Basketball Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
08-05-20 | Thunder +6 v. Lakers | 105-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Thunder +6) This is just too good a price to pass up with the Thunder. Coming in off an ugly 113-121 loss to the Nuggets where they shot just 42.5%, I'm confident we get a big effort here from OKC against the Lakers. I don't know that Los Angeles will be able to match that intensity. With the Lakers 116-108 win against the Jazz on Sunday they officially clinched the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference. These last 5 games are absolutely meaningless. Keeping guys healthy and fresh is without a doubt their top priority now. Wouldn't be shocked at all if OKC won this game outright. Give me the Thunder +6! |
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08-04-20 | Magic v. Pacers +1.5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Pacers +1.5) I don't know if it's because Indiana is playing on no rest after a game yesterday against the Wizards, but no way I'm passing up on the Pacers as a dog to the Magic. Indiana has won and covered each of their first two games, most impressive being their 6-point win as 5.5-point dog against the 76ers. While they squeak in a cover as a 8.5-point favorite in a 11-point win against Washington, they were up 22 going into the 4th quarter. Keep in mind Victor Oladipo didn't play against the Wizards. There's a chance he doesn't go here, but I think that was more of them not wanting to play him on back-to-backs just yet. As for the Magic, they are also 2-0 SU and ATS, but their two wins have come against two of the worst teams in the bubble in the Nets and Kings. I just feel like it has them a bit overvalued, as this is still a team that owns a 32-35 record overall. Give me the Pacers +1.5! |
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08-04-20 | Mavs -5.5 v. Kings | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs -5.5) I love this spot and price on the Mavs. Dallas should have no problem winning this game by more than the number. Mavs come in at 0-2 and failed to cover both games. However, they could have easily won and covered both. They had a 7-point as a dog with 45 seconds to play and ended up losing by 4 in OT against the Rockets. They then lost a 13-point halftime lead against the Suns as a 5-point favorite. Losing is tough to swallow and it's only magnified when the losses come in games you feel like you should have won. I still really like the talent and makeup of this team. Same can't be said for the Kings. Sacramento lost 120-129 to the Spurs in their first game and then lost 116-132 to Orlando. Kings are simply playing no defense in the bubble and I just don't think their offense will be able to keep up with a motivated Dallas team. Give me the Mavs -5.5! |
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08-03-20 | Grizzlies +5 v. Pelicans | 99-109 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NBA SHARP MONEY VEGAS INSIDER (Grizzlies +5) I'm shocked we are getting the Grizzlies at this price. I just don't see how the Pelicans can be laying this many points with Zion Williamson on a minutes restriction. Williamson played just 15 minutes in their opener against the Jazz and only 14 in their second game against the Clippers. Both losses. I just don't buy that he's not capable of going more. He clearly is frustrated when he has to come out. I think protecting him and not giving the team their best chance to win, not only hurts them on the court, but I think it sucks the life out of the entire team. I trust Memphis a lot more right now and I think the Grizzlies win this one outright. Give me Memphis +5! |
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08-03-20 | Nuggets v. Thunder -4.5 | 121-113 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA BOOKIE ATS SLAUGHTER (Thunder -4.5) I will gladly lay the points in with Oklahoma City in this one. Denver might have come into the bubble with third best record in the Western Conference, but this is not the same Nuggets team right now. Denver will once again be without two of their top guards in Will Barton and Gary Harris. They could also be missing second leading scorer Jamal Murray (questionable). Nuggets was annihilated 125-105 by the Heat in their first game, which I think speaks to where they are right now. Thunder made easy work of the Jazz 110-94 in their first game. I think OKC is on of the more underrated teams in this bubble and there's just something I like about a fresh Chris Paul in meaningful games. Plenty at stake for the Thunder. They are No. 6 in the west, but just 3 games up on No. 7 Dallas. They are also just 1.5-games back of the Denver at No. 3. Give me Oklahoma City -4.5! |
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08-03-20 | Pacers v. Wizards +8 | 111-100 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS BLOODBATH (Wizards +8) Big time value here with the Wizards at +8. I get Washington is easily the worst team at the bubble, but that perception is what is creating the value. A 118-110 loss to the Nets doesn't look good, but the Wizards put up a good fight (game was tied late). As for the Pacers, they are coming off a solid 127-121 win over the 76ers. That win may have came at a price. Victor Oladipo played 36 minutes and now is doubtful to play in this game because of the same knee that kept him out before. I just think that's a big blow to this team both on the court and mentally. I also question if the Pacers are really all that motivated to win in this short 8-game schedule. Indiana is currently No. 5 in the standings and no danger of falling any lower than No. 6. They are two games back of No. 4 Miami and really don't have much of a shot of getting to No. 3. Getting the No. 4 would mean you potentially get the Bucks in the 2nd round, instead of the conference finals. Give me the Wizards +8! |
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08-03-20 | Raptors v. Heat +3 | Top | 107-103 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
50* NBA EARLY BIRD (HEAT/RAPTORS) PLAY OF THE MONTH (Heat +3) I will gladly take the 3-points with the Heat. While I think the Raptors are better than people think, I do think they are a bit overvalued off that 15-point win against the Lakers. That was a huge letdown spot for LA off that big win against the Clippers and pretty meaningless given the Lakers got the No. 1 seed in the west on lockdown. It's also worth pointing out that there were some reasons to be concerned with Toronto. Raptors were very fortunate the Lakers weren't on, as LA went just 10 of 40 (25%) from behind the 3-point line. Another thing is how the Lakers benched owned the Raptors. Miami was dominant in a 125-105 win against the Nuggets in their first game are one of the deepest teams in the bubble. Heat have a little more to play for, as they desperately want to get out of the No. 4 spot. Raptors are sitting pretty comfortable in 2nd, 3 games up on Boston (remember No. 2 and No. 3 aren't much different given no homecourt). Give me the Heat +3! |
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08-02-20 | Spurs v. Grizzlies -4 | 108-106 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Grizzlies -4) The Grizzlies lost an overtime heartbreaker to the Blazers in their first game of the 2020 NBA restart, while the Spurs pulled off an upset win as a 3.5-point dog against the Kings. I think those outcomes have generated some decent value here with Memphis. I'm just not a big believer in this Spurs team, who are without LaMarcus Aldridge during this restart. They also won't have guards Bryn Forbes or Marco Belinelli for this contest, plus Patty Mills questionable. I just think the Grizzlies are the far superior team and will have no problem cashing in a win and cover on Sunday. Give me Memphis -4! |
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08-01-20 | Lakers v. Raptors +3.5 | Top | 92-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
50* NBA LAKERS/RAPTORS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors +3.5) I absolutely love the value here with Toronto getting 3.5-points in Saturday's game against the Lakers. I really like the Raptors to win this game outright. Lakers are primed for a big letdown here after laying it all on the line against the Clippers on Thursday. With that win LA all but locked up the No. 1 seed in the West, as they have a 6.5 game lead with 7 to play. While the Raptors are sitting comfortably in the No. 2 spot, I think they will be way up for this game, as it's a real measuring stick type of game for them. Lakers have not been nearly as good against East teams as they have against teams from the West and it continues here. Give me the Raptors +3.5! |
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07-31-20 | Kings -3.5 v. Spurs | 120-129 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS SLAUGHTER (Kings -3.5) I really like the value here with Sacramento. This is as healthy as the Kings have been basically this season and while they got a lot of work to do to get into the playoffs, they got a fighters chance. The same can't be said for the Spurs, who won't have one of their best players in LaMarcus Aldridge. They also are down Bryn Forbes and Jakob Poeltl. I just feel like Sacramento is the much better team and we basically just need them to win the game to cash this ticket. Give me the Kings -3.5! |
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07-30-20 | Jazz v. Pelicans -2.5 | 106-104 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NBA THURSDAY NIGHT TNT NO-BRAINER (Pelicans -2.5) I really like the value here with the Pelicans as a small favorite in Thursday's game against the Jazz. There is some concern here with whether or not Zion will play (game-time decision), but the line definitely suggests the books believe he will play and he was cleared for practice earlier this week. Even if he doesn't play, I still feel like New Orleans should have the upper hand. One thing with Utah that I think people are overlooking is the absence of Bojan Bogdanovic. He was second on the team in scoring at 20.2 ppg and there biggest 3-point threat (averaged 7.3 3-point attempts/game and hit 41.4%). Give me the Pelicans -2.5! |
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03-11-20 | Nebraska v. Indiana -14 | 64-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Indiana -14) I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers laying double-digits against Nebraska in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament. I played against the Cornhuskers in their finale at Minnesota, which they lost by a final score of 107-75 to a struggling Gophers team. Indiana has lost 3 of 4, but two of those were on the road to Illinois and Purdue and the other was a game they should have won at home against Wisconsin. Big reason I played against Nebraska in the finale against Minnesota is guards Dachon Burke Jr and Cam Mack were both suspended. Burke is definitely out and Mack is also not expected to play. Cornhuskers had little chance with those guys on the floor and without them they would need to shoot lights out to keep this close. Give me the Hoosiers -14! |
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03-11-20 | Knicks v. Hawks -4.5 | 136-131 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Hawks -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Hawks as a slim 4.5-point home favorite against the Knicks. Easy fade of New York for me, as the Knicks will be playing on no rest after a game last night at Washington, which they lost in a shootout 115-122. NY has gone 0-4-1 ATS last 5 and 2-6 ATS this season on no rest. THey are also just 2-6 ATS last 8 as a road dog. Hawks are 8-3 ATS last 13 games at home and 4-1-2 ATS last 7 as a home favorite. Give me Atlanta -4.5! |
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03-11-20 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -6.5 | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Oklahoma State -6.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cowboys as a 6.5-point favorite against the Cyclones. Iowa State is way down this year and have really struggled down the stretch after losing by far their best player in Tyrese Haliburton. Now they are likely to play without 2nd leading scorer Rasir Bolton and 4th leading scoring Prentiss Nixon figures to be playing at less than 100%. Note that any success ISU has had of late is on the road and while the Big 12 tournament has often felt like a home game for the Cyclones, I don't see it this year with how bad the team is. Oklahoma State started out 0-6 in Big 12 play, but finished 7-5 over their last 12 conference games and have won 3 straight going into this one. Give me the Cowboys -6.5! |
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03-10-20 | Suns v. Blazers -4 | 105-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Blazers -4) I'll take my chances here with Portland winning by 5 or more at home against the Suns. Big time revenge spot for the Blazers, who just lost at Phoenix last Friday 117-127 as a 3.5-point road favorite. Portland not only is basically laying the same number at home, but they will be on a full 2 days of rest here. Suns hitting the road for the first time in almost two weeks, as they just finished up a 6-game homestand. Give me the Blazers -4! |
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03-10-20 | Magic v. Grizzlies -2 | Top | 120-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies -2) I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis as a slim 2-point home favorite against the Magic. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Grizzlies at home. Memphis comes in having won 4 of their last 5 and during this stretch have held their opponents to a mere 95.4 ppg on 37.5% shooting. Orlando is simply getting a lot of love here because of the fact that they have covered 3 straight and 7 of 8 overall. Thing is the Magic have really taken advantage of a soft schedule. Not an easy spot here either for Orlando, playing their 4th road game in 6 days. Give me the Grizzlies -2! |
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03-10-20 | North Carolina -4 v. Virginia Tech | 78-56 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
40* UNC/VA TECH ACC TOURNAMENT NO-BRAINER (UNC -4) I'll take my chances here with the Tar Heels winning by 5 or more in the opening round of the ACC Tournament. You won't find many teams that go 6-14 in conference play, who enter their conference tournament with more confidence than UNC. The Tar Heels got healthy down the stretch and more than showed they can hang with the big boys in the ACC. Given that they have to win the ACC Tournament to get into the NCAA Tournament, the Tar Heels are going to play inspired. Va Tech needed double-overtime to beat UNC back on Jan. 22 and the Tar Heels were down both Cole Anthony and Brandon Robinson. UNC is simply the more talented team and playing the better basketball. Give me the Tar Heels -4! |
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03-09-20 | Raptors v. Jazz UNDER 225 | Top | 101-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 225) I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Monday's NBA action that has the Raptors visiting the Jazz. I just don't see either team looking to push the pace all that much in this one. Toronto is playing their 5th straight on the road in about as bad a spot as you can get, playing in Utah on no rest after a game last night in Sacramento. As for the Jazz, they had Sunday off, but had to play back-to-back on the road Friday/Saturday to close out a 4-game east coast trip. Another thing here is Utah has won 5 straight and will be highly motivated for revenge from a 20-point loss at Toronto earlier this season, where they gave up 77 in the 1st half to the Raptors. UNDER is 15-5 in Utah's last 20 home games when they are on a win streak of 4 or more and 6- 1 in their last 7 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take the UNDER! |
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03-08-20 | Spurs v. Cavs OVER 222 | Top | 129-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 222) I'll take my chances here with the OVER 222 in Sunday's NBA action that has the Spurs hosting visiting the Cavs. We see totals in the 230's on the reg in the NBA now a days and I just feel with how bad these two are playing defensively this should be closer to 230 than 220. Cleveland has allowed 4 of their last 5 opponents to shoot 54% or better from the field. San Antonio has allowed each of their last 4 to shoot 47% or better, including 53% last time out at Brooklyn. Cavs give up 115 ppg at home and Spurs allow 117 ppg on the road. Give me the OVER 222! |
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03-08-20 | Iowa +3.5 v. Illinois | 76-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Iowa +3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes as a 3.5-point home dog against the Fighting Illini. A double-bye is on the line in the Big Ten Tournament and while Illinois has been tough at home, I just feel that Iowa is the better team. Hawks also will have had two more days to prepare, as they last played on Tuesday, while the Illini had to travel to Ohio STate on Thursday. I played the Buckeyes in that game, as I wasn't buying the recent 4-game win streak for Illinois. I just don't think the offense is good enough to hang with what should be an extremely motivated Iowa side. Also got to love this line, as it's begging the public to take Illini as a small home favorite. Give me Iowa +3.5! |
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03-08-20 | Tulsa +6.5 v. Wichita State | 57-79 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Tulsa +6.5) I'll take my chances here with the Golden Hurricane at least covering the 6.5-point spread at Wichita State and wouldn't be shocked at all if Tulsa won this game outright. With a win here the Golden Hurricane can clinch the outright AAC regular-season title. I think they are the better offensive team and statistically are the top defense in the American. Wichita State is getting a lot of love for their great home record, but a lot of their success at home came early in the year. Give me Tulsa +6.5! |
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03-07-20 | 76ers v. Warriors +2.5 | Top | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Warriors +2.5) I'll take my chances here with Golden State as a home dog against a 76ers team that is playing their 4th and final game of a 4-game west coast trip without their two best players in Embiid and Simmons. Especially with the Warriors having back Steph Curry. Not only is Curry an elite talent, but I think him coming back from injury when he could have easily sat out the rest of the season has ignited this team. They shot just 41% and only lost by 8 to the Raptors in Curry's first game. I think they win here outright in a blowout. Give me Golden State +2.5! |
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03-07-20 | Arkansas v. Texas A&M +3 | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Texas A&M +3) I'll take my chances with the Aggies as a home dog against the Razorbacks. Texas A&M has really been playing well down the stretch. They are 4-2 over their last 6 games with their only two losses coming on the road at LSU and at home against Kentucky. They just won at Auburn in their last game. Arkansas is off a big home win over LSU and have to be running on fumes here. AFter playing a game against Georgia last Saturday that saw 188 combined points, their game against the Tigers 3 days ago had 189. Razorbacks have also lost 4 straight on the road. Give me Texas A&M +3! |
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03-07-20 | Iowa State v. Kansas State -5.5 | 63-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Kansas State -5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Cyclones. I've been fading ISU on the reg on the road since they lost Haliburton. They are just 2-8 ATS away from home on the season and have not been competitive away from home without their best player. Big reason we are getting value with K-State is the Wildcats come in having lost 10 straight. That losing streak comes to an end on senior day. Give me Kansas State -5.5! |
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03-07-20 | UCLA v. USC -2.5 | Top | 52-54 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (USC -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Trojans as a small home favorite against the Bruins. I've been on UCLA a ton down the stretch with a lot of success, but I feel like it's time to jump ship and fade them in this spot. USC is an outstanding home team and are finally back healthy. USC already beat UCLA on the road and defensively they made life miserable for the Bruins. Given how good the Trojans defense has been of late on their home floor, I see no reason why they shouldn't find a way to win this game. Give me USC -2.5! |
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03-07-20 | Rutgers v. Purdue -5 | 71-68 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Purdue -5) I'll take my chances here with the Boilermakers laying a mere 5-points at home against the Scarlet Knights. Rutgers is getting a ton of love here off an impressive home win over Maryland, which also happened to be the Scarlet Knights senior night. Rutgers is a different team on the road, where they are just 1-10 this season with the only win coming at Nebraska. Purdue only lost by 7 on the road at Rutgers and that revenge is definitely a plus in this one. Boilermakers also playing well right now and will be motivated for their senior day. Give me Purdue -5! |
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03-06-20 | Bucks v. Lakers +1 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
50* NBA PRIME TIME (ESPN) PLAY OF THE MONTH (Lakers +1) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Lakers as a home dog against the Bucks. This is a no-brainer if you ask me. These two teams played back on Dec. 19th. Milwaukee really embarrassed LA in that game. The Bucks won by just 7, but were up 19 at the half. Lakers will be out to send a message here and no way should they be getting points. Give me Los Angeles +1! |
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03-06-20 | Blazers -2.5 v. Suns | 117-127 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -2.5) I'll take my chances here with Portland as a small road favorite against the Suns. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with Portland now that Lillard is back in the mix. Blazers have won their last two and just rolled the Wizards in Lillard's first game back. Suns have lost 4 straight and the books just can't seem to price this team right. Phoenix is a mere 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games. Give me the Blazers -2.5! |
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03-06-20 | Grizzlies +8 v. Mavs | 96-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA ODDSMAKERS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Grizzlies +8) I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a 8-point road dog against the Mavs. For starters, Dallas could be without Doncic (questionable with illness). Tim Hardaway, J.J. Barea and Dorian Finney-Smith are all questionable. Even if they all play I would like the Grizzlies at this price. Memphis has won and covered 3 straight and are playing ridiculous defense during this stretch, holding the Lakers to 88, Hawks to 88 and the Nets to 79. Give me Memphis +8! |
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03-06-20 | Heat v. Pelicans -1.5 | Top | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans -1.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Pelicans at basically a pick'em at home. New Orleans has lost their last 3 and are now 5 back of the Grizzlies for the final playoff spot in the West. I see them showing up in a big way in this game. Miami is a good team, but are not nearly as good on the road as they are at home. I think the Heat riding a 4-game winning streak (all at home) are getting too much love here. Give me the Pelicans -1.5! |
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03-06-20 | Thunder v. Knicks +7 | 126-103 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Knicks +7) I'll take my chances here with the Knicks as a 7-point home dog against the Thunder. There's a lot of negative talk right now with New York, mainly around owner James Dolan. I think it has the Knicks undervalued right now. The Knicks have covered 3 straight, which includes a win at home against the Rockets as a 10-point dog. They have shot 48% or better from the field in 5 straight. Thunder have failed to cover 5 straight and have a big game at Boston on deck Sunday. Give me the Knicks +7! |
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03-05-20 | 76ers v. Kings -5 | Top | 125-108 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -5) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento winning by 6 or more at home against the struggling and depleted 76ers. Philadelphia is still without their two best players in Embiid and Simmons and this is not a deep team that's built to sustain injuries of that kind of magnitude. I just don't see them playing well in this one. Kings have been red-hot since the All-Star break, going 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. Give me Sacramento -5! |
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03-05-20 | Wichita State v. Memphis -1.5 | 60-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Memphis -1.5) I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Shockers. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Tigers at home. Memphis is 14-3 at home this season and will be plenty motivated after losing at Wichita State earlier this season. Shockers come in having won 5 of their last 6, but I still don't trust this team, especially on the road. Give me Memphis -1.5! |
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03-05-20 | Illinois v. Ohio State -5.5 | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB - BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Ohio State -5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Buckeyes as a slim 5.5-point home favorite against the Fighting Illini. Ohio State was the talk of the Big Ten at when they opened up the season 11-1, but they proceeded to go 1-6 over their next 7 games. Most people wrote them off. That was a mistake. Buckeyes are back and have won 3 straight and 8 of their last 10 overall. Illinois has won 4 straight, but two of those were against bottom feeders Nebraska and Northwestern and they just barely beat Indiana at home by 1 last time out. Give me the Buckeyes -5.5! |
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03-04-20 | Virginia -2 v. Miami-FL | 46-44 | Push | 0 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Virginia -2) I'll take my chances here with the Cavaliers as a slim 2-point road favorite against the Hurricanes. I'm not sure why Virginia isn't getting more love here. I get they are off a big win over Duke, but they are rolling right now and there's plenty of motivation to stay on task with a shot of winning the ACC regular-season title still in the mix. Miami has had to play each of their last 3 on the road. They will be happy to return home, but the offense is struggling and I could see them having a miserable time scoring against Virginia in this one. Give me the Cavaliers -2! |
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03-04-20 | Grizzlies +1.5 v. Nets | Top | 118-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies +1.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis as a 1.5-point road dog against the Nets. I just think this is a great spot to fade Brooklyn. The Nets scored 51 points and rallied from 17 down in the 4th quarter to force overtime at Boston last night and wound up winning 129-120. That's not just a tough game to bounce back from physically, but emotionally as well. Memphis is also coming in off two straight dominating performances on the defensive end, beating the Lakers 105-88 at home and the Hawks 127-88 on the road. Give me the Grizzlies +1.5! |
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03-04-20 | Pacers +11 v. Bucks | 100-119 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA UNDERDOG ATS KNOCKOUT (Pacers +11) I'll take my chances here with Indiana as a double-digit dog against division rival Milwaukee. The Bucks come in off a 89-105 loss at Miami and were lucky to win the night before, barely escaping with a 93-85 win at Charlotte. That was Milwaukee's 5th road game in 7 games since the break and while they are back home for this one, this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. Pacers come in having won 4 straight and will bring a surging defense against a slumping Bucks offense. Give me Indiana +11! |
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03-04-20 | Celtics v. Cavs +2.5 | 112-106 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS NO-BRAINER (Cavs +2.5) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland as a small home dog against the Celtics. This to me looks and feels like a game Boston wants nothing to do with. For starters, they are expected to be without basically all their good players. Walker, Hayward, Brown and Tatum are either out or listed as doubtful and Smart could be suspended. On top of that you got Boston off an ugly loss at home to Brooklyn last night in OT. Celtics gave up 51 points in the 4th quarter. I just don't see them showing up for this game. If this was any other team than the Cavs there would be a much bigger reaction with the line. Give me Cleveland +2.5! |
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03-04-20 | Minnesota v. Indiana -3.5 | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Indiana -3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers as a small 3.5-point home dog. I think we are getting a good price here with Indiana due to them coming off back-to-back road losses. Hoosiers are 14-3 at home and are taking on a Minnesota team that is struggling. Gophers have lost 7 of their last 9 and are 3-9 away from home this season. Indiana is much better home team than they are at home and they beat Minnesota by 12 on the road. Give me the Hoosiers -3.5! |
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03-03-20 | Purdue v. Iowa -5 | 77-68 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa -5) I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes as a 5-point home favorite against Purdue. Iowa is undefeated at home in Big Ten play and winning by a wide margin. They will be especially motivated for this game, as they have not forgot about their 68-104 loss at Purdue almost a month ago. Easily the worst loss of the season for the Hawks. Give me Iowa -5! |
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03-03-20 | West Virginia -6 v. Iowa State | 77-71 | Push | 0 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (W Virginia -6) I'll take my chances here with the Mountaineers laying 6 at ISU tonight. West Virginia has hit hard times. A team that was once 18-4 and 6-3 in the Big 12 is now 19-10 and has a losing record at 7-9 in league play. I still trust the talent on this Mountaineers team and I think they are going to find a way to win on the road against ISU. Cyclones are nothing without Haliburton and playing at home won't save them in this matchup. Give me West Virginia -6! |
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03-03-20 | Texas +6.5 v. Oklahoma | 52-51 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Texas +6.5) I'll take my chances here with the Longhorns as a 6.5-point dog against Oklahoma. I just feel like this is too good a price to pass up with Texas given how well they are playing right now. Longhorns have won 4 straight and just beat Texas Tech by double-digits on the road. Not saying they will win here, but I expect it to be close. Give me Texas +6.5! |
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03-03-20 | Wolves v. Pelicans OVER 246.5 | 139-134 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 246.5) I'll take my chances here with the OVER 246.5. This might seem crazy, but I actually think there's value here. Minnesota is playing absolutely zero defense right now. They have allowed 126 or more in each of their last 4 road games, all of which saw a combined score of 244 or more, with 3 of those going for 250+. Pelicans are built for a shootout, as they are scoring 118.2 ppg and giving up 117.0 ppg in their last 5. I think both teams easily hit 120 with New Orleans going for 130+. Give me the OVER 246.5! |
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03-03-20 | Nets +8.5 v. Celtics | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS KNOCKOUT (Nets +8.5) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn as a 8.5-point road dog against the Celtics. Boston is playing great right now, but did just lose at home to the Rockets and could find it tough to play well here. Celtics figure to have Kemba Walker back, but both Marcus Smart and Jason Tatum are questionable. If Tatum doesn't play, you have to give Brooklyn a shot at winning outright. Either way I think they keep it close. Give me the Nets +8.5! |
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03-03-20 | Wake Forest v. North Carolina -7 | 83-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS BOOKIE DESTROYER (North Carolina -7) I'll take my chances here with UNC laying 7-points at home against Wake Forest. Big revenge game for the Tar Heels, who recently lost at WF by 17, though that was a bit to be expected, as they were just two days removed from a crushing OT loss to rival Duke. Tar Heels are playing their best ball of the season right now. They followed up a big home win over NC State with a 92-79 thrashing of the Orange in Syracuse. GIve me the Tar Heels -7! |
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03-03-20 | Maryland v. Rutgers -1 | Top | 67-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
50* NCAAB BIG TEN PLAY OF THE MONTH (Rutgers -1) I'll take my chances here with the Scarlet Knights as a slim 1-point home favorite against the Terps. This is just too good a price to pass up on Rutgers at home. Scarlet Knights are 17-1 at home. They are also 8-1 ATS this season when revenging a road loss. Give me Rutgers -1 |
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03-02-20 | Jazz v. Cavs +8.5 | 126-113 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Cavs +8.5) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland covering as 8.5-point home dogs. I just think this is a big number for Utah to be laying on the road against a much improved Cavs team, at least for the time being, under interim head coach J.B. Bickerstaff. I know Thompson and Garland are both out, but they still got some guys who are playing well. I also think those injuries could work in our favor, as it will make it that much harder for Utah to get up for this game. Give me the Cavs +8.5! |
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03-02-20 | Rockets v. Knicks OVER 230.5 | Top | 123-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 230.5) I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Monday's matchup that has the Rockets visiting the Knicks. These two teams just played on Feb. 24th and combined for 135 points in a 123-112 Rockets win. I think we are going to see even more offense in this one. I'm pretty confident Westbrook and Harden will be motivated to show out at Madison Square Garden. They only get to play their once a season. Houston's small ball has them scoring a ton here lately. Only the Celtics have been able to keep them under 120 points since the break. As for the Knicks offense, they have been shooting really well. New York has hit 50% from the field in 3 straight games. Coming off a big road game at Boston on Saturday and a huge home game against the Clippers looming on Thursday, plus having just beat the Knicks, I don't see Houston being overly invested on playing defense in this one. Give me the OVER 230.5! |
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03-02-20 | NC State v. Duke -12 | 69-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
40* DUKE/NC STATE NCAAB ATS SLAUGHTER (Duke -12) I'll take my chances here with the Blue Devils covering the big number at home against NC State. I was actually surprised to see the public being all over the Wolfpack. Sure, Duke has lost 3 of 4, including a 22-point (66-88) loss at NC State back on Feb. 19. If anything, that makes me like the Blue Devils more in this spot. Duke is locked into a double-bye for the ACC Tournament, but need to get back on track with a win for their seeding in the Big Dance. Let's also not overlook that all 3 losses during this recent bad run have came on the road and one was a double-OT loss and the other was by 2 at Virginia. I'm confident Duke steps up here they 6-0 at home against teams not named FSU, Louisville and Virginia. All 6 have come by at least 12 points and 5 of the 6 have been by 24 or more with 4 by 30 or more. Give me Duke -12! |
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03-01-20 | Pistons v. Kings -7.5 | 100-106 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Kings -7.5) I'll take my chances here with the Kings cashing in a cover as a 7.5-point home favorite against the Pistons. Sacramento is clearly motivated to make the playoffs, as they have gone 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS since returning from the All-Star break. I really feel that if the Kings show up to play, they win by double-digits easy. Detroit is a mess right now. They got next to no talent on that roster, as they are clearly in rebuild mode. They just won at Phoenix as a 9-point dog and that was 100% the Suns not playing with a sense of urgency until it was too late. What will get overlooked in the Pistons 113-111 win is the fact that they let Phoenix shoot 60% from the field. That's after allowing the Nuggets to connect on 58% in their previous game. Lot more likely for Detroit to stumble than build off a win, especially in their 4th and final game of a 4-game road trip. Give me the Kings -7.5! |
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03-01-20 | Virginia Tech v. Louisville -12.5 | 52-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Louisville -12.5) I'll take my chances here and lay the big number with the Cardinals at home against the Hokies. Louisville is sitting tied on top the ACC standings with FSU at 14-4, but due to losing both meetings with the Seminoles, they need to finish ahead of them to win the league outright. The most recent game was a 67-82 loss at FSU, but that was on Monday, so the Cards are well rested here. Same can't be said for Virginia Tech, who just suffered a crushing 53-56 loss at home to in-state rival Virginia on Wednesday. I just don't trust the Hokies to show up in this spot and this a team that has struggled on the road against the top teams losing by 26 at Virginia and by 24 at Duke (didn't play FSU on the road, but did lose by 11 at home to Seminoles). They also lost by double-digits at Miami and Georgia Tech. Give me the Cardinals -12.5! |
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03-01-20 | Michigan +3.5 v. Ohio State | 63-77 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Michigan +3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines getting their revenge against the Buckeyes and easily covering as a 3.5-point road dog. These two played just about a month ago (2/4) at Michigan. Ohio State won 61-58, but that was with the Wolverines not having the services of Livers, who is back healthy. Michigan did just lose at home to Wisconsin, but that was more of the Badgers just not missing. Wisconsin shot 54% from the field and 48% from deep (made 11 3's). Wolverines had won 5 straight prior to that setback and have really thrived away from home of late. Michigan has won 5 straight away from home in Big Ten play. Give me the Wolverines +3.5! |
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03-01-20 | Indiana v. Illinois -5.5 | Top | 66-67 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Illinois -5.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Fighting Illini laying just 5.5-points at home against the Hoosiers. Indiana is probably my favorite team in the Big Ten to play on at home and to fade on the road. I see this as an easy fade of the Hoosiers. Illinois has regained some of their mojo of late, as they come in having won 3 straight. While the last two were against the two bottom feeders in Northwestern and Nebraska, the streak started out with a big road win at Penn State. Indiana just lost by 8 at Purdue and were lucky it wasn't a lot worse, as they scored just 49 points on 25% shooting. Give me Illinois -5.5! |
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03-01-20 | Creighton -4.5 v. St. John's | 71-91 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Creighton -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Bluejays as a mere 4.5-point road favorite against the Red Storm. I just think St. John's is getting a little too much love in this one. The Red Storm are a solid home team and in their last two home games they lost by just 3 to Xavier and upset Providence. Thing is they forced both of those teams into 20+ turnovers, which is what St. John's has to do to be competitive. Their defense really struggles to get stops when they don't take the ball away. That's why this is such a horrible matchup. Creighton takes excellent care of the ball. They only had 11 turnovers in the first meeting with the Red Storm and they won that game by 12, scoring 94 points on 60% shooting. If it wasn't for 16 offensive rebounds, Bluejays would have won by 20+ With Creighton needing to win out for a shot at the Big East title, I just don't see them slipping up here. Give me the Bluejays -4.5! |
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02-29-20 | Arizona v. UCLA +2.5 | Top | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UCLA +2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with UCLA as a home dog against the Wildcats. The Bruins have had quite the midseason turnaround. Just about everyone was writing this team off when they opened up Pac-12 play at 1-3 and fell to 8-9 overall. They have won 10 of their last 11 since that mark and sitting tied on top the Pac-12 standings at 11-5. Arizona is a good team, but are just 9-6 in conference play and have struggled on the road and enter having lost their last 2. They also lost by 13 at home to UCLA earlier this month. Give me the Bruins +2.5! |
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02-29-20 | South Carolina v. Alabama -5 | 86-90 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS ANNIHILATOR (Alabama -5) I'll take my chances here with the Crimson Tide covering as a 5-point home favorite against the Gamecocks. ALabama is going to be highly motivated off a loss at Mississippi State and this is really a different team at home. South Carolina is off a grueling 94-90 OT win at home against Georgia and will be on just two days of rest. That's a problem against the frantic pace of the Tide. Give me Alabama -5! |
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02-29-20 | Michigan State v. Maryland -2.5 | 78-66 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Maryland -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Terps laying a mere 2.5-points at home against the Spartans. I get Maryland stole a game at Michigan State earlier this season, but that's a positive more than a negative in the rematch at home, where the Terps are a perfect 15-0 this season. Maryland can also clinch at least a share of the Big Ten regular season title with a win. Give me the Terps -2.5! |
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02-29-20 | Blazers v. Hawks -1.5 | 117-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Hawks -1.5) I'll take my chances here with Atlanta as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Blazers. Portland had failed to cover 5 straight prior to a very fortunate cover at Indiana on Thursday. I just don't trust this Blazers team in the slightest without Lillard, especially on the road. I get the Hawks are on no rest, but they coasted to a 141-118 win last night at home against the Nets. Limited stressful minutes and no travel should make this a favorable spot for Atlanta to continue their strong play since the break. Give me the Hawks -1.5! |
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02-29-20 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -7 | 61-73 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Oklahoma State -7) I'll take my chances here with the Cowboys laying it on the Cyclones and covering the 7-point spread at home. I like Oklahoma State to win here by double-digits. ISU has won a couple games at home without their best player in Haliburton, but that's just because they have such a great home court edge and teams probably not giving them their full attention. It's been a different story on the road and this Oklahoma State team has been playing much better of late and will be out for revenge. Give me the Cowboys -7! |
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02-29-20 | North Carolina v. Syracuse -4.5 | 92-79 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Syracuse -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Orange cashing in a win and cover as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Tar Heels. UNC has been playing a lot better of late and just knocked off NC State, but this is a really tough spot and matchup for them. Tar Heels don't have a lot of outside shooting and that's the one thing you really need to attack the Orange 2-3 zone. This is also the final home game for Syracuse and the Carrier Dome is already one of the tougher places to play. Give me the Orange -4.5! |
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02-29-20 | Notre Dame -2 v. Wake Forest | 73-84 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Notre Dame -2) I'll take my chances here with the Fighting Irish as a slim 2-point road favorite against Wake Forest. This is the ideal spot to fade the Demon Deacons and I was on WF in their upset win at home over Duke. That was going to be a tough game to bounce back from no matter the result, but even more so having won and the game went to OT. Notre Dame has won 3 straight and 6 of 8 overall with one of those an OT loss at Virginia. Irish clearly playing their best ball of the season at the right time. Give me Notre Dame -2! |
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02-28-20 | Cavs +12.5 v. Pelicans | 104-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Cavs +12.5) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland as a big road dog against the Pelicans. Cavs have won 4 of their last 5, yet are still a team no one wants anything to do with. There definitely won't be many public players looking to back Cleveland against Zion and the Pelicans. I just think the Cavs are way undervalued right now. They have played with a different sense of urgency since they fired Beilein and promoted Bickerstaff. Tough spot for New Orleans who just finished up a 3-game road trip against LeBron and the Lakers on Tuesday and will be hosting the Lakers in a big rematch on Sunday. Give me the Cavs +12.5! |
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02-28-20 | Mavs v. Heat -2.5 | Top | 118-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Heat -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Miami bouncing from a rare home loss with a win and cover at home against the Mavs. Heat let one get away against the Timberwolves last time out, blowing a double-digit lead in the final 4 minutes. They were visibly and vocally upset with that loss. I think we are going to get their very best tonight. As good as Doncic and the Mavs are, this is too good a price on Miami with them being 23-4 SU on their home floor. They are also 15-6 ATS this season off a loss. Mavs had had to travel quite a bit since the break and could be running out of gas for this one. Give me the Heat -2.5! |
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02-28-20 | Wolves +7.5 v. Magic | 125-136 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Wolves +7.5) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota covering as a 7.5-point road dog against the Magic. I've liked what I've seen out of this Timberwolves team. They got a bunch of guys in trades that other teams didn't want and they are playing with a chip on their shoulder. They just won on the road at Miami playing their 3rd road game in 4 nights. Even with Towns out they got a lot of depth right now. Magic have won 4 of 5 and just took care of Atlanta and Brooklyn on the road, but prior to that did fallby 16 at home to the Mavs. Tough spot for Orlando having just got home on Thursday and having to pack up and leave right after this game for a matchup with the Spurs in San Antonio tomorrow. I wouldn't be shocked if the T-Wolves won this outright. Give me Minnesota +7.5! |
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02-27-20 | Ohio State v. Nebraska OVER 144.5 | 75-54 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 144.5) I'll take my chances here with the OVER 144.5 between Nebraska and Ohio State. The Buckeyes put up 80 on the Cornhuskers at home earlier this season and with the free fall that Nebraska is on right now, I could see them topping that mark in this one. Cornhuskers are allowing 81.2 ppg on 47% shooting in their last 5. Last two at home they have allowed 86 to Michigan State and a staggering 81 to Wisconsin. Other big key here is Ohio State's defense has really regressed over the season. Buckeyes are 11th in the Big Ten in defensive efficiency and 12th in effective field goal defense. Nebraska is due for a big offensive night and all we need is for them to flirt with 70 to cash. Give me the OVER 144.5! |
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02-27-20 | Blazers v. Pacers -9.5 | 100-106 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Pacers -9.5) I'll take my chances here with Indiana winning by double-digits at home against the Blazers. I'm actually shocked the public is on Portland. Blazers have looked as expected without Damian Lillard, who was playing at a MVP level before he got hurt. Portland has failed to cover 5 straight. Their only win was against the Pistons and 3 of the 4 losses were by double-digits. Pacers are fresh off a 119-80 win at home over the Hornets. Indiana should be a motivated team right now. They are 3-1 after a 6-game losing streak. Give me the Pacers -9.5! |
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02-27-20 | Indiana v. Purdue -6 | Top | 49-57 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Purdue -6) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Boilermakers as a 6-point home favorite against the Hoosiers. I think this is the perfect spot to sell high on Indiana. Hoosiers are fresh off a big 68-60 home win over Penn State and prior to that won at Minnesota. I just feel like it's covering up who Indiana truly is on the road and that's a bad team. Hoosiers are 2-6 in true road games and their losses on the road are by nearly 16 ppg. Purdue's one of the toughest places to play in the country and I see them winning by double-digits rather easy. Give me the Boilermakers -6! |
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02-26-20 | LSU v. Florida -5 | 66-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Florida -5) I'll take my chances here with the Gators as a 5-point home favorite against the Tigers. Florida is going to be eager to get back on the court after a hard fought loss at Kentucky on Saturday. Gators had won 3 straight prior and are 10-3 at home this season. LSU is off a win at South Carolina, but I just think the Tigers are overvalued right now. LSU opened up SEC play at 8-0 with a bunch of close wins. Those late breaks have quit going their way. Tigers have lost 4 of 6 with 3 of those losses on the road. Give me Florida -5! |
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02-26-20 | Nets -2 v. Wizards | 106-110 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS NO-BRAINER (Nets -2) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn as a slim 2-point road favorite at Washington. I played and lost with the Nets at home against Orlando in their last game, but that's not going to deter me from taking them here. I really like this Brooklyn team, that is as long as Kyrie is out. They have been better without him and show value because he's out. Washington has lost 3 straight out of the break and are off a crushing 3-point loss at home to the Bucks in the 2nd of a back-to-back. I think they struggle to show up here. Give me Brooklyn -2! |
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02-26-20 | 76ers v. Cavs +8 | Top | 94-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs +8) I'll gladly take my chances here with Cleveland as a 8-point home dog against the 76ers. Philadelphia is coming off a fortunate win and cover as a 8.5-point home favorite against the Hawks, outscoring Atlanta 38-20 in the 4th quarter of a 17-point win. Key thing to note is that was at home. Things don't go so well for the 76ers on the road and they are still missing one of their best players in Ben Simmons. Cavs have won 3-4 and I think are a team worth taking a shot on right now. They are definitely playing harder since the coaching change and while he hasn't played great, Drummond is a big addition for this team. I wouldn't be shocked at all if Cleveland won outright. GIve me the Cavs +8! |
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02-26-20 | Syracuse +1 v. Pittsburgh | 72-49 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS SLAUGHTER (Syracuse +1) I'll take my chances here with the Orange at basically a pick'em on the road against the Panthers. Syracuse turned a double-digit deficit in the 1st half into a 79-72 win at home on Saturday. That win snapped a 3-game skid and I believe it will be the spark they needed to close out strong. Pitt has lost 4 straight and are off a gut-wrenching 3-point loss at home to Virginia. I just don't see the Panthers being able to keep pace in this one. You need to be able to hit the 3-ball against the Orange 2-3 zone and Pitt ranks 332nd in 3-point shooting at 29.2%. Give me Syracuse +1! |
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02-26-20 | Georgia v. South Carolina -5.5 | 90-94 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (S Carolina -5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Gamecocks as a small home favorite against the Bulldogs. This is it for South Carolina. If they want to stay on the bubble they have to win this one at home against Georgia. I believe they will do just that. We know they are going to play hard after giving up 86 in a loss at home to LSU on Saturday. Gamecocks already beat the Bulldogs 76-69 on the road back on Feb. 12 and seeing how Georgia's only SEC road win is against Vanderbilt, it's hard seeing a different outcome. Give me South Carolina -5.5! |
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02-25-20 | Celtics -6.5 v. Blazers | 118-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS DESTROYER (Celtics -6.5) I'll take my chances here with Boston cashing in as a 6.5-point road favorite. As long as the Blazers are without Lillard they are worth fading, at least until the books catch up. Portland has failed to cover 4 straight and I think their most recent game says it all. Blazers only beat the Pistons at home by 3 points and did so with McCollum going off for 41 and Anthony scoring 32. How much more can you really expect from those two and it doesn't get much worse than the Pistons right now. Give me the Celtics -6.5! |
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02-25-20 | Pistons v. Nuggets OVER 214 | 98-115 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 214) I'll take my chances here with the OVER 214 between the Nuggets and Pistons. I just think with the trade of Drummond Detroit has went into full on rebuild mode. The defense has not been good and they are going up against a Denver offense that just shot 59% while scoring 128 at home against the Wolves. That was the 4th time in 5 games the Nuggets shot 50% or better from the field. Pistons can score and should be able to hit at least 105. I think the total here should be closer to 225. Give me the OVER 214! |
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02-25-20 | Texas Tech -3 v. Oklahoma | 51-65 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Texas Tech -3) I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders covering as a slim 3-point road favorite against the Sooners. Texas Tech has won 5 of 6 and finishing the season strong is exactly what Chris Beard's team did a year ago. Red Raiders just owned ISU 87-57 on the road and I just think it's worth a shot to roll them here, especially with Oklahoma coming in having lost 3 straight, most recently getting annihilated by 17 on the road to in-state rival Oklahoma State. Give me Texas Tech -3! |
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02-25-20 | Alabama v. Mississippi State -3.5 | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Miss State -3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs cashing in at home as a small 3.5-point favorite against the Crimson Tide. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with Mississippi State and the value here stems from Alabama coming off a big 103-78 win at Ole Miss. I just don't trust the tide on the road and I think we are going to see the Bulldogs playing with a chip on their shoulder from an earlier 20-point loss to the Tide. Give me Mississippi State -3.5! |
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02-25-20 | NC State v. North Carolina -2.5 | Top | 79-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
50* NCAAB ACC PLAY OF THE YEAR (North Carolina -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Tar Heels laying a short number at home. North Carolina has lost all 7 games since star freshman Cole Anthony returned from injury, but there's no doubt they are playing better with him. UNC simply couldn't be more unlucky in this 7-game skid. They have 5 losses in this stretch by 6 or fewer, with several defeats coming on a last second shot. They did just get annihilated at Louisville 55-72, but Garrison Brooks was a late scratch due to being sick. He should be good to go for this one and I think we see UNC lay it all on the line to beat their in-state rival. It also helps this is a tough spot for the Wolfpack off a crushing 61-67 loss at home to FSU. Give me the Tar Heels -2.5! |
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02-25-20 | Hornets v. Pacers OVER 210 | Top | 80-119 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 210) I'll take my chances here with the OVER 210 between the Hornets and Pacers. I just think we are getting big time value here on the OVER due to how awful these two teams just played offensively in their last game. Charlotte scored just 86 at home to the Nets and Indiana managed just 81 on the road at Toronto. Both teams did allow 115+ in those losses. Pacers score 110 ppg at home and Hornets allow that same number on the season. I think we see Indiana get to 120 and that means we need a mere 91 from Charlotte to cash. Give me the OVER 210! |
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02-25-20 | DePaul v. Xavier UNDER 136.5 | 67-78 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 136.5) I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 136.5 between Xavier and DePaul. These two teams played once already and combined for just 126 points, staying UNDER the mark of 139. Given how much both offenses struggled to score, especially inside, I see no reason to not take UNDER at this price. Also, Xavier is playing to a lot lower scoring games right now. Over the last month they have basically started 3 big men. That's bad for offense and great for defense. It also slows the game way down. Give me the UNDER 136.5! |
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02-25-20 | Duke v. Wake Forest +11.5 | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Wake Forest +11.5) I'll take my chances here with Wake Forest as a 11.5-point home dog against Duke. There's no question the line here has been inflated on the Blue Devils with how big a public play they are. Add in the fact that Duke beat this same WF team by 31 at home earlier and no one is going to want to play the Demon Deacons here. Thing is, Blue Devils just haven't played great at home. THey are just 1-5-1 ATS in their 7 conference games. You also can't read too much into how bad they beat a team at home. We saw them beat Boston College by 39 points (88-49) at home and then later only beat them by 8 on the road. Give me Wake Forest +11.5! |
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02-25-20 | Iowa v. Michigan State OVER 151.5 | 70-78 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 151.5) I'll take my chances with the OVER 151.5 between Michigan State and Iowa. The Spartans have made a switch to a smaller lineup and the offense really responded well to the new look with 86 points on the road at Nebraska. I think there's a really good shot they put up at least 85 in this one. Iowa's defense is not good and it's really bad on the road. The one thing with the small ball lineup for the Spartans is that is does make them vulnerable inside on defense and Iowa has an absolute star in Garza. I think all we need is for the Hawks to hit 70 points for an easy cash. Give me the OVER 151.5! |
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02-24-20 | Magic v. Nets -3 | Top | 115-113 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nets -3) I'll gladly take my chances here with Brooklyn laying a short number at home against the Magic. Orlando is 9-18 on the road this season and the Nets are 16-12 at home. I have to lay the 3 here with Brooklyn. I just think this team is way undervalued right now because of the recent news that Irving has been lost for the season. Nets have played better without him and it's really not a surprise. Irving is an incredible talent, but an awful teammate. Brooklyn is 7-3 SU and 8-1-1 ATS over their last 10 games. Give me the Nets -3! |
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02-24-20 | Heat v. Cavs +6.5 | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Cavs +6.5) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland as a 6.5-point home dog against the Heat. These two teams just played in Miami on Saturday. The Heat won that game 124-105. They couldn't have played much harder than they did in the 1st half, as they were determined to get a big lead to make sure they could enjoy the halftime celebration for Dwyane Wade. They did just that, setting a new franchise record with 82 points in the 1st half (shot 77%). They only won the game by 19 after that. Cleveland is a team that I'm willing to take a shot on right now, as I think they are playing harder after the coaching change and they did just add in a really good player in Drummond. They didn't have Love in that last game and he's back. Miami will still be without their best player in Jimmy B and the Heat are not the same team on the road. Give me the Cavs +6.5! |
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02-24-20 | Louisville v. Florida State -2.5 | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (FSU -2.5) I'll take the bait and take my chances here with Florida State as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against the Cardinals. The Seminoles are getting no love here at all. I get Louisville is sitting on top the ACC standings, but Florida State went on the road and beat this Cardinals team 78-65. They did so in impressive fashion, scoring at will on the offensive side (shot 55%) and really made things difficult for Louisville's offense. Now they get to host the Cardinals for a chance to move into 1st place and let's not forget the Seminoles have won 21 straight at home. How do you not take them when the line is basically a pick'em. I get Louisville has won their last two in blowout fashion, but both were at home and the Cards are a mere 2-8 ATS last 3 seasons when off 2 wins by 15+ points. Give me the Seminoles -2.5! |
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02-23-20 | Pacers +6 v. Raptors | 81-127 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers +6) I'll take my chances here with Indiana covering as a 6-point road dog against the Raptors. I know the Raptors are likely without Oladipo, but they haven't really played well since he's been back, as he's just not producing. I think they could actually play better without him in this one. They definitely will be up for this game, as they have lost twice to this Raptors team this month. First it was a road game where they led the whole way and then blew it late. A couple days later they lost a close game at home. I think Indiana will be the more motivated side here and might actually win this thing outright. Give me the Pacers +6! |
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02-23-20 | Rutgers v. Wisconsin -4.5 | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Wisconsin -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Badgers laying a short number at home against the Scarlet Knights. Wisconsin has won 3 straight and are extremely tough to beat at home. That makes this a great matchup. Rutgers is a team that has been outstanding at home, but has had their struggles on the road. Scarlet Knights also come in having lost 4 of their last 6 with one of the two wins coming in OT at home to Northwestern. Give me the Badgers -4.5! |
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02-23-20 | Wichita State v. Cincinnati -4 | Top | 64-67 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 10 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cincinnati -4) I'll take my chances here with the Bearcats as a slim 4-point home favorite against the Shockers. I think we are getting a great price on Cincinnati at home. Wichita State has won 3 straight, but it's come against teams all in the bottom half of the AAC. Shockers have struggled with the top tier teams in this league, especially on the road. Bearcats will be 100% locked in for this one off a home loss to UCF. Give me Cincinnati -4! |
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02-22-20 | Mavs v. Hawks +6.5 | 107-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Hawks +6.5) I'll take my chances here with Atlanta as a 6.5-point home dog against the Mavs. Hawks are a team to look out for. They are definitely motivated to make the playoffs with the moves they made at the break. They lived up to the hype in the first game back from the break, beating Miami 129-124 as 6-point home dog. That was on Thursday. Dallas is off a 16-point win at Orlando, but that was last night. Look for the Mavs to struggle to turn this into a blowout playing on no rest and I wouldn't be shocked if they lost outright. Give me Atlanta +6.5! |
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02-22-20 | Texas Tech -5 v. Iowa State | Top | 87-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Texas Tech -5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Red Raiders getting a win and cover as a slim 5-point road favorite against the Cyclones. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with Texas Tech against a ISU team that is without not just their best player but one of the best in the country in Tyrese Haliburton. Even when they had Haliburton the Cyclones struggled at home against the top teams in the conference. Without him I don't give them much of a shot, especially with Tech surging right now. Red Raiders are 4-1 over their last 5. Give me Texas Tech -5! |
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02-22-20 | Georgia Tech v. Syracuse -5.5 | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Syracuse -5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Orange easily covering the 5.5-point spread at home against the Yellow Jackets. I see this as the perfect time to buy low on Syracuse, who has lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. It's really been a brutal scheduling stretch for the Orange, which is why I'm confident they bounce back at home against a team like Georgia Tech. Note these two already played once this season and it wasn't close with Syracuse winning 97-63 as a 3-point road dog. Give me the Orange -5.5! |
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02-22-20 | Florida State -1 v. NC State | 67-61 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Florida State -1) I'll take my chances here with the Seminoles going on the road and getting a big win over NC State. I just don't like this spot for the Wolfpack. NC State just played their best game of the season in a 88-66 win at home over Duke. The game before they lost at BC and their previous home game was a 20-point set back to Louisville. I just don't see the Wolfpack being able to play at the level they did against Duke in back-to-back games. FSU is too good and will not be overlooking NC State in this one. GIve me the Seminoles -1! |
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02-22-20 | Michigan v. Purdue -3.5 | 71-63 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS BLOODBATH (Purdue -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Purdue as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against the Wolverines. I just think Michigan is getting a little too much love in this one, having won and covered 4 straight. You also got the Boilermakers having lost 3 straight. I look for Purdue to bounce back in a big way at home, where they are 10-3 this season. Michigan is 0-6 ATS last 6 when covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, while Purdue is 6-0 ATS last 6 at home after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more straight games. Give me the Boilermakers -3.5! |
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02-21-20 | Celtics v. Wolves OVER 226 | Top | 127-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 226) I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 226 in Friday's NBA clash that has Boston visiting Minnesota. I think we are getting some value here with the OVER due to a couple big names sitting this out. Kemba Walker won't play for Boston and Karl-Anthony Towns is out for the Wolves. Celtics got more than enough offensive fire-power to score a bunch against this awful Minnesota defense. It's going to be a big struggle on that side of the ball for the Wolves with all the new pieces. I like the offensive weapons a little more after the moves. Not having Towns is huge, but I also think him not playing really makes it hard for Boston to show up thinking they need to play hard defensively to win this game. Give me the OVER 226! |
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02-21-20 | Suns +8 v. Raptors | 101-118 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Suns +8) I'll take my chances here with Phoenix as a 8-point road dog against the Raptors. Toronto went on a crazy 15-1 run before the All-Star break, but the lone loss did come in the final game before the break, as they lost 91-101 at Brooklyn. I don't know that the All-Star break did them good. I know they got some guys hurt, but when things are going as well as they were, you don't want to take a big break and throw off that chemistry. I think Phoenix will be motivated to play well here against a top team in the first game back from the break and the Suns are as healthy as they have been in a while with both Saric and Baynes expected to return from injury. Give me Phoenix +8! |
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02-21-20 | Cavs v. Wizards OVER 236 | 113-108 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 236) I'll take my chances here with the OVER 236 between Washington and Cleveland. No doubt this is a big number, but it's really not when you factor in the two teams that are playing. Wizards and Cavs are atrocious on the defensive end. Wizards combine their lack of defense with an uptempo offensive attack and I'm confident they control the tempo here on their home floor and they should be really looking to push it given the long layoff and fresh legs. I also think Cavs are a better offensive team with the addition of Drummond and will be a little more explosive offensively now that head coach Beilein is gone. The players simply didn't like him or his ways of coaching. They are going to want to show out now that he's gone to make him look even worse. Give me the OVER 236! |
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02-20-20 | UCLA v. Utah UNDER 135 | 69-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Under 135) I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Thursday's Pac-12 clash between UCLA and Utah. Unless you stay up late or follow the Pac-12 real close, chances are you aren't aware of how much better the Bruins are playing down the stretch. Most expected a smoother transition under first year head coach Mick Cronin, but it just didn't happen. Players have bought in. UCLA has won 7 of their last 9 and are quietly sitting just 1-game back of 1st place in the Pac-12. Their defense, as you would expect under Cronin, has gotten better and better. I think that's why there's so much value with the total here. UCLA has allowed under 60 points 5 times in their last 8 games. Utah only averages 63.6 ppg in Pac-12 play and a mere 58.8 ppg in their last 5. Give me the UNDER 135! |
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02-20-20 | Nets +8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 104-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nets +8.5) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn as a 8.5-point road dog at Philadelphia. I think the Nets are showing value and will continue to as long as Kyrie Irving is out. I just don't think Irving is a good team player and rubs people the wrong way. The Nets have been a much much better team without him on the floor than with him. I don't think the public sees it that way. I feel 8.5 is way too much here. I know the 76ers are really good at home, but how motivated are they to return from the All-Star break? I just think we see them come out a little flat and it wouldn't shock me at all if the Nets won this game outright. Give me Brooklyn +8.5! |
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02-20-20 | Ohio State +3 v. Iowa | 76-85 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Ohio State +3) I'll take my chances here with Ohio State coming away with a cover as a small 3-point dog against the Hawkeyes. I just feel like this is a good time to sell high on the Hawkeyes. Iowa won a game at Minnesota on Sunday they had no business winning. I think the loss of C.J. Fredrick really hurts them. As good as Garza is, and he's really good, there's not much else for scoring options. He's got to be great for them to even have a shot and lately it hasn't been good enough. The Buckeyes are a team that started hot and then hit a wall, but it looks like they are rounding back into early form. Ohio State has won 5 of their last 6, which includes a road win at Michigan. Ohio State should have no problem scoring here. Buckeyes shoot the 3-ball extremely well and Iowa's defense can be exploited from deep. I like OHio State to win a shootout on the road. Give me the Buckeyes +3! |
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02-19-20 | California v. Washington State -5.5 | 66-57 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Washington St -5.5) I'll take my chances here with Washington State covering as a 5.5-point home favorite against Cal. I think the value here with the Cougars stems from the perception that this is an evenly matched game between two of the bottom feeders in the Pac-12. I just don't see it that way. Washington State is tied for the 3rd worst mark in the conference at 5-8, but have a big home court edge. The Cougars are 11-3 at home on the season, which includes wins over Oregon, Oregon St, Arizona St and Washington (3 of those by double-digits). Cal hasn't won a road game all season. Golden Bears are 0-9 away from home, where they are getting outscored by 16.6 ppg. I'm not the biggest fan of taking bad teams, but I just see too much value here to pass up a play. Give me Washington State -5.5! |
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02-19-20 | South Carolina v. Mississippi State -5.5 | 76-79 | Loss | -103 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS KNOCKOUT (Mississippi St -5.5) I'll take my chances here with Mississippi State covering as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Gamecocks. The Bulldogs have really been playing well for a while now. That is outside a horrific 2nd half at in-state rival Ole Miss, where 34-33 halftime lead ended up in a 58-83 loss. That's the only bad game in their last 10. They are 7-3 over this stretch with the other two losses coming away from home against Oklahoma and Kentucky. I think it really says a lot about this Mississippi State team with how they were able to respond from that ugly 2nd half against Ole Miss by going on the road and defeating Arkansas. As for South Carolina, I just don't like the outside distractions with the allegations that have recently been made public with them breaking violations. I get they pulled out a last second win over Tennessee in the first game since the news broke, but it doesn't change my thought on this team. I think they have a real tough time here matching the intensity of the Bulldogs. Give me Mississippi State -5.5! |