The Cougars are a very good team, and I respect the great year, they had. But they are over matched vs a  Seminoles’  team loaded with NFL talent. Florida State is superior to the Cougars in every position except quarterback. But the top player in this game,  is super star  RB Dalvin Cook,  who Im betting will dominate vs a good but over matched D. Meanwhile, the Seminoles,  D has had a top tier year, ranking No. 12 nationally in yards per play allowed. Houston, freight train, I'm betting finally comes up a steel wall and it will hurt.  Lay the TD. 

Florida State to cover  1 unit reg selection 

Auburn (6-6) has been a disappointment all season long, and have had problems on both sides of the ball. Meanwhile, Memphis (9-3) is the real deal, and have proven their detractors wrong on a consistent basis , behind the arm of 6'7 Paxton Lynch who is probably headed to the NFL soon. Nothing changes today.

Memphis to cover 1 unit reg seletion 

Nevada owns a wildly inconsistent offense, and at the proverbial opposite end of he performance spectrum their opponents today Colorado State... do have a balanced offense. The Rams average 196 yards per game on the ground and 221 per game through the air, and Nevada's defensive front Im betting will  have alot of  issues dealing with the effective rushing attack and the secondary that’s been poroous at times this season, as they are not built  to be able to contend with the speed and athleticism of  Rashard Higgins and the Ram receiving corps. CSU has too many options on offense and if they can keep the Nevada run game under caps should actually cruise to an easy victory as short chalk in this spot. 

Colorado State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Bengals QB A.J. McCarron has been in good form since taking over from the injured Andy Dalton and more than capable of upsetting the Broncos here tonight. I expect two hard defenses, to smash away on each other , and for this game to be an extremely close affair, with the arm of McCarron to outperform Denvers QB Osweiler. Bengals are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.Bengals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games.Broncos are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Bengals to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Central Michigan has , averaged 313 passing yards per game with a high-powered attack that puts up yards in giant chunks, while the defense has been equally efficient allowing just 328 yards per game.The Chippewas 5 losses were to top tier sides, as they played Oklahoma State tough in the  opener, lost on the road to Syracuse in overtime, lost to Michigan State  by DDs, but the game was far closer than than the 30-10 score would indicate, lost 41-39 at Western Michigan, and lost 28-23 to strong Toledo crew. Facing a pedestrian Minnesota offense, and a inconsistent Gophers defense, will be like a walk in the park compared to their battle tested efforts that were mentioned above. CMU’s ability to keep the chains moving, ranking fifth in the nation in time of possession will be the difference maker vs a  Gophers program that  has lost seven straight bowls. Note:The last five bowl games CMU has been involved with were decided by a  total of 13 points and all by three points or fewer. 

Central Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Pitt was at its best football on the road this season, going 5-1, including wins at Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech and Duke. The Panthers are a hard working crew ,  with very few big names, but they’re physical and fundamentally sound in most phases of their game.   The Panthers and the Mids  overall personnel matchup more equally than many might believe and Im betting neither one of these teams will  pull away with a wide margin of  victory. This game looks very much to be a war with the running games keying the event and a FG or late TD giving us the cover with Pittsburgh. Get ready for some Shock and Awe folks. 

Pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection 

It seems Minnesota is getting to much respect here tonight considering, Eli Manning had his second straight four-touchdown game last week and Minnesota has allowed its last three opponents to throw seven TDs and record a 115.2 passer rating.The Giants have won the last two meetings with the Vikings, and are once again are the side I am backing in this prime confrontation .It must be noted that the Vikings  have  a horrible history in night games with a 3-18 SU record dating back to 2009 and have lost 5 straight sunday night tilts. 

HC Coughlin of the Gmen is 25-9 ATS  in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing  7.5 or less yards per return.

NY Giants to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Arizona is 0-6 ATS L/6  against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season like Green Bay.

The Arizona Cardinals have had a very good  season thus far, but the injuries and walking wounded are starting to pile up and maybe susceptible here tonight to a letdown, as playing at such a high level for so long takes alot of energy out of teams.  Meanwhile, Green Bay has won three straight, and despite of looking consistently vulnerable have shown sparks of getting back into a top tier stride. With Rodgers  throwing against a secondary missing Mathieu, a Pro Bowl selection who was lost for the year after tearing his ACL last week, we may end up with a score that surprises alot of pundits.The Packers have also faired well against Arizona of late, going 7-1 SU and winning and covering the last two as dogs.  It must also be noted that Carson Palmer is just 8-24 ATS L/32 as a non division home favorite.With that said, I am recommending we take the points. 

Green Bay to cover 1 unit reg selection 

This is Atlanta's Super Bowl today and they will be primed to perform at home in front of their own fans. Carolina is under alot of pressure right now , and that was evident last week when the Panthers blew a 35-7 half time lead to the Giants before a late FG got them out of their jam. Actually the D, looks tired, and have given up 35 and 38 points in back to back road games.  The Falcons QB Matt Ryan is a perfect 3-0 ATS in division home games as a dog and once again gets my support today.

From a league wide trend archive it must be noted that 13-0 SU NFL teams have failed to cover 12 of their L/13 games. 

Falcons to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Virginia Tech will be primed to send off Frank Beamer in style. Tulsa owns a bad defense that allows 5.5 yards per carry, despite of a wide open offense, that I'm betting will have problem against a quality D, as they gave up a whopping 38 sacks this season. Yes, I know QB Brewer and company struggled to score this season, but against this type of D, they will look like Baylor.Tulsa despite of the offensive accolades  are just  1-5 vs above .500 teams

Virginia Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

In the Hoosiers’ final three games, no one held them below 41 points, including Michigan and this explosive offense averaged 36 ppg on the season  .Meanwhile,Duke despite of an overall good D, fell apart at the end of the season with four straight losses after a controversial loss to Miami Fl. After hanging tough , with Ohio State, Rutgers, Iowa and Michigan the Hoosiers are more than ready to take this opponent on. 

Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection 

With star quarterback Luke Falk expected to return, Mike Leach will have an an advantage  to guide Washington State to its first bowl victory.Behind a prolific passing attack, the Cougars (8-4) contended this season and stayed within  reach of first place in the Pac-12 North Division to the very end before losing to Washington.Falk easily leads the nation with 387.8 passing yards per game. The Cougars can beat any secondary, and will also get a chance to pound away at a 13th ranked conference run defense that was gouged all season long allowing 210.5 ypg.Miami is  is 0-7 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 425+ yards/game losing SU by an average of 18.4 ppg. 

Washington State 1 unit reg selection to cover 

No. 1 in the nation in turnover margin, San Diego State has turned it over just 12 times all season long going giveaway-free in five of the final seven games.On the other side of the ball, the defense is a tough bunch that  has gobbled up with 31 takeaways . This year, SDSU is 8-0 when forcing two turnovers or more, while Cincinnati is 124th in the nation in turnover margin giving it up 30 times. From a mathematical perspective, if the averages continue, the Aztecs once again have a huge advantage.  Offensively, the Aztecs I'm betting will run over a porous Cincinnati defense that’s allowed 200 yards or more six times  this season with their strong run game controlling the tempo here from start to finish. With Bearcats QB Gunner Kiel , expected to the miss this game ,they are even at a further disadvantage. But if for some reason, he miraculously appears,  I am still betting San Diegos D, will make him pay for his downfield follies.  It must also be noted that Cincinnati has shown a propensity to travel badly out side of their conference, and be less than prepared consistently. With this game taking place in paradise Island , more of the same Attention deficit disorder should continue.

Cincinnati is 0-8 ATS L/8 in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the SD Aztecs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

SD State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Both these sides have strong QBs and downfield weapons. Western Michigan’s Zach Terrell sits third in the MAC in passing yards (3,225) . His counterpart, the heart of the Middle Tennessee State offense beats around quarterback Brent Stockstill .The Broncos’ defense ranks ninth in the MAC in yards allowed per game and passing defense efficiency and suffering with a slew of injuries and walking wounded in the secondary, which is a detriment for them today. Meanwhile, I know Western Michigan can do some damage, as mentioned above, and own No.1  time of possession numbers in the nation, which tells you something about their ball movement abilities. But the wild card comes,  via a /middle State D, that started to play much better as the season progressed and is being underestimated here. This game Im betting has the makings of a one score tilt, and wont be surprised if its won by a late FG. 

Middle Tennessee State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

These teams are two completely different football teams. Bowling Green plays a fast tempo downfield first type of offensive football behind the No.1 passer in the nation QB Matt Johsnon, while southern Georgia , is methodical in their attack behind a ground attack that averages 355.6 ypg, behind the no.1 rush offense in the nation! In this kind of matchup, and in true folklore fashion, Im betting the turtle outduels the hare. Slow and steady wins the race. Take the points with Georgia Southern 

Georgia Southern to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Toledo and Temple both have top tier defenses, but the difference makers comes via the rockets  superior offense (more yards and Total points), that was use to trading punches with teams like Bowling Green and Northern Illinois in the MAC Conference. Temple has had alot of problems since Center Kyle Friend went down with injury and the offense, and will struggle to move the ball against a Toledo defense, with senior all stars -DT Orion Jones, and ends Allen Covington and Trent Voss anchoring what was one of the nations strongest and most under rated Ds this season.

Toledo to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Saints still have a chance at a play off birth via the wild card and will be ready to perform at a top level in front of their own fans tonight. Drew Brees has done well vs the Lions in the past , as is evident by a 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS mark in this series. The Lions enter this tilt 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS against NFC South opponents . The Saints also have a recent positive history on Monday nights, with a 6-0 and 5-1 ATS record. I know the Saints defense, has not played well this season, but the Lions are not a team that can take advantage of it, as is evident by  their 1-11 ATS  vs. terrible defensive teams who give up 29 or more points per game.Motown is also 1-9 ATS L/10 in December games.

New Orleans Saints to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Western Kentucky in my humble opinion is not getting the respect they deserve. It seems much of the attention for this Bowl game has been shined on the USF Bulls.  The Hilltoppers at 11-2 a Conference USA title and inclusion in the AP Top 25, tells a story of Jeff Brohm led program, that must be respected. It seems three straight blowouts of a exhausted Temple team, and a Cincinnati side that travels poorly, and horrible UCF side have set the pundits in a tizzy USF lovefest . Hey guys, I like how far the Bulls have come, and they have proven to be a pretty good team. But Western Kentucky despite of not being from a power 5 conference, are an explosive side that can compete with the best teams in the country. This game is being held in Miami and the Bulls should have alot of support, but that won't be enough to stop , an explosive offense, ranked third in the  FBS in passing yards (365.4 ypg) and fourth in scoring (44.2 ppg).  Im expecting them to  surprise the so called experts with a conclusive win.

Western Kentucky to cover 1 unitt reg selection 

With Arizona's ticket punched and a play off appearance guaranteed, we may have a team that is not 100% committed to getting down and dirty, as their health entering the play offs is even more important than winning the entire conference. Meanwhile, the host  Eagles (6-7) astonishingly hold their playoff destiny in their own hands  after two impressive wins vs Buffalo and New England  despite closing November with three consecutive losses to sub-.500 team  . Bottom line: Arizona is explosive offensively, but in last years meeting, the Eagles, did a decent job on QB Palmer before that final series (collapse/loss), prior to which he was 18 of 39 for 249 yards. Meanwhile, we should not be so hard on a Eagles side, that has been strong at home when QB Bradford can stay healthy enough to start and finish a game as is evident by a solid 6-2 SU record. 

Philly is 12-2 ATS vs top tier  offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game. Eagles are 10-4 S L/14 meetings in this series.

Play  on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover 1 unit reg selection 

A blow-out win over the Falcons by the Panthers last week has an over reaction on the open and adjustment on what was a bloated line , that settled in a bit , but still offers good value in a  game Im betting is decided late, by a FG or back door type event . Giants have been tough opposition for opponents of late, and will primed for the upset here again this Sunday.  Eli Manning gas been asleep at the prverbial wheel for large portions of the season, but today the former super Bowl star should be wide awake and ready to perform as he wakes up out of his beauty sleep. From a league wide trends archive it must be noted that NFL teams with a 13-0 record like Carolina  are 1-11 ATS overall including 3-6 SU and 0-9 ATS vs non division opponents since 1998.

NY Giants to cover 1 unit reg selection 

   Arkansas State comes into this game hitting on all cylinders, but they maybe ready to hit a brick wall. I know LA Tech crashed and burned vs Southern Miss at the end of the season, but the Bulldogs are more than good enough to keep pace and trade punches on offense in this proverbial fist fight. 

Yes, Red Wolves will score, but so will La Tech. Actually despite of outward appearances, the  Bulldogs own a advanced and developed pro-style passing game, behind  Florida transfer QB  Jeff Driskel and a hardcore group of down field threats. Add to that  RB Kenneth Dixon, explosive legs and capable of pounding the ball down the throat of a defense that is less than staunch and you have the Bulldogs in a favorable position. Arkansas State is vulnerable on defense, allowing almost 29 points a game,  and are even worse shape after playmaking veteran Chris Stone was arrested in early December on drug charges. Redemption is the name of the game here for LA Tech as they squeeze out a victory.

LA Tech 14-3 ATS L/17 off an upset loss as a favorite.

NEW ORLEANS BOWL - Superdome - New Orleans, LA

Louisiana Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I know Dallas does not provide alot of confidence for their backers, but their defense is very good, and ranked No.19 in the league and more than capable of slowing the Jets inconsistent offense. It must be noted that Dallas in games against non elite sides, has been within one score of the games they have lost SU. I will not be surprised if this game is decided by a FG, and won't be surprised if they pull off the upset. Dallas  are 0-6 ATS L/6 vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing  7.5 or less yards per return.

Dallas Cowboys to cover 1 unit reg selection 

San Jose State is a better team than many might believe as played  BYU extremely tough in a 17-16 loss and losing a heartbreaker at Nevada in overtime. Meanwhile, Georgia State that has come a long way after starting FBS play with a 1-24 record. They have beaten some weaker teams to get this far, but they are really over matched in my humble opinion. The reason being is that they are a pass first team and only average 3.2 ypc on with the run , and against a Spartans secondary that is allowing only 154 yards per game, GState will have its hands full getting traction.

San Jose State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Appalachian State was a superpower FCS program that turned into a superpower Sun Belt team.The Mounties bring the nation’s fifth-most efficient offense, sixth-best run defense, and 12th-best defense overall on the way to a ten-win season. Meanwhile, Ohio is also a solid team, but own a lower level of overall talent, that struggled during parts of this season, and had to finish with a three game win streak to get a bowl appearance. The difference maker is that despite of Ohio’s offense being  solid, it’s still a disaster in the red zone scoring just 77% of the time while ASU scores on whopping 89% of its opportunities. 

App State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Utah started 6-0 this season, with wins over Michigan and Oregon,  but faltered a bit down the stretch and fell out of contention for the pac12 championship. Utah in the past has played amazing football in the post season with a 7-1 SU record in at Bowl Games under Whittingham and overall are 10-1 SU in their L/11 Bowl Games. BYU is a public darling, but Im betting the Utes vaunted running game will be the difference maker here today. The Favorite is a perfect 9-0 SU in the Las Vegas Bowl since 2005. 

   Play on the Utah Utes to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 This is essentially a home game for the New Mexico Lobos and they will primed to pull the upset and have the guns to do it as was the case when they finished their season upending a pretty good Air Force football program as dogs. Meanwhile , Arizona finished their reg season schedule with a loss to Arizona State and lost 4 of their L/5 overall, and not happy or indifferent to  their Bowl invite. Considering the Wildcats had the 2nd worst run defense, in the SEC also does not help their cause vs a Lobos team that  garnered great success this season with a rushing attack that ranks fifth nationally in touchdowns, eighth in yards per game and an impressive 20th in yards per carry. I don't think we see the Wildcats at their best. Rodriguez is 1-14 ATS  after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of the Wildcats.

New Mexico to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Tom Coughlins future as coach of the Giants is on the line tonight. After another questionable coaching decision played a part in yet another frustrating loss last time out , the Giants will be ready to leave everything on the field to snap a three-game losing run and at least maintain a share of first place against the Dolphins.Their last game saw the Gmen blew a 10-point, fourth-quarter lead to their Big Apple rival after Coughlin opted to go for it on fourth-and-2 at the Jets 4 with 8:50 left in regulation instead of kicking a field goal. Eli Manning tossed an interception. The current 3 game losing streak by the Gmen have come by a combined 12 points so in now way have they been over matched. Tonight Im betting Coughlin makes the right decisions, and QB Manning stands up and saves the old ball coach. The Giants have never lost in three visits to Miami.MIAMI is 0-6 ATS  in December games dating back to last season and 2-10 ATS L/12 in home games against NFC East division opponents. Giants are 19-7 ATS  against AFC East division opponents.

NY Giants to cover 1 unit reg selection 

New England looked sleepy last week in a letdown loss to Philadelphia after losing a hard fought game the week before to Denver , with  Rob Gronkowski not in the lineup. But Bellichick will adjust the offense to play without him, and Im expecting a huge bounce back by the Pats offense here today. Billichick  is  a bankroll expanding 23-7 SU and 24-6 ATS away in games off a loss, including 21-2 ATS when playing against a .500 or better foe and respect getting  15-1 SU and 16-0 ATS the last 16.Sunday night hosts like the Texans when playing as home dogs  are a nasty 2-13 SUATS facing a team off a loss like New England .

NE Patriots to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Carolina's current 12-0 mark certainly looks amazing, but to play at a top level, for 13 straight games is a difficult proposition.Dating back to last season, the Panthers have won 16 consecutive regular-season games, including a 34-3 drubbing of the Falcons in the last meeting that clinched the South in the final week of last season. Today I expect the Falcons who Im sure wont inspire bettors today, to come together, and try to get revenge for that loss, vs a side that maybe taking them for granted. You are probably thinking Im nuts for recommending this wager, but from a league wide trend perspective I have some strong support as teams like Atlanta, after being annihilated and being beaten by 49 or more total points in their L/7 games combined after going over the Total by 35 or more points in their L/3 games are a commanding bankroll expanding 25-2 ATS against the spread. Despite of these treds seeming random and far stretched they do correlate perfectly in what I am betting is a trend based situation that has cashed consistently because of the obvious circumstances surrounding the mind set of beaten down and struggling  pro teams like the Falcons. 

Falcons to cover 1 unit reg selection 

After last weeks embarrassing 38-7 home loss to the Seatlle Seahawks , the Minnesota Vikings are in the mood for redemption as they are still in contention for the NFC North crown with Green Bay.  It must be note that Minnesota is 9-3 ATS off a loss L/12 with HC Zimmer at the helm. Meanwhile, Arizona is off back to back division road games( wins) and own a 3 game lead in their division, and a 6 game win streak, and could easily get caught looking ahead here tonight. The Cards are bankroll busting 3-17 ATS off back to back away games at home vs a .500 or better foes, and from a mathematical perspective we have value on this line, backing the Vikings .

 Minnesota has won its last three meetings with Arizona.  RB Peterson who Im betting has a big game in prime time,  has averaged 5.0 yards per carry while gaining 540 and rushing for five TDs in five games against the Cardinals. Minnesota is  10-0 ATS L/10 vs. top tier  passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards per game after 8+ games dating back three seasons.Arizona is 1-10 ATS L/11 games as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points .

Play on Minnesota to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Dallas has suffered through a season where the health of QB Tony Romo has hindered their progress. I think alot of pundits think they have given up on their season, because their offensive leader is now out for the rest of the campaign with a scollarbone injury.  I personally believe the Boyz have some fight left in them, and with this being a nationally televised Monday night affair, against a long time rival, Im betting we see them at their very best. I know Washington has played well at home this season, and QB Cousins is making strides, but Dallas according to my own numbers, must not be underestimated, even with Matt Cassells under center. It must also be noted that the Redskins, are 1-12 ATS L/13 as home favorites of 3.5 point or less, vs a below .500 opposition. Also QB Cousins despite of being in a upward mode, is still just 7-13SU  as a starter in this league and 0-3 ATS as chalk. From historical standpoint, Washington ,  is just 6-20 ATS L/26 in home games when playing against a lower tier side with a  (Win % of .250 to .400. The Redskins are also just  4-13 ATS L/17 in home games when playing on Monday night. HC Garrett of Dallas is 12-3 ATS L/15 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Play on the Dallas Cowboys 1 unit reg selection 

Denvers HC Kubiak is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games versus good offensive teams San Diego)  averaging 5.65+ yards per play in the second half of the season in all games he has coached since 1992. 

Denver pulled off an upset of the defending super bowl champs New England Pats last week in an emotional game and now will be in a letdown situation on the road vs a QB in Phillip Rivers that is 31-9 SU in December games. 

Play on the Chargers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Texans are solid underdogs here in a toss up type game. The key to their turnaround has been an unbelievably dominant defense that is suddenly playing up to its preseason expectations. Houston has allowed an average of 8.8 points and 250.5 yards during its four-game win streak, both of which are the best marks in the NFL since Week 8. Taking the points here is a solid bet vs a inconsistent Rex Ryan side. 

Houston to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Tampa Bay scored a close 23-20 upset in overtime against Atlanta during Week 8 right at the Georgia Dome to draw first blood in their season series, but while watching that game from start to finish it became evident that the Bucs matched up very well against the Falcons, and here on their own home field should do even better , with even wider margin of victory a high probability.  I know QB Winston and company looked mediocre last week , in a loss to a desperate Indy side, but an expected letdown by the Bucs should have been expected considering their crushing win vs Philadelphia the week before by a 45-17 count. 

Last week, the struggling Falcons lost  for their fourth consecutive time after starting the season on a 6-1 record and have failed to cover 7 straight times.  Needless to say the wheels are falling off the proverbial cart and they look like fade material here. 

Some pundits are pointing to the weakness of Tampa Bays secondary, as problematic, but it must be noted that the Falcons QB Matt Ryan has been unable to take advantage of weak pass D.s that allow 61% or more completion rates, failing to cover 6 straight times. 

Tampa Bay Bucs to cover 2 UNIT-Double Down Generals Club Game of the Year 

Clemson has turned the ball over 24 times this season. Thats a huge number for an elite side. I believe they are over rated, and that these turnovers eventually bite them in the butts. The Tar Heels are playing great ball and have the offensive guns and confidence to hand the Tigers a SU loss .

North Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection 

How good is Iowa?  Are they as good as their undefeated record would indicate. No matter what , I still believe that their underdog rating here is inaccurate, and from a mathematical view point Im will to lay money down on the Hawkeyes. I know Michigan State is a fine team, but Ferentz and company must not be over looked as viable opponents here on a neutral field  in Indianapolis today.

Iowa to cover 1 unit reg selection 

App State according to my own numbers is far superior to South Alabama and I have no problem laying 18+ points with a well coached talented team, that has a way of beating up against less superior opponents with relentless ruthlessness.

South Alabama is 0-6 ATS L/6 when playing against a team with a winning record losing SU by 22.4 ppg . 

Appalachian State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Aztecs have ate conference opponents alive, recently covering 7 straight games , winning SU by an average of 24.8 ppg while D, has not allowed more than 14 points . San Diego State is one of the few teams in this conference that can deal well, vs a triple option offense, and is more than capable of a cover here in this spot.

San Diego State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Bill Snyder owns his opposition with a  42-1 SU record against a below .750 opponent he defeated in his most recent meeting.( West Virginia )

Kansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I dont know what happened to the Gators last week vs Florida State,in a 27-2 loss but they are much better than that. Meanwhile, Alabama has had problems scoring this season, and eclipsing the 31 point plateau has been difficult and piercing the Gatos D, should also prove difficult. If we can get just a couple of TDs from the Gators in any way imaginable- our chances are very good for cashing a ticket in this spot  and that is what I am betting on.

Florida is a 17.5-point underdog, the biggest in the SEC title game since the Gators were favored by 24 against Arkansas in 1995.

Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Western Kentucky has proven they are an elite team that can compete with the top teams in the nation. South Mississippi despite of currently being a quality football program are way out of their league here, and laying a TD  with an explosive Hilltoppers side is an easy decision.

Western Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 These are two lousey defensive teams, and two explosive offensive sides. But the difference maker is that one has found a way to win and that is Houston , who are currently on a 3 game win streak. The Texans D, has played well of late, but Im betting their offense  out guns the Saints in a shoot out type affair in this one. 

Texans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The 14th-ranked Seminoles (9-2) and Gators (10-1) have been successful with strong defenses and power running games. Both are also young on offense and have used multiple quarterbacks. They matchup quite well, with the difference maker being home field advantage in revenge mode for a 24-19 loss last season. The Gators rank third in the nation in scoring defense and sixth in total defense. The defense ranks first or second in the SEC in yards, points allowed, sacks, interceptions and fumbles.Florida St  is just 2-2 away from Doak Campbell Stadium while averaging 16.8 points, third-worst in the ACC. 

Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Vanderbilt has a great defense, but that cannot move the ball, and will once again have some huge problems scoring vs a tough Tennessee D. Vanderbilt Caleb Azubike has been yapping all week, and Im betting Tennessee will be hell bent onto shutting this guys comments down for good, with a big time DD win. 

Tennessee to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Alabama once again enters Saturday's game against rival Auburn able to secure a spot in the SEC championship game with a victory.labama has been rolling since a loss to then-No. 15 Mississippi, getting challenged only once against Tennessee.Coach Gus Malzahn says Alabama's likely the most talented team in the country, has the nation's best defensive front seven and one of the top running backs and will be ready to romp vs a Auburn , defense that ranks 11th in the league against the run.

 to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ohio States offense has been a concern all season long, and after scoring just 14 points in a big game vs Michigan State last week, it has become  obvious they have huge problems moving the ball. Now on the road against a Michigan defense that ranks sixth in the FBS in scoring defense (14.9 points per game) and second in total offense (263.1) those problems could very well be their downfall.

Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Terrapins interim coach Mike Locksley may be looking for work soon as he had a terrible season. With nothing left to play for here today, Im betting the home teams need for a final home win to be the difference maker.At 4-7, Rutgers' only bowl chances come with a victory. Injuries and illness have left Maryland's quarterback position in flux, and that will be their down fall today.

Rutgers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

It will be the last regular season game of Frank Beamer's 29-year career as the coach at his alma mater, but the fiesty Cavs are not going to just step aside and allow Beamer to leave College Football unscathed. I know VTech as won 11 straight games in this series, but Ending the losing streak would be a proper tribute, Cavaliers quarterback Matt Johns said. The last three meetings have been decided by a total of 17 points, and the Hokies won 24-20 last year on a touchdown pass with 1:48 remaining, and another hard fought game should be expected again with the points being golden. VIRGINIA is 7-1 ATS L/8 as an underdog this season. 

Virginia  to cover 1 unit reg selection 

In their last seven games, Missouri has thrown for 1,024 yards and three touchdowns – just one scoring throw in the last six games. Last week alone, Arkansas threw for 406 yards and seven touchdowns. With that said, you have to be able to score to beat Arkansas . Ok, I know Missouri has a solid D, but as the game progresses the consistent pressure of facing a big time offense will wear on them , and the Hogs will roll to a DD victory and cover. 

Arkansas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Troy had looked good in three straight games prior to a loss to Southern Georgia last time out. They beat New Mexico State and LA Monroe and took an explosive Appalachian State side to the end in a 44-41 shoot out.  Meanwhile, Georgia State despite of two straight wins, is still a team that according to my numbers- is the less superior team in this matchup.  Troy is 12-3 ATS L/15 after 1 or more consecutive losses. 

Troy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Marshall has won 7 of their L/8 and are being disrespected on the line here in an important conference matchup. I know how explosive Western Kentucky is, but the Thundering Herd own an elite D, that is more than capable of slowing the Hilltoppers. Last season the Herd lost a 67-66 shootout vs Western Kentucky. But now wide awake and with revenge on board, Im betting the Herd  who are 14-3 SU L/17 away from home give the Hilltoppers all they can handle. The Hilltoppers are 2-10 ATS as favorites versus .500 or greater opponents, including 0-7 ATS at home.

Marshall to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Aaron Rodgers and company looked like they broke out of an mid season slump with a win vs the Vikings last week on the road. Now here at home at Lambeau they get to really get back in form in front of their own fans on Thanksgiving Day. Rodgers is one of the top two QBs in the NFL, and Im betting we see why here at the Packers roll up the Bears in lopsided fashion. 

Aaron Rodgers  is 16-3 SU and 14-5 ATS in division games throughout his career from Game Eleven out, as well as 13-3 SUATS all-time against the Bears including 11-1 SUATS when not laying double-digits.

Bears are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 vs. NFC North.Packers are 40-18 ATS in their last 58 vs. NFC North.Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Green Bay Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Texas has won and covered five straight in this series, while Texas Tech is 2-10 ATS L/12 on the road in big 12 conference action. HC Strong of the Longhorns, needs win badly to secure a bowl game, and his team will play hard against a Texas Tech side with swiss cheese D, allowing 550 ypg, that ranks 121st in the nation .Coming into this game, the Red Raiders have accrued just 15 sacks in 11 games. On both a per-game and aggregate basis, this is by far the worst team in the conference at getting to the quarterback, which is not good vs a young QB in Heard, who when given time is dangerous.

 HC Strong vs the Red Raiders HC JKingsbry has seen his teams win by 25 and 21 points respectively and another big out put Im betting is on todays  agenda. 

Texas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I know everyone and his dog would love to watch QB Tony Romo and  the Dallas Cowboys , end the Carolina Panthers perfect season. But the truth is , Carolina is for real, and will be wide awake for this game. 

QB Cam Newton is 8-0 SU and 7-0-1 ATS in his NFL career versus a sub .500 foe off a win.

Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.

Panthers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Eagles have not lived up to expectations this season. In their last action, Philadelphia was a 45-17 loser at home against the Buccaneers.Meanwhile, Motown after a slow start are now playing very good football behind a defense that is surprisingly tough. The Lions were a 18-13 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Raiders and look like the right side here.

Eagles are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.Eagles are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Detroit Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection

The 9-0 New England Patriots will go helmut to helmut with  the 5-4 Buffalo Bills in Week 11, in a rematch of their second game of the season. In the first meeting The Pats took a  40-32 victory over the Bills, in a game that may not really been as close as the score indicates, as the Bills were down 37-12 at one point .

 In Tom Brady‘s career, he has gone 95-15 SU at home, throwing 204 touchdowns and 54 interceptions, and laying TD with him at this juncture of the season, in his own back yard screams value. Yes, the Bills did pull of an upset , at Gillette stadium last season, ending the Pats 35 game run, at home win streak vs AFC opponents, and a 16 game home win streak overall, but that occurrence will have Brady and company wide awake.

The Bills,have dropped 27 of their last 30 meetings with the Patriots.

New England 8-1 ATS L/9 in home games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points per game with an average win coming by 18.1 ppg.

Play on the New England Patriots to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Bengals (8-1) produced a season-low 256 yards while failing to score a touchdown for the first time this year in a 10-6 loss to Houston on Monday and Im betting here on short rest that negative energy to transmit into this week. Andy Dalton posted his lowest passer rating (61.0), yardage total (197) and completion percentage (57.9) of 2015.

Meanwhile, Arizona (7-2) has won two straight games, both on the road, and Palmer shined in each. He totaled 737 yards and seven touchdowns, throwing for 363 with three TDs in a 39-32 victory over Seattle last Sunday. Arizona has topped 400 yards in four consecutive games and are well equipped to take a part the Bengals top tier D. 

 Home teams like the Cardinals  off an upset win as a road underdog, in a game involving two top-level teams with .750 win percentages or better are 25 -4 ATS L/29 .  

Arizona Cardinals to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Green Bay (6-3) has given up its spot atop the division this past week after losing its third straight game. Meanwhile, Minnesota (7-2) is on a five-game winning streak and will have home-field advantage .Sunday's matchup will feature two teams heading in opposite directions and playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. 

Rodgers one of the leagues premier QBs  just does not seem himself, and could be playing with nagging injuries after all the hits he has taken of late.Rodgers has been sacked 11 times in the last three games—the same sack total he had in the first six games combined. 

Meanwhile, the Vikings have allowed just 17.1 points per game—the second-best mark in the NFL—while their pass defense is giving up the eighth-fewest yards through the air at 228 ypg.

Vikings RB Peterson has a history of  crushing Green Bay , and this Sunday Im betting will be no different. Add to that the  Vikings quarterback Teddy Bridgewater is also starting to look like a very viable QB, and looks very much the Packers are in trouble and on the verge of their third straight loss. 

Minnesota Vikings QB Teddy Bridgewater is 17-4 ATS as a starter in the NFL, including 12-1 ATS in games where the Vikings are in revenge mode .

Minnesota Vikings to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Defense long has been the key component of Rocky Long-coached teams, and no one in the Mountain West is playing better defense than San Diego State is right now .

San Diego State has held its past 13 Mountain West opponents to less than 400 yards. The Aztecs are allowing just 287 yards per game this season and rank first in the league and sixth nationally.The Aztecs have allowed single digits in points four times this season.Long has been known for his 3-3-5 defense that is designed to bring pressure and create confusion for opposing offenses and Im betting that gives the host UNLV Rebels a boat load full of problems tonight. 

SD State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Louisville ranks 14th in the nation in total defense, giving up 311 yards per game and 11th in the country in rushing defense, allowing only 109 yard per contest. They are 34th in scoring defense, giving up only 22.3 points a game. Pittsburgh's offense has struggled at time this season, and this one will be no different.

I know the Cardinals offense remains inconsistent but QB  Bolin has been explosive at times this season ,while the Panthers secondary has been a part of some very long days this season, and could once again be smashed and gashed for a lot of yardage.

Louisville to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ohio State football program enters this Big 10 matchup  on a 23 game win streak, as they get their first test of the season this week vs Michigan State. In some ways they have toyed with their competition and seemed less than impressive because of this. But now with something real to play for Im expecting we see the very best of the Buckeyes here, which is bad news for the Spartans. 

"We haven't really been tested," left tackle Taylor Decker said. "This is a huge gauge for us going into some of the biggest games at the end of the season, because this is the biggest game we've played yet this season.

Note: Spartans quarterback Connor Cook hurt his shoulder in last Saturday's 24-7 home win over Maryland.( This is not good news for Michigan State and part of the reason I like the Buckeyes to romp this week).

Ohio ST is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs. top tier  teams that are  outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season like Michigan State winning SU by an average of 26 ppg. The Buckeyes are also 16-6 ATS L/22 as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992.

Ohio State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium, Akron, Ohio

Akron and Buffalo enter this game with identical 5-5 records, but my own numbers suggest that the Bulls have faced the superior competetion.Buffalo stands 5-5 overall and 3-3 in MAC play after a  hard fought 41-30 loss to Northern Illinois on Nov. 11. after a 3 game win streak,  which is a top tier team , and will have them well prepared for Akron.

Last year, Buffalo cruised to a 55-24 win over Akron at UB Stadium and matchup very well vs Akron.

The Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings

AKRON is 0-10 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games.

Buffalo to cover 2 unit Top selection -Generals Club Double Down Top Ticket 

Jim Harbaugh is known to be a relentless individual whose staff and players can get pretty burned out as a season progresses. The head man at Michigan is definitely an A personality. but that is not always a good thing.  Their exhausted state was evident last week vs  league-winless Indiana on Saturday barley getting the nod in OT. With Penn State  6-0 at home and coming off a needed bye week into Senior Day, I like the Nittany Lions' energy prospects much better than Michigan's.

Penn State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Air Force is on a four-game winning streak, with senior Karson Roberts  establishing himself at quarterback and playing the best football of his career.He's been spectacular during the past two wins.The surprise has been in his passing. In wins over Army and Utah State, Roberts completed 17 of 28 passes for 427 yards, or 23.7 yards per completion. This kid is now thriving in a option offense, which Im betting will give a over rated Boise State team some concerns tonight. 

Take the points 

Air Force to cover 1 unit reg selection 

UL Monroe(0-7) QB Garrett Smith should have no problem picking apart a Texas State (1-5) defense that has been porous all season long. Smith 2,033 yards and 17 touchdowns and is second on the team in rushing with 359 yard. With the under achieving Todd Berry now gone as the HC of the Warhawks Im betting the team will be feel rejuvenated and come out here and play hard vs a side that allowed 59, 49, 37, 31, 41 points in thier 5 losses. 

UL Monroe is 17-4 ATS  in road games when playing against a lower tier team with a win percentage of .250 or less.Texas State is 0-6 ATS L/6  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record.UL Monroe is 18-5 ATS L/23 as a road underdog of 7 points or less.

UL Monroe to cover 1 unit reg selection 

UCF (0-10)has had alot of problems this season, and just about anyone has followed them knows this. However, they do go against a East Carolina side   that has suddenly begun to show, alot of glaring deficiencies  , on offense  as they have scored just 14, 13, and 17 points respectively in their L/3 games. I know UCF has struggled against opposing teams passing attack, but with a two QB system now implemented by the Pirates, by two inefficient passers I'm betting sees them falter. 

E.Carolina is 0-9 ATS L/9  vs. poor passing defenses like UCF allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or less dating back to last season. E.Carolina s 2-12 ATS L/14 against conference opponents  Pirates are off aweek of rest but in the past .McNeill is just  2-10 ATS L/12 after a bye week as the coach of the Pirates.

Central Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection 

When these teams met last season the name of the  game for the  the Rockets was establishing the run. They implemented their game plan perfectly and  ran for 325 yards and four touchdowns. Running back Kareem Hunt smashed through the  Flacons for 265 yards on 30 attempts. Im betting they plan on on force feeding the Bowling Green D, with run after run while at the same time  keeping them honest with a well timed deep throws. On the flidside Toledos D, is an elite group, and will give Bowling Greens explosive offense some problems. Three of the last four meetings between these two programs were decided by a touchdown or less. The Rockets have won five consecutive meetings against the Falcons and wont be surprised my another outright win here as underdogs. But the safest and smartest play would be to take the points, and that is what Im recommending we do. 

Toledo to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Arizona is 12-2 since the start of last season when Carson Palmer plays and he is expected to start tonight. The 35-year-old leads the conference with a 110.2 passer rating and 20 touchdowns.Arizona ranks second in scoring (32.9) and fourth in total offense and passing yards and are a dangerous group and a threat to upend a Seahawks D, that no longer sends fear into opposing sides. They go against a Seattle team that has progressively gone down hill since the 4th quarter of last years Super Bowl where they blew a lead and lost. 

Arizona is  9-1 ATS L/10 off a non-conference game over the last  few seaons and 21-9 ATS L/30 vs conference opposition 

Cardinals to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Kansas City Chiefs (3-5) travel to take on the Denver Broncos (7-1) in an AFC West matchup with plenty of implications for both teams moving forward. The Chiefs have had two weeks to prepare for their game against the Broncos this weekend, which could give them the upper hand in game planning and strategy. These teams usually play close games as fierce divisional rivals and Im betting nothing changes here Sunday.

Chiefs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

New England (8-0) is among three unbeaten teams. Brady leads the league with 22 touchdown passes as he guides an offense producing an NFL-high 34.5 points per game with a league-best 31 TDs. The Patriots will be up against a New York defense allowing a league-worst 429.4 yards a contest. Im betting Brady who has a chip on his shoulder, after listening the media consistently telling him how his team has failed in the past vs the Giants team that has  captured the last three meetings with the Patriots. Im betting Brady gets his  revenge .  11-2 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better. Pats 7-0 ATS L/7 after outgaining opp by 150 or more total yards in their previous game winning SU by an average of 21 points per game.

Patriots to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Ravens and Jaguars both enter Sunday’s game with 2-6 records.The Jaguars are coming off a exhausting, physical 28-23 loss to the New York Jets. The Ravens are coming off the bye.

The Ravens have won 11 of their last 13 games following a bye SU, dating back to 2002. That’s the second-best mark in the NFL over that time. They are 6-1 SU under Head Coach John Harbaugh after byes. Considering how desperate they are, and that the line remains low side of a TD, Im betting we have an edge with the home team. It must be nored that the Jacksonville Jaguars have lost 13 consecutive road tilts.

Baltimore Ravens to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Miami's defense has looked atrocious in consecutive losses of 36-7 at New England on Oct. 29 and 33-17 at Buffalo last time out. They now   go against  a Eagles side that are averaging 438.8 total yards and 28.8 points in their last four games. This game looks very much like a one sided affair. 

Miami is 0-7 ATS L/7 after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last couple of seasons. Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS  L/9  in November games winning SU by ana verage of 11.1 ppg. 

Philadelphia Eagles to cover 1 unit reg selection

 This is a big time PAC 12 event between two top tier teams, Oregon and Stanford. Stanford is the favorite here for only the second time in the L/14 meetings, and they coincidently lost both times they laid points in this series.

Oregon has seemed less than motivated at times this season, but Im betting we see theme putting forward one of their  best efforts this week vs the Cardinal. Oregon has covered 6 straight as underdogs and have won SU 5 of those 6 times. With that said, under estimating the Ducks could be dangerous to your bankrolls, and thus we recommend backing the Oregon Ducks in this spot. 

Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Red Raiders have dropped their last three games, and look very vulnerable at the moment vs a desperate Kansas State side that despite of playing some overall good football, have lost 5 straight and 4 to ranked opponents with the only clunker vs Oklahoma after losing to TCU the week before in heart breaking fashion. 

The Wildcats viable rush attack has the edge over a  Texas Tech D, that  gave up 300 yards rushing in its loss at West Virginia lat time out . The Red Raiders have given up 33 rushing TDs and 273.6 yards rushing per game and have the third worst rush defense in the nation.Kansas State QB Joe Hubene 6-4, 205-pounder has been effective running the ball, gaining 411 yards and scoring eight TDs. Kansas State 32-12 ATS (L/44 when they rush for 200 to 250 yards outscoring their opponents by an average of 23.7 ppg.

Kansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Following a 49-29 win over TCU, the fifth-ranked Cowboys have suddenly inserted themselves into consideration for the College Football Playoff. The coaching staff knows that win means nothing if they can't keep the pedal to medal. This week has seen motivational specialists working hard to get the team ready for a Iowa State side that would love nothing more than to pull an upset. 

Iowa State  is just 11-26 ATS  vs. excellent passing teams averaging 8.5 or more passing yards per attempts losing SU by an average of 22.7 ppg. Gundy is 14-3 ATS  vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points per game winning SU 25.3 ppg .

Oklahoma State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Navy (7-1) ruined the unbeaten season of then-No. 15 Memphis with an big time  45-20 road victory last Saturday and will now be in a let down situation against a SMU team they may very well be over looking .

It must be noted that Navy has failed to cover 14 straight times at home off a SU underdog win.  SMU despite of being over matched  are viable, underdogs, as they average 30 points and an average of 412 ypg. 

SMU to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Arkansas State is morphing into a Sun Belt power house. These teams plays fast and furious and are a bad matchup for UL Monroe side that has lost 15 o their L/16 SU vs FBS teams and have allowed 50+ points 3 times this season. 

The Red Wolves have a bye next week, so Im betting they won;t  start slow this week and leave everything on field and have no let down after upending top tier App State program last week 40-27. UL Monroes HC Berry is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games vs teams like Arkansas State that rush for 200 yards or more per game losing SU 19.1 ppg. 

Play on the Arkansas State Red Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 With the dream of a College Football Playoff berth still on the table, the 11th-ranked Gators will be primed to perform this week vs a . South Carolina football program that  ranks toward the bottom of the conference by coughing up 428.0 total yards and 27.3 points per game.Flip over to Florida and the defensive numbers rank toward the top of the SEC at averages of 288.8 yards and 14.6 points. Wht Im betting happens is that South Carolina gets very little traction of offense, while their defense gets gashed. South Carolina upset Florida last season, 23-20, so with pay back on the agenda the Gators will be wide awake and ready to perform. 

Play on the Florida Gators to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 S.Alabama had to come from behind to beat bottom feeders Idaho last week. Before that they lost 3 of 4.  Meanwhile, UL Lafayette  has won 3 of their L/4, with the lone loss coming to power house Arkansas State.

The Ragin Cajuns continue to look like viable Sun Belt football program. 

Needless to say, from a matchup stand point, the Jaguars very much look like weak home favs here. 

S ALABAMA is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games against conference opponents and just 1-11 ATS L/12 in weeks 10- through 13

UL Lafayette to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Frank Beamer the soon to be retired coach of the Virginia Tech Hokies has made me alot of money over the years and tonight Im going back the ol ball coach again.( It must be noted Vtech is 14-4 ATS L/18 on the road as an underdog of 3. to 7 points.)

Im betting GTech (1-6) won't be as motivated as the Hokies, as the visitors have revenge on board for  a 27-24 loss in this series last year. Beamer is 25-9 ATS as in underdog off a loss the previous year, including 10-0 ATS from game 10 out.

It must also be noted that Gtech has failed to cover all 4 times they were favs in conference play this season. 

Virginia Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Northern Illinois proved how strong of a team they have this season, when they beat ranked Toledo last week 32-27 in the Glass Bowl. Northern Illinois as they proved with their previous victory vs the Rockets have no problems traveling as is evident by a 21-2 L/23 conference road mark which includes failing to cover only 4 of those tilts. The Huskies are also a perfect 12-0 SU/ATS vs a foe off a win under these above parameters, which the Buffaloes achieved last week in a 18-17 win vs Kent. Northern Illinois has also owned this series vs the Buffaloes, winning 7 straight, and have 5 of 7 times, all as DD favs. Now with a single digit number attached at under a TD, this game becomes a take on the road favorite. Note: HC Carey is a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 on the road in November as coach of the Huskies with the average margin of victory coming by an average of 16.4 ppg. The Huskies are  12-0 ATS  L/12 off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog winning SU by an average of 21.8 ppg. 

 Northern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Oakland Raiders have come long way, but Im betting the pundits and lines-makers are getting ahead of themselves. Pittsburgh after getting frustrated last week vs Cincinnati's stingy defense, and Rothlisberger now having dusted off some rust after an exteneded lay off will be ready to take advantage of Raiders D, that has allowed an average of 302.1 pypg, ranking them 31st in the league. The Raiders are 4-16 ATS in road games against AFC North division opponents and 4-18 ATS L/22 off a home underdog win(which happened last time out). Meanwhile, the The Steelers have lsot 2 straight but  are 8-0 ATS  after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games over the last few  seasons. HC Tomlin of the Steelers 11-3 ATS  in home games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game like Oakland winning SU by DDs. 

Note: I know LeVon Bell is out for the season, but veteran DeAngelo Williams according to  my own RB power rankings is everybit as usable as Bell, and some ways even more versatile.

Pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Memphis has shown themselves to have a very good team this season, and have a signature win under their belts with a win vs sec power house Ole Miss. But now comes, Navy's triple option offense. Im betting that the Middies run game and ability to control the Tigers fast snap attack, will be the difference maker this week. This one has the smell of a real stinker, for undefeated Memphis who have big games against Houston and Temple on board. NAVY is 17-4 ATS L/21 as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points.

Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection

Alot has been made about how many defensive injuries the UCLA Bruins endured last week, but this week, after some practice their significant talent on the sidelines will step up against Oregon State this week. Its not like UCLA was strong defensively anyway, as the team relies on an explosive offense to pound other teams into submission. It must be noted that the Beavers have been outscored 182-87 during their five conference defeats, and only a minor miracle will keep them from getting slashed again.Oregon State upset the 19th-ranked Bruins 27-20 on the road in the previous meeting in 2012, so the Bruins wont be caught looking ahead after almost losing last week to Colorado.

OREGON ST is 2-9 ATS  as an underdog over the last couple of seasons losing SU by an average of just under 20 ppg.

UCLA to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Wisconsin has an amazing defense that just keeps getting better. Maryland is a feisty team, but their offense is erratic and they wont get very much traction at all here today. On the flip-side , Wisconsin is now starting to find an offensive rhythm, as they scored 48 points last time out, and should do some decent damage vs a Terps D, that has allowed 49, 31, 31 points in their L/3 games. Wisconsin crushed Maryland last year 52-7 and even with revenge on board for the home team, they dont have the weapons to get their payback, and instead the Badgers most probably  will crush them again. 

MARYLAND is 2-10 ATS L/12  vs. elite defensive teams who give up 12 or less points per game losing SU by an average 26.5 ppg. 

Wisconsin to cover 1 unit reg selection

Notre Dame is lucky to be 7-1 on the season, as they rank 98th in red-zone offense - worst among Top 25 teams - scoring on only 78.8 percent of its chances and getting touchdowns on only 58 percent of their red-zone possessions. Talk about the luck of the Irish. Im betting this week, that luck runs out vs an under rated Pittsburgh football program. Pittsburgh lost last time out to North Carolina 26-19 , but still looked viable by slowing down the Tarheels offense as the game progressed .Thats a good omen for the Panthers this week, vs a Notre Dame team that took some scrapes and is banged up off a win vs Temple last week.The last four meetings have been decided by an average of 4.5 points. Notre Dame last visited Pittsburgh in 2013, when the Panthers beat the No. 23 Irish 28-21. Im betting on another close one here.

pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 After losing a hard fought game to Notre Dame last week, the Owls can ill afford a let down performance or another loss, or their time in the spot light will come to an end. The coaching staff knows this and will have Temple ready to play."As I told them before the game, this better not be the high point of our season," coach Matt Rhule said. "I think it just shows how good they've gotten, and they have to go finish it now."Rhule said his team may be without "a number of starters" against SMU, including running back Jahad Thomas but the back up options are solid. I have said this before and Ill say it again, RBs in College football are a dime a dozen, and Im not worried in the slightest. With SMU defense allowing an average of 46.7 points per game and some of their best D players alos missing this game with injurues, their suceptiable to getting slashed again . With that said Temples offense should do just fine, while their top tier defense, will give the 1-7 Mustangs alot of agony. SMU has dropped 23 of its last 25  games to ranked opponents, including the last nine, and I expect they lose this game in conclusive fashion again.

Temple to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Appalachian State can take one more step toward its first Sun Belt Conference football title under the lights, in front of a national audience Thursday night.  They will prepared for a fast paced uptempo attack from Arkansas State who may now believe that is the way to take down the Mountaineers after Troy played fast and almost beat the Mounties who seemed off guard for that type of speed. Applachian State will now be prepared to slow things down, and let their hardcore defense, stop Arkansas State cold. It must be noted that they had allowed 0, 13, 3, 14, 13 points respectively in 5 straight games before last weeks anomaly.The difference, between Troy’s offense and Arkansas States's is that they rely more heavily on quick timing routes and screen passes. Arkansas State leans on the run, averaging 224 yards on the ground – 16th in the nation.Both times Appalachian State allowed more than 13 points this season were the only times the Mountaineers have allowed more than 200 passing yards. Passing hasn’t been a strength of the Red Wolves, who average 185 yards (104th overall) so Im betting their in trouble here. App States offense can be explosive and Im betting that Arkansas State won't be able to answer consistently and end up on the wrong end of a lop sided score.

Arkansas State  is 8-25 ATS L/33 against top tier  rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards per carry.

App State to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Kansas State is a good but currently struggling team, losers of four in a row. And the No. 2 Bears are unbeaten and moving toward college football's playoff as they head to Manhattan on Thursday night.The Bears may be the heavily favored group with national championship aspirations , but their recent shake-up at quarterback leaves some significant question marks.Freshman Jarrett Stidham, a year removed from leading his team to the Texas high school playoffs, will be under center for this tilt. That is alot of pressure to be playing nder  here in Manhatten against a Billy Snyder football program.

The wind was taken out of the Wildcats sails, when they blew a big halftime lead to TCU and eventually lost a few weeks ago. That defeat really hurt these young men and they have come out emotionally flat in back to back games, and now have something to prove to themselves and an allumni that has lost interest in them. Im betting on a big game from these kids, and yes maybe even a historical upset as huge home dogs.

 Kansas State is 23-9 ATS in home games off a road loss against a conference rival since 1992. HC Snyder is 20-8 ATS L/28 in home games versus good rushing teams -averaging 200+ rushing yards per game.

Kansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection

Carolina leads the NFL with 144.7 yards per game and has gained at least 100 in 17 straight contests. QB Newton, who averages 4.5 yards per carry, also has four rushing TDs and despite of some down field inadequacies does very well, as the leader of this offense . Many pundits continue to discount Carolina, and that is why they play so hard. This team has cultured an old school grinding mentality that suits them well. Here is a quote that shines light, on the thought process of the Panthers as a team. "We've been doing a pretty good job of maintaining our focus and understanding what we've accomplished so far," quarterback Cam Newton said. "We're not satisfied with what we've done. Is it good? Yes, but at the same time we're still trying to conquer things that people said we couldn't do, and surprising ourselves at the same time."

Last week the Panthers showed no letdown after beating Seattle in their own backyard the previous week, and Im betting they will be concentrated at the work at hand this week. Meanwhile, Indianapolis continues to live on the past laurels of  QB Andrew Luck, and have yet to display any recent successes they have had during this current season despite of leading the AFC South at the moment. ( The AFC South by the way is the worst in the league right now). With that said, the Colts are justifiably a TD underdog in this spot, and could easily get torched for a DD loss, behind a porous D  that ranks last in the league by allowing an average of 408.6 total yards per game and  24.9 points per tilt.Note: hC Rivera of Carolina is 12-4 ATS L/16 vs Swiss cheese defenses like Indy owns that allow 375 or more yards per game winning those contests SU by an average of 8.2 ppg. 

Play on the Carolina Panthers 1 unit reg selection 

Future HOF QB Peyton Manning after a much needed rest is ready to show the football world that he still has what it takes to be considered and elite pivot in this league. He goes against one of top two QBs in football Aaron Rodgers.  Green Bay is the overall superior team, but Im not sold on the 3 point road chalk status, especially considering that despite of 4 straight road covers dating back to last season, the Packers have not been a solid road best failing to cover 11 of their previous 17 trips. It must also be noted that the Broncos defense, has become a top tier unit, so Rodgers and company will have a harder time moving the ball than might be expected.Denver is 12-3 ATS  in home games vs. top tier teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG and 16-4 ATS  when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992 and 21-9 ATS L/30 after a bye week. Manning is also 26-4 SU at home with the Broncos 

The old super star has at least one more big game in him and goes this Sunday night.

Denver broncos to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Seahawks caught fire in Week 7 last year, winning nine of final 10 and Im betting that their rockets just launched last week, when they suffocated SF in a start to finish dominator.

The Seahawks are 3-4, but they get a Tony Romo-less Cowboys team in Dallas this week and instead will face pick machine Matt Cassels. With the Hawks ready to go into a bye week Im betting they leave it all on the field here today.

Note: Seattle has covered 6 straight before a bye week . Seahawks are also  6-0 ATS L/6 when playing against a lower tier team with a Win % of .250  to .400  over the last three  seasons, winning SU by an average of 18 ppg.

Seattle to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Bucs grabbed a 24-0 lead against Washington, only to allow the Redskins to rally and take a 31-30 decision. That is a huge confidence blow to this team, and Im betting they come flat here this Sunday. ( Smith is 1-10 ATS  after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game in all games he has coached.)Meanwhile, Atlanta outgained Tennessee by 120 yards, last week and outrushed the Titans 127-77 and won time of possession by a 35-25 margin and still just squeaked by 10-7. They have proven to be a versatile team and should be ready for bigger and better performance tihis week vs a TB side, that just has not figured out a way to win , despite of some decent talent. For the season, Atlanta has outgained five of seven opponents and outrushed six of seven and will win the numbers game and cover it today in their dome. 

Play on Altanta to cover 1 unit reg selection   

The Baltimore Ravens (1-6) have been hard luck team this season. Bad breaks, bad timing and inopportune mistakes at the worst possible junctures of game.  The Ravens have been a negative surprise team in the NFL this season. The Ravens are the first team in NFL history to lose six of their first seven games by no more than one score. (The Ravens' six losses have been decided by a total of 30 points).  This is the best losing team you will ever get at a FG or less, and Im willing to back it with a solid wagering stance."A lot of teams would fold in this situation, but not the Ravens. That's not going to happen," Harbaugh said. "We will be writing the story, and it's going to be a really interesting story to read before it's all said and done."San Diego is 2-10 ATS L/12 vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better losing SU by an average of 8.3 ppg.Harbaugh is 11-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach

Baltimore Ravens to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 I know alot of you are saying Im crazy, and maybe your right. Analysts on ESPN said,  that Temple had no chance of upsetting Notre Dame and were quite obnoxious about they way they put it. These same guys also said, that Memphis could not beat Ole Miss. Guess what , happened, Memphis beat them. Is Ole Miss as good as Notre Dame, ya, I would say so.  Im saying dont be shy making this bet and Don't take this very strong Owls defense lightly. Of course the Irish will come out slinging, but Temple, will play a clock game, and have the D to slow down the Irish at home and a special teams unit that can change the complexion of any game in a hurry. On the flip-side, Notre Dames defense has proven itself very inconsistent, so don't be surprised if they give up more points than many expect.

Once looked at as the eleventh or twelfth most-important game on Notre Dame’s schedule, Saturday could very well be the most important game in Temple football history.

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 Temple is ranked 14th nationally in total defense and eighth in scoring defense. DEFENSE wins big games. But we don't need a SU upset win, but a competitive event, with the points being golden.

In week 2 Notre Dame barely beat a Virginia team that I rate as lower than Temple, by a 34-27 count failing to cover as -14 point road chalk.

Also from a league wide trend, it must be noted that teams like Temple have won 29 of 31 times straight up under these parameters ....A home team vs. the money line  allowing 225 or less total yards per game over their last 3 games against opposition  after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game like Notre Dame just did.  

Notre Dame is also just  10-26 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 4.5 or less yards/play since 1992.

Temple to cover 2 unit  selection -Game of the Year - Generals Club Double Down TOP selection 

Georgia wants this game badly, and come into this contest in revenge mode for last seasons , 38-20 loss as 11.5 point chalk vs Florida. The Bulldogs can not afford another loss, and will leave everything on the field here today, making getting points a strong play . When considering both teams talent levels, I would have said, at the begining of this season, that Georgia would be the road favorite. but thanks to the Gators playing above themselves to an extent we get to bet into a FG underdog line.  I expect Georgia to use their vaunted ground attack to run the ball down the throat of host reptiles for top tier results and a cover.

Georgia to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Southern Cal just snapped a two-game losing streak last week, knocking off previously unbeaten Utah 42-24, covering as a six-point home favorite. This was an emotionally charged event, mostly because of the  Sarkasian  firing, as the former coach was mismanaging  the team, because of alcohol problems. This Trojans team  has been put through alot of highs and lows this season, and not to take away from their talents, but they must be drained , rather than rejuvenated as they enter this tilt vs California. Meanwhile, Cal is coming off its poorest performance of this season, a 40-24 loss at UCLA last Thursday.  That was a letdown game for the Bears, after having out gianed Utah in their last trip to the gridiron  and still lost thanks to 6 turnovers. Now with time to regroup, this top tier Bears group will be ready to fire on all cylinders, something they can do with the best of teams, as they proved in their 5-0 start this season  behind gunslinger QB Jared Goff.

California to cover 1 unit reg selection 

When you first look at this line, its looks a little out of whack. Is Rutgers really that bad, and are the Badgers really that good.  Well , the lines-makers rarely make mistakes, and its become obvious to some of us, that yes Rutgers is pretty bad,  and that the Badgers continue to improve. Also many believe that the Badgers are a defensive clock control team, that does not win by big margins. While that maybe true to an extent, if you look at some of their recent performances, what becomes evident is that teams are having a hard time moving the chains on them and scoring. With Rutgers defense, shabby at best, even a pedestrian effort from the the Badgers offense will see them put in the high 20s  to low 30s on the board, while, Rutgers will be lucky to score more than 10 points  after getting beat up in a 49-7 loss to Ohio State las week. Defensively, Wisky is allowing 11.1 points and 279.9 yards per game.Yes Wisconsin has some injuries, but all the backups who take their place are quailty recruits with playing time behind them and they wont flinch.Rutgers also has some key players expected to miss or be less than 100% including all star WR Leonte Caroo and as team are banged up vs a bruising Ohio State matchup . The Wisconsin Badgers look for another home win to string together a four-game winning streak and Im betting they get it  and more importantly cover the all important number. 

Wisconsin to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Rice has revenge on board here for a ugly  76-31 beardown last year to this LA Tech program. Batliff the HC of the Owls is 14-3-2 with revenge and is a perfect 6-0 ATS at home vs teams with a .333 win percentage or better. 

The Rice Owls are 15-1-1 ATS as conference home underdogs off a victory, including 12-0-1 the last thirteen.Bailiff Rice HC  is 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games vs. explosive offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game. Rice is 18-3 ATS  in home games after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game which happened in a win against Army last week. RICE is 12-1 ATS in home games vs. excellent passing teams like LA Tech averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. Meanwhile, LA Tech is 8-21 ATS  off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival which ahppened last week in a 45-16 smash down of Middle Tenn State.

Rice to cover 1 unit reg selection 

All of a sudden the Miami dolphins are a quality team. Since a change of coaches, they have beat up on two pathetic teams Houston and Tennessee by wide margins, and now are suddenly public darlings. Everyone needs to stop drinking the kool aid, as in the long run this team is still average at best.  Since they have caught the attention of many watchers this week, you can bet Tom Brady and his New England wrecking crew will be well prepared and wide awake, and ready to put the Fins back in their places. 

NEW ENGLAND is 8-0 ATS  in home games vs. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing 24+ yards per return over the last couple of  seasons.NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 3 seasons winning SU by 17.4 ppg .

Play on the New England Patriots to cover 1 unit reg selection