10* Nets (ASSASSIN)

After three straight SU/ATS losses in a row, I like the Nets to dig deep and bounce back here. Note that Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Cleveland has won three of it slast four. It's coming off two straight home victories. This is the opener of two straight here between these clubs in Brooklyn, and I say the more desperate home side doubles down and, at the very least, takes this one right down to the wire. The Nets had a winning record before KD and Kyrie left and it'll now be a struggle to maintain that position, but I love the way this one sets up for them here at home tonight; grab the points, the play is the Nets!

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10* Oklahoma State (NIT)

Anyone who had Oklahoma State vs. Eastern Washington can't be feeling too great after the way that last game ended for the Cowboys. OKS was an 11.5-point favorite and won by 11 after the Eagles hit a meaningless 3-pointer with time winding off the clock. But where the Cowboys failed ATS last time out, I fully expect them to pull away for a comfortable cover with this more manageable spread. OKS averages 69.5 PPG, while allowing 66.8. North Texas averages 63.7 PPG, while allowing only 55.4. The problem here for UNT though is now it runs in to perhaps an even better defense than its own. The level of competition simply can't be compared between these two; I'm expecting a blowout, so lay the points with Oklahoma State!

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10* Wolves (ASSASSIN)

Minnesota has lost three straight. Note that the Wolves are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. Minnesota plays with revenge after falling 120-107 at home to the Knicks as a 2.5-point favorite back in November. Note that the Wolves are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Knicks have won three straight, both SU and ATS, but note that New York is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. With an upcoming difficult two-game road trip at Miami and Orlando up next, expect the Knicks to take the foot off the gas in the second half. While an outright win is entirely possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Minnesota!

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10* Rice (CBI GOW)

Rice may have stumbled down the stretch of the regular season, but it looked great in its 84-78 win over Duquesne to open this tournament. I say the Owls now build off that performance and, at the very least, give the Southern Utah Thunderbirds everything they can handle. Southern Utah has been playing well, having won four of its last five. They also looked impressive in their opening 72-50 win over Northern Alabama. These team's numbers are similar and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever has the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Rice!

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10* Nets (ASSASSIN)

Denver has struggled since the All-Star break. I don't see it being able to muster much of an offensive attack here after falling 116-110 at the Knicks just last night. The Nuggets have now dropped five of their last six. Brooklyn had won five of six before dropping two in a row. With two nights off to prepare for this one though, I love how this one sets up for the home side. While I do think an outright victory is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Brooklyn!

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This is a 10* 2ND ROUND GOY on Duke.

I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. These teams are moving in opposite directions in a way right now. Duke is peaking, and Tennessee is struggling to remain elite. The Vols are still trying to adjust after star point guard Zakai Zeigler went down with a torn ACL. Santiago Vescovi is now the leading scorer at 12.6 PPG, but he struggled in the first round with just 3 points in 27 minutes. Duke's guard Jeremy Roach is playing the best basketball of his career, and so is the rest of his team; look for the Blue Devils to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish!

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10* FAU (BLOCKBUSTER)

I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis during the Tournament. FAU comes in "under the radar" in my opinion. The Owls average 79.3 PPG, and allow just 65.7. Memphis averages 79.5 PPG, while allowing 72.6. FAU has the experience, size and athleticism to win this one outright and give Purdue a serious scare in the next round; grab the points, the play is FAU!

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10* Drake (BLOCKBUSTER)

Going to be really succinct with my analysis throughout the Tournament. I think many will discount Drake here, as I already see the majority of the money on Miami Florida. The Bulldogs are no push-overs, clearly a sentiment shared by the oddsmakers. The Bulldogs average 75.6 PPG, and allow just 64.8. Miami averages 79.6 PPG, while allowing 71.7. While the majority of the public goes one way with this wager, we're going to go the other; the play is Drake!

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10* Hornets (ASSASSIN)

Here's a great spot for the Hornets. I'm not predicting an outright win or anything, but I do think they'll be competitive until the final horn. Charlotte is coming off three straight losses, and note that the Hornets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. They also play with revenge after a 131-113 loss to Philly back in December, and note that the Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last five trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. With a game at the Pacers tomorrow night, I say Philly gets caught "looking ahead" here in the second half and takes the foot of the gas; grab the points, the play is Charlotte!

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10* Saint Mary's (BLOCKBUSTER)

Saint Mary's lost in the West Coast Conference Tourney to Gonzaga, but I think the Gaels have more than enough gas left in the tank to handle VCU. The Rams beat George Washington on March 4th to take the A-10 Tourney Final. I just think the A-10 is watered down after the Top 3 teams. The Gaels have veteran leadership and a more well rounded side; lay the points, the play is Saint Mary's!

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10* Boise State (NCAA FIRST ROUND GOY)

Boise State finished 24-9, while Northwestern was 21-11. The Broncos lost to Utah State in the Mountain Westn Conference by a score of 72-62 in the second round. Northwestern got bounced 67-65 by Penn State in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament. The bottom line here is that Boise State enters the NCAA Tournament in much better overall form in my opinion. The Broncos have scored 66 or more points in eight of their last nine outings, while Northwestern lhas scored 65 points or fewer over five straight games. Clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, but the official call will be to grab as many point as you can; the play is Boise State!

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10* Nuggets (U OF THE U)

Enough is enough! If you're a Denver fan, that's definitely the way you feel right now after four straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Have Jokic and the Nuggets suddenly forgot how to play? I'd say it's just going to be small "speed bump" in the season, and that things will return to normal shortly. In fact, I believe the time has come for a severe beating. Note that Denver plays with the added incentive of revenge after the Pistons inexplicably beat the Nuggets 110-108 on the road on November 22nd as 10.5-point underdogs. As note, the Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite against an opponent. The Pistons are downright terrible and they're simply in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one; lay the points, the play is the Nuggets!

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10* Oral Roberts (BLOCKBUSTER)

Outright win? It's not entirely out of the realm of possibility, but in a contest that I see coming "right down to the wire," I'm going to grab the points. Oral Roberts finished 30-4, while Duke was 26-8. Neither team was great agains the spread. Oral Roberts though comes in off a high and I think it can keep the momentum rolling here after annihilating North Dakota State 92-58 as a ten-point favorite in the Summit Conference Tournament Championship Game, keeping the foot on the gas until the final horn. Duke won the ACC by taking down Virginia 59-49 as a 3.5-point favorite. Oral Roberts has flown under the radar all season, and that's the case again here as well in my opinion. While I do think an outright win is possible, in the end let's grab the points on this undervalued underdog; the play is Oral Roberts!

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10* Illinois (ASSASSIN)

The No. 9 Fighting Illini finished 20-12, while the No. 8 Arkansas Razorbacks were 27-12. Both teams backed their way into the tournament. Illinois lost three of its last four, while Arkansas dropped four of its previous five. The Illini average 74.7 PPG, while allowing 67, while Arkansas averages 74.4 PPG, while allowing 72.6. If history is any precedence, then Illinois has to be loving its chances here, as the Illini have won all five meetings with Arkansas (haven't played since 2004). Either way, the Illini's superior defense will prove to be the difference-maker in my opinion; grab the points the play is Illinois!

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8* Howard (BLOWOUT)

Howard is No. 16, finishing 22l-12 in the MEAC. Kansas is the No. 1 seed, finishing 27-7. The Bison have won five straight overall, and they're 4-2 in neutral court games this year. Kansas has lost to Texas twice in the last week and gone just 2-2 in its last four (gone 5-2 in neutral court games.) Howard has consistently been undervalued by oddsmakers this year (16-12 ATS), while Kansas has been overvalued (14-17 ATS.) That's the case again here, so grab the points!

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10* Nevada (FIRST FOUR GOY)

Nevada finished 22-10 on the year, losing to San Jose State in the Mountain West Conference tournament. The Wolfpack did close out the regular season decently finishing 4-3 down the stretch. In their last game they had to battle back from a 31-26 first-half deficit to force overtime, but they everntually fell 81-77. Arizona State was 22-12 this year and the Sun Devils fell to Arizona in the Conference Tournament last Friday. The Sun Devils finished the regular season with two straight losses but they opened up the Conference Tournament with two straight wins, including over USC 77-72. But then they ran into a decent defense in Arizona and they lost 78-59. After looking at what each team has done coming in, I do like the Wolfpack here. Despite having lost three sraight games, Nevada has scored 67 or more points in all three. Arizona State on the other hand has scored 65 or fewer points in four of its last five. Look for Nevada's superior offense right now to be the difference-maker down the stretch; that said, grab the points!

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10* North Texas (ASSASSIN)

I like the 26-7 North Texas Mean Green to jump out to an early lead, to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish, and to pull away for a comfortable win and cover once it's all said and done. Alcorn State averages 68.3 PPG, while allowing 70.8, while UNT averages 63.7 PPG, while conceding just 55.4. Good news for UNT's offense today facing this porous defense. I have a hard time seeing the Braves putting up much of an offensive attack today vs. this aggressive Mean Green defense. And that's the difference for me, as Alcorn State will face its stiffest test of the season right here; lay the points, the play is North Texas!

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10* Mississippi State (ASSASSIN)

Pittsburgh finished 22-11 and Mississippi State was 21-12. The Bulldogs took out Florida in the second round of the NCAA Tournament, but then fell to Alabama. I just think the SEC is a much tougher conference ultimately. Pittsburgh was 22-11 overall. It beat Georgia Tech in the second round of the ACC Tourney, before falling to Duke in the quarterfinals. Pittsburgh has the slightly better offense, while Mississippi State has the slightly better defense. I'm banking on the Bulldogs defense to get them through to the First Round; lay the points, the play is MISSISSIPPI STATE!

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10* Liberty (BLOOD-BATH)

Liberty isn't getting enough respect here. The Flames finished 26-8, while the Wildcats were 17-16. Liberty finished just a couple of points away from the NCAA Tournament, falling 67-66 to Kennesaw State in the A-Sun Tournament Championship Game. Overall the Flames average 75.2 PPG, while allowing 60.6. It got bounced by Creighton by a score of 87-74 in the conference Tourney. Overall the Wildcats average 70.3 PPG, while allowing 67.8. The Flames experience and superior offense will be the difference here. Lay the points, the play is Liberty!

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10* Wizards (TOP SIDE)

This is a good "common sense" play. Detroit enters off a rare victory just last night, pulling away for a 117-97 victory at home over the Pacers. The win snapped an 11-game slide. With tough upcoming home games vs. the Nuggets and Heat, I say the visitors have an immediate letdown here in the second game of the B2B scenario. The Wizards will be huntry here to snap a three-game slide, but note that Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. The Wizards beat Detroit 119-117 on its own floor last week, and while they failed to cover the spread there, everything points to a cover of the "rocking chair" variety here at home; lay the points, the play is the Wizards!

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10* Knicks (ASSASSIN)

The Knicks have lost three straight, both SU and ATS after last night's 106-95 loss to the Clippers here. Note though that New York is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. New York also plays with revenge here after a 129-123 OT loss to the Lakers at home on January 31st as a two-point fav. That's also significant to note here for us, as the Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponet. The Lakers have some new faces and have been playing well, as they've won and covered in three straight. Note though that LA is still just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Despite having played just last night, I like the Knicks here to bounce back in this favorable spot; grab the points, the play is New York!

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10* Magic (ASSASSIN)

No need to overthink this one. I base my picks on many different things, but this particular one I'm basing on "common sense." I had a play on the Heat in their 119-115 home win over the Cavs. I believe fatigue will be a major issue here for Miami though in the second game of the B2B. Orlando plays with revenge after falling 107-103 in OT to the Heat on February 11th, and that's sigificant for us to note as Orlando is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Orlando has lost three straight, so it comes in desperate here and while I do think the outright win is a possibility of course, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Orlando!

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10* Houston (AAC TOURNEY GOY)

I am keeping my writeups very succinct today, as there is a lot going on and I need to get this information out as fast as possible. The Bearcats managed the 84-54 win over Temple yesterday to advance, and they've now covered in three straight. Note though that Cincinnati is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. Houston beat Cincinnati 75-69 on January 28th at home, but it did not cover the large 14.5-point spread. Tonight's spread is much more manageable. Houston beat ECU 60-46 to advance. It's now gone 0-4 ATS in its last four, but note that the Cougars are still 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. This is a very manageable spread to cover; look for Houston to pull away down the stretch!

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8* Cornell (SPECIAL)

Yale did finish 10-1 at home, but this is at a neutral site. THe Bulldogs come into the Tournament having won and covered in three straight, but note that Yale is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS covers in a row. Cornell finished 17-10. It went 0-3 SU/ATS over its final three. That however is also significant for us to note, as the Big Red are 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Cornell went 1-1 vs. Yale this year. It won at home and lost on the road. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Cornell!

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10* Heat (BLOOD-BATH)

No need to overthink this one. I thik that the Cavs are the better team. I think the Heat have plenty of issues this year. That said Cleveland has been poor on the road, and Miami has been its best in front of the home town crowd. The Cavs are just 14-19 on the road, while the Heat are 21-13 in front of the home town crowd. These teams played just two nights ago in Cleveland and the Cavaliers won and covered by a score of 104-100. Note though that Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. A little "home cooking" is just what the doctor ordered here for Miami; grab the points, the play is the Heat!

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10* Purdue (ASSASSIN)

I had a play on Rutgers in its win over Michigan yesterday, and while the Scarlet Knights pulled off the impressive outright win yesterday, I say their run in this conference tournament comes to an end here vs. the revenge-minded Boilermakers. The reason I really like this play is because Purdue plays with revenge here. It's also rested. Somehow Rutgers upset Purdue 65-64 as an 8.5-point dog on January 2nd. Note though that the Boilermakers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Look for the rested and revenge-minded Boilermakers to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover!

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10* Rutgers (BIG TEN TOURNEY GOY)

While I do think Rutgers can win this game outright obviously, my official recommendation will be to grab as many points as you can. This one sets up well for Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights finished 18-13 this year, while Michigan was 17-14. Rutgers stumbled down the stretch, losing its final two games. It plays with revenge here though after a 58-45 loss to Michigan at home as a six-point favorite on February 23rd, and that's significant for us to note here, as the Scarlet Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Michigan lost its final two games of the regular season as well. It did cover the spread in five straight to end the year, but that actually works in our favor, as the Wolverines are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after five or more ATS victories in a row; grab the points, the play is Rutgers!

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10* Bulls (NON-CONF GOM)

After four straight SU/ATS losses in a row, I think the Bulls come in a bit undervalued here now. I think they sneak in under the radar after two days off. They play with revenge as well after a 126-103 home loss to the Nuggets at the start of the season, and that's definitely significant to note here, as the Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponet. I say that Denver takes the foot off the gas in the second half. The Nuggets have won four straight. They have a game at the lowly Spurs up next. I say the "hungrier" team delivers in this spot; grab the points, the play is Chicago!

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10* DePaul (BIG EAST TOURNEY GOY)

It's tenth seeded DePaul looking to pull off an upset vs. No. 7 seed Seton Hall. The Blue Demons come in under the radar on a 12-game losing streak. They fell 84-70 to Creighton on Saturday. The Pirates closed out the year with an 82-58 road win over Providence. The Blue Demons average 70.9 PPG, while allowing 77.3. That defense catches a break here today vs. a Pirates team that averages just 68.6 PPG. Overall Seton Hall allows just 65.1. It's difficult to beat a team three times in one year, let alone beat it both SU and ATS. Seton Hall is already 2-0 SU/ATS over DePaul during the regular season, but that fact has only helped in driving this tournament spread a few points larger than it normally would be in my opinion. The Pirates may win this game, but it won't be easy; grab the points, the play is DEPAUL!

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10* Raptors (GOW)

Denver is heavily favored here by the oddsmakers, and nearly 80% of the early money is also on the Nuggets. However, I like the hungry Raptors to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Denver has won three straight SU/ATS, but note that the Nuggets are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Toronto is fifth right now at 32-33. It's coming off a 116-109 OT win at Washington. I think Toronto is the much "hungrier" team in this non-conference matchup. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Toronto!

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8* play on Celtics.

New York has won and covered in eight straight, and because of that fact, I believe the oddsmakers are now overvaluing the Knicks in this spot. All good things come to an end eventually, and New York's great surge here is about to come to an end vs. this revenge-minded Celtics side that fell 109-94 to the Knicks in New York at the end of the February. Note that Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Boston is just 1-2 in its last three. It's lost three straight ATS. It's coming off a poor 115-105 loss to Brooklyn as a ten-point favorite. Time to finally annihlate the Knicks today; lay the points, the play is Boston!

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8* play on Hornets.

Here's a great spot for the Hornets to exact a little revenge from a previous loss to the Nets. Brooklyn is coming off a 115-105 upset win at Boston as a ten-point dog and I say is now primed for a predictable "letdown" after that emotional win. With a five game road trip upcoming starting in Houston, it's also a "look-ahead" spot. The Hornets play with revenge after a 123-106 loss to Brooklyn on December 31st. This is just too many points for this patchwork Brooklyn team to cover vs. this focussed and revenge-minded visiting side; grab the points, thep lay is Charlotte!

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8* play on Chicago.

Chicago has lost two of its last three. It's now lost three straight ATS after a 125-104 setback to Phoenix at home as a 3.5-point dog last time out. The Bulls though are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They play with revenge as well after a 117-113 setback to the Pacers in mid-February. Note that Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Pacers have Philly at home tomorrow night, and I say they get caught "looking ahead." Lay the points, the play is Chicago!

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10* Idaho (BIG SKY TOURNEY GOY)

We have two really bad teams going head-to-head here in the opener of the Big Sky Tourney. Idaho finished 10-21, while Northern Arizona was 9-22. This is a neutral site affair, so neither team enjoys an advantage as far as that's concerned tonight. These teams offensive and defensive numbers are similar, but Idaho has done really well in this spot for bettors in the past, and I expect that to again be the case today, as note that the Vandals are 5-1 ATS in their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss in which it was a favorite vs. an opponent. And Idaho does indeed play with revenge here after falling 72-50 to Northern Arizona at home as a 2.5-point favorite in mid-February. With that loss still fresh at the front of their minds, look for the Vandals to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to earn the comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is Idaho!

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10* Troy (SUNBELT TOURNEY GOY)

I love the way this one sets up for the Trojans in the opener of the Sunbelt Tournament. Troy finished 20-12, while James Madison was 21-10. The Dukes did finish 11-3 at home, but note that this one is at a neutral location. Troy actually got past the first round by defeating Arkansas State by a score of 63-59, winning but not covering the 8-point spread. James Madison earned a bye, but it hasn't played since February 24th. I say that "rest" leads to "rust." Most importantly here for me though on this play is that the Trojans play with revenge here after falling 89-87 i OT to the Dukes as one-point favorites at home in January, which is crucial for us here, as note that Troy is a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Clearly the outright is a possibility, but the official call will be to grab the points; the play is Troy!

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8* Elon (TOURNEY BLOWOUT)

It's the opener of the CAA Tournament and I like the way this one sets up for Elon, which plays with the immediate "revenge factor." Both teams struggled this year. Elon fiished just 8-23l while William & Mary was 12-19. While the Tribe did finish 11-5 at home, note that this is at a neutral location. Elon averages 65.9 PPG, while allowing 71.6, while William & Mary averages 67.7 PPG, while allowing 70.2. Elon won the first matchup of the year by a score of 66-55, but then the Tribe bounced back with the 73-60 win at home as a one-point dog on February 23rd. That however works in our favor here, as note  that Elon is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss to a conference opponent; the play is Elon!

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10* Heat (ASSASSIN)

After seven straight SU/ATS wins in a row, I believe the Knicks will finally have their hands full here with this Heat team that's going to be playing with desperation. They also play with revenge after falling 106-104 at New York at the start of February. That's important to note here as the Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite against an opponent. The Knicks have Boston up next, while the Heat have hit a very favorable part of their schedule. I look for the home side to dig deep, to stop its slide and to avenge the earlier setback; the play is Miami!

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8* NORTHERN IOWA (DESTRUCTION)

I like Northern Iowa to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Northern Iowa advanced to the second round of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament by beating Illinois State by a score of 75-62 as a 3.5-point favorite. The Panthers play with revenge here after falling 77-69 to the Braves as three-point dogs back in earl February. Note that Northern Iowa is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as an underdog against an opponent. Bradley received a bye in the first round and while it is indeed 15-1 at home this year, note that this is in a neutral location; grab the points and expect a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting!

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10* Clippers (PACIFIC DIVISION GOY)

There's no excuses fro the Clippers here, who have lost three straight, both SU and ATS. That's important to note here though, as LA is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Golden State on the other hand has won three straight, both SU and ATS, which is also important to note here, as the Warriors are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Why/how could the Clippers possibly be favored here on the road in Golden State, a place where the Warriors are 25-7 this year? Obviously, Stephen Curry and several other key players are sidelined with injury. That's all that LA is going to need here to get over the hump and record this victory in my estimation; lay the points, the play is the Clippers!

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10* UL Monroe (SUNBELT TOURNEY GOY)

This is the first round of the Sunbelt Tournament and I really like the way this one sets up for UL Monroe. The Warhawks are just 11-20 this year, while Georgia Southern finished 16-15. UL Monroe enters having lost seven straight SU, and three straight ATS, which is significat to note, as UL Monroe is 4-1 ATS in its last five after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. UL Monroe actually upset Georgia Southern by a score of 72-59 as an 8.5-point underdog in January. Georgia Southern is 16-15 overall, and 12-4 at home, but this is being played at a neutral site. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands in the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is UL Monroe!

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10* Lafayette (PATRIOT LEAGUE GOY)

I love the way this one sets up for Lafayette. The Leopards have lost four straight, but they play with revenge here after a 66-64 loss to Lehigh as a two-point favorite at home on February 4th. That's however crucial to note here, as Lafayette is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against a conference opponent (moves to 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. a conference opponent as well.) Lehigh was 2-1 down the stretch SU, but 3-0 ATS. Note however that the Mountain Hawks are a sub-par 2-5 ATS in their last seven after three or more ATS victories in a row. This is a very evenly matched contest, a sentiment shared here by the oddsmakers. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Lafayette!

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10* Robert Morris (HORIZON LEAGUE TOURNEY GOY)

The IUPUI Jaguars are just 5-26, but they somehow managed an 81-75 win over Robert Morris just a few nights ago. That was as a ten-point underdog. That's good news for us her though, because Robert Morris is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. Robert Morris did beat IUPUI here by a score of 77-70 back on January 9th, but while the Colonials were unable to cover the 15-point spread in that one, I expect them to keep the foot on the gas here in this revenge spot and to open up the Conference Tournament. All signs point to a lop-sided destruction here in my opinion; lay the points, the play is Robert Morris!

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10* Portland State (BIG SKY GOW)

This one really sets up well for Portland State here at home in the final game of the year for both of these teams. Sacramento State is just 13-17 this year, including only 4-10 on the road. Portland State is only 12-17 this year, but a more respectable 6-6 at home. The Vikings plays with revenge here as well after falling 74-63 at the Hornets as 2.5-point dogs back on December 31st. But that's significant to note here as Portland State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. The home floor advantage, coupled with the "revenge" factor make Portland State the correct call here on Monday!

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10* Idaho State (BIG SKY GOM)

I love the way this one sets up for the home side. Idaho State snapped a four-game slide with a 65-55 win over Idaho in its most recent action. This is its final home game of the season, so it's senior night. They play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 81-68 at EWU as ten-point dogs in January. Are the Eagles the better team? Of course! They're 22-7 overall, but with a game at home vs. No. 2 Montana State, I think this is a "trap" game for the visiting side. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Idaho State!

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8* Northeastern (MID-MAJOR MAULING)

It's the final game of the regular season for both teams. I'm clearly not predicting an outright upset or anything, but I do expect the Pride to take the foot off the gas in the second half, allowing the revenge-minded Huskies to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Northeastern lost 72-53 at home as an eight-point dog at the start of February, and note that the Huskies have responded well for bettors in this exact spot, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Look for Northeastern to put a good fight here and grab the points!

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10* Bulls (TOP REVENGE SIDE OF SEASON)

The Bulls are only 26-33, but they're a much more respectable 16-13 at home. They went into the break on a six game SU/ATS losing streak. The All-Star game came at a good time. This Bulls' team definitely has identity issues, but with time off to regroup, in the short term I expect them to come in focused, and here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. The Nets beat Miami before the break and after the KD trade, but a huge drop off in mental focus moving forward is now expected in my opinion. Most importantly though, as the title of this pick indicates, this selection is primarily based around the "revenge" factors, as note that Chicago lost 116-105 at Brooklyn on February 9th as a three-point favorite, which is indeed signficant for us to note, as the Bulls are a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; lay the short points, the play is Chicago!

AAA Sports

10* Kansas City (ASSASSIN)

I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but everything points to this one being a lot closer than what this spread is suggesting in my opinion. Kansas City comes in under the radar here in my opinion. It won't be lacking motivation either after three straight SU/ATS losses in a row (note that the Roos are 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row though.) They play with revenge as well after a 67-66 home loss to South Dakota State on January 30th. The Jack Rabbits are 9-1 at home. I think they go up early and take the foot off the gas at the end of the game. And with 25-4 Oral Roberts coming to town to finish off the regular season, there's no question that this sets up as a classic "look-ahead" for SDSU as well. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Kansas City!

AAA Sports

10* Cavaliers (NON-CONF GOY)

I love the way this one sets up for the Cavaliers from a situational stand point so much, that it's now qualified as my one and only non-conference NBA game of the year. Denver is 41-18, but it's just 14-14 on the road. Cleveland is 38-23 this year, thanks in part to an elite 25-6 home record. The Cavaliers play with revenge here after a 121-108 road loss at Denver on January 6th (note though that Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponet.) Look for the break to effect the Nuggets here more as a team than the Cavaliers and lay the short points with confidence; the play is indeed on Cleveland!

AAA Sports

10* Monmouth (CAA GOY)

Two terrible teams here, but in a contest that I see being decided by whichever has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. Monmouth is 6-23, while Hampton is 7-22. The Hawks play with revenge here though after an 83-66 setback at home to the Pirates as 2.5-point favorites on January 21st. Note that Monmouth is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite against an opponent. This is also Monmouth's final game of the season, and the Hawks would love nothing more tha to send out the Pirates with a loss in their final home game. Hampton has one more game after this at North Carolina A&T to look ahead to as well. Grab the points, the play is Monmouth!

AAA Sports

10* Charleston Southern (BIG SOUTH GOY)

I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but I think that Charleston Southern will play tougher than expected, and comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Buccaneers come in undervalued here after six straight SU/ATS losses in a row (note though that Charleston Southern is still 9-3 in its last 12 after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row.) Not surprisingly the Buccaneers play with "revenge" here after falling 73-63 lto UNC Asheville at home on January 18th as 2.5-point dogs. But that works in our favor here, as they're 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. The Bulldogs have "look ahead" spot here as well, with their final game of the season at No. 1 Longwood on Saturday night. As I said off the top, I'm not expecting an outright win, but everything points to a much more competitive battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Charleston Southern!

AAA Sports

10* Tulsa (AAC GOM)

I base my picks on many different things. This particular one sets up well for Tulsa from a "situational" stand point in my opinion. ECU is the better team. It's 13-13, while Tulsa is only 5-21. However, the Pirates' weakness this season has absolutely been the quality of their play on the road, where they're just 1-7 this year. Tulsa on the other hand has been at its best at home this year, despite the 4-8 record. The Golden Hurricane though have performed well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent (lost 76-66 at ECU on January 24th.) With a game vs. conference leading Houston up next for the Pirates as well, this is also a "look-ahead" spot for the visitors. As I said off the top, I love the way this one sets up for the home side from a "situational" stand-point; grab the points the play is Tulsa!

AAA Sports

10* East Tennessee State (SOUTHERN GOW)

This one ticks all the boxes from a "situational" stand point. No outright upset or anything, but I think that Furman will take the foot off the gas in the second half and allow East Tennessee State to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. ETSU is just 10-18 and 4-8 on the road. It plays with revenge here after falling 70-56 to Furman at home at the start of January. Note though that the Buccaneers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as an underdog against an opponet. We're coming down the home stretch of the regular season. Look for ETSU to keep this one close down the stretch; the play is the Buccaneers!

AAA Sports

10* Detroit (HORIZON LEAGUE GOY)

Detroit is 12-16, and 8-9 in league play after a 76-71 win over Green Bay last time out. On the season the Titans are averaging 76.6 PPG, while allowing 76.1. Oakland is 12-16 and 10-7 in league action after an 85-81 win over IUPUI in its last outing. Overall the Grizzlies average only 73 PPG, while allowing 75.5. Note that this is a revenge game for the Titans after they lost 76-67 at home to Oakland as a four-point fav in January. But that's signficant to note here as Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Finally note that Oakland is just 1-4 ATS in it last five at home. I like Detroit here to avenge the earlier loss, but that said, let's grab the points; the play is indeed on Detroit!

AAA Sports

10* Missouri State (MISSOURI VALLEY GOY)

I like the Missouri State Bears to sneak in under the radar here and to comfortably cover with the large spread that they've been afforded. Missouri State plays with revenge here after falling 58-40 to Bradley back in December. Note that the Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. The Bears have now lost seven straight ATS, despite going 4-3 in that span, including 2-0 in the last two. Bradley has won six straight, including four straight ATS. With a game at 20-8 Southern Illinois on Saturday, not only does this set up as a "letdown" spot for the home side, but also a "look-ahead." When you add up those two factors, you get "trap game." I'm not calling for the outright, but everything points to a battle until the final horn; grab the points, the play is Missouri State!

AAA Sports

10* Wofford (Southern GOM)

I'm clearly not predicting an outright upset or anything, but I do think the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Wofford is just 13-13 after three straight SU/ATS losses in a row. But that's important for us to note here, as the Terriers are a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row. Wofford also plays with revenge after a 73-64 loss to UNC Greensboro on New Year's Eve. The Spartans are 17-9 and rolling along after winning eight of their last ten, including three straight, both SU and ATS. Note though that UNC Greensboro is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS wins in a row. With a game vs. 18-9, No. 2 Samford on deck up next, not only does this set up as a "letdown" spot for the home side, but also a "look-ahead." When you add those two factors together, you get "TRAP GAME." No outright, but much tighter than expected; grab the points the play is Wofford!

AAA Sports

10* Kings (BEST OF BEST)

No need to overanalyze this one, as I believe the immediate "revenge factor" will be all the motivation the Kings need here to win and cover here at home. Dallas is indeed coming off the 122-114 win here last night as a 4.5-point underdog. Note that Sacramento is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. There are a few other situational factors working in favor of the Kings here as well, but the bottom line is that the "revenge" angle will turn out to be the difference-maker in motivation between these clubs tonight; the play is Sacramento!

AAA Sports

10* Hawks (ASSASSIN)

The Hawks went 1-3 on their road trip. They've gone 0-2 ATS in their last two, but I think a little home-cooking is just what the doctor ordered for ATL tonight. While just 27-28 overall this year, the Hawks are 13-11 at home. Phoenix is 30-26 this season, but only 11-17 on the road. The Suns come in off three straight SU road victories, but with their finale of this trip set in Indiana tomorrow night, I expect Phoenix to get caught in a "trap" here, with a small mental letdown, combined with "looking ahead." Lay the points, the play is Atlanta!

AAA Sports

10* Kansas City (MID-MAJOR MAULING)

While I think an outright victory isn't out of the question obviously with a short spread like this, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Kansas City is 10-15, while Western Illinois is 15-9. KC had won three straight, but it comes to town having dropped two in a row, both SU and ATS. That includes an 85-57 loss to Oral Roberts last time out. That however is important for us to take note, as the Roos have responded well in this spot for bettors, going a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS loss in which they were held to 59 or less points in. KC not surprisingly plays with revenge here as well after falling 60-52 at home to the Leathernecks back in January. That is also signifcant to note here, as KC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Off a 75-72 road upset over Nebraska Omaha, all signs finally point to a letdown here for the home side; grab the points, the play is KC!

AAA Sports

10* Ohio (MAC GOY)

Ohio is 12-11, while NIU is 10-13. Ohio is off a 78-68 win over Miami Ohio and I like the Bobcats to keep the momentum rolling here. Note that Ohio though has lost three against the spread, which is important for us to note, as the Bobcats are in fact a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six after three or more straight ATS setbacks in a row. Jaylin Hunter led the way for Ohio, scoring 23 points. Ohio's offense is the difference-maker for me here, as I just can't see the Huskies keeping pace, as note that the Bobcats average 110.2 points per 100 possessions (77.9 PPG.) NIU looks primed for a letdown after B2B victories, most recently beating Bowling Green 86-78. David Coit led all scorers, dropping 21 points. The Huskies though average only 71.1 PPG. Ohio's weak point is on the defensive end, but that unit catches a break today facing the Huskies; I'm riding with Ohio to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish!

AAA Sports

10* Northern Colorado (BIG SKY GOY)

Weber State is the better team, but it won't be in this one tonight. It's 12-11 overall, but just 5-7 on the road. Northern Colorado is 7-16 and only 2-6 at home. Weber State has won four of its last five, but off a tight 72-71 OT win at Idaho State, I expect a slight mental letdown here from the visiting side. The Bears on the other hand play with revenge after falling 81-72 at Weber State as 3.5-point underdogs on December 29th. That's signficiant to note here as UNC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an oppoent. UNC is off three straight road losses, which is also significant to note as the Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU losses in a row. Weber State gets caught looking ahead to its home game vs. 17-8 Montana State on Friday, and UNC rallies to snap the slide and get revenge; the play is Northern Colorado!

AAA Sports

10* Wizards (EASTERN CONFERENCE GOY)

I love the way this one sets up for Washington. I think an outright is possible, but my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Cleveland is off B2B wins, but off a 122-103 victory at the Pacers just last night, I believe the Cavs come in fatigued here in the second game of the B2B scenario. Cleveland is 33-22 this year, but still just 1l-16 on the road. The Wizards have had big leads in each of their last two losses, so they won't be taking anything for granted here. The Wizards play with the added incentive of revenge as well after falling 117-107 in OT at Cleveland in October. Washington has three straight "winnable" games at home here with Charlotte and Indiana coming to town next. As I said off the top, clearly the outright win is a very real possibility, but let's grab the points; the play is Washington!

AAA Sports

10* Houston (AAC GOY)

I think the "revenge" angle works for Houston here after Temple upset the Cougars 56-55 back on January 22nd as a 15.5-point underdog. Note that Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent; lay the points, the play is Houston!

AAA Sports

10* Pelicans (WEST-CONF GOY)

The Lakers end their five-game road trip here. They lost the first two games against the Celtics and Nets, but then they've bounced back with back-to-back victories. Most recently it was a come from behind 112-111 victory at the Pacers. I think LA will get caught "looking ahead" here to a couple days off. New Orleans on the other hand is out to snap a ten-game losing streak. This is almost a "do or die" scenario for the Pels. They also play with the added incentive of "revenge" after falling 120-117 in OT as 3.5 point favorite in LA back in November. This is a great "situational" play; the pick is on New Orleans!

AAA Sports

10* Albany (AE GOY)

Vermont is 12-10, but just 5-6 on the road. Albany is only 6-18, but it's a much more respectable 3-4 at home. Vermont is off four straight victories, but I believe this is just a few points too many to have to lay on the road here. The Catamounts only average 69.5 PPG. The Great Danes average 66.4. Albany has lost six straight, both SU and ATS, and that's important for us to note here, as note that the Great Danes are still 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Look for the hungry home side to battle until the final buzzer, and in so doing, also comfortably cover this spread at the same time; the play is Albany!

AAA Sports

10* Iona (MAAC GOY)

I'm expecting a lop-sided blowout here on Friday. Mount Saint Mary's is 7-15, while Iona is 14-7. Mount St. Mary's has lost two straight, most recenlty falling 73-62 to St. Peter's. Mount St. Mary's is ranked tenth offensively in the conference, and fourth on the defensive side. The Gaels are coming back from an 18-point deficit to beat Quinnipiac 78-72 and I expect Iona to keep that momentum rolling here. The Gaels are ranked first offensively in the conference, and ninth defensively. Iona catches a much needed break on the defensive end this evening though. After going 2-2 their last four in conference play, I expect the Gaels to come in focussed and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Iona!

AAA Sports

10* PACERS (NON-CONF GOM)

The Lakers have been playing better over the last month. They're coming off a big 129-123 OT win at the Knicks, after dropping the first two games of their road trip at Boston and Brooklyn. The Pacers actually beat the Lakers 116-115 in LA back at the start of the season. I'm not reading anything into the "revenge" angle here though. LA finishes its road trip at New Orleans, and it could very well be caught "looking ahead" to that Conference matchup. The Pacers are just 1-9 in their last ten and they enter off three straight SU/ATS losses in a row. That's significant to note here though as Indiana is 6-2 ATS in its last eight after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. With Sacramento coming to town tomorrow, Indiana can't afford to look past the "on again, off again" Lakers; grab the points, the play is the Pacers!

AAA Sports

10* Heat (ASSASSIN)

While I do think an outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Miami's three-game win streak just came to an end in a 122-117 loss at Charlotte, but that's important for us to note here as Miami 7-3 ATS in its last ten after a SU/ATS loss as a favorite. It plays with revenge here as well after falling l13-87 at home to Cleveland as a seven-point dog at the start of the season. That's also signficant to note here, as the Heat are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in against an opponent. Cleveland has been trading ATS wins/losses over its last seven games, and off a 122-99 home win over the Clippers as an 11-point fav, I expect this pattern to continue here. In what I expect to be a very competitive affair, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Miami!

AAA Sports

10* Oral Roberts (SUMMIT GOY)

I think that the 10-12 South Dakota Coyotes are in over their heads tonight visiting the 19-4 Oral Roberts Golden Eagles. South Dakota is coming off a win over St. Thomas MN, while Oral Roberts beat Omaha on Saturday. South Dakota though is just 2-7 on the road and it only averages 69.4 PPG. It's won three straight ATS, but that's only helped in driving down this spread in favor of the Golden Eagles. Oral Roberts has lost two of its last three ATS, but I expect it to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one. Note that it enters averaging 84.5 PPG, ranked fifth in the country. All signs point to a lop-sided blowout; the play is Oral Roberts!

AAA Sports

10* Pepperdine (WC GOY)

Here are two teams on opposite ends of the spectrum, but that fact is in fact working in our favor here, as I believe this spread is a few points larger than it really should be. Pepperdine is 7-15, while Loyola Marymount is 15-7. The Waves are averaging 77.3 PPG, and allowing 79.4. The Lions are averaging 76.6 PPG, while allowing 69.9. The Waves catch a bit of a break here on the defensive end, as the Lions don't play at the fastest pace. Pepperdine has no issues scoring. Loyola Marymount has a look-ahead matchup at BYU up next as well. Finally note that the underdog is a near-perfect 6-1 ATS the last seven in this series. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Pepperdine!

AAA Sports

10* Celtics (ASSASSIN)

The Celtics beat the Lakers 122-118 in OT on the road back in December, and these teams "pushed" on the spread in that one. The Celtics though have lost three straight, and I expect them to put an end to the "bleeding" here. Note that Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Celtics have in fact lost five straight ATS. I say the "revenge" factor gets thrown out the window here. LA has won three of its last four, but it's still just 10-14 on the road. The Lakers have a difficult road ahead at Brooklyn, the Knicks, the Pacers and Pelicans, and I believe they get caught "looking ahead" here. I'm laying the points and expecting a rout; the play is Boston!

AAA Sports

10* Mavericks (ASSASSIN)

For a couple of different reasons, I really like the way this one sets up for Luka Doncic and the Mavs. Off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, the Mavericks will be focused on the task at hand here. Dallas beat Phoenix 130-111 at the start of December. Everyone was beating the Suns at that point. Since then, Phoenix actually enters this one red hot with four straight victories, both SU and ATS. All of them have been here at home. Note though that the Suns are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after playing to three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. I say the Suns come in a bit complacent here and while I clealry feel an outright victory is possible, everything points to a minor letdown here from Phoenix, while all signs point to Dallas rallying; grab the points, the play is the Mavericks!

AAA Sports

10* Hawks (ASSASSIN)

I think this one sets up well for the Hawks. Atlanta has now lost two in a row after a five-game win streak, most recently it was a 111-100 setback at Chicago. But overall the Hawks have done really well in this spot for bettors, as they do play with "REVENGE" here after a 121-114 home loss to the Thunder as 6.5-point favorites back in December and Atlanta is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread home loss as a favorite against an opponent. Oklahoma City is 14-9 at home and it's playing its best basketball of the season. It's won seven of its last ten and it's covered in eight straight. All good things do come to an end though. After their most recent 101-99 road win in Denver as three-point underdogs, I'm finally expecting a letdown (I will point out though, that that was without Jokic in the line-up for the Nuggets.) From a situational stand point, I think Oklahoma City is now overvalued here by bettors and bookmakers alike. I love the way this one sets up for ATL to exact some revenge; the play is the Hawks!

AAA Sports

10* UConn (BIG EAST GOW)

Xavier has been great, but I think it's getting a little TOO much respect here now. It lost 73-72 to DePaul, and then bounced back with a 95-82 win over Georgetown. Beating the Hoyas these days is no big deal, but what is concerning is that the Musketeers allowed 80 or more points for the third time in their last five games. UConn got back on track with a dominant 86-56 home win over Butler last time out, snapping a three-game slide. The Huskies started out the season 14-0, and their first loss of the year occurred at home to Xavier, falling 83-73 as three-point favs on New Year's Eve. Look for the Musketeers to struggle defensively again, and for the revenge-minded Huskies to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; the play is UConn!

AAA Sports

10* Georgia Tech (ACC GOY)

I base my selections on many different things. I've always felt that being "flexible" with one's approach is the best way to secure profits over the long-term. Sometimes I completely dissect a play, looking at every angle possible, each individual player matchup, and every stat and angle I can possibly uncover. Other times I can just give a game the "eye test" and employ the "KISS" method (Keep It Simple Stupid!) Regardless, for this particular play I think it sets up well for Georgia Tech from a situational stand point. Clemson is 11-0 at home, but I'm not calling for an outright upset. I think the Yellow Jackets comfortably sneak in through the back door in the second half. GT is off six straight SU losses, and three straight ATS, which is significant to note, as the Yellow Jackets are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They also play with revenge after falling 79-66 at home to Clemson as two-point underdogs in December. That's also significant to note, as GT is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Clemson's at FSU next. I think it takes the foot off the gas in the second half. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Georgia Tech!

AAA Sports

10* Pacers (CENTRAL DIV GOY)

The Pacers return home desperate to snap a four-game road losing streak. Indiana has also gone 0-5 ATS in its last five, which is significant for us to note here in backing the home side, as the Pacers are in fact 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. They also play with the revenge factor after falling 124-109 to Chicago back in October. With a tough game at Orlando tomorrow night, I fully expect the home side to take advantage of familiar surroundings. Chicago is off three straight SU/ATS victories after last night's 111-100 home win over the Hawks. Fatigue plays a factor here in the second game of the B2B though. Grab whatever points you can, the play is Indiana!

AAA Sports

10* Grambling State (ASSASSIN)

Grambling State is 11-7 and Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 9-11. If history is any precedence, then the Tigers have to be liking their chances. Grambling State's 76-65 win over Arkansas-Pine Bluff on January 24th, 2022 was its fifth straight victory in the series. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is interestingly 0-5 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a winning record though. UAPB is unbeaten at home this year, but that just speaks volumes to the level of competition it's faced to this point. Grambling State has been tough on the road and after four straight ATS losses in a row, I believe they're in fact undervalued here finally this evening; lay the points, the play is Grambling State!

AAA Sports

10* Blazers (EXPRESS)

The Lakers are coing off a tight 122-120 home win over Memphis as 7-point dogs. With a home game against the Clippers on Tuesday, LA could be caught looking ahead here. Portland plays with revenge after falling 128-109 to the Blazers in November, and that's significant for us to note, as it in fact 6-2 ATS in its last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss of 15 or more points as a favorite. Portland is 11-9 at home after a 105-95 loss to the 76ers three nights ago, but with the Spurs coming to town tomorrow, the Blazers are going to step up here and take care of business in this revenge scenario in my opinion; lay the points, the play is the Blazers!

AAA Sports

10* Raptors (ASSASSIN)

All signs point to a Toronto victory here in my opinion. That said, I'll still recommend to grab as many points as you can.  Boston has won eight straight now after a 121-118 OT home win over Golden State last time out. That victory though snapped a five-game ATS winning streak, and I believe the C's will have their hands full here as well. With upcoming games at Orlando and Miami, I also think Boston gets caught looking ahead. The Raptors play with revenge here as well after a 116-110 loss to Boston as 1.5 point dogs back in December. The Raptors return home hungry after B2B SU/ATS road losses, most recently falling 128-126 at Minnesota. The Raptors welcome the Knicks to town tomorrow, so this is an opponent tonight that they can ill afford to look past. Clearly, that would never happen. The C's are the cream in the East, but all signs point to a Boston letdown/look-ahead here finally. The hungrier team finds a way at home this evening; the play is Toronto!

AAA Sports

10* Arkansas State (ATS BLOODBATH)

Marshall is coming off an 81-73 win over Texas State on Thursday. It's now 16-4 overall and 5-2 in conference action. That said, I still think this is a few too many points to be giving up on the road vs. the hungry Arkansas State side which is 9-11 overall and 1-6 in Sun Belt play. Mashall averages 81.6 PPG, while Arkansas State averages 65.7. With ten days off after this before a game vs. App State on February 2nd, I believe this sets up as a "look-ahead" spot. The Red Wolves are 8-5 at home and while I'm not calling for an outright victory, all signs point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Arkansas State!

AAA Sports

10* Texas Tech (BLOWOUT)

K-State is 16-2 after its 83-82 OT win at home over Kansas. It was an epic victory, and I'm expecting a predictable letdown here. Texas Tech is 10-8 and I think it comes in as clearly the much hungrier side. K-State is playing great, but from a situational stand-point, I absolutely expect a mental letdown here after the win over the Jayhawks. Texas Tech made the Tournament as a three seed last year. The Red Raiders have fallen off, but after six straight conferene setbacks to open the season, we won't have to question their effort here today. Grab the points and expect a battle until the final whistle; the play is Texas Tech!

AAA Sports

10* Nets (NON-CONF GOM)

After four straight SU losses in a row, and five straight ATS setbacks, I expect Brooklyn to be the "hungrier" dog in this fight, and therefore I'm going to recommend to grab as many points as you can in this one. Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after five or more ATS losses in a row. Utah has won four of its last five, including three straight ATS. But the Jazz are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven after three or more ATS victories in a row. This is the second game of a back-to-back for Brooklyn after the 117-112 loss at Phoenix last night. The Jazz are off a 126-103 win over the Clippers. I say these teams are very evenly matched and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever club has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points; the play is Brooklyn!

AAA Sports

8* LBSU (BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT)

Two teams in need of a win, but I expect the home side to dig deep here and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover. The Titans are 10-9, but ust 2-6 on the road. They're coming off a 76-46 home victory over CSU Bakersfield. Fullerton has now covered in six straight, but that's important to note here, as it's in fact just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after five or more straight ATS covers in a row. LBSU is 8-10, but it's 4-3 at home. It averages 75.4 PPG, while Fullerton averages 70. Look for the motivated home side keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is LBSU!

AAA Sports

10* UC San Diego (ASSASSIN)

The UC San Diego Tritons are 6-12 overall, and 1-5 in league play. They'll be eager to snap a five-game losing streak, most recently falling 78-70 at home to UC Davis (note though, the Tritons are 4-1 ATS in their last five after five or more straight losses in a row.) Cal Poly is 7-11 overall, and just 1-5 in conference play. The Mustangs are on a five-game losing streak as well, but I think they come in here still hung up on their latest loss, a crushing 83-78 OT setback at UC Riverside. These teams are evenly matched and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever one has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is indeed on UC San Diego!

AAA Sports

8* Abilene Christian (SPECIAL)

The Abilene Christian Wildcats are 9-9, and the Utah Valley Wolverines are 14-5. The Wildcats are averaging 76.4 PPG, while allowing 67.9. The Wolverines are averaging 76.6 PPG, while allowing 67.7. The Wildcats have been sliding of late, but that's only helped in driving today's spread a few points larger than it normally would/should be. Look for the Wolverines to get caught looking ahead to their upcoming game at Grand Canyon up next. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Abilene Christian!

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10* Wizards (EAST-CONF GOM)

Washington is 18-26 and I think it comes in under the radar here facing the 25-20 Knicks, who are interestingly 14-8 on the road, and only 11-12 at home. I base my picks on many different things, and one thing I always look at is the "REVENGE FACTOR. And the revenge fator does indeed come into play here. The Wizards have lost two straight, as they fell 112-108 at home as 3.5-point underdogs to the Knicks just last week, before then also falling 127-118 at home to Golden State on Sunday. But Washington is a wallet-expanding 7-1 against the spread in its last eight in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 110 or fewer points in. The Knicks three game win streak was just snapped in a 123-121 overtime loss at home to Toronto as two-point favorites, and with a much more difficult upcoming schedule at Atlanta, Toronto, Cleveland, Boston and Brooklyn, I think this not only sets up as a letdown spot for the home side, but also a LOOK AHEAD SPOT, and when you add letdown spot and look ahead spot together, that = TRAP GAME. I'm banking on the revenge-minded Wizards to keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch!

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10* Raptors (ASSASSIN)

Despite playing just last night, I like Toronto to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. The Raptors are playing their best basektball of the season right now, having won four of their last five, including last night's come from behind 123-120 OT win at New York. Toronto plays with the added incentive of "revenge" here as well after a 104-101 OT loss at home to the Bucks as 5.5-point favorites in early January. Milwaukee bounced back off two-straight losses in Miami to beat Indiana 132-119, but the Bucks are still averaging just 112.2 PPG, ranked 21st. Milwaukee has a road game at Cleveland up next. I think this is going to be a tight game for sure, so I'm grabbing the points; the play is Toronto! 

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10* CS Northridge (BIG WEST GOM)

Outright victory? I'm not calling for that whatsoever. I do however look for the home side to take the foot off the gas after getting a big early lead, leaving the back door wide open for the hungry 3-13 Matadors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. Hawaii is 13-4. This is the first match up of the year between the teams, but CS Northridge does play with double revenge after two losses last year in the series. Hawaii's 9-2 at home, but I believe it gets caught looking ahead to a two-game road trip starting this Friday at Big West leading UC Irvine. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is CS Northridge!

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8* Magic (SITUATIONAL SHOCKER)

I like the Magic to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch in this one. The Magic have interestingly been trading wins and losses over their last seven games, and off a tight 112-108 loss at Utah as a five-point underdog last time out, Orlando will be hopeful to keep that streak alive. I'm not calling for the outright upset here though, but I do think the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. The Magic enjoy four whole nights off after this, so I think they'll open up the playbook here. The Nuggets have won and covered in five straight, but note that Denver is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after five or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. No outright, but closer than expected; the play is Orlando!

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10* BULLS (BLOCKBUSTER)

This is a great "situational" play. The Warriors are now 21-21 after their big 144-113 win over the Spurs in the Alamo Dome. I think a letdown is imminent here for the Warriors though, who are still just 4-16 on the road this season. With a game at Washington tomorrow night, it's also a "look ahead" spot for this veteran club that's dealing with injuries. The Bulls though play with revenge after a 119-111 loss at Golden State earlier in the year. Chicago is off three straight SU losses and B2B ATS setbacks. I look for the Bulls to dig deep here and to respond and while I do think the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab the points with Chicago!

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10* CSU Northridge (BIG WEST GOM)

I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but I do think the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. These teams are on opposite ends of the spectrum, but that works to our advantage here. I say the 11-5 Anteaters come in a bit complacent. They're overvaulled here. Convesely, the 3-13 Matadors don't have the luxury to look past anyone right now. With a home game vs. Big West leading UC Santa Barbara on Monday, this is also a "look ahead" spot big time for the visitors. Look for the home side to play tough and to cover comfortably win the large spread that it's been afforded in this one; the play is CSU Northridge!

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10* Pistons (ASSASSIN)

I think Detroit will, at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. New Orleans is the better team for sure, entering at 25-17 overall. That said, it's just 8-12 on the road. The Pistons are terrible no matter where the play, 12-33 overall and 6-14 at home (9-10-1 ATS at home though, while the Pels are 8-12 ATS on the road as well.) Detroit just snapped a three-game slide with a convincing 135-118 blowout win over the Wolves, and they play with revenge here after a 104-98 loss at New Orleans in December. Look for the Pistons to keep the pedal to the metal and, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the handful of points they've been afforded tonight!

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10* Hornets (ASSASSIN)

I had a play on Toronto two nights ago here, and it pulled away for the 132-120 victory in the end. Despite the offensive outburst though, note that the Raptors only average 111.7 PPG, which ranks 25th. I like the Hornets to bounce back here and take it to the Raptors. THey average 112.1 PPG, ranked 22nd. They're also 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. I just don't trust Toronto here. The Raptors just 18-23 this year. They have a nasty habit of "playing down (or up)" to the level of their competition. I think the Raptors come out flat here, and I expect the hungry Hornets to take advantage; grab the points, the play is Charlotte!

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10* North Alabama (MID-MAJOR MAULING)

North Alabama is 9-8, and Liberty is 12-5. The Lions come in as the "hungrier" team here after three straight losses. It hasn't been for a lack of trying though, most recently falling 95-85 to Stetson in OT. North Alabama averages 74.9 PPG, while the Liberty Flames average 75.1. The Flames enter off a tight 62-59 loss to EKU last time out and I think they come out a bit flat here against their lowly opponent. Clearly I'm not calling for the outright victory, but I do think the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is North Alabama!

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10* Chatanooga (SOUTHERN GOY)

Western Carolina is 10-7, while Chattanooga is 9-7. The Catamounts are averaging 76.4 PPG, while allowing 67.1. The Mocs though are averaging 78.8 PPG, while conceding 68.9. The Mocs have played the more difficult schedule. The Catamounts can't be trusted on the road. Chattanooga will not "look past" its opponent today, instead it comes in prepared to play a full four quarters of basketball; lay the points, the play is the Mocs!

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10* Tulsa (SUPER BLOWOUT)

Last Februray Temple secured the 67-58 win over Tulsa, but I think the home side will, at the very least, keep this one tight until the final moments. Temple is coming off an 87-76 loss to Tulane. Overall the Owls are averaging 69.2 PPG, while allowing 69.1. Tulsa is only 4-10 overall SU, and just 1-13 ATS. I say this lop-sided ATS record starts to "correct" itself. Tulsa averages 68.1 PPG, while allowing 75.9. I don't trust the Owls offense on the road whatsoever, despite Tulsa's issues; grab the points, the play is the Golden Hurricane!

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10* Raptors (ASSASSIN)

This is the first of two straight games North of the border for these teams. Charlotte is coming off a 116-111 loss at Indiana. The Raptors are off a 117-105 win over Portland. I expect a similar sort of score here tonight vs. Charlotte, which is just 6-16 on the road. Overall Charlotte averages 111.9 PPG, while conceding 118.1. The Raptors are averaging 111.2 PPG, while allowing 111.2 as well. Look for Toronto to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this opening contest, so to take the "wind" out of the Hornets sails tonight, while also sending a message to them in the next one. I'm laying the points, the play is Toronto!

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10* Texas Southern (SWAC GOY)

Texas Southern is just 4-12, but here's the perfect opponent to get back on track against. Mississippi Valley State is just 1-16. The Tigers are averaging 68.1 PPG, while allowing 73.6. One bright spot has been the play of Davon Barnes, who is averaging 15.1 points and 4.1 rebounds per game. The Delta Devils are averaging just 54.6 PPG this season, while conceding 76.1. They're led by Rayquan Brown, who averages 14.7 points and 7.9 boards per game. Texas Southern will not take the foot off the gas here. It's the better team and it'll be desperate for a victry here. The Delta Devils have been losing by an average of 21.5 points, and they've lost their last five by an average of 17.8. I'm rolling with Texas Southern in this one in what I believe will be a blowout from start to finish!

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10* Celtics (ASSASSIN)

After three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, I look for the Bulls to takea  step back here. They're off the 126-118 home win over the Jazz, but I say they get caught looking ahead here to their game at Washington on Wednesday as well. The Celtics actually play with revenge here, as they fell 121-107 as 5.5-point favorites to the Bulls back on November 21st. The Celtics are off back-to-back road victories, but they're still 15-5 at home. They average 118.8 PPG, which is No. 1 in the league. They're also 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent in which they were the favorite. Everything points to Boston going up early, and then keeping the foot on the gas until the final horn; lay the points, the play is the Celtics!

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10* Loyola Maryland (PATRIOT LEAGUE GOY)

Both teams are 5-11. This is a case that I feel that whichever team has its hands on the ball last is going to win this one, and in cases like that, I'll gladly grab the points. Both teams are 5-11 and hungry for a victory today. The Greyhounds are led by Jaylin Andrews with 11.3 PPG. They're coming off a 78-55 loss to Army and they average 65.4 PPG. Holy Cross is off a 73-69 OT loss to American. Gerrale Gates leads the Crusaders with 17.6 PPG. Overall they average 66.6 PPG. The depth that the Greyhounds bring to the table tonight gives them a very legitimate shot to win this contest outright; grab the points, the play is Loyola Maryland!

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10* Kings (ASSASSIN)

Sacramento beat LA 134-120 as an 8.5-point favorite back on December 21st and I am anticipating an identical final score here as well basically. Yes, the Lakers have been playing better, but off four straight wins, including a 130-114 victory at home over the Hawks just last night, look for the visitors to come in fatigued, likely resting starters. The Kings are still in first in the Pacific division, but the revenge factor for LA goes out the window in my opinion as Sacramento is 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a SU/ATS home loss in which it allowed 120 or more points in (lost 120-117 to the Hawks as two-point favs.) WIth Orlando coming to town next, followed by two straight at home against the Rockets, this is a PRIME spot for the Kings to start their new win streak; lay the points, the play is Sacramento!

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