This is a 10* TNT SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Chicago Bulls.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Injured legend: The Lakers have looked a lot more competitive of late, especially for bettors as they’ve covered in six straight games. A big reason has been the improved play of Kobe Bryant, who has averaged 24.9 over his last seven. Note though that Bryant would dislocate his right middle finger in Friday’s 119-113 loss to San Antonio and while the aging super star will get the start today, we don’t expect him to be nearly as effective. With their main weapon and offensive focal point relegated as a second or third option tonight, we have a hard time seeing the overachieving visitors keeping pace with this hungry home side.

Rising Bulls?: Chicago stumbled into the break, but looked great on both ends of the floor in a 116-106 home over Toronto on Friday that ended a five-game skid. Pau Gasol, who played 6.5 years with Bryant in LA, would barely miss posting a triple-double with 18 points, 11 boards and nine assists. Gasol dominated his former team on January 28th as well with 21 points, 12 boards and seven assists in the Bulls’ 114-91 victory.

If history is any precedence: The Bulls have to like their chances today in being able to string together a couple of convincing victories as they’ve won seven of the last nine in the series, including the last four on their home floor.

ATS statistics: Note that LA is just 5-7 ATS this season after scoring 105 points or more, while Chicago is 12-9 ATS in all non-conference contests.

The bottom line: With their leader injured, we expect the Lakers to come out flat tonight, it’s a perfect storm of factors working in favor of the BULLS, lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Detroit Pistons.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Uphill battle: Despite beating the 76er’s 121-114 on Friday and going 10-7 since January 13th, the Pelicans face a daunting task in their quest for a second-straight playoff appearance, right now they’re 12th in the Western Conference, six games behind Houston and Utah for eighth place.

On the cusp: Conversely, despite a brutal stretch in which they’ve lost four straight and seven of their last ten overall, the Pistons still sit just 1.5 games back of Charlotte and Chicago for the final two spots in the East. Detroit got a much needed boost via trades before the deadline, acquiring Tobias Harris from the Magic for Brandon Jennings and Erlan Ilyasova, while also getting Donatas Motiejunas and veteran guard Marcus Thornton from the Rockets: "You're going to have to take some risk in order to get better," Pistons coach Stan Van Gundy said. "There are no deals where there's no risk and we feel like this was a risk we could handle."

Revenge factor: Detroit will be looking to atone for a lacklustre 115-99 setback at New Orleans on January 21st. In fact, the Pelicans have won three straight in Detroit and haven’t lost to the Pistons whatsoever since February 2012.

ATS statistics: Note that New Orleans is just 5-13 ATS in non-conference games this season and only 9-12 ATS after scoring 105 points or more, while Detroit is 4-3 ATS this year as a home fav in the 3.5 to six points range and in 16-9 ATS in all home games.

The bottom line: With a game tomorrow night at Cleveland, it’s going to be all hands on deck for the home side and we expect this determined play to ultimately prove to be the difference in the outcome of this contest. Lay the points on the PISTONS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* BIG-WEST BAILOUT-BLOWOUT on Cal Irvine.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Both teams are rolling, so where’s the advantage?: Hawaii has won five straight, most recently a 69-63 road victory over Cal State on Thursday, while UC Irvine has won two straight and three of four after destroying Cal State Fullerton 96-77 on the road on Wednesday. The clincher for us today though is the very real “revenge factor” in which the Anteaters play with today after the Rainbow Warriors took the first meeting of the season, a 74-52 spanking on February 12th. 

ATS statistics: Note that Hawaii is just 6-14-1 ATS in its last 21 road games vs. teams with a home winning percentage above .600, while UC Irvine is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 vs. the conference and 9-4 ATS in its last 13 at home vs. teams with a road winning percentage above .600.

The bottom line: These teams are very evenly matched, but the revenge factor, combined with the home floor advantage and these strong trends do indeed make the ANTEATERS the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Oregon.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

It’s payback time: Oregon State beat the Ducks 70-57 in Corvallis on January 3rd, Oregon had come into that game having won four straight and seven of eight in the series previous to that. Oregon is 88th in the nation in averaging 77.3 PPG. 

Letdown spot: After winning three straight, the Beavers got spanked 83-71 at Cal last Saturday. Momentum is hard to gain, but it’s even harder to get it back once lost. Note that Oregon State is ranked 235th in the nation in putting up an average of 71 PPG.

ATS statistics: Oregon State is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 on the road vs. teams with a home winning percentage of at least .600 and only 2-10 ATS in their last 12 on the road vs. teams with winning home records, while Oregon is 8-1 ATS in its last nine at home vs. teams with a road winning percentage of below .400, 8-1 ATS in its last nine at home vs. teams with a losing road record and 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs. teams with winning records overall.

The bottom line: Oregon is 15-0 in Eugene this season, while Oregon State is just 3-5 on the road. With a chance to avenge the earlier loss to their arch-rival, we look for the DUCKS to put the pedal to the metal from start to finish.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Mississippi.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation levels: We feel Mississippi comes in highly motivated and focused on the task at hand. It’s 16-10 SU and 6-7 in the SEC and will be looking to get back on track after losing two of its last three to fall to ninth in conference. While conversely, we believe that Auburn is set up for a major letdown after it upset Arkansas on the road, 90-86 to break a seven-game losing slide.

Recent history: Revenge is a powerful motivating factor, but in some instances it can be over-rated and that’s the case with this one in our opinion. Ole Miss dominated Auburn 80-63 at home in the first meeting and we expect a similar final outcome today. If Mississippi had come into this one on a win streak, we’d have likely taken Auburn in this spot, but because of the recent losing skid, the “revenge factor” gets thrown out the window in this case. In the first meeting, the Rebels held the Tigers to just 37 percent shooting, while also out rebounding them 35-28.

ATS statistics: Ole Miss is 6-2 ATS in its last eight following an ATS loss and 4-1-1 ATS in its last six on the road, while Auburn is just 1-5 ATS its last six following an ATS victory and 2-6 ATS in its last eight overall.

The bottom line: Ole Miss would beat Arkansas by 16 last Saturday, there’s no way that Auburn shoots over 60 percent from the floor again. We’re expecting a rout, play on MISSISSIPPI.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Vanderbilt.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

They are evenly matched, so where’s the advantage?: There’s no question that these teams are evenly matched, Georgia enters off a loss to Florida and is 14-10 overall and 7-6 in conference, while Vanderbilt comes in off a tough setback to Mississippi State and which has also won three of its last five. But it was the way that Vandy lost which we feel will motivate the team after a three-point buzzer beater sealed its fate. And this was after leading by as many as 17 points in the second half (note that the Bulldogs are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 following an ATS loss).

ATS statistics: Note that Georgia is just 1-6 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less, while Vanderbilt is 7-4 ATS in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: After taking all of the above info into consideration, while also taking into account that the home side does also play with revenge today after falling 70-62 to Georgia last season, it is in our professional opinion that VANDERBILT is indeed the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on South Carolina.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation: The Gators are 17-9 and have won four of their last six. The Gamecocks are 21-5, but have lost two straight and three of their last five. For us, this sets up nicely, it’s a natural letdown spot for the visitors, while the home side will be desperate to prove that it’s opening season surge was no fluke.

Look deeper into the numbers: If you look a little closer at Florida’s 17-9 record, you realize that it’s just 1-5 vs. ranked teams this season, a lone victory came over WVU in January. 

ATS statistics: Note that Florida is just 3-4 ATS this year off a win vs. a conference rival and only 1-4 ATS in February, while South Carolina is 8-3 ATS at home and 14-6 ATS when playing the role of favorite.

The bottom line: There’s no way this game means more to the Gators than it does to the GAMECOCKS, we’re backing the hungry and desperate home side.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Harvard.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: The Crimson will be eager to break out of their funk, having dropped six of their last seven.

Revenge factor: Harvard had won five straight in this series before Columbia took the first meeting of this season, 57-55 on the road on January 30th.

Tough defensive play: Harvard has been all over the map as far as its consistency on the offensive end of the floor, but one constant has been its defensive play, it allows an average of just 66 points a game, ranked 48th in the country. 

Classic letdown spot: The Lions are 6-2 in Ivy League play, but come in off a tough loss to Princeton last time out. It’s hard to gain momentum and once lost, it’s even harder to get it back.

ATS statistics: Note that Harvard is 2-1 ATS in its last three in revenging a loss vs. an opponent, while Columbia is just 3-4 ATS vs. conference opponents and only 2-3 ATS in front of the home town crowd this season.

The bottom line: A hungry HARVARD team catches Columbia complacent and while we won’t be so bold as to call for the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the visitors to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the LA Clippers.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Significant injuries: The Spurs will once again be without the services of big man Tim Duncan and veteran Manu Ginobili tonight.

Home court advantage: The Spurs are 28-0 at home, but a mere 17-8 on the road. Obviously that’s still a great record, but it’s definitely been more of an adventure for San Antonio whenever it’s played away from friendly confines. LA is 17-8 at home and with a game vs. the Warriors on deck next, we’re expecting the team to leave everything it has on the floor tonight in trying to secure the upset.

Revenge factor: San Antonio won the first matchup of the year, a 115-107 victory on December 18th. 

ATS statistics: Note that the Spurs are interestingly just 4-5 ATS in their last nine vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest, while the Clippers are 9-7 ATS in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent and 6-3 ATS in their last nine vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per game.

The bottom line: Even without Blake Griffin in the lineup tonight, we love the CLIPPERS in this spot, there are a bunch of different situational and strong trend based factors working in their favor today and while we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Connecticut.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

A great start, but a little inconsistent lately: The Mustangs opened the season 18-0 and were the final team in the country to lose a game, but SMU has since alternated wins with losses over its last six. And after beating a good Gonzaga team 69-60 in Dallas on Saturday in non-conference play, there’s no question in our minds that this one does indeed set up as a bit of a letdown spot for the visitors (remember, SMU is not able to participate in any postseason basketball because of NCAA violations). 

A massive game for the home side: UConn is firmly on the bubble right now but a victory today would likely cement its ticket to the Big Dance. The Huskies have yet to beat a ranked team this season and today’s matchup with SMU will be their last chance to do so. Upon comes in with momentum as it would hold on for a crucial 75-73 win over Tulsa on Saturday. 

Strength against strength: It’s true that SMU has the AAC’s top offense, but note that UConn ranks second nationally in field-goal defense at 37.3 percent.

ATS statistics: Note that SMU is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600; it’s also only 2-6 ATS in its last eight vs. teams with a winning SU record and 1-7 ATS in its last eight following an ATS victory and finally a poor 0-4 ATS in its last four following a straight win. And note that UConn is 23-10 TS in its last 33 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 (and note that the home team is 4-1 ATS the last five in this series).

The bottom line: It’s payback time, as SMU beat UConn 62-54 in last year’s AAC Tournament final, which kept the Huskies out of the NCAA Tournament a year after winning it. Play on CONNECTICUT!

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Georgetown.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Momentum lost: It’s hard to build momentum and once it’s lost, it’s certainly difficult to gain it back immediately. After winning four straight, the Pirates would fall to Butler last time out and in our professional opinion, there’s no doubt that this one sets up as a classic letdown spot for the visitors.

Revenge spot: While the Hoyas have been all over the map with their consistency this year, beating some of the best in the nation, while dropping a few head-scratchers as well, there’s no doubt they’ll be out to protect their home floor tonight and to avenge a 69-61 setback to Seton Hall on February 6th. 

ATS statistics: Note that the Pirates are just 5-6 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 80 points or more, while Georgetown is 3-1 ATS in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent this season.

The bottom line: All signs do indeed point to GEORGETOWN as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on West Virginia.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

It’s payback time: The surging 20-5 Mountaineers can avenge two of their three leagues losses this week and it starts tonight vs. No. 24 Texas. The Longhorns took advantage of a complacent WVU team which had just beaten then No. 1 Kansas, giving the Mountaineers a serious reality check in the 56-49 victory. Since then though WVU has gone on to win five of six in the Big 12 to move into a tie with the Jayhawks atop the leaderboard. Momentum is definitely on the visitors side, they’d most recently annihilate TCU 73-42 on Saturday.

Top notch defensive play: Note that the Mountaineers would force 26 turnovers in the victory over TCU, which would wind up leading to 26 points. WVU is the Division I leader in steals and takeaways per game.

Cracks in the armor: The Longhorns’ vaunted defensive unit has come up short of late, allowing the Cyclones to shoot 55.4 percent and to score 49 second-half points in a 85-75 setback on Saturday. Texas would wind up getting outscored 48-34 in the paint.

Lacking down the middle: Note that the Longhorns have been out rebounded by 2.6 per game in league play, a big time area that WVU can take advantage of as the Mountaineers also top Division I in offensive rebounding.

ATS statistics: Note that WVU is 5-3 ATS this season off a win vs. a conference rival, while Teas is just 1-3 ATS after allowing 80 points or more.

The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on WEST VIRGINIA.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Buffalo.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few simple common sense factors:

Revenge: Buffalo fell to Akron 75-71 on January 5th.

Motivation: After back-to-back SU/ATS losses, the Bulls will be hungry here to break back into the win column. Conversely, after surging to seven straight SU/ATS victories, Akron is coming off an 80-79 loss at Northern Illinois as a 2-point favorite. Once momentum has been lost, there’s no question that it’s difficult to get it back.

Look ahead spot: On top of this being a prime letdown spot, it also sets up as a classic look-ahead scenario with a game at Kent State on Friday.

ATS statistics: Note that Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last seven in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent and 4-1 ATS this season after allowing 80 points or more, while Akron is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a home fav in the 6.5 to nine points range and already 0-2 ATS this year off a loss vs. a conference rival.

The bottom line: While we won’t be so bold as to call for the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the visitors to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on Boston College.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Surging Eagles: Boston College has lost its first 11 conference matches, but comes in off its most complete effort of the season in its 68-65 setback to No. 8 UNC on Tuesday. Suffice it to say, we look for this team to carry that momentum over into this one.

The immediate revenge factor: BC will be looking to avenge a 62-40 setback to the Orange on January 13th.

Classic letdown spot: Syracuse is rolling, it’s won four straight and seven of its last eight to re-enter the NCAA Tournament picture. However, with a game vs. Louisville on Wednesday, it’s definitely not too hard to imagine the Orange looking past the lowly Eagles today to that extremely important matchup.

Scheduling quirk: Note that this is the first road game for Syracuse since its loss at Virginia on January 24th. All four of its victories during the recent surge have come on its home floor.

ATS statistics: Note that Syracuse is just 2-3 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more, while BC is 5-3 ATS in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: We won’t try to convince you that the Eagles are a good team which has just gone through some bad luck, as that’s definitely not the case. BC is a bad team, but there’s no question that the situational factors are all on its side today. Grab as many points as you can with BOSTON COLLEGE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* BLOWOUT on UNLV.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic letdown spot: The Rams picked up a second consecutive victory by beating the Boise State Broncos on Wednesday, but needed double OT to do it, eventually pulling away for the 97-93 win. The victory had some controversy as well, as Boise State’s James Webb III hit a three-pointer before time expired in the first OT, but the officials did not count the shot. The Conference has since reversed the decision and the Broncos are protesting the loss. With the team still thinking about the drama surrounding that exciting contest, there’s no question that this one sets up as classic letdown spot for the visitors.

A move in the correct direction: UNLV broke a three-game slide by besting SJSU 64-61 last time out. And it’s the way the Rebels closed which has us confident for this one as UNLV came back from a 37-24 halftime deficit to score 40 points in the second.

Revenge: The Rams would beat the Rebels at home in Fort Collins earlier in the season.

ATS statistics: Note that Colorado State is just 3-7 ATS after scoring 80 points or more this season, while UNLV is 7-4 ATS vs. good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest.

The bottom line: There are a bunch of different factors which are all pointing to UNLV as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Iowa State.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: Iowa State is ranked 15th in the Nation, but has lost three of its last four. Not only will it be looking to break the slide, but it’ll also be out to avenge a 94-91 OT loss to the Longhorns back on January 12th. Suffice it to say, we believe the determination and focus that the home side plays with today will result in production on the court: "We had great chances to win down the stretch. We were up. We just didn't finish the game. That's the bottom line,” said Cyclones coach Steve Prohm about his team’s recent slide.

The numbers don’t lie: Texas has been on quite a role of late, but we feel it is primed for a letdown here finally in facing this revenge minded home side and the numbers back up that assumption as the Longhorns are just 9-13 ATS their last 22 off a loss vs. a conference rival and just 4-5 ATS in their last nine as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range.

ATS statistics: Note that Iowa State has dominated in this spot for bettors this season, going 4-2 ATS after allowing 80 points or more and a perfect 2-0 ATS in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: All of the factors listed absolutely make IOWA STATE the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Stanford.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: There is no doubt that the Cardinal will be playing with desperation today, they’ve lost four straight, both SU and ATS, most recently a 62-50 setback to Oregon State on Thursday. Conversely, we absolutely feel that this sets up as a natural letdown spot for the Ducks, who after winning both SU and ATS in six straight games, would finally fall 83-63 at Cal as 1.5 points favs last time out. It’s hard to gain momentum back after losing it and suffice it to say, this one definitely sets up as a classic letdown spot for the visitors in our professional opinion. 

Revenge: Stanford has lost two straight in the series, both SU and ATS, most recently a 71-58 setback at Oregon on January 10th.

ATS statistics: Note that the Cardinal are 17-3 SU the last 20 in this series when playing in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: It’s not too hard to imagine the 20-5 Ducks coming into this one a bit complacent as they hit a “vanilla” part of their schedule, with a game vs. the hapless Beavers next week and while we won’t be so bold as to predict an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on STANFORD.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Georgetown.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: After three straight SU losses and five straight ATS setbacks, the Hoyas finally broke though with a 92-67 SU/ATS victory over St. John’s last time out. Georgetown will be looking to string a couple of wins together now and to avenge a 73-69 loss to the Friars on January 30th. Providence has in fact won three-straight games in the series and four of the last five.

Classic “look-ahead” spot: It’s not too hard to imagine Providence in some small way looking past 14-11 Georgetown today to its game vs. league leading 21-3 Xavier on Wednesday. 

ATS statistics: Note that Georgetown is 7-5 ATS vs. conference opponents this year and 6-4 ATS when playing the role of underdog, while Providence is just 5-8 ATS at home and already 0-2 ATS as a home fav of 3.5 to six points.

The bottom line: In our professional opinion, this one definitely sets up as a great “spot” bet and while we obviously wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on GEORGETOWN.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Northern Iowa.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Surging Panthers: While NIU won’t be headed to to the NCAA Tournament with a 15-11 SU overall record (7-6 in the MVC), it’s certainly turned its season around, it enters this one on a five-game win streak, most recently beating Missouri 83-69 on Wednesday. Four players scored in double figures and Northern Iowa has now won eight straight when scoring at least 80 points. Note that defensively, NIU gives up 65.5 a night.

Letdown spot: The Shockers are rolling along, they’re 12-1 in conference and it’s just a matter of time until they lock up the regular season title. The team is also coming off a 74-48 win at Drake last Tuesday, its biggest ever victory on its home-court. 

Revenge: No big surprise that the visitors will be playing with revenge today, they fell 74-55 to the Shockers on January 20th. Wichita State has in fact won eight of the last ten in the series, both SU and ATS.

ATS statistics: Note that Northern Iowa is 4-2 ATS this year off a win vs. a conference rival, while Wichita State is just 5-7 ATS this season after allowing 60 points or less.

The bottom line: The Panthers are not a push over, they’ve beaten North Carolina and Iowa State. And note, in the loss to the Shockers in January, Wichita State only led by six with about four minutes left to play. While we won’t be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for NORTHERN IOWA to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT on Stanford.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: We don’t think the Cardinal will be throwing in the towel on the season, despite losing three in a row, we like the team to come out aggressive tonight. And if history is any precedence, then Stanford has to be liking its chances as it would defeat Oregon State 78-72 in the first meeting of the season. 

Evenly matched: The Cardinal are just 11-10, while the Beavers are 14-8, but don’t let their records fool you, these team’s numbers are practically identical, as Stanford averages 70.5 PPG while giving up 69.7, while Oregon State averages 71.4 and allows 68.6.

ATS statistics: Note that Oregon State is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following an ATS victory and only and just 1-3 ATS off a win vs. a conference rival, while Stanford is already 2-0 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: The CARDINAL play well at home, we peg them to be the much more motivated side and with the confidence in knowing that they’ve already beaten the Beavers this year, we look for them to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Milwaukee Bucks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: The Bucks fell 106-101 to Washington on January 13th and will be highly motivated to avoid the season series sweep, losing the first three meetings of the year.

Momentum: Milwaukee played like a desperate team in its 112-111 win over the Celtics on Tuesday, breaking a stretch of five-straight losses. The Bucks would allow the C’s to battle back from 19 down in the fourth quarter, but were able to finally find a way to pull out the victory. If the team had lost that one, we’d likely be going the other way on this selection, but with the victory, we like Milwaukee to come in focused and confident tonight.

ATS statistics: Note that Washington is just 1-3 ATS this year as a road dog of three points or less and only 13-15 ATS vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest, while Milwaukee is 18-15 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent and 13-9 ATS in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: With the All-Star break looming, we think the visitors get caught looking ahead to that time off, while the hungrier BUCKS take advantage and build off their latest victory.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* REVENGE DESTRUCTION on Connecticut. 

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Momentum: The Huskies have won three straight, most recently an 85-67 victory over East Carolina on Sunday. Temple also comes in on a three-game win streak, but now faces a determined and hungry visiting side that is out for redemption.

Revenge: The Owls beat the Huskies 55-53 on January 5th at the XL Center in the first meeting of the season.

Smothering defensive play: UConn ranks second in the country in allowing the opposition to shoot just .368 from the field. The Huskies also rank in the top ten in free-throw percentage and scoring defense (61.4). 

ATS statistics: Note that UConn is 4-2 ATS this season after scoring 80 points or more, while Temple is just 3-4 ATS off a victory vs. a conference rival.

The bottom line: Both teams are playing at a very high-level right now, but the revenge factor, combined with the nation leading defensive play and these ATS stats do indeed make the HUSKIES the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Detroit Pistons.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge motivation: The home side will be looking to avoid its first three-game skid since December, while also out to avenge a loss to the Nuggets in Denver just last month.

Letdown/look-ahead spot: Denver has been playing a lot better lately, especially for bettors, covering the spread in eight of its last ten. It had won two in a row SU and seven straight ATS until a 105-104 loss as a 2.5 point favorite in Brooklyn on Monday. It’s hard to gain momentum back after losing it and with eight days off for the All Star break after this contest, there’s no question in our minds that this does indeed set up as a classic letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors.

ATS statistics: Note that Denver is just 1-2 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Detroit is 15-12 ATS this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: We expect the visitors to check out of this one early and for the hungry PISTONS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Sacramento Kings.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

“The Brain” stays: There were reports that coach George Karl was on his way out of Sacramento, but GM Vlade Divac has given him a second chance and with one last opportunity to secure a win after eight losses out of their last nine, we look for the “The Brain” and his team to rise to the occasion. 

Revenge: The hungry Kings will be eager to atone for a particularly low-spot of their season when they fell 110-105 to the 76ers at home on December 30th. 

DeMarcus Cousins: Keep your eyes on the big man, he’s averaging 31.0 points and 17.3 boards in his last three vs. Philadelphia.

ATS statistics: Note that Sacramento is 5-3 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses and 4-3 ATS after playing three consecutive road games, while Philadelphia is a horrible 11-13 ATS at home this season and only 2-3 ATS this year as a home dog of 3.5 to six points.

The bottom line: We think a motivated and highly focused KINGS team finally comes to play a full four quarters and comfortably pulls away down the stretch for the ATS cover.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the New York Knicks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

New York coaching change: When a struggling team makes a coaching change in the middle of the season, one of two things invariably happens: either the team responds, or nothing changes and it continues to spiral down the proverbial crapper. We think the former will be the case though, at least for tonight as Kurt Rambis will now take the reigns for the first time since the Knicks let go of Derek Fisher. 

Perfect opponent to get untracked against: New York looks to regain the form which saw it dominate the first month and a half of the season and a date vs. the struggling Wizards is just what the doctor ordered, Washington has dropped eight of 11 while allowing 111.4 PPG.

Revenge factor: New York did manage to beat Washington 117-110 on October 31st to snap a seven-game win slide in the series, but the Knicks will still be eager to break a four-game losing streak in the series at Madison Square Garden.

ATS statistics: Note that Washington is already 0-3 ATS this season as a road underdog of three points or less and just 5-6 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while New York is 7-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses and 11-8 ATS following a non-conference contest.

The bottom line: The coaching change, the revenge factor, plenty of strong ATS statistics, all signs do indeed point to the KNICKS as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Milwaukee Bucks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation levels: Boston is rolling, it’s won nine of its last ten, most recently a 128-119 victory over Sacramento on Sunday. That also included a hugely satisfying victory over Cleveland on Friday. The Bucks on the other hand will be playing with extreme desperation as they look to break a season-high five-game slide. Desperation breeds motivation while winning leads to contentedness.

Revenge factor: The Bucks play with revenge today, they fell 99-83 at home to Boston on November 10th. Note that Milwaukee has in fact dropped two straight and seven of their last ten to the C’s in front of the home town crowd.

Getting healthier: The home side expects a big boost today with the return from OJ Mayo, who has been sitting for 11 games with a hamstring injury (one other players to keep your eyes on today is Bucks’ centre Greg Monroe, who is averaging 20.5 points on 56.3 percent shooting over his last eight games).

ATS statistics: Note that Boston is just 3-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: The situational, motivational, personnel and trend based factors do all indeed point to the BUCKS as the sharp move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG-TIGER on Purdue.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge factor: To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement, as MSU has won seven-straight in the series.

Rebounding battle: These are a couple of the leagues best on the glass, as MSU leads the country at plus 12.8. Purdue has been dominant down low all year as well and we feel this will play a major factor in the outcome of this contest as the Boilermakers are third in the nation in rebounding differential at plus-11.8 and have been the only team to yet be out rebounded in a game. This negates the Spartans strength and tips the scales in favor of the home side.

Even defensively: These teams are also a “wash” defensively, MSU leads the conference in almost every category, while Purdue is right behind in second.

ATS statistics: Note that Michigan State is just 2-5 ATS this year vs. good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest, while Purdue is 6-4 ATS in the same position. 

The bottom line: It’s hard to imagine Michigan State “looking past” Purdue today, but with a game vs. Indiana next Saturday, the team sitting just one spot ahead of it in the league standings, it’s definitely not out of the realm of possibility. And combined with the other situational, motivational and trend based factors listed above, all signs do indeed point to the BOILERMAKERS as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Clemson.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

A classic letdown spot: The Irish are coming off a huge 80-76 win over North Carolina and suffice it to say, all signs do indeed point to a classic letdown for the visitors.

Revenge: Notre Dame is a perfect 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS in the series dating back to 2014, including an 81-67 victory March 7th, 2015.

Hungry home side: The Tigers are coming off a loss to Virginia Tech and will be hungry to get back into the win column and finally break their run of futility to the Irish (note that Clemson does have good conference wins over Duke, Miami and Louisville this year).

ATS statistics: Note that Notre Dame is just 1-3 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest and just 3-7 ATS after scoring 80 points or more, while Clemson is 9-2 ATS this season vs. the conference and 2-0 ATS when playing with one or less days rest.

The bottom line: Behind their trademark tough defensive play, we look for the TIGERS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* REVENGE DESTRUCTION on the Chicago Bulls.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different basic factors:

Revenge: Charlotte has won two of three over Chicago, most recently a 102-96 victory on December 5th.

Derek Rose: Chicago star Jimmy Butler won’t be playing in this one, but D-Rose has picked up the slack by averaging 19.5 points and 9.5 assists the last two games.

ATS statistics: This is in fact a spot in which the Bulls have dominated in for bettors, going 12-8 ATS last 20 after allowing 105 points or more, while Charlotte has struggled in this spot by going just 14-17 ATS vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest and just 6-10 ATS after scoring 105 points or more. 

The bottom line: With a five game road trip which starts on Wednesday, we think the home side comes into this one a bit complacent and despite being down a key player, we ultimately feel that the level of desperation in which the BULLS play with today will prove to be the difference. Play on CHICAGO.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the New York Knicks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: The home side will be the hungrier team today in our opinion, it’s lost four straight and now sits 11th place in the Eastern Conference. 

Carmelo Anthony: How Melo goes, so go the Knicks. New York is 0-7 in games he’s missed, but he’s expected to be in the lineup today. 

Classic letdown/look-ahead spot: The Nuggets have been trading wins and losses over their last six games and come in off an extremely satisfying come from behind 115-110 victory over Chicago on Friday. With a game tomorrow night in Brooklyn, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors coming into this one a bit complacent.

ATS statistics: Note that Denver is just 10-11 ATS this season after scoring 105 points or more, while New York is 6-4 ATS after three or more consecutive losses, 5-3 ATS after scoring 85 points or less, 21-14 ATS vs. good offensive teams which average 99-plus points per contest and interestingly, 5-1 ATS vs. the Northwest division.

The bottom line: We feel there are enough situational and trend based factors to pull the trigger on the determined home side, play on the KNICKS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Wake Forest.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: The Demon Deacons will desperately be trying to snap a season-long seven-game losing streak before hitting the road for three-straight away from friendly confines. Suffice it to say, we expect a big time effort from the home side this afternoon. Note though that the Deac’s strength of schedule is ranked No. 1 nationally in the Sagarin Ratings and the ESPN BPI, having already played nine ranked opponents. 

Classic look ahead spot: FSU next plays Syracuse next week, a team which it lost to twice last year.

Revenge factor: Wake plays with revenge after falling 82-76 to the Seminoles on January 28th, 2015.

Home court advantage: The Deacons are 14-6 SU their last 20 vs. FSU in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: The situation and the trends do indeed point to WAKE FOREST as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Milwaukee Bucks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Letdown/look-ahead spot: We feel this sets up as a classic spot bet against the Jazz, they’ve won four straight, but had to hold on for dear life in an 85-81 win over Denver on Wednesday, unable to cover the 8-point spread. And with a three game road trip starting tomorrow night in Phoenix, it’s definitely not too hard to imagine the home side looking past their Eastern Conference opponent this evening.

Revenge: The Bucks have dropped 13 straight in Utah.

Desperation breeds motivation: While the Jazz are flying high, the Bucks come in having lost four straight and five in a row on the road. There’s no question in our minds who will be the more motivated side in this one.

ATS statistics: Note that Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS vs. Northwest division opponents this season and 5-1 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses, while Utah is only 1-3 ATS after scoring 85 points or less and just 2-4 ATS after playing three consecutive home games.

The bottom line: While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the BUCKS to risk life and limb to secure a victory today and expect them to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Pennsylvania.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: The Quakers are looking to end a four-game slide and to take advantage of a Big Green team which had won three in a row before back to back setbacks at the hands of Columbia and Cornell.

Moving in the right direction: Pennsylvania will desperately be trying to secure its first conference win, but it’s come very close, surrounding a blowout loss to Yale, the Quakers would drop an OT game vs. Princeton on January 9th, while also falling at Brown 89-83 last weekend: “Against Brown, I think we did a lot of good things for long stretches,” head coach Steve Donahue assessed. “We played solid offense. The guys are getting better, there’s good growth, they’re all in, they keep competing. Now we just gotta put it together for 40 minutes,. One thing that really hurt us was [our shooting] at the foul line.”

ATS statistics: Note that Darmouth is just 1-5 ATS in its last six on the road and only 6-17-1 ATS in its last 24 games following a SU loss, while Pennsylvania is 5-2 ATS its last seven in front of the home town crowd and 6-2 ATS in its last eight at home vs. teams with losing road records.

The bottom line: Despite injuries, the QUAKERS are definitely knocking on the door for their first conference victory, note that Big Green has won just four games at the Palestra since 1959.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Texas Tech.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation levels: We’ll argue that Texas Tech will be the much more motivated team tonight, while the Red Raiders are still 12-8 and 8th overall in the Big 12, they come into this one having lost three straight. Oklahoma State on the other hand is 11-10 and 9th in the conference, but has won two of its last four, most recently a very satisfying 74-63 win over Auburn. 

ATS statistics: The Red Raiders are 7-3 ATS in their last ten at home and 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while the Cowboys are just 3-6 ATS after scoring 80 points or more and only 4-8 ATS vs. teams with winning records.

The bottom line: The situation and the trends both suggest that TEXAS TECH is indeed the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Dallas Mavericks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge factor: Dallas suffered a 106-82 setback to the Heat on New Years Day, a loss which still represents the team’s second lowest point total of the season. The Mavericks have in fact lost eight of the last nine in the series.

Letdown spot: It’s hard to gain back momentum and after having their four-game win streak halted in a 115-102 loss at Houston just last night, suffice it to say we think the Heat come in with “heavy legs” this evening. 

ATS statistics: Note that Miami is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine when playing on back-to-back days and just 2-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more, while Dallas is 14-7 ATS after allowing 105 points or more and 12-10 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: Both teams have injury concerns, so that area is a “wash,” DALLAS though clearly has the situational, motivational and trend based factors all working in its favor today.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Orlando Magic.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic letdown/look-ahead spot: This is as big as it gets with this angle, the Thunder have won nine of their last ten, including four straight and after playing the lowly Eastern Conference Magic tonight, have a battle at defending champion Golden State on Saturday. Suffice it to say, it’s obviously not too hard to imagine OKC looking past Orlando this evening.

Revenge: The Magic fell 139-136 in double OT at home to the Thunder on November 30th. Orlando has also lost six straight in OKC.

Road warriors: The Magic are 10-7 SU against the Western conference with six of those setbacks decided by six points or less, including three in the extra frame.

ATS statistics: Note that Orlando is 12-4 ATS in non-conference game this year, while OKC is just 8-13 ATS in non-conference contests and only 7-18 ATS vs. teams with losing records.

The bottom line: We won’t be so bold as to call for an outright upset, but with the situational and trend based factors working in their favor, we look for the MAGIC to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Miami Florida.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge factor: ND took both games vs. Miami last year.

Home court advantage: The Hurricanes have won eight straight at home. It’s averaged a 12.9 points margin in its last four ACC home games.

Experience advantage: Notre Dame had an experience edge last year, but not so this season as Miami boasts a starting lineup of seniors.

Classic lookahead spot: It’s hard not to imagine the Fighting Irish not getting caught looking ahead to their game at home vs. UNC on Saturday.

ATS statistics: Note that Notre Dame is just 1-2 ATS as an underdog this year, while Miami is 11-7 ATS as the favorite and 7-3 ATS in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: The situational, motivational and trend based factors do all indeed point to MIAMI as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Louisville.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation: When it comes to good teams, we have always felt that losing breeds motivation, while winning will more often than not lead to complacency. The Tar Heels come to town riding a 12-game winning streak. The Cardinals have lost back-to-back games for the first time since early last season. So not only will Louisville be looking to snap out of its recent funk, but it will also be eager to avenge a 70-60 setback to the Tar Heels back on March 12th, 2015.

ATS statistics: Note that UNC is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with a winning SU record and 1-4 ATS in their last five following an ATS victory, while Louisville is 11-7 ATS in its last 18 after three or more straight ATS setbacks.

The bottom line: After a listless effort in their setback to Virginia at home, we expect the CARDINALS to take full advantage of the many factors working in their favor and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Letdown spot: Portland is 22-26 after winning seven of its last nine and with eight of the next ten coming on its home floor, it's very hard for us not to imagine the Blazers coming in a bit complacent in facing the lowly Wolves tonight and with an important two game, back-to-back road trip in LA on the horizon.

Desperation breeds motivation: The Wolves have lost 14 of 15 overall and ten in a row on the road. Not only will they be trying to end that slide, but also to avenge three straight losses to the Blazers, including two close ones this year, a 106-101 setback on November 2nd and a 109-103 effort on December 5th.

ATS statistics: Note that Minnesota is already 5-3 ATS this year as a road dog in the 6.5 to 9 points range, while Portland is 0-3 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU victories.

The bottom line: The situational factors and the trends do indeed both point to the TIMBERWOLVES as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Orlando Magic.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Immediate revenge factor: The Magic lost 113-94 in Boston on Friday.

Desperation levels: Orlando will surely be the hungrier team today, it's lost eight straight and 12 of its last 13: "We've got to figure something out. We've got to do it fast or it's just going to keep going south," guard Victor Oladipo said. "We've said it all. We've been saying it all the past couple of weeks, and we've just got to do it. There's nothing more we can say."

If history is any precedence: Then Orlando has to be loving its chances for a bounce-back performance, it's averaged 101.5 in four consecutive home wins over the Celtics while giving up 93.8.

ATS statistics: Note that Boston is already just 2-4 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Orlando is 4-2 ATS after playing three consecutive road games.

The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the MAGIC to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic letdown spot: This is a battle for first spot in the division, but we think the Heat are lined up for a classic letdown today, they salvaged a five-game road trip by winning their final three, all by four points or less.

Desperate visiting side: While Miami comes into this one feeling a lot better about itself, the Hawks will be playing with desperation today as they've gone just 1-4 in their last five.

Revenge factor: Miami beat Atlanta 100-88 on December 14th.

ATS statistics: Note that the Hawks are already 2-1 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest and 21-15 ATS in their last 36 when trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while the Heat are 1-5 ATS after scoring 105 points or more this season and 0-4 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories.

The bottom line: The situation and the trends both point to the HAWKS as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* REVENGE ASSASSIN on the Sacramento Kings.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivated and revenge minded: Sacramento is likely to be without head coach George Karl for this one, but there won't be any lack of motivation as the visitors desperately try to avoid a fourth straight loss, while also looking to snap a ten-game losing streak in Memphis.

ATS statistics: Note that Sacramento has dominated in this spot for bettors all season long, going 12-10 ATS on the road, 4-2 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses and 14-7 ATS vs. teams with winning records. And note, despite their recent surge the Grizzlies have been brutal in this position, going just 7-11 ATS following a non-conference game, only 3-6 ATS following a victory by ten points or more and a poor 13-16 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest.

The bottom line: From a situational and trend based stand point, all signs do indeed point to the KINGS as the savvy move in this one.

AAA Sport

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Kansas.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation levels: Both teams are 16-4, but Kentucky has won five of its last six, while Kansas has lost two of three. With their backs seemingly against the wall and after going 0-3 SU/ATS vs. the Wildcats in the last three in the series, we're giving a huge nod to the Jayhawks in the motivation department tonight.

ATS statistics: Note that Kentucky is 8-4 ATS in non-conference games this season and 2-3 ATS off a win vs. a league rival, while Kansas is 7-2 ATS in all non-conference games this year and 9-7 ATS when playing the role of favorite.

The bottom line: Kansas will be playing with desperation and with the "revenge" factor and combined with these extremely strong ATS trends, all signs do indeed point to the JAYHAWKS as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* Pac-12 ASSASSIN on USC.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Home court advantage: After an 81-71 win over Washington State on Thursday, USC has won its first 12 in front of the home town crowd.

Revenge factor: These teams played on January 3rd and Washington would leave that one with an 87-85 victory.

ATS statistics: Note that Washington is 11-17 ATS in its last 28 after allowing 80 points or more, while USC is 9-3 ATS at home this season.

The bottom line: The situation and the trends do indeed point to USC as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Fordham.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: The Minutemen swept the series last year, winning by eight in Amherst.

Best Rams team in a decade?" Fordham is 11-8 SU (UMass is 8-11), already posting its most overall wins in eight years. In fact the Rams scoring average of 72.4 PPG is the school's best in over 15 seasons.

Downward spiral: It's true that Fordham has lost two straight, but the Minutemen have dropped six in a row, most recently a 78-70 setback at St. Joe's on Wednesday. The good news for UMass though was it was the closest setback during its slide and the fewest points allowed as well. Note that only one Minuteman even reached double figures in scoring.

ATS statistics: Note that Fordham is not surprisingly, a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three vs. poor defensive teams which allow 77-plus points per contest, while UMass is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine vs. teams with winning records.

The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the under the radar RAMS to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Pennsylvania.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a couple of different factors:

Classic look-ahead spot: It's almost impossible to imagine the Bulldogs not getting caught "looking-ahead" to their matchup vs. Princeton tomorrow night.

Revenge factor: To say this is a "revenge" game would be a bit of an understatement, the Quakers have lost seven of the last ten in the series, including six straight.

The bottom line: This one does indeed set up as a letdown/look-ahead spot for the home side and it's because of this fact that we'll pull the trigger on this top rated 10* selection; play on PENNSYLVANIA.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Brown.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation levels: There's no question that this sets up as a bit of a letdown spot for the visitors, the Tigers have won four straight and seven of the last eight in this series. Not only will the Bears be looking to avenge those setbacks, they'll also be desperate to break a two-game slide, while also notching their first league victory.

Even Steven: These teams' offenses are very similar, Princeton averages 76.8 PPG, while Brown averages 73.8. They're also not that far apart defensively, as the Tigers give up 69.2, the Bears 76.6.

Classic look ahead spot: It's almost impossible not to imagine the visitors not looking ahead to their game vs. Yale tomorrow.

The bottom line: The situation and motivational factors are definitely working in favor of BROWN in our professional opinion.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* MONEY-LINE play on Marist.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

Note that Niagara is only 3-5 ATS this year vs. poor defensive teams which give up 77-plus points per contest.

And note that Marist is already 4-2 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: A couple of horrible teams squaring off here, but once again we can't emphasize how important we feel that home court advantage will be (note that Niagara is 0-9 SU on the road this season); lay the MONEY-LINE with confidence on MARIST.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* REVENGE ASSASSIN on the Utah Jazz.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

If history is any precedence: Then the home side has to be loving it chances today, Charlotte has lost eight straight in Salt Lake City, while averaging 84.0 points and 40.3 percent shooting.

Motivation: Charlotte has won three straight, while Utah has lost five of seven. We definitely feel this sets up as a natural letdown spot for the contented Hornets, while the Jazz will be risking life and limb as they look to break the slide. And note that home side also plays with revenge after falling 124-119 in double OT to Charlotte just last week.

ATS statistics: Note that Charlotte is just 6-13 ATS after a non-conference game and just 6-8 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while Utah is 6-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite and 11-6 ATS this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: The situations and trends do all indeed point to the JAZZ as the sharp wager in this one.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Butler.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: The home side we figure will be especially pumped to break a recent string of sluggish play, after being ranked as high as 24th in the nation as little as two weeks ago, the Bulldogs' 2-5 start in conference play has the team hungry to atone tonight.

Slumping visitors: The Blue Demons are struggling, they've lost six of their last seven, all in conference play. And now the team comes to Butler in a "letdown" situation as well after a hugely satisfying 57-56 win over Marquette in Milwaukee.

ATS statistics: Note that DePaul is already just 1-2 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent and only 1-2 ATS after scoring 60 points or less, while Butler is 5-2 ATS vs. teams with losing records this season and 5-3 ATS as a home fav of 12.5 points or more.

The bottom line: The BULLDOGS have not been playing their best basketball of late, but that trend of futility ends today as they jump out to an early lead and never look back.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Phoenix Suns.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Momentum: These are a couple of horrible teams, the 76ers are just 6-39, while the Suns are 14-31. Phoenix though has a chance to string together back-to-back wins for the first time in seven weeks after snapping a six-game slide in Saturday's convincing 98-95 victory over the Hawks: "It's valuable experience for these guys to be in a game like that and win," assessed Suns' coach Jeff Hornacek afterwards.

Revenge: The Suns fell 111-104 to Philadelphia on December 26th, which snapped a five-game win skein in the series.

Inept home side: The 76ers have been particularly horrible of late, allowing at least 51 boards in four of their last six, while also holding a rebounding disadvantage in seven of their last eight.

ATS statistics: Note that Phoenix is already 2-1 ATS this year as a road dog of three points or less, while Philadelphia is a horrible 7-13 ATS after a loss by ten points or more.

The bottom line: We think there are enough factors working in favor of the visitors to pull the trigger on this one and while we obviously wouldn't be surprised by the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the SUNS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the Atlanta Hawks.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Hawks healing up: Atlanta is expected to welcome back Paul Millsap to the lineup. Millsap and the Hawks will be especially motivated today to break a two game slide, most recently a 98-95 setback at Phoenix on Saturday. Millsap leads the team with 18.4 points and 8.8 boards, but he's averaging 20.4 points and 53.5 percent shooting over his last eight away from friendly confines (if Millsap doesn't return, we still love this play as the team is expected to move Al Horford from center to fill the void, while placing Tiago Splitter in the middle).

Classic letdown spot: The Nuggets have been playing a bit better of late and come in off a 104-101 win over Detroit on Saturday; but note, Denver is a horrible 9-14 in front of the home town crowd this season.

Injured home side: Jameer Nelson and Kenneth Faried are both listed as doubtful/questionable and if they do play, they will not be at 100% capacity.

ATS statistics: Note that Atlanta is 16-11 ATS in its last 27 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest and 7-5 ATS this year following an upset loss as a favorite, while Denver is just 10-12 ATS in front of the home town crowd and only 4-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog.

The bottom line: We like a focused and determined ATLANTA team to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Kansas.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation: Clearly both teams will be amped for this one, but we think that Kansas has more motivational factors working in its favor. A victory will move the Jayhawks into sole possession of the Big 12 lead, while the team will also be looking to avoid a third straight road loss

Revenge: Since taking 18 of 19 in the series, Kansas has lost three of the last four, including an 86-81 setback in its last trip to Ames on January 17th, 2015. And then Iowa State would rally from 17 down to secure its second straight Big 12 tournament title with a 70-66 victory over the Jayhawks on March 14th.

ATS statistics: Note that Kansas is already 2-1 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest and 7-5 ATS vs. teams with winning records, while Iowa State is just 3-4 ATS this season following a conference game.

The bottom line: We feel there are enough situational and strong trend based factors working in favor of the visitors to pull the trigger on this one; play on KANSAS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* Horizon League GAME OF THE YEAR on Detroit.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: Detroit comes into this one on a four-game losing streak after falling 83-80 at UW Milwaukee on Saturday. It's a bit of a surprise, as the Titans haven't lost four straight in two seasons, and note that the team actually ranks third in the league in scoring (83.7) and second in field-goal percentage (46.1 percent).

Sloppy defensive play from the Phoenix: Green Bay has alternated wins and losses and comes in off a 111-95 setback to Oakland, a season high in points allowed. It was also the fourth time this year that the Phoenix have allowed their opposition to reach the century mark. Green Bay is second in league scoring at 84.8, but is seventh defensively in giving up 79.9.

The revenge factor: The Titans have lost five straight in the series, including three straight at Green Bay.

ATS statistics: Note that Detroit is 5-3 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more and 2-1 ATS off a loss vs. a conference rival, while Green Bay is just 3-4 ATS vs. the conference and only 4-6 ATS after scoring 80 points or more.

The bottom line: While we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for DETROIT to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Drake.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: The Bulldogs have dropped seven straight and will be especially motivated after losing to the Missouri State Bears last time out, a contest in which they held a 10-point half time lead.

Struggling home side. While Drake is just 5-14 overall on the year, including 0-7 in conference, the Ramblers are not that much better, 8-11 overall and 1-6 in league play. Loyola Chicago allowed the Purple Aces to shoot 57.4 percent in its last game.

ATS statistics: Note that Loyola Chicago is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following an ATS victory and 0-4 ATS in its last five in front of the home town crowd, while Drake is 4-3 ATS in its last seven vs. poor offensive teams which average 64 points or less per contest.

The bottom line: We feel there are enough factors working in favor of the visitors to pull the trigger and while we won't be so bold as to call an outright upset, we do definitely expect the BULLDOGS to at the very least, keep this one close enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel to be a healthy amount of points afforded to them.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Old Dominion.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

If history is any precedence: Then the home side has to be loving its chances today, its leads Marshall 8-4 all time in the series and took both games last season (note that the Thundering Herd are 0-5 all time when playing at ODU).

Momentum for the home side: Last time out Trey Freeman would tie a career high with 28 points to lead the Monarchs to a come-from-behind 68-62 victory over WKU. But it was the way ODU played on the defensive end of the floor which leads us to believe the home side will come away with the cover today, the Monarchs held the Hilltoppers to 62 points, which was 16 points below their season average of 78.3

Classic letdown spot: Marshall wasn't so fortunate last time out, its comeback bid fell short at Charlotte, falling 103-95 on Thursday. It was the Herd's first loss in Conference play and suffice it to say, we're expecting a classic letdown here. The momentum from that opening streak in league play is gone and it's easier said than done in trying to re-gain it.

ATS statistics: Note that Marshall is just 4-6 ATS as an underdog this year and only 4-6 ATS after allowing 80 points or more, while ODU is 4-2 ATS in its last six vs. good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest.

The bottom line: All signs point to a blowout, lay the points with confidence on OLD DOMINION.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Air Force.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivated home side: The Falcons are just 1-5 in Conference play and have lost five-straight.

Classic letdown spot: Fresno State is coming off a deflating 73-67 OT loss at SDSU last time out.

Revenge factor: The Bulldogs have won five straight in the series, most recently a hard-fought 68-66 victory on March 4th, 2015.

Close call Falcons: Air Force is 6-2 overall in games decided by seven points or less.

ATS statistics: Note that Fresno State is just 4-6 ATS vs. teams with winning records this year, while Air Force is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a home dog in the 5.5 to nine points range.

The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the FALCONS to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Houston Rockets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: The Rockets are just 22-22 on the year and will be playing this one without big man Dwight Howard. They've also lost three of their last four. Most recently Houston fell 123-114 to the Pistons, despite 33 points, a career-high 17 boards, to go along with 14 assists from James Harden. Note though that the Rockets are 36-23 without Howard in the lineup since 2013/14: "We have to figure it out," Harden said. "We've been through this situation before. Guys are going to have the opportunity to step up and play extra minutes, so just take advantage of it. Every go on this roster is preparing themselves for a situation like this."

Good news on injury front: Dwight is down, but Patrick Beverly is expected back for the home side, he's missed three of the last five.

Harden: The Rockets' sharp-shooter is hitting 52.1 percent in 11 career games vs. Milwaukee.

Classic letdown/look-ahead spot: After three straight victories at home against the Eastern Conference, the Bucks now hit the road for a late night Western conference affair, there's no question that this one screams letdown spot for the visitors. And with a game tomorrow night in New Orleans against "The Brow," it's not too hard to imagine the Bucks in some small way getting caught looking ahead to that one.

ATS statistics: Note that Milwaukee is just 2-5 ATS after a win by ten points or more this season; it's also a brutal 4-19 ATS in its last 23 after allowing 85 points or less and only 2-8 ATS in its last ten after three or more consecutive SU victories. And note that Houston is 9-6 ATS this season after a non-conference game.

The bottom line: We love the hungry home side to defend its floor and find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on the ROCKETS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

On paper: This one looks like a mismatch, the Raptors are on the verge of their longest win streak in nearly 14 years, while the Heat have fallen on hard times because of injury. But that's why there's a point-spread and in our professional opinion, this is indeed too much to be giving up to the desperate visiting side which has lost six of its last seven. Conversely, the Raptors have won six in a row after a 22-point loss to the Cavaliers on January 4th. We always like to say that desperation breeds motivation and that winning leads to complacency at some point and with the Clippers and Washington on deck next for the home side, we find it hard to imagine the Raptors in some small way not getting caught looking ahead to those more difficult contests.

ATS statistics: Note that Miami is 4-1 ATS this year in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent and 7-5 ATS after a loss by ten points or more, while Toronto is just 5-6 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU victories.

The bottom line: Despite the injuries, we feel there are many other factors combining to work in favor of MIAMI today and look for it to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel to be a very healthy spread afforded to it.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* MAC GAME OF THE WEEK on Toledo.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Momentum: The visitors come in with a ton of it after winning six of their last nine. On the season the Rockets are averaging 79.5 PPG on 47.1 percent shootings, while giving up an average of 72.5 on 43.5 percent. Also note that Toledo has won ten of its last 16 on the road SU.

Point discrepancy: The Huskies are 15-3 this year, but average just 72.4 points on 42.9 percent shooting, while allowing an average of 67.7 on 40.9 percent shooting. As good as Northern Illinois has been this season, we have a hard time seeing the Huskies matching pace with this high-flying Rockets offense right now.

ATS statistics: Note that Toledo is 5-3 ATS on the road this year and 3-1 ATS following a conference game, while NIU is only 1-2 ATS this season off a win vs. a conference rival.

The bottom line: While we wouldn't be shocked by an outright victory obviously, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as all signs point this one coming down to the wire for TOLEDO.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Kentucky.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation: John Calipari's squad was ranked No. 1 in the nation on November 23rd, but has since fallen to No. 23 in the rankings, most recently losing 75-70 at Auburn on Saturday.

Revenge: The last time Kentucky visited Fayetteville in 2014, Arkansas won 87-85 in OT on a buzzer-beating dunk. Arkansas has taken three straight in the series in front of the home town crowd.

Letdown spot: After winning three straight, the Razorbacks fell 76-74 at LSU on Saturday. Gaining that momentum back after that heart-breaking setback, especially against this focused and hungry/determined Wildcats team, is easier said than done.

ATS statistics: Note that Kentucky is 5-3 ATS in its last eight off a loss vs. a conference rival and 5-3 ATS this season vs. teams with winning records, while Arkansas is just 7-8 ATS in its last 15 off a loss vs. a conference rival.

The bottom line: In our professional opinion, this one sets up perfectly for KENTUCKY.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EAST-COAST ASSASSIN on the Miami Heat.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Home cooking: The Heat return home from a six-game road trip, going just 2-4 in the process. Miami will be extra motivated to take advantage of this opportunity, as the team will then have to gear up for another five game trip starting on Thursday (note that the Heat are 15-8 SU in front of the home town crowd this season).

Revenge: The Bucks took all four games over the Heat last year.

ATS statistics: Note that Milwaukee is just 1-5 ATS this year after a victory by ten points or more and just 3-4 ATS when playing with two days of rest, while Miami is 6-3 ATS this season following a loss by ten points or more and 2-1 ATS after scoring 85 points or less.

The bottom line: Miami is banged up, but what team isn't at this point of the season? After a lacklustre trip and with another big one on the horizon, we think the HEAT come into this one focused, put the foot on the gas and don't let up until the final horn; lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: This is an obvious one and is what this pick is almost 100% based upon. The last time the Warriors were in Cleveland, they'd leave the city with the Larry O'Brien Trophy. Golden State also beat the Cavs at at home on Christmas day.

Coming back down to Earth: After starting the season 24-0, the Warriors have lost two of their last three.

Momentum: The Cavs come in hot, their only loss in the last three weeks was Thursday's 99-95 loss at San Antonio, Cleveland had won eight straight prior to that and would follow up the setback with a commanding 91-77 victory at Houston to wrap up a 5-1 road trip.

Home court advantage: Cleveland has to be liking its chances today, it plays five of its next six at Quicken Loans Arena, where it's won six straight and is 15-1 overall.

ATS statistics: Note that Golden State is just 5-9 ATS in non-conference games this year, while Cleveland is 4-1 ATS after playing three consecutive road games and 11-4 ATS vs. teams with winning records.

The bottom line: This is personal. This is their home turf. We expect an all out war, but look for the CAVALIERS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Duke.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivated home side: The Blue Devils may be 14-4 this season, but they've lost their last two games including a setback at home to Notre Dame last time out. Still, Duke has to be feeling extremely confident it can bounce back today, it's averaging 86.9 points off 48.3 percent shooting, while allowing 70.7 PPG off 43.3 percent shooting.

Classic letdown spot: The Orange are 12-7, but come in off back-to-back blowout wins. Note that Syracuse averages 71.1 PPG, while allowing 64.4.

ATS statistics: Duke is 7-3 its last ten vs. the ACC, 4-1-1 ATS at home vs. a team with a losing road record, while Syracuse is just 7-23-2 ATS vs. the ACC and 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road.

The bottom line: It's a perfect storm of factors for the BLUE DEVILS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the Chicago Bulls.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: One month after playing the longest game in four years, the Bulls are back to avenge that 147-144 four OT setback.

Classic letdown spot: Detroit became just the NBA's fourth team to beat the Warriors in Saturday's 113-95 effort.

Motivation: After a season-best six-game win streak, the Bulls have lost four of their last five. This is an ultra-important stretch for the Bulls, who open a stretch with ten of 12 on the road, where they've dropped six of their last nine.

ATS statistics: Note that Chicago is 2-1 ATS already this year in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent and 26-14 ATS in the same position over the last three, while Detroit is just 4-6 ATS this season after a win by ten points or more and just 20-24 ATS in the same position over the last three.

The bottom line: We think the home side comes in a bit complacent and the hungry BULLS find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Detroit Pistons.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: These teams played on November 9th and the Warriors would pull away for the 109-95 victory.

Scheduling: It's almost impossible not to imagine the Warriors getting caught "looking ahead" to their game at Cleveland on Monday and then at Chicago on Wednesday.

Home court domination: Detroit is 13-6 at home and had won four straight there prior to Tuesday's 109-99 setback to San Antonio. The Pistons rank in the league's Top 10 with 97.4 points allowed per home game.

ATS statistics: Note that the Warriors are just 5-8 ATS in non-conference games this year and only 7-8 ATS vs. teams with winning records, while Detroit is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 as a home dog in the 3.5 to 9 points range and 6-1 ATS this season off an upset loss as a favorite.

The bottom line: While we wouldn't be completely shocked by an outright upset, we think the home side will at the very least take this one down to the wire and comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Miami Heat.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic "letdown" spot for the Nuggets: No need to overanalyze this play in our opinion, overachieving Denver has won three of its last four, including a 112-110 victory over Golden State on Wednesday.

Desperation factor for Miami: The Heat have been playing sloppily of late, they'd open their six-game road trip with a win in Phoenix, but have since lost three-straight. But desperation breeds motivation and the ATS stats are backing us up today as well.

ATS statistics: Note that Miami is 9-6 ATS in non-conference games this year and 5-3 ATS after a loss by ten points or more, while Denver is 3-7 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog and 5-10 ATS after scoring 105 points or more.

The bottom line: Both teams are dealing with injuries, but one is coming off an epic win, while the other will be playing with desperation. Lay the short points with confidence on the hungry, hungry HEAT.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Dayton.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Momentum carries over: Dayton recovered from a rare setback at La Salle to beat Davidson 80-74 on Tuesday, but it was the way the team closed the second half which leads us to believe the Flyers will be in for another big performance today. The Wildcats were a tough opponent, but a 19-1 run in the second half pushed Dayton to the six-point victory.

Charles Cooke expected to play: Cooke is the leading scorer on the Flyers, the team prevailed without him in the line-up vs. Davidson, as Scoochie Smith filled the void with 18 points. Cooke was hopeful to return to that game and is expected to be in this one (note, whether Cooke plays or not, we still love this selection as we feel that home court advantage can not be overlooked here).

Revenge factor: The last time these team's met, George Washington pulled off the 65-64 OT victory on February 6th, 2015.

ATS statistics: Note that the Colonials are a poor 2-3 ATS on the road already this year and just 2-3 ATS after scoring 80 points or more, while the Flyers are 11-7 ATS their last 18 after scoring 80 points or more and 20-17 ATS in their last 37 in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: As listed above, a bunch of favorable factors collide for DAYTON in this one.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Stanford.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Evenly matched, so home court advantage becomes a factor: These two teams are very evenly matched, the Cardinal average 69.9 points and give up 67.7, while The Bears average 75.8 and give up 65.3. We'll call the discrepancy in numbers a "wash" here because of the home court advantage.

ATS statistics: This play is however mainly based on some very strong ATS stats, as note that California is just 7-8 ATS this year when playing the role of favorite and a horrible 5-15 ATS in its last 20 following a loss vs. a conference rival, while Stanford is already 2-0 ATS this season after scoring 60 points or less and is 23-17 ATS in its last 41 in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: The oddsmakers agree that these teams are evenly matched, but all of the strong ATS stats do indeed point to the points as the savvy move in this contest, grab as many as you can with the STANFORD CARDINAL.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on OKLAHOMA STATE.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic look ahead spot: Oklahoma is 13-1, it bounced back off its first loss of the year by beating Kansas State last time out. Oklahoma State is 9-6, the Cowboys have lost their last two games. It's definitely not too hard to imagine the Sooners getting caught "looking ahead" to their game vs. West Virginia on Saturday, the Mountaineers currently lead the Big 12 standings at 15-1.

Revenge: The last time these teams met, Oklahoma pulled away in the second half of a 64-49 win and cover on March 12th, 2015.

ATS statistics: Note that Oklahoma is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine after scoring 80 points or more and only 1-2 ATS vs. the conference, while OKS is 19-12 ATS in its last 31 in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: Two strong situational factors are backed by a bunch of strong ATS trends, in our opinion this is a few too many points to be giving up in this spot, grab as many as you can with OKLAHOMA STATE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Brooklyn Nets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Scheduling: No need to overanalyze this angle, the Nets have had a day off to prepare, while the Knicks come in off a hard-fought 120-114 win over the Celtics just last night. Advantage Brooklyn.

Desperation breeds motivation: The Nets have lost ten straight at home.

Carmelo Anthony status: Anthony suffered a sprained right ankle in last night's win, his status is uncertain for this evening and if he does happen to play, clearly he won't be functioning at 100% capacity (It's hard to imagine the Knicks playing their super-star in the second game of a back-to-back vs. the lowly Nets though if he is in fact injured even in the slightest).

Revenge factor: Anthony played a key part in his team's 108-91 home win vs. Brooklyn on December 4th, scoring 28.

ATS statistics: Note that New York is just 6-7 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while Brooklyn is 8-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more.

The bottom line: Off a big win just last night, a victory which likely cost them the services of their best player for a while and facing a desperate and revenge minded home side, all signs do indeed point to a classic letdown spot for the visitors; grab as many points as you can with the NETS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Charlotte Hornets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge factor: Charlotte has dropped both meetings to Atlanta already this year (note that neither was a blowout, a 97-94 on October 30th and 94-92 two days later).

Letdown spot: This is a classic letdown spot for the visitors after they ended Chicago's six-game win streak with a 120-105 victory on Saturday.

Desperation leads to motivation: Despite being down big man Al Jefferson, the Hornets will be risking life and limb today in trying to snap a seven-game slide: "It's the defense, obviously," coach Steve Clifford said. "We've got to get back to, in the games 12 through 23, we were the second-best defensive team in the league against a good schedule so we're capable of much better."

ATS statistics: Note that Atlanta has in fact struggled in this spot for bettors, just 4-5 ATS after a victory by ten points or more, only 6-9 ATS after scoring 105 points or more and 7-9 ATS vs. teams with losing records. And not that this is a position in which Charlotte has performed extremely well in, going 3-1 ATS this season as a home dog of three points or less and 4-2 ATS when playing with two days of rest.

The bottom line: With a game tomorrow night in Milwaukee, we think the Hawks come in a bit distracted, leaving the door open for CHARLOTTE to finally break its slide.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Cracks in the armour: The Thunder are 26-12, but have shown some signs of fatigue of late, they'd have to hold on for a 117-113 win over the Lakers on Friday and then fell 115-110 to the Blazers on Sunday, allowing Portland to hit 19 3-pointers.

Defense slipping: OKC has given up 108.6 PPG over its last eight.

Desperation breeds motivation: Minnesota has lost six-straight: "We're trying not to let a losing mentality set in," Wolve's veteran Andre Miller assessed. "It's tough. We have a lot of young guys, a lot of inexperienced guys, and we're just trying to go out there and put a good 48 minutes together on both ends of the court. ... We've gotta figure out how we're gonna get the monkey off our back."

Revenge: To say this is a revenge game would be a bit of an understatement, as the Thunder have won seven straight in the series and 16 of the last 18 overall.

ATS statistics: Note that OKC is just 4-13 ATS this year vs. teams with losing records and only 1-7 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite, while Minnesota is 30-27 ATS in its last 57 after playing to three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: With a game tomorrow night at home vs. Dallas, it's certainly not too hard to imagine the Thunder "looking past" the lowly Wolves today and when taking into account the rest of the above factors listed above, all signs do indeed point to MINNESOTA as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Boston Celtics.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: The Celtics defeated the Knicks 100-91 on December 27th, but have since lost five of six since. New York has won five of seven since that setback to Boston. This is one of those circumstances in which we feel the "revenge" factor is going to be over-rated, as Boston will be playing with utter desperation as it looks to break the slide, therefore negating any "revenge" advantages that the Knicks may have normally had in this spot.

ATS statistics: Note that Boston is 11-7 ATS on the road this year and 2-0 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses, while New York is just 2-4 ATS following a victory by ten points or more this season and only 3-4 ATS as a home fav of three points or less.

The bottom line: Sometimes we keep it simple and for us, it simply comes down to these two factors: we ultimately feel that New York is set up for a classic letdown after the recent surge, while Boston's desperation level will turn out to be the difference in the end; play on the CELTICS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Brooklyn Nets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

New coach for Brooklyn: When a team fires a head coach in the middle of a season to shake things up, it can have one of two effects: either the team responds and dominates, or it continues to slide as if nothing happened. While we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we do think the firing of Lionel Hollins and the assigning of GM Billy King will light enough of a fire under the home side to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.

ATS statistics: And the stats back up our line of reasoning as well as note that San Antonio has in fact struggled in this spot over the last few seasons, going just 13-18 ATS in its last 31 when playing with two days of rest, while Brooklyn has excelled in this spot for bettors already this year, going 9-4 ATS in all non-conference games, 13-9 ATS vs. teams with winning records, 16-12 ATS vs. good offensive clubs which average 99-plus points per contest, interestingly it's also 4-1 ATS vs. the Southwest division (the entire Southwest just can't help itself in "looking past" the lowly Nets it would seem), and 9-7 ATS in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.

Look ahead spot: It's not like the Spurs will have it marked down on their calendar, but this does indeed set up as a bit of a look ahead spot for the visitors with a game in Detroit tomorrow night.

The bottom line: A new coach, a new direction. Strong ATS stats backed by an equally as important "spot" circumstance. This is a lot of points, too many in our opinion, grab as many as you can with the NETS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Recent poor road play: Dallas has dropped four of its last six away from friendly confines.

Classic "look ahead" spot: The Mavs host the Cavaliers on Tuesday, before returning to the road to face OKC, Chicago and San Antonio.

Desperation breeds motivation: The Wolves have dropped five straight after getting blown out 125-99 at home by Cleveland on Friday.

Revenge factor: Minnesota lost both games to Dallas last year.

ATS statistics: Note that Dallas is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 as a road favorite of 3.5 to six points, while Minnesota is 5-4 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: A perfect combination of factors collide and while we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the WOLVES to take full advantage of this situation and to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the LA Kings.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

Note that St. Louis is just 2-7 (-6.7 units) this year in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent and only 3-4 (-2.4 units) when playing on back-to-back days.

And note that LA is 9-2 (+6.4 units) vs. teams with winning records this season.

Play on the KINGS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Arizona State.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge factor: Despite ASU winning last season's meeting 68-66 in February, this must still be considered a "revenge" game for the Sun Devils, as UCLA holds a 64-19 all-time edge, including having won seven of the last nine in the series.

Desperation breeds motivation: ASU won its final four non-conference contests, but has opened league play by dropping its first two. The Sun Devils will now look to take advantage of a complacent Bruins team which opened league play 0-2, but who come in off a huge 87-84 win over seventh-ranked Arizona last time out (we had the Bruins in that one). There's no question that this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the home side.

ATS Statistics: Note that Arizona State is already 6-3 ATS vs. teams with winning records this year, while UCLA is 3-7 ATS in the same position and 0-4 ATS when playing with one or less days rest.

The bottom line: A bunch of great situational factors collide and while we wouldn't be shocked by the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for ARIZONA STATE to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Tennessee.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Home side run and gun offense: The Vols have the firepower to match Texas A&M, the Aggies average 79.2 points, while Tennessee averages 79.6. Where they fall short is clearly on the defensive end of the floor, Texas A&M allows 64.3 points, while the Volunteers give up an average of 75. However, the home side catches a break as we feel this one sets up as a classic letdown spot for the visitors.

A letdown in the making: The Aggies have won five straight, but come in off a harrowing 61-60 road win over Mississippi State on Wednesday night and they're now being asked to cover another handful of points away from friendly confines against an equally as hungry and talented Tennessee team. The Vols just bounce back from a loss to Auburn in their conference opener to roll past Florida 83-69 at home on Wednesday, momentum is on their side.

ATS statistics: Note that Texas A&M is just 2-3 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records and 0-2 ATS in true road games, while Tennessee is 5-1 ATS this season as an underdog and 6-0 ATS after scoring 80 points or more.

The bottom line: While we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the home side to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; play on TENNESSEE.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on DePaul.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Immediate revenge factor: DePaul enters the nation's capital to face Georgetown, a team it lost 70-58 to just ten days ago.

Better than record indicates: The Blue Demons will no doubt be desperate, they've lost six of their last seven and are tied for last place in the Big East with an 0-3 record. As we like to say, desperation breeds motivation. DePaul's one win in that stretch was a 21-point blowout victory over then 20th-ranked George Washington. We think that the Blue Demons are better than what their record indicates though, for the most part their conference battles have been extremely competitive, last time out they'd take No. 18 Butler down to the wire in the eventual 77-72 setback.

Up and down Georgetown: The Hoyas have been all over the map with their consistency, the opened the season 1-3, then rebounded with eight victories in their next ten (although the losses were to featherweights Monmouth and UNC-Ashville). Georgetown though does have some big wins, including over Wisconsin, Syracuse and Marquette, but comes in off a listless 79-66 setback at Creighton.

ATS statistics: Georgetown is just 1-5 ATS in its last six vs. a team with a straight-up losing record, just 1-8 ATS in its last nine home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and only 1-9 ATS in its last ten home games vs. a team with a losing record. And note that DePaul is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. the Hoyas, while the road team is 5-1 ATS the last six in this series.

The bottom line: DePaul has clearly been playing better than what its record would indicate and with a second crack at Georgetown this season, we look for the BLUE DEMONS to give the home side everything it can handle.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: Milwaukee has lost six straight in this series, including a 103-93 setback in Dallas just last week.

Fatigue/letdown spot: Dallas is coming off a couple of back-to-back victories, including an exhausting 117-116 double OT win over Sacramento on Tuesday, followed by a 100-91 win over New Orleans on Wednesday. Now they hit the road for an East Coast game vs. the lowly Bucks, suffice it to say, it's not too hard to imagine the Mavs coming in a bit complacent here and that's exactly what we're banking on with this play.

Desperation levels: Milwaukee on the other hand will be extra motivated to avoid a third straight loss after falling 117-106 at Chicago on Tuesday.

ATS statistics: Note that Milwaukee is in fact 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 at home vs. Dallas.

The bottom line: Desperation vs. contentedness. While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by the outright victory, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can with the BUCKS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation: We definitely feel that the Wizards have the upper hand in the "motivation department" today, they have lost three of their last four to Toronto, Miami and Cleveland, all of whom rank in the top four in fewest points allowed per game. There's no question that the "revenge" factor comes in to play here as well. Also note that the Wizards looked pretty damn good in defeat to the Cavs last time out, eventually succumbing 121-115 on Wednesday, but posting season bests in field-goal (55.3) and 3-point (58.3) percentage, assisting on 31 of 42 field goals and setting the pace with a 22-5 edge on fast-break points.

Getting healthier: Part of the Wizards recent issues have been because of injuries, but Nene returned to play against Cleveland along with Gary Neal. Both looked good and will now be back up to speed. Kris Humphries is also expected to play tonight after sitting vs. the Cavaliers.

Raptors D is slipping: It's true that Toronto dominated the lowly Nets 91-74 on Wednesday, but note that it had given up an average of 118.5 points in losses to Chicago and Cleveland previous.

ATS statistics: Note that Toronto is just 2-4 ATS in its last six overall, while Washington is 5-3 ATS in its last eight when revenging a road loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: Desperation breeds motivation, we think the home side is hungrier and that fact will prove to be the difference once the final horn blares; play on the WIZARDS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Western Michigan.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation vs. complacency: WMU is just 6-8 on the season and lost its opening MAC game against Kent State on Tuesday, a very tough 87-84 setback in OT vs. Kent State. There's no question the Broncos will be eager to take out their frustrations on an Akron team which is 12-2 overall and which has won nine straight.

The bottom line: And it's as simple as that for us, we feel this sets up as a classic "letdown" spot for the home side, a perfect opportunity for us to take advantage of, this is definitely a few too many points. Play on WESTERN MICHIGAN.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on UCLA.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation: The Bruins clearly aren't overly thrilled with their 9-6 record, sitting 12th in the Pac-12. UCLA has lost its last two, most recently an 85-78 setback vs. Washington State. Conversely, the Wildcats are ranked 7th and enter this contest at 13-1, sitting in third in the Pac-12. It's not too hard to imagine Arizona coming in a bit complacent today, while we also expect the home side to play with desperation as it looks to score the upset.

Classic look ahead spot: It's also not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead to their game vs. 12-3 USC on Saturday, the Trojans are currently 9-0 at home to open the year.

Strong and relevant ATS statistics: Note that Arizona has in fact struggled in this spot for bettors this season, going just 2-3 ATS vs. good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest, while UCLA has done extremely well by going 10-5 ATS in its last 15 off a loss vs. a conference rival.

The bottom line: The conditions are certainly right for an outright upset and while we obviously wouldn't be shocked if the BRUINS win this one in front of the home town crowd, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Houston Rockets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

James Harden: The Rockets super star is finally starting to fire on all cylinders, he's averaging 28.1 PPG, which is second best in the league. Harden had 30 points in a 93-91 win at Utah on Monday.

Motivation: Houston has started to play much better of late, but there's no question it still has a long way to go and something to prove today as it looks to avoid a third straight home loss (following a seven-game win streak there). The Rockets play the next seven at home: "It's a great opportunity for us to take care of home-court advantage," Harden assessed last night. "We gotta focus on things we can control; our defensive togetherness, rebounding the basketball and limiting the turnovers."

If history is any precedence: Then Houston has to be loving its chances to continue its surge, it's won nine of the last 11 meetings with Utah and has swept all five at home by an average of almost 19 points.

Trending the other way: The Jazz's vaunted defense is starting to come unravelled, they're most recently coming off a 123-98 setback at San Antonio on Wednesday, the most points the team has allowed all year. They'd go on to allow the Spurs to shoot a massive 60.5 percent from the floor.

Injuries: Utah has been hit by a rash of injuries and will once again be without the services of Rudy Gobert, Dante Exum, Derrick Favors and Alec Burks.

ATS statistics: Note that Utah is just 11-12 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest, while Houston is 20-9 ATS in its last 29 when playing with two days of rest.

The bottom line: The Rockets are getting healthier and have found their swagger, while the Jazz are reeling from injury and loss of identity. When taking into account all of the factors listed above, there's no question in our minds that a lop-sided destruction is in the cards tonight; play on HOUSTON.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Florida Atlantic.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation: The Owls will be playing with desperation today as they look to try and break a seven-game slide. FAU is just 1-7 on the road this year, but did pick up a quality 75-69 victory at Miami (Ohio) on November 21st. Not surprisingly either, the Owls play with revenge after dropping the last contest between the team's, a 79-63 setback on February 28th, 2015.

Strong and relevant ATS statistics: Note that Florida Atlantic is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three as a road dog in the 9 to 12 points range and 7-5 ATS in its last 12 vs. good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest, while Marshall is a poor 2-3 ATS at home already this season, just 8-13 ATS in its last 21 vs. teams with losing records, only 7-8 ATS in its last 15 after scoring 80 points or more and a pathetic 16-22 ATS in its last 38 vs. conference opponents.

The bottom line: Desperation breeds motivation, while we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we do definitely feel there are enough situational and motivational factors working in favor of the visitors today and look for them to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe; grab as many points as you can with FLORIDA ATLANTIC.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT on Oregon State.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge factor: Both teams have been dominating lately (Stanford has won six of its last eight, while Oregon State has won six of seven), but to say this is a "revenge" game would be a bit of an understatement, as the Cardinal have won seven of the last ten in the series.

Strong and relevant ATS statistics: Note that Stanford is just 10-14 ATS in its last 24 true road games and only 8-11 ATS in its last 19 off a loss vs. a conference rival, while Oregon State is 18-11 ATS in its last 29 when playing the role of favorite.

The bottom line: The Beavers have more depth and have been playing at a higher level across the board over the last month, combined with the revenge factor, in our professional opinion all signs do indeed point to OREGON STATE as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on La Salle.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a couple of different factors:

Motivation: The La Salle Explorers will be desperate today, they're trying to end a six-game losing streak. La Salle won four of its first five games, and looks to take advantage of a Fordham team which has now dropped two a row.

Strong and relevant ATS statistics: Note that La Salle is 9-7 ATS in its last 16 vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest and 6-4 ATS in its last ten after three or more consecutive SU losses, while Fordham is just 13-15 ATS in its last 28 after a loss vs. a conference rival.

The bottom line: It's not too hard to imagine the Rams getting caught looking past the lowly Explorers today, while we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we feel that the intensity in which the visitors play with today will ultimately keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on LA SALLE.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Marquette.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation: We feel this sets up as a letdown spot for the home side, the Friars have won eight straight and are ranked in the Top 10. The Golden Eagles on the other hand have lost both of their opening games to start Big East play and will be desperate for a victory today.

Strong and relevant ATS statistics: note that Marquette is 3-1 ATS in its last four as road dog in the 9 to 12 points range and 4-2 ATS in its last six after allowing 80 points or more, while Providence is just 4-5 ATS at home this year and just 10-16 ATS in its last 26 off a win vs. a conference rival.

The bottom line: The desperation level in which the Golden Eagles play with today keep this one A LOT closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe, grab as many points as you can with MARQUETTE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Charlotte Hornets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Stephen Curry: Is injured, he'll be a game time decision, but if he does play, he won't be at 100% and we don't expect him to play a pivotal role in the outcome of this one. Curry returned from a two-game absence on Saturday, but left after playing 14 minutes when he injured his leg again in a 111-108 OT win over Denver.

Motivation for the Hornets: Charlotte will be desperate here, and despite having to deal with some key injuries, we think the passion and focus in which the team plays with today will be the difference, the Hornets are looking to avoid their first four-game losing streak of the season, while trying to start a four-game road trip off on the "right foot." "Obviously we're missing some guys but our energy level is good but it's just our defense and our rebounding," Hornets coach Steve Clifford said. "When we start to get our defense going again, then we'll win again."

Look ahead spot: While it's only the lowly Lakers, it's still not too hard to imagine the Warriors looking ahead to their game vs. Kobe Bryant and the much improve Lake-Show on Tuesday.

Strong and relevant ATS statistics: Charlotte is 5-1 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more and 2-0 ATS after playing to three or more consecutive SU losses, while Golden State is just 5-6 ATS in non-conference game this year.

The bottom line: A plethora of different factors do all indeed point to the points as the savvy move in this contest, grab as many as you can with CHARLOTTE tonight.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Major Injury: Brooklyn has lost the services of veteran guard Jarrett Jack, who tore an ACL as well as a meniscus on Saturday; Jack has been pivotal in the Nets taking two of three from the Celtics this season.

Revenge factor: Boston does indeed play with revenge here, the C's took the first game 120-95 at home, but have since dropped two straight to Brooklyn, including a 100-97 setback at home on Saturday.

Motivation: We definitely feel that the visitors will be the more motivated team today, they'll desperately be trying to avoid a second three-game losing streak in the last three weeks.

Strong and relevant ATS statistics: note that Boston is 10-5 ATS on the road this year, 5-3 ATS up off an upset loss as a favorite and 9-7 ATS in revenging a loss vs. an opponent, while Brooklyn is a poor 8-9 ATS in front of the home town crowd this season.

The bottom line: Revenge is a powerful motivating factor and it is one which we feel will ultimately prove to be the difference today; play on the CELTICS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the LA Lakers.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

- Scheduling: The Suns have lost eight straight and are coming off a 142-119 setback at Sacramento just last night.

- Brutal defensive play: Phoenix was allowed opponents to average 109.3 points per game shoot 48.6 percent, both league worsts in that span.

- LA trending in opposite direction: Lakers just yielded their fewest points this year, limiting Philadelphia to 36.9 percent shooting in Friday's 93-84 victory: "We're starting to play off each other, and guys are just being comfortable in their own skin," guard Lou Williams said. "These past few games we've played with a lot of confidence and played at a better pace."

- Revenge: LA plays with revenge after falling 120-101 in Phoenix in mid November.

- Strong and relevant ATS statistics: note that Phoenix is just 5-10 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while LA is 9-7 ATS this season vs. teams with losing records.

The bottom line: We feel the home side should be a much bigger favorite, the LAKERS have improved dramatically over the last few weeks, while the Suns are spiralling down the proverbial crapper due to injury.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT on San Francisco.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

For this particular selection, we're keeping it simple and focusing completely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

- Note that Gonzaga is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as a road fav of 12 points or more.

- Note that Gonzaga is also just 3-5 ATS vs. teams with winning records this season annoy 4-7 ATS when playing the role of favorite.

- And note that San Francisco has performed well in this spot for bettors, already 3-1 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more and interestingly, a perfect 3-0 ATS following a conference game.

The Bottom Line: In our professional opinion, this is a few too many points, so grab as many as you can on SAN FRANCISCO.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Sacramento Kings.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a couple of different factors:

- Motivation: we like the Kings to come out fired up here, after losing 122-103 at Golden State, the team would then be humbled in a 110-105 home loss to the lowly 76ers.

- DeMarcus Cousins: The Kings' big man has been playing really well of late, he had 21 points, 11 boards and three blocks before fouling out in the setback to Philadelphia. Note that Cousins averages 27.9 PPG at home as well. And finally note that Cousins has dominated the Suns throughout his career with averages of 23.2 points and 13.8 boards in his last nine vs. them.

- Revenge Factor: Cousins did not play in a 118-97 road loss to Phoenix back on November 4th.

- Poor defense: The Suns have lost seven straight and have given up an average of 108 points on 49.2 percent shooting in that span.

- ATS Stats: Note that Phoenix is just 5-9 ATS after scoring 105 points or more, while Sacramento is already 4-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses.

Play on SACRAMENTO.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* REVENGE ROUT on Penn State.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a couple of different factors:

- Note that the Nittany Lions would give Maryland everything it could handle at the Xfinity Center on Wednesday, only a 39 point effort from Terp Diamond Stone saved the nation's fourth-ranked team. Suffice it to say, Pat Chambers' team will now be looking to make another tournament hopeful sweat today.

- Michigan and Maryland are in fact very similar in regards to the schemes they run, and note that the Lions would hold the Terps to just 5 of 21 shooting from three-point range.

- It's true the Wolverines are extremely disciplined on offense, they've turned the ball over on just 14.5% of their possessions, but the goods news for us today is that the Nittany Lions haven't needed to force many turnovers to be successful on the defensive end of the floor, Maryland turned the ball over just nine times in a 64-possession game, but was held well under its season numbers on offense.

- Note that Michigan is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points, while Penn State is 22-17 its last 39 when playing the role of underdog.

Grab as many points as you can with PENN STATE.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Saint Louis.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based on a scheduling factor and strong and relevant ATS statistics: it's not too hard to imagine the 9-2 Wildcats looking past the lowly Billikens today to their first conference game of the year vs. 10-1 WVU on January 2nd. And note that Saint Louis is 6-4 ATS in its last ten after three or more consecutive losses, while K-State is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten as a home fav of 12.5 points or more. Play on SAINT LOUIS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on IUPUI.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based on a scheduling factor and strong and relevant ATS stats: it's not too hard to imagine Butler looking past lowly IUPUI today to its first Big East matchup of the year vs. 12-1 Providence on New Years Eve. And note that IUPUI is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a road dog in the 18.5 to 24 points range, while Butler is just 8-9 ATS in its last 17 after scoring 80 points or more. Play on IUPUI.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Texas Southern.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profit over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation and scheduling. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they without question help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. And that's the case with this play, which is based on strong and relevant ATS stats and a big scheduling factor: note that after this game, Syracuse finally gets into its conference schedule and first out of the gates is a date at 6-1 Pittsburgh on Wednesday, before a game at Miami on January 2nd; suffice it to say, it's not too hard imagining the Orange "looking past" the lowly Tigers today. And note that Texas Southern has performed extremely well for bettors in this spot, going 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog of 12.5 points or more and 3-1 ATS in its last four after allowing 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Syracuse has in fact struggled in this position, going 2-6 ATS in its last eight after scoring 80 points or more and just 5-8 ATS in its last 13 as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more. Play on TEXAS SOUTHERN.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* REVENGE ROUT on Cleveland State.

Cleveland State plays with revenge after falling to Bowling Green last year and catches a Falcons team which comes with zero momentum whatsoever after losing two straight, including an 83-74 setback at Wright State on Sunday. Conversely, the Vikings come into this one off two straight victories, including a thrilling 67-65 win over Belmont on Saturday, Demonte Flannigan would hit the game-winning shot with just 1.8 seconds left to play. Cleveland State has been especially improved on the defensive end of the floor of late, it ranks second in the Horizon League in holding opponents to .298 shooting from three-point range. And note that Bowling Green has struggled in this spot for bettors for quite some time, not only is it already 1-3 ATS this year as an underdog, but it's also 0-2 ATS after allowing 80 points or more. And note that Cleveland State is 20-16 ATS in its last 36 non-conference contests. Play on the VIKINGS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers.

While we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the lowly 76ers to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Memphis hasn't been playing great the last few weeks, after back to back road losses at Chicago and Dallas, the Grizzlies would rebound with a decent 96-84 win at Indiana on Saturday. Memphis is on the road over Christmas, a game tomorrow night in Washington is followed with a game at Charlotte on Boxing day; it's definitely not too hard to imagine the visitors looking past their cellar dweller opponent this evening (also note that Memphis is just 6-8 SU on the road this season). Philadelphia also plays a game tomorrow night in Milwaukee, but the 76ers won't be looking past their opponent, in fact the team plays with revenge after falling 92-84 in Memphis back on November 29th. This is also Philadelphia's last home game until January 4th, which without question puts added importance into trying to secure a victory at all costs tonight. And while it's true that the Grizzlies have won five straight in the City of Brotherly Love, note that four of those victories came by five points or fewer, last season's win went to OT where Memphis needed to rally from 18 down over the final seven minutes. And finally note, this is not the same defensive minded Grizzlies clubs from years past as the team is allowing an average of 100.2 PPG this season. Grab as many points as you can with PHILADELPHIA.

AAA Sports