*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* James Paxton has pitched very well when he has been healthy this year. He has quieted a couple of good lineups in his last two outings. He'll be up against a weak Phillies lineup here. The Phillies offense has been one of the worst in the league all season long. Cole Hamels has been bringing his "A Game" of late. Hamels has allowed one run or less in five of his last six starts. He also has a 1.66 ERA in day games so far this season. Day games can be good chances to find value on the under on get away days since some stars rest on these days. Another huge plus here is umpire Ron Kulpa. Kulpa is one of the best under umpires in the game and he'll help both pitchers.

The under is 9-0-2 in the Mariners last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in the Phillies last 5 interleague home games vs. a lefty. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Hamels' last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts with the total set from 7 to 8.5. The under is 7-0-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. A 32-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Detroit Tigers offense is one of the best in baseball. Chris Young is a pitcher I've backed many times this year and played the under with many times this year as well, but Young is much better at Safeco than he is on the road. This Tigers lineup can get to the best of pitchers, and Young isn't as good as his ERA appears. Opponents have a batting average on balls in play against him of just .224, which is just absurdly low. Robbie Ray has a lot of room for improvement when it comes to command, and Seattle is hitting with confidence right now. This number is a little too low. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Texas Rangers offense hasn't been particularly good of late, but I do think they'll get to Matt Shoemaker some here. It will be in the upper 90's at gametime here, and that really makes the ball fly well in Arlington. Shoemaker has an ERA over 6 on the road this year. Colby Lewis has an ERA over 7 at home this season. The Angels offense demolished Lewis in his last home outing against them. I expect to see several balls leave the yard in this one. The Angels have a team that is capable of scoring in bunches and hitting multiple homers in this kind of environment against a pitcher like Lewis. The over is 5-0-1 in Lewis' last 6 home starts vs. the Angels. The over is 4-0 in Shoemaker's last 4 road starts. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The St. Louis Cardinals offense has underperformed all year long. I continue to be confused by why this team isn't hitting any better than they are. I don't see them getting it going today though against one of the better young pitchers in all of baseball, Tyson Ross. Ross has thrown the ball extremely well of late, and his stuff is electric. Lance Lynn is a much better pitcher at home, and this Padres offense is still dead last in the majors in runs scored. John Tumpane has a slightly bigger strike zone than the average umpire, which helps us as well.

The under is 5-0 in the Cardinals last 5 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed pitcher. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in Lynn's last 4 Friday starts. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite. The under is 7-0 in Lynn's last 7 home starts. A 32-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Miami Marlins and Arizona Diamondbacks meet on Friday night, and I'm not impressed with either of these two starters. Trevor Cahill has pitched better of late, but he has thrown it well against poor offenses. The Marlins have actually been pretty good offensively at home this year. The Marlins start Brad Hand who isn't a major league starter in my opinion, and the fish bullpen has been overworked the last few days. Hand isn't a guy who will go deep in the game. The DBacks bullpen isn't good at all, and they have been overworked lately as well. While neither offense is elite, a total of just 7.5 with this kind of pitching setup is too good for me to pass on. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Kansas City Royals and Oakland Athletics meet in the series finale in Kansas City on Thursday afternoon. Kansas City is playing as well as anyone in baseball lately, and it's largely due to great starting pitching and amazing bullpen work. James Shields has been on point of late. In addition, Shields has an ERA of less than 2.5 in day games so far this year. Oakland's Jeff Samardzija has been rock solid this year, and the A's bullpen is terrific as well. With two quality starters, two good bullpens, and a get away day afternoon start time there are plenty of reasons to expect a low scoring game. 

The under is 4-0 in Shields's last 4 starts overall. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts with a total set between 7 and 8.5 runs. The under is 7-1 in the Royals last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. A 15-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total Value* John Danks and Erasmo Ramirez are two of the most unreliable starters in the majors right now. Ramirez is getting a second chance in the majors right now, but the first stint didn't go well earlier this year. Danks has been really bad all year, and he has historically pitched poorly against many of these Seattle hitters. The White Sox offense has outperformed expectations this year. Chicago's bullpen has been downright awful of late though, and they'll be needed in this since Danks rarely goes deep into the game. Take the over here. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Los Angeles Angels and Boston Red Sox played long into the night on Saturday night. That means tired bullpens and it makes me like this over even more. Hector Santiago isn't a very good starter, and Rubby De La Rosa has been bad away from home in his young career. Both of these offenses are good, and I see them having a real advantage on Sunday afternoon. The temperature will be 85 degrees with the wind blowing out to center, and that's a nice benefit as well. All of the intangibles point toward an over in this one. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Pittsburgh Pirates offense is a mess without Andrew McCutchen. The San Diego Padres offense has been a mess all season long. Two of the worst offenses get together here, and I expect more ugliness. In the first two games of this series, the score was 2-1 after one inning of play. The final score in each of those games was 2-1. Now, I don't expect that to happen again, but I do think this has a good chance of staying under 7. Tyson Ross is a rising star in the league. Charlie Morton has a 1.78 ERA in his career against San Diego. Take the under here. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Taking the under with Bill Miller behind home plate has been extremely successful for me in the past few years. Miller has a huge strike zone, and he loves ringing guys up. Miller is a terrific under umpire any day of the week, but Sunday's are particularly good for unders with him. It's a get away day, so these afternoon games on Sunday sometimes see umpires have a bigger zone. The under is 35-15-3 in Miller's last 53 home games. It doesn't hurt that David Price and Mark Buehrle, two high quality lefties will start this game. Both of these guys tend to go deep into the game. Take the under here. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers square off Saturday evening. Zack Greinke has been extremely consistent this year, and he has pitched well at Miller Park in the past. The Dodgers may be without Hanley Ramirez in this game, which would certainly hurt their offense. Mike Fiers has been excellent in Triple A all year long, and he has shown in the past that he can get big league hitters out. He has a sneaky delivery that can make it difficult on hitters to pick up the ball. Marty Foster is a solid under umpire behind the plate here. 

The under is 3-0-1 in the Dodgers last 4 Saturday games. The under is 5-0 in Greinke's last 5 starts following a quality start. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. The under is 4-0 in Fiers' last 4 starts as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Foster's last 4 Saturday games behind the plate. A 21-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Baltimore Orioles and St. Louis Cardinals are playing in what is an important interleague series. Baltimore is playing impressive baseball of late, while St. Louis has really underperformed my expectations for them this year. The Orioles have a tremendous offense and it was like home run derby for them last night against the Cardinals. John Lackey is a decent starter, but I'm not sure he can quiet this red hot O's offense. Ubaldo Jimenez is a very inconsistent pitcher, and he's been bad at home this year. Both of these pitchers have fared poorly with umpire Laz Diaz behind the dish and he'll be there on Saturday.

The over is 6-0 in the Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a team with a winning record. The over is 7-1 in the Orioles last 8 interleague games vs. a righty. The over is 4-0 in Diaz's last 4 Saturday games behind the dish. A 22-1 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Jordan Zimmermann has been good to me in the last few years. He is an underrated starter who is quite consistent. The Mets offense is one of the weakest in the league. Jacob Degrom has been amazing in his rookie season for the Mets. Degrom has tremendous stuff, and he is quickly becoming a bigtime strikeout pitcher. Washington's offense hasn't been good against right-handed pitching this year, and they are without Ryan Zimmerman now. This is get away day, which usually means a key player or two will be left out of the starting lineup. Dan Iassogna has a large strike zone which will help both pitchers. 

The under is 4-0 in home plate umpire Iassogna's last 4 games. The under is 5-0-1 in Degrom's last 6 road starts. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 after the Mets scored 2 or less last game. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 when the team allows 5 runs or more last game. The under is 3-0-2 in Zimmerman's last 5 Thursday starts. A 23-0 angle. Take the under.  

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Atlanta Braves don't hit right-handed pitching well at all. The Seattle Mariners offense has been in a nasty funk of late. Both of these teams are very capable of struggling to put up runs, and they'll have tough matchups in this one. Julio Teheran has become a clear number one starter this year. Chris Young is great at Safeco Field as he induces the fly ball outs as well as anyone. It's also a get away day game, which means we might have some quality hitters taking the day off.

The under is 4-0-1 in Atlanta's last 5 Wednesday games. The under is 3-0-1 in the Braves last 4 interleague games. The under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 interleague road games. The under is 5-0 in Teheran's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the Mariners last 5 following a win. The under is 5-0-1 in Seattle's last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0-2 in their last 7 interleague home games. The under is 3-0-1 in Young's last 4 Wednesday starts. The under is 8-0-1 in Young's last 9 home starts with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts with 5 days rest. The under is 8-0 in his last 8 as a home underdog. The under is 10-0-1 in his last 11 home starts. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. A 72-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Colorado Rockies and Chicago Cubs meet at Coors Field Tuesday night. Chicago is offensively challenged in a big way. Coors Field should help them, but I like Brett Anderson and he has been throwing the ball well of late. Colorado's offense is a shell of its former self without Troy Tulowitzki. They may also be without second best hitter Carlos Gonzalez. Michael Cuddyer is still out as well. The total is set high because it's a game at Coors Field, but these two offenses aren't very good right now. I really feel like this total is too high, so even though it's a difficult bet to make, I'm taking the value play on the under. Take the under here. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Minnesota Twins offense isn't the same without Joe Mauer. San Diego's offense has been the worst in the majors by a mile all year. Phil Hughes is having a tremendous comeback season for the Twins. His ERA is much higher than it should be based on some terrible luck of late, but all his advanced metrics suggest he is a very good pitcher right now. Jesse Hahn has been excellent for the Padres, and San Diego's bullpen is one of the best in the league as well.

The under is 7-0-1 in the Padres last 8 interleague games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the AL Central. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a righty. The under is 5-0 in the Twins last 5 home games with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games at home vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 7-0-1 in Hughes' last 8 starts on 5 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 with a total set at 7 to 8.5. A 40-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Oakland Athletics and Tampa Bay Rays have both been playing well of late. Oakland's lineup isn't quite as strong now without Cespedes in the middle of the order, but they have a great pitching staff. Jeff Samardzija has a 2.45 ERA in his first three starts at Oakland. Alex Cobb has been great of late, and he's a young pitcher I'm high on. Cobb has a 2.34 ERA in six starts against Oakland, and he has a 1.80 ERA when pitching at Oakland. These guys are very capable of shutting down opposing offenses. Look for a low scoring game. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The New York Mets offense has been bad all year, and the San Francisco Giants offense has been very bad of late. Bartolo Colon has a 2.40 ERA in his career when pitching at Citi Field. Madison Bumgarner has a 1.29 ERA in his starts at Citi Field. This game has a pitcher's duel written all over it. Keep in mind that both of these bullpens are very good as well. The number is low, but it's low for a reason. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Doug Eddings will be the umpire here. The under is 16-6-1 in his last 23 as HP umpire. Eddings has been the best umpire in the league for many years, and his strikes called percentage shows that. Both pitchers will get the edges in this game. The under is 35-15-3 in Eddings' last 53 Sunday games. Yu Darvish is also pitching in this one and he is totally dominating with his amazing stuff. Bauer is an improving youngster and he'll go against a Rangers offense that is a mess right now. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* I'll start by saying I definitely don't like to make it a habit of playing an under that sits at 6, but in this case I do believe this will be a very low scoring game. Clayton Kershaw is on the mound for the Dodgers, and he is just out of this world good right now. Kershaw has allowed one run or less in 8 of his last 9 games. He is even better at home and the Braves may be without Jason Heyward in this one. Kershaw's consistency has been amazing. Julio Teheran is a pretty good pitcher himself, and this one has a low scoring affair written all over it. Kershaw consistently goes deep in games this year. Teheran might not, but the Braves have one of the best bullpens in the league. Even with the low number, I suggest a play on the under. Take the under here.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* It's King Felix against Corey Kluber in what should be a great pitcher's duel. Kluber hasn't been around as Felix, but he has been absolutely dominating of late. Kluber's strikeout numbers are jumping, and he showed how awesome can be in his CG last time out with no walks and 10 strikeouts and no earned runs allowed. Hernandez has been as consistent as you'll ever find this year. He's just putting up 7 or 8 innings and allowing one or two runs each time out. Both of these offenses are really down in the dumps right now. It's tough for them to string together big innings, and those are really hard to come by against these pitchers.

The under is 5-0 in Seattle's last 5 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a righty. The under is 5-0 in Hernandez's last 5 starts following a quality start. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 road starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 with the total set at 6.5 or lower. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 overall. The under is 5-0 in Cleveland's last 5 vs. the AL West. The under is 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 following a team loss. The under is 6-0-1 in Kluber's last 7 following 2 runs or less scored by Cleveland. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 47-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The San Francisco Giants offense has been absolutely terrible of late. They have some key injuries (Belt and Pagan), and they don't have good options to plug in when those guys are gone. In addition, other than Buster Posey and Hunter Pence the rest of this lineup hasn't been reliable this year. Charlie Morton has a nice 2.51 ERA in his career against the Giants. Tim Lincecum has pitched better this year, and he has a 2.61 ERA with HP umpire Culbreth in his career. Both of these teams have good bullpens as well.

The under is 4-0 in the Pirates last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games. The under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 following a win. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less. The under is 3-0-1 in the Giants last 4. The under is 4-0 in Lincecum's last 4 as a favorite. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two. The under is 5-0 in Morton's last 5 road starts in San Francisco. The under is 8-1 in his last 9 starts overall vs. the Giants. A 40-1 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets have both had some very low scoring games of late. These bullpens have been pitching well of late, and the offenses have been inconsistent. Overall, this Mets offense is one of the worst in the league. Jimmy Nelson is a young starter who will do some special things for Milwaukee in his career. I like his chances of taming this Mets lineup. Jacob DeGrom has been throwing it extremely well of rate. I like how often he is able to miss bats. A guy with the strikeout/walk ratio of DeGrom is likely going to have success against most teams. Dan Bellino is behind the plate here, and he has consistently had one of the biggest strike zones in the league, so he should help both pitchers. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona have been piling up the runs in this series. I don't see any reason to expect that to stop in this one. Vidal Nuno and Roberto Hernandez are two pitchers I've tried to fade this year, and they are squaring off against one another in this one. Nuno is highly prone to the long ball, and Philadelphia can be very tough on fly ball pitchers. Hernandez has been very fortunate and advanced metrics show him continuing to decline. These are two teams that have nothing to play for and two teams without a strong bullpen. These are things that can lead to a much higher scoring game as we get into the second half of the season. At 8.5, I like the value on this play. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The San Diego Padres have been an under machine all year. San Diego's offense has been on fire the last few days, but I'm not convinced they can keep it up. In fact, I think they are going to go back to being bad very soon. This is a historically bad offense, and they are short-handed now with some injured and some guys traded away. The Padres and Braves both have a good young starter going here in Despaigne vs. Teheran. These are up and comers who are capable of throwing a gem at any time. Atlanta struggles against right-handed pitching. 

The under is 11-0 in Teheran's last 11 home starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts after the Braves have scored 2 runs or less. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 games between these two. The under is 5-1 in the Padres last 6 Saturday games. A 24-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Seattle Mariners are playing bad baseball right now. They're on a poor run almost solely because of their offense. Robinson Cano is a very good hitter, but the lineup around him isn't good enough. Chris Young is a totally different pitcher when pitching at Safeco Field. Young is a fly ball pitcher, and it is very tough to hit a home run at Safeco. With the total set at 8, the value is on the under. 

The under is 5-0 in the Orioles last 5. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a righty. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the AL West. The under is 5-0 in the Mariners last 5 as a home favorite. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The under is 9-0-1 in Young's last 10 home starts. The under is 7-0-1 in his last 8 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 following a team loss. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 when his opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. The under is 5-0 in Norris' last 5 starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 Saturday starts. A 82-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Total Domination* The San Diego Padres exploded for 13 runs yesterday. San Diego has one of the worst offenses in the history of Major League Baseball. It might seem obvious, but I definitely believe a good time to look for value on an under with the Padres is after a rare offensive explosion. Atlanta will start Alex Wood in this one, and the Padres have been brutal against left-handed pitching this year. Jesse Hahn is a nice young pitcher or the Padres, and the Braves have struggled all year against righties. These are two of the best bullpens in baseball. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Corey Kluber is quickly becoming one of the best pitchers in the American League. Danny Duffy isn't quite at that level, but he has really matured in 2014. The Indians struggle badly against left-handed pitching, and Kluber has a solid history against Kansas City. Both of these offenses run very hot and cold, and they have both been cold of late. These two teams are jockeying for position in the AL Central, and this has a feel of a low scoring close game. 

The under is 4-0 in the Indians last 4 vs. a lefty. The under is 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 road starts. The under is 5-0-1 in Kluber's last 6 starts after Cleveland scores 2 runs or less. The under is 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 road starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The under is 5-0 in the Royals last 5. The under is 7-0 in the Royals last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less. The under is 4-0 in the Royals last 4 games with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The under is 6-0 in Duffy's last 6 starts. The under is 6-0 in Duffy's last 6 starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The under is 4-0 in Duffy's last 4 starts following a quality start. The under is 6-0 in the Royals last 6 vs. the AL Central. The under is 4-0 in Duffy's last 4 vs. the AL Central. The under is 4-0 in the Royals last 4 as an underdog. A 63-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* For those of you who have read my writeups consistently over the past few years, you know that I closely follow umpire tendencies. Paul Schreiber is the single best over umpire in all of baseball. His strike zone is extremely small, and it's very likely that both starting pitchers in this one will get frustrated at the calls sometime during the contest. Scott Feldman has an ERA of 6.75 with Schreiber behind home plate. Jeff Samardzija has an ERA of 4.70 with Schreiber. Feldman has also been terrible against Oakland. He has a 6.10 ERA against Oakland, and an 8.39 ERA at Oakland. The ball flies much better during the daytime in Oakland.

The over is 4-0 in Feldman's last 4 starts after the Astros scored 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0 in the Astros last 4 during game 3 of a series. The over is 6-0 in Feldman's last 6 games following a quality start. The over is 3-0-1 in Schreiber's last 4 games behind home plate. The over is 5-1 in Oakland's last 6 home games. In all a 22-1 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Cincinnati Reds offense is a mess right now. Joey Votto is the heart and soul of the lineup and he's out and Brandon Phillips (who is a great run producer) is out as well. Zack Cozart is one of the worst hitting shortstops in baseball and he is hitting second in the Reds order right now. Jimmy Nelson is a very highly rated prospect who I expect will do very well in his career, and I like his chances of bouncing back from a poor start last time out. Homer Bailey started slowly, but he has come on nicely in the last couple months. He is a quality pitcher who is entering his prime right now. Nice number here. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Miami Marlins offense isn't as good as they appeared in the first half of the season. Miami doesn't have many reliable run producers, and I see them coming back down to earth offensively. The Giants offense is better than last year, but they aren't nearly as consistent as the best offenses in baseball. Tim Hudson has been great for the Giants this year. He has had some minor speed bumps of late, but I expect a solid outing here. Henderson Alvarez has been tremendous this year, and he is much better at home. A pitching duel is likely here. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Seattle Mariners and Oakland Athletics typically play a bunch of low scoring games to start with, and we're getting two underrated pitchers in this one. Chris Young really knows how to pitch at Safeco. Young is a fly ball pitcher, and Safeco is a place where fly balls go to die. Young has a 2.81 career ERA at Safeco. He also has a great 2.52 ERA against Oakland. Sonny Gray is a tremendous young pitcher who has pitched well on the road. Gray has a stellar 1.44 ERA in four career starts against Seattle. He has 0.75 ERA at Safeco. With two great bullpens behind them, there is good reason to believe this one will be low scoring.

The under is 4-0-1 in the A's last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more last game. The under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 as a favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 4-0-1 in the Mariners last 5 as a home underdog. The under is 8-0-1 in Young's last 9 starts on 4 days of rest. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 home starts as an underdog. The under is 6-0-1 in his last 7 home starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The under is 7-0 in his last 7 starts as an underdog. The under is 5-0-1 in his last 6 starts vs. AL West. The under is 8-0-1 in his last 9 home starts. The under is 7-0 in his last 7 starts with the total set at 7 to 8.5. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 following a quality start. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 during game three of a series. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Young's last 4 starts when Seattle's opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. A 76-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Cleveland Indians offense has been significantly better at home versus on the road. Scott Carroll is coming off a masterful performance against the Red Sox, but his past tells me he's unlikely to duplicate that effort in this one. Carroll has never been very good even in the minor leagues. Zach McCallister has an ERA of almost 6 this season, and he has never pitched well at Progressive Field. The over is 20-7 in the Indians last 27 home games. With these two pitchers on the mound, there is a good chance we will see quite a few runs in this one. Take the over.

*5 Star MLB TOP Play Total* The New York Mets and Miami Marlins square off on Friday night. These teams have a long history of playing low scoring games against each other. Miami's offense was decent earlier this year, but they are coming back to earth. The Mets offense has been bad all year. On the other hand, the Mets have been getting surprisingly nice bullpen work. Henderson Alvarez has a 2.21 ERA in 6 starts against the Mets in his career. He has a nice 1.38 ERA at Citi Field. Wheeler has a sparkling 0.96 ERA in four career starts against the Marlins. This game has a pitcher's duel written all over it.

The under is 3-0-1 in Wheeler's last 4 starts vs. Miami. The under is 4-0-1 in Alvarez's last 5 starts vs. the Mets. The under is 13-2-2 in the last 17 meetings between these teams. A 20-2 angle. Take the under big! 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Edinson Volquez and Shelby Miller are both on my fade list right now, and that makes this over a play for me. Volquez is one of the most inconsistent pitchers in all of Major League Baseball. Volquez has pitched great in his last three outings, but that doesn't mean much here. What means more to me is his career 6.91 ERA when pitching at St. Louis. Shelby Miller was awesome in his rookie season last year, but his mechanics appear off this year and he has been struggling no matter where he pitches of late. Miller has a 4.70 ERA against Pittsburgh. There should be plenty of scoring opportunities for both teams. Take the over here. 

*4 Star MLB Oddsmaker ERROR* The Cleveland Indians offense is much better on their home field. Cleveland lost a heartbreaker last night against the Yankees, and they need this one to win the series. Cleveland averages 4.60 runs against right-handed pitching, and David Phelps is nothing better than mediocre. The Yankees bullpen isn't very good either. Cleveland's T.J. House is a fill-in starter who allows at least 3 or 4 runs every game up to this point. The Yankees have struggled against righties, but they average 4.43 runs per game against left-handed pitching. This total should probably be 9, so we're getting solid value here. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Boston Red Sox offense is 27th in the league in runs scored. That's truly amazing when you consider the expectations that were there for this lineup in the preseason. Chris Sale has a career ERA of 0.71 against Boston, and he'll have some extra motivation here. For some ridiculous reason, John Farrell left Chris Sale off the All-Star roster and now he is in the final vote. Sale absolutely deserves to be on the team, and he'll get to show Farrell in person on Wednesday night. Boston's lineup has been in a massive slump of late, and it's hard to imagine them coming out of that slump against one of the best pitchers in baseball. Rubby De La Rosa has a career ERA at Fenway of 0.48 (22 innings). De La Rosa has thrown very well overall this year, and this White Sox lineup is no better than mediocre. A huge benefit here is having Doug Eddings behind the dish. Eddings is calling about 65% of pitches a strike, which is 2-3% higher than some other umpires. That 2 or 3% makes a huge difference. Eddings is probably the single best under umpire in the game today.

The under is 6-0 in Sale's last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. The under is 4-0 in Sales' last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 3-0-1 in De La Rosa's last 4 starts as an underdog. The under is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts overall. A 17-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Seattle Mariners and Minnesota Twins have two of the worst offenses in baseball to start with and they are both short-handed right now. The Twins are really in bad shape without Joe Mauer in the lineup. Minnesota looked hapless last night in Seattle and Chris Young is liable to make them look that bad again. Young is great at utilizing the big park in Seattle and getting long fly ball outs. The Twins have very little pop in their lineup right now. Phil Hughes loves pitching at Safeco too. He has a sparkling 0.82 ERA in his career there. Both bullpens have been throwing very well of late too.

The under is 4-0 in the Mariners last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 as a favorite. The under is 7-0-1 in Young's last 8 home starts. The under is 5-0 in Young's last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 following a quality start. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 during game 2 of a series. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the AL West. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter. A 50-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Colorado Rockies are in a horrible tailspin right now. Without Carlos Gonzalez and Michael Cuddyer the offense isn't as dangerous, and the pitching staff has been horrible. Tyler Matzek has actually been their best pitcher of late, though I don't fully trust him either. The only reason I like him in this matchup is he is up against a San Diego lineup that bats less than .200 as a team against lefties. That is just amazing and pathetic really. Ian Kennedy had a career 2.88 ERA against the Colorado Rockies. He has a very nice 3.56 ERA at Coors Field. A total of 10.5 here is just too much. Kennedy is good and the Padres bullpen is great. The Padres bats are terrible. 

The under is 4-0 in the Padres last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more last game. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in the Padres last 4 during game one of a series. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing road record. The under is 8-0 in Kennedy's last 8 starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts following a quality start. The under is 5-0 in Kennedy's last 5 starts as a road underdog. The under is 2-0-2 in Matzek's last 5 starts. A 35-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Chicago Cubs just traded away two very good pitchers, but let's not forget about Jake Arrieta. Arrieta is having a stellar season in 2014. He has a highly touted prospect in Baltimore, but never reached his potential. He's doing that and more in Chicago now. He is now throwing an amazing cutter that has made all the difference in the world. Arrieta has a 1.81 ERA, and it is no fluke based on advanced metrics either. Jordan Zimmmermann is a very solid starter who is consistently very good. He gives a quality start almost every time out on the mound. These are two offenses that don't hit right-handed pitchers well either. Look for both pitchers to go deep into this one and throw it well.

The under is 7-1-3 in Zimmermann's last 10 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. The under is 4-0-2 in Arrieta's last 6 starts. The under is 4-0-2 in his last 6 starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 4-0-1 in Zimmermann's last 5 starts when the opponent allows 5 runs or more last game. A 19-1 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Los Angeles Angels offense is much better now that Josh Hamilton is healthy and back in the lineup. Mike Trout is the best all around player in the game, and he continues to shine on a nightly basis. Scott Feldman is a pitcher I like to fade when given the right opportunity. Feldman has a 7.24 ERA with HP umpire Adrian Johnson in his career. He also has a 5.44 ERA in his career when pitching in Anaheim. Hector Santiago isn't really a guy that can be trusted either though. He has a 5.19 ERA against Houston. The Astros are a much better lineup against lefties than righties. Both of these bullpens are terrible. Houston's bullpen is dead last in the majors and the Angels are 24th out of 30 teams. Nice value here. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Cleveland Indians offense has been much better at home than on the road this year. Kansas City's offense slumbered through the first couple months, but they have been on fire of late. With Jeremy Guthrie and T.J. House toeing the rubber here, I can't understand why we see a posted total of only 8. I think this one should be at 9. Guthrie has a 6.48 ERA in his career with HP umpire Guccione in his career. He also has a 6.38 ERA pitching at Progressive Field. T.J. House has a 4.28 ERA, and he's less than dominating in his rookie year. There's no reason to expect either offense to get shut down in this one, especially with an umpire behind the plate who will make the pitchers work as he denies them the corners of the strike zone. 

The over is 4-0 in the Indians last 4 as a home favorite. The over is 4-0 in the Indians last 4 home games vs. a righty. The over is 10-1 in Cleveland's last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. An 18-1 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Felix Hernandez is throwing the ball better this year than he has at any other time during his career, and that is definitely saying something considering the type of career he has had. Hernandez has struggled when pitching at US Cellular in the past, but that was against better White Sox lineups. In recent weeks, the White Sox lineup has started to show their true colors, and I don't like their chances against King Felix. Jose Quintana went through a bad stretch a few weeks ago, but his last two outings have been great. The Mariners have been having trouble hitting lefties in the past month. Cool weather in Chicago will allow the park to hold more fly balls than normal.

The under is 6-0 in Seattle's last 6 road games vs. a lefty. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the AL Central. The under is 5-0-2 in Quintana's last 7 Saturday starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 as a dog of +110 to +150. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a home underdog. A 24-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Minnesota Twins offense isn't even close to the same without Joe Mauer in the lineup. This is a lineup that has been struggling even with him in the middle of the order, and I expect for things to get even worse without him. Chase Whitley has struggled in his last couple outings, but advanced statistics suggest he has gotten some bad luck of late. Whitley is a solid young pitcher, and I like this matchup for him. Kyle Gibson starts for the Twins. Gibson has a tremendous 1.5 ERA at home this year. The Yankees have had trouble against right-handed pitching all season long. Relatively cool weather and a nice breeze blowing in towards home plate will help here as well. The under is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 Friday games. The under is 4-0 in the Yankees last 4 games following a win. The under is 4-0 in the Yankees last 4 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5 runs.The under is 5-0 in Gibson's last 5 starts on 4 days of rest. An 18-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Chicago Cubs pounded out 16 runs in their series finale in Boston Wednesday night. That isn't the norm for the Cubs' offense though, and I see no reason to expect their offensive explosion to continue. Tanner Roark starts here for the Nationals, and he has been lights out at home. In his career, he has a 1.28 ERA when pitching in Washington. Jason Hammel pitches for the Cubs. Hammel is having the best season of his career, and he is likely to be traded before the deadline. This is a big ballpark to start with, and the wind is expected to be blowing in at about 10-15 mph throughout this game. Both offenses struggle against right-handed pitchers. The under is 7-1-1 in Roark's last 9 home starts. The under is 4-0-1 in the Cubs last 5 games as a road underdog. The under is 3-0-1 in the Nationals last 4 games when their opponent has allowed 5 runs or more in the previous game. A 14-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The San Francisco Giants are really struggling to put up runs of late. The Giants were shut out last night by Adam Wainwright and the Cardinals, and San Francisco has been shut out in 2 of their last 3 games and 3 of their last 9. The Cardinals offense hasn't been any better. St. Louis has been shut out three times in their last six contests, and they have only scored more than two runs one time in their last six games. St. Louis struggles badly against lefties on the year, and they'll face a very good lefty here in Madison Bumgarner. Bumgarner is one of the top five lefties in the majors in my book. Carlos Martinez is a solid young pitcher who shows a lot of promise. Ron Kulpa is the home plate umpire here, and he has a huge strike zone. Bumgarner has a sparkling 0.32 ERA in his career with Kulpa behind the dish. That means he has allowed only one run in 28 and 1/3 innings. Expect a low scoring affair.

The under is 6-0-1 in the Cardinals last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. The under is 2-0-2 in Martinez's last 4 starts. The under is 4-0 in the Giants last 4 when their opponent scores two runs or less. The under is 11-1 in the Cardinals last 12 games vs. a team with a winning record. A 23-1 angle. Take the under.  

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Hiroki Kuroda has a ridiculous 6.94 ERA in his career against Tampa Bay. No other team has blasted him the way the Rays have. Tampa Bay's offense is slowly showing signs of coming back to life. David Price isn't having a dominating season, and he is only mediocre in his career at Yankee Stadium. The weather is a factor here. A temperature in the mid 80's and wind blowing out 15 mph at gametime is a recipe for a lot of long fly balls that turn into home runs. Both bullpens are subpar as well. With the total set this low, I'm taking the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Jorge De La Rosa and Yovani Gallardo will start here for the Rockies and Brewers respectfully. Both of these guys have struggled badly against the lineup they must face on Sunday afternoon. The Colorado Rockies are playing some horrible baseball of late, but it really hasn't been because of a lack of offense. Colorado should be able to put up a few runs against Gallardo. De La Rosa has struggled all season, and the Brewers offense is locked in of late. The Rockies bullpen is horrible so there shouldn't be any relief there.

The over is 3-0-2 in De La Rosa's last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 runs. The over is 4-0-1 in his last 5 road starts. The over is 3-0-1 in his last 4 starts against the NL Central. The over is 5-0-2 in his last 7 road starts versus a team with a winning record. A 15-0 record here. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Texas Rangers are struggling offensively of late. Luckily for them they do have Yu Darvish on the hill in this one. That means they should have a fighting chance to win even if their bats struggle. Phil Hughes has been amazing this year, and I was very surprised to see how well he has pitched against Texas in the past. Hughes has a sparkling 2.09 ERA against Texas in his career. Even more impressive is his 1.52 ERA at Texas. Yu Darvish has a 2.92 ERA against Minnesota, and Darvish has been at his best this year. Both these starters have shut down type of stuff.

The under is 6-0 in the Twins last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The under is 5-0 in the Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0-1 in Hughes' last 5 starts on 5 days of rest. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 starts during game 2 of the series. The under is 3-0-1 in Texas' last 4 as a favorite. The under is 6-1 in Darvish's last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 9-1-1 in the Twins last 11 games following a loss. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams in Texas. A 40-2 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The St. Louis Cardinals have struggled badly against left-handed pitching all season long. Ryu is one of the top left-handed pitchers in the league. This is a guy who is dominating even more this year than he did last season. Ryu is particularly special when pitching at Dodger Stadium. Remember, at night this a very pitcher-friendly ballpark. Carlos Martinez will start for the Cardinals and I'm pretty high on his potential. The Dodgers will likely be without Hanley Ramirez again, and he is a vital part of this offense. Last night these teams played to a 1-0 final. I expect another low scoring game here.

The under is 7-0 in the Cardinals last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in the Cards last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less. The under is 3-0-1 in the Cardinals last when their opponent scored 2 or less last game. The under is 3-0-1 in Ryu's last 4 starts. The under is 4-0 in the Dodgers last 4 vs. the NL Central. A 21-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Hiroki Kuroda has been the Yankees most consistent pitcher the last couple years, but he is showing signs of breaking down. Kuroda is 39 years old, so it shouldn't come as a big surprise. Kuroda is having his worst season as Yankee this year. He has struggled in the past in Toronto too. He has a career 5.65 ERA at the Rogers Centre. Drew Hutchison has an ERA of slightly higher than 8 at home this year. He also has an ERA above 7 in his career against the Yankees. This Yankees offense is showing signs of coming together of late. This is a low total for two solid offenses.

The over is 4-0 in the Yankees last 4 during game 3 of a series. The over is 3-0-1 in Kuroda's last 4 starts on astroturf. The over is 4-0 in the Blue Jays last 4 vs. the AL East. The over is 6-1 in the Jays last 7 overall. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 21-1 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Texas Rangers hit .275 against left-handed pitchers. Texas scores almost 6 runs per game against lefties on the year. They'll also have plenty of chances to score on a bad Detroit bullpen. On the other side, I see tons of chances for Detroit's very good lineup to score on Colby Lewis and a bad Rangers bullpen as well. Lewis has a 6.02 ERA in his career against Detroit, and he is on the downswing in his career as well. Detroit is very capable of putting up a big number on their own here.

The over is 4-0 in the Tigers last 4 following a win. The over is 10-1 in the Tigers last 11 road games vs. a righty. The over is 4-0 in Smyly's last 4 road starts with a total at 9 or higher. The over is 4-0 in Texas' last 4 games vs. a lefty. The over is 5-0 in Lewis' last 5 starts. The over is 3-0-1 in Lewis' last 4 home starts with a total of 9 or higher. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 34-1 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Max Scherzer won the Sy Young award last season, but this season has been a struggle. Scherzer has been way off his game in the past month. For his career, Scherzer has a 4.99 ERA when pitching in Cleveland. This Indians lineup has done well against him in the past, and I expect several runs from them here. Josh Tomlin pitches for the Indians in this contest, and he has a 5.40 ERA in his career against Detroit. This Tigers lineup is one of the best in baseball.  A total set at 8 is just too low. 

The over is 4-0 in Detroit's last 4 road games vs. a team with a home win percentage of 60% or higher. The over is 6-0 in Cleveland's last 6 home games vs. a team with a road win percentage of 60% or higher. The over is 4-0 in Tomlin's last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in Tomlin's last 5 after the Indians allowed at least 5 runs last game. The over is 7-0 in the last 7 games between these two in Cleveland. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 meetings overall. A 32-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* Nick Martinez never pitched in AAA. He made the jump from AA and looked solid in the early going this season, but Martinez has really hit the skids of late. This Angels lineup is packed full of power, and I expect them to get lots of base runners against Martinez. Jered Weaver isn't the pitcher he used to be, and the Rangers are certainly capable of putting several runs on the board. Both of these bullpins are subpar, and that helps our cause. Warm weather and wind blowing out to center field is another big factor here. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* To say Justin Verlander has slipped is a massive understatement. Verlander has totally fallen off a cliff this year and he's been particularly bad in recent weeks. He isn't as bad as he has pitched of late, but he certainly isn't the pitcher he used to be. Verlander has actually struggled quite a bit with the Indians in the past, even when he has been excellent. Trevor Baeur is nothing better than an average pitcher and I don't see him quieting this strong Tigers lineup. The Tigers pen is the worst in the majors, and that could play a role here too.

The over is 4-0 in Verlander's last 4 on 4 days of rest. The over is 7-0 in his last 7 starts. The over is 5-0 in his last 5 road starts. The over is 5-0 in his last 5 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 7-0 in the Indians last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 games at Cleveland between these teams. A 39-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Totals Take Down* Mike Leake has always struggled at Great American Ballpark. Leake has pitched well on the road, but he seems to consistently get into trouble when pitching at home. Toronto's offense was slumping until last night, but they broke out with 14 runs in last night's comeback victory. The Blue Jays have tons of guys who can take advantage of this small ballpark especially on a warm summer day. J.A. Happ has bad career numbers against the Reds, and the Reds lineup has gotten healthy. Expect both teams to put up quite a few runs here. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB UNBEATEN Total* The Miami Marlins and New York Mets have a long track record of playing low scoring games against each other. There will be two quality youngsters on the mound in Koehler and DeGrom in this one. Koehler pitches much better on his home field, and his track record against the Mets is amazing. In 9 games against the Mets in his young career, he has a 2.47 ERA. DeGrom has very good stuff and is coming off his worst start of the year. I expect a bounceback. Ron Kulpa is behind the dish here, and he is one of the best under umpires in the business. 

The under is 6-0-1 in the Mets last 7. The under is 8-0-1 in their last 9 games with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games. The under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 as an underdog of +110 to +150. The under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 2-0-2 in DeGrom's last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Koehler's last 4 vs. the NL East. The under is 7-0-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams in Miami. The under is 4-0 in Koehler's last 4 starts vs. the Mets. A 45-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Totals TKO* Chris Young has pitched great in Seattle, but on the road he struggles. He'll be up against a Kansas City lineup that is as hot as anyone in baseball. The Royals have excelled all year against right-handed pitchers. Jason Vargas pitches for the Royals here, and he is also due for some regression.  Robinson Cano has torched Vargas in the past, and he should help the Mariners take advantage of scoring chances in this one. Scott Barry is the home plate umpire for this one, and he has a small strike zone. The weather should help too with the temperature in the low 90's and win blowing out. Expect plenty of runs. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION Play* The Miami Marlins offense started out on fire this year, but they have been slowly regressing back toward where they should be of late. This Miami offense is certainly better than they have been, but they also aren't as good as they looked earlier this year. Dice K has pitched pretty well this year, and the Mets bullpen is the most improved in baseball from last year. Miami's Henderson Alvarez has an ERA well below 2 at home this year. The Mets offense is terrible, and the Marlins and Mets have a nice history of low scoring games.

The under is 7-0-1 in the Mets last 8 games with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 5-0-1 in the Mets last 6 games. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 following a win. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 vs. a right-handed starter. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 as an underdog. The under is 3-0-1 in Alvarez's last 4 home starts. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 home starts with a total of 8 or lower.The under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 between these teams in Miami. The under is 3-0-1 in Alvarez's last 4 starts vs. the Mets. A 42-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Alfredo Simon has certainly pitched his best baseball of his career so far this year, but there's no doubt he is due for some serious regression. Simon's ERA is just 2.95 for the year, but his FIP is 4.48. Simon has benefited from a ridiculously low batting average on balls in play against him (.242). The league average is near .300. The Pirates offense has heated up in a big way of late. Cincinnati's offense is much much better with Joey Votto and Jay Bruce healthy. Todd Frazier is swinging it really well too. Edinson Volquez's control problems hurt him a lot against deep lineups like the Reds. A total set at just 7.5 with two pitchers I'm low on equals a strong over play for me. Take the over here. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Chicago White Sox start Chris Sale in this one. Sale has essentially had one hiccup all year and that was the bad inning in LA when Mike Trout hit a grand slam off him. Sale has totally dominated the majority of the time this year. Sale is looking like a top five pitcher in the majors. What about Tim Hudson? Hudson is having a fantastic season in 2014. Hudson has a 1.81 ERA, and he has been remarkably consistent. The White Sox lineup has cooled off in a big way over the past few games, and between Hudson and this Giants bullpen I expect another poor game from the Sox offense. 

The under is 5-0 in Sale's last 5 home starts with the total at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 5-0 in the White Sox last 5 games when their opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. The under is 5-0 in Sale's last 5 home starts overall. The under is 5-0 in Sale's last 5 as a favorite. A 20-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Chase Field is a hitter's paradise with the roof open. The roof is scheduled to be open in this one despite the temperature being about 100 degrees at gametime. The dry heat really helps the ball fly well. Kyle Lohse is a solid pitcher, but he has struggled with homers here at Chase Field in the past. Last year he allowed three home runs in one outing at Chase Field. Wade Miley is allowing 1.5 HR's per 9 innings, and Miley has been much worse when the roof is open over the course of his career. Milwaukee's offense is very good this year with Braun, Ramirez, Gomez, and solid production from guys like Segura and Davis. The DBacks have been able to score at home. This total is set awfully low for a game with the roof open at Chase Field.

The over is 4-0-1 in Lohse's last 5 starts following a quality start. The over is 5-0 in Arizona's last 5. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a right-handed starter. A 26-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star Sunday Night Baseball CASH* The Atlanta Braves and Los Angeles Angels played into the 13th inning last night. There's a lot of tired arms in the bullpen going into this one. Hector Santiago and Mike Minor have both struggled to get past the 6th inning, and that could be a problem here with the tired pens. The Braves offense has an OBP of 40 points higher against left-handed pitchers than righties. The Angels are also very good against lefties. With a healthy Josh Hamilton added to the lineup, the Angels offense is one of the best in baseball. Mike Trout is locking back in, and Albert Pujols is seeing it well too. A total set this low is usually saved for two very good pitchers matching up, and I don't think that's the case here. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Houston Astros and Tampa Bay Rays have two of the worst offenses in baseball. Both of them have been ice cold at the plate of late. Tampa Bay did hit it better yesterday, but Jarred Cosart is a solid young pitcher for the Astros. Chris Archer has been amazing in three straight starts, and he should quiet this Astros lineup. I don't see either offense breaking out of a funk with this matchup. Look for a low scoring ugly game from the two offenses. 

The under is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 road games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a righty. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 on grass. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 as a favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 5-0 in Archer's last 5 starts. The under is 6-0 in Houston's last 6 home games vs. a righty. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 overall vs. a right-hander. The under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series. The under is 4-0 in the last  meetings between these teams. A 60-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Houston Astros offense is still one of the worst in baseball. Tampa Bay's offense has been worse than anyone in baseball over the last few weeks. These are teams that really struggle to string together hits. Alex Cobb hasn't been sharp in his last couple outings, but I believe he is a very good young pitcher and I like his chances to turn his luck around against Houston. Collin McHugh has been a great surprise for Houston and he punches out a lot of guys, so he should match up well against the Rays.

The under is 6-0 in Tampa Bay's last 6 road games. The under is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 as a road favorite. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 4-0 in The Rays last 4 as a road favorite. The under is 4-0 in Cobb's last 4 starts as a road favorite. The under is 5-0 in Houston's last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. A 37-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Kansas City Royals haven't hit left-handed pitching well at all this year. Jose Quintana has turned into a nice left-handed starter for the White Sox. Quintana has been remarkably consistent this year, but he is actually coming off one of his worst outings. Look for a bounce back from him. Jeremy Guthrie is no better than mediocre, but his numbers against the White Sox are great. The weather here should help as it will be a cool night (mid 50's) and the wind will be blowing in from center.

The under is 3-0-2 in KC's last 5 Friday games. The under is 5-0 in Guthrie's last 5 starts. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 6-0 in the White Sox last 6 vs. a team with a losing road record. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows less than 2 runs in their last game. The under is 4-0 in Quintana's last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. The under is 3-0-1 in Quintana's last 4 following a White Sox loss. The under is 5-0 in Quintana's last 5 starts vs. the Royals. The under is 4-0 in Guthrie's last 4 starts at Chicago. A 45-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Houston Astros will start Dallas Keuchel in this one. Keuchel has progessively become the team's ace. He has a ground ball rate of over 65%, which means it is very tough to hit a home run against him. His consistency over his last few outings has been amazing. He is pitching deep into the games which helps us avoid the bad Astros bullpen. Arizona starts Brandon McCarthy here and he has pitched into bad luck this year. Opponents batting average on balls in play is far above the league average against him. George Springer is questionable in this one for Houston, and he has become their best hitter already. 

The under is 4-0-1 in Arizona's last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The under is 4-0 in the DBacks last 4 interleague games. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5. The under is 4-0 in McCarthy's last 4 starts during game three of a series. The under is 4-0 in the Astros last 4 home games vs. a right-handed pitcher. The under is 4-0 in Houston's last 4 interleague games. The under is 3-0-1 in Keuchel's last 4 when the opponent allows 2 runs or less last game. The under is 9-0 in home plate umpire Al Porter's last 9 games behind the plate. A 40-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Johnny Cueto and Hyun-Jin Ryu are fully capable of producing a masterpiece of a pitching duel. These guys both have shut down stuff, and they are in great form. Ryu has a 0.95 ERA on the road this year. He had a perfect game through seven innings in his first outing against these Reds this year. Cincinnati is batting just .214 as a team against lefties this year. Cueto has a 1.97 ERA overall this year, and he's been one of the most consistent pitchers in baseball. Don't be surprised if we see a 2-1 type of game here. Take the under in this contest. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Toronto Blue Jays offense has finally cooled off a bit of late. Toronto's offense is very good, but they aren't as good as they looked for a few weeks in May. Phil Hughes has been a huge surprise this year for the Twins. Hughes has a 2.45 ERA on the road this season. He has really commanded his pitches extremely well this season. The youngster Marcus Stroman starts for Toronto here. Stroman has exceptional stuff and he has potential to be a star in the future. This Twins lineup isn't anything special, and they have cooled off of late as well. This is a get away day game in the early afternoon, which often means a couple regular players get the day off. It can mean quick innings late in the game as well. 

The under is 6-0-2 in the Twins last 8 games with the total set at 9 to 10.5 runs. The under is 5-0 in the Jays last 5 with the total set at 9 to 10.5 runs. The under is 5-0 in the Jays last 5 overall. The under is 6-0 in the Jays last 6 home games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 as a favorite. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a righty. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record. A 39-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star Spurs/Heat Total CASH* I took the under in Game Two and it cashed in by five points despite the Heat shooting 52% from the floor and the Spurs knocking down 12 three-point shots. The pace of these games has been plenty slow, and even with high shooting numbers the under is showing value. If the shooting percentages come down to a more normalized number, I would expect the game to stay well under the posted total. The under is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings between these two in Miami. Both teams can't keep shooting it great forever. Remember, these are two very good defensive teams as well. Take the under here. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Tom Koehler is a guy who pitched extremely well early in the season, but lately the signs of regression are clear. Koehler relies on deception and major league teams are now getting a good look at what he does. I don't see his positive run continuing. Colby Lewis has an ERA above 7 at home this year, and he has always struggled pitching in Texas' hitter friendly ballpark. The wind will be blowing out on another warm night in Texas here. The Rangers lost 17-7 on Monday night to Cleveland. I don't expect another one like that, but I do like the over.

The over is 7-0 in the Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 3-0-3 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. The over is 4-0 in the Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 8-0 in Texas' last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 during game one of a series. The over is 5-0 in Lewis' last 5 interleague starts. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. A 40-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Milwaukee Brewers bats are red hot of late. The over is 13-3-2 in the Brewers last 18 games. DiceK will be on the mound for the Mets, and he hasn't proven himself in quite a while. The Brewers will be patient and force some long at bats here. If they get to the bullpen early, that's a weakness for the Mets. Marco Estrada has been a disappointment this year. He hasn't been good against anyone of late. The wind will be blowing out slightly for this game as well. A total set this low is just too low with these guys on the mound. Take the over. 

*4 Star Heat/Spurs Total CASH* The San Antonio Spurs and Miami Heat combined to hit 25 three-point shots in Game One. The posted total still only finished over this number by six points. The Spurs shot 59 percent from the floor in that game. Those kind of shooting numbers can't be expected again. The posted total here is several points too high. Keep in mind these teams were very similar in last year's NBA Finals, and the totals were set around 190 for each game. The public likes the over because of all the points from game one, and that gives us a chance to take the value side. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Jose Quintana has very quietly become a solid pitcher. He allowed no earned runs in his last appearance against the Dodgers. He has only allowed more than 3 earned runs in a game once all season. That is impressive consistency. C.J. Wilson has a career ERA of 3.00 against the White Sox. This White Sox lineup isn't as good as it showed earlier this year, and teams are finally figuring out how to get out Jose Abreu. The under is 5-0 in Quintana's last 5 Sunday starts. The under is 15-6 in his last 21 overall. Solid value here. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Baltimore and Oakland have very solid offenses. The weather is heating up in Baltimore, and this is a park where runs can be put up in a hurry with hot weather and the right conditions. The temperature will be in the mid 80's here with the wind blowing out at about 10 mph. Adrian Johnson is a big over umpire and he'll be behind the plate here. The Orioles have guys who hit lefties well so they should get to Kazmir some here. Jimenez is a walks machine and I expect the A's to take advantage of some of those free passes. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Dallas Keuchel and Phil Hughes might not be on the radar for the casual fan of baseball this year, but these guys are both pitching very well right now. Keuchel is racking up ground ball outs at a record pace (65.5% ground balls this year so far). Hughes has been awesome and has started to show that form the Yankees knew he had many years ago. The Twins are awful against lefties and this Astros offense just isn't very good in general. Both of these pitchers have been going very deep in games of late, which makes me feel stronger about this game. 

The under is 5-0 in the Astros last 5 games against right-handed pitching. The under is 4-0-1 in Keuchel's last 5 starts. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 as an underdog. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 following a quality start. The under is 3-0-1 in Hughes' last 4 starts. An 18-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Tampa Bay Rays offense has finally shown signs of life the last two days. They are slowly getting healthy. Getting Ben Zobrist back in the lineup was huge for them. Chris Young has been great at home, but on the road he isn't the same. Young is due for some regression as well based on the ridiculous amount of luck he's had on batted balls in play. Erik Bedard pitched well early this year, but I expected him to fall apart at some point. He has an ERA of just above 7 in his last three starts. The Mariners have been good against lefties this year. This total is set too low. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Boston Red Sox and Detroit Tigers meet Friday night in a rematch of last year's ALCS. Both teams come skidding into this game. Boston has been disappointing all year, while the Tigers have played bad baseball in the last couple weeks. These are still two very talented offenses that are tough to tame. Drew Smyly isn't pitching well of late, and the Red Sox have been terrific against lefties for the past couple seasons. De La Rosa is a decent prospect, but he'll be up agianst one of the best lineups in baseball here. A total of just 8 with these two offenses is awfully low unless there are elite pitchers on the mound. That isn't the case here. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Minnesota Twins and Milwaukee Brewers head back to Minnesota for this rivalry series to be continued on Wednesday. Ricky Nolasco and Marco Estrada have both struggled in a big way this year. Estrada consistently gives up 3 or 4 runs in 6 innings, which isn't good enough. Estrada also has a 6.11 ERA in his career against Minnesota. Nolasco starts for the Twins and he has a 5.70 ERA this year. In his career, Nolasco has a 7.58 ERA in 8 career starts against Milwaukee. The Brewers get back Aramis Ramirez, so their offense will be in much better shape now. There should be plenty of scoring opportunities for both teams in this one.

The over is 6-0-1 in the Brewers last 7 as a favorite of -110 to -150. The over is 3-0-2 in the Brewers last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more last game. The over is 2-0-2 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. The over is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games overall. A 22-1 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Tom Koehler has made a habit of pitching quality games thanks to his deceptive delivery. David Price hasn't been his normal self this year, but his peripherals suggest he's been getting some bad luck. I've been saying for a while that this Miami offense wasn't as good as they showed early in the year, and that has been starting to show up on the field. Tampa Bay hasn't scored more than 2 runs in any of their last six games. With Adam Hamari behind the plate, the pitchers have an umpire who will give them the corners. Plenty of reasons to like the under. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Tampa Bay Rays offense has been in a horrible slump of late. It doesn't help that Wil Myers is now out of the lineup as is Ryan Hanigan. Tampa Bay hasn't scored more than 2 runs in any of their last five games. They could only muster up 5 hits and one run last night despite going against Randy Wolf. This time around they'll be up against the talented Henderson Alvarez. Alvarez is coming into his own as a pitcher of late. The Rays start Chris Archer, who has an electric fastball. Miami's offense isn't as good as their numbers from this year suggest. I expect regression from their offense in the weeks ahead. Vic Carapazza is behind the plate here, and he has one of the biggest strike zones in the league. Alvarez has thrown 15 innings with him behind the dish and has given up only one run. 

The under is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. The under is 3-0 in Alvarez's last 3 Tuesday starts. The under is 7-1-2 in the last 10 games between these two in Miami. An 18-1 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves meet in the series finale in Miami Sunday afternoon. Nate Eovaldi is a rising star for the Marlins, and he has 8 starts already in his young career against the Atlanta Braves. His ERA in those 8 starts is a sparkling 1.80. The Braves have a ton of guys who strike out often and Eovaldi is a great strikeout pitcher. Aaron Harang was torched earlier this year in Miami, but that has been his only bad start of the season. The Marlins offense is starting to come back to earth of late. Harang has a great 2.67 ERA in his career with home plate umpire Greg Gibson. Take the under here. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The New York Yankees offense has been a big disappointment so far this year, especially against right-handed pitchers. They have been great against lefties, but right-handers have given them fits. Phil Hughes comes back to take on his old team at Yankee Stadium here. Hughes has really been pitching well of late, and the way the Yankees are struggling it sets up well for him. Chase Whitley was good in Triple A and he has been solid in the majors as well for the Yankees. This total is awfully high for a game with two questionable offenses.

The under is 4-0-2 in the Twins last 6 road games with a total of 9 runs or higher. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 as a road underdog. The under is 5-0-1 in Hughes' last 6 starts. The under is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 as a home favorite. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed pitcher. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. A 39-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star Spurs/Thunder 100% CASH* The San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder meet in Game 6 on Saturday night in Oklahoma City. The lowest scoring games have all been played in Oklahoma City. That's because Oklahoma City's defense has shown up on their home court. With their backs up against the wall, I expect OKC to show up on defense again here. The Spurs shot the lights out last game, and the Thunder are facing elimination here. The pace generally slows down in elimination games, and this is a very high posted total. Look for a closer game here finally, and look for both defenses to step it up in a game that means a bunch to both teams. 

The under is 5-0 in the Spurs last 5 playing on a day of rest. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 overall. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 Conference Finals games. The under is 6-0 in OKC's last 6 games playing on one day of rest. The under is 4-0 in their last 4. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 100 points last game. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in OKC between these teams. A 50-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star TGIF MLB Play of Day* Jason Vargas and J.A. Happ meet in this one and these are two guys I don't trust. Both of them have been fortunate so far this year. How so? Let's take a look at their ERA vs. their FIP (A sabermetrics term to indicate Fielder Independent Pitching on an ERA scale). FIP is a good way to judge which way a pitcher's ERA will go in the future, because the lucky breaks (such as leaving runners stranded constantly) will often even out over time.

J.A. Happ has a 3.34 ERA this year, but his FIP is an ugly 5.14. Happ has left 90% of runners on base, which is just absurdly high. You have to assume that eventually teams will start to cash in on their chances against him. Jason Vargas has a 3.55 ERA but an FIP of 4.26. More than 60% of the batted balls against him are fly balls, which is dangerous against this Toronto team that has nearly 50 home runs this month.

In addition, Happ has a 5.40 ERA vs. the Royals and Vargas has a 5.90 ERA against Toronto in his career. Adrian Johnson is behind home plate here, and he has a small strike zone. The over is 15-3 in his last 18 games behind home plate. Take the over in this one.  

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Chase Field is a totally different ballpark with the roof open. The game time temperature here will be around 93 or 94 degrees and with the thin air the ball should carry extremely well. We have two pitchers here who give up a ton of home runs. Tony Cingrani gives up 1.42 home runs per nine innings of pitching. Josh Collmenter is allowing 1.53 home runs per nine innings. Cingrani has a groundball rate of just 38.5% and Collmenter has a ground ball rate of 37.3%. Lots of fly balls here should mean the weather conditions will matter quite a bit. The Diamondbacks hit lefties well, and their offense has heated up of late.

The over is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 following a win. The over is 4-0-2 in Cingrani's last 6 when his opponent scores 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0-1 in Collmenter's last 5 starts as a favorite. The over is 4-0 in Collmenter's last 4 home starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 5-0-1 in Collmenter's last 6 following a quality start. A 21-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star Thunder/Spurs Total DOMINATION* The San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder play a pivotal Game 5 in San Antonio on Thursday night. Since Serge Ibaka has come back for the Thunder, this has been a totally different series. I expect a close game in this one rather than the blowouts we have been seeing, but I do expect both defenses to play well. Oklahoma City is excellent defensively with Ibaka in the lineup, and the Spurs are underrated defensively as well. The past two games have coasted under the total despite relatively good shooting numbers. 

The under is 5-0 in the Thunder's last 5 playing on one day of rest. The under is 4-0 in OKC's last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more last game. The under is 4-0 in the Spurs last 4 when playing on a single day of rest. The under is 4-0 in the Spurs last 4 after allowing 100 points in their last game. A 17-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star Heat/Pacers Total DOMINATION* The Miami Heat are in a potential close out spot here. I like playing the under in close out opportunities, because it generally brings out the best in the two defenses because of the increased importance in the game. Indiana's defensive effort slacked last game, but I expect them to fight harder here in this situation at home. The shooting numbers in the last couple games have been very high, and I expect those to come down to a more normalized figure here. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 games between these two in Indiana. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers and the Baltimore Orioles have played back to back 7-6 games. Baltimore won the first game and Milwaukee won the second game of the series. They may not get to 13 runs here, but I like their chances of topping 8 runs. Bud Norris and Yovani Gallardo are both guys who have been heading downhill in recent outings. Gallardo is dinged up a bit right now, and Norris is worse away from home. Both of these lineups have gotten much healthier in recent days. A close game is clearly possible here, and extra innings raises the chances of the over cashing in.

The over is 5-0 in the Orioles last 5 games after their opponent allowed 5 runs or more last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 as a road underdog. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 interleague road games as an underdog. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog. The over is 5-0 in the Brewers last 5 interleague games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The over is 4-0 in Jeff Kellogg's last 4 interleague games behind the plate. The over is 4-0 in Kellogg's last 4 behind the plate with the Orioles. A 60-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* The Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Indians played late into the night last night and both teams used up their bullpens in a big way. That works to our favor in this one. Hector Noesi has been terrible as a starter this year. He has a 6.82 ERA this year, and he has never pitched into the 7th inning. TJ House starts for the Indians and he was torched in his big league debut last time out. Lance Barrett is the umpire here and the over is 9-1-3 in his last 13 games behind the plate. Tired bullpens and two poor starters makes me like the value on the over. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Toronto Blue Jays offense is the hottest offense in the majors right now. Toronto has been absolutely crushing right-handed pitching of late. The Blue Jays have as good of a #1 through #6 in the lineup as anybody in baseball. Jose Reyes is doing a great job setting the table for this offense. Edwin Encarnacion is just on fire as well. Chris Archer only has two pitches and he has struggled in his career on the road. Liam Hendriks pitches for the Blue Jays and I don't think he is a big league starting pitcher. Both bullpens are bad here, which gives us a good chance for runs in the late innings. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total Value* Jordan Zimmermann is a guy I like to back or play unders with because he is normally a consistent pitcher who gives you a solid quality start. The Miami Marlins offense is starting to slow down a bit after a red hot start. Washington also has an elite bullpen. Henderson Alvarez is a quality young starter for the Marlins. Washington's lineup is a total disaster right now. Without Harper or Ryan Zimmerman, the Nationals are having serious trouble scoring runs. I see a low scoring game in this one. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Mark Buehrle will be on the mound for the Blue Jays in this one. Buehrle is a guy who continues to revinvent himself and find ways to get hitters out. This Tampa Bay Rays lineup isn't great to start with, and they are now short-handed. Ben Zobrist is a major injury for this lineup. Alex Cobb pitches here for the Rays and I like him a lot. Cobb has exceptional stuff and he has been great against the Rays in his short career. Both of these guys generally do a good job working fairly deep into the game, which is definitely a plus here.

The under is 4-0 in Cobb's last 4 games when the opponent scores 5 runs or more last game. The under is 3-0-1 in Cobb's last 4 starts overall. The under is 5-0-1 in Cobb's last 6 starts when the Rays score 5 runs or more last game. The under is 11-0-1 in Buehrle's last 12 starts during game two of a series. The under is 4-0 in Buehrle's last 4 starts vs. the Rays. A 27-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* Tyson Ross and Brandon McCarthy will be on the mound for the Padres and Diamondbacks respectively in this one. I'm fairly high on both of these guys, and their numbers against the opposing team in this situation are just out of this world good. Brandon McCarthy has a stellar 1.67 ERA against the Padres in his career (4 starts). Tyson Ross has a 1.80 ERA in 5 career appearances against the Diamondbacks. The Padres offense is woeful, and they are averaging less than 3 runs per game. Arizona has been good against lefties, but terrible against right-handed pitching. This one should be played under the Chase Field Dome which helps the pitchers. 

The under is 6-0 in Ross' last 6 starts when his opponent scores 2 runs or less in their last game. The under is 6-0 in Arizona's last 6 games with a lined total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The under is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 after scoring 2 runs or fewer last game. The under is 4-0 in McCarthy's last 4 as a home favorite. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 home starts overall. The under is 3-0-1 in Ross' last 4 starts vs. the Diamondbacks. A 34-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star Spurs/Thunder 100% CASH* The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely get Serge Ibaka back in this one. Ibaka is a real defensive presence and he would make the Spurs work much harder in the paint. Even if they don't get him back, I expect the Thunder to make life much tougher on the Spurs offense which has absolutely shredded them up in this series thus far. The Spurs offense has had trouble getting going against the Thunder in Oklahoma City in the past, and the Thunder should show some pride and rise up on the defensive end in this one. San Antonio's defense is underrated this year as well. Look for a much tighter game here and two defenses that come ready to play. 

The under is 4-0 in the Thunder's last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their last game. The under is 5-0 in OKC's last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 games between these two in Oklahoma City. A 13-0 angle. Take the under in this one. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros will do battle on Sunday afternoon at Safeco. No doubt Safeco is one of the most pitcher friendly parks in the majors. Houston put up 9 runs on Saturday night, which is their best offensive output of the season. The Astros aren't likely to repeat that performance, especially since they'll be up against Hisashi Iwakuma, who is a very good starting pitcher. Iwakuma has been dealing of late. In his last 24 innings pitched he has allowed a grand total of 2 runs. Also, Iwakuma has an ERA of less than 2 in his career against Houston. Dallas Keuchel pitches here for the Astros, and he has been much better of late. Keuchel has a 1.93 ERA at Safeco Field in his career. Keuchel threw a CG shutout against Texas two games ago and 8 and 2/3 of 2 run baseball against the Angels last time out. Don't expect much scoring in this one. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals get together for a series this weekend and these two teams really hate each other with a passion. Homer Bailey starts here for the home team. Bailey isn't a bad pitcher, but he has been awful in his career against St. Louis. Bailey has a 5.01 ERA in his career against them, and he has been bombed in the majority of his starts against them lately. Matt Carpenter and Matt Adams have owned Bailey in the past. Shelby Miller pitches here for the Cardinals, and he has been getting very lucky so far this year. His ERA is low thanks to a very high strand rate that just cannot continue in the long run. This total is awfully low for a game being played in Great American Ballpark. This would have been a top play if Joey Votto wasn't out of the lineup for the Reds. I still like the play a lot. 

The over is 3-0-1 in the Cardinals last 4 vs. the NL Central. The over is 4-0 in Miller's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in Bailey's last 4 starts on 5 days of rest. The over is 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. the NL Central. A 16-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Cole Hamels and Henderson Alvarez will start in this one. Wednesday night's game between these two teams saw each team pick up 14 hits. I expect a much better showing from the pitchers in this one. Hamels has a sparkling 1.98 ERA in his career at Miami. Hamels' style of pitching fits in perfectly with this Miami ballpark. It is a pitcher's park, and Hamels has shown he knows how to use it. The Phillies offense is much weaker this year than it has been in the last few seasons. It's getaway day here too, which means both teams might sit a key player or two. The under is 8-0 in Hamels' last 8 games against Miami. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 games at Miami. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Betting unders at Coors Field isn't a lot of fun. Still, I have to bet an under whenever I see value, and I see it here. Matt Cain isn't pitching as well as he used to, but he is far from a bad pitcher. The Giants bullpen is excellent. The Giants offense is up and down. The Rockies start Chacin in this one, and he has been good at Coors Field in the past, and he has a good track record against most of the guys on this Giants roster. A total set this high is rare at night for Coors Field since day games are usually much higher scoring. Though this isn't a "fun" play to make, I'm taking the under here. 

*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Oakland Athletics offense has been excellent this year, and they have been crushing left-handed pitching in recent weeks. Erik Bedard is coming off some good outings, but I think he is due to regress. Bedard isn't the same pitcher he was a few years ago, and I don't expect him to keep up his impressive form. Tom Milone has a 4.72 ERA on the road in his career, and his career ERA vs. the Rays is just over 7. The Rays should get to him for several runs here. This total is set awfully low for these two pitchers.

The over is 3-0-1 in Oakland's last 4 during game two of a series. The over is 7-0 in Milone's last 7 games with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 7-1 in the A's last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. The over is 3-0-1 in Bedard's last 4 with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. A 20-1 angle. Take the over.