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Football Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
12-27-20	Panthers +1 v. Washington Football Team		20-13	Win	100	20 h 40 m	Show
When these teams last met last season, Washington beat Carolina, and Rivera was fired two days later. Now he has the chance with some former players around to celebrate the improbable accomplishment of making the playoffs with a victory and a New York Giants loss to Baltimore. Revenge and a play appearance is a powerful motivator favoring Carolina. The Panthers are 11-0 ATS L/11 as a road dog off a game as a dog where they scored fewer points than expected. The Panthers are 6-0 ATS L/6 on the road. WASHINGTON is 10-23 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992.Washington is 0-8-1 ATS L/9 at home coming off a home game where they allowed at least 150 yards. CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. NFL Home teams (WASHINGTON) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 11-37 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate. NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CAROLINA) - off a road loss, with a losing record are 41-18 L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on Carolina
12-27-20	Bears v. Jaguars +7.5		41-17	Loss	-104	16 h 23 m	Show
Ok we have gone crazy here with this chalk line in my opinion favoring Chicago. I know the Bears are much improved since Trubisky got back under center , but since when has he been considered to be a consistent QB. Im just not sold, and will take advantage of recency bias based on the Bears and Jaguars current proverbial opposite performance forms . By the way no I dont believe the Jags are in tank mode, as they look for Clemson pivot Trevor Lawrence in the draft.CHICAGO is 4-12 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons.CHICAGO is 2-10 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play on Jacksonville to cover
12-27-20	Browns v. Jets +10		16-23	Win	100	16 h 36 m	Show
Darnold was 22 of 31 for 207 yards and a season-best 71% completion percentage with a touchdown and no turnovers against the Rams last time out . Darnold's 99.8 quarterback rating was also a high for this season. Now brimming with confidence Im betting on the Jets to make the Browns work for a win here. CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) over the last 3 seasons. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CLEVELAND) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced no turnovers are just 18-43 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Jets to cover
12-26-20	Dolphins v. Raiders +2.5		26-25	Win	100	9 h 0 m	Show
The Dolphins need this win badly to get into the plays offs which means their will be alot of pressure on them here on the road with a rookie QB at the helm of the offense. Its never easy traveling from west to east , which the Fins are doing. Also the Raiders have a few more days of preparation time for this tilt which Im betting gives them an edge. Gruden is 21-9 ATS after a loss by 3 or less points in all games he has coached. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LAS VEGAS) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 36-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80 % conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Raiders
12-25-20	Vikings v. Saints -7		33-52	Win	106	23 h 50 m	Show
I know Drew Brees has looked rusty since returning from injury, but Im betting he will be ready to perform at a top level this week after having enough snaps last week to get back into a groove. He will especially primed to perform as will his team mates vs a Vikings side that defeated the Saints in overtime with a FG in last year’s Wild Card game. Revenge is a huge motivator and deserves attention. NEW ORLEANS is 10-1 ATS vs. struggling defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons NFL team (NEW ORLEANS) - good offensive team (5.4 to 5.8 YPP) against a team with a terrible defense (5.8 or more YPP), after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game are 37-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - good rushing team (125-150 RY/G) against a poor rushing defense (125-150 RY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game are 23-2 L/37 seasons for a 92% conversion rate SU for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.7 ppg. Play on New Orleans to cover
12-25-20	Marshall +5.5 v. Buffalo		10-17	Loss	-104	5 h 41 m	Show
Two strong sides off of champinship games losses, are not looking as viable as they did earlier in the season. Marshall (7-2) was ranked as high as 15th after jumping out to a 7-0 start behind a staunch defense and I have more confidence backing them then a I do a Buffalo Defence, that has run mostly cold this season as is evident by allowing 41 and 38 points in 2 of their L/3 games. Note: MAC bowlers with a win percentage of .833 or better have lost 8 of the L/9 opportunities SU. MARSHALL is 12-3 ATS in a bowl game since 1992. MARSHALL is 14-3 ATS in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return since 1992. BUFFALO is 12-25 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992. Play on Marshall to cover
12-23-20	Florida Atlantic +9 v. Memphis		10-25	Loss	-116	24 h 46 m	Show
Florida Atlantic after allowing 20 points or less in 6 straight games, finally looked flat last time out in a loss to Southern Miss . With that said, Im betting on the FAU getting back to business and showing us how tough their D can be, against a Memphis side that is known for top tier offensive assaults. Note: Memphis HC Ryan Silverfield, is 1-7 SUATS in its last eight bowl games, including 0-5 SUATS the last five overall. Meanwhile, the Owls, are 4-0 SUATS all-time in bowl games . MEMPHIS is 4-13 ATS in December games since 1992. MEMPHIS is 21-38 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. Play on FAU to cover
12-23-20	Georgia Southern -6 v. Louisiana Tech		38-3	Win	100	6 h 45 m	Show

12-22-20	Central Florida +4.5 v. BYU		23-49	Loss	-110	122 h 46 m	Show
The matchup pits two of the top offenses in the country against each other. UCF ranks second in the nation in total offense (585 yards per game) while BYU is 10th (510 yards per game). The game features two of the best quarterbacks in the nation. I look for both teams to tee off on each other and for this to be a one possession game that favors the side getting points according to my projections. BYU is 0-6 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons. Sitake is 0-7 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of BYU. CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (BYU) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 9-21 SU L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. UCF to cover
12-21-20	Steelers -14 v. Bengals		17-27	Loss	-113	9 h 14 m	Show
Despite dropping two straight games after an 11-0 start, to the current campaign the Steelers must be respected here as they look to get back on track. Pittsburgh has won the last 11 meetings in their series vs their division rival and another win and cover should be expected tonight vs a Bengals side that has averaged just 10.33 points per game in their L/3 trips to the gridion. The Steelers are 8-0 ATS L8 as a favorite of more than a TD coming off a game where they failed to cover by at least seven points. Steelers are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 meetings. Steelers are 16-3-2 ATS in their last 21 meetings in Cincinnati. Play on Pittsburgh to cover
12-20-20	Browns v. Giants +6.5		20-6	Loss	-110	25 h 17 m	Show
The Giants and Browns both are looking for a play off appearance but the Gmen are more desperate in a bid for their first playoff berth since 2016. The Giants had their four-game winning streak snapped by Arizona last weekend and fell a game behind first-place Washington (6-7) in the NFC East and will now be ready to rebound and play this game like its their last. The Browns are 0-8-2 ATS coming off a loss where they failed to cover. The Browns are 0-5 ATS L/5 as a road favorite. The Giants are 8-0 ATS L/8 when the total is over 46 and they are coming off a home game. CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS after allowing 6 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games over the last 2 seasons NFL Road favorites (CLEVELAND) - with an excellent offense - averaging 5.7 or more yards/play, after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 9-34 ATS L/ 37 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate. Play on NY Giants to cover
12-20-20	Patriots +1.5 v. Dolphins		12-22	Loss	-100	19 h 41 m	Show
The Patriots (6-7) head into Sunday's game against the Dolphins and Tagovailoa with their NFL-record run of 11 consecutive playoff appearances in dire jeopardy, and their reign atop the AFC East at an end. Needless to say the Pats need this game badly and Im betting they leave everything on the filed here and get us a cover. The Patriots are 15-0 ATS since the , 2000 season as a dog coming off a loss where they allowed at least 24 points. MIAMI is 5-17 ATS L/22 in home games vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game in the second half of the season.MIAMI is 9-23 ATS in home games after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ENGLAND) - off a road loss, with a losing record are 41-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on New England to cover
12-20-20	49ers v. Cowboys +3.5		33-41	Win	100	18 h 20 m	Show
Dalton the Cowboys starting QB is currently in top form after four straight starts, while winning twice and coming off a season-high 122.6 passer rating in a 30-7 win at the Bengals. Im betting the under rated Cowboys will once again be a handful for their comeptetion here and get us the cover. SAN FRANCISCO is 1-9 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games over the last 3 seasons. Shanahan is 1-10 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games as the coach of SAN FRANCISCO. Play on Dallas to cover
12-20-20	Bears v. Vikings -2.5		33-27	Loss	-122	3 h 17 m	Show
Minnesota had a 3 game winning streak end last time out, but Im betting they will be ready to rebound here this week vs the Chciago Bears a side getting far to much respect in my humble opinion. Hey I kniow Bears QB Trubisky is suddenly on fire, but he has shown throughout his career he not be counted on in big games and or with his consistency. Note: Vikings are 13-1 ATS with a win percentage of .400 or better at home off a loss. Also Kirk Cousins is 5-0 ATS at home in December when coming off a defeat , and has covered 14 of his L/18 off a loss. The Vikings are 10-0 ATS L/10 coming off a loss as a road dog where they did not force any turnovers. The Bears are 0-10 ATS (L/10 as a dog coming off a home game where they gained at least 150 yards. Play on the Vikings to cover
12-20-20	Texans +8 v. Colts		20-27	Win	100	3 h 50 m	Show

12-19-20	Panthers +8 v. Packers		16-24	Push	0	12 h 6 m	Show
No way am I going to overlook the Teddy Bridgewater effect has his has been money in the bank when his team looks to be a non factor vs superior opposition. Note: that Bridgewater is 18-2 ATS in his NFL career in game as a non-division underdog, including 10-0 ATS when he is a 3 point or more underdog. Hey I know Aaron Rodgers is having an MVP season, but Im betting things will not come so easily today vs the Panthers . NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (GREEN BAY) - off a road win against a division rival, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are just 8-31 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (GREEN BAY) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate. Play on Carolina to cover
12-19-20	Tulsa v. Cincinnati -14		24-27	Loss	-108	36 h 27 m	Show
Tulsa has a fine hard working defensive group and have made large strides this season and deserve respect but not my backing as DD underdogs in this spot. The reason Im willing to lay this much lumber with the Bearcats is because this is a top teir group on a national level, while Tulsa despite of a top 25 ranking is not. Tulsa just does not in my humble opinion have the guns to hang with Cincinnati as this game moves into the 2nd half. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (TULSA) - after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, a top-level team (80% or more) playing a team with a winning record are 1-27 SU L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -15.3 ppg. Play on Cincinnati to cover
12-19-20	Stanford +7 v. UCLA		48-47	Win	100	36 h 16 m	Show
After a slow start Stanford has finally started to operate optimally, as they have now won three stragijht games all on the road. Now this sweek, Im betting on the Cardinal flow and momentum to continue upward vs a UCLA side in an emotional letdown scenario after blowing a DD lead to USC last week, and finally succumbing to a loss. The Cardinal have ewon 11 of tne L/12 meetings in this sseries SU and will not be easily disposed of this week. STANFORD is 32-17 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 or more yards/game. STANFORD is 13-4 ATS in December games since 1992. UCLA is 1-7 SU and 0-7-1 ATS L/8 in Last Home Game of the season features. Play on Stanford to cover
12-19-20	Bills v. Broncos +6		48-19	Loss	-113	8 h 11 m	Show

12-19-20	Clemson v. Notre Dame +10.5		34-10	Loss	-110	9 h 41 m	Show
Clemson has revenge on board for a loss to Notre Dame earlier this season, and odds are they will probably get it , but Im betting ti wont come easily. In the first meeting the Irish outrushed the Tigers by 208- 34, count and that was not a fluke. On the flip side they were able to stop cold Clemson RB Travis Etienne allowing him just 28 yards on 18 carries. . It must also be noted that same-season revengers in conference championship games when they sport a better record are 0-12 SU L/7 seasons . Add to that Notre Dames QB Ian Book owns a 30-3 SU record as a starter for the Irish and in my humble opinion is a better sgnal caller than all world QB Lawrence and we have a go to take points here with a Fighting Irish side that deserves respect as DD dogs. Play on Notre Dame to cover
12-19-20	Minnesota +13 v. Wisconsin		17-20	Win	100	47 h 42 m	Show
Wisconsin has lost 3 straight games and score a total of 20 points in those tilts and are now being asked to cover by almost 13 points. Im not buying in on this number, and instead suggest we take the points with Minnesota side that will grind away on the ground behind the legs of Mohammed Ibrhim the Big Ten Conference Running Back of the Year . The hard driving kid needs just 75 yards to reach 1000 yards and will be key here to the Gophers being competetive. MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS after a game where they committed no turnovers over the last 3 seasons and are 5-1 ATS L/6 visits here. Play on Minnesota to cover
12-19-20	Ole Miss -2.5 v. LSU		48-53	Loss	-110	47 h 35 m	Show
The two longtime SEC rivals meet in their regular-season finale Saturday afternoon at Baton Rouge, La. Ole Miss needs this game badly as they look for a Bowl invite.LSU (4-5) can't have a winning record and is bowl ineligible after self-imposing a postseason ban amid an NCAA investigation into the program and are not and motivated and thus fade material here for me this week. CFB road team vs. the money line (OLE MISS) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against a terrible defense (6.2 or more YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games are 29-2 SU L/28 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors wirth the average ppg diff clikcing in at +23.2 ppg. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LSU) - in conference games, off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less are 8-24 ATS L/5 season s for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ole Miss
12-19-20	Northwestern +20 v. Ohio State		10-22	Win	100	43 h 1 m	Show
The Buckeyes (5-0, 5-0 Big Ten) are looking to cement their spot in the College Football Playoff despite critics contending they haven't played enough games and weren't impressive when they did play. Northwestern (6-1, 6-1) knows the odds are against it, just as they were in the 2018 conference title game, which the Buckeyes won 45-24. This time around I like the chances of Northwestern being a little more competetive after a season that saw them see a 9 PPG increase on offense and 9 less PPG on defense from last season. Note: Underdogs in Big Ten conference title game is 7-1 ATS all-time. Fitzgerald is 13-2 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games as the coach of NORTHWESTERN. Fitzgerald is 20-6 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play as the coach of NORTHWESTERN. Play on Northwestern to cover
12-18-20	Oregon v. USC -3		31-24	Loss	-106	50 h 53 m	Show
The Ducks and No. 15 Trojans will play for the Pac-12 championship on Friday night at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. My projections make the Trojans 6 point favs here vs what my power rankings suggest is an over rated opponent. USC is 20-7 L/27 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread. CFB home team vs. the money line (USC) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (21-28 PPG), after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games are 26-2 SU l/5 seasons with the ppg diff clicking in at +17.4 ppg. Play on USC to cover
12-18-20	Ball State +14 v. Buffalo		38-28	Win	100	49 h 26 m	Show
The Buffalo Bulls Jaret Patterson leads the nation in rushing at 205 ypg. However, the Ball State Cardinals own the best run defense the future NFLer has faced to this point in the campaign as they have given up an average of just 148 yards per game. It must also be noted that Ball State also owns the second-best offense that Buffalo has faced this season. Considering the Bulls have shown some inconsistencies on defence this season with some breakdowns, as was the case when thye recently allowed Kent State to score 41 points on them it will not be a hard decision here to take points here. BALL ST is 8-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.BALL ST is 6-0 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or mkore yards/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Ball State to cover
12-18-20	Nebraska v. Rutgers +6.5		28-21	Loss	-104	49 h 13 m	Show
Rutgers has looked very competitive of late winning 2 of their L3 while Nebraska has ,lost 3 of their L/4 and continue to have issues with offensive flow averaging just 22.4 ppg on the season. There is no way Nebraska deserves to be more than a 3 point fav here if at all and recommending we take the points with the Scarlet Knights. Frost is 0-6 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders as the coach of NEBRASKA. Schiano is 18-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points in all games he has coached since 1992. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEBRASKA) - after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games are 43-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rutgers to cover
12-18-20	UAB v. Marshall -4.5		22-13	Loss	-108	47 h 51 m	Show
Marshall (7-1 overall, 4-1 C-USA) holds an 8-2 edge all-time against UAB (5-3, 3-1), including a 5-0 mark inside Joan C. Edwards Stadium. The only loss the Thundering Herd have was two weeks ago against Rice by a 20-0 count. While it may not have been a complete fluke is was a very strange event, and now after a week off and redemption on board vs UAB im betting there will be a huge pent up demand to smash this or any opponent mercilessly . Note: Marshall won its first seven games, climbing into the top 15 in the national rankings for the first time since 1999. The Herd also spent multiple weeks in the College Football Playoff rankings for the first time in program history and deserve our respect here at a TD or less. UAB is 6-16 ATS in road games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games. Play on Marshall to cover
12-14-20	Ravens -3 v. Browns		47-42	Win	100	11 h 12 m	Show
The Ravens have gotten most of their players back following a stretch of 10 straight days with positive COVID-19 tests and Im betting they will be primed to play hard tonight against a side they matchup well against as was the case in Baltimore in Sept as the Ravens rolled to a 38-6 win. I know the Browns are playing better, and want revenge but the matchups according to my projections tell me a different story. BALTIMORE is 7-0 ATS in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons. BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS in road games after gaining 200 or more rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons.BALTIMORE is 6-0 ATS in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS ( after allowing 6 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games over the last 2 seasons NFL team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss against opponent by 14 points or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 4-22 SU L/37 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) - after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 25-60 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Baltimore to win/cover
12-13-20	Falcons -1 v. Chargers		17-20	Loss	-110	29 h 2 m	Show
The Chargers are off a 45-0 embarrassment last week, and overall dont deserve alot of respect based on their three wins vs side that dont have more than 2 wins - the Jets (0-12), Jaguars (1-11) and Bengals (2-9). Meanwhile, Atlanta is exhibiting signs of life, with Raheem Harris as the coach winning 4 of 7, after a 0-5 start. The Chargers are 30th in DVOA, 18th in offense and 26th in defense and look like fodder here vs a Falcons side that is. 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record .Chargers are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Play on Atlanta to cover
12-13-20	Colts -2.5 v. Raiders		44-27	Win	100	29 h 41 m	Show
Colts QB Philip Rivers is set to take on the Raiders for a record 29th time so he will feel comfortable here and that will be the edge needed for the his team to get by their hosts here this week. INDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons NFL team vs the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) - an average defensive team (18-23 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (27 or more PPG) after 8 games, after a win by 6 or less points are 25-3 SU KL/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with average margin deficit coming by 7.2 ppg. NFL Road teams (INDIANAPOLIS) - excellent passing team (265 or more PY/G) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/G) after 8+ games, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 35-8 ATS L/37 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play on Indianapolis to cover
12-13-20	Jets v. Seahawks -14.5		3-40	Win	100	7 h 12 m	Show
There is absolutely no value here on this underdog line with a Jets side that has shown very little cohesiveness this season, and now expected to without their most explosive offensive player rookie wide receiver Denzel Mims (personal). With Seattle looking to bounce back off a loss, I see very little mercy being shown here as Im betting on the Seahawks behind QB Wilson to blitz the Jets secondary all day long and for a Seattle D, that has finally rounded into top form having allowed an average of 19.5 ppg to take a dominant DD victory.NY JETS are 0-7 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 27 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 22.5 ppg. Play on Seattle to cover
12-12-20	UNLV +20 v. Hawaii		21-38	Win	100	14 h 51 m	Show

12-12-20	San Diego State v. BYU -16.5		14-28	Loss	-110	10 h 38 m	Show
BYU is coming into this game off a loss to Coastal Carolina last time out and will be primed to come out here with a huge effort at home in the land of the Mormons. Quote: "It hurts," Milne said. "I think that happening honestly just put a chip on our shoulder, that we're not done yet. We've got a lot more to say, and we'd like any opportunity we can to just go prove ourselves." END Quote. The Cougars rank seventh in the nation in scoring offense (44.5 points per game) and total offense (522.7 yards per game) and Im betting after having to endure a strong defensive side last week, will now be acclimated to take another staunch D and will have more success. CFB Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (BYU) - outrushing their opponents by 60 or more yards/game on the season, after gaining 6 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 41-17 ATS 28 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettlors. Play on BYU to cover
12-12-20	USC v. UCLA +3		43-38	Loss	-120	33 h 6 m	Show
The “Crosstown Rivalry” battle of LA goes this Saturday. The 4-0 Trojans if they win today can get into the conference championship game, but Im betting the already motivated Bruins will feel even more empowered to knock the wind out of the Trojans championship hopes with a win of their own. UCLA is 3-1-1 ATS as home dogs of 8 or fewer points. USC is 6-16 ATS in December games since 1992.CFB home team vs. the money line (UCLA) - after beating the spread by more than 7 points in three consecutive games, in the second half of the season are 36-6 SU L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate and a perfect 6-0 SU this season. Play on UCLA to cover
12-12-20	Louisiana Tech +21.5 v. TCU		10-52	Loss	-110	32 h 52 m	Show
TCU will host Louisiana Tech on Saturday in Fort Worth, Texas. TCU is coming off a huge win as pups last time out but it must be noted that TCU is 0-15 ATS L/15 as a favorite of more than three points coming off a win as a dog which is the case going into this tilt vs LA Tech vs HC Skip Holtz who is 8-1 ATS during the regular season against sides coming off a SU underdog victory. . Note: HC Patterson of TCU when coming off a Straight up win as a underdog victory, going g 0-12 ATS L/12 when favored by more than 3 point TCU is 1-8 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 2 seasons. LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS in road games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Play on LA Tech to cover
12-12-20	Boise State v. Wyoming +11.5		17-9	Win	100	33 h 24 m	Show
Craig Bohl’s Cowboys have covered 4 of their L/5 in this series vs Boise State . Bohl also owns a 9-0 SU winning streak at home and must not be underestimated in his ability ofr his side compete here vs the Broncos. Note: Boise state is being outgained by -10 net yards per game, while Wyoming is out yarding their opposition by 95 yards per tilt. Advantage Wyoming. Play on Wyoming to cover
12-12-20	Houston v. Memphis +5		27-30	Win	100	32 h 48 m	Show
Houston has under achieved this season, and despite of being in desperation mode as they look for a Bowl invite, Im betting if they find a way to win, it wont come easily vs the 6-3 Memphis Tigers who are 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS L/5 in this series while having covered 9 of their L/12 at home as underdogs. Note: Houston because of covid issues have not played since Nov 14, which was a win vs defensive hapless South Florida. Rust and flow issues are my bet here in. atilt that favors Memphis and not the Cougars. HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. HC Holgerson has failed to cover 18 of his L/24 games with rest. Play on Memphis to cover
12-12-20	Coastal Carolina v. Troy +14		42-38	Win	100	33 h 56 m	Show
Coastal Carolina is off a huge win vs BYU last time out and now going on the road will be in a vulnerable emotional letdown situation. TROY is 7-0 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons. The Trojans are 6-0 ATS as home underdogs of more than 10 points since becoming a Division-1 program in 2001 and must not disrespected or underestimated in this spot. Play on the Troy Trojans to cover
12-12-20	UAB v. Rice +7.5		21-16	Win	100	30 h 55 m	Show
Rice upset a strong Marshall side last time out and deserve respect behind a strong secondary that had five picks in the above mentioned underdog win. Meanwhile, UAB hasn't played since Halloween and since then, leading WR Austin Watkins has decided to skip the rest of the season.RICE is 13-4 ATS L/17 off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points.RICE is 16-4 ATS in home games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. RICE is 25-6 ATS in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. CFBUnderdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (RICE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more are 55-22 ATS L/28 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rice to cover
12-12-20	Wake Forest v. Louisville -1		21-45	Win	100	25 h 30 m	Show
The Demon Deacons (4-3, 3-3 ACC) have played once since Oct. 31 -- a 59-53 loss Nov. 14 at North Carolina and held a full practice on Saturday, it was its first since Thanksgiving Day. The Deacons are a rusty team, and are at a disadvantage here mon the road this week. CFB road team vs. the money line (WAKE FOREST) - in a game involving two excellent offensive teams ( 440 or more YPG) after 7+ games, after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game are 23-3 SU L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Louisville to cover
12-12-20	Western Michigan v. Ball State -1.5		27-30	Win	100	17 h 31 m	Show
Ball State enters this tilt in top form as is evident by having allowed season-low yardage in each of their last two tilts , with QB Drew Plitt passing for 300-yards in both games including 6 Touch down passes. Im betting on more of the same top tier action here at home today vs a Western Michigan team that is over rated according to my power rankings mostly because of a pourous defence that allows an average of 35 ppg. MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. W MICHIGAN is 3-11 ATS after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team vs. the money line (BALL ST) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better) are 44-9 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate and perfect 6-0 so far this season/. Play on Ball State
12-12-20	Georgia v. Missouri +13.5		49-14	Loss	-110	16 h 24 m	Show
Its become obvious to me that Georgia is just not as explosive as recent incarnations of the program, and are getting far to much respect here in the road in this SEC matchup vs Missouri. Note: Georgia has questions at quarterback. Starter Stetson Bennett took a hard hit and injured his shoulder on Saturday. He left the game in favor of D'Wan Mathis, who struggled as a starter in the season opener against Arkansas and has seen limited playing time since. Considering that Stetson is less than 100% and may not play at all I like the Tigers chances according to my projections of getting us a cover here this week. CFB team (GEORGIA) - off 2 or more consecutive overs, a good defensive team (16-21 PPG) against an average defensive team (21-28 PPG) after 7+ games are 16-42 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Missouri to cover
12-11-20	Nevada +2 v. San Jose State		20-30	Loss	-110	13 h 5 m	Show
Due to Santa Clara (Calif.) County’s COVID-19 restrictions, San Jose State is forced to leave home at UNLV’s old stadium. Thats not a conducive situation for success as Im sure their flow will be thrown off to some extent. Advantage Nevada. Play on Nevada to cover
12-08-20	Cowboys +9.5 v. Ravens		17-34	Loss	-110	7 h 41 m	Show
Baltimore is obviously the superior side but the they do have some covid issues and injuries to key contributors. Also the truth is the Ravens are not as dominating as last season and have lost 3 straight games, and cant be trusted in their current form to cover, vs a Dallas team that also needs to get a victory here if they have any chance for a play off spot.BALTIMORE is 8-19 ATS in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 375 or more yards/game.Harbaugh is 11-22 ATS in home games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game as the coach of BALTIMORE. Play on the Dallas Cowboys to cover
12-07-20	Bills v. 49ers +1		34-24	Loss	-117	13 h 32 m	Show
The Bills are 6-23 SU in prime-time tilts since the 2000 season, and have lost nine straight on Monday night since a victory at Miami on Oct. 4, 1999. Buffalo is 0-2 in night games this season, with losses at Tennessee, in a COVID-19 rescheduled Tuesday night outing on Oct. 13, and Kansas City the following week. After watching QB Nick Mullens top notch relief of injured starter Joe Garoppolo, which included a impressive victory last week on the road against the Los Angeles Rams Im betting the 49ers get the job done again vs a Buffalo side. that has lost 2 of their L/3 road games. SAN FRANCISCO is 33-12 ATS when playing on Monday night since 1992. The Niners are also 7-0 SU/ATS L/7 on Mondays vs AFC opposition . Play on SF 49ers to cover
12-06-20	Broncos +13.5 v. Chiefs		16-22	Win	100	11 h 57 m	Show
Drew Lock will be back under center when Denver visits Kansas City this week. Having a stable position player should give the Broncos some balance and confidence entering this tilt against a top tier opponent. Quote: ''Drew's going to be motivated,'' Broncos tight end Noah Fant said. ''I'm expecting him to come out and do good things.'' End Quote. Last week the Broncos were short at the QB position and were subsequently crushed and embarrassed by a 31-3 count vs the Saints and will be ready to bounce back and get some semblance of respect back. Note: DENVER is 6-0 ATS after a loss by 14 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, KC is also off a big effort last time out, squeezing by TB 27-24 in a physical game that could easily see them in a emotional letdown spot. KANSAS CITY is 0-7 ATS after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons Also Reid is 1-11 ATS in home games off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1992. Broncos enter 12-3-1 ATS in this series when the Chiefs own a .750 plus win percentage and get my support here as underdogs. Play on Denver to cover
12-06-20	Saints -2.5 v. Falcons		21-16	Win	100	27 h 37 m	Show
The Saints (9-2) have won two straight games since star QN Drew Brees went down with a rib injury, extending their overall winning streak to eight in a row heading into Sunday's game against the Atlanta Falcons. The Saints can clinch a playoff spot with a victory and a loss by the Bears and I am predicting a top tier effort and win by them in this spot play vs a Falcons side that exerted alot of energy in a lopsided win last week.New Orleans has won five of the past six meetings in the twice-a-year rivalry.NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 season.NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 ATS in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 0-6 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS in home games off a home blowout win by 21 points or more since 1992. NFL Favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 27-1 SU L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.2 ppg. Play on New Orleans to cover
12-06-20	Bengals +11.5 v. Dolphins		7-19	Loss	-117	25 h 19 m	Show
The Dolphins played a conservative solid game last week notching a 20-3 victory vs the hapless Jets as a TD-plus road chalk . It must now be noted that NFL favorites like the Dolphins playing on a natural surface have failed to cover 22 straight times vs a non-divisional opponent when they themselves are off a 14 +point victory as a away favorite when they registered at least 28 minutes of possession time. CINCINNATI is 7-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. MIAMI is 3-15 ATS L/18 in home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games . NFL Home favorites of 10.5 or more points (MIAMI) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 29-66 ATS L/37 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on Cincinnati to cover
12-05-20	Fresno State +7 v. Nevada		26-37	Loss	-110	35 h 18 m	Show
After a long trip back home from Hawaii after having their undefeated season abruptly end Im expecting Wolf Pack... who have failed to cover the last five meetings in this series at home to once again feel the pinch in this key game vs a Fresno State side that deserves respect as an underdog. CFB home team (NEVADA) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals are 13-37 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEVADA) - off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 16-43 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Fresno St to cover
12-05-20	Baylor +22 v. Oklahoma		14-27	Win	100	36 h 45 m	Show
Baylor's largest loss this year was by 10 points and Im betting they find a way to hand tough here vs this potent Oklahoma Sooners offense.Oklahoma and Baylor played twice last season -- both thrilling games pulled out by the Sooners. In the regular-season matchup, Oklahoma overcame a 31-10 halftime deficit to win 34-31. In the Big 12 Championship Game, the Sooners needed overtime to win 30-23. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight. BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons and is 8-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 3 season.BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. CFB Home favorites of 21.5 or more points (OKLAHOMA) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, when playing on a Saturday are 25-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baylor to cover
12-05-20	Clemson -21.5 v. Virginia Tech		45-10	Win	100	35 h 2 m	Show
The No. 3 Tigers smashed Pittsburgh last week and looked like they were not worried about running up the score. for their 28th-consecutive home win. Considering Clemsons D, now looks to be in top form as is evident by holding 4 of their last six opponents to season-low yards I will not feel any hesitation and laying a load of lumber here with them today vs a talented but over rated Virginia Tech side. Clemson is 17-0 ATS/SU L/17 as a road favorite of more than a TD coming off a game where scored more points than their team total with the average combined ppg diff clicking in at 36 ppg while covering by just under 19 ppg. Also CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS in road games off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival over the last 3 seasons ( Clemson 43 Opp 9). Play on Clemson to cover
12-05-20	BYU v. Coastal Carolina +10.5		17-22	Win	100	26 h 26 m	Show
The No. 14-ranked Chanticleers (9-0) were scheduled to face No. 25 Liberty (9-1) on Saturday. But that game was cancelled Thursday due to COVID-19 issues within the Flames program.So Coastal Carolina will host No. 8 Brigham Young (9-0) instead. According to my power rankings these sides are more closely matched than the linesmakers number and thus Im recommending we take the points. CFB A home team vs. the money line (COASTAL CAROLINA) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or more )are 43-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. CFB home team vs. the money line (COASTAL CAROLINA) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (34 or more PPG) after 7 or more games, after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game are 30-7 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BYU) - in a game involving two good rushing teams (190 to 230 RY/game), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 5-24 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Coastal Carolina to cover
12-05-20	Georgia Tech +6.5 v. NC State		13-23	Loss	-105	19 h 37 m	Show
GTech after almost a month off came out and smashed the Duke Blue Devils last week putting a season-high 523 yards in their 56-33 victory. Now Im betting on that momentum to continue vs a North Carolina State season looking ahead to post season play and most probably looking to stay healthy. GEORGIA TECH is 10-2 ATS off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. GEORGIA TECH is 8-1 L/9 on the road against the spread versus NC STATE . CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (GEORGIA TECH) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 31-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia Tech to cover
12-05-20	Tulsa v. Navy +13		19-6	Push	0	30 h 5 m	Show
The Tulsa Canes produce just under 62% of its offensive flow via their passing game while the Navy defense ranks 2nd in the conference against the pass. Meanwhile, the Middies offense generates 62% of their drives on the ground while Tulsas defense ranks 4th in the conference against the rushing attacks. Im betting because of these peripherals that we see a game alot closer than the linesmakers are estimating . Add to that this is a look ahead situation for Tulsa with nationally ranked Cincinnati on deck for next week and a live dog looks to be on board here today. NAVY is 9-0 ATS vs. sub par passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons. Play on Navy to cover
12-05-20	Boston College +4 v. Virginia		32-43	Loss	-113	7 h 14 m	Show
Virginia is getting to much respect here based on three straight wins , that were actually not that impressive other than their 44-41 shootout win vs UNC where they were still out yarded. Prior to their current run they lost 4 straight games which included blowout beatdowns vs Wake Forest and NC State. Meanwhile, Boston College remains under rated , despite of a strong Q JBurkovec who has thrown for over 2,500 yards on the season with 17 touchdowns with only five interceptions and a never say die group around him that plays hard.Virginia ranks last in the ACC in pass defense, allowing 289.0 yards per game through the air and are vulnerable here today. Play on Boston College to cover
12-05-20	Bowling Green +3 v. Akron		3-31	Loss	-112	46 h 24 m	Show
Akron has lost 20 straight tilts overall, including 11 straight on the road and their L/9 at home . HC Tom Arth's Zips haven't won a single game at (0-16) and now they are being made 3 point chalk. Not buying it, and Im recommending we take the points with Bowling Green. AKRON is 0-10 ATS /SU when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons. BOWLING GREEN is 6-1 against the spread versus AKRON since 1992 @ Akron! CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (AKRON) - with a turnover margin of -1.5 /game or worse on the season are 6-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road underdogs (BOWLING GREEN) - after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent after a loss by 17 or more points are 62-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Bowling Green to cover
12-05-20	Eastern Michigan +13.5 v. Western Michigan		53-42	Win	100	30 h 21 m	Show
Western Michigan is a perfect 4-0 on the season but their L/3 games have been decided in one possession final scores. Now enters a never say die hard nosed E.Michigan side that is not usually an easy out as is evident by their 23-6 ATS L/29 game record as road underdogs. E.Michigan is off a loss last time out, but that sets them up for a big motivational bounce back situation here vs top tier opposition. Note: Eastern Michigan is 14-0 ATS L/14 on the road coming off a loss with none of the SU losses in this set coming. by more than a TD. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover
12-05-20	Ohio State v. Michigan State +24		52-12	Loss	-110	4 h 35 m	Show
The Buckeyes come into this game with COVID-19 problems, and go against a Michigan State side that is starting to find its stride and is off a surprising win vs Northwestern last time out. The Buckeyes are still obviously the superior side, but Im betting Ohio States flow will be off because of the health issues being centered upon by league officials and the media. Its just not a cohesive environment, for positive energy to flow. With that said, Ill give the edge to the uptrending Spartans and their solid defensive abilities to cover the number . MICHIGAN ST is 38-19 ATS after allowing 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game. CFB Road favorites (OHIO ST) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 33-71 ATS L/28 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate. Play on Michigan State to cover
12-04-20	UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -2.5		24-21	Loss	-110	28 h 21 m	Show
App State has lost two games this season one to ranked Coastal Carolina after blowing a lead and once to a powerful looking Marshall football program. But Im betting that will be their last loss in Sunbelt conference action this season. and from my power rankings list matchup well vs a ULL side that they own a perfect 8-0 SU record against in their L/8 meetings. Look for AUS QB Zac Thomas who is 30-5 as a starter in his College career to show us what hes made of today and that in my opinion is pure titanium After putting 70 points on the board vs UL Monroe last week, I look for a energy drop off here against a side that is out to make a statement. : You have to remember Lafayette has clinched a title shot and are a in a look ahed situation with Coastal Carolina up next in the conference title game. APPALACHIAN ST is 8-1 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons.APPALACHIAN ST is 7-0 ATS after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. CFB Home favorites (APPALACHIAN ST) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against a good team (outgain opp. by 50-100 YPG), after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 29-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on App State to cover
11-29-20	Bears v. Packers -9		25-41	Win	100	34 h 33 m	Show
Mighty Indianapolis squeaked out a 34-31 win vs the Green Bay Packers last time out, and now the Im betting on the Packers to be primed to bounce back in a big way this week and take out their frustrations vs the Bears side that has lost four straight games . It must be noted that Under Matt Fleur, the Packers are a perfect 5-0 SU/ ATS off a defeat, winning every game by more than a TD. Also QB Rodgers’ owns a 7-0 ATS record in his last seven games when coming off a loss. Meanwhile,Chicago is 0-11 ATS on a natural surface vs a divisional opponent that has scored less than one-sixth of their points from FGs and have averaged at least 200 passing ypg season to date. Play on Green Bay to cover
11-29-20	Titans v. Colts -3		45-26	Loss	-120	98 h 50 m	Show
Indianapolis got the better of Tennessee in their first meeting of the season, and are just the better more balanced side in my opinion. Philip Rivers is on a mission and seeing the field well, and has been a sharp shooter fitting passes into very tight openings, while the Colts’ running game is now in top tier form making them the complete package thanks to an over powering D. The Tennessee Titans are 0-16 SU and 2-14 ATS L/16 as single-digit division road underdogs, including 0-11 SUATS the last eleven. Play on Indianapolis to cover
11-29-20	Chargers v. Bills -4.5		17-27	Win	100	27 h 32 m	Show
It must be noted that ESPN data says NFL rookie quarterbacks from California teams are 1-14 straight up since the merger in Eastern Time zones. This keys in on Chargers rookie QB Justin Hebert in his visit to play a strong Buffalo bills side that is well rested and off a bye week.. It must also be noted that the Chargers are 1-9 SU and 0-10 ATS against foes coming off a Bye week. Buffalo Bills to cover
11-29-20	Dolphins -6.5 v. Jets		20-3	Win	100	25 h 57 m	Show
The Jets have been eliminated from the playoffs and are showing no signs of life after losing the stats battle in 10 straight games. NYJ D is allowing a whopping 5.9 yards per play and 31st in defensive passing success and are allowing 8 yards per attempt, per game. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are ninth in passing success and averaging 7.2 yards per attempt through the air. With that said,Miami shut out the Jets, 24-0 earlier this season and now a rinse and repeat situation Im betting will be on todays agenda .Dolphins are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and get the nod again. Projected score: Miami 34 NY Jets 10 Miami to cover
11-28-20	Nevada v. Hawaii +7.5		21-24	Win	100	27 h 29 m	Show
The Wolf Pack are off a huge win vs San Diego State last time out and will be in a letdown spot here vs Hawaii this week who sit at 2-3 and hungry for a win as they look for a Bowl experience. , It must be noted that HC Graham owns a 22-4 ATS record at home against opposition arriving off a SUATS victory. Nevada is vulnerable thus taking points is a viable investment option. Wolf Pack are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Play on Hawaii to cover
11-28-20	Arizona +11 v. UCLA		10-27	Loss	-109	23 h 42 m	Show
Arizona did not play well vs Washington last week, but did look good vs strong USC team in a earlier tilt and very much look capable of staying close enough for a cover vs a Chip Kelley program that has been far from consistent since his arrival losing 18 of 27 games. Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.Wildcats are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Wildcats are 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Bruins are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.Bruins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.Bruins are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Bruins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Play on Arizona to cover
11-28-20	Memphis v. Navy +13.5		10-7	Win	100	23 h 18 m	Show
Memphis is not as strong as they have been in recent seasons, and as a favorite (0-3 ATS) in an FBS game this season and the D is weaker than expected allowing 477 yards per game . Meanwhile, Navy coach Ken Niumatalolo is a proven winner and now desperate need for a victory to be Bowl eligible. With that said, Im betting he will have his team ready to play this Saturday behind what is now a more balanced offensive attack . Navy is 11-0-2 ATS L/13 when they allowed at least 28 points last game. Midshipmen are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 conference games.Midshipmen are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on fieldturf.Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Play on Navy to cover
11-28-20	Northwestern v. Michigan State +13.5		20-29	Win	100	19 h 3 m	Show
A big win vs Wisconsin last time out has Northwestern sitting at a perfect 5-0. The Cats were far then perfect in the 17-7 win vs the Badgers and were out yarded by 100 yards and may now showing a little exhaustion and could easily be over looking the struggling Spartans making them vulnerable. Meanwhile, the Spartans under first-year head coach Mel Tucker have just win vs long time rivals Michigan and have suffered two straight loss one of which came vs a powerful Indiana team so they get a break there from me . Spartans are a viable 6-1 ATS L/7home as a DD dog and are viable underdogs in this spot. Michigan State to cover
11-28-20	Coastal Carolina v. Texas State +17.5		49-14	Loss	-110	26 h 13 m	Show
The Texas State Bobcats are uptrending in power rankings and coming off a impressive upset of Arkansas State. Texas State also came very close to upsetting Boston College earlier in this season and took UTSA into double-overtime. Meanwhile Coastal Carolina despite of their high ranking are now a team that could feel some pressure and now in a huge emotional letdown spot after beating App State last time out will be vulnerable making getting points with this dangerous underdog a viable option.Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog and have covered 5 straight games overall. Play on Texas State to cover
11-28-20	Kent State v. Buffalo -7		41-70	Win	100	23 h 4 m	Show
The Akron Zips look to be in big trouble here today despite of showing off a explosive offense. The Zips real issues though are on the defensive side of the ball where they rank 124th in the nation against the run allowing an average of 234 ypg. Today against a Buffalo side that has a super star RB in Jaret Patterson who is off a 301 yard output last time out the Zips are not viable underdogs, and being over rated. Considering the Bulls were upset by Akron last season Im betting they will be wide awake for the revenger and ready to be merciless in their venture. Note: buffalo has cashed 6 of the L/7 when they have revenge in this series. CFB Home favorites (BUFFALO) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 65-24 L/28 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. CFB Home favorites (BUFFALO) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgain opponents by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 33-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by just under 27 ppl. Leipold is 8-0 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play as the coach of BUFFALO with the average ppg diff clicking in at 8.6 ppg. Play on Buffalo to cover
11-27-20	Stanford -1 v. California		24-23	Push	0	7 h 30 m	Show
Stanford has started their season slowly, but Im betting on them getting on track here vs the California Bears here today in PAC 12 action. Note: The Stanford Cardinal own a solid 9-1 SU record in this series , including a 5-0 SUATS run when playing on the road at Berkeley. The lone loss in this series came last time these teams met and now I expect revenge to be in play. I know Stanford has failed to cover or win 6 straight times going back to last season, but all good and bad runs must come to an end. Note: Stanford HC Shaw is 16-2 SU and 15-3 ATS after a loss as a favorite. ( They lost time out 35-32 at home vs Colorado). Two weeks now since that ugly effort and Shaw will have his team ready to operate functionally. Play on Stanford to cover
11-27-20	Notre Dame v. North Carolina +6		31-17	Loss	-105	19 h 29 m	Show
Notre Dame’s is vulnerable here vs North Carolina. The Irish defense ranks outside the top 70 in both pass and rush explosiveness which is big trouble versus a 5 star North Carolina offense that ranks top-25 in both and has scored 48 points or more their L/4 trips to the gridiron at home. UNC HC Mack Brown 12-6 AT L/18 as a conference home dog , including 4-0 SU/ATS as a dog of 6 or less points. North Carolina. - home team vs. the money line (N CAROLINA) - after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, returning 8+ offensive starters against opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters are 29-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team (N CAROLINA) - after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 4 consecutive games, returning 8+ offensive starters against opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters are 28-6 ATS L/28 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NOTRE DAME) - after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game are 13-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on North Carolina to cover
11-27-20	Iowa State +1.5 v. Texas		23-20	Win	100	16 h 45 m	Show
Iowa State according to my power rankings are right up there with the Sooners a side that they beat already this season in another marquee big 12 battle . HC Campbell’ is 23-6 ATS as a conference underdog, including 10-0 ATS against opposition coming off consecutive wins and looks like a viable option here this afternoon, Meanwhile, Texas just does not look consistent this season, while HC Tom Herman looks like a coach in jeopardy of losing his job , which does not play well in a dressing room which will reflect itself onto the field. Herman as a conference favorite, including an ugly 5-16 ATS home record . Play on Iowa State to cover
11-26-20	New Mexico v. Utah State +6.5		27-41	Win	100	30 h 27 m	Show
This one is simple for me. No way does New Mexico deserve to be road favs here . Remember this is a team that has lost 11 straight road games, and dont deserve this kind of respect. No not even against a struggling Utah State side that does have an advantage of being off a bye week, and now lead by a new HC Maile who was also a captain of this Aggies team in the early part of the century. He will have the respect of his team, and Im betting they play hard here today and that they wont go down without a fight and get us the cover. NEW MEXICO is 0-6 ATS ( when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. Cfb Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UTAH ST) - pathetic team - outscored by opponents by 17 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games are 39-12 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah State to cover
11-26-20	Washington Football Team v. Cowboys -3		41-16	Loss	-100	23 h 16 m	Show
The Cowboys are off a big win last time out vs the Vikings as underdogs, and are showing some signs life of late and more upward trajectory to come according to my projections as they still have a chance at a play off appearance . Last week the Cowboys converted converted 5-of-11 third downs at Minnesota and are looking viable in key spots which will make them dangerous vs a Washington side that was fortunate to get by Cincinnati last week and squeaked out a rather strange victory after Bengals QB Joe Burrow went down in the 2nd half. This week Im betting a good Dallas side that is getting it mojo back to find a way to get revenge for a loss earlier this season to the Football team and avoid the season sweep vs what my rating consider a over rated opponent. Thanksgiving Day favorites of 3 or less points are 24-9 SU and 22-10-1 ATS, including 6-0 SUATS the last six seasons. Dallas is 14-0 ATS L/14 on artificial turf after a road victory when they converted at least five third downs in each of their last two trips to the gridiron. DALLAS is 7-0 ATS after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons. Play on Dallas to cover
11-23-20	Rams +4.5 v. Bucs		27-24	Win	100	34 h 10 m	Show
Los Angeles Rams, who are coming off an impressive victory over Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks and are looking more confident and cohesive by the week and are viable underdogs vs public favorite Tampa Bay according to my projections . Note: TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The Rams are 6-1 ATS L/7 in this series, including 4-0 ATS as visitors . The Rams also boast a 4-1 SU/ATS L/5 vs the NFC South. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay sport a ugly bankroll depleting 2-10 ATS as a chalk vs NFC West opposition. With that said, my money is on the under appreciated Rams. Play on LA Rams to cover
11-22-20	Chiefs -7.5 v. Raiders		35-31	Loss	-105	37 h 44 m	Show
The Raiders' defense is playing its best football in years heading into this game, allowing 14.7 points per game, but Im betting they will be tested in a big way vs a revenge minded Chiefs side that is well rested after a bye. Note: Raiders beat KC 40-32 at home earlier this season) Chiefs, head coach Andy Reid has proved to be money in the bank in the recent past recording a 39-19-1 ATS \| 32.2% ROI on the road while the Chiefs also flaunt a 17-4 SU and 16-4-1 ATS record in their L/21 away games.The Chiefs are also 12-0-1 ATS away when coming off consecutive victories when going against an AFC opponent. Considering Patrick Mahomes, he is 29-14-2 ATS (32.3% ROI) career mark its never a bad bet putting a Chiefs ticket in your pocket. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NFL Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 37-10 ATS L/37 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams (LAS VEGAS) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games are 16-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on KC Chiefs to cover
11-22-20	Cowboys v. Vikings -7		31-28	Loss	-105	44 h 10 m	Show
Minnesota under Don Zimmer is 23-3 SU and 20-5-1 ATS as a favorite in non division home games and considering they are heating up with three straight wins including a MFL victory vs Chicago last week holding the Bears to just 148 yards of offense it will be an easy decision to lay the lumber here vs a Dallas side that has lost 4 straight games . Minnesota has accumulated a 10-1 ATS record L/11 matchups against Dallas.. The Vikings are 13-0-1 ATS (/14-0 SU as a favorite of more than three points when the total is at least 46. Play on Minnesota to cover
11-22-20	Bengals +2 v. Washington Football Team		9-20	Loss	-110	41 h 14 m	Show
After Alex Smith of Washington teed off last week in a big output (Alex Smith threw for a career-best 390 yards) Im expecting a letdown here this week. I looked at this game from a long term trend outlook looking for value on the line . Most will handicap this game from an empirical view point, but in a game that shows some long term negative trending algorithms on the home team , Im recommending we take a swipe with the road dog. Note: NFL teams like Washington that won less than six games in their last campaign are 0-22 ATS L/22 as a home favorite when they are off a defeat , and then are scheduled to play away games in each of the next two weeks, and they are facing a non-divisional foe like Cincinnati that has averaged more than 26 minutes of possession time. Add to that WASHINGTON is 9-23 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992. Also CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season which was the case last time out. NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CINCINNATI) - off a road loss, with a losing record are 41-15 ATS L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on Cincinnati Bengals to cover
11-22-20	Steelers v. Jaguars +10.5		27-3	Loss	-109	29 h 47 m	Show
Pittsburgh and Jacksonville have played some very close games in the recent past with 10 of their past 12 meeting decided in one-score tilts, including several decided on the final drive and a few on the final play. I know both teams are operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum with the Jags on a 8 game losing streak and the Steelers on a 9 game winning run! But considering that Jacksonville has no chance at a play off spot this game this is about as close as they come to a Super Bowl, and with that said, Im expecting a monumental effort from this crew here today. Remember the Steelers run D, has been smashed lately, and the Jags will key on that which will make for. grinding fairly low scoring affair in my eyes, which bodes well for us to stay within the number. Note: PITTSBURGH is 1-9 ATS as a road favorite of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992. The Steelers are 0-8 ATS L/8 as a road favorite of more than three points coming off a game where they covered by at least seven points. NFL Road favorites (PITTSBURGH) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 20-53 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Jacksonville to cover
11-22-20	Titans +6.5 v. Ravens		30-24	Win	100	29 h 33 m	Show
The Titans have not played since last Thursday Night (more than a week ago), so their exceptionally rested and well prepared for the Ravens. I know the Ravens are a great team , and because of recency bias ( Tennessee loss last time out) this line is just slightly bloated enough for me to recommend we grab the points with a under rated side . Note: opposing sides are 11-5 ATS (33% ROI) against the Ravens when quarterback Lamar Jackson is a home favorite. Meanwhile, Tennessee is 5-1 SUATS in away games after partaking on Thursdays, including 3-0 SU/ATS when they lost. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BALTIMORE) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 6-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tennessee to cover
11-22-20	Lions +3 v. Panthers		0-20	Loss	-115	28 h 15 m	Show
The Detroit Lions will be primed to compete here as they look to rebound from a 4-5 start and make a run at the NFC playoff. With Carolina star running back Christian McCaffrey and possibly quarterback Teddy Bridgewater at less than 100%, the Lions look like viable underdogs in this spot vs a side that has lost 5 straight grueling games and are pretty beat up overall. Note:Carolina is allowing opponents to convert a league-high 55.3% of third down chances and Im betting Lions QB Stafford really takes advantage of their inadequacies. CAROLINA is 0-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CAROLINA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 7-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. NFLRoad teams (DETROIT) - after allowing 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 48-20 ATS L/37 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit
11-22-20	Eagles v. Browns -2.5		17-22	Win	100	28 h 15 m	Show
RBS Chubb and Kareem Hunt combined to rush for 230 yards last week, and now looking healthy again Im betting the Cleveland Browns pound away again this week and find holes against a Eagles inconsistent run D. NFL Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 25-1 SU L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 13.9 ppg. NFL Road underdogs vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 2-26 L/5 seasons for a 93% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9 ppg. Play on Cleveland to cover
11-21-20	Boise State -14 v. Hawaii		40-32	Loss	-105	28 h 13 m	Show
Boise State is missing some players because of covid but the key ingredients to the team are still intact and considering a recent embarrassing loss to BYU that still stings Im betting we see this team wide awake and ready to compete in a big way vs a Hawaii side, that just does not look as cohesive as some recent incarnations of the program. HAWAII is 0-7 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. Boise state is 7-0 SU/ATS L/7 meetings in this series. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (HAWAII) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games against opponent after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 4-25 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin ppg diff clicking at 22 ppg. Play on Boise State
11-21-20	USC v. Utah +3		33-17	Loss	-112	37 h 18 m	Show
Utah opens at home to night against USC. It must be noted that CFB teams in Game One of the season are 13-3 SU versus opposition playing their third game of the season, including 8-0 SUATS in the last eight dating back 30 seasons. Considering the Trojans had to come from behind in both their first two games, its become evident to me there are some hiccups in their flow. Also exerting that kind of energy will now have them in a let down spot. With Utah in revenge mode for a 30-23 loss last season, Im betting we see them very motivated . Utah is 4-1 ATS L/5 in revenge mode. UTAH is 8-1 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. USC is 4-13 ATS off 2 no-covers where the team won as a favorite since 1992. Utah is 14-1 SU in home openers and 13-2 SU in season openers with HC Whittingham at the helm. Utah to cover
11-21-20	Kansas State +11 v. Iowa State		0-45	Loss	-108	30 h 1 m	Show
Iowa State is a solid team but this is a never say die Wildcats team that despite of some covid issues is chalk full of physical players who play smash mouth football and considering KSU is 11-1 SU in this series Ill be recommending we take the points here today. IOWA ST is 0-6 ATS in home games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons. KSU head coach Chris Klieman getting points as he is 9-3 ATS as a dog in Big 12 games, including 5-0 ATS when getting 7 or more points.Kansas State is also 12-0 ATS as a dog of more than seven points coming off a loss. CFB Road underdogs (KANSAS ST) - after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 32-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kansas State to cover
11-21-20	Kentucky +30 v. Alabama		3-63	Loss	-105	30 h 25 m	Show
This is not one of Sabans strongest teams , as is evident by currently ranking 49th in the nation in Total Defense. With Next week, seeing Alabama ready to play their holiday fare: the Iron Bowl, Nov. 28, vs. Auburn, they could easily find themselves not focused here and what Im calling a look ahead situation. Meanwhile, Kentuckys D, must be respected and are more than capable of slowing down Alabama's vaunted offense. KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS in road games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game over the last 3 season. Stoops is 7-0 ATS in road games after a game where they committed no turnovers as the coach of KENTUCKY. Kentucky is 12-0 ATS /10-2 SU L/12 off a win as a favorite which was the case vs Vanderbilt last time out. Take the points with Kentucky
11-21-20	Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh +3		14-47	Win	100	21 h 52 m	Show
These teams come in with identical 4-4 records and Im betting that the final score will be indicative of their current records and closely contested with the more rested team at home Pittsburgh having the edge getting points. VTech has really played some very tough physical games recently against Liberty and Miami by 3 points and 1 point respectively. Considering the Panthers will be in revenge mode for a 28-0 kick to the helmet last season you can bet they will be primed and read to deliver some pay pack. . Pittsburgh has owned this series for their betting backers at home going 7-0 ATS . VIRGINIA TECH is 2-11 ATS in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56. CFB road team (VIRGINIA TECH) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more PPG) against an average defensive team (21-28) after 7+ games, after a loss by 3 or less points are 3-22 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to cover
11-21-20	San Diego State v. Nevada +2		21-26	Win	100	21 h 13 m	Show
Both teams have viable offenses and viable defenses and according to my projections and look evenly matched but with Nevada having home field advantage (even with no fans) the wrong team is favored. Nevada has won the last two meetings in this series and deserve respect here as underdogs. Norvell is 8-1 ATS in home games after playing 2 straight conference games as the coach of NEVADA. CFB road team vs. the money line (SAN DIEGO ST) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against an average rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR), after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games are 9-21 SU L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate. Play on Nevada to cover
11-21-20	Cincinnati v. Central Florida +6		36-33	Win	100	31 h 45 m	Show
Cincinnati continues to roll and have beaten down most of their opponents with little empathy. That non stop flow of action however, may not benefit them in the long term and especially here today against a very tough opponent in UCF. The Knights lost 27-24 as 3.5-point favorites @ Cincinnati last season. Actually that tilt now gives me alot of confidence when backing Central Florida here today as UCF outyarded the Bearcats 423- 343 in that game. Considering the Knights are 22-2 SU at home the last four seasons it wont come as a surprise to me if they find a way to pull of the SU upset. Heupel is 8-0 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game as the coach of UCF. (The Knights beat Temple 38-13 last time out) CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 10-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCF) - off a home win, with 16 total starters returning are 31-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UCF to cover
11-21-20	Indiana +21 v. Ohio State		35-42	Win	100	25 h 27 m	Show
This time, for the first time in program history, the No. 9 Hoosiers (4-0 Big Ten) will participate in a regular-season, top-10 matchup when they play No. 3 Ohio State (3-0) with first place at stake in the East Division. The lines-makers obviously dont think that the Hoosiers are for real, and they most probably cannot handle the pressure. But from a numbers standpoint I have to take a contrarian view and grab the points with the Hoosiers. INDIANA is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.Allen is 6-0 ATS off a road win against a conference rival as the coach of INDIANA. Play on Indiana to cover
11-20-20	Purdue v. Minnesota +3		31-34	Win	100	24 h 44 m	Show
Minnesota suffered a 35-7 loss to Iowa a week ago and now look to rebound vs a Purdue side that continues to be without their their top WR Rondale Moore and could be without their QB Aidan O Connell. It might not seem like it but Minnesota is a talented team that won 11 games last season, with plenty of experience, and Im betting they right their sinking ship this week. The key will be based around not making as many mistakes as they have made early this season, and for Mohamed Ibrahim who leads the nation in rushing yards per game at 178.8 to be the catalyst against a Purdue side off a heart breaking , loss last week , and now on a short-week road spot . Minnesota is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven games following a double-digit loss at home.The Golden Gophers are 18-4-4 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS loss. Minnesota to cover
11-19-20	Tulane +6.5 v. Tulsa		24-30	Win	100	24 h 1 m	Show
Tulsa has had three weekends in which a game was postponed due to COVID-19 issues. This week, the Golden Hurricane return to action just five days after a 28-24 victory against then-No. 19 SMU and will now be in a letdown state after making a strong comeback in a physical affair. Meanwhile,Tulane is off a 38-12 victory Saturday against Army, and are surging via 3 straight victories and deserve respect here as underdogs. Tulane is also a bankroll expanding 5-0 ATS run while staunchly stopping its last three opponents and holding them to just 12 PPG.Tulane has defeated Tulsa each of the last three seasons, and this could be another rinse and repeat situation , which makes getting points a solid proposition.TULSA is 1-10 ATS in home games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.Fritz is 8-0 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better in all games he has coached since 1992. HC Philip is 4-13 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread as the coach of TULSA. Play on Tulane to cover
11-18-20	Northern Illinois +15 v. Ball State		25-31	Win	100	24 h 1 m	Show
Ball State was handed a 38-31 defeat vs Miami O took a hard fought win by a 38-31 count over Eastern Michigan. Their biggest problem is the Cardinals defense, and after N.Illinois proved they can push some effective offensive flow vs Buffalo putting 30 points on the board, in ther first game another positive output makes them viable opponents again here tonight. Neu is 4-16 ATS after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored as the coach of BALL ST. N ILLINOIS is 45-23 ATS as a road underdog since 1992. N ILLINOIS is 25-11 ATS in road games in November games since 1992.BALL ST is 13-28 ATS in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. N ILLINOIS is 9-2 SU/ATS BALL ST since 1992. Northern Illinois to cover
11-18-20	Western Michigan v. Central Michigan +1.5		52-44	Loss	-112	13 h 35 m	Show
After a huge comeback last time out against Toledo coming back with 2 TDS late in the game to win 41-38 will now have Western Michigan in a emotional letdown situation. This negative energy flow situation does not bode well for them against Central Michigans very physical D, that leads the MAC . The Chips third-down stops have been key so far, allowing opponents only six conversions in 26 attempts. C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS in home lined games over the last 2 seasons. CFB road team (W MICHIGAN) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more PPG) against a good defensive team (16-21 PPG), after a win by 3 or less points are 5-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate. CFB Home favorites (C MICHIGAN) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against a good team (outgain opp. by 50-100 YPG), after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on Central Michigan to cover
11-18-20	Toledo v. Eastern Michigan +7		45-28	Loss	-107	12 h 37 m	Show
Western Michigan made a huge comeback last time out vs Toledo erasing 2 TD's in 28 seconds at the end of the game to win 41-38. Now Toledo in a letdown spot will take time to get going, and considering Eastern Michigan ability to hang tough in most of their MAC games over the last few seasons I feel confident getting points. TOLEDO is 0-7 ATS in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.TOLEDO is 0-6 ATS in road games after scoring 37 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons.Candle is 0-7 ATS in road games after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored as the coach of TOLEDO.Creighton is 10-1 ATS off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival as the coach of E MICHIGAN. (Eastern Michigan is off to a 0-2 start with losses by 7 points or less at Ball State and Kent State.) Play on Eastern Michigan to cover
11-17-20	Akron v. Kent State -25		35-69	Win	100	14 h 3 m	Show
Akron did not win a game last season and went 1-11 ATS and started this season 0-1 SU but did cover and are now big time DD underdogs here again. With a freshman QB at the helm of the offense , Im doubting things get much better in a shortened season for the Flashes, and as far as tonight goes, I expect they will have their proverbial butts handed to them, via the arm of QB Justin Crum who is averaging 8.8 yards per pass. CFB home team (KENT ST) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game against opponent after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 61-25 ATS L/28 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kent State to cover
11-16-20	Vikings v. Bears +3		19-13	Loss	-121	83 h 44 m	Show
Im betting on the Bears top 10 ranked stop unit to be the difference makers here tonight on their own home field. I know the Vikings have won a couple in a row, but their problems according to my own data are extreme, especially considering there is a 78 yard diff between these Ds, and with that consideration Im recommending we take the points. Vikings are 0-12-1 ATS L/13 on the road off a game as a favorite of more than three points. The Vikings have struggled on the road when playing MFF tilts , recording a ugly 1-8 SU mark and 0-9 ATS record. Also the The Bears are 17-1-1 ATS L/19 as home dogs when coming off consecutive losses and going against a foe coming off a victory. Play on Minnesota to cover
11-15-20	Seahawks +2 v. Rams		16-23	Loss	-105	52 h 52 m	Show
The Seahawks just lost in ugly fashion by a 44-33 count last time out to Buffalo, and now because of recency bias are not being under appreciated here by bettors. But it must be noted that Seahawks QB Wilson is 24-12-4 ATS (27.8%) off a loss and as an underdog is is 23-9-2 ATS.In 2020, away pups off a loss are 26-15 ATS for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. So it wont be a hard decision to back Seattle here vs a Rams side, that is. just 4-15 ATS as single-digit division home favorites. Finally HC Pete Carroll of the Seahawks has been money in the bank of a SU loss as chalk, going 11-1 SU and 9-2-1 ATS L/12. Seattle to cover
11-15-20	Chargers +1.5 v. Dolphins		21-29	Loss	-109	51 h 60 m	Show
Miami is surprising some pundits of late, and their QB Tua is the real deal, but a closer look at their numbers suggest some major issues, as they have been out yarded in their two most recent upset wins by -228 yards. Note:Miami is just 8-23-2 ATS as division home favorites when coming off consecutive victories and 1-6-2 ATS at home when coming off consecutive underdog wins. I know the bad luck Chargers may not inspire bettors but with a up and coming QB all star Hubert under center they must be respected in a tilt that promises to end in a reversal of fortunes. The Chargers are 6-0-1 ATS L/7 as road dogs of 7 points or less. Play on the LA Chargers to cover
11-15-20	Bills +2.5 v. Cardinals		30-32	Win	101	50 h 43 m	Show
Buffalo after a huge 44-33 win vs Seattle last week, could find themselves starting slowly here but Im betting they will get untracked as the game goes on even if Josh Allen shoulder cant play. Meanwhile, As was the case last time out the Cardinal found a way to lose to Miami and are not quite in elite status and do not deserve to be home chalk. Yes, I know that Buffalo might be in a letdown state after that big output last week, but this Bills team is proving itself to be viable contenders and wont be an easy out here. With that said, I feel comfortable taking points. Note:“Home favorites like Arizona that are off a SU and ATS loss as a home favorite and are now going against a team that is off a SU and ATS win and has an average turnover margin of less than plus one per game are 0-25 ATS L/25, as long as the total is 35 or more. Play on Buffalo to cover