This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Golden State Warriors.

Golden State has won the first two games of this series quite easiy, but it’s come up a single bucket short in each game in actually covering the Las Vegas spread. We think that changes tonight though as we’re expecting the Warriors to play their best game of this entire series as they look to stomp out all remaining hope for the floundering Jazz. Utah owned the No. 1 defense in the league in the regular season, but so far it’s been a disaster against the league’s No. 1 offense. Nothing is going to change because of a venue change in our opinion. Note that the Warriors are now 5-1 ATS in their last six when leading in a playoff series, while Utah is just 3-7 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games. Play on GOLDEN STATE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Golden State Warriors.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

AAA Sports will have their full analysis for this selection posted shortly. No later than 6 hours before game time.

As note that Utah is just 18-20 ATS this year in revenging a loss against an opponent and only 1-6 ATS in its last seven as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while Golden State is now 6-2 ATS in its last eight when leading in a playoff series.

The bottom line: The Warriors were 12.5 point favs in Game 1 and led by 16 with 30 seconds to go, but somehow managed to only win by 12. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting GOLDEN STATE to send a resounding statement tonight as it looks to squash any hopes that Utah could possibly have left. Lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Washignton Wizards.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

We don’t have to question the Wizards’ focus and determination tonight, this is the team’s biggest game of the entire year, bascially a do-or-die. Boston has been playing unbelievably since its Game 2 loss to Chicago in the opening round, but one has to wonder how much the team has left in the tank at this point? That’s six straight big time victories, having to come back from two different double-digit deficits for the win. Game 3 sets up as trap of sorts for the Celtics, who must surely be starting to feel the drain. Also note that Boston is just 7-8 ATS this year after allowing 115 points or more, while Washington is 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. Play on the WIZARDS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on the Utah Jazz.

We think that if Utah has any real shot at pulling off an unbelievable upset in this series, that it has to win Game 1. While the Jazz are coming off an exhausting seven game series win over the Clippers, we’re expecting Utah to give the Warriors their best shot tonight. Would it be too hard to imagine the Warriors coming out a bit flat footed after their four-game destruction of the Blazers? We had a play on the Cavaliers last night and stated that we thought the extra time off was a huge advantage for the defending champs at this time of year, after they also beat the Pacers in four games as well. We also noted that we thought that for other clubs, extended time off between series can absolutely have a detrimental effect on team chemistry. Obvouisly the Warriors aren’t going to suddenly forget how to play basketball after a couple of extra days off, but we still think the conditions are right for the hungry JAZZ to keep this one a lot closer than what the bookmakers want us to think. Grab the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Washington Wizards.

We played the Wizards in Game 1 and felt pretty good after the first few minutes, as Washington jumped out to what looked like to be an early insurmountable 22-5 lead. However, things quickly deteriorated after that and Boston would go on to win in a blowout. We are primarily a situationally based handicapping service and we once again feel that this one sets up very well for the Wizards. This has suddenly become the most important game of the year for Washington. Boston has looked awfully good since Game 3 of its opening round series against the Bulls, but this is a spot in which the C’s have constantly struggled in for bettors all season, going just 9-12 ATS after scoring 115 points or more and a horrible 4-15 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories. And note, this is a position in which the Wizards have excelled in, going 8-6 ATS this year after allowing 115 points or more and 25-16 ATS in revenging a loss against an opponent. We’re expecting this one to come down to the wire, so grab the points. Play on WASHINGTON.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* EASTERN-CONFERNECE SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Toronto will once again look to “get over the hump” and upset the Cavaliers in the playoffs this year. So far the Raptors haven’t been able to solve LeBron James and company in the postseason over the last three years and simply put, we don’t see anything changing in this one either (in Game 1 anyways). Toronto needed six games to get past the Bucks, most recently a 92-89 road win in Game 6 on Thursday night. For some teams we’d say that an extended period of time off between series could be a detriment to chemistry, but for the Cavaliers, a club which has played a ridiculous amount of basketball over the last three years, it is without question a huge advantage. The Pacers were not an easy “out” whatsoever, but James was dominant in the four game series sweep (does anyone think that Toronto would have swept Paul George and the Pacers?). Toronto looked poor offensively against the Bucks and strong on the defensive end, but Milwaukee wasn’t the most dynamic offensive club in the league in the regular season, finishing in the bottom third. Cleveland has big men which are well rested with just as much experience as Toronto’s Serge Ibaka, so we aren’t reading anything into that matchup whatsoever. And note that Toronto is just 6-7 ATS this year after allowing 90 points or less, while Cleveland is a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing with three or more days rest. We’re expecting a complete blowout in Game 1, play on the CAVALIERS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Washington Wizards.

The Wizards were 3-0 at home in their round 1 victory over Atlanta and just 1-2 on the road. Washington did though get over the hump in Game 6 and crushed the Hawks behind 41 points from John Wall. The Celtics struggled in Game’s 1 and 2 of their series, but then Isaiah Thomas recovered from the death of his sister and Boston would go on to roll in four straight. Both teams come in hot. Thomas is a decent defender, but we think the duo of Wall and Bradley Beal is one that Boston isn’t completely able to matchup against. At the very least, we think the dynamic guard tandem will give the home side everything it can handle tonight. Clearly these teams are very even, but this matchup discrepancy, along with the fact that the Celtics are just 3-15 ATS this year after three or more consecutive straight-up victories, while the Wizards are 8-3 ATS off an upset win as an underdog, make the visiting side the play here. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommending grabbing as many points as you can, play on WASHINGTON.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Washington Wizards.

The Wizards are up 3-2 and have an opportunity to end this series right here and now. So far home floor has been the difference in the straight-up win/loss category, but after winning the first two against-the-spread, Washington has now gone 0-3 ATS over the last three. Atlanta has put up a hell of a fight to this point, but we think it’s run out of gas. The dynamic duo of John Wall and Bradley Beal have been huge so far in this series and we don’t think the home side will have an answer for either of them tonight as well. Note that the Wizards are 3-1 ATS in their last four when holding their opponent to under 100 points in their previous game, while ATL is just 1-3 ATS in its last four when failing to top the 100-point mark. We think the WIZARDS’ depth proves to be too much for Atlanta to handle in the end, grab the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Milwaukee Bucks.

It’s do-or-die for the Bucks. We’re expecting the home side to find a way to get the job done and push this series to a decisive Game 7 in what should be a dramatic atmosphere North of the border. Toronto’s 118-93 Game 5 victory was its best performance to date, but we’re not ready to say that the team has completely gotten over its inconsistent ways quite yet. The Raptors have been famous “no shows” in these types of situations as note that they’re a horrible 0-4 ATS the last two years when leading in a playoff series. Conversely, this has been a spot in which the Bucks have excelled in all season, going 5-3 ATS after allowing 115 points or more. Milwaukee is still the second ranked playoff defense in allowing only 98 PPG and we think it returns to form this evening. It should be another exciting one, but we look for MILWAUKEE to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. 

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Chicago Bulls.

This has been an interesting series to watch and handicap. The day before it started, Celtics’ star guard Isaiah Thomas’ sister was tragically killed in a car accident. The Celtics dropped the first two games of the series at home, which then had many questioning whether they had anything left in the tank. Bulls’ guard Rajon Rondo was injured late in Game 2 and didn’t play in the Games’ 3 and 4 losses at home. Thomas was finally able to get over his immediate grief and focus on basketball and the C’s left the Windy City all tied up at two. Rondo may make an appearance in Game 5, but regardless, we think the advantage has now swung back in favor of the Bulls. Chicago’s back is against the wall, as Boston has stolen all the momentum. Also note that the Bulls are 8-4 ATS this season when playing with two days rest, while the Celtics are just 4-10 ATS in the same position. Grab as many points as you can, play on CHICAGO.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs.

The Spurs smashed the Grizzlies in Games 1 and 2 at home, a favor returned by Memphis on its own floor in Games 3 and 4. We believe that home floor advantage will continue to be a crucial factor in this series and look for this strong pattern to continue here. Also note that Memphis is just 2-12 ATS this year when playing with two days rest, while San Antonio is 3-1 ATS in its last five in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. We look for San Antonio to be much more productive on both ends of the court tonight and expect the Grizzlies to fade away down the stretch. Play on the SPURS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

We think the Rockets come out a bit complacent and expect the Thunder to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the backdoor with the large spread they’ve been afforded. OKC had a big lead in Game 4, but would crumble defensively and allow the Rockets to score 40 points in the fourth quarter. There’s no way that Russell Westbrook is going down without a fight tonight though. Also note that OKC is 7-2 ATS this year in revenging a home loss against an opponent, while Houston is just 2-4 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog. Grab as many points as you can, play on the THUNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that San Antonio is 12-8 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and 11-7 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite, while Memphis is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after a win by ten points or more.

The bottom line: San Antonio dominated Games 1 and 2, but was never able to get going in Game 3. The Grizzlies needed to play a perfect game and they did. There’s no way that happens in consecutive outings. The Spurs are too well coached and too deep to be held down in back-to-back games. We’re expecting Kawhi Leonard to get back on track and for SAN ANTONIO to head home with a commanding 3-1 series lead.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR on the Boston Celtics.

We believe that Isaiah Thomas will finally show up in a big way tonight. Boston fought hard all year and earned the No. 1 spot in the East. That was no fluke. The C’s are more than just Thomas, but there’s no question that he’s the engine that drives the machine. Thomas though suffered major heartbreak a day before Game 1 when his sister was tragically killed in a car accident. Thomas has courageously played through the first two games and has been decent, but not dominant. Now that he’s had a few more days to process his grief and get a handle on the situation, we’re expecting a monster game from him tonight. He will be refocused and ready to take out some hatred on someone and that unfortunate someone is the Bulls. Chicago has looked great to this point, but we’re expecting it to come in a tiny bit complacent here. Those first two victories were just too easy. Also note that the Celtics are 8-3 ATS this season after a loss by ten points or more, while Chicago is 10-12 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog. BOSTON gets right back into this series with a blowout win.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN is on the Toronto Raptors.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Toronto is 5-3 in its last eight when tied in a playoff series, while Milwaukee is just 19-22 ATS at home this year.

The bottom line: Toronto averages 106.9 PPG and allows 102.6. Milwaukee averages 103.6 PPG and allows 103.8. The Raptors have dominated this series over the last two years and have to be feeling confident here. The Bucks have put up a great fight over the first two games, but we think the visitors’ experience in these types of contests proves to be too much. Play on TORONTO.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that the Thunder are already 13-8 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more, 11-7 ATS after allowing 115 pointsor more and 19-15 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while the Rockets are just 4-6 ATS this season when playing on two days rest and only 12-18 ATS after a victory by ten points or more.

The bottom line: Also note that Houston is just 1-2 ATS this season after allowing 90 points or less. It’s do-or-die for Russell Westbrook and OKC and while we wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the hungry visiting side to keep this one competitive until the final moments. Play on the THUNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE YEAR on the Memphis Grizzlies.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that New York is a poor 6-8 ATS this year when playing on back-to-back days, while Memphis is 23-16 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. 

The bottom line: The Knicks are playing out the tail end of a disastrous season. They have nothing to play for. Derrick Rose is out and Kristaps Porzingis is questionable. Memphis on the other hand comes in desperate here, it’s lost three straight and is trying to maintain its seventh spot in the West, while also gaining some type of momentum heading into the playoffs with a tilt against the Spurs in the first round. The Grizzlies also play with revenge. It’s a perfect set of situational and motivational factors working in favors of MEMPHIS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Atlanta Hawks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Boston is just 6-7 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while ATL is 15-10 ATS this season when playing the role of underdog.

The bottom line: This one sets up beautifully for Atlanta. Boston comes in off a deflating loss at home just last night to the Cavaliers, a setback which drops it into second in the Eastern Conference race. Atlanta on the other hand still has an opportunity to overtake Milwaukee for fifth spot in the East, which if the playoffs started today, would see it facing Washington instead of Toronto. ATL has lost two straight and has a tough home-and-home set with the Cavaliers, starting tomorrow night in Cleveland. That makes tonight’s game an almost “must win” for the Hawks in our opinion. For all of the reasons listed above, play on ATLANTA.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Houston Rockets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Denver is just 1-3 ATS in its last four when playing on back-to-back days, only 20-22 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and just 6-9 ATS off an upset win as an underdog, while Houston is 16-9 ATS this year against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest and 18-8 ATS after allowing 115 points or more.

The bottom line: Denver comes in off a tiring 134-131 win in New Orleans just last night and we think it’s primed for a predictable letdown here. Conversely, the Rockets got two whole days rest to prepare for the final push of the season and we expect them to make the most of it. Lay the points with confidence, play on HOUSTON.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Washington Wizards.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Charlotte is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after three or more consecutive SU/ATS victories, while Washington is 2-1 ATS in its last three after three or more consecutive SU/ATS losses.

The bottom line: Not only will Washington be desperate to break the string of futility, but it also plays with revenge here after fallling 98-93 to Charlotte on March 18th. The Hornets have been playing better, but we think they finally have a letdown as they still sit behind Indiana right now in tenth in the East with just three more games to go. All signs point to a blowout for the WIZARDS, lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on North Carolina.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that UNC is 6-3 ATS in all tournament games this year and 4-2 ATS against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest, while Gonzaga is just 4-6 ATS in all tournament games this season and only 1-2 ATS in its last three against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest after fifteen-plus games.

The bottom line: Gonzaga has faced South Dakota State, Northwestern, WVU, Xavier and South Carolina to make it to this point. That’s not exactly “murder’s row.” Nigel Williams-Goss (16.7 PPG) will create some matchup issues for the Tar Heels, but we think that UNC is battle tested and simply too talented offensively to be denied tonight. The Tar Heels beat Texas Southern, Arkansas, Butler, Kentucky and Oregon to make it to this point. They say “defense wins championships,” but we’ve always thought that addage pertains more to the gridiron than to the hardwood. We’re going with the better offensive club, play on the TAR HEELS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Charlotte is just 12-14 ATS this year following a non-conference game and only 9-15 ATS this year against weak defensive clubs which allow 106 plus points per contest, while OKC is 25-12 ATS at home, 16-11 ATS in non-conference games and 17-12 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent.

The bottom line: Charlotte won for the sixth time in eight games in a 122-114 win over Denver at home on Friday, while OKC looks to bounce back after a 100-95 home defeat to the Spurs later that same night (after it had won seven of its previous nine). The Hornets are running out of time and we think the pressure results in a letdown here. Note that Charlotte averages 105.4 PPG and allows 104.5. The Thunder average 106.9 PPG and allow 106. OKC star Russell Westbrook is on a mission right now, needing only three more triple doubles to surpass Oscar Robertson for the most all time in that department. We’re expecting Westbrook to push the pace of this one and look for the home side to comfortably pull away down the stretch for the ATS cover. Play on the THUNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on North Carolina.

Oregon wasn’t supposed to get by Kansas, but the Ducks played their best game of the tournament and prevailed 74-60. So can Oregon duplicate that performance against No. 1 seed UNC? We think that “neutral site” stats tell the real story between the teams today.

As note that Oregon has averaged 76 PPG and allowed 67.6 in all neutral court affairs this year, while North Carolina has averaged a whopping 87.6 PPG, while allowing 73.7. 

The bottom line: They say defense wins championships, but that addage pertains more to the gridiron than the hardwood. We can’t see Oregon keeping pace with the high-flying Tar Heels down the stretch, lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Memphis Grizzlies.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Indiana is just 1-3 in its last four non-conference games, while Memphis is 7-2 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games and 20-14 ATS in revenging a loss against an opponent. 

The bottom line: With a game in Minnesota on Tuesday night, expect the Pacers to come into this one with “heavy legs.” This is a revenge game for the Grizzlies after falling 102-92 in the first meeting earlier in the year. Memphis is out to atone for a 91-90 road loss to Sacramento on Monday. The Grizzlies have in fact lost four straight, so it’s going to be “all hands on deck” tonight as the team desperately tries to break the slide. Indiana averages only 91 points per game over its last seven on the road and is 0-5 ATS its last five away from friendly confines. Despite the losing streak, MEMPHIS has still allowed 97 points or fewer in six of its last seven. Play on the GRIZZLIES.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Minnesota is already 8-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses, while Indiana is just 7-11 ATS after a win by ten points or more and 15-23 ATS against a team with a losing record.

The bottom line: After six straight losses, it’s do-or-die time for the Wolves. Note that this is a revenge game as well for Minnesota after falling 109-103 to Indiana at home on January 26th. Minnesota ranks in the middle of the pack on both the offensive and defensive end. So too does Indiana. The Pacers start a tough road trip tomorrow night in Memphis, followed by games at Toronto and Cleveland, before another game at home against the Raptors. There’s no question that this also sets up as a “trap” for the home side as it gets caught “looking ahead” to the upcoming grind. Are the T-Wolves going to win all of their remaining games and make the playoffs? Nope. But we’re expecting this young team to come out and play with some heart tonight as it looks to get off the schneid and end the losing streak. While we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can, play on the WOLVES.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Dallas Mavericks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that OKC is in fact just 1-4 ATS this year against poor offensive teams which average 98 plus points per contest, while Dallas is 3-1 ATS in its last four at home and 3-1 ATS in its last four against clubs with winning records.

The bottom line: OKC comes in off an exhausting 137-125 loss in Houston just last night. Dallas enters off a 94-86 home loss to Toronto on Saturday. These teams have split a pair of games this year, each winning on its own court. OKC ranks tenth overall in scoring, but in the bottom third defensively. The Mavs have played a lot better over the last two months, but still own the league’s worst offense. Dallas makes up for it though on the defensive end with the third ranked defense. But this play is based mainly on the situation, as OKC comes to town dead tired. Look for the hungry MAVERICKS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Florida.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that South Carolina is 0-2 ATS this year in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent and just 4-6 ATS after allowing 60 points or less, while Florida is 4-1 ATS this season when playing with one or less days rest and 19-8 ATS when playing the role of favorite. 

The bottom line: These teams split a pair of games this season with each winning on its home floor (Gamecocks won 57-53 at home in the first meeting and the Gators responded with an 81-66 home victory in the second). South Carolina has broken 99 percent of any remaining brackets, but we think the Cindarella story ends tonight. The Gamecocks played outstanding defense against the Bears and allow just 64.8 PPG, while averaging 73.1 per contest. The Gators hit a running three-pointer in OT to win by one over Wisconsin in the Sweet 16 and we’re expecting Florida to carry that momentum over here. Florida is dominant on both ends of the floor, averaging 78.1 PPG and allowing just 66.2. The Gators held the Gamecocks to 29 percent shooting in their first matchup this year and 39 percent in the second. All signs point to a comfortable win and cover, lay the points, play on FLORIDA.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SWEET 16 SIDE OF THE YEAR on Kentucky.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that UCLA is just 10-12 ATS against teams with winning records this season and only 11-23 ATS in its last 34 against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest, while Kentucky is 9-7 ATS this year against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest.

The bottom line: UCLA surged past Cincinnati 79-67 on Sunday, while Kentucky edged by Wichita State 65-62. It was the Wildcats 13th straight victory. Note that the Wildcats play with revenge today though after falling 97-92 at home to the Bruins back on December 3rd. UCLA averages 90.2 PPG and allows 75.2. Kentucky averages 85.3 PPG and allows 71.5. UCLA has been inconsistent at times this year and I think its lack of defensive play comes back to hurt it here finally. The Wildcats are battle tested and play with revenge, play on KENTUCKY.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* NON-CONFERENCE ASSASSIN on the Phoenix Suns.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Phoenix is 17-9 ATS in non-conference games this year, 16-9 ATS after a loss of ten points or more and 12-9 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Brooklyn is just 11-17 ATS in non-conference contests and only 5-12 ATS against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest.

The bottom line: Phoenix was never going to make the playoffs and comes in having lost five straight. The Nets had dropped five of seven before beating Detroit at home on Tuesday. We think the home side has a predictable letdown here after the rare victory. This is a revenge game for the Suns after they lost 122-104 to Brooklyn at home on November 12th. We think the Suns are the “hungrier” of these two bottom feeders tonight and while we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can, play on PHOENIX.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Milwaukee Bucks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games and 2-1 ATS in its last three after allowing 115 points or more, while Portland is just 4-5 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog and only 1-4 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories.

The bottom line: These are two evenly matched teams battling for a playoff spot in their respective conferences, but we think the situation favors the visitors. Milwaukee is coming off a blowout loss in Golden State, but still comes in having won eight of its last ten. This sets up as a classic letdown spot for Portland, which won four of its final five on the road, only to now return home for the first time in two weeks. We’re banking on the just as hungry visitors to at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points, play on MILWAUKEE.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on FSU.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Xavier is just 13-16 ATS this year against teams with winning records, while FSU is 7-5 ATS in non-conference games this year and 5-3 ATS after allowing 80 points or more. 

The bottom line: Xavier advanced by beating Maryland 76-65 in the first round. The Musketeers have won four of their last five. Florida State would get into the second round with an 86-80 win over Florida Gulf Coast. Xavier actually struggled down the stretch of the regular season, going just 4-7 over its final 11 games. Defense was a major issue, but it looked pretty good against the Terps. Before that victory though, the Musketeers had given up an average of 77.4 PPG over their previous nine games. And that doesn’t bode well in facing the Seminoles who average 77.3 PPG and who allow just 70 PPG in all neutral site affairs this season. FLORIDA STATE has failed to cover in three straight, but that ends tonight, lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* NON-CONFERENCE ASSASSIN on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that the Wolves are already 12-8 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and 12-5 ATS after allowign 115 points or more, while Miami is interestingly just 3-4 ATS against the Northwest division this year.

The bottom line: Minnesota comes in hungry after a 117-104 setback at Boston on Wednesday. The Heat continued their hot run with a 120-112 home win over the Pelicans on Wednesday. The Wolves average 104.9 PPG and allow 104.9. The Heat average 102.6 PPG and allow 101.8. The Wolves aren’t going to be rolling over today, this one means just as much to them as it does to the Heat. The revenge factor is working in our favor, we’re expecting a back and forth battle which is decided in the closing momemts. Grab the points, play on MINNESOTA.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Texas Southern.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Texas Southern is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 non-conference games and 2-0 ATS in its last two as a neutral court dog of 24 points or more, while UNC is just 3-4 ATS in neutral court games this season and already 0-1 ATS as a neutral court fav or 12.5 points or more. 

The bottom line: Are we suggesting for you to “sprinkle a little on the moneyline” tonight? Of course not. We simply feel that UNC is going to get caught flat-footed and come into the opening round a bit complacent against its lowly opponent. Texas Southern won the SWAC and it clearly has its hands full trying to contend with the No. 1 seed. Note that the Tigers are in fact 0-6 all time in the Tournament. Texas Southern averages 74.4 PPG and allows 71.8. UNC averages 84.9 PPG and allows 70.6. We think there is plenty of “wiggle” room for a comfortable back door cover for the underdog tonight. Play on TEXAS SOUTHERN.

AAA Sports

My 10* ASSASSIN on SMU.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that USC is just 2-3 ATS in all tournament games this year and only 1-4 ATS against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less, while SMU is 16-3 ATS this year after a conference game, 3-2 ATS in neutral court affairs and 17-2 ATS against teams with winning records.

The bottom line: We had a play on USC in the FIRST FOUR and it would need an epic come from behind victory to beat Providence. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting a predictable letdown here. We also had SMU in the AAC Tournament title game and suffice it to say once again, we believe the team builds off its impressive tournament victory. The Mustangs finished with a 17-1 conference record and are battle tested. USC averages 78.6 PPG and allows 73.1. But as mentioned off the top, we think the Trojans come in “gassed” here. SMU averages 74.5 PPG and allows just 59.8, ranked third in the country. For all the reasons listed above, we’re riding SMU and its suffocating defense on Friday afternoon.

AAA Sports

My 10 SUPER BLOWOUT is on Michigan.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Oklahoma State is just 4-5 ATS this year off a loss against a conference rival and 0-3 ATS in its last three when playing with seven or more days rest, while Michigan is 9-4 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival and 6-0 in all tournament games this season.

The bottom line: We had Michigan in the Big Ten Conference Tournament title game and we’re expecting the Wolverines to carry that momentum over here. OKS comes in on the other end of the spectrum, having lost three straight. League play began with six straight losses for the Pokes, but they’d then rebound to win ten of their next 11, before then dropping their final three, including a 92-83 setback to eventual Champion Iowa State in the first round of the Big 12 event. Michigan has played in 27 NCAA Tournaments, including in six of the last seven years. We think that experience pays off here. Lay the points, play on the WOLVERINES.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Nevada.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Nevada is 4-2 in all tournament games already this year and a near-perfect 3-1 ATS against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest, while Iowa State is just 4-5 ATS in non-conference contests this season and only 4-5 ATS in its last nine against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest.

The bottom line: Nevada comes in with nothing to lose. In fact, the Wolfpack haven’t lost in nine straight games, taking down the MWC tournament last week. Nevada has four players that average between 14 and 20 PPG. Marcus Marshall averages 19.8 PPG on 42.5 percent shooting. Iowa State is one of the top three-ball shooting teams in the nation, hitting 40.2 percent, ranked 14th overall, but we think this is a matchup that favors the underdog today. Nevada has an offense that’s capable of holding its own and while we’re not going to call for the outright victory, all signs point to this one coming down to the wire. Grab the points, play on NEVADA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Wisconsin.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

The bottom line: VT won six of its last nine, losing 74-68 to FSU in the ACC quarterfinals last Thursday. The Badgers had a three-game win streak broken in their 71-56 loss to the Wolverines in the Big Ten Tournament final on Sunday. The Hokies average 79.3 PPG and allow 74.4. Zach LeDay leads the team with 16.3 poitns and 7.4 boards per game. The Badgers average 72.4 PPG and allows just 61.1. Bronson Koenig leads the way with 14.1 PPG, while Ethan Happ contributes 13.9. Buzz Williams did a great job in leading the Hokies back to the NCAA tournament, but we think the the Badgers’ elite defensive play proves to be just too much for VT to handle. Lay the points, play on WISCONSIN.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NON-CONF SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Utah is just 12-17 ATS this year against teams with winning records and only 11-15 ATS against good offensive teams which average 106 PPG, while Cleveland is 12-8 ATS this year after a win by ten points or more and 15-12 ATS this season against teams with winning records.

The bottom line: No need to overthink this one, not only do the CAVALIERS play with revenge, but Utah comes in having played in Detroit just last night. We’re expecting a rout from start to finish, lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Maryland.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Xavier is just 2-7 ATS this year off a loss against a conference rival and only 1-3 ATS in its last four non-conference games, while Maryland is 3-1 ATS in its last four non-conference contests and 2-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival.

The bottom line: Xavier struggled down the stretch, winning just three of its last ten games. Maryland can empathize, it’s lost six of its last ten. The Musketeers average 73.7 PPG and allowed 69 PPG in neutral court affairs this season. Overall though Xavier allowed 77.1 over its last eight games and averaged just 68.4 in the same span. The Terrapins have averaged 77.2 PPG and allowed 73.5 on neutral court contests this year. Overall Maryland averages 74.2 PPG and allows just 67.8. Xavier has struggled after some late injuries and while Maryland has been far from perfect, we think the TERRAPINS’ superior defensive play will turn out to be the difference in the end. 

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on USC.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that USC is 3-1 ATS in its last four after giving up 76 points or more, while Providence is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after scoring 60 points or less.

The bottom line: Both teams went 10-8 in league play. USC went toe to toe with No. 3 UCLA in the Pac-12 Quarterfinals and fell 76-74. The Trojans defense looked awesome, holding the top scoring team in the country to just 41 pecent shooting. We’re expecting USC to carry over that defensive intensity into this one. Note that the Trojans average 78.7 PPG and allow 73.2. Providence averages just 70.2 PPG, but makes up for it by allowing only 66.6. They say “defense wins championships,” but we’ve always thought that that addage pertains more to the gridiron than the hardwood. We’re going to take the superior offense in this one and as we pointed out, the Trojans also looked spectacular on the defensive side of the ball in the conference tournament. Play on USC.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Golden State Warriors.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

The bottom line: The Warriors enter this one having lost three straight. Philadelphia enters off a hugely satisfying 118-116 road win over LA in its latest action. We’re expecting the struggling Warriors to put on a clinic today as they look to get off the schneid with a resounding victory. At the same time, this does definitely also set up as a classic letdown spot for Philadelphia, which has little to play for other than pride at this point. This has also been an arena in which the 76ers have struggled in for a while now, going just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 at Golden State. Conversely, this is a spot in which the Warriors have excelled in for bettors, going 4-1-1 ATS in their last six against a team with a losing road record. Over their last ten game the 76ers have allowed an average of a whopping 116 points. We’re laying the points with confidence, play on GOLDEN STATE.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Wake Forest. 

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Kansas State is just 4-6 ATS off a loss against a conference rival and only 1-2 ATS after scoring 60 points or less, while Wake Forest is 6-1 ATS in its last seven when playing with five or six days rest and already 3-2 ATS in all tournament games this year.

The bottom line: Wake Forest enters off a 99-90 loss to Virginia Tech, while K-State fell 51-50 to West Virginia in its conference tournament. On neutral courts this year the Demon Deacons have averaged a whopping 88.0 PPG on 52.3 percent shooting, while allowing 83 PPG. K-State is averaging just 69.8 PPG and allowing 60.7 in tournament contests. They say “defense” wins championships, but we’ve always thought that that addage pertains more to the gridiron than the hardwood. We’ll take the stronger offense and better coached team and expect a rout. Play on WAKE FOREST.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Memphis Grizzlies.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Milwaukee is just 8-9 ATS in its last 17 after playing three consecutive home games and only 6-14 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories (also just 11-18 ATS on the road), while Memphis is 18-12 ATS this seaosn in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent.

The bottom line: Milwaukee averages 105.1 PPG and allows 104.3. Memphis averages 101.2 points and allows just 100.8. This is the start of a tough Western road swing for the Bucks, with games against the Clippers and Warriors next week. It’s obviously not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead to this rough part of their schedule and they could also be caught flat-footed with complacency off six-straight victories. The Grizzlies on the other hand have lost five straight and will be risking life and limb today in trying to get off the scheid. Lay the points, play on MEMPHIS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Washington is just 7-9 ATS so far in the second half of the season and only 1-2 ATS in its last three on the road, while Minnesota is 4-1 ATS this month overall and 17-9 ATS this season against good offensive teams which score 106 points per game. 

The bottom line: Not only do we think this one sets up great for the Wolves from a trend based stand point, but we also think the situation favors them as well. Washington has won five straight, including four straight on the road and two straight in overtime. This is the final game of the trip and all signs point to a classic letdown here. Minnesota is playing its best ball of the year, having won six of its last ten, but it comes in off a tough 102-95 loss in Milwaukee. All signs point to a comfortable cover for MINNESOTA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on SMU.

These two teams will both be playing in the NCAA tournament whether they win or lose today. Of course, both want to win though. SMU was 17-1 in the AAC, while Cincinnati finished 16-2. SMU’s only loss this season was to these very Bearcats, one which they’d revenge at home a bit later in the season. Note though that Cincinnati is just 1-5 ATS in its last six against teams with a winning SU record, while SMU is 20-6 ATS in its last 26 in the same position. SMU is one of the hottest teams in the nation right now and we expect it to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Play on SMU.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Michigan.

Michigan is steam-rolling its way through the tournament and we’re expecting another thrilling, nail-biting victory in the championship game as well. The Wolverines come in off an 84-77 win over Minnesota yesterday, while Wisconsin comes in off a 28 point win over Northwestern. These teams split a pair of games this year, with each winning on its home floor. Michigan averages 74.9 PPG and allows 65.8. Wisconsin is centered around its defense, which allows just 61.1 PPG. It’s interesting to note though that the Badgers allow 37.5 percent from behind the arc, which we think is going to spell disaster today in facing this red hot Michigan side. Note that Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last five neutral court games and 2-5 ATS in its last seven following an ATS win. Also note that the dog is 13-6 ATS in the last 19 in this series. Play on MICHIGAN.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Kentucky.

Arkansas comes in off a relatively simple 76-62 win over Vanderbilt, while Kentucky beat Alabama 79-74. Kentucky won the lone meeting 97-71 this year. Arkansas averages 78.7 PPG and allowed 75.1. The Wildcats average 82.5 PPG and allow 71.4. Kentucky is the cream of the crop and will earn a No. 1 seed in the tournament with a win today. Arkansas is making the NCAA tournament whether it wins or loses. Arkansas has played much better of late, but its defense isn’t that great (despite playing well against Vandy) and we’re expecting the Wildcats to once again win big. Lay the points, play on KENTUCKY.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Oregon.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Arizona is just 2-5 ATS this year when playign on one or less days rest and only 3-4 ATS after scoring 80 points or more, while Oregon is 7-3 ATS when playing on one days rest and 11-3 ATS after scoring 80 poinrs or more.

The bottom line: Oregon averages 79.6 PPG and allows just 64.5. Arizona averages 77.7 PPG and allow 67.7. The Ducks are the best team in the league and have a big advantage on the defensive end. They also beat Arizona by 27 points earlier in the year. We’re expecting the DUCKS to do more than enough to secure the victory tonight.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Georgia Southern.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Troy is just 4-6 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival and just 7-16 ATS in its last 23 when playing the role of favorite, wihle Georgia Southern is 4-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival and 9-5 ATS in its last 14 when trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent.

The bottom line: We think this is great from a scheduling stand point for the Eagles as well, as they enjoyed a first round bye in the Sun Belt conference tournament opening round. Troy comes in off an 84-64 win over App State on Wednesday and we think it will have a predictable letdown here. Georgia Southern would split the season series with the Trojans, taking the first meeting at home 86-82 and we think the rested EAGLES can duplicate that perfomance in this one as well. Play on Georgia Southern.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on UT Arlington.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Coastal Carolina is just 8-10 ATS as an underdog this year and only 4-5 ATS against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest, while UT Arlington is a perfect 6-0 ATS in revenging a road loss against an opponent this season and 8-4 ATS after scoring 80 points or more. 

The bottom line: This is indeed a “revenge” game for the No. 1 team in the Sun Belt, somehow managing to lose 72-70 to the 16-16 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers on January 30th. And for us, it’s as simple as that. The Chanticleers advanced off a 80-67 win over South Alabama on Wednesday, but all signs point to a letdown here. Play on UT ARLINGTON.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the LA Lakers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that LA is 3-1 ATS in its last four against good offensive teams which score 106-plus points per contest, while Phoenix is just 7-9 ATS this season after scoring 115 points or more. 

The bottom line: The Suns have covered the spread in four straight, but after a three game win streak, they’d fall short for the straight up victory in their 131-127 setback to Washington last time out. We think this sets up as a natural letdown spot after that near miss. LA is in full rebuilding mode, but has four players which average double figures. The LAKERS won’t be rolling over, grab as many points as you can.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: 

As note that LA is just 16-17 ATS on the road this year and just 1-2 ATS in its last three as an underdog, while Memphis is 17-10 ATS in revenging a loss against an opponent and 3-1 ATS after a loss by ten points or more.

The bottom line: We think the Clippers are poised for a letdown and we’re expecting the Grizzlies to risk life and limb here after a third straight loss, this time at home to the league worst Brooklyn Nets 122-109 on Monday. LA has a game in Minnesota on Wednesday night and we think will have a tough time against this revenge-minded and desperate home side. Play on the GRIZZLIES.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and some great situational factors:

As note that Cleveland is already 8-4 ATS this year when playing with two days rest, while Detroit is just 4-7 ATS against divisional opponents. 

The bottom line: This is a great “situational” play in our opinion. The defending champs have lost four of their last six, including two straight. They also play with revenge here after falling to Detroit 106-90 on Boxing Day. Detroit plays in Indiana on Wednesday and clearly the second game of the back-to-back is going to be tough at this time of year, despite it taking place on its own floor. The trends and the situation favor the visitors, play on CLEVELAND.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on California.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Oregon State is 0-4 ATS in its last four in trying to revenge a blowout loss of 20 points or more against an opponent and just 3-5 ATS after allowing 80 points or more, while California is 3-1 ATS in its last four after back-to-back SU/ATS losses.

The bottom line: The Beavers are horrible, just 1-17 in conference play. The Golden Bears weren’t perfect, as they’d finish 10-8 in league action. But Cal is certainly a whole lot better that OSU and we’re expecting it to notch a third straight victory over the Beavers this season. OSU averages 60.1 PPG and allows 76.6 in conference play. Cal averages 66.2 PPG and allows 64.2. We have a hard time seeing Oregon State mustering any sort of offensive attack against what should be a very hungry CAL team looking to make some noise in the Pac 12 tournament.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Stanford.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that that the Cardinal are already a perfect 3-0 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses and 5-3 ATS in their last eight against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest, while ASU is already 0-5 ATS in all tournament games this year.

The bottom line: Stanford plays with double revenge after ASU took both regular season meetings. Both teams are bad, but we think this one favors the revenge minded Cardinal. Stanford averages 69.6 PPG and allows 73.7 in conference action. ASU average 75.9 PPG and allow 81.4 in league play. STANFORD is already 3-1 in neutral site games this year. It’s hard for even great teams to beat another team three times in one year. Arizona State is not a good team at all. In fact it’s terrible. Play on the CARDINAL.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SIDE DESTRUCTION on Miami Florida.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss, while Syracuse is 0-5 ATS in its last five following a win by 20 points or more.

The bottom line: This is a revenge game for the Hurricanes after they fell 70-55 in Syracuse in the lone meeting in early January. The Canes average 72 PPG and allow just 63.4. The Orange average 76.4 PPG and allow 70.7. But Miami’s defense is the difference maker in the end for us, as it’s given up an average of just 59 points over their last six games. In comparison, Syracuse has allowed an average of 76 points over its last ten games. Play on the HURRICANES.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Charlotte Hornets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and scheduling factors:

As note that Charlotte is already 5-2 ATS this year against the Northwest division and 2-1 ATS after allowing 115 points or more, while Denver is just 4-5 ATS this year when playing with two days rest and only 3-7 ATS off an upset win as an underdog.

The bottom line: We think this one also sets up great from a “situational” stand point. This is the finale of a tough seven-game road trip for the Hornets, one which has seen them go just 2-4. Clearly they’d love nothing more than to get off the schneid and finish strong. Denver on the other hand looks poised for a letdown, it’s a classic spot bet as the team returns to the comforts of home after two big road victories over Chicago and Milwaukee. All signs point to a letdown here for the home side, play on CHARLOTTE.

AAA Sports

My 10* ASSASSIN is on West Virginia.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Iowa State is just 3-4 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more and only 2-4 ATS in its last six against good offensive teams which allow 77-plus points per contest, while WVU is 7-4 ATS this year against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest and 2-1 ATS in its last three against schools with a winning record.

The bottom line: WVU beat Iowa State earlier in the year, but the Mountaineers come into their final home game (senior night) having lost three straight ATS and also losing outright 71-62 to Baylor in their last outing. Iowa State looks poised for a letdown here after six straight wins. The home side will be much more “hungry” in this one, play on WEST VIRGINIA.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Portland Trailblazers.

We think the Thunder are poised for a letdown here after winning four straight, most recently a 109-106 win over Utah on Tuesday. Russell Westbrook finished with his 30th triple-double of the season with 43 points, 11 boards and ten assists. Note that it was the third straight game that the Thunder would play without guard Victor Oladipo, who is dealing with a back injury. Portland will be especially motivated after a 1-3 road trip. The Blazers though are still just 2.5 games out of the final playoff sot. Keep your eyes on Damian Lillard, he’s tied for 13th in the NBA with 41 games of 20-plus points this season. Note though that from an ATS trend stand point, they don’t get much stronger than this as the Thunder are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record, while the Blazers are 4-1 ATS in thier last five home games following a road trip of seven or more days. PORTLAND has won five straight at home over OKC and we expect that strong trend to continue here.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Washington Wizards.

REASONING: The Warriors beat the 76ers in Philadelphia just last night, unable to secure the ATS victory for bettors. We think the team will also struggle to cover this evening and do in fact feel that the home side has a legitimate shot at taking this one outright. Clearly the Warriors are the better overall team. But by 6.5 to 7 points on the road in the second game of a back to back better? We don’t think so. Golden State is the league’s No. 1 offense with an average of 118.2 PPG. It ranks 13th in scoring defense at 105.4 PPG. Washington averages 107.9 PPG and allows 105.5. Note though that Golden State is just 4-7 ATS this year when playing the second game of the back to back, while Washington is 6-4 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more. Grab the points, play on the WIZARDS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ART OF THE GAME on Georgetown.

REASONING: Both teams are still trying to improve their position in the conference standings. The Hoyas are going to be desperate to break a three-game slide after falling 86-80 on the road to St. John’s on Saturday. Conversely, the Pirates could be caught a little complacent after beating DePaul 82-79 on Saturday. Note that this also sets up as a revenge game for the visitors, as Seton Hall has won three straight and six of the last ten in the series, including a 68-66 OT road victory in the first matchup between the teams back on February 4th. The Hoyas average 75.2 PPG and allow 72.1. The Pirates average 74.8 PPG and allow 71.1. Note though that Georgetown is 5-2 ATS in its last seven after three or more consecutive SU losses, while Seton Hall is just 3-7 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more and 2-5 ATS off a win against a conference rival. We’re expecting the HOYAS to come in desperate and while we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Baylor.

REASONING: We think that WVU has a letdown here after winning its fourth in a row, most recently over TCU. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for the Bears as they’ve dropped three of their last four, most recently at Iowa State on Saturday. Also note that the Mountaineers have injury concerns right now, as forward Esa Ahmad isn’t in the lineup today with back spasms, he’s the team’s second leading scorer. It’s also not too hard to imagine WVU getting caught looking ahead to its game on Friday against the Cyclones. Baylor needs to sweep its remaining two games to avoid potentially slipping all the way back to fifth seed in next week’s conference tournament. But not only that, this also does indeed set up as a revenge game for Baylor after it was smashed 89-68 at WVU on January 10th. Note that the Mountaineers are just 1-2 ATS in their last three against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest, while Baylor is already 3-1 ATS this year in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. Play on the BEARS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SUPER SHOCKER on the LA Lakers.

The Spurs came out of the All Star Break and held on for a 105-97 win over the Clippers on Friday. LA though will be eager to get off the schneid today and break a three-game losing slide. We think that this sets up as a “trap” for the Spurs, who are wrapping up an exhausting eight-game road trip with the annual rodeo having taken over San Antonio’s AT&T Center this month. The Lakers will be especially motivated though as they’ve lost by a combined 53 points over their last two games. Clearly the Spurs are a great team, while the Lakers are one of the worst in the league. We’re not here to try and convince you otherwise, we simply feel that the overall “situation” favors the home side. And note that San Antonio is in fact just 4-5 ATS this year after playing three or more consecutive road games, while LA is 23-19 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. Grab as many points as you can, play on the LAKERS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Charlotte Hornets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a couple of different factors, “revenge” being the most important:

These teams played on January 28th and the Kings somehow managed a 109-106 road victory. So the “revenge” factor definitely comes into play here.

Charlotte is also going to be desperate tonight as it looks to break a string of five straight losses, most recently a 114-108 OT heartbreaker in Detroit in its first game back from the break, a game which it led for almost the entire way in regulation.

The Hornets are simply the “better” team anyways, averaging 104.5 PPG and allowing 104.4. Compare that to the Kings who average 103.2 PPG and allow 105.6.

Also note that Charlotte is 6-3 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Sacramento is already just 1-5 ATS after a win by ten points or more this year and only 2-7 ATS after scoring 115 points or more.

The Kings played great without DeMarcus Cousins in their first game without the big man in the line-up, but all signs point to immediate regression in the second game. Play on the HORNETS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT on USC.

REASONING: We think USC comes in focused after dropping two straight, most recenlty a humbling 102-70 setback to UCLA on Saturday. Arizona comes in complacent, it’s won four straight, most recently a 76-68 road win over Washington on Saturday. And to say this is a revenge game would be a big understatement, as the Wildcats have won eight of the last ten in the series, including a 73-66 road victory in the first matchup on January 19th. USC averages 78.7 PPG and allows 73 per night. Arizona averages just 74.9 PPG and allow 63.5 per night. With a game against UCLA over the weekend, we think that home side gets caught looking ahead to that huge matchup. While we’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, in our professional opinion, all signs point to this one coming down to the wire. Grab the points, play on USC.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Saint Louis.

REASONING: Are we going to suggest to you to “sprinkle a little on the money line” tonight? Of course not. Clearly VCU is the better team, we simply feel this sets up as a letdown spot for the home side and we look for the hungry Billikens to keep this one competitive enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Saint Louis has lost three of four, most recently a 54-40 setback to Fordham on Saturday. VCU has won eight in a row, most recenlty an 84-73 victory over Richmond on Friday. Saint Louis averages only 61.7 PPG, one of the worst in the nation. The Billikens aren’t too shabby defensively though, allowing 70.9 PPG. The Rams average an average 76 PPG, while allowing 66.4. As we stated off the top, clearly VCU is the better overall team, but if ever it was to have a letdown, we think it’s tonight as the Rams are unable to help themselves getting caught “looking ahead” to their game at Rhode Island on Friday, the team currently sitting right behind them in the standings. Also note that Saint Louis is 4-2 ATS as a road dog of 12.5 points or more this year and 7-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival, while VCU is already 0-3 ATS this year as a home fav of 12.5 points or more and 0-3 ATS against teams with losing records. Grab as many points as you can, play on SAINT LOUIS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on TCU.

REASONING: Are we going to suggest to you to “sprinkle a little on the money line” tonight? Of course not. We simply feel this is a bad spot for Kansas and we are expecting the hungry visitors to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. The Horned Frogs enter off an 84-71 loss to Iowa State last weekend, while the Jayhawks come in off a big 65-63 road win over Baylor. We think this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the home side. Also note that this is a revenge game for TCU, which fell 86-80 at home earlier in the season. In that game Kansas was led by 22 points from Frank Mason, while Valadimir Brodziansky had 32 for TCU. Note that the Horned Frogs average 74.5 PPG and allow 69.1, while Kansas averages 82.9 PPG and allows 72.1. The differentials are not that drastic. Also note that TCU is 4-2 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more, while Kansas is just 1-6 ATS this season as a home fav of 12.5 points or more. We think the stage is set for a highly competitive affair, play on TCU.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Kent State.

REASONING: These teams are similar in many ways. They both own identical 15-12 records. Buffalo though is 9-5 in MAC play, while Kent State has some work to do sitting at 7-7. The Golden Flashes come in with a ton of momentum, coming off their second straight victory, this time taking out Arkon 70-67 on the road. The victory snapped the Zips 30-game home win streak. Keep your eyes on Deon Edwin, who led all scorers in that one with 21 points. Kent State would go on to shoot 43 percent from the floor and 37 percent from range. Buffalo has won six straight, most recently a 78-60 victory over Miami Ohio. Blake Hamilton led the way with 23 points. Note that Buffalo has struggled from range this year though, making only 32.8 percent from behind the arc. Also note that Kent State is 5-3 ATS as an underdog this year, 7-5 ATS against teams with winning records and 2-1 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Buffalo is just 1-4 ATS after allowing 60 points or less. This is a big time revenge game for the visitors, who have dropped seven straight in the series. While we’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, we’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for this one to come down to the wire. Play on KENT STATE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Eastern Michigan.

REASONING: EMU will be eager to bounce back here after falling 88-80 at Western Michigan last time out, while Ball State looks primed for a letdown after its 109-100 OT win over Central Michigan. In fact, will go so far to say that EMU will be desperate today after losing six straight. Note that the Eagles average 78.2 PPG and allow 73.1. Ray Lee led the way in the last game with 24 points for EMU. The Cardinals average 79.9 PPG and allow 75.3. Tayler Persons had 32 points in the big win over CMU last time out. We think these teams are evenly matched and clearly the oddsmakers agree with us. Note though that Eastern Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last six in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Ball State is just 2-5 ATS after allowing 80 points or more and only 3-8 ATS in front of the home town crowd. Grab as many points as you can, play on EASTERN MICHIGAN.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Texas Tech.

REASONING: Iowa State has won three straight, most recently an 84-71 home victory over TCU on Saturday. The Red Raiders enter on the other end of the spectrum, losers of three of their last four, most recently falling 83-74 in double OT to WVU on Saturday. We believe the the Cyclones come in a tiny bit complacent and expect the much hungrier home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Also note that this is a revenge game for Texas Tech after it fell 63-56 in the first matchup of the year in Iowa State on December 30th. Note that Iowa State averages 80.7 PPG and allows 70.7. Texas Tech averages 75.4 PPG and allows just 66.9. Also note that Iowa State is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after scoring 80 points or more, while Texas Tech is 6-2 ATS this year off a loss against a conference rival, 3-0 ATS when playing with one or less days rest and 4-2 ATS in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. Play on the RED RAIDERS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Creighton.

REASONING: The Blue Jays are 21-5 on the season and are 8-5 in conference play. The Hoyas are just 14-12 on the year and only 5-8 in Big East action. We think the Hoyas are primed for a letdown here though after upsetting Marquette 80-62 on the road last Saturday. Creighton is the hungrier team tonight as it comes in off an 87-81 loss to Seton Hall. The Blue Jays have gone just 3-4 in their last seven and play with revenge after falling to Georgetown in the first meeting this year, but note that Creighton has responded well in this spot for bettors going 4-2 ATS when trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent and 4-2 ATS after allowing 80 points or more, while the Hoyas have struggled in this position, going just 1-4 ATS after scoring 80 points or more and only 5-7 ATS as an underdog overall. The numbers and the situation do indeed point to CREIGHTON as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Wisconsin. 

REASONING: Three teams sit tied atop the Big Ten at 10-3, including these two. Maryland enters off a 74-64 road win over Northwestern and has won two straight. Wisconsin though comes in off two straight losses, most recently falling 64-58 at Michigan. These teams are evenly matched as far as their offensive and defensive numbers are concerned (Maryland averages 75.5 PPG and allows 66.8, while Wisconsin averages 73.2 PPG and allows 60.5.) and each is dealing with injury issues. The Badgers more so with senior guard Bronson Koenig still listed as questionable for this one. But whether Koenig plays or not, we think this one still favors much hungrier home side. Note that Maryland has struggled against really good defensive teams in the past and is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 against opponents who allow 64 points or less per contest. Wisconsin is 7-4 ATS at home overall this year and 3-1 ATS in its last four as the favorite. Desperation breeds motivation, play on the BADGERS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on San Diego.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: 

As note that San Diego is 3-1 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, 11-1 ATS on the road, 13-6 ATS as an underdog and a perfect 3-0 ATS after allowing 80 points or more, while Santa Clara is just 3-7 ATS when playing on one days rest and only 6-7 ATS in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: We look for these strong trends to continue, play on SAN DIEGO.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on BYU.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Saint Mary’s is just 5-7 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival and only 4-8 ATS after allowing 60 points or less, while BYU is 6-4 ATS in its last ten against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest.

The bottom line: The Cougars have a big opportunity to avenge an earlier road loss to Saint Mary’s and while we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset obviously, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on BYU.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on UCLA.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that USC is just 3-6 ATS against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest this season and only 3-4 ATS when playing the role of underdog, while UCLA is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 after allowing 60 points or less and 2-1 ATS in its last thre against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest.

The bottom line: The Bruins have a big opportunity to avenge an earlier road loss here and we’re expecting a blowout. Lay the points, play on UCLA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Washington.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Arizona is just 2-3 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest and only 1-2 ATS against poor defensive teams which allow 77-plus points per contest, while Washington is 2-1 ATS this season against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per game.

The bottom line: With a home game against USC early next week, all signs point to the No. 5 Wildcats coming in a bit complacent today. Grab the points, play on WASHINGTON.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Oklahoma. 

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Oklahoma is already a perfect 2-0 ATS this year as a road dog of 9.5 to 12 points and 4-2 ATS in its last six in revenging a home loss against an opponent, while Oklahoma State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a favorite.

The bottom line: We think the Cowboys come in a bit complacent and take the foot off the gas and the revenge-minded Sooners keep this one a lot more competitive than what the bookmakers are leading us to believe. Grab the points, play on OKLAHOMA.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* PAC-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Stanford.

REASONING: Momentum is difficult to attain and once lost, it can be even harder to get it back. Cal had its five-game win streak snapped in a 57-52 setback to No. 9 Arizona last Saturday and we think the team has another letdown here. The Golden Bears now sit 3.5 games behind the Wildcats in the Pac-12 conference. Stanford will look to take advantage of a Cal team which is going to still be thinking about “what could have been,” while also trying to avenge a 66-55 setback to the Bears just a couple of weeks ago. It’s a good situational foundation to base a pick on. Cal’s big win streak is over, losing to the No. 1 team in the conference. Stanford may not even play in a postseason tournament, but clearly it won’t just be rolling over tonight. And with a game at home against Oregon early next week, the No. 2 team in the conference, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors also getting caught “looking ahead” to that much more “important” contest. And note that Cal is just 7-12 ATS as a favorite this year and just 1-2 ATS after scoring 60 points or less, while Stanford is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog of 3.5 points or less or pick. Cal is the better team, but all of the external situational factors working in favor of the home side tonight supercedes that factor. Grab the points, play on STANFORD.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Fordham.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong ATS statistics:

As note that Fordham is alrady 4-2 ATS this year off a loss against a conference rival and 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 12.5 to 15 points range, while Rhode Island is just 1-2 ATS this seaosn off a loss against a conference rival and only 1-2 ATS in its last three at home.

The bottom line: While we’re not going to be so bold as to predict an outright upset, we do think that the visitors can keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points, play on FORDHAM.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Rutgers.

REASONING: While we won’t be predicting an epic outright upset, we do definitely feel this one sets up nicely for the visitors to keep this one a lot closer than what Vegas is leading us to believe. Purdue does look poised for a bit of a natural letdown here after four straight wins. The Scarlet Knights on the other hand will be desperate here after two straight setbacks, most recently to Minnesota. Rutgers’ head coach Steve Pikiell is determined to finish the season strong despite sitting in last place in the 14-team Big Ten: “It doesn’t get any easier; we’re off to Purdue next,” Pikiell assessed. “Everyone knows how good Purdue is. We’re going to go out there and fight too. I’m proud of the team’s development in that way. We have gotten better. I know what our record is, but we’re playing much better teams obviously and we’re getting better.” Note that seven of Rutgers last ten outings have been decided by single-digits. And that’s significant for the Scarlet Knights (and us!), because 15 of last season’s 17 conference defeats came by double-figures. And note that Purdue has in fact struggled in this spot for bettors going just 1-2 ATS in its last three off a win against a conference rival. With a game at home against Michigan State next weekend, we think the home side gets caught looking ahead and leaves the back door open just enough for the hungry SCARLET KNIGHTS to sneak in through. Play on RUTGERS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Kansas.

REASONING: We think WVU has a letdown here after winning five of its last six, most recently beating K-State 85-66. Kansas also comes in with momentum, winning four of its last five, most recently downing Texas Tech. For us though, this one comes down to the “revenge” factor. The Mountaineers spanked the Jayhawks 85-69 on January 24th and we’re expecting the home side to respond in a big way tonight. Note that WVU is just 2-5 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival, while Kansas is already 3-1 ATS this year when playing on one days rest. Lay the points with confidence, play on KANSAS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Charlotte Hornets (7:05 EST).

REASONING: We think Philly is poised for a letdown here after winning its second straight, most recently a 117-109 victory at home over the Heat on Saturday. The Hornets on the other hand come in desperate, they lost for a ninth time in ten games with a 107-102 home loss to the Clippers on Saturday. They’ve split a pair of games this year, but Charlotte does play with revenge after dropping the most recent 102-93 in Philadelphia back on January 13th. Note that despite the recent uptick in play, the 76ers still rank just 26th overall on the offensive end in averaging 101 PPG. Philadelphia is also terrible on the defensive end, allowing 106.8 PPG. The Hornets average 104.9 PPG and allow 104.5. Note though that Philadelphia is just 8-11 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while Charlotte is 2-1 ATS in its last three at home. Desperation breeds motivation. All signs point to the vistors coming into this one complacent and the hungry home side taking advantage. Lay the points, play on the HORNETS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on Virginia Tech.

REASONING: “Revenge” is a powerful motivating factor and it’s one that we find that the books often have a hard time properly quantifying into a line. And that’s the case here, as we expect the hungry Hokies to at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. VT lost 74-68 to Miami in its latest action, while Virginia thumped Louisville in a satisfying 71-55 win. Note that these teams played on February 1st and Virginia embarrassed Virginia Tech 71-48. The Cavaliers average 69 PPG and allow just 54. The Hokies average 79.2 PPG and allow 73.3. Note though that Virginia is just 2-4 ATS in its last six as a road fav of 6.5 to nine points, while Virginia Tech is already 3-2 ATS this year in revenging a road loss against an opponent and 1-0 ATS in revenging a blowout loss of 20 points or more. With a game at home against Duke next week, we think the Cavs come out a tiny bit complacent here and get caught looking ahead to that much more important matchup. Grab the points, play on the HOKIES.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the New York Knicks.

REASONING: The Spurs are great and the Knicks are terrible. This is a great situational play though as New York has several factors working in its favor and while we won’t be so bold as to predict an outright upset, we do think that the hungry home side can at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. San Antonio won its second straight on the road in Friday’s 103-92 victory in Detroit, while New York lost its fourth straight and sixth in its last seven with a 131-123 setback at home to the Nuggets on Friday. Not surprisingly, this one sets up as a revenge game for the Knicks, who lost the only matchup last year, 100-99. With a game tomorrow night in Indiana though, the stage is now finally set for the Spurs to have a small mental lapse as they get caught “looking ahead” to that one. Note that San Antonio is just 2-3 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games, while New York is 20-13 ATS after allowing 105 points or more, 5-2 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite and 16-11 ATS against teams with winning records. Grab the points, play on the KNICKS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ATS *BLOOD-BATH* on Gonzaga.

REASONING: The Gonzaga Bulldogs are the No. 1 team in the nation. They’re 25-0. Saint Mary’s is No. 2 in the coference and sits at 22-2. One of the Gales two losses came against the Bulldogs, a 79-56 setback at Spokane. The Bulldogs are a perfect 13-0 in conference play and have yet to be tested. The Gaels took both regular season contests against the Bulldogs last year, but fell in the WCC Championship game. This year though the Bulldogs seem unstoppable, not one team in the conference has come within single digits thus far. Gonzaga is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 against St. Mary’s and 5-0 ATS in its last five on its home floor. All signs point to these strong trends continuing tonight. Lay the points, play on GONZAGA.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* HIGH-NON TOP TOTAL on the UNDER between NC State and Wake Forest.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that NC State has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of three this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and in its last two as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Wake Forest has seen the total go UNDER the number in two of its last three as a home fav of 6.5 to nine points.

The bottom line: Both teams have been playing to some higer-scoring affairs of late, but all of the numbers now point to the value going the other way finally. We look for this early afternoon contest to fall UNDER this sky-high number once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Brooklyn Nets.

REASONING: Miami continues to roll along, having won 12 in a row. The Heat have gone 11-0-1 ATS in that span. But with a game tomorrow night in Philadelphia, followed by another “cream puff” at home against Orlando, we think the Heat finally come in a bit complacent. Clearly the Nets are a horrible team, they’re just 9-44. Brooklyn is the worst defensive club in the league in allowing 114 PPG. The Nets are decent offensively though, averaging right around 105 PPG. And note, despite the recent surge, the Heat are still ranked just 25th in the league in scoring at 100.8 PPG. Granted, Miami’s defense is pretty good (ranked 6th overall in allowing 101.9 per game), but as mentioned off the top, we feel this sets up as a letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors. And note, the Heat are interestingly just 4-5 ATS against the Atlantic division this year, while the Nets are 3-1 ATS in their last four against the Southeast. Miami may manage a victory here, but we think the hungry home side takes it down to the wire. Grab the points, play on the NETS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Oakland.

REASONING: Oakland comes in with a ton of momentum and we think the Grizzlies keep the foot on the gas against the lowly Titans tonight. The Golden Grizzlies have won three straight, most recently a 53-51 win over Cleveland State. 6-18 Detroit comes in off a rare win, besting Youngstown State 90-80 in its latest action and there’s no doubt in our minds that the Titans are primed to for an immediate return to mediocrity. Also note that Oakland is out to atone for a shocking 93-88 home loss to Detroit just last month. Oakland sits just 1.5 games behind Valparaiso for the No. 1 spot in the league. The Grizzlies average 77.3 PPG and allow just 69.5. 

Detroit averages 77.6 PPG, but is one of the worst in the entire country on the defensive end in allowing a deplorable 85.5 PPG. Note that Oakland is 18-7-1 ATS in its last 26 on the road, while Detroit is just 5-11 ATS in its last 16 against the conference. The Titans have in fact conceded an average of 90 points over their last six games. Clearly that doesn’t bode well against the high-flying and revenge-minded GOLDEN GRIZZLIES. Lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Northeastern.

REASONING: The Huskies are going to be desperate here, they’ve lost six of their last seven. However, all signs point to the Cougars having a letdown after winning three in a row. Northeastern enters off a tough 73-69 road loss to JMU. Bolden Brace had 20 points in the setback. Northeastern looked shaky defensively, but its offense was firing on all cylinders, going 50.9 percent from the floor, including 40.7 percent from range. Note that Northeastern has averaged 71.9 PPG and allowed 68.2 in conference action. Charleston is 19-6 overall and 10-2 in the CAA, tied for first place with NC Wilmington. Most recently the Cougars beat Elon 71-58 at home. Note though that they didn’t shoot very well in that one, going only 41.8 percent from the floor, including just 33.3 percent from range. The Cougars were led by Joey Chealey, who had 20 points. So far Charleston averages 69.8 PPG and concedes 63.7 in conference action this season. Note though that Northeastern is 5-3 ATS against teams with winning records this year, while Charleston is just 4-5 ATS this season after allowing 60 points or less. We think the Huskies can keep up with the Cougars today and while we’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, all signs do indeed point to NORTHEASTERN as the correct call in this one.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Delaware.

REASONING: Momentum can be a very real, tangible factor at times. It’s difficult to build momentum and once lost, it can be even harder to get back. Elon had won five games in a row before falling at College of Charleston this past Saturday. Delaware nas nothing to lose here, other than another game. The Fightin’ Blue Hens have dropped four of their last five games and come in off a setback against UNC-Wilmington last time out. The Phoenix have beaten Delaware in all five previous meetings. Last February Elon won 77-59 in Delaware. We think that it’s finally payback time though tonight. Elon has gone 2-0, most recently handing Northeastern its first home loss of the year in a 51-49 victory, before then defeating Hostra 84-70 this past Saturday. The Blue Hens will be especially motivated here after falling 108-80 at UNC-Wilmington last weekend. Eric Carger was a bright spot for Delaware in the setback, scoring 20 points on 9-of-10 shooting. I’ll point out though that Elon is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after scoring 82 points or more, while Delaware is already 4-2 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more and 5-2 ATS in front of the home town crowd overall. Grab the points, play on DELAWARE.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Florida International.

REASONING: We simply feel that this is a bad spot for Rice as we think the 15-8 Owls will get caught “looking past” their lowly competition today. FIU enters with an 8-13 overall record, which includes going just 1-9 in C-USA action. Rice is 15-8 overall, but note that it’s batting just .500 with a 5-5 record in league play. The Owls most recently beat North Texas 95-80. Note though that the Owls had two more turnovers than assists in that one. In fact, they’re averaging 15.7 turnovers a game, which is the most in the conference. The Golden Panthers come in off a 95-80 loss to Charlotte. Donte McGill had 27 points on 67 percent shooting. Note that Rice is in fact just 4-6 ATS against the conference this season and only 1-3 ATS after a win against a conference rival, while FIU is 5-1 ATS against teams with winning records and 4-2 ATS after allowing 80 points or more. Grab as many points as you can, play on FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Michigan. 

REASONING: We’re primarily a situationally based handicapping service. We also take into account strong/relevant ATS trends. For the most part, the actual contestants on the field of play rarely enters into our equation, unless it’s a top player like a LeBron James or Tom Brady etc. And from a situational and trend based stand point, this one sets up beautifully for the home side in our opinion. Michigan State comes in slightly contented after two straight wins, including a victory at home over Michigan just ten days ago. The Wolverines on the other hand have now lost two straight, also going on to fall 70-66 at home to Ohio State on Sunday. In our opinion, there’s no question which of these two teams is the “hungier” one. And note that MSU is in fact just 3-5 ATS as an underdog this year, while Michigan is already 4-2 ATS this season in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. Desperation breeds motivation, all signs point to a comfortable cover. Play on MICHIGAN.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

REASONING: We primarily base our picks on “situations.” After ten straight victories, including five straight at home, we think the Miami Heat finally come out flat in the opener of their extended road trip. The Wolves though have lost three straight and will be risking life and limb today in trying to secure a victory. Despite the recent win streak, Miami still comes in averaging just 100.4 PPG (while allowing 101.9). The Wolves average 104 PPG (and allow 105.4). Note though that Miami ist just 1-2 ATS in it last three after playing three consecutive home games, while Minnesota is already a near-perfect 7-1 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses. After losing Zach LaVine to injury, the Wolves are going to be even more motivated today as they look to rally and stop the slide. Play on MINNESOTA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Quinnipiac.

REASONING: The Quinnipiac Bobcats are 6-7 in MAAC play so far this year. Most recently Quinnipiac snapped a three-game slide in an 89-81 win over Niagara on Saturday. Chaise Daniels and Peter Kiss scored 24 and 23 points respectively and combined for 23 boards. The Fairfield Stags are 7-7 in MAAC action. We think that Fairfield comes in a bit complacent here though after three straight wins, most recently an 81-61 victory over Niagara as well. Jerry Johnson Jr. had 18 points and five boards in the win. From an ATS trend based stand point though, they simply don’t get much better than this as the Bobcats are 8-5 ATS as an underdog this year, 8-3 ATS agains the conference, 3-0 ATS off a win against a conference rival and 5-3 ATS against teams with winning records, while Fairfield is just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a favorite. The BOBCATS fight and keep this one competitive until the final moments, grab the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Colorado.

REASONING: After starting Pac-12 play with an 0-7 record, the Colorado Buffs have now won three straight. Cal has won six of its last seven and sits just 2.5 games back of the top spot. After beating Oregon State, the Buffaloes followed it up with a nine-point upset over then No. 10 Oregon and a seven-point surprise over Stanford. Derrick White had 19 points, eight boards, eight assists, four blocked shots and two steals in the win over the Cardinal. We think Cal though could come in a bit complacent here after three straight wins over Oregon State, Stanford and Utah. Note that the last two wins came by a combined three points! In fact, Cal comes in off an exhausting 77-75 double OT win over the Utes on Thursday. Note that Colorado is 2-0 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival, while Cal is just 2-4 ATS in the same position. The BUFFS won’t be rolling over today and we think can keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Santa Clara.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Santa Clara is already 4-2 ATS this year against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest and 4-2 ATS after allowing 60 points or less, while Gonzaga is just 1-2 ATS in its last three when playing with one or less days rest.

The bottom line: We think the No. 1 team in the nation takes the foot off the gas just enough for the hungry visitors to sneak through down the stretch. Play on SANTA CLARA.

AAA Sports 

This is an 8* play on Kentucky.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Kentucky is already 1-0 ATS this year after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games and 40-31 ATS in its last 71 against teams with winning records, while Florida is just 9-15 ATS in its last 24 off a win against a conference rival and just 7-15 ATS in its last 22 after allowing 60 points or less.

The bottom line: The Wildcats have been floundering of late, having lost two in a row before then gutting out a 90-81 OT win over Georgia last time out. Kentucky though has failed to cover the spread in three straight and in six of its last seven. We think that changes today though as we believe Florida is poised for a letdown here after three straight wins. Play on KENTUCKY.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Pepperdine.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Pacific is just 3-7 ATS on the road this year, just 1-8 ATS when playing with one or less days rest and only 5-10 ATS when playing the role of underdog, while Pepperdine is already 4-2 ATS this year in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent and 11-6 ATS in its last 17 after scoring 60 points or less.

The bottom line: The Tigers come in off a rare win and we think will have a predictable letdown here. Look for the desperate home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Playon PEPPERDINE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Oklahoma. 

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Oklahoma is already 6-3 ATS against the conference this year, 4-1 ATS on the road, 7-4 ATS as an underdog and 5-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival (also 4-2 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses), while Texas Tech is just 3-6 ATS against the conference, only 1-2 ATS in revenging a road loss against an opponent and 2-4 ATS against teams with losing records.

The bottom line: We’re expecting all of these extremely strong trends to carry over here. Grab as many points as you can, play on OKLAHOMA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Ohio State.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense:

As note that Ohio State is 14-8 ATS in its last 22 off a loss against a conference rival, while Michigan is just 4-10 ATS as a favorit this year, just 1-3 ATS off a loss against a conference rival and just 4-7 ATS at home.

The bottom line: Michigan comes in off a poor performance against in-state rival Michigan State. Ohio State has lost two straight, unable to hang with Maryland at home last night. We think the desperate Buckeyes take advantage of a Wolverines team which continues to get too much respect. Play on OHIO STATE.

AAA Sports