*3 Star Big Play* The trends are strongly in our favor with the under in this one. The under is 7-2 in Cleveland State's last 9 and 13-6 in Wisconsin Milwaukee's last 19. The first time this two got together this year the over hit, but that was due to amazing shooting. The Panthers hit 55% of their 3 pointers and 93% of their free throws. The recent trends suggest this one is much more likely to stay in the low 130's. I like the under.

*5 Star Top Play* I have to admit, I don't understand why this one is this high. Just a couple of weeks ago these teams finished at 137 in their first meeting and the shooting was fairly good. The under is 12-5 in MTSU's 17 lined games this season and the under is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings. I expected this one to be somewhere around 135, so I'll take the value in the under here.

*5 Star Top Play* The Waves and Pilots met a month ago and the total was 144, but Portland shot 53% for the game. Pepperdine has lost 7 games in a row and is having a very difficult time scoring of late. The under is 7-1 in Portland's last 8 road games. I think this one could stay in the lower 130's. Look for Pepperdine to struggle shooting and Portland to slow down from last meeting. Take the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* The under has been a great play for me this year in New Orleans' games. Last time these two played I picked the under and the final was 48-47. Granted I don't expect anything that low this time, but the trends are strongly in favor of the under here. The under is 10-2 in Monroe's last 12 and 6-1 in New Orleans' least 7 games overall. The winner of this game may have trouble getting above 60 or so. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* This one is more of a gut feel from me, based on watching Vanderbilt play recently. Ole Miss likes to push the tempo, but they haven't been shooting well of late. Vanderbilt has made a concerted effort to go much faster of late, and the results have been great for them. Vandy has won 8 of their last 10 and the over is 8-2 in their last 10 games. I think a game in the upper 150's is pretty likely here. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* The home/away splits look great for this under. The under is 15-7-1 in Colorado's last 23 home games and the under is 17-8-1 in Oklahoma's last 26 road games. Willie Warren has mono right now and is questionable on Wednesday night. He is an important part of the Sooners offense. Colorado seems to have made a decision to slow things down of late and 5 of their last 6 games have gone under the posted total.

*3 Star Big Play* The over is 4-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. BYU put up 91 points in their meeting earlier this year, but Colorado State scored just 47. Colorado State is much better at home and BYU will still put up quite a few points here. I think this one will have the tempo and the amount of fouls needed to get it to 145 or so. I like the over.

*3 Star Big Play* Southern Miss. is one of my favorite under plays going right now as they have definitely decided that slowing things down is their way to down win games, and it has been working out nicely for them. UAB is in no hurry at all either. The total in their game last month was just 113 and I expect somewhere around 115 or so in this one. The value is with the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Ohio and Kent State are both MAC teams that like to dictate the tempo against their opponent, but luckily both like to speed up the game. Ohio started the year without an identity, but now it has one in its ability to run and push the pace. The over is 6-2 in their last 8 games and the over is 8-3 in Kent State's last 11 home games. Earlier this year they scored just 122, but the teams shot 39% and 36% from the floor. Take the over here!

*5 Star Top Play* Earlier this year these two teams put up 122 points and the shooting wasn't all that bad. This time the line has been set higher than last time for some reason. Morehead State really clamps down the defense at home and Eastern Kentucky has struggled to score on the road this season. I put this one at about 127, so I see a lot of value on the under!

*3 Star Big Play* These two teams played less than a month ago and the total was just 114 despite the fact that both teams shot about 50%. Clearly the pace was very slow. I am very surprised the number was set this high here. The under is 10-4 in Green Bay's last 14 and 6-2 in Cleveland State's last 8 road games. Take the under.

*5 Star Top Play* These two teams played to a total of 112 earlier this season and now they are both missing their most talented players due to suspension. The under is 18-5 in Northern Iowa's last 23 games and I'm not sure Creighton has the firepower to push the tempo anymore. I think UNI keeps the pace to their liking and this one is a tough half court Missouri Valley battle. I think this stays under by 5 points or more.

*3 Star Big Play* Earlier this year both of these teams seemed to be running and gunning, but of late they have gone back to their slower and more typical pace. While the over hit easily earlier this year I think this will be a grind it out type of game where the winning team is at about 65 points. I like the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* The Kansas Jayhawks are known for their ability to score, but what really sets them apart from the rest of the pack is their ability to defend. They are ranked #1 in the entire country in field goal % defense, allowing opponents to shoot just 36.5%. Texas A&M is a solid team, but with no big scorers I think they'll struggle to put up a lot of points. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* Youngstown State has a glaring weakness on the defensive end. They are allowing 75 points per game on the road and the over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games. These two met earlier in the year and finished at 128, but the shooting percentages were pretty low and the free throw attempts were lower than normal. I like this one to get to 140.

*3 Star Big Play* Western Carolina pushes the tempo more than anyone else in the Southern Conference. Only one of their last 10 games has finished below 144. Last time these two teams met they put up 148 points total, despite shooting 43% from the floor each. Greensboro is terrible defensively and Western Carolina should exploit that. This one should be in the upper 140's.

*3 Star Big Play* The Toledo Rockets are absolutely terrible and the under is 15-2 in their 17 lined games this year. The under is 9-4 in Central Michigan's last 13 home games. Earlier this year they met and the total was 107. The shooting was pretty poor, but I think we'll see more of that in this game. I think this one will come in a little below 115. Take the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* Rutgers simply doesn't have that much firepower on offense, but they can play hard on the defensive end at home. The under is 11-3 in their last 14 home games. The first time these two teams met this year the total was 151, but Georgetown shot an astronomical 63% from the field. I think they'll come back to earth some and this one will stay under the total.

*5 Star Top Play* Both of these squads have sped up their pace quite a lot over the last few weeks. The over is 6-1 in Western Michigan's last 7 games overall as they seem to have decided to speed things up. Eastern Michigan is one of those teams that plays to the pace of their opponent. Earlier this year they scored just 108, which obviously is scary, but when you look at the shooting percentages they were downright awful. I don't think a 26% shooting percentage will happen again, and the recency of those two teams suggests a much higher game here. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* This is a classic battle between two teams who love to slow it down and play a half court game. No one will be running and gunning here, but rather just some great defense and teams who use up the shot clock. Earlier this year these two teams put up 116 despite shooting well from 3 point range. I look for a total in the low 110's here. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* The Aggies of Utah State are a great defensive team and they have proven that over the last few weeks. The under is 7-3 in their last 10 road games. San Jose State is typically a team that scores often, but I'm not sure they can do that against this Utah State team. I put this at about 135, so I see value on the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* Portland has undergone a change in their philosophy of late because of an injury to their star player, Nik Raivio. The Pilots are now a much more defensively oriented team and they are slowing the pace down. St. Mary's started the season as an over machine, but the under is now 4-0 in their last 4 games. Last time they played the total was 149 and the shooting was pretty good. I'm going to bank on the fact that an injury depleted Pilots team will slow it down and the shooting will back off a little here.

*3 Star Big Play* Denver simply cannot score on the road, as evidenced by their 5-1 record to the under in their last 6 road games. North Texas is 10-7 to the under in their 17 games this year and they seem to have slowed down a bit from previous years. I put this one at 130, so I like the value in the under here.

*3 Star Over of the Day* I'm adding this pick as my final play of the day in college hoops because I find a lot of value in this over after the line has dropped a couple of points. Auburn is a team that cannot defend well, especially on the road. Six of the last seven meetings between these two have gone over the posted total. In fact two of the last four games between them have ended at 167 points. I think this one gets to the upper 140's. Play the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* I love playing the over with VCU this year. This is a team that pushes the tempo very well and forces their opponent to play their style. James Madison is poor defensively and I expect the Rams to take advantage of that. The over is 11-5 in JMU's last 16 and 36-16-1 in VCU's last 53 road games. Expect an uptempo game and a lot of fouling. Take the over.

*5 Star Top Play* Southern Miss is one of my favorite teams to play an "under" with. The team seems to have reinvented itself later in the year with their newfound slower tempo and it has worked very nicely. They are now forcing opponents to play their game. Rice is a team that is pretty neutral when it comes to tempo, and I really think Southern Miss. will be able to slow this one down. Take the under here in a big way.

*5 Star Top Play* I really like the under in this one. Alabama is a solid defensive team, especially at home. The under is 6-2 in Arkansas' last 8 games on the road. The under is 8-1-1 in Alabama's last 8 in the SEC and 15-5-1 in their last 21 overall. I think this should be a competitive game and I think the Crimson Tide will do their best to slow down the 3 point shooters of Arkansas. I made this one about 134 or 135 in my projections, so this one looks very appealing.

*5 Star Top Play* Take a close look at Northern Iowa's last several games and tell me you don't like the under in this one! The Panthers play great defense and control the tempo brilliantly against their Missouri Valley foes. The under is 10-1 in their last 11 and the one that went over did so by a tiny margin. These two teams met earlier this year and the total was 102. The shooting percentages weren't very good, but I don't think they'll get a lot better in this one. I think this one stays under 115, so take the value in the under.

*3 Star Big Play* The Sooners and Cowboys renew their rivalry Saturday and last time they played the total was 119 in overtime. Granted the shooting was atrocious, but I was still surprised to see the total be this much higher. I was expecting a high 130's release. The under is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings and 9-3 in Oklahoma State's last 12 home games. Both teams have much less offensive firepower than in previous years.

*3 Star Big Play* Montana and Portland State combined for 148 points earlier this year, but Montana shot 58% from the floor in that game. Typically the Grizzlies slow other teams down and they would be best suited to do that in this game as well. The trends point toward the over, but I projected this one at about 140, so I've got to play the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* This is a hotly contested rivalry game in the MAAC conference. Siena is the top dog, but Niagara will be doing their best to get a big win at home. Both teams have had a lot of injury trouble this year, but both are healthy now. Look for the tempo to be quick and both teams to get to the line often. I think the low 150's are a good possibility here, so take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* The Ivy League is a tough conference to get a handle on, but Harvard definitely likes to push the ball more than most in the Ivy League. The Yale Bulldogs are a team that can score pretty well most of the time and I am counting on a decent output from them. The pace of this game should be much faster than your average game in the Ivy League. I'll take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* Stanford has been great at home and awful on the road this year. The team averages 5 more points per game at home. The over is 13-6 in Washington State's last 19 as they have fooled the bookies by the faster paced tempo this season. Last time they met last month they scored 150 despite Stanford shooting 35%. Stanford will do better this time and I think they get to 150 again. Take the over.

*5 Star Top Play* The tempo in this one should be extremely quick. Earlier this year they met and the total was 153 despite Cal playing dreadful offense. Cal will be at home this time where they score 3.5 points per game more and Washington gives up about 81 points per game on the road. The over is 15-6 in Washington's last 21 road games and 12-5-1 in Cal's last 18 home games. Take the over here.

*5 Star Top Play* The Utah State Aggies looked a little down at the beginning of the year, but once again this year they have turned into the class of the WAC at this point in the season. They do it with great defense and efficient offense. The under is 11-7 in their games this year. Boise State is generally thought of as a high scoring team, but this year that isn't the case. The under is 12-5 in their last 17 games. I think Utah State's defense keeps this one low scoring.

*3 Star Big Play* These two teams don't care for each other one bit and this should be a heated game. Earlier this year they scored 155 in their meeting and both teams should under 43% from the floor. The over is 10-2-1 in the last 13 meetings between these two rivals. I think this one has a good chance to get to 150. Take the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* SE Missouri State is a very bad team, but they do play better at home. The first time these two played the total was 142, but both teams shot at least 50% from 3 point range and hit 11 and 13 from behind the arc respectively. I'm doubting that the prolific shooting will occur again and since the line is just about where they ended before I'll take the under this time!

*5 Star Top Play* Both Denver and MTSU are teams that play a half court style of game and paly great defense. Last year they scored 114 in their only match up. Denver has sped up slightly, but MTSU is slower this year. The under is 21-7 in MTSU's last 28 home games and 4-1 Denver's last 5 road games. I think this one will probably stay under 120. Take the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* A game between these two teams should be a very free flowing game where shots are taken as quickly as possible. I thought the line would be 165 or 166 here. Both teams shoot the ball well and neither team is particularly good defensively. Look for Hazell to have a big game for Seton Hall and Harangoady to crush the Pirates down low. Take the over.

*5 Star Top Play* Tulsa is a very solid team and Southern Miss is much improved of late. Southern Miss. is on an impressive 10-1 streak to the under, while the under is also 5-1 in Tulsa's last 6 games. Amazingly, Southern Miss. hasn't had a game go above 121 in their last six games. The pace should be slow in this one. I'll take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* LSU has been an under machine this year at 13 games under and 5 over the posted total. Arkansas has improved quite a bit of late, but they aren't running and running quite as much as they did earlier in the year. The under is 5-2 in the Razorbacks last 7 games. This looks like a half court game that will stay low scoring unless the teams are on fire from the perimeter. I like the under.

*5 Star Top Play* Buffalo is a team that is running and gunning like crazy lately, and Eastern Michigan tends to adapt to the other teams tempo. Buffalo has a solid offense and poor defense, which should keep Eastern Michigan in the game. The over is 19-7 in the Bulls last 26 games and 55-27 in their last 82 MAC games. Clearly the odds makers haven't caught up with this team yet. The play is on the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* Samford may play slower than any other team in the country this year. They do a great job of forcing your to play their tempo, whether you want to do so or not. Chattanooga is a very streaky team that can go ice cold from the field or light it up. In this one I like Samford to slow them down and keep this game in the upper 50's.

*5 Star Top Play* This is a very low number, but I honestly thought this one would be around 110. Miami is a classic slow the game down type of team, and the under is 13-4 in their last 17. Toledo is an absolutely terrible team and the under is 14-2 in their last 16 games. Last year when they met the total was 93, and a number below 100 again wouldn't exactly shock me. Take the under here.

*3 Star Big Play of the Day* The Ohio Bobcats have started pushing the tempo a whole lot more this year, especially at home. If you look at both teams, their splits are much higher in this particular spot. Ohio pushes the tempo at home and Western Michigan scores more on the road and gives up a lot more on the road than they do at home. This has the makings of a game that could go up and down. Take the over in this one!

*3 Star Big Play* Valpo is a team that has decided to run and gun this year, much more than in year's past. UIC isn't a team that can score effectively too often, but they sure can give up points and second chance opportunities. Valparaiso will push the tempo here and UIC should be able to put up enough for this one to clear 140. I like the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* The Manhattan Jaspers have been a very nice team for unders at home of late, with the under going 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The under is also 5-2 in Loyola's last 7 road games. The under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 meetings as well. A half court game with below average shooting is to be expected here. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* While Syracuse likes to run when it has the opportunity, they have actually been a solid under team of late because of their solid zone defense. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 games and I really doubt the Bearcats will push the tempo here. Cincinnati isn't a great outside shooting team, which could mean they will struggle against the zone. Take the under.

*5 Star Top Play* This may be the one game that looks the most "off" as far as the line. Utah State's defensive intensity is being overlooked here. Last time the total was just 151 despite an overtime and both teams shooting 50% from 3 point range. This one looks quite a bit too high. Take the under in a big way here.

*3 Star Big Play* Ohio has established itself as the team that plays the fastest tempo in the MAC. Eastern Michigan is a much better team offensively at home, so I expect them to put up quite a few points themselves. I thought this one should be around 141 or 142, so I see some value in the over here.

*5 Star Top Play* If you are a subscriber you've probably noticed, I absolutely love Air Force unders. The Falcons are a terrible team, but they do their best to stay in the game by slowing it way down. TCU won't battle to make them run, rather they'll just play the slow game well. Earlier this year they met and scored 109 total and the shooting wasn't that bad. I expect 115 or so in this one. Take the under big!

*5 Star Top Play* The Aggies of Texas A&M are having a solid season despite having some injury trouble. Baylor is having a terrific year as well, and Baylor has transformed themselves into a team that plays solid defense and doesn't just run and gun anymore. A total around 135 seemed about right to me, so I see 6 points of value in this under.

*3 Star Big Play* Loyola Chicago is a team that generally adapts well to the team it plays against and their tempo. Cleveland State is a defensive oriented team that plays a half court style game. Their game earlier this year finished at 119 points and the shooting was not that bad, so a total as high as 132 definitely seems too high. Take the under here.

*5 Star Top Play* This is a match up between two teams who have completely changed the way they play from last year to this. Both teams run and gun this year when both were a defensive oriented team last year. The over is 6-2 in K State's last 8 road games and Iowa State can put up the points at home. Expect a game that goes into the mid 150's, which makes this a top play.

*5 Star Top Play* Toledo is an absolutely terrible team that cannot play defense well at all. Buffalo is very weak defensively as well, but the Bulls like to run and they can score. Toledo plays a little better at home so they should keep it reasonable at least and I think this one could be in the upper 130's instead of down around 130. Take the over in this one!

*3 Star Big Play* The Western Michigan Broncos have amped their offense up quite a bit, thanks largely to David Kool. Bowling Green is a little unpredictable, but I think they'll have to score to keep this one close. Since there isn't a large talent differential here and Western Michigan is the home team I think they'll control the tempo. Take the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* Kent State has shown that it can really score the basketball of late. Central Michigan scores 9 points per game more at home than their overall average, so they should be able to put up some points here as well. The over is 16-6 in Kent State's last 22 games and the over is 4-1 in Central Michigan's last 5 home games. I like this one to go over nicely.

*3 Star Big Play* This Fordham team is interesting because they are one of worst teams in all of college basketball, but they continue to run and try to push the pace. Opponents have a field day playing against this "defense." Charlotte should put up a lot of points if they are ready to play, and I think this one ends around 150. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* Both of these teams are a bit tough to get a read on, but the history between these two teams shows the under to be a solid play. The under is 5-2 in their last 7 and Jacksonville State has a lot more trouble generating offense when they are playing on the road. The under looks like the play to me.

*3 Star Big Play* Portland State has been an absolutely terrific team to bet if you like overs. The over is 43-17-1 in their last 61 games overall and 38-12-1 in their last 51 games in the Big Sky Conference. Clearly the theme for the Vikings is to run, run, and run. Sacramento State is a team that typically scores more and gives up less at home, which should make this a pretty close game. I think a score around 155 is fairly likely, so take the over in this one!

The Sixers have been on a huge under streak of late and Chris Paul is out for the Hornets now. Marc Davis is the lead official today, and quite simply there is no better official for an under than Marc Davis. Last time these two played it went safely under the posted total and today there are less healthy bodies, so I think a low scoring game is in store.

*Ivy League Play of the Day* This is my play of the day because quite simply this game will be extremely ugly. Both of these teams have serious trouble scoring and this has the potential to be a game where 55 points wins the game. Neither team is really able to push the pace, so barring an amazing shooting effort this should be a great under.

*3 Star Big Play* St Mary's loves to run and they have plenty of shooters who can bury the three ball. Santa Clara tends to run, but they also have a very weak defense. The Gaels will probably run away with this one, but don't be shocked if they score 85 or so themselves. I like this one to get up to around 152, which is where they finished last time they played.

The Dons have played much better basketball of late, but San Diego will definitely do their best to control the tempo in this one. Expect San Diego to slow this game in a big way. Since their last meeting the Toreros have had all 5 of their games go under, and most of them by a large margin. I think they realized they need to slow it down.

*3 Star Big Play* Riverside has been an under machine this year with the under winning 12 of their 16 lined games. The last time these two played they finished at just 114, but the total is 19 points higher this time. Yes the shooting was very bad that day, but this time it will be played at Riverside, where they will control the tempo even more. Look for a game a little below 130. I like the under.

*3 Star Big Play* These two met about a month ago and scored 138 points. This time the line is set 10 points lower. Youngstown State struggles badly on the defensive end and they average giving up 74 points per game on the road. This one will be sloppy, but it should be high enough to go over 128. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* Kent State has started to rev up their offense and their tempo quite a bit of late, and I have definitely noticed. Kent State overs have been very kind to me. The over is 15-6 in Kent's last 21 games and Eastern Michigan scores quite a bit more at home than they do on the road. I think this one gets near 140.

*3 Star Big Play* I can't quite make a game set at 108 a 5 star top play, but this one is pretty close. These two teams played two weeks ago at Samford and the total was 101. Was it poor shooting? No it wasn't, as both teams shot around 45%. The three point shooting was actually pretty good. The reality is, the game is just played extremely slow when they match up. The under is 10-2 for Citadel and 10-4 for Samford. Take the under.

*5 Star Top Play* A close look at the recent games of both of these games made me feel like this one definitely warranted a top play. The under is 8-4 in Florida's last 12 and is 14-3 in Alabama's 17 games this year. Consider that in the last eight Alabama games none of them have gotten to 130. I don't think either team will push the pace here and I think the winner of this one may well have about 60 points. The data points to a big under!

*3 Star Big Play* The Kansas Jayhawks have scored more than 80 points in their last 6 games and I don't think that streak will stop in this game. Colorado is not strong defensively and they should have serious trouble stopping the inside/outside combination of offensive firepower from Kansas. Colorado averages 80 points per game at home and they should score enough to make this one go over the posted total.

*3 Star big Play* Vanderbilt has been playing great basketball of late and one of main reasons is because they have been able to push the tempo and beat other teams in transition. Mississippi State also likes to run at times, so this should be a good match up, but I think the winner will need 80 points in this one. I like the over here.

*5 Star Top Play* The Billikens can play defense and they will most assuredly slow the pace down here. The Bonnies are missing their leading scorer and should struggle mightily on the offensive end. I thought this number would be around 120 and now I'm getting 6 points worth of value, so I'll take the under in a big way.

*3 Star Big Play* Last time these two met the total finished at exactly 127. If you take a look at the number of free throws in that game you'll see why I think this one stays under this posted total. 72 free throws in a college game is pretty ridiculous and I think that should head back down to around 40-45 in this one. I think this stays in the low 120's.

*3 Star Big Play* The Georgetown Hoyas play a little faster this year than they have in the past, but they still don't like a real fast paced game. South Florida is the same way. The Bulls have a couple scorers, but are more of a defensive type of team. I thought this one would be down around 130, so I like the value of the under in this case.

*3 Star Big Play* A game between these two isn't exactly my favorite to play an under normally, but this number does have some pretty solid value in the under. Ole Miss may well have trouble keeping up with Kentucky in this one and Big Blue could end up with a big win, which I think could hold the total down here. Take the under in this one.

*3 Star Big Play* Villanova is my favorite team to play the over on and I think Seton Hall will be able to put up plenty of points here as well. A transition game on both ends with a solid amount of free throws and three pointers made should make this a real shootout. I think 170 is pretty likely in this one. Take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* I have been riding the over with Northern Illinois of late as well as Kent State, and both have done very well to me. The over is 4-1 in Kent State's last 5 games and 5-1 in Northern Illinois' last 6 games. Northern Illinois has started pushing the tempo more than any other team in the MAC, and Kent State can score the basketball very well at home. I really think this is a game that should at least hit the mid 140's. Take the over here.

*3 Star Big Play* Mississippi loves to push the tempo and Arkansas shouldn't have a problem playing that way. As long as Fortson or Clarke are hitting some of their three's Arkansas should put up quite a few points as well. The over is 8-2 in the Rebels last 10 home games. Chris Warren and the Rebels offense will push this one enough to get it into the mid 150's.

*5 Star Top Play* St. Joe's has upped their tempo more than just about anyone this year. Phil Martelli's team can't play defense, but they can score. Duquesne started the season playing slow, but they have sped up again. I think this one has the makings of a game that could be played in the 80's. Take the over and expect very little defense.

*5 Star Top Play* The Arizona Wildcats tend to adapt to their opponents style of play and Cal definitely loves to run. The over is 10-6 in Cal's games this year and 11-6 in Arizona's games this year. I thought the total would open around 152 or 153, so I'm getting a lot of value on the over here. Look for a shootout and take the over.

*3 Star Big Play* These two met three times last year and two of the three went over this posted total. Purdue has the speed to push the tempo more than most teams in the Big 10 and Penn State is having serious defensive problems this year. I think this one should end up around 135. Take the over and hope Penn State can score a decent amount.

*5 Star Top Play* The Xavier Musketeers have been a much more fast paced team this year since Sean Miller left town. The Muskies like to run and gun and their strong back court helps them immensely. Fordham is a terrible team, but unlike most bad teams they don't slow things down. Fordham gives up about 76 points per game and Xavier scores 78 per game. This should be a blowout, but I think Xavier will score 85 or so themselves. Take the over.

*5 Star Top Play* Maybe the odds makers know something I don't in this one, but I do know that Utah State is turning into a very good defensive basketball team. San Jose State likes to run, but they may have trouble scoring in this one. In their last 5 games Utah State is giving up just 55 points per game. I think this one stays in the mid 130's.

The Cougars of BYU are back to their winning ways this year, especially at home. This team has plenty of people who can score and tends to run other teams out of the gym pretty often. Utah does score fairly well themselves, but I don't think it will be enough to win. I like these teams to get to at least 145, mainly because BYU should surpass 80 by themselves. Take the over.

Montana is a great team to play the under with, and Northern Arizona is a good opponent in this spot as well. These two played earlier this season and the total was 125. Montana shot 56% and Northern Arizona 46% in that game, so I would expect those percentages to go down. The free throw totals may go up, but I see a low 120's as a good possibility. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* This is a great combination of two teams who love to play extremely slowly. The under is 13-3 in Riverside's last 16 games and Pacific averages just 62 points per game despite their 13-6 record. No one will be running and gunning here, rather it should be a half court game where the clock runs early and often. Look for a total around 110. Take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* If you need evidence as to just how slow Oregon State plays you should watch the tape of Thursday's 51-45 win over USC. UCLA plays to the tempo of their opponent, so expect the Beavers to dictate a very slow pace. UCLA has had low scoring games of late even with fast paced teams such as Washington and Stanford, so expect this one to be very low. I wouldn't be shocked to see the winner be in the 50's in this one.

*3 Star Big Play* The under is 14-3 in East Carolina's last 17 games, so the odds makers clearly haven't caught up to their slower pace and poor shooting just yet. The under is 22-10-1 in Rice's last 33 road games, so don't expect the Owls to push the tempo. This should be a sloppy game that stays in the low 130's. I like the value in the under.

*5 Star Top Play* It's amazing to say this about an Ivy league game, but I really expect this to be a track meet. Cornell can score with just about anyone in the country and Harvard is a very solid team this year who has a great scorer in Lin. I expect this one to go into the mid 140's, so I'm making this one a big play on the over!

*3 Star Big Play* New Orleans is a team that is an absolute mess right now. They are leaving DI after this year and have no incentive at this point. The best player is hurt and the team basically stalls and forces very low scoring games. Western Kentucky isn't what they used to be offensively, so I expect this one to stay below this posted total.

*5 Star Top Play* Washington State is a completely different team this year and they can fill it up offensively. Washington at home is an absolute point scoring machine. The over is 26-7 in Washington's last 33 PAC 10 games and 12-4 in Washington State's last 16 games overall. Washington may well put up 90 points by themselves in this one. I think 160 is very easily attainable.

*3 Star Big Play* Kent State is pushing the tempo a whole lot more of late, and they don't take their foot off the gas when they get a big lead either. I think 140 points is about right for this one, so the value is with the over. The over is 14-5 in Kent State's last 19 and 4-1 in Western Michigan's last 5. Take the over here.

*5 Star Top Play* Northern Illinois is becoming a team that loves to play track meets, and Buffalo won't have a problem with that in this one. The over is 16-5 in Buffalo's last 21 games overall and 4-1 in Northern Illinois' last 5 games. Totals of 183 and 156 in their last two games against fairly slow opponents helps show the Huskies new love to run. Take the over here.

The Portland Blazers have a terrible rash of injuries and their offense is severely limited right now without Brandon Roy. The Rockets like to run when the chance comes, but tonight's referees are all three very low on their average totals. Curtis Blair has called 27 games and 19 have gone under the posted total. Take the under here.

*3 Star Big Play* The Clippers and the Timberwolves have played three times already this season, with two of the three going under the posted total. Last time they played they scored 215, which has moved this total up far too much. The referees here are pretty solid under referees. Last game had 56 free throws and I really doubt tonight's will see that many. Take the under.

*5 Star Top Play* The Pacific Tigers play the best defense in the Big West and Irvine tends to adjust their tempo to the other team. Pacific is the better team, but at home Irvine will probably keep this one close. These two played a couple weeks ago and the total was 115. I think this one should stay under 120, so take the under.

*3 Star big Play* Cal Poly is an interesting team because they seem to take on the pace of their opponent rather than dictating the tempo. UCSB would definitely rather play a half court defensive battle and I think they'll dictate this one pretty nicely at home. Look for a game in the low 130's. Take the under.

*5 Star Top Play* I put this one at about 135, so I see a lot of value on the under. There are some injury questions in this one and both of these teams have lost quite a bit of offensive firepower from their team a year ago. They scored 147 in their game a few weeks ago, but there were a ton of free throws that game, so if the fouling slows a little we should be ok.

*3 Star Big Play* It is really painful for me to take an under at a ridiculous level like 112, but it really is still a value. These are the two lowest scoring teams in the Pac 10 and this should be a nice even match up. No one will run in this one, rather we'll see a nice slow half court game and probably some pretty poor shooting. I'll take the under.

*3 Star Big Play* These two got together twice last year with their meetings finishing at 123 and 113. Both play slightly faster this year, but not enough to warrant a line of 131. A game in the mid 120's is what I am looking for here. I think Denver tries their best to keep this slow and makes this a very close game to the end.