Football Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
11-15-20 | Bucs v. Panthers +6 | 46-23 | Loss | -107 | 47 h 6 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay came tumbling back down to earth last time out as they were scorched by New Orleans in last Sunday night’s 38-3 massacre. Thats the 2nd straight game the Bucs D has been smacked around . With that said Im betting on Panthers elite RB Christian McCaffrey who accumulated 151 total yards last time out vs a staunch KC D, to have another top tier performance here and be key to a cover by the home dog . . With Carolina QB Teddy Bridgewater 11-1 ATS as a dog off a loss we have a viable option here with the host getting points. Play on the Carolina Panthers to cover |
|||||||
11-14-20 | Oregon State +13.5 v. Washington | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 40 h 30 m | Show | |
The Beavers started out their season with a loss, but it must be noted that Oregon State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. and are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Having a game under their proverbial belts vs a rusty Huskies side that are playing their opener after last weekend's game at Cal was canceled due to Covid problems with the Bears. Advantage on the line = Beavers. Note: Oregon States QB Tristan Gebbia was 34 of 49 for 329 yards and a TD in that opening loss to Washington State. This kid looks special and getting points with a guy like this is a solid long term situation, Beavers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Washington. Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on Oregon State to cover |
|||||||
11-14-20 | Wisconsin v. Michigan +5 | 49-11 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 50 m | Show | |
It was ugly last week when Indiana beat Michigan for the first time in 23 trys. Now Harbaugh and company are taking a shit kicking from the media who are dumping all over him. Harbaugh is a competitor and Michigan is a proud football program with quality players , some of which are looking forward to a NFL career and that kind of embarrassing effort does not sit well, and now Im betting on a monumental bounce back situation . With that said, Im recommending we take the points and take advantage of recency bias. Hey Wisconsin is a fine team, but this spread seems like its just a tad high and possibly misplaced when looking at the bigger picture. Michigan is 23-1 SU at home in game 4s , including 5-0 SUATS with HC Harbaugh at the helm. Badgers are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Home team is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Play on Michigan to cover |
|||||||
11-14-20 | Temple +25.5 v. Central Florida | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 37 h 28 m | Show | |
UCF has Cincinnati up on deck for next week, and could easily find themselves in a look ahead situation. Considering UCFs defense ranks 105th in the country allowing an average 474 yards per game and also ranking 74th in points allowed at 31.3 per game it is feasible that Temple can put enough points on the board to provide us with a cover . I know that Temple did not look good last time out in a loss, but are rested off a bye week, and well primed/rested to perform more respectably today. Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week. Owls are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home.Owls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. Owls are 41-18 ATS in their last 59 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Owls are 22-10 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog.Owls are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 conference game. Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Knights are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Play on Temple to cover |
|||||||
11-14-20 | South Carolina v. Ole Miss -11 | 42-59 | Win | 100 | 35 h 8 m | Show | |
Ole Miss totaled more than 600 yards for the third time this season and sophomore quarterback Matt Corral earned both Davey O'Brien National Quarterback of the Week and Walter Camp National Offensive Player of the Week honors after completing 31 of 34 passes and throwing six touchdown passes without an interception. Ole Miss is ranked fifth nationally in total offense (541.0 yards per game) and is averaging 38.0 points per game. I know they take on a team with a similar 2-4 record but these two sides in their current form could not be farther apart. SEC home team like Ole Miss that scored 38-plus points in its last game if they are seeking triple revenge-exact against a conference opponent are 21-2 ATS L/30 seasons. Play on Ole Miss to cover |
|||||||
11-14-20 | Florida State v. NC State -9.5 | 22-38 | Win | 100 | 35 h 49 m | Show | |
The 4-3 Wolfpack still have bowl aspirations and will now be very motivated against a flawed FSU side that is off 48-16 loss to Louisville and 41-17 smash down vs Pittsburgh . With that said, Im betting another behind the wood shed beating is on the agenda for the Seminoles. Note: NC State loss a hard fought game last time out to Miami FL, NC State is 11-0 ATS/SU as a favorite of more than three points coming off a home loss with the average margin of victory coming by 30.3 ppg with every game easily covering this offered number by the .lines-makers. The Seminoles are 0-3 on road, with the closest result a 42-26 outcome at undefeated Notre Dame on Oct. 10. Play on NC State to cover |
|||||||
11-14-20 | SMU +1 v. Tulsa | 24-28 | Loss | -113 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
Tulsa is the undefeated team in AAC play, along with Cincy but Im betting that party comes to an end here vs the Mustangs. SMU is one of only 17 teams in FBS to average at least 7.0 yards per play. It also ranks in the top 25 in a alot of categories including Total Yards Per Game (9th)/Total Points Per Game (15th)/Passing Yards Per Attempt (15th)/Completion Percentage (24th). I know D, wins championships, but I also know getting to a championship games means you need to score, and today that will be key to a SMU win which is their ability to put mucho points on the board in bunches. Play on SMU to cover |
|||||||
11-14-20 | Northwestern v. Purdue +3 | 27-20 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 24 m | Show | |
11-14-20 | Hawaii v. San Diego State -10.5 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
San Diego State, were upset 28- 17, as a 10-point underdog last time as they fell asleep at the proverbial wheel after taking a lead. Now frustrated and ready for redemption they take on a Hawaii side off a win. Note: Hawaii is just 2-8 ATS as double-digit conference underdogs and 3-14 ATS L/17 against opposition coming off a SU favorite loss, including 0-10 ATS when Hawaii is coming into a tilt off victory. With that said, look for the Aztecs top tier D, that has allowed 223 ypg to dominant in bounce back mode. Play on San Diego State to cover |
|||||||
11-14-20 | Notre Dame v. Boston College +11.5 | 45-31 | Loss | -111 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
Notre Dame enters this tilt off a hard fought big time win in OT vs Clemson last week and will now be in a huge letdown situation vs a tough Boston College side that is not an easy out and that also played Clemson tough when they met earlier this season. The Irish are on an 0-4 ATS run as DD road favs. Meanwhile, Boston College is 8-0 ATS L/8 as a home dog of 15 or fewer points. Play Boston College to cover |
|||||||
11-14-20 | Colorado v. Stanford -7 | 35-32 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 51 m | Show | |
Stanford lost to Oregon by a 35-14 count in their opener but the game was much closer than the final score might indicate as they Cards were only out-yarded by 496-413. Meanwhile, Colorado came out swinging in their opener and beat UCLA 48-42 in a game that exposed their defence for me leading into this game. With that said Ill back Stanford here , to take advantage of the Buffs porous D, and back HC David Shaw who is 9-0 SU in home openers, with the average margin of victory coming by 24 PPG to come out on top and get the cover. Stanford to cover |
|||||||
11-14-20 | Indiana v. Michigan State +7.5 | 24-0 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 34 m | Show | |
Indiana is off ending a 23-game series losing streak to Michigan with a 38-21 victory against Michigan. You can see the emotion in that game from the Hoosiers and the celebrations afterwards. But now their in a big time emotional letdown situation that makes them susceptible to being upset. Especially with Ohio State on board which also creates a look ahead situation. Hey I know Michigan state looked horrible last time out in a DD loss, but Im betting they bring out some magic here today and get us a cover in a place where they have won 14 of the L/15 meetings in this series SU. Hoosiers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite. Hoosiers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Spartans are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog. Play on Michigan State to cover |
|||||||
11-14-20 | Army +3 v. Tulane | 12-38 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Armys offense is churning out 5.5 yards per carry in their games against FBS opponents and today Im betting that attack will remain in top gear against a Tulane run unit that has been stringent , but has yet to face a dangerous triple option. Army is 39th in the country in rushing success and sixth in power success this season. On the flipside Black Knight run D, is one of the top units in the nation allowing just 3.4 ypc ranking sixth nationally in defensive rushing success. Tulane can move the chains on the ground, but this kind of smash mouth stopping unit can make opponents dizzy. Advantage Army. Army to cover |
|||||||
11-13-20 | East Carolina +28 v. Cincinnati | 17-55 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
East Carolina QB Ahlers is on a 9:1 touchdown-to-interception run and put together his best career game against a Tulsa defense that must be considered stringent. With that said Im betting he is capable of orchestrating consistent drives and putting points up on the board today vs a staunch Cincinnati D. Considering the Bearcats have UCF on board we could easily see them in a look ahead situation and if in the lead by a big enough margin may take the pedal of metal and go into stay healthy mode , which opens up the door for a Pirates back door cover. Either way Im projecting that 4 TDs is just a tad high here and the value resides with taking points.Pirates are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Bearcats are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Play on East Carolina to cover |
|||||||
11-13-20 | Iowa v. Minnesota +3.5 | 35-7 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 8 m | Show | |
Iowa after smashing Michigan State 49-7 last week take recency bias into this game as road chalk, something i really don't think they deserve. After such a big output by Ferentz's group I can see them down trending here vs a home dog in Minnesota that must not be underestimated. The Golden Gophers are 10-5 ATS L/15 as conference home dogs, including 7-1 ATS against opposition coming off a SUATS victory like Iowa. Golden Gophers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Hawkeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Play on Minnesota to cover |
|||||||
11-12-20 | Colts +1 v. Titans | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
Tonight Im betting on a the Colts side that are allowing only 1.25 passing TDs per game to have a bounce back performance off a loss last time out vs a strong Baltimore side. Indianapolis also has the No. 2 ranked run defense and with Darius Leonard back in the lineup and at 100% this Colts team looks dangerous. Tonight is a classic top tier offence vs defence matchup and as usually the case the D will be key to a win. Note: The Colts have won 19 of the last 23 meetings and get my support to turn the trick again. Colts are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.Colts are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.Titans are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Tennessee has failed to cash 12 of their L/15 as home favorites when coming off a win of 7 or more points. Meanwhile, the Colts are 10-2 ATS iL/12 in Thursday night tilts as visitors and are 9-1 ATS as underdog after scoring fewer than 14 points in their last trip to the gridiron. Colts are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Tennessee.Colts are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 meetings.Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on Indianapolis to cover |
|||||||
11-12-20 | Colorado State v. Boise State -13.5 | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
BYU smashed Boise State at home on the Blue carpet in embarrassing fashion last time out, their worst defeat since a 64-19 blowout by in state rivals Idaho back in 1996. Broncos, seemed to just lose their drive to compete, when starter Hank Bachmeier was ruled out pregame and backup Jack Sears left very early in the game. Everything imploded from there, and now after being throttled and the laughing stock of Mountain West for a week, Im betting HC Harsin will have his squad ready to rebound in a big way here this week, as his QB situation looks to be back to normal. Note: Boise State is 12-2 SU/ 11-3 ATS off a defeat where they allowed more than 36 points. Wyoming, which for a long time has seen a lack of a consistent aerial attack, had 10 passes of at least 15 yards last Thursday night in a loss to the Rams and Im betting will get torched here this evening.Colorado State has also been one of the worst teams in College Football in coverage and defensive finishing drives and should be ripe to be smashed here vs an angry redemption minded group of Broncos who will not take the pedal off the medal til the very end in this spot. I know this is the Broncos 3rd game in 13 days, but these young guys are well conditioned and Boise State has never lost a Thursday night game in the history of the program, and tonight Im betting it comes by more than this posted line. Rams are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on Boise State to cover |
|||||||
11-11-20 | Central Michigan -7.5 v. Northern Illinois | 40-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Central Michigan after an impressive season returns 70% of its offensive production from last campaign, and Im betting they take advantage of N.Illinois Huskies side off a loss to Buffalo in week one allowing 49 points and failing to cover. CMU also owned the second-best defense in the MAC last season and returned 77% of production to a unit that ranked 40th in the country in Success Rate and 24th against the run behind a front seven. Ranked No. 1 in the nation in Stuff Rate in 2019. I think some pundits were impressed by the Huskies ability to look cohesive enough to hang with Buffalo, but the program was confident knowing they had not lost to Buffalo in more than 28 years. Anyway my projections are telling me we have a mismatch here and that the favorite is highly likely to win by DDs. In last season’s meeting, the Chippewas crushed the Huskies, 48-10 and out-gained NIU, 615-251 and a rinse and repeat situation vs an inexperienced sled dogs is not out of the question. It must be noted that the Chips are 8-2 SU and 9-0-1 ATS on Wednesdays, and 5-1 ATS in their last six lined road openers. Play on Central Michigan to cover |
|||||||
11-11-20 | Eastern Michigan v. Ball State -8 | 31-38 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
E.Michigan has a reputation for covering as underdogs and stayed within the numbers in a 27-23 loss, in game 1 despite of a less than average performance and also thanks in part in Kent State inability to kick a late FG for the cover. Now alot of pundits are on the Eagles again, maybe because of their reputation and because of Ball State loss to Miami O. A game that Ball State probably deserved to win when looking at the data. Anyway as far as todays game goes, it must be noted that E. Michigan ranks 124th overall in returning production this season and 116th on offense and . 112th on defense. I know Creighton is a fine coach but the rebuilding.restocking inexperienced Eagles, Im betting just dont have the guns to hang with a cranky Ball State side that has won 10 straight home openers. Play on Ball State to cover |
|||||||
11-10-20 | Miami-OH v. Buffalo -9.5 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
The RedHawks’ are off a come from behind win vs Ball State in their very physical opener, and could now find themselves in a letdown spot on the road road with their QB situation being a big question mark for the game as starter Brett Gabbert could still be in concussion protocol. . Tonight Im betting the Buffs to come out of this with a cover and victory behind the legs of their backfield super star Patterson who has 35 career rushing TDs and just short of 3000 yards. Note Miami allowed 195 yards and three touchdowns last week on the ground and should be cannon fodder in this spot as visitors. RedHawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.RedHawks are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 Tuesday games. Bulls are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games. Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. Bulls are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 conference games. Bulls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Play on Buffalo to cover |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Saints +4.5 v. Bucs | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 59 h 46 m | Show | |
The Saints must not be discounted here as underdogs according to my projections. The Saints’ last five games have all been one-score tilts with the Saints notching the victory in their their last three trips to the gridiron, I know TB are now public darlings with Tom Brady at the helm of the offence, but their has been progressively more Chinks in the armour of the future HOF. Hes missing snap counts, and not seeing the field as consistently as he once did and his team also looked flat as big favs vs the giants last week . Father time remains undefeated and these type of inconsistent efforts will become more frequent Im betting. Buccaneers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 9. Buccaneers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite.Buccaneers are 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Buccaneers are 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 home games. Saints are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. HC Sean Payton is 34-12-2 ATS as a dog versus .500 or greater foes, including 19-2-1 ATS as a dog of more than 3 points. Play on the Saints to cover |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Steelers v. Cowboys +14 | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 55 h 59 m | Show | |
The Steelers are off a huge win vs the Ravens last week and will be in an emotional letdown state and susceptible to a slow start here and mediocre performance vs a side that Im sure they are over looking . Teams like Pittsburgh off a victory as at least 3-point dogs where they forced 4+ turnovers are a long term bad bet going 121-151-7 ATS . NFL teams like Dallas on a 0-8 ATS run are 8-3 SU and 7-3-1 ATS at home with none of the these teams going 0-9 ATS through the first nine games of the season. Play on Dallas to cover |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Raiders v. Chargers -1 | 31-26 | Loss | -112 | 140 h 56 m | Show | |
Last week the Chargers fell apart late and gave up a DD lead to the Denver Broncos and lost on a last second FG . Meanwhile, the Raiders upset the Cleveland Browns on the road. The Raiders are 0-10 SUATS L/10 away versus opponents coming off a SU favorite loss. Add to that bad omen shows the Raiders are 2-5 SU/ATS away in division games when coming off a straight up away victory , including 0-3 SUATS when going against an opponent coming off a loss . Chargers are 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The Raiders are 0-14 ATS L/14 wen the total is at least five points higher than last game which they won. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LAS VEGAS) - after allowing 6 points or less last game against opponent after a loss by 3 or less points are 8-34 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate. NFL Road teams vs. the money line (LAS VEGAS) - off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 5-33 L/37 seasons. Play on the LA Chargers to cover |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Broncos v. Falcons -4 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 39 h 37 m | Show | |
The Falcons have won two of three under interim coach Raheem Morris, who was promoted from defensive coordinator after Quinn was fired following an 0-5 start. With that said Im betting on a Confident Falcons offense roll here vs a Denver side that had to use up alot of energy last time out coming back from a DD deficit to notch a win on a last second FG vs the Chargers. Huge letdown spot for the Broncos vs Falcons offence that is clicking as is evident by notching 28 first down last week . Play on Atlanta |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Lions v. Vikings -4 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 29 h 43 m | Show | |
The Vikings have owned this series recently, garnering a 5-0 SUATS run in the last five meetings. With Lions QB Stafford probably not cleared to play this week, this selection seems even stronger from a projections standpoint. Vikings to cover |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Panthers +10.5 v. Chiefs | 31-33 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show | |
The Panthers enter this game off a loss and are now big road underdogs . Recency bias and the fact they will play a top tier side, has this line floating on value for advantage players. Considering QB Teddy Bridgewater is 16-2 ATS in his career as a road dog and the fact that road underdogs off a loss are 24-13 ATS this season for a 65% conversion rate we have a viable wagering opportunity. The Panthers are 9-0 ATS L/9 as a dog of more than a TD coming off a home game where they scored at least seven points less than expected. Play on Carolina Panthers to cover |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Giants +3 v. Washington Football Team | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
The last time these teams played earlier this season, the Gmen squeaked out a win vs this Washington football team. Now in a game I have pegged as a pickem Washington is being made FG favs which does not matchup with my projections, thus giving us value on the underdog. I dont believe that Washington should be favs against any side other than the Jets. Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog and are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Meanwhile, Football Team are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Football Team are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week. |
|||||||
11-07-20 | Clemson v. Notre Dame +5.5 | 40-47 | Win | 100 | 33 h 41 m | Show | |
Tigers QB Trevor Lawrence will miss this game due to COVID-19. With that said, Im not sold on freshman backup QB D.J. Uigalelei being able to notch a road win vs a one of the best looking Fighting Irish squads Ive seen in a long time. Add to that the Irish have won 22 straight home games and will not be easily intimidated has me going against Swinney and company . Note: Brian Kelly is 11-3-2 ATS career record as a home pup. Play on Notre Dame to cover |
|||||||
11-07-20 | Baylor +14 v. Iowa State | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 31 h 18 m | Show | |
The Bears are not getting alot of respect from lines-makers because of the perception of their current mediocrity , because of the qss kicking they took vs TCU last time out but it must be noted that they are 8-1 ATS as conference dogs of more than 6 points and must be respected against an inconsistent Iowa State program that is just 23-27 ATS L/50 as chalk. Hey I know Iowa State pounded a pathetic looking Kansas side last time out, but it must also be noted that the Cyclones are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points and 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November.Bears are 13-2-2 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.Bears are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.Bears are 9-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bears are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. Baylor to cover |
|||||||
11-07-20 | UCLA v. Colorado +7 | 42-48 | Win | 100 | 31 h 47 m | Show | |
Buffs new HC Karl Dorrell will be primed take on a UCLA program he coached from 2003 to 2007 which is his old alma mater . With that said, Colorado looks to me to be a viable home dog vs a UCLA program that is 0-5-1 ATS lined season openers, as well as 1-5 ATS in lined road openers, while Colorado is 4-0 SU/ATS in lined season openers. Bruins are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.Buffaloes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on Colorado to cover |
|||||||
11-07-20 | Pittsburgh +2.5 v. Florida State | 41-17 | Win | 100 | 28 h 1 m | Show | |
I think the linesmakers got this line right when Pittsburgh U was installed as favorites when the line first emerged. Now with the big swing in the line we have value with a pup that is alot better than their record might indicate. The fact that the Panthers are 0-4 SU L/4 and got pounded by Notre Dame last time out had had huge implications on this line, but from a matchup perspective of teams with offenses that are not flowing it must be noted that Pittsburgh are allowing 2 Yards Per Rush while the Seminoles allow 5.8 per rush. Im betting on rested Pittsburgh finding running room, while the Seminoles wont which will result in the visitors covering with a outright SU win not beyond the perimeters of reality. Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week. Seminoles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
|||||||
11-07-20 | Florida +3.5 v. Georgia | 44-28 | Win | 100 | 29 h 6 m | Show | |
Ill call this investment option the magic of 3s. Georgia has won the last 3 head to head games in this series after Florida grabbed the previous 3 after Georgia took the 3 before that and Florida took the 3 before that. Its now time for the Gators to start a 3 game win streak of their own. Ok , guys enough of the numerology. From a projection standpoint getting points here with a up-trending Florida is a viable wagering opportunity that deserves an outlay of funds taking points. Note: College Football SEC teams like Florida that scored 38 or more points in its last game if they are seeking triple revenge-exact are 32-6 ATS in conference games and if they have suffered a least one loss on the season are 25-3 ATS in these situations. Play on Florida to cover |
|||||||
11-07-20 | Houston +14 v. Cincinnati | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 6 m | Show | |
Cincinnati enters this game off a big revenger vs Memphis last week where they left everything on the field in DD win. Now in a letdown situation Im betting Houston behind a offense that can do some damage look to be viable upset specialists or backdoor artists. Note : Houston HC Holgerson is 13-3 ATS record as a double- digit underdog, including 8-1 ATS if they own a .record of .500 or better . Road team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.. Play on Houston to cover |
|||||||
11-07-20 | Michigan State v. Iowa -6.5 | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 29 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a classic hangover spot for me to center my attention on this week. Michigan State upset Michigan last week and Im betting they will be a in a letdown spot vs a very hungry Iowa side that is playing at home in desperation mode after two straight losses to start their season. Note: Iowa is 6-0 ATS coming off consecutive losses and get my support here today.Spartans are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Iowa. Play on Iowa to cover |
|||||||
11-07-20 | South Florida v. Memphis -17.5 | 33-34 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 60 m | Show | |
Last week Memphis took a beating from a revenge minded Cincinnati and now will be out to get some revenge here vs a USF side, that is 0-5 SU and ITS vs FBS sides this season(outstated in all 5 games). Memphis is 15-0 ATS /SU L/15 as a 12+ point favorite coming off a loss with the average margin of victory coming by 31.2 ppg. Play on Memphis to cover |
|||||||
11-06-20 | BYU v. Boise State +3 | 51-17 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 46 m | Show | |
The Broncos are 5-0 vs. BYU in games played in Boise. The Broncos have won 4 straight over teams ranked in the AP Top 10 and despite of how well BYU is playing Im backing the Broncos to bring us home the cash. Boise State is 4-0 L/4 as dogs the last 3 years, and 3-0 SU/ATS as home underdogs of less than 3 points. Harsin is 9-1 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6.25 or more yards/play in all games he has coached. CFB Home underdogs (BOISE ST) - after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games are 67-22 ATS L/28 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Boise state to cover |
|||||||
11-06-20 | Miami-FL v. NC State +11 | 44-41 | Win | 100 | 59 h 8 m | Show | |
The Wolfpack’s has a 3-game winning streak come to an end vs North Carolina, 48-21 last time out. The game was closer than the final score might indicate, and NC State looked viable overall. Meanwhile, Miami is off to a 5-1 start with their only defeat coming to Clemson). Tonight though the Canes might easily be in a look ahead situation as VTech is on deck next for them. Thats not a solid situation for Miami bettors as NC State is well rested after a week off . Note: The Wolfpack are a bankroll expanding 20-4 ATS L/24 opportunities when playing with rest vs an ACC opposition. Miami Fl is just 1-6 ATS as conference road favs of 3 plus points, as well as 3-15 ATS with rest versus a league opposition. Play on NC State to cover |
|||||||
11-05-20 | Packers v. 49ers +7.5 | 34-17 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
The 49ers may not inspire bettors in their current inconsistent form and with the amount of injuries thy have recently sustained but they are 12-3 SU L/15 at home against the NFC North, including 7-1 SUATS when they own a .500-record or better. Meanwhile the Packers Aaron Rodgers is just 2-13 SU l/15 in away in non-division games during the month of November. Tonight I expect HC Shanahan to work around his teams abscences with a run heavy attack behind capable backups JaMycal Hasty and Jerick McKinnon vs a Green Bay side that just gave up 163 yards and three touchdowns to the Vikings . To me this line move favoring the Packers is just to exaggerated which gives us value with the home underdog. Packers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 9. 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in San Francisco. . Play on 49ers to cover |
|||||||
11-05-20 | Utah State v. Nevada -16.5 | 9-34 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
The Aggies are off to a 0-2 start and look hapless in a lot of ways. Meanwhile, the Wolfpack behind a offense that averages, 37 ppg, and ranking 13th in FBS in total offense, averaging 496 yards per game for 7.47 yards per play should be able to eclipse that mark vs a Aggies D, that has allowed an average of 40 points per game thus far while ranking 98th in FBS in total defense, allowing 510 yards per game, and 6.94 yards per play. My projections estimate the Wolfpack should eclipse the 45 point plateau and easily run away with this vs a side that will not have the guns to get a back door cover . Play on Nevada to cover |
|||||||
11-04-20 | Ball State +2.5 v. Miami-OH | 31-38 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
My projections for both sides has me seeing them as equal competitors. With the line above the key 3 point reference point for this type of matchup Im recommending we take the points here. It must be noted that EMU has cashed three straight times in lined season openers, while Kent State has failed miserably out of the gate recording an ugly 0-8 SU record under the same perimeters . In last years meeting Eastern Michigan blitzed the Flashes D for 509 total yards despite of losing and being upset. With that said, and revenge on board I look for EMU to do more damage to the Flashes D, which translates into another rinse and repeat situation looks to be a viable option and cover. Creighton is 20-10 ATS as a road underdog as the coach of E MICHIGAN. Play on EMU to cover |
|||||||
11-04-20 | Buffalo v. Northern Illinois +14 | 49-30 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
I know this Buffalo program has come along way and deserves respect , but this line is just a bit to bloated considering N.Illinois pedigree. You have to remember despite of a below .500 season last season the Huskies still upset the likes of Ohio, Toledo and Western Michigan. I do know that N.Illinois is restocking but, their current young group must not be disqualified as capable opponents. N ILLINOIS is 63-40 ATS as an underdog since 1992. N ILLINOIS is 5-0 straight up against BUFFALO since 1992. Play on N.Illinois to cover |
|||||||
11-04-20 | Eastern Michigan +5 v. Kent State | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
My projections for both sides has me seeing them as equal competitors. With the line above the key 3 point reference point for this type of matchup Im recommending we take the points here. It must be noted that EMU has cashed three straight times in lined season openers, while Kent State has failed miserably out of the gate recording an ugly 0-8 SU record under the same perimeters . In last years meeting Eastern Michigan blitzed the Flashes D for 509 total yards despite of losing and being upset. With that said, and revenge on board I look for EMU to do more damage to the Flashes D, which translates into another rinse and repeat situation looks to be a viable option and cover. Creighton is 20-10 ATS as a road underdog as the coach of E MICHIGAN. Play on EMU to cover |
|||||||
11-01-20 | Cowboys +11 v. Eagles | 9-23 | Loss | -108 | 37 h 35 m | Show | |
Finally the Cowboys decided to bench Dalton in favor of the young Ben DeNucci . Wow it is a little surprising how the Boyz have fallen from grace and are now being touted as DD dogs . I know they looked horrible against Washington last week but Im betting their better than that.Im not trying to sell hopeimism but there is now some hope and a fresh start for a group that has not played well since Dak Prescott went down. With that said, Im betting the coaching staff of the Cowboys will orchestrate a run heavy attack and move the chains with short passes more consistently vs a banged up Eagles D that struggles vs the run as was evident giving up 160 yards on the ground to the Gmen last week . It must be noted that the Eagles have not won by more than five points, so this is a huge disparity considering Philly has not covered a single game as favs this season as is evident by their 0-4 ATS mark while failing by an average of more than 10 ppg. The Cowboys are 8-0-1 ATS L/9 on the road coming off a away game where they allowed 24 or more points. PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS in home games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The Eagles are 0-18 ATS L/18 coming off a home game where they allowed at least 130 rushing yards . NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (DALLAS) - bad team - outscored by opponents by 7 or more points/game, after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 122-66 ATS L/37 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.
|
|||||||
11-01-20 | Chargers v. Broncos +3.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
I know Denver looked bad last time out vs Kansas City but this team according to my power rankings is greatly under rated and should not be underdogs vs a over rated Chargers side off a win vs lowly Jacksonville and getting to much recency bias respect. What was interesting in the lopsided loss to KC was that they out yarded the Chiefs by 125 yards. Note: . Teams that lost by 14 points or more points last game while outgaining their opposition by 99 yards or more are bankroll expanding 43-18-1 ATS. Today Im betting on the Broncos to pound the ball the ground and to make the Chargers work hard here in the high altitude of the Mile High City and to get us the cover. LA CHARGERS are 0-6 ATS L/6 after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. LA CHARGERS are 0-6 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons.DENVER is 12-3 ATS in home games off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rivals. Fangio is 9-2 ATS vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse as the coach of DENVER. Denver is 9-1-1 ATS at home as an underdog vs below .500 sides and have won 14 of the 18 meetings in this series straight up. Play on Denver to cover |
|||||||
11-01-20 | Raiders v. Browns -1 | 16-6 | Loss | -128 | 30 h 44 m | Show | |
Cleveland QB Mayfield completed 20 straight passes and finished 22-of-28 for 5 TDs last week in a Cleveland win and is finally coming into his own in the NFL. Im betting on his arm to be the difference mkaer here this week vs a Vegas side that is allowing an average of 33 ppg and has lost 3 of their L/4 games and are off a dd beatdown last week at the hands of the Buccaneers. LAS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.LAS VEGAS is 6-18 ATS in road games against AFC North division opponents. Gruden is 1-9 ATS after a loss by 21 or more points in all games he has coached since 1992. NFL team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival against opponent off a home loss by 10 or more points are 30-4 SU L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.4 ppg. Play on Cleveland Browns to cover |
|||||||
11-01-20 | Steelers +4.5 v. Ravens | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show | |
This Steelers team is for real, and play the type of smash mouth football that the old steel curtain group would be proud of. I know Baltimore are and have been public darlings for a while because of their ability to pound opponents senseless and deliver consistent ATS victories, but according to my projections this game is closer to a pickem and screams value with the underdog in what could easily be a last second FG win for one of these sides. PITTSBURGH is 10-1 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 9-1 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons. Steelers are 14-4 SU and 16-1-1 ATS L/18 as underdogs of less than 7 points against opposition with an above .500 record. The Ravens are 0-11-2 ATS L/13 as a favorite coming off a game as a favorite where they allowed at least 24 points. Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover |
|||||||
11-01-20 | Jets +20 v. Chiefs | 9-35 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
Two teams at the opposite end of the performance spectrum. huge line divergence here and slight value make this a take. KANSAS CITY is 9-22 ATS L/31 after gaining 6 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games. The Chiefs are 0-10 ATS L/10 as a favorite off a game as a favorite where they gained less than 300 total yards and lost the last 3 SU. NFL Road teams (NY JETS) - off a home cover where the team lost as an underdog, winless on the season are 28-6 ATS L/37 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Jets to cover |
|||||||
11-01-20 | Titans v. Bengals +7 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
When these teams played a couple of weeks ago the Colts win 31-27 and Im betting on another closer game here. The Bengals are 10-0 ATS L/10 off a game as a dog that went over the total by at least seven points. TENNESSEE is 3-13 ATS L/16 in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a winning record are 31-9 ATS L/37 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on The Bengals to cover |
|||||||
10-31-20 | San Diego State -8 v. Utah State | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 24 h 7 m | Show | |
Utah State is not as explosive as they have been in past seasons, and were smashed by Bosie State 42-13 in their first game of the year. Now against another top tier side, this Aggies group that no longer has Packers first round pick QB Jordan Love in the lineup are a side that is in in big torouble. I know Rocky Long is no long er the HC for San Diego State but now with Brady Hoke the Aztecs are ready to blaze a new more relentless course behind a usually tough D, and now a more stable offence. Note: San Diego State is 8-0 SU/6-2 ATS L/8 as 6 or more road chalk. |
|||||||
10-31-20 | Ohio State v. Penn State +12.5 | 38-25 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 38 m | Show | |
10-31-20 | Mississippi State +31 v. Alabama | 0-41 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
10-31-20 | New Mexico v. San Jose State -13.5 | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show | |
10-31-20 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech +20.5 | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a game where Im betting that Notre Dame after a big blow out victory vs Pittsburgh last time out will come out here with a more muted effort against a downtrodden Georgia Tech crew on the road . This is a situation where the Irish will want to stay healthy and get out of here not having to exert to much energy with bigger fish on the horizon and very little chance of moving up in the CF polls.Collins is 10-1 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return in all games he has coached since 1992 and GTech is 4-1 ATS L/5 in this series. Georgia Tech to cover |
|||||||
10-31-20 | Indiana v. Rutgers +11.5 | 37-21 | Loss | -109 | 31 h 48 m | Show | |
After last weeks monumental OT win vs Penn State will have the Indiana Hoosiers in a natural letdown state here on the road vs a under rated Rutgers side that is also off a upset last week vs Michigan State. CFB road team (INDIANA) - off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points against opponent off a double digit road win are just 25-60 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. CFB road team vs. the money line (INDIANA) - off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more against opponent off a road win are just 10-57 SU in their following game since 1992. Play on Rutgers to cover |
|||||||
10-31-20 | UAB v. Louisiana Tech +13.5 | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Skip Holtz’s LATEch are in trouble and in jeopardy of having their 6 game bowl streak come to an end . But Holtz has done well in the underdog role in the past going 52-27-1 ATS career mark as an underdog, including 12-3 ATS as a pup with revenge in a conference tilts.UAB is 1-4 ATS vs FBS teams this season and cannot be trusted to cover this big a spread on the road. LOUISIANA TECH is 18-6 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite which was the case last week in a 1 point loss to under rated UTSA. Louisiana Tech to cover |
|||||||
10-31-20 | Wake Forest -11.5 v. Syracuse | 38-14 | Win | 100 | 28 h 3 m | Show | |
Syracuse is a team that looks completely asleep at the wheel, and today Im betting they get run over by what can sometimes be an explosive Wake Forest offense and what has now suddenly become a dominant D in the red zone as was evident vs Virginia Tech last time out in a win. The Demon Deacons have won 3 straight games, and are rolling, and Im betting they tee off today against a banged up Orange side that is playing with little confidence. WAKE FOREST is 7-0 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB road team (WAKE FOREST) - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a terrible team (25% or less) are 42-13 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
|||||||
10-31-20 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -6.5 | 10-49 | Win | 100 | 28 h 45 m | Show | |
Cincinnati proved to me how potent they are when they marched into SMU and smashed them by a 42-13 count. Now here in revenge mode vs Memphis Im betting on another conclusive victory. Last year the Bearcats lost to the Tigers twice so you can bet their motivational juices are oozing everywhere. With Memphis having to deal with star WR Damonte Coxie deciding to opt out of this season, their definitely going to have problems with big plays and their overall flow against one of the nations top defenses. Note: Memphis is 0-7 ATS on the road vs ,750 or better opposition. CINCINNATI is 7-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons. CINCINNATI is 9-1 ATS off a road blowout win by 28 points or more. Fickell is 12-3 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play in all games.
CFB home team (CINCINNATI) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 35-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati |
|||||||
10-31-20 | Purdue v. Illinois +8 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 23 h 23 m | Show | |
I think this line is bloated and favors the underdog at home. I know Purdue came from behind last week to upset Iowa, but now Im betting their in a letdown mode, and going on the road here is not easy especailly against a side Im sure theyre not hyped up to play against. Note: Purdue is 1-5 ATS when favored by more than 3 points on the road, Meanwhile, Illinois was a solid 5-2 ATS at home last season, including 3-0 ATS as dogs and at least from my perspective deserve respect here as underdogs. |
|||||||
10-31-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Georgia State +3.5 | 51-0 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
The coastal Carolina Chanticleers , are rockin and rollin with a 5-0 record. .So its easy for bettors to look at this as a easy short chalk road opportunity against a Georgia State side that is very competitive . behind a viable ground game that has gained 5.0 Yards Per Rush while the D has allowed 3.2 YPR on defense. Note: The Panthers are 6-1 ATS L/7 at home. GEORGIA ST is 21-9 ATS in October games. CFB home team (GEORGIA ST) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 35-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on Georgia State to cover |
|||||||
10-31-20 | UTSA +4.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 3-24 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
10-30-20 | Hawaii v. Wyoming -1 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
Wyoming is off a 37-34 overtime loss at Nevada in its season opener and will be ready for a huge bounce back effort here vs Hawaii in their home opener. Meanwhile, Hawaii opened up on the mainland with a lopsided win vs Fresno State. However , it must be noted that this Hawaii football program is just 1-13 SU in their last fourteen tilts on the road when coming off an away game and have lost their L/5 visits to Wyoming going back to at 1east 1992. With Wyoming showing strong precedent here winning 22 of their L/26 home openers and after watching portions of their heart breaking loss vs the Wolves last week, Im betting their more than capable of notching a victory in this spot. Wyoming to cover |
|||||||
10-29-20 | South Alabama v. Georgia Southern -5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 37 h 27 m | Show | |
A first place team South Alabama comes into this game as underdogs to the Sun Belts cellar dweller Georgia Southern.That is a interesting dichotomy, but from a [power rankings perspective and from a head to head matchup analytical view the home team deserves to be favorites. South Alabama is just 2-21 SU L/23 as visitors and have failed to cover 15 times , and are 1-15 SU and 4-12 ATS in conference tilts. Georgia Southern is 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in their L/6 meetings , including 3-0 SU/ATS at home . GSU is 7-0 SU L/7 and 6-1 ATS as home chalk. S ALABAMA is 0-9 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1992. CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (GA SOUTHERN) - with a poor defense - allowing 5.8 or more yards/play, after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game are 25-4 ATS :L/28 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on Georgia Southern to cover |
|||||||
10-25-20 | Steelers +1.5 v. Titans | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 50 h 47 m | Show | |
Im going to label this game in Tom We Trust. Pittsburgh under Mike Tomlin in his career versus undefeated opponents, owns a 5-1 SUATS record when both teams are undefeated. TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 . PITTSBURGH is 10-2 ATS vs. struggling passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 3 seasons.PITTSBURGH is 9-1 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons NFL team vs the money line (PITTSBURGH) - off a blowout win by 28 points or more over a division rival against opponent after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points are 22-2 L/37 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. NFL team vs the money line (PITTSBURGH) - off a blowout win by 28 points or more over a division rival against opponent after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points are 29-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Steelers to cover |
|||||||
10-25-20 | Panthers +7.5 v. Saints | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 24 m | Show | |
New Orleans has not looked very cohesive this season and are barely above .500 with a 3-2 record on the season with just the one win by more than six points and nothing has come easy for them , and today laying this many points is not a favorable situation again. I know Carolina may not inspire bettors, but it must be noted that Panthers QB Teddy Bridgewater, is 15-2 ATS as a underdog in his career. Teams like the Saints which are more than TD favorites which have a record of less than .625 of are 302-398-14 ATS . Long term divisional road dogs in the NFL are profitable bets - Divisional Road Dogs: 544-479-33 ATS. .New Orleans are 28-56 ATS since 1980 at home as favorite. Play on Carolina Panthers to cover |
|||||||
10-25-20 | Cowboys +1 v. Washington Football Team | 3-25 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
I know Dalton is not getting alot of respect from linesmakers despite of his vast NFL starting experience. /Yes, he looked horrible last time out in a 38-10 loss to the Cards. But in week 6 when he took over for Prescott he got the W for the Cowboys, and and is more than capable of a bounce back effort here today vs a suspect Washington football team. The NFC East is a bad division and at 2-4 the Cowboys are not out of a play off appearance, so their alot more motivated than the pundits might think. there is alot of talent in this Dallas lineup and a feel confident backing them here today as they look to get some long lost respect and dignity back. Note: Washington is 0-8-1 ATS L/9 coming off a road loss where they allowed at least 100 rushing yards which was the case last week. Dallas to cover |
|||||||
10-24-20 | Cincinnati +2.5 v. SMU | 42-13 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati D is tops in the AAC, ranking first in both total and scoring defense while giving up just 12.3 points per game and are well rested as they have been off since Oct 3. Thats extremely important vs a explosive SMU offense that ranks among the top attacks in the nation. However, that offense Im betting will not be as efficient here this week against this type of D, and with receiver Reggie Roberson and starting running back TJ McDaniel out will find themselves less fluid. These teams have played very closely contested games in recent meetings, and Im sure another one is at hand, but my projections make the Bearcats the superior tea, and with the wrong side favored will take a stance with the points. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
|||||||
10-24-20 | Louisiana Tech -2 v. UTSA | 26-27 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 26 m | Show | |
UTSA has played valiantly of late, however, putting in so much hard work and still losing, three straight they are now exhausted. Army was last weeks opponent and before that BYU and UAB on the road. Those were all physical grinding affairs, and now against a hungry LATech squad, off an embarrassing 35-17 home loss to Marshall last time out, Im betting they wont have the needed energy to get across the finish line again. Louisiana Tech is 12-0 ATS/SU as a favorite coming off a home loss where they scored less than 35 points. UTSA is 0-6 ATS after playing 2 straight non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Play on LA Tech |
|||||||
10-24-20 | Utah State v. Boise State -16.5 | 13-42 | Win | 100 | 36 h 60 m | Show | |
Broncos have owned this series against the Aggies clicking on 16 of the L/17 meetings straight up and have been an ATM for their betting backers cashing on 13 of those games against the spread. Last season when these teams met at Utah State the Broncos teed of on the Aggies winning by a 56-21 count and that was with Utah States star QB in the lineup (Jordan Love). I know the Aggies will be out looking for revenge, but Im betting Bryan Harsins group just don't have same quality guns as the Broncos needed to get the job done. Key: .QB Bachmeier started eight games as a true freshman last season. He recorded a 7-1 record as a starter and threw for 1,879 yards and 9 touchdowns while completing 63 percent of his passes and today Im betting he continues his ascension. Play on Boise State to cover |
|||||||
10-24-20 | South Carolina v. LSU -5.5 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 37 h 2 m | Show | |
Missouri according to my power rankings is being over rated here today. Yes, they beat Auburn last time out, but despite of getting the W, they were out yarded by a 481-297 count, which tells a truer tale of their abilities . Here today vs a very hungry defending national champion Im betting their vulnerabilities will be exposed. Missouri is 0-6-1 L/7 in this series vs LSU. LSU is 6-0 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 2 seasons. Defending National Champions are 50-9-1 SU in games with a below .500 record, including 9-1 ATS in conference games. CFB home team vs. the money line (LSU) - struggling defensive team (440 or more YPG) against an average defensive team (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 26-7 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.8 ppg. CFB home team vs. the money line (LSU) - excellent passing team (8.3 or more PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (6.4-7.5 PY/Att.), after allowing 9 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 31-8 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.8 ppg. Play on LSU to cover |
|||||||
10-24-20 | Baylor +9.5 v. Texas | 16-27 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 24 m | Show | |
Texas has fallen in my power rankings thanks in part to a defense that has allowed 456 yards and 36 points per game. Meanwhile, Baylor is up-trending and took out Texas, 24-10, in Waco last season and are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 visits to Austin. I know the Longhonrs have revenge on board, but the way they are playing nothing will come easy for them , thus getting points here makes for a viable wager. TEXAS is 0-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 over the last 3 season. Herman is 0-8 ATS in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 as the coach of TEXAS. BAYLOR is 9-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons.( Failed to cover their last time out on Oct 3 to W.Virginia is. a 27-21 loss) CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, in the second half of the season are 27-62 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. CFB college football home favorite like Texas with a week of rest in Game Five if they allow 30 or more points per game are just 3-21 ATS L/30 seasons. Play on Baylor to cover |
|||||||
10-24-20 | Houston v. Navy +15 | 37-21 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 46 m | Show | |
Navy at 3-0 in AAC play is huge underdog here at home. I know Navy does not look as cohesive as past carnations of this program, but Houston is over rated as well, as was evident when BYU ran over them as visitors , and that fact the team has given up as many yards as they have accumulated. With that said, and knowing how Military colleges dont take to being embarrassed or disrespected by the linesmakers, Ill make a stand here with the Middies and the points. NAVY is 9-2 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. NAVY is 7-0 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Navy is 11-0 ATS L/12 as a dog facing a team allowing at least 29 points per game. The only 3 losses in this set came by 3 points exact. Play on Navy to cover |
|||||||
10-24-20 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +10.5 | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
After a muted 13-point effort against Clemson to open the season, the Demon Deacon offense has looked explosive . Wake Forests QB Hartman, has been in top form in his last three tilts, connecting through the air for an average of 9.0 yards per attempt with no interceptions. Thats the kind of team and QB you want to back as underdogs getting points. My own projections make this to many points for Vtech to be favored by, and Im buying in to the Deacons ability to cover vs a side that has failed to cover its last 4 in back to back road games. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
|||||||
10-22-20 | Giants +4.5 v. Eagles | 21-22 | Win | 100 | 36 h 48 m | Show | |
The Giants are really hyped for this national TV game in a key divisional confrontation. If they win they will be 2nd in the division so their motivation factors are clear. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is over rated and their one win vs a banged up 49ers team was not as impressive as one might think or the media might have us believe as is evident by their favorite status in 3 games this season in which they did not win. The Giants are 19-0 ATS L/19 vs a divisional opponent that has at least one victory on the season and has forced fewer than 1.2 turnovers and has allowed 70-plus rushing yards per game season-to-date with no loss coming by more than 3 points. NY GIANTS are 10-1 ATS in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 3 seasons. NY GIANTS are 10-0 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. The Giants are 10-0 ATS as road dogs when coming off a division home victory. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 5-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against for a 83% conversion rate. Play on NY Giants to cover |
|||||||
10-22-20 | Arkansas State v. Appalachian State -12.5 | 17-45 | Win | 100 | 34 h 22 m | Show | |
Arkansas State has an explosive offense but the App State Mountaineers defense is showing themselves to be as tough as nails, as is evident by holding their opposition to 19.3 PPG and in their only loss allowed another top tier explosive offense to just 17 points on the road vs Marshall. Tonight I expect the Mountaineers D, to own the line of scrimmage vs the Wolves and for the Mounties offense to tee off on a Arkansas St D, that is allowing 39.8 ppg. APPALACHIAN ST is 7-0 ATS /SU versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 2 season with average margin of victory coming by an average of just under 22 ppg. Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (ARKANSAS ST) - with a poor first half defense - 16 or more points per game, after 2 straight games where 70 total points or more were scored 39-82 ATS L/28 years for a 68% go against conversion rate. Play on App State to cover |
|||||||
10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys +1.5 | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 15 m | Show | |
Only 31 teams have failed to cover a single point spread through the first five weeks of a season. But here we are with Dallas on the edge of such a precipice. The good news for Boyz betting betting backers are that teams are 22-9 (ATS) under those perimeters, with underdogs like Dallas holding an even bigger edge cashing 19 of 25 times for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. It must also be noted that sides with sub par ATS records at 30% or less going against the teams with winning ATS records are 174-110-11 in Weeks 6-17 for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. I know top gun QB Dak Prescott is out for the Boyz, but his backup Andy Dolton has had top tier success in this league, and has a boatload full of experience and respected by his teammates making him a viable pivot to back in this spot vs a up-trending but still not top tier Arizona side, that is 0-7 ATS in Monday night affairs sporting a .500 or better record. Dallas is 5-1 ATS as a home dog dating back 40 seasons, and tonight Im betting they add to those positive numbers. DALLAS is 12-2 straight up against ARIZONA since 1992 Play on Dallas to cover |
|||||||
10-19-20 | Chiefs v. Bills +5 | 26-17 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 7 m | Show | |
The defending Super Bowl Champs suffered their first loss last time out against Las Vegas, and with that said it must be noted, that when that has happened in the past these elite teams are just 12-25 straight up in their following game . Thats not a good omen for the Chiefs vs a hungry Buffalo team with something to prove. Ill be taking points here all the way against Mahomes in company. |
|||||||
10-18-20 | Rams v. 49ers +3.5 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 55 m | Show | |
Jimmy G had a crap game last week connecting on just 7 of 17 passes. However, he must not be counted out in his ability to bounce back even on a bum ankle. You have to remember Garoppolo is 25-8 in his career and 7-3 SU/8-2 ATS as a dog and 1-0 SU/ATS when hosting as a pup. Add to that the embarrassment associated with being benched , and you have a motivated talented competitor to deal with. Also after three straight home losses, the 49ers as a team will be ready to avert another embarrassing effort. There is not such thing as due, but Im betting on the Jimmy G train steaming into the proverbial station tonight and for the Niners to give the Rams more of a battle than the lines-makers expect them to. Play in San Francisco to cover |
|||||||
10-18-20 | Bears v. Panthers -1 | 23-16 | Loss | -106 | 45 h 9 m | Show | |
My projections make the Panthers -3 favs at home this week, thus giving us value on the line. Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October.Panthers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons.CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS in road games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons. CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS off a upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - off a upset win as an underdog against opponent off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival are 2-28 L/10 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (CHICAGO) - off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 29-63 ATS L/37 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate. Play on the Carolina Panthers to win |
|||||||
10-18-20 | Browns +4 v. Steelers | 7-38 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 34 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is 4-0 for first time since 1978 and 1979 but make no mistake this team is not a tough as the steel curtain group that dominated opponents and won Super Bowls, and are being over rated here based on recency bias. Meanwhile, Cleveland has finally gotten to a point where they deserve respect , behind top tier QB Baker Mayfield. With Browns bring sporting a 5-0 ATS record as division road underdogs of 7 or less points Im betting they bring the heat here in this important early season game and get us the cover.
Play on Cleveland to cover |
|||||||
10-17-20 | North Carolina v. Florida State +14 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 53 m | Show | |
UNC showed its vulnerabilities on defense against the Hokies, allowing 46 points last week and now Im betting incumbent QB Jordan Travis will exploit those issues here this week for Florida State. I know Florida State never seems to inspire bettors, but N.Carolina is being over rated here on the line, thus giving us value with the home underdog. Florida State is 15-3-1 SU in this series since joining the ACC. and are 5-0-1 ATS when facing a undefeated Tar Heels. Play on Florida State to cover |
|||||||
10-17-20 | Marshall v. Louisiana Tech +14 | 35-17 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
This is just to many points for Marshall to be laying on the road especially with the The Bulldogs showing a 16-4 ATS record as underdogs with revenge , including 13-1 ATS in conference tilts. Last year Fritz and company lost 31-10 at Marshall and now with payback on the agenda they will be at their best. MARSHALL is 6-17 ATS L/23 in road games off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival . LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. LA Tech to cover |
|||||||
10-17-20 | Army v. UTSA +7.5 | 28-16 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 34 m | Show | |
Army lit up their two first opponents of the season recording crushing win vs MTSU and UL-Monroe, However since than Army has lost to Cincinnati by 14 points , allowed Abilene Christian to score 23 points on them and barley got by a less than stellar Citadel by just 4 points. Meanwhile, the Roadrunners have captured three wins this season and gave BYU and UAB hard fought close tilts on the road. From a matchup perspective this line is slightly tainted based on Army's reputation which gives us value with a home pup that has cashed 5 of their L/6 as single digit dogs at home. Play on UTSA to cover |
|||||||
10-17-20 | Texas State v. South Alabama -3 | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show | |
South Alabama got beat by UAB at home on September 24th and have now had plenty of time to recuperate and be fully rested for this tilt vs Texas State(1-4) and have an edge. CFB home team vs. the money line (S ALABAMA) - excellent passing team (8.3 or more PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (6.4-7.5 PY/Att.), after allowing 9 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.6 ppg. Play on South Alabama to cover |
|||||||
10-16-20 | BYU v. Houston +5.5 | 43-26 | Loss | -109 | 63 h 17 m | Show | |
Houston after a long delay played their first game of the season vs the Tulane Green Wave last week in successful fashion out gaining them by a 476-211 count rolling to a 49-31 victory. Meanwhile, BYU had a much harder time vs a physical UTSA squad winning by 7 points but failing to cover as 34+ point chalk. Now this week, BYU makes its first trip away from Provo , and are being pegged as favorites. However, the Mormons are just 2-12 ATS L/14 away as 4 point or more chalk, and in my humble opinion are being over estimated in their abilities at this point in the season. Tonight Im betting on Holgerson's heros to get us the cover. It must be noted the HC of Houston has seen his team cover 3 straight times vs undefeated sides. Meanwhile, Sitake is 0-6 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games as the coach of BYU. Play on Houston to cover |
|||||||
10-16-20 | SMU v. Tulane +6.5 | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
The SMU Mustangs travel to play the Tulane Green Wave in College Football action this Friday night. Which side has the edge? Get the scholastic gridiron info the books do not want you to have. kick off after 6:00 pm et |
|||||||
10-14-20 | Coastal Carolina v. UL-Lafayette -7 | 30-27 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
Louisiana moved up in the national rankings this week, ranked No. 21 in the AP Top 25 poll and No. 21 in the USA Today Amway Coaches poll and deserve respect. I like Coastal Carolina football program and they are up trending, but according to my graphical data charts should be closer to -10 underdogs, thus giving us value with the favorite at home. Im betting on Levi Lewis to be key in their victory tonight. The Qb has thrown for 723 yards through three games this year. The yardage total ranks him 34th in the nation . CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - excellent offensive team (6.2 YPP or more ) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), in conference games are 11-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play ON UL Lafayette. |
|||||||
10-11-20 | Vikings v. Seahawks -7 | 26-27 | Loss | -102 | 35 h 3 m | Show | |
Seattle has owned this series in the recent past winning 6 of the L/7 meetings. The Vikings are 0-10 ATSL/10 coming off a win as a dog where they scored at least 24 points. The Vikings are 0-8 ATS L/8 coming off a win as a dog where they gained at least 400 yards. NFL Favorites vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - team with a turnover diff. of +0.75/game or better against a team with a diff of -0.75/game or worse, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 23-1 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.8 which qualifies for a ATS selection. NFL- Road underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 1-25 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.3 which qualifies under a ATS selection. Play on Seattle to cover |
|||||||
10-11-20 | Colts v. Browns +1.5 | 23-32 | Win | 100 | 69 h 26 m | Show | |
Indianapolis is 1-9 SUL/10 on the AFC North road, including 1-5 SU and 0-6 SU/ATS when coming off a victory. Considering Cleveland actually looks viable and up-trending in my power rankings Im betting on them bringing us home cash here tonight. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - off a upset win as an underdog, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 75% or better) are 32-6 L/37 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to cover |
|||||||
10-11-20 | Raiders +12.5 v. Chiefs | 40-32 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
Raiders-Chiefs has long been one of the NFL's bitter rivalries. The teams have met 122 times since their days together in the AFL, and the animosity has been there regardless whether the Raiders played in Oakland, Los Angeles or now Las Vegas. With that said, Im betting on this being a closely contested and very physical game. NFL Home favorites of 10.5 or more points (KANSAS CITY) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in weeks 5 through 9 are 14-44 ATS L/37 seasons for a 75% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on LAS Vegas to cover |
|||||||
10-11-20 | Eagles +7.5 v. Steelers | 29-38 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
Philadelphia after floundering for much of their earlier games finally got things going with a impressive 25-20 win over San Francisco as 8 point dogs . It must be noted that the Eagles are 9-0-1 ATS L/10 covering by more than 10 ppg off a game as a dog where they covered. Meanwhile, last time out the Steelers, came back to beat Houston 28-21 covering as short chalk. But its interesting to note the Steelers are just 0-8 ATS L/8 as a favorite of more than three points off a game as a favorite that they covered. the Eagles look to be up-trending following a ugly start and thanks to a defense that's nearly Pittsburgh's equal when it comes to getting after the quarterback we have value taking points . .... take the points with the under rated underdog vs a very big public favorite. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
|||||||
10-10-20 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -13.5 | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 61 h 24 m | Show | |
Miami may be improved but their still not in the same category as the Clemson Tigers.Dabo has won 24 straight at home and in my humbler betting opinion will be motivated to romp here today. The last two meetings in this series, were 58-0 and 38-3 victories for Clemson. Rinse and repeat. CLEMSON is 11-2 ATS vs. sub par/average passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons with Clemson scoring an average of 50.2 ppg while allowing 12,2 ppg.CLEMSON is 9-1 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by just under 30 ppg. Play on Clemson to cover |
|||||||
10-10-20 | Marshall v. Western Kentucky +7 | 38-14 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 18 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky does not have great numbers, but must not be underestimated as home dogs vs a Marshall side in a letdown situation after a huge win vs Appalachian State last time out. W KENTUCKY is 16-6 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992. Holliday is 8-18 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of MARSHALL. CFB home team (W KENTUCKY) - off a road win against a conference rival against opponent off a double digit upset win as an underdog of 6 more are 38-13 ATS L/28 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Western Kentucky to cover |
|||||||
10-10-20 | Temple v. Navy +3.5 | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 72 h 38 m | Show | |
This will be Temples first game of the season, while Navy will play their 4th game of the season. I know Navy has looked uneven to this point, but with this being the Owls first real game, the Midshipman could easily have an edge .With that said, Im recommending we take the points. NAVY is 10-2 ATS after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. NAVY is 10-2 ATS after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Midshipmen are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Midshipmen are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Midshipmen are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on Navy to cover |
|||||||
10-10-20 | Kansas State +9 v. TCU | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 55 h 22 m | Show | |
My projections estimate this game to be decided by one score or less. I also wont be surprised if the Wildcats win this game SU. I know QB Skylar Thompson's arm injury might be a problem, but according to some insiders he should still be able to play if things go south for his backup. Also after TCUs huge win vs Texas last time out I expect them to be in a letdown situation. In the past playing the Longhorns has not been a good come for TCU betting backers as they have lost the cash in 11 of 12 tilts. Patterson is 2-12 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog as the coach of TCU.The Wildcats have won four of the last five meetings with the Frogs and get my support here taking points. Play on Kansas State to cover |
|||||||
10-10-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. Florida International -3.5 | 31-28 | Loss | -118 | 56 h 44 m | Show | |
Neither of these teams inspire confidence in most bettors, but according to my projections FIU is the superior side by 6 + points. CFB Road underdogs (MIDDLE TENN ST) - in conference games, off 2 covers where the team lost as an underdog are 4-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (MIDDLE TENN ST) - in conference games, off 2 covers where the team lost as an underdog are 3-34 L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -20.4 ppg. Play on Florida International to cover |
|||||||
10-10-20 | UTSA +35.5 v. BYU | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 55 h 2 m | Show | |
The Roadrunners are much improved and deserve respect here . With that said, Im betting on them to continue their viable ATS profit run that has seen them cover 7 of their L/9 9 vs. FBS programs and 4 of their last 5 as visitors. Hey BYU looks powerful, but this spread is just to big in my humble betting opinion. BYU has covered on 2 of their L/13 as 30 plus point chalk. UTSA has covered all 5 of their games where they were made 30+ point underdogs. CFB Home favorites (BYU) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (28-34 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points are 20-50 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UTSA |
|||||||
10-10-20 | Tennessee +12.5 v. Georgia | 21-44 | Loss | -109 | 55 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a Tennessee side that has won 6 straight SEC tilts and 8 wins overall, must be respected here getting points vs Georgia . My projections actually make this a very close game that will be decided by 1 score or less. The Vols have also cashed 4 of their L/6 on the road as 10 or more point dogs and look like solid underdogs in this spot play. Also with revenge on board board for a ugly 43-14 loss in Knoxville last season, there will be lots of motivation for the Vols here on the road vs a Dawgs side that has failed to cash in 4 of their L/5 at home as DD SEC home favs. Note: Tennessee is 8-2 ATS in this series when out looking for revenge, including 5-0 ATS as a underdog. Smart is 4-12 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread as the coach of GEORGIA. Play on Tennessee to cover |
|||||||
10-10-20 | Duke v. Syracuse +3 | 38-24 | Loss | -120 | 73 h 32 m | Show | |
. Duke enters this contest winless in 4 trips to the gridiron and are being over rated here vs a Cuse side that looked good recently in a win vs GTech by a 37-20 victory. The Orange smashed Duke , 49-6 last season, and even though the Blue Devils might want revenge, Im betting their effort to avenge that loss wont come easily. It must be noted the Devils are just 2-7 ATS in their L/9 attempts when playing with ACC revenge. SYRACUSE is 16-5 ATS L/21 in home games versus poor rushing teams - averaging 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry. SYRACUSE is 16-6 ATS L/22 in home games off a home win by 17 points or more. DUKE is 2-11 ATS L/13 in road games after allowing 37 points or more in 2 straight games. CFB home team (SYRACUSE) - off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, in weeks 5 through 9 are 47-18 L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Syracuse to cover |
|||||||
10-10-20 | Florida v. Texas A&M +7 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 72 h 43 m | Show | |
Im one of these guys who believes Florida is over rated. You have to remember that this is a Gators side that did not play well against South Carolina winning by a 38-24 count while failing to cover as 18 point favs and also gave up a crap load full of points in the 51-35 victory at Ole Miss. I know Texas A&M were soundly beaten by Alabama. But hey that was Alabama , so Im giving them a break . Note: Aggies HC Jimbo Fisher is 6-0 SU all-time when coming off a loss of more than 17 points. These teams have split their last four meetings with the last game in 2017 ending in a 19-17 A&M victory. With that said, I;ll take the points here in what Im betting will be a closely contested affair. Texas A&M are 15-3-3 ATS as conference home underdogs against opposition coming off a victory of 14 or more points, including 12-1 ATS as underdogs of less than 15 points. Take the the points with Texas A&M |
|||||||
10-10-20 | Virginia Tech +5 v. North Carolina | 45-56 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 52 m | Show | |
Both teams enter with 2-0 records overall and in ACC play. Virginia Tech despite of being short handed on a regular basis has found ways to win while North Carolina had played twice since Sept 12 and looked average at best this past Saturday in a 26-22 win at Boston College . The Hokies lead the ACC (3rd nationally) with 319 yards rushing yards per game, behind Khalil Herbert who leads the nation with a 156-yard per-game average. North Carolina leads the ACC, and the nation, in rushing defense at 54 yards per game. Strength against strength has me envisioning a stalemate type of tilt that will be closely contested. VIRGINIA TECH is 15-5 ATS L/20 as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points. Virginia Tech has covered 6 of the L/7 meetings in this series. CFB team (VIRGINIA TECH) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game are 75-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Virginia Tech to cover |