Basketball Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
02-27-18 | Miami-FL +11.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 91-88 | Win | 100 | 29 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Miami Florida. Miami comes in off a narrow 79-78 win over Boston College at home in its latest action. UNC has won six in a row, most recently beating Syracuse 78-74. Miami averages 74.1 PPG and it allows 66.8. UNC averages 83.4 PPG and it allows 73.4. Note though that Miami is 7-4 ATS on the road this year, wile UNC is already 0-2 ATS this season when playing with five or six days of rest. With the Blue Devils up next on Saturday night to end the season, we think the home side gets caught looking ahead to that big matchup and in the process, it’s going to leave the back door open just enough for the visitors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. Grab the points, play on the HURRICANES. AAA Sports |
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02-26-18 | Lakers v. Hawks +2.5 | 123-104 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 9* EXPRESS on the Atlanta Hawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that LA is still just 13-14 ATS in its last 27 after playing to three consecutive OVERS, while ATL is 15-5 ATS in non-conference games and 4-2 ATS after playing three consecutive road games. The bottom line: LA has been playing very well of late with two straight wins out of the break, but with three whole days off before a game in Miami, we think the visitors finally have a letdown here. ATLANTA won’t be taking anything for granted and while the outright upset isn’t out of the question, we’re going to recommend grabbing the points. Play on the HAWKS. AAA Sports |
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02-26-18 | Grizzlies +12 v. Celtics | Top | 98-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based almost entirely on strong/relevant ATS statistics/trends: As note that Memphis is 14-11 ATS in its last 25 after allowing 115 points or more, while Boston is just 18-27 ATS in its last 45 after scoring 115 points or more. The bottom line: The Grizzlies are wounded and tanking, but we think they’re going to give the Celtics much more of a fight than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Boston returns home after back-to-back road victories, but we expect a bit of a lapse here against the hungry visitors. No outright upset, but all signs point to a battle, so grab the points. Play on MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |
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02-26-18 | Marquette v. Georgetown +1 | Top | 90-86 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Georgetown. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Marquette is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine when playing on one days rest and only 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road fav of three points or less or pick, while Georgetown is 7-2 ATS this season off a loss against a conference rival. The bottom line: We like the hungry/desperate home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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02-25-18 | Pistons +4.5 v. Hornets | Top | 98-114 | Loss | -102 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Detroit Pistons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Detroit is 13-10 ATS this year against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per contest, while Charlotte is just 1-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive victories and only 14-16 ATS at home. The bottom line: Detroit comes in hungry and focused after losing four of its last five, including a 110-98 setback to Boston in its most recent action. It also plays with revenge after falling to the Hornets 118-107 back in mid January. And with a game tomorrow night in Toronto, the Pistons can not afford to take anything for granted here. The Hornets have won three straight and get caught complacently looking ahead to their game at home against the lowly Bulls on Wednesday night. Grab the points, play on the PISTONS. AAA Sports |
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02-24-18 | Magic +10 v. 76ers | Top | 105-116 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Orlando Magic. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Orlando is 16-13 ATS on the road already this year and 7-1 ATS in its last eight against good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest, while Philadelphia is already just 4-6 ATS this year after three or more consecutive victories. The bottom line: Orlando plays with revenge, but it comes in healthier than its been all year as Nikola Vucevic returned in the last game. The Magic play with revenge and they catch a 76ers side looking ahead to its game at Washington tomorrow night. Grab the points, play on ORLANDO. AAA Sports |
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02-24-18 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Oakland -4.5 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Oakland. Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 15-15, while Oakland is 17-13. Oakland will be ultra-motivated here after back-to-back setbacks, most recently to Wisconsin-Green Bay. Milwaukee has alternated wins and losses since late January and most recently comes in off a 72-49 road victory over Detroit. Note though that Wisconsin Milwaukee is just 6-7 ATS on the road this year and only 3-4 ATS off a win against a conference rival, while Oakland is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three games as a home fav in the 3.5 to six points range. We look for the “hungrier” home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the afternoon. Play on OAKLAND. AAA Sports |
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02-24-18 | Tulane -5 v. South Florida | 79-68 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOWOUT on Tulane. The Tulane Green Wave are 13-14, while the USF Bulls are 8-20. The Green Wave enter off a 93-86 road loss to Wichita State on Wednesday, while the Bulls fell 73-61 to Tulsa in their latest action. Note that this is an in-season revenge game for Tulane after USF scored the 85-70 road upset earlier in the season. Tulane averages 74.6 PPG and it allows 74.4. The Green Wave looked competitive in their 93-86 road loss to Wichita State and we expect that momentum to get carried over here. USF averages 62.2 PPG and it concedes 71.3. We think the revenge-minded GREEN WAVE find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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02-23-18 | Mercer -8 v. The Citadel | Top | 83-70 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Mercer. The Bulldogs are 10-18 and the Bears are 16-13. The Citadel Bulldgos come in off an 84-82 win over East Tennessee State in their most recent action, while the Mercer Bears got the better of Western Carolina 81-64 in their previous outing. Mercer owns the 24th ranked offense, which doesn’t bode well for the Bulldogs who come in with the 316th ranked defense. Citadel won the first matchup this year, but that was then and this is now. The revenge minded Bears are 5-3 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival, while the Bulldogs are just 5-7 ATS this season after allowing 80 points or more. Lay the points, play on MERCER. AAA Sports |
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02-22-18 | 76ers v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 116-115 | Win | 100 | 31 h 7 m | Show |
his is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Chicago Bulls. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Philadelphia is already just 4-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive victories, while Chicago is 8-2 ATS in its last ten when playing with three or more days rest and 2-1 ATS this season after playing three consecutive home games. The bottom line: Chicago comes in focused after the break. The Bulls struggled up to the half way point, but the team looks to take advantage here against a 76ers side which gets caught looking ahead. While we’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to a highly competitive battle. Play on the BULLS. AAA Sports |
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02-22-18 | Delaware v. Drexel -2.5 | 83-85 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR BLOWOUT on Drexel. Both teams are tied for last place in the CAA at 5-11. Delaware looks ready for a letdown here though after it broke its nine-game slide in a 72-57 victory over Elon at home last Saturday. Conversely, Drexel will be risking life and limb here after dropping four straight, most recently an 88-76 loss at Hofstra on the weekend. Also note that this is a revenge game for the Dragons after they fell 72-66 to the Blue Hens on January 11th. Delaware averages 70.7 PPG and it concedes 73.2. Drexel averages 74.4 PPG and it concedes 79.2. Note though that Delaware is just 1-4 ATS in its last five road games, while also note that the home side of a perfect 5-0 ATS in the last five in this series. The revenge and home floor factors can’t be overlooked in this one. Play on DREXEL. AAA Sports |
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02-20-18 | Rutgers v. Ohio State -14 | 52-79 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Ohio State. The 13-16 Rutgers Scarlet Knights are at Ohio State to take on the 22-7 Buckeyes on Tuesday and all signs point to a blowout in our opinion. Rutgers has lost eight of its last nine. The Scarlet Knights average 65 PPG and they’ve not scored more than 58 in their last four games. The Buckeyes smashed Rutgers by 22 points earlier in the season and we’re anticipating an even larger rout this time around. The Buckeyes are still hanging on to a Top 25 position, but they come in off consecutive losses. Ohio State is 14-2 SU at home this year though. Also note that Rutgers is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road, while Ohio State has been sharp against the conference of late, going 11-5 ATS in its last 16 against Big Ten opponents. The Buckeyes need to get things turned around and here’s the perfect opponent to get untracked against. Lay the points, play on OHIO STATE. AAA Sports |
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02-20-18 | Rhode Island v. La Salle +6.5 | Top | 95-93 | Win | 100 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on La Salle. Rhode Island is 21-4 and La Salle is 11-16. The Explorers play with revenge here after falling 74-62 to the Rams in early January. The Rams though are caught in a “trap” here in our opinion after their 16 game win streak was snapped last time out in a 77-74 setback to St. Bonaventure. Rhode Island averages 77.2 PPG and it allows 66.8. La Salle averages 72.6 PPG and it allows 74.3. Note though that Rhode Island is just 13-19 ATS in its last 32 on the road and a poor 5-9 ATS in its last 14 following a loss to a conference rival. La Salle has struggled in most ATS statistical categories the last few season, which makes it important to note that it’s 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to revenge an in-season loss to an opponent in which is scored 62 points or less in. For all the reasons listed above, play on LA SALLE. AAA Sports |
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02-19-18 | Miami-FL +4.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Miami Florida. The 18-8 Miami Florida Hurricanes are at Notre Dame to take on the 16-11 Fighting Irish on Monday. Miami will be hungry here, having lost three straight. ND looks poised for a letdown though after winning three of four. This is a crucial game for these two teams stuck in the middl of the ACC standings. Note though that Miami is already 6-4 ATS this year on the road, while Notre Dame is just 4-5 ATS at home and only 8-13 ATS in its last 21 when playing with one or less days rest. The Irish defense is not nearly as tough as the Orange’s. We look for the “hungrier” team to risk life and limb tonight and to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points, play on the HURRICANES. AAA Sports |
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02-17-18 | Utah v. Washington State +7.5 | Top | 77-70 | Win | 100 | 30 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Washington State. Utah is 15-9, while Washington State is 9-15. The Utes allow 69.2 PPG, while the Cougars concede 78. Utah most recently beat Washington 70-58 and we predict a letdown here against the lowly Cougars. We had a play on Washington State when it beat Colorado 73-69 on Thursday and suffice it to say, we’re expecting the team to carry that momentum over here as well. The pressure is on Utah sitting a game behind in the race for second place, but with a tough home game against UCLA up next, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors “looking past” their lowly opponent tonight. Grab the points, play on WASHINGTON STATE. AAA Sports |
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02-17-18 | Michigan State v. Northwestern +8.5 | 65-60 | Win | 100 | 22 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 9* ART OF WAR on Northwestern. Michigan State is poised for a letdown here after winning its ninth straight, most recently an 87-57 drubbing of Minnesota on the road on Tuesday. Northwestern on the other hand will be risking life and limb to try and score an upset and take advantage of home floor after dropping its second straight, most recently a 67-58 OT setback at Rutgers on Tuesday. Michigan State averages 83.3 PPG and it concedes 65. Northwestern averages 69.9 points and it allows 65.9. Note though that we think MSU gets caught looking ahead to its game at home against last place Illinois. Northwestern is in a dogfight with Indian right now and after its recent shoddy play, there’s no having to worry about the home sides “motivation levels.” While we’re not calling for the outright upset, all signs point to a very competitive battle. Grab the points, play on NORTHWESTERN. AAA Sports |
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02-17-18 | Texas v. Oklahoma -5.5 | 77-66 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 9* BIG TIGER on Oklahoma. The Texas Longhorns are 15-11, while the Oklahoma Sooners are 16-9. Oklahoma has lost four straight, most recently falling 88-78 to Texas Tech on Tuesday. Texas comes in off a 74-73 OT loss to Baylor in its latest action. Note that this is a revenge game for Oklahoma after it fell 79-74 in Texas last month. The Longhorns average 72.4 PPG and they concede 68. The Sooners average 88.4 PPG and they concede 82.2. Note though that Texas is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after losing an OT contest which was decided by one point or less, while Oklahoma is 2-1 ATS in trying to revenge an in season loss to an opponent, and 3-1 ATS after four or more consecutive SU losses. The SOONERS have won five of their last six conference home games and they’ll be playing with desperate on both ends of the court this afternoon. The Longhorns though look poised for a letdown after their latest OT setback. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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02-16-18 | Oakland -6 v. Cleveland State | Top | 82-66 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* Horizon League GAME OF THE YEAR on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies. We jumped on this line early and it’s since moved the other way on us, but regardless, we still love this selection as we look for the hungry visitors to do more than enough to secure a comfortable ATS victory here. Oakland had its two game win streak snapped in a humbling 75-73 upset road loss at Youngstown State on Wednesday night and it clearly won’t be taking anything for granted here. Cleveland State though looks poised for a letdown in our opinion after winning its second straight, most recently a tougher than expected 75-72 home win over the lowly Detroit Mercy on Wednesday. Oakland took the previous meeting this year at home 81-68 between the teams and we’re expecting a similar final outcome here as well. Oakland averages 80.1 PPG and it allows 78.2. Cleveland State averages 68.3 PPG and it allows 74.9. Note though that Oakland is 24-11 ATS in its last 34 road games against a team with a winning home record, while Cleveland State is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after back-to-back SU victories. After their latest defeat, look for the high-flying GRIZZLIES to push the pace and to pull away for the comfortable ATS cover once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports |
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02-15-18 | Colorado v. Washington State +4 | Top | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 29 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Washington State. Colorado has won three straight to move to 7-6 in league play and 15-10 overall. Most recently the Buffs beat Utah by 12 on the road. Suffice it to say, all signs point to a letdown here in our opinion. Certainly it wouldn’t be too hard to imagine the streaking visitors in some small way looking past their lowly opponent tonight, as the Cougars come in having lost seven straight, as they now sit with a 1-11 record in conference action. Note though that Colorado is a terrible 2-5 ATS on the road already this year and just 3-4 ATS in its last seven against poor defensive teams which allow 77 plus points per contest, while Washington State is 9-6 ATS in its last 15 after scoring 60 points or less in its previous outing. We think the Buffs have a letdown and we look for the hungry COUGARS to step up and take advantage. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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02-14-18 | Suns +11.5 v. Jazz | 97-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Phoenix Suns. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Phoenix is 8-7 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses and 5-4 ATS following a divisional contest (also 13-11 ATS after allowing 115 points or more in its previous outing), while Utah is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after five or more consecutive SU victories. The bottom line: The Jazz have won ten straight and we believe they’ll be caught looking past their lowly opponent here. The Suns though come off a humbling defeat to the Warriors and are just 1-11 in their last 12. No outright upset, but all signs do indeed point to the points as the savvy move in this contest. Play on Phoenix. AAA Sports |
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02-14-18 | NC State +4.5 v. Syracuse | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 28 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NC State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based entirely on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that NC State is 3-1 ATS in its last four after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Syracuse is just 6-8 ATS at home this year, only 4-7 ATS after a conference game and just 5-7 ATS this season against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest. Grab the points, play on NC State. AAA Sports |
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02-14-18 | Hawks v. Pistons -8.5 | Top | 98-104 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Detroit Pistons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Atlanta is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven against clubs with losing records, while Detroit is 4-3 ATS this season after allowing 115 points or more. The bottom line: It’s the final game before the All Star Break. Atlanta has lost three of its last four and its only victory in that span was a 118-115 win over these very Pistons last week. Detroit is going to be desperate here to close the first half strong after three straight losses and it’ll be out to avenge the setback as well. Overwhelming factors working in favor of the home side does indeed make the PISTONS the savvy move in this contest. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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02-14-18 | Clemson v. Florida State -2.5 | 79-81 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Florida State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based entirely on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Clemson is just 3-4 ATS already this year off a win against a conference rival and only 2-4 ATS on the road, while FSU is 5-3 ATS at home, 9-5 ATS as the favorite and 3-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival (also 11-6 ATS against teams with winning records.) Play on Florida State. AAA Sports |
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02-14-18 | Iowa +11 v. Michigan | 59-74 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Iowa. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based entirely on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Iowa is 5-2 ATS its last seven after playing to three or more consecutive SU losses, while Michigan is just 2-6 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival. Play on Iowa. AAA Sports |
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02-13-18 | Rockets v. Wolves +3 | Top | 126-108 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Minnesota Timberwolves. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Houston is just 11-13 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories and only 3-6 ATS following a divisional contest, while Minnesota is 12-11 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent this season (fell 116-98 to Houston on November 18th) and 8-6 ATS this year when playing the role of underdog. The bottom line: The Wolves broke a two-game slide with a tougher than expected victory over the Kings, as they likely were caught “looking ahead” to this game. But now that this contest has arrived, we look for the focused and revenge-minded home side to find a way to get the job done. Grab the points, play on the WOLVES. AAA Sports |
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02-13-18 | Heat +8 v. Raptors | 112-115 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Miami is already 2-0 ATS this year when playing with three or more days of rest and 13-9 ATS against teams with winning records, while Toronto is a poor 11-14 ATS this season against clubs with winning records. The bottom line: Miami beat the Raptors 90-89 at home back on January 9th. The Heat though won’t be taking anything for granted here as they finally broke a five-game slide with a tough 91-85 victory at home over the surging Bucks in their most recent action. And with a game at Philadelphia tomorrow night before the break, tonight’s contest takes on added importance for the visitors. Toronto though has won eight of ten and five straight and gets caught looking ahead to its game in Chicago tomorrow night. While we’re not calling for the outright upset, everything points to a much more competitive affair than was Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, play on the HEAT. AAA Sports |
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02-13-18 | Boston College v. Pittsburgh +5.5 | Top | 81-58 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Pittsburgh. The 15-10 Boston College Eagles are in Pittsburgh to take on the 8-18 Panthers. Boston College looks poised for a letdown here after getting the better of then No. 25 Miami 72-70 on Saturday, while Pittsburgh is out to atone for a humbling 94-60 loss to Louisville on Sunday. BC averages 75.9 PPG and it allows 72.8. Pittsburgh averages 63 PPG and it concedes 72.2. Note though that BC is just 1-2 ATS this year against schools with losing records (also just 2-5 ATS on the road), while Pittsburgh is 6-4 ATS this season after scoring 60 points or less. We think the “hungrier” team takes this one right down to the wire. Grab the points, play on PITTSBURGH. AAA Sports |
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02-12-18 | Suns +15.5 v. Warriors | Top | 83-129 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Phoenix Suns. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Phoenix is already 8-6 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses and 3-2 ATS as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while Golden State is just 3-7 ATS this season after playing three consecutive home games and only 4-6 ATS as a home fav of 12.5 points or more. The bottom line: Phoenix plays with revenge here, as Golden State took all four meetings last year. The Suns are a mess as they come into this one having lost five straight. But we think they’ll fly under the radar here and keep this one closer than expected. The Warriors have now won two straight after a two-game slide, but head coach Steve Kerr has already said that his team is “gassed,” and that they can’t wait to get to the All Star break. With a game at red hot Portland to finish the first half, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side in some small way getting caught looking past their lowly opponent tonight to that more notable matchup. Also note that Kerr will likely elect to rest several starters tonight. While we’re not calling for the outright victory, all signs point to a comfortable cover. Grab the points, play on the SUNS. AAA Sports |
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02-12-18 | Baylor v. Texas -2.5 | Top | 74-73 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas. Both teams come in at 15-10. Note that Texas plays with revenge here after the Bears took a 69-60 home win back on January 6th. Baylor come in contented here after a big 80-64 home win over then No. 10 Kansas on Saturday. The Longhorns on the other hand will be eager to return to form here after an 87-71 setback to TCU over the weekend. Baylor averages 77.2 PPG and it allows 69.2. Texas averages 72.4 PPG and it allows 67.7 PPG. Note though that Baylor is just 9-11 ATS in its last 20 after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last six off a loss against a conference rival and 3-1 ATS after allowing 80 points or more. For all the reasons listed above, play on TEXAS. AAA Sports |
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02-11-18 | Washington State +15 v. Oregon | Top | 57-84 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH on Washington State. Washington State is the “hungrier” team here at 9-14. Oregon comes in a 16-8. The Ducks are poised for a letdown after their 65-40 win over Washington. The Cougars on the other hand will be out to atone for their humbling 94-62 defeat to Oregon State. Note that Washington State is 4-2 ATS in its last six against good offensive teams which average 77 plus points per night, while Oregon is just 8-11 ATS as a favorite this season. With a game at USC up at the end of the week, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side getting caught looking past its lowly opponent tonight. No upset, but a tighter than expected battle. Grab the points, play on WASHINGTON STATE. AAA Sports |
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02-11-18 | Pistons v. Hawks +3.5 | 115-118 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Atlanta Hawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Detroit is just 11-17 ATS as a favorite this year, only 4-5 ATS after playing three consecutive home games and a horrible 6-14 ATS against teams with losing records, while Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as an underdog and 8-5 ATS after allowing 115 points or more. The bottom line: Detroit’s five game win streak was snapped in its 108-95 setback to the Clippers and we think it’s primed for another letdown here as well, especially with a tough game at home tomorrow night against Anthony Davis and the New Orleans Pelicans. The Hawks play with revenge after falling to the Pistons in mid December and they clearly won’t be taking anything for granted here after losing two straight and eight of their last ten. Grab the points, play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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02-11-18 | Raptors v. Hornets +3 | Top | 123-103 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Charlotte Hornets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Toronto is already just 3-5 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest and only 2-3 ATS after playing three consecutive home games, while Charlotte is 4-3 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses and 6-2 ATS in its last eight against good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per contest. The bottom line: The Raptors come in complacent after four straight home victories in our opinion. The Hornets on the other hand have lost three straight and they also play with revenge here after falling in Toronto back in December. While the upset is definitely “in play” here, we’re going to grab the points. Play on CHARLOTTE. AAA Sports |
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02-10-18 | California +13.5 v. Utah | 43-77 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on California. Cal is hungry for a win, as it comes in having dropped ten of its last 11, most recently a hard-fought 68-64 loss at Colorado on Wednesday. Utah broke a two game slide with a 75-60 win over Stanford on Thursday. Cal averages 70.3 PPG and it allows 78.3. Utah averages 74.3 PPG and it allows 70.3. Note though that Cal is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while Utah is interestingly 0-2 ATS this year against poor defensive teams which allow 77 plus points per night. CALIFORNIA is desperate and its recent “near misses” is evidence that the team isn’t going down without a fight. We think Utah looks past its lowly opponent just enough for the Bears to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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02-10-18 | Lakers v. Mavs | 123-130 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Dallas Mavericks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that LA is still just 47-60 ATS in its last 107 on the road, while Dallas is 7-4 ATS this year following a loss by ten points or more and 2-1 ATS after playing three consecutive road games. The bottom line: Dallas has lost two straight and eight of ten. Clearly it won’t be looking past the Lakers today. It also plays with revenge after falling to LA 107-101 in OT in mid January. The Lakers are playing their best ball of the season right now with four straight victories, but the recent off-court turmoil involving trades, combined with a three day layoff after tonight in our opinion absolutely sets this up as a classic letdown/look-ahead spot for the visiting side. Play on the MAVERICKS. AAA Sports |
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02-10-18 | UCLA +3.5 v. Arizona State | 79-88 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on UCLA. UCLA comes in playing its best basketball of the season after downing No. 13 Arizona 82-74 on the road Thursday, the Bruins fourth straight victory. Arizona State has won stow straight, most recently a tight 80-78 victory over USC at home on Thursday. The Bruins average 82.9 PPG and they allow 75.7. The Sun Devils average 84.8 PPG and they allow 74.6. Note though that UCLA is a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last seven against a team with a winning percentage above .600, while Arizona State is a horrible 0-5-1 ATS in its last six following a SU victory. UCLA takes this one down to the wire, so grab the points. AAA Sports |
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02-10-18 | Rutgers +10 v. Nebraska | Top | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Rutgers. Rutgers comes in motivated after dropping its sixth straight, most recently a 65-43 setback at home to Indiana on Monday. Nebraska on the other hand comes in complacent after four straight wins, most recently a 91-85 road victory over Minnesota on Tuesday. Note that this is a “revenge” game as well for the Scarlet Knights after the Huskers took the first game this year 60-54 on January 24th. Rutgers doesn’t score many points, averaging only 65.9 PPG, however the Scarlet Knights make up for it on the other end by allowing just 63.8 (ranked 15th in the nation.) Nebraska averages 74 PPG and it allows 69.5. Note that Rutgers is already 3-2 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Nebraska is just 2-3 ATS this season after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest. Grab the points, play on RUTGERS. AAA Sports |
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02-09-18 | Bucks v. Heat -1.5 | 85-91 | Win | 100 | 31 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Miami Heat. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Milwaukee is just 11-15 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and only 1-5 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Miami is 12-9 ATS against clubs with winning records this season and 4-1 ATS in its last five after playing to five or more consecutive SU losses. The bottom line: Miami enjoys a couple of nights off before a short two-game road trip before the All Star break. The Heat welcome back Dwayne Wade and will be pumped and determined here after five straight losses. Milwaukee looks poised for a letdown here after three straight wins and with a much more “winnable” game tomorrow night in Orlando. Great value, play on the HEAT. AAA Sports |
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02-07-18 | Wolves v. Cavs +4 | 138-140 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Minnesota is already just 8-13 ATS in non-conference games this year, only 7-8 ATS after scoring 115 points or more and 0-1 ATS when playing with three or more days of rest, while Cleveland is 6-5 ATS as an underdog this season. The bottom line: The Cavs lost to the Wolves 127-99 back on January 8th and they come in off another poor effort just last night, falling 116-98 in Orlando (after having an 8-point half-time lead.) All the talk in the NBA right now is about how disastrous the Cavs are playing and clearly it would be hard to argue that the team doesn’t have major issues right now. We simply feel that despite all of its issues, Cleveland hasn’t forgotten how to play basketball. King James is still probably the best player on the planet. The Wolves have chemistry, but they come in complacent after B2B wins in our opinion. And with a game at Cleveland up next, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead as well. While an outright upset is obviously not out of the question, we’re going to grab the points in the end. Play on the CAVALIERS. AAA Sports |
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02-06-18 | Boston College v. Notre Dame -7 | Top | 85-96 | Win | 100 | 28 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Notre Dame. BC is 4-6 in ACC action, while ND is 3-7 in league play. We think the Eagles suffer a predictable letdown here after beating Georgia Tech 80-72 at home on Sunday. The Irish will be risking life and limb today though as they try to break a seven-game slide. BC averages 75.7 PPG and they allow 71.9. ND averages 75.7 PPG and it allows 71.9. Clearly these teams are very evenly matched, but note that the Irish are 4-2 ATS in their last six after six or more consecutive SU losses, while BC is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 80 points or more in its previous outing. For all the reasons listed above, play on NOTRE DAME. AAA Sports |
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02-05-18 | Bulls -2 v. Kings | 98-104 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Chicago Bulls. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Chicago is 8-6 ATS already this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent (The Bulls come in having lost six in a row, while also falling to Sacramento 107-106 at home back in early December), while Sacramento is just 9-14 ATS at home and interestingly only 12-16 ATS against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. The bottom line: Chicago enjoys three nights off before finally returning home and we’re expecting the visitors to lay everything they have on the line. The revenge factor combined with overall desperation makes the BULLS the savvy move in this contest. AAA Sports |
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02-03-18 | Davidson v. George Washington +6.5 | 87-58 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on George Washington (4:00 EST). Davidson is 11-9, while George Washington is 9-13. The Colonials are the “hungrier” team here as they’re now just 1-7 in their last eight. The Wildcats look poised for a letdown however after going 6-2 in their last eight and stoping a two-game slide with a win over La Salle in their latest action. Note that this is a “revenge” game for the home side after it was blown out 72-45 at Davidson back on January 10th. Note though that Davidson is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 80 points or more in its previous outing, while George Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last six when trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was help to 45 points or less in the setback. For all the reasons listed above, play on the COLONIALS. AAA Sports |
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02-03-18 | Duke v. St. John's +11.5 | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on St. John’s. We’re not calling for the outright upset, but we think No. 4 Duke gets caught looking past its lowly non-conference opponent this afternoon. The Blue Devils bounce back nicely with an 88-66 win at home over Notre Dame after falling 65-63 to No. 2 Virginia in its previous outing. But with a game at North Carolina up next, there’s no doubt that this sets up as a classic look ahead spot for the mighty Blue Devils. St. John’s is 0-11 in Big East play after falling 73-68 to No. 6 Xavier on Thursday. The Red Storm started the season 10-2 in non-conference action, but they’ve since come back down to Earth. Note though that St. John’s is 5-1 ATS in its last six against the ACC, while Duke is just 6-16-1 ATS in its last 23 against the Big East. Play on the RED STORM. AAA Sports |
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02-02-18 | Heat v. 76ers -3.5 | 97-103 | Win | 100 | 31 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Miami is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 90 points or less in its previous outing (just fell 91-89 in Cleveland), while Philadelphia is already 6-2 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games. The bottom line: Philly comes in having lost three straight. The Heat have been playing fantastically, but we think they get caught looking ahead to their matchup in Detroit tomorrow night. All signs point to a blowout, play on the 76ERS. AAA Sports |
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02-02-18 | Hawks +9 v. Celtics | 110-119 | Push | 0 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Atlanta is already 6-4 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent (fell 110-99 to Boston at home in mid November) and 7-4 ATS in its last 11 after allowing 115 points or more in its previous outing (fell 123-110 in Charlotte, the Hawks fourth loss in their last five games), while Boston is just 1-2 ATS this year after allowing 85 points or less (note that the C’s come in off back-to-back wins, most recently a 103-73 thrashing of the Knicks.) The bottom line: ATL is dealing with injuries, but with two nights off to prepare for this one, we expect the hungry visitors to lay everything on the line and to keep this one much competitive than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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01-30-18 | Wolves v. Raptors -6 | 104-109 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Toronto Raptors. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Minnesota is just 2-4 ATS in its last six in the second game of a back-to-back scenario in which it scored 100 points or less in the first outing, while Toronto is 11-7 ATS in its last 18 after scoring 115 points or more. The bottom line: No need to overanalyze this one, as Minnesota comes in tired after a 105-100 setback in Atlanta just last night. The Raptors have been alternating good games with bad lately, but they come in off a win over the Lakers and they also play with revenge here after falling to the Wolves 115-109 in Minnesota a couple of weeks ago. All the pieces are in place for a big time blowout. Lay the points, play on TORONTO. AAA Sports |
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01-30-18 | Ball State +8 v. Toledo | 75-63 | Win | 100 | 26 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Ball State. Ball Sate comes in off a 111-106 double OT win at home over Akron, while Toledo enters off a 101-75 victory at home over Bowling Green. Ball State averages 76.8 PPG and it allows 76. Toledo averages 81.1 PPG and it allows 75.1. Note though that Ball State is already 4-2 ATS this year when playing the role of underdog and 5-3 ATS in its last eight as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Toledo is just 4-6 ATS as a favorite this year. For all the reasons listed above, play on BALL STATE. AAA Sports |
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01-29-18 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -2.5 | Top | 74-63 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Wisconsin (9:00 EST). Wisconsin will be desperate here as it’s lost five of its last six. Nebraska has been successful this year, but less so on the road. Note that this is a revenge game for the home side after the Cornhuskers won the first meeting 63-59 earlier in the season. Nebraska’s defense looked pretty ordinary in its 98-84 win over lowly Iowa in its last game. The Hawkeyes beat the Badgers earlier in the year, as this simply has not bee Wisconsin’s year. That said, this situation sets up fantastic for it as we think that the Cornhuskers come in a bit complacent here. Also note that Nebraska is already a poor 1-3 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Wisconsin is 6-5 ATS at home and 3-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. For all the reasons listed above, play on the BADGERS. AAA Sports |
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01-29-18 | Wolves v. Hawks +6.5 | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 29 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the Atlanta Hawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Minnesota is just 6-12 ATS in non-conference games this year (also interestingly, just 1-5 ATS against the Southeast division), while ATL is 13-5 ATS in non conference games (and interestingly, 5-1 ATS agains the Northwest division. The bottom line: With a game tomorrow night in Toronto, it’s not too difficult to impinge the visitors in some small way getting caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent tonight. Atlanta on the other hand will be desperate as its lost six of ten, including three straight. The numbers and the overall situation all do indeed point to the HAWKS as the savvy call in this one. AAA Sports |
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01-28-18 | Seton Hall -5 v. DePaul | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Seton Hall. Seton Hall is 15-5. DePaul is 9-11. The Pirates will be desperate here as they’ve lost three of four. The Blue Demons are just 1-3 in their last four, but they look poised for a predictable letdown here after a one-point victory at Georgetown on Wednesday. Note as well that Seton Hall is 11-6 ATS in its last 17 off a loss against a conference rival, while DePaul is 4-7 ATS at home and 5-6 ATS as an underdog. Lay the points, play on SETON HALL. AAA Sports |
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01-27-18 | Portland +22.5 v. St. Mary's | 55-72 | Win | 100 | 30 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Portland. Portland started off its conference slate by going 0-6, but it comes in with momentum here by winning two of its last three. Perhaps met impressively is that the Pilots have won both games on the road, most recently a 72-65 victory at Loyola Marymount. Saint Mary’s comes in complacent here in our opinion after winning 15 straight to move to 20-2 overall. Note though that Portland is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 on the road and 4-0 ATS in its last four following a double-digit loss at home, while St. Mary’s is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after a ten game or more unbeaten streak. We’re not calling for the outright upset, but everything points to a much tighter battle than what Las Vegas wants us to think. Grab the points, play on PORTLAND. AAA Sports |
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01-27-18 | Stanford v. UCLA -7.5 | 73-89 | Win | 100 | 29 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCLA. The Cardinal are 11-10, while the Bruins are 14-7. Stanford opened conference play with five straight wins, which included a shocking 107-99 double OT win over UCLA. Stanford though has lost its momentum as it comes into this one having lost two straight. The Cardinal can score, but they rank 239th on the defensive side of the ball. The Bruins rank 27th in the nation in scoring and 269th on the defensive end. Stanford is 2-2 on the road this year, while UCLA is 10-2 at home. Note that Stanford is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range, while UCLA is 4-2 ATS when playing on one days rest and already 1-0 ATS this season in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, play on UCLA. AAA Sports |
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01-27-18 | Long Beach State v. CS-Northridge +5 | 70-66 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cal State Northridge. Long Beach State looks primed for a letdown here in our opinion after wining two straight, most recently an 87-71 victory on the road at Cal Poly on Thursday. CSU Northridge on the other hand lost 63-56 to UC Davis on Thursday. Note though that this is a big time revenge game for the Matadors, who fell to the 49ers 80-70 in the first matchup between the schools back on January 10th. LBSU averages 75.9 PPG and it concedes 80.3. CSU Northridege averages 65.5 PPG and it concedes 70.9. Note though that LBSU is already just 1-2 ATS as a favorite this year and only 1-2 ATS in its last three off a win against a conference rival, while CS Northridge is 4-1 ATS this year off a conference game and 2-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. Play on CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE. AAA Sports |
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01-27-18 | Thunder v. Pistons +3.5 | Top | 121-108 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Detroit Pistons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that OKC is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after six or more consecutive SU victories, while Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last seven after six more consecutive SU losses. The bottom line: Detroit does indeed come in having lost eight of ten and six straight. With a home and home set starting in Cleveland tomorrow night agains the Cavs, this game this evening essentially becomes a “must win” for the Pistons. OKC on the other hand comes in complacent here after its latest win streak and with a game at home tomorrow night against the 76ers, it’s not too difficult to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead to the difficult matchup. Grab the points, play on the PISTONS. AAA Sports |
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01-26-18 | Wisconsin +17 v. Michigan State | Top | 61-76 | Win | 100 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Wisconsin. Wisconsin enters this one off an 85-67 road loss to Iowa, while MSU comes in off an 87-74 victory over Illinois. The Badgers average only 63 PPG, while allowing 68.4. Wisconsin’s defense has been solid all year, but it was a “no show’ in the setback to the Hawkeyes. Suffice it to say, we believe the unit will return to form here. Michigan State averages 85.3 PPG and it allows 64.1. Note that the Badgers are 4-2 ATS in their last six after scoring 68 points or less in their previous contest, while the Spartans are just 1-2 ATS in their last three after scoring 85 points or more in their previous outing. The Badgers have allowed just 65.9 PPG on the road. In a “tighter than expected” matchup, we’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on WISCONSIN. AAA Sports |
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01-25-18 | Long Beach State -2 v. Cal Poly | 87-71 | Win | 100 | 31 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LBSU. LBSU has won three of its last four, while Cal Coly has dropped four in a row. The 49ers have been averaging 75 points over four straight games, most recently edging Cal State Fullerton 81-73 on Saturday. LBSU was 11 of 21 from 3-point land and held a 37-30 edge on the boards. Cal Poly has been held to 54 points or less in two of its last three games, most recently falling 72-54 to CS Northridge. The Mustangs are now averaging just 66.8 PPG. Note that the road team is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 in this matchup, while Cal Poly is just 5-16 ATS in its last 21 home games against teams with losing road records. LBSU’s offense comes in firing on all cylinders, while Cal Poly can’t buy a bucket right now. All signs point to a rout, play on LBSU. AAA Sports |
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01-25-18 | Pacific v. San Francisco -3.5 | 67-69 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on San Francisco. Pacific is 5-3 in conference play, while San Francisco has struggled for the most part. The Dons do come in off a much needed win against Pepperdine though and we expect them to carry that momentum over here. Pacific has been the surprise of the conference this year, but after its 72-69 loss to conference leader St. Mary’s in its last game, we’re expecting a predictable “letdown” here. San Fran is already 2-1 ATS this year as a home fav in the 3.5 to six points range, while Pacific is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a road dog of 3.5 to six points. We think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on SAN FRANCISCO. AAA Sports |
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01-25-18 | Colorado +15 v. Arizona | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 29 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Colorado. Colorado looks to get back on track here after falling 72-62 to Washington Saturday. The Buffs have struggled on offense this year, but make up for it with a tough defense (ranked fourth after eight conference games.) We think the Wildcats, who enter having won 13 of their last 14, come in complacent here. Arizona has struggled this year by turning the ball over on 19.2 percent of its offensive possessions. Note as well that Colorado is 2-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival this year and 6-3 ATS against good offensive teams which allow 77 plus points per contest, while Arizona is just 2-10 ATS this year against schools with winning records and just 3-6 ATS in front of the home town crowd. No outright upset, but all signs do indeed point to a bit of a battle. Grab the points, play on COLORADO. AAA Sports |
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01-25-18 | Wizards +5.5 v. Thunder | Top | 112-121 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 43 m | Show |
This is 10* EXPRESS on the Washington Wizards. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Washington is already 5-0 ATS this year off a loss by ten points or more (just fell 98-75 in Dallas) and 2-0 ATS after scoring 85 points or less in its previous outing, while OKC is just 13-27 ATS as the favorite this year, only 9-14 ATS at home and just 7-13 ATS against teams with winning records. The bottom line: These two teams have been moving in opposite directions of late, which puts added weight to our argument in our opinion. The Wizards are desperate for a win here, while the Thunder come in contented after their recent win streak. The table is set for the outright upset, but in the end we’ll grab the points. Play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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01-24-18 | DePaul +4.5 v. Georgetown | 74-73 | Win | 100 | 29 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER SHOCKER on DePaul. The Blue Demons are 8-11 and the Hoyas are 13-6. DePaul is the “hungrier” team today though as it’s lost six of its last seven, most recently falling to Butler at home on Saturday. Max Struss had 27 points in the setback to the Bulldogs. DePaul had lost six in a row in this series before upsetting the Hoyas at home last year. Georgetown broke a two-game slide with a much tougher than expected OT win over St. John’s last weekend. Georgetown’s Marcus Derrickson had 27 points in the two OT win over the Red Storm. Note though that DePaul is already 2-0 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses and 3-2 ATS in true road games, while Georgetown is just 2-4 ATS this season after scoring 80 points or more and only 4-7 ATS in home games. Grab the points, play on the BLUE DEMONS. AAA Sports |
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01-24-18 | Rhode Island v. Fordham +14.5 | Top | 78-58 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Fordham. Rhode Island is 15-3 and Fordham is just 6-13. Rhode Island enters off an 88-74 win over Dayton on Saturday, while Fordham fell 68-46 at St. Joseph’s in its latest action. We’re not calling for the outright upset and we won’t try to convince you that Rhode Island is a decent team which has gotten some lucky breaks, while Fordham is a good team which has had things go the other way on it at times. As that’s not the case. Rhode Island is a great team and Fordham is a poor one.We however simply feel this sets up as a classic letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors, who enter this one on a ten-game win streak. So far Rhode Island averages 77.4 PPG and it concedes 66.7. EC Matthews is averaging 13.9 PPG during league action. Fordham averages just 61.6 PPG and it concedes 68.6. Prokop Sianina had 11 points and eight boards in the loss to the Hawks. Note though that Rhode Island is still just 11-17 ATS in its last 28 road contests, while Fordham is 11-9 ATS in its last 20 after scoring 60 points or less. Grab the points, play on FORDHAM. AAA Sports |
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01-23-18 | Clemson +10 v. Virginia | Top | 36-61 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Clemson. Clemson has alternated wins and losses over its last five games. The Tigers most recently beat Notre Dame 67-58, holding the Irish to 8 of 31 from range, while also giving up just two free throws. In contrast Clemson would go 12 of 15 from the charity stripe. The Cavs nudged past Wake Forest 59-49 on Sunday, but it was a tighter battle for most of the game than what the final score would indicate. Note that Clemson is already 4-1 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less, while Virginia is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a home fav in the 6.5 to nine points range. While we’re not calling for the outright upset, all signs do point to a much more competitive battle than what Las Vegas wants us to think. Grab the points, play on CLEMSON. AAA Sports |
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01-21-18 | Virginia v. Wake Forest +9 | Top | 59-49 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Wake Forest. Virginia has a bit of a letdown here in our opinion after winning nine straight. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for Wake Forest as it comes in having lost six of its last seven. The Cavaliers own the Nation’s No. 1 defense with just 52.6 PPG given up. Virginia beat Georgia Tech 64-48 last time out despite going a poor 3 of 13 from range. Wake Forest was just 4 of 17 from downtown in its most recent 72-63 loss to NC State. Note though that Virginia is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after allowing 50 points or less, while Wake Forest is 7-5 ATS in its last 12 after three or more consecutive losses. We think Virginia comes in complacent and gets caught looking past its lowly opponent today to a home game against 16-3 Clemson on Tuesday, followed by a contest at Duke next weekend. While we’re not calling for the outright victory, all signs do indeed point to the points as the savvy move in this one. Play on WAKE FOREST. AAA Sports |
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01-20-18 | CS-Fullerton v. Long Beach State | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 30 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Long Beach State. LBSU is 9-12 and CS Fullerton is 11-6. LBSU comes in off an 84-75 road loss to UC Davis on Wednesday. CS Fullerton also suffered a road loss, falling 83-64 at UC Santa Barbara in its latest action. The Titans average 74.4 PPG and allow 72.4. The 49ers average 75.1 PPG and allow 81.1. Note though that CS Fullerton is just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 off a loss against a conference rival, while LBSU is 8-6 ATS in its last 14 off a loss against a conference rival. Play on LONG BEACH STATE. AAA Sports |
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01-20-18 | Boise State v. Nevada -6.5 | 68-74 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Nevada. Boise State is 16-3 and 6-1 in Mountain West action, while Nevada is 17-3 overall and 6-0 in league play. Boise State has an exceptional defense, but aside from Chandler Hutchinson, the offense is middle of the pack. Both teams are dealing with injuries, but note that Boise State is just 2-3 ATS already this year off a win against a conference rival, while Nevada is 10-6 ATS as a favorite and 7-5 ATS against teams with winning records (also 9-3 ATS in its last 12 after allowing 60 points or less.) We bank on this one being a classic and we look for the deeper home side to pull away down the stretch. Play on NEVADA. AAA Sports |
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01-20-18 | Cal Poly v. CS-Northridge +3.5 | 54-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CS Northridge. Cal Poly is 6-11 overall and 1-2 in conference action, while CS Northridge is 4-14 overall, looking to build off its first conference win in a 66-57 effort over Riverside. The Mustangs average 68.1 PPG and allow 71.6, while the Matadors average 65.7 points and allow 72.3. Note though that Cal Poly Slo is just 9-16 ATS in its last 25 as a favorite and already just 1-4 ATS this season when playing with one or less days rest, while CS Northridge is 7-5 ATS in its last 12 after a win against a conference rival and already 1-0 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less in its previous outing. CSUN won’t be going down without a fight. In a tight battle, we’re going to grab the points. AAA Sports |
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01-19-18 | Spurs v. Raptors -5 | 83-86 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Toronto Raptors. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that San Antonio is just 8-14 ATS on the road this year and only 6-9 ATS against good offensive teams which score 106-plus points per contest, while Toronto is 11-8 ATS in its last 19 in front of the home town crowd and 9-5 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: Toronto beat Detroit last time out, after dropping three of four previous. The Raptors lost to the Spurs in San Antonio back in late October and Toronto has in fact dropped four straight in the series. The Spurs come in off a win at Brooklyn, but they’ve been alternating wins and losses over the last ten. San Antonio is tired and injured (Kawhi Leonard out again) and it is playing the finale of an extended trip. All signs point to a home side blowout, play on the RAPTORS. AAA Sports |
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01-19-18 | St Bonaventure +3.5 v. Davidson | 73-83 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on St. Bonaventure. St. Bonaventure is 12-5, while Davidson is 9-7. The Bonnies look to get untracked after an 87-73 road loss in Rhode Island. Davidson looks poised for a letdown though after thrashing Fordham 75-45. Note that this a revenge game for St. Bonaventure after Davidson posted the 68-63 win in the lone meeting last year. The Bonnies average 76.7 PPG and allow 69.2. The Wildcats average 76.1 PPG and allow 67.7. Note though that St. Bonaventure is already 3-2 ATS this year as an underdog, while Davidson is just 24-27 ATS in its last 51 against teams with winning records. Grab the points, play on the BONNIES. AAA Sports |
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01-18-18 | Washington State v. Colorado -7.5 | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 27 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Colorado. WSU broke a four-game slide with a quality win over Cal at home on Saturday. Suffice it to say, we expect an immediate letdown here. The Cougars ranks among the worst offensive teams in the Pac 12 with just 102.3 points per 100 possessions. The Buffs have averaged only 96 points per 100 possessions, but they look to build off an impressive 68-59 road win over UCLA. Note that Washington State is just 1-5 ATS in its last six against teams with a winning straight up record, while Colorado is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven at home. Colorado has struggled at times this year, but it does have some big victories under its belt already. We look for the BUFFS to continue their defensive pressure and find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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01-18-18 | Wake Forest +4.5 v. NC State | 63-72 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wake Forest. We think the Demon Deacons are the much “hungrier” team here, coming in at 8-9. The NC State Wolfpack are 12-6 and we think they’re poised for a letdown here. Wake Forest comes in off three straight losses to three good teams, falling to Boston College, Virginia Tech and Duke. NC State comes in off a humbling defeat at the hands of Virginia and we think it gets caught a little flat footed here as well. Note that Wake Forest is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 after three or more consecutive losses and 4-2 ATS in its last six after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games, while NC State is just 1-2 ATS as a favorite this year and only 2-3 ATS against the conference. Play on WAKE FOREST. AAA Sports |
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01-18-18 | Magic v. Cavs -10.5 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Orlando is already just 1-6 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog (just beat the Wolves at home to snap a seven game slide), while Cleveland is 2-1 ATS in its last three after four or more consecutive SU losses. The bottom line: No need to overthink this one. Cleveland comes in off four straight losses and anything but a decisive blowout tonight will be considered an utter failure. For all intents and purposes, this has become a must win game for the CAVALIERS. The numbers and the situation both point to the home side as the savvy move in this contest. AAA Sports |
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01-18-18 | Elon v. James Madison +3 | 74-85 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on James Madison. Elon is 12-7, while James Madison is just 4-15. We think the Phoenix come in contented here though after starting league play at 4-2. JMU on the other hand will be desperate as it’s opened CAA action at 0-6. Elon also comes in off a big 63-58 home win over CAA preseason favorite Charleston on Saturday. The Dukes meanwhile lost another heartbreaker in a 61-60 setback to Delaware at home on Saturday. From a motivational stand point, there’s no question that JMU has the advantage. Also note that Elon is just 4-10 ATS in its last 14 on the road, while JMU is 5-1 ATS in its last six following an ATS loss. Note that the dog is also 5-1 in the last six in the series. Play on JAMES MADISON. AAA Sports |
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01-17-18 | Wizards +1.5 v. Hornets | Top | 109-133 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Washington Wizards. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Washington is 22-15 ATS in its last 37 off an upset loss as favorite (lost 104-95 as a 5.5 point fav at home to Milwaukee most recently) and a stupendous 11-3 ATS when playing the role of underdog this year, while Charlotte is just 3-7 ATS this season off a win by ten points or more (just beat Detroit 118-107) and only 10-11 ATS against teams with winning records. The bottom line: Washington is the more desperate team today and it also plays with revenge after falling to the Hornets 129-124 in OT in November. Play on the WIZARDS. AAA Sports |
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01-15-18 | Duke v. Miami-FL +4 | Top | 83-75 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Miami Florida. The Blue Devils are 15-2 and the Hurricanes are 13-3. Duke enters off an 89-71 win over Wake Forest, while Miami Florida comes in off a 72-63 road loss at Clemson. Note that these teams split a pair of games last year, with each winning on its home floor. The Blue Devils average 93.2 PPG and they allow 73.8. Miami averages 73.1 PPG and it allows only 60.7. Note that Duke is just 1-4 ATS in its last five against teams with a winning percentage above .600, while Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last ten following an ATS setback. We think the HURRICANES are the more motivated side here and we look for their nation leading defense to prove to be too much for Duke to handle down the stretch. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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01-15-18 | Maryland +8 v. Michigan | 67-68 | Win | 100 | 29 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOOD-BATH on Maryland. Maryland is 14-5, while Michigan is 15-4. Michigan looks poised for a letdown here after winning eight of its last ten, most recently a big upset 82-72 win over rival Michigan State on Saturday. Maryland though will be eager to return to form after a listless 91-69 setback to Ohio State on Thursday. Note though that Maryland is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 after allowing 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Michigan is just already just 2-3 ATS this season after scoring 80 points or more and only 1-2 ATS off a win against a conference rival. Maryland has some injuries to contend with, but we think the TERRAPINS can keep this one competitive against a complacent Michigan side. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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01-14-18 | Utah +6 v. USC | 67-84 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Utah. Utah has lost three straight, but it has to be feeling confident for a bounce back today as it’s won eight straight in this series. USC has won three of four. USC looked decent in its latest outing, but it hasn’t be overly impressive on the defensive side, conceding 72.8 PPG. Note though that the Utes are already 2-1 ATS this year (and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 overall) after allowing 80 points or more in their previous outing, while USC is just 1-2 ATS this season after allowing 60 points or less in its previous game. We think the more desperate team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on UTAH. AAA Sports |
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01-14-18 | Bucks +3 v. Heat | Top | 79-97 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Milwaukee Bucks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Milwaukee is 2-1 ATS in its last three after scoring 95 points or less in its previous contest (the Bucks come in off a 108-94 home loss to the Warriors), while Miami is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after a five game or long unbeaten streak. The bottom line: The Heat have had three days off after beating Indiana 114-106. With a game tomorrow night in Chicago, the opener of a five-game road swing, it’s not too hard to imagine the overachieving Heat having a letdown here. Milwaukee has been scuffling but holds significant matchup advantages. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we’ll recommend grabbing the points in the end. Play on the BUCKS. AAA Sports |
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01-13-18 | Stanford +4 v. Washington | 73-64 | Win | 100 | 26 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Stanford. The Cardinal are 9-8 and the Huskies are 13-4. Stanford comes in on top form having won three straight, most recently over UCLA, USC and Washington State. Washington has won six of seven, most recently getting the better of Cal on Thursday. Stanford’s win streak coincides with the return of Dorian Pickens, who missed 11 games with a foot injury. Pickens most recently had 28 points in his team’s 79-70 win over Washington State. The Huskies have four players that average at least 11 points, but note that they’re already just 1-4 ATS this season when playing on one or less days rest, while Stanford is already 2-0 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival and 6-5 ATS overall against teams with winning records. Outright straight up victory? Very possible obviously. In the end though, we’ll recommend to grab the points. Play on STANFORD. AAA Sports |
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01-13-18 | Georgetown v. Seton Hall -11.5 | 61-74 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on Seton Hall. Georgetown is 12-4, while Seton Hall is 14-3. The Hoyas enter off a 69-59 road win over St. John’s on Tuesday, while the Pirates look to rebound off a poor 84-64 setback to Marquette in its most recent action. Georgetown averages 79.9 PPG and it allows 69.9. Seton Hall averages 80.4 PPG and it allows 70.5. Georgetown is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after allowing 60 points or less, while Seton Hall is 4-2 ATS in its last six after allowing 82 points or more. We look for the more motivated PIRATES to pull away down the stretch in front of the home town crowd. AAA Sports |
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01-13-18 | Purdue v. Minnesota +9.5 | Top | 81-47 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Minnesota. Purdue is 16-2, while Minnesota is 13-5. We think the Boilermakers have a bit of a letdown here agains the undermanned Gophers. Note that Purdue has won 12 straight and it comes in off a highly emotional/draining 70-69 win over Michigan on the road on January 9th. Minnesota on the other hand has lost two straight, most recently a listless 83-60 setback to Northwestern on Wednesday. The Boilermakers average 85.2 PPG and allow 63.6. The Gophers average 81.4 PPG and allow 71.3. Note that Purdue is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after allowing 70 points or more in its previous outing, while Minnesota is 3-2 ATS in its last four after scoring 60 points or less. We’re not calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to a competitive affair. Grab the points, play on MINNESOTA. AAA Sports |
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01-12-18 | Youngstown State v. Detroit -4 | 91-93 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Detroit. Youngstown State is 5-11, while Detroit is 5-13. The Titans come in off a solid 84-83 win over Cleveland State though and we look for the home side to carry that momentum over here. The Penguins come in off a 95-82 loss to Oakland. Note that Detroit is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Youngstown State is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after allowing 90 points or more in its previous contest. We like the hungry Titans to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on DETROIT. AAA Sports |
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01-11-18 | Utah +6 v. UCLA | Top | 64-83 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Utah. Utah is 2-2 in league play after falling 80-77 to Arizona State on Sunday. UCLA enters off a 107-84 win over Cal, moving into the No. 1 spot in the standings with a 3-1 conference record. Utah averages 76.2 PPG and it allows just 69.4. UCLA averages 85.6 PPG and it allows 77.4. Clearly the Bruins are the better team, but the Utes won’t be rolling over and they’ll have their chances against this porous UCLA defense. Additionally note that Utah is already 2-0 ATS this year after allowing 80 or more points in its previous contest, while UCLA is just 4-5 ATS at home and only 5-6 ATS as a favorite. For all the reasons listed above, play on UTAH. AAA Sports |
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01-11-18 | Wright State v. Northern Kentucky -9.5 | 84-81 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Northern Kentucky. Wright State is 12-5, while Northern Kentucky is 11-5. The Raiders come in off a big 86-81 OT road win over Oakland and we’re expecting a letdown here. The Norse come in off a hard-fought 56-54 win over Detroit in their latest action and they won’t be taking anything for granted here. Note that NKU took all three meetings with Wright State last year. The Raiders average 70.4 PPG and allow 65.6. The Norse average 80.2 points and allow just 64.8. Note that Wright State is just 3-4 ATS this year against teams with winning records, while Northern Kentucky is 7-2 ATS as a favorite this season and 3-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or less. For all the reasons listed above, play on NORTHERN KENTUCKY. AAA Sports |
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01-11-18 | Drexel +4 v. Delaware | 66-72 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Drexel. Drexel is 7-10, while Delaware is 9-8. There Dragons will be hungry here as they’ve lost four of their last five, including a humbling 85-63 rout at home at the hands of William & Mary on Sunday. The Blue Hens on the other hand look poised for a letdown after smashing UNCW 96-76 in their latest action. Drexel averages 71.8 PPG and it allows 77.7. Delaware averages 72 PPG and it allows 74.5. Note that the Dragons are 4-2 ATS in their last six after allowing 84 points or more in their previous contest, while the Blue Hens are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six following an ATS victory. For all the reasons listed above, play on DREXEL. AAA Sports |
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01-11-18 | Cal Poly +8 v. Hawaii | Top | 45-57 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING in Cal Poly Slo. Cal Poly Mustangs are 6-10 and the Hawaii Warriors are 10-5. The Mustangs average 68.8 points and concede 76.6. The Mustangs will be hungry here as they’ve lost five of their last six road games. The Warriors average 70.8 points and concede 69.8. We think Hawaii looks past its lowly opponent today after returning home from its road trip. Also note that Cal Poly is 3-1 ATS in its last four after allowing 100 points or more in its previous contest (just fell 101-97 in OT to Fullerton, breaking a two game win streak), while Hawaii is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after allowing 50 points or less in its previous contest (off a 65-46 win over the Matadors.) No outright victory, but a very competitive battle. Grab the points, play on CAL POLY SLO. AAA Sports |
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01-10-18 | Cal Poly +8.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 45-57 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING in Cal Poly Slo. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: AAA Sports will have their full analysis for this selection posted shortly. No later than 6 hours before game time. |
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01-09-18 | Boston College v. North Carolina -14 | 66-96 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on North Carolina. We think BC has a predictable letdown here after its 77-71 win at home over Wake Forest, while we expect UNC to come out completely fired up after falling 61-49 at Virginia in its latest action, moving the Tar Heels to just 1-2 in ACC action. So far BC averages 76 PPG and it allows 68.4. Despite the “brain fart” last time out, UNC still enters averaging 82.6 PPG, while allowing 71.6. Note that BC is already just 1-2 ATS on the road this year, while UNC is 4-2 ATS at home. One team comes in off an upset victory, while the other comes in off an upset loss. The situation and the numbers/trends both point to to NORTH CAROLINA as the savvy move in this contest. AAA Sports |
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01-09-18 | Syracuse v. Virginia -12 | 61-68 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Virginia. Syracuse comes in having lost two straight, most recently a disheartening 51-49 setback at home to Notre Dame. Virginia on the other hand comes in on top form, it’s won six straight, most recently handling UNC 61-49 at home. Note that this is a big time revenge game for the Cavs, as they’ve lost two in a row in this series, including a 66-62 setback in the most recent last February. The Orange average 80 PPG and allow 62.2. The Cavs average 70.9 PPG and allow a nation-low 52.5 PPG. Note that Syracuse is just 4-10 ATS in its last 14 on the road, while the Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last six at home. Everything points to a blowout, play on VIRGINIA. AAA Sports |
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01-09-18 | Dayton v. Richmond +2.5 | 87-81 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Richmond. Dayton comes in off a 62-60 loss to UMass, hitting just 42.6 percent of its shots. Richmond enters off a hard-fought 69-62 setback at St. Louis. The Spiders average 65.7 PPG and they got 24 points and eight boards from Grant Golden in the latest setback. Note that Dayton is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road, while Richmond is 6-2-2 ATS in its last ten home games against a team with a losing road record. Dayton has struggled on the road this year and we expect that trend to continue. Play on RICHMOND. AAA Sports |
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01-07-18 | William & Mary v. Drexel +2.5 | 85-63 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Drexel. We think the tribe have a letdown here after staring league play 3-0 (we had William and Mary in their latest victory over Delaware. So far the Tribe average 87 PPG. The Dragons average 73.8 PPG, but allow 77 per contest. Drexel though comes in off a big 87-82 upset victory over College of Charleston and we expect the home side to carry that momentum over here. Note that William & Mary is still just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a road favorite of three points or less or pick, while Drexel is 5-3 ATS as an underdog this season and 5-2 ATS against teams with winning records. Grab the points, play on DREXEL. AAA Sports |
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01-07-18 | Wright State +8.5 v. Oakland | 86-81 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wright State. The Wright State Raiders are 11-5 and the Oakland Golden Grizzlies are 9-7. The Raiders come in on top form, as they’ve now won four in a row and seven of their last eight. The Grizzlies come in on the other end of the spectrum, having dropped two straight, most recently to Northern Kentucky. Wright State features five plays averaging better than 9.0 PPG. The Golden Grizzlies can also put the rock in the hole, averaging 81 PPG. Note that Wright State is 4-3 ATS on the road this year and 5-1 ATS against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest, while Oakland is just 3-5 ATS as a favorite this year and only 4-6 ATS against teams with winning records. Play on WRIGHT STATE. AAA Sports |
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01-07-18 | NC-Wilmington v. Delaware -2.5 | 76-96 | Win | 100 | 23 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Delaware. UNC Wilmington is 4-11 this year, while Delaware is just 6-8. The Seahawks most recently fell 89-71 to Towson, allowing the Tigers to hit 54 percent, including 12 of 22 from downtown. So far Wilmington allows an atrocious 87 PPG. Delaware beat the Seahawks 58-56 in late December on the road, holding UNCW to just 34.8 percent shooting and 2 of 16 from 3-point land. Note that UNCW is 0-5 ATS in its last five on the road, while Delaware is 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU loss of more than 20 points and 6-1 ATS in its last seven against teams with losing straight-up records. Lay the points, play on DELAWARE. AAA Sports |
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01-06-18 | Hawaii -7.5 v. CS-Northridge | Top | 65-46 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Hawaii. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Hawaii is 4-1 ATS in its last five after allowing 80 points or more and 3-2 ATS this year against teams with losing records, while CS-Northridge is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight when playing with five or six days rest and just 2-7 ATS this year when playing the role of underdog. The bottom line: Hawaii is yet to win (or cover) on the road this year, but we think that changes tonight. The Warriors are adept at hitting from range, while CS Northridge struggles in defending the three-ball. It’s a perfect storm of factors working in favor of HAWAII this weekend. AAA Sports |
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01-05-18 | Pistons +6 v. 76ers | 78-114 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* REVENGE ROUT on the Detroit Pistons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Detroit is 11-4 ATS this year trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and 8-5 ATS against good offensive teams which score 106-plus points per contest, while Philadelphia is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven after three or more consecutive victories. The bottom line: Whether 76ers big man Joel Embiid plays in this one or not, we like the Pistons here. Detroit has alternated wins and losses over its last three and comes in off a 111-104 loss at Miami. The Pistons do indeed play with revenge here after falling 108-103 to Philadelphia in early December. And with a game at home against the Rockets tomorrow night, clearly the visitors can’t take anything for granted this evening. The 76ers look primed for a letdown here, they’ve won three straight and then enjoy four whole nights off before a game at home against Boston. Can anyone say letdown/trap game? Play on DETROIT. AAA Sports |
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01-05-18 | Elon v. Northeastern -5.5 | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 29 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Northeastern. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based entirely on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Elon is just 1-4 ATS this year against teams with winning records and just 1-5 ATS on the road, while Northeastern is 2-1 ATS at home and 3-1 ATS as a favorite this season. The bottom line: Northeastern has been alternating wins and losses over its last three games, but will be eager to return to the winners circle here after a tough 71-70 setback to Hofstra last time out. Elon looks poised for a letdown here after three straight wins and with a game at Hofstra on Sunday, all signs point to a lookahead as well. Play on NORTHEASTERN. AAA Sports |
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01-05-18 | Wisconsin v. Rutgers +1.5 | 60-64 | Win | 100 | 29 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Rutgers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Wisconsin is already just 5-6 ATS as a favorite this year, only 1-2 ATS on the road and just 3-8 ATS against clubs with winning records, while Rutgers is 5-0 ATS at home and 2-0 ATS when playing with one or less days rest. The bottom line: Rutgers is going to be the “hungrier” team today, as it comes in having lost three straight. It also plays with revenge after falling 61-54 to Wisconsin in OT last year. The Badgers on the other hand looked poised for a letdown here in our opinion after five straight victories. And with tough upcoming road games starting on Sunday in Nebraska and then at Purdue, it’s definitely not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught “looking ahead” tonight as well. Grab the points, play on RUTGERS. AAA Sports |
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01-05-18 | William & Mary +1 v. Delaware | 90-65 | Win | 100 | 29 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on William & Mary. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that William and Mary is 5-1 ATS this year against teams with winning records and 5-1 AST on the road, while Delaware is just 1-3 ATS at home and only 1-3 ATS against teams with winning records. The bottom line: Delaware has its four-game win streak snapped in a 93-78 loss to Charleston College last time out and we think it’s primed for another letdown here as well. William and Mary has won two straight and with another tough one Drexel on Sunday, clearly the visitors can’t leave anything to chance. All signs point to a rout, play on WILLIAM & MARY. AAA Sports |
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01-03-18 | Pelicans +1.5 v. Jazz | 108-98 | Win | 100 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the New Orleans Pelicans. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that New Orleans is 13-8 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and 9-4 ATS against clubs with losing records, while Utah is interestingly just 3-5 ATS in its last eight when playing with three or more days rest. The bottom line: Off back-to-back losses, the Pelicans will be eager to get back into the winners circle here, so we definitely don’t need to question their motivation levels. They also do indeed play with revenge after falling 114-108 to Utah back in early December. The Jazz come in off a huge 104-101 win over the Cavs on the 30th and we think they’ll get caught flat-footed here after that big victory as they also get caught looking ahead to an extended five-game road trip that starts on Friday night. Play on NEW ORLEANS. AAA Sports |
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01-03-18 | Illinois +7.5 v. Minnesota | 67-77 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Illinois. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Illinois is already 4-2 ATS this year against teams with winning records and 3-1 ATS against good offensive clubs which average 77-plus points per contest, while Minnesota is just 4-5 ATS at home this year and only 2-3 ATS against good offensive clubs which average 77-plus points per contest. The bottom line: Indiana isn’t the power house it used to be, but the Hoosiers come to town next for Minnesota, so the possibility of a “look ahead” does definitely exist. Illinois also plays with revenge after falling 69-58 to the Gophers last year. The Illini have won two straight, including a quality 70-64 win over Missouri as a five-point dog. But with a game up next at Michigan, clearly ILLINOIS can’t take anything for granted tonight. We expect the visitors to give it their best shot and leaving everything on the floor. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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01-03-18 | Pacers +8 v. Bucks | 101-122 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER SHOCKER on the Indiana Pacers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Indiana is still 12-6 ATS in its last 18 after three or more consecutive losses and 10-7 ATS this year on the road, while Milwaukee is just 1-3 ATS this season after scoring 115 points or more and just 1-5 ATS against division opponents. The bottom line: The Pacers will once again likely be without the services of guard Victor Oladipo, but they come in desperate as they’ve lost four straight and eight of their last ten. The Bucks come in off a crushing 131-127 double OT loss to Toronto and won’t be able to help themselves looking ahead to the rematch with the Raptors at home on Friday night. While we’re not calling for the outright victory, all signs point to a competitive affair. Play on the PACERS. AAA Sports |
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01-02-18 | William & Mary v. James Madison | Top | 84-76 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on James Madison. William and Mary came from behind to knock off Hofstra 90-87 on Saturday, while JMU lost 81-70 at home to Northeastern on Saturday. These teams are moving in opposite directions, which is why we like the Dukes here. The Pride have won seven of nine, while the Dukes have lost two straight. We don’t have to question JMU’s motivation levels today. From a trend based stand point, there’s no question that this one favors the home side though, as note that William & Mary is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road dog of three points or less, while JMU is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home fav of three points or less or pick. Play on JAMES MADISON. AAA Sports |