*3 Star SEC Super Total* The Florida Gators can put the clamps down on their opponent defensively. They allowed just 40 points against Auburn earlier this week. Arkansas struggles away from home, and I think Florida will do a good job getting out on the Razorbacks three point shooters. With neither team pushing the tempo and both teams defending well beyond the arc, I really believe the value is on the under here. The under is 9-3-1 in Arkansas' last 13 games overall. The under is a perfect 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two teams. Take the under here.

*3 Star Oddsmakers Line Error* The Ball State Cardinals are definitely not the type of team to push the tempo. Ball State plays solid defense and likes to work the shot clock. The Toledo Rockets may be the worst team in the MAC, but they play much better at home. Toledo slows the game down extremely well, and they play reasonably good defense at home as well. Toledo is one of the worst shooting teams in the country. How good has the under been with Toledo? The under is 19-7 in their lats 26 MAC games. The under is also 14-5 in their last 19 home games. Last year's meetings between these two finished at 114, and 87 points! Take the under.

*3 Star Horizon League Total Takedown* The Detroit Titans have a very talented young team. Youngstown State is improving and they can put up points on their home floor. Detroit will push the tempo of this game, and they should get to the free throw line quite often. I think Youngstown keeps this one close and the final total finishes somewhere around 147-149 points. Take the over.

*3 Star Hidden GEM Totals Winner* The Utah Utes really like to push the pace of a game, and I think TCU will be happy to do that on their home floor. TCU averages 79.4 points per game at home and Utah is allowing 75 points per game in their last five contests. I think this is a 'get well' type of game for TCU. The Horned Frogs have been on a rough stretch and Utah is the type of team they can get their offense going against once again. Since this game is likely to be fairly competitive, free throws should help this one as well. I like the over in this one.

*3 Star Totals Bookie Beatdown* Oregon State has completely changed the way they play this year. The Beavers used to be a team that would slow it down and use up the shot clock, but now they are one of the fastest teams in the Pac 10. Both of these teams are good at forcing turnovers, and I expect plenty of easy looks because of the pressure defense from both teams. I think this one ends near 150, so I like the over.

*3 Star Under the Radar Total Winner* The College of Charleston is a great team to play the 'over' with. Charleston is one of the most efficient teams you will see in the entire country on the offensive side of the ball. Appalachian State has struggled this year, but they still have a potent offense led by Donald Sims. I expect Sims and company to come out ready to play in this one. The matchup of Andrew Goudelock and Donald Sims is a matchup of two of the best guards in the nation. Neither team will slow the tempo of this one, and both teams should shoot a high percentage from the floor. I like this one to go well over the posted total.

*3 Star Total Value Crusher* The Georgia State Panthers are a completely different team at home. On their home court they slow the game down far more, and they play solid defense as well. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 home games. The under is 3-1-1 in Delaware's last 5. I like the under here.

*3 Star Bookie BEATDOWN* The Northern Illinois Huskies are one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with. They play terrible defense, turn the ball over quite a bit, but they love to run and gun. Western Michigan is the type of team that takes on the style of their opponent, so I think they'll start running in this one too. Last year these two played twice and the scores were 87-77 and 90-81. Expect a high scoring affair here. Take the over.

*3 Star CBB Early Bird Total* Both teams play at a slow tempo and both have played against faster opponents lately, which is giving us a nice value on the under. I think this game will be played in the halfcourt, and I like this one to finish under 125, so I like the under here.

*3 Star NBA on ESPN Total Domination* The Lakers offense has been looking a little better the last few games, and Denver's defense has a way of making the opposing offense terrific. What about Denver's offense? The Nuggets are averaging 120 points per game in their last five contests. The over is 13-9-1 in their 21 home games this year. While Denver has been lethargic in quite a few games this year, I don't think they will be that way in a matchup with the defending champs. I expect Carmelo Anthony and the rest of this team to be ready to put on a show. Bryant, Gasol, Odom, and the rest of the Lakers should get plenty of easy shots. I really like this one, and I think this one has a good chance to reach 220 points. Take the over!

*3 Star NBA Totals Takedown* I'll be the first to admit that betting on an 'under' with the Cleveland Cavaliers defense isn't exactly comforting. Having said that, I think this is the perfect matchup to see a very sloppy game. Milwaukee plays at a slower pace than anyone in the NBA, and Cleveland struggles mightily to score. I think the Bucks are more prone to slow things down and use the clock if they get the lead than any other team in the NBA. So far this year the under is actually 11-7 in Cleveland's 18 home games, because they do play a little better defense on their home floor. At the same time, the under is 13-3 in the Bucks last 16 games as the favorite. The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two. You won't want to watch this game, but I think the under is a good play.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Toronto Raptors have one of the worst defenses in the NBA. Orlando is a much more explosive team offensively than they were before their major trades in late December. I think Toronto is the perfect team for Orlando to flex their offensive muscle against. Toronto is last in the league in field goal percentage defense and they allow opponents to shoot 37.1% from beyond the arc. Orlando has plenty of three point threats now, and I expect them to take advantage. The Raptors will get their share of points too since they'll put up so many shots, but I expect Orlando to have a big scoring night here (probably in the range of 110 points or so). I like the over here.

*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Iona Gaels are one of the more efficient offenses in college basketball and Niagara is absolutely terrible on the defensive end of the floor. Niagara allows opponents to shoot 52% on their two point shots, and Iona is shooting 55% from two point range. Niagara also allows all kinds of second chance opportunities, which Iona should take advantage of. Both of these teams like to push the tempo, so this should be a game where the pace stays very quick the whole way. The over is 9-4 in Iona's last 13 games overall. Niagara has been playing some teams that slow it down of late, which gives us some value on the line. This one should go over the posted total.

*3 Star Play of the Day* The Cal Poly Mustangs definitely know how to make a game stay low scoring. In their last 8 games, only two of the games have gone over this posted total. They have had final scores of 43-39, 48-43, 51-41, and 51-45 during this time. They slow the game down in a big way, they have the single best three point defense in the nation, and they are not a good shooting team at all. UC Riverside plays at a fairly slow pace to start with, and I don't think they'll be able to push the tempo in this one. The two meetings between these teams last year both went well over this posted total, but Cal Poly is a whole different team this year. I think this is the type of game where a final score not far above 100 is pretty likely. Take the under here!

*3 Star Hidden Gem Total* The Eastern Illinois Panthers were a very low scoring team to start with, and then a few weeks ago they lost their best offensive threat in Tyler Laser. Murray State is a team that plays terrific defense. On their home court Murray State allows just 52.8 points per game. Neither team likes to push the tempo at all. Murray State's last couple games are deceiving because they have played against opponents who run and gun all game long. I think the Racers will shut down Eastern Illinois defensively and they'll be content to run the shot clock down on offense and get a good look. I had this one projected at 117, so I like the value on the under in this one.

*3 Star Total DOMINATION* The Troy Trojans are one of my favorite teams to play an 'over' with. Troy will push the tempo with the best of them, and their defense is terrible. MTSU had a team that would slow down the tempo substantially last year, but this year they have been running more often. Troy is allowing 82 points per game on the road this year, and I think MTSU will have success from beyond the arc, where they are solid. MTSU also sends their opponent to the line a ton because of excessive fouling, which could certainly be helpful to the over. Troy shoots the three pretty well and MTSU struggles to guard the three. In the end this is game that should be played at a quick tempo, and I expect a lot of free throws and three pointers. I like the over.

*3 Star Big East Total Beatdown* The Rutgers Scarlet Knights and South Florida Bulls both like to slow the game down. Both teams have been playing against opponents lately who try to speed the game up, but that shouldn't be a problem in this one. Rutgers has a good defense in the interior, but they don't guard the three well. Fortunately, South Florida is one of the worst three-point shooting teams in the nation. South Florida is solid defensively, and I don't think Rutgers will be able to find many easy looks. The under is 11-3 in South Florida's last 14 road games. The under is 21-6 in Rutgers' lst 27 home games. I like the under in this one.

*3 Star Under the Radar Total SMASHER* The College of Charleston Cougars are an interesting team that I've followed closely all year. Andrew Goudelock is one of the better players in the country that you probably have never heard of. The Cougars are an extremely good offensive team, and they are very efficient. They shoot the ball well from beyond the arc, but they don't settle for three's unless it is necessary. C of C averages 80.3 points per game on their home floor. The over is 6-0 in Charleston's last 6 games inside their conference. If Western Carolina wants a chance in this one, they'll have to put up points. I like the over.

*3 Star Big West Beatdown* The Long Beach State 49ers probably have the most talented team in the Big West. Long Beach has plenty of different guys who can score. Their last couple games have come against teams who like to slow the tempo, so it has skewed this line a bit. CS Fullerton isn't a good team, but they do like to run when given the opportunity. Fullerton's defense is one of the worst in college basketball, which should mean Long Beach will get plenty of easy looks. The over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. I think the pace will be quick and both teams will shoot a solid percentage from the floor. I like the over here.

*3 Star College Hoops Total Value* The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are just terrible on the defensive end of the floor. Georgia Tech isn't very much better. The Yellow Jackets are coming off a big upset win over North Carolina. I expect Georgia Tech to want to push the tempo on their home court, and Wake Forest's personnel will be fine with that. Georgia Tech is terrible at guarding beyond the three-point line, and Wake has several good long-distance shooters. Wake Forest has been an 'over' machine on the road this year. The over is 8-0 in their last 8 road games. The over is also 5-2 in these two teams last 7 meetings. Wake Forest turns it over frequently, and Tech has a nice full-court press that should help them get easy layups here. I expect both teams to score quite a bit today. I like the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Toledo Rockets are a terrible team. They have been a great team to play the 'under' with though, especially on their home court. The under is 14-3 in their last 17 home games. They play at a very slow tempo, and their shooting percentages are awful. Today they match up against a Western Michigan team that averages just 65.8 points per game on the road. These two teams met twice last year and the total ended at 114 and 102 in those two meetings. This one might end a little higher, but I projected this line at about 120, which gives us a nice value on the under here.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Lasalle Explorers and the Duquesne Dukes do essentially the same thing on both sides of the ball. Both teams like to run and push the tempo and both teams press and force a lot of turnovers. This combination should lead to a lot of turnovers and easy baskets. There should also be plenty of shots taken, since both teams play uptempo. These teams got together last February and the final score was 103-82. While this one might not be quite that high, I think this game gets over 160 points. I like the over.

*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The DePaul Blue Demons are a different team under Oliver Purnell. Purnell loves to press and push the tempo. DePaul has successfully been forcing turnovers this year, but the problem for them is if they don't force a turnover the other team usually gets an easy layup. Marquette has the guards necessary to get through the press effectively, which should mean the Golden Eagles will put up a big number here. Marquette averages 84 points per game on their home floor, and I think they will best that number in this game. DePaul should be able to put up enough to get this one over the posted total. Take the over here and expect a fast paced game.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Samford Bulldogs are a terrific 'under' team, especially on their home court. The under is 17-5 in their last 22 home games. Last year, these two teams met twice, and the score ended at 98, and 118. Citadel has had some higher scoring games recently, which is giving us some nice value here. Neither team will push the pace at all, and this has the looks of a game that could finish below 115 points. AS long as they don't shoot lights-out from beyond the arc I think this one looks very good. Take the under in this battle of the Bulldogs.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Takedown* The College of Charleston has Andrew Goudelock as well as several other very capable scorers. The Cougars can easily put up 80 points or more in this type of a game. Chattanooga likes to run and push the tempo, so no one will be slowing this one down. An up and down affair plays into the hands of Charleston, but Chattanooga should be able to get their points as well. Last year these two teams met three times and all three times the game finished well over this posted total. The totals last season were 156, 160, and 165 points. The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings. I like this to be a track meet type of game, which should help this one go over the posted total.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* When these teams played two weeks ago the posted total was just 190, but the final score was 108-102. The posted total is much higher this time around, but it is because both teams have changed the way they are playing of late. In their last six games, Atlanta has scored at least 104 points in each game, and they have averaged 107 points. The Kings had slowed down earlier this year, but their tempo has sped up in a major way over the last couple weeks. The over is 6-1 in the Kings last 7. The over is 6-1 in the Hawks last 7. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 games between these two. I think both offenses will show up on Monday. I like the over here.

*3 Star Jets/Patriots Total DOMINATION* The New York Jets were absolutely humiliated last time in New England. One has to expect them to come out and play better than they did last time. The Jets have a solid running game, and the Patriots allow 108 rushing yards per game. Mark Sanchez is the type of guy that I think is good for an 'over' because he has big play ability, but he can also throw some picks that lead to defensive scores or great field position for the opponent.

Tom Brady and the Patriots offensive are absolutely firing on all cylinders right now. How good has the Patriots offense been? In the last eight games they are averaging 37 points per game. Their lowest point output in the last eight games was 31 points. The consistency of their production is truly amazing. The Jets defense is very good, but they have had some trouble against the pass at times this year, and I think New England's precision passing game will give them trouble.

What about the trends for this one? The over is 12-4 in the Jets last 16 games overall. The over is 15-3 in the Patriots last 18 overall. The over is 8-1 in the Jets 9 road games this year. The over is 7-1 in the Patriots 8 home games this year. I think the Patriots are likely to get to at least 28 in this one, and I expect the Jets to put up a fight. I like the value on the over. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star Total Value Play* The Eastern Michigan Eagles have enough trouble scoring to start with, and they will be without their leading scorer today. Brandon Bowdry is suspended for this one. Western Michigan isn't a team with a prolific scorer anymore either. David Kool was their star, but he graduated at the end of last season. If we take a look at the recent history between these two, the under looks like a very good bet here. In the last six games these two teams have played the total hasn't finished above this number even one time. The last four games have finished at 98,84,108, and 118 points. I like the under in this one.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* This is a case where I believe a team's recent trends has given us a great value. The over is 6-0 in Bowling Green's last 6 games, but they haven't changed the way they play. They have played some faster paced teams and had a game go into overtime. The Falcons are a halfcourt type of team, and today they'll play the Miami Redhawks, who play at an even slower tempo than they do. I expect both teams to use up the shot clock, and I don't expect shooting percentages to be very high either. Neither team shoots the ball very well from beyond the arc, and neither team gets to the free throw line very often. I like the value on the under here, as I have this one projected at about 120. Take the under.

*3 Star Hidden GEM Totals Winner* Both Mercer and Florida Gulf Coast love to run the floor. Neither team is particularly efficient on offense, but both defenses are terrible. Both of these teams are good at forcing turnovers, and both teams give it away often. I expect this game to feature quite a few steals and easy layups, which would certainly help the cause. In the last six meetings between these two, five of the games have gone over this posted total. The tempo and the poor defense should lead to a high scoring game here. Take the over in this matchup.

*3 Star Green Bay/Atlanta GUARANTEED Cash* The Green Bay Packers and the Atlanta Falcons square off in what should be a terrific game in Atlanta Saturday night. The Falcons have been terrific at home. It is much publicized now that Matt Ryan has a 20-2 record at home in this three-year career. The Falcons beat the Packers 20-17 back on November 28th. Both teams moved the ball pretty well in that game, and I think the line here is low enough that the over is a solid value. Last time they played the over/under was set at 47.5. The Falcons defense has given up quite a few yards all year, but they have managed to give up only 18 points per game. I feel like Green Bay is the type of team that is playing well enough to capitalize on their opportunities in this one and put the ball in the end zone. Green Bay's defense is 2nd in the NFL in points per game allowed at just 15, but I think Atlanta's offense will be ready in this one. Michael Turner can do some damage against Green Bay, and Matt Ryan is definitely a clutch quarterback. With Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez, the Falcons have a couple very reliable weapons in the passing game. Both defenses are good, but I think these offenses will be able to put up more points than most people are expecting on Saturday. I like the over here.

*3 Star MVC Totals Takedown* The Illinois State Redbirds have become a terrific 'under' team this year. The under is 12-3 in their last 15 games. The under is also 18-5 in their last 23 home games. What about their history against Evansville? The under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings. I like the under here.


*Bonus Play Below* (This play is not guaranteed and will not count toward my record)

N. Texas/Troy over 155

Writeup:

North Texas is a team that can score on anyone and Troy pushses the pace more than anyone in the league. Neither team has a strong defense. The over is 7-1 in Troy's last 8 games and 5-3 in North Texas' last 8 games. I don't see either team slowing this tempo down, and both teams foul quite a bit, so free throws should help out as well. Troy is much better offensively at home, and they should be able to hold their own. North Texas may be the best team in the league, and I expect them to be able to score at will on a terrible Troy defense. I like the over a lot in this one.

*3 Star Under Play* Both teams have a terrible offense and I think the pace here will be slow. Jacksonville State has had just three games all year go over this total. One was 140, one was an overtime game, and one was 133 points. Tennessee-Martin is coming off a triple overtime game, so they are likely to be a little weary. This has the makings of a game that stays in the halfcourt. I think it will be about as sloppy as you'll ever see, but it should stay under the posted total.

*3 Star Bookie CRUSHING Total* The Central Michigan Chippewas are a nice 'under' team. Central Michigan plays at a very slow tempo, and their shooting percentages are about as bad as anyone in basketball. They shoot 31% from three and just 42% from two point range. Ball State also plays at a slow pace, but they are more efficient on offense. Ball State's defense is solid, which means they should contain the Chippewas here. I think the Cardinals will get the lead and then use up the clock late in the game. The under is 7-1 in Central Michigan's last 8. I like the under here.

*3 Star Totals TKO* St. Peter's is one of my favorite 'under' teams. They play brilliant defense and they use up the entire clock when they get the ball. Niagara is a mess of a team this year. The Purple Eagles may try to push the tempo some here, but their shooting percentages have been horrific all season and I see no reason to believe that will change in this game. The under is 11-1-1 in St. Peter's last 13 games. The under is 4-1 in Niagara's last 5 road games. I had projected this one below 120 points, so I like the value on the under.

*3 Star Hidden GEM Total* The College of Charleston has a powerful offense led by Andrew Goudelock. They are extremely efficient on the offensive end and they do it with both easy layups and three-point shots. The Citadel is a very bad defensive team. Citadel allows opponents to hit 54% of their two-point shots, which should equal plenty of those easy layups for C of C today. Citadel does get on the offensive glass well, and they should be able to get some points that way since C of C is terrible on the defensive boards. The over is 6-1 in Citadel's last 7 games. The over is 5-2 in C of C's last 7 games. I like the over here.

*3 Star Totals Early Bird* VCU is a team that can score in bunches, and they have several very good three point shooters. Northeastern is allowing their opponents to shoot 42% from beyond the arc so far this year. Neither team is good on the boards, which means second chance opportunities will probably help the total as well. The over is 6-2 in Northeastern's last 8 road games. VCU averages 73 points per game, and I think they'll best that total in this one. I like this early game to go over the posted total.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Chicago Bulls and the Indiana Pacers are both teams that have slowed their tempo down this year as compared to last. The under is 25-9 in the Pacers last 34 games overall. The under is 6-0 in the Pacers last 6 home games. Chicago is without Joakim Noah right now, and the team is averaging just 93.8 points per game in their last five contests. The Pacers are holding opponents to 95.9 points per game at home this year. These two played to a 92-73 final a month ago. I expect this one to be higher scoring than that, because the shooting percentages were very low in that game. Having said that, I think this line is about 4 points too high. This should be a close game and I think it will played in the halfcourt. Take the under here.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Orlando Magic are a much more high-octane offense now that they have Jason Richardson, Hedo Turkoglu, and Gilbert Arenas. Richardson and Turkoglu are particularly important to their ability to get open shots for themselves and others. I think the Magic are a good 'over' opportunity now when they play teams that run. The Thunder are definitely a team that will run with Orlando. Oklahoma City is tops in the league in free throw percentage, and I think they'll get to the line a lot in this one. The over is 18-6 in the Thunder's last 24 home games. Both teams played yesterday, but these two teams strike me as teams that are youthful and fully capable of putting up a strong effort two nights in a row. I think this one could easily get to 210, so I like the over here.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals GEM* Both Old Dominion and Drexel win with their defense. These two teams play very slow and they rely on their defense to hold opponents below 60 points. Both teams are allowing 59.5 points per game this year. Neither team gets to the free throw line particularly often, and both shoot a very poor percentage when they are at the stripe. The two meetings last year finished at 116 and 119 points. I think both teams have a little less offense this year, and I think a total around 110 is quite likely in this game. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Miami Redhawks definitely know how to slow the tempo down. Buffalo isn't a team that can dictate the tempo very well, and I think this one will stay in the low 120's. Miami likes to use up the shot clock and play halfcourt style of game. At home the Redhawks are an even better defensive team, and I think they'll slow down Buffalo nicely here. Neither team gets to the line particularly often, which is a big help to the under. I think this will be a game that goes down to the wire and stays under the posted total.

*Bonus Play* This bonus is not guaranteed and will not count toward my record... UCLA/Oregon State over 143.5- Oregon State is pushing the pace like crazy this year and I think both teams will score plenty in this one.

*3 Star Duke/FSU Totals Winner* The Duke Blue Devils are very capable of putting up a lot of points, but they aren't nearly as explosive without Kyrie Irving. Florida State comes into this game with the understanding that in order for them to have a chance to win this game, they must make this a defensive battle. Florida State struggles on the offensive end, but they do play great defense. The Seminoles are allowing just 61 points per game this year. FSU has given up just 55.8 at home this season. The under is 32-12 in Duke's last 44 ACC games. The under is 6-2 in Florida State's last 8 home games. The under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings. I like the value on the under here.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* The Towson Tigers are a team I really like to play the over with. Towson is terrible defensively and they like to push the tempo. Towson leaves shooters wide open on a frequent basis, which is very bad news for them against a team like Hofstra. Hofstra has plenty of shooters to take advantage of that problem. At the same time, Towson can get up and down the court and score, especially on their home floor. Both teams shoot free throws well and I think they'll be plenty of opportunities at the line for both teams today. I like the over in this matchup.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Phoenix Suns simply aren't the same team they used to be. Vince Carter slows this offense down quite a bit because he just doesn't run the floor that well anymore. Phoenix has had five straight games go under the posted total. Grant Hill is injured and is expected to miss tonight's game, which limits them even more offensively. How about the Nuggets? Well if you have heard much of anything about Denver lately, you know there is all kinds of controversy and trade rumors surrounding the team. Denver has looked uninterested in most of their recent games, and the under is 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Four of the last six meetings between these two went under this posted total even when these teams were at full strength and now there is extra value because neither team is even close to what it used to be. I like the under here.

*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Bowling Green Falcons have started playing a little better of late, and it is because they have improved their defense. Kent State has been struggling of late, and they have had issues scoring. Neither team likes to push the tempo here and it is hard to imagine this game being played at a fast tempo. Kent State's starting point guard is suspended and the team has looked stagnant on offense without him. Neither team shoots the ball well, and both guard behind the three point line well. The under is 7-1 in Kent State's last 8 games, including 4-0 in their last 4 home games. I like the under in this one.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TAKEDOWN* The Northern Illinois Huskies are not a good team, but they sure do like to push the tempo. Eastern Michigan is a bad a team as well, but they typically try to force the issues. Inside their conference these two often meet up with squads who are looking to slow the pace of the game. In this one, I fully expect the tempo to be quick. I don't think the shot clock will be used very much, and the poor defenses should make these offenses look much better. Another major factor here is that both teams foul a whole lot, which means free throws should come early and often. I expect both teams offenses to pick it up tonight. I like this one to go over the posted total.

*3 Star Play of the Day* The Nevada Wolfpack have a great offense, but most people don't know about how great this Boston College defense is, especially against the run. Nevada can throw the ball when necessary, but make no mistake about it, they are a run first team. Boston College is first in the nation in rushing yards allowed per game. The Eagles allow only 73 yards per game on the ground. Even Virginia Tech had a tough time finding any room to run against this BC rushing defense. I suspect Nevada will have more luck with the run than most, because they have a great attack, but I still think the Eagles ability to stop the run will be key here. On offense Boston College is very weak. Boston College did not score more than 23 points in a game against a Division I opponent this year. The Eagles finished the regular season averaging 18.9 points per game. Nevada's run defense is solid, and I don't think BC has the ability to air it out on a consistent basis against the Wolfpack. The under is 5-0 in BC's last 5 games overall. The under is 12-1 in BC's last 13 non-conference games. I like the under a lot in this one.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TAKEDOWN* The Northern Iowa Panthers are a great team to play an 'under' with. They play at the slowest pace of anyone in college basketball, and they really aren't very good shooters themselves. The Bradley Braves have been a pretty good under team this year as well, and they shoot under 40% from the floor as a team. Northern Iowa was humiliated at Indiana State on Friday, and I think they'll come out playing very tough defense in this one to prove a point. This Panthers team is still very dangerous, and Bradley will likely find that out today. At the same time, I don't see Northern Iowa running up the score. I like this one to stay very low scoring. Take the under here.

*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Siena Saints and the Niagara Purple Eagles have a history of playing fast-paced games against each other. Both teams like to run this year, and both defenses have given up easy layups frequently. The over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these two. The over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings at Niagara. Niagara is terrible down low and Siena should be able to take advantage, and I expect Niagara to get some layups in transition. I like the over in this one.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The UNLV Runnin Rebels should be upset when this one gets started. They were beaten badly on their home court by BYU earlier this week. UNLV has plenty of offense because they have multiple players who can put up double figues every single game. TCU has struggled on the road so far this year, and I think it is pretty likely that UNLV will force a lot of turnovers and get easy buckets in this one. TCU has some quickness at the guard positions and they should be able to penetrate and kick it out to open shooters as well. The over is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings, including two games over this posted total last year. I like the over here.

*3 Star Wild Card Total DOMINATION* The New York Jets haven't been running the ball as well in the last few games, but I have a feeling they'll run it effectively against the Colts in this one. Indianapolis is 25th in the league against the run, and this Jets line is very good. At the same time, Peyton Manning has been playing very good football the last few weeks. As the Colts needed their wins, Peyton and this offense stepped it up a notch. The Colts are averaging 31 points per game in their last five games. The Colts running game has actually picked it up nicely of late as well, which should help keep the Jets honest. A healthy Joseph Addai is key to the Colts attack. The Jets are a big play team on both offense and defense. Even though they do have the third ranked defense in the NFL, they do allow some big plays. The offense and special teams have both been putting up the points of late as well. The Jets averaged 31 points per game in their last three contests. The over is 7-2 in the Jets last nine games. The over is 5-1-1 in the Colts last 7 games. The over is also 4-0 in the last four meetings between these two. I like the over in this Wild Card showdown.

*3 Star Big East Totals TAKEDOWN* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are a totally different team than they were about one year ago. Mike Brey's team now values taking care of the ball and playing solid defense more than anything else. The under is 13-5 in their last 18, and it is 22-8 in their last 30 Big East conference games. Steve Lavin has this St. John's team playing well this year, and they have improved a lot defensively as well. They allowed 65 points to a high scoring Providence team, and just 58 points to Georgetown. I think this one will be a nice halfcourt grind it out type of game. Take the under here.

*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* Both UC Irvine and Long Beach State like to run, so I don't see anyone slowing this game down. UC Irvine hasn't always been a team that pushes the pace, but they are this year. The oddsmakers haven't caught up to their new style just yet. The over is 15-4-3 in UC Irvine's last 22 games overall. Long Beach is a much better offensive team on their home court, and the over is 5-0-1 in their last six home games. This is the type of game that I believe could easily get into the 160's. Take the over here.

*3 Star NBA Late Night Bailout* Golden State is a MUCH better team offensively at home. The Warriors have been on a long road trip, and this being their first game at home I think they'll come out ready to score. The Cavaliers are one of the worst defenses in the league, so the Warriors should get plenty of good looks in this one. Golden State averages 105 points per game at home, and Cleveland is allowing 106.5 points per game on the road this year. The over is 8-3 in the Cavs last 11 road games. The over is 45-20 in Golden State's last 65 home games against a team with a losing record. Golden State likes to run against the worst teams in the league, and Cleveland certainly fits that category. I like the over here.

*3 Star ESPNU Total DOMINATION* The Niagara Purple Eagles are about as bad of a team as you will see. This team was very good a couple years ago, but they have fallen fast. Niagara still likes to run and push the tempo, but they aren't good at it. Rider is a solid team, and they also like to run and do a lot of trapping. Rider forces turnovers well, and I think Niagara will give it away a bunch in this contest. Rider is shooting 41.3% from beyond the arc, and Niagara is a team that struggles to defend. I think Rider will jump out to a nice lead here and then the game will speed up and the over will be the best way to play it. Niagara will put forth more effort than normal since this is on national tv. I think this one gets close to 150. Take the over.

*3 Star ESPN NBA Cash Money* The Houston Rockets are an injured bunch right now, but they continue to push the pace. Kyle Lowry will be the starting point guard, and he pushes the tempo even more than Aaron Brooks does. Orlando has much more offensive firepower now than they had before the blockbuster trades with Phoenix and Washington, and I think this is the perfect game for them to show off their offensive skills. Houston is allowing 109 points per game in their last 5 contests, and I think Orlando will get to at least that mark. The Rockets should get to the line plenty hear and score quite a bit themselves. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Fairfield Stags are probably the best team in the MAAC this year. Marist is the worst team in the league. Fairfield has a terrific defense and Marist is horrible offensively. The Stags do a great job forcing their tempo, which is quite slow. Only three of Fairfield's 13 games this year have gone above this posted total. I think Fairfield will assert their dominance on the defensive end early in this one. The under is 10-1 in Fairfield's last 11 games. The under is 4-0 in their last four road games. I like this one to stay under the total.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Oklahoma City Thunder will get the Dallas Mavericks at a good time on Thursday. Dallas will be without Dirk Nowitzki again, and now Caron Butler is injured for the year as well. The Mavericks were looking like one of the top contenders in the west, but that injury will hurt them quite a bit. Oklahoma City has a record of 22-14 to the 'over' so far this year, but the over is just 8-9 in their 17 road games. The under is 11-9 in Dallas' 20 home games this year. This Dallas team is completely different without Dirk, and now they've lost Butler's 15 points per game as well. The past matchups with the Thunder have gone over the total, but I think this game will be different with the Mavericks short-handed. Dallas will likely slow the tempo down and try to make this a defensive battle. Steve Javie is the lead official in this game as well, and he is one of the best 'under' referees in the NBA. I like this one to stay under the posted total.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Takedown* This Samford team is extraordinary at controlling the tempo. UNCG is a very weak team, and I don't think they have what it takes to make this game uptempo. Greensboro strikes me as the type of team that plays to the tempo of the opponent. This should be a grind it out type of game where it goes down to the wire. Samford has a lot more wins, but they aren't good on the road, and UNCG should step up their defense in this game. I fully expect a half-court game with not very many possessions, which is the main reason I like the under in this one.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Charlotte Bobcats will be without Stephen Jackson and Gerald Wallace in this one, so the total has been lowered quite a bit. I believe the lowered total provides a nice opportunity to bet on the 'over' here. Minnesota has the worst defense in the league and pushes the tempo more than any other team in the league. Paul Silas is preaching a faster tempo to Charlotte, and this would certainly be the perfect opportunity for them to show they can run. D.J. Augustin is a quick guard and I expect the backups for Charlotte to be able to score against this terrible Minnesota defense. The first time these two teams met this year the total was 223, and that was when Larry Brown was coaching and the Bobcats were playing a slow paced offense. I like the over in this one.

*3 Star Top Totals Play of the Day* The Towson Tigers speed up the game very well, and I just don't think James Madison will be trying to slow this one down. Both of these teams can score in bunches, and when they meet it should be a track meet. I put this one above 150 in my projections, so I love the value here. Towson played a very low scoring game last game, but I don't think it will happen twice in a row. ODU is the type of team that slows down a game, while James Madison can score with the best teams in the league. Towson allows wide open three pointers frequently, and James Madison has the personnel to make them pay for that. Both teams get to the line often, so points at the line should help. Take the over in a big way here.

*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Duquesne Dukes have a great system right now where they really push the pace of the game. Coach Everhart has turned this team around by playing this tempo. The Dukes have plenty of guys who can scorer, and they are full of athleticism. Both of these teams struggle mightily on the defensive glass, which should lead to a lot of second chance opportunities in this game. St. Joe's plays some zone, but Duquesne has the firepower to shoot them out of the zone. The over is 11-5 in Duquesne's last 16 games overall. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 Atlantic 10 games. The over is 4-1 in St. Joe's last 5 Atlantic 10 games. I expect the Dukes to control the tempo here. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TAKEDOWN* The LaSalle Explorers are a team I like to play the 'over' with. In their last seven games only one game did not go over 146 points, and that was their game against Rider which ended at 145 points. George Washington strikes me as a team that plays to their opponent's style. Since LaSalle is a pressing team that will run, I believe George Washington will play that way in this game as well. The good news for George Washington is that they are great at forcing turnovers, and LaSalle is a team that is prone to turning it over. I think GW will get plenty of easy baskets off of turnovers in this one as well. I think this game gets to at least 150. Take the over here.

*3 Star Total Value Play* The Indiana Hoosiers still have a long ways to go in their improvement process, but this is definitely a team that plays hard. Indiana has been speeding up the pace this year, and their defense has been horrible on the road. The Hoosiers are allowing 84.5 points per game on the road this season. Minnesota is averaging 75 points per game, and they should have a nice advantage down low in this game. The over is 7-3 in Minnesota's last 10 home games. The over is 7-2 in Indiana's last 9 road games. I look for Indiana to battle and keep this one fairly close, which should lead to a lot of free throws in this matchup. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Best Bet* The Uconn Huskies and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish will square off in a big game tonight. Both teams have been surprises this year, but both have already picked up a loss in the Big East. Notre Dame transformed the way they played in the second half of the year last season. The Fighting Irish changed from a run and gun type of team to a slow it down team that played great defense. They seemed to have stuck with the slow it down type of play, because they have been so successful with it. Kemba Walker is great offensively, but UConn doesn't have many other guys who can fill it up this year. I think Notre Dame slows this game down and it stays under. The under is 20-8 in Notre Dame's last 28 games overall. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The New Orleans Hornets have been an 'under' team for the last few weeks. The under is 18-5 in the Hornets last 23 games overall. One of those games was their game in Philadelphia on 12/12, when the final total was 158 points. The shooting percentages were poor in that matchup, so I expect more points than that here, but the under still looks like a solid value. New Orleans has been slowing their opponents down nicely of late. In the Hornets last five games their opponents have averaged just 74.6 shots per game, well below the league average. The 76ers have been playing better basketball over the last few weeks, and the primary reason is their improved defense. I think this one will be a halfcourt type of game, and I believe the under is the play here. The under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings. Take the under.

*3 Star Totals TAKEDOWN* The Towson Tigers have a way of making the game move at a fast pace. Towson doesn't play good defense at all, which allows their opponents a lot of easy buckets. At the same time, Towson has several guys who can score in bunches. Old Dominion is a great offensive rebounding team, and they should get tons of second chance opportunities in this game. In their final matchup against Towson last year, ODU outrebounded the Tigers 57-20! Towson is great at getting to the line, which should help them keep putting points on the board. The over is 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two. I like the value on the over in this game.

Bonus Totals Play (Not Guaranteed, but included in this package for FREE)

Play on Northern Illinois/Iowa State over 148

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Northern Illinois Huskies like to run and gun, and they have a terrible defense. Iowa State is a team that will run with them, and Iowa State can put up the points in bunches, especially at home. Iowa State is averaging 81 points per game at home, and this is definitely one of the worst defensive teams they have played. Northern Illinois gives up a lot of easy layups, but they do have a good scorer in Xavier Silas. I expect Iowa State to win this one handily, but Northern Illinois should be able to put up plenty of points for this one to go over the posted total. I look for this one to go over 150, so I like the value on the over here.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* The St. Peter's Peacocks are one of the lowest scoring and best defensive teams in the nation. St. Peter's is scoring just 54.7 points per game and allowing only 56 points per game at home. Canisius likes to push the tempo some, but they don't shoot high quality shots. I think St. Peter's will do a good job of dictating the tempo in this game. The oddsmakers still haven't caught up to what is going on at St. Peter's. The under is 20-8-2 in their last 30 games overall. I think Canisius will shoot a poor percentage against this tough defense and St. Peter's will milk the clock nicely. I like the under here.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Virginia Cavaliers have changed the way they play already this year. At the beginning of the year the team was getting beatdown by trying to run with their opponent. In the past few games they have decided to use up the shot clock and slow the tempo in a big way. Now their leading scorer, Mike Scott, is injured and unlikely to play in this game. LSU isn't the type of team to push the pace, so I expect Virginia to dictate the tempo in this game. Take a look at Virginia's last six games and you'll see final totals of: 107, 112, 99, 111, 98, and 111 points. In a game where they will likely be without their leading scorer I really like the value on the under in this game.

*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Big Ten Conference has a nice history of low scoring affairs in conference play. Michigan has become one of the best 'under' teams in the conference since John Beilein took over at the school. The under is 34-16-1 in their last 51 Big Ten games. The under is 19-7-1 in their last 27 overall. The under is 12-3-1 in their last 16 home games. Penn State has a great scorer in Talor Battle, but they don't have a good second option. I expect both defenses to force the opponent into poor shots in this matchup. The tempo of the game should be great for an under as well. The under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. I like the under here.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* I've always been a fan of the 'under' in an early afternoon start on Sunday. This is a case where this theory is magnified a bit because of the holidays. We could easily see two teams who are less interested than normal and worn out. The biggest reason I like this under though is that the Pacers just aren't the same team on offense they have been in recent years. Danny Granger is shooting terribly from the floor and the Pacers have been an under machine of late. The Pacers have only put up 100 points once in their last ten games, and they are averaging just 90 per game in their last five contests. I expect Indiana to struggle to score here and with a number this high, I really like the value on the under.

*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Carolina Panthers are just miserable on offense this year. In 10 of their 15 games so far this year they have scored 14 points or fewer. The Falcons held the Panthers to just ten points in their first meeting this season. This is definitely an important game to the Falcons, since they can clinch the top seed in the playoffs with a win. Jimmy Clausen will start for the Panthers at quarterback, and he hasn't shown the ability to do much yet. Carolina has the worst passing attack in the NFL. Carolina's running game is also slowed now because DeAngelo Williams is out and Johnathan Stewart is hobbled by a minor foot injury. I think Atlanta will take control of this game from the beginning and then they'll be looking to get out of here with all their players healthy. I think the Falcons defense will flex their muscles in this one. I like the under in this game.

*3 Star Fiesta Bowl Total DOMINATION* The UConn Huskies are the representative from the Big East in the BCS this year. No doubt this Huskies team is far weaker than the rest of the teams in the BCS, but they do have a very solid running game. Jordan Todman is one of the best backs in the nation, and Oklahoma is ranked 66th in the nation in stopping the run. On the other side of the ball, Oklahoma has a dynamic offense and I think they'll be able to put up points in a hurry in this game. UConn is the 47th ranked total defense in the nation, and they played a weak Big East schedule. Oklahoma's Landry Jones should have a huge game here, and I think DeMarco Murray might break some long runs as well. I like this game to be a high scoring affair. Take the over.

*5 Star Total DOMINATION* The Boise State Broncos are a team I've had my eye on this year. The Broncos like to push the pace and they create turnovers better than almost any other team in the country. Boise has several guys who can create their own shot, and this team can score points in bunches. They can also get to the line often, where they knock down more than 71% of their free throws. New Mexico State is a team that pushes the tempo as well, and they struggle on the defensive end. The Aggies allow many easy layups, which Boise State should take full advantage of in this game. The history between these two is quite amazing as well. In their last ten matchups, the lowest point total is 146 points. On this line we are getting a nice 100% 10-0 angle on the over. Take the over here.

*3 Star TKO Totals Winner* The Siena Saints aren't nearly as good of a team as they were last year, but they still push the pace of the game. Siena's defense isn't consistent, and their opponent often gets easy looks near the basket. St. Joe's is a team that isn't normally efficient on the offensive end, but they certainly like to run. I think Siena's poor defense will help the Owls get better shots than normal. These two teams are both down from recent years, but I think their biggest weakness is on the defensive end of the court. The over is 11-5 in Siena's last 16 games as an underdog. I like this one to go over the posted total.

*3 Star Bowl BEATDOWN* The Syracuse Orange are a team that has a very good defense, and a very poor offense. Kansas State's defense isn't very good, but they have a high quality running game. I think Syracuse will stack the box with eight men and force Kansas State to throw the football in this one. I don't believe Coffman is the type of quarterback who can just air it out consistently on Syracuse. Syracuse will look to establish the run here as well, and because of all the consistent runs, the clock should be ticking most of the way. Syracuse has only had two of their ten games against Division I schools go over 48 points this year. Kansas State plays in the high scoring Big 12, but I don't think they will be able to pile up the points in this one. The under is 8-0 in Syracuse's last 8 games with a winning record. I think Syracuse knows in order to win they must control the clock and run the ball. Look for the Orange to help this one stay under the posted total.

*3 Star Alamo Bowl Total DOMINATION* This is a game where both teams have a great passing attack, and I expect the ball to be in the air a whole lot in this matchup. Oklahoma State has the second ranked passing attack in the nation, while Arizona has the ninth best passing attack. Oklahoma State's defense has been absolutely torched by the pass all year long. They are 115th out of 120 schools in Division I allowing 276 yards per game. Arizona's pass defense started the season out well, but they were not good at all in the last few games. The over is 5-1 in Arizona's last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in Oklahoma State's last 4 non-conference games. Both teams have big play guys on offense as well. Oklahoma State's Justin Blackmon will likely create some big plays here, and Juron Criner is a nice big play receiver for the Wildcats. I expect this one to go over the posted total as both passing games show just how effective they can be.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Detroit Pistons are having a bad year and the Celtics are having a terrific year. The Pistons will likely play a little more inspired against an old rival, which I think means they will at least try a little on defense. The Celtics are an interesting team from a totals standpoint because they slow down a lot without Rondo in the lineup and with Shaq in the lineup. In the last five games that Shaq has played in, the under is 5-0. Shaq is expected to play tonight, which is one of the main reasons I like this under. The history between these two is for low scoring games in Detroit. The under is 7-2 in the last 9 games in Detroit. I think the Pistons will play a little tougher defense than normal and this game stays at a slow pace. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Hidden GEM* I have been on the Atlanta Hawks 'under' frequently this year, and it has been very profitable, but I think the value is on the 'over' in this game. The Hawks have had six straight games go under the posted total, which has made the books adjust this number downward by quite a bit. Golden State is still a team that likes to run as much as possible, and their defense is not good at all. Atlanta has played several teams that like to slow the game down of late, and I think they'll be ready to run in this one. The over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. In their last ten meetings the lowest combined score when these two met was 209 points. I think this is a great value on the over!

*3 Star NBA Bookie BASHER* The Charlotte Bobcats have a new head coach, and they have a new style of play. Paul Silas has the Bobcats running and gunning in practice. Charlotte has been practicing with 14 second shot clocks. The team has the youth and speed it takes to be successful with the faster tempo, so I expect them to score quite a few, especially against a team like Cleveland. The Cavs are one of the worst defenses in basketball, and they give up 103 points per game. The over is 11-5 in the Cavs 16 road games this year. The books have adjusted the total upward because of Charlotte's new style of play, but I think this one will top 200 points, so I still like the value here. Take the over.

*3 Star CBB Total TAKEDOWN* The LaSalle Explorers can put up a ton of points if they are playing the right type of opponent, and I believe Towson fits the mold. Towson is a poor defensive team that allows far too many wide open shots, especially from beyond the arc. LaSalle has plenty of guys capable of knocking down the three ball. Both teams love to play at a very fast tempo, which should keep this game moving quickly the whole way. Both teams are poor on the defensive glass, which should mean second chance opportunities on both sides in this one. The over is 12-3 in Towson's last 15 games overall. The over is 4-2 in LaSalle's 6 lined games this season. Look for an up and down affair here between two teams who would prefer not to play defense. Take the over.

*3 Star College Hoops Totals DOMINATION* The Boston College Eagles have found a new gear on offense in the last few games. BC is averaging 84 points per game in the last five contests, and they are shooting the ball exceptionally well from the floor. Rhode Island is the type of team that likes to push the pace, especially on their home court. The Rams are averaging 75 points per game at home this year, and BC is giving up 75 per game on the road. I don't think the books have caught up with the Boston College new faster pace and improved offense. The over is 4-0 in the Eagles last four games. I expect this to be a back and forth type of game with solid shooting percentages on both sides. Take the over here.

*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird* Both Georgia State and Texas A&M Corpus Christi like to play at a slow pace. I think this will be a halfcourt game with very few runouts. This game is being played on a neutral court, which is typically helpful to the under since neither team is accustomed to the shooting background. These two teams are both terrible at the free throw line, so I expect the FT percentages to be bad in this one. The under is 8-3 in Georgia State's last 11 neutral site games. Both teams have played some faster paced opponents of late, which gives us a solid value on the under in this one. Take the under here.

*3 Star Military Bowl Major CASH* You simply won't find a worse defense than the East Carolina Pirates. This defense allowed 43.4 points per game this year in a weak Conference USA. At the same time, the ECU offense is very good. The Pirates average 318 yards through the air each game, and they are scoring 38 points per game this year. Maryland's offense has scored 38 points or more in three of their last five contests, so I expect them to score plenty against a terrible ECU defense. Maryland's defense has been weak against the pass all year, which is bad news against the ECU offense. East Carolina's last five games have finished with totals of 84, 111, 96, 100, and 83 points! While 67.5 points seems like a lot, it really isn't when East Carolina is playing. I like this one to make it into the 70's. Take the over here.

*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Providence Friars will be set on pushing the pace in this one, which should really help the scoring output of both teams. I expect Syracuse to force quite a few turnovers and get easy buckets, but I also think Providence will want to shoot before the Orange get their zone set, which should help them get some quick scores. The oddsmakers have yet to catch up to the Providence pace in the last year or so. The over is 25-10 in the last 35 games that have Providence has played in. The over is also 5-0-1 in Syracuse's last 6 games in the Big East Conference. I expect Syracuse to win this game, but I think Providence will dictate the tempo and help this one go over the posted total.

*3 Star NCAA BB Bookie SMASHER* The North Carolina Tar Heels are back to pushing the pace again this year. They play at one of the fastest tempo's in all of college basketball. They have scored at least 65 points in every game this year, and they average 79 points per game. Rutgers has some pretty good defensive numbers, but they haven't played against a team that has even close to the size or talent all over the court that North Carolina has. I think this is the type of game where Rutgers will have to put some points on the board if they want to stay in the game, and I believe they will play inspired basketball. Don't be surprised if Rutgers stays in this game longer than most people expect. I think Harrison Barnes will have a big game and the Tar Heels big men will go to work against Rutgers enough to push this one over the posted total.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Toronto Raptors just aren't the same team without Andrea Bargnani, as they showed last night in Memphis. The team wasn't able to get nearly as many easy looks, and they looked stagnant on offense. Dallas is a very good defensive team, and I have to wonder how Toronto will get their offense going against the Mavericks. Dirk Nowitzki was injured in the Mavericks win over the Thunder on Monday night, and his status is unknown for this one. At the very least, he won't be at 100%. Bargnani is averaging 21 points per game this year, and without him the Raptors just don't have many primary scoring options. Dallas is second in the NBA in field goal percentage defense, and I think Toronto will shoot a low percentage on Tuesday night. I like the value on the under in this one.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Toronto Raptors have made this road trip without their leading scorer, Andrea Bargnani. Bargnani is averaging 21 points per game, but he will miss this game with an injury. Toronto will still play at a quick pace, but I think they'll struggle to find high quality shots. An interesting statistic for this year is that the 'under' is 22-7 on the second end of a back to back game that lands on a Monday. Memphis is playing their second game in a row here, so that system fits in nicely. The under is also 37-18 in Toronto's last 55 Monday games. These two teams have a great history of games staying under the posted total. The under is 17-3 in the last 20 games between these two teams. I like the value on the under in this one.

*5 Star Top Play Total* The Missouri Tigers are known for their full-court pressure that can force turnovers better than just about any team in the country. The Tigers speed up the game very well. Northern Illinois plays at one of the fastest pace's in all of basketball, and they also turn the basketball over at an extremely high rate. Missouri will likely get all kinds of easy baskets off of turnovers in this game. Northern Illinois has a great player in Xavier Silas, and I expect him to put up a lot of points in this one as well. Silas gets to the line often and he shoots about 90% from the line. I just don't see either of these teams slowing this game down. Northern Illinois saw their game against Temple, which plays at a very slow pace, finish at 158 points last week. NIU's game against Northwestern earlier this year went to 175 points. I think the over is a terrific value here. Take the over big!

*3 Star NFL Bookie SMASHER* The Indianapolis Colts offense seems to have turned it around the last few weeks. Peyton Manning is looking like the same terrific player he has the last few years, and the running game has even improved. The Colts defense is still weak against the run, and I think the Raiders will be able to exploit that with their terrific rushing game. Most people don't realize this Raiders offense is 8th in the NFL in total offense, and the rushing attack is the second best in the NFL this year. The Raiders have given up 28.4 points per game in their last five games, and the Colts have given up 30.8 per game in their last five games. Both teams need a win here, and I think the offenses will have the upper hand in this game. I like the over.

*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Washington Redskins have turned to Rex Grossman as their starting quarterback and I think that means more points in their games, both for them, and the opposition. Grossman will take more chances with the football, which should lead to plenty of points. The Redskins defense is the worst in the NFL, and I expect Jones-Drew and the Jaguars rushing attack to have a field day in this one. At the same time, the Jaguars defense is one of the worst in the NFL against the pass, which means the Redskins should have chances to score as well. The over is 7-1 in the Jaguars last 8 games overall. The Redskins game against the Cowboys last week showed what their offense could look like with Grossman, which is both good and bad. I like the over in this one.

*3 Star Christmas NBA Play of the Day* The Chicago Bulls are without Joakim Noah for quite a while, but they should still be able to put up points. Derrick Rose has become a better scorer, and Boozer and Deng are good scoring options as well. The loss of Noah hurts on interior defensively, which I think could mean Amare Stoudemire has more room to roam in this one. Gallinari and Chandler are having big years for the Knicks and Felton is playing well offensively as well. I think Rose will be too quick for Felton, but the Knicks shooters should have plenty of open looks at the three ball. Their only meeting this year finished with a total of 232, and I think the value is on the over in this one. Take the over here.

*3 Star Hawaii Bowl BEATDOWN* The Hawaii Warriors will get to host a bowl game once again this year. The Warriors and their high-powered offense will take on a Tulsa team that is capable of scoring points in bunches as well. This game should be exciting from start to finish. In Tulsa's last game they pulled off a 56-50 victory over Southern Miss. The good news for Tulsa is they have a very balanced attack on offense. They are the 14th best rushing attack in the nation and the 16th best passing offense. The bad news for Tulsa is they are awful against the pass, and Hawaii is easily the number one ranked passing attack in the country. Tulsa is allowing 306 yards per game through the air for the year. Bryant Moniz is a great quarterback for this Hawaii offensive system, and the Warriors have two great receivers. I really believe Hawaii could score 50 points in this one by themselves, and Tulsa's balanced offense should be able to put up plenty to cover the over. Don't be surprised if this one goes over 80 points. Take the over here.

*3 Star Late Night Totals Winner* The Butler Bulldogs have the ability to score if needed, but they are a still a team that likes to play the half-court game. Florida State is one of the most defensive-minded teams in the country, and their length in the post will definitely make life difficult for Butler. Neither of these teams like to push the tempo, so I expect both to be content in the half-court sets. I expect this game to be close the entire way, and I think that the two defenses will have the upper hand. The under is 14-6 in Butler's last 20 games overall. The under is 20-5-2 in Florida State's last 27 neutral site games. I like the value on the under here.

*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Texas State Bobcats simply don't know how to play defense. Appalachian State has a point guard in Donald Sims who will certainly be able to take advantage of a team that allows penetration to the hoop and wide open threes. Sims is a guy who feasts on teams like Texas State. Texas State plays at one of the fastest tempo's of any team in the country, and Appalachian State is most comfortable at that pace as well. I don't see either team looking to slow this one down. While taking an over at 160 seems quite risky, I had this one pegged at about 168-169 points, so I really like the value on this play. These teams will get up and down the court all game long, and this one should be an absolute track meet. I like the over here.

*3 Star Track Meet Total* The Rider Broncs and the LaSalle Explorers play a similar style of basketball. Both teams push the basketball at every chance possible, and they both pressure the basketball and force the tempo with a full court press. These things combined should lead this to be a very high scoring game. The over is 6-2 in LaSalle's last 8 home games. The over is 3-1-1 in Rider's last 5 road games. I think we'll see plenty of shots in this one, and with two teams who take it to the hoop as well as these two do, I expect to see plenty of trips to the charity stripe as well. I think this one tops 150, so I like the value on the over here.

*3 Star CFB Beef O'Brady's Bowl BEATDOWN* The Southern Miss Golden Eagles have been on my radar all year long. The Golden Eagles have a very good offense which is extremely balanced. They average 461 yards per game, 255 through the air and 206 on the ground. The Golden Eagles average 37.6 points per game. Louisville has a very good running game this year. At first glance the Southern Miss defense looks great against the run (13th in the nation), but they have performed poorly against the top running teams they have played this year. Tulsa averaged 6.7 yards per carry and South Carolina averaged 6.4 yards per carry. I think Louisville will be able to move the ball well against a banged up and mediocre Southern Miss defense. In the same manner, Louisville has a top ranked (9th in the nation) pass defense, but who have they played? The Big East conference has no great passing games, and I fully believe this will be the best passing team they have played yet. I expect both teams to score plenty in this one. Take the over.

*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Miami Redhawks are a team I like to play the 'under' with when I get a chance. Coach Charlie Coles has his team play tough on the defensive end and they always slow the tempo down, especially at home. Cincinnati is only allowing 54 points per game this year, and I think they'll struggle to score in this one much more than they have in most games this year. I look for a grind it out type of game where both teams get low quality shots at the end of the shot clock. Take the under here and expect a hard fought battle on the defensive end.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Minnesota Timberwolves have a way of speeding up the game more than anyone else in the NBA. Minnesota is averaging 86.4 shots per game over their last 10 games, which is an extremely high number. The Clippers strike me as the type of team that plays to the pace of their opponent. Los Angeles is coming off two nice wins and I think they'll be looking to score often again in this one. Eric Gordon and Baron Davis are both guys that can push the tempo as well. Both teams are terrible at guarding the three point line, so I expect more made threes than a normal game. Both teams should get up plenty of shots and I think this one will finish somewhere around 220, so I like the value on the over.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Houston Rockets are pushing the basketball more than anyone in the NBA over the last few weeks. Houston has scored 108.4 points per game during the last nine games. These two teams played last week and the game sailed over the posted total. The Kings put up 80 shots and Houston put up a staggering 92 shots in that game. I think Kevin Martin and the shooters for the Rockets will get plenty of open looks in this one. At the same time, Sacramento is a better offensive team at home, and they should put up quite a few points here as well. I think the pace stays quick in this one, and both teams should get to the line quite often. I like this one to go over the posted total.