Virginia’s 4-3 defense has six seniors slated to start this week against the Broncos, but it maters little considering  how inconsistent they have been as evident by , allowing 32.3 ppg .Two-thirds of Virginia's offense Saturday against  lower tier William and Mary who they barely beat was, 245 of 373 yards, was condensed  and squeezed into six gains of 21 to 80 yards each, wow. That tells the story of the  Cavaliers' playmakers but also their failure, to date, to consistently move the ball, especially between the tackles on the ground. Meanwhile, Boise State is limiting opponents to 1.7 yards per rush and 45.7 yards rushing per game, ranking 2nd in the nation . Im betting they force Virginia into a one dimensional aerial offense, which in turn makes them easy to read . Also Boise state has yet to name a starting quarterback,  but it'll be either sophomore Tommy Stuart or Brett Rypien, nephew of Super Bowl champ and Redskins quarterback Mark Rypien. Both bring alot of attributes to the field and Boise State Im betting will  not suffer  set backs on offense.

 BSU 20-7 ATS  L/27  in road games against below average  rushing defenses - allowing 4.75 or more rushing yards per carry winning SU by an average of 26.2 ppg. 

Historically speaking,  BSU is a perfect 8-0 ATS  in a game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 dating back 23 years with an average margin of victory coming by  28.2 ppg! 

Cavaliers are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win.Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. MWC.Cavaliers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Boise State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The GMen have been known to dominate behind Eli Manning in division games when his team is under .500 for the season cashing 12 of his L/15 times when the talking heads start to write him off. The star comes to life when under pressure. I know there is a love feast with Washington right now after last weeks win vs  an emotionally let down RAms side that just beat Seattle, but Im still not sold . especially with QB Kirk Cousins at the helm of the offense . Cousins is just 2-8 SU  as a starter. 

It must be noted that betting against Road underdogs like the Washington Redskins  of 3.5 to 10 points  in conference games, off an upset win as a home underdog, which the skins pulled off last week are /is a bankroll expanding 42-16 ATS long-term for a very profitable 72% conversion rate! Washington has failed to cover 12 of their L/15 in games with set Total of between 42.5 to 49 points!

NY Giants to cover 1 unit reg selection 

  The Colts are off a ugly week one loss to Buffalo, but have  rebounded well under head coach Chuck Pagano and QB Andrew Luck after a loss.  In fact, they are 14-1 SU/ATS since Pagano took over in 2012 the week after a down effort , with their lone back-to-back losses coming in the opening two weeks of last season. Im betting they will be prepared again as new  off season acquisitions WR Johnson and RB Gore contribute and shine in this show case event .Indianapolis is 8-1 ATS as a Monday Night favorite, and 8-0 ATS off a SUATS loss when taking on an oppsition  off a straight up win as hosts  like the Jets. Meanwhile, the Jets have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 on the road in Monday night prime time events. 

Play on Indianapolis to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Seattle Seahawks are 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread in their last three games against the Green Bay Packers.The two teams will be meeting for the first time since Seattle's improbable comeback in the NFC Championship last year and Im expecting another hard fought affair here with points proving to be golden.Seattle QB Russell Wilson is 10-1 ATS in his NFL career as a dog and Im betting he gets us a cover tonight and takes the cheese away from the Packers again!  Note: 

The Seahawks are 17-0-1  L/18 ATS covering by an average of 15.5 ppg  after scoring more than 24 points in a loss which happened last week at St.Louis. 

Seattle Seahawks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Im not a big fan of this version of the Dallas Cowboys and feel their over rated. This is a bad  situation for the Boyz as a ugly 18-31 ATS record in his career vs NFC East opposition would indicate . Philly after a hard fought 26-24 loss to Atlanta last time out will be hungry to get a their first victory of the season at home behind Sam Bradford, who very much is the real deal under center as was evident when he completed 336 yards passing and a TD last week.

Philadelphia Eagles to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Buffalo opened with a 27-14 win over Indianapolis last weekend. And the team is coming off an offseason in which it restocked its roster with high-priced talent on offense, and returned one of the league's top defense's. Im notably high on the Bills and feel this game, is one that is a statement tilt for brash head coach Rex Ryan. It must be noted that New England has a recent history of slumping after playing the Steelers who they defeated last week, coming in after those meetings with 7 straight ATS losses. The Pats have also failed to cover 6 straight as road favs between home games. 

Buffalo Bills to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Detroit Lions are 6-3 SU in their last nine Black and Blue Division bouts with the Minnesota Vikings, including a sweep of last season's two games .Detroit opened this season last week with a 33-28 loss against the San Diego Chargers, just missing the cover as a 3.5-point road dog and blew a 21-3 lead. Meanwhile, Minnesota in last weeks 20-3 Monday night loss, looked horrendous , especially on offense  where they couldn’t even break into the end zone against San Francisco, even with running back Adrian Peterson returning to the NFL after a one-year layoff. 2nd year QB Teddy Bridgewater was sacked 7 times, and Im betting on the sophmore jinx to effect him here again today. Look for the difference maker and game breaker to center around Motown Rookie running back Ameer Abdullah who had a TD last week and 50 yards on just 7 carries. He will get the ball alot more today, and will make the Norseman suffer. 

Detroit Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The USC Trojans have come out and started their season by clobbering their first two opponents Idaho and Arkansas  State. Meanwhile, Stanford came out and started their season, in sleep mode, and woke up on the wrong side of the scoreboard in their opener vs Northwestern ,before coming back and beating up on UCF in their second game. Despite of the different, directions both teams have taken on , early this season, I still dont believe the Cardinal should be 10 point dogs here in a important conference matchup, Last season a 16 game home win streak was ended vs the TRojans by a 13-10 count, and now in revengeful fashion they would  love nothing more than to return the favor. Stanford has covered 4 of their L/5   visits here, and overall have covered 5 straight as 8 point or more dogs. USC has also failed to cover 5 of their L/6 in this series as DD favs.  HC David Shaw is also 7-1 ATS in his career as a dog, and when barking 3-0 ATS vs an undefeated opponent. 

Stanford to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Charlie Strong is on the hot seat in Texas and his job is on the line, after the Longhorns came out and looked completely out of sync in their first two games of the season.  Meanwhile, California and their explosive aerial attack, are humiliating opponents, and the lines-makers and public are in love with them, as the opening line shot up from -3 to -7 very quickly. But hold your horses, this is one very hungry and angry group the Bears are playing today, and to be honest, this is just to many points to pass up on with the home dog. California has still not proven that their defense, can remain consistent, and until they do I;ll reserve my opinion on their progression to god like gridiron status. California historically speaking has not been a good bet for their backers  under these parameters, as is evident by a 6-25 ATS mark as road favs of 8 points or less. 

Texas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Rams are 14-2 in their last 16 home games after last week valiant OT loss to Minnesota, including 9 of their L/10 with one loss as mentioned above coming in extra play. Meanwhile, Colorado despite of a win vs a UMass side playing their first game of the season, and showing rust , must not be considered a legitimate favorite in this rivalry game. Meanwhile, Colorado has lost 16 of their L/20 away from home, SU . Yes, I know Colorado State is a little miserable after an OT loss to Minnesota last time out but that game also solidified their confidence. The Rams are a fine team and will find a way to cover this number. (This game is being played in Denver) On a neutral field my own projections make the Rams -2 favs, so we have value here with this line. 

Colorado State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Utah State is one of my favorite College Football teams. They personify all that is good about the game. Very good coaching, a core of hard working lunch box types, and extremely under rated QB in Chuckie Keeton. The Aggies are as they say tough as rocks, and tenacious in their approach, as has been evident for their betting bakers as their 13-1 ATS mark as 5 point or more underdogs suggests. Washington is rebuilding and still is not 100% with their QB situation as HC Peterson Hums and Haws about you is the defintitive starter. With that said, Im betting the Aggies hang tough till the end here and cover the all important number, and possibly pull off the SU upset. 

Utah State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Western Kentucky lost star running back Leon Allen for the season. Thats a huge blow, to the Hilltoppers as QB Brandon Doughty will now have problems keeping defenses honest. The Hilltopers defense remains susceptible and now against a explosive Big10 opponent like Indiana, things could get ugly fast. 

Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Auburn beat LSU 41-7 last season, and I know many expect a huge revenge performance from the Tigers. However, Im not one of them. I know Auburn has not looked that impressive early on this season, but they are still a very talented team, and I expect their best of game of the early season here today in the Bayou. Add to that my power ranking suggest the Tigers are over rated and you have a situation, that screams for me to take the points with Malzahn .Les Miles has not done well in the past in conference openers in his career, covering only once in 13 tries. LSU is also just 1-8 ATS L/9 as a 7 point home  favorites or more. 

Auburn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Miami enters this contest looking like a very viable team this season, and are primed to take down another opponent in a big way. I know they have been disappointing and inconsistent in the past, but for much of the year,  Al Golden coaching staff have preached about staying alert and game ready. Im betting this Canes talented group will be ready for the Cornhuskers today. It must be noted Miami Fl is 11-0-1 ATS  L/12 as non conference home favorites of 8 points or less. It must be noted that Nebraksa's head coach Riley is just 2-7 SU/ATS in non conference road openers. 

Miami Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 This is Navy's inaugural campaign as a football-only member of the AAC and Saturday's contest will mark its league debut. East Carolina is off a emotional road  loss at Florida, 31-24 and will be in a letdown spot after slogging around in the SWAMP with the Gators. * By the way don't be to impressed with that score board count as the Gators are downgraded and rebuilding this season. 

Navy, which has posted winning records in 11 of the last 12 seasons are a dangerous triple option foes. The Midshipmen boast a 58-35 mark during the eight-year tenure of HC Niumatalolo. The team is well rested and very ready to make a mark on the ACC with a opening win. 

Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Umass a program with 17 returning starters , looked very rusty last week in their season opener vs Colorado, but now with a game under their belts should be ready for this home opening battle against Temple. After upsetting Penn State in their opener and than beating Cincinnati last week, Temple could very much be a letdown scenario this week, and come crashing back down to earth. Im taking the points here with the experienced home side. 

UMass to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Memphis is a program on the rise, but being pegged as road favorites at a place like Bowling Green had me scratching my head as to the legitimacy behind the decision especially considering how well the Falcons have done in home openers winning 13 of their L/14 . I also recognize that Bowling Green has been dangerous as hosts recording a  13-4 SU mark L/17 overall which includes a 5-1 ATS mark as  non conference home dogs. Memphis beat a Kansas football program last week that is in desire straights, so this is a huge step up in competition. 

Bowling Green to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 I have not been impressed by Missouri so far this season despite of their 2-0 record.  Meanwhile, the Huskies who are also 2-0  remain a slow tempo team that can eat up clock time with their defense and ground game, and keep games close . They held their first two opponents to an average of 16 ppg and despite of this being a big upgrade in competition Im betting their style helps them cover. The Huskies have covered 10 of their L/16 as 21 points or more doggies and are 7-1 ATS L/8 as non confernce dogs of 20 or more points.  

UConn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Florida Atlantic is off a game against Mimai Fl, many of their players are from the Miami area, and they were hyped up for that game, not to mention, they were playing a big time name football program. They lost that game and came away battered and beaten, and their stud QB Jaquez Johnson hurt his ankle and is less than 100%. Meanwhile, Buffalo is a football team that can play two way football, and stopped Penn State cold holding them to 300 yards when they played them. The Bulls defense is staunch and must not be disrespected under any circumstances. It must be noted that FAU were favorites 4 times last season and lost all four times . ouch

Buffalo to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ill say Im sorry to Texas A&M fans before I tell you that the public is over reacting to the Aggies first two wins this season against Ball State and Arizona State. For one Ball State was able to rip off over six yards a crack and Arizona State was running relatively well vs the Aggies, and this Im betting is their achillies heel ....their run defense. Meanwhile, Nevada has the  talent  to deliver up with  big runs and alot of time consuming drives,which will keep the A&M offense off the field. The Wolfpack have been solid on  third downs so far – and able to hold Arizona to 2-of-13 conversions last week and are capable of doing the same thing to Aggies side that maybe in a bit of letdown after its first couple of tilts and bigger game on the horizon with conference action next week. 

Nevada to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Florida State hasn't lost a regular season game since November 24, 2012 and haven't lost on the road since October 6 of that same year, but I wont be srprised if the streak ends tonight against a under rated and scrappy Boston College football program, that smashed a lower tier Howard Bisons by a 76-0 count last week. It must be noted that FSU has failed to cover 12 of their L/19 road games and 13 of their L/16 overall.  The Eagles might not have the same talent as the Seminoles, but what they do have is heart and never say die attitude. The Eagles are 13-6 ATS L/19 at home, and last season , as 16.5 point dogs almost upset FSU losing a 20-17 heart breaker. Play it again!

Boston College to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Denver is being very under rated here considering their very profitable 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS mark in their last 12 division road games with Manning at the helm. The  future HAll of FAME QB also owns a  18-1 L/9 SU division record. Meanwhile KC is just 1-7 ATS L/8 home openers . There is not much time left for Manning to engineer another winning Super Bowl drive, and Im betting he is motivated for a big year. (Alot has been made about Travel, but its early in the season, the Broncos wont be effected by the short week) Also on a final note, no way is Manning as bad and as banged up as they are trying to make him out to be. He migt be old and has less feelings in his throwing hand than he used to( lol), but he is the smartest QB in this league- hands down, and must not be disrepsected on the Thursday night stage. Until its evident that hes washed up, and needs to retire, Ill stick with one of the leagues all time greats. 

Denver Broncos to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Louisville came out in their first home game of the season in lackadaisical fashion, and lost a 34-31 decision to Houston. The team, now 0-2 in my opinion was in a letdown situation, after a loss to Auburn, and than found themselves asleep at the proverbial wheel and looking ahead to this game with Clemson. This was a big mistake, and now alot of pressure is on, and Im betting the Cardinal play like their playing for their lives this week and leave everything on the field. Last year when these teams met the Clemson Tigers won by a 23-17 count, so revenge is on board.  It must be noted HC Petrino of Lousiville is   11-3 ATS L/14 in home revengers, and 8-1 SU off back to back losses.

  Play on the Louisville Cardinal to cover 1 unit reg selection (This selection can be played at +5 to +6)

 The Eagles had a great preseason, and the public absolutely loves them here tonight. But the publics exuberance maybe misplaced thanks to the talking heads around America who are considered experts . Philly Green is gold among the media types and Chip Kelly a Gridiron God. Dont get me wrong, I like the Eagles uptempo style , but the Falcons in my humble opinion are being over looked and just a little disrespected. 

The Dan Quinn era officially begins Monday night as the Atlanta Falcons host the Philadelphia Eagles.The first-year head coach served as the defensive coordinator for the Seattle Seahawks the past two seasons.In free agency, the Falcons immediately upgraded their linebacker situation by adding Justin Durant, Brooks Reed and O’Brien Schofield and while this defense may not be the legion of doom they will be strong, and the Eagles Im betting do not have free reign to attack at will. It must also be noted that Atlanta is no pushovers with a top QB like Matt Ryan at the helm of a what Im also betting is upgraded offense. The man under center has a .666 complettion rate over the last two season and 54 TDs. With that said I expect Ryan to increase on his perfect 7-0 SU/ATS in home openers

Atlanta Falcoms to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Cowboys are Americas team, and thats why we see inflated numbers so often on their games, especially at home. As a result of this the Cowboys are a bankroll depleting 9-25 against the spread  in that role since 2010. With that said, tonight we get a Giants team that has fallen out of favor with alot of long time fans. But despite of this are being under appreciated with a future Hall of Fame QB at the helm of the offense. Eli  Manning as inconsistent as he has been of late is still a cash friendly 50-34-2 ATS when he starts and has covered 14 of 21 as an underdog away from home of 5 points or more.  Meanwhile, Tony Romo the Boyz pivot is just 4-5 SU at home in this series, and has failed to cover 30 of 47 home games, vs NFC East opposition. Romo is also just 6-15 ATS L/21 division games. 

NY Giants to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Rams haven’t made the playoffs since 2004 and haven’t had a winning season since 2003, but I personally believe their are ready to ascend this season.The defence has championship-calibre written all over it . The offense ,  has Nick Foles under center and a potential often injured franchise player on Todd Gurley  and under rated Tre Mason running the ball and  wreaking havoc on opposing defenses including the now over rated legion of boom. This type of team matches up very well against Seattle, and will not be intimidated. Take the points with the home side.

Note: The Seahawks are 2-8 SU and 1-9 ATS in their L/10 road openers.  Also season opening Super Bowl losers are a ugly 2-13 ATS/SU  in season opening games. Rams have also covered 5 straight as home dogs of 4 or more points. 

St.Louis Rams  to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 HC Rex Ryan has always been a favorite of mine, and I feel he will have the Buffalo Bills ready to compete this season. The Bills have done well for their betting backers in season openers of late covering 5 straight vs non division sides. I know there is a Andrew Luck fan club the raves about this talented QB, but it seems against winning teams like the Bills (11-8 L/19)  he has  been less than brilliant away from home, losing 8 of 12 SU and failing to cover 9 of 12 times. 

The Colts have lost 7 straight trips to play AFC East opponents, including 4 straight with QB Andrew Luck at the helm of the offense.  Indy has also lost 15 of their L/19 trips here SU. 

Buffalo Bills to cover 1 unit reg selection 

LSU's season-opening game against McNeese State was canceled due to lightning which means the Tigers may not be as tuned up as they need to be against this kind of opponent. LSU has a brand new  quarterback, Brandon Harris,  and now gets to take snaps vs a vicious and tenacious Bulldogs defense on the road in Starksville.

  Les Miles,  is a great coach, and in revenge mode for last seasons 34-29 downer in Baton Rouge , and  there is talent up and down the sidelines, but here in cowbell territory Im betting the sledding gets tough.LSU is just 6-6 on the road against SEC teams the last three seasons, including an 0-3 record against ranked teams.   The Bulldogs are 18-3 at home the last three seasons and are no pushovers. Im taking the points.

Mississippi State to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Marshall vs. Ohio is a rivalry that dates back 110 years. The "Battle for the Bell" pits these two local rivals (and former conference foes) together in one of the best mid-major rivals this nation has to offer. Ohio has had the upper hand in the recent past pulling off three  wins in the L/4 in the series, but were clobbered last season by a 44-10 count and now have big time revenge on board. This season  Marshall was fortunate to knock off Purdue in their first game, after getting 4 interceptions including two picks sixes- one with just 1:31 left in the game to cover the spread. I just don't believe Marshall will be as dominant this season, and that Ohio is vastly under rated. It must be noted Frank Solich the Bobcats coach is 14-2 in home openers lifetime with the two losses coming by 3 and 7 point deficits. 

Ohio to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Western Michigan enters into this contest off a adrenalin pumping home tilt against  Big 10 power house  Michigan State last time out and will now be in a letdown mode. They lost but valiantly covered and will now be in a letdown mode, vs a triple option offense, that could cause them major problems. Meanwhile,. Willie Fritzs offense struggled last week vs West Virginia, which actaully surprised me. But Im betting they will be primed to rebound behind a running attack that averaged 383 yards per game last season. It must be noted that Western Michigan when allowing 200 or more yards on the ground have lost 15 straight games. 

Georgia Southern  to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oklahoma defeated Tennessee 34-10 in Norman last time they played now its revenge time .The Volunteers have been built on top flight recruiting classes over the past three years which I am betting leads to a solid 2015 season.This is a different game than last year. Tennessee has a legitimate shot at winning this game , and with 100 thousand fans backing them the energy level behind the home team will be the difference maker.

Butch Jones is tough to play against at home, when he hosts non conference opposition winning 18 of 20 SU. Meanwhile, Oklahoma has covered just 6 of their L/16 vs non conference opposition on the road.

Neyland Stadium is going to be an amazing place to be tonight as Tennessee moves to the next level of their development with a win. 

Tennessee to cover 1 unit reg selection 

HC Kirk Ferentz and an extremely tough defense will make life difficult for Iowa State this week.  The Redbirds defense has held 11 sides to season low or 2nd lowest offensive output over the last couple of years, and are as tough a crew as could be imagined.  With revenge on board for last season 20-17 home loss as 13 point favorites to Iowa State, you can bet Iowa will be in the mood for a beat down. I know alot of these rivalry games between the two have been close , but there have been blowouts as well , with the home team only covering 11 of 35 battles.  It must be noted that Ferentz is a perfect 5-0 ATS L/5 from a previous season loss rematch.

Play on Iowa to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Colorado is on a 9 game losing streak and have lost 13 of their L/14, and Im betting things don't get suddenly better vs an under rated UMass side with 19 returning starters back in the lineup. It must be noted that Colorado has lost 14 of their L/18 at home . Their L/home win came against Hawaii by 9 points last season,  with 2 of the other three wins coming vs Central Arkansas, and CHSOU. Nothing comes easy for the Buffaloes, and UMass is the type of experienced team, that will make them work for anything they get here today. With that said, lets take the points with confidence.Colorado are far from a dominant side, and must be once again considered fade material! Yes even here at home. 

UMass to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Jim Harbaugh is a fine coach. But here in the Wolverines second game of the season, the team might be a little gassed. There was alot of adrenalin pumping in game 1 of their season, against Utah and the team could now find itself in a letdown mode at an unfortunate time. The alumni are now, maybe a little unrealisticaly expecting a miracle to present itself becaise of the Jaws precense. But Im betting things may not go as smoothly as the fan base might expect. Meanwhile Oregon State are no pushovers with the crafty former Wisonsin HC Anderson at the helm. He knows the Big 10 like the back of his hand, and is a bankroll expanding 11-1 ATS on the road in non conference action and a perfect 9-0 ATS when getting DDs from the linesmakers. Considering the Wolverines, are 0-10 ATS L/10 vs PAC 12 opposiiton with only 2 SU wins, Im betting the Harbaugh/Wolverine road to respectability will remain rocky for alittle while longer .

Oregon State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 UConn is a program I respect and have rated them higher than many of my collegues this season. Time will tell if Im right. One thing for sure is that Army continues to grind along, with not much improvement from season to season. Running remains their strength, and so does their tradition of losing on the road, as is evident by a 0-20 SU and 1-19 ATS record in their L/20 away tilts. Last year UConn got smashed when they fell asleep at the wheel vs Army and lost as favorites by two TDS. Now this time around Im betting the Huskies are awake and ready to hammer the visitors in a start to finish wipe out. 

Connecticut to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Utah enters this tilt off a big time confrontation with Michigan in well advertised national televised event last Thursday. The Utes young men were sky high for that tilt and come into this rivalary game in a letdown mode, which Im betting effects their performance negatively. Meanwhile, Utah State that returns three all-MWC performers headlining a defense that ranked in the Top 30 in five categories last time out had a much easier tune up against Southern Utah, shutting them down allowing just 9 points on a total of 163 Totals yards and just 52 yards rushing on 30 touches. This week I also expect star QB Chuckie Keaton do get in some hard snaps as he is back at the helm of an offense that can be quietly explosive. 

Utah State three seasons ago won this battle in OT, and two seasons ago were leading in the th quarter before losing by 4 points. Im expecting a much closer smash up today. than the linesmakers line estimates. 

Utah State is 6-1-1 ATS L/8 road games in September. 

Utah State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ohio State one of the favorites for a national title this season, have some negatives to deal with in game 1 of the season vs Virginia Tech. Their junior defensive end, one if the top defensive players in the nation and projected future nfl starter, was suspended for the team's Sept. 7 opener against the Hokies.Coach Urban Myer said the suspension stemmed from a violation of team rules.  Those are not the only suspensions as Sophomore running back Jalin Marshall, junior running back Dontre Wilson and senior receiver Corey Smith also were suspended. It must be noted Jalin Marshall and Dontre Wilson - combined for 1,044 yards rushing and receiving last year on 108 carries, which averages out to 9.7 yards per touch.  I know highly hyped half back Braxton Miller is considered a backfield super athlete, but it may take time for the young man to make up for those above mentioned losses in his first game in the spot light. With that said, I expect VTechs top tier defense (line and secondary), to wreak havoc on Ohio States offensive efficiency and for their own offense  behind mini strong man tailback JC Coleman and some solid tight ends to do just enough damage to keep them from being completely humiliated by the reigning national champs.

Take the points with Frank  Beamer  and company at Lane Stadium tonight 1 unit reg selection (VTech cover). 

 The Boilermlaers should be improved this season with 16 returning starters in the fold. Meanwhile, Marshall has had to deal with the departures of versatile QB Rakeem Coto WR Tommy Shuler, and all conference center Chris Japerse and the teams best trio of DBs on defense. Im betting on a Tough under rated Big 10 team to come out and help their side get the cover. Purdue has won 13 of their L/16 season openers.

Purdue to cover  1 unit reg selection 

According to my own preseason power rankings Alabama is head and shoulders ahead of everyone on the planet when it comes to College Football. Yes even better than Ohio State.  The defense remains the most powerful front 7  in the nation . The offense is retooled and will be much better and even faster,despite of losing some key starters like WR Amari Cooper. Im expecting  Former high school All-Americans Chris Black and Robert Foster  to emerge as the top options in the passing game, and incoming freshman Calvin Ridle who has the tools to destroy records and star in the NFL. . Meanwhile,   In his first game as head coach, Paul Chryst is presented with this major challenge coaching this Wisconsin Badgers team here in the heart of south. His reconstituted offensive line Im betting will get molested by Alabama's superior defensive group, and the Tides backs will smash and grind past a defense that has a new nose tackle and inexperienced linebackers. I like the Badgers, and was mildly surprised with what they did with Auburn last bowl season, but Alabama on opening day is whole different beast. 

Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Georgia Southerns triple option via Time of possession is always what you're looking for as a team that likes to grind the ball alot on the ground . They can Keep a defense on the field, wear them down and frustrate them with a steady stream of four and five-yard plays. This is exhausting, and time consuming. West Virginia is experienced on defense, but no amount of experience can prepare you for this freak show. I like the Mountaineers this season, and they should be improved, but today they will have problems dealing covering this big of a spread. .Note: Backup quarterback Favian Upshaw  is no pushiver and was the fourth leading rusher in 2014 with 385 yards, he takes the place of suspended QB Kevin Ellison.

 Play on Georgia Southern to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Owls lost their three best defensive players to graduation in linebacker Andrae Kirk, cornerback D’Joun Smith and safety Damian Parms -  former Baylor offensive coordinator Tulsa's new coach Philip Montgomery knows how to take advantage of defenses, and Im betting he engineers a way to  clobber this inexperienced crew in a big way tonight. I know Tulsa's defense is a work in progress after last seasons, ugly effort, but FAU one dimensional QB/WR combo Im betting does not have the guns to keep up with what Im betting will be an explosive Hurricane attack. Also Tulsa has big revenge on board for a 51-20 beat down last year at FAU, So there is added incentive to smash their opponents mercilessly here. 

Play on the Tulsa Hurricanne to cover 1 unit reg selection (Projected BLOWOUT winner)

Temple returns all of its starters from an extremely strong defense, which could cause major problems for a still young Nittany Lions offensive line.  Im betting the Penn State offense struggles to find their rhythm , while the Owls do just enough damage offensively for this contest to stay extremely close until the very end. 

Temple to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Michigan State over the couple of decades have become notorious slow starters, as is evident in their last 19 road openers, where Michigan State has won only one game by more than 17 points!  Western Michigan has 16 returning starters  , and Narduzzi no longer coaching along the sidelines with Dantonio and revenge on board next time out against Oregon and you have a situation in a Kalamzoo that favors the underdog making this closer than expected  , which Im betting sees the home side covering the spread. This is a huge game for this Western Michigan school and bus loads full of fans will be there cheering their team in the most important game their current gridiron history.

Play on the Western Michigan Broncos to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Up-tempo coordinator Don Bailey, who comes over from Idaho State a side that led the FCS in passing yards per game (348.1) in 2014, will Im betting present alot of problems for a defensively challenged group of Buffaloes.The Buffs ranked 102nd in the nation in rushing defense and 116th in scoring defense last season and despite of a new coridinator just dont have the talent to succeed. The Rainblow quarterbacks will operate behind an experienced line that includes 59 starts among Ben Clarke, Dejon Allen, Brenden Urban, Elijah Tupai and John Wa’a - which includes 12 returning starters for Hawaii. The Paradise Islabd  Defense includes coridinator Mason’s scheme of relentless blitzes, which should also make life difficult for team that needs time to look down field behind a pocket passer (Junior Sefo Liufau). This shapes up as the most talented team in head coach Norm Chow’s four seasons in the islands and should give a Buffs side that went 2-10 last season problems. Note: Hawaii is 5-1 ATS vs PAc 12 L/6  with all the games coming in the first month of the season .Colorado is 5-43 SU in its last 48 games as a visitor,with just one win coming by more than 5 points.

Play on the Hawaii Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Utes get alot of respect from the College Football pundits, but despite of a good season last year, they still fell apart against some quality teams and have been out gained in 35 of 50 games since joining the PAC12 I know Michigan lost , 26-10, at the Big House last season – despite out-gaining the Utes, 308-286, but payback is now on the agenda for new HC Harbaugh and company .The underdog is 31-6 ATS in Michigan’s road openers since 1978, including 7-0 ATS in season-opening tilts.

Play on the Michigan Wolverines to cover 1 unit reg selection

Gamecock ratings maybe a little over done this season thanks to the publics love fest with Steve Spurrier and his successes.  However, South Carolina has only four returning starters on offense, and may encounter chemistry problems early on . Meanwhile despite  the  defense returning much of last year squad, that unit was consistently beaten around  by top tier offenses like North Carolina owns. The defense  fell apart last season as they could not hold double digit leads with with the 2 minute clock in progress . In conference,  play  the Gamecocks held only two opponents below 34 points. Im betting they get clobbered by one of the best offenses in the country, while their own offense may not do as well as expected vs Head coach Larry Fedora  newly co-rdinated defense that hired former Auburn coach Gene Chizik to fix a unit that finished last in the conference in every major category  . Chizik is installing a base 4-3 to take the place of the 4-2-5 scheme that the Tar Heels used over the last three seasons, and players have noted that it is easier to understand and execute .

Take the points with NCarolina to cover   

Since the 1970 merger, teams with the #1 scoring defense that appear in the Super Bowl are 13-3 and have won 7 of the last 8 times. The 2013 Seahawks were one of those 7 recent Super Bowl winners.

Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Check back for possible prop wagers 

These props will not be graded and are recommended as side bets for 1/4 unit of reg wager)

WILL Seattle's MARSHAWN LYNCH SCORE? Im saying yes he does, shop for your best prop line. 

TOTAL CARRIES FOR LEGARRETTE BLOUNT: I project he will get 16 carries minimum. Bet over 13.5 to 14.5. Shop for your best prop line

Which ever team wins,  the MVP will most likely go to a Quarterback. QBs have won 26 of the 47 previous Super Bowl MVP trophies. Next are running backs (7), wide receivers (6), defensive players (6) and a kick returner (1). This is not a recommendation on a wager, but just a key trend on your odds when picking a MVP for the Super Bowl via a prop bet. 

Public bettors have started to pile on to the Ohio State bandwagon shortly after hearing from media out lets  that a few prominent pros had backed the Buckeyes. Personally I know quite a few wise guys from Hong Kong to Las Vegas and it seems its a 50/50 split. Personally I feel the Buckeyes defense is to soft to sustain the abuse the brusing offensive line of Oregon will inflict on them as this game progresses. Yes the Buckeyes can score, but the Ducks under rated defense  can be tough to play against as  QB Winston and Florida State experienced first hand. Note: The Ducks are 12-1 SUATS L/13  when not favored by 15 or more points.

Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection

Broncos future hall of fame QB Manning might not be the same quarterback, he was during his prime,but he is one very smart and experienced cookie who can still humble secondaries with pin point passing accuracy and reads. Denver's running game, and strong defense make them formidable opponents for a Indy team that has not travelled well of late.  

NFL home teams in their first playoff contest after they lost SU as a favorite n the postseason last year are 53-7 SU and 43-16-3 ATS since 1980.

Play on Denver Broncos to cover 1 unit 

The Packers have a huge advantage at home, in Lambeau. Aaron Rogers the QB at the helm of GBs dangerous offense, can shread most teams when hes on his game  and against a sometimes lucky and over rated no name  Cowboys defense  Im expecting him to unload in a big way. You have to remember that the Cowboys did not face many top offenses, this season and this along with the frigid temps this will be a shock to their systems. ( Note : Despite of GB being secretive about A Rodgers calf condition, inside reports say he has been seen walking with no limp). Take media reports with a grain of salt at this point)

Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 playoff road games.Packers are 22-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Home team is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings.Packers are  6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS record versus .600 or greater opponents.

Green Bay Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Joe Flacco vs Tom Brady are the headliners in this Baltimore vs New England battle. Baltimore seems to be a media darling at the moment and expected by the majority of the talking heads to give the Pats a battle. (Some of their thoughts come via some of the Ravens good play off ATS numbers in the past when Ray Lewis made headlines) But  that was than and this is now , and I my self dont believe it will be that close. Im expecting Brady to really shine and for the Ravens inconsistencies to once again make the highight film.  

Teams like Baltimore  that upset a division opponent in the Wild Card round are just 1-14 SU and 3-12 ATS when visiting a rested team the followingt week!

Patriots are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record,Ravens are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 vs. AFC.

New England Patriots to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Toledo is just 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in its last six bowl games. Sun Belt bowl dogs of 8 or less points like Arkansas State are 7-1-1 ATS.

Red Wolves are 12-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Red Wolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.Red Wolves are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. MAC.Rockets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.

Play on Arkansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Interesting Trend: INDIANAPOLIS /ATS in All games in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points are a perfect 11-0 ATS L/11. Of course this selection is not based solely on this trend, but I am registering data based on percieved possible score lines, which have all gone in the Colts favor.

The Bengals are 0-6 SU and ATS in their last six playoff games ,The Colts are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games (10-2 SU).

Indianapolis to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Arizona behind some QB replacements has looked a little flustered of late, and finished off their season in bad shape , but hey this is a pretty good overall team and I can very much see them coming up big here vs a over rated opponent. Take  the points as Arizona moves to  6-1 ATS  L/7 in playoff appearances .

Arizona Cards to cover 1 unit reg selection 

  Florida had some rough patches during their campaign, but the Gators finished the regular season ranked second in the SEC in total defense, allowing just 311 yards per game. The offense did struggle for the most part, but did show some flashes of moving forward with new QB Teon Harris who finished the year with 896 passing yards and seven touchdowns with three interceptions. Meanwhile, East Carolina despite of their accolades showed me that they remain an inconsistent mid level program. The back-to-back losses to Temple and Cincinnati cemented their postion with me and the loss to impotent but stunch UCF side to finish the season, made me beleive that they wouldnt do that well against this formidable SEC defense either. I know they get alot of love from the pundits and the media, and there are some good players in their lineup, but their still not the kind of team I would back consistently and certainly not today vs a Gators side that will be playing hard for a new coach (McElwain).

Play on the Florida Gators to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I know the Saragrin ratings and overall stats when put down on paper back the Washington Huskies. But despite of the old saying, that stats dont lie,,,there is another saying that I like, much more, and that is that the stats dont tell the whole story. Defensively, the Cowboys matchup well against UW- that is fact on the ground,  and look much better.Oklahoma State played some very tough teams  Florida State: K State, Baylor, TCU which will have them ready for a side that is not in that elite status. Look for freshman QB Rudolph who has a lot of poise to surprise and give us the cover and lead the Cowboys.

Play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys to cover 1 unit reg selection 

College bowl favorite off a SU conference win as an underdog of 6 or more points if they are playing  a foe that won 6 or more games last season like Pittsburgh have failed to cover 17 of their L/19 overall . Houston has 17 returning starters and that experience makes them very tough opponents today, vs a Panthers side that has a tendency of not always being menatally ready to play. With HC Paul Cryst off to Wisonsin , Pittsburgh may not be well prepared. It must also be noted that PittU have failed to cover 8 of their L/10 as favs. 

Play on the Houston Cougars to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ohio State has as much speed as any SEC team .Ohio State is one of the best offensive teams in the country and with their speed they can attack you deep, something this version of the Crimson Tide have shown their vulnerable to. Ohio State's players have shown no sign of nerves this week in New Orleans and are playing loose as they know the pundits expect them to lose. Could a surprise be lurking in New Orleans today and a possible upset? I wouldnt be that surprised, but more importantly I believe the Buckeyes can stay close and get us the cover. 

Ohio State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Florida State is over rated. Yes, the defending National Champs are over rated and lucky to be here. They flirted with near losses almost the entire season, and made far to many come from behind victories. One thing Im betting on is Oregons explosive offense, to explode on the Seminoles porous defense. Im betting their will be little mercy shown by the Ducks as the respect factor will be in play. That respect will come for  QB Winston and an offense that is extremely dangerous. Peddle to the metal is what Im betting on and wont be surprised if all of Florida States karmic energy suddenly evaporates just like an over used credit card. End game and party over for FSU as  Heisman QB Mariota makes a Rose Bowl mark on the history books . 

Play on Oregon Ducks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Baylor offensive and defensive line might be the most physical Michigan State has met up with all season long. The Bears are a little soft in the secondary, but the front seven is solid and will challenge the Spartans' run game in a big way. Baylors offense cannot easily be stopped, no matter how staunch a defense may be percieved and their going to score and score in bunches. This game takes place in Texas, and after being shunned from a play off spot by the national selections committee you can bet the fans and the Baylor Bears will be ready to send a message. 

Play on the Baylor Bears to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Badgers won seven straight games to run away with the Big Ten West Division title. Their defense was one of the best in the nation all season long, and as the season progressed the offense started to explode as well. Yes they were annhilated in the Big10 Champinship game by Ohio State, but this Wisconsin team and program has to many quality players and people both on the field and side lines to stay down. Auburn will have their hands full today. 

LATE STEAM- Wisonsin to cover 1 unit reg selection 

We all know how explosive an offense the Horned Frogs own behind QB Trevon Boykin. I know Ole Miss has a very athletic tenacious defense, but they have not faced this effecient of an offense this season. What most pundits also dont realize is how good the TCU defense is . and today Im betting the general college football enthusiast finds out how tough a Paul Dawson led group can be. Ole Miss is a fine team, but Gary Pattersons current football program at TCU is superior in my opinion, and feeling a little disrespected , after not getting a shot in the play offs, which makes them even more dangerous than usual. 

Play on TCU to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Arkansas shutout both LSU and Ole Miss in back to back games, which to me tells an amzing story about one of the most under rated defenses in the nation. I personally believe that Texas QB Tyrone Swoopes is not ready for what is coming his way, and I wont be surprised by another similar 5 turnover day like he experienced against TCU.

Arkansas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Aaron Rodgers is 11-1 SU and 9-3 ATS at home in December tilts and has brought home the cash for Packers backers ,  at a  10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS clip when the Cheese Heads own a winning record, and 9-1 SUATS as a home chak of less than 10 points versus division foes.

Play on the Green Bay Packers 1 unit reg selection 

 Atlanta and Carolina go head to head in a do-or-die Week 17 finale Sunday at the Georgia Dome, The Panthers could become the first repeat champion in the NFC South with a win or tie against the Falcons, who defeated the Panthers 19-17 on Nov. 16 in Charlotte.The Panthers will bring the 10th-ranked defense to the Georgia Dome against Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan. I expect another close game with defense being the difference maker.

Take the points with the Carolina Panthers 1 unit reg selection 

After last weeks huge win for Dallas  that clinched the NFC East title Im betting they are now in a bit of a letdown situation against a rival  Washington-that has covered four straight  at home in this series and 8 of the L/9 overall. 

Washington Redskins to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Bears QB Jay Cutler looked terrible in his last outing tossing three interceptions and finished with a season-low passer rating of 55.8 . By halftime, Cutler had thrown two picks while generating a passer rating of 14.9 on 6-of-14 passing for 56 yards. Thats damn ugly.It must be noted Cutler is 14-28 ATS in his NFL career in division tilyd, including 5-15 ATS away and awful(0-7 ATS L/7 and 1-6 SUATS in the same games when away versus an opponent with a bettor record than his side.

Play on Minnesota to cover 1 unit reg selection 

NE Patriots to cover 1 unit reg selection - LATE STEAM 

 Sun Devils look like a potential front-runner in the South division of the PAC12 in 2015 and must not be underestimated as a national contender. Yes, I know they fell asleep at the proverbial wheel at some critical times this season, but this is still a top tier team when focused. Meanwhile, Duke is a team that has looked lost at times this season despite of their overall successes. It important to note that offensively capable teams like Pittsburgh U, and North Carolina really gave the Blue Devils some problems this season, and now here comes an even more explosive ASU offense. 

Play on ASU to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Frank Beamers VTech team was  puzzling this season. They went into Ohio State and controlled  the game from the get go. It was like the old days were back. Than suddenly East Carolina upset them, and then the Hokies hit rock bottom in a 6-3 double-overtime loss to Wake Forest, a game that was scoreless at the end of regulation. Wow, talk about bi polar extremes. Now there are unhappy boosters at Virginia Tech and their not happy with the program’s current direction.  Needless to say Frank Beamer’s  on the hot seat . The motivation for the Hokies during bowl practices  was said to be sky high  and its needs to be to quiet Beamer’s critics and potentially save his job.

VTech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 North Carolina has quality wins against Georgia Tech and Duke, thanks to an offense that must be considered elite. The defesne was their achilles heal this season, but  now with a new defensive co-oridnator this team is very dangerous. Meanwhile, Rutgers despite of almost a months rest  has eight key players, including six starters, listed on its injury report. North Carolina get the nod. 

Play on North Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection

 HC Tim Beckman rallied his  Illini to consecutive wins over Penn State and Northwestern over the final two weeks of the regular season to earn a bowl bid.After getting beat up on by some quality opponents in the middle of their campaign and facing plenty of tough questions about the future of the program, Illinois has a chance to finish with a winning record and Im betting they will be motivated. I know, LA Tech is a fine team, but after being humiliated by Marshall in the championship game, they may find it difficult to be up going into this game. The Bulldogs proved in losing games to Old Dominion and Northwestern State that they have a tendency to fall asleep at the proverbial wheel. 

Play on the Illinois Illini to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 I know San Diego State is playing on their own turf this week, but bowl hosts have lost 4 of 6 bowl games of late. It must also be noted that the biggest naval base in the US West Coast is just down the road, which translates into a huge support base for the Middies here today.   Navy is 13-1 ATS mark off a SU win versus Mountain West sides!

Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

BYU began their season with a  4-0 record, with three wins over Power 5 teams, none more impressive than a 41-7 blow out of Texas in Week 2. They have finsihed off their reg season schedule withFour straight wins without injured starting QB Hill to end the season, which has also been impressive. Im betting on this tough group finsihing their season in winning fashion.

Play on the BYU Cougars to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I have squeezed a variation of numbers, and played out alot of scenaros in my head , with all the data and stats correlated into my objective state ....no matter what I do... the lines and the matchup possibilites, still give Arizona the edge. Seattle is a fine defending championship team,but as more than a TD road favorite , not a quality bet, especially considering how inconsistent  on the road they have been over the last few seasons. 

Play on the Arizona Cardinals to cover  1 unit reg selection 

Since getting smashed by the Patriots a few weeks back, Indys defense has done well and could easily give Tony Romo and company more than they bargained for. It must be noted that    Dallas is 3-20 ATS as a non-division favorite from Game 13 out, including 1-10 SU & 0-11 ATS when playing off a straight up win.Colts QB Andrew Luck is 13-0 SUATS in his NFL career in contests  after the Colts did not produce at least 21 points in their previous game. 

Play on the Indianapolis Colts to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oakland Raiders to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Giants have sacked opposing quarterbacks at least seven times in each of the last three games (22 total). The Rams offensive line has had a hard time finding time for their QBs to get some room to maneuver and things wont change today.  Both teams are playing well on defense of late, but the difference maker comes via the arm of Elie Manning- who occasionally seems motivated enough for big efforts. Im betting saving HC Tom Coughlins job wakes him up today. 

Play on the Giants to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Despite positive stretches, Ryan Tannehill is slumping toward the end of his third season with just two touchdown passes against three interceptions over the last three weeks. Things wont get much better for him or the Dolphins vs the Vikings hard nosed defense this week.  

Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Whats left to play for this year for the NY Jets? This game might be their last chance at some kind of redemption. Secondly are the Patriots going to treat this like a bye week and look ahead to bigger games. It must be interested to note that since 1980 the Jets have only once been DD home dogs and they won that game outright.Ok, folks with that said, Im recommedning we Plug our noses and dive head first  in the deep end. 

Take the points with the NY Jets  1 unit reg selection 

  Utah State owns a  a tough group of never say defensive players. Im sure their not in a good mood after surrendering 50 points and 498 total offensive yards to Boise State in the regular-season finale. How embarrssin that must of been for that proud group of young men.  After having their five game win streak end in humiliating fashion you can bet they will be fired up to get some redmeption back before the long hard winter sets in.  

Play on the Utah State Aggies to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Minnesota is still not getting respect from the linesmakers despite of going 4-2 SU in their last six games and 7-1 ATS in their last eight . Meanwhile, the Lions have not  done  well in this series, going 6-13 SU and 5-12-2 ATS in the last 19 meetings.  The Vikes are also  11-1-1 ATS with revenge in this series, including 5-0 ATS as dogs.  There is a long term angle at PLAY here that shows  NFL regular season home favorites of 4 points ore more  off back-to-back SUATS home victories in their last two games if they did not beat the spread by 7 or more points in their last game have failed to cover 12 of the L/13 times.

Minnesota Vikings to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Indy QB Andrew Luck is 13-1 SUATS in his NFL career in games off a non cover as was the case last week vs Cleveland.The Texans are 0-12 SU and have failed to cover 8 of the 12 games  all-time on the road in this series with nine of those defeats  coming by more than today’ side number.The Indianapolis Colts are 11-0 SUATS in division games when playing between two non-division games, as is the case in this spot.

Indianapolis Colts to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Buffalo held the Broncos to a season-low 306 yards in the 7-point loss at Denver last week.Needless to say, Im betting their more than capable of hanging tough today at home vs a another explosive side. GB is also just 0-4 ATS off a Monday nighter of late, which does not bode well considering the Packers have never won  or covered a game in Buffalo (0-5 SU/ATS).

 Buffalo Bills to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Green Bay Packers are one of the hottest teams in pro football. Last week, the Packers took down the equally hot New England Patriots 26-21 at Lambeau Field to improve to 9-3. Atlanta at 5-7 ranks last in passing yards allowed at 284.9/game and look very much like their going to get cobbered tonight on the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field. 

Play and lay with the Green Bay Packers 1 unit reg selection 

HC Harbaugh of the SF 49ersis golden in  non-division games, as is evident by his  34-11 SU and 32-11-1 ATS  mark in his career. When  his men are vistiors  in these games, they are a money making  17-4 SU and 17-3-1 ATS. The Niners are also 11-2 ATS L/13 as favs vs AFC foes.

Play on SF 49ers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Seattle is a fine defending champion but Philly under Chip Kelly is also fine team with an extremely under rated defense. One that matches up well with the Seahawks defense. The difference makers in this spot comes via home field advantage and on offense where the Eagles can be explosive, while Seattle is not. 

NFL non-division road dogs like Seattle off a SU division underdog win if they have a division game up next, which Seattle does have failed to cover 13 of their L/15 overall. The Seahawk's are 2-10 ATS after playing the SF 49ers and just 4-23 away when playing off a divison game against a foe off a division game like Philly.

Play on Philadelphia Eagles ( 2 unit top play)

Arizona is not a fluke team. Plus Bruce Arians’ is tough HC to face  at home where he has  ganerned a  17-2 SU   career mark in home games and knows how to get his team ready after a loss as his 6-1 SUATS off a SU loss record would indicate, KC has been bi polar at times this season, and with the home team covering 7 of the L/8 in this series, Im betting their depressive state returns this Sunday.

Play on Arizona to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Manning is 46-21 SU during the month of December throughout his NFL career, When the moneys down, and the play offs on the horizon and momentum is needed entering the post season. Peyton is the man to lean on. I expect he lights up Buffalos secondary in a big way on this December day.

Play on the Denver Bronocs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Detroit is just 2-16 SU (0-9 last 9) afer playing on Thanksgiving , and 0-7 ATS in their last seven games against  NFC South, including 0-3 this season. TB has gottoen better as the season has progressed and very much look like viable dogs to back here in this spot.

Play on the Tama Bay Bucs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Bengals have earned some disrespectful tags over the years , and are out to change those perceptions. This is a Bengals team that is on top of their division , and must be respected. On the other side we have a  Steeler team thats missed the play offs three straight times.. The Steelers were horrible last week in losing to the Saints and once again dont look like a play off team. Pittsburgh is 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in its last three games, and has struggled to produce offense away from Heinz Field, averaging just 16.75 points per game. The Steelers have been outscored 57-16 in divisional road games so far in 2014. Meanwhile, the Bengals are 5-1 SU in their last six, and have given up just 12 points per game in their last three . The linesmakers are saying that this game on a neutral field would be a pickem. Thats just not the case, and Im more than willing to take the home team at a FG.

Play on the Cincinnati Bengals to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ohio State has out gained every opponent they have faced this season. Wisoncins 7 game win streak, has the pundits in a big time love affair with them this week, but Im not love struck, and will take the very viable underdog in this spot. HC Meyer is a perfect 7-0 ATS L/7 as an underdog or pick. Note: In the last 46 games vs. Wisconsin, Ohio State was favored in an astounding 44 of those matchups. The only two occasions they were the underdog, the Buckeyes won the game outright.

Play on Ohio State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

GTech ha pounded its way to a 5-0 ATS run winning 3 straight SU as underdogs. Paul  Johnsons aggressive run attack is averaging 5.96 YPC. Meanwhile, Florida State has consistently escaped losses, thanks to a few explosive plays in each game this season. Six straight games they have come from behind, but that luck, Im betting runs out here today. Florida State has alot of glaring weaknesses, and still getting far to much respect for last years championship season.

Gtech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Kansas State is one of the most disciplined well coached teams in the country. They are overall a tough group with a never say die attitude. Baylor is a fine opponent, with an explosive offense, but , they have had a tendency for bi polar  inconsistencies, and with all the pressure they face here late in the season, Im betting they  tighten up a bit. That is not a good omen against a tough -defense like they will face today. It must be noted that  the Wildcats are 7-0 ATS with Big 12 revenge, 10-2 ATS against .700 or better conference opponents  and 5-1 ATS as conference underdogs of 8 or more points..

kansas state to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Marshall Thundering Herd has some prolific numbers on offense this season, but those numbers were buoyed by the fact that they did not play against any Power Five teams in their four non-conference games. Marshall hasn't faced a defense like Tech's, a unit that leads the country in turnovers gained (36) and points off turnovers (150). Im betting on LA Tech aggressive hard hitting defense to win over the Herds explosive offense. 

Take the points with LA Tech to cover 

The Huskies are taking on Bowling Green for the second straight season on Friday night. A year ago, Northern Illinois came into Ford Field with a 12-0 record and hoping for a second-straight BCS berth, only to be blown out 47-27 by the Falcons. Now payback is on the agenda this Friday night. Im betting on the Huskies getting it vs a lucky Bowling Green side that has allowed an average of 501 ypg this season. 

Play on the Northern Illinois Huskies to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Cowboys started fast but have slowed down quite a bit over the last few games. One number that is beginning to stand out and tell some of the true analytics story behind what could be the demise of the Boyz is this ugly stat  that just keeps getting worse. Dallas is now 30th in the league in third down conversion percentage allowed. They are a full three percent worse than last year’s miserable version of defense. I know the Bears have been far from explosive on offense, but in this bi polar league, you never know when a team like the Bears can explode. I have not been sold on the Cowboys , and tonight Im going against them again. 

Chicago Bears to cover 1 unit reg selection 

"You know what they say always? Defense wins championships and literally we gotta try to prove that this week," UCF senior linebacker Terrance Plummer said.

I could not agree with him more. Defense is the key here today, against a aggressive, but not always consistent East Carolina offense. 

The Knights own the No. 4 total defense and  are playing their brst football of the season  as they prepare to face one of the best passing teams they've seen all season.

East Carolina is expected to force a faster tempo, but defensive lineman Miles Pace said that won't be a problem because UCF always runs up-tempo practices.

UCF (8-3 overall, 6-1 AAC)  has the big time mental edge headed into Thursday's prime-time contest. With two losses on the record, East Carolina (8-3 overall, 5-2 AAC) is already out of the conference title race.

Central Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection