Football Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
11-13-21 | Central Florida +7.5 v. SMU | 28-55 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
UCF is playing decent ball of late and have 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 with the only loss coming to undefeated Cincinnati. With that said, the UCF is more than capable hanging around here vs a SMU side that has lost two straight while giving up 400 plus yards in those tilts defensively. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCF) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 36-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.UCF is 8-1 straight up against SMU since 1992. CFB road team vs. the money line (UCF) - after allowing 14 points or less in 3 straight games against opponent after a loss by 6 or less points is 33-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on UCF to cover |
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11-13-21 | Houston -24.5 v. Temple | 37-8 | Win | 100 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
The Temple Owls look to just be going through the motions as it looks like they threw the towel in on their season a while, back and that has been evident over their L/4 games where they have been outscored, 180-27. With that said, Im betting Houston laying down abeatdown of mammoth proportions here today against a team that will probably just lie down for them.Houston is ranked 10th in the nation, averaging 39.1 points per game and Im betting they breach that number here in this spot. TEMPLE is 0-6 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -34 ppg. CFB Home underdogs of 14.5 or more points (TEMPLE) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in November games are 27-62 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (HOUSTON) - after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival against opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival are 60-28 ATS L/29 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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11-12-21 | Cincinnati v. South Florida +23.5 | 45-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
USF will be very motivated to be ready to extend their 6-0 ATS L/6 mark in this series vs undefeated Cincinnati. Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in South Florida. Its a ugly kind of clothes pin to the nose type selection, but this is easily the Bulls biggest game of the season considering that will not go bowling. Im betting they leave everything on the filed here while the Bearcats begin to feel the pressure of maintaining a undefeated season. Bearcats are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.Bulls are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Play on South Florida to cover |
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11-11-21 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh -6.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
North Carolina ended the Wake Forest win streak at 8 games last week in a emotional back and forth offensive slugfest. Now Im betting the Tar Heels wont have that same energy this week after that exhausting physical and emotional victory , and will fall victim to a Pittsburgh team that can actually play defense and light up the board just as efficiently. With that said look for Panthers QB Pickett to land KOs all day in the pocket behind a top-10 offensive line. N CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. Brown is 0-9 ATS off a home win against a conference rival as the coach of N CAROLINA. Brown is 4-15 ATS after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points in all games . CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PITTSBURGH) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 30-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors, CFB Road underdogs (N CAROLINA) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games are 14-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh to cover |
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11-10-21 | Ball State -2.5 v. Northern Illinois | 29-30 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The Cardinals have been a top tier unit against the run as they have not allowed more than 130 yards in any of the last four games and that will be key Im betting in a road win N.Illinois. On the flipside add to that the Huskies have allowed 12 touchdowns on 23 possessions over the last two games and you have an edge to the short road fav. BALL ST is 8-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. BALL ST is 7-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging >=200 rushing yards/game over the last 3 season. BALL ST is 7-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game over the last 3 season. Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cardinals are 14-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Huskies are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. CFB home team (N ILLINOIS) - good rushing team - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry, after allowing 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 4-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.
Injury note:[QB] 11/04/2021 - Rocky Lombardi left last game, is "?" Wednesday vs Ball State ( Head ) Play on Ball State to cover |
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11-09-21 | Ohio +6 v. Eastern Michigan | 34-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
The Eagles took part in a back and forth affair last time out on the road vs Toledo winning by a 52-49 count as 9 point dogs, and will now be in a letdown spot here this Tuesday making them vulnerable to a Ohio program that has covered 5 of their 6 tilts in this series. Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Bobcats are 19-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Bobcats are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog. Bobcats are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog. E MICHIGAN is 1-11 ATS L/12 after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored.E MICHIGAN is 3-15 ATS in home games after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Eagles are 16-33 ATS in their last 49 games following a straight up win. Eagles are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.Eagles are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. OHIO U is 10-2 ATS in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return. Play on Ohio. to cover |
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11-09-21 | Buffalo +7.5 v. Miami-OH | 18-45 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. BUFFALO is 19-8 ATS L/27 when the total is between 56.5 and 63. Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BUFFALO) - in conference games, off a upset loss as a double digit home favorite are 51-19 ATS L/29 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI OHIO) - off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more, in weeks 10 through 13 are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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11-07-21 | Cardinals v. 49ers +2.5 | 31-17 | Loss | -100 | 78 h 22 m | Show | |
,Arizona had their perfect 7-0 season come to an abrupt end last time out and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot. The Cards are just 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS in games when coming off a SU home chalk loss and have lost 8 of their L/9 overall in tilts after playing against the Green Bay Packers. With QB Jimmy Garoppolo looking healthy and off a strong performance last time ( 17-of-28 for 322 yards) I like the 49ers chances in this spot play. With the Niners 4-0 ATS at home in a key division game vs a team off a Thursday night game Im liking our chances.ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS in the second half of the season over the last 2 season.Underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on SF 49ers to cover |
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11-07-21 | Falcons +6.5 v. Saints | 27-25 | Win | 100 | 72 h 43 m | Show | |
The Saints are off a huge underdog win vs TB last week and will now be in a emotional letdown situation. It must be noted that teams that upset Super Bowl champion as a dog are just 19-36 SU/ATS bd division opposition the following game, when not favored by 7 or more points. I know Atlanta may not inspire bettors but is also must be noted that NEW ORLEANS is 7-23 ATS L/20 in home games vs. struggling teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. NEW ORLEANS is 10-22 ATS in home games after having won 4 out of their last 5 games NFL Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season are 11-34 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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11-07-21 | Bills v. Jaguars +15 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 67 h 23 m | Show | |
The Jags do not inspire many bettors, but when value arises I have to bite my pride, and follow the right path. Buffalo is obviously the superior side, but this is just to many points in my humble opinion, especially with Urban Meyer and company looking at this tilt like an opportunity for redemption after a disastrous start to this campaign. NFL Road favorites (BUFFALO) - with a good first half defense - 7 or less points per game, after allowing 14 points or less last game are 8-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road favorites (BUFFALO) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 19-47 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Jacksonville to cover |
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11-07-21 | Texans +6.5 v. Dolphins | 9-17 | Loss | -123 | 67 h 17 m | Show | |
These two teams have lost 7 games in row, and both will desperate for a win here and Im betting it will be a battle to the very end with getting points being eventually golden. HOUSTON is 8-1 straight up against MIAMI and have won 3 of the L/4 visits here . NFL Road underdogs or pick (HOUSTON) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, in November games are 44-14 ATS L/38 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NFL Home favorites (MIAMI) - a poor offensive team (14-18 PPG) against a horrible defensive team ( 27 PPG or more ), after a loss by 10 or more points are 9-38 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate. Play on Texas to cover |
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11-07-21 | Broncos +10 v. Cowboys | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 56 h 26 m | Show | |
Denver is off a grinding home win last time out vs Washington and now come into this game with momentum vs americas team the Dallas Cowboys who are on a 6 game win streak . The Broncos according to my power rankings are being underestimated this week, no matter who starts at QB for the Cowboys ( Prescott or Rush). I know how well the Cowboys have played overall, but from a historical standpoint laying DDs at home vs a non divisional opponent has not been profitable for their backers as they have failed to cover 10 of their L/13 opportunities. Also NFL road dogs like Denver coming off a win of 6 or more points are 15-3 ATS so far this season. Denver has also won and covered 3 of their L/4 visits to Dallas to play the Boyz. It must also be noted that Denver QB Teddy Bridgewater away games as an NFL starter, is a perfect 10-0 ATS versus above .500 opposition and is key here for a Broncos cover. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (DENVER) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NFL Favorites (DALLAS) - with an incredible offense - averaging 385 or more total yards/game, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 7-32 ATS L/5 seasons for. ago against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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11-06-21 | USC +10.5 v. Arizona State | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
The Sun Devils enter into this game in a 2 game losing streak and recently that has not been a good formula for success for this program as they are just 6-15 SU in conference games when coming off two straight negative results. I know the Trojans may not inspire bettors with their uneven play this season but they are 17-4 L/21 vs Arizona State and from a matchup view point offer value on this line. I know USC will be without star WR Drake London, (injury) but QB Kedon Slovis still has a strong duo of WRs Tahj Washington and Gary Bryant that could start on most college football teams in this nation. CFB Home favorites (ARIZONA ST) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game, after the first month of the season are 26-60 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on USC to cover |
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11-06-21 | Indiana +20.5 v. Michigan | 7-29 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 26 m | Show | |
After blowing a huge lead last time out to Michigan state - Michigan will come in here hanging their heads low vs a side that would love nothing more than to inflict more damage on their already battered egos. they could also easily find themselves looking ahead to Penn State which will be their next opponent. I know Penix Jr is out at QB for the Hooisers but they are quite capable of top tier offensive production behind freshman QB Donaven McCulley who threw for 242 yards and two scores last time out in a 38-35 loss to Maryland . Note: Donaven McCulley was a 4 star prospect. MICHIGAN is 9-21 ATS in home games off an upset loss as a favorite. Indiana is also 6-0 ATS L/6 on the road in conference action as a 13 point or more dog. INDIANA is 19-8 ATS L/27 in road games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (INDIANA) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games against opponent after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games are 30-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-06-21 | Texas +7 v. Iowa State | 7-30 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 33 m | Show | |
Texas RB RB Bijan Robinson ran for just 43 yards last time out on 19 carries . It was a disappointing performance for a back that had accumulated 100 yards in five straight games previous to that. This week Im betting on the senior bouncing back in a big way and being a key contributor in a Texas cover vs Iowa State. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (IOWA ST) - off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more, in weeks 10 through 13 are 12-38 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games are 36-11 ATS L/29 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.Cyclones are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in November. Play on Texas to cover |
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11-06-21 | Florida v. South Carolina +18.5 | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 36 h 43 m | Show | |
Last weeks lopsided loss to Georgia will be a demoralizing factor coming into this road game against the Gamecocks. South Carolina (4-4, 1-4) is coming off a bye week that followed a 44-14 defeat at then-No. 17 Texas A&M on Oct. 23 and now on rested legs will be out to pull off the upset while trying to get some kind of redemption. Gators are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.Gators are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. Gators are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. South Carolina 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games at home as an underdog of 13 or more points. CFB Road favorites (FLORIDA) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 22-54 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. South Carolina to cover |
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11-06-21 | LSU +29 v. Alabama | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 36 h 16 m | Show | |
This is alot of points to be laying if your a Alabama backers, especially considering the LSU Tigers have revenge on board for a ugly DD loss they suffered to the Tide the last time they played. Now rested and off a bye week with a great deal of preparation time Im betting on LSU making a game out of this or at the the very least covering the number. LSU is 6-0 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons. LSU Is 8-2 ATS L/10 as a dog of 20 or more points , including 7-0 ATS when playing with revenge. LSU has covered 8 of their L/12 visits here, and won SU the last time they were here in 2019. Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. LSU is 13-2 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons. Play on LSU to cover |
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11-06-21 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas -4 | 28-31 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 38 m | Show | |
Miss State is off a big win vs Kentucky last week, and could find it hard to get up the energy to take out a Arkansas side that my power rankings suggest is a under rated opponent. MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-9 ATS off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals ARKANSAS is 18-6 ATS L/24 in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. ARKANSAS is 13-4 ATS in home games after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-7 ATS against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team vs. the money line (ARKANSAS) - excellent team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against an average rushing team (+/- 40 RY/G), after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games are 31-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.6 ppg. Play on Arkansas to cover |
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11-06-21 | Utah State v. New Mexico State +18.5 | 35-13 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 12 m | Show | |
Utah State can put points on the board but their defense is atrocious allowing an average 435-yards per game. That to me is not conducive to be able to cover this big of spread on the road . I know New Mexico state may not inspire may bettors, but this is a viable point take here for the home dog according to my projections, especially since they are off a bye week and have had two weeks to prepare . Add to that back door cover capabilities with the 28t h ranked passing offense in the nation ( 276 yards per game) and Im betting we have value with a ugly puppy. Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Aggies are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.Aggies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. MWC. Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on New Mexico State to cover |
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11-06-21 | Michigan State v. Purdue +3 | 29-40 | Win | 100 | 30 h 45 m | Show | |
Michigan State used alot of energy to come back from a DD deficit to defeat their long time Big 10 rivals Michigan last week, and will now have some problems getting back that intensity vs a Purdue side that has won the stats battles in 6 of their 8 games this season. It was not all peaches and cream for the spartans lat week a they allowed a hefty amount of yards on D. MICHIGAN ST is 4-18 ATS L/22 in road games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Brohm is 8-1 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of PURDUE.Brohm is 7-0 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game as the coach of PURDUE.Brohm is 17-4 ATS L/21 versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry in all games he has coached. Play on Purdue to cover |
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11-06-21 | Middle Tennessee State +17 v. Western Kentucky | 21-48 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 10 m | Show | |
Middle Tenn State vs W Kentucky “100 miles of hate”. plus the points looks like a viable wagering opportunity. These teams are big time rivals , and Im betting on fireworks tonight in a tilt Im expecting to be closer than the line might indicate. Both sides are 4-4 on the season, and are both playing well overall right now. Major Bowl implications and a rivalry situation makes the points golden in my humble betting opinion. Hey I know how explosive the Hilltoppers offense has been , but Middle Tenn has also been explosive recently scoring 34 or more points in 4 of their L/5 trips to the gridiron.Blue Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in November.Hilltoppers are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite. Blue Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The two most recent meetings in this series were decided by 3 and 4 points. Play on Midd Tenn State to cover |
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11-06-21 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia +3.5 | 24-3 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 49 m | Show | |
West Virginia with recent wins vs Iowa State and TCU are now in bowl contention and must not be underestimated as home dogs when they are determined to get a much needed third straight victory. Oklahoma State is a fine team, winning 7 of 8 but are just 2-9 ATS L/11 as road favs going against a side off 2 consecutive SU/ATS wins. CFB team (W VIRGINIA) - off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more, with 4+ more total starters returning than opponent are 29-7 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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11-06-21 | SMU v. Memphis +5 | 25-28 | Win | 100 | 26 h 22 m | Show | |
Huge heart breaker last week as SMU lost their first game of the season, thanks to a punt return returned for a TD and a subsequent 44-37 loss. That was excruciating painful and Im betting the Mustangs will have a huge problem getting their butts off the mat for this one.SMU is 14-30 ATS in road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game while MEMPHIS is 24-10 ATS in home games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. Dykes is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play as the coach of SMU. Memphis covered six straight times in this series until suffering a close 30-27, loss as chalk last season . SMU is 1-9 ATS in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 0-6 ATS in road games after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 3-12 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MEMPHIS) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 36-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-06-21 | Illinois v. Minnesota -14.5 | 14-6 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
Illinois has almost no offensive flow while Minnesotas D, has been mostly staunch as is evident by allowing just 18.9 ppg with 5 of their L/6 opponents unable to muster more than 16 points. The Gophers can also light up the board, especially at home where they have put 30 or more points in the board in 3 of their L/4 as hosts. Im betting on a lopsided affair here. MINNESOTA is 9-0 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (MINNESOTA) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, in conference games are 24-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-05-21 | Utah v. Stanford +9 | 52-7 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 17 m | Show | |
Stanford is highly inconsistent but according to my power rankings this ATS number is bloated making the Cardinal a live home dog here vs Utah. The Cardinal showed their inconsistencies last time out in. a favorite loss to Washington by a 20-13 count, but the Huskies are very under rated so Ill give the Cards a break on that one. HC Shaw is 14-4 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite as the coach of STANFORD. He's on the hot seat right now, and if he does not have his team ready to play this week, a farewell party maybe on the agenda. Stanfords Desperation, redemption quotas have me taking points here. UTAH is 2-10 ATS L/12 as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (STANFORD) - an average offensive team (21-28 PPG) against a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) after 7+ games, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 56-24 ATS L/29 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Stanford to cover |
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11-05-21 | Virginia Tech -2 v. Boston College | 3-17 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Boston College is having problems again the run and especially dual QB threats. Louisville Cardinal Malik Cunningham and Syracuse’ Orange pivot Garrett Shrader ran all over Boston College as the Eagles allowed 620 + rushing yards including 6.4 yards per carry in those losing tilts. Don't look now but now they have to face another strong ground game featuring double trouble threat Burmeister. CFB team (BOSTON COLLEGE) - average rushing team (140-190 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G) after 7+ games, after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 22-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Virginia Tech to cover |
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11-04-21 | Jets +10.5 v. Colts | 30-45 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
Indianapolis is off a frustrating OT loss vs Tennessee last Sunday and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot this Monday night vs a NY Jets team with a new QB at the helm Mike White who led them to a OT win vs a tough Cincinnati crew by a 34-31 count. I know Carson Wentz is a quality QB but he's not consistent enough and has a tendency to fold under pressure more often than not . On the flip-side the Jets players have said they were very happy when Mike White Lightning came on the field as their new QB and the entire team Im betting will play behind him which is important for team chemistry. Momentum and confidence sit on the Jets side of the field. Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. NFL Road underdogs or pick (NY JETS) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 24-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. NFL Home favorites of 10.5 or more points (INDIANAPOLIS) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in weeks 5 through 9 are 17-42 ATS L/38 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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11-04-21 | Georgia State v. UL-Lafayette -12 | 17-21 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Georgia State took part in a hammering slugfest vs Southern Georgia last week and Im betting they are still not at 100% after that nasty battle in the trenches and could find the sledding rougher than expected against a very physical Lafayette side. Meanwhile, Louisiana Head coach Billy Napier is a perfect 15-0 all-time against Sun Belt West sides including a 5-0 record in conference play this year and 5-0 all-time against Georgia State. I know these are SU numbers, but Lafayette is explosive averaging 40.5 ppg at home this season while allowing just over 12 ppg, and that will be the difference maker -the Cajuns offense. The Ragin Cajuns at home have outscored their opposition by an average of 23.5 point per game and have covered by 15 or more points in each of their last three home games. Meanwhile, Georgia State is 1-3 ATS as dogs this season. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) - off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival, in November games are 59-9 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.3 ppg which qualifies on this spread. Play on Lafayette to cover |
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11-02-21 | Miami-OH -7.5 v. Ohio | 33-35 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Miami (OH) gets their starting QB back making them a dangerous opponent for Ohio. RedHawks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games vs. teams with a losing home record. Ohio is 1-7 on the year and have lost four of their last five games and fade material in this current form. MIAMI OHIO is 6-0 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. OHIO U is 3-15 ATS L/18 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) Martin is 30-9 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games as the coach of MIAMI OHIO.Martin is 12-1 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season as the coach of MIAMI OHIO. OHIO U is 0-6 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.OHIO U is 2-10 ATS in home games over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI OHIO) - after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games are 87-46 ATS L/29 season for a 66% conversion rate. Play on the Miami Ohio Red Hawks to cover |
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11-02-21 | Eastern Michigan +9 v. Toledo | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan has lost only one game by more than 7 points this season and that was to Wisconsin on the road. Creighton is 7-0 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of E MICHIGAN and always has his team ready to compete. Creighton is 6-0 ATS in road games against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better as the coach of E MICHIGAN. Eagles are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog.Eagles are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 road games. Candle is 3-11 ATS off a home win against a conference rival as the coach of TOLEDO which was the case vs W.Michigan last time out.Candle is also just 4-12 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% like E.Michigan or better as the coach of TOLEDO.Rockets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a bye week.Rockets are 2-7 ATS/SU in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Play on Eastern Michigan |
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10-31-21 | Bucs v. Saints +4.5 | 27-36 | Win | 100 | 53 h 40 m | Show | |
Tom Brady and company took out the Saints last season in the NFC playoffs last season, and now Im betting on a huge revenge scenario to manifest here and for the Saints to come out spitting fire. Note: Saints are 11-2-1 ATS as home underdogs L/15 seasons , and failed to cover just once under new head coach Sean Payton. New Orleans has owned this series in the regular season going 5-0 SUATS L/5 meetings and Im betting have the edge again getting points as hosts. Payton is 24-8 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. NFL Favorites (TAMPA BAY) - with an incredible offense - averaging 385 or more total yards/game, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the New Orleans Saints to cover |
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10-31-21 | Bengals v. Jets +11 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 50 h 1 m | Show | |
The Bengals are off a huge underdog win last time out vs the Baltimore Ravens and will find themselves in an emotional letdown spot here vs a ugly home dog in the NY Jets making them vulnerable . Previous to the Bengals win last week, they had not beat an above .500 team so Im not ready to crown them possible super Bowl contenders just yet. With that said, I know it will be tough for many of you to take the points here with the Jets, but with Zach Wilson now on the sidelines for the Jets and Mike White under center Im betting we will see a better version of the Jets this week. White was brilliant in his time with Western Kentucky and must not be underestimated . Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. NY JETS are 16-6 ATS L/22 after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games. NY JETS is 7-1 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992. in NY. Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. NFL Favorites (CINCINNATI) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 14-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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10-31-21 | Dolphins +14 v. Bills | 11-26 | Loss | -106 | 50 h 41 m | Show | |
I am not disputing which side is the better group, but in a division game a two TD difference is a little over the top. I know how well and how badly each team has played, but this line is bloated according to my power rankings and Im willing to take the points with a clothes pin attached firmly to my nose. Note: NFL home favorites in division games of 14 or more points are just 48-65-6 ATS L/41 seasons , including a 0-7 L/7 ATS run. BUFFALO is 18-33 ATS L/51 after having won 4 out of their last 5 games. NFL Favorites (BUFFALO) - solid team - out-gaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 14-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road underdogs or pick (MIAMI) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 23-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dolphins to cover |
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10-31-21 | Titans v. Colts -2.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 6 m | Show | |
After back to back underdogs wins vs Buffalo and Kansas City Im betting the Titans will have problems mustering the energy needed to take out the Colts as visitors. The Colts current group is also suited well to defending against the run , and with QB Carson Wentz in top form throwing multiple TDs pass in 4 straight games with no interceptions the Colts are a dangerous looking team. Note: Tennessee 0-4 ATS in games coming off consecutive SU underdog wins.I INDIANAPOLIS is 14-4 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons
Play on the Colts to cover |
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10-31-21 | Rams v. Texans +16 | 38-22 | Push | 0 | 27 h 45 m | Show | |
Rams took out the lowly Lions last week by a 28-19 count, but they had to work extremely hard to do it after falling 10-0 in the first quarter. To me its obvious the Rams are taking defacto bye weeks to rest players against lower tier sides at least from an emotional standpoint ( their effort and grit look less than positive at time despite of the talent levels. In the recent past it seems the odds makers have over estimated the Rams ability to beat up on lower level sides, as is evident by their 1-5 ATS mark vs. a team with a losing record. After last weeks emotional come from behind victory Im fading them as huge road favs vs a team that will be motivated for redemption of some sort. HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS L/16 after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games. LA RAMS are 2-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. NFL Favorites (LA RAMS) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 14-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texans to cover |
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10-30-21 | Washington +2.5 v. Stanford | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 50 h 12 m | Show | |
The Washington Huskies are a 7-0 team if the offensive play-calling wasn’t so bad. The talent is there at Washington but its the guys directing plays on the sidelines that down grade this Huskies program. However, today vs a inconsistent Stanford team Im betting the visitors find a way to cash for us here this Saturday. STANFORD is 0-6 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons. CFBl teams where the line is +3 to -3 (STANFORD) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October game are 13-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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10-30-21 | Ole Miss v. Auburn -2.5 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 33 h 58 m | Show | |
Auburn is well rested and off a bye week, and will be primed to take down Ole Miss in this spot play. The Auburn D, will be the difference maker as they are 78 yards bette than the Ole Miss stopping units. Auburn has won the two most recent meetings in this series and are 17-4 L/21 overall meetings. CFB Home favorites (AUBURN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off 3 straight wins against conference rivals are 121-76 ATS L/29 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Auburn to cover |
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10-30-21 | SMU v. Houston | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 47 h 9 m | Show | |
Im betting the explosive offense of SMU will be held in check this week by the Houston Cougars D, that is ranked 4th overall. The host has covered 4 straight in this series and Im betting on a Rinse and Repeat situation. SMU is 1-8 ATS in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 3-15 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. CFB home team (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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10-30-21 | Georgia State -6 v. Georgia Southern | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 1 h 37 m | Show | |
GEORGIA ST is 8-0 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992. GEORGIA ST is 9-1 ATS vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse over the last 3 seasons CFB road team vs. the money line (GEORGIA ST) - average team (+/- 0.6 YPP) against a terrible team (outgained by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 29-1 L/10 seasons for a 97% conversion rate. Georgia State to cover |
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10-30-21 | Southern Miss v. Middle Tennessee State -13.5 | 10-35 | Win | 100 | 44 h 50 m | Show | |
Southern Miss generated just 107 offensive yards last week while getting shut out by UAB and they are big time fade material here vs a Middle Tennessee State team that up-trending in my rankings. SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS as an underdog this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -22.9 ppg. SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -24.9 ppg. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (SOUTHERN MISS) - with a poor offense - averaging 315 or less total yards/game, after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play in their previous game are 8-29 ATS L/10 seasons for 79% conversion rate. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (SOUTHERN MISS) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 1-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.9. Middle Tennessee to cover |
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10-30-21 | Michigan v. Michigan State +4 | 33-37 | Win | 100 | 42 h 24 m | Show | |
Michigan State is the real deal and just keep improving. Ill be honest I was not sold on them, but after watching the Spartans play on more than one occasion I get the feeling this is a never say die very tough crew . Entering this game against arch nemesis Michigan they are averaging 34.9 points and 451.7 yards per game while the defense, which allowed more than 21 points just once this season. CFB home team (MICHIGAN ST) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Michigan State to cover |
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10-30-21 | Bowling Green v. Buffalo -13.5 | 56-44 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Bowling Green has won just 5 of their L/30 trips to the gridiron and are completely outgunned according to my projections by a Buffalo program that plays their best football at home and after 2-54 start have won 2 straight and in contention in the MAcEast. BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the average margin ppg diff clicking 31.3 ppg. Buffalo 6-1 ATS win skein in this series. BOWLING GREEN is 0-6 ATS in road games after a loss by 17 or more points over the last 3 seasons . Opponent 49.2 BG 8.3 BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS in home games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 21 ppg. CFB Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (BUFFALO) - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 24-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on the Buffalo to cover |
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10-29-21 | UNLV +20 v. Nevada | 20-51 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Nevada according to my power rankings is being over rated here on this line. I know UNLV is o-7 on the season, but they have been mostly competitive and deserve respect here getting 20 plus points . The last time these teams met the Rebels upset Nevada 33-30 two seasons ago, and Im betting they make the Wolfpack work hard again.Rebels are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.Wolf Pack are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Play on the UNLV to cover |
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10-28-21 | Packers +6.5 v. Cardinals | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
Green Bay has gone into over drive after offseason drama with its star quarterback Rodgers meltdown and near retirement , a Week 1 blowout defeat and than a boat load full of injuries. They continue to jump all obstacles and now Rodgers after his off season sulking, and slow start is a man on a mission and will be primed to take down the undefeated Arizona Cards this Thursday night. Note: The Packers are 5-0 ATS L/5 versus undefeated NFC West opponents . Arizona QB Murray is 1-5 ATS as a non-division home favorite of fewer than 7 points in his career.
Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Cardinals are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite.Cardinals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. ARIZONA is 1-11 ATS L/12 in home games after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game.ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS in home games after out-gaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 4-14 ATS L/18 off a home blowout win by 21 points or more. GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better over the last 2 seasons. NFL Home teams (ARIZONA) - out-gaining their opponents by 1.75 or more passing yards/attempt, after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 7-27 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (ARIZONA) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 9-33 ATS L/10 seasons for a79% go against conversion rate.
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10-28-21 | Troy +17.5 v. Coastal Carolina | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 4 m | Show | |
Im betting that Coastal Carolina ha a huge hangover after having their undefeated season come to an abrupt end last time out vs at Appalachian State by a 30-27 count. Now against the 7th ranked defense in the nation, Im betting Coastal has problems on lift off and will start slowly. Note: In recent meetings the Trojans have really made Coastal work for wins . CCU won 36-35 at home two seasons ago and than took a hard fought are 42-38 in L.A.. Im betting things wont come easily again. TROY is 7-0 ATS against teams who force 0.75 or less turnovers/game on the season. CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (16-21 PPG), after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 14-39 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Troy to cover |
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10-28-21 | South Florida +10 v. East Carolina | 14-29 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
East Carolina won last year's meeting 44-24 and now redemption is at hand for the Bulls and Im expecting them to be ready to perform after last weeks win vs Temple. The Pirates (3-4, 1-2), have lost two games in a row, and are limping into this tilt. Pirates are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.Pirates are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite. S FLORIDA is 5-0 straight up against E CAROLINA since 1992 here on the road. Play on South Florida to cover
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10-24-21 | Colts +4 v. 49ers | 30-18 | Win | 100 | 79 h 30 m | Show | |
The Colts after a slow 0-3 start have won 2 of their L/3 games, with the loss coming to Baltimore by a 31-25 count. This team and its current roster according to my power rankings is more than capable of hanging with a SF 49ers side that has a banged up QB (Jimmy Garoppolo ) at the helm of the offense that is playing at less than 100% when he is on the field. Advantage Colts to cover. INDIANAPOLIS is 9-1 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 seasons. NDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. NFL team vs the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) - off a blowout win by 28 points or more over a division rival, after the first month of the season are 31-6 L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team vs the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) - an average defensive team (18 to 23 PPG) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG), after scoring 25 points or more in 3 straight games are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. ( This trend gives a decent probability of possible upset thus giving top tier value with taking points. INDIANAPOLIS is 3-0/ATS 2-1 SU against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO in SAN FRANCISCO since 1992. Indianapolis to cover |
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10-24-21 | Washington Football Team +8.5 v. Packers | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 26 m | Show | |
That was a big win for Rodgers and company last week against their long time rivals the Bears and now Im expecting an emotional letdown situation to unfold for Green Bay giving us an advantage with taking points with the Washington football team. I know Washington has not looked good defensively, but they are still capable of slowing down the Packer train. Note: From a historical standpoint GREEN BAY is just 9-22 ATS in home games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 6 yards/play or more . |
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10-24-21 | Jets +7 v. Patriots | 13-54 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
After last weeks back and forth tilt vs the Dallas Cowboys that saw New England lose to the Cowboys in OT, Im betting on a huge letdown performance from the Pats here this week vs the lowly Jets, Also according to my power rankings the Jets are not as bad as their record suggests and are more than capable of hanging tough here and pulling off the upset. NFL Road teams (NY JETS) - with a struggling offense - averaging 285 or less total yards/game, after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 39-14 ATS L/38 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. |
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10-23-21 | USC +7 v. Notre Dame | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 38 m | Show | |
USC at 3-3 are not be respected right now by linesmakers despite of great deal of talent all through the lineup. Yes, they have not performed optimally but are still extremely dangerous opponent for an inconsistent and lucky to sport a 5-1 record this Fighting Irish side. Both sides are well rested but it must be noted that the Trojans are 9-1 ATS going into a non conference battle off a bye and 4-0 ATS L/4 off a loss. USC is 6-1 ATS as a underdog of 6 or more points and 11-2 ATS when coming off a SU home favorite loss. USC is 12-3 ATS after allowing 42 points or more last game. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (USC) - with 16 total starters returning are 73-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on USC to cover |
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10-23-21 | South Alabama v. UL-Monroe +13.5 | 31-41 | Win | 100 | 60 h 20 m | Show | |
UL Monroe (3-3 on the season) scored a huge underdog upset vs Liberty last week by a 31-28 count and now with momentum on their sides I expect them to be competitive here again this week vs a South Alabama : Note: South Alabama is just 12-23-1 ATS on the road in Sun Belt play. S ALABAMA is 1-9 ATS off a home win by 17 points or more which was the case in the 41-14 win vs Georgia Southern last week. Play on UL Monroe to cover |
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10-23-21 | San Diego State +3 v. Air Force | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 47 h 28 m | Show | |
Air Force is a one way offense that moves the chains on the ground, and that is a problem for them here tonight as they take on a San Diego State rush defense allowing just 61 rushing yards per contest ranking among the best in the nation. SD State is 7-2 L9 ATS in this series and have won 9 straight with the Visitor going 3-0 L/3 . San Diego State is also 9-2 as 8 point dogs or less. AIR FORCE is 1-10 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games. CFB road team (SAN DIEGO ST) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after a win by 6 or less points are 31-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego State to cover |
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10-23-21 | Boston College +6.5 v. Louisville | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 1 m | Show | |
Boston College roared out to a 4-0 start to their season, and than lost a hard fought battle to Clemson by a 19-13 count and than in a letdown state were beat up by North Carolina in their follow up. Now rested and ready for redemption Im betting the Eagles come out here and give Louisville all they can handle for the cover. Note: BC is 7-0 ATS L/7 entering this series off a loss. From a statistical standpoint the Golden Eagles are 122 yards superior to the Cards from a defensive standpoint, which Im betting will be the difference maker here today. BOSTON COLLEGE is 24-11 ATS (as a road underdog of 7 points or less since 1992.BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-1 ATS in road games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals since 1992. BC has won 4 of the L/5 meetings on the road in this series with the only loss coming by 2 points. Play on BC to cover |
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10-23-21 | Clemson +3.5 v. Pittsburgh | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 21 m | Show | |
Clemson has not been an underdog in 64 straight games dating back to the 2016 season. I know they have not performed optimally this season, behind their QB DJ Uiagalele, but this is still a talented group especially on defense where Im betting they will give this explosive Pittsburgh team problems. CLEMSON is 21-9 ATS in road games vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game since 1992. Swinney is 11-2 ATS after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of CLEMSON. Narduzzi is 1-8 ATS in home games after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games as the coach of PITTSBURGH. CFB road team (CLEMSON) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after a win by 6 or less points are 31-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Clemson to cover |
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10-23-21 | Colorado +9 v. California | 3-26 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 7 m | Show | |
Cal does not deserve to be this big a favorite here. The Bears have accumulated a 1-5 SU record with the only win against FCS Sacramento State.The Golden Bears currently rank last in the PAC 12 in total defense while their opponent the (Colorado Buffaloes ranks 4th and 6th in total offense . Note: CALIFORNIA is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. Colorado won 34-0 last week as dogs and are being put into the dog pound again this Saturday in Berkeley. Colorado under Dorrell is 5-0 ATS coming off a SU underdog victory. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (COLORADO) - with 16 total starters returning are 73-34 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to cover |
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10-23-21 | Kansas State +1 v. Texas Tech | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 49 h 49 m | Show | |
From a matchup perspective Kstate. Matched up well here according to my power rankings and from a historical standpoint have done well in this series winning 4 of their last 5 trips to Lubbock while winning 9 of the last 10 meetings overall. I know the wildcats lost last week, so they are not getting alot of respect right now form lines-makers, but it must be noted HC Chris Klieman when coming off a SUATS loss is 6-0 ATS L/6. Look for KStates top tier QB Skylar Thompson to be the difference maker. KANSAS ST is 11-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992. Wells is 1-12 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse in all games he has coached since 1992. TEXAS TECH is 0-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons. CFB home team (TEXAS TECH) - after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the KState Wildcats to cover |
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10-23-21 | Cincinnati v. Navy +28 | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 41 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bearcats are 0-4 ATS as road favorites of 17 or more points and despite of all their obvious strengths could find the sledding tough against a never say die Navy side that has cashed 4 of their L/5 as 12 point or more conference dogs. Note: Military Dogs of 20 or more points are 5-0 ATS L/4 seasons. The Bearcats have also failed to cover in 6 of their L/8 vs Military schools including 0-3 ATS when favored by two TDs or more. Probably not an upset in the making, but getting points is a viable investment option. Play on Navy to cover |
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10-23-21 | Wake Forest v. Army +3 | 70-56 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
I know Wake Forest is undefeated on the season, but Im still not a big believer in their overall prowess as a top tier team , and feel strongly they will find the sledding tough here in West Point this Saturday vs Army. From a historical standpoint the Demon Deacons are just 0-3-1 ATS as road favs when carrying a undefeated record. The Black Knights can hit the weakest part of the Wake D, which allows an average of 171 ypg on the ground, behind the 2nd-ranked rushing offense in the nation and garner us a cover and possible outright upset. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WAKE FOREST) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October game are 12-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ARMY) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game are 29-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on Army to cover |
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10-22-21 | Memphis v. Central Florida +1.5 | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
UCF head coach Gus Malzahn is on the hot seat this teams need wins and now especially after getting smashed by 56-21 count at Cincinnati last week , which did not make Central Florida backers/boosters very happy and the rumblings are getting louder. The good news here for UCF is that host is on a 13-1 ATS run in this series while, Memphis’ has lost 13 of their L/15 when playing on the road against UCF. MEMPHIS is 0-7 ATS in road lined games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 0-6 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 0-6 ATS in road games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 8-30 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Central Florida to cover |
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10-21-21 | UL-Lafayette -18 v. Arkansas State | 28-27 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
I have projected a 3 TD win + here for Lafayette. ARKANSAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -28.3 ppg. CFB home underdogs (ARKANSAS ST) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 35 or more points/game, after 2 straight games where 70 total points or more were scored are 7-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. CFB road team vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) - off a home blowout win by 28 points or more, a top-level team ( 80% or more ) playing a terrible team ( 25%) are 25-1 SU with the average ppg diff clicking in at +25.5 points per game. Play on UL Lafayette to cover |
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10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State +5.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
The Chanticleers are ranked and deserve respect even as road favs. But App State has a reputation for being giant killers and also deserve respect especially as home underdogs. Coastal enters this year's meeting undefeated and have a huge targets on their backs while Appalachian St is perfect 2-0 at home. The Mountaineers have also won 23 of their last 25 home games dating back to the middle of the 2017 season and 6 of 7 meetings in this series. Mountaineers’ 8-0 SU when coming off a loss the past four seasons. Mountaineers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. APPALACHIAN ST is 8-1 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road favorites (COASTAL CAROLINA) - after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 15-35 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate . Play on App State to cover |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +3.5 | 35-29 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 21 m | Show | |
Bill Belichick is 21-7 SU in his career vs NFC East sides , cashing 4 straight times a s dog including 6 straight victories versus the Dallas Cowboys. I know the Boyz are playing great ball but Belichick is a chess master that must be respected at home . New England has cashed in 5 of their L/6 as home dogs, while the Cowboys are 0-6-1 ATS L/7 after playing the Giants which was the case last week. NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS L/17 in home games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season . NFL non-division road favorite (DALLAS) of more 3 + points coming off three consecutive home games including a SUATS win last time out have failed to cover 14 of the L/15 times for a 93% go against conversion rate. NFL Road favorites (DALLAS) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more point are 18-45 L/10 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate. Play on New England Pats to cover |
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10-17-21 | Raiders +4 v. Broncos | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 15 m | Show | |
HC Gruden is now just a memory in the minds of this Las Vegas football group. It's a fresh start for them as they can now concentrate on playing football instead of being involved in a controversial circus. Im still a believer in this Raiders group, and here as 4 point dogs vs a Broncos side that is 0-6 ATS L/6 as division favorites we have an edge taking points. Especially considering that this Denver team has gone 24 straight games without scoring in their first possession of the game , which in itself continually puts them behind the proverbial 8 ball. Note: Broncos QB Teddy Bridgewater has failed to cover 7 of 11 home in division games in his NFL career. Raiders are 6-1 ATS L/7 in this series and since moving to Las Vegas have won both meetings. Play on LV Raiders to cover |
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10-17-21 | Dolphins v. Jaguars +3.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 75 h 30 m | Show | |
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium - London Urban Meyer and Trevor Lawrence are proving that their college careers may have been over hyped at least at this point in their NFL tenures . However, the duo and their team are desperate for a win, and Im betting on a neutral field vs a Dolphins side that has lost 4 straight we have a situation where a cover is a high potential situation on this line. It must be noted that Jacksonville will play their 8th game here in the UK, and have been adopted by many British NFL fans . So this is like a defacto home game for the transplanted Jaguars. Note: QB] 10/12/2021 - Tua Tagovailoa is questionable Sunday vs Jacksonville ( Ribs ) and if he plays will be less than 100%. (Without the young QB in the lineup the Fins have been beaten up by an average of 19 ppg. ) NFL team vs the money line (MIAMI) - with a poor offense - averaging 4.8 or less yards/play, after allowing 500 or more total yards in their previous game are just 4-30 L/37 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. (According to this over powering trend we have upset potential) Play on the Jacksonville Jags to cover |
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10-16-21 | Louisiana Tech v. UTEP +6.5 | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 38 h 11 m | Show | |
The Miners are playing some very good football as is evident by their 5-1 record and ranked in the nation’s Top 20 in both Total Defense and Tackles for Loss. Recently they have had the advantage from a ATS perspective vs the 2-3 Bulldogs cashing 4 of the L/6 meetings and today Im betting they grab the cheese again. Note: HC Skip Holtz has failed to cover 16 of 26 road games as single digit chalk in his career. So from that data this is not a role his teams excel in. UTEP is 16-5 ATS L/1 after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. CFB road team (LOUISIANA TECH) - off a road loss against opponent off a double digit road win are 23-52 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UTEP to cover |
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10-16-21 | TCU +13.5 v. Oklahoma | 31-52 | Loss | -104 | 36 h 41 m | Show | |
. The Oklahoma Sooners have made any successes they have had torturous for their fan base and no victories vs FBS teams by more than 7 points. This week . Sooners QB Caleb Williams may start again after entering their game last week and rallying his team to a OT victory vs Texas. That was a hugely emotional game for the Sooners and now they may find it difficult to get up for this one, making them vulnerable to cover this matchup. OKLAHOMA is 8-22 ATS L/30 vs. struggling passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. Riley is 0-6 ATS after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers as the coach of OKLAHOMA. Patterson is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points as the coach of TCU. CFB road team (TCU) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 48-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on TCU to cover |
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10-16-21 | Iowa State v. Kansas State +6.5 | 33-20 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 7 m | Show | |
With Kansas State QB Skylar Thompson back in the lineup,Im betting the wildcats get their mojo back and really give Iowa State all they can handle here at home. This is also a big revenge tilt for the Wildcats who were crushed last season by Iowa State by a 45-0 count. Note: KANSAS ST is 4-0 ATS as a home dog with revenge. KANSAS ST is 26-12 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) . KANSAS ST is 22-7 ATS after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. Note: ISU QB Brock Purdy only has 5 TDs so far this season, and its obvious his WRs and him are not on the same page. Thats not a good look going against a D with hate in their eyes. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS ST) - with 16 total starters returning are 73-33 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. KANSAS ST is 13-1 straight up against IOWA ST since 1992 at home. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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10-16-21 | Ole Miss v. Tennessee +2.5 | 31-26 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 52 m | Show | |
Tennessee is starting fast this season and have outscored their opposition by a 101-13 count in the first quarter , including scoring s on 11 straight drives over the past two tilts in the first half of the game. Im betting on another fast start vs a suspect Ole Miss D, and a subsequent underdog cover. Meanwhile, Ole Miss is off a back forth 52-51 win vs Arkansas last week, and will now be in a huge emotional letdown spot. OLE MISS is 4-13 ATS after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored. Tennessee is 13-2 L/15 meetings in this series. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OLE MISS) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 7-30 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. CFB home team (TENNESSEE) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 31-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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10-16-21 | Stanford v. Washington State | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Washington St has won 2 straight conference tilts the last time as an underdog which sets up well for a win here vs a inconsistent Stanford allowing 60 more yards than they gain and that has lost 2 of their L/3 games. Washington State has won the last four meetings in this series including 3 as underdogs. WASHINGTON ST is 22-9 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (STANFORD) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 21-50 for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington St to cover |
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10-16-21 | Utah State v. UNLV +7 | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 35 h 20 m | Show | |
Despite of starting their season at 0-5 the UNLV Rebels have been competitive of late as was evident in their L/2 road games against Fresno State losing by a 38-30 count and a 24-17 defeat to UTSA. Now here in their home opener vs. Utah State Im betting UNLV has the weapons to cover here vs a Aggies side that can score in bunches, but can also allow a boatload full of points. Rebels are 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Play on UNLV to cover |
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10-16-21 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +17 | 49-9 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 29 m | Show | |
Mississippi State is off a bye week and well prepared to take on the Tide. I know there is a perception that Saban and company will be pissed after getting upset last time out and be ready to breath fire, but Im betting it wont be that easy. Note: Alabama head coach Nick Saban is 0-5 ATS with the Tide during the regular season in his career when coming off his first loss of the campaign and going against an above .500 side like Mississippi State. CFB Home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (MISSISSIPPI ST) - off a win against a conference rival, after the first month of the season are 44-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miss State to cover |
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10-16-21 | Kent State +7 v. Western Michigan | 31-64 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 59 m | Show | |
The Golden Flashes have to be respected in their current form as this sit at the top of the MAC East Division . They have taken on big 12 Texas A&M and a couple of Big Ten sides ie (Iowa and Maryland), and are battle tested . Last week they smashed a pretty good Buffalo program accumulating a whopping 633 yards of offence and are capable of really making a strong Western Michigan ise feel the heat here this week. Im betting KSU QB Dustin Crum be the difference maker with his arm and legs. Golden Flashes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Golden Flashes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Golden Flashes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference games. Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.Broncos are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Play on Kent State to cover |
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10-16-21 | Purdue +12 v. Iowa | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show | |
Wow. Big win for Iowa last week, as they came back to win 23-20 after knocking the Penn State Lions starting QB out of the game. This is a huge letdown spot for Iowa and a competitive Purdue team will be ready to take advantage of the situation. Iowa HC Ferentz as a favorite in conference games after defeating an undefeated side , is 0-4-1 ATS L/5 at home, as well as 0-4-1 ATS vs an above .500 opponent like Purdue . Boilermakers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Boilermakers are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog. Boilermakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iowa. Play on Purdue Boilermakers to cover |
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10-16-21 | Fresno State v. Wyoming +3.5 | 17-0 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Im betting on Wyoming pounding away on the ground and for the home town crowd and thin air of Larime to make life difficult for visiting Fresno this Saturday. Bohl is 18-9 ATS in home games against conference opponents as the coach of WYOMING CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (FRESNO ST) - off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 28-62 ATS L/5 seasons for 29 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Wyoming to cover |
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10-16-21 | Michigan State v. Indiana +4.5 | 20-15 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
Michigan State is having a great season so far. But their record is based on beating . sub .500 teams so I wont get to carried away with singing their praises. Indiana head coach Tom Allen is officially on the hot seat and QB Michael Penix, Jr., needs to stand up and show some moxxy and get some how get some redemption for an ugly start vs a over rated team with a D that allows 420 plus ypg .” Indiana is well rested and if there was ever a time they make a run its today here and now . Indiana is 4-0 ATS L/4 after a bye week. Play on Indiana to cover |
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10-16-21 | Nebraska v. Minnesota +4.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
The Gophers are. being under rated and if they had not taken a week off vs Bowling Green would be 4-1 right now instead of 3-2. The Gophers have owned Nebraska in the last two here at home spanking the Huskers 34-7 and 54-21 and today Im betting they get the job done again in the underdog role. MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. Fleck is 35-18 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins in all games he has coached . Play on Minnesota to cover |
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10-15-21 | Clemson v. Syracuse +14 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 59 h 35 m | Show | |
Clemson to me has been less than impressive this season with a 0-5 ATS mark, with their average margin ppg diff clicking in at just +6.4 ppg a far cry from recent seasons. Meanwhile, Coach Babers has the Orange playing some very disciplined defensive football, and they must respected on this Two TD line here at home. Orange are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.Orange are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. SYRACUSE is 7-0 ATS L/7 in home games after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games .SYRACUSE is 18-3 ATS L/21 in home games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game and 11-1 ATS in home games after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game. Babers is 7-0 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game as the coach of SYRACUSE. Babers is 12-3 ATS ( versus good rushing defenses - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry in all games he has coached in his career. CFB home team vs. the money line (SYRACUSE) - with a good rushing D - allowing 125 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games is 46-7 L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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10-15-21 | Marshall v. North Texas +11 | 49-21 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 28 m | Show | |
Marshall at .500 on the season has not been able to get any kind of momentum this season and have continually been in close games as is evident by four straight decisions decided by 7 points or less. Meanwhile, North Texas after giving Missouri all it could handle in a 48-35 loss as a 20-point dog, and subsequent cover. In their previous tilt they also showed their ability compete in a 7 point loss to Louisiana Tech as an 11.5-point underdog which resulted in a cover. Im betting the Mean Green continue to conjure up the spirits , and the gambling gods shine on their backers again here vs the Thundering Herd .MARSHALL is 0-9 ATS L/9 after allowing 125 or less passing yards in 2 straight games. Play on the N.Texas Mean Green |
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10-14-21 | Bucs v. Eagles +7 | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 26 h 47 m | Show | |
Philadelphia D has ,held three of its five sides they have faced this season season-low yardage . Thats important against explosive 44 year old future HOF QB Tom Brady and company. In a historical context is must be noted that the Eagles have gone 7-0 SU L/7 in Thursday nighters while Tampa Bay is just 1-7 ATS in these prime time affairs. Basically at this number we have real value and recommend we take the points here with the home dog. Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Buccaneers are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games in October. Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Play on Philadelphia Eagles to cover |
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10-14-21 | Georgia Southern +3 v. South Alabama | 14-41 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 16 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern under interim head coach Kevin Whitley have looked viable. The Eagles have won all 7 previous meetings in this series by an average score of 35.9-11.3 (24.6 ppg diff average) and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this Thursday night and a definite cover according to my projections. S ALABAMA is 15-32 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S ALABAMA) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October games are 11-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia Southern to cover |
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10-10-21 | Bills +3 v. Chiefs | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 57 h 53 m | Show | |
Buffalo to me is playing as a front runner for a Super Bowl ticket, at least in their current form and have a very good chance a SU victory as dogs here vs KC. BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 1-11 ATS (L/12 after gaining 175 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games. Bills QB Josh Allen is 12-1 SU in his NFL career against opposition coming off a SUATS win like the Chiefs. NFL Underdogs or pick (BUFFALO) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 41-11 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NFL Road underdogs or pick (BUFFALO) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 31-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS CITY) - with a terrible defense - allowing 360 or more total yards/game, after gaining 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 6-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Buffalo Bills to cover |
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10-10-21 | Titans -4.5 v. Jaguars | 37-19 | Win | 100 | 50 h 8 m | Show | |
I was never a big Trevor Lawrence fan no matter how well he did at the College level. I still maybe wrong but his style not mix well in the NFL and that has been obvious so far as he continues to be intercepted on a regular basis. Meanwhile last week, the Titans picked up 30 first downs and still found a way to lose vs the Jets in OT. However, Im still in on the Titans this season, and feel strongly they are the better side here. The Titans have victories in seven of their last eight meetings vs the Jaguars, with four of those wins by 21 points or more. Rinse and repeat. Also have not problem fading HC Urban Meyer. JACKSONVILLE is 6-17 ATS L/23 in home games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more yards/game.JACKSONVILLE is 0-7 ATS in home games after allowing 6 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. TENNESSEE is 3-0 SU L/3 overall vs Jacksonville. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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10-10-21 | Broncos +1 v. Steelers | 19-27 | Loss | -113 | 50 h 42 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh looks like their in a down cycle this season and continue to deal with a boatload full of injuries. With that said, knowing Broncos QB Teddy Bridgewater is 23-3 ATS on the road in his career its not a hard decision to back Denver here today. Note: Ben Rothlisberger is 0-5 ATS L/5 starts as a favorite. DENVER is 8-1 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons. Tomlin is 9-23 ATS off 3 or more consecutive unders as the coach of PITTSBURGH. NFL Road underdogs or pick (DENVER) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 31-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on Denver Broncos to cover |
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10-09-21 | Memphis +3.5 v. Tulsa | 29-35 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 50 m | Show | |
Tulsa (1-4, 0-1) was blasted 45-10 at home by Houston and now shell shocked will go against an explosive Memphis offense again this week. After 3 straight wins Memphis has lost 2 straight . Note: Memphis is 18-8 ATS away versus sub .500 conference opposition including 9-1 ATS when coming off a SUATS loss. Meanwhile, Philip Montgomery is 1-14 ATS as a home favorite of fewer than 6 points when coming off a defeat and 0-9 ATS in the last nine. In addition, Tulsa is 2-7 SU and 2-6-1 ATS at home in this series, and the host in Tulsa-Memphis showdowns are just 3-14-1 ATS. Play on Memphis to cover |
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10-09-21 | Utah +3 v. USC | 42-26 | Win | 100 | 34 h 39 m | Show | |
Utahs new QB Cam Rising has completed 34 of 57 passes for 319 yards this season, with 4 TDs and has yet to be intercepted and deserves respect. Utah looked good in a win vs Washington State last week and enter this game with a 9-1 ATS mark off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile, USC despite of a boatload of 4 star prospects are enigmas at this point with inconsistent efforts and have unable to string consecutive wins on the board. UTAH is 45-23 ATS L/48 as a road underdogs. USC has failed to cover 13 of 20 as PAC 12 home favs and have failed in that role 4 of their L/5 trips to gridiron as hosts. CFB team (UTAH) - excellent rushing team ( 4.8 or more YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 72-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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10-09-21 | LSU +3.5 v. Kentucky | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 59 m | Show | |
The KentuckyWildcats enter this game against LSU off their first home victory over Florida since 1986 and are now in a classic emotional letdown situation. Note: Kentucky football program is 13-33 SU S in SEC games after a victory as an SU as an underdog.With Ed Orgeron’s love affair fading with LSU faithful, you can bet he will be primed to get a win here today and will make sure his young men leave everything on the field. LSU is 6-0 ATS in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6.25 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons. LSU is 10-1 ATS after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons. Orgeron is 18-2 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of LSU. NFL home team (KENTUCKY) - after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 8-32 ATS L/5 seasons for 80% go against conversion rate. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KENTUCKY) - with a turnover margin of -1.5 /game or worse on the season, after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 11-36 ATS L/29 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. CFB road team (LSU) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 36-11 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on LSU to cover |
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10-09-21 | UTSA +3.5 v. Western Kentucky | 52-46 | Win | 100 | 33 h 20 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky has a strong passing attack but today they go against a UTSA D that ranks 6th in the conference in pass defense and 1st in total defense. On the flip-side the Hilltoppers rank 12th in the Sunbelt in total defense while the Roadrunners rank 4th in total offense. In my humble opinion we have value with the underdog based on obvious statistical anomalies. UTSA is 12-3 ATS L/15 as an underdog , including 6-1 SUATS as a dog of 7 or fewer or points. W KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons. W KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS in October games over the last 2 seasons. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (W KENTUCKY) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October games are 11-39 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTSA) - off a home win, with 4+ more total starters returning than opponent are 62-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UTSA to cover |
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10-09-21 | Penn State +2 v. Iowa | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 54 m | Show | |
Two strong undefeated teams go head to head here today in a huge Big 10 matchup. From the beginning of the season, I took out futures tickets on the Nittany Lions and Im not about to keep backing them in certain spots , especially as underdogs. Penn State also has revenge on board for a loss to Iowa last season. Note: Iowa HC Kirk Ferentz is 2-7 ATS as a favorite in tilts when both teams are undefeated and the opponent is seeking revenge. Play on Penn State to cover |
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10-09-21 | Boise State +6.5 v. BYU | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Boise State has been very competitive this season and shown flashes of brilliance and according to my projections have the ability to hand with BYU here this afternoon. Im not basing this recommended wager on this stat but its interesting to note, that Boise State is a perfect 21-0 since 1999 in their 6th game of the season. Also they are 21-1 SU after a loss a favorite as was the case last week vs under rated Nevada. BYU is 10-23 ATS in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. BYU is 10-23 ATS in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. BOISE ST is 30-16 ATS as an underdog since 1992. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BOISE ST) - poor rushing team - averaging 125 or less rushing yards/game are 58-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Boise State to cover |
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10-09-21 | San Jose State +3 v. Colorado State | 14-32 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 56 m | Show | |
Colorado State is off a bye week after playing a power 5 team Iowa very tough, and are expecting a big crowd this week. However, an emotional letdown situation should be expected here, against a Spartans side that is under rated according to my power rankings and off a win last week.
Colorado State is 1-6 ATS record in this series. CFB road team (SAN JOSE ST) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 48-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. San Jose State to cover |
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10-09-21 | Georgia v. Auburn +15.5 | 34-10 | Loss | -107 | 30 h 34 m | Show | |
Auburn is being over rated here vs a Georgia side that despite of big numbers . The Tigers offense is well balanced (1,191 rushing and 1,199 passing) and the Tigers D is staunch and capable of slowing Georgias explosive attack. Note:the Tigers’ 22-6 SU and 20-8 ATS L/28 as hosts against undefeated opposition, including 8-1 ATS as underdogs. Auburn to cover |
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10-09-21 | Virginia +2.5 v. Louisville | 34-33 | Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
The Louisville pass defense is the worst in the ACC. Thats not a good omen vs Virginia's QB Brennan Armstrong and the passing game are bombing away with close to 2,000 yards in the first five games of the season. Overall the Cardinal D is just downright bad and the worst in the ACC, and from matchup perspective an unfavorable situation. Louisville will battle back with some fireworks of their own, but it's their downtrodden D, that gives Virginia the edge. This game is very important to Virginia and Im betting they leave everything on field here. Virginia to cover |
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10-09-21 | Michigan State v. Rutgers +5.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
Last week, Rutgers (3-2, 0-2) was hammered by a 52-13 count to Ohio State while Michigan State (5-0, 2-0 ) took out a lower tier Sun Belt opponent in Western Kentucky by a 38-27 count. The Scarlet Knight looked asleep at the wheel last week, but Im betting they will be wide awake here and ready for redemption vs a side that might be just a bit over rated and vulnerable road favs. Note: The Spartans have been out-gained in their last two games while giving uo 1,000 yards.RUTGERS is 6-0 ATS after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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10-08-21 | Temple +29.5 v. Cincinnati | 3-52 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 21 m | Show | |
Huge letdown this week for Cincinnati after last weeks big time win vs Notre Dame by a 24-13 count easily covering the spread. Im expecting the Bearcats to start slowly here and for the Owls who are uptrending in my power rankings to grab the cash as substantial underdogs. Temple has owned this series of late from a ATS perspective cashing 5 straight meetings and , and on a a 5-0 ATS run as dogs of 20 or more points. Advantage Temple Take the points |
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10-07-21 | Rams v. Seahawks +2.5 | 26-17 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
According to my projections this game should be closer to a pickem which gives us an edge taking points here this evening. Both sides defences have allowed season highs in 3 straight games. Some may say the Rams D is superiors, but Wilson and can slice and dice the best of stopping units and here at home, Im betting he will along with a run game that should have success. Seattle QB Russel Wilson is 4-0 ATS at home off a win and 8-2 ATS at home as an underdog including 9-1 SU and 7-1-2 ATS in games on Thursdays. Rams are just 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS in division battles on Thursdays, including 0-4 ATS when favored. LA RAMS are 3-16 ATS L/19 after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA RAMS) - with a terrible defense - allowing 360 or more total yards/game, after gaining 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 5-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate. . Play on Seattle to cover |
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10-07-21 | Houston v. Tulane +6 | 40-22 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
Houston will be a formidable opponent for Tulane , but after playing tough non-conference tilts with games against UAB, Ole Miss and Oklahoma their more than capable of hanging tough here tonight. HC Willie Fritz is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS at home in his career on Thursdays . TULANE is 7-0 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Cougars are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TULANE) - with 16 total starters returning are 72-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Tulane to cover |
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10-03-21 | Washington Football Team -1 v. Falcons | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 75 h 3 m | Show | |
Washington did not look good last week, in a loss vs Buffalo. Its still early in the season, and some of numbers could easily be skewed or misrepresented . The talent especially on defense remains intact for the football team of DC , and Im betting we see them establish their hard hitting ways this week against the Falcons. Meanwhile, Atlanta despite of winning last week lost the stats battle vs the NYG, and their key player QB Matt Ryan looks to be getting more inconsistent with age, and is now owns an overall QB Rating this season of (87.1) which puts him at No. 24 overall in the NFL. With that said, Im betting on the Washington D, to disrupt Ryan and for the Football team to deliver the cash to their backers. ATLANTA is 15-32 ATS in home games after allowing 14 points or less last game since 1992. Rivera is 26-9 ATS off a road loss in all games he has coached since 1992. NFL team (WASHINGTON) - good offensive team (5.4 to 5.8 YPP) against a team with a terrible defense (5.8 or more YPP), after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to win |
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10-03-21 | Lions v. Bears -2.5 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 75 h 46 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears offense and team have been kind of a laughing stock of the early part of this NFL season. Everybody and his dog now wants to take a proverbial piss on Nagy and what many look like a mismanagement of the team, especially on offense. This week I expect instead of Fields under center we s instead get Dalton or Foles, and a team that now has a chip on the shoulders. Remember , pro do not like to be embarrassed, and that Im betting ignites this Bears team , for at least this week. Detroit has allowed an average of 31.7 ppg this season, and must also be looked upon with extreme suspicion. DETROIT is 5-16 ATS off an extremely close home loss by 3 points or less since 1992.CHICAGO is 18-6 ATS in home games after gaining 200 or less total yards in their previous game since 1992. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover |
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10-03-21 | Titans v. Jets +7.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 75 h 38 m | Show | |
Titans coach Mike Vrabel calls Jets' defensive line 'one of the best' and will be that defensive line that will be the difference maker in a cover here today. First year HCs like NYJ Robert Saleh that are 0-3 SU/ATS to start their seasons are 47-16-2 ATS in non-division games. NY JETS are 16-6 ATS in home games after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game. TENNESSEE is 16-32 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season . NYJ are 4-0-1 ATS AFC South opponents at home. Titans are 3-10 ATS L/10 vs AFC East. NFL Favorites (TENNESSEE) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse are 3-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. NFL Underdogs or pick (NY JETS) - terrible passing team ( 5.3 PY/Att.) against a horrible passing defense ( 7.3 or more PY/Att.), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 22-4 ATS L/37 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on NY Jets to cover |
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10-02-21 | Boston College +15.5 v. Clemson | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 56 h 33 m | Show | |
. BC enters this game being disrespected despite of a 4-0 record as it prepares to play its ACC opener. vs a Clemson side that no longer sends shivers down the spines of their opponents. Clemson's 121st-ranked offense will find the sledding tough against BC's 20th-ranked defense and thus taking points here is an easy decision. Clemson is last in the ACC in Yards Per Game and Points Per Game. Advantage BC to cover. Play on BC to cover |