10* 76ers (NON-DIV GOM)

I like the way this one sets up at home for the 76ers. I believe they'll pull away for a double-digit victory right at the end. The Bucks were decent last year. They averaged 113.9 PPG< and allowed 110.7. The 76ers lost on the road to Boston, but an immediate return to the winner's circle will be in order here. The Bucks will be without Khris Middleton and Pat Connaughton to open the season. Milwaukee was bad defensively on the road last year, allowing more than 111 PPG. Look for Philly to pull away down the stretch!

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10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN)

With the majority of the money and the wagers on Brooklyn, I feel we're getting great value here on Zion Williamson and the Pelicans. This Pels team is legit with CJ McCollum, Jonas Valanciunas and Ingram. The Nets were eliminated by the Celtics in the Playoffs, but they also had a tumultuous season. KD is back, and so is Kyrie Irving. Brooklyn has an entirely new line-up though, and I think much like the Lakers unfortunately, they're going to have difficulties with chemistry in the early going. New Orleans is the better, deeper team on paper. The Slim Reaper and Kyrie are probably the two best players on the floor still, but I don't think it'll be enough with McCollum directing the show for New Orleans. Clearly I feel the outright win is possible, but in the end let's grab the points; the play is the Pelicans!

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8* LAKERS (DESTRUCTION)

LA won only 33 games last year. A dysfunctional line-up and injuries were to blame. LA added Patrick Beverly, Dennis Schroeder, Lonnie Walker, Thomas Bryant, and Dwayne Bacon. Darvin Ham is the new head coach and he'll bring a much needed sense of toughness to the team. One big thing this year working in LA's favor is that big man Anthony Davis appears to be back to 100% health. He was injured most of last year. The Warriors won the Championship and could be in for a bit of a letdown this year. They enter the new season with plenty of controversy as well after Draymond Green puched Jordan Poole in the face in practice a couple of weeks ago and knocked him out cold. It's all hands on deck for LBJ, Ham and the rest of the Lakers on Opening night. Look for this one to come down to the wire and grab the points!

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10* CELTICS (ART OF WAR)

I'm not counting out Boston quite yet. The NBA really needs a Game 7. It would be the icing on the cake for a really great season after a couple of years having to deal with COVID. Everyone needs the extra revenue a Game 7 would deliver. I say Golden State finally stumbles on the road here, as I look for this hungry Celtics side to go up early, and then never look back. The achilles heel of the Warriors has been their play on the road, and Boston has been at its best at home. The Celtics still have the league's No. 1 defense and we can expect it to be out in full force tonight. I say Boston keeps the foot on the gas until the final horn; lay the points, the play is the Celtics!

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10* CELTICS (GOW)

This has been an exciting, back and forth series. Game 5 though I'm expecting the tightest and most competitive game yet. Yes, Stephen Curry has been phenomenal, but the trio of Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Al Horford has also been amazing. Boston has been great on the road as well, going 8-3 SU so far. The Celtics always respond well after a loss and they have the No. 1 defense, conceding just 104.5 PPG. The Warriors allow just 105.5. Golden State managed the win in Game 4 despite shooting 44%. Boston has already won on this floor and I expect another "nail biter" on Monday night as well; the official call will be to grab as many points as you can!

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10* CELTICS (BLOOD-BATH)

I had a play on Boston in Game 3 and I'm right back on them here in Game 4 as well. Golden State lacks size and strength to handle these defensive-minded Celtics. The combination of Al Horford, Jaylen Brown and Jason Tatum is difficult to slow down offensively as well, as each is able to create their own offense. Draymond Green played terribly for the Warriors and is more of a distraction now than anything else. Golden State's weakness this season has been its play on the road where it went just 22-19. Boston on the other hand went 28-13 at home. With a chance to put the Warriors on the brink of elimination, I look for this underrated Celtics team to lay the hammer down again in Game 4; the play is Boston!

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10* WARRIORS (ART OF WAR)

I had a play on the Warriors in Game 1, and while that didn't turn out the way I hoped, I'm expecting Golden State to make the necessary adjustments here in Game 2 to not only win this game, but to do so by a significant margin. The Celtics have been playing extremely well, but I expect fatigue to be a factor here. Boston has earned a split in Golden State and I think comes in tired and complacent. The Warriors looked great for 3 quarters in Game 1, but then fell apart uncharacteristically in the 4th quarter. Expect a big bounce-back from Curry and company and lay these points with confidence; the play is Golden State!

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10* CELTICS (ART OF WAR)

At the start of this series, home floor advantage meant a whole lot. But that trend has changed over the last two, and I'm expecting that trend to continue here. Boston won in Miami in Game 5, but it then fell in Game 6 at home. Look for the C's to dig deep here and to deliver again on the road. Note that Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it conceded 110 or more points in. We've broken this series down completely from start to finish, but the Celtics depth and their aggressive defensive play gets the job done in Game 7; the play is Boston!

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10* HEAT (ART OF WAR)

This has been a very back-and-forth series. As soon as we think we know what's going to happen, one or the other sides bounces back with a big performance. The Celtics have won two straight and can end this series with a victory today. Boston may well indeed go on to win this game outright, but I expect Miami to put up a bitter fight until the end. The Heat are well coached and I expect some major adjustments here. The Celtics have been unbelievable, but they're in unchartered territory here and I have my doubts that they have a killer closing instinct. In a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Miami!

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10* MAVERICKS (RD)

The Mavericks finally broke through and won 119-109 in Game 4 to avoid the 4-0 sweep. They've given up some huge leads in two other games in this series, so the Mavericks have definitely been competitive so far. I think they keep the momentum rolling here as well. The Mavericks looked phenomenal in beating the Suns, and now they have a blue-print to do the exact same thing for the Warriors. Golden State won't be panicking, but it'll have its hands full here with this desperate visiting side. I'm not going to call for an outright victory or anything, but in a game that I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to grab the points; the play is the Mavericks!

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10* CELTICS (RD)

So far this has been a very back and forth series, but I expect that trend to end today. Boston dominated Game 4 and I expect it to keep the momentum rolling tonight. Miami is a great 3-point shooting team, but this Boston defense is incredible. They limited the Heat to just 33% shooting from the floor. Overall the C's allow just 104.5 PPG. Expect Boston's incredible defensive play to be too much for the Heat to handle down the stretch; the play is the Celtics!

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10* CELTICS (RD)

This has been a back-and-forth series and I'm looking for Game 4 to follow suit. The Celtics will be risking life and limb today to try and even this series back up. Off the 109-103 Game 3 loss, note that Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 105 or less points in. Boston still ranks first across most defensive stats, including leading the league in scoring defense. The Celtics are also 5-0 ATS in their last five following a SU loss. Look for the home side to double down defensively and then to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover; the play is the Celtics!

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10* WARRIORS (U OF THE U)

Dallas is on the ropes. Luka Doncic is likely the best player on the floor in this series, but Golden State's offensive depth is just too much for the Mavericks to handle. Andrew Wiggins is out for the Warriors tonight, but it's just "next man up" mentality. Dallas threw its best possible punch at Golden State, and still came up short. I predict another tight battle here and I think it'll come down to the wire, literally the last team touching the ball is going to win type deal. And in a scenario like that, I'll gladly grab the points; the play is the Warriors!

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10* CELTICS (ASSASSIN)

The Celtics looked a lot better with Marcus Smart and Al Horford in the line-up in Game 2, and I believe that with the series shifting to Boston, that the home side will build on that performance with another big win and cover and in Game 3. The Heat finished as No. 1 in the East, but there's no question that they were better at home than on the road (24-17 away.) Boston's tough defensive play, combined with the strong play of Jayson Tatum will be just TOO much for this now struggling HEat team to handle on Saturday night; lay the points!

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10* MAVERICKS (BLOOD-BATH)

Game 1 was evenly matched at half time, but then Golden State pulled away in the second. I expect a full four-quarter effort from the Mavericks tonight though. Dallas had an uncharacteristically horrible shooting night from several players, and I don't expect that to happen twice. The Mavericks now have to make adjustments after the 112-87 Game 1 loss, but they've done well in this spot for bettors by going 7-2 ATS in their last 9 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 90 or less points in. Much like the Heat's victory in Game 1 of their series with Boston, I'm expecting a letdown here from Golden State as well in Game 2. I'm not predicting an outright upset, but this one comes down to the wire; grab the points!

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10* CELTICS (RED DRAGON)

I had a play on Boston in Game 1 and while that selection came up short, I believe that the visiting side will bounce back and, at the very least, take this contest right down to the wire. Boston lost 118-107 in Game 1, but it's done well in this spot for bettors, as it's 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. Marcus Smart and Al Horford both could play after missing Game 1, which would shift this line even further towards a "pick em." Miami started off the first half slow, then came out like gang-busters in the second half of Game 1. Look for Boston's defense to respond and answer the bell here in this important contest. And while I do absolutely feel an outright win is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Boston!

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10* CELTICS (GOW)

The Boston Celtics will be without the services of Marcus Smart for Game 1, but I still think they'll find a way to win this game. The quick turnaround is going to work in Boston's favor today after its Game 7 win over the Bucks. The Heat on the other hand come out flat here in my estimation after eliminating the 76ers in just six games. Boston went 2-1 in this matchup during the regular season. Jayson Tatum is a matchup issue. Kyle Lowry being out for Miami is big here at this point of the Playoffs. I expect Boston to draw first blood in the ECF!

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10* MAVERICKS (ASSASSIN)

This has been a back-and-forth series, and I'm expecting a very tight affair here in Game 7. Every game in this series has been won by the home team, while also going 6-0 ATS. I say this lop-sided trend ends this evening. The Mavericks role players are going to step up here. The Mavs relentless defensive attack will be in full effect from the opening tip, until the final horn. Phoenix lacks that killer instinct, and while the Suns may well indeed go on to win this contest, expect it to be a real "nail-biter!" The play is Dallas!

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10* CELTICS (GOM)

The NBA would love to see a Game 7 here. I believe it's going to happen. That said, my recommendation will be to grab as many points as you can. The Celtics lost 110-107 in Game 5, but I expect this series to move to a pivotal Game 7. Giannis Antetokounmpo was great with 40 points, while Jayson Tatum scored 34 in a losing cause for the C's. These teams have alternated wins/losses since the series started. Note though that the Bucks are a poor 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite, while the Celtics are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven as an underdog. Boston's superior defense in this critical game will prove to be the difference tonight; buckle up for a Game 7, the play is the Celtics!

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10* GRIZZLIES (ASSASSIN)

No Ja? No problem! The Grizzlies have done exceptionally well without their superstar in the line-up and with their backs against the wall, I expect their best collective effort tonight. Many will be pulling the trigger on GS here, thinking that without Morant, Memphis will struggle. But I think it'll be GS that struggles to put away this desperate home side. Memphis held the lead in the last game until the fourth quarter. Don't expect that to happen again here. Also note that Memphis is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge 2 straight losses against an opponent. In a contest that I see being decided in the final moments, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Memphis!

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10* MAVERICKS (RED DRAGON)

The Mavericks were a Top 5 defense in the regular season, and they've been fantastic so far in this series against the favored Suns as they enter off B2B victories, including a 111-101 win in Game 4. So far home floor advantage has proved critical in this series, but I'll say it's more about Dallas making adjustments after going down 0-2. Those adjustments and success will continue here in Game 3, and I'll argue that it has nothing to do with the venue, but more about the overall approach Dallas is employing now. If you're wagering on this game, you know the cast of characters and the strengths and weaknesses. The momentum as turned and this Dallas team is going to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. While I do think an outright win is possible, let's grab the points!

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10* GRIZZLIES (ASSASSIN)

Why is this line so large suddenly? Because Grizzlies' star Ja Morant is injured. Memphis was going to get destroyed in Game 3 whether Morant went down or not though. It was a bad game overall for Memphis. The Grizzlies have always done really well without their star in the line-up though and I expect them to rally here and use the "next man up" mentality. The good news that's flying under the radar though for Memphis is that Dillon Brooks will be back after serving a 1-game suspension. The Warriors are in the drivers seat again in this series, but I expect a much more competitive affair in Game 4. Note that Memphis is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss of 20 or more points. I say Golden State wins, but the determined Grizzlies comfortably cover with the large spread they've been afforded; the play is Memphis!

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10* PHILADELPHIA (ASSASSIN)

The 76ers are clearly a "different" team with Joel Embiid in the line-up. With a chance to tie up this series, I look for Philadelphia's big man to help key his team to another win at home. Jimmy Butler had 33 points in Game 3 for the Heat, but this 76ers team does indeed look much better at home, especially on the defensive end. The rest of the Heat struggled to shoot, and I expect that to be the case again here. Miami took full advantage in Game's 1 and 2, but now the shoe is on the other foot. Embiid is once again listed as questionable, but with that first awkward game out of the way, we can expect the MVP candidate to be much stronger here in Game 4 all around. Look for the 76ers to dial up the pressure even more and lay these short points with confidence!

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10* CELTICS (RED DRAGON)

This series is all tied up. Milwaukee won Game 1 in a blowout, and Boston returned the favor in Game 2. With the shift in venue though, I'm expecting a much tighter battle tonight. Khris Middleton is out indefinitely for the Bucks, and that's going to have an effect over the long-term. The Celtics have the league's top defender and Jason Tatum is a handful. The C's defended Giannis well in Game 2 and I'm expecting a similar effort here as well. In a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Boston!

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10* HEAT (ASSASSIN)

Philadelphia looked lost without Joel Embiid in its opener vs. Miami and I have a hard time seeing the 76ers doing much better in Game 2. In fact, it was the Heat that really started off slowly in Game 1, but then they found their footing and confidently closed out with the 106-92 victory. I'm expecting an even more loip-sided destruction in Game 2. There's zero chemistry between James Harden and the rest of his teammates, while Jimmy Butler and Miami are poised for a much bigger and more dominating effort in Game 2. Miami won't be taking it easy. It's going to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish as they try and break the 76ers' collective will. I just can't see the visitors doing anything on either end of the court without Embiid in the line-up; so lay the points!

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10* CELTICS (DESTRUCTION)

I had a play on Boston in Game 1 and while that play came up short, I expect the home side to risk life and limb here to try and even up this series. Clearly, the last thing that Boston wants to do is head to Milwaukee in an 0-2 hole. The Bucks have been playing really well without star Khris Middleton since he went down with injury vs. the Bulls in the first game, but at some point they're going to have a small mental letdown in these playoffs, and I expect that moment to be this evening. "Rest" did lead to "rust" for Jayson Tatum and company after their 4 game sweep of the Brooklyn Nets. Milwaukee needed an extra game to take care of Chicago, and the Bucks just shot much more efficiently overall. Look for Boston to bounce back here in this super important Game 2 though, and for Milwaukee to be happy with the split that it's already earned; lay the points, the play is the Celtics!

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10* GRIZZLIES (ASSASSIN)

Two teams which had more difficulty than they likely expected in the first round, have advanced to the second round. Each looked great at times, and showed vulnerability in others. The Grizzlies aren't getting enough respect on their own floor is the bottom line for me here though. Golden State has been off since Wednesday. The Warriors went just 1-3 against the Grizzlies in the regular season. The quick turnaround works in the Grizzlies favor in my opinion. Look for Ja Morant to strike first over Stephen Curry and company; that said, grab the points!

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10* WOLVES (ASSASSIN)

This has been a back-and-forth series. With their backs against the wall though, and especially because their playing at home, I look for the Wolves to dig deep here and to extend this series to a decisive Game 7. Clearly with a line like this, the oddsmakers feel these teams are pretty evenly matched. And they are. But Minnesota is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 home games as an underdog in the +0.5 to +3.5 points range. Both teams are healthy and their strengths and weaknesses are well known. I think the "home floor" advantage proves to be the difference-maker tonight, so buckle up and get ready for our first Game 7 of the Playoffs; that said, grab the points!

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8* PELCIANS (SPECIAL)

This has been a back and forth series. The Suns are still without Devin Booker and while the managed a victory in Game 5, I believe the Pelicans will answer here on their home floor. The stats back our hypothesis as well, as note that New Orleans is 8-2 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in. I say home floor DOES matter in Game 6; grab the points!

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10* 76ers (ASSASSIN)

I say Philadelphia and Doc Rivers finally get the "monkey" off their backs. Rivers has been involved with three different teams that have blown a 3-1 series lead. Philadelphia itself has just had issues with Toronto over the last five years and would love nothing more than to end this series here and now. I say that James Harden plays his best game of this series and I expect Philadelphia to run away with this one early, and never take the foot off the gas pedal. Toronto's never say die attitude runs out of gas tonight. Note as well that the 76ers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge B2B SU/ATS losses against an opponent. Lay the points, the play is Philly!

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10* WOLVES (ASSASSIN)

So far, this has been a competitive series. These have been fun and exciting and competitive games. I don't think anything will change for Game 5 either between these deadlocked clubs. Minnesota won the last game by a score of 119-118. Over the first three games, Wolves' big man Karl Anthony Towns had been shut down, but he finally exploded for 33 points and 14 boards in Game 4. I expect him to build off that performance. With even more attention being put onto the big man, the Wolves' depth comes into play here as a considerable strength. Minnesota could have won Game 3 as well, but had an epic collapse in the fourth-quarter. For all intents and purposes, the Wolves could have been up 3-1 at this point. In what I expect to be another back-and-forth affair, I'm grabbing the points!

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8* PLAY on the Jazz (SPECIAL)

Jordan Clarkson dropped in 25 points for the Jazz off the bench in Game 4 and he helped seal the deal for Utah in its 100-99 victory. In another contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. Both teams have struggled at times in this series, but Utah's defense has held up. It ranked in the Top 10 in scoring defense during the regular season. Dallas only shot 43% in Game 4. On the season the Mavs only rank 24th in averaging 108 PPG. Luka Doncic has returned, but his health is still a bit of a question mark. As I stated earlier, this one is coming down to the wire; so grab the points!

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10* CELTICS (ASSASSIN)

I say the Nets are cooked. I say Kevin Durant won't answer here. I say Jason Tatum is underrated and overlooked. With a chance to put the final nail in the coffin of what will be considered one of the biggest busts of all time, I believe the Celtics go in for the "Death Blow" this evening. The Nets have been terrible in all facets, especially considering they turn the ball over 16 times per game. Brooklyn has also been allowing an average of 112.7 points per game to Boston. Boston has the defense to slow down Durant and I say Tatum has another huge outing as well. Clearly, the outright win is the prediction, but grab as many points as you can as well with Boston!

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10* WOLVES (FIRST RND. GOY)

This has been an interesting series. And what I personally find interesting about it is that Memphis has somehow figured out a way to slow down Wolves' big man Karl Anthony Towns. He's also struggled a bit at times. That said, I simply can't see this struggling trend of futility lasting much longer. Minnesota had a huge lead in Game 3 and then it inexplicably came up short. With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched, but as good as Memphis has looked over its last two games, it's still very inexperienced. This is uncharted territory, coming from behind in the playoffs on the road to take a series lead. I say that Towns and company bounce back here and take a page out of their "Game 1 playbook." Clearly the outright is possible, but let's grab the points; the play is Minnesota!

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10* BULLS (RED DRAGON)

What do you base your selections on? I have different ways of handicapping the regular season than I do in the Playoffs. Being successful in the playoffs is about making adjustments from game-to-game. That's true for handicappers as well. With Khris Middleton out, the Bucks are simply not the same team. Chicago has already gotten the home floor advantage after splitting out in Milwaukee and I expect the Bulls to push the pace here from start to finish. We could break down all the stats and look at every indidivual player matchup, but for me it's as simple as Middleton being out for the Bucks. And while I obviously think the outright win is a possibility, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is CHICAGO!

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10* NUGGETS (RED DRAGON)

With their backs against the wall, I like the Nuggets to bounce back here at home. Denver plays better at home and it's also 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge 2 straight SU/ATS losses against an opponent. Golden State is now favored to win the Championship over Phoenix, but we'll see how well the Warriors fare on the road in this difficult venue. During the regular season Denver was No. 8 in scoring with 113 PPG. It's been an ugly start for the Nuggets to this series, but we can expect their best effort and another huge game from Nikola Jokic in the process; while the outright is possible, let's grab the points!

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10* PELICANS (ASSASSIN)

While my play on the Pels came up short in Game 1, I absolutely expect them to bounce back here and to keep this one tight up until the final moments. New Orleans fell 110-99 in Game 1, but note that it's 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less points in. Clearly, Phoenix is the better team in every regard, but I don't think it deserves to be a double-digit favorite in Game 2. We'll look for the Pelicans to give their best shot and while that will almost assuredly not be good enough to pull off the outright upset, it'll be more than enough to pull off the comfortable cover; the play is New Orleans!

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10* NUGGETS (GOW)

The Warriors got the better of Denver by a score of 123-107 in Game 1, but I think that the Nuggets will, at the very least, keep Game 2 close enough to comfortably cover with the larger spread that they've been afforded tonight. Jordan Poole had 30 points for the Warriors in Game 1, going 5 of 7 from range. Suffice it to say, I don't expect lightning to "strike twice" for Poole and the Warriors this evening. Nikola Jokic was a force in Game 1 for Denver, finishing with 25 points and I expect him to have an even bigger impact this evening. Denver shot terrible from 3-point range as well in Game 1, finishing 31.5%, well below their nomral 35% clip. Again, we can expect things to "normalize" in that department for Denver this evening as well. I say the Nuggets throw their best shot they have; that said, grab the points!

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10* PELICANS (RED DRAGON)

Are the Suns the better team? Their record would sure indicate that. New Orleans advanced by winning its two Play-In games and I think it'll "sneak in under the radar" here in Game 1. Will the longer lay off help or hinder the Suns? Who knows is the answer. The Pelicans though are currently rolling and I say that momentum carries over in Game 1. New Orleans has been fantastic defensively of late, and it has the offensive punch to keep pace as well with Brandon Ingram back in the line-up. In every conceivable way the Suns are the better team, but not by double digits in this situation. No outright, but closer than expected; the play is New Orleans!

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10* WOLVES (ASSASSIN)

This will be an interesting series. These teams are similar in many regards. I think this one will be decided in the closing moments. To say this is a "revenge" game as well would be a bit of an understatement, as Memphis 8-2 the L10 in this series. Minnesota averages 115.9 PPG, while Memphis averages 115.6. The Grizz are a bit better defensively in allowing 109.9, while the Wolves have conceded 113.2. Very small differences here. Yes, the Grizz have done well all season, but now that the playoffs are here, adjustments will be key. I think Game 1 comes right down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Minnesota!

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10* PELICANS (BOB)

The Pels easily handled the Spurs to advance to play the Clippers, and just like they were then, I think they're also undervalued and underrated by the bookmakers in this matchup as well. The Clippers lost 109-104 to Minnesota, and I believe they'll have their hands full here against this highly skilled visiting side. New Orleans looked superb defensively in its win, holding the Spurs to just 103 points. The Clippers also struggled to put points on the board against a Wolves team that finished in the bottom third on the defensive end. That doesn't bode well facing New Orleans here. I think the outright is possible, but let's grab up all these points as the official call!

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10* HORNETS (GOW)

I think the Hornets have a legitimate shot at taking this game outright. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The Hornets won their final 3 regular season games, including a 124-108 victory over Washington, while Atlanta won 7 of its last 9, including a 130-114 victory over Houston in its finale. Charlotte has the fourth highest-scoring offense in the league, and the Hawks just aren't known for their tough defensive play. Neither are the Hornets mind you, but that still works in the underdogs favor in my opinion. These teams are almost identical. I say it comes down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Charlotte!

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10* NUGGETS (RED DRAGON)

Denver comes in as the "hungier" and more focussed team today. The Nuggets are off a 116-97 loss to San Antonio. They play with revenge here though after a 122-118 loss to the Grizzlies in January, and that's important for us to note, as the Nugs have are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss to an opponent. Memphis just had its 7 game win streak snapped in a tight 121-115 OT loss at Utah and I say it just "goes through the motions" this evening. Home court advantage really does matter for this one, the play is DENVER.

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10* SUNS (ASSASSIN)

Off a 121-110 win over the Lakers last night at home, we're looking for the Suns to keep the foot on the gas here and deliver another "L" for the other team in LA. Despite last night's win, the Suns have still lost 4 straight ATS. Note though that that does in fact work in our favor here, as PHO is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 after 3 or more ATS losses in a row. The Clippers have been playing well of late, but with only two more games to go in the regular season, I don't see any drop off here from Phoenix as it looks to carry its momentum from a strong regular season, into a big playoff run. Lay the points, expect a blowout!

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8* BULLS (SPECIAL)

In a game that we believe will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're going to grab the points. Milwaukee has lost two straight. It won't be rolling over here obviously, but I still think its vulnerable. Especially on the road. The Bulls play with revenge here as well after a listless 126-98 loss to Milwaukee as 6.5-point dogs in mid March. Chicago is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less points in. Milwaukee returns home for a date vs. the red hot Celtics on Thursday and I say it gets caught looking ahead; grab the points, the play is Chicago!

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10* 76ERS (GOW)

I think this one sets up well for a complete ATS blowout for the road side. Philly is off a 112-108 win at the Cavaliers, but with a much tougher game at Toronto up next, the 76ers won't want to leave anything to chance. Then Philly closes out the year with two straight winnable games at home against the Pacers again, and then the Pistons to finish things off. Clearly Philadelphia doesn't want to "back in" to the playoffs. Chemistry is crucial at this point of the season. I say the 76ers put the foot on the gas and never let up. They also play with revenge after falling 118-113 to the Pacers as 4-point dogs at the start of the season. Indiana is off a 121-117 loss at home to Detroit. It can't even play spoiler here. I think the home side just "goes through the motions" tonight. Lay the points, expect a blowout; the play is Philadelphia!

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10* KANSAS (GOW)

This will be the Jayhawks toughest test yet. Everything has come together for UNC during this tournament. That said, this will also be the Tar Heels most difficult opponent by far. In fact, I'll argue that the Jayhawks' superiority on the defensive end will be the difference in the championship game. Kansas can shut down the three ball, and Armando Bacot is likely less than 100% health for this one, after a minor injury in the Final 4. Both teams have been superb to this point, but the Tar Heels have overachieved. I say that finally catches up to them here vs. the more rounded and deeper Jayhawks side; the play is Kansas!

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8* CAVALIERS (SPECIAL)

Both teams are fighting for a playoff spot. I feel that this one will be decided in the closing moments. The 76ers are off a much-needed 144-114 win at home over Charlotte, snapping a 3-game slide. With a much more "winnable" game at the Pacers up next, I say the 76ers get caught "flat footed" here in this difficult road venue and off their big win. The Cavs though play with revenge after a 118-114 loss to the 76ers on March 16th. Note that Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. The Cavs hit the road for 2 straight after this and hav to face the Nets and Bucks before the end of their season as well, so I say they take this revenge-spot VERY seriously; grab the points!

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10* CELTICS (ASSASSIN)

Boston has been on quite the roll over the last month and it'll now look to close out the final week strong. It's off a 128-123 home win over Indiana. It's dropped 2 straight ATS, but I think it recovers here and lays the hammer down on the Wizards. Washington has nothing to play for. The C's dismantled Washington by a score of 116-87 in Janaury and I expect a similar outcome here as well. Note, this game takes on added importance for Boston as well with three straight tough road games to end the season after this, including at Chicago, Milwaukee and Memphis respectively. In their final regular season home game, I expect the Celtics to push the pace from start to finish; lay the points, the play is BOSTON.

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9* DUKE (SPECIAL)

UNC only hit 6 of 22 3-pointers against Saint Peter's, and while that was enough to move past the No. 15 seed, that's just not going to get it done against Coach K and Duke in the Final 4. To get to this point of the tournament, you have to be playing well at both ends of the court. And that's the case here, as move UNC and Duke enter on top form. Duke is the No. 2 seed here and it plays with revenge after its 94-81 home loss to UNC as an 11-point favorite in Coach K's final regular season home game. It was a crushing defeat, but now Duke has a golden opportunity to avenge that setback. Duke does everything just as well as UNC, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Look for the experience of Coach K in this spot to prove to be the difference in this revenge scenario; the play is Duke!

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8* WARRIORS (DESTRUCTION)

We're coming down the home stretch of the regular season with just over a week left to play. Both of these teams will be in the playoffs, but I simply feel that this one means a lot more to the home side. The Warriors are still without Steph Curry, but I expect the home side to step up here after 4 straight losses. The Warriors are deep and well coached. The Jazz are off a satisfying 122-109 win over the Lakers and I think they come in a bit complacent here. The Warriors play with revenge after a 111-85 slapping on Feb. 9, and note that GS is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent in which it was held to 90 or less points in. This one MEANS MORE to Golden State!

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10* NETS (ASSASSIN)

Brooklyn is just 1-2 in its last 3. It's off a 120-119 OT loss at home to the Bucks. The easily handled the Hawks though back in December by a score of 113-105 and I expect a similar outcome here as well. Atlanta comes in off 4 straight wins, including a 131-107 victory over Cleveland in its last outing. I simply feel this is a really bad matchup for the Hawks. Atlanta is also still just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 after 3 or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Look for the hungrier Nets to pull away down the stretch; lay the points!

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10* FRESNO STATE (GOW)

This is the semi-final of the College Basketball Classic at the Save Mart Center. The Southern Utah Thunderbirds are averaging 78.8 PPG, and they're led by Tevian Jones, whoi averages 14.6 points and 4.7 boards. The Thunderbirds though have struggled on the defensive end overall this season, allowing 72.7 PPG. The Bullldogs only average 65.1 PPG, but they make up for it on the other end with one of the best defenses in the nation, conceding just 58.4 PPG. Orlando Robinson is a major matchup issue here for the Thunderbirds, as he averages 19.4 points and 8.2 boards per game for the Bulldogs. Fresno State has the added advantage of playing at home here, where it has won by an average of 10 PPG this season. Look for the Fresno State's amazing defensive play to be the difference here; lay the points!

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10* HEAT (GAME OF WEEK)

I base my picks on many different things. Sometimes I believe it's necessary to completely dissect a pick, looking at every stat possible, breaking down individual player matchups, looking at trends and scheduling, line movement and many other factors. Other times I believe that a more common sense approach is the best way to handicap a contest, and that's the case for this particular selection for sure. Miami is desperate to break out of its funk, as it comes in having lost 4 in a row SU and 7 in a row ATS. It also plays with revenge here after falling 115-113 at Sacramento as a 3.5-point fav on January 2nd. This is a big and important game for the Heat, even more so when considering their upcoming 3-game road trip after this vs. Boston, Chicago and Toronto. Sacramento is off B2B victories. It's won 3 straight ATS. Can anyone say predictable letdown spot here?! Especially with 2 straight games at lowly Houston up next?! Lay the points, expect a blowout of epic proportions!

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8* NORTH CAROLINA (DESTRUCTION)

I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. Saint Peter's magical run is about to come to an end here vs. the most well-rounded team its seen yet. Yes, the Peacocks defense (67.7 PPG allowed) and overall "never say die" commitment has been impressive, but UNC looks like a wrecking ball right now. The Tar Heels are averaging 87 PPG so far during the Tournament and they're 7-3 ATS in their last 10 as a neutral court favorite in the -6.5 to -9.5 points range. Saint Peter's has been an "ATS covering machine" during its conference tournament and now the NCAA Tourney, but I say that streak comes to an end here finally, with the oddsmakers giving this "Cinderalla" just a little too much respect now; the play is North Carolina!

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10* KANSAS (ASSASSIN)

I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. The bottom line for this play is that the Jayhawks have arguably looked like the most well-rounded and dominant team in the Tournament so far. Miami has had lapses on both ends of the court this year. The Hurricanes struggle on the defensive end at times. And this Kansas defense, which allows just 42.1 % shooting from the floor, will be up to the task of slowing down this Hurricanes' potentially dangerous offense. Kansas holds a huge offensive rebounding edge, 32.1% compared to just 20.2% for the Canes. The rebounding and defensive edges that the Jayhawks have in this matchup will turn out to be the difference for them in the end; lay the points!

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8* DUKE (DESTRUCTION)

I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. Arkansas has been unbelievable this year, but I say that Duke's incredible offense wins over the Razorbacks tough-nosed defensive play finally. Off their now legendary 74-68 win over No. 1 seed Gonzaga, an imminent letdown is in store for the underdog tonight in my opinion. The Blue Devils got past a similar tough-nosed defensive team in Texas Tech last time out in their 78-73 win. Look for Coach K to have something new up his sleeve here as his players keep the foot on the gas on the offensive end as Duke comfortably moves on to the Final Four; lay the short points!

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8* MAGIC (SPECIAL)

I am travelling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. The Kings are off a rare road win, coming from behind to knock off Indianapolis by a score of 110-109. Now they face a revenge-minded Magic team that fell 142-130 at the Kings on December 8th. Note that Orlando is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Magic posted two straight home wins before a 118-102 loss at Oklahoma City. Expect a return to form here in this revenge scenairo. Lay the points, the plays ORLANDO.

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10* NOVA (ELITE 8 GOY)

I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. The Cougars are off a 72-60 win over Arizona, while Nova enters off a 63-53 victory over Michigan. Houston averages 75.8 PPG, while allowing 59, while Villanova averages 72.8 PPG, while allowing 62.9. This is an interesting matchup, as this is the toughest team that Houston has had to face yet. Nova has the defense to match Houston and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Villanova!

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10* HAWKS (ASSASSIN)

The Hawks have gone just 1-2 in their last 3. Off a 122-101 loss at Detroit as 5-point favs, I say that ATL bounces back here at home in this revenge scenario. ATL lost 127-113 at Golden State at the start of the yar, but note that the Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Warriors snapped a 3-game slide with a 118-104 road win at Miami in their last game as 9.5-point underdogs, but with a much more "winnable" game in the Nation's capital on Sunday, this sets up as a classic "trap" for the visitors. A great overall situational play in my opinion; lay the points!

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10* RAPTORS (ASSASSIN)

There's zero reason to overthink this one, as Toronto is 0-3 SU/ATS so far in this season series. The triple-revenge factor is the main reason behind this play. Cleveland hasn't played since it's 131-120 home loss to the Lakers and with a home game against Chicago next, this also sets up as a bit of a look-ahead spot for the visiting side. The Raptors are off a 113-99 loss at Chicago, but note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. I expect the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Toronto!

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10* ARKANSAS (SWEET 16 GOY)

Gonzaga was on the ropes in the second round against Memphis, down by ten at half time, but the Bulldogs outscored the Tigers 51-37 in the second half and managed the 82-78 victory. And I don't think things are going to get any easier on the Tournament's No. 1 seed here vs. this under the radar Arkansas Razorbacks team. Gonzaga is back in the Sweet 16 for a seventh straight year though, so this is an experienced Gonzaga team obviously, led by Chet Holmgren, who actually only had nine points and nine boards in the win over Memphis. Over the last six seasons the Zags have a 4-2 record in advancing to the Elite Eight and to do that again this season, they're going to have to have to beat an Arkansas team that advanced to this point by beating New Mexico State 53-48. JD Notae was big in that victory for the Razorbacks with 18 points and an amazing eight steals. Arkansas did lose the rebounding battle, but it won the steal ratio by a score of 3 to 1. This is the Razorbacks second straight Sweet 16 appearance, so this is a talented an experienced Arkansas team as well. And it's one that I think can also take Gonzaga down to the wire here in the Sweet 16 as well. I say Gonzaga makes it through to the Elite Eight again, but I think that it'll be another nail-biter here decided in the final moments; grab the points, the play is Arkansas!

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10* PISTONS (ASSASSIN)

I base my picks on many different things. Scheduling at this time of the year is a big factor I always look at, as team's playing the 2nd game of a B2B are definitely fatigued. Let's not overthink this one, as after its 117-111 win as a 3.5-point fav just last night, I believe New York suffers a predictable letdown here. Detroit is coming off a 119-115 loss at home to Portland, but previous to that had covered in 8 of its last 9. The Pistons got the better of Atlanta by a score of 113-110 in OT as 8-point dogs 2 weeks ago, and I say another outright victory is a possibility here as well; grab the points, the play is Detroit!

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10* WAKE FOREST (BLOWOUT)

The Demon Deacons enter the Quarterfinals of the NIT with a 25-9 record, while the Aggies enter at 25-12. Wake Forest is led by Alondes Williams and they're coming off an 80-74 victory over VCU. Williams, who averages 18.8 PPG, had 19 in the victory. Wake is skilled on both ends of the court though, as it concedes just 70.1 PPG. Texas A&M advanced by beating Oregon by a score of 75-60. Quenton Jackson was a standout with 17 points. Overall Texas A&M has also done well on both ends of the court, coming in allowing only 66.9 PPG. Wake's superior offense is the difference-maker for me though, as it makes this a coin-flip contest in my opinion. In a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is WAKE FOREST.

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8* SOUTHERN UTAH (SPECIAL)

Here's one that I expect to come right down to the wire. Southern Utah is 21-11 this year, while UTEP is 20-13. The Thunderbirds beat Kent State to advance to this point, while the Miners beat Western Illinois. In the Kent State matchup, the Thunderbirds came from behind to win 83-79, led by 27 points from Dre Martin. The Miners won their matchup against the Leathernecks by a score of 80-54, but note that they're just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after a SU/ATS victory of 25 or more points. Southern Utah's offense has hit 79 or more points in three of its last four and while I do think an outright upset is a possibility, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Thunderbirds!

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10* MAGIC (ASSASSIN)

Golden State comes into this game fatigued. It's off B2B home losses, falling 110-88 to to Boston, before then dropping a 110-108 loss at home to the Spurs. With a game at Miami tomorrow, followed by contests at Washington and Memphis, can anyone say "letdown/look-ahead" spot here?! Not suprisingly, the Magic play with revenge after a 126-95 loss at Golden State as 15.5-point underdogs in early December. Off a 90-85 home win over OKC, I say the Magic "catch" the Warriors at a great time here. Orlando is a rebuild season, but it's healthier now than it's been at any other point and I believe it will take this game seriously. Outright win?! Anything is possible, but my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Magic!

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10* BULLS (ASSASSIN)

Chicago has lost 3 straight, both SU and ATS (that does in fact work in our favor here though, as the Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after 3 or more straight losess in a row.) Chicago also plays with revenge after a 127-120 OT setback to Toronto at the start of February. Finally though, note that Toronto played and won 93-88 at Philadelphia as 7.5-point underdogs just last night! It's a perfect spot for a hungry and revenge-minded team; lay the points, the play is Chicago!

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10* SOUTH ALABAMA (GOW)

Home floor is going to be an advantage here. South Alabama tok down Southeastern Louisiana by a score of 70-68 in the opening round The Basketball Classic. USC Upstate got by App State by a score of 80-74 in the first round. USA though is now 14-2 at home and it's ranked 31st in the country in conceding just 63.3 PPG. USA also finished ranked in the Top 3 in the Sun Belt in scoring with 71.4 PPG on average. The Spartans average 70.9 PPG, but their suspect defensive play on the road is the difference-maker here. Lay the points, expect a blowout; the play is South Alabama!

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10* TEXAS (BOB)

Texas looked great in its 83-71 win over Virginia Tech in the last round and I believe it'll find a way to get the job done here as well. Andrew Jones was dominant with 21 points, including 5 three balls. Purdue did what it was supposed to do in its 78-58 win over Yale. Jaden Ivey led the way in that one with 22 points. Purdue has struggled in this spot for bettors, going 0-5-2 ATS in its last 7 following a SU win. Texas on the other hand is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 off a SU/ATS neutral site win in which it scored 80 or more points in. While I do feel the outright is possible, let's grab the points; the play is Texas!

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9* NOTRE DAME (ASSASSIN)

It's a No. 11 seed vs. a No. 3. Notre Dame opend up with a double OT win over Rutgers in the First Four, and they carried that momentum over into their victory over Alabam in the first round. I look for the Irish to carry that confidence and momentum over to this one as well. Texas Tech smashed Montana State in its opening match on Friday, but now it faces a much tougher challenge in Notre Dame. The Irish lost 87-80 to the eventual champion VT Hokies in the ACC Tournament, but they sure looked great in their 78-64 victory over the Tide. Texas Tech has the No. 1 defense in the country, but the Irish have the No. 28 ranked offense in terms of efficiency rating. Texas Tech is ranked No. 43. The Irish come in looking fresh and while I don't think they'll win SU, I do think they'll cover with ease; grab the poitns, the play Notre Dame!

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8* OHIO STATE (BLOWOUT)

Ohio State won't be going down with a fight. I like the Buckeyes to, at the very least, take the Villanova Wildcats right down to the wire here. Ohio State is off a 54-41 win over Loyola Chicago and I expect another tough defensive performance here. Zed Key and Kyle Young returned to the lineup for the Buckeyes in their last game and they made an immediate impact on the boards. If there's one area that the Buckeyes have an advantage over Villanova, it's on the glass. The Buckeyes live and die by the 3-ball, and they're darn good at shooting from range, but defending the perimeter is a Buckeye defensive speciality. This is a bad matchup for Villanova. This could be an outright upset, but let's grab the points; the play is Ohio State!

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10* PROVIDENCE (2ND RND GOY)

After its epic upset over Iowa in the first round, I think Richmond has a predictable letdown here. The Spiders won 67-63 as 13.5-point underdogs, but I'm not expecting lightning to strike twice. Richmond struggled offensively, but somehow managed to slow down the Hawkeyes potent offensive attack. Richmond hasn't been to the round of 32 since 2011. Providence advanced by beating South Dakota State by a score of 66-57, ending the Jackrabbits 21-game win streak. They were only second to Gonzaga in points scored per game this year (86.7), but they stumbled big time against superior competition. Richmond's big upset is now going to be a major "hangover" for Richmond; I'm laying the points, but expecting a lop-sided victory!

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10* BUCKS (ASSASSIN)

The Bucks are the defending champs and the Wolves are the hottest team in the league right now. Minnesota is actually the No. 1 offense in the entire NBA. The Bucks are No. 3. Each is playing extremely well on both ends of the floor and honestly, it wouldn't be difficult at all to write a convincing argument for either of these league-leading squads to come out on top in this one. So why do I like the Bucks here? Simple. Revenge factor. The Wolves are poised for a letdown here vs. a the revenge-minded Bucks who fell 113-108 at home to Minnesota at the start of the season (as note, Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent.) To be the champ, you gotta beat the champ, and that's not happening twice; the play is Milwaukee!

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8* BAYLOR 

Two good teams collide. But the Bears are better and I say they find a way to get the job done in the end. North Carolina took a poor loss to Virginia Tech in the tournament, but it bounced back in a big way in its 95-63 opening round win over Marquette. Brady Manek (28 points and 11 boards) and Armando Bacot (17 points and 10 rebounds) both posted double-doubles. Baylor hasn't lost B2B games all year. It actually lost to Oklahoma on March 10th, but then bounced back to hammer Norfolk State by a score of 85-49 in the first round. Matthew Mayer led the way with 22 points and six rebounds. Neither team has been perfect this year. Each has been susceptible to letdowns, but Baylor's superior defense is going to throw a monkey-wrench into UNC's well-oiled offense today; look for the Bears to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover!

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8* Fullerton

With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. It's David vs. Goliath here. At least the bookmakers believe this will be a bloodbath. However, I like No. 15 seed Cal State Fullerton to sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch here vs. No. 2 Duke. The biggest reason I like this play is because Duke's defense is a major concern in this tournament, as it's ranked 46th in adjusted defensive efficiency over the last month of the season; look for CAL STATE FULLERTON to comfortably sneak in through the back door with all these points!

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8* Chattanooga 

With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. Chattanooga not only won the Southern regular season crown, but it also rolled its way through the Conference tournament. The reason why? Chattanooga loaded with veteran players and it has the length/size to keep up with Illinois star Kofi Cockburn. Illinois is solid and it likely will win this game SU, but it'll be a dog fight unitl the final moments; grab the points, the playis Chattanooga!

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8* Purdue

With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. Yes, the Yale Bulldogs have been decent defensively, but this Bulldogs team DOES NOT have the legs to keep up with the high-flying Boilermakers. The Bulldogs managed the upset over Princeton in the conference tournament, but the time off between games won't help with this underdogs chemistry. Purdue's defense isn't the best, but it doesn't have to be here. Yale is a small team, and Purdue is filled with giants. This is going to be a blowout of epic proportions; the play is Purdue!

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8* Jacksonville State

With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. These teams feature a couple of really dynamic players in Auburn's Jabari Smith Jr. Smith and Jacksonville State's 6-foot-10 center Brandon Huffman and 6-foot-11 center Maros Zeliznak. I think Auburn will go up early, and then take the foot off the gas. Jacksonville State did lose to the only other ranked team it played this year, but it was a tight affair, as it lost 65-59 to Alabama in December. No outright, but closer than expected; the play is Jacksonville State!

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10* SAN FRANCISCO (FIRST RND GOY)

Yes, the Murray State Racers have a 30-2 record, but all good things have to come to an end. This is an underrated Dons side which I believe has the advantage here. San Francisco finished 24-9. The Dons finished second behind Gonzaga of course. They lost 81-71 to the Bulldogs this year as 14.5-point underdogs. The Dons average 77.1 PPG, while conceding 67. The Racers average 79.3 and allow 62.3. San Fran's 2 best players are listed as questionable, but expect them both to be playing in this do or die situation. Murray State comes from the weaker conference and is overrated; the play is the Dons!

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8* New Mexico State

With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. I think the outright win really is possible here for the No. 12 seed Aggies, who hold big advantages in offensive rebounding and also in free throw rate. New Mexico State is no slouch, as it won the WAC and it matches up well against the Huskies, as each team excels when running a slow-tempo offense. I say this one is much more evenly matched than what  

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8* Georgia State

With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. No outright, but I think the Zags take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal in the second half. The Bulldogs are among the best in the nation on both ends of the floor. No. 16 seeds are 1-143 all-time vs. No. 1 seeds. Georgia State though enters on top form and won't be intimidated after 10 straight wins. Georgia State is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10, while the Zags are just 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7. This one is MUCH closer than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points!

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8* Providence

With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. South Dakota State is a 30-win team that stormed its way through The Summit Tournament as well, but after a difficult exit from the Big East Tournament, I expect Providence to hit the "reset" button here in this golden opportunity to redeem itself. The Jackrabbits can score, but their lack of depth on the defensive end is the difference in this one; lay the short points, the play is Providence!

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8* Colorado State

With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. Yes, Michigan avoided the First Four with a record of 17-14, but it sure shouldn't have. The Rams have been solid in the MW all year and they're the much better 3-point shooting team. The Wolverines have Hunter Dickinson down low, but I don't think that'll be enough today. Off a first round conference tourney loss to Indiana, Michigan should NOT be favored here; grab the points, the play is Colorado State!

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10* BRYANT (GOW)

I like Bryant to pull off the slight upset here. It's in the Tournament after winning the Northeast Conference Tournament. Wright State won the Horizon League Championship. The winner of this one will have the prize of facing No. 1 seed Arizona. Wright State is poised for a letdown here in my opinion after upsetting No. 1 seed Cleveland State during the tournament, as well as No. 3 seed Northern Kentucky. Bryant averages 77 PPG, while Wright State averages 76. The Bulldogs though are one of the highest volume 3-point shooting teams in the country, and Wright State is terrible defending from range. Bryand also averages over 40 rebounds per game, while the Raiders average 34. In an evenly matched game, these small details are the difference maker; that said, grab the points!

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10* MAGIC (ASSASSIN)

The Nets routinely "play down" to the level of their competition and I expect that detrimental trend to continue here on the road against the lowly Magic. Brooklyn has Kevin Durant back in the line-up, and wouldn't you know it, the Nets are winning games again, entering on a 3-game skein. Most recently it was a 110-107 home victory over the Knicks. But with a much more difficult (and more "high profile") game at home against the Mavericks the following night, Durant could be rested here, with Kyrie Irving carrying the load. Either way, this one definitely sets up as a letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors. The Magic have been playing better of late, going 4-1 ATS in their last five. Their off a 116-114 OT home loss to the 76ers, and I say they carry that confidence and momentum over here; grab the points!

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8* KINGS (DESTRUCTION)

The Bulls are off a 101-91 win at home over Cleveland, but I think they'll have their hands full here vs. this hungry home side. The Bulls have much bigger fish to fry as well, with games at Utah and Phoenix upcoming. I say Chicago gets caught looking ahead here. The Kings play with revenge after a 125-118 loss at Chicago in mid February and they're 7-2 ATS in their last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Kings are off a 134-125 loss to Utah, but note that they're 8-3 ATS in their last 11 off a SU/ATS road loss in which they conceded 130 or more points in. While I do feel that an outright upset is possible, let's grab the points!

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10* WIZARDS (ASSASSIN)

I'm not calling for an outright win or anything, but I do think that Washington will keep this one competitive until the final moments, and I do expect Golden State to take the foot off the gas in the second half as it prepares for a red hot Celtics team coming to town on Wednesday. The Warriors are off 3 straight wins/covers, but after their big 122-109 upset home win over the defending champs, we can expect a predictable mental letdown here. Washington fell 127-118 at Portland in its last matchup, but everything points to this one coming down to the wire. As I stated off the top, I'm not calling for the outright victory, but this spread is way too large considering these other factors; grab the points, the play is WASHINGTON.

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10* SUNS (ASSASSIN)

I like the Suns to try and make an example of LeBron James and the Lakers today. It's impossible to know what kind of effort you're going to get out of James and the Lakers from game-to-game. After his 50 point performance in a win over the Wizards in his last outing, I say "The King" has a predictable letdown here against this "step up" in competition. The Suns will be plenty motivated here as well after falling 117-112 at home to the Raptors as 4.5-point underdogs. And with a game at home tomorrow night against Toronto, the Lakers are also going to get caught "looking ahead" tonight; lay the points, the play is Phoenix!

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10* TENNESSEE

A&M continues to upset its way into the SEC Championship game, but I say that the Aggies "luck" finally runs out here. Texas A&M beat Arkansas by a score of 82-64 to advance, while Tennessee beat Kentucky by a score of 69-62. During the reg. season, A&M averaged 73.1 PPG, while allowing 66.7, while Tennessee averaged 73.6 PPG, while conceding just 62. In the lone matchup between the teams this year, Tennessee won by a score of 90-80, but it was unable to cover the large 11.5-point spread. This is a matchup that favors Tennessee and I expect a similar final combined discrepancy here as well; lay the points, the play is the VOLUNTEERS.

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10* PURDUE (BIG TEN TOURNEY GOY)

The winner of this game will go on to play in the Big Ten Championship. MSU is off a 69-63 win over Wisconsin. Purdue plays with revenge here as well after falling 68-65 at MSU in the only reg. season game. The Boilermakers though are now the highest seed remaining in the tournament and they're also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Boilermakers have two talented big men and I believe they'll be too much for Tom Izzo's team today. Look for the Purdue's veteran leadership in the backcourt to be the difference-maker in this important Conference contest; lay the points!

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10* SOUTH CAROLINA STATE (MEAC TOURNEY GOY)

Yes, the 12-13 Morgan State Bears have the home floor advantage here, and yes they enter on a 3-game win streak here, but I still say this 1 favors 15-15 South Carolina State. Morgan State averages 75.7 PPG, while allowing 72.2, while South Carolina State averages 71.7 PPG, while conceding 72.3. Morgan State finished just 8-13-0 ATS and when playing as at least a 1 point fav, the Bears own a record of just 4-5 ATS this year. South Carolina STate on the other hand has posted a 14-12-1 ATS record and when playing as at least 1-point underdogs this season, the Bulldogs are 12-8-1 ATS. Look for these strong trends to continue here on Thursday night; the play is South Carolina State!

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10* STANFORD (PAC 12 TOURNEY GOY)

Two teams that had poor season's have a chance at redemption in the Conference tournament, but for a number of different reasons, I believe this one favors the Cardinal. Stanford lost 5 straight down the stretch and went just 1-4 ATS in that span. The Cardinal though are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after a 5 games or longer losing streak. Overall the Cardinal average 65.8 PPG. They beat ASU 79-76 at home, but then fell at ASU in the final regular season game by a score of 65-56. Note that Stanford is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 59 or less points in. ASU averages just 65.2 PPG and in a contest that I foresee being decided in the final seconds, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Stanford!

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8* NC State (SPECIAL)

I think 11-20 NC State will, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample spread it's been afforded. NC State backed its way into the conference tournament with 4 straight losses, but note that the Wolfpack are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 still after 3 or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Clemson finished 16-15. It won its final 4 games. Note though that the Tigers are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after 3 or more SU victories in a row. These teams played on January 8th and Clemson managed the 70-65 SU victory as a 1.5-point underdog, but I expect an even tighter battle this time around. This one has all the makings of a "nail-biter," so let's grab the points!

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10* HAWKS (ASSASSIN)

There's no question that Detroit has been playing better of late, but I expect the proverbial wheels to fall off the bus today. Detroit has won 5 of its last 7 and covered in 7 straight. Note though that it's still just 2-13 ATS in its last 15 after 5 or more straight covers in a row. Atlanta has been playing a lot better in the second half as well and has a legitimate shot at the playoffs again. It's off B2B wins, including a 117-114 road win at Washington. With a tough game at Milwaukee on deck next, I expect the visiting side to take this road contest very seriously. Lay the points, the play is Atlanta!

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10* TULSA (ASSASSIN)

I think that 17-10 UCF gets caught looking past its lowly 9-19 opponent. The Knights had their 2-game win streak snapped last time out in an 82-67 loss to Tulane. UCF averages 70.1 PPG, while allowing 67.7. Tulsa enters off 3 straight losses, most recently falling 72-62 to Wichita State on Wednesday. The Golden Hurricane average 67.3 PPG, while allowing 69.5. Tulsa plays with revenge here as well after falling 76-67 as a 7.5-point dog at UCF on Feb. 14 (the Golden Hurricane are in fact a sharp 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent.) In what will be a highly competitive game, I'm grabbing the points!

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8* MISSISSIPPI STATE (SPECIAL)

This is each team's respective final regular season game. Mississippi State is looking to bounce back after an 81-68 loss to conference-leading Auburn in its last outing. The Bulldogs are now 17-13 overall, but they have a chance here to move to .500 today with their conference record sitting at 8-9. Texas A&M is off an 87-71 win over Alabama as a 10-point underdog. The Aggies are 19-11 overall and 8-9 in conference play. The Bulldogs average 71 PPG, while conceding 66.9, while the Aggies average 73 PPG, while allowing 66.9. In a contest that I see being decided in the final moments, let's grab the points!

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10* NORTHERN ILLINOIS (MAC BOB)

I think that the 23-7 Ohio BObcats will look past the lowly 9-21 Northern Illinois Huskies this evening. The Huskies put up a decent fight in Ohio in late January, but they ultimatley fell 74-62. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting a much more competitive game tonight. NIU did post a cover in that setback though, as it was afforded a whopping 18 points. The Bobcats come to town in a funk as well, having lost 3 of their last 4 and 2 straight. They most recently fell 80-77 to 5-13 Bowling Green! NIU is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent as well. Ohio is on the ropes and I think the Huskies can smell the blood in the water. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but make sure to grab as many points as you can!

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10* CAVALIERS (EXPRESS)

The Cavaliers have struggled since the All Star break, while the 76ers now look unbeatable with James Harden in the line-up. However, that's only helped in driving this home line a couple points higher than it really should be in my estimation. The Cavs are 36-26 overall, including 17-15 on the road. They're off a 119-98 loss at home to Charlotte, which is important to note here as they're 12-6 ATS in their last 18 off a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 99 or less points in. The Cavs also play with revenge here after a 103-93 home loss to Philly in the middle of February. The 76ers have won 4 straight, but with a much more "high-profile" contest at Miami tomorrow night, the possibility of getting caught "looking ahead" is something that we have to take into consideration here as well. I think this one will be decided in the closing moments, so I'm grabbing the points with the Cavaliers!

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10* FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (CONF. USA GOM)

Two teams with similar names and records collide in Conference USA action on Thursday night and in my opinion, this one favors the home side. FAU is 16-13, while FIU is 15-14. FAU won both games last year, so FIU won't be taking anything for granted here. FAU is coming off a 74-69 road win at Charlotte, but previous to that it had lost four in a row. FAU averages 73.8 PPG, while FIU averages 71.6. The major difference though is that FAU is just 3-8 on the road, while FIU is 11-4 at home. Look for FIU to continue its hot play on its own floor!

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10* CINCINNATI (GOW)

I think that Cincinnati will cover comfortably here. The Bearcats will be hungry to snap a 3-game slide, most recently falling 56-54 to USF. John Newman III was a bright spot in defeat with 11 points and eight rebounds. Houston comes in on the other end of the mental spectrum, content after 4 straight victories. That includes a 75-61 win over SMU on Sunday. Note though that the Cougars ars just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after 3 or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. The Bearcats average 70.2 PPG, while allowing 65.4, while Houston averages 76.3 PPG, while allowing 59. The Bearcats are without question the hungrier team here, looking to bounce back against the leagues best. I'm stopping short in calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to this one coming right down to the wire; because of that, let's grab the points!

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