This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Philadelphia 76ers.

We had a play on Philadelphia in Game 1 and obviously that didn’t turn out too well. We like the visiting side to make the necessary adjustments to score the road win in Game 2 though. Boston seemed to have plenty left in the tank after it’s seven game opening round series win over the Bucks. We believe that fatigue does finally become a factor tonight though. Conversely, the deep and talented 76ers should have no problem erasing Game 1 from their memories and getting back on track here. Note as well that Philadelphia is 7-5 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more, while Boston is just 21-30 ATS in its last 51 after scoring 115 points or more. This series gets tied up as it heads back to the City of Brotherly Love. Play on the 76ERS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Utah Jazz.

The Jazz lost terribly to the Thunder in Game 1 of their opening round matchup, but then bounced back in fine fashion to win Game 2 and then the series in six. Of course that was with Ricky Rubio, but regardless of that, we like the Jazz to find a way to get the job done here. Utah was quick to make adjustments last time out and we expect the same thing here as well. Note as well that Utah is 10-6 ATS this year when playing on two days rest, while Houston is just 4-10 ATS in the same position. Play on the JAZZ.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the New Orleans Pelicans.

We had a play on the Warriors in Game 1, but we think that the hungry Pelicans will do enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the points they’ve been afforded. Stephen Curry is coming back to the line-up for Golden State, but we still think New Orleans will play much better this time around. The Pelicans were flat footed after sweeping the Blazers, but with that rust shaken off, we’re expecting a much better effort on both ends of the court. Note as well that the Pelicans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight after allowing 120 points or more, while Golden State is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after scoring 120 points or more in its previous outing. Play on NEW ORLEANS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Philadelphia 76ers.

Philadelphia steamrolled the Heat in five games and it would have been in four if it weren’t for some improbable heroics from Dwayne Wade in Game 2. When Joel Embiid returned to the line-up though in Game 3 then it was all over for the Heat. Boston advanced by beating the Bucks in a tough seven game series and suffice it to say, we’re expecting a letdown here from this over-achieving Celtics side. Philadelphia is rested and healthy and it should have no problem stretching the Celtics, working the inside and the outside, something that Milwaukee wasn’t able to do at all. Both teams have been great against the spread, but we believe that Boston comes in flat and tired, while Philadelphia will be looking to run from start to finish. Lay the points, play on the 76ERS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TV GAME OF THE YEAR on the Indiana Pacers.

We played the Cavaliers on the money line in Game 7 of the NBA Finals when LeBron and Kyrie and Love and company went on to win the Championship. We think that the Pacers have much more than just a “punchers” chance in this one as well. To win this game the home side will once again need an epic outing from LeBron James. That’s expected though. Cleveland’s bench players and backups, especially Love, have been very inconsistent in this series. James needed a last second buzzer beater in Game 5, or this series could have already been over for the Cavs. We think Indiana is the better overall team, with better defense and a deeper offensive core. Also note that the Pacers are 27-13 ATS against poor defensive teams this year, while Cleveland is just 5-16 ATS after a loss by ten points or more. Upset shocker alert. Play on the PACERS on the MONEY LINE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Golden State Warriors.

Sweeping the Blazers is one thing, but beating the defending champs at home (with or without Stephen Curry), is quite another. New Orleans big man Anthony Davis presents a major problem, but Golden State has experienced big men that’ll be much more effective than what Portland presented. The Warriors are going to be able to stretch the Pelicans as well defensively, something that the Blazers weren’t able to do at all. We think New Orleans finally has a letdown here after its romp over Portland. Lay the points, play on the WARRIORS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz.

The Jazz had a prime opportunity to wrap this series up in Game 5, but let’s face it, they had a complete letdown in the second half and allowed the Thunder to get back into this series. We’re not going to read too much into that one shoddy half of play though and we fully expect this deep, talented and confident Jazz team to take care of business and bounce back on its home floor. The Thunder have been consistently inconsistent all year and note that they’ve been particularly feeble in this spot for bettors all season by going 18-24 ATS on the road, while Utah is a money-building 24-19 ATS at home. Lay the points, play on the JAZZ.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

The difference in this series so far hasn’t been the play of LeBron James (which has been spectacular of course. But we pretty much expected that James would dominate in this series before it started, so that’s no big surprise), but the way the Cavs adjusted their defense to handle Pacers’ star Victor Oladipo, who has been completely shut down after a decent Game 1 showing. We don’t see anything changing here and we expect the rest of the Cavs stars to show up tonight as well. Indiana is gassed and dejected and we think it’s ripe for the picking. In a contest which we believe will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we’re going to grab the points. Play on the CAVALIERS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors.

You could argue that this is one of the Raptors biggest games in franchise history. Toronto has put together some awesome teams over the years, but it’s failed to do anything in the playoffs. Over the last five years Toronto has been extremely competitive, but it’s fizzled out each time in the second round, due almost entirely because of its poor play on the road. Tonight is an opportunity to once and for all exorcise those demons though. Toronto is the better and deeper team here. It’s struggles on the road at this point are completely mental. Washington has put up a hell of a fight, but we think that Wall and Beal come up short here. Note that Toronto is 9-6 ATS as an underdog this year, while Washington is just 19-33 ATS as the favorite. Grab the points, play on the RAPTORS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Toronto Raptors.

Home floor advantage. Sometimes it can be over-rated and other times its a huge tangible factor. And that can be especially true in a playoff series. So far that’s been the case in this one and we’re expecting Game 5 to follow suit. Toronto already owns a big home court advantage, but doubly so in the Playoffs. Washington’s weakness has been its play on the road all year and note that it’s just 7-10 ATS already this season when playing on two days rest. The Raptors on the other hand are 4-1 ATS in their last five when playing on two days rest. Look for TORONTO to bounce back after back-to-back duds. Lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Indiana Pacers.

This series has been anything but predictable. Note though that Indiana has responded well in this spot all year by going 20-13 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and 25-18 ATS on the road. Conversely this is a position in which the Cavs have struggled mightily in of late by going just 13-29 ATS at home, only 20-45 ATS as the favorite and just 6-13 ATS when playing with two days rest. With their backs against the wall, we look for the PACERS to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points, play on INDIANA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Golden State Warriors.

The Warriors put up a hell of a fight in Game 4 to stave of elimination. But with that heroic effort out of the way for grieving head coach Gregg Popovich, we believe that everything points to a predictable letdown here for the aging Spurs. San Antonio big man LaMarcus Aldridge has been a disappointment so far and we think he’ll struggle again on the road against the more athletic bigs of Golden State. Note as well that the Spurs are just 5-9 ATS already this year after allowing 90 points or less, while Golden State is 8-5 ATS this season after a loss by ten points or more. All signs point to a blowout, play on the WARRIORS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat.

Other than Game 2, Miami has been unable to hang in the second half of their games with Philadelphia. The 76ers have a strangle-hold on this series now, but we think Miami won’t be going down without a fight tonight. The 76ers are a dangerous team, but Miami has a lot of veteran experience and heart and while we’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, the stage is definitely set for another epic battle. Note as well that Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last five when trailing in a playoff series. No outright upset, but closer than expected war. Grab the points, play on MIAMI.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors.

The Raptors took Game’s 1 and 2 at home and then suffered a predictable letdown in Game 3. Toronto is a seasoned road tested team though and we’re fully expecting the Raptors to get back on track and take command of this series with a big winning effort. A 4-0 sweep was never in the cards, but a 4-1 or 4-2 outcome is what we predicted. Note that Washington is a terrible 16-24 ATS at home this season still and a brutal 9-13 ATS after a win by ten points or more. The Raptors on the other hand have excelled in this spot for bettors by going 5-2 ATS in their last seven after allowing 115 points or more. We look for TORONTO’S depth to prove to be the difference tonight. Lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.

We were surprised by Boston’s performance in Game’s 1 and 2. We think the Bucks will build off their Game 3 victory though and once again take care of business on their home floor. The Celtics shut down the Bucks’ at home, but they were unable to contain Milwaukee’s depth on the road. Suffice it to say, we have a hard time seeing the undermanned and exhausted C’s keeping pace in Game 4 either. The Bucks are ready to take advantage. And note, Milwaukee is 5-2 ATS in its last seven after allowing 92 points or less in its previous outing, while Boston is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after allowing 115 points or more in its previous outing. Lay the points, play on the BUCKS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Washington Wizards.

Toronto was the cream of the crop in the East over the regular season. The Raptors also looked pretty good in taking the first two games of this series. That said, we fully expect the desperate Wizards to bounce back in Game 3. Toronto’s achilles heel, especially in the playoffs, has been its play on the road. We think that the shift in venue is going to have a big effect (in Game 3 at least). Additionally note that Toronto is just 2-4 ATS in its last six when leading in a playoff series, while Washington is 8-4 ATS following a loss by ten points or more and 2-0 ATS after allowing 130 points or more. Lay the points, play on the WIZARDS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ART OF THE GAME on the Portland Trailblazers.

It’s now or never for the 0-2 Blazers. We’ve been on Portland over the first two games and so far the difference has been the Pelicans’ tough defensive play on Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum. Portland has a big body to throw at Anthony Davis (Nurcic), but the key will be to slow down Rondo. We have a hard time though seeing Lillard being held down for a third straight game. Portland has the talent to get right back in this series and that’s exactly what we’re expecting to witness tonight. Note that Portland is 22-16 ATS on the road, 16-11 ATS as an underdog and 7-4 ATS after playing three consecutive home games, while New Orleans is just 19-21 ATS at home. Clearly the outright, straight-up isn’t out of the question, but in the end we’ll recommend grabbing the points. Play on PORTLAND.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

NBA fans have a way of overreacting to one game in the Playoffs. We won’t be making that mistake here. Indiana has already won four of five against the Cavs, including the outright victory in Game 1, but with their backs against the wall, we think that LeBron James and company come to play tonight. The main goal of any visiting team in the Opening Round of the playoffs is to earn a “split” over the first two games on the road, so as to steal the “home court advantage” moving forward. With that mission accomplished for Indiana, we’re expecting a classic letdown here. James’ leadership has once again been called into question after the Game 1 loss and both he and the rest of the team will be using that as fuel to motivate them in Game 2. We think the situational factors working in favor of the Cavs tonight absolutely warrant a spread of this size. Also note though that the Pacers are just 6-14 ATS this year after a win by ten points or more. Play on CLEVELAND in a big time blowout.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Portland Trailblazers. 

The Blazers flopped in Game 1, as both CJ McCollum and Damian Lillard struggled for the most part. Still, Portland closed strong and even had an opportunity to win the game late. We don’t foresee Lillard and McCollum struggling so much in back-to-back games and we expect the Pelicans to come in a bit complacent here, satisfied with earning the opening split before heading home. Note that New Orleans is still just 20-27 ATS in its last 47 off an upset win as an underdog, while Portland is 7-4 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent. All signs point to a comfortable bounce back cover for the home side. Lay the points, play on the BLAZERS.

AAA Sports

This is a 9* BIG TIGER on the Washington Wizards.

Toronto pulled away for the win/cover in Game 1, but it was anything but easy. It was a back and forth war until the end and the home side only managed the cover late on free-throws. With their backs against the wall though, we’re expecting Bradley Beal and John Wall to at the very least, take Game 2 down to the wire. The Wizards had their shot, at times dominating defensively. Both Beal and Wall had poor shooting nights and the visitors were still competitive. Note that Washington is 18-12 ATS as an underdog this year, while Toronto is just 1-4 ATS in its last five when leading in a playoff series. Grab the points, play on the WIZARDS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER is on the Philadelphia 76ers.

Miami looked like it would be able to compete in this series after the first half of Game 1, but then the second half started and the Heat were simply unable to keep up with the much deeper and more talented 76ers. And that of course was without main offensive weapon Joel Embiid. Note that Miami is just 2-4 ATS in its last six and only 9-10 ATS against the Atlantic division this year, while Philadelphia is 28-13 ATS at home and 21-10 ATS after a win by ten points or more. We look for Ben Simmons and company to once again pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Lay the points, play on PHILADELPHIA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Oklahoma City spilt its final ten games of the year, while the Jazz enter the playoffs as one of the hottest teams in the league. The postseason is finally here though and we can’t see Utah slowing down Russell Westbrook tonight. Utah predicates itself on its tough defensive play, among the league leaders in almost every defensive statistical category there is. The Thunder though are also one of the better defensive clubs and with Westbrook and they equally as dynamic Paul George on the offensive attack, we simply can’t see Utah keeping pace down the stretch. For all the reasons listed above, play on the THUNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Portland Trailblazers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that New Orleans is just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 as an underdog, while Portland is 29-19 ATS this season as the favorite.

The bottom line: Portland has the a big body (Nurcic) to throw at Davis and we think the home side will ride the wave of emotion to a solid victory behind a big game from Damian Lillard. Lay the points with confidence, play on the BLAZERS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Miami is currently tied with Milwaukee, 14.5 games behind Toronto for the Eastern Conference lead and in the sixth spot, with the Bucks in seventh. If the playoffs started today, the Heat would play the 76ers and the Bucks would play the Celtics. Which of those two teams would you rather play in the first round? It’s a delicate balance, as Washington sits 15.5 games back itself. However, a loss wouldn’t be the absolute worst thing in the World for Miami today. No such luck for OKC though, which sits in eighth spot in the West, but tied with three other teams sitting 18 games back of Houston. The Wolves sit 19 games back. It’s a log-jam and the Thunder can ill afford to take the foot off the gas at this point of the season. We think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Lay the points, play on the THUNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Dallas Mavericks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Dallas is 30-17 ATS against clubs with winning records this year and 36-28 ATS the last two seasons revenging a home loss against an opponent, while Philadelphia is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after scoring 130 points or more in its previous contest.

The bottom line: Philadelphia has won 13 straight and it just beat the Cavs 132-130. Can anyone say “letdown spot?!” The 76ers have a night off after facing their lowly non-conference opponent tonight, before finishing up with games at Atlanta and at home against the Bucks. Clearly it’s not too hard to imagine the red hot home side getting caught looking ahead here (note as well that several starters will be given the night off here.) Dallas isn’t in the playoffs and it has nothing to play for, but it remains competitive after falling 113-106 in OT at Detroit in its latest matchup. We’re not calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to a much closer than expected battle. Play on the MAVERICKS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Golden State Warriors.

Stephen Curry is out for the Warriors, but Golden State hasn’t really missed a beat to this point as it enters off three straight victories, including a 111-107 road victory at Oklahoma City in its latest. The Warriors are looking up at the Rockets in the Western Conference and can ill afford to take the foot off the gas at this point of the season. They’re also out to avenge a 92-81 loss to the Pacers on March 27th. Indiana’s five game win streak was just snapped in a 107-104 loss at Denver, the finale of a four-game trip, setting this one up as a classic “letdown” spot for the home side. Also note that Indiana won’t be able to help itself “looking ahead” to its game at East leading Toronto tomorrow night. Additionally note that the Warriors are 10-7 ATS in their last 17 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Indiana is just 14-15 ATS this year in non-conference games. We’re expecting a blowout from start to finish, play on GOLDEN STATE.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF MONTH on the Detroit Pistons.

Both teams “stars” are sitting this one out, as Joel Embiid will be given the night off after the 76ers hammered the Nets 121-95 last night. Philadelphia has now won ten straight, but we think it’ll finally have a letdown here. Detroit’s chances for a playoff spot are slim, but the team won’t be going down without a fight here, despite Blake Griffin not being in the lineup tonight. Note that the Pistons play with revenge here after a humbling 114-78 defeat to Philadelphia in early January. Also note that this sets up as a classic “look ahead” spot for the 76ers, with a home game against the suddenly red hot Cavaliers on Friday night. Detroit though comes in on top form as well as it’s won seven of its last ten, including five straight. Note that Philadelphia is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after scoring 120 points or more in its previous contest, while Detroit is 19-13 ATS against good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per night. For all the reasons listed above, play on the PISTONS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ATS UPSET BLOWOUT SPECIAL on the Atlanta Hawks.

This is the opener of a home and home set. Atlanta comes in off a 94-88 win at Orlando and it would love to throw a monkey wrench into the postseason plans for the Heat, who are currently locked in a tight battle with Milwaukee for the seventh and eighth seed, one game back of Washington for sixth spot and four games up on Detroit. Note that ATL is 18-11 ATS in its last 29 after allowing 90 points or less, while Miami is just 16-20 ATS at home this season and only 4-7 ATS when playing on two days rest. Expect ATLANTA to keep this one competitive. 

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Toronto Raptors.

Toronto lost to Cleveland 132-129 on March 21st and it comes in having trades wins/losses over its last eight games, most recently falling 110-99 at Boston as a 4.5 point favorite. Fatigue is a very real factor for everyone at this point of the season, but with a couple of days off to re-focus for this one and tomorrow night at home against the Celtics, we think that Toronto finds a way to avenge the earlier setback. Cleveland has won eight of ten, but note that it’s still only 12-25 ATS at home this year and only 6-9 ATS after a win by ten points or more. Toronto on the other hand is 9-3 ATS as an underdog this season and 20-15 ATS against poor defensive clubs which allow 106-plus points per night. Grab the points, play on the RAPTORS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Michigan.

The Wolverines looked flat to open their come from behind 69-57 win over Loyola Chicago in the Final Four, but they’d score 47 points on 57 percent shooting in the second half against a tough Ramblers defense and we absolutely believe that Michigan is going to bring that same second half intensity to the start of this one. The Wildcats own the league’s No. 1 offense and they haven’t really been tested yet, but Michigan’s defense is playing at an elite level right now and combined with its depth and size, we believe it has a legitimate shot at taking this one outright. That said, grab the points.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Washington Wizards.

Charlotte’s four-game win streak was snapped in a 118-105 setback to Cleveland and we think it’s going to suffer another letdown here as well. The Wizards play with revenge here after falling to Charlotte 122-105 on February 23rd. Washington has lost four of its last five and it’ll be desperate here. Note as well that the Wizards are 6-3 ATS this year following a loss by ten points or more, while the Hornets are just 7-12 ATS this season following a loss by ten points or more. Play on WASHINGTON.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Atlanta Hawks.

Philadelphia has won nine straight, including three in a row at home. It’s hit a “vanilla” part of its schedule though, with the game against the Hawks tonight, followed by Charlotte and Brooklyn up next. While the Hornets present a challenge, it’s still not too hard to imagine the contented visitors in some small way coming in contented and looking past their lowly opponent. The Hawks play with revenge here after falling 119-109 to Philly in early November. While ATL won’t be in the postseason, it’ll still be eager to snap its four game slide (has lost nine of ten overall.) Note as well that Philadelphia is just 3-6 ATS this year after playing three consecutive home games, while the Hawks are 13-8 ATS this season after three or more consecutive losses. Grab the points, play on ATLANTA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Orlando Magic.

A couple of bottom feeders fighting for a lottery position go head-to-head on Friday night. Chicago has lost seven straight, while Orlando has lost four of its last five. The Magic though play with revenge here after falling to the Bulls 105-101 in mid February. Also note that Chicago is just 7-11 ATS in its last 18 against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest, while Orlando is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 against poor defensive clubs which allow the same amount of points. Home court is the difference here, play on the MAGIC.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* CIT CHAMPIONSHIP RED DRAGON on Northern Colorado. 

Illinois-Chicago advanced to the CIT Championship Game by beating Liberty 67-51, while Northern Colorado pulled away for a 99-80 win over Sam Houston State. The Flames average 75.4 PPG and they allow 72. The Bears average 81.2 PPG and they allow 73.1. Note that Norther Colorado has averaged 88.7 PPG through three tournament games though and can’t see the under-manned Flames keeping pace down the stretch. Note as well that Illinois-Chicago is just 8-10 ATS as theunferdog this year and only 4-5 ATS when playing with one days rest, while Northern Colorado is 9-3 ATS this season when playing with one or less days rest and 15-6 ATS when playing the role of favorite. We expect UNC to enter the final five minutes with a sizeable lead and we look for it to keep the foot on the gas until the final buzzer. Lay the points, play on NORTHERN COLORADO.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the LA Lakers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based almost entirely on ATS trends/statistics:

As note that Dallas is just 12-22 ATS this year against poor defensive tams which allow 106 plus points per contest, while LA is 9-3 ATS this season after playing three consecutive road games.

The bottom line: The Mavericks come in off the highly satisfying 103-97 win at Sacramento just last night and we’re expecting a predictable letdown here. The Lakers have been scuffling of late after a stretch of decent play and we expect them to take advantage. Play on LA.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* CIT GAME OF THE YEAR on Northern Colorado.

Sam Houston State beat UTSA 76-69 to advance. The Bearkats were “lucky” though as they hit only 37.5 percent of their shots. John Dewey III was a bright spot with 18 points. Northern Colorado though looked impressive in its latest win over the Toreros of San Diego, pulling away for the 86-75 final. Note that UNC has hit 80 points or more in five straight games. Three players scored in double figures for the Bears in the latest victory, led by Andre Spight with 26. Note that Sam Houston State is just 3-8-2 ATS in its last 13 against teams with a winning percentage over 60, while Northern Colorado is 13-3-1 ATS in its last 17 non-conference contests. We think that the Bears have such big advantages on both ends of the court, that laying this sizeable spread is completely justifiable. All signs point to a blowout, play on NORTHERN COLORADO.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Charlotte Hornets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based almost entirely on strong/relevant ATS trends/statistics:

As note that Cleveland is just 16-21 ATS on the road this year and only 10-20 ATS against good offensive teams which average 106 points per contest, while Charlotte is 11-7 ATS this year after scoring 115 points or more in its previous contest.

The bottom line: The Cavs come in off a loss in Miami just last night and we’re expecting them to come in flat footed here against the revenge minded Hornets, who come in off a big OT win over the Knicks. Grab the points, play on CHARLOTTE.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Washington Wizards.

The Spurs’ Kawhi Leonard and the Wizards’ John Wall are both still injured. San Antonio’s six game win streak was snapped in a 106-103 road loss in Milwaukee last time out and suffice it to say, we’re expecting another letdown here. And with a night off before home games against Western Conference leading foes OKC and Houston up next, it’s obviously not too hard at all to envision the visitors getting caught looking ahead. Washington plays with revenge here after falling 98-90 in San Antonio last week. It’s also going to be desperate to break a three-game slide. And with a tough game at equally as hungry Detroit on Thursday, tonight’s contest takes on added importance for the home side. Note as well that San Antonio is just 10-11 ATS in its last 22 against good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest, while Washington is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 after three or more consecutive SU losses. Grab the points, play on the WIZARDS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Western Kentucky.

WKU made it to this point off a 92-84 win over Oklahoma State, while Utah upset No. 1 seed Saint Mary’s 67-58 in OT. WKU averages 78.8 PPG and it allows 70.4. Utah averages 73.8 PPG and it allows 68.2. Note that WKU is 7-0 ATS in its last seven after scoring 90 or more points in its previous game, while Utah is just 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven neutral site affairs. Utah pulled out the OT upset last time out, but note it was out rebounded in that game by 14 and it was further fortunate with the Gaels going an uncharacteristic 5 of 14 from the free throw line. The HILLTOPPERS aren’t the deepest team, but they have five players that score in double digits and we believe that’ll be enough to carry them into the Final. Play on WKU.

AAA Sports

This is a 9* BIG TIGER on Texas Tech.

Texas Tech advanced with a 78-65 upset of Purdue, while Villanova advanced with a 90-78 victory over West Virginia. The Red Raiders average 75 PPG and they allow just 64.6. Texas Tech forced Purdue into 17 turnovers, while committing only ten of its own. Overall Texas Tech hit 47.5 percent from the floor in its latest victory (note that the Red Raiders have given up just 63.7 points during the tournament to this point.) Villanova averages 87 PPG and it allows 70.5. The Wildcats looked sharp on both ends of the floor in their Sweet 16, but note that they have in fact struggled in this spot by going just 1-3 ATS in their last four after scoring 90 points or more in they previous contest. And note that Texas Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS victory. The oddsmakers are clearly giving the Aggies a shot at winning this one outright with this modest spread. We’re going to stop short in calling for the outright upset, bug all signs do indeed point to a competitive battle. Grab the points, play on TEXAS TECH.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Houston Rockets.

The Pelicans have won four straight, but this is their fourth game in the last five nights (because of a “make up” game with Indiana) and suffice it to say, we’re expecting a classic letdown here. Normally we wouldn’t play on a team like Houston, as it also comes into this one off seven straight wins, needing OT to get the better of Detroit 100-96 last time out. The Rockets defense was impressive and they came through in the clutch offensively when they needed too. This is the first of four games against “lesser” competition, with Atlanta, Chicago and Phoenix all coming to town next. The Rockets won’t be taking the foot off the gas this year until home floor is secured and they should have no problem at all running up the score here against the fatigued Pelicans. All signs point to a blowout, lay the points, play on HOUSTON.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Purdue (10:05 EST).

Purdue got by CS Fullerton and Butler to reach this point, while Texas Tech got the better of Stephen F Austin and Florida. The Red Raiders average 74.9 points and they allow 64.6. Purdue averages 80.8 PPG and it allows just 65.4. Isaac Haas is out for the Boilermakers, but the team is deep and it made the necessary adjustments against a tough Butler side. The Red Raiders have been a nice story to this point, but we think they stumble down the stretch against the high-flying BOILERMAKERS. Play on Purdue.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Syracuse.

Syracuse played in the First Four and it’s advanced to this point having won three straight by five points or less. Duke’s advanced with blowout wins over Iona and Rhode Island. The Orange most recently beat Michigan State 55-53, holding the Spartans to just 25.8 percent shooting. The Orange though were 24 of 31 from the free throw line. The Blue Devils held the Rams to just 39.7 percent shooting in their latest win, while also going 19 of 24 from the charity stripe. Note though that the Orange are 7-1 ATS in their last eight NCAA tournament games and 4-1 ATS in their last five against teams with a win percentage above 60, while Duke is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after back-to-back ATS covers. The Orange know they likely won’t survive this round, but they won’t be going down without a fight. In this grind it out battle, we’re going to recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the ORANGE.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH on the Phoenix Suns.

Are the Suns going to win this one outright? Probably not. We do however believe that they’re going to keep this one extremely competitive against a Cavs team which will be resting players and which comes in complacent off three straight victories, including an epic come from behind 132-129 win over rival Toronto in their last one. Cleveland stomped Phoenix just two weeks ago, but with a three-game road swing starting in Brooklyn on Sunday, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side also getting caught looking ahead. Phoenix has lost nine straight and it’s in Orlando tomorrow night, but we’r expecting it to put up a fight in the nationally televised contest. Grab the points, play on the SUNS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Sacramento Kings.

The Kings are a team which knew from the start that it wouldn’t be playing in the postseason. Sacramento has a mix of veterans and rookies and it’ll still need some time to develop chemistry and talent. That said the Kings will be looking to snap a two-game slide and the Hawks present the perfect opportunity to do just that. With Boston coming to town next, tonight’s contest takes on added importance for the home side. The Hawks on the other hand come in off a rare 99-94 win at Utah and with a game at Golden State tomorrow night, clearly it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead to that much more high profile contest. For all the reasons listed above, play on the KINGS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on Gonzaga.

Florida State advanced by knocking off Xavier 75-70 as an underdog in the second round, while Gonzaga got the better of Ohio State 90-84. The Seminoles average 81.1 PPG and they allow 73.7. Gonzaga averages 84.2 PPG and it allows just 67.5. The Bulldogs had an 11 point half time lead in their win over the Buckeyes, but they were actually down 67-62 with six minutes to play, before then buckling down with an impressive 16-2 run to seal the deal. We like the Bulldogs to carry that momentum over here and we look for FSU to suffer a letdown here off its second round upset. Lay the points, play on GONZAGA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Kentucky.

Kentucky can smell the Elite 8 after both Arizona and Virginia were ousted in the second round. Kentucky advanced by smashing Buffalo 95-75 behind 27 points, six boards and six assists from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The Wildcats enter the Sweet 16 playing their best basketball of the season in riding a five-game win streak, averaging 116.6 points per 100 possessions and allowing 95.6. Kentucky gets it done across the board, leading the nation in many of the “intangibles,” including a 13.8 percent block rate (18th), offensive rebounding rate of 35.6 percent (8th) and free throw rate of 43.1 percent (7th.) K-State averages 110.7 points per 100 possessions and it allows 95.5 per 100 possessions. The Wildcats advanced with a 50-43 win over UMBC, despite shooting just 38.3 percent. I have a hard time seeing the Wildcats keeping pace with the much more athletic Kentucky Wildcats who come in firing on all cylinders. We’re expecting a blowout, lay the points, play on KENTUCKY.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the LA Lakers.

New Orleans is in the midst of playing five games in six night (because of a “make up” game thrown in with the Pacers last night). The Pelicans have won three in row now after the 96-92 victory over Indiana, but with one night off before a game at Houston, followed by contests against Portland, Cleveland and OKC, there’s no question that this sets up as a letdown/look-ahead spot for the Pelicans. The Lakers on the other hand will be eager to return to form after three straight losses, but with two nights off to prepare, while also out to avenge 139-117 setback to the Pelicans in mid February, all signs point to LA keeping this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, play on the LAKERS.

AAA Sports  

This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Saint Mary’s.

Utah advanced by beating Cal Davis and LSU, while Saint Mary’s got here by getting the better of Washington and SE Louisiana. Utah averages 74 PPG and it allows 68.5. Saint Mary’s averages 77.5 PPG and it allows just 64.4. Note that Utah is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Saint Mary’s is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four as a home favorite of 6.5 to nine points. The GAELS are 18-1 at home and they enjoy one of the nation’s most favorable “home court advantages.” We expect that to play a big factor at this point of the year, so lay the points with confidence.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Portland Trailblazers.

Portland is red hot and with Boston and Oklahoma City up next, this next three game stretch will be a telling one for the Blazers. First things first though is the Rockets. Note that the Blazers play with revenge here after falling 121-112 in Houston in the most recent matchup on January 10th. Houston is on a big run as well. After losing to Toronto the Rockets have now won five straight, including two straight on the road. But with a night off before an extended home stretch and with “cream puffs” Detroit, New Orleans, Atlanta and Chicago all coming to town, clearly it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors in some small way getting caught looking ahead here. Note that Houston is just 5-7 ATS this year after allowing 115 points or more in its previous contest, while Portland is 9-5 ATS after scoring 115 points or more. An outright upset isn’t out of the question, but we’re still going to grab the points. Play on the BLAZERS.

AAA Sports 

This is a 10* NIT TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Western Kentucky.

WKU is 25-10 and USC is 24-11. The Hilltoppers got the better of Boston College 79-62 in the first round. WKU averages 78.4 PPG. The Trojans come in tired here in our estimation as they’d have to hold on for dear life in a 103-98 double OT opening round win over UNC-Asheville in its opening round. USC averages 77.8 PPG. Note though that WKU is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 non-conference games and 4-1 in their last five on the road, while USC is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 102 points or more in its previous contest. USC is without top scorer and rebounder Metu, and while the Trojans rallied against UNC Asheville, the HILLTOPPERS present an entirely different challenge. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we’re going to recommend grabbing the points. Play on WKU.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Marshall.

Marshall comes in off the first round upset of Wichita State and we look for it to continue that momentum over here. WVU had no issues knocking off Murray State in its opener, but it’s going to face a much stiffer task this time around. Note that Marshall is a perfect 10-0 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest, while WVU is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 against good offensive teams which average 77 plus points per contest. Grab the points, play on MARSHALL.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on MD Baltimore County.

MD Baltimore County has shown it deserves to be here after the Retrievers upset No. 1 seed Virginia in the first round 74-54. They are the only team to score 70 points on the Cavs this year. K-State pulled off the upset over Creighton in the first round, but it could absolutely be set up for an outright upset here. Note that MD BALTIMORE COUNTY is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as an underdog, while Kansas State is just 7-8 ATS as a favorite this season. Grab the points, play on the Retrievers.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Texas A&M.

Texas A&M’s defense isn’t getting enough credit here. The Aggies’ defense will have to be at its best here to slow down the high-flying Tar Heels, but the numbers/trends support that position as note that Texas A&M is already a perfect 3-0 ATS this year when playing on one or less days rest, while UNC is just 2-3 ATS in its last five when playing on one or less days rest. This one has the makings of an all out battle to the end. Grab the points, play on TEXAS A&M.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Syracuse.

We feel that the Orange defense continues to get underestimated. The Spartans would love to slow this one down and we think this will lead to a much closer than expected affair here. Note that Syracuse is 6-1 ATS in its last seven NCAA Tournament games, while Michigan State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four NCAA tourney contests. We’re not predicting an outright upset, but everything points to a battle. Grab the points, play on SYRACUSE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Butler.

Purdue suffered a major injury to 7’2” center Haas in its blowout win in the first round and we think the revenge minded Bulldogs can step up and take advantage. The Bulldogs play with revenge after Purdue beat them at home in late December. Note tha tButler is 4-2 ATS this year when playing on one days rest, while Purdue is just 2-4 ATS when playing on one days rest. All signs point to a nail-biter, grab the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Houston.

Houston advanced to the second round of the NCAA Tournament by holding on for a 67-65 win over SDSU, led by 39 points from senior Rob Gray. The Cougars average 115.2 points per 100 possessions and the allow 94.7 points per 100 possessions. Note that the Cougars have shot 38.7 percent from 3-point land, which ranks 34th in the country, while also owning an offensive rebounding rate of 34.1 percent, which ranks 30th in the country. Michigan averages 115.2 points per 100 possessions and it allows 91.7 points per 1005 possessions. Michigan has posted 43 percent of its total field goal attempts from three-point range, which we think doesn’t bode well facing the Cougars. We’re banking on this one being decided on whichever team has its hands on the ball last. Grab the points, play on HOUSTON.

AAA Sports

This is a 9* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Rhode Island.

Rhode Island comes in off an 83-78 OT win over Oklahoma on Thursday and we think that it’ll give Duke a run for its money here as well. The Blue Devils smashed Iona 89-67 in their opener. The Rams average 76.4 PPG and they allow just 68.2. In the upset win over the Sooners they’d go on to hit 11 three-pointers. Duke averages 85.1 PPG and it allows 69.6. The Blue Devils rely heavily on the three-ball and they now face a Rams team which held Oklahoma to just 4 for 20 from range. Note that Rhode Island is 9-5 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more, while Duke is 0-2 ATS in its last two as a neutral court favorite of 9.5 to 12 points. We like the “under the radar” RAMS to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Florida State.

The Seminoles lost to Louisville 82-74 in the ACC Tournament, while Missouri fell 62-60 to Georgia in the SEC. FSU averages 82 PPG and it allows 74.5 PPG. FSU plays quickly and it utilizes ten different players. Missouri averages 73.5 PPG and it allows 68.3. Missouri suffered a blow by losing forward Jordan Barnett for the opener due to a DUI arrest (14.1 points and six boards per game average.) Note that FSU is 8-2 ATS in its last ten non-conference games, while Missouri is just 1-5 ATS in its last six non-conference contests. Missouri is injured and we look for the SEMINOLES to step up and take advantage.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on TCU.

Syracuse beat Arizona State 60-56 in the First Four on Wednesday and we’re expecting an immediate letdown here on the quick turn-around. TCU has been off since last Thursday’s 66-64 OT loss to K-State in the Big 12 Tournament. The Orange average 67.5 PPG and they allow 64.5. The Horned Frogs average 83 PPG and they allow 75.9. Note that Syracuse is just 4-13 ATS in its last 17 following an ATS win, while TCU is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight following a SU loss. We think the Orange come in “gassed” after their Wednesday night win and we expect the HORNED FROGS to step up and take advantage. Lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Cincinnati. 

It’s No. 2 Cincinnati against No. 15 Georgia State in the opening round of the South region and we think the rested and focused Bearcats are going to easily pull away for a comfortable SU/ATS win/cover once it’s all said and done. Cincinnati was 30-4 this year overall, including 19-2 in the AAC and also going on to win the conference tournament. While the Bearcats had success in the “straight up” win column through the tournament, they’d go 0-3 ATS. We think that trend changes this afternoon though. Note that the Bearcats actually lead the nation in scoring margin, beating their opponents by an average of 17.8 points. Note that the Panthers allow 67.8 PPG, while Cincinnati allows 57.1. Georgia State faces its stiffest test of the year and we expect it to fail miserably on the national stage. Lay the points, play on CINCINNATI.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on San Diego State.

Brian Dutcher is going to The Big Dance in his first year as head coach as SDSU. The Aztecs enter The Tournament on fire with nine straight wins and they earned an automatic bid by beating New Mexico 82-75 in the conference title game. SDSU averages 111.3 points per 100 possessions and it allows 97.1 points per 100 possessions. Houston lost to Cincinnati 56-55 in the AAC title game and we think its suffers another letdown here. The Cougars average 115.8 points per 100 possessions and they allow 95.2. Note though that the Aztecs are a brilliant 7-0 ATS in their last seven against schools with a winning straight up record, while the Cougars a poor 1-4 ATS in their last five against the Mountain West. While an outright upset clearly isn’t out of the question, we’re grabbing the point. Play on SAN DIEGO STATE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on NC State.

NC State was upset by Boston College in the quarterfinals of the ACC Tournament 91-87. The Wolfpack made a furious rally as they were down by 21 points at one point, but their come back bid would ultimately fall short in the end. NC State averages 116.4 points per 100 possessions and it allows 101.3 points per 100 possessions. Note that the Wolfpack guard the 3-point line well, holding opponents to only 31.6 percent from range, which ranks 14th in the nation. Seton Hall averages 116.3 points per 100 possessions, but note that it’s just 5-7 ATS this year against good offensive teams which average 77 plus points per contest, while NC State is 7-4 ATS this year against good offensive teams which average 77 points a night. This one has “nail biter” written all over it. Grab the points, play on the WOLFPACK.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Iona. 

Iona was 11-7 in MAAC action and it would beat Fairfield in the title game of the conference tournament to earn the automatic bid. Duke was 13-5 in the ACC and it would lose to UNC in the semifinals of the conference tournament. The Gaels average 79.8 PPG and they allow 76.2. In the win over Fairfield they limited it to just 39 percent shooting. Duke averages 84.7 PPG and it allows 69.6. The Blue Devils were 6 of 23 from range in the loss to UNC in the conference tournament game. Note that Iona is 4-2 ATS in its last six as an 18 points or more underdog, while Duke is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven as a favorite in the same points range. While we’re obviously not calling for the outright upset, we do feel that IONA has enough on both ends of the floor to keep this one competitive late. Lay the points, play on IONA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Miami Florida.

Miami lost to UNC in the first round of the ACC, but we think it’ll bounce back in the opener of the tournament. Loyola Chicago won the regular season and conference Missouri Valley titles to reach this point. Loyola Chicago smashed Illinois State 65-49 in the MVC Title game, but clearly it now faces its stiffest test of the year. Ja’Quan Newton had 17 points and six boards in a losing cause for the Hurricanes against UNC. The Hurricanes lost Bruce Brown to injury in late January and the team has for the most part struggled since, but note that Loyola Chicago is a terrible 0-4 ATS in its last four when playing on seven or more days rest, while Miami Florida is already 3-1 ATS this year when playing on five or six days rest. Lay the points, play on the HURRICANES.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Rhode Island.

The Sooners were 8-10 in Big 12 play this year and they were taken out of the conference tournament by Oklahoma State. The Rams were 15-3 in A-10 action this season and they’ll be eager to take out their frustrations on someone after coming up short to Davidson 58-57 in an upset loss in the A-10 Title game. Oklahoma averages 85.2 PPG and it allows 81.6. Rhode Island averages 76.2 PPG and it allows just 67.9. Note that the Sooners are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven neutral site games, while Rhode Island is 7-3 ATS in its last ten neutral site affairs. We think the Rams are being vastly underrated here and we look for their top notched defense to be too much for the Sooners to handle down the stretch. Play on RHODE ISLAND.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Stanford.

BYU was 24-10 overall and 11-7 in the WCC. The Cougars would beat St. Mary’s in the semi finals of the conference tournament, before getting crushed 74-54 by Gonzaga in the championship game. Stanford had a poor non-conference start and it finished 18-15 overall. The Cardinal picked up the pace though once conference action started, finishing 11-7. Note that BYU is 8-17-2 ATS in its last 27 against teams with winning records, while the Cardinal are 8-1 ATS in their last nine in front of the home town crowd. We do indeed feel that “home floor” will be the difference maker in the end here. Lay the short points, play on STANFORD.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Syracuse.

It’s the Pac 12 against the ACC in the First Four from Dayton Ohio and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Orange. Arizona State lost to Colorado 97-85 in its conference tournament, while Syracuse fell 78-59 to UNC in the second round of the ACC Tournament. Arizona State averages 83.5 PPG and it allows 75.3. Syracuse averages 67.5 PPG and it allows just 64.5. Both teams come in struggling, but note that the Orange are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 when playing with five or six days rest, while the Sun Devils are just 3-5 ATS in the same position. With time off to prepare, we think the ORANGES’ tough defensive plays proves to be too much for ASU to handle down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Nebraska.

Nebraska was 13-5 in Big Ten action and it fell 77-58 to Michigan in the first round of the Conference tournament. Mississippi State would lose three of its final four games, including a 62-59 setback to Tennessee in the SEC Conference Tournament. The Bulldogs were 22-11 overall and 9-9 in league play. The Cornhuskers average 72.7 PPG and they allow 68.7. Mississippi State averages 73.7 PPG and it allows 67.9. Note though that Nebraska is 7-0 ATS in its last seven following an ATS loss, while Mississippi State is just 1-4 ATS in its last five non-conference games. Just because you’re playing at home in the NIT doesn’t necessarily mean you’re going to be more motivated. And that’s the case here, as we think that coach Tim Miles will have his troops prepared. Grab the points, play on the CORNHUSKERS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Louisiana Lafayette.

Louisiana Lafayette finished 27-6 overall and 16-2 in the Sun Belt, but it inexplicably fell apart in the semifinals of the conference tournament and was upset by UT Arlington. With some extra time off to prepare and absorb that difficult setback, we think the Ragin’ Cajuns are going to give the Tigers everything they can handle tonight. LSU was 17-14 overall and 8-11 in SEC action. The Tigers would go on to lose 80-77 to Mississippi State in the first round of the tournament. Note that UL Lafayette is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games and 5-1 ATS in its last six following an ATS loss, while LSU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five home games against a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. This one has upset written all over it, but in the end we’ll still grab the points. Play on the RAGIN’ CAJUNS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on UCLA.

The Bonnies enter the tournament at 25-7, while the Bruins are 21-11. UCLA fell to Arizona in OT in the semi-finals of the Pac 12 Tournament to make it to the First Four, while St. Bonaventure was upset by Davidson in the A-10 semis. These teams had some big victories this year and each also had some epic collapses. These teams are very evenly matched. UCLA though is a potent 9-5 ATS this year against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest, while St. Bonaventure is 1-3 ATS this season off a loss against a conference rival. We think the Bruins’ depth proves to be too much for the Bonnies to handle down the stretch. Lay the points, play on UCLA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Western Kentucky.

Boston College upset NC State in the ACC Tournament opener, but then it fell 90-82 to Clemson on the quarterfinals. WKU lost 67-66 to Marshall in the Conference USA Tournament Final to lose out on the auto NCAA Tourney bid. The Eagles average 76.8 PPG and they allow 74.4. The Hilltoppers average 78.4 PPG and they allow 70.1. Note that BC is just 1-4 ATS in its last five non-conference games, while WKU is 8-2 ATS in its last ten non-conference games. Boston College won 14 games at home, but it was just 2-10 as the visitor this year. WKU is 13-3 at home and despite playing at the mid major level, we expect it to continue its top level play in friendly confines. All signs point to a blowout, play on WESTERN KENTUCKY.

AAA Sports

This is a 9* REVENGE BLOWOUT on the Atlanta Hawks.

OKC has won three straight over Western Conference opponents. But we’re expecting the streaky Thunder to have a bit of a mental lapse here on the road against their lowly non-conference opponent tonight. And with two nights off before an important home game against the surging Clippers, it’s definitely not too hard to imagine the visitors also getting caught “looking ahead.” This is a classic “trap” scenario for the visitors. And the hungry Hawks will look to take advantage and to also avenge a 120-117 setback in OKC in mid December. Atlanta has lost three straight, but note that it’s already 11-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses (it’s also 3-1 ATS this season off an upset loss as a favorite.) And note that the Thunder are a poor 19-23 ATS the last two seasons when playing on back-to-back days. Play on ATLANTA.

AAA Sports

This is a 9* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the LA Lakers.

Cleveland lost the services of Rodney Hood and Cedi Osman in Friday’s 116-112 loss to the Clippers and we think the improve Lakers, who have won eight of their last ten, will take advantage. LA came up short in its latest contest, falling 125-116 to a desperate Nuggets team, but there’s no reason to think the team won’t be able to continue its offensive dominance of late against this injured Cavs team. While we wouldn’t be shocked by the outright upset, we’re going to recommend grabbing the points in the end. Play on the LAKERS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Cincinnati.

We have played on the Bearcats twice to open the AAC Tournament and we’ve come up short each time, as slow starts have sunk Cincinnati bettors to this point. These teams split a pair of games in the regular season, with each winning on its own floor. Houston has looked great to this point obviously, smashing UCF and upsetting Wichita State yesterday, but we think the Cougars are going to struggle against this very focused Bearcats team. Cincinnati dominated the second half of its 70-60 victory over Memphis, outscoring the Tigers 41-18 and suffice it to say we’re expecting the Bearcats to bring that same intensity from the “get go” this evening. All signs point to a blowout, play on CINCINNATI.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* BIG TIGER on Arizona.

Arizona defeated USC 81-67 in January and we believe a repeat performance is in store here. The Wildcats have advanced off two straight wins/covers, most recently getting the better of UCLA 78-67 in OT last night. USC has advanced by beating Oregon State and Oregon. Note though that USC is a poor 3-4 ATS in its last seven against good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest, while Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last seven conference tournament games. These teams are evenly matched offensively, but Arizona has the advantage on the defensive end and we expect that to once again be the difference maker here. Play on the WILDCATS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ATS BLOOD BATH on Virginia.

Two of the best in the country go head-to-head in this one. Virginia smashed UNC 61-49 in January and we’re expecting a similar final result here as well. The Tar Heels got their epic revenge against the Blue Devils last night and all signs point to a letdown here. This is a bad matchup for UNC, which does struggle against the better defensive teams. Note that UNC is just 1-3 ATS this year against good defensive clubs which allow 64 points or less per contest, while Virginia is 8-5 ATS against good offensive clubs which average 77 plus points a night. Defense wins championships. Play on VIRGINIA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Miami Heat.

Miami has won three of its last four, including a 108-99 victory at home over Philadelphia in its most recent. Miami plays with revenge after falling 117-113 to Washington just last week. And with an extended road trip starting on Monday at red hot Portland, tonight’s contest takes on added importance for the home side. Washington is at New Orleans on Friday night and with a much more “winnable” game at home against the injured Wolves on Tuesday, there’s no question that this sets up as a classic look-ahead spot for the visitors as well. This line could easily be a lot larger in our opinion. Lay the points, play on the HEAT.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Cincinnati.

We had a play on the Bearcats yesterday morning and they came up short in their 61-51  win over SMU. Memphis enters off an upset 67-64 victory over Tulsa yesterday and suffice it to say, I think it’s tournament run comes to an end here. Memphis averages only 71.2 PPG and it allows 71.2. Clearly the margin of error is pretty slim for the Tigers each night. The Bearcats average 75.2 PPG, but they allow only 57.1 (ranked second only behind Virginia.) Cincinnati did not have the type of performance it was hoping for to open the Conference Tournament, but the quick turnaround here offers them a golden opportunity to get untracked against this weary/contented SMU side. All signs point to a blowout, play on CINCINNATI.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Oregon (11:30 EST).

USC moved onto this stage of the PAC 12 Tournament with a  61-48 win over Oregon State, before Oregon held on for a 68-66 win over Utah. The Ducks last eight games have been decided by single digits and all sign once again point to a nail-biter this evening. Oregon lost to USC 72-70 in mid February and suffice it to say, we think its now “payback” time this evening. The Trojans looked stout against the lowly Beavers, but note that they’re still just 6-18 ATS in their last 24 when allowing 50 points or less in their previous contest. Conversely, note that the Ducks are a solid 3-0-1 ATS in their last four against a team with a winning percentage above .600. Oregon is battle tested and won’t be going down without a fight. Play on the DUCKS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Denver Nuggets.

Denver’s big win streak is a thing of the past as it comes in having lost four of its last six, including two straight. Most recently the Nuggets fell 113-108 to the Cavaliers. With Sacramento coming to town next, followed by a game at the Lakers again, the Nuggets have a legitimate shot at getting back into the winners circle and going on another run. The Lakers have been one of the hottest teams in the league of late, with victories in seven out of their last ten, including a 108-107 victory over Orlando in their most recent. But with a game at home against Cleveland on Sunday, it’s definitely not too hard to imagine the young visiting side getting caught “looking ahead.” Note as well that the Lakers are interestingly just 5-8 ATS against the Northwest division this year, while Denver is 27-21 ATS in its last 48 against the Pacific. Lay the points, play on the NUGGETS.

AAA Sports  

This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Cincinnati.

We had a play on SMU yesterday afternoon in its 80-73 win over UConn, but we think the Mustangs will come up short here in on the short turnaround. The Bearcats won’t be taking anything for granted here, as they’d end the regular season with a tough 62-61 road win over Wichita State. Note that these teams met twice in the regular season and the Bearcats smashed the Mustangs in both contests (by 20 and 25 points respectively.) SMU averages 70.1 PPG and it allows 64.2. Cincinnati averages 75.6 PPG and it allows just 57.3, ranked second in the country. Despite the win and cover yesterday, note that SMU is still just 17-37-1 ATS in its last 55 neutral site games, while Cincinnati is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 against teams with winning records. It’s difficult to beat a team three times in one season, unless you yourself are a “great” team. The Bearcats probably don’t classify as “great,” but we feel that they’re going to benefit tremendously from the extra time off against the winded Mustangs. All signs point to a comfortable cover, lay on CINCINNATI.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on SMU.

UConn comes in off an 81-71 loss at Houston to finish 7-11 in league play, whole SMU also backed its way into the Conference Tournament with a 6-12 league record and a 65-54 setback on the road at USF. Note that this is a revenge game for SMU after the Huskies won the lone meeting of the year 62-53. UConn averages 68 PPG and it allows 72.9. The Huskies defense has been terrible down the stretch though, conceding 79.3 points over their last seven. SMU averages 69.7 PPG and it allows just 63.9. SMU’s offense has stalled in league play, but we look for it to avenge the earlier loss and to ride its top ranked defense to a solid win and cover. Lay the points, play on SMU.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Fordham.

George Washington smashed Fordham 72-56 last week and suffice it to say, we think its “payback time.” The Rams fell 83-58 to VCU in their finale. Fordham averages 62 PPG and it’s given up over 70 points in all six recent setbacks. Fortunately the Colonials simply aren’t that much better, despite what the lop-sided result from last week suggests. After beating Fordham, George Washington quickly reverted to form in an 88-78 loss at Dayton on Saturday. Note that Fordham is already 3-1 ATS this year after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games, while George Washington is just 4-6 ATS this season off a loss against a conference rival. Grab the points, play on FORDHAM.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* BLOWOUT on Louisville.

Louisville finished 19-12 overall, while Florida State finished 20-10. Louisville plays with revenge after FSU got the 80-76 road win. Note that the Cardinals were 12-6 ATS against the conference this year, while Florida State was just 6-10 ATS. Louisville averages 76.6 points and it allows 70.3. FSU averages 82 PPG and it allows 74.2. Both teams disappointed this year, but the conditions favor the revenge-minded CARDINALS on Wednesday afternoon.

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This is a 10* REVENGE BLOWOUT DESTRUCTION on the Charlotte Hornets.

Philadelphia has won seven of its last ten, but it’s coming off a 118-110 loss at Milwaukee. It’s a tough part of the schedule for the 76ers, with a game at Miami up next on Thursday. Charlotte plays with revenge here after falling 110-99 to the 76ers just last week. The Hornets are the much hungrier team though as they come in having lost three straight. With upcoming home games against the Nets and Suns though, Charlotte has a big opportunity to start a new win streak this evening. Note that Philadelphia is already just 3-8 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last five against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per contest. All signs point to a comfortable cover, play on the HORNETS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* MAC TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Bowling Green.

Bowling Green is 16-15 overall and CMU is 18-13. Note that this is an in-season revenge game for the Falcons after they fell 84-75 to the Chippewas on the road in January in the lone meeting in the regular season between the schools. Bowling Green averages 75.9 PPG and it allows 77.7. Central Michigan averages 78 PPG and it allows 71.9. Note though that Bowling Green is 10-6 ATS as an underdog this year, 8-4 ATS on the road, 11-7 against the conference and a perfect 5-0 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while CMU is just 2-3 ATS this season off a win against a conference rival. While we’re not calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one coming right down to the wire. Grab the points, play on BOWLING GREEN.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the San Antonio Spurs.

The Spurs won’t be taking anything for granted here after losing seven of their last ten. San Antonio most recently fell 121-116 to New Orleans at home. Note the San Antonio plays with revenge here after falling to the Lakers 93-81 in January 11th. LA has been playing its best ball of the year, getting consistent scoring up and down the line-up, but we feel that this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the young Lakers, who enjoy a night off before a date at home against the red hot Blazers. Note that LA is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after a four games or more unbeaten streak, while San Antonio is 8-2 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 82 points or less. For all the reasons listed above, play on the SPURS.

AAA Sports 

This is a 10* WCC CONF-TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Pacific.

The victor of this will advance to the semifinals to take on Gonzaga or the winner from Loyola Marymount and Portland. San Francisco finished 17-14 and Pacific was 14-17. The Dons’ three-game win streak was snapped in loss to San Diego last time out. San Francisco averages 68.9 PPG and it allows 67.8. Pacific averages 71.3 PPG and it allows 72.4. The Tigers have lost three straight and come in razor focused in our opinion. Note that Pacific is 9-5 ATS as an underdog this year, while San Francisco is just 6-10 ATS as a favorite. Grab the points, play on PACIFIC.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* UPSET SPECIAL on DePaul.

Xavier is 26-4, while DePaul is 11-18. Xavier pulled away for an 84-74 home win over Providence on Wednesday, while DePaul comes in off a humbling 82-57 loss to Creighton. Not surprisingly, this is a revenge game for the home side after it fell 77-52 on the road in the first matchup. The Musketeers average 85.2 PPG and they allow 75.4. The Blue Demons average 72.4 PPG and they concede 74.2. DePaul has plenty of motivation as it tries to avenge the earlier loss and to try and play spoiler, as a victory today will seal the No. 1 seed outright for Xavier throughout the upcoming conference tournament. We’re not calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to a closer than expected battle. Grab the points, play on DEPAUL.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz.

The Wolves enters off a 108-99 loss in Portland just last night and all signs point to another letdown here in our opinion. Note that Minnesota won’t be able to help itself looking ahead to its five day lay off before welcoming Boston and Golden State to town on back-to-back nights. Utah plays with revenge here after falling to the Wolves 109-98 in mid November. The Jazz have split their last four contests, but with a game at Sacramento tomorrow night, clearly Utah won’t want to leave anything to chance this evening. Note that the Wolves are just 8-10 ATS as an underdog this year, while Utah is 5-2 ATS in its last seven against good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per night. Minnesota is without offensive star Jimmy Butler this time around as well (lost to injury). All signs point to a rout, lay the points with confidence on the JAZZ.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RND 3 BIG TEN CONF TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Michigan State.

Wisconsin upset Maryland 59-54 on Thursday to advance to the quarterfinals of the Big 10 Conference Tournament and it now faces No. 1 seed Michigan State. The Spartans have to be liking their chances today as they’d take both regular season meetings between the schools. Wisconsin averages 67.1 PPG and it concedes 66.1. Michigan State averages 82.1 PPG and it concedes 64.6. We like MSU to take advantage of this favorable matchup against this satisfied and fatigued Badgers team. Lay the points with confidence, play on MSU.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Georgia Tech.

We think NC State, which comes in having won and covered in four straight, gets caught looking past its lowly opponent today to its finale at home against Louisville. Georgia Tech is 11-18 overall and 12-13 in league play, but it won’t be going down without a fight today obviously. Note as well that NC State is just 3-5 ATS on the road this year, while Georgia Tech is 7-6 ATS at home and 5-2 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses. We think the hungrier team will at the very least keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points, play on the YELLOW JACKETS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Miami Heat.

Miami comes in off consecutive victories and with dates at home against Detroit and Phoenix, the Heat will be looking to string some victories together against some lower-seeded competition. But first up is a potentially dangerous Lakers side which comes in hot having won three in a row, including two straight away from friendly confines. But with a day off before a game at San Antonio, we think the visitors get caught looking ahead to that one. Note that LA is just 3-4 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest, while Miami is 5-3 ATS in its last eight against teams that score 106-plus points per night. Lay the points, play on the HEAT.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks.

Indiana had its four game win streak snapped in a 109-103 defeat at Dallas in its most recent action and suffice it to say, we’re expecting a letdown here as well. The Hawks won’t be playing in the postseason, but they they do enter this game as the “hungrier” team after four straight losses. And with Golden State coming to town next on the 2nd, tonight’s contest clearly takes on added importance for the home side. Note that the Pacers are just 36-43 ATS the last two seasons after a non-conference game, while ATL is already 10-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses. Grab the points, play on the HAWKS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Detroit Pistons (7:05 EST).

Milwaukee played and lost 107-104 at home to the Wizards just last night and we predict a predictable letdown here. The Pistons have already lost two of three in this season series, including in the most recent, a 104-100 setback in early December. The Pistons are still in the playoff picture despite losing six of their last seven. Detroit will be especially motivated here after a humbling 123-94 setback at Toronto. Note that Milwaukee is just 4-6 ATS against the division this year, while Detroit is 6-4 ATS against the division. We like the rested home side to “right the ship” with a big effort tonight. Play on the PISTONS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Mississippi.

Ole Miss is 12-17, while Kentucky is 20-9. Kentucky has won three straight, most recently an 87-66 home victory over Missouri. Mississippi comes in off a 73-65 home loss to Tennessee. Ole Miss averages 75.7 PPG and it allows 77.1. Kentucky averages 76.6 points and it allows 70.6. With a game at Florida up next, we think the home side gets caught looking past its lowly opponent today. Note that Ole Miss is a powerful 20-7 ATS in its last 27 off a loss against a conference rival, while Kentucky is just 4-5 ATS this year after scoring 80 points or more in its previous outing. For all the reasons listed above, play on MISSISSIPPI.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on Xavier.

Providence is 18-11 and Xavier is 25-4. The Friars lost 74-69 to Georgetown in their most recent action, while the Musketeers beat the Hoyas 89-77 on the road last week. Note that this is a revenge game for Xavier after Providence scored the 81-72 upset in early January. Providence averages 74.4 PPG and it allows 72.9. Xavier averages 85.2 PPG and it allows 75.4. Note that Providence is 0-4 ATS in its last four following a SU victory, while Xavier is 4-1 ATS in its last five against the conference. Also note that the home side 4-0 ATS the last four in this series. Revenge factor and the tournament positioning factor push XAVIER to a big win on Wednesday night.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on LSU.

LSU is 16-12 and South Carolina is 15-14. The Tigers come in off a 93-82 road loss to Georgia, while South Carolina fell 72-68 in OT to Mississippi State last weekend. Note that this is a revenge game of sort for LSU after it fell in the only meeting between the schools 88-63 last year. LSU averages 77.7 PPG and it concedes 74. South Carolina averages 69.3 PPG and it concedes 68. Note that LSU is 4-1 ATS in its last five following a SU loss. Also note that the road team is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 in this series. LSU has put up some big offensive numbers over its last two games (88 points and 82 respectively) and we’re fully expecting that momentum to get carried over here. Play on LSU.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Miami Florida.

Miami comes in off a narrow 79-78 win over Boston College at home in its latest action. UNC has won six in a row, most recently beating Syracuse 78-74. Miami averages 74.1 PPG and it allows 66.8. UNC averages 83.4 PPG and it allows 73.4. Note though that Miami is 7-4 ATS on the road this year, wile UNC is already 0-2 ATS this season when playing with five or six days of rest. With the Blue Devils up next on Saturday night to end the season, we think the home side gets caught looking ahead to that big matchup and in the process, it’s going to leave the back door open just enough for the visitors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. Grab the points, play on the HURRICANES.

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