PLAY OF THE MONTH (Heat -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Miami laying a small number at home against the Pistons. The Heat are a team that desperately needs to get going, as they are sitting 9th in the Eastern Conference standings. It just so happens the team in 8th is the Pistons, who are 1-game up. That alone makes this a massive game for Miami. On top of that, I think we get a huge effort after losing the first game out of the break. 

Detroit on the other hand is a team I have zero faith, especially in this spot. Pistons are playing in the second game of a back-to-back on the road after last night's 125-122 win over Atlanta. Note that Blake Griffin was ejected early, which forced the other 4 starters to all play 32+ minutes. Pistons are just 6-20 ATS last 26 on the road when they come in having won 3 of their last 4 and 0-4-1 ATS last 5 when their starting 5 combined for 160+ minutes the previous day. Give me the Heat -3.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Cavs -2) 

I'll take my chances here with Cleveland at basically a pick'em at home against the Grizzlies. I'll be the first to admit I didn't think I would be laying points with the Cavs any time soon, but I like what I've seen from Cleveland since Kevin Love returned from injury. They laid it on the Suns in their last game, winning 111-98 and the most impressive thing was the defense, which held Phoenix to 41.7%. Memphis is a horrible offensive team and just shot 36.7% in last night's home loss to the Clippers. The Grizzlies are on a free fall since losing Gasol and I don't see them showing up here in the second game of a back-to-back on the road. Give me Cleveland -2! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Maryland -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Terps as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Buckeyes. Maryland is so much better than they get credit for and this is just not asking a whole of them to win by 6 or more at home. The Terps are 13-2 on their home floor and already beat Ohio State 75-61 on the road. The Buckeyes come in off a blowout win at home over a struggling Northwestern team, but overall all Ohio State is on a massive slide. They are just 5-8 SU and 4-9 ATS in their last 13. Their only road wins in Big Ten play are against Nebraska and Indiana. Maryland hasn't lost a game at home in Big Ten play. Give me the Terps -5.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nuggets -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Denver coming out of the All-Star break and making a statement against the Mavs. I just think this is a complete mismatch. The Nuggets are as healthy as they have been since the start of the season and I just don't think people are fully aware of just how good this team is going to be if they can keep everyone healthy.

I believe the only thing keeping this line where it is, is the fact that the Mavs are 20-9 at home. The thing is, this team went from trying to win to really focusing on the future when they traded for Porzingis. Luka Donic is an incredible young player, but he's playing with a bunch of scrubs right now and I just don't see them keeping up with a team like Denver in this spot.  Give me the Nuggets -3.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 213.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Clippers and Grizzlies going OVER the total of 213.5. I just think there's some value here on both sides. I think the perception is that LAC is not going to be as potent offensively after trading away one of their top scorers in Tobias Harris, but they made some sneaky good additions in other trades and put up 120+ in each of their final 3 before the break. 

As for the Grizzlies, it's the opposite. This team has the perception of being this defensive juggernaut. However, that was before they traded away the anchor in the middle in Marc Gasol. Memphis is in full on rebuilding mode and just aren't going to bring that energy and effort on the defensive side of the ball down the stretch. Give me the OVER 213.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers -5.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Pacers covering the 5.5-point spread at home against the Pelicans. I just don't like the mindset with New Orleans right now. They decided not to trade Anthony Davis at the deadline and now have come out and said that Davis and Jrue Holiday's minutes will be greatly reduced. I just think that a big negative for the chemistry of this team. 

As for the Pacers, they might have lost their star in Oladipo, but they are going to scratch and claw their way to the finish line. Indiana won 6 of 7 going into the All_Star break with the only loss coming to Milwaukee. Pacers are 22-8 at home, while the Pelicans are 9-22 on the road. Give me Indiana -5.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Celtics +5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Boston covering the 5.5-point spread at Milwaukee. No disrespect to the Bucks, who are a great team, I just think Brad Stevens and the Celtics are a lot better than people think and we are going to see this team really take off down the stretch run. They made a statement right before the All-Star break in a 112-109 win at Philadelphia and I think they do the same thing here against Milwaukee. 

One of the big reasons I like Boston is the fact that the last time these two teams played, the Bucks won 120-107 at Boston. The Celtics are 34-19 ATS over the last 2 seasons when revenging a loss and 15-5 ATS when revenging a loss of 10 or more. Give me Boston +5.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 229) 

I'll take my chances here with the Blazers and Nets combining for at least 230 points. Brooklyn is a team that likes to get up and down the floor and are averaging a healthy 114.9 ppg at home this season. Portland can run and gun as well and giving up 113.3 ppg on the road. 

More than anything, I think the pace will be up there in this game with both teams well rested out of the All-Star break. Last year the OVER was 9-5 in the first game back from the break and the few that went UNDER barely stayed under the mark. Last time these two played in Brooklyn they combined for 252. 

It's also worth noting the Blazers have recently added Rodney Hood and Enes Kanter and we almost always see teams struggle defensively when new pieces are added. Give me the OVER 229! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 218) 

I'll gladly take my chances here in this bottom-feeder showdown between the Suns and Cavs. I just don't see a whole lot of defense being played in this one. These are two awful teams that really are better off losing than winning right now. There's just no motivation for either side to be 100% locked in on the defensive side. 

Not that these two teams could play quality defense if they wanted to. Phoenix has allowed at least 116 points in 13 straight games. I know the Cavs aren't a great offensive team, but they are a lot better now that Kevin Love is back in the lineup. Cleveland gives up 113 points/game and Suns have only failed to reach 100 points once in their last 8 games. I think this thing finishes a lot closer to 230 than 220. Give me the OVER 218! 

40* NCAAB UNC/DUKE PRIME TIME ATS MASSACRE (N Carolina +9) 

I just think this is way too many points for the Tar Heels to be catching in arguably the best rivalry in college basketball. I don’t think there’s a more public play on the bard than Duke right now and with them moving back to No. 1 in the polls, there’s no doubt in my mind the line for this one is inflated by at least a couple points if not more.

At the same time, I don’t feel like this North Carolina team gets the respect they deserve. Sure they are No. 8 in the country, but there’s been so much hype around Duke and Virginia in the ACC people fail to realize how good UNC is. I think a lot of people would be surprised that with a win the Tar Heels would move into a tie for 1st place in the ACC.  

One of the reasons that I think UNC is flying under the radar right now is they had that early 21-point loss at home to Louisville, which just isn’t something you expect to see from a elite team. I think that loss really knocked this team down a notch in a lot of people’s eye. They also had that recent home loss to Virginia by 8, but that was a game they should have won. UNC led the majority of the 2nd half and had a 7-point lead with 8 to play.  

Those are the only two losses for the Tar Heels in the ACC and it’s worth noting that they later returned the favor and beat Louisville by double-digits on their home floor.  

What really impressed me about North Carolina and that loss to gut-wrenching loss to Virginia, is how they responded by annihilating Wake Forest on the road 95-57. For them to show up with that kind of focus against the Demon Deacons, coming off that loss to the Cavaliers and this game against Duke on deck, really says a lot about the make-up of this team. I also think it’s worth pointing out that this is a very veteran team that really understands what the atmosphere is going to be like.  

It certainly doesn’t hurt to see that UNC has covered 6 of the last 8 meetings overall and are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games played at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Give me the Tar Heels +9!  

50* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE YEAR (LSU -6.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with LSU laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Gators. All the talk in the SEC is around Kentucky and Tennessee right now, yet the Tigers come into this game sitting at 11-1 in league play with their only loss in conference play coming by a single-point. Not to mention they went on the road and beat Tennessee. 

Not surprised at all they failed to cover as a 7.5-point favorite at Georgia off the big upset of Kentucky. It's not like they played bad, as they shot 56% from the field on the road. LSU comes in averaging 85.8 ppg at home and I just don't see Florida being able to keep pace. The Gators shot 54% in their last game against Alabama, but prior to that had shot 36% or worse in 4 of their previous 6 and are only averaging 61.9 ppg on the road. 

It just seems like every time the Gators get matched up with a top tier team in the SEC they lose by double-digit and I don't think this will be any different. Give me the Tigers -6.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Georgia +7) 

Just a week ago I went against Georgia after head coach Tom Crean called out his team in a real negative way and they didn't disappoint, losing 73-56 at Texas A&M. I was curious to how they would respond after that game and they came out and played their hearts out against LSU at home, narrowly losing 83-79. 

That's now 6 straight losses for Georgia and I just think they are sick and tired of losing and will give another big effort here against Mississippi State. Whether or not it's enough to get the win is up in the air, but I really like their chances of at least keeping it within the number. The Bulldogs have been extremely inconsistent in SEC play and are now playing short-handed with the suspension to sophomore guard Nick Weatherspoon. Only 7 players were in the rotation in Miss State's last game against Arkansas. This is a game Georgia can win outright. Give me the Bulldogs +7! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Iowa -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes riding that massive wave of momentum to a hoem win over the Terps. Iowa has won each of their last 2 games on a 3-pointer at the buzzer and have won 4 straight overall. They are 13-2 on their home floor and the last time they hosted a ranked team they cruised to a 74-59 win as  a 5.5-point dog against Michigan. 

Maryland has been better than expected, but are just 3-4 in their last 7 with the only win during this stretch on the road coming against a Nebraska team that is really struggling. The Terps are also a very young team with multiple freshmen playing big roles. I just think the grind of a college season is really starting to take it's toll on these guys and I just don't see them having the energy in their second road game in a 4 day stretch. Give me Iowa -2! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Penn St -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Nittany Lions laying a short number at home against the Cornhuskers. I believe we are getting a great price on Penn State due to the fact that Nebraska comes into this won off back-to-back wins. I'm not buying into the victories for the Cornhuskers, both were at home and they shot 50% from the field and only beat Minnesota by 1. In their 9-point win over Northwestern they only managed 59 points and shot 32.8% from the field. 

That was the 8th time in the last 9 games for the Cornhuskers where they shot 42% or worse. Trying to take that offense on the road and win is a monumental task. Note they shot 49% from the field back in a mere 6-point win over Penn State. That was back prior to losing Isaac Copeland to a season ending injury. I just don't see Nebraska scoring enough to keep this close. Give me the Nittany Lions -3! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE (Davidson -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Davidson laying a small number at home. Dayton is a good team and have been playing well, but I think that has the Flyers getting a little too much respect on the road against the Wildcats. Davidson is a perfect 12-0 at home this season and are tied for 1st with VCU on top the Atlantic 10.

Wildcats did fail to cover at home last time out against St Joe's, winning by just 8 as a 11.5-point favorite, but have yet to fail to cover back-to-back games in conference play. It's also worth pointing out that Dayton is a team that has been overvalued quite a bit this season. The Flyers are just 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 games. They are also 1-7 ATS last 8 vs a team with a winning record and 0-6 ATS last 6 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me the Wildcats -3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wisconsin -10.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Badgers covering the big number at home against the Fighting Illini. The betting public is all over Illinois as a double-digit dog and while it's not a guarantee by any means, I love going against the public when they are backing a big dog.

It certainly looks good for Illinois to cover, as they have won 4 straight, including a win over Michigan State at home. You can take that win over the Spartans however you want, but I'm pretty confident that had a lot more do with how unfocused Michigan State was than anything. The other 3 wins during the winning streak are nothing to get overly excited about. 

Wisconsin already won by 12 at Illinois and what I love is we can bank on a max effort here from the Badgers, who have lost their last 2 with the most recent a hard fought loss at home to Michigan State. This is only the third time Wisconsin has lost back-to-back games this season. The first time they dropped two in a row they came out the next game and beat Penn State by 19 on the road. The other time saw them respond with a 10-point win at home against nationally ranked Michigan. Give me the Badgers -10.5! 

50* NCAAB PAC-12 GAME OF THE MONTH (Colorado -4.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Colorado as a 4.5-point favorite at home against Arizona. The Buffaloes come into this one arguably playing their best basketball of the season. Colorado has won and covered each of their last 4 and it's not like they have been beating up on bad teams. The 4-game win straight has come against Oregon, @ UCLA, @ USC and Arizona St. 

It's no secret that Arizona is way down this year. Wildcats have lost 6 straight and are just 5-7 in Pac-12 play. This team has zero confidence and nothing to play for right now, as their only hope of making the NCAA Tournament is to win the Pac-12 Tournament for an automatic bid. Not only will Colorado be out for revenge from an earlier loss at Arizona, but the Wildcats are a program you always get up to play. I think the Buffaloes win here going away. Give me Colorado -4.5! 

50* TENN/KENTUCKY SEC GAME OF THE MONTH (Kentucky -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Kentucky as a small home favorite. I get that the Vols are ranked No. 1, but I'm shocked that the public is all over Tennessee on the road in this one. I for one think the Vols are overrated right now and shockingly a Wildcats team that entered the season ranked No. 1 is undervalued despite the fact that they are 10-1 in their last 11. It just seems like whenever Kentucky is doubted, especially at home, they deliver in a big way. Give me the Wildcats -3.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ATS SLAUGHTER (Kansas -14) 

I'll take my chances here with the Jayhawks covering the big number here at home against the Mountaineers. It's hard to believe that Kansas actually lost to this West Virginia team earlier this season, but that should work in our favor here, as it will keep the Jayhawks from looking past an inferior opponent. Things have really spiraled out of control for Bob Huggins team. It was already a rebuilding year and now they got some key guys out with injury and two other suspended. They just lost at home to Texas by 22 and prior to that by 31 at Texas Tech. That blowout loss to the Red Raiders was their 4th straight road loss by at least 17 points. Give me Kansas -14! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Minnesota -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Golden Gophers as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against the Hoosiers. I just think Minnesota is hands down the better team in this one, yet they are showing value due to the fact that they have lost 4 straight. The thing is, 3 of the 4 losses have come on the road and the other was at home to Wisconsin. Indiana is 1-9 in their last 10 and have followed up that fluke win over Michigan State with back-to-back home losses to Iowa and Ohio State. Gophers are 12-2 at home and this is one they desperately have to have to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive. Give me Minnesota -3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 157.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Buffalo and Toledo going OVER the mark set by the books. These two teams played at Buffalo back in early January and combined for 190 points in a 110-80 win for the Bulls. I just don't see a change in venue being enough for the Rockets to slow down this high-powered Buffalo offense, which is averaging 85.2 ppg and shooting 47% from the field in conference play. However, I could see Toledo keeping pace at home, as the Rockets are scoring 78.7 ppg at home. OVER is also a perfect 9-0 in the Bulls last 9 road games in the month of February. Give me the OVER 157.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with OKC laying the 4.5-points at New Orleans. The Thunder are playing arguably the best basketball of any team in the league right now. They come in having won 4 straight and are 11-1 in their last 12 games. The only loss on the road against a top tier Celtics team. Russell Westbrook has recorded a triple-double in 10 straight games and if it wasn't for James Harden putting up absurd numbers, people would be talking a lot more about Paul George as the MVP. 

I know there's some concern here with this being the final game before the All-Star break, but Westbrook is one of those guys that just doesn't take nights off and I think the fact that the game will be played in front of a national audience on TNT and OKC coming in on 2 days rest, the effort will be there. 

Typically you would expect a team like New Orleans to show up in this spot, but the Pelicans are a complete mess. The Anthony Davis trade rumors have taken a massive toll on this team. We saw that first-hand in their last game against Orland, where they lost 118-88 at home. Davis did next to nothing and I have to wonder if he's not a little pissed with the team not trading him. Either way, I don't think this team is going to rally for a meaningless one game before the break. Give me the Thunder -4.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Blazers +4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Blazers covering the small number at home. The Warriors have been coasting into the All-Star break and that’s pretty evident by the fact that they are just 1-5 ATS in their last6 and the only cover during this stretch was against the Spurs when they rested Aldridge and DeRozan. They trailed going into the 4th quarter last night at home against the Jazz and in the two prior to that they were down 17 at Phoenix last Friday and ended winning by just 10 as a 17-point favorite. They then were down 19 in a 120-118 win at home against the Heat as a 13.5-point favorite.  

The fact that they keep winning is a big reason why I think people are still flocking to bet them. With this game against Portland being their final game before the All-Star break and so many Warriors involved in that game, I think they have a really tough time bringing the energy needed to win on the road against a Blazers team that is playing well and you know will be up for a chance to host the defending champs. Portland also comes in off back-to-back losses, which will only increase the likelihood that we see them lay it all on the line.  

Another thing here is it just so happens these two teams played in Portland in the final game before the All-Star break for both teams last year. The Blazers won that matchup 123-117 as a 6-point dog and took complete control of that game from the start, as they jumped out to a 40-27 1st quarter lead.  

Portland has cashed in on the spread in 70% of their last 53 home games, as they have gone 37-16. They are 6-1 ATS last 7 at home vs a team that’s won more than 60% of their road games and the Warriors have failed to cover each of their last 5 when playing on 0 days rest. Give me the Blazers +4.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 137.5)

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 137.5 in Wednesday's Big Ten clash between Minnesota and Nebraska. Gophers have lost 3 straight and the Cornhuskers have dropped 7 in a row, so both of these teams are going to be highly motivated for a win. I think that leads to a big defensive effort and a much lower-scoring game than the books are expecting.

While these two combined for 163 points back in early December, a lot has changed since that game. Nebraska has lost one of their best players in Isaac Copeland and their offense has simply been non-existent of late. Cornhuskers are averaging 56.4 ppg on a mere 32% shooting over their last 5. 

They have no choice but to rely on their defense to win and they are only giving up 56.8 ppg at home. Minnesota is also a completely different offensive team on the road, as they average 72.6 ppg on the season, yet have only put up 63.4 ppg on 39% shooting away from home. Give me the UNDER 137.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nets -6) 

I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn covering what I think is a really small number at Cleveland. I don't know that there's a team more ready for the All-Star break than the Cavs, who are in full on tank mode this year. I know Cleveland comes in off a win, but that was at home against the Knicks and they only won by 3. I actually think that makes it that much more likely they don't show up here. 

Note that when the Cavs lose they almost always lose by double-digits, which is definitely what I'm expecting here (outscored by almost 9 ppg at home this season). The even bigger key here is this game should mean something to the Nets. Brooklyn is fighting for a playoff spot, but have lost 5 of their last 6. I think they are going to be extremely motivated to make sure they go into the break on a positive note. Give me the Nets -6! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Temple -4.5)

I'll take my chances here with Temple covering the 4.5-point spread at home against the Mustangs. I don’t know why the books keep giving this SMU team so much respect. The Mustangs are a mere 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games and the lone cover came with them as a double-digit underdog. In their last two games they lost outright as a home favorite to South Florida and UCF. They are now just 12-11 overall with a 4-7 mark in the AAC. Their only hope of making the NCAA Tournament is to win the AAC Tournament, so that makes these final regular-season games pretty meaningless.

I just don’t see them snapping out of their funk against a quality Temple team that will be extremely motivated to get a win after an ugly loss at Tulsa. In fact, I think that 18-point defeat to the Golden Hurricane is playing a big part in this favorable line we are getting here. I know the Owls are just 3-7-1 ATS at home this season, but they are 9-2 SU and there’s a good chance if they win this game they cover the 4.5.

Mustangs are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games vs a team that simply has a winning record and have covered just once in their last 5 on the road. Give me Temple -4.5!

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Clemson -2) 

I'll take my chances here with Clemson as a small road favorite here against Miami. A lot of people wrote off this Tigers team after they started out 1-5 in ACC play, but what the failed to take notice of is that 4 of the 5 losses came on the road (all against good teams in Duke, Syracuse, FSU and NC State) and the other was at home to Virginia. Since that rough start they have won 4 straight and covered 5 in a row. 

Miami is 2-9 in ACC play and simply aren't very good. However, they are coming off a surprisingly close game at home to UNC, where they lost in overtime as a 15.5-point road dog. I think that's definitely playing into this line, as well as the fact that they have covered 3 in a row, but I don't see them winning this one. I actually think this is a brutal spot for the Hurricanes off that emotional loss to the Tar Heels. There will also be no overlooking Miami by Clemson, as they need to keep winning to keep their tournament hopes alive. Give me the Tigers -2! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Celtics covering the 6.5-point spread against the 76ers. Philadelphia is getting all sorts of praise from their big additions at the trade line. The hype around this team has only grown with their last two wins over the Nuggets and Lakers. Add in the Celtics being without Kyrie Irving and everyone is taking Philadelphia here. Not me. I think the Celtics are going to bring a different type of intensity to this one and while they might not win, I think they at least keep it close. Give me Boston +6.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 208.5) 

*I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 208.5 in Tuesday's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Grizzlies. Memphis just held Anthony Davis and the Pelicans to 90 points on 39.5% shooting. This team is starting to find its rhythm defensively again and they really need it with how their offense is struggling to get easy looks. Memphis hasn't shot better than 44% from the field in 6 straight games. Spurs defense has been the culprit in their 4-game losing streak. I think we see a big effort on that side following a much-needed 2-day break. Give me the UNDER 208.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 132) 

I'll take my chances here with Michigan State and Wisconsin going UNDER the total of 132. These are two really good defensive teams and it's no secret that the Badgers love to slow things way down and really grind out a win. The Spartans had lost 3 straight before a dominant 79-55 win at home over Minnesota, where they held the Gophers to just 37% shooting. Tom Izzo really pushed his players after the 3-game losing streak and I think we see that same effort we saw against Minnesota in this one. As for the Badgers, they absolutely have to have this one if they want a shot at a Big Ten title. Give me the UNDER 132! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Maryland PK) 

I'll take my chances here with the Terps at a pick'em on their home floor. While Maryland is currently ranked in the Top 20, this is a team that I feel gets overlooked in a loaded Big Ten. They were a 9-point dog earlier this season at Purdue and loss by just 2-points (62-60). I really think they should be favored here, but because the Boilermakers are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last 8, we are getting big time value. Give me Maryland PK! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 138) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Monday's Big 12 clash between Oklahoma and Baylor. The Bears have seen the OVER cash in each of their last 3, but did manage just 63 points last time out against K-State and are dealing with some major injuries. They already lost Tristan Clark to a season-ending injury and may be without their next best player in Makai Mason, as well as King McClure. Both were held out of Saturday's game, which makes unlikely they will play just a couple days later. Baylor is going to have focus more on the defensive side of the ball. As for Oklahoma, they have really been struggling offensively and are coming off a game against Texas Tech where they managed just 54 points. I think both teams will struggle to reach 65. Give me the UNDER 138! 

50* NBA EASTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 227) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Monday's Central Division clash between the Bulls and Bucks. OVER is perfect 4-0 in Chicago's last 4 and they are playing ideal basketball for the OVER to cash. Bulls are shooting lights out, hitting 50% or better in 6 straight and are playing little to no defense in the process. Don't be fooled by Milwaukee's 83-points last time out with the Greek Freak sidelined. This team will have no problem scoring 120+ here against the Bulls. I'm confident Chicago adds enough to push this well past the mark. Give me the OVER 227! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +5) 

 I'll take my chances here with Washington at this price. I really like the trade that the Wizards made giving up Otto Porter Jr to get two talented pieces in Jabari Parker and Bobby Portis. Both have really fit in nicely and Washington as a team is lighting it up offensively with 115 or more in each of their last 5. Detroit comes in having won 3 straight, but 2 of those were against the Knicks and the other was against a depleted Nuggets team that was in a major flat spot. Unlike Washington, Detroit got worse at the trade deadline, giving up the likes of Reggie Bullock and Stanley Johnson. Give me the Wizards +5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 234) 

I'll take my chances with the Lakers and 76ers going OVER the mark of 234. I just think there's too much offensive fire-power in this one. Not to mention teams just don't play real hard defensively in the weeks leading up to the All-Star break. Not only are players looking ahead to the break, but they are starting to wear down. Lakers last two games have saw them give up 136 to the Pacers and 128 to the Celtics. They have allowed 120 or more points in 8 of their last 10 games. 76ers have allowed 110 or more in 5 of their last 7 and have scored at least 106 in every game they have played since the calendar turned to 2019. Give me the OVER! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (USC -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with USC as a small home favorite against Colorado. I think we are seeing some great value here with the Trojans due to the outcomes of the last game for both teams. USC lost 77-70 as a 6-point home favorite to Utah, while the Buffaloes won 84-73 as a 6-point dog at UCLA. Perfect spot for a bad road team like Colorado to revert back to their losing ways and for USC to bounce back with a big time effort. Give me the Trojans -4.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 228.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Saturday's NBA clash between the Hawks and Hornets. No team plays at a faster pace in the NBA than Atlanta and only the Knicks, Suns and Cavs are ranked lower in defensive efficiency than the Hawks. That's a pretty good combo for high-scoring games. Charlotte only managed 93 last time out at Dallas, but had scored 115+ in their previous 2 and will be facing a Hawks defense that has allowed 7 straight opponents to reach at least 112 points. Atlanta has also scored 112 or more in 7 of their last 8. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (LSU -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with LSU as a small home favorite. Auburn is a quality team and get a lot of respect from oddsmakers, but they have not played well on the road in SEC play. Auburn is 1-3 away from home in the conference and the lone win was against Texas A&M, who is 1-8 in league play. LSU on the other hand is a team that I think has been flying under the radar for quite a while now. They are 11-1 at home this season and a dominant 10-1 ATS last 11 with a line of +3 to -3. Give me LSU -2.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia covering the small number at home against the Nuggets. We can expect a big effort here from the 76ers after losing their last two, including an ugly 12-point home loss to the Raptors last time out. That's a rare home loss for Philadelphia, who is now 21-6 at the Wells Fargo Center. Denver has also lost their last two, but this is a tough spot for them. Nuggets are playing their 4th straight on the road and continue to play short-handed. The defense has really slipped of late. In their last 4 games they have allowed 122 to the Rockets, 106 to the Wolves, 129 to the Pistons and 135 to the Nets. Give me the 76ers -4.5! 

50* NBA TNT THURSDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE MONTH (Spurs +6) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with San Antonio cashing in a cover at Portland. In fact, I really like the Spurs to win this game outright. Portland had been playing really well but then had a 5-day break and came out and lost by double-digits to the Heat. I think the momentum was sucked out of this team. I also love the Spurs in this spot. San Antonio is coming off two lopsided losses to the Kings and Warriors and that's a big positive for us, as the Spurs are a perfect 8-0 ATS last 8 off 2 straight losses. They also rested their two best players and limited all their key players minutes in last night's loss to Golden State. Give me San Antonio +6! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Lakers +9) 

I'll take my chances here with the Lakers at least making this respectable against the Celtics. I know LA failed to show up in their last game at Indiana with LeBron in the lineup, but I think a lot of that is because players were so focused on the trade rumors. By the time this thing tips off, whoever is on the team is safe, as the deadline will have passed. The loss to the Pacers was the worst of LeBron's career and he didn't play great. I think he delivers a big time performance here against the Kyrie and the Celtics. Give me the Lakers +9! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Memphis +4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a home dog against the Bearcats. I think the books have the wrong team favored in this game. Memphis is getting no love right now because of their recent ATS run. The Tigers are 2-6 ATS last 8 games. On top of that, Cincinnati is way overvalued right now due to them riding a 7 game winning streak. The big key here is just how good Memphis is at home. The Tigers only home loss this season is to Tennessee and they played the Vols tough. Give me Memphis +4.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (USC -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Trojans laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Utes. This has really been a different team in Pac-12 play, as they have gotten some key guys back from injury. I just don’t think it’s asking a lot for them to cover this number. USC is a perfect 5-0 at home in Pac-12 play and 4 of the 5 wins have come by 9 or more, including a 23-point win over Arizona and a 13-point victory against UCLA. 

Utah comes in with a winning record in Pac-12 play at 5-4, but 4 of their 5 conference wins have come against teams who currently have a losing record in the conference. They also come in having just lost back-to-back games at home to the likes of Oregon and Oregon State. I just don’t think they will be able to keep this thing close. 

Both of these teams are very efficient offensive teams, as both come in shooting around 47% from the field. Where USC has the big advantage is on defense. The Trojans are only giving up 65.4 ppg and 38% shooting at home and have carried over that stingy defense at home into conference play. Utah on the other hand is allowing opponents to score 78 ppg and shooting 49% from the field away from home. USC also should have the edge here in both rebounding and turnovers, which I believe will be more than enough to create the separation needed for the cover. Utah is also a mere 4-11 ATS last 15 vs a team with a winning record and the favorite has covered 7 of the last 9 in the series. Give me the Trojans -5.5!

50* NCAAB BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH (Wisconsin -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Badgers laying such a short number on the road against the Gophers. Wisconsin comes in red-hot having won and covered each of their last 5. They certainly won't be looking past this game against Minnesota, as the Gophers beat them on their home floor earlier in conference play. Badgers couldn't have played much worse early in that game, as they had just 14 points at the half. Wisconsin is 35-19 ATS last 54 when revenging a home loss. It's also worth noting that road favorites who returned all 5 starters are 37-5 (88%) against the money line when revenging a home loss. While we are laying the points on the spread, this is basically a pick'em at this number, so I feel there's a ton of value with that ML trend. Give me the Badgers -2.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Wizards +12) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wizards as a double-digit dog against the Bucks. These two teams just played on Saturday in Washington. Milwaukee won that contest 131-115, which is a big reason why we are seeing them being asked to lay such a big number here. 

I just think the fact that they just rolled the Wizards is really going to make it tough for the Bucks to get up for this game. This is definitely a flat spot with them just finishing up a 5-game road trip on Monday, which was also their 10th road game in their last 13 overall. Give me Washington +12! 

50* NBA ATLANTIC DIV GAME OF THE MONTH (76ers -2.5) 

I'll take my chances with Philadelphia as a small home favorite against the Raptors. Anytime you can get the 76ers at basically a pick'em at home, it's hard to pass up. Philadelphia is 21-5 at home this season, which includes a 25-point win over Toronto. Raptors are just 1-3 last 4 on the road and will be playing this game without starting point guard Kyle Lowry, who is doubtful with a back injury. They still are also without big man Jonas Valanciunas. Give me the 76ers -2.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Rutgers +10) 

I'll take my chances here with Rutgers covering as a double-digit home dog against the Wolverines. Michigan just lost by 15 at Iowa and everyone is going to be on them to bounce back. No question that has this line inflated. I fully expect the Wolverines to find a way to win, but I'm also confident that Rutgers will be able to keep it close enough to cover. Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS last 5 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and Michigan is just 2-5 ATS last 7 off a game where they failed to cover. Give me Rutgers +10! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (St. John's +7) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Storm getting 7-points at Marquette. I think this is the perfect time to jump on St. John's, who are coming off an ugly 30-point loss at Duke. Couldn't have gone much worse, as they shot 34% from the field and allowed the Blue Devils to shoot 56%. Marquette just won at Butler in similar style, as they shot 57% and held the Bulldogs to 33%. All of this has the Golden Eagles way-overvalued. I not only think St John's keeps it close, but I give them a legit shot at winning this one outright. Give me the Red Storm +7! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Louisville +5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cardinals at +5. I not only think Louisville covers this number on the road, but I like them to win here outright. Virginia Tech comes in off that crazy 47-24 win at NC State. While they get all the credit for holding the Wolfpack to 24 points, part of that was NC State settling for way too many 3-pointers (more than half their field goal attempts) and a lot of bad luck. There were countless shots by NC State that went in and out of the basket. What gets overlooked in the win for the Hokies is how bad their offense was in the first game since losing star senior point guard Justin Robinson. I think Virginia Tech is in a lot of trouble with him out. Give me the Cardinals +5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 222.5)

I'll take my chances with the Jazz and Rockets combining for at least 223 points. Houston doesn't figure to have Chris Paul, who is one of the better defenders. It's just going to be run and gun and hope Harden puts up 50 because the defensive effort won't be there on no rest. Utah's defense has been shaky of late and the Jazz are also playing on no rest. I think both teams could score 125 points and all we really need is for one of the two to get there to secure a win. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

40* NBA ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Lakers +10.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Lakers. There's just not many times I'm going to pass up on LeBron James as a double-digit dog. I know this is just the second game back for James, but they clearly waited until he was 100%. James played 40 points and nearly had a triple-double with 24 points, 14 rebounds and 9 assists. He's going to give it everything they got in this one. I also think the Warriors are way overvalued right now. They had no business being a double-digit favorite against the 76ers in their last game and they lost outright. Give me the Lakers +10.5! 

50* NCAAB ACC GAME OF THE MONTH (Pittsburgh +3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Panthers as a home dog in a game I think they win pretty easily. The reason we are getting such great value with Pitt is the fact that they come in having lost 4 straight. Syracuse also won and covered as a 8-point favorite in a meeting between these two on Jan. 19th. 

The 4-game losing streak looks bad on paper, but 3 of the 4 were on the road and the only game at home during the losing streak was Duke. Prior to losing at home to the Blue Devils, Pitt had beat FSU by 13 and upset Louisville. Syracuse just barely won at BC and were rolled by 22 at Va Tech in their previous road game. Doesn't help the Orange that this is their 3rd straight on the road. Give me the Panthers +3! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Kansas -4) 

I'l take my chances here with the Jayhawks getting right at home in a big showdown with nationally ranked Texas Tech. Kansas doesn't lose often, but we catch them coming into this game off back-to-back losses, as they followed up a 8-point loss at Kentucky with a 10-point loss at Texas a few days later. Those are two really good teams. Jayhawks are going to lay it all on the line in this one and they are 11-0 at home. Texas Tech has a 17-4 record, but they are just 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games. Give me the Jayhawks -4! 

40* NCAAB AFTERNOON ATS MASSACRE (Boston College -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Eagles at basically a pick'em on their home court against the Irish. For starters, Notre Dame is 1-5 away from home this season and while they did beat BC earlier this season, that was at home. That's also the only conference game the Irish have won all season and it was by a mere 3-points. BC covered that game and are 4-1 ATS last 5. They just played Syracuse really tough at home in their last game and their previous home game they beat FSU by 5 as a 7-point dog. Eagles get their revenge and I wouldn't be shocked if they won going away. Give me Boston College -2! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nuggets -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Nuggets laying the 4.5-points at home against the Rockets. As good as James Harden has been, I think the Rockets are getting a little too much respect here on the road against a very good Denver team.

We just saw Houston lose at home to a Pelicans team that was playing a bunch of scrubs and as good as James Harden has been, the Rockets have not been very good on the road. Houstons' 1-3 in their last 4 road games and the lone win is a mere 4-point victory at New York. They lost by 28 at Philadelphia, 7 at Orlando and 9 at Portland. Nuggets are 22-4 at home this season. Give me Denver -4.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE WEEK (Under 131) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 131 in Friday's Big Ten action between Maryland and Wisconsin. These two teams already played once this season in a defensive battle, as the Terps squeaked out a 64-60 win at home back on Jan 14th. Both teams shot under 39% from the field. I don't see any reason to expect anything different. Maryland is allowing 62.2 ppg on the road and will be motivated to get a big signature win after losing 2 of their last 3. Wisconsin only gives up 61.7 ppg at home and will be out for revenge. Give me the UNDER 131! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 226.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 226.5 on the total for the Hawks/Jazz. I usually don't like playing the OVER in games involving Utah, but I like the spot we are in. Atlanta's the ideal over team. The Hawks play at the fastest tempo in the league and are also one of the worst defensive teams. 

Utah's defense has been slipping of late and while some might expect a big effort here after giving up 132 at Portland last time out, I just don't see the Jazz laying it all on the line against a bad team like the Hawks, especially with James Harden and the Rockets coming to town tomorrow. 

OVER is 7-2 in Utah's last 9 off a SU loss by more than 10 points and 9-2-1 in their last 12 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. OVER is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and 5-0 in their last 5 vs a team from the Western Conference. Give me the OVER 226.5! 

40* NBA THURSDAY NIGHT TNT NO-BRAINER (76ers +10) 

I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia as a double-digit dog. Warriors have been rolling of late and the books have inflated this number big time. I really like this 76ers team and think they might just be the team to beat in the East. I don't know if they will have enough to pull off the upset and win the game, but I definitely like their chances of keeping it closer than the number. Give me the 76ers +10! 

50* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Raptors -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Toronto at basically a pick'em at home. No question these are two of the very best the Eastern Conference has to offer. The key here is where the game is being played. Raptors are 21-4 at home this season. Bucks are 8-18 ATS last 26 on the road with a line of +3 to -3, while Toronto is 15-5 ATS last 20 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me the Raptors -2.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Temple +10) 

I'll take my chances here with the Owls as a double-digit dog at Houston. The Cougars are 20-1 and ranked No. 13 in the country, which has them way overvalued. Houston's lone loss came on the road against Temple. While winning on the road against the Cougars will be a much bigger challenge, you have to like the Owls chances of keeping this close. Give me the Owls +10

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Creighton -4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bluejays getting their revenge at home against the Red Storm. Creighton has responded in a big way after their 1-4 start to Big East play. After losing 4 straight, the Bluejays went on the road and upset Georgetown 91-87 and then rolled Butler 75-61 at home. 

Just so happens the last team they lost to was St John's. That's a big motivator here for Creighton and the Red Storm aren't exactly playing their best basketball right now. St. John's is just 1-4 SU in their last 5. 

Creighton is 34-21 ATS last 55 as a favorite and 29-14 ATS last 43 at home when revenging a same season loss. Give me the Bluejays -4! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pacers PK) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Indiana Pacers at a pick’em on the road against the Washington Wizards. I think this is the perfect time to jump on the Pacers, as well as fade the Wizards.

Indiana has lost their first two games since Victor Oladipo went down to an injury. The most recent was the most lopsided loss of the season in a 32-point loss at home to the Warriors. I don’t think the perception could be much worse on the Pacers right now and yet the books are begging you to take Washington with this line.  

Losing Oladipo was a big  blow to the Pacers being a serious threat in the East, but don’t think for a second this team is going to just give up because he’s out. There’s still a lot of fight and a lot of talent on this roster and I expect a huge effort here coming off that ugly loss to the Warriors.  

Wizards are headed into Tuesday’s action having gone 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games and I’ve been on Washington a lot during this run. However, this is the ideal spot to go against them. Washington has to finish up a 3-game road trip at Cleveland on Tuesday, so they will be playing on no rest. It will also be their 5th game in the last 7 days. All of which will have been played at a different venue.  

Indiana has covered 9 of their last 11 trips to Washington, as the road team has absolutely dominated this series going 23-8 over the last 31 meetings. Give me the Pacers PK! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Butler -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Butler Bulldogs -2.5 at home against the No. 10 ranked Marquette Golden Eagles.

We have an unranked Butler team that has lost two straight and are just 3-5 in Big East play laying points against a Marquette team that has won 7 straight, are 7-1 in Big East play and ranked inside the Top 10 in the country. Any time I see an unranked team laying points against a ranked opponent, I’m almost always going to play the favorite, especially when everything points to the other side.  

Not to take take anything away from Marquette, who is a solid team and have a really special player in Markus Howard, but the Golden Eagles are pretty fortunate to be sitting where they are in Big East play. Marquette’s largest margin of victory in their last 6 games is 11-points with 4 of the 6 games decided by 5-points or less.  

Butler is 3-5 in the Big East, but 4 of the 5 losses are by 8-points or less, including back-to-back 1-point losses at Seton Hall and Xavier. This is a better team than people realize and a big reason why the books have them favored. Butler is also very tough to beat at Hinkle Fieldhouse, where they are 9-2.  

It’s also worth pointing out that in Marquette’s 18-3 start, they are a perfect 14-0 at home compared to just 4-3 on the road. They have gone 3-0 in road games in the Big East, but needed overtime to win at Creighton, won by just 3 at Georgetown and by 5 at Xavier. The most recent game they played was at the Musketeers and this will mark the first time this season they have played back-to-back on the road.  

Butler has won 5 straight in the series and are 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Give me the Bulldogs -2.5!

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Wisconsin +3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Badgers as a road dog. I'm shocked that Wisconsin is getting points in this contest. The Badgers are rolling on a 3-game winning streak, while the Cornhuskers have lost 3 straight and just fell at home to an Ohio State team that was playing some of their worst basketball going into the matchup. In the loss to the Buckeyes, Nebraska lost second leading scorer Isaac Copeland for the season and I just think that's too big a loss for this team to overcome. Give me Wisconsin +3! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pistons +8) 

I'll take my chances here with Detroit. The first thing that comes up in the preview for this game is how Milwaukee hasn't lost back-to-back games all season. The betting public will simply see that stat and just roll the dice on the Bucks. The books are on top of it, as they have really inflated the line here to favor a Pistons cover. Keep in mind these two played at Detroit back on Dec. 17 and Milwaukee was a mere 3-point favorite and ended up winning by exactly 3. Winning on the road inside the division is not easy, as long as the other team isn't tanking. Detroit is thinking playoffs not the draft, so I expect a big fight here and maybe even a win. Give me the Pistons +8! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (NC State +7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolfpack covering as a decently priced home dog against the Cavaliers. Virginia comes in having covered 10 straight and 13 of their last 14 overall. The books are going to start jacking up their lines and I think we are seeing exactly that in this game. NC State is 16-4 and 12-1 on their home floor. They are more than capable of not only covering, but leaving this game with a win. Give me the Wolfpack +7.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pacers +8.5)

I'll take my chances here with Indiana as a big home dog against the Warriors. To the better public this looks like a complete mismatch. Golden State is playing their best basketball of the season and just added in DeMarcus Cousins. Indiana just lost their best player in Victor Oladipo and in the very first game without him they lost to a Grizzlies team that had lost 8 straight and 14 of 15.

I just think there's a lot of fight left in the Pacers and there's plenty of other talent on the roster besides Oladipo. I think they give everything they got against the defending champs to kinda see what they have to work with going forward. 

On the other side, this is definitely a game where the Warriors could come out flat. Not only are they coming off a huge win at Boston, where it felt like a playoff game late, but they will be playing the 5th and final road game of a 5-game trip.They haven't lost a game since that shocking 135-134 defeat to the Rockets at home back on Jan. 3rd and after this will host the 76ers, Lakers and Spurs in 3 straight at home. Really easy for this team to not give Indiana their full attention. Give me the Pacers +8.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Mavs +5) 

I'll take my chances here with Dallas getting a decent number at home against the Raptors. I just think we are seeing the public jump all over Toronto, assuming they are going to bounce back after back-to-back losses. The thing is, this is a really tough stretch for the Raptors, who played at Indiana on Wednesday and had to turn around and play at Houston Friday. Both games were very high-paced, as each side attempted 90+ shots in both games. Toronto has to be running on fumes and just ready to get back home and enjoy a 3-day break after this contest. Give me the Mavs +5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Jazz -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Utah in this one. I made the mistake of going against the Jazz a couple games back against the Nuggets, but I like them in this spot. Utah just beat Minnesota at home on Friday and usually that would have me looking to back the Timberwolves. However, I'm going to stick with the hot hand and back the Jazz. Minnesota is soft and it's easy to see why Jimmy Butler wanted out. Sure the Wolves have won 3 of 4, but two of those wins were against the Suns and the other against a Lakers team that is without the best player on the planet. Give me the Jazz -4! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Memphis -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Memphis at home against the Knights. This is just too good a price to pass up on the Tigers at home. Memphis is 10-1 at home this season and the only loss came to Tennessee, who is currently the No. 1 team in the country. Had the Tigers not lost last time out at Temple, this line would be at least a few points higher. Either way UCF is getting way too much respect. Take Memphis -1.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a small road favorite against the Grizzlies. I think people are hesitant to back Indiana here after they just lost Victor Oladipo to a season-ending knee injury. While that pretty much puts an end to any hope of making it out of the Eastern Conference, I fully expect this team to come out with a chip on their shoulder and show everyone that there's more to them than one guy. No better team to take out your frustrations on than the Grizzlies. Memphis just keeps losing. They are struggling with the idea that both Conley and Gasol could be traded and a lot of times aren't even being competitive. Give me the Pacers -4.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Pittsburgh +11) 

I'll take my chances here with the Panthers as a double-digit dog at Louisville. The Cardinals come in having won 4 straight and I think they are way overvalued right now. These two teams already played once this season and Pitt won 89-86 at home as a 3-point dog. I would expect Louisville to win the rematch on their home floor, but there's definitely no guarantee of that. Plus, all we need is for the Panthers to just keep it respectable. Give me Pitt +11! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kansas St -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Kansas State as a small road favorite against Texas A&M. The Wildcats come in playing their best basketball of the season. Kansas State has won 5 straight and covered each of their last 4. That includes road wins at Iowa State as a 8.5-point dog and a road win at Oklahoma as a 5 point dog. While the Wildcats are surging, Texas A&m comes in having lost 3 straight and 6 of their last 7. In their last two games at home they have lost by 23 to Missouri and by 19 to Auburn. Give me Kansas State -4! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Dallas as a small home favorite against the Pistons. I'll gladly fade Detroit as a small road dog any time I can get, especially against a team like the Mavs who are playing so well at home. Dallas comes in off a 106-98 win and cover at home against the Clippers and that game marked the return of Dennis Smith Jr. Whatever problems Smith and the Mavs were having seem to be fixed at the moment and I just think there's a good chance this game won't be close. Give me Dallas -4.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors -3.5)

I'll take my chances here with Toronto as a small road favorite against the Rockets. James Harden is scoring the ball at a ridiculous rate and that's getting a ton of publicity, which I believe in turn has Houston overvalued at the books. Harden is scoring so much because he has to. He should be scoring 60+ and the Rockets barely holding for a win against a team like the Knicks. 

I'm excited to see if Kawhi can maybe put an end to this 30+ scoring streak, but either way I think the Raptors will win this game. Houston just isn't the same team without Capella patrolling the paint and Toronto is one of the deepest teams in the league. Give me the Raptors -3.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT  (Magic -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Orlando as a small home favorite. You can never fully trust a bad team like the Magic, but the situation here really favors a cover by the home team. Washington has been a covering machine of late. The Wizards are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 and just snuck in a cover at home against the Warriors last night. 

The problem for Washington is not only are they going to be fatigued from that up-tempo affair against the Warriors on no rest, but there's got to be some letdown going from facing the defending champs on your home court to traveling to face a bad Magic team. 

I'm not about to say Orlando is a good team, but they have been playing better of late and seem motivated to try and make a run at a playoff spot. I think if they show up here they are going to win this game going away. Give me the Magic -3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Oregon -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Ducks as a small home favorite against the Huskies. Washington comes in having won 7 straight and are off to a perfect 5-0 start in the Pac-12. Oregon is a team that people have written off after they lost Bol Bol, but there's a lot of talent still on this team and they recently got back one of their better players in Wooten. Not to mention how difficult it is to win at Oregon. Huskies are 2-0 on the road in Pac-12 play, but those two wins came against Utah and Colorado, who are both bottom half of the league. Give me the Ducks -2.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 234) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in this one. I just think the number here has been set way too high. Both teams have to be battling fatigue, as each will be playing their 3rd game in the last 4 days. For New Orleans they are playing on no rest, as they hosted Detroit last night. Pelicans are also without their best player in Anthony Davis. On top of that, both E'Twaun Moore and Nikola Mirotic were banged up against the Pistons and are questionable to play. I think these two will be lucky to hit 220. Give me the UNDER 234! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa +5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes as a home dog against the Spartans. Michigan State is sitting at No. 6 and are a perfect 8-0 in Big Ten play. No doubt this line is shaded their way, which I believe has created big time value with Iowa. The Hawkeyes are playing their best basketball of the season right now, as they come in having won 5 straight. These two played in early December with Michigan State winning by a final of 90-68. It was a much closer game than the final score would indicate and the biggest thing here is the Hawkeyes are extremely tough to beat on their home floor. I actually like Iowa to pull off the upset, but I'll gladly take the points as some added insurance. Give me the Hawkeyes +5.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Nuggets +3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Denver as a dog. I think a lot of people are going to look at this line and be tempted to take Utah as a small home favorite. Even though the Jazz just lost at home to the Blazers, Utah had won 6 straight and were 8-1 in their previous 9. This is team that I think people really like to back at home when they are playing well. The thing is, I think their success of late is a little bit misleading and we saw some of that in their loss to Portland. During that 8-1 run, the 8 wins were against the Cavs, Clippers, Pistons, Bulls, Lakers, Magic, Pistons and Cavs. 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Ohio St +1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Buckeyes as a home dog. I just think we are getting some really good value here with Ohio State in what has to feel like a must-win game. The Buckeyes were sitting pretty at 14-1 and 2-0 in the Big Ten when they started back up conference play in January, but a home loss to Michigan State, back-to-back road setbacks at Rutgers and Iowa, and another home defeat to Maryland has Ohio State sitting at 2-4 in the Big Ten. Add in the fact that their next two games are on the road and this probably is a game they need to have if they want to make the NCAA Tournament. 

50* NCAAB ATS BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH (LSU -11.5) 

I got no problem laying the big number with LSU at home against the Bulldogs. The Tigers are 4-0 in SEC play (covered all 4) and it's time to start taking them seriously. They just whooped South Carolina t home by 22 points. 

Based on what I have seen from Georgia, they got no shot of keeping this close if the Tigers show up to play. The Bulldogs have played 2 conference road games and lost by 15 at Auburn and by 46 at Tennessee. They also have a 10-point loss at home to Florida and a 20-point loss at home to Kentucky. 

Key here is I think LSU is still playing with a chip on their shoulder, as they just got back into the Top 25, something they accomplished earlier this season, but poor play had them back out of the rankings quickly. They aren't getting big heads the second time around. Tigers are also out for revenge. No one on the roster has a win over Georgia, who swept last year's series. That should be more than enough reason for the Tigers to show up. Give me LSU -11.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Pittsburgh +13.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Pittsburgh covering as a double-digit home dog to Duke. The Panthers are one of the most improved teams in the league and a big reason for that is first year head caoch Jeff Capel, who got the job based on the work he did as an assistant under Coack K at Duke. His players are going to play their hearts out for him in this game. Blue Devils are also primed for a letdown off that huge win at home against Virginia. This is also their first road game without starting point guard Tre Jones. Give me Pittsburgh +13.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Dallas as a small home favorite against the Clippers. Mavs haven't looked great of late, as they come in having lost 4 straight and are just 5-15 in their last 20. A big part of that is the schedule. Mavs have played an absolutely brutal schedule of late. They have played 12 of their last 18 on the road, where they are 4-20 on the season. Dallas is 16-6 at home and are simply undervalued right now. Clippers come in off a win, but have not been playing well. LA is also expected to be without two of their top 3 scorers in Danilo Gallinari and Lou Williams. Dallas on the other hand is expected to get back Dennis Smith Jr, who hasn't played since early January. Give me the Mavs -4! 

40* NCAAB MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Kansas St -113) 

I'll take my chances with Kansas State securing a win at home against the Red Raiders. Even though Texas Tech comes in having lost their last 2, they are still getting a ton of love after that 15-1 start. I just think the Wildcats are playing their best basketball and this just too good a price to pass up on a team that most thought was going to contend for a Big 12 title. The defense for K-State has been outstanding during their 4-game winning streak and I just see them pulling this one out. Give me the Wildcats -113!