10* USC (BAIL-OUT)

While clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can in this one. With nearly 65% of the early public money on the home side, we're pulling a full on contrarian here. USC is 9-14 overall, including just 1-7 on the road, while Stanford is 11-11 overall, and 8-4 at home. The Trojans are off an 83-77 OT loss at Cal, but beat Stanford 93-79 the last time these teams faced off. The Cardinal have lost two straight, including an 82-74 setback here to UCLA as 4.5-point favorites last time out. The home side is the one overvalued here, as we expect the hungry Trojans to pull off the minor upset here on the road in what we feel is a very favorable matchup for them; grab the points, the play is USC! 

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10* Spurs (TOP CONTRARIAN)

Outright win?! Anything is possible, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as possible. The Spurs are terrible obviously. They're off a 127-111 loss at Orlando. That's three straight ATS setbacks, but note that San Antonio is in fact 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Brooklyn is off three straight SU/ATS losses as well, most recently falling 118-95 to the Cavaliers. This is a game that the Spurs can legit win outright, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is San Antonio!

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10* NC State (ACC GOM)

While we're stopping short in calling for the outright victory, all signs point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opionion. Wake Forest is 15-7, but 12-0 at home. It's now overvalued here though in our opinion. NC State is 15-8, but only 3-3 on the road. NC State beat Wake 83-76 at home in mid January and we're expecting another "nail-biter" here; grab the points, the play is NC State!

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10* SDSU (TOP CONTRARIAN)

With nearly 70% of the early public money on Nevada, this one is simple for us here on Friday night, as this opportunity falls directly into our "wheelhouse." Both teams are 18-5 and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these hungry and talented sides has its hands on the ball last, we're going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. SDSU beat Nevada 71-59 at home in mid-January and this is simply a terrible matchup for the Wolfpack. Consider "sprinkling" a little on the ML, but the official call is to indeed grab as many points as you can with SDSU!

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10* 76ers (SHOCKER)

The 76ers continue to try and adjust to life without star center Joel Embiid, but this particular matchup now definitely favors Philly in our opinion. The Hawks are just 10-15 on the road, while the 76ers are 17-9 at home. Atlatna is off two straight losses and with a home game vs. lowly Houston tomorrow, we believe the visitors get caught "looking ahead." Philly plays with revenge after a 139-132 OT loss as a favorite on the road back in January to the Hawks, and note that the 76ers are in fact a wallet-expanding 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. While we think the outright victory is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Philadelphia!

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10* Lakers (ASSASSIN)

With nearly 75% of the early public money on the visitors, we'll go full on contrarian here and go the other way with the hungry home side. Denver is 35-16, but a much more pedestrian 14-12 on the road. The Lakers are 28-25 overall, but 18-8 at home. LA returns home from a 4-2 road trip, including winning three straight to close out. With two days rest and playing with revenge after a 119-107 road loss in Denver at the start of the year, we love the way this one sets up for the revenge-minded home side. Denver is off two straight home wins over lowly Portland, but its last road excursion resulted in a 105-100 loss at OKC. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is indeed on LA!

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10* Drexel (CAA DOG OF MONTH)

Drexel is 15-8, but just 5-7 on the road, while UNC Wilmington is 16-6 overall, including a perfect 7-0 at home. The Seahawks managed a win last time out in a 77-74 victory over Campbell, but didn't even come close to covering the large 14-point spread. And now here they are having to cover another number which we feel is definitely too large as well. Drexel is 1-2 SU in its last three and 0-3 ATS, but note that the Dragons are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these evenly-matched sides has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points with Drexel!

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10* Wizards (REVENGE TOP)

Outright win?! We're not calling for that, but all signs do indeed point to contest being much more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion. The Cavaliers are 32-16, including 14-8 on the road, while Washington is 9-40, including just 3-21 at home. the Cavaliers have won six straight, but with a game at Brooklyn tomorrow night, we expect the visitors to take the foot off the gas in the second half. And the revenge-minded Wiz, who fell 114-90 at Cleveland in January, will look to take advantage. Note that Washington is 7-3 (70%) ATS in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. A great situational play here on Washington!

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10* Michigan (BIG TEN GOM)

Neither team has been playing great of late, but we think there are enough factors working in favor of the Wolverines here to pull off the cover at home here on Wednesday night. The Badgers are the better team for sure in this battle overall, but Wisconsin is playing poorly right now. It's 16-6 overall, but it's just 3-4 on the road. It's coming off back-to-back losses and now will have its hands full with this 7-15 Michigan side that's 4-7 at home after a 69-59 home loss to Rutgers last time out. That's five straight straight-up and against the spread losses for the Wolverines, but that's significant to note because Michigan has in fact responded really well in this spot for bettors by going 7-2 against the spread in its last nine after five or more straight up and against the spread losses in a row. The Wolverines have a good offense still and we think that'll be a difference maker in this one as Michigan enters averaging 77 points per game. Wisconsin is decent defensively, allowing just 67.8 points per game, but as outlined at the start, this Badgers team isn't nearly as good on the road as at home. And that's going to be the case here we think as well facing this hungry and motivated home side. One other thing which swings the pendulum in Michigan's favor here is that the Wolverines for sure benefit from having their dynamic sophomore point guard Dug McDaniel available for this game. McDaniel is serving a six-game road suspension for academic problems and he's the Wolverines' leading scorer at 16.8 PPG. This one has all the makings of a "nail biter;" grab the points, the play is indeed on the Wolverines!

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10* Arizona (ATS BLOOD-BATH)

We're expecting Arizona to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion, keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish. Stanford is 11-9, including 3-3 on the road, while Arizona is 16-5, including 11-0 at home. This is a third straight game for the Cardinal. They're off a 71-62 win at Arizona State, but with upcoming home games vs. UCLA and USC, this one sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the overmatched visiting side. Basically we're expecting the visitors to send up the white flag early, as they get prepared for back-to-back important home games. Arizona somehow lost to Stanford as well 100-82 as a 12.5-point favorite on December 31st, so the home side plays with the added incentive of revenge as well. Look for the Wildcats to shake off that New Year's hangover and at the same time, win and cover here tonight; lay the points, the play is indeed on Arizona!

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10* Heat (ASSASSIN)

The Clippers are a lot better this year than we thought they'd be at this point of the season. They're 32-15 overall, but just 13-11 on the road. They're 4-1 SU/ATS on their current road trip, but with a final road contest tomorrow in Atlanta, we're expecting the visitors to finally get caught "looking ahead." Miami comes in with momentum, off back-to-back wins and it plays with revenge as well after a 121-104 loss at LA on New Years day, and note that the Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent; grab the points, the play is indeed on Miami!

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10* Purdue Fort Wayne (HORIZON LEAGUE GOM)

While we do feel an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Youngstown State is a fantastic 17-6 overall, but a much more pedestrian 6-5 away from friendly confines. PFW is 14-8 overall, but 8-3 at home. The Penguins enter complacent after four straight wins and seven straight covers. PFW though is looking to break a string of poor play, losing four of its last five, including a 68-65 loss here to Milwaukee as a 3.5-point favorite last time out. Note though that the Mastadons have responded well in this spot for bettors by going a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points with Purdue Fort Wayne!

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10* Lakers (ASSASSIN)

While we do feel an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with the visiting side. LA is 26-25 now after its upset 114-105 road win as a 15-point dog last time out. LBJ and AD both sat that one out, but are expected to play here. LA plays with revenge as well after a 114-105 home loss to the Knicks back in December, and note that the Lakers are 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. After nine straight SU wins, the Knicks now have a big target on their backs. While we do feel an outright upset is a possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab the points here with LA!

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10* Mississippi State (SEC GOY)

While we're stopping short in calling for the outright victory, everything does indeed point to a much tighter contest here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion, so will therefore be recommending to grab as many points as you can. Mississippi State is 14-6, while Alabama is 15-6. Alabama had to rally for its last win over Georgia, eventually pulling away for the 85-76 victory, but we feel that the Tide are now overvalued in this particular matchup. The Bulldogs on the other hand are hungry for an outright road win to help booster their NCAA chances. They're also hungry to atone for an 86-82 loss to Ole Miss, uncharacteristically turning the ball over 15 times, which was unfortunate, as it canceled out an overall sharp 53.6 percent collective field goal shooting effort. The visitors also play with revenge after falling 82-74 at home to Alabama back in January. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Mississippi State!

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10* Navy (PATRIOT LEAGUE GOM)

The bottom line here is that we love the way this one sets up for the visiting side. Navy is 8-12, including only 1-9 on the road. The Midshipmen come in "under the radar," but they won't be rolling over. Colgate is 14-8, including 7-2 at home, but after five straight SU/ATS victories in a row, we're expecting a small letdown here from the home side (and note that the Raiders are in fact just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after five or more SU/ATS wins in a row.) With back-to-back road games upcoming, expect the home side to take the foot off the gas in the second half and then look for the hungry visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is indeed on Navy!

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10* Sienna (MAAC GOY)

While we're not calling for an outright win or anything, we do definitely feel that all the factors are in place for Sienna to keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting. The Saints, 3-17 overall, including 1-8 on the road, obviously come in "under the radar" here. Sienna is off four straight SU losses and three straight ATS losses, but note that the Saints are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Sienna won this game 67-65 as a 3.5-point dog at home on December 1st, and we're fully expecting another competitive battle here on the road. Rider is 4-3 at home, but the Broncs are just 7-13 overall. After back-to-back road wins/covers, we're expecting the home side to come in a bit complacent here and get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent. The numbers and the overall situation point to a very tight battle here between these conference opponents; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Saints!

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10* Pacers (EAST-CONF GOM)

Here's a great situational play on Indiana. The Pacers are 27-22 overall. They're off a 129-124 road loss at Boston, covering with the eight-point spread. We're expecting another spirited effort on the road here as well in the Big Apple. Indiana beat New York 140-126 at home back on December 30th. But it's the Knicks that come in overvalued here by the oddsmakers in our estimation after eight straight SU wins and six straight ATS victories. With the Lakers coming to town next, we believe the home side also gets caught "looking ahead." Grab the points, the play is indeed on Indiana!

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10* Georgia (SEC GOW)

Alabama is coming off two straight wins, including beating LSU 109-88 most recently. But both games were at home and the Tide are just 2-2 in true road games this season. Alabama has won eight of its last nine and it's back in the AP Top 25 poll for the first time since late November, but we think the Tide will have their hands full here against 14-6 Georgia, which is looking to bounce back after a 102-98 overtime loss to Floria on Saturday. But despite the setback the Bulldogs have been hot overall, winning 12 of their past 15. Last year the Bulldogs were humbled in this game falling 108-59, so they won't be forgetting that loss obviously. Georgia has been money in the bank at home this year, as so far it's 11-1 in front of the home town crowd. Everything is in place for an outright upset here, so you may want to consider "sprinkling a little" on the money line. That said, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Georgia!

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10* Texas (BIG 12 GOW)

We love how this one sets up for Texas from a "situational" stand point. Houston is 18-2, but just 2-2 on the road. Texas is 14-6, including 10-2 at home. Houston is coming off four straight wins, including a 74-52 victory over K-State last time out. Note though that the Cougars are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS home win in which they held their opponent to 55 or fewer points in. Texas beat Oklahoma 75-60 as a 4.5-point dog, then fell 84-72 at BYU as a 7.5-point dog in its most recent action. Now back at home though, the Longhorns do in fact match up well with their opponent here. Houston has a big target on its back and Texas won't be rolling over here. While I do think an outright is very possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Longhorns!

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10* Temple (UNDERDOG OF MONTH)

Temple is 8-12 and ECU is 10-10. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the home side here, we're definitely going "contrarian" with this one. Temple though, off five straight SU/ATS losses, is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after five or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row. ECU snapped a three-game slide with a win at Witchita State last time out, but with USF coming to town next, this sets up as a "look ahead" position as well for the home side. These teams numbers/metrics are very similar and in a contest that we foresee coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're going to grab up the points; the play is indeed on Temple!

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10* Ohio (MAC GOY)

With nearly 85% of the early public money on the home side in this one, we're going full on contrarian here and going the other way with this big play. Ohio is getting zero respect here from the oddsmakers because of its 0-5 SU/ATS road record. Kent is 10-9 overall, while Ohio is 9-10. The Golden Flashes are 5-4 SU at home, but just 2-5 ATS. These lop-sided trends are about to correct themselves here between these very evenly matched sides. Kent is off the 90-84 OT win at BGSU and is primed for a letdown here back at home. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Ohio!

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10* Bucks (ASSASSIN)

The Bucks are 30-13 overall and have a 19-4 record at home, but they still decided to make a coaching change. Look for this to have an immediate effect on the players here on Wednesday night as they keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Cleveland is 26-15, including 11-7 on the road, but after eight straight SU/ATS victories in a row, everything points to a letdown here finally in our opinion, which is the opener of two straight here between the clubs. Milwaukee plays with revenge after a humbling 135-95 loss at Cleveland on January 17th, and note that the Bucks are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in vs. an opponent. Lay the points with confidence, the play is Milwaukee!

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10* Alabama (SEC GOW)

Auburn is 16-2 and Alabama is 12-6. The Tigers are 5-0 in conference play and the Tide are 4-1. Alabama will be the hungrier team here though, as it was tied with Auburn atop the SEC standings before making the trip to Knoxville on Saturday to challenge then-No. 6 Tennessee (Alabama fell a game behind Auburn in the league race after the 91-71 loss.) "They were tougher and more physical than we were," remarked Alabama coach Nate Oats after. "We weren't ready for it. They played harder than we did. When you give up 23 points off turnovers and 17 second-chance points, you won't win many games. They dominated us in a lot of ways." But back at home here we think the Tide are going to bounce back. Look for Mark Sears to have a big game here as he's so far averaging 19.8 points per game this year and he had 22 in defeat last time out. It's a classic strength vs. strength matchup in this one, as KenPom has the Crimston Tide ranked No 1 in offensive efficiency rating, while Auburn is ranked as the sixth-most-efficient defense. The Tigers are great offensively as well, but after an 82-59 home rout of Ole Miss we just think they're going to have their hands full here in this difficult road venue; lay the short points, the play is indeed on Alabama!

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10* Air Force (ASSASSIN)

This one sets up well for the visitors. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we definitely believe the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting. The Eagles are 7-10, while UNLV is 9-8. Air Force is just 3-3 on the road, while the Runnin Rebels are 6-2 at home. UNLV is coming off a 78-75 loss at Colorado State and we're anticipating a similar tight battle here as well. The Rebels have been inconsistent and we just feel this number is a few points higher than it really should be. As stated off the top, Air Force won't be pulling off any epic upsets or anything, but everything definitely points to a war until the final whistle; grab the points, the play is indeed on Air Force!

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10* Cincinnati (BIG 12 GOM)

As primarily situational handicappers, this one falls right into our "wheel-house" so to speak. While the outright win isn't likely, we do definitely expect this one to be decidd in the final moments. Cincinnati is 13-5, while Kansas is 15-3. That includes 9-0 at home. It's no easy task obviously beating the Jayhawks on their own floor, but Cincinnati has responded really well in this spot for bettors by going 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite (fell 69-65 at home to Oklahoma as a 4-point fav.) Kansas actually suffered its second defeat in its last four games, falling 91-85 at WVU as a ten-point favorite last time out. And with a game at Iowa State up next, will the home side get caught looking ahead?! We say the conditions are right for a "battle until the end;" grab the points, the play is indeed on Cincinnati!

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10* Dallas (NON-CONF GOM)

Here's a great situational play. After suffering their first home defeat to the Nuggets, Boston bounced back with a seven point win in Houston just last night, unable to cover the 11-point spread. Now they're being asked to cover another tough spread and we believe that fatigue will definitely be an issue here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. The Mavericks look to regroup after a 127-110 loss to the Lakers on Wednesday. In a contest that we see Dallas having a legitimate shot at winning outright, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the home side!

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10* Wizards (ATS BLOOD-BATH)

Outright win? We're not calling for that. However, as primarily "situational" cappers, this one falls right into our "wheelhouse," as we think this is a "trap" game for Denver. The Nuggets just beat the Celtics 102-100 in Boston, snapping their 20-game home win streak. With upcoming road games at Indiana and New York, the visitors get caught "looking ahead" here. Washington has suffered three straight SU losses after last night's 131-127 setback to the Spurs, but note that the Wizards have in fact responded well in this spot for bettors by going 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU losses in a row; grab the points, the play is indeed on Washington!

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10* East Tennessee State (MID-MAJOR MAULING)

While we clearly feel that the outright win is going to happen, our official call will still be to grab whatever amount of points you can with the hungry home side here. Chattanooga is 11-7 overall, but just 3-5 on the road. East Tennessee State is 9-9, including 6-1 at home. We can't understate how important we feel that the home floor advantage will prove to be in the end for the Buccaneers. The Bucs are off four straight losses and will be risking life and limb to snap the slide. Chattanooga is off the 74-60 win at Mercer, but we think it'll take a step back on the road here; grab the points, the play is East Tennessee State!

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10* Bucks (ASSASSIN)

We expect Milwaukee to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion. The Bucks are 28-13, but just 9-9 on the road. Detroit is 4-37, including only 2-18 at home. Milwaukee had its three-game win streak come to an end last time out in a 135-95 loss at Cleveland, but note that the Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. They're also 3-1 ATS in their last four after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. This is in fact the opener of two straight here between the clubs. Look for Milwaukee to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence!

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10* Nuggets (ASSASSIN)

The defending champs would love nothing more than to give the Celtics, who are 20-0 at home this year, their first loss of the season in this building. Is that possible?! With Nikola Jokic on the court, of course anything is possible. That said, in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're definitely advising everyone to grab as many points as you can in this one. The Nuggets are off a loss to Philly, but we expect their defense to be "on point" tonight and to keep them in this one late. And with nearly 65% of the early public money on the home side, the clincher for us is going the other way and being contrarian with this release; grab the points, the play is indeed on Denver!

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10* Thunder (ASSASSIN)

OKC is 27-13 overall, including 11-8 on the road, while Utah is 22-20 overall, and 15-5 at home. Utah is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in its last ten, but after three straight upsets at home, we're expecting Utah to finally come out a bit flat here. After this they hit the road for six straight, so it's a look-ahead spot as well. The Thunder though are off back-to-back SU/ATS losses and won't be taking anything for granted here. This is a great 'situational' play on Oklahoma City!

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10* Vanderbilt (SEC GOM)

No outright, but closer than expected in our opinion. This is a great situational play, as we're expecting 14-2 Auburn to get caught looking past its opponent to its home game vs. 15-1 Ole Miss. Auburn has won ten in a row, including three straight ATS, but note that the Tigers are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS victories in a row. Vanderbilt is off three straight losses and comes in "under the radar" here at home in our opinion. Auburn is just 1-1 in true road games this year, so the Tigers have not been at their best away from friendly confines. Either way, this is WAY too many points to be giving up on the road in our estimation; grab the points, the play is Vandy!

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10* McNeese State (SOUTHLAND GOY)

This one sets up really well for the home side. We're expecting the 14-2 McNeese State Cowboys to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion. The Cowboys have in fact dropped three straight ATS, but note that McNeese State has responded incredibly well for bettors in this spot by going 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. The Cowboys actually lost this game 70-63 as ten-point favorites last time out, so there's no way their going to look past the 9-7 Lamar Cardinals this time around, especially with back-to-back road contests after this. Lamar has won four straight SU/ATS, including a 78-76 OT win at Nichols State as a 3.5-point dog last time out. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! Look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence; the play is indeed on McNeese State!

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10* Kings (ASSASSIN)

While we do feel the outright in is a very real possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can in what we expect to be a very competitive affair. Milwaukee is 18-4 at home, but after B2B high-profile home victories over Boston and Golden State, and with a few days off after this before an extended road trip, everything points to this being a classic "trap" for the home side as it gets caught "looking ahead." This is a great situational play. Sacramento started off its road trip with two wins, but stumbled 112-93 last time out at Philadelphia a 1-point favorite. Note though that the Kings are 7-3 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. Everything points to this one "coming down to wire," so let's grab the points with Sacramento!

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10* Lakers (ASSASSIN)

Both teams are 20-20, but we love the way this one sets up for the visitors. LA's two-game win streak came to an end last time out in a 127-109 loss at home to Phoenix. Utah has won four straight, but after last night's big 145-113 home win over Toronto, we're expecting fatigue to be a major factor here. That's four straight upset wins for the Jazz, and alls signs point to a predictable letdown. Lay the short points, the play is the LA!

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10* Detroit Mercy (HORIZON LEAGUE GOM)

Outright win? If so, it would be the 0-17 Detroit Mercy's first outright victory of the season. We don't see that happening, but we do definitely see the door being left wide open for the hungry home side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. With nearly 80% of the early public money on the favorite, we are definitely going full on contrarian here. NKU has lost two straight games in OT, but is still 3-0 ATS its last three. However, note that the Norse are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. With a home game vs. Milwaukee up next, we say the visitors take the foot off the gas down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Detroit!

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10* 76ers (ASSASSIN)

As primarily "situational" handicappers, this one falls right  into our "wheelhouse." Sacramento is 10-7 on the road, while Philly is 13-6 at home. The Kings are off B2B road victories over Detroit and Charlotte, but note they face a determined 76ers side that's dropped three in a row SU/ATS. Note though that the 76ers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. It's an important three game stretch now for the 76ers, with Houston and Denver coming to town next. But with a game at Milwaukee upcoming, we also believe the visitors get caught "looking ahead." Lay the short points, the play is indeed on Philadelphia!

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10* Wizards (ASSASSIN)

While we're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting in our opinion. Indiana is 12-8 at home and it's won seven of its last eight. That includes an upset 133-131 win here at home over Boston last time out. With an upcoming six-game road trip after this starting at ATL, everything points to the home side getting caught "looking ahead" here as well. Letdown + lookahead = "trap game!" This is a trap for the Pacers. No such luxury for the Wizards though who have lost five straight (but that's signficicant for us as bettors to take note of, as Washington has in fact gone 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more straight SU losses in a row.) No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Washington!

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10* Northeastern (CAA GOY)

We love the way this one sets up for the visiting side, and while we obviously feel the outright win is a very real possibility, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can in a contest that we see likely being decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last. Northeastern is 5-9 and Monmouth is 8-6. With nearly 85% of the early public money on the home side here, we're definitely going full-on contrarian for this one. The Huskies have faced some stiff competition this year and done well, including a 56-54 road setback at Virgina as a 16.5-point dog. Monmouth's numbers are a bit skewed here. Look for the hungry visting side to, at the very least, keep this one competitive enough to earn the ATS cover; grab the points, the play is indeed on Northeastern!

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10* Maryland (BIG TEN GOY)

We think that the Terps have a legitimate shot at winning this game outright obviously, but our official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Maryland is 9-5, while Minnesota is 11-3. It's 10-1 at home, while the Terps are just 1-2 on the road. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the Gophers though, we're definitely going full on contrarian here and going the other way. Minnesota has won six straight. It's won eight straight ATS. Fans are now quick to back Minnesota, especially after its 73-71 upset win at Michigan as a 5.5-point dog last time out. But what most people won't bother taking note of here right now is that the Gophers are in fact just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off an upset SU/ATS conference road win as a dog. This is a great situational play in our opinion on the hungrier team, against a home side that's primed for a major mental letdown; grab the points, the play is Maryland!

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10* Wizards (ASSASSIN)

While we're not calling for the outright victory, all signs point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion. New York is 3-0 SU/ATS in its last three after last night's 128-92 road win at Philadelphia as a 5.5-point dog, but note that the Knicks are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off an upset road win as an underdog in which they held their opponent to 95 or fewer points in. They're also just 1-4 ATS in their last five after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. We think a small mental letdown is inevitable here in the second game of the back-to-back and off the big upset victory; grab the points, the play is Washington!

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10* Butler (BIG EAST GOY)

While we do think an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. The UConn Huskies are 12-2, while the Butler Bulldogs are 10-4. What's been the one "achilles heel" for the Huskies this season? Their play on the road where they are 0-2 SU/ATS. And what's been the strength of the Bulldogs?! It's been their play at home, where they are 8-0 SU and 4-3 ATS. Butler is off back-to-back conference road losses as a sizeable dog, so it won't be taking anything for granted here as it look to snap the slide. After this UConn is at Xavier, so we also see the visitors get caught "looking ahead." Look for the hungry and determined home side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the spread; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Bulldogs!

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10* Warriors (ASSASSIN)

Denver has won four of its last five. It beat Golden State 120-114 at home on X-Mas Day, unable to cover the 7.5-point spread. The Warriors are 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. We think the Nuggets will get caught "looking ahead" here to their home game vs. the Magic tomorrow. Golden State snapped a three-game slide with a quality 121-115 victory over Orlando and with a winnable game at home vs. Detroit tomorrow, we're expecting Golden State to step up here and take advantage of the scheduling; grab the points, the play is indeed on Golden State!

AAA Sports

10* Hawks (UNDERDOG OF MONTH)

This one sets up unbelievably well for Atlanta. OKC is 23-9 and 9-4 on the road, but after five straight SU/ATS wins in a row, including an upset 127-123 home win over Boston just last night, can anyone say "letdown spot?!" Also note that the Thunder are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. Atlanta just snapped a four-game slide with a 130-126 win over Washington to move to 13-19. That was three nights ago though. The Hawks are well rested and the play with revenge after falling 126-117 as one-point favorites in OKC back on November 6th, and note that ATL is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. A great situational play on Atlanta!

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10* Charlotte (NON-CONF GOW)

Of course we're not calling for the outright victory or anything, but all signs point to a much tighter affair than what this spread is suggesting in our opinion. The Hornets have won three of their last five, but they're off a 111-93 loss at Denver. But we say they fly in "under the radar" here vs. the Kings, who will get caught "looking ahead" to their much more high-profile game the following night here vs. the Magic. After back-to-back SU road wins, all signs point to the Kings having a small mental letdown here at home tonight; no outright, but closer than expected, so grab the points!

AAA Sports

10* Charlotte (AAC GOM)

Outright win?! We're not predicting that. But we do think that 9-3 SMU is going to get caught "looking past" 6-6 Charlotte to its much more high-profile game vs. Memphis this weekend. SMU is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last five, but that's signficant for us to take note of as the Mustangs are in fact just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after five more ATS victories in a row. Charlotte is 0-3 SU/ATS on the road, but that fact has only made the general betting public quick to back the favored home side here. But now the value has finally swung the other way here. We're not going to try and convince that the 49ers are a better team than the Mustangs, because that's definitely not the case. But as primiarly situational handicappers, this one falls right into our wheelhouse. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Charlotte!

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10* CSU Fullerton (BIG WEST GOY)

We think that the Warriors get caught a little flat-footed here and that the Titans will, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample amount of points that they've been afforded. Fullerton is just 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in its last three after an 81-71 loss to LBSU last time out, but note that the Titans are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They won this game 62-60 last year at home. Hawaii enters off two straight losses, falling to Georgia Tech and TCU and it's just 1-3 ATS in its last four overall. The Warriors are getting WAY too much respect here in our opinion. No outright, but MUCH closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Titans!

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10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN)

We base our picks on many different things. This particular one is based on the "revenge" factor, which we'll admit, is completely overhyped at times. But not at all times, and definitely not in this case in our opinion. Utah is just 5-13 on the road, but after three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, we're expecting a predictable letdown here, as note that the Jazz are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. They beat the Pels 114-112 at home as a 6.5-point dog on November 27th, but note that New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. After back-to-back SU/ATS losses in a row, we're expecting the home side to come out fired up and completely focussed on the task at hand; lay the points with confidence, the play is New Orleans!

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10* Portland (ASSASSIN)

Outright win?! We're not calling for that, but we defintely expect this to be competitive until the final moments. The Kings are 17-11, but they're just 6-6 on the road. Off a 110-98 home loss to the Wolves, note that the Kings are in fact just 1-3 ATS in their last four off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. Portland comes in under the radar here. It's off B2B losses, falling 126-106 at Golden State, but with a few days off to prepare, we're expecting the Blazers to be competitive here, just as they were in a 121-118 OT loss at Sacramento in early November; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Blazers!

AAA Sports

10* Lakers (ASSASSIN)

The Celtics opened up their West-coast swing with a 132-126 OT loss at Golden State, but they've since won B2B away games, handling Sacramento 144-119 and the Clippers here two nights ago 145-108. But with three nights off after this, we feel that the temptation to get caught "looking ahead" will be there for the visiting side now. No such luxury for LA though, which just snapped a four-game slide with a convincing 129-120 win at OKC. Look for the Lakers to carry that momentum over here and while the outright is obviously very possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with LA!

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10* Hawaii (ATS BLOOD-BATH)

This is going to "come down to the wire," in our opinion, and because of that we're going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. TCU is 9-2 and Hawaii is 8-3. Hawaii looks to rebound here off the 73-68 loss to Georgia Tech as a two-point fav (but note that the Warriors have in fact responded incredibly well in this spot for bettors by going 4-1 ATS in their last five off an upset home loss as a favorite.) TCU is off an 88-75 loss to Nevada, and with Conference schedule looming after the X-Mas break, we say the visitors get caught "looking ahead" here. Grab the points, the play is indeed on Hawaii!

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10* Missouri State (MID-MAJOR ROUT)

Missouri State won't be rolling over here in its final game before the XMas break. The Bears are 8-4 and they'll look to close out their non-conference schedule strong. Missouri State has won two of its last three and we think it catches Saint Mary's, which is 8-5 overall, but which has won five straight. The Gaels concede just 58.7 PPG. The Bears average 74.6 PPG, while allowing 67.6. We think the Gaels will win this game, but Missouri State's efficient offense will keep it competitive late; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Bears!

AAA Sports

10* Hornets (ASSASSIN)

We base our picks on many different things, this particular one sets up fantastically from a "situational" stand point. We say that Denver FOR SURE gets caught "looking ahead" to its X-Mas home game vs. Golden State. Charlotte has lost six straight SU and three straight ATS, but that's important for us to take note of us as the Hornets are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. We're just expecting Denver to take the foot off the gas in the second half, as it prepares for its Nationally televised affair; grab the points, the play is Charlotte!

AAA Sports

8* Fresno State (MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION)

Fresno State is 6-4 SU, while San Fran is 9-4. It's also 6-0 at home. We think the home side though takes the foot off the gas in the second half, allowing the hungry visiting side more than enough room to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Fresno State is off a 75-72 OT home loss to Portland State as a 3.5-point favorite, which is significant to take note of here as the Bulldogs are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten off an upset home loss as a favorite. The Dons have been great and it's difficult to point out to many faults, but we say everything points to a minor mental letdown here before the X-Mas break; grab the points, the play is indeed on Fresno State!

AAA Sports

10* Raptors (ASSASSIN)

We like Toronto to comfortably cover and sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch. Toronto plays with revenge after falling 114-109 here back on November 2nd, and note that the Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional loss vs. an opponent. Philly's been playing great, but off a big win over the red hot Wolves, and with their X-Mas Day game at Miami up next, all signs point to this being a classic "trap game" for the home side. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Toronto!

AAA Sports

10* Lakers (ASSASSIN)

I lost with the Lakers last night in Chicago, but I think LA will risk life and limb here to try and snap out of its recent cold spell which has seen it lost three in a row. LA has now also lost five straight ATS, which is important here for this pick for us, as the Lakers have responded well in this position for bettors by going 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. Minnesota's three-game win streak came to an end last night in Philly and we believe the Wolves will come out flat here now returning home (especially with two road games sandwiched around X-Mas right after this!) Both teams will have to deal with fatigue, but the overall situation and the above listed trends do indeed make LA the correc call in this contest!

AAA Sports

10* Manhattan (MID-MAJOR BLOWOUT)

We're not predicting an outright upset or anything, but everything definitely points to much more of a competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Manhattan comes in "under the radar" here after B2B losses. Most recently it was a 76-71 home loss to FDU. Monmouth has been trading wins/losses over its last four games and coming off a 77-71 win over Rider, we're expecting this trend to continue here. That said, we're not expecting the outright upset, but rather we just don't see the Hawks covering this large spread. As stated off the top, DO NOT sprinkle anything on the moneyline in this one, but do DEFINITELY grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on Manhattan!

AAA Sports

10* Lakers (NON-CONF GOY)

Here's a great spot for the 16-12 Lakers to bounce back in for bettors. LA has lost three of its last four. It's also now lost four straight ATS after a 114-109 home loss to New York (note though that the Lakers are still 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row.) And with a game at Minnesota tomorrow, the Lakers won't want to leave anything to chance here. Chicago has been trading wins/losses over its last ofur games and off a 108-104 upset win at Philadelphia as a 10.5-point dog last time out, we're expecting this pattern to continue; lay the points, the play is LA!

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10* Seton Hall (BIG EAST GOM)

UConn is 10-1 and Seton Hall is 7-4. Dan Hurley coached UConn to a title last year, and so far the Huskies look great this season as well. We just think they're now a bit overvalued here, as we're expecting the Pirates to risk life and limb to secure a victory here. Seton Hall has won two straight and it's faced some stiff competition this season already in USC, Iowa, Baylor and Rutgers. This is a big Big East matchup and while we'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Seton Hall!

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10* Florida (BLOCKBUSTER)

Florida is 7-3 and Michigan is 6-5. This is the opener of the Jumpman Invitational. The Gators come in riding a three-game win streak, most recently beating ECU 70-65. Michigan is 1-1 in Big Ten play, losing 78-75 to Indiana, and then bouncing back with a 90-80 win over Iowa. Michigan's defense has been sub-par though, ranked 126th in defensive efficiency. Florida has four guards averaging over 9.7 points per game and we're expecting this difficult backcourt to lead their team to a solid win and cover here; lay the points, the play is Florida!

AAA Sports

10* Maryland-Eastern Shore (MID-MAJOR MAULING)

We think the Maryland-Eastern Short Hawks will fly in "under the radar" here and, at the very least, post a comfortable cover with what we feel is a very large spread that's been afforded to it here in this matchup. Yes, the Hawks have lost four straight on the road, but they've faced some stiff competition in Notre Dame, Liberty, East Carolina and NC State. Marist is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last five, but note that the Red Foxes are in fact just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight ATS victories in a row. No outright here, but much closer than expected; a great situational play on Maryland-Eastern Shore!

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10* Syracuse (WINNER)

Oregon is 7-2 and Syracuse is 6-3. Oregon is on a three-game win streak. Overall the Ducks have allowed just 52 PPG, but their level of competition needs to be taken into account. Overall Oregon is averaging 81.2 PPG. The Orange lost their conference opener to UVA, but then they bounced back with two wins last week. Overall Syracuse is averaging 77.2 PPG, while conceding just 70.8. Oregon has some injury issues at center and Syracuse's offense has been incredibly efficient of late. This one has "uspet" written all over, meaning that grabbing the points is definitely the correct call in our opinion; the play is indeed on Syracuse!

AAA Sports

10* Pistons (ASSASSIN)

This is a great "situational" play in our opinion. Clearly, we're not calling for the outright upset or anything crazy like that, but we do think the hungry Pistons will be able to keep it close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Detroit is just 2-23 and 1-11 on the road after last night's 124-92 loss at Philadelphia. That's now five straight ATS losses in a row for Detroit, which is in fact important for us to take note of here, as the Pistons are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more ATS losses in a row. Not surprisingly, the Pistons play with revenge after a competitive 120-118 loss here at the start of the year. Milwaukee just posted the 140-126 win here over the Pacers, but with high-flying Houston coming to town tomorrow, we expect the home side to get caught "looking ahead;" grab the points, the play is Detroit!

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10* Georgetown (SUPER BLOWOUT)

We like the 6-4 Hoyas to battle tough and to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to earn the comfortable ATS cover. The Hoyas snapped a two-game slide with a win over Coppin State last tmie out. Notre Dame on the other hnad is 4-5 and it comes in with zero momentum after a loss at Marquette on the road. Georgetown is averaging 77.8 PPG, while allowing 73.7, while ND is averaging 64.2 PPG, while conceding 67.3. Of course, the level of competition for both sides to this point needs to be taken into account, but regardless of that fact, we still feel that the visitors are getting "overlooked" by the oddsmakers in this one; lay the points, the play is Georgetown!

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10* Northern Colorado (SUPER SHOCKER)

Here's a great "spot" wager. Northern Colorado is 4-5 overall, while Colorado is 7-2. The Bears are winless on the road, while the Buffs are undefeated at home. Off an upset 90-63 neutral court win over Miami last time out as a two-point dog though, we believe that Colorado will indeed suffer a minor mental letdown here facing their lowly in-state rival. The Buffs break starts soon with conference play looming vs. Washington just after X-Mas. Last year the Buffs won this game 88-77 here, unable to cover the 15.5-point spread. Everything points to a similar final discrepancy here as well; so grab the points, as this is indeed a great situational play on Northern Colorado!

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10* Suns (PACIFIC DIVISION GOY)

After going just 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last five, we like the Suns to dig deep here and not only win this game, but also to do it in blowout fashion. They beat Golden State here 123-115 back in November and we're predicting a similar final outcome here as well. Both teams have had a few days off, but the Suns have hit a favorable part of their schedule, with three more very winnable home games after this. We're expecting Phoenix to shake off its recent slump. The Warriors were last in action four days ago as well, but they fell 138-136 in OT to the Thunder. KD is supposed to play here, but whether he does or not, this one sets up great situationally for Phoenix in our opinion; lay the short points, the play is indeed on the Suns!

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10* IUPUI (ATS SUPER SHOCKER)

Are we suggesting that IUPUI will win this game outright?! Of course not. We just love the way this one sets up for the visiting side, as we anticipate that Minnesota will take the foot off the gas in the second half, allowing the 3-7 Jaguars more than enough room to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Gophers have gone 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS over their last four, but with the X-Mas break on the horizon, we feel they'll get caught looking past their lowly opponent here. Minnesota is 7-1 at home and is 9-1 ATS overall this year. But now it's for sure the Gophers who are overvalued here. Looking at the offensive and defensive numbers doesn't tell the whole story here. The situational factors working in favor of the visiting side tip the scales in the Jaguars favor; grab the points, the play is indeed on IUPUI!

AAA Sports

10* Blazers (ASSASSIN)

We love the way this one sets up for the Blazers from a situational stand-point. Portland is 6-15 overall, including only 4-9 on the road, but they're 8-5 ATS away from friendly confines. The Clippers are 11-10 overall, including 7-3 SU at home, but they're just 5-5 ATS in LA. Portland is coming off three straight SU losses, but that's significant to note as the Blazers are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 after three or more straight losses in a row. They play with revenge after a 123-111 loss as a 9.5 point dog here back in October as well, and note that Portland is in fact 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. The Clippers have won three in a row, but with the Kings coming to town tomorrow night, this one sets up as a potential "trap" game with the "letdown/look-ahead" factors both in full effect; grab the points, the play is Portland!

AAA Sports

10* SDSU (ASSASSIN)

We base our picks on many different things. This particular one is a great "situational" play in our opinion. And it's also backed up by a couple of rock solid ATS stats to support our theory here. UC Irvine is 6-3 this year, but just 1-3 on the road. SDSU is 7-2 this season, including 3-0 at home. The Aztecs won't be taking anything for granted here after their six-game win streak was snapped in a 79-73 loss at Grand Canyon as 2.5-point favorites last time out. SDSU has lost five straight ATS, but note that the Aztecs are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. The Anteaters have zero momentum off B2B losses and they'll get no respite here either; lay the points, the play is SDSU!

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8* Duke (BLOCKBUSTER)

Both teams enter 5-3 SU. Charlotte is 5-3 ATS, while Duke is 3-5 ATS. This will be the 49ers first true road game of the year and we feel they're going to stumble. The Blue Devils are 4-1 at home this year, but they're off the 72-68 road loss at Georgia Tech in their first conference action, as 12.5-point favs in that one. Duke has lost three straight ATS, but note that the Blue Devils are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. Charlottes off the rocking chair 85-62 win over Stetson, but everything points to a predictable letdown in our opinion; lay the points, the play is indeed on the Blue Devils!

AAA Sports

10* Hawks (EAST-CONF GOM)

Atlanta is 9-11, including 6-5 on the road, while Philadelphia is 13-7 overall, including 7-3 at home. ATL has lost two straight, and five straight ATS, but that's significant to note as the Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. The Hawks play with revenge here as well after a 126-116 loss at home back in mid-November, and that's also important to note here as Atlanta is 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Hard to say anything negative about Philly, but this is just a bad spot for the home side; grab the points the play is Atlanta!

AAA Sports

10* Harvard (BLOOD-BATH)

Harvard's up-tempo pace will prove to be too much for Army to keep up to down the stretch in this one. The Black Knights are just 2-7, while the Crimson are 6-3. Army is 0-4 SU on the road, while Harvard is 3-0 at home. The Crimson are 0-3 ATS in their last three, but that's significant to note as they're 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. We believe that the numbers/trends all overwhelmingly point the Crimson as the correct call as far as the side is concerned in this matchup; lay the points with confidence!

AAA Sports

10* IUPUI (MID-MAJOR MAULING)

We base our picks on many different things. We've always believed that being flexible with your approach is the best way to secure profits over the long-term, rather than following just one single handicapping methodology/strategy. And so with that in mind, we think this one sets up really well for IUPUI from a "situational" standpoint. The Jaguars are 3-6, while Eastern Illinois is 4-5. The Jaguars have faced a few good teams. One of their three wins came as an underdog a Valparaiso at the start of the year. The other two came over lower-tiered competition. In every loss they've been the underdog, and they've faced some good teams. Eastern Illinois has also faced some stiff competition, but ultimately we feel these teams are extremely evenly matched. So in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is IUPUI!

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10* DePaul (ASSASSIN)

We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we just like the way this one sets up for the now desperate visiting side to keep it close enough to cover with the points. The Blue Demons are 1-6, and the Aggies are 6-2. Texas A&M is ranked 21st, but it's now lost two of its last three, including a 59-47 loss to Virginia last time out. DePaul isn't a great team and we're not trying to make excuses for it as it's lost four in a row. But it was an underdog in three of those games. The Aggies are kind of a one man team. Henry Coleman III had 16 points and 14 rebounds in their most recent loss, but the rest of the team combined to go just 9 of 42 from the floor (which is just 21.4 percent.) This is the Blue Demons first true road game of the year, which can't be a bad thing considering how terrible the start of the season has been. In the 99-80 loss to Iowa State, Jeremiah Oden made six of seven from three-point range and finished with 25 points. As stated off the top, we're not going to call for an outright upset here or anything, but we think the Blue Demons have been improving of late, while the Aggies are going in reverse. Grab the points, the play is DePaul!

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10* Dallas (WEST-CONF NON-DIV GOM)

Dallas is 11-8, including 5-4 at home, while Utah is 7-13, including 1-9 on the road. Dallas has lost three of its last four, so it won't be taking anything for granted here. It hits the road for two straight after this as well, putting added importance onto this contest for Luka and company to get things turned around here at home tonight. Utah broke a two-game slide with a 118-113 OT win over Portland, but everything points to another letdown here in our opinion vs. this well-rested and focused home side; lay the points, the play is on the Mavericks!

AAA Sports

10* Seton Hall (NON-CONF GOY)

Outright victory?! We're definitely not calling for that, but we do also definitely believe that this is WAY too many points for the home side to be giving up, as this one sets up well from a situational stand point for the visitors in our opinion. Seton Hall is 5-2, while Baylor is 8-0. The Pirates are off the 88-75 win over Northeastern, stopping a two-game slide which came against USC and Iowa in tournament action. Note that while Seton Hall is 0-3 ATS in its last three, the Pirates are in fact a near-perfect 4-1 ATS for bettors after three or more ATS losses in a row. Baylor is rolling, but with big upcoming games vs. Michigan State and Duke before X-Mas, we're expecting the home side to take the foot off the gas here in the second half. The overall situation, combined with the above supporting O/U ATS trends does indeed make Seton Hall our CBB NON-CONFERENCE GOY!

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10* Ohio State (BIG TEN GOM)

Minnesota is 5-2 and Ohio State is 6-1. The Gophers are off the 97-64 win over New Orleans, while the Buckeyes beat CMU by a score of 88-61 in their most recent action. This is the first of two meetings between the schools and we think that Ohio State will take full advantage of the home court. Both teams have looked good to this point, but now the real competition gets underway. The Gophers have had a lot of turnover though from last year's team that won this game outright 70-67 as 14-point dogs. Ohio State's depth and incredible defensive play turns out to be the difference this year though; lay the points, the play is the Buckeyes!

AAA Sports

10* Milwaukee (HORIZON LEAGUE GOY)

The Panthers are 3-4 after a 90-84 setback to Southern Miss last time out. Note that Milwaukee though is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They sit in sixth in the Horizon League, while the 3-4 Phoenix are in eighth. They're coming off a listless 75-71 loss to Purdue Fort Wayne. After four straight covers though, we feel the oddsmakers are giving the home side too much respect in this one. These teams played last February, and it was a nail-biter until the end, with Green Bay coming out on top 80-79. Now favored here because of their superior offense, look for the Panthers to exact a little revenge and lay the points with confidence!

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8* Furman (BLOOD-BATH)

The 4-3 Paladins come in under the radar here in our estimation. Furman is off the 86-78 win over South Carolina State. Overall the Paladins average 84.1 PPG so far, while allowing 80.1. Princeton is off an 85-71 win at Bucknell, the first time this year the that Tigers haven't covered the spread. And now here as well I believe they're overvalued, as the Paladins matchup well with this team and they're high-scoring and efficent offense will prove to be the difference-maker. We're not calling for the outright upset or anything, but all signs point to a comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is Furman!

AAA Sports

10* Fresno State (UNDERDOG OF MONTH)

Fresno State is 3-3 SU and 1-4 ATS. BYU is 6-0 SU/ATS. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we do now definitely think that the Cougars are getting TOO much respect from the oddsmakers here, as we look for the Bulldogs to comfortably cover with the large spread they've been afforded. Fresno State is off the 69-65 loss to UC Santa Barbara. So far the Bulldogs are averaging 73.2 PPG. BYU is off a 95-86 win over NC State. Overall BYU is averaging 92.3 PPG. Clearly, BYU is the better team here, but this is definitely a few too many points to be giving up. Fresno State has poor defense, but look for its above-average offense to keep it competitive late; grab the points, the play is indeed on Fresno State!

AAA Sports

10* Knicks (ATLANTIC DIVISION GOM)

This is the first game of the season between these Atlantic Division foes, and we think the hungry visiting side is the correct call in this matchup tonight. New York is 11-7, including 5-4 on the road, while Toronto is 9-10, including 6-4 at home. The Raptors just snapped a three-game slide with a win over Phoenix and after this game it has five nights off before a home game vs. the Heat. New York is off back-to-back wins, including a 118-112 victory at home over Detroit last night. The Knicks have a few days off after this before a home game vs. the Bucks. New York is a bad matchup for the Raptors and we expect it to draw "first blood" in the season series; grab the points, the play is New York!

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10* BULLS (CENTRAL DIV GOW)

Clearly, the Bulls have issues this year. They're just 5-14. The Bucks haven't been perfect either, but they've looked great overall at 13-5. Chicago is clearly the more desperate team in this fight, as they've lost five straight SU/ATS. Chicago though is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Bulls catch Milwaukee off three straight victories, and all signs finally point to a bit of a letdown here on the road in our estimation. Situationally this one definitely sets up well for the home side and that's primarily what we're basing this pick off. No outright, but much closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Chicago!

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10* Illinois State (MISSOURI VALLEY GOM)

In what we feel is an evenly matched contest, we're going to grab the points. Illinois State is 3-3 SU, while UIC is 5-2. The Redbirds have been competitive for the most part, but now returning to conference play here, everything points to a "nail-biter" in our opinion. UIC is 7-0 ATS, but that fact has only helped in driving this spread a little higher than it normally would/should be. We're seeing a lot of the early public money on the home side here, but when comparing these teams numbers, we're expecting a dog-fight until the end (Illinois State won the last matchup 68-62 in OT last season.) Grab the points, the play is Illinois State!

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10* Tulane (BLOOD-BATH)

Prairie View A&M is 4-2 overall and 5-0 against the spread, so that now tells us two things looking at these numbers: the Panthers are a pretty good team. They're No. 1 overall in the SWAC and they're coming off three straight road victories as an underdog (and really BIG underdogs in every one of them, most recently they were an 11.5-point dog vs. Eastern Kentucky on the road and won 76-64.) Obviously Prairie View A&M is a pretty good team, not to be overlooked, but at 5-0 against the spread, that now tells us that they're likely going to be really overvalued here moving forward. Tulane is similar in that it's a really good team as well. It's 4-1 in a tough AAC conference and it's also coming in off a big win..beating Cal 84-81. But unlike their opponent today, the Green Wave UP UNTIL THIS POINT have been the overvalued team as they're just 1-4 against the spread. But now the situation has flip-flopped for these teams, and the value now swings the other way. We think Tulane, which now returns home where its already 3-0 this season after two straight Tournament games, is where the value lies; lay the points, the play is Tulane!

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10* Missouri (NON-CONF GOW)

Missouri is 5-2 SU, while Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU. The Tigers though are an unrealistic 0-7 ATS, while the Panthers are an unrealistic 5-1 ATS. Look for these lop-sided trends/numbers to start correcting themselves here immediately tonight. Outright win?! With a smaller spread like this, clearly, anything is possible. But in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these talented teams has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. On the season Missouri is averaging 75.1 PPG, while allowing 67, while Pittsburgh is averaging 88.2, while conceding 63.2. Of course, the level of competition for each side has to be called into question at this point. Missouri shoots the ball well from three and is going to be able to stretch this Pittsburgh defense; grab the points, the play is the Tigers!

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10* WEST-CONF NON-DIV GOY on New Orleans.

Here's a great "spot" wager, one so strong that it's qualified as our No. 1 WESTERN-CONFERENCE NON-DIVISIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR. New Orleans is 9-8 after a 105-100 loss here two nights ago. Note though that the Pels have responded well in this spot for bettors by going 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Utah is just 5-11. That victory snapped a four-game slide. But with an upcoming road trip starting at Memphis, not only is this a letdown spot for the home side, but also a look-ahead. And when you add up those two factors together, you get TRAP GAME. This is now a trap for the contented home side, well all signs point to New Orleans keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish in this revenge-scenario; lay the points, the play is indeed on New Orleans!

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10* Fordham (MID-MAJOR MAULING)

The MAAC takes on the A-10 here. Manhattan got smashed 90-60 on the road by No. 5 UConn last time out and we think the Jaspers will once again have their hands full here vs. the Rams, who are looking to rebound themselves after a competitive 79-72 loss to Kent State. Overall Manhattan is averaging 65.6 PPG, while allowing 75.6, while Fordham is averaging 67 PPG, while allowing 68.8. Of course, both team's numbers are skewed because of the early competition. That said, Fordham's defes is definitely on another level here and we just can't see the offensively-challenged Jaspers keeping pace down the stretch; lay the points with confidence, the play is Fordham!

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10* Charleston (MID-MAJOR MAULING)

Charleston is 2-3 SU, but 0-5 ATS. We're expecting the Cougars to battle tough here and, at the very least, post the solid ATS cover this time around. Kent State is 4-2. Charleston is off the 80-72 win over Coastal Carolina, whole the Golden Flashes are off a 79-72 win over Fordham. So far in the early going Charleston is averaging 69.4 PPG, while allowing 74.2. Kent State has averaged 83.6 PPG, while allowing 74.4. The Cougars have only played one true home game. They're battle-tested here and we think completely undervalued in this matchup. We really respect Kent State, but we don't see the Flashes covering this larger number; so grab the points, the play is Charleston!

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10* UALR (MAULING)

It's the AAC traveling to take on the Ohio Valley Conference. The Golden Hurricane are 4-0, while the Trojans are 1-4. In a contest that we see "coming down to the wire" though, we're grabbing the points with the desperate home side here. Tulsa is off the 90-70 win over South Carolina State. The Trojans blew a 17-point lead in their last game and lost 93-90 to Georgia State in overtime. We like the Trojans to bounce back here after that disaster, as they just had a mental-lapse. Look for the tempo the home side sets to be too much for the Golden Hurricane to handle today, and while I do think an outright win is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with UALR!

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10* Samford (MID-MAJOR MAULING)

Samford is 3-2 and Merrimack is 3-1. Samford is known for its tough defensive play, while Samford is known for its high-scoring offensive prowess. It's a classic strength vs. strength here. The Bulldogs are balanced overall, averaging 78.8 PPG, while allowing 72.8. The Warriors average 73.4 PPG, while allowing 70.6. Merrimack's competition to this point though needsd to be called into question. Look for the high-scoring home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and to comfortably pull away for the win and ATS cover; the play is indeed on Samford!

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10* Arizona State (NON-CONF GOW)

The Sun Devils are 2-1 and on a two-game win streak after a 71-69 victory over UMass Lowell River. BYU is 4-0, most recently off a commanding 93-50 victory over Morgan State. Aside from SDSU, a game the Cougars won 74-65 as two-point favorites, BYU has not played anyone of note. They've been massive double-digit favorites in every other game. This is the "Vegas Showdown" Tournament and we think that the improving underdog side offers great value in this spot to pull off a comfortable ATS cover. Look for ASU to put up a similar fight as to what the Aztecs gave; grab the points, the play is indeed on Arizona State!

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10* UC Riverside (MID-MAJOR MAULING)

UC Riverside is 2-3 SU and 0-4 ATS. We expect the Highlanders to, at the very least, finally get off the schneid here in the ATS department. They're actually coming off a 74-68 win over Wisconsin Green Bay and despite not covering the spread last time out, note that UC Riverside is still a wallet-expanding 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Montanta State actually lost 54-53 to Wisconsin Green Bay in OT as an 11-point favorite here at home two nights ago. These teams are in fact evenly matched and in a battle that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is UC Riverside!

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10* MARYLAND (ATS CURB-STOMP)

Maryland is 1-3, while UMBC is 3-2. The Terps are heavily favored here to snap their three game slide and we think they'll do just that by being merciless here on the Retreivers. Note that Maryland is in fact 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. UMBC now looks primed for a letdown after winning and covering in three straight (note that the Retreivers are in fact just 2-4 ATS in their last six after three or more straight SU victories in a row.) Look for Maryland to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one and lay the points with confidence!

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10* Wolves (NON-CONF GOW)

New York is 8-5, including 5-3 on the road. But after three straight SU/ATS road victories, and with four days off after this before game vs. rival Miami, we say this absolutely sets up as a "trap" for the visitors. Minnesota has won eight in a row, but it's lost three straight ATS. Note that the Wolves are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. We expect the visitors to "go through the motions" here; the play is Minnesota!

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10* Wisconsin (TOURNEY GOW)

Virginia is 4-0 and Wisconsin is 2-2. The Badgers are off a 76-68 win over Robert Morris, while UVA is off a 63-33 win over Texas Southern. This is UVA's first "real" test though and Wisconsin ultimately has the offensive fire-power to match pace. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Wisconsin!

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8* Indiana (ATS BLOWOUT)

Indiana is 3-1 SU, but 0-4 ATS. Louisville is 2-2 SU/ATS. This is the consolation game of the Saatva Empire Classic. The Hoosiers are off the 77-57 loss to UConn, but we're expecting them to bounce back here, and keep your eye on Kel'el Ware, who is averaging 16.5 points and 9.5 boards per game. Louisville lost to Texas last time out. The Cardinals are led most night by Tre White with 14.5 PPG. Clearly, Louisville is going to be better than the garbage pile it was last year, but it's still in over its head here in our opinion; lay the points, the play is Indiana!

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10* Blazers (NORTHWEST DIV. GOM)

Here's a great situational wager on Portland. OKC is 9-4 and it's won four in a row, including two straight at Golden State, including last night's 130-123 OT victory. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! Portland has lost six straight. It's lost three straight ATS, but note that the Blazers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS setbacks in a row. With a couple days off after this, followed by a home game vs. the Bulls, this one has "trap" written all over it for the visitors; grab the points, the play is the Blazers!

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10* St. John's (ASSASSIN)

This is for the third-place in the Charleston Classic. The Red Storm are off an 88-81 loss at Dayton, while the Utes fell 76-66 to Houston on Friday. St. John's is now 2-2 on the year, but battle-tested. They average 74.3 PPG, while allowing 75.8. Utah is averaging 71.5 PPG, while allowing 66.3. The Utes struggled defensively last time out though and we think they'll have their hands full here too in this neutral site affair. We think the Red Storm will do more than enough to, at the very least, post the comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is St. John's!

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8* Morgan State (ULTIMATE SHOCKER)

Outright victory?! Of course not! But we think that this is a great situational play on the underdog. Morgan State is 2-2 and BYU is 3-0. The Cougars have yet to be tested, plaing all three games at home, but with a tournament game vs. Arizona State this week, there's no doubt that BYU gets caught "looking ahead" here. We like the Bears to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Morgan State!

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10* Bulls (UNDERDOG OF MONTH)

Despite having just played and lost 103-97 to Orlando last night, we like the Bulls to bounce back and take the first game of this two-game series here vs. the Heat. Chicago lost both games to orlando and it's now lost three in a row. Note though that the Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU losses in a row. Miami has won seven straight, but we expect it to have its hands full here today vs. this underachieving home side. And while the outright win is obviously poossible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with Chicago!

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