These teams record are the polar opposite of each other with the Packers at 3-0 and the Falcons at 0-3. Truth is though neither side is as good or bad as their records might indicate.  Bottom line here is the  Falcons behind star QB Ryan will be able  to move the ball fluently vs a  Packers defense that has allowed an NFL-worst 6.9 yards per play so far this season. I know Atlantas defence and coaching have looked atrocious from a defensive perspective blowing tow huge DD leads for losses, but getting points in this situation behind an explosive offense has me taking points here tonight. 

GREEN BAY is 8-20 ATS  in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 6  or more yards/play since 1992.ATLANTA is 21-9 ATS  after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The  deep Niners rallied around backup QB Nick Mullens last week as the pivot was 25-of-36 for 343 yards  and was exceptional in key down situations. I cannot say the same about Carson Wentz of the Eagles. Traveling from East to west is not an easy task especially in a letdown state after a come from behind 23-23 OT tilt last week. Niners all the way here. 

The Eagles are  1-5 ATS L/6 seasons  as road dogs against NFC West opposition. 

NFL away teams, following an overtime tie like the Philadelphia Eagles – are 0-15 SU dating back 32 seasons. 

NFL Home teams vs. the money line (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a turnover diff. of +0.75/game or better against a team with a diff of -0.75/game or worse, after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better are 27-1 L/10 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average margin deficit clicking in at +12.8 ppg which qualifies under this side call. 

Play on San Francisco to cover 

The Bills built a 28-3 lead last week vs the Rams before running out of gas, and finally had to come from behind in their last drive of the game to come up with a win. Now winded and in a emotional letdown spot, Im betting the Raiders who will be primed to bounce back off a loss to  make a game out of this here in Vegas in their new diggs and get us the cover. 

NFL Favorites (BUFFALO) - off a home win, in the first month of the season are just 43-81 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 65% for bettors. 

Raiders are 5-0 SU L/5 meetings in this series. 

Play on Las Vegas to cover 

Acquired from Jacksonville in the offseason, Foles took over in the third quarter at Atlanta last week and threw three touchdowns in the fourth as Chicago wiped out a 16-point deficit to win 30-26 and now the team feels confident and re-energized and are viable home underdogs here today.

NFL Road favorites (INDIANAPOLIS) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 19-49 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover

Bengals rookie QB Joe Burrow gets little to no protection from his offensive line. The kid was sacked 8 times last week and the pressure he faces from DLs is fascinatingly ugly. This no 1 draft pick spends more time on his back than a Bunny Ranch  sub -contractor. After getting public money and being favored in both their games so far this season and falling flat on their faces, I wont be surprised if their upset again, and more importantly I really dont believe they should be chalk against anyone in the NFL just yet despite of the promise of their young pivot. Note: The Jags are 9-0-3 ATS against the AFC North while the Bengals are 0-4 ATS L/4 vs AFC south as hosts. 

NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (JACKSONVILLE) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 49-20 L/37 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Jacksonville Jags to cover 

 The Sooners (1-1, 0-1 Big 12) have won five consecutive conference titles and have reached the College Football Playoff for three consecutive seasons, but their ability to continue either of those streaks is in doubt after last week's 38-35 loss to Kansas State. Now in desperation mode, Im betting they will come out here ready to play, but the linesmakers knowing this and playing to public sentiment have over evaluated this line giving us value with the underdog. 

The series has been largely lopsided with the Sooners winning 20 of the last 21 meetings and 24 consecutive games in Ames since 1961.

But since Matt Campbell's arrival, the Cyclones have been competitive against Oklahoma. Each of the last four meetings has been decided by 10 or fewer points and Iowa State pulled off an upset at Oklahoma in 2017. 

CFB road team vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA) - after allowing 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 4-28 L/5 seasons for a go against  88% conversion rate. 

CFB Road favorites (OKLAHOMA) - excellent offensive team (440 ot more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 33-69 ATS L/28 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

Play on Iowa State to cover

Arkansas' offense Im betting will flow   against Mississippi State and have more favorable results  than it did against Georgia's top tier D.  Meanwhile, Miss State off a huge win last week vs LSU will now find themselves in a letdown spot. With that said we have value with the Arkansas Razorbacks to cover . 

The Air Force Falcons have won eight consecutive games going back to last season, which matches Notre Dame for the nation's longest active winning streak. Navy has lost three consecutive games in Colorado Springs and Im betting if they win today it will not come easily. 

Niumatalolo is 7-16 ATS in road games after a bye week as the coach of NAVY

CFB Road favorites (NAVY) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 22-55 ATS L/10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Play on Air Force to cover 

This SMU side deserves respect here vs Memphis  as they ride a 12-2 SU record that dates back to last season. This season they are 3-0 averaging 562 yards per game and 49 points. Note:  SMU HC  Sonny Dykes owns a 5-0 SU record  when coming off three wins-exact and get the nod again today.   SMU is 6-0 ATS  after playing a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. Dykes is 6-0 ATS  after playing 2 straight non-conference games as the coach of SMU.

CFB home team vs. the money line (SMU) - after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite, after the first month of the season are 33-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate. 

CFB home team vs. the money line (SMU) - after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 40-5 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on SMU

CFB  home team vs. the money line (KANSAS ST) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 0.6 YPP), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 27-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.

Kansas State to cover 

Boston College behind HC Jeff Hafley  are off to a 2-0 start, including victories against  Duke and Texas State. With the Golden Eagles 6-1-1 ATS  as a conference home dog I looked closely at them to get us the cover today vs North Carolina .   Considering since game day, it will be three weeks since UNC last played with this being their first road game Im betting they will be rusty and less cohesive than they need to be vs a scarppy side giving us the edge we need with BC to cover at home as DD dogs. 

Play on Boston College to cover 

NC State's defense despite of some hickups had success pressuring the quarterback in the Wake Forest game, registering six sacks in that outing  and Im betting they can replicate that here today on their way to a cover vs a hyped 3-0  public favorite( Pittsburgh) The L/4 times that Pittsburgh found themselves at 3-0 they failed to cash for their backers. I know Pitts D, looks strong but NC States offense looks capable of keeping pace . 

Take the points with NC State to cover 

Thanks to recency bias of a 2-0 and  103-10 winning deficit to start their season BYU has been raised to its highest bar in seasons. However, a natural letdown is expected by me vs  a Skip Holtz side that must not be underestimated in its ability to stay within the 24 point plus line . Holtz as a  Road Underdog is 23-9 ATS L/32 for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.  

Louisiana Tech can really make a game fast and their pace right now is at  24.8 seconds per play.  The  offense has run 90% of plays through the 10 formation, and have gone to the air in  60% of those downs and overall  ranked top 20 through two games in passing success rate behind the arm of Luke Anthony. When your looking to back a underdog like this I truly have always believed that that teams needs to be offensively efficient  with a quick strike ability, and we have that  with LA Tech. 

BYU s 0-7 ATS as double-digit favorite when playing off back-to-back wins against an opponent  coming off a double-digit victory like LA Tech. 

Play on LA Tech to cover 

I really feel comfortable taking points with the Chiefs . You have to remember Mahomes has  in his pro football career never lost a game in the month of September , going 9-0 SU  and must be respected getting points here vs a huge public favorite in Baltimore. 

Baltimore is 0-10 ATS as a single-digit favorite when coming off consecutive SUATS victories.

Chiefs’ 11-0 ATS mark away off consecutive wins when facing AFC.

KANSAS CITY is 12-4 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

NFL Underdogs or pick (KANSAS CITY) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 28-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate.

NFL Road underdogs or pick (KANSAS CITY) - poor defense from last season - allowed 335 or more total yards/game, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game are 25-4 ATS L/37 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

Play on KC Chiefs to cover 

Saints lost to Vegas last time out, which to some was surprising.  I was not surprised after an emotional win vs Tom Brady in week one that  had the Saints  in a let down state vs aa Raiders side that wanted to make a big impression out of the gate in their new diggs.  Now Im betting  QB Drew Bress will be ready to bounce back here against a Green Bay team getting alot of media play after huge offensive outputs in their first two tilts.  It must be noted that Saints QB Brees is  24-10 ATS in his career in non-division games when coming off a non-division defeat  and the Saints are a perfect  8-0 SUATS in their  last eight home games on Sunday night football. 

Payton is 20-10 ATS  against NFC North division opponents as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. Payton is 34-17 ATS off a non-conference game as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. Payton is 28-13 ATS  off a road loss as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.

NFL team against the total (GREEN BAY) - off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a division rival, in September games are 18-47 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

New Orleans to cover 

  Seattle QB Russell Wilson has looked explosive in the early going this season and Dallas has been less than sizzling and that  in part is why we getting an off line to bet into here with the underdog Cowboys.  It also  must be noted that the Seahawks despite of their offensive fireworks behind a deep flow offense has  been blitzed defensively and  out-gained in each of their two wins  as is evident by allowing a whopping  970 yards . Key to this game: Dallas leads the NFL with 41 plays of 10 yards or more through the first two games. Seattle has allowed the most plays of 10 yards or more with 47. Cowboys are a live dog based on current status of both sides real data. 

DALLAS is 16-4 ATS in road games after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half since 1992. (They came back big last time and carry that momen tun into this tilt)

McCarthy is 14-4 ATS off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1992.

NFLHome favorites (SEATTLE) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after scoring 30 points or more last game are 3-25 ATS L/37 years for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NFLUnderdogs or pick (DALLAS) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 28-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Dallas to cover

The Bengals have had success for their betting backers   in this series covering 10 straight times and get my support here again today.PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Im not liking what I see from the Eagles so far, and according to my power rankings this game should be closer to the FG thus giving us a line advantage edge. 

Play on the Cincinnati Bengals to cover 

Quarterback Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills - a team previously known for having a defense-first reputation now look to have an offense to go with their defense and good easily be in my humble opinion dark horse for a super bowl win. Don't laugh to loud, but it took him some time but Allen after looking NFL ready in his final College campaign with Wyoming is finally coming of age after a slow start to his career as is evident by his  729 yards passing, which ranks the  Bills  first in yards passing, third in yards gained and are tied for sixth in scoring 58 points. Im a believer and will take my stand with them today at home as short favs. 

BUFFALO is 21-9 ATS  against NFC West division opponents since 1992.

NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (LA RAMS) - off a upset win as an underdog against opponent off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival are 2-27 L/10 seasons for a go against  93% conversion rate. 

Play on Buffalo to win

BYU started fast this season against a Navy team that was not prepared to play. The final 55-3 score was indicative of a side with more practice vs one that did not even take part in full contact drills. So Im not going to take alot from the Mormons game 1 win and crown them a top tier side just yet. Now after more than two weeks rest, BYU may also exhibit some rust, vs a well coached Troy team. Note: BYU is just 2-9 ATS L/11 with rest. It must be noted that Troys HC was the offensive coordinator  at Auburn and   a former quarterback coach at Troy and knows how to push a offense into warp speed.

BYU is 23-41 ATS  after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.

The Trojans, are 10-0 ATS when coming off a non-conference win which was the case in the DD victory vs Midd Tenn State last time out. 

Play on Troy to cover 

Gamecocks are just  2-9 ATS   in the last eleven series meetings at home, and Im betting against them here today, as Tennessee according to my numbers should be closer to -6 favs. Yes even here on the road. Note: The Vols won their final 6 games of last season, and 17 starters back look like a viable bet vs a downtrending S.Carolina side that is 3-12 SU L/15 as a home dog. 

TENNESSEE is 18-6 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less since 1992.

CFB team (S CAROLINA) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins are 10-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.\

Play on Tennessee to cover 

Duke brought in Trevor Lawrences backup from Clemson (Chase Brice) in the offseason, and the offense has sputtered accumulating just  19 points and two ugly losses. The duke D, ha also been horrendous allowing 825 yards in the two defeats, and Im betting things wont get much better today vs Virginia.  

The Cavaliers have owned this series of late winning 5 straight SU/ATS and considering Dukes 1-7 SU record in their L/8 ACC battles, it wont be a hard decision to bet against them here this Saturday. 

Play on Virginia to cover 

The undefeated No. 14 Bearcats host the 22nd-ranked Black Knights on Saturday. Cincinnati has lost 15 of its last 16 games against ranked teams and today Im betting if they get a win, it wont come so easily. 

ARMY is 5-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992.

CFB  road team vs. the money line (ARMY) - allowing 200 or less total yards/game over their last 2 games against opponent after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 20-7 L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Army to cover 

Liberty has just 9 returning starters and lost their  leading rusher from last season , as well as their quarterback and top receiver in addition to its 3 top tacklers on D. I know Florida International also lost some experience from last season, but their defense now bolstered by the return of  of twin Dames brothers make them a tough group to move the ball against. In my opinion we have value with the underdog to cover. 

CFB road team (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 2 games, game between two teams with 5 or less offensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 32-8 ATS L/28 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Florida Int to cover 

Pittsburgh is 2-0 so far with wins vs Austin Peay and Syracuse. Meanwhile, Louisville was beaten by Miami Fl,last time out  but proved that they can score and are more than capable of hanging with the Panthers here today. Note: Pittsburgh as home favs , are less than a consistent bet as they sport a lowly  8-15-1 ATS L/24 record. Also Cardinal HC  Scott Satterfield is 17-4 SU when coming off a loss, including 8-0 ATS when off a double-digit ATS loss.

Play on the Louisville Cards to cover 

Georgia Tech as road favs did not sit well with me  knowing the school is just 2-7 ATS in their last nine away  trips when favored.  GTech is up-trending but laying wood with them on the road is not a recipe for success this early in their development. I know Syracuse is a side that no one loves these days, but now in desperation mode Dino Babers Orange Im betting come out here and leave everything on the field and get us the cover. 

Syracuse has covered 3 of their L/4 at home as 7 or more point dogs. 

CFB team (GEORGIA TECH) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 10+ PPG, after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Syracuse to cover 

Auburn has owned this overall series but have not played each other  since 2015 . Dating back to  2009 these teams have played 3 times.  Kentucky's last victory in this series in 2009 ended  a 15-game winning streak in the series for the Tigers. Both games played since that game were decided by a field goal and Im betting on another close affair here. I know Auburn is a top tier SEC team, but Bob Stoops group is ascending quickly and after looking at their recruiting class could be on the verge of something big. 

Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.Wildcats are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.

Play on Kentucky to cover

Midd Tenn State looked bad in its first two games of the season, while 2-0 UTSA has looked very good converting on 11 of 11 red zone opportunities. With these sides operating at the opposite  end of the performance spectrum its an easy decision for me to take the hungrier uptrending side playing at home. Key will be a Road runners ground game thats cranking out  5.6 ypc. 

CFB  home team vs. the money line (UTSA) - after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, returning 8+ offensive starters against opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters are 26-4 L/5 seasons with the average margin ppg diff clicking in at 17. 

CFB home team (UTSA) - after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, with 5 defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season is 30-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate.

Play on UTSA to cover 

Miami has started their season at 0-2 despite of a big game vs Buffalo last week where they almost pulled off the upset.  Note: QB Fitzpatrick  is 7-0-1 ATS  in his last eight games as a underdog when coming off consecutive losses. Meanwhile, the Jaguars have played like their hair is on fire in their first two games,  behind franchise QB Minshew and could easily be energetically drained  making them susceptible to being upset as favs.

NFL Road underdogs or pick (MIAMI) - poor defense from last season - allowed 5.4 or more yards/play, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game are 22-4 ATS L/37 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

NFL Home favorites (JACKSONVILLE) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after scoring 30 points or more last game are 3-24 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate. 

Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover 

The Las Vegas Raiders debut at Allegiant Stadium this Monday night will come  against the explosive New Orleans Saints who took out Tom Brady and company last week. .The Saints now in a letdown spot are  0-5 ATS on the Monday Night road  tilts when coming off a victory.  Im betting a very motivated Raiders side to play lights-out here and get us a cover as home dogs. 

Play on the LV Raiders to cover 

Seattle looked amazing last week and really exploded in their win vs Atlanta. But it must be noted that HC Carrol  is is just 0-4 ATS in his NFL career as a home favorite against AFC East foes when  they are off a victory. Meanwhile, Belichick is 22-9 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of NEW ENGLAND and must not be disrespected here this week. 

SEATTLE is 8-19 ATS  off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog since 1992. Seattle is 1-4 ATS L/5 at home in this series as favs. 

NFL Home favorites (SEATTLE) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after scoring 30 points or more last game are 2-24 ATS L/37 seasons for a 92% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the New England Patriots to cover

The Vikings lost last week and now they are in a bounce back mode. It must be noted that the Minnesota Vikings are 19-3-1 ATS in games off a loss under HC Mike Zimmer when facing non-division opposition. This is two good of a team to lay down again this week and get my support getting points vs a good but slightly over rated Colts team. 

 Zimmer is 30-19 ATS  in games where the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of MINNESOTA.

NFL Road underdogs or pick (MINNESOTA) - poor defense from last season - allowed 335 or more total yards/game, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game are 24-3 ATS L/37 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

 QB Matt Ryan played a great game last despite of his team losing to Seattle,. He connected on 37-of 54 for 450 yards and two TDs  and according to my O-line/QB vs D-line/secondary power rankings matches ups  well in this matchup vs Dallas.  

Dallas’ 0-7 ATS  as non-division home chalk of 7 or less. points . 

NFL Road underdogs or pick (ATLANTA) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 21-3 ATS L/37 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

 Wake Forest got blasted last week  37-13 vs Clemson , and despite of the result played decently and now have a game under their belts. . This  will the  opener  for North Carolina State after having to cancel their  Virginia Tech tilt on Sept. 5 due to Covid problems. Wake Forest in game time experience will have an edge here today vs a Wolfpack side that they have beaten 3 straight times SU. 

Wake Forest HC Dave Clawson i in conference games in his career,   5-0 ATS as a underdog of 3 or less points. 

CFB Road underdogs (WAKE FOREST) - in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 2 games, returning an inexperienced QB and 5 or less offensive starters are 39-12 L/28 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wake Forest to cover 

Forgive me if I dont buy into the Miami  hype. Ya the Canes took game 1 of their season against UAB , but make no mistake the uptrending Cardinal are a much more potent opponent than they faced last week and in their own diggs in front of 18000 fans Im betting Louisville take control of this game and get the cover. Note The Cardinal also have the added motivation of revenge for a 52-27 loss to Miami last season. 
 

UM is 2-8 SU and 2-7-1 ATS L/10 as a dog in road openers. Louisville is 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series.

NCAAF home team vs. the money line (LOUISVILLE) - after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game, returning 8+ offensive starters against opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters are 32-7 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with the average margin clicking in at +19.8 ppg. 

Play on the Louisville Cardinal to cover 

UL-Monroe had their butts handed to them in a  37-7 loss at Army last week. While  Texas State  lost in OT by a  51-48 count  to UTSA. I know the Warhawks did not look good, but Army looks explosive and must not be disrespected . With that said, despite of Texas State looking much improved this season, that OT game last week will have them in a letdown spot . Note: The Warhawks have won 4 straight tilts vs   UTSA Bobcats who have dropped 6 straight road games, 8 of their last 9 vs. FBS schools, and 5 straight overall. Texas State is just  2-11 overall  vs. FBS teams under HC Jake Spivital and are fade material this week and 1-13 L/14 as visitors. 

Play on UL Monroe to cover

  Duke lost by 14-points last week at Notre Dame and looked very average the entire time vs a Irish squad that looked like they had alot of rust.  Today against new HC Jeff Hafley's BC Im betting things wont come much easier. The Golden Eagles return 9    starters on a defense that is up trending in my rankings .  I know the BC  offense no longer has  RB A.J. Dillon   and QB Anthony Brown in the lineup, but  they look good with  QB Phil Jurkovec in  from Notre Dame.  He will operate behind a big strong O-line that must be respected. 

Duke is 0-13 ATS as conference home favs of 17 points or less. Eagles are 11-1 ATS as road dogs of 10 or less points. The visitor in this series has cashed 4 straight times.

CFB Home favorites (DUKE) - after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game, with an inexperienced QB as starter, in the first month of the season are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

Play on Boston College to cover 

No.\11 ranked OSU is an explosive side behind RB Chubba Hubbard , WR Tylan Wallace , QB Spencer Sanders  and enter this season with a huge amount of experience as 18 returning starters  come back for what should be a peak year for the school. Meanwhile Tulsa, owns a D. that returns just 4 starters. That inexperienced D Im betting will get completely ripped apart today. Note: Oklahoma State HC Mike Gundy  in non- conference action is 12-0 ATS  L/12 overall.  

OKLAHOMA ST is 18-6 ATS  as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.

 Golden Hurricane  have lost and failed to cover the last 4 meetings in this series  and have been horrendous in  Big 12 meetings losing 23 of 24 tilts straight up while covering just  6 times . 

Play on Oklahoma State to cover 

The Titans reached the AFC championship game last season thanks to a second-half surge that followed a shutout loss in Denver in which coach Mike Vrabel benched Marcus Mariota for Ryan Tannehill. For whatever reason it seems that this Titans franchise has not faired well vs the Broncos and have now lost the last 4  road meetings in this series straight up dating back to 1992. 

Note: the key to the Titans offence is Derrick Henry who was the NFL's rushing leader last season with 1,540 yards, but he has struggled in two games against Denver. Henry ran 12 times for 42 yards backing up DeMarco Murray as a rookie in a Titans' win on Dec. 11, 2016, and he was held to 28 yards on 15 rushes in a 16-0 loss in Denver last October. That easily was Henry's worst game last season. I know the Titans now want payback, but it will not come easily vs a side that maybe vastly under rated by the linesmakers here tonight with QB Drew Lock under center. 

Remember when this line opened the Broncos were 3 point favs and now its turned all the way around to Tennessee being favored. Just to much of swing in my humble opinion and now Im taking the Broncos plus the points.

Denver to cover 

The Cowboys are a popular pick to be an immediate Super Bowl contender under McCarthy, with quarterback Dak Prescott and running back Ezekiel Elliott leading an offense that was one of the NFL's best last season and now tonight in this big Sunday nighter Im betting they get the road win. Rams are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog.  

Play on Dallas to cover 

SF is a fine team, but could easily be in hangover mode here after last seasons Super Bowl loss. It must be noted the defending Super Bowl loser in Game One of the season as a dog or favorite of 8 or less points if they are facing a division opponent are 0-10 ATS L/32 seasons. Also Arizona has played the 49ers tough of late covering the last 3 meetings and are much improved side. Once again its important to note that Game One division underdogs who won eight or fewer games last season are 39-10-1 ATS. 

Play on Arizona to cover 

In each of  HC Arians his past 11 seasons  , his teams have ranked in the Top Ten passing attacks in football , and now with Future Hall of Famer Tom Brady under center that will happen again . Today against a New Orleans side that has a tendency of starting slow as is evident by a 0-6 ATS first game record the L/6 years I look for Brady and the Bucs offence to be fluent enough to cover vs another  future Hall of Fame QB Drew Brees . Note: Brady is 36-16-1 ATS NFL career mark as an underdog and gets my support getting points in this key spot play.

Tampa Bay to cover 

“It’s very challenging to prepare for a Gregg Williams defense because of just all the things that he has,” Bills offensive coordinator Brian Daboll said. “Not just the different calls but the different packages that he has with his players.”

This statement is key to how Im looking at this game, which makes getting points according to my projections an important factor. 

Jets’ own a money making  16-5-2 ATS record in road openers, including 5-0 ATS when seeking revenge in a division tilt.

Jets QB Josh Allen  is  3-5 ATS in his career  as a home favorite in the NFL action, and is getting far to much respect here on this line.

NY Jets to cover 

Both these teams up-trended last season behind new coaches.  This is a  rematch from last year’s 38-21 U of L victory vs WKU   in Nashville.  It must be noted that the Hilltoppers owns a  5-0-1 ATS Game One record and have cashed  9 of their L/12 ATS  as dogs of 12 or more points, and are a profitable  8-3 ATS with non-conference revenge. Meanwhile,  the Cardinal are 0-4 ATS as hosts vs a side with  non-conference revenge, and a lowly 2-7 ATS  as chalk  of  11  or more points. . Louisville is  just 1-9 ATS as DD home fav  against opposition  that won 5 or more games  last season.

The Hilltoppers' defense features defensive end DeAngelo Malone, the 2019 Conference USA Defensive Player of the Year. Malone helped the Hilltoppers limit opponents to 337.8 yards per game last season, ranking No. 30 nationally. Im betting on this veteran group to key on D, and for them to factor hugely into us getting  the cover. 

Western Kentucky to cover 

The Ramblin’ Wreck, go into this game against Florida State having now  covered six straight in this series, and have a recent history of road dog success in ACC tilts recording a  5-1-2 ATS mark in their last eight tilts. Georgia Tech returns 19 starters from last years sub par season, but after changing up their system from pound the ball on the ground football to run and gun football, Im betting their now more experienced and ready to uptrend vs a Florida State side, that still does not instill confidence after a 6-7 season last year. FLORIDA ST is 1-9 ATS  when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Georgia tech to cover 

Kansas State is in a rebuilding zone with their offense , as their entire offensive line from last  year is gone with only three returning  Offensive starters in the lineup . Meanwhile, Arkansas State has almost their entire lineup back on  offense. Arkansas state showed their fortitude in a loss to Memphis to start their season, by a 37-24 count and will now not have to deal with rust like KState. Anderson is 15-6 ATS  when the total is between 49.5 and 56 as the coach of ARKANSAS ST. Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. S-Belt.

Play on Arkansas State to cover 

UAB has already played one game, putting up 45 points in a victory vs C.Arkansas and that is big factor here tonight against a higher tier team that has some rust , and that looked flat at the end of late season losing 3 straight. With only 13000 ppl expected home field advantage wont be a factor here. Canes Diaz is just 2-7 ATS as a favorite, including 0-5 ATS when laying 8 or more points. 
 

 HC Clark is 18-7 ATS  in the first half of the season as the coach of UAB.

Play on UAB to cover 

Nothing comes easy for UTEPs football program as is evident by  an 11-game losing streak and a current 2-34 SU run. Seeing them as TD favs did not sit well with me , even though they are playing lower tier competition.With that said, Im betting on a   Lumberjacks side that return a solid core on offense at key skill positions against a UTEP side that just does not have a tradition of winning. 

Play on SFA to cover 

These are two explosive offensive teams who were on great runs to end last season clash today on a tilt that Im betting will be much closer than the linesmakers estimate . Arkansas State has returning starters in key offensive categories, and even have their OC back. Memphis also has key guys back on offence, but new play callers on the sidelines, and one key absence ,Kenneth Gainwell (2000 all purpose yards, 16 TDS) out of the backfield which could be an issue here early on for the Tigers . 

CFB road team vs. the money line (ARKANSAS ST) - pathetic defense from last season - allowed 450 or more total yards/game, with 9 or more offensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 24-12. L/28 seasons for a 63% conversion rate which gives credence to to spread bet here getting points. 

Play on Arkansas State to cover 

The Knights are replacing some key  weapons, on both sides of the ball, and the defense is looking vulnerable,I know Middle Tenn State did not play. well last season, but they do have some key returning starters on offense back and should be able to make Army work hard here.  Army as favorites are  just 18-33-2  since 2005, failing to cover by just under three points per game on average and in  season openers, the Cadets own a money burning 4-11 ATS (26.6%) mark. 

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MIDDLE TENN ST) - good offense from last season - averaged 400 or more total yards/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 35-9 L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Middle Tenn State 

Southern Miss has had to replace key components of its D, this off season, and already were having problems with their pass defence  last season ranking a  lowly 122nd in the nation. What Im betting on here tonight id for the South Alabama to take advantage of the Golden Eagles depleted secondary , and keep this game closer than the linesmakers predict. 

S ALABAMA is 19-8 ATS  in road games in the first half of the season since 1992.

Play on South Alabama to cover 

Play on UAB to cover 

 The  Austin Peay  Governors are being underestimated here today. Austin Peay core for success is a ultra physical defense, having allowed only 104 yards per game last year while forcing nearly a fumble per game . Also last year when they played Central Arkansas the Governors  dominated the line of scrimmage for most of the game.  However, they  allowed two big plays late in the game and eventually lost.In last years tilt, of 15 total drives Central Arkansas  they only got into the red zone  twice, with one of the attempt starting at the Austin Peay 21-yard line. This year despite of new faces on the sidelines and under center and at the running back position Austin Peay are talented enough to hang here, and Im betting new HC Marquase Lovings formations and under rated coaching ability will get us  cover in this spot. Note: There are also expected Thunder showers today and some wind , which will greatly help Austin Peay get us a cover.

Austin Peay to cover 

SF HC Shanahan,  has gone 21-5 . SU with  Jimmy Garoppolo at QB , and overall the 49ers have  the edge in rush offense, rush defense and pass defense. I know the best player on the field is considered to be young QB super star Patrick Mahomes, but the complete package is on the side he is facing today. Considering the Chiefs were down by two TDs to the Pats , and were down 24-0 to the Texans, and 10-0 to the Titans, the feeling here for me here is, that as explosive as the Chiefs are there karmic regression is coming and their consistent flirting with disaster is essentially going to bite them on the proverbial butts vs a side that if in the lead will grind them into the ground via a concerted ground attack. All in all Im all in here on the 49ers being this years super bowl champs. 

Play on the SF 49ers to cover 

After being embarrassed by a 37-8 count by the SF 49ers back in November, Im betting the Packers learned a great deal from thier humiliation and will be prepared to bounce back here and make a game of this behind a defence that prior to win vs Seattle last week had held their L/5 regular season opponents to an average of 14.2 ppg. 

The Packers  head coach Matt LaFleur, has been a bankroll expanding  11-6 ATS (24.9% ROI), as an  underdog this season while the 49ers  have seen underdogs cash at a 11-5-1 ATS clip against them this season.  LaFleur was the offensive coordinator for Shannahan on three separate teams in his career and knows him as well or better than anyone in football. 

Green Bay to cover 

We all know how explosive the Chiefs offence is , but Im sure the Titans plan is to try to keep QB Patrick Mahomes off the field as much as possible by pounding the rock on the ground via    Derrick Henry . It must be noted that the Titans offense has averaged 198 rushing yards per game with him hugging the ball  over his last 8 games (5.9 yards per carry) . Odds are highly likely that more success is on board this Sunday vs a Chiefs D, that has   allowed 4.9 yards per carry and were ranked  29th in defensive rushing DVOA.   

TENNESSEE is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons.

Reid is 4-13 ATS  in home games against AFC South division opponents in all games he has coached since 1999.

Teams like the Titans  off breaking the 100-yard plateau on the ground,   29-16 SU and 31-13-1 ATS in the followup and  are a bankroll expanding  20-5 ATS  for their backers against opposition  coming off a  big double-digit win like the Chiefs achieved . Also, underdogs +7  or more have gone 37-26-1 (59%) against the spread in the playoffs, including 9-2 ATS in conference championships or later. Add to that NFL teams who are off  scoring 40 or more points in a playoff game like KC are  1-14-1 ATS L/15 as chalk dating back 24 seasons. 

Play on the Tennessee Titans to cover 

I look at this game, and see an experienced tested  championship team like Clemson, going against an upstart LSU team that has had a tremendous success in the short term behind a very talented group of players, but lacks experience in big games. That experience and Clemsons superior defence Im betting wins out here today. Advantage Clemson. 

CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game this season. CLEMSON is 8-0 ATS  in road games after 8 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons (Clemson 40.9 opp 11.1)

Swinney is 15-3 ATS  vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return as the coach of CLEMSON. 

Play on Clemson to cover  

All season long the Ravens have had the pedal to the metal.All season long  I could not  get the feeling out of my head, that they would eventually run out of gas before hitting the proverbial finish line. So here they are in their first play off game of the season , as  a huge public favorite , going up against a upstart group Tennessee group  fresh off a upset of the New England Pats.

Bottom line :The Titans  with momentum and confidence on their sides. and a physical defense and  strong running game are a team built to compete with a side like the Ravens. It must also be noted that since QB  Ryan Tannehill became the starter, the Titans are 7-3-1 ATS for an impressive 35.4% ROI.

But about football god, QB Lamar Jackson, he surely can make this a cake walk. I say hold your horses, on that concept, as road underdogs are 8-3 ATS for a 41% Return on Investment  against the Ravens in Jackson’s starts under center. 

Play on the Titans to cover 

 I have said all season long, that the Vikings were going to be a dark horse favorite of mine entering the play offs, because of their hardcore work ethic, and bruising defense, and ability to play up to opponents and hand out a smash mouth type of performance. I know the public just loves SFs super star QB Jimmy G, but like the old saying goes defense travels well, and here today against a 49ers side, that not seen play off football for a while, the wheels may come off at the worst possible time. Look for QB Cousins of the Vikings to do just enough to help us get the cover today. 

Dating back 16 seasons  Divisional Round road underdogs are 36-24-1 ATS  for a 16.3% Return on investment . 

Minnesota s HC  Mike Zimmer dating back 5 seasons has been a ATM for  Vikings betting backers  when going up against  non-divisional  foes recording a massive bankroll expanding  44-19-1 ATS  record for a 35.4% ROI. 

NFL  Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - off a road win against a division rival, a top-level team (75% or more ) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 7-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover 

NFC Wild Card Playoffs

I firmly believe that the Vikings are dark horse playoff contenders, and Im will to put my money where my mouth his here today vs the mighty Saints. The big concern with New Orleans is their D, and despite of their good over lying numbers, the metrics tell a different story, as they have been torched for 28 or more more points in 3 of their L/6 games. 

Vikings HC Mike Zimmer, responds owns a  43-18-2 ATS career record  in non-division tilts, including 18-3-1 ATS when coming off a loss which they did in their last game of the regular season. The Vikings are also  13-0 ATS L/13 covering my more than 12 ppg as a dog when their opponent is off two double-digit win and they are not off a double-digit win.

NEW ORLEANS is 0-7 ATS in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 19-9 ATS  in dome games over the last 3 seasons.

NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 13-35 ATS L5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win against a division rival, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 7-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

The Pats may not be a real Super Bowl contender this season, and Tom Brady may have lost a few steps as Father Time catches up to him . However, this experienced New England team is more than capable of knocking off a Tennessee team that did not play against the Pats this season, and have no real gauge as to handle their attack or perceived weaknesses, other than film and scouting reports. The same can be said for Beliichik and company, but it must noted that the Pats are 17-1 SU in playoff games behind Bill Belichick in games against opponents they did not face during the regular season. It must also be noted that QB Ryan Tannehill has no experience in the play offs while, Tom Brady is the god of play off football, and is always one patented series of plays away from a key TD,making the Pats the side to back today. Hey guys I know recency bias comes into play here as NE looks horrendous last week vs Miami. However, as outlandish as it might sound I would not  be surprised if Bellichick and company really wanted to win last week as badly as many might have thought and instead were playing possum. I know , this sounds like a whacky conspiracy theory , but this HC is a football and mad genius like no other  , and who. knows where his degenerate thoughts go. He's proven he is not beyond doing anything to win games and this might be his physiological peace   de resistance . Time will tell, but Im betting on the Pats to advance and more importantly cover in a short line.  

The Titans are 2-22 ATS L/24 when they are off a win and they are facing a team allowed more than 370 total yards in their last game.

NEW ENGLAND is 31-10 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season since 1992.

NEW ENGLAND is 20-8 ATS  in home games against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Play on the NE Pats 

Armed Forces Bowl - Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX

After a very strong start to their season Tulane fell apart down the stretch losing 5 of their L/6 and are on a 3 game losing streak. Their demise has a lot to do with the disintegration of their  offensive line coupled with the struggles of  LSU transfer QB Justin McMillan, who was sacked 18 times  during that ugly  6-game run. Here against a Southern Miss D,  ranked No. 36 in the country in total defense (350.3 ypg). Im betting the Wave scoring output will once again be curtailed . Meanwhile,The Golden Eagles have relied heavily on their passing  game this season as . Southern Miss ranked among the top 25 nationally and led Conference USA in passing offense (288.6 ypg) during the regular season,  and today Im betting on them hitting enough explosive plays to get us the promised land and get us the cover.

Play on Southern Miss to cover

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl - Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID

The Wolf Pack played in the 2006 and 2008 bowls, losing to Miami and Maryland, respectively. The Bobcats played in the 2011 bowl, beating Utah State. 

This Ohio football  program has  a viable strong history and culture under Solich that has an explosive offense and that Im betting will be the difference maker here today.

Add to that Nevada will be without key starters on the defensive side of the ball  for a brawl they had with UNLV in their last game of the season and have a new defensive coordinator for this game, which is not a good omen for a  Wolfpack side that   ranks 116th in defensive rushing success rate and 115th in line yards.  With that said, Im betting on Solich pounding the rock on the ground today for big gains and score behind Rourke and for Nevadas inconsistent offence to have issues repsonding.

  Solich is 9-2 ATS  after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games as the coach of OHIO U.

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO U) - excellent offensive team ( 440  or more YPG) against a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 38-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Ohio . to cover 

Indiana must not be underestimated here behind an  offense that ranked No. 14 in offensive SP+.  This Hoosiers side , looked very viable against a top tier opponent in Penn State in mid-November and just missed on a victory at Michigan State when the Spartans were ranked No. 25 in late September. This is a good team, and despite of Tennessee turning a corner and up-trending Im betting they hit a disrespected buzz saw here today and end up on the wrong side of the ATS sheet. Note:  Vols Wide receiver Jauan Jennings a future NFLer in the  will sit the first half with a  suspension from a sideline altercation against Vanderbilt, that Im betting will have Tennessee starting slow offensively. 

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TENNESSEE) - off a home win against a conference rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

All-American LT Andrew Thomas not suiting up for Georgia and  starting RT Isaiah Wilson also out out as they prepare for the NFL draft as well as  starting guard Ben Cleveland  who was ruled academically ineligible.It does end there as the Dawgs will also be  without its top two receivers a Lawrence Cager and Dominick Blaylock  as they deal with injuries. Georgias key RBs could also be out as leading rusher DeAndre Swift,  is banged up and hobbled and could easily just try to get healthy before the  NFL Draft and skip here or see very limited action. Add to that  James Cook,  is in trouble with the law for a having a gun in his car, and you have an array of Georgia Bulldogs  out or missing and team with very little motivation taking the field today against a hard working Baylor team, that has a coach on the sidelines in Matt Rhule who has thrived in the underdog role for bettors, going 33-15 ATS getting points and 30-14-1 ATS in neutral site tilts . Some times Bowl games are all about motivation that off sets some talent issues. Kirby Smarts group is a team that could easily just be going through the motions here today, while Baylor will be sky high and ready to make a mark and get this program back on the College football map again.Per Rhule, he will have his entire team at his disposal, including starting quarterback Charlie Brewer, who left the Big 12 championship game on Dec. 7 with a concussion.

"Our guys value the opportunity to compete. I think they value the opportunity to compete against one of the best teams in the country," Rhule said. "What a great measuring stick for us as a program, our players. And we have a lot of guys that -- everyone is going to play."

Rhule is 10-1 ATS vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game in all games he has coached since 1992. Rhule is 11-1 ATS  after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread in all games he has coached since 1992

BAYLOR is 7-1 ATS  vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game this season. BAYLOR is 11-3 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons. 

Advantage Baylor plus the points 

Rose Bowl - Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA

 I was surprised to see this line float into the FG range with  Wisconsin, as according to my projections the underdog Oregon Ducks were the slightly superior side and matchup well against a team like Wisconsin that uses their running attack as a key to controlling time of possession . I know many pundits have not given the Ducks D, the kudos they deserve this season, because of perception . The Ducks are perceived as just an explosive offensive team, but the real truth is that they are balanced and have shown themselves resilient defensively holding 6 teams to season low offensive yards output.Key here today will be pressure on Whiskeys QB- look for  Pac-12 Defensive Freshman of the Year Kayvon Thibodeaux (team-high 14.0 tackles for loss, 9.0 sacks) to pace an Oregon defense  ranked No. 11 in the country with 41 sacks.

QUOTE: "Between Oregon and Ohio State, they both have amazing athletes on the field that get after the quarterback and make big plays," Badgers quarterback Jack Coan told reporters. "They're an amazing defense." END QUOTE:

OREGON is 19-8 ATS L/27 in road games vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game. OREGON is 45-14 ATS after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game and is 32-9 ATS  after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half. 

It must also be noted that Mario Cristobal’s Ducks  are a bankroll expanding  8-0  ATS as underdogs  versus the Big 10 opposition, and 11-2 SU and 12-1 ATS as dogs with rest. 

CFB Bowl pups with 17 or more returning starters from last year returning if they  won 8 or less games,  and are coming off an ATS win of 3-plus points, are 15-1 ATS since 1990.  (Oregon fits this description)

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WISCONSIN) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 32-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oregon to cover 

Alamo Bowl - Alamodome - San Antonio, TX

HC Herman of Texas may not have a great overall record with this program of late, but what he does well is to get his teams to play tough competition at a top tier level as is evident by cashing 15 of his L/20 as an underdog. Im betting on Texas here today vs a Utah team that was humbled in their last game of the season vs Oregon .Because of that mentioned debacle the Utes missed the play offs and may not be as motivated as need be here vs a Texas side that has won their L/3 Bowl appearances.

Utah will be at a disadvantage with All-Pac-12 safety Julian Blackmon (knee) and cornerback Jaylon Johnson (NFL draft) both ruled out. So Sam Ehlinger should have success behind what is a healthy Longhorn offence, that will have senior wideout Collin Johnson (hamstring) and junior tight end Cade Brewer (ankle)in the lineup and ready to play.

TEXAS is 17-4 ATS L/21 after allowing 375 or more passing yards in their last game  which happened in their last game of the regular season in a 49-24 victory vs Texas Tech. 

Play on Texas to cover 

Arizona Bowl - Arizona Stadium - Tucson, AZ

Georgia state according to my power rankings matches up very well vs this punchless Wyoming football program that will have problems taking advantage of a sometimes porous GState D.  On the flip side,  Georgia State averages 32.5 PPG and is ranked  No. 14 in the nation with their ground attack and  27th in total offense and should do more than enough damage to secure a cover here . Note:Sun Belt   conference teams have been cash cows  in bowl games since 2013  going 26-9  straight up and SBC bowl pups  of  3  or more points are a bankroll expanding  11-4 SU and 12-3 ATS and get the nod again this New Years eve.

Georgia State to cover 

Liberty Bowl - Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TN

Navy triple option offence ranks no1. in the nation in rushing  and  they also own the   No. 2 Red Zone Offense. Your always going to get a great effort from a military teams, as is evident by Navys 5-0 ATS run  as a bowl favorite . Navy is not only hard working but very disciplined ranking No. 3 in nation with the least penalties. It must be noted that Military teams are 10-1 L/11 ATS as favorites of 7 or fewer points in Bowl games.

Kansas their opponent a team that lost 5 of 6 stats battles against Bowl teams might seem like a good matchup for the Middies, but despite of similar mind sets about running the ball and time of possession control , their actually not as cohesive or consistent as they seem as it must be noted that  the Wildcats rank No. 130 in Red Zone Defense. I know the  reputation of their current HC Chris Klieman (former North Dakota State super coach) but he lacks Bowl experience and that is going to be a detriment to him here today when this is all said and done. 

Tuesday’s Bowl tilt is about finishing their season with gusto for Navy. The Middies have a chance to tie the program record of 11 wins set in 2015 and end the year in the Associated Press rankings for just the third time in the past 56 years and Im betting on a humungous effort from them here today. 

. NAVY is 7-1 ATS  as a favorite this season. 

NAVY is 6-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse this season.

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NAVY) - excellent passing team (8.3  or better PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (6.4-7.5 PY/Att.), after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 36-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

Play on Navy to cover 

Sun Bowl - Sun Bowl - El Paso, TX

Mike Norvell has left Memphis and is now the new HC at Florida State. He won't be on the sidelines today, butIm sure he is having an influence already which is a positive going into this Bowl game Meanwhile, this Sun Devils  program is missing some key players here today on offence which will hinder their ability to be offensively aggressive ie 1000 yard rusher  Running back Eno Benjamin, and a 1000 yard receiver in Brandon Aiyuk  who are out getting ready for the NFL draft. Add to that to tha the Devils t have a lousy ATS record as bowlers as is evident by a   0-7 ATS mark all tine in Bowl games   versus the ACC. Add to that  PAC 12 teams are  just. 2-20 ATS L/3 seasons in Bowl games  .  ARIZONA ST iw also s 0-6 ATS  as a favorite this season and are fade material here vs a FSU side feeling good about themselves at the moment behind a new mentor. 

Play on FSU 

"I think our guys know I plan on being here for a long time. I know what I have here. I love being here. I think we're building a championship program here." – UF head coach Dan Mullen on NFL rumors. 
( The core of this team looks towards the future with Mullens on the sidelines which is both a key mitigating and momentum based factor that has me supporting the Gators here today on a two TD line)

This team has come a long way over the last two seasons and are only getting better. Virginia is a fine football program, but their over matched here by an over powering SEC team , and as this game moves forward the Gators Im betting will run away with this. 

Play on Florida to cover 

Everyone just loves the Saints. After all they are exciting to watch, but it must be noted that they are  just 2-5 ITS the last seven games since their bye week and have some flaws. The Saints are also just 1-7 ATS K/8  as a favorite of 13 points  or more vs sub .500 opposition, and just 4-15 ATS as double-digit favourite  in division tilts . I know Carolina looked terrible last week in. a loss , but are a solid 7-0 ATS at home after scoring less than 7 points last time out. Im betting they give the Saints a fight this week and get us the cover. 

CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992.

NFL Underdogs or pick (CAROLINA) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games are 28-7 ATS L/5 37 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Carolina to cover 

New England will grab the No. 2 AFC seed with a victory today vs  the  visiting Miami Dolphins.The Patriots beat the Dolphins 43-0 on Sept. 15,  proving how well they matchup against the Fins.  Im expecting the Pats to be ready to hammer the Fins here again today as they need a win here and a tune up for the play offs at the same time. 

NFL team (MIAMI) - average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a good defense (4.5 to 4.9 YPP) after 8+ games, after allowing 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are just 2-23 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New England to cover 

This game means nothing for both sides, with the Chargers going golfing soon, and the Chiefs grabbing the No.2 seed in the AFC for the play offs. Expect a lot of wind here today in Arrowhead, and lower scoring game that impacts what will be a closer than anticipated matchup and cover by the road dog. Hey I know how ugly the Chargers looked las time out but they are 10-1 ATS  off SU favourite  loss 7  pts or more  vs .500  or better opposition. Note:Things have been less rosy at Arrowhead Stadium, which is typically considered one of the toughest environments in the NFL. The Chief  lost three consecutive games  to the Colts, Texans and Packers.

NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS CITY) - excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 7-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Chargers to cover 

Projected score: Clemson 31 Ohio State  27

Camping World Bowl - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL

Notre Dame owns a top tier offence butI Iowa State  behind quarterback Brock Purdy, who completed 66.3 percent of his passes for 3,760 yards, 27 touchdowns are no pushovers and deserve respect as underdogs in a neutral field environment. HC Kelly of Notre Dame  said could not afford to take Iowa State for granted. "This is a really good football team that could easily be 11-1," Kelly said. "We know what we're getting."Explosive offenses in the Big 12, really solid defensively, physical football team, well coached -- Matt Campbell is an outstanding football coach. It's going to be a good football team we're playing." I agree with Kellys assessments, and wont be surprised by a SU upset victory by the Cylcones here today. 

IOWA ST is 9-1 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or more ) over the last 3 seasons. IOWA ST is 12-3 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons. NOTRE DAME is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games .

Iowa State is 31-13 ATS L/44 as a dog. 

Play on Iowa State to cover 

Cotton Bowl - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX

Memphis seems to be a popular pick here by some pundits, but with HC Norvell  no longer on th sidelines for Memphis after taking the HC job at Florida State Im betting his former team may not have the needed guidance to deal with a top tier Penn State team that has tangled with some of the best teams in the country.You have to remember  Penn State  made Ohio State work hard for a 28-17 win in 2nd last game of the season. The way I lookout this is, if Memphis had some problems dealing with Cincinnatis D, they are really going to have issues taking on what Im betting is the most physical group they have faced all season long here vs the Nitanny Lions. Like the old saying goes, offence gets you to a championship but defensewins those big games. The good thing for Penn State is that they both have a  upper shelf D, to go a long with a under rated offence and Im betting they get the job done here today vs the underdog that is loved by the public because of their prolific scoring abilities. 

Penn Statest wo losses have come on the road by a combined 16 points to then-No. 17 Minnesota and No. 2 Ohio State.

Play on Penn State to cover 

Pinstripe Bowl - Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY

MSU has gone against some of the best teams in the country this season and are more than prepared to take on Wake Forest in this Bowl tilt. Dantonio already owns school records for most bowl wins (five) and bowl appearances (12), including a school-record four-game bowl winning streak with victories in the 2011 Outback Bowl vs. No. 18 Georgia, 2012 Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl over TCU, 2014 Rose Bowl against No. 5 Stanford, and 2015 Cotton Bowl vs. No. 4 Baylor. The Spartans defeated No. 18 Washington State, 42-17, in the 2017 Holiday Bowl.

MSU has won five of its last seven bowl games.

Michigan State D, will out perform Wakes viable offence. After facing the likes of Penn State , Michigan, and Wisconsin the Spartans are more than ready for what comes their way here at Yankee Stadium.

CFB team (MICHIGAN ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games are 44-17 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Michigan State to cover 

 Military Bowl - Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD

Mack Brown  has moved North Carolina forward since taking over as a coach and alosmot pulley's doff an upset vs Clemson earlier this season and  now gets a Bowl Game to preview their ascension..  Despite of this Im still not 100% sold on the Tar Heels and recently the  ACC in Bowl games have failed to cash 4 straight as chalk against  the AAC. Also  Brown himself is just   1-7 ATS as a  a HC as a bowl favorite of 4 or more points. Meanwhile, Temple  is a team that must not be underestimated in their tenacity and are 5-1 ATS as an underdog while  winning four times SU. The Temple offense was serviceable at 27.4 PPG (though 4-points below what their foes allowed on the season). The Owls defense is their strength and  allowed just  23.4 PPG and were No. 4 in Red Zone Defense this season and will be the difference maker today.  TEMPLE is 14-3 ATS  vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Temple to cover 

Motivation might be a issue here for Pittsburgh, but their defence is head and shoulders the superior side here today vs an atrocious E. Michigan D. I know the Panthers offence has taken some time to jell cohesively behind a new pass happy system, but today they should be able to get things going vs a below average secondary and a Eagles D, that rank 129th in both Line Yards and Stuff Rate. Note:MAC bowlers are 0-10 SU and 1-9 ATS as underdogs of 8 or more points.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

Independence Bowl - Independence Stadium - Shreveport, LA

The LA Tech  Bulldogs enter this game with a lot to prove after losing the CUSA championship game UAB. It must also be mentioned that their starting QB was suspended for that tilt, but will play today behind what will be a crowd that is on their sides here in Shreveport . Note: LOUISIANA TECH is 8-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons Tech are a talented bunch that is not getting enough respect here vs a inconsistent Miami Florida football program, that is ranked  No. 130 in 3rd Down Conversion Percentage  and No. 120 in Red Zone Offense and will be missing three  future NFL starters including their top wide receiver Jeff Thomas. The Bulldogs averaged  34 PPG and 445 YPG,  on offence and had a D that was ranked  No. 3 in Red Zone Defense. Im not a big Manny Diaz fan, and just don't like his mojo so betting against him is not a difficult proposition for me. Miami is just 2-9 SU L/11 Bowl games including a ugly 0-6 ATS as chalk Skip Holtz's  5-1 ATS in bowl game record shines through and gets my support. 

Play on LA Tech to cover 

Hawaii Bowl - Aloha Stadium - Halawa, HI

 Hawaii had a good season overall  as they made it all the way to the Mountain West Championship game. Now the  Warriors get to host a BYU team that is bringing cheerleaders, their families, and even key donors to this game. Its going to be far from a (its all business type of experience for BYU ) and more like a vacation to paradise island which is a negative for game preparation. 

Both teams  pound the ball efficiently but the difference maker comes down to the arm of .Hawaii’s Cole McDonald who has thrown for  29 touchdown passes. 

BYU is 0-6 ATS as a favorite this season. 

The dog has cashed 9 of the L/12 Hawaii Bowls. 

Play on Hawaii to cover 

Gasparilla Bowl - Tropicana Field - St. Petersburg, FL

 This will the Herds  second straight Bowl game here in Raymond James Stadium, and they have a comfort edge going for them in this matchup vs UCF.  It is the fourth time that Marshall has played in the Tampa/St. Petersburg-based bowl game. The Herd is currently 3-0 in its trips to the contest. Add to that Marshall recruits a large number of its players from Florida, and many of them are excited to go home, and show case their abilities, so this Thundering Herd team will be motivated and Im betting they are viable underdogs in this spot play. 

UCF is 1-7 ATS  after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games this season.

MARSHALL is 12-2 ATS in a bowl game since 1992. Holliday is 6-0 ATS/SU  in a bowl game as the coach of MARSHALL and is 11-2 ATS  in games played on a neutral field since 1992.

Take the points with Marshall to cover 

 Chicago is a physical team that matches up well vs the explosive Chiefs. Note: Chicago is 19-3 ATS with a .500 or less record when listed  as a home dog against the AFC opposition. 

Note: QB Patrick Mahomes should feel rushed today which will make for a nightmare for the Chiefs offensive flow. This will be the  first time the Kansas City Chiefs will go against super star  Khalil Mack since he was traded.  Mack used to be an Oakland Raider and totaled five and a half sacks against the Chiefs during his four year run in the AFC West. 

CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons

NFL Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS CITY) - quick starting offensive team - scoring 14+ PPG in the first half, after allowing 14 points or less last game are 9-31 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bears to cover 

The Cards won last week vs the Browns, but this week Im betting they have their butts handed to them vs a explosive Seattle team that can very much take advantage of the Cards very porous defence, that allows, an average of 28.4 ppg on the road this season. Note: Carroll is 23-7 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season as the coach of SEATTLE with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 ppg. Carroll is 7-0 ATS in home games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games as the coach of SEATTLE with the average ppg diff clicking in at +17.6 ppg.

The Cardinals are 0-17 SU/ATS L/17 on the road off a game as a home dog in which their scoring output increased by more than ten points over the game before.

NFL Road teams (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss against opponent by 14 points or more, after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points are 6-24 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. ( Seattle beat Arizona back in Sept on the road by a lopsided 27-10 count- Rinse and repeat here today)

Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover 

Dak Prescott is banged up with a sore shoulder, a finger injury on his throwing hand, and took limited snaps in practice.Even with nagging - or worse - injuries, Cowboys owner Jerry Jones expects Prescott to be in "top form" against Philadelphia and I agree with the Boyz owner on this one, as its not hard to look good vs a consistently under performing Philadelphia D.There are jobs and reputations on the line, as well: Dallas coach Jason Garrett could save his job with a division title and a strong playoff run. DALLAS is 9-1 ATS  versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Dallas to cover 

The Jaguars have been completely stagnant of late, and are not getting much respect at all and they really don't deserve it , but neither does Atlanta and in no way according to my power rankings deserve to be a 7 point or more favourite vs anyone in this league including the lowly Jags. From a long term trends perspective it must be noted that  NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (JACKSONVILLE) - bad team - outscored by opponents by 7 or more points/game, after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are a long term good bet going 120-64 ATS L/36 seasons for a solid 65% conversion rate for their betting backers. 

ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons and  is 0-7 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.  

The Atlanta Falcons are 1-13 SU and 0-14 ATS in their last fourteen games against AFC opponents.

Advantage Jacksonville getting points 

 New Orleans Bowl - Mercedes-Benz Superdome - New Orleans, LA

The Blazers have shown themselves to be talented but highly inconsistent this season, and undisciplined, after a  6-1 start  went  just 3-3 at the finish line , and were smashed in their conference championship game by DDs vs an explosive FAU side.  However, UAB coach Clark’s has proven before that he can engineer a quick bounce back off defeat as is evident by a  12-4 SU and 11-3-1 ATS record in his career. Clark is 8-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival as the coach of UAB. 

 Blazers really need a good showing here after that above mentioned debacle in the CUSA championship game. This is a chance to do it by hanging tough against a ranked Appalachian State side, that despite of a great season,  are getting a very average Bowl show case that might not have them very excited to play in. Note: This also an easy trip for UAB fans so Im betting the majority of the crowd will be backing the Blazers, which will buoy their chances here two fold. 

CFB  Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (APPALACHIAN ST) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a good team (60% to 80%). are 31-63 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on UAB to cover 

  Lane Kiffin has left the Florida Atlantic sidelines   but things are looking up as    Willie Taggart is about to take over. Add to that a new defensive coordinator Glenn Spencer stepping in for this game and  the Owls look like a football program with upside, and the ability to upend SMU here today. You have to remember, that FAU owns a big play attack with  and with SMU secondary  giving up 285 yards per game their vulnerable to be nipped here for big yards , gains and subsequent scores. on the flip side, Im betting the Mustangs will have problems running the ball vs a Owls team that have allowed fewer than 100 yards in five of their last ten games. If SMU cant run the ball, their passing game will be easier to read, and problems will arise as this tilt goes on. 

SMU is 0-6 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons. SMU is 0-9 ATS  in road games after playing 2 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons.

FLA ATLANTIC is 6-0 ATS  vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Florida Atlantic to cover 

New Mexico Bowl - Dreamstyle Stadium - Albuquerque, NM

Central Michigan comes into the New Mexico Bowl featuring a multi dimensional  offense. Chippewas running back Jonathan Ward has rushed for 1,082 yards along with hefty 6.2 yards per carry. His 15 touchdown runs rank third in the MAC. Meanwhile, Quarterback Quinten Dormady, a transfer from Tennessee, finished the regular season looked like a gunslinger. He completed 71 % or more of his pass attempts in the final three games leading into the MAC championship game, effectively spreading the ball among a number of pass-catchers. Im betting this group will test San Diego State sturdy D, alot more than recent opponents and make life difficult for a team that will be in an uncomfortable situation of having to open up . 

HC Rocky Long is just 4-9 ATS in his career in Bowl Games. 

C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS vs. average passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. this season.C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS  after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games this season.

Play on Central Michigan to cover 

The Celebration Bowl is one of the most competitive bowl games on the schedule each year. Each Celebration Bowl has been decided by a touchdown or less. Last year the North Carolina A&T Aggies snuck past  Alcorn State Braves by the slimmest of margins  24-22. Looking at both teams numbers, from this season suggest both possesses balanced defences and offences and matchup well against each other in a game that should be a pickem, thus getting points makes for a solid wager according to my projections. 

Play on Alcorn State to cover 

Bahamas Bowl - Thomas Robinson Stadium - Nassau,

CUSA’s record of 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS versus MAC opponents in Bowl games has me looking directly at a up trending Charlotte football program as viable underdogs here today in this Bowl game. Don't get me wrong Buffalo is a fine team and were 7-5 on the season, but they were far from perfect and periodically fell asleep at the proverbial wheel. Meanwhile, their opponents today the niners, finished their season in over powering fashion, going 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS, and 5-0 ITS and deserve respect here getting points. It must also be noted that Buffalo Bulls , HC  Leipold  is bankroll depleting  0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS away vs a above .500 team like Charlotte. 

BUFFALO is 2-14 ATS L/16 vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game

NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CHARLOTTE) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 38-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

New Orleans took part in a run and gun dog fight last week vs San Francisco that they lost and now Im betting they will be in a bit of emotional let down state and due for regression. Actually the Saints have lost the stats battles in 4 of their L/5 since Drew Bree's returned from injury, and definitely have some defensive issues at the worst possible time. Tonight they go against a motivated and desperate Indy side looking for a play off spot , that has the ability to score in bunches  which makes getting points a viable investment option with he visiting underdog.  Note: New Orleans is just 0-7 ATS L/7 when coming off a home loss and laying more than 7 points. 

INDIANAPOLIS is 10-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons.NEW ORLEANS is 0-7 ATS in home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.

Indianapolis is 9-0 ATS  L/9 against .500 or better  NFC opposition. Saints are 0-6 ATS L/6  as non-conference home favorite of more than 4 points and 1-10 ATS at home taking on  AFC  foes. 

NFL Road underdogs or pick (INDIANAPOLIS) - off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, in the last 4 weeks of the regular season are 24-5 ATS L/36 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Indy Colts to cover 

The Bills are bruised and battered after a very physical game against the Baltimore Ravens last week, and Im betting they won't have enough left in the tank to significantly compete here against a another smash mouth type of team in Pittsburgh. 

Pittsburgh has won 6 of the L/7 meetings here at home in this series and get the nod again. 

The Bills are 0-15-1 ATS /0-16 SU on grass vs a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road with the average ppg diff clicking in at - 20.7 ppg. 

NFL Road teams (BUFFALO) - after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 265-375 ATS dating back 37 seasons for a go against 59% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

The Chargers are starting to wake up from a season long slumber and are  off a dominating 45-10 win last week vs the Jacksonville Jaguars. Meanwhile,  visiting Minnesota despite of being consistent on the in the W/L column have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 overall and are not living up to the linesmakers expectations and vulnerable here to a desperate team with a chip on their shoulders. 

The Chargers are 15-0 ATS /12-3 SU L/15 as a dog when they are off a win as a favorite and they are averaging more than 27 points per game over their last three games.

MINNESOTA is 5-18 ATS L/23 in road games off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite.

Chargers are 7-2-1 ATS in their past 10 as underdogs. The home team has won the past five in the series.

NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CHARGERS) - after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed no turnovers are 40-15 ATS L/36 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Chargers to cover 

The Browns were  recently starting to turn a corner towards respectability . But that ended last week when despite of winning  they lost the stats battle to Cincinnati by more than 188 yards. That is truly unacceptable, and now the inconsistent Browns  travel out west to play a under rated Arizona team with a good looking young QB in Murray under centre. The kicker is that the Browns are 3 point road favs, which is not an optimal line to cover for this type of undisciplined  unorganized  team that takes a boatload full of penalties on a weekly basis . Note: The Browns are 0-4 ATS/SU  L/4 on the road.

  The Cardinals are 21-0 ATS /19-2 SU at home when their line is between a three-point favorite and a five-point dog inclusive when they suffered a positive turnover margin in each of their last two games and they did not have more than 31 minutes of possession time in their last game.

The Cardinals are 17-4 SU and 20-0-1 ATS as hosts  off a non-division tilt when facing an opponent coming off a win of 8 or more points.

The Cardinals are 15-0 ATS/SU on grass off a loss by more than a field goal when the line is within three of pick and they suffered a positive turnover margin in each of their last two games.

Play on the Arizona Cardinals to cover

Green Bay Packers are very over rated in their current form even though they hold down the No. 2 playoff seed in the NFC.  Believe it or not the Packers have  lost the stats battles in 4 of their L/5 games and now go against a Chicago side that has won 4 of their L/5 and coming into their own now as they season winds down.

 Earlier this season the Bears lost to the Packers by a 10-3 count,(despite of winning the stats battle) but now in revenge mode in their best form this season, Im betting on the Bears to bring home the cash as underdogs.   The Bears are 5-0 SUATS with a winning record in division games with  QB Mitchell Trubisky under center.

NFLvUnderdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CHICAGO) - revenging a same season loss against opponent, off a home win are 37-15 ATS L/10 seasons for a  71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bears to cover 

Seahawks lost RB Rashaad Penny for the season with a knee injury suffered in last week’s defeat, and will not have the same offensive flow without him in the lineup. Considering the Seahawks D, is ranked No. 26 in the league in overall  there could easily be issues fr them covering today. 

CAROLINA is 21-9 ATS in home games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more  yards/game. 

The Panthers are 12-0 ATS L/12  as a dog off a road SU and ATS loss.

Play on Carolina to cover