The Chiefs have had ten 10 days to sit and stew about their lack of concentration in their L/game to Oakland by a 24-20 count. Meanwhile, this  will be Denver's fourth road game in its last five, and this is a great spot for KC to pull off the win. According to the lines makers this is a very even matchup. Home field advantage will be the difference maker.

The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against winning teams.Denver is 1-2 SU and ATS as a road favorite of a field goal less since Manning joined the team in 2012.

Play on the KC Chiefs to cover 1 uni reg selection 

The Patriots have won seven in a row and have the AFC’s best record. In their last three wins, New England has taken down a division leader—respectively, the Denver Broncos, Indianapolis Colts and Detroit Lions—by at least three touchdowns . The the Packers have won six of their last seven and trail only the Arizona Cardinals (9-2) in the NFC standings, and are undefeated at home. Both teams are having tremendous seasons, and Im betting todays tilt will be hard fought, and won by a late score. My bet is on New England , getting points with Brady being just one tiny step ahead of Rodgers. Note:Patriots QB Tom Brady is 33-15-1 ATS as a dog in his NFL career, The Pats are also  9-2 ATS versus the NFC North, including 6-0 ATS away.

Play on the New England Patriots to cover 1 unir reg selection 

Running back Justin Forsett has been the AFC Offensive Player of the Week in back-to-back games, and the Ravens plan to ride him down the stretch and here today. The Ravens are coming off a game where they absolutely destroyed the Saints with their  ground attack and put up a season-high 215 rushing yards. The Chargers are 15th in the NFL at defending the run, so the Ravens  will stick with the ground-and-pound approach this week on their way to what Im betting will be a hefty win. Ravens head coach John Harbaugh is 29-0 SU and 21-8 ATS in his career as a non-division favorite.

Play on the Baltimore Ravens to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Cougars’ head coach Mike Leach is 11-1 SU in Last Home Games of the season, With a great rookie QB firing on all cylinders behind a take no prisoners aerial attack, I wont be surprised of the home team pulls of a straight up upset vs a Huskies side that has lost 5 of their L/8 overall.

Play on the Washington State Cougars 1 unit reg selection 

 Its almost a weekly occurrence now, as Florida State seems to find a way out of bad situations  and turn losses into wins. Its been  a long time since I have seen a team get so lucky. This week the party might come to end, but more importantly as far as we are concerend we are backing a side tht can get us a cover (Florida). It must be noted tha the Seminoles are a ugly 2-11 ATS as home favorites of 14 or less points.

Play on the Florida Gators to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Cougars last three wins were against inferior competition , so all the media hoopla associated with their run should be taken with a grain of salt.  Meanwhile, California has come along way since last year, thanks a offense that can score against some of the best teams in the nation, averaging 38.5 ppg. BYUs defense is far from strong and should easily get sliced and diced today. I know the Bears D is also bad, but the offenses that have beaten up on them are much better than Cougar opposition, so they will be ready today for the Cougars attack.

Play on California to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Big time rivalry game. With two teams entering this game with top tier teams. It should be an absolute war with the points Im betting be golden.It must be noted that the Rebs defense is 90 ypg better on the stat sheet than Mississippi State. Ole Miss Rebel head coach Hugh Freeze is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in his career as a single-digit underdog. 

Play on Ole Miss to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Coach Larry Blakeney concludes his 25th and fi nal season for Troy here a tVeterans Memorial Stadium this Saturday. His team will be jacked up and motivated to perform.The Trojans lost UL Lafayette last year, and now have revenge on board.The Trojans are 5-0 ATS as conference dogs of 6 or more points when looking for revenge..

Play on the Troy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Since defeating Wake Forest 30-7 on Oct. 18, Syracuse has scored a total of 40 points in its last four games. Its obvious the Orange offense is struggling, and will once again have difficulty scoring this week vs a staunch BC D. Syracuse defeated Boston College last year , in a 34-31 game. Revenge is now on board and BC will be looking to get it and build on the confidence associated by almost upseting the defending national champion Florida State Seminoles last week as they play for play off Bowl considerations .

Play on the Boston College Eagles 1 unit reg selection 

This is a three-touchdown spread, the highest in at least 29 years of this rivalry. Sure its a game both teams have circled on their calenders, but all the more reason to like a top tier team like Ohio State, that  is guaranteed to be awake and ready to play.  Especially after last years near fatal miss in Ann Arbor.With the selection committee watching, and play off implications pending, you can bet the Buckeyes will be ready to impress with a huge win.

Play on Ohio State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 No matter what the Bulldogs say Im betting their spirits are a little on the down side today, as. No. 17 Missouri (10-2) rallied to beat Arkansas 21-14 on Friday, clinching the SEC East. Meanwhile, The Yellow Jackets already have clinched a spot against top-ranked Florida State in the Atlantic Coast championship game and are in the running for an Orange Bowl berth.The Yellow Jackets are also eager to make up for 2013's double-overtime loss to Georgia, in which the Yellow Jackets squandered a 20-0 lead.The difference makers today will come via Georgia Techs No.1 conversion rate on third down, moving the chains an amazing 58.3 percent of the time (77 of 132). The Yellow Jackets aren't too bad when they go for it on fourth down, either, making 9 of 13 (69 percent).

Play on GTech to cover  1 unit reg selection 

LATE STEAM 

Indiana played well against Ohio State last week, and have made positive adjustments because of key injuries. The key to this predicted win will be from super star RB Tevin Coleman, who needs just  94 yards to reach 2,000 this season. Purdue cant stop him.

Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Cardinal (6-5, 4-4) have won six straight meetings between the California schools heading into the Cardinal's latest trip to the Rose Bowl on Friday vs UCLA. Hundley and Mora have lost three times to Kevin Hogan and coach David Shaw in the previous two years alone. UCLA's offense has scored at least 30 points in seven of its last eight games, but Stanford has allowed 30 points just once this season. I know alot of pundits think that the Bruins will be ready for the Cards but no matter what Im still thinking that after playing and beating the USC Trojans last week they will be in a let down situation. It must be noted that UCLA has failed to cover 5 straight times after playing USC and failed to cover 4 straight in back to back home games.

Play on Stanford to cover 1 unit reg selection 

A MAC title is no longer possible, and a winning season is in doubt. But becoming bowl eligible is possible for Akron .With that said,  the Zips will be very motivated to get a win here vs a 1-9 Kent side that has problems moving the ball. 

Play on the Akron Zips to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Seattle may have not lived up to their championship status this season, but when crunch time comes around and big games are concerend Ill always back a team like the Seahawks. SF is a fine team , but very inconsistent. Both these sides play the same type of hard nose football, but the edge in my opinion goes to the Seahawks , who dominated Arizona last week, and last year ate the Denver Broncos alive in the Spuer Bowl. The hunger has returned and Seattle is dangerous. 

Play on Seattle 1 unit reg selection

The Horned Frogs enter this game fighting for their playoff lives, and the Longhorns are in prime position to play the roll of spoiler on a big stage. The Longhorns has remained a steady anchor of the team from day one of this season, and the offense despite of starting slowly has now become much more consistent behind QB Tyrone Swoopes.The Longhorns are tied for the Big 12’s best scoring defense with Kansas State at just 21 points allowed per game.In the last five games, the Longhorns are 4-1, losing only to Kansas State a month ago. The key todays game will be the ability to intefer with TCUs smooth offense, and behind a scary aggressive attacking defense are capable of doing this.It must be noted that Texas has 37 sacks this season, most in the Big 12 and No. 7 in the nation.  Final notes & key Trends: TCU is 2-29 SU in this series, and last year as 3 point favs lost straight up to Texas. Whether, the Longhorns can pull off the SU win is of little importance to me, but what I am betting is that will be in this contest to the end, and thus I am recommedning we take the points.

Play on the Texas Longhorns 1 unit reg selection 

LATE STEAM***

Play on LSU to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Philadelphia head coach Chip Kelly is 19-1 SU on the road in NFL division and college conference games combined in his career as a head coach. Im expecting Dallas to be in a letdown situation after payigng long time rivals the NY Giants last time out, and it must be noted tha the Boyz s are and ugly  1-10 ATS on Thanksgiving Day games after defeating the New York Giants the previous week.

Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Bears are  more than capable of challenging  a Lions side, that has not scored a touchdown in two games and two losses for a total of 15 points (27th in the league). Lions QB Mat Stanford, looks lost and nothing really changes here in this spot, vs a Chicago side that is getting very little respect. True line value at -4 so, we have value on the line. 

Play on the Chicago Bears 1 unit reg selection 

The Baltimore Ravens travel to New Orleans for a Week 12 Monday Night Football matchup against the Saints. Orleans is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in its last seven Monday Night home games, and a bookie busting 18-0 ATS as favorites off a non-division confrontation going against  an AFC opponent off a SU victory (like Baltimore). I know the Saints have not looked good of late, but tonight, with some playoff  desperation , starting to show, Im betting the Saints finally wake up and show us their real talent and coast to victory behind the arm of  QB  Drew Brees and a defense that needs to get back their mojo. 

Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Saints are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 home games.

Play on the New Orleans Saints to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Bills (5-5 skipped two days of practice, dealt with a freakish snowstorm and some even needed a snowmobile to get to the team bus Friday to get out of town. The Jets (2-8) had a regular week of practice with an extra day tacked on. They are coming off their bye week, feeling good after their first win in two months. Everything points in the Jets favor.

Play on the NY Jets 1 unit reg selection 

  The 3-7 New York Giants host the 7-3 Dallas Cowboys  this Sunday at MetLife Stadium. A loss would officially eliminate the Giants from the NFC East race, and possibly from the playoffs entirely , so you can bet we will get a desperation effort out of them this evening. I know the stats and overall numbers to this point in the season do not favor the Giants, but with a super bowl QB and coach on their side, are more than capable of at least one inspiring effort. Tonight against their long time rivals the Cowboys Im betting will be one of those inspirational nights. 

Cowboys are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Favs like Dallas off a win in London England  are 0-5 ATS all-time in division games in their return to the US. 

Play on the NY Giants to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Broncos after getting clipped in surprising fashion vs the St.Louis Rams on the road last week are in a bounce back mode. It must be noted Broncos enter 6-0 ATS off a SU favorite loss in which hey scored 10 or less points. Meanwhile, Miami played well last week in a win, but they are 0-6 ATS L/6 away after a SU win. Old Man Manning and company come out here breathing fire and get the win and cover. 

Play on the Denver Broncos to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Seattle Seahawks coach Pete Carroll knows how important this game is vs Arizona.“There’s so much at stake coming up here in the next month and a half,” Carroll said. “I think it’s a really cool time of the year. Everything’s still out there, and everybody’s got to win. I think this is a great time to be watching NFL games because every game will be so crucial. Everybody is feeling like that.” 
“There’s a lot out there," Carroll said. “We know we have to do it one week at a time, and with Arizona starting, that’s the only game in the world that matters.” 

Im a big Pete Carroll fan, and impressed by his ability to get the most out of his usually talented teams. There has been some disrespect for the defending Super Bowl champs, but today in the Clink, Im betting the Seahawks send a message to the league, that their still around and ready to defend their championship against the 9-1 Cards. 

Seattle is at its best at home against .900 or better opposition, going 8-0 ATS.

Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 After a disappointing loss to the Cardinals in which the offense put up only six points. Now  Offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi decided to cut playcalls by 20 percent this week. This team can score and move the ball, but their articulate and concise planning in all aspects of the game is getting to them. This week more free flow is on the agenda and Im betting it helps them a great deal. The Lions still posses the leagues no 1 defense, and the Pats explosive offense will not slice and dice them as easily as they have other teams."We're not going in with this mindset that, 'Oh, they're unbelievable, they're so amazing,'" said safety James Ihedigbo. "We are the number one defense in this league. We earned that."It's one of those games where you've got to play like it." 

I agree with this quote and Im backing the Lions to be at their best. 

Play on the Detroit Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The bi- polar Bengals look rejuvenated and playing like many of us thought they were capable of earlier in the season. They will now go against a QB and team with a little confidence on their side. But I still feel the Texans are over rated and not ready for prime time.New Texans QB Ryan Mallett , is already the talk of the town, after getting a win vs Cleveland . But caveat emptor as this pivot is untested and could be in for a long day, especially if he cant keep an uptempo to this game.

Bengals are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Texans are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.

Play on the Cincinnati Bengals to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Many were saying the Colts were Super Bowl contenders. However  one sided blowout losses to the Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots  brought the pundits back down to earth. Indianapolis is a ugly 0-11 ATS at home in games games against below .500 opposition like Jacksonville off a SU home loss,. It must also be noted that the Jags are  7-1 ATS when playing with rest against .500 or greater opposition. Yes I know this is a hard pick to back, but in my usual contrarian manner Im taking the ugly dog in this spot. 

Play on the Jackconville Jags 1 unit reg election 

 UCLA owns a fast-paced and efficient offense, and USC handles fast-paced and efficient offenses very well. UCLA beat Virginia by eight, Memphis by seven, Colorado by three, and California by two so there is no reason the Trojans cant cover this number or even pull of the upset according to my extensive cross league data. The Trojans are one of the strongest teams in this conference, and  controlled a very good  Arizona State side for 57 minutes, before blowing a nine-point lead because of a 73-yarder with 2:43 left and a 46-yard Hail Mary. Capable and talented is the word, and Im backing USC in this spot. 

Key Stat: UCLA's offense ranks 100th in IsoPPP, a measure of the magnitude of a team's successful plays. USC's defense ranks 34th. 

Play on USC Trojans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Baylor quarterback Bryce Petty has tried to avoid calling Oklahoma State a revenge game for the No. 6 Bears. He can be politically correct if he wants, but thats exactly what it is. The Bears' national championship hopes last season unraveled with that 49-17 loss at Oklahoma State, after going into that game undefeated and No. 3 in the AP poll.The Bears crushed and beat48-14 at Oklahoma two weeks ago,and are more than capable of carrying out a humiliating beat down of an opponent. The Bears are wearing all black and encouraging fans to do the same for their second designated blackout game. The first one last season was a 41-12 win over Oklahoma. Count down ready, 10,9 , 8. Blast off coming your way folks. Lay the lumber and watch the explosive results.

Play on Baylor to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Virginia's defense—highlighted by Quin Blanding and Anthony Harris, among others—is excellent. Overall, it's allowed 347.8 yards and 25.2 points per outing , and will make the Canes work for every offensive opportunity this Saturday. Miami is off a heart breaking loss to Florida State last time out, and will be in a let down mode. With that said, Im taking the points with the home team. 

Play on Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection 

According to the National Weather Service,  the game between visting Lousiville and the Irish at Notre Dame Stadium will see a  rainy and windy day with temperatures topping out at 43 degrees and winds from the south gusting to 20 mph. The chance of rain is 60 percent.Louisville (7-3) practiced outside at Papa John's Cardinal Stadium on Thursday, hoping to get used to the frigid air and biting wind expected at Notre Dame Stadium in South Bend, Ind., this weekend. In this kind of environment offenses have a history of struggling, while defenses seem to be in top gear. Notre Dame is known for their fluent attack, while the Cards are known for a staunch disciplined D. I liked Lousiville to cover prior to haring the weather forecast and now like them even more now.

Play on the Lousivillle Cardinal to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Arkansas runs the ball at an average of 235 ypg, and will run the ball down the throats of the vaunted Ole Miss defense. Some are saying Arkansas will be in a letdown spot after last weeks 17-0, LSU win that ended a long time SEC losing streak, I instead say this very well coached side, that now has a boatload full of confidence, and must not be underestimated as they go for their 8th cover in 9 games.

Play on Arkansas to cover 1 unit reg selection

 The Thundering Herd are 20-point favorites over the Blazers (5-5, 3-3), who need to win one of their final two games to become bowl eligible. You can bet we will see the best from a UAB side who will also play known that their program is on the chopping block on seniors day. So double and triple desperation is at play today. UAB's defense has made big strides after being among the nation's worst last season and Im betting they do just enough to stay within the three TD mark.

Play on UAB to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Virginia Tech posted a upset of Duke last time out, Now Duke has redemption circled on todays calender. It must be noted Blue Devils senior quarterback Anthony Boone was 18-3 as a starter entering Saturday’s game. The winningest quarterback in Duke football history has lost just four career games as a starting QB, the exact same number of losses as Heisman favorite  QB Marcus Mariota of Oregon . As far as tonights concerned, it must be noted that the Tar Heels claim to fame is their offense, however, their defense is atrocious. Duke can score in bunches, and when their focused the Blue Devils defense must be considered a top tier stopping unit. Im betting they will be paying attention in this spot, and cruise to a hefty victory and more importantly get us the all important cover. 

Play on the Duke Blue Devils to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Trickett the QB for the Mounties is a pivot who prefers to stay in the pocket and throw, and does not scramble well in my opinion. He stays in the pocket til the last possible second which not a good thing vs an explosive Wildcats pass rush.Meanwhile, the Wildcats offense can pound the crap out of youslowly but surely and mercilessly and considering how soft West Virgina's rush D is, you can bet damage will be done. Im expecting some frustrated Mountaineer fans tonight in Morgantown. Kansas State  is 17-1 ATS as a underdog in conference games off a SUATS loss under Bill Snyder.

Play on the Kansas State Wildcats 1 unit reg selection 

Roethlisberger vs. Zach Mettenberger is a mismatch of QBs.in Big Bens favor. A key statistic when considering tonights game winner is based on Third-down conversion rate allowed by the Steelers’ defense, which ranks  fifth-best in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Third-down conversion rate for the Titans, is  the lowest in the NFL .

Tennessee's lack of punch on offense will make it difficult for the Titans to pull off an upset Monday night. With no chance of getting caught overlooking their opponent as they are coming off an ugly loss, Pittsburgh Im betting is  a solid side to back to win and cover at -6 on the road.

Play on Pitsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection

Patriots QB Tom Brady is 28-8-1ATS in his NFL career as a pick or a underdog of 3 or less points. Historically speaking the Colts are also 1-14 ATS L/15 dating back almost 35 years as home favorites against New England. The Patriots also own a 9-0 ATS all-time Sunday Night record  as a pick or undedog of 3 or less points. Liking Brady and company alot in this spot.

Play on the NE Pats 1 unit reg selection 

GB is off last Sunday nights big win and are a money making 10-1 SUATS in their last eleven games after performing under the Sunday Night lights. It must be noted that Philly QB Mark Sanchez  is 5-11 SU and 6-10 ATS in his last sixteen starts in this league versus .500 or greater opponents.

Play on the Green Bay Packers 1 unit reg slection 

 The 6-3 Browns have won four of their last five to climb to first place in the AFC North(that tells you how weak this division has become).. The 4-5 Texans have lost four of their last five -- after a 3-1 start -- to slip into second place in the AFC South behind the Colts.The Texans, led by Defensive Player of the Year candidate J.J. Watt, are coming off a bye, and the Browns are coming off a win vs the  Bengals 24-3 on Nov. 6.  Chances are, the team that wins the turnover battle will win the game, and these two clubs are the kings of playing takeaway football.The Texans lead the NFL with 21 takeaways and the Browns -- who have 12 in their last four games -- are tied for seventh with 17. Historically, when the Texans win the turnover battle, they win the game 75.3 percent of the time. Their 21 takeaways are the most in club history and Im betting they add to those numbers today and notch the cover for us.

Play on the Texans to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Each of the Falcons players have acted and spoken like they are on the same page as the coaches, emphasizing the goal of going 1-0 each week, avoiding external distractions. The team view point has  proved victorious last week and continued throughout their practices, leading up to this Sunday's game. Im betting HC Smith's team can again transmit the focus and practice-week accomplishments to the field on Sunday,  for a fourth-straight NFC South win.Carolina is really that bad, and their is a trend that is not good when considering their chances today. The Panthers are 0-10 ATS as favorites in their franchise history before a week of rest. Guess what, bye week on board and Atlanta Falcons looking a little revitalized, and considering my own personal data, they are a solid bet.

Play on Atlanta 1 unit reg selection 

Jay Cutler is not a top tier QB and despite of Chicago desperatly needing a win,  the Bears very much look like fade material. It must be noted that Cutler  when laying points 21-37-2 ATS in NFL career, including 11-28-2 at home. Man thats bad, and so is the energy in the Bears dressing room at the moment. I expect the hardworking underdogs make them work for everyhting the Bears achieve today. Take the points with the away doggy.

Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Seattle, is back to doing what they do best , as they  refocused their previous winning ways in to a strategy that is effective to their team concept. That is the implementation of its power running game. Marshawn Lynch has rushed for six touchdowns over the past two games, getting 21 carries each time, and Im expecting that he will pound away again today. KC is not as good as their record indicates, and are lucky to be where they are right now in the standings. They don't beat themselves, as dont give the ball away very oftern, but I keep getting the nagging feeling their damn is soon going to bust, and that may come as early as today. Its now crunch time for the defending Super Bowl Champion Seahawks and I expect we see their best effort today.

Seahawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Chiefs are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games in Week 11.

Play on the Seattle Seahwaks to cover 1 unit reg selection

With Griffin back behind center and running back Alfred Morris effective in the last two outings, the threat of the big gain has never been greater this season. Tampa Bay’s Cover 2 scheme, theoretically, is supposed to stop this type of attack, but hasnt been  up to the task for much of the season and could easily get slashed today.

Play on the Washington Redskins to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Cincy is a ugly 0-14 ATS away in games off a SU double-digit division loss,while  the Saints are 11-0 ATS at home off a SU loss when facing a .500 or greater opponent, The Saints despite of some ugly performances this season are still a top tier team and must be respected, especially at home. 

Play on the New Orleans Saints 1 unit reg selection 

This ia very physical tough Ram squad that owns 10-1-1 ATS as home dogs of 7 or more points. Denver is a great team behind QB  Manning, but in no shape or form are the Broncos going to break their proverbial backs in this contest. Manning will be dumping the ball fast and getting out of the way of the physical freak show called the Rams defense. With that said taking, the points looks very much like  a solid position to take. 

Play on the Denver Broncos 1 unit reg selection

 Arizona States big win vs Notre Dame last time will now have the Sun Devils in a let down situation. Not a good environment or place to be in this type of physical and mental mind set. Oregon State football program has shown a propensity to shock us , and tonight might be one of those nights.

Oregon State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Arkansas has lost 17 conference games in a row, dating back to the middle of the 2012 season, and they are beyond desperate for a win. But just because they need a win, does not mean they are going to get one. Both teams LSU and Arkansas are great at rushing the ball, but they have been plagued by subpar play at quarterback all season . The difference comes via defense. Arkansas does not have a disciplined group, while LSU owns an elite defense that is still getting better. With that said, Im backing LSU.

Play on LSU to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Im not interested in what the talking heads think about Florida State, and their continued love affair with the defending national champs. The truth hurts, but the truth is, FSUs defense is average at best, and has been consistently thrashed for big yards this season by their opposition. The explosive offense has been their saving grace. But today against a top tier Miami Fl defense that is getting better with time,Im betting the Seminoles offense will be tested and will not be as productive as need be, to make up for the short coimings of the defense.Miami is allowing just 4.2 yards per play, the seventh lowest mark in the FBS (out of 128 teams). In our strength-of-schedule-adjusted efficiency metrics, the Hurricanes rank in the top 15 against the run and the pass. Despite playing a top-25 schedule, the Hurricanes rank third in all of college football, outgaining their opponents by an average of 2.6 yards per play. is 6-3 straight-up and 5-3 against-the-spread this season against the 25th ranked schedule in the nation, their three losses have come against Nebraska, Lousiville, and Gtech , teams with a total of three losses.Offensively, junior running back Duke Johnson leads the ACC in rushing with 1,213 yards and 7.7 yards per rush. The offense ranks  top-10 nationally on the ground. Through the air, this football team has turned into a big play unit. Freshman quarterback Brad Kaaya struggled early, completing under 60% of his passes with seven interceptions in his first four games. In his last four starts, however, Kaaya has eight touchdowns and just two interceptions, averaging 9.9 yards per pass. Only Oregon’s Marcus Mariota has topped that mark for the entire season. So if your worried about Miami keeping up offensively think again. All in all, Miami's superior defense, and ability to put points on the board makes them a solid pick today. No team is invinceable and Florida State after consistently grabbing defeat from the jaws of what should have been losses to top tier sides like Notre Dame and Lousiville, will now have to give back some of their positive karma today.Hurricanes HC Al Golden is 14-2 ATS as a home dog, including 14-0 ATS when taking less than 24 points.  Series underdog has covered 9 of the L/10.

Take the points with the Miami Florida Canes 1 unit reg selection

Alabama is according to my own numbers the top team in the nation, and I care little what the pundits think. Mississippi State is completely over rated at No 1, and the true number should be closer to -16 favoring the home team, so its obvious to me where the value is. The line opened as -7 favoring the Tide, and my first reaction was, you have to be kidding. The books were playing to public sympathies and the lack of in-depth knowledge. Wise guy money is all over Alabama here. Nick Saban lives for situations like this while the Bulldogs are not accustomed to this type of  limelight, and have already started to look a little sluggish of late. Meanwhile, Alabama has held 5 opponents to season low yards this season,while Miss State has held NO opponent to a season low on yards. Bulldogs coach Mullen has lost 24 of his L/32 SU vs .750 or greater opposition, while Saban is 30-13 SU vs undefeated teams.  This is a statement game for Alabama, and flag down for anyone who thinks they can slow their quest for a National  championship.

GOY - This is my one and only game of the year -

Alabama to cover 2 Unit Double Down Generals Club -Top Ticket 

Rice took out Marshall in last seasons title game, and now sweet revenge is lined up. Ok I know the Thundering Herd have not played the toughest schedule, but believe me when I say this is one very explosive and dangerous side, and when revenge is a motive, the Herds propensity to pile up points well after a win is in hand becomes important when laying 3 TDs.

Play on Marshall to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Pittsburgh began the season at 3-0 with convincing wins over Delaware, Boston College and FIU, but then for some reason the wheels fell off. The Panthers have since lost five of their last six games, with a impressive five-point win over Virginia Tech sandwiched in between the streak. Pitt dropped a Nov. 1 contest to Duke, 51-48, in double overtime, a game that showed alot of their true capabilities. A recipe for a win for Pittsburgh will center on grinding the ball on the ground, and eating up clock while consistently scoring against North Carolina. Pittsburgh offense  averages 31.1 ppg and 247.7 rushing ypg through nine contests played. Conner, the sophomore running back, averages 149.1 rushing ypg, and has touched the ball 220 times out of the backfield, making him the workhorse of the Panthers, and today he will be the key for what Im betting will be a Panther cover.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover  1 unit reg selection

 Georgia Tech running game can get the best of any run defense, no matter how well that defense might be playing against opposing ground games. Clemson has a tough stop unit, but Im betting that wont matter today.( 

, the Yellow Jackets are No. 2 in the nation with 335.6 yards rushing per game. The Tigers are second in the nation in total defense and fourth against the run, allowing 90.9 yards per game on the ground).

  The Tigers are expected to have QB Deshaun Watson back after being out for 3 games with an injury, but he will be rusty after the lay off, and Clemson probably wont be as cohesive with him at the helm of the offense . All in all look for Gtech to do what Gtech does best, and for Clemsons vaunted front to have their hands full. 

Play on Gtech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Last year Miami QB Ryan Tannehill was sacked 58 times, and now with starting  left tackle Branden Albert out, Tannehill, could end up in a horizontal position alot more than he may like again as this season progresses. As far as tonight goes I expect Buffalos tenacious defense and never say attitude makes them worthy dogs. 

Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.Bills are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC East

Play on the Buffalo Bills to cover 1 unit reg selection

UC (5-3, 3-1 American Athletic Conference) rides a three-game winning streak but has done so against lower tier competition: 41-3 over SMU, 34-17 over USF and 38-14 over Tulane. The Bearcats need one win to become bowl-eligible and need this game badly and will play like it tonight. I know UC has some ugly numbers on defense, but I feel they are getting better late in the season. The three losses they suffered prior to their 3 game win streak came against, Ohio State, Memphis and Miami (Florida), teams with top tier offenses. Yes, I also know that East Carolina has some big offensive numbers, but UC after playing the above mentioned trio will be more than prepared for what's coming their way tonight. It must be noted that ECU is 0-5-1 ATS in their last six weekday affairs and and a lazy 1-8 ATS with rest. Also the Bearcats are 6-0 ATS L/6 at home in this series.

Play on the Cinccy Bearcats 1 unit reg selection 

UMass has some public pundits consistently drooling, about what is perceived as a breakout season via their offense which is scoring 19 ppg more than the previous season. What these same talking heads fail to notice is how horrible their 106th ranked  defense is . The Minutemen are allowing a whopping 448 yards per game, and live in a world of last possession football. Their undisciplined defense is the reason why they are just 2-7 SU on the season. In comes a Ball State team that is more than capable of exploiting their weaknesses and racking up a boatload full of points and a defense that despite of some CB injury issues is deeper at that position than outsiders might know. Im expecting a Ball State program that is experiencing a off year, and off a heart breaking loss to N. Illinois last week, to do everything possible to get back on their horses this week, and play a heck of a game.Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Cardinals are 43-16 ATS in their last 59 road games.

Play on the Ball State to cover 1 unit reg selection

QB Nick Foles out because of injury and  Mark Sanchez in  for Philly does not account for this cheap line. The books really have this one wrong. Sanches knows this system and offense well .The Phillies are the far superior team on both sides of the ball. As long as the Eagles show up mentally there is no reason not to see an easy DD victory in this spot.  Lay  the points with confidence. 

Play on the Philadelphia Eagles 1 unit reg selection

  Jay Cutler struggles against the Packers and throws a lot of interceptions along the way. Cutler has started 10 regular-season games in this rivalry, throwing 19 interceptions compared to 13 touchdowns. The Bears with Cutler at the the helm of the offense own a  1-10 record (playoffs included) against Green Bay with him starting. I know Chicago needs a win badly, but thats been the case for much of the year and they have yet to step up and Im betting they wont do much better today. QB Aaron Rodgers is 11-3 SU and ATS as a starter in the NFL versus Chicago. Green Bay is also 7-1 ATS L/8 in this series.

Green Bay Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I dont like the way the Niners have been playing, and feel they may be over rated because of past  successes. There is something about talented QB Kaipernick, that I cant put my finger on, and I maybe wrong, but to me it looks like he has caused some uneasiness in the lockeroom and the over all environment around the team. Anyway until Im proven wrong Ill back my hunnches. Meanwhile,The Saints are 20-3 SU and 19-4 ATS at home during the regular season under HC Payton in games versus non-division opponents who own a .500 or better record.the Saints’ top tier  20-game win streak at home under Sean Payton since 2011, including a money making  18-2 ATS mark.

Play on the New Orleans Saints to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Steelers are  the hottest team in the NFL and the Jets are stone cold worst, which translates in the  public backing the Steelers. However my numbers suggest that these teams are more closely matched than the line may indicate. Big Bens just got to cool off and Pittsburgh, after all, tends to play down to its opponent , so I wont be surprised if it happens today in the Steelers first road game in almost a month.

Play on the NY Jets 1 unit reg selection 

 Dolphins are rolling and after watching them annhilate the Chargers last week, dont want to stand in front of their momentum and instead have decided to go with the flow and ride  this wave. Its must be noted that  when QB Ryan Tannehill of Miami starts his team is 11-1 ATS as non-division dogs of 6 or less points,

Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover 1 unit reg selection

Oregon has won 54 of its last 62 conference games by double-digit margins while going 46-16 ATS in those victories.Oregon can still win a national championship and will not be in a letdown situation after beating the Cardinal last week, as they will be remnded that that win would have been in vein if they falter here. Oregon behind Heisman candidate QB  Mariotta are beasts and must not be ignored even here on the road. 

Play on Oregon to cover 1 uniit reg selection 

“Because of the circumstances, this is a huge game,” LSU offensive lineman Vadal Alexandersaid. “It’s the most important game of the season, and we’re treating it that way.”This is a game that people well beyond the Mason-Dixon Line will watch and appreciate with anticipation. Both teams are hitting on all pistons, having won three straight. They both own bone-crushing running games and defenses with suffocating hard hitting tendencies. They are both more evenly matched than the pundits might appreciate and considering Les Miles 46-4 SU record at home in night games, you have to be brave soul to bet against LSU who almost always  plays a solid technical game.

.Since 2007, this annual game has been decided by seven points or fewer five times, with LSU winning three of those games. Im betting on another classic with the points ending up being golden.

Play on the LSU Tigers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Football is a team sport , and talented players like Washingtons CB Marcus Peters does not recognize, this so he and his ego were released from the team.The Seattle Times reports the final straw was when Peters got into an argument Wednesday with an assistant coach during practice. Peters also reportedly argued with coaches during Washington's game last Saturday at Colorado and missed practice Tuesday.

Bottom line: The Bruins after their big win against arizona by a 17-7 count last time out will now Im betting be in a letdown situation. One of the key factors that could help the Huskies upset the inconsistent Bruins,  is the fact they are second in the nation in sacks with 37, and they feature the national leader in sacks on their defense in Hau’oli Kikaha. UCLA, on the other hand, is worst in the conference and 115th in the nation in allowing 3.33 sacks per game.The Huskies are second in the conference and eighth in the nation in turnover margin at +11, while UCLA is ninth in the conference with a margin of -1. With the USC Trojans on board next I expect the Bruins may not be 100% focused in their current conflict, which could effect the outcome of this game in an unfavorable way for them.

Play on the Washington Huskies to cover 1 unit reg selection - Upset Special 

LATE STEAM 

Florida State Seminoles to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Western Kentucky can score in bunches against ugly defenses and even against some of the better teams in this country. Its their equally bad defense that makes them such a wildcard team as was evident in a win vs Navy and BGSU and giving Illinois more than they bargained for in a closer than expected loss. Last week they were humbled by LA Tech in DD fashion (59-10). Their not in a good position against top tier defenses, but this week, they should have very few problems trying to redeem themselves, for last weeks embarrassing outcome vs a UTEP side that despite of a 5-3 record is not a top tier team. Western Kentucky, is your proto typical hollywood college team, with super star jock offensive talent and egos to match. The defense is a hodge podge patchwork, of bad recruiting, but these kids are tough and will also feel like they are being disrespected and play above themselves. 

Play on Western Kentucky to win a blowout 1* unit reg selection 

Michigan has played a little better as of late, winning two of their last three games and looked good last time against Indiana out after being awoken after getting the living snot knocked out of them vs Michigan State.  Meanwhile, Northwestern is coming off three straight losses, including a 41-point blowout defeat at Iowa last weekend and look very unready to take on any conference opponent at the moment. 

Northwestern is 4-30 SU versus Michigan since 1966, having been favored only once last year

– and they also lost that game straight-up.

Take the Michigan Wolvwerines to cover  1 unit reg selection

After splitting a pair of road games, this Texas Longhons team is back home Saturday to face nationally-ranked West Virginia Mountaineers, side that is heart broken after coming off a last-second 31-30 loss to TCU that snapped a four-game winning streak. Being in a letdown situation, against a side like the Longhorns with alot to prove, is not a good thing.Texas ranks 37th in the FBS in total defense (352.4 yards per game), No. 9 in passing defense (177.3 ypg), No. 14 in yards allowed per play (4.61), 14th in passing efficiency defense (105.09 rating) and tied for 18th in sacks (3.0 pg) and must not be underestimated as home dogs under any circumstances, especially in this situation.

Play on Texas to cover  1 unit reg selection 

The Wildcats have lost three in a row after starting the season 5-1, and now 17th-ranked Georgia is coming to town.The wheels aren't falling off," Stoops said. "We barely had them on. Stoops recognizes that Kentucky still has lots of work to do, and want to get his kids heads on straight and get their egos collared,after the fast start they had. Im betting that now that their finally back down to earth, he will be able to get a top quality effort out of them this week against Georgia. Note: Stoops and his staff attempted to send a message Monday by shaking up the depth chart, moving freshman running back Stanley "Boom" Williams into the starting job, ahead of Braylon Heard, and sliding sophomore Jojo Kemp — star of that South Carolina game — to fourth. Several receivers were reshuffled, too.

Bulldogs are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home)They got beaten up on by Florida 38-20).The Wildcats are 5-1 AU/ATS at home with their lone defeat coming to No.1 Mississippi State.

Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Utah State was in Hawaii last week, now they travel all the way back to Wyoming. These venues are two of thoughest travelling options in College football, and Im betting Utah State will be exhausted. Im expecting freshman RB Brian Hill to run roughshot over a tired Aggies side. The kid set a Mountain West record for all-purpose yards with all 387 of them from scrimmage in Wyomings 45-17 win vs Fresno State last week as 15 point dogs , and even though I doubt he will do the same again this Friday night, Im still expecting a good performance. Weather is supposed to windy and cool, and chance of rain. This favors the home side, as they look to grind the ball on the ground and wear down their exhuasted opponents. 

Take Wyoming to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Bengals seem to be a different team at home than on the road, as is evident by their  recent 13-0-1 SU and 12-1-1 ATS mark would indicate. Cleveland seems to play their best ball against inferior opponents, with wins against  Tampa Bay, Oakland and Tennessee and are a  little over rated. Meanwhile, Cincinnati when in a groove can light up defenses, and considering the Browns D is ranked 21st in the league allowing 5.7 ypg, this could be the case tonight. I know this is a instate rivalry, and these teams have played each other tough in the past, but right now according to my own numbers, Cinncy should be favored by +7 or more since rating suggest, that the Bengals would be -5 fav on a neutral site. This suggests value with the home fav in this spot.

Play on the Cincinnati Bengals 1 unit reg selection  

Northern Illinois is not the team and football program it has been over the last few seasons, and the defense, is in my opinion a shambles and unable to stop the most pedestrian offenses. Don't get me wrong their still a viable MAC program, and must not be underestimated, but my numbers say they should not be a favorite against Ball State tonight on the road, and this game should actually be closer to a pickem. With that said, Im recommedning we take the points, with a Ball State squad, that has a new quarterback Jack Milas,and a offense that is getting better as the season progresses as was evident in their last two wins vs Akron and Central Michigan . In their last three contests Ball Sate has put up 38, 32, 35 points and shoud have another big output tonight on their way to a cover.

Play on the Ball State Cardinals 1 unit reg selection

Bowling Green are no pushovers, despite playing much of this season without their starting pivot Matt Johnson. The defense continues to get better as the season progresses, and the Falconfast offense when in motion can still put up points in bunches. Bowling Green has won the last 5 meetings in this series and the last time they lost was in 2006 by a35-28 count which does not cover this opening number. In a contest that culd easily be the MAC Championship game, Im betting on a never say die spirited effort from both team making getting the points in this spot golden.

Play on the Bowling Green Falcons to cover 1 unit reg selection

Off the bye week,  Tom Coughlin as coach has enough intelligence  and   enough veteran leadership in the locker room,  for the Giants to come out and play a top tier game. I know the Giants' secondary is still reeling from injuries, however, I'm betting on the Giants  opportune defense picking off  a couple of errant Luck passes, and the offense generating more explosive plays behind former super bowl star QB Eli Manning. 

Play on the NY Giants to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Ravens won three straight regular-season games at Heinz (2010, '11 and '12), and they nearly won their fourth in a row there last season. Joe Flacco's 1-yard touchdown throw to Dallas Clark tied the game at 16 with 1:58 remaining. But Shaun Suisham's 42-yard field goal -- which was set up by Michael Huff failing to contain Emmanuel Sanders on a 44-yard kickoff return -- won the game as time expired. Both teams really do not like each other on the field, and the crowd gets into it. But dont expect Baltimore to be intimidated. 

Steelers are 1-10 ATS L/11 Sunday night battles including 8 straight SU losses. 

Play on the Baltimore Ravens to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Patriots are no pushovers at home as is evident by their  5-0 straight up record in their last five games as hosts.  Also, the Pats have won and covered at home against Denver four straight times, with two of those victories coming with Manning at the helm of the offense. This is the house that Tom Brady built, and he must not be disrespected on his own turf. Note: Pats have averaged just under 40 points per game during their current 4 game win streak, and are a capable side no matter how great the opponent is perceived. 

Play on the New England Patriots to cover 1 unit reg selection

West teams like San diego traveling east do not alaways do well, but the Chargers are 6-2 in the their L/8 eastern starts and have covered 5 of their 6 as dogs. Meanwhile, Miami is very over rated this season. The won a game last week against the Jaguars but the lost on the stats sheet and have lost the data war in 4 of their L/6. The Dolphins last three wins have come against teams tat are a combined 4-19. To put it simply the Chargers are the superior team, as was the case last time these teams met last year, as the Fins were out gained by a 435-343 counts.

Play on the San Diego Chargers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Eagles enter this game having gone 4-0 L4 vs AFC South opposition with revenge and are 9-1 L10 ATS  in 2nd of back to back away tilts. They play a out stated Houston team that is very over rated. Ya I know Houston has four wins this season, but the list of their kos is against lightweights like Washington, Teneessee, Oakland and a up and down Buffalo side. Philadelphia according to my own numbers is a top tier team in this league, and will be ready to bounce back in a big way after last weeks heart breaking undeserved loss to Arizona.

Play on the Phil Eagles 1 unit reg selection 

Jim Moras UCLA is under achieving in a big way especially on defense where they allow 435 ypg , with the secondary almost constantly asleep at the proverbial wheel allowing a whopping 268 yards per game which ranks them 108th in the nation. Tonight they face a Arizona aerial attack that is deadly, averaging 348 ypg , ranking 8th in the nation.  This basic premise puts these two teams at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum. It must also be noted Arizona enters this tilt looking for revenge for a loss last season, which is not a good omen for the Bruins as they are a ugly 0-8 ATS facing a team with revenge on their own turf.

Play on Arizona to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Navys triple-option offense usually does very well against aggressive, over-pursuing defenses like Notre Dame has. Brian VanGorder led Irish defense is  over fueled and one of the most out of the box groups in College football, but this might be their undoing this week in Landover. Coming off their heart breaking loss vs Florida State will also have the Irish in a letdown spot in a tough environment.

Play on Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ole Miss had their hearts ripped out last week in theirgruelng 10-7 loss to LSU . Now they face a tough Auburn side, with little pity. Im betting on Auburn making this matchup another hard hitting grinding affair, something a hungover Rebs team might find to exhausting. Auburn has one of the best rushing attacks in the nation, ranking 11th nationally with 5.96 yards per attempt and will pound away on the Ole Miss defense for what Im betting will be a cover.

Auburn Tigers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Michigan enters this game after being mauled by Michigan State in a letdown situation. This is home coming but I dont expect a big crowd . Dont expect Indiana to just lay down here , as a few more wins could get them a bowl appearence. Look for the Hoosiers explosive offense , to come out strong and give the Wolverines more than they  bargained for.

Play on the Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have won three games in a row and will seek a fourth as they play host to the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in a Conference USA clash at Joe Aillet Stadium Saturday and Im betting they get it vs a Western Kentucky football team, allowing   41.1 ppg to opponents, including 549.4 ypg. Yes the Hilltoppers offense is explosive, but their defense is non existent. Thats not a good omen this week vs a Bulldogs team, that has a decent defense, and explosive passing game, thanks to a mostly stable ground attack. The Bulldogs' defense has allowed opponents to score 20 points in back-to-back games, but also held UTEP to just three points to start the month of October. The team is allowing opponents to score 25.9 ppg and gain 350.8 ypg this season. The Bulldogs have also forced 12 opponent interceptions and eight fumbles for 20 turnovers gained (tied seventh most in the nation).

Play on LA Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Its not always a great idea to lay double digit chalk with a road fav, but after watching the Sooners dominate KState last time out, and still lose, you can bet some angry young men will be on the field today, and ready to hand out a spanking. Iowa State remains a weak dog, play even at home, and really feel they will be playing the nail and hammer game with the Sooners. You can guess who I think the hammer will be.

Play on the Oklahoma Sooners 1 unit reg selection

 In last year’s game with Pittsburgh, Duke’s defense had a rough day in a 58-55 Panthers win at Wallace Wade Stadium. This season Duke is No. 5 in the country in scoring defense, allowing just 15.1 points per game. Veteran players who experienced the embarrassing game against Pittsburgh last year seek to send a different message this Saturday.After going 10-4 last season and starting this season 6-1, Duke has won 16 of its last 21 games (16-5) and is a good bet to get us the SU win in this spot and an even better bet to cover the number.

Play on Duke to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Having the Saints as favorites in this spot is right on the money and the price short and appetizing , like my moms apples pies used to be when I was much younger. My own numbers suggest on a neutral field the Saints would be 7 point favorites. So throw in home field advantage for the Panthers  and this is still  not a big price on the line to pay. The Saints offense is superior to the Panthers, and their defense is much more dependable. I know this is pretty simple handicapping, but the keep it simple phrase- makes sense in this spot. 

Play on the New Orleans Saints to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The University of Louisville football team finally fielding its expected starters for the first time this season .U of L having its full lineup against No. 2 Florida State for Thursday night's much-anticipated 7:30 p.m. kickoff on national television is a necessity if the Cardinals want to beat the reigning national champion. Meanwhile, The Seminoles, 1-5 ATS are already dealing with several controversies surrounding Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback Jameis Winston, may not have starting running back Karlos Williams for Thursday's game because of an array of issues. The Seminoles have won 23 consecutive games. Three of their seven wins this season have been decided by six or fewer points and it seems like the damn is very close to busting, and this streak coming to an end. Tonight I expect Petrino and company to pull out all the stops on their way to a cover. It must be noted that the Cardinal are 15-1 ATS when going against a .600 or better ACC opponent, including 13-0 ATS in reg season battles.

Play on the Louisville Cardinal 1 unit reg selection 

The rivalry between the Dallas Cowboys and Washington Redskins is well documented. On Monday night these two will meet one another in primetime.

The Redskins  have been competitive in its games this season before a few  bad pass for  interceptions  by quarterback Kirk Cousins changed results almost instaneously in tilts they should have won. Washington has now decided to bench Cousins   and give Colt McCoy his chance. Last week when trailing the Tennessee Titans 10-6 at halftime last Sunday McCoy- when put in the spot light responded by completing 11-of-12 passes for 128 yards and one touchdown in a 19-17 victory to end the team’s four-game losing streak. I personally always like McCoy, when he was with Texas, and found his demeanor a good fit for the NFL. These teams almost always seem to surprise the pundits when they play against each other , and the games are competitive no matter how well or good each team is doing. Washington team that is 12-3 ATS in the past 15 meetings.Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games when playing Dallas. Dallas is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games when playing at home against.

Washington to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Saints are 22-1 SU and 20-3 ATS in their last 23 home games under Sean Payton. But hey, hold on, The Pack is back? maybe not as a deeper look finds them being outgained -35 YPG this season and dependent on turnovers. Meanwhile,  Brees and the Saints have still looked excellent at times, and they lead the NFL in yards per play , so we should not discount them as contenders. Does home field advantage still mean as much as it used to for the Saints? I say yes, as it truly  is one of the loudest venues in the league. And that helps both the offense and the defense quite a bit because of communication.

New Orleans to cover 1 unit reg selection

Last Monday night’s contest for the Pittsburgh Steelers shows you just how quickly things can change within an NFL game.The Steelers were losing 13-0, at home, late in the first half to the Houston Texans and the crowd was turning on them in Heinz Field.So when the public looks at this game, they assume more of the same is on tap. Indy hot , so why stop. Im not totally against backing hot teams, but you have to first look at an array of info before making a decison on this backed soley by a good run.At 4-3, the Steelers are in the mix of a mixed up AFC North with all four teams having at least three wins and Baltimore leading the division at 5-2., The Colts will see a Steelers team that looks a bit different from recent meetings in this series.Head coach Mike Tomlin has two of the game’s elite skill players in running back Le’Veon Bell and wide receiver Antonio Brown and both can make life a living hell for opposing defenses, no matter how good that they might be. The Steelers are no pushovers and find themselves ranked in the top 10 of the league in both rushing (128.6 yards per game) and receiving (258.1 yards per game.Pittsburgh’s defense ranks among the middle of the pack in many categories and must not be disrespected despite of the amount older guys in the lineup. Indy is a good team, but Im betting they fail in this outing. It must be noted Ben Roethlisberger’ is  4-0 SUATS career mark as a home dog in games off a SUATS win.

Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Play on Oakland to cover 1 unit reg selection

.The Philadelphia Eagles have  finally put a complete team package together. They can beat you with both their offense and defense now, and are a team on the rise in this league, and possible Super Bowl contenders. My own numbers suggest, we have a strong chance for SU upset in this spot, but with the points , an even stronger chance at a payday exists.

Take the Philadelphia Eagles 1 unit reg selection 

The Kansas City Chiefs get ready to take down St. Louis for the sixth consecutive time when they host the Rams on Sunday. Kansas City has won the five meetings by an average of 19 points . Reids men will be hard to stop as they are in top form behind QBQB Alex Smith who has eight touchdown passes against one interception over the past four games. Thats not good news for a Rams defense with Two starters in the secondary injured – CB Janoris Jenkins (knee) and SS T.J. McDonald (concussion) – are a high probability of missing the conte& key Trends:  Final notes Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Play on the KC Chiefs to cover 1 unit reg selection

Since losing at home to the Bengals, the Ravens have won five of the last six games and have taken the division lead. Meanwhile,Cincinnati started the season with three consecutive victories before they came crashing down to earth, as it stared when New England stepped all over them. Something happened after that game mentally to this team and it looks like they still have not recovered.The Bengals once again played poorly last week against Indianapolis, allowing a whopping 506 yards and going three-and-out on their first eight possessions in the 27-0 beatdown. In his best season to date, quarterback Joe Flacco is completing 63.7 percent with a 97.2 passer rating .  Not a good omen for a Cincinnati side that has surrendered averages of 35.7 points and 480.7 yards in the past three games.

Baltimore to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Carolina is trying to snap a two-game SEC losing streak and post its second win over a top-10 team this season. The pundits have jumped off the Spurrier bandwagon, and are discounting the Cocks completely. I know Auburn is 12-0 at home under Gus Malzahn and alot of the wins by big margins. But forget about a win, Im betting the Gamecocks just find a way from not getting embarrassed and keep it close enough for a cover up front or through the back door. I have played out the key scenarios, and feel that because of a capable run game, Carolina rolls the clock and keeps it fairly close. (It must be noted Spurrier and  Malzahn know each other off the field, and are friendly, having played in golf tournaments together. Spurrier knows whats coming from Auburn, and is a superior tactician , even using some of Auburns offensive schemes via a run heavy attack. QuoteWe just have a lot in common," Spurrier said. "We're the head coaches that call the plays, and we all play golf in the offseason. Any time a head coach is the play-caller and the offensive coach, we have a unique admiration for others that do it

Play on South Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection (Shop for your best lines - be patient at 19-21+ hit this wager confidently) obviously the better the number the better chance we have at a cover - I know with a certainty a big money syndicate is  waiting for the best number and than will hit this hard. (  But even though wise guy money will enter the market soon, does not mean that we will be guaranteed win. What it does mean is that my own recommendations are being backed by whales , with a long term win % in football equal to mine and I respect their opinions. Best of Luck of Folks - Alex S

LSU is 45-4 SU at Tiger Stadium at night under Les Miles. Three of the losses were against sides that were either ranked No. 1 or became ranked No. 1. This is a place where as a football team, you dont want to play. Boyou crocodile pits, are more welcoming than this venue.

Play on the LSU Tigers 1 unit reg selection

LATE STEAM 

The Golden Flashes (1-6, 0-3) are looking to win their second game in a row after a 39-17 thrashing of Army and are sky high with confidence at the moment. The RedHawks (1-7, 1-3), on the other hand, are coming off of a tough 51-41 loss at Northern Illinois and are in a let down situation. Both teams are desperate for a win, and this should be a battle. My own numbers tell me Kent State is the superior team, thus getting points makes for a very viable wager.

Golden Flashes are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win.Redhawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road recordRoad team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

Play on Kent State 1 unit reg selection 

Toledo is off a bye week, and Im betting they have devised a group of blitz packages to slow down the Minutemens capable offense. On offense Toledo is explosive and that is evident by leading the MAC in scoring 34 ppg.  UMass,  have allowed offenses to run wild on them allowing 450 yards a game 188 being on the ground, and nothing will change here. I know the public is in love with UMass, but lets not get carried away with their 2 game win streak. Im betting they fall back to earth in a big way against the Rockets in their home coming game.

Play on the Toledo Rockets 1 unit reg selection 

Quarterback Marquise Williams,  of North Carolina has played magnificently and has recorded 2,224 yards of total offense and 19 touchdowns. With Carolinas D, starting to play a little better , this is one dangerous team, as was evident in a win vs Georgia Tech last time out. Virginia is a pretty good team, but truly  very average overall. In the one of footballs oldest rivalries, North Carolina has been superior of late winning the last 4 meetings. I wont be surprised by one more this Saturday.

Play on the North Carolina Tar Heels to cover 1 unit reg selection