*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Philadelphia Phillies offense has been quite a bit better in the past month. Philadelphia is significantly better against lefties than they are against righties, and they'll face Eric Surkamp in this one. Surkamp had a 4.50 ERA in Triple A this year, and his past history starting in the majors isn't good. On the other side, Sean O'Sullivan starts for the Phillies and he's one of the worst pitchers in baseball. The Dodgers offense has been underachieving of late, but they are great against right handed pitching. A guy like O'Sullivan should be the perfect way for a Dodgers offense to break out of their slump. 

The over is 41-19-3 in the Dodgers last 63 home games. The over is 12-3-1 in the Phillies last 16 games. The over is 21-8 in the Phillies last 29 as an underdog. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Los Angeles Angels offense was disappointing early in the year, but this offense is firing on all cylinders now. The Angels piled up 13 runs in last night's win. Colby Lewis isn't a good pitcher, and the Angels have hit him hard in the past. Lewis has a career ERA above 5 at home. The Texas bullpen is the worst in baseball, so they won't provide much relief. C.J. Wilson is a mediocre pitcher at this point in his career, and his outings against his former team in Texas haven't gone well in the past. The temperature will be in the lower 90's at the start of this game and the ball will be carrying well. This number is too low.

The over is 5-0 in the Angels last 5 as a road favorite. The over is 4-0-1 in the Rangers last 5 home games. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 vs. the AL West. The over is 4-0 in Lewis' last 4 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 as a home underdog. The over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two in Texas. A 26-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Milwaukee Brewers offense is pounding out hits right now. Milwaukee hasn't been healthy all year until now, and this offense is just now getting a chance to show what they can do when they are healthy. Mike Leake has a 4.5 ERA in his career against the Brewers, and several of the guys who have been red hot lately have hit Leake hard in the past. Taylor Jungmann is going to be a good pitcher in this league, but I believe he'll have some rough starts early on due to some control problems. The ball is flying really well at Great American Ballpark this time of the year, and we have an umpire (Tumpane) with a small strike zone behind the dish.

The over is 5-0-2 in the Brewers last 7. The over is 5-0-1 in the Brewers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0-1 in their last 7 road games. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 following a win. The over is 5-0 in the Reds last 5 vs. the NL Central. The over is 5-0 in Leake's last 5 after the Reds have allowed 5 runs or more last game. A 31-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Milwaukee Brewers offense is finally healthy. They haven't been healthy all year, but now they are putting up runs in bunches with a healthy lineup. Lucroy is a big presence near the top of the order and Aramis Ramirez is healthy now too. Ryan Braun and Carlos Gomez are red hot in the middle of the order. Joshua Smith doesn't quite look ready for the big leagues yet for the Reds. Look for the Brewers bats to stay hot. Jimmy Nelson is prone to the home run and the ball is carrying well in Cincinnati this time of the year. 

The over is 4-0-2 in the Brewers last 6. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 road games. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 following a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a righty. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The over is 5-0 in the Reds last 5 as a home underdog. The over is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 vs. the NL Central. A 33-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Matt Harvey vs. Zack Greinke in this one. Harvey went through a bit of a down period, but he has been amazing in his last three starts. Greinke has the best ERA in the league. Dodger Stadium is definitely a pitcher friendly park, and I think we'll see a great pitching duel here. The Mets offense is just awful right now, and the Dodgers offense has been underachieving of late. These are two right handers who can really miss bats, and I think we'll see a bunch of punch outs in this game. I don't like taking unders on a total this low, but I see both pitchers working deep into the game. A 2-1 or 3-1 type game here.

The under is 5-0 in the Mets last 5 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a righty. The under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 as a road underdog. The under is 5-0-1 in the Dodgers last 6 Saturday games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent gives up 2 runs or less last game. The under is 5-0 in Greinke's last 5 as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 following a quality start. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 home starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 after the Dodgers score 2 runs or less. A 41-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Kansas City Royals have hit Tommy Milone hard in the past. Milone has an ERA above 6 in his last four outings against Kansas City. The Royals have a professional lineup that can make Milone pay for the mistakes he makes inside the strike zone. Jeremy Guthrie isn't a good pitcher. He is always capable of getting lit up, and this Twins offense has been surprisingly good this year. At a low number and at plus money, I like the value on the over in this one. The over is 4-0 in Milone's last 4 starts vs. the Royals. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Tampa Bay Rays offense was dreadful in their four game sweep at the hands of the Cleveland Indians. They must now take on Mashiro Tanaka in New York. I know Tanaka wasn't sharp in his last outing, but I also am not writing him off as some others are. He can pile up the strikeouts, and strikeouts are an issue for this Rays lineup. Chris Archer is simply one of the best pitchers in baseball. Archer has been amazing against the Yankees in his career. He has a 2.02 ERA in 7 career starts vs. the Yankees. He has an even better 1.91 ERA in four career starts at Yankee Stadium. In Tanaka's 2 starts vs. the Rays he has a 1.93 ERA. 

The under is 2-0-2 in Archer's last 4 following a team loss. The under is 4-0 in the Yankees last 4. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 3-0-1 in Archer's last 4 starts vs. the Yankees. A 17-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Colorado Rockies have a top five offense in baseball against right handed pitching. Jeremy Hellickson isn't a very good pitcher to start with, and he's been dealing with some minor injuries that have been bothering him lately. Chris Rusin is a below average lefty, and the Diamondbacks have been very good against lefties this year. The Diamondbacks bullpen is subpar and the Rockies bullpen is awful. Colorado is without closer John Axford right now, and he was one of the few relievers who had been pitching well. Both offenses should get a bunch of scoring opportunities in this one.

The over is 4-0 in the Rockies last 4 road games with a total of 9 or higher. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 during game one of a series. The over is 5-0 in Hellickson's last 5 vs. the NL West. The over is 3-0-1 in his last 4 starts following a team loss. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Arizona between these teams. A 20-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* I don't like taking totals this low, but this is a total I would take down to 6. Sometimes day/night splits don't matter too much, but in the case of Jacob Degrom they matter to me a lot. Degrom has pitched in the daytime 12 times in his career. His ERA in those games is a sparkling 1.21. Jake Arrieta's daytime ERA with the Cubs is 2.68 as well. The Mets offensive woes are well documented, but the Cubs offense hasn't been much better of late. Both of these teams really struggle against right handed pitching, and in this one they'll be facing a very good righty. I expect a pitcher's duel here. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Pittsburgh Pirates offense has woke up in Detroit in the last two days. They put up more than 20 hits yesterday and routed Detroit. Pittsburgh gets to go against Kyle Ryan in this one. Ryan is a young lefty who has had trouble commanding his pitches. His advanced metrics suggest his ERA should be around 5.50 right now. Francisco Liriano is a good lefty, but he does occasionally get hit hard by good lineups. Detroit ranks second in the majors in runs scored per game against left handed pitching. They are much deeper now that Victor Martinez is back in the lineup. Sam Holbrook is the umpire here, and he has the smallest strike zone of any umpire in the league, so that's a definite help.

The over is 3-0-1 in the Pirates last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 5-0-1 in the Tigers last 6 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The over is 5-0 in the Tigers last 5 Thursday games. The over is 8-0 in their last 8 following a loss. The over is 5-0 in the Tigers last 5 as an underdog of +110 to +150. The over is 6-0 in Detroit's last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 8-0 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series. The over is 9-0 in their last 9 after giving up 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0 in Holbrook's last 4 interleague games behind the plate. A 53-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* Chris Sale is an elite pitcher. It's unfortunate for him that he plays on such a bad team, because it can be really tough for him to pick up wins. Sale has been throwing the ball tremendous in the past couple months. Lance Lynn was brilliant in his last start after coming back from the disabled list. Chicago's lineup has been disappointing all year. Playing in a NL park, the White Sox lose a hitter in this one and Sale will have to bat. The Cardinals offense has been amazing against right handed pitching this year, but they struggle against lefties, and Sale is one of the best. This total is low, but it's low for a good reason. Expect a pitcher's duel.

The under is 5-0-1 in the White Sox last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a righty. The under is 4-0 in Sale's last 4 during game one of a series. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 starts. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 3-0-1 in the Cardinals last 4 following a day off. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a lefty. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 Tuesday games. The under is 4-0 in Lynn's last 4 as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 on 4 days of rest. A 45-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Monday MONEY* Wandy Rodriguez and Bud Norris are both guys I've faded successfully over the years. Rodriguez overachieved for a while this year with the Rangers, but he's come back down to earth quickly in his last two starts. Rodriguez is an aging pitcher who doesn't have good enough stuff to get through strong lineups anymore. Baltimore's lineup comes into this series scorching hot. Bud Norris is really inconsistent. While he is capable of throwing it well, he's also capable of getting knocked out of the game within the first couple innings. Texas is good against right handed pitching. With two starters who can give up the big inning, I'm comfortable taking the over at 8.5 runs. The over is 5-0 in Norris' last 5 home starts. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Miami Marlins have one of the worst lineups in the majors without Giancarlo Stanton in the middle of the lineup. Prado is already out with an injury and he was one of the team's more consistent run producers too. Zack Greinke has been dealing so far this year, and it's unlikely that the Marlins will be able to do much damage at all against him. Jose Urena has been throwing it well in the month of June, and the Dodgers bats have been cold of late. This is a pitcher's park, and Don Mattingly has been known to sit out some of his better players on Sunday afternoon games.

The under is 7-0 in the Dodgers last 7 road games vs. a right handed starter. The under is 4-0 in Greinke's last 4 as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. The under is 7-0 in the Marlins last 7 Sunday games. The under is 5-0-1 in Urena's last 6 starts. The under is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 as an underdog. A 34-0 angle. Take the under.   

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The San Diego Padres have been an over bettors best friend so far this year. While most people point to only their much improved offense, it has also been their awful defense. The Padres outfield defense is the worst in baseball, and it isn't even close. Arizona has a star in Paul Goldschmitt and the lineup around him is good enough. Andrew Cashner's command has been really bad this year. Jeremy Hellickson isn't a very good pitcher. These two bullpens both rank in the bottom ten in the majors.

The over is 6-0 in Cashner's last 6 games. The over is 5-0 in his last 5 as a home favorite. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 after the Padres allowed 2 runs or less last game. The over is 4-0 in Hellickson's last 4 vs. the NL West. The over is 3-0-1 in Hellickson's last 4 following a quality start last outing.  A 30-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Colorado Rockies offense is second in the majors in weighted on base average against right handed pitching. Tim Lincecum was rocked in his last outing. Lincecum pitches better at home than on the road, but he definitely doesn't have elite stuff anymore, and this Rockies lineup is a good one. Chris Rusin hasn't been able to prove that he has the kind of stuff that can keep him in the majors in the past. Rusin is a pitch to contact guy, and the Giants offense is pretty good as well. This park is clearly a pitcher's park, but a day game makes it less pitcher friendly. The umpire here is a big help. Sam Holbrook may be the single best over umpire in the majors.

The over is 5-0 in the Rockies last 5 following a win. The over is 6-0 in Lincecum's last 6. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0 in his last 6 with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts after the Giants allowed 5 runs or more. A 25-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star TGIF Late Night BAILOUT* The Oakland A's rank in the top five in the majors in hitting against right handed pitching. The Kansas City Royals are in the top ten. Edinson Volquez is nothing better than a mediocre pitcher in my opinion. Hahn is decent, but the A's bullpen and the A's defense are both terrible. This is definitely a pitcher's park, but with all the other things in play, a total of only 7 is too low. Both of these pitchers are inconsistent, and both teams have patient offenses that can wait for a bad inning from the opposing pitcher. The over is 4-0-1 in Volquez's last 5 road starts. The over is 4-0-2 in his last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0-1 in the Royals last 5 with the total set at 7 to 8.5. The over is 5-0 in the A's last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less last game. A 17-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Jacob Degrom has been terrific for the New York Mets this year. Taylor Jungmann has a really high upside as a young pitcher for the Brewers as well. The Mets offense has been the worst in the majors over the last few weeks. Jungmann has all the stuff necessary to strike out a lot of batters, and I like this matchup for him. Degrom has been dealing regardless of who he is up against lately. Also important to note is Degrom's amazing history during the daytime. I'm generally not a huge day vs. night splits guy, but Degrom has a career 1.34 ERA in 11 starts during the daytime. Vic Carrapazza is a solid under umpire behind the plate also.

The under is 8-1 in the Mets last 9. The under is 4-0 in the Brewers last 4 home games vs. a team with a road win percentage of 40% or lower. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. A 17-1 angle. Take the under. 

*5 Star TOP Total of the Week* The Colorado Rockies and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet tonight at Coors Field. Coors Field might not be quite the launching pad that it once was, but it's still the best hitters park in baseball. With Allen Webster and David Hale starting in this one, I expect to see a bunch of runs. Webster has always had a lot of control problems, and putting people on base at Coors Field is a bad omen. The Rockies offense is tremendous against right handed pitching, and Webster will be one of the lowest ranked righties they have matched up against all year. David Hale isn't much better, and the Diamondbacks offense has been rolling lately. Both of these teams have bullpens that rank in the bottom ten in baseball, so once the starters leave there shouldn't be much relief. The forecast calls for wind blowing out about 10 mph through this game also, which will certainly help out. 

The over is 5-0 in the DBacks last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 7-1 in the Rockies last 8 games. The over is 5-1 in the Rockies last 6 home games. Take the over big! 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Toronto Blue Jays are averaging 5.57 runs per game so far this year. Toronto is better against left handed pitching, but they are still very good against righties. Tampa Bay doesn't have a particularly good offense, but Toronto's pitching staff is terrible. Marco Estrada is an average or below average starter. Karns has been pitching well lately, but his advanced metrics suggest he is an average starter right now. Even if we assume the Blue Jays come up short of their normal run production, we only need 3 or 4 runs from the Rays here. With Toronto involved, this total is set too low. The Rays have been a huge under team on the road, but overs have been solid for them at home this year. 

The over is 6-0-2 in the Rays last 8 games as a favorite. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 as a home favorite. The over is 2-0-2 in their last 4 home games. The over is 4-0 in Estrada's last 4 starts overall. A 17-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Sunday's Best Bet* The Colorado Rockies have been amazing against right handed pitching this year. Matt Garza is having a really bad season. It's hard to imagine him turning things around against this Rockies lineup. Chris Rusin isn't a good pitcher. Rusin was terrible in the minors, but was still promoted to the big leagues. He hasn't been good in the majors either. The weather is a major factor here too. The temperature is expected to be 95 degrees for this one. A day game at Coors Field with a temperature like that means the ball will be flying extremely well. 

The over is 4-0 in Garza's last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. The over is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts after the Brewers scored 2 runs or less. The over is 3-0-1 in his last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0-1 in his last 7 starts following a team loss. A 17-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Saturday Sweet CASH* The Boston Red Sox offense underachieved all year long. They have finally started to hit the ball better the last few days. I still believe this offense is capable of big things. Edinson Volquez has good numbers so far this year, but he is always capable of giving up a big number. He has been quite lucky so far this year, and that won't continue indefinitely. Rick Porcello has a career 4.3 ERA against the Royals. Kansas City's offense has been pounding out a lot of hits lately as well. 

A big key to this game is the weather. The temperature will be in the low 90's for this one and the wind is expected to be blowing out to center at almost 20 miles per hour. Those conditions will make a big difference, and with two solid offenses and a low total, I'm taking the over. Take the over here. 

*4 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* It's the last game of this series, and this is often the spot where managers will look to sit a few of their best hitters to give them a bit of a break. That fact combined with the strong pitching matchup makes me like the under. Gerrit Cole is a superstar already at a very young age. Cole is unlikely to have trouble against a White Sox lineup that has the worst OBP in baseball this month. Samardzija has been shaky of late, but he does have good career numbers against the Pirates. Relatively cool weather and an under umpire behind the plate in Dan Bellino makes this a nice play.

The under is 5-0 in the Pirates last 5 vs. a righty. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 as a -110 to -150 favorite. The under is 4-0 in Cole's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 on 4 days of rest. The under is 7-0-1 in his last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 6-0-1 in his last 7 with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 6-0-1 in his last 7 following a quality start. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 road starts. The under is 4-0-1 in Cole's last 5 when his opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. The under is 4-0 in the White Sox last 4 games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Chicago. A 50-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Washington Nationals will start Doug Fister in this one. Fister was really bad before going onto the disabled list, but he was pitching hurt. Fister has proven himself to be a high quality big league pitcher in the past, and he looked great in his last rehab start (6 innings scoreless in Double A). Chris Archer is throwing the ball extremely well this year. Both of these offenses often struggle to string together hits. I don't think we'll see many good scoring chances in this one. Look for a pitcher's duel. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers stranded runners like it was their job last night. Milwaukee did end up getting to 5 runs with a three run ninth, but the offense wasn't good at cashing in on opportunities yesterday. Kansas City's offense is very professional. They don't have guys who strike out a lot, and this Brewers defense isn't good. If Kansas City puts balls in play as they normally do, good things should happen. Matt Garza's stuff has declined quite a bit in the past year. Chris Young isn't a bad pitcher, but the Brewers offense is much improved with Lucroy in the lineup and Braun being healthy. 

The over is 18-0 in the Brewers last 18 as an underdog following a home loss where they left 9 or more on base. The over is 7-0 in the Royals last 7 games vs. a team with a win percentage of 40% or lower. The over is 3-0-1 in Guccione's last 4 games behind the plate with Milwaukee involved. A 28-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Dallas Keuchel is still underrated. Keuchel has great stuff that usually forces opponents to hit it on the ground. The Rockies power hitters are likely to be neutralized by Kuechel's sinker. Colorado ranks 2nd in the majors in weighted on base average against righties, but 24th against lefties. Houston's offense is inconsistent and Chad Bettis has thrown the ball well this year. Houston strikes out at the highest rate of anyone in baseball, and he should take advantage of that.

The under is 7-0 in the Rockies last 7 road games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in Houston's last 5 Monday games. The under is 4-0 in Keuchel's last 4 Monday starts. The under is 5-0 in Keuchel's last 5 overall. The under is 5-0 in Keuchel's last 5 as a favorite of -151 to -200. The under is 9-1 in Keuchel's last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record on the road. A 41-1 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Atlanta Braves offense has really hit the baseball well against right handed pitching this year. Rick Porcello is among the streakiest pitchers in baseball, and Porcello has not been good of late. Williams Perez has very mediocre stuff, and the Red Sox offense is still very talented. Boston has underachieved this year, but I expect them to score a lot of runs from here on out. Also very important here is the fact that we have two of the five worst bullpens in baseball. There could certainly be a lot of runs in the late innings in this matchup.

The over is 3-0-1 in Atlanta's last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right handed starter. The over is 8-0 in their last 8 following a loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 as a road underdog. The over is 3-0-1 in Boston's last 4 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the NL East. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 as a home favorite. The over is 4-0 in Porcello's last 4 starts during game one of a series. A 45-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago White Sox both rank in the bottom five in the majors when it comes to hitting against a left handed pitcher. Francisco Liriano is clearly an above average lefty in this league. Carlos Rodon has one of the highest upsides of any pitcher in baseball. He has thrown the ball really well in his last couple outings, and he has a favorable matchup here. Both of these starters are great at missing bats, and that should lead to a lot of whiffs.  There is a chance for rain during this game. In some cases that might keep me off a play, but with two strong bullpens here, I like the value on the under.

The under is 7-0 in the Pirates last 7 games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a lefty. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage is 40% or lower. The under is 4-0-2 in the Pirates last 6 Monday games. The under is 4-0 in the Pirates last 4 following a win. The under is 9-0 in their last 9 home games. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 as a favorite. The under is 5-0-2 in their last 7 after scoring two runs or less. A 46-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Miami Marlins can't hit right handed pitching, but they have been great against lefties this year. Most baseball bettors know which team in the majors is first in weighted on base average against lefties (Toronto), but most don't know that the Miami Marlins are second. Jorge De La Rosa is a mediocre lefty. Dan Haren isn't as good as his numbers look and the Colorado Rockies offense is far better than they have shown recently. Their recent poor production has lowered the number here, and that gives us a nice value. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Miami Marlins and Colorado Rockies square off in Miami on Saturday afternoon. Paul Schrieber is the home plate umpire in this one, and he has had the single smallest strike zone in the majors over the last few years. Pitchers often get frustrated with his zone, and it should hurt both David Hale and Mat Latos. Hale isn't a good pitcher, and Latos is a very emotional pitcher who can be prone to outbursts that hurt his performance. The Rockies offense is far better than they have shown in this series so far, and I expect them to break out soon. The Marlins offense is slowly coming around, and the Rockies bullpen is arguably the worst in baseball. There should be plenty of guys on base throughout this game. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Los Angeles Angels offense has been disappointing much of the year. They have been better of late, but Jesse Chavez has been throwing the ball extremely well lately. Chavez also has a 2.30 ERA in his career at Angels Stadium. Hector Santiago has been good this year, and the Oakland A's are much worse against left handed pitching than they are against righties. Oakland's bullpen is slowing throwing the ball slightly better, and the Angels bullpen has been very good this year. 

The under is 5-0 in the A's last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more last game. The under is 4-0-2 in their last 6 as an underdog of +110 to +150. The under is 6-0-1 in Chavez's last 7 starts. The under is 5-0-1 in his last 6 with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The under is 4-0-1 in his last 5 road starts. The under is 5-0 in Santiago's last 5 after the Angels scored 5 runs or more last game. A 29-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers start Mike Fiers in this one. Fiers is a guy who I believe is underrated by many. He has a deceptive delivery and he does a good job producing a high rate of strikeouts. Jordan Zimmermann is another underrated pitcher. Zimmermann isn't necessarily flashy like some of the Nationals starters, but he is consistently good. Zimmermann has a career ERA of 1.50 at Miller Park. Also important to note is Zimmermann's 0.45 ERA in three starts with home plate umpire Mike Everitt behind the dish. Fiers has a career ERA of 1.59 against Washington. 

The under is 4-0 in Zimmermann's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 8-0 in the Brewers last 8 following a win. The under is 6-0 in Fiers' last 6 starts. An 18-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* I've taken the under and cashed in the last two nights in this series and I'm taking the under again here. I usually don't take unders with guys making their major league debut, but I'm doing it here with Velasquez starting for Houston. He faces a White Sox lineup that has been bad this year. The Houston bullpen is one of the best in the league now, and the White Sox pen is much improved from a year ago too. For a very long time, the oddsmakers have been setting lines that are too high on Jose Quintana's games. The under is 35-15-3 in his last 53 starts overall. Quintana is an underrated lefty, and the Astros offense is reeling right now.

The under is 4-0 in the Astros last 4 on grass. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a lefty. The under is 6-0 in Quintana's last 6 after the White Sox allowed 2 runs or less last game. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 vs. the AL West. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. The under is 7-0 in Toby Basner's last 7 games as the home plate umpire. A 30-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Cincinnati Reds offense has found its way against the hapless Philadelphia Phillies over the last couple weeks. Cincinnati is a much better team when Joey Votto is hot, and he hit 3 home runs last night and is seeing it as well as anyone in baseball now. Philadelphia's offense has been much better over the last few weeks, and the Reds pitching staff is bad. Jon Moscot hasn't been particularly good in the minors, and he doesn't have high quality stuff. Jerome Williams starts for the Phillies here, and he is way below league average when it comes to starting pitchers. It will be a warm day in Cincinnati and the ball should be flying well.

The over is 8-0 in the Phillies last 8 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 with a total set between 7 and 8.5 runs. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 as an underdog. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the NL Central. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0 in Williams' last 4 as an underdog. The over is 7-0 in the Reds last 7 vs. the NL East. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning percentage of 40% or lower. The over is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 as a favorite of -110 to -150. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. A 73-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Red Hot CASH* The Chicago White Sox have the lowest on base percentage in the majors against left handed pitching, and it's not even close. They'll face a really good lefty here in Dallas Keuchel. Keuchel is still underrated by many in my opinion. He keeps the ball down and does a good job commanding all of his pitches. Carlos Rodon is a tremendous talent. He is inconsistent right now, but he does a great job missing bats and the Astros strike out at a really high rate. Houston's offense has really cooled off lately, and I think this is a good spot for Rodon to perform at a high level. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The New York Yankees have been swinging some really hot bats lately, but Max Scherzer is the perfect guy to cool off this Yankees lineup. Scherzer is coming off a slightly subpar start in Toronto. I don't think he'll struggle two starts in a row. This guy is throwing the ball better than he has in his entire career. Tanaka is healthy again for the Yankees and that's huge. Washington's lineup has been really bad lately. Both of these bullpens are excellent. Look for a nice pitcher's duel in this one. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Houston Astros offense has struggled in a big in the last few games. Even against a really bad Toronto pitching staff, they had a tough time putting together big innings very often. Houston strikes out a lot and that plays right into the hands of lefty Chris Sale. Sale is one of the best lefties in the game, and he's been in great form the last few outings. The White Sox offense ranks in the bottom five in the majors in all of the major categories. Lance McCullers has electric stuff. I question his ability to be consistent throughout this year, but this is a good matchup for him. The under is 21-7 in the Astros last 28 games vs. a lefty. The under is 12-3 in the White Sox last 15 as a home favorite. Take the under. 

*4 Star Sunday Play of Day* The Seattle Mariners offense is really bad, and Chris Archer is a tremendous young pitcher. Archer has been in top form of late, and it's hard to see Seattle getting to him in this one. Montgomery is one of the top pitching prospects in the Mariners organization and I've liked what I've seen from him thus far. He'll face a Tampa Bay Rays lineup that is undoubtedly one of the worst lineups in the American League. Both pitchers get a huge boost from the home plate umpire in this one. Doug Eddings is behind the dish and he's arguably the best under umpire in the game because of his huge strike zone.

The under is 6-0-1 in the Rays last 7 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. The under is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less. The under is 3-0-1 in the Rays last 4 after a loss. The under is 4-0 in Seattle's last 4. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a right handed starter. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the AL East. The under is 11-1 in Seattle's last 12 as a home underdog of +110 to +150. A 40-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Philadelphia Phillies offense has finally started to produce a bit of late. Oddsmakers have had to put really low totals on the Phillies games this year, but they are finally getting beat by a combination of the Phillies pitching staff being bad and their offense finally being less bad. Ryan Vogelsong has a career ERA of just about 5 on the road, and he isn't a guy I trust. Sean O'Sullivan is even worse than Vogelsong, and the Giants offense has been great against right handed pitching this year. Hunter Pence should miss this game, but the Giants still have a pretty nice lineup. Two pitchers who can give up runs in a hurry here.

The over is 5-0-2 in the Giants last 7. The over is 4-0 in the Giants last 4 vs. the NL East. The over is 4-0 in the Giants last 4 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The over is 5-0 in the Phillies last 5. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 as an underdog. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a right handed starter. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 with a total set between 7 and 8.5. A 30-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star TGIF Play of Day* The Cleveland Indians offense has been great lately. Jason Kipnis is the hottest hitter in the American League, and he's knocking the cover off the ball from the leadoff spot. Carlos Santana is slowly warming up and Michael Brantley is a tremendous run producer. The Indians will face Chris Tillman here. Tillman has been really bad this year. He has an ERA close to 6. In his career when pitching at Cleveland, he has a 7.07 ERA. Shaun Marcum starts here for the Tribe, and it's hard to imagine he's an answer in the long run for Cleveland in the starting rotation. Marcum has a 5.49 ERA this year, and his advanced metrics suggest he has been even worse than that. Baltimore's offense has been slumping, but they are better than they have shown lately and Marcum might be the guy to help them get going. The over is 13-6 in the Indians last 19 home games. Take the over. 

*3 Star Game One 100% Angle CASH* The Golden State Warriors are very well known for their great offense, but this team ranked first in the NBA in defensive efficiency during the regular season. Golden State should have a good game plan to make life difficult for LeBron James. The long layoff likely favors the under with both teams being a little out of sort in this position normally. Cleveland's defense has been great in the postseason, and that's why they are here. The Cavs have played at the slowest tempo of any team in the postseason this year. Golden State isn't running nearly as much as they did in the regular season. Plenty of reasons to expect a lower scoring game than this posted line would suggest.

The under is 4-0 in the Cavs last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs a team with a winning record. The under is 7-0-1 in the Warriors last 8 home games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points in the previous game. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the NBA Central. A 34-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Houston Astros have an ace in Dallas Keuchel. This is a guy that doesn't get enough attention. Keuchel is great at keeping the ball on the ground and commanding all of his pitches. Baltimore's offense has been in a miserable slump over the past couple weeks. They are much worse against left handed pitching, and Keuchel is one of the best lefties in baseball today. Wei Yin Chen has been good against Houston in his career, and the Astros offense has definitely slowed down a lot of late. Brian Gorman is the home plate umpire here and his large strike zone is great news for both pitchers.

The under is 6-0-1 in Chen's last 7 as a road underdog. The under is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts on grass. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The under is 4-0 in Keuchel's last 4 during game four of a series. An 18-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Los Angeles Angels offense ranks in the bottom five in the majors against right handed pitching. The Tampa Bay Rays have one of the worst offenses overall in baseball. Hector Santiago is really coming into his own for the Angels, and the Angels bullpen has been very good this year. Nate Karns was shaky early in the year, but he has been throwing the ball really well in his last few outings. The Angels have a lot of guys who are prone to striking out, and Karns has some good strikeout pitches. Jeff Kellogg is a pretty good draw for an under because of a relatively large strike zone. 

The under is 4-0 in Karns' last 4 starts as an underdog. The under is 3-0-1 in the Angels last 4 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The under is 4-0 in Santiago's last 4 following a quality start in his last appearance. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts overall. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. an AL East opponent. A 26-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Here we have a matchup between two pitchers who have been really nice surprises this season. Chris Heston's tremendous work this year is one of the main reasons the Giants have been able to be so good despite a lot of injury problems. A.J. Burnett wasn't good last year, but he dealt with a hip injury all of last year. He is healthy now, and he has been dealing. Burnett has been one of the top pitchers in the National League so far this year. Burnett's career ERA against the Giants is just barely above 2. Another key reason for this play is the main behind the dish. Bill Miller is one of the best under umpires in the game, and there will be a big strike zone in this one. Take the under. 

*5 Star MLB TOP Play of the Week* The Chicago White Sox should be without star first baseman Jose Abreu in this one. Abreu has a finger injury, and Robin Ventura he doesn't expect him to play Saturday. Abreu is undoubtedly the best hitter in this White Sox lineup, and Garcia is questionable with an injury too. Even with Abreu and Garcia, the White Sox have a weighted on base average of .246 against lefties which is easily the worst mark in the majors. Houston ranks 19th out of 30 against lefties. Dallas Keuchel and Jose Quintana are both underrated left handed starters. Keuchel is the type of guy who can totally shut down a lineup with his ability to keep the ball on the ground and pitch efficiently. Quintana is a better pitcher on the road than at home. Both of these guys are better when pitching during the daytime as well. These two bullpens are the most improved in baseball. 

The under is 8-0-2 in Quintana's last 10 Saturday starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the AL West. The under is 2-0 in Keuchel's last 2 starts. A 14-0 angle. Take the under big! 

*3 Star MLB TGIF Play of Day* The Pittsburgh Pirates offense was terrible for a long time this year, but they are finally heating up nicely. Pittsburgh has scored at least 4 runs in seven straight contests. Even more impressive, they have scored 8 runs or more in 3 of their last 6 games. San Diego is a much better offense against left handed pitching. The Padres have a .333 On Base Percentage against lefties compared to just .292 against righties.

After starting the season out really well, Francisco Liriano has been shaky of late. Liriano pitched well last game against the Mets, but there are definitely many more dangerous hitters in this Padres lineup. James Shields has been medicore so far this year. He faces a Pirates lineup that has a ton of confidence right now. The Padres defense is the worst in the majors (by a large margin) and that definitely helps the over. A total of 6 is usually saved for a matchup between guys like Kershaw and Bumgarner. This number is just too low. The over is 4-0 in Shields' last 4 home starts. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Minnesota Twins have been bashing left handed pitching of late. They have won 11 straight games against left handed pitching. Minnesota is averaging nearly a run per inning against left handed starters during that time. Mark Buehrle is at the end of his career, and he no longer has good stuff. Minnesota should be able to get to him in this one. Trevor May has been very shaky throughout his young career, and the Toronto lineup is getting healthy. With Jose Reyes back, the Blue Jays might have the best first four of any lineup in the majors. The Twins bullpen is only ok, and the Jays bullpen is awful.

The over is 6-0-1 in Buehrle's last 7 Friday starts. The over is 6-0 in his last 6 starts during game one of a series. The over is 4-0 in May's last 4 starts on 5 days of rest. The over is 8-1 in his last 9 home starts. A 24-1 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Felix Hernandez and Chris Archer should be a very nice pitcher's duel in Tampa Bay. Neither of these offenses are very good, and they'll be facing an elite starting pitcher in this one. I don't think we'll see many baserunners in this game. King Felix is coming off a rare poor outing, and this is a great chance for him to bounce back. Archer has been great all year long. We got a nice draw in Tripp Gibson behind home plate here. While this total is set low, I see this being a 2-1 or 3-2 type game. 

The under is 5-0-1 in the Mariners last 6 games after giving up 5 runs or more. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 as a favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 Wednesday games. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. The under is 11-1 in Tampa Bay's last 12 as an underdog. A 28-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Mike Leake is a better pitcher away from Great American Ballpark. There's no doubt that this is a tough place to pitch, and Leake has struggled the most during the daytime. This Colorado Rockies lineup is good enough to score runs no matter where they play, and here they get a shot in another very hitter friendly park. Kyle Kendrick isn't a good starting pitcher, and the Reds offense is going to wake up sooner or later. Kendrick gives them a real opportunity to do just that. Both bullpens are awful and it will be in the 80's and the ball should carry well here. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The St. Louis Cardinals have the best record in baseball. While a lot of people have been talking about their pitching staff and their defense, the Cardinals offense deserves plenty of credit too. This lineup is really deep, and that is what sets them apart from most National League lineups. Archie Bradley has struggled through major control problems in his last two starts. If he has those same problems against St. Louis, they might score the 8 runs we need by themselves. I like Arizona's chances to score several here too though. Jaime Garcia looked shaky, stranding lots of runners on base, in his debut against the Mets last week. Arizona is in the top 8 in the majors in OBP against lefties. This total is set too low. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Toronto Blue Jays are easily the best team in the majors when it comes to hitting left handed pitching. They have an insanely good .365 on base percentage against left handed pitching. They are averaging 5.73 runs per game against lefties. John Danks is one of the worst lefties in baseball. I don't expect Danks to last very long in this game. Jose Reyes is back from an injury and Jose Bautista is expected to DH on Tuesday according to a Toronto beat writer. R.A. Dickey has been bad this year, and his career ERA vs. the White Sox is 8.10. Chicago's lineup is pretty good, and they should put up several here. 

The over is 4-0 in Danks' last 4 Tuesday starts. The over is 8-0-1 in Danks' last 9 road starts with a total of 9 or higher. The over is 7-0 in Dickey's last 7 starts during game 2 of a series. The over is 3-0-1 in his last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 4-0 in Danks' last 4 road starts against Toronto. A 26-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Oakland Athletics have been an over machine at home this year. There are a few reasons for this one. Oakland is really hitting the ball well against right handed pitching this year, and they are facing a right handed pitcher in this one. Shane Greene isn't bad, but he also isn't as good as he has looked early this year. Jesse Hahn isn't a guy with dominant stuff, and even though Victor Martinez is out of the lineup, the Tigers still have one of the best offenses in baseball. Detroit's bullpen isn't great, and the Oakland bullpen is arguably the worst in baseball. Take the over. 

*5 Star TOP Total of the Week* The Cincinnati Reds have been in an offensive slump of late. That's one of the main reasons we are getting value in this line. Cincinnati has been on the road and against some really good pitching in the past week. Now, they get to come home to Great American Ballpark, which is one of the best hitters ballparks in the majors, and they'll be up against a poor pitcher in Eddie Butler. On the other side, Jason Marquis isn't good, and the Colorado Rockies have a strong lineup whether they are at Coors Field or not. Note, Great American Ballpark isn't too much of an offensive downgrade from Coors either. Both bullpens are awful once the starters are gone too.

The over is 3-0 in the Reds last 3 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 3-0 in their last 3 home games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games overall. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 vs. the NL West. The over is 6-0 in Marquis' last 6 starts overall. The over is 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0 in his last 6 starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. A 31-0 angle. Take the over big! 

*4 Star MLB Sunday Night Baseball CASH* The Texas Rangers rank in the top five in the majors in on base percentage against left handed pitching. Chris Capuano starts this one for the Yankees. Capuano certainly isn't an elite lefty by any means. Yovani Gallardo gets the start for Texas and after a good start to the season, he has been hit hard lately. The Yankees lineup has been in a bit of a funk, but this is a good lineup. Al Porter is a good umpire to have in this one, and the weather conditions are favorable. At just 8.5, I see value on the over in this one.

The over is 3-0-2 in the Yankees last 5 as a home favorite. The over is 3-0-2 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0 in Capuano's last 6 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. The over is 5-0 in his last 5 home starts overall. A 17-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Kyle Gibson is an inconsistent pitcher, but he's been good against the White Sox in the past, and May has proven to be a great month for him in his career. Gibson's career ERA in May is 2.72, which is far lower than any other month. Gibson has had better control of late. Jose Quintana is a really underrated starter for the White Sox. Quintana has a 1.63 ERA in his last 5 starts against the Minnesota Twins. Both of these bullpens are much improved from a year ago, and that's a big key here too. The wind will be blowing in from center field at about 10 miles per hour here. 

The under is 4-0-1 in Gibson's last 5 road starts. The under is 5-0-1 in his last 6 starts vs. the AL Central. The under is 6-0 in the White Sox last 6 games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a right handed starter. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 as a favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 4-0 in Quintana's last 4 starts vs. the AL Central. A 48-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Here we have two starting pitchers in Nelson and Foltynewicz who allow a lot of baserunners. I always like to look at the over when we have a low total and two starting pitchers who put a lot of guys on base. We have an umpire that has been kind to over bettors in Marvin Hudson. The Braves bats have been great against right handed pitching this year. Now that they are healthy, the Brewers offense is looking much better of late. It will be in the 80's and the ball should be flying well in Atlanta. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Texas won a wild 10-9 game at Yankee Stadium on Friday night. While I'm certainly not going to predict anything like that for Saturday afternoon, I do think this one has a good chance of getting over this total. C.C. Sabathia doesn't have elite stuff anymore, and the Texas Rangers are a much better offense against left-handed pitching than they are against right handers. Nick Martinez has a tremendous ERA, but he isn't going to continue this all year long. Martinez has been working himself into jams all year, but finding ways to get out of it. He has typically been a guy in the past who gives up a lot of home runs, but this year he isn't giving up any. Yankee Stadium is a great place to hit home runs, and I think Martinez's luck could end here.

The over is 4-0 in Martinez's last 4 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 starts on the road with a total form 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 2-0-2 in the Yankees last 4 home games. The over is 6-0 in Sabathia's last 6 starts vs. Texas. A 16-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The San Francisco Giants offense is much improved with Hunter Pence back in the lineup. Pence is a real catalyst for this team. Buster Posey has heated up in a big way, and when he's hot he can carry a team. The Colorado Rockies will start Kyle Kendrick here, and I expect it to be a long very bad season for Kendrick in Coors Field. He just doesn't have good enough stuff, and this is a park that's tough for pitchers with much better stuff than his. Ryan Vogelsong is another guy I'm low on (not as low as Kendrick) and his past history at Coors Field tells me he's likely to get bombed here's as well. His last few outings at Coors have been very short ones. 

The over is 3-0-1 in the Giants last 4 road games. The over is 7-0-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a righty. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 as a road favorite. The over is 3-0-1 in Vogelsong's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0-1 in Vogelsong's last 7 road starts overall. A 24-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Alex Wood and Wily Peralta both have some terrific numbers against their opponent in this one. Wood has a 0.87 ERA in his career against Milwaukee. Peralta has a 1.50 ERA in three career starts vs. the Braves. Wood is a good lefty and the Brewers are at the very bottom of the league in on base percentage against left handed pitching. The Braves offense has looked good early this year, but I don't think they are as good as they've looked. Look for some regression from them in the coming weeks. Take the under here. 

*4 Star MLB Total Value* Noah Syndergaard vs. Gerrit Cole should be a terrific pitcher's duel here. Syndergaard has a really high upside and I see Cole as a star right now with his tremendous command. Cole hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in a game all season. The Mets and Pirates both rank in the bottom five offenses in the league against right handed pitching. In this one, they'll be up against elite right handed pitching. They'll also have to contend with two of the best bullpens in baseball. I see this as a low scoring game all the way. Take the under. 

*3 Star Dodgers/Giants CASH* It's Clayton Kershaw vs. Madison Bumgarner on Thursday afternoon in San Francisco. The recent matchups between these two haven't disappointed. Bumgarner and the Giants have been getting the best of Kershaw and the Dodgers in recent meetings, but it hasn't been because Kershaw has done anything wrong. How good has Kershaw been at AT&T Park. He has a sparkling 0.97 ERA in 92 and 2/3 innings there. Madison Bumgarner has a 2.1 ERA in the last four years vs. the Dodgers. The Dodgers have scored 2 runs in the past four games combined, and Bumgarner is a tough guy to break out of a slump against.

The under is 4-0-1 in Kershaw's last 5 road starts with a total of 6.5 or lower. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 5-0 in the Giants last 5 as a home underdog. The under is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts as a home underdog. The under is 10-1-1 in Kershaw's last 12 starts at AT&T Park. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 32-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Kansas City Royals start Jeremy Guthrie and the Cincinnati Reds start Jason Marquis here. It's the worst starter for both teams in this one, and I see a lot of scoring chances throughout this game. Guthrie doesn't have overpowering stuff at all, and the Reds offense is better than they have shown so far this year. Jason Marquis is one of the worst pitchers in the majors, and the Royals offense ranks first in baseball in batting average. The Royals do have a great bullpen, but the Reds have the worst bullpen ERA in baseball. Joe West is behind the plate, and he definitely helps the over with his small strike zone.

The over is 5-0 in Marquis' last 5 starts. The over is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 as an underdog of +150 or less. The over is 3-0-1 in the Reds last 4 games with a total set from 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 4-0 in Guthrie's last 4 starts when the Royals opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. The over is 5-0 in Joe West's last 5 interleague games behind the dish. A 21-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The St. Louis Cardinals offense had been scuffling until yesterday when they broke out. Today, they'll face off against Bartolo Colon who has been terrific against them in the last couple years. He has an ERA barely above 1 against St. Louis during that time. Carlos Martinez hasn't been very good lately, but this Mets offense isn't good and I see him getting back on track. Both of these bullpens are terrific. A huge key to taking the under in this game is also the home plate umpire. Doug Eddings has the biggest strike zone of any umpire in the majors, and that is a big bonus. The weather is good as well with a cool temperature and wind blowing in. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* I considered playing this one at over 9 last night, but it is definitely a play now at over 8.5 runs. Paul Schrieber is behind the plate in this one, and he's the best over umpire in the business because of his small strike zone. Jered Weaver has pitched well in his last two, but he faces a very good lineup tonight. Weaver still has a declining skill set. Hutchison is a very streaky pitcher, and this Angels offense is better than it has shown in the early going. Both pitchers have the ability to give up a big number. 

*4 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The San Francisco Giants bats have been warming up in a big way of late. Hunter Pence rejoining the team makes a big difference for the offense. The Los Angeles Dodgers offense has had the best numbers in the majors this year. Carlos Frias has three quality starts this year, but he hasn't had a tough test this year. Frias isn't necessarily a bad pitcher, but I don't think he's as good as his numbers look either. Tim Hudson hasn't looked good this year. Hudson is aging and his stuff isn't quite as good as it once was. AT&T Park is definitely a pitcher's park, but a total of 7 here is just too low.

The over is 3-0-1 in the Dodgers last 4 following an off day. The over is 4-0-1 in the Dodgers last 5 road games with the total set at 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0-1 in Frias' last 5 starts. The over is 3-0-1 in the Giants last 4 games. The over is 3-0-1 in the Giants last 4 with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0-1 in the Giants last 5 vs. a right-handed starter. A 21-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Toronto Blue Jays have an awful rotation and a really bad bullpen. Toronto can smash the baseball off left-handed pitching though. The Los Angeles Angels offense has underachieved to this point this season. Aaron Sanchez is walking more than six batters per every nine innings pitched. That kind of thing is going to get him in serious trouble more often than not. The Angels have Hector Santiago on the mound for this one. Santiago has decent numbers this year, but he's going against the number one rated offense against left-handed pitching. Based on the questionable starting pitching and the poor bullpens, this is one of those games that has the potential to be very high scoring. 

The over is 6-0 in the Angels last 6 on turf. The over is 6-0 in Santiago's last 6 road starts. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 road underdogs. The over is 4-0-1 in the Blue Jays last 5 with the total set from 9 to 10.5 runs. The over is 4-0 in the Jays last 4 Tuesday games. A 24-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* I'll start by saying that I don't like to make a habit of taking the under in a game being played at Coors Field. Having said that, I do believe there are plenty of reasons to look at the under here. First, look at the Rockies lineup and how so many of their key players are injured right now. Corey Dickerson is a table setter for this team, and he's one of the most underrated hitters in baseball. Dickerson is unlikely to play here due to a foot injury. Troy Tulowitzki is questionable and he's obviously the main man for this team. Justin Morneau is on the DL with a concussion. Cole Hamels is a very good pitcher, and he'll be dealing with a short-handed roster for Colorado. Jordan Lyles has pitched well at Coors Field this year (2.75 ERA) and his career ERA against the Phillies is 2.74. This Phillies lineup scored 4 runs or less in 8 straight games before breaking out some the last two days. They are awful against right-handed pitching.

The under is 3-0-1 in the Phillies last 4 Monday games. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 as a favorite. The under is 3-0-2 in Hamels' last 5 starts. The under is 5-1 in the Rockies last 6 home games with a total of 9 to 10.5 runs. A 14-1 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Matt Harvey has some tremendous stuff and he is capable of shutting down any lineup when he is on his game. Harvey toes the rubber tonight against the Cardinals. While St. Louis does have a very good lineup, the Cardinals do not work the count. St. Louis sees the third fewest amount of pitches per at bat of any team in the majors. That means if Harvey is on his game, he could stick around for a long time in this contest. John Lackey has been pretty good this year, and the Mets lineup is a mess right now. The weather is helpful with a cool temperature and a little wind blowing in. A very key part of this bet to me is Bill Miller is the home plate umpire. Miller has been the single best under umpire for me in the past few years. This is a guy that loves to call strikes. Both of these pitchers should be able to take advantage. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Texas Rangers and Cleveland Indians have had two very high scoring games on Friday and Saturday. I think there's a good chance this one is high scoring as well. This is a ballpark where the weather matters a lot, and it's warm in Texas this weekend and the wind is whipping which can create a tunnel effect here. The ball was flying out in a big way on Saturday night. Carrasco has had problems with the home run ball in the past. Nick Martinez isn't even close to as good as his ERA would suggest this year. The Cleveland offense is hitting stride in a big way of late also. Neither bullpen is particularly strong. This total is a full run too low.

The over is 6-0 in the Indians last 6 road games. The over is 8-0 in their last 8 Sunday games. The over is 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in the previous game. The over is 5-0 in the Indians last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more. The over is 4-0 in Carrasco's last 4 starts. The over is 4-0-1 in the Rangers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in Martinez's last 5 starts on 4 days of rest. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 starts. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 starts as an underdog. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 with a total set at 7 to 8.5. A 52-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Edinson Volquez isn't as good as he has pitched so far this year. He's a very inconsistent pitcher, and the Yankees lineup is good at making the opposing pitcher work very hard. Chris Capuano is a subpar lefty, and the Royals are excellent against left-handed pitching. Even without the wind I would have liked this one, but the weather forecast definitely helps here. The wind is expected to be howling out at about 20 miles per hour during this game. Look for plenty of offense here. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total Value* Noah Syndergaard is going to be a star. Milwaukee's lineup strikes out quite a bit, and I think that makes for a nice home opener for the rookie. The Mets offense is a mess right now with injuries really taking a toll on this team. They put up 10 runs in a single inning yesterday, but that isn't even close to the norm. In fact, off that kind of a performance, I like their chances of regressing to the mean here. Wily Peralta is 3-0 with a 1.35 ERA in his career against the Mets. Take the under. 

*4 Star NBA 100% Angle CRUSHER* In closeout situations, the pace of the game slows down even more and the defenses usually step things up. Golden State is well-known for their tremendous offense, but their defense ranked first in the NBA in defensive efficiency during the regular season. Memphis has a great defense as well, and Tony Allen should be back for this game. Allen is one of the best defenders in the NBA. Memphis knows how to slow the game down, and they are even better at that on their home court. The under is an amazing 24-2 in Memphis' last 26 home games overall. Look for a close game where both defenses rise to the occasion. This number is a few points too high. 

The under is 5-0 in the Warriors last 5 on one day of rest. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 games. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 following a win by 10 points or more. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 conference semifinals games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 6-0 in the Grizzlies last 6 conference semifinals games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss by 10 points or more. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams overall. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Memphis. A 62-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Bruce Chen and Wandy Rodriguez square off here. It's a battle of two left-handers that are well past their prime. This is a game I had circled as soon as I saw these two were both on the mound here. Both of these guys can get lit up in a big way, and 9 runs with plus money is a nice value here. Texas is terrible against right-handed pitching, but their lineup is very good against lefties. Bruce Chen is one of the worst lefties in the majors. Wandy Rodriguez isn't a good fit for the BallPark in Arlington, and the Indians offense has been getting healthy and coming together of late. Neither bullpen is particularly strong and these starters aren't likely to go deep into the game.

The over is 6-0 in the Indians last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games. The over is 11-1 in their last 12 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 as a road dog of +110 to +150. The over is 3-0-1 in the Rangers last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. A 28-1 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Baltimore Orioles rank second in the majors in on base percentage against right handed pitching. Jered Weaver pitched a gem in his last outing, but I'm not buying any stock in him. Weaver's velocity is way down and it's really hard to get big league batters out throwing 84 miles per hour fastballs on a consistent basis. Weaver has a 7.09 ERA in 5 starts at Baltimore. Wei Yin Chen has been very fortunate this year with batted balls in play luck as well as stranding a lot of runners on base. That won't continue forever, and the Angels have a lot of guys who are great at hitting left handed pitching. The weather looks good here with winds of 10 to 15 mph blowing out at gametime. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Bookie CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers have been awful against left-handed pitching this year. They are hitting less than .200 as a team against lefties on the season. Jose Quintana is an underrated lefty. Quintana has pitched much better in his last few starts after a poor start to the season. Jimmy Nelson has been great in his 22 innings this year at Miller Park. He has an ERA just over 2 at home this year. Both of these starters have done a good job working deep into the game this year. The under is 34-16-3 in Quintana's last 53 starts overall. The under is 20-4-2 in his last 26 starts vs.a team with a losing record. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the ball much better at home than on the road this year. Their amazing under streak while they were on the road recently has lowered their totals all around, and I see some value on the over in this one. With Adam Warren and Nate Karns as the two starting pitchers here, we have two guys who walk a lot of batters and pitch themselves into some tough situations. The ball has been flying really well in Tampa Bay this year, and the Yankees offense is one of the best in the majors. Karns' command is a major problem against a team like the Yankees. 

The over is 5-0 in Karns' last 5 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. The over is 5-0 in Karns' last 5 home starts. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 between these two in Tampa Bay. A 14-1 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Oakland Athletics have been an over machine at home this year. The over is 13-1 in their 14 home games this year. Oakland's offense has been much better than expected once again this year, but their pitching staff has been absolutely awful. The starting rotation is having some problems, and the bullpen ranks second worst in the majors. Boston's bullpen has some really ugly peripheral numbers too. Boston's offense is good, and they are better now with Victorino back in the lineup. Drew Pomeranz has struggled in a big way of late, and he rarely gets past the fifth inning. The longer the A's bullpen is around, the better are chances are here. 

The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. the AL West. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 8-0 in their last vs. a team with a win percentage of 40% or lower. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The over is 9-0 in the Athletics last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in Pomeranz's last 4 starts. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 following a team loss. The over is 6-0 in his last 6 games when the A's allow 5 runs or more last game. A 51-0 angle. 

*4 Star MLB Total Value* The Cincinnati Reds offense has been a disappointment so far this year. I'm confident that the Reds will get it going offensively, and this is a good opportunity for them. Cincinnati gets to go up against Mike Foltynewicz in this one. He has been very shaky in his first two career starts. He is walking more than 5 batters per nine innings right now. That isn't something he'll get away with for long. Sam Holbrook is the home plate umpire in this one, and he has one of the smallest strike zones in the majors. Anthony Desclafani has been walking people in a big way lately too, so I expect to see plenty of free passes in this game. Both bullpens are really bad, especially Cincinnati's, so this over is more than reachable. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play MLB Total DOMINATION* The Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays both have tremendous offenses. This total came out at 8.5, which is definitely lower than it should have opened. I expect this line to move up to 9 before the first pitch. Chris Tillman is having a lot of mechanical issues of late, and Mark Buerhle has had a really bad season thus far. Both of these guys allow a lot of base runners, and their should be a bunch of scoring opportunities for both teams. Tillman has a 5.12 ERA in 16 career starts vs. Toronto. Buehrle isn't the same pitcher he was a few years ago.

The over is 5-0 in Buehrle's last 5 Tuesday starts. The over is 4-0 in Buehrle's last 4 starts during game 2 of a series. The over is 4-0 in the Orioles last 4 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The over is 4-1 in Buehrle's last 5 starts vs. Baltimore. A 17-1 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Los Angeles Clippers offense is shredding up this Houston defense. Because of the speed of the game, Houston is going to get plenty of points as well. Dwight Howard is putting together some big numbers in the paint in the playoffs this year. James Harden should be ready to go here, and Chris Paul is healthier than he was last game. No one is going to want to slow down the tempo, unless it is to foul on purpose, which obviously gives us more possessions and more scoring chances. All three games in this series so far have gone over this total. While this total is certainly high, I think this game goes above 220. 

The over is 5-0 in the Rockets last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the NBA Pacific Division. The over is 4-0 in the Clippers last 4 on one day of rest. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with winning road record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. A 28-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Arizona Diamondbacks host the San Diego Padres on Saturday night. The ball was flying out of Chase Field in bunches on Friday night with the roof open and the wind blowing out. The conditions aren't quite as favorable here, but they are still favorable for an over. Tyson Ross hasn't been good in his outings at Chase Field in his career. He's a pitcher that has some drastic home/road splits. Chase Anderson has an ERA a full run higher with the roof open at home than with it closed. Both of these offenses can score and this total is set quite low. 

The over is 5-0-1 in the Diamondbacks last 6 home games. The over is 7-1-1 in the Padres last 9 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 4-0 in Anderson's last 4 Saturday starts. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams on Saturday. A 22-1 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Houston Astros came back to beat the Los Angeles Angels in dramatic fashion last night. The Angels offense has underachieved in a big way so far this year. Mike Trout and Kole Calhoun are hitting, but guys like Pujols, Freese, Ianetta, and others have been bad. Roberto Hernandez is near the end of his career, and he doesn't have very good stuff. I think he gives the Angels a good chance to break out of their slump. Jered Weaver's velocity problems have gotten severe. Weaver is throwing 82 mph fastballs to big league hitters, and those usually don't work out well for the pitcher. Weaver's long-term stats vs. the Astros are good, but most of those came when he was a dominant pitcher a few years ago. Things are very different now.

The over is 7-0 in Houston's last 7 vs. a right-handed starter. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 as an underdog of +110 to +150. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 as a road underdog. The over is 8-0 in their last 8 overall vs. a righty. The over is 4-0-1 in Weaver's last 5 starts when the opponent allows 2 runs or less last game. A 30-0 angle. Take the over. 

*5 Star TGIF TOP Play CRUSHER* The Arizona Diamondbacks piled up 11 runs on 17 hits in Thursday night's win over San Diego. The Padres couldn't score a run, and they only tallied three hits. The conditions at Chase Field were very favorable for hitters on Thursday night with the wind blowing out in a big way. The same is expected on Friday night. Chase Field is a bigtime hitters park with the roof open, and with this low of a total I'm always going to take a peak at the over. I like this one more because both teams have awful bullpens and starters who at least have question marks. James Shields is a solid pitcher, but he has been known to give up too many home runs. Jeremy Hellickson is a bad fit for Chase Field with the roof open. He has struggled badly in his home starts thus far. The Padres offense should bounce back nicely here.

The over is 6-1-1 in the Padres last 8 road games with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 4-0-1 in the Diamondbacks last 5 home games. The over is 2-0-2 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less last game. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 games between these two in Arizona. The over is 3-0-1 in Jim Joyce's last 4 Friday games behind the plate. A 20-1 angle. Take the over big! 

*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* The Cleveland Indians offense is rolling right now, and facing Mike Pelfrey won't hurt that. Pelfrey isn't even close to as good as he has looked in the early going this year. Trevor Bauer is a pretty good pitcher, but I've liked the way the Twins bats have been swinging it lately. The weather is really warm in Cleveland for this time of the year, and the ball will carry really well on Friday night. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Matt Harvey vs. Cole Hamels on national television on Friday night. I think this has all the makings of a very low scoring game. Harvey has an ERA barely above 1 in his career against the Phillies. This year's Phillies team is dead last in the majors in on base percentage against right handed pitching. They are averaging only 2.6 runs per game against right-handers, and obviously Matt Harvey is no average right handed starter. The Mets bullpen has been terrific this year, and it's one of the reasons this team is where they are right now. Cole Hamels has been up and down this year, but he typically rises to the occasion in a big pitching matchup like this one. Hamels should be highly motivated, and he won't have to face David Wright (who has hit him really well over the years) here. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total Value* Michael Wacha has a 1.31 career ERA vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Pirates offense is struggling in a big way right now, and I don't see them breaking out against Wacha. Francisco Liriano has a 1.86 ERA in 9 career starts vs. the Cardinals. St. Louis is sitting out a couple key bats tonight. The price has gotten to a point where I can't pass up the under here. This one should be a nice pitcher's duel. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Pittsburgh Pirates offense is slumping in a major way right now. Anthony Desclafani is a talented young pitcher who has looked pretty solid this year, and I don't see him being an easy guy to get it going against. A.J. Burnett has a 2.5 ERA in his last 10 starts vs. the Reds. Cincinnati may be without Joey Votto after he got into a lot of trouble last night by making contact with an umpire. PNC Park is clearly a pitcher's park and I see these two pitchers being guys who can utilize this spacious setup.

The under is 5-0-1 in the Reds last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. a righty. The under is 3-0-2 in Desclafani's last 5 starts. The under is 3-0 in his last 3 starts with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 3-0 in his last 3 starts vs. the NL Central. The under is 5-0-1 in Burnett's last 6 starts with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts overall. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts on grass. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. A 33-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs have scored a bunch of runs in this series, but I think there will be a lot less scoring in this series finale on Thursday afternoon. Jake Arrieta has been great since joining the Chicago Cubs, and he has pitched brilliantly against the Cardinals. Arrieta has a 0.74 ERA in six starts against the Cardinals. John Lackey is often underrated by the oddsmakers, and he's been very good when pitching at Busch Stadium. This being a get away day game means we could easily have some of the better hitters out of the lineup for a day off. 

The under is 4-0 in Arrieta's last 4 starts on grass. The under is 3-0 in his last 3 starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 4-0-2 in his last 6 starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the NL Central. The under is 4-0 in Lackey's last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 home starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 5-0 in Lackey's last 5 games as a home favorite. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 home starts overall. A 33-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Chicago Cubs send Jon Lester to the mound here. He pitched into a lot of bad luck early this year. Opponents had a batted balls in play average of almost .400 against Lester in his first three starts which is way too high. He looked great in his last outing, and the Cardinals aren't very good against lefties. In fact, they are in the bottom five in baseball in on base percentage against left-handers. Lance Lynn is an underrated pitcher, and he's been superb throughout his career at home. He should take advantage of this free swinging Cubs lineup here. Look for a low scoring game. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Boston Red Sox have a good lineup, but they aren't swinging the bats very well right now. Hanley Ramirez is arguably their best hitter, and he'll likely miss this game with an injury again. Alex Colome is a terrific young pitcher for the Rays. In his young career, he has an ERA of just a little above 1 on the road. This will obviously go up over time, but Colome has proven he isn't scared of pitching away from home. Justin Masterson pitches into trouble a lot, but the Rays offense is scuffling right now. Tampa Bay has one of the weakest lineups in the majors.  Masterson does a nice job working out of jams. The Red Sox bullpen has been great. 

The under is 4-0 in Tampa Bay's last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 or less. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 as a road underdog. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a right-handed starter. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 during game three of a series. The under is 4-0 in Colome's last 4 starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 5-0 in Boston's last 5 with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 5-0 in Masterson's last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 home starts against a team with a winning record. A 70-0 angle. Take the under. 

*5 Star MLB TOP Total of Week* We have a really nice setup for the over here. Mark Buehrle has been absolutely torched by the New York Yankees in his career. His ERA against the Yankees in his career is 6.21 (in 21 starts). Last year, he had an ERA of 6.83 against the Yankees. Also remember, Buehrle is near the end of his career, and he doesn't have the same quality stuff he used to have. C.C. Sabathia is very hittable at this point as well, and Toronto ranks first in the majors in on base percentage against left handed starters. There should be a bunch of base runners in this game. It's also a big boost to this one that we get Toby Basner behind the dish. The over is 21-7-2 in Basner's last 30 games behind home plate. I see a possibility of a very high scoring game here, and with the total at just 8.5, this is a strong play for me. 

The over is 5-0 in Buehrle's last 5 starts vs. the Yankees. The over is 4-0 in Sabathia's last 4 starts vs. the Blue Jays. The over is 10-1 in the Yankees last 11 during game three of a series. The over is 9-1 in Buehrle's last 10 home starts. A 28-2 angle. Take the over big! 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Tampa Bay Rays have one of the worst lineups in the American League. The Boston Red Sox have a really strong bullpen. Tampa Bay's bullpen has been throwing the ball really well of late. Boston will probably be without Hanley Ramirez in this one. The Red Sox are hitting just .199 so far this year against lefties and Ramirez is great against lefties. Drew Smyly has been a pretty decent lefty the last few years. Rick Porcello looked much better in his last outing, and the Rays offense isn't very deep. We also draw a very favorable umpire behind the plate here in Brian Gorman. He has one of the biggest strike zones in the majors. 

The under is 8-0 in Tampa Bay's last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 on grass. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a win. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 as a road underdog. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a righty. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in Smyly's last 5 road starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts on grass. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 road starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. The under is 4-0 in the Red Sox last 4 games with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. A 53-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Baltimore Orioles have one of the top five offenses in the majors. Bartolo Colon is still a pretty good pitcher, but he's almost 42 years old, and he's no longer dominant. Colon has been hittable of late when pitching at Citi Field, and the Orioles lineup is no walk in the park. The Mets offense isn't particularly good, but Bud Norris is really inconsistent, and he's the type of guy that could give up 6 or 8 runs in a start. The Mets have typically given Bartolo Colon tremendous run support in the past. This total is set too low at only 7 runs. 

The over is 4-0 in the Orioles last 4 on grass. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 8-0 in their last 8 interleague games as an underdog of +101 to +150. The over is 4-0 in Norris' last 4 with the total set at 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0-1 in the Mets last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 interleague games. The over is 12-0 in Colon's last 12 starts on 5 days of rest. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 following a team loss. A 43-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* John Danks has been absolutely blasted by the Minnesota Twins on a consistent basis throughout his career. How bad has it been? Danks has a 5.59 ERA in 27 career starts against Minnesota. At Target Field, his ERA is a ridiculous 7.74 in eight starts. Mike Pelfrey has been getting fortunate this year and stranding a ton of runners on base. That can't continue constantly, and his career ERA at Target Field is 5.85. Both of these teams are bad defensively, and that could be an extra boost to this total. Look for a bunch of scoring opportunities here. As long as they cash in at a decent rate, I think this one gets past the posted total. I see 10 runs or more here.

The over is 7-0 in Danks' last 7 road starts in Minnesota. The over is 5-0-1 in Danks' last 6 Sunday games. A 12-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Wei-Yin Chen has a terrific ERA so far this year. It isn't going to continue all year long. Opponents have a batting average on balls in play so far this year against him of just .177. That's just ridiculously low, and it can't continue. Tampa Bay hits lefties better than righties. Nate Karns looks a bit overmatched right now, and the Orioles ranks third in the majors in on base percentage against right handed pitching. The first time these two pitchers squared off in Tampa Bay the final was 5-4, and I expect something very similar here. A total of 7.5 is just too low. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Seattle Mariners offense has been struggling of late. Seattle's bullpen, which started the year surprisingly in terrible form, has gotten back to their dominating form of late. Houston has one of the top five ranked bullpens in the majors right now, and that's one of the big reasons this team is so much improved from last year. Collin McHugh has been tremendous for the Astros too, and his command has been excellent all year. Taijuan Walker started the year with a couple really bad outings, but he has bounced back to pitch well in his last two games (one against Houston where he only allowed one run). Ron Kulpa is behind the dish here, and he's among the best under umpires.

The under is 6-0 in the Mariners last 6 games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 games with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. the AL West. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a right-handed starter. The under is 4-0 in Walker's last 4 starts during game 3 of a series. The under is 5-0-1 in Houston's last 6 home games vs. a righty. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 home games with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record. A 48-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The San Diego Padres are no longer the amazing under team that they have been in the past. San Diego went out and made their offense a whole lot better in the offseason. The other thing they did was make their defense a lot worse. This defense will make a lot of errors this year, and that can really boost the scoring. Colorado starts Eddie Butler here, and he isn't a good starter. He has had some tremendous luck early in the year, and I expect to see him get hit hard soon. Ian Kennedy looked terrible in his season debut against the Dodgers, and I'm not sure he's 100 percent healthy yet. The Rockies bullpen is weak to start with and they are without Adam Ottavino, their closer, for at least the next 15 days. Too low of a total with these two offenses. Take the over. 

*4 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Brooklyn Nets head home trying to stave off elimination here. Brooklyn has shown to be a worthy opponent in this series, and the Nets like to slow the game down. They have gotten the tempo to their liking in this series. It has been right around 95 possessions per game, which is one of the slower paced series' thus far. The shooting numbers have been very high the last two games. I think it's unlikely these two teams can keep up that kind of shooting in this one. In closeout situations we typically see a slower tempo and better defense. No one wants to go home. In this case, we get a total that has bumped up by a couple points because of the last two games. That gives us extra value. Take the under. 

*3 Star Yankees/Red Sox CASH* The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees have tremendous lineups. Boston's lineup is a little bit deeper, but there is a lot of star power on both of these teams. Justin Masterson has 4.69 ERA in his career at Fenway, so he can't be too happy to be pitching there against a strong lineup. C.C. Sabathia has been inconsistent this year, and his career ERA at Fenway is a lofty 5.30 in 14 starts. Both of these lineups are more than capable of putting together big innings. 

The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. The over is 10-1 in the Yankees last 15 following a loss. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Giants/Dogers Totals CASH* It's Clayton Kershaw against Madison Bumgarner here. This is must see television for baseball fans. Kershaw and Bumgarner are two of the best, and both of them have had great success against their rivals. The stats really are eye-popping for this one. In 195 innings in his career, Kershaw has a ridiculous 1.48 ERA against the Giants. Bumgarner has a 2.19 ERA when pitching at Dodger Stadium. Another important point here is Gary Cedarstrom behind home plate. Kershaw has a dazzling 0.52 ERA in 5 career starts with him as home plate umpire. Bumgarner has a nice 2.45 ERA with him as the home plate umpire.

The under is 8-2-1 in Bumgarner's last 11 starts vs. the Dodgers. The under is 18-6-2 in Kershaw's last 26 starts vs. the Giants. I don't like taking unders this low, but there's a good reason for this total to be low. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Arizona Diamondbacks offense was terrible in their three game series at home against Pittsburgh. The Pirates do have the best team ERA in the majors though. Arizona should be glad to see Colorado coming to town for a series. This Rockies pitching staff is one of the worst in the majors. Tyler Matzek has been ridiculously lucky this year on batted balls in play. That luck isn't going to continue forever. Chase Anderson is a decent pitcher, but his ERA with the roof open is more than a run higher than with it closed. Chase Field's roof will be open tonight, and I think there will be a lot of scoring. Take the over.