A depleted West Virginia secondary will have its hands full with TCU's Josh Doctson via QB Trevone Boykin, who leads the nation with an average of 152.4 yards receiving. Doctson has 11 TDs in his last five games and should once again have a big day vs a over rated West Virginia defense, that has allowed 44, 33, 62 points respectively in their L/3 games.The Mountaineers are more vulnerable defending the pass because of a season-ending knee injury to Karl Joseph on Oct. 6 in practice, which has proven disastrous. The safety is still tied for third in the country with five interceptions. It must also be noted that due to injuries, this TCU defense, has really begun to shine under a 4-7 formation. Its hard to believe but this Frog D , is making some big stops and will cause the Mounties some issues.

Off a bye week TCU looks strong and being under rated in this spot.

TCU is 10-1 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last  couple of  seasons winning SU by 33.7 ppg. TCU is also  8-0 ATS after playing their last game on the road over the last couple of seasons winning SU by an average of 34.7 ppg. 

Tcu to cover 1 unit Reg selection

E.Michigan is a horrendous team to watch. Ya they sling the ball down field well, but just stand   around like pilons on defense, as the offense waits to come back on the field.  E. Mich has allowed 58, 44, 47, 63, and 49 points respectively in their L/5 games.This Thursday night, however, the offense, Im betting wont get much traction as the defense gets smashed again vs a  Western Michigan football program that has faced Michigan state and Ohio State this season and played admirably in those contests. I also expect the E.Michigan D, to wear down to nothing as this tilt progresses, and for this contest to end in a  one sided beat down of ugly proportions. E MICHIGAN is 5-14 ATS  against conference opponents over the last few seasons losing SU by an average of 26.3 ppg. 

Western Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection 

In football terms, the Ravens have watched their world get turned on side this year. They have alot to prove, and what better place for redemption than on Monday night football. Baltimore is the first team since the 1995 Indianapolis Colts to have each of their first six games decided by six points or fewer, according to Elias Sports Bureau and tonight Im betting they stay close enough to cover again. here is a quote which reflects the Ravens mindset entering this game " 'Hey we are not what the record says,'" nose tackle Brandon Williams said. "It gives us a great chance to play Ravens football and show everyone that we're the Ravens."

Note:Harbaugh the HC of Baltimore has put up valiant efforts after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach as is evident by a  10-1 ATS record when NFL bettors start to count him out and fade his team.Arizona is a bankroll depleting 1-9 ATS L/10 as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points .

Play on Baltimore to cover 1 unit regarding selection

Carolina after a big win vs Seattle last week on the road , will now be in a letdown mode . Thats not a good omen for the Panthers, as the Eagles are suddenly starting to move the chains with consistency,  as Coach Chip Kelly's offense has averaged 472.0 yards over the last two tilts for wins.Philadelphia's defense has contributed as well an have forced 16 turnovers, so far. and held the Gmen to 247 yards last week. The Eagles sacked Newton a career-high nine times in last year's matchup and lopsided win  and I wont be surprised by their tenaciousness in pursuit again. Note: The Eagles are 8-1 ATS as road dogs vs a non division side off a upset win.

Philadelphia to cover 1 unit reg selection

San Diego (2-4) has won six of the last seven meetings, including three straight at home vs the Raiders . The Chargers' only two wins within the division last season came against Oakland (2-3). QB Rivers of the Chargers, has owned the Raiders in the past  as is evident by having completed 69.7 percent of his passes with 13 touchdowns and five interceptions while posting a 104.5 passer rating in the last seven against Oakland. Chargers to bring home the dough.

Chargers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Washington have failed to cover 19 of their L/25  home games  against a losing  team with a win percentage of . 250 to .400)

I know Tampa Bay does not inspire alot of bettors, but they have some talent , thanks to a bevy of draft picks over the last few years, and can take out a  Washington team, that is so inconsistent that they hardly seem like favorites even here at home in DC. TB currently owns the leagues fourth rated D, and considering how miserable  and incohesive the Skins offense is  -the home team looks pathetic as chalk and are fade material.

Tampa Bay Bucs to cover 1 unit reg selection

Under Rob Ryan, New Orleans' stop unit ranks 30th. Im betting on QB Luck  and company who is 15-2 SU and 14-3 ATS off a loss will have an enormous output Sunday against this porous defense. (Colts lost to NE last week) The Colts are 9-1 ATS  in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last few season winning SU by 8.1 ppg and 7-0 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams  like the Saints - averaging 5.65 + yards per play winning SU by 12.2 ppg and 20-8 ATS versus below average defenses allowing  375 yards per game. 

Indianapolis to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Utah is No. 3 in the country, and are the only undefeated school in the Pac-12. But here they are an underdog.  Many pundits may have been surprised ,but I was not. Utah needed 20 unanswered fourth-quarter points to beat Arizona State at home, and were out played at home two weeks ago vs California and had no right to win that game , but did . I believe the Utes are extremely overrated and their ranking questionable . Now this week vs an extremely talented and hungry USC team, the Utes go down to defeat. 

USC to cover 1 unit reg selection

Western Kentucky is a public darling. Everyone likes offense, and the way this team slings the ball down field, The Hiltoppers,can score in bunches , but  have not gone unnoticed by the elite teams in College Football, and after Memphis beat Ole Miss last week, you can bet that the Tigers won't be looking ahead or in trap situation, as they take their opposition lightly. Instead, the home team will be fully focused, and ready to make a statement. Hold your hats folks, the public darlings might just end up on a wrong end of a good old fashioned Boyou ass whoopin.

If you look at the  power on the rushing games and the intensity of the passing game, LSU overshadows WKU is almost all aspects of the game. Defense is what WKU would have to rely on to stop the run and pass -This WKU team gave up 38 points to Indiana and La. Tech.  They gave up 28 points to North Texas

 Does this sound like a LSU team that is looking ahead:

"This is a very good football team," Miles said. "All you have to do is watch film. ... Doughty, every bit an SEC quarterback, big,talented, strong, smart quarterback. Big arm. Again, enough (that if) you watch the film, he'll get your attention."

LSU to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Hawaii is  playing their second straight mainland away game, and will be in a letdown mode after losing a lead last time out for a loss. They are currently on bankroll depleting  1-8 ATS run in the second of back-to-back away games and  and under  HC Chow 1-21 SU . You know how teams are distracted by visits to paradise island to play the Warriors, well the same holds true for young men visiting Reno or Vegas. I expect Nevada rolls to victory . 

Nevada to cover 1 unit reg selection

Despite of some strong recruiting classes, some of the best fans in the nation, and a media that constantly tells us how good the Vols will be . They just have not produced. Hopism is big in Tennessee , but the coaching and erratic QB Josh Dobbs and preparation remains behind what the pundits expect from the team. Even with a bye week, Im betting against them here in Alabama . The Crimson Tide are now starting to click on all cylinders, especially on defense , where the team held all but one of their opponents to season low yards. The Tide have won 8 straight meetings in this series by more than 23 points per game and covered the L/4 here at home in this series and  have covered 11 of their L/14 as a 11 to 19 point favorite. 

Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Duke defense ranks third in the ACC overall, allowing 252.8 total yards per game, and second nationally against the pass, giving up 131.2. The Blue Devils allow an ACC-best 9.3 points per game and are well rested after a bye week and a dangerous dog in this spot. Duke is a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 after a bye winning SU by an average of 7.7 ppg.  The last 2 meetings in this series were decided by a total of 4 points, and we have mucho value with a under rated underdog . 

Duke to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Cavaliers were 0-4 SU on the road last year versus the ACC and are 0-2 SU on the road this year so far. In those six games, they averaged just 16 PPG. You have to be able to score to beat a team like North Carolina. Virginia’s defense, they’re allowing 38 PPG against  FBS opposition while North Carolina's explosive offense is averaging 41 PPG on the season. Nothing is easy when it comes to wagering on College Football, many scenarios that can go against you can come back to bite you in the buttocks. But alot of the time, the numbers dont lie, and if all the facts on the ground remain the same, and Im betting we get a conclusive victory here.

North Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The 19th-ranked Rockets knocked off a pair of Power 5 squads to open the season and have dominated every opponent since. This team is the real deal, and must be respected.Toledo has outscored opponents 162-44 over the last four and set a season high with 611 total yards in Saturday's 63-20 win over Eastern Michigan to go 3-0 in MAC play. Meanwhile, the he Minutemen  rank an ugly 114th of 127 FBS teams in scoring defense (37.7) and 115th in yards allowed per game (489.5). Toledo's  offense averages  446.2 yards per tilt and ranked  second in the MAC and includes a conference-best 204.5 per game on the ground. With that said, Im betting laying the 14 points is a gift , even here on the road.

Teams like UMass  that are double digit dogs off a SU home favorite loss are 1-18 SU and 3-16 ATS when facing undefeated opposition like Toledo. 

Toledo to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Kent State are no pushovers defensively, and wont be run over, even by an explosive Bowling Green side. Kent State has lots of work against  respected teams this season, Illinois, Minnesota and Marshall and will be nore than ready to compete vs a visiting side that they are 8-3 ATS in this series against  since 2004, including 4-0 ATS when taking 7 or more points. Kent State is also  16-6 ATS  L/22 when playing against a top tier team like Bowling Green with a Win % .600 to .750. 

Kent State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Last week Bill Snyders Kansas State Wildcats were humiliated at home by Oklahoma. They showed up last week exhausted and in emotional letdown mode after blowing a big lead vs TCU before losing the week before. Now with redemption and looking for some lost respect I expect this fiesty group of Wildcats to give the  schizophrenic Longhorns all they can handle on their way to a cover.  Note: KANSAS ST is 16-3 ATS L/19 off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival.It must be noted that Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Texas have failed to cover 23 of the L/29 times  after beating the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game, which they did vs Oklahoma - against opposition after being beaten by the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game as KS was , also by Oklahoma, Kansas State has covered 4 of their L/5 visits here. HC Strong of Texas is 0-7 ATS (  after outr ushing opposition by 125 or more yards last game in all games he has coached .Kansas State is 18-1 ATS as a conference puppy in tilts off a SUATS loss under head coach Bill Snyder, including 17 covers in a row.

Kansas State to cover  1 unit reg selection

Clemson is 17-4 in its past 21 games - all those defeats coming in true road contests, so they are vulerable away from Death Valley. Meanwhile,Miami enters off a 30-20 victory over Virginia Tech   a heart breaking loss a week earlier to rival Florida State, and are currently in top form and are threat to Clemsons winning season. Miami Fl  HC Golden is a bankroll expanding  14-1 ATS  as a home dog of 24 or less points in his coaching career, including 10-1 ATS in conference play. The Tigers (6-0) maybe undefeated , but are just  2-10 ATS after 6 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Miami Fl to cover 1 unit reg selection

Following a second straight fourth-quarter collapse, the visiting Seahawks are in a desperate must win situation .The Seahawks' 55 points allowed in the 4th quarter are the fourth most in the NFL. This string of events dating back to last years Super Bowl when the Seahawks held a lead in the third than proceeded to melt under pressure and lose. This team now needs to exorcise their demons right now , right here against a team that are 7-0-1 ATS again in their L8 meetings. Russell Wilson has completed 70.8 percent of his passes and posted a 118.7 passer rating to help Seattle outscore its opponents 58-24 in the third, so he has done his part, and now its up the the Legion of Boom to live up their names and get the job done. Im betting they do just that . It must be noted that niners QB Kaepernick has completed 53.3 percent of his passes with three TDs, nine interceptions and been sacked 18 times while posting a 54.1 rating to go 1-5 as a starter against Seattle.

Seattle to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Georgia Southern (5-1, 3-0), which enters with the nation’s leading rushing offense ....an option team that operates out of spread formations with an average of 399 yards, is now ready to go up against a quality team , as the App State defense allows an average of just 109 rushing yards — 11th in the nation.In last season’s 34-14 victory in Statesboro, the Eagles gashed the Mountaineers for 408 yards on 60 rushes, Im betting this time around the Mounties are  better prepared for what's coming and overall will be relentless in their actions tonight, in revenge mode. App State  is one of the few teams in the nation that are built to slow down a team like Georgia Southern. Appalachian State is showing their explosiveness as they smashed an opponent for the  fourth straight week. The Mountaineers rolled to a blowout victory, reeling off 42 straight points to top Louisiana-Monroe 59-14, and I wont be surprised if this one ends in a DD  beat down as well.   Mountaineers are currently  on an 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS conference run with their only loss coming to Clemson- since mid-October of last season  .

year.Appalachian State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

When this season began , I felt Philadelphia was going to have a great year. Well , they started off slowly, and finally became the team I thought they would be last time out with a stirring 39-17 win vs the Saints. Meanwhile, the Giants I thought would be fairly bad. In some ways I was right. The Gmens record is better than they have played, and I'm betting this Monday my early season assumptions are correct. According to my own lines, Philly should be a 6 point favorite at home, so I feel fortunate to lay the -4 here with a desperate team that can not afford to lose for the 4th time this season. Note: Eagles are 5-0 ATS on Monday nights off a win of 20 or more points if facing a division opposition.

Philadelphia Eagles to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Last year, Tom Bradys reputation was tarnished, by what I consider to be completely over exaggerated circumstances. Now Brady sets out to send a message to all his detractors with a scorched earth attitude of search and destroy. Unfortunately for Andrew Luck and company, Brady's biggest message might come tonight. The game in question that triggered Brady's wrath began when there was an investigation of Patriots' Super Bowl advance vs Indy-with a  45-7 win over the Colts on Jan 18 and his subsequent suspension, that was over turned by the courts. Since than Brady's victories that have followed have been just as impressive even under a watchful eye.Inflated deflated or anything in between, Tom Brady is the leagues best  QB and here on national TV tonight he will be out to prove that. New England has won  six straight in the series by an average of 21.0 points with Luck starting the last four. 

Pagano is 0-6 ATS  against AFC East division opponents as the coach of the Colts losing SU by 18,5 ppg. 

New England Patriots to cover 1 unit reg selection (This game can be played all the way to -10)

 The Chargers were up with under 30 seconds to go on Monday night football, but let Micheal Vick and the Steelers stage a remarkable comeback. Now on short rest, and in a letdown scenario, I'm betting Lambeau Field is the last place the Chargers want to be this Sunday. With that said, I'm betting on Aaaron Rodgers and the Cheese machine to clobber the stunned visitors in this spot for a conclusive DD victory.  It must be noted that the Packers, are 18-1 SU before a bye week, and and have failed to cover only 4 of those games, and on  a more current note have covered 7 straight under those parameters. Green Bay is also 6-0 SU/ATS L/6in this series, and 9-2 ATS  as a home favorite over the last couple of  seasons winning SU by an average of 16.2 ppg. 

Green Bay Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection (Blowout Winner)

Coach Joe Philbin was fired one day after Miami's lackluster performance in the 27-14 loss to the New York Jets in London on Oct. 4. With fiery tight end coach Campbell now at the helm, the team will be fired up, but the problems on the ground remain the same. 

Miami ranks 28th in total offense at 314.8 yards per game and second-to-last in rushing at 69.3. Ryan Tannehill's 56.7 completion percentage and 77.1 passer rating are both among the worst in the NFL. Meanwhile, I have more respect for the Titans abilities despite of their losing record, as they are  second in the league in time of possession at 34 minutes, 18 seconds and allow an NFL-low 166.5 passing yards per game. Marcus Mariota has shown he's capable of being a top tier QB in the NFL currently, ranking 10th in the league with a 99.7 passer rating.

Both teams are hungry- but home field advantage, and Mariota's continued progression as a big league pivot, will be the difference maker here today for the TItans.

Note: Miami is 0-7 ATS L/7  after allowing 375 or more total yards in  consecutive games which has happened(losing SU By an average of 9.9 ppg. 

Tennessee to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Cleveland banged up D, is porous and I'm betting on Broncos offense to roll big here today.  The Browns, have allowed 3 of their 5 opponents 30 points or more .The Browns had four defensive starters back on the field when they kicked off against the Ravens last week. Half of that group was back on the injury report while a Pro Bowl player from the unit could miss his second straight game.Linebacker Scott Solomon was placed on injured reserve Wednesday with a knee injury and is out for the season. Cornerback Joe Haden remains in the league’s concussion protocol and, by rule, was unable to practice. Safety Tashaun Gipson (ankle), who did not play last week, didn’t practice Wednesday and neither did linebacker Craig Robertson (ankle), who has missed the past two games. Injuries have us on the Broncos as a TD win or better is now projected.

.Denver is 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS L/9 in this series.

Denver to cover 1 unit reg selection (LATE STEAM)

Arizona has posted 38.0 points per game and rebounded from a 24-22 loss to St. Louis with a 42-17 win over Detroit last week. Three veterans are leading the way, Carson Palmer (13 touchdowns, three interceptions), Larry Fitzgerald (490 receiving yards, six touchdowns) and Chris Johnson (405 rushing yards). This team is explosive and the host Steeler's with time management QB Micheal Vick at the helm if their offense will have problems keeping pace. I keep on getting the feeling that the Steeler's are going to collapse defensively in  a big way and today my assumptions will be verified. 

ARIZONA is 9-1 ATS L/10  vs. top tier kickoff return teams like Pittsburgh , that average more than 24 yards per return.ARIZONA is 10-2 ATS  versus poor defensive teams like the Steelers- allowing 350+ yards/game.. HC Arians is 12-3 ATS  in games where the line is +3 to -3 as the coach

Arians is 8-0 ATS L/8 after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game which happened in a 42-17 win vs Motown. Alot of those yards were in catchup mode though with the Lions trying to comeback.

Arizona Cardinals to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 In the last few years, Oregon has lost their best head coach, best player and best recruiting class (no. 10) all while the conference was seeing upgrades in coaching and recruiting.  Subsequently the Ducks were crushed by Utah earlier this season, and now its become obvious, that the Ducks are no longer and elite team. Despite of this , and because of the insurmountable pressure surrounding the coaching staff, and a still talented group, I'm expecting a top tier effort this week in Washington. It must be noted that the Ducks have not lost back-to-back games since 2007, as is evident by a 14-0 SU record . Also Washington is a ugly  0-11 SU and 1-10 ATS in this series and getting DDs each time. Has Oregon fallen off this much, I'm betting no. 

Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection 

After a big win vs California last week, I'm betting the Utes are in a letdown mode. Truth be known if, it were not for 6 interceptions, the Utes looked over matched in that contest, and have been out gained in 3 of 5 games. The big win vs Oregon  may have not been as big as thought, as Oregon has been down graded a bit after some sleepy losses. Also Arizona State has won 10 straight meetings in this series, and are 10-2 ATS L/12 on the road as 4 point dogs or more. Arizona State opened the season with a loss to Texas A&M and followed it up with two lackluster wins and  an ugly loss to USC. Since, the Sun Devils have played very good football with victories over UCLA and Colorado and an argument can be made they are the hottest team in the conference the last two weeks. If they lose this game,  a win  wont come easily for Utah. Take the points.

Arizona State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

USC  came out flat last time out, as their coach Sarkasian took the wind out of the team, as he showed up intoxicated for the game. Im not going to judge Sarkasian, but Im sure his condition has played a role in USCs struggles of late. The Trojans are a supremely talented team, and when prepared , are not a team to take lightly. With this situation cleaned up , Im betting these gifted young men come out here with something to prove. It must be noted that USC has proven itself before off a loss to bettors by cashing 13 straight tickets, as road dogs off a loss and 9 straight overall games off loss. Also USC has done well vs the South bend crew winning 10 of the L/13 meetings. Im betting on a tight game with the points becoming golden. 

USC To cover 1 unit reg selection 

You have to score to be able to keep up with  the Tar Heels. N.Carolina is diverse and explosive with the ball, smashing opponents  for an average of  40 points a game during their current  four game winning streak.  Meanwhile, Wake,  has a gazillion problems and cohesiveness  with their QBs John Wolford and Kendall Hinton on offense and  they also  can’t run the ball, and have a consistent tendency to turn it over , while averaging only 15 points per game against FBS teams. Tobacco road rivalry projection. North Carolina 41 Wake Forest 13

North Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection 

HAWAII is 4-13 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992

The Rainbow Warriors have been shut out  in all three trips to the mainland,. This the last place the football program wants to be as  has not notched a victory vs  New Mexico since 1991, and haven't won in Albuquerque since 1987 and are 0-5 ATS SU during that time. 

New Mexico to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Wyoming has lost all 6 of their games this season by DDs. HC Bohl is 1-8 ATS in lined home games with Wyoming losing by an average of 11.5 ppg. Nevada has played against the likes, of Arizona Texas A&M and stingy Buffalo, and smacked around New Mexico last time out, a team that beat the Pokes, 38-28. No reason Nevada a team looking to get above .500 on the season cant come out here and really pile up some numbers in a conclusive win. WYOMING is 0-7 ATS in home games after the first month of the season, losing SU by an average of 18.7 ppg.

Nevada to cover 1 unit reg selection

 After 3 straight shutouts the public loves Michigans Harbaugh and company, and that was obvious with the early line move. MSU (6-0) has consistently shown over the last few seasons, that their multiple receiver packages coupled with QB Connor Cook 29-3 record which includes having exploited every team they have played  which has led  to the nation's longest streak of 24+ points offensive outputs That makes the under rated Spartans  a dangerous opponent as underdogs vs a Michigan team that is getting far to much love here ... On the fipside.I don't see Rudock and Michigan's passing game fooling a tough Michigan State defense especially with a below average  Wolverine run game.Dantonio needs one victory to reach 100 in his head coaching career at Cincinnati and Michigan State and don't be surprised if he notches it here as an underdog. Note: Mich State is a perfect is 7-0 ATS L/7 versus good rushing defenses allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards per carry winning SU by an average of 14 ppg. 

Michigan State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Oklahoma literally fell asleep at the proverbial wheel last week, when they visited the Texas Longhorns. They came in ill prepared to face Texas, and payed the price in a loss. The Sooners really heard it from their supporters, and crap was flying everywhere. Now with redemption needed, the Sooners will be in full mad dog mode. That's not a good omen for a downtrodden and deflated group of Kansas State Wildcats who blew a huge lead to TCU last week and eventually lost. It must be noted that Oklahoma is a perfect 34-0 SU L/34 after a loss. Sooners coach  Stoops is 5-0 SU against Kansas State away.

Oklahoma to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Alabama's defense is elite -No. 1 according to my own data base numbers, but its offense and quarterback Jake Coker have been inconsistent.Texas A&M has the type of up-tempo, big-play offense that has historically given Alabama problems, so don't be surprised if this tilt resembles the close ones these teams took part  in 2012 and 2013 instead of the lopsided 59-0 beat-down last year . It seems Saban's troops only get motivated when they are off a loss, and the rest of the time this talented group just does enough to get the job done.  The Tide are under the spot light so much, that its got the point, where they treat each game like a chore. Texas A&M off a rest week, and are keyed up to avenge last seasons loss. Im betting they keep this game surprisingly close and possibly pull of the upset.

Texas A&M to cover 1 unit reg selection 

In five games the Flashes have held opponents to 27-of-95 on third down conversion attempts.  Holding opponents to 26.3 percent ranks ninth in the nation. This is their key to a possible outright upset vs UMass this week.

Kent State to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Middle Tenn States pride was smashed down last week by Western Kentucky in a 58-28 beat-down. Now with redemption on their plates, this week at home, I'm betting this explosive side will be ready to take out their frustrations on a Florida International side that has not fared well in the past vs strong offenses that are averaging 450 + yards of offense per game, like Midd Tennessee currently is , failing to cover 12 of 14 times with the average margin of defeat coming by 32.2 ppg. 

Middle Tenn State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Marshall is a football program that has not been getting  the respect they deserve. Yes, they are rebuilding a bit after losing star QB Rakeem Cato to the Canadian Football league in the off season. But the truth is, Marshall is now adjusting, and getting better by the week, thanks to a defense that must be considered a top tier unit.  Meanwhile, Florida Atlantic is in my humble opinion getting to much respect, after losing last week to Rice at home by a 27-26 count as favs,  and  with their lone win this season coming against lower level Charlotte by a 17-7 score. In three games previous to that tilt their defense gave up 33 44 and 47 points, and Im betting they get dinged again here, while their own offense finds the going tough in the other direction. 

Florida Atlantic  is a bank roll depleting  0-7 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite losing SU by an average of 21.4 ppg . 

Marshall to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Thirteenth-ranked Ole Miss (5-1) travels to face Memphis (5-0) on Saturday.

OLE MISS is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs. mistake prone teams  like Memphis - 60+ penalty yards per game losing SU by an a verage of 26.2 ppg. 

Ole Miss  has 11 players on the roster from the Memphis area so you can bet this team will be primed to play. Alot of pundits have also warned in social media that Ole Miss could upset -if not careful -by Memphis. This Mobile football field is a big one, and Memphis might not even have as much support as the Rebels.It's also familiar territory for Ole Miss coach Hugh Freeze, who coached at a high school in Memphis for about a decade before a quick rise through the college coaching profession. Bottom line" Memphis has not faced a team the caliber of Ole Miss this season, and their numbers may mean nothing coming into this tilt vs a far superior SEC team. t\he Rebels have won six straight in the series, the past three coming by an average of 23.0 points. and Im betting on a similar outcome today. 

Ole Miss to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The BYU offense is kind of banged up, with key Rbs Adam Hine and Jamal Williams  down for the count and their current QB Tanner Mangum supposedly playing with a bad hamstring.  Against a under rated Cincinnati side that has lost only 2 of their L/12 games SU to two undefeated teams , BYU look like fade material at home this Friday night.

 BYU is just 3-14 ATS  in home games versus excellent offensive teams  averaging 450+ yards/game . Cincinnati is 13-4 ATS  off an upset win as a home underdog and a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 after collecting 475 yards of offense last time out which happened in a 34-23 beatdown of a pretty good miami  team last time out.-BYU is in the midst of a 4 game home stand, which put this trend of bad payoff trends in play - BYU is  2-14 ATS at home off back-to-back home games, and 1-13 ATS off a Straight up  win.

Cincinnati to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Saints look abysmal ,  as is evident by ranking last in the NFL with 409.0 yards allowed per game, and are tied for 29th at 28.6 points given up and tied for 28th with a minus-5 turnover differential. With New Orleans star QB Drew Brees, still dealing with a shoulder problem , making up the points allowed with his arm, is less than probable, which makes the red hot  5-0 Falcons  the pick here tonight, vs a Saints side that has lost 6 of their L/7 at home SU. 

Atlanta is 9-1 ATS  when playing on a Thursday since 1992 with the average margin of victory coming by 7.6 ppg and a perfect 6-0 ATS vs NFC south opposition. New Orleans is 7-23 ATS L/30 at home in this series, and 1-11 ATS L/12 when they own a .333 win percentage or less. 

Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection 

When this season began alot of us believed Auburn was ready to break out, and make a run for the SEC title. Since than many bettors have turned against the Tigers. But the truth is, despite of some of the results, the Tigers are a supremely talented team, that now has a chip on their shoulders, because of the disrespect that is being heaped on them by the media. Im betting Auburn is fully awake now, and ready to get back some of that lost respect here tonight against a hard working  Kentucky team that is  getting far to much respect. Here;s a quote" “We still have a point to prove. It's going to be a big point.  That we're not as bad as people think we are," said wide receiver Melvin Ray. "We're actually a pretty good team and we know how good we are across the board. We know what we got talent-wise and ability-wise and so far we just haven't proved it.” It must be noted that the hosts have beaten and covered against their other two SEC opponents – as 7-point dogs at lowly South Carolina (26-22) and as 2.5-point home favorites vs. over rated Missouri (21-13), but they wont surprise Auburn. Book it.(AUBURN is 3-0 straight up against KENTUCKY since 1992 at Kentucky)

Play on Auburn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Phillip Rivers still is s a strong QB an engineered a come from behind win last time out, vs the Browns, that still chewed up a porous Chargers defense. But the problem here tonight is  Rivers has a banged up offensive line, and ranks on the low side in the league for efficiency,  which does not translate into positive momentum. If Rivers is hurried into throwing , he will be in trouble because, his run game that is  averaging just 3.9 yards per carry to rank 22nd in the league, won't take much pressure of him .

The Chargers will have its hands full vs a  much-improved Pittsburgh defense that's allowed just 5.2 yards per play, ninth-best in the NFL. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh figures to again lean heavily on Le'Veon Bell, who had 29 touches for 150 yards against Baltimore and Im betting they rip apart a Charger defense, that has had problems stopping any team they have faced . ALlowing almost 5 yards per cary, and 5.7 yards per pass. Im betting on Steelers QB Micheal Vick to continue to be an efficient game manager. 

San Diego is 3-12 ATS in their L/15 overall and have failed to cover 6 of their L/7 at home, where their home field advantage is not rally an advantage. 

SAN DIEGO is 1-8 ATS  vs. good passing teams  like the STeelers with a completion pct. of 61% or better. Steelers are 3-0-1 ATS on the season.

Pittsburgh owns a 21-7 all-time series advantage and had won 12 of 14 prior to a 34-24 home loss in the last meeting Dec. 9, 2012.

Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The 49ers have really struggled on  offense this season and have scored exactly one touchdown in their last eight quarters of play.New York Giants have been average at best this season , with short bursts of brilliant play at the right times,  but they  lead the NFL in run defense,. Thats not a good omen for the struggling  Carlos Hyde  and Colin Kaepernick  as options may be hard to come by  and points and yards as well. ( Kap has degressed as a QB and owns a quarterback rating of 67.7, and has led San Francisco to 10 points combined in the last two games.)

SAN FRANCISCO is 0-6 ATS  after a loss by 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons with the average margin of defeat coming by an average of 13.5 ppg. 

I know laying almost a TD seems scarey with the Giants, but the value considering matchup descrepencies is obvious and worth an investment

Giants to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Denver enters this game with some problems on their banged up offensive line, but Oakland is not capable of taking advantage of it. Payton Manning the future Hall of Fame QB, is more than capable of picking apart the Raiders secondary and ugly 31st ranked defense. The biggest difference here today is the Broncos defense, which is lights out one of the best in the league, and currently ranked No.1

. Denver enters this game covering 7 straight on the road vs division foes winning SU by ana verage of 13 ppg. and are 7-0 SU ATS in the L/7 meetings in this series.  Denvers future Hall of Famer, Manning is a bankroll expanding  19-1 SU and 14-4-2 ATS in division games with the Broncos, and a perfect 10-0 SU/ATS away.

Denver to cover 1 unit reg selection 

One of these awful teams is actually a better bet than the other. Jacksonville, has shown themselves to have a pulse this season, and with a few bounces might be getting more respect. They have covered 4 of the L/5 meetings in this series. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay once again looks in total disarray. Great draft picks abound, but that has not translated onto the field and they are fade material here as favs. Jacksonville has   been  strong against the run, and will force rookie QB Winston to be one dimensional . He leads the league in intercpetions and this could mean even more turnover potential in this game.It must be noted that the Bucs are a ugly 0-7 ATS L/7 before a bye. Guess what next week is- a rest week for them. 

TAMPA BAY is 3-11 ATS  in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.TAMPA BAY is  also 0-6 ATS   in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Just plug your nose folks and pull the trigger.

Jacksonville to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Frustrated angry and seething with hate, might be over stating how KC feels going into this game after 3 straight losses, but there is no doubting the ferocity of their mind set and how Im betting this plays out in a blow out win for them in Arrowhead this Sunday. I know QB Jay Cutler is back for the Bears, but that hardly instills confidence for Bears backers, considering how banged up their offensive line is.

The Bears (1-3) took a  22-20 win over Oakland last Sunday but in the two games prior to that got crushed , by a 74-23 count. Im betting on them getting shallacked again! 

KANSAS CITY is 22-10 ATS L/32   after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread and 13-2 ATS  after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games  . Also 1-3 NFL home favorites in Game Four off three losses in a row, facing an opponent off a win, have failed to cover only once in 12 opportunities

KC to cover 1 unit reg selection 

TCUs explosive offense goes head to head with Kansas state top tier defense that has allowed 17.2 ppg.  When offense goes against defense, in a big game like this , defense almost always comes out on top. The last time the Frogs faced a defense with a heart beat was Minnesota in Week 1 and they barely pulled off the 23-17 win. The Frogs have failed to cover 4 straight in this series and are 1-9 ATS L/10 as visitors here. Bill Snyder considered to be a gridiron coaching God,  is 124-29 SU at home in his career and cashed 80 of 121 lines games and when he is off a loss (which happened last week) he has cashed 14 of his L/17 times. Kansas State is  8-0 ATS  in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Kansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The 11th-ranked Gators (5-0, 3-0 SEC) are one of the biggest surprises in college football. After close wins over East Carolina and Kentucky, Florida notched a come-from-behind victory against Tennessee and Im betting they are still over rated and over performing. The Gators have lost the last two games in the series  and I wont be surprised if they lose today.  Florida has not done well in October recent years as is evident by a  6-12 SU record in the month between 2010-2014.Grier will face  n a Missouri team that leads the conference in both total defense and scoring defense. His last road start, at Kentucky, he went 13 of 22 for 125 yards with no touchdowns and one interception. Meanwhile, Missouri  did very well when they started freshman Drew Lock in place of the suspended Maty Mauk last week, and Lock will be under center again this week. He went 21 of 28 for 136 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions to help the Tigers defeat South Carolina 24-10. This kid looks cool under pressure and will once again do well managing this offense. 

Missouri to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Lafayette enters this game off a 43-14 setback to Louisiana Tech last Saturday night that lowered their record to 1-3. Now they face a Franchione coached team off a bye week. Meanwhile, with the departure of all-conference quarterback Terrance Broadway, Hudspeth and company haven’t found a consistent player behind center through four games and are going to have  a hard time keeping pace with a Texas State team that can score in bunches scoring 63 against Prarie View and 50 vs Southern Miss. Note: (UL Lafayette have failed to cover 7 of their L/8 as home favorites and lost 4 of those games straight up).

Texas State to cover 1 unit reg selection

Poor Colorado State, this is a fine team, battling with undisciplined mistakes, as penalties are costing them wins and recognition they deserve. The Rams have out gained opponents by more than 80 yards on the season and are 34-15-1 as home dogs and are being disrespected . Hey I know Boise State is a fine team, but with a inexperienced rookie QB in Rypien a the helm of the offense, and more than two TD spread attached , the under rated home team looks dangerous. 

Colorado State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oregon’s young secondary struggled against lower tier Eastern Washington (438 passing yards, 549 total yards, five touchdowns) or Georgia State (318 yards, 431 total yards, four touchdowns) during nonconference home games against spread offenses. Oregon’s defense — which ranks 114th among 127 FBS teams in passing yardage allowed (287.2 ypg) — will face a Washington State  aerial attack offense that passed for 436 passing yards in last year’s meeting. QB Falk of the Cougars, a sophomore, leads Pac-12 quarterbacks in completion percentage (72.6) and yards per game (364.8) with 10 touchdowns and two interceptions. The Cougars’ deep receiving corps promises to be a nightmarish adventure for Oregon’s secondary if Falk can handle Oregon’s pressure by making quick decisions, which he has proven without a doubt, in the past, that he can .Note: 9-2 SU is the  Record of road teams in Pac-12 games this season.

Washington State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Notre Dame fighting Irish enter this game in a natural letdown situation after a heart breaking loss to Clemson last week in Death Valley. That's not a good omen vs a Navy side in top form.

It must also be noted that the Middies are 11-1 ATS L/12 in South Bend and overall are 7-1 ATS L/8 as DD road underdogs.

Look for one of the most disciplined teams in the nation to wreak havoc with their clock controlled run game this Saturday and grab the ATS cover. 

Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Texas Tech offense has been on fire to this point in the season, but from a historical perspective this is not necessarily a good thing as they are 0-6 ATS L/6 after gaining 450 or more total yards in 4 consecutive games over the last few seasons, actually losing SU by an average of 21.8 ppg.

Everyone loves an explosive offense, like the Red Raiders own, but their defense is miserable to say the least allowing 45, 55, 63 points in 3 separate games this season, so they are susceptible to being slashed. Meanwhile, Iowa State is a much better side, than some might realize , with their two losses coming to a perfect Toledo squad, and Iowa that is now making waves in the Big 10. With that said, Im expectinga much closer game than many talking heads might expect.

Take the points with Iowa State 1 unit reg selection 

Iowa State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Finishing off their nonconference slate at 3-1, the Mountaineers enter Sun Belt play on Saturday at Georgia State on a high note and just three victories from becoming bowl- eligible for the first time at the FBS level. This game really means something to them, so motivation is a factor.Since losing to Liberty last season, the Mountaineers are 9-1 SU and have found a new level of focus.App State punished Georgia State last season scoring a 44-0 win as 11 point favorites. The Mountaineers return almost their entire starting defense and offense, and so does Georgia State. The home field advantage is now reversed but the talent on the field remains the same, and the matchup very much favors the visitors to roll to another victory in the rematch. App State has already posted two 49-0 shut outs this season and Im betting GEorgia State has problems scoring again, and also struggle to App State from scoring in a boatload full of points. Meanwhile GStates defense has looked atrocious, allowing a Charlotte team that has an extremely inefficient offense to beat them 23-20 and in subsequent tilts to allow 32, 61, 41 points respectively.  With that said, look for the Mountaineers to again put up big numbers, against a  Georgia State side allowing an average of 305 passing yards — No. 119 in the nation and almost as bad against the ground game, allowing 186 yards per game.

App State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Syracuse Freshman quarterback Eric Dungey  is expected to return vs South Florida this week after sitting against LSU two weeks ago because of a head injury. Dungey stepped in for injured senior Terrel Hunt and has been a amazing. He has a 204.03 pass efficiency rating and has completed 21 of 36 passes for 428 yards and five TDs with zero interceptions and no lost fumbles, The Orange are off a bye and well rested and will be ready to take down a USF Bulls side that has lost 5 straight home coming games. It must be noted that from a CFB wide betting trend archive, that teams like like the Orange that have covered in 3 of their L/4, a top tier team with a win %.600 to .800 going against a lower tier side with a ,250 win percentage or less like South Florida  have covered 25 of their L/28 games, With that said, I look for HC Taggart and company to get ko'ed in this spot. 

Play on Syracuse to cover 1 unit reg selection 

UMass has never beaten the Falcons, falling 47-42, 28-7 and 24-0 over the last three seasons .As back-to-back MAC East champions, the road to Motown goes through BG. The Falcons were picked to three-peat in the division during the preseason, and their play has lived up to  expectations thus far, netting the team road victories at Maryland (48-27) and Purdue (35-28) another near-win against Memphis in a game they should have won. They will want to make amends for that loss to their faithful alumni. With the Minutemen not exhibiting top tier excellence thus far, Im betting their injury riddled lineup get stood up and pounded in a big way here this Saturday by the Falcons . Note: Bowling Green is  is a perfect  9-0 ATS L/9 in home games vs. lower tier  defensive teams like Umass who give up 37 or more points/game winning SU by an average of 31 ppg.

 Bowling Green to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The amount of action from the public and even sharp bettors has been staggering here, and now the line has gone all the way down to -3 for Marshall which is now a take for me. Also alot of sharp money that took the 6.5 points on the opening line, is now coming back the other way. I know Marshall is no longer the team they were the last few years, but there is still a boatload full of talent here, and they must not be disrespected. Marshall only has one loss, and that was to a very good Ohio Bobcats team. Meanwhile, despite of Southern Missisppi's explosive offense, their defense has times looked porous as was the case when they allowed Texas State to put 50 points on the board,  as they own one of the worst defenses in the nation, allowing over 200 yards per game on the ground. Marshall's rushing attack accounts for over 150 yards per game on the ground. Also despite of Southern Miss big time aerial attack  Marshall has proven to be one of the better teams in the country at defending the pass in 2015. With that said, I expect Marshall to feed on the home crowd and control the tempo of game via their ground attack. This will keep QB Mullens and his offense off the field for long stretches which in turn will effect their momentum.  In important conference USA game, Marshall has the experience and coaching needed to win and cover. 

Marshall to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Colts' 15-game winning streak against South opponents began after Luck lost the first start in his hometown of Houston 29-17 on Dec. 16, 2012. He's thrown 14 touchdowns and three interceptions while going 5-1 SU against the Texans (1-3) and has won 5 straight. Indy is also a cash friendly 11-1 ATS on prime time Thursday nights and have the edge again, as reports say QB Andrew Luck has looked good in practice despite of sore shoulder.

Meanwhile, after watching QB Mallet flail away last week for Houston in  a ugly loss and get pulled, I lost my interest in backing this blue collar Texas crew. A group that really needs work on their defensive coverage. (If Luck cant play QB Hasselback is a fine game manager and is more than capable of pulling off a win for the Colts here) 

Play on the Indianapolis Colts 1 unit reg selection

Denver Broncos 23-2 straight up in their last 25 home games, and have cashed in 17 of those games. Denver might not be as prolific as  it was a season or two ago, but Manning at 75% of his former self is still better than Bridgewater at 110%.

Minndsota is just 10-25 ATS  in road games vs. top tier defensive teams that are currently allowing 17 or less points per game losing SU by ana verage of just under 10 ppg. The Broncos are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five games in October.Denver is 19-8 ATS L/27  in games played on a natural surface winning SU by an average of 13.6 ppg.

Denver Broncos to cover 1 unit reg selection 

San Diego' is currently having issues protecting Philip Rivers and have disappointed many with their over all play . The Chargers QB has been sacked four times in each of the last two weeks and pounded hard on to the ground a couple of times in Sunday's 31-14 loss at Minnesota.He's been playing behind a banged up offensive line as D.J. Fluker has a badly sprained left ankle and Chris Hairston has  a aggravating ankle injury. Three of the Chargers 5 starting offensive lineman and possibley four will like not play and most of their secondary. The Chargers defense also looks to be in a shambles allowing 28 , 24 and 31 points respectively in their their first three games of the season. Meanwhile, Cleveland despite of a QB controversy,  and some inconsistent play, are  also dealing , with McGowan vs Manziel debate going on in the media, but are still a capable hard nosed team, that does not get the respect they deserve. With HC Pettine at the helm the Browns have shown themselves a tough team to defeat off a loss, which they suffered last time out 27-20 to Cleveland. The Browns are a perfect 7-0 ATS L/7 after a loss and non cover. Meanwhile,  San Diego is just 1-8 ATS at home off back to back away games and have failed to cover 3 straight in this series. Taking the points looks to be a very viable option this Sunday.

Take the points with the Cleveland Browns 1 unit reg selection 

  The Texans smash mouth ground attack trampled all over Tampa Bay even without Arian Foster  in the lineup , but still scored just once on the ground last week. The Falcons seem vulnerable to getting nashed via the run as is evident by, giving up more rushing touchdowns through three games ( six) than any team in the NFL. The Falcons are also giving up alot of yards   despite of Dan Quinns hybrid 4-3 scheme,  and are allowing just under 400 yards in each of their first two games before catching the Cowboys without Tony Romo and Dez Bryan last time out. I like Atlanta , but this is a bad spot for them against a hard working Texans squad that reminds me of the Steelers  old  blue collar crew.

Atlanta’s  owns a  1-14 ATS record at home in games off back-to-back SUATS wins, 0-18 ATS at home  dating back 34 years  in games off three ATS wins in a row.

Houston Texans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Buffalo has a strong defense, under HC Rex Ryan their aggressive and tenacious. But the Giants have protected Eli Manning well this season, and Im betting he does better than expected. Last week the Bills clobbered the Dolphins, and now their is an over reaction from the public, Don't get me wrong the Bills are a fine team, but this will be a natural letdown situation after last weeks explosive effort. It must be noted that the  Bills are 9-20-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS win and 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.

Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.Road team is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

NY GIANTS are 12-2 ATS in road games against AFC East division opponents . BUFFALO is 9-25 ATS  off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival which happened vs Miami last time out.Giants are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games on turf.

 Giants to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Things are a mess in Miami for the Fins and Im betting just because they need a win, things on the ground just wont change that quickly. After taking on  high expectations in the off season after adding $114 million defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh and quarterback Ryan Tannehill and running back Lamar Miller the Dolphin fan club is now in arrays and screaming for heads to roll. Miami is allowing an average of  435 rushing yards - second-most in the league.Miami is 0-6 ATS L/6   after allowing 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games over the last few seasons losing SU by an average of 9.3 ppg.  Meanwhile, despite of losing last time out,  the Jets have  yielded 231 yards and rank fourth in the league giving up 298.3 per game, and will cause the lackluster Dolphin offesne headaches as was the case when they held Colts to just 7 points in Indianapolis. London has one of the best sushi restraunts on the planet (Rock Star Sushi Bar) and looks like the Dolphins will be on the menu of the Jet setters this early Sunday morning at Wimbley.

Play on the NY Jets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

  Oregon is in a, let us just say cranky mood right now. They came out against a good Utah side,  last week at home and crapped their pants. It was ugly and humbling and something this football program did not take lightly afterwards. I know QB Mariotta is now in the NFL honing his skills, but this Oregon Ducks football team is still deep with talent. Oregon is  21-6 ATS  off a home game winning SU by an average of 10.7 ppg. Colorado is a much improved team , but this is not a good spot for them vs a extremely embarrassed Ducks side that will be hell bent on getting back their well earned respect, against a Buffs side that might be biting off more than they can chew . Im betting  the Ducks wake up out of their slumber in a big way here. Note: Crazy line movement  and most of the action was public bettors. 

Play Oregon to cover  1 unit reg selection 

 Clemson is a place no one wants to visit. Death Valley has seen visiting teams win SU just twice in their L/30 visits there. I know Notre Dame has played some great ball this season, but it seems they came flying out of the gate this season, with chips on their shoulders after many talking heads wrote them off after losing players to the NFL. Notre Dame's victories have come against opponents with combined records of 4-11. So now , reality check is now on the table in a nasty environment.Last week Notre Dame shot their wad and put 62 points up on the board vs Umass, and now a natural letdown must be expected vs a Clemson's defense  that is ranked ninth nationally in allowing 260.7 yards a game. Note: Notre Dame is just  1-11 ATS  in road games after gaining 7.25 or more yards per play last time out. The Irish are just 6-22 ATS  vs top rated defensive teams  that allow 285 or less yards per game losing SU by an average of 10.1 ppg. Irish are alos just 2-5  SU under Kelly on the road against ranked teams. Meanwhile, Clemson is 41-6 at home in seven seasons under coach Dabo Swinney and have won 11 straight. 

 Clemson to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Mississippi State's season is back on the upswing after an extremely important road win against Auburn. Meanwhile, their hosts Texas A&M after last weeks come from behind OT win against hard hitting Arkansas could find themselves short on energy, vs a nasty Bulldogs defense that held Auburn to 9 points last week. I know how much the talking heads love the Aggies, but I wont be surprised if their upset here by an under rated group. The Aggies allowed Nevada two weeks ago to score 27 points on them and had to come from behind last week in win in OT vs Arkansas, which will have them in a natural letdown scenario. Texas A&Ms coach agrees with my assessments, about the team he will face today Quote: This team has got an experienced quarterback who knows how to win and will not be intimidated, been in big environments and won big football games," Sumlin said. "... I think basically it's a team that's not getting the type of respect they should be getting. They're coming in here to prove something. You've got two very similar teams playing, so it's going to be a heckuva game." With that said, the points look to be golden. Note: Texas A&M  is 1-9 ATS ( when playing against a top-tierl team with a Win percentage of  .750 or better  over the last few seasons losing SU by an average of  8.3 ppg.

Miss State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Georgia Southern has won 3 straight and have put 40 points or more on the scoreboard  in all three behind an explosive rushing attack that logged 412 yards /on average. Thats not a good omen vs a Warhawks side that allows 4.7 yards per carry.HC Berry of ULMonroe is 0-7 ATS L/7  in home games versus top tier rushing teams  that  average 4.75 rushing yards per carry losing SU by an an average of 15.9 ppg. 

Georgia Southern to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Georgia Tech seems to do well vs aerial attack oriented teams like North Carolina as  is  evident by a 9-2 ATS  record vs quality passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. After losing two straight games, one to Notre Dame in a hard fought affair and than a letdown loss in Duke, you can bet the Gtech will be ready to rock. It must be noted that    Tarheels HC Fedora is 1-9 ATS  L/10 in road games in the first half of the season. Also Im not always big on revenge angles, but this this one qualifies as N.Carolina defeated Tech last season 48-43 in a shootout and payback is at hand now. Note: North Carolina is No. 115 in the country against the run (228.8 yards per game). We all know what Gtech does well! Run baby Run!

Georgia Tech to cover  1 unit reg selection 

Duke is a fine team, but getting way to many accolades for beating a Gtech side last week in a letdown mode, after losing a heart breaker to Notre Dame. The Blue Devils were still out gained in that  game and got some breaks, so Im not all in on them, especially against this type of hardcore defense (ranking No.1 in the nation) while getting it done against  the likes of Florida State , N.Illinois holding both to season lows on offense. Boston College has covered 3 straight on the road in this series, and are capable of pulling off the SU upset. But with a TD plus point spread on our side, Im taking all the way.  Note: BC long term and under a historical pretext spanning a 58 game sample size vs  a program with a win % of .750 or better has seen an average margin of 4.2 points decide these games. 

Boston College to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Alabama, has put itself in a must-win situation by losing at home to Mississippi a couple of weeks back. The Tide are being made underdogs for the first time since 2009. There is alot of excitement in Georgia about this game, and the possibilities .  But the truth is  Mark Richt and company almost seem like their playing scared this week. Georgia HC has been careful with his words about the game to the media, as he does not want to wake, what has been ,so far this season a sleeping giant.It must noted that Georgia is a bankroll depleting   4-18 ATS in home games when playing against a top-tier teams with a win percentage of .750 or better like Alabama . Roll Tide Roll.

Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection 

From a league wide College football league trend archive it must be noted that teams like Buffalo that are Home underdogs off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road win like Bowling Green are a bankroll expanding 26-6 ATS for a 81% conversion rate. I know Buffalo lost to Nevada last week, but Im predicting a bounce back effort here ,  in mac play vs a Bowling Green side that just upset a Big10 opponent and could easily be in a letdown spot, vs a coach in Bulls  Leipold that must not be underestimated as a game plan tactician. It must also be noted the Buffalo is 7-0 SU in the second of back to back home games.

Play on Buffalo to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Im big on Toledo this year, mostly because of the improved defense,  but this is just to many points to be laying on the road against a viable opponent in Ball State. Toledo has won their first three games, but in the past this has not always been a good omen for their covering abilities as they are just 5-17 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins losing SU by an average of 2.9 ppg. Ball State has covered 8 of the last 10 in this series at home. The line moved in a big way but +6 or better is a steal in my humble opinion. Take the points 

Ball State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Northern Illinois is a fine team, and a MAC power house. I have lots of respect for them, and they have played well this season despite of 2 straight losses to a sleepy looking Ohio State squad and feisty Boston College . But Central Michigan is a well coached squad in a home coming situation. They are just 1-3 on the season, but have played admirably vs top ranked competition playing close against Syracuse, Oklahoma State and Michigan State. Northern Illinois has lost only 3 of their L/41 MAC games, but guess who they lost all three to-yup you guessed it Central Michigan.

Central Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Umass has played Notre Dame, and and  improved Colorado team and Temple to start their campaign. They are now battle tested and very ready to take down a lower tiered Florida International squad on their own home turf. It must be noted the visiting Panthers are playing their 4th away contest of the season, and will be road weary and in a letdown situation after a mistake filled loss to LA Tech last time out. Im betting on up and coming star QB Blake Frohnapfel to pick apart the FIU secondary in a big way today and get us an easy cover. Umass is a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6  after allowing 37 points or more last game which happened against Notre Dame. Take a minute and lay the FG.

 UMass to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ohio is a very under rated side, and gave a tough Minnesota football program all they could handle last time out  in a close loss as 10 point road dogs. Now they come into face a Akron football program they have owned of late winning the L/7 meetings SU. It must be noted that Ohio HC 7-0 ATS  L/7 in road games after a loss by 3 or less points. UAkron is 0-10 ATS  off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last couple of seasons and have failed to cover 12 of their L/16 games overall. Akron's HC Bowden is 0-6 ATS  in home games in October games losing SU by an average of 11.2 ppg and is is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games in weeks 5 through 9.

Ohio to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Louisville's HC Bobby Petrino after an 1-3 start is desperate, and has seen his backers becoming less tolerant of his underachieving ways by the week, and he is on the HOT SEAT. This week against a revenge minded NC State side, that lost last year by a 30-18 count in this series, Petrino;s young talented group will be wound up and ready to play. As for the revenge factor goes, Im not overly concerned , as you don't always get what you want. Also Im not overly impressed by the faux numbers that Pack have put up vs the likes of South Alabama, Old Dominion, Eastern Kentucky and Troy. For a Cardinal side that has faced Clemson, Auburn and very under rated Houston this trip to Raleigh may seem like a Sunday walk in the park. Note : Petrino is 10-1 ATS L/11 vs an opponent of back to SUATS victories and a perfect 6-0 ATS in conference battles. 

 LOUSIVILLE TO COVER  1 unit reg selection 

Two seasons ago, Northwestern went undefeated in nonconference play and then managed one Big Ten victory the rest of the way. Northwestern has a history of early successes, going 21-3 in August and September since the start of the 2010 season. However, it's 6-14 SU record in October during that span that is troubling. Now against a very tough and physical Minnesota side, that slowed TCU down and only allowed them 23 points in the  season opener comes into Northwestern looking to pull of the upset, and cover for the 10th straight time in this series. Im betting the Gophers get it done. 

Minnesota to cover  1 unit reg selection 

Two long time rivals the Pittsburgh Panthers and VTech Hokies go head to head today and a tilt that promises to be hard hitting and close.The Panthers according to my power rankings are under rated, while VTech is over rated.  The Hokies enter this game off a failed cover, which is not a good omen for them as they are just 4-12-1 ATS L/15 in their following a failed cover game  and 1-10 ATS L/11in conference tilts. Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATs L/8 in this series, and Im betting on another cover as I recommend taking the points. 

Pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Mountaineers have allowed just 23 points through three games, which puts them at number one in the nation in points against.It's going to be a big test for Lincoln Riley's air raid offense who will be coaching his first Big 12 game at Oklahoma.West virginia is 10-2 ATS L/12 as conference dogs of 7 points or less.With revenge on board for a 45-33 win for Oklahoma last season , under rated West Virginia Im betting plays hard and brings home the cash!.

 WEST VIRGINIA TO COVER l 1 unit reg selection 

 Temple is playing their third straight road game, and are still pretty road weary after going against some stringent competition,  even though they are off a bye week. This situation vs a lower ranked opponent (Charlotte) will have them in a natural letdown position, which could easily make for a lackluster performance. It must be noted that historically speaking Temple's football program is just 1-29 SU L/30 in a lined road game with rest and have lost 25 straight under those parameters. By the way that one road win was by just 1 point. Charlotte enters the game after holding their own in a  17-7 home loss to an explosive Florida Atlantic side  in Conference USA play. If they can control that offense, Im betting they have a viable chance in this spot. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 1 unit reg selection   

 Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger sustained an ugly left knee injury, and the Michael Vick-led Steelers won without scoring a touchdown last week vs St.Louis 12-6. Now alot of Linesmakers believe that Pittsburgh's offense will experience a steep downturn without Big Ben under center. But what Im betting happens is that interim QB Micheal Vick will do well, in a clock managed ground orientated attack. Also Vick a four time Pro Bowlers , arm must not be disrespected, and while not as mobile as he was when he was younger, can make you work hard to stop him. He has experience , and can get the job done with the help of a well oiled offense. Vick met with offensive coordinator Todd Haley for several hours Monday night to go over the game plan. Haley said he was impressed with Vick's knowledge of the system. Baltimore will have their hands full tonight, as Im also betting the recent defensive struggles,  and the 23 penalties that plagued them over the past two weeks and a ground game that's averaged just 3.3 yards overall, will continue to be a headache for Harbaugh and company. 

Pittsburgh Steelers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

While the Chiefs look to turn the page on a bitter loss to a division rival, the Packers try to move on from a satisfying revenge win when the teams face off Monday night at Lambeau Field. Kansas City draws another tough assignment in its visit to Lambeau Field, where Green Bay (2-0) owns a 10-game win streak behind what my own power rankings suggest of the NFLs best QB along with NEs Tom Brady. Counting the postseason, Rodgers has recorded has had 18  consecutive home games without an interception including last week's 27-17 victory over Seattle. The reigning NFL MVP has attempted 539 passes, thrown for 43 touchdowns and posted a 124.0 passer rating over a streak dating back to December 2012. . KC and Green Bay have not played here in Wisconsin since 2003.

GREEN BAY is 6-0 ATS  in home games in the first half of the season over the last  few seasons winning SU  by an average 17 ppg. coach Mike McCarthy is 4-1 in the L/5 Monday nighters with Rodgers sporting a 116.3 passer rating over those five games. Im betting on Green Bay bringing home the cheese in this spot,'

Green Bay Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Broncos stunned Kansas City 31-24 last week, as  QB Manning directed a touchdown drive to tie it in the final minute and cornerback Bradley Roby returned Jamaal Charles' fumble 21 yards for another score with 27 seconds left. This week I expect Manning his old but accurate arm and the running game to  power the offense against a Motown run defense , that rank 28th with 147.0 rushing yards allowed per game. Yes, I know the Broncos have not rushed much so far, but they will explode soon enough, and probably tonight vs a Lions team that was gutted because if a  offseason departure of defensive lineman Ndamukong Suh . On the flip side the Lions are so one dimensional offensively they are easy to read because of i their nability to run the ball and rank second last in the league. The Lions are also being out gained by an average of 104 ypg. With that said, the last two meetings have seen ,   Broncos crush the Lions by a combined 89-17 count. Im betting on Humphrey Bogarts famous line to be prominent in my mind by games end. Play it again Sam!

Denver to cover  1 unit reg selection 

The Niners have played this series close in the past, but have really been down graded in my power rankings and Im betting they are exhausted after extensive travel early on this season. Cards QB Carson Palmer,  is 17-3 SU and 15-4-1 ATS last twenty starts. and gets the nod here this week. ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS  after a win by 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons winning SU by an average of 12.3 ppg.  Arizona Coach Arians is 14-4 ATS as a favorite in all games he has coached winning SU by an average of 9.6 ppg. Arians is also 11-1 ATS   in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in all games he has coached 

Play on the Arizona Cards to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Ryan is third in the NFL with 661 passing yards after he threw for 363 last weekend. Meanwhile QB Weeden of Dallas is 0-8 ATS/SU in his L/8 starts and 0-7 SU vs NFC opposition. No Romo and no Detz, the Cowboys will not be as potent as usual, and will suffer the loss here. 

Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Colts 0-2 and esperate for a win  have won 13 straight division games and six in a row over Tennessee  outscoring the Titans 68-27 with Luck tossing six touchdown passes in last season's meetings.Indianapolis is 10-0 ATS L/10 versus division opponents.Tennessee is 0-6 ATS  versus division opponents losing SU by ana average of 14.2 ppg. 

Banged up or not Indy gets it done in desperation vs Mariota and company.

Play on Indianapolis to cover 1 unit reg selection 

New York (2-0) has outscored Cleveland and Indianapolis 51-17 so now their is a public lovefest going on. Meanwhile, Chip Kelly and the Philadelphia Eagles have fallen out of favor with the pulic, and todays betting line proves that. Believe me when I say, it was not wise guy money that swayed this line. Jets have lost 8 straight games in this series SU and Im betting the Eagles despite of some injuries and negative work, wont lose this one easily , whihc makes taking the points golden in my humble opinion! Book it!

Philadelphia Eagles to cover *LATE STEAM )

Rebuilding Fresno state is very capable of covering the number here vs a San Jose State program that  has a coach in Caragher who is 0-9 ATS  off a road loss as the coach, something that the Spartans suffered last time out 35-21 at Oregon State. The Bulldogs put 21 points on the board vs one of the best teams in the nation Ole Miss and  scored 24 against Utah. Fresnos HC DeRuyter is 10-0 ATS against strong  rushing teams - averaging 4.75 + rushing yards/carry  like San Jose State winning SU by ana verage of 16.4 ppg. ( I know  Zach Greenlee might not  play  beause of being arrested, (party incident) but have factored in if DeRuyter opts to suspend Greenlee for Saturday’s game, the Bulldogs also have West Virginia transfer Ford Childress on the roster. Childress, a redshirt junior, started two games for the Mountaineers in 2013 and threw for 427 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. He spent the 2014 season redshirting at Trinity Valley Junior College (Texas) before landing at FSU.

Fresno State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My propietary programs rated this game very highly. Im expecting a one sided margin of vicory for a Houston team that upset Lousiville , scoring 34 points , two weeks ago and are very fresh and well rested after a bye week. 

Houston to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Texas A&M is 1-5 ATS their last six at neutral sites, 1-5 ATS as a conference favorite of more than 7 points and 3-8 ATS away from home off back-to-back home games. The Aggies biggiest probelems come on the ground , as the  run defense as was evident when they surrendered 240 yards in a 56-23 win over Ball State on Sept. 12. The Aggies were also eaten alive for 285 on the ground by the physical Razorbacks last season and I can see the same thing happening again. TEXAS A&M is 1-8 ATS against quality rushing teams  averaging 4.75 or more  rushing yards per carry over the last few seasons losing SU By an average of 8.7 ppg. 

TEXAS A&M is  also a bankroll depleting 3-16 ATS   in road games after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored .ARKANSAS football program is 11-1 ATS  in home games after gaining 475 or more total yards. Arkansas is also 21-8 ATS   in home games vs. top tier passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yard per game. 

Arkansas to cover 1 unit reg selection

Arkansas State  is 0-12 ATS after gaining 300 or more rushing yards  losing SU by 10.8 ppg which happend against Missouri State last time out . Toledo is 12-3 ATS L/15 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points wnning SU by an average of 14.1 ppg. Toledo beat Arkansas State away from home last season 63-44 and Im betting on  even bigger margin of  victory  this Saturday because of the Rockets upgraded defense that just held Arkansas to 12 points and Iowa State to 23 points! 

Toledo to cover 2 unit TOP selection (Generals Club Top Rated ++Blow Out Winner)

California and their high flying offense, come into Washington to go against a hardcore defense.Through three games, Washington leads the Pac-12 in scoring defense, total defense and rush defense and is one of the few teams built to stop this kind of offense. Im expecting a physical grinding close affair with the points proving golden. California is just 4-21 ATS  as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 

Washington cover  1 unit reg selection 

TCU is banged up with a boatload full of injuries, especially on defense where they have lost 7 defensive starters. Meanwhile, Texas Tech  3-0 has come along way, and is playing good football out of the gate this season. Tech has also won the L/4 meetings at Texas Tech all time and once again in front of a sold out crowd looks capable of putting up a strong fight and possible upset in this spot. There is a revenge factor in play here for last seasons 82-27 pounding. The embarrassment resonates, with coaches like Kingsbury and he will have his team fired up. 

Texas Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I know that the Crimson Tide are angry, but 38 points is a big spread to cover. Saban has a history of being sub par off a loss with a 20-25 ATS mark and 3-11 ATS off one or more consecutive losses and has failed to cover in 11 of his 17 vs non conference opposition under these parameters. Lane Kiffin the Tides offensive coordinator does not have a clue to what hes doing with the talent assembled, as was evident in last weeks home loss to Ole Miss, and yes, they might roll UL Monroe today, Im betting they dont cover the number. UL Monroe is 5-1 ATS L/6 as 34 point or more underogs and  posted a 21-14 victory in the last meeting between the teams in 2007 at Alabama.

UL Monroe to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 East Carolina got clobbered by Navy last week, but I was not surprised by that. This week, after two straight losses, Im betting we see East Carolina at their best .It must be noted that VT QB Michael Brewer expected to miss 4-8 weeks ( Shoulder ).

E CAROLINA is 10-1 ATS   in home games against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game. Beamer is 2-9 ATS  after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games .  VTEch is also just 2-9 ATS L/11 as road favorites. HC McNeill of the Pirates  is 10-2 ATS (  after a loss by 17 or more points as the coach of E CAROLINA and is  is 5-0 ATS in his last five  versus the ACC and 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS off back-to-back losses.

 East Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Oklahoma State mostly destroyed opponents in its nonconference slate, while Texas has already been shown to be defensively challenged before beginning play in one of the nation's highest-scoring leagues. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State   is one of three FBS schools that ranks in the top 20 in scoring offense (41.7 ppg) and scoring defense (11.7). I know alot of hope, as been making the rounds in Austin this week after Jerrod Heard, making his second career start at quarterback, amassed 527 yards of offense, against what has proven to be a inconsistent California defense over the last few seasons. ( Im putting it politely, but who am /i to be politically correct, so Ill just say it......the Bears defense has been atrocious for while so Im not puting alot into that performance. 

The Cowboys got clobbered by Texas in their 2014 meeting, losing in  Stillwater by 21 points. Now Oklhoma State has revenge on board   for that loss and will be primed to add   7-0 ATS L/7 visitor ATS advantage . Oklahoma State also owns a  13-0 ATS  L/13 record as road favorite  of fess than 19 points when playing off back-to-back SU wins.

Gundy is 12-3 ATS  vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points/game as the coach of the Cowboys is winning SU By an average of 25.6 ppg and the Long horns qualify under those parameters 

Oklahoma State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Irish wont take this game for granted, but that is a big number to cover here. DeSpite of being ready to play , coach Brian Kelly still could have problems getting his young men in top form after a bruising hard fought win against a tough Georgia Tech side last week, as they will be in a natural letdown mode, which effect their performance out of the gate. The Irish are 29-point chalk against the Minutemen, one of the largest point spreads during Kelly's six seasons as Irish coach. No. 11 Notre Dame was 28-point favorites against Purdue in 2014 and won 30-12 , not covering. The 14th-ranked Irish were also 29.5-point favorites against Temple to open the 2013 season and won 28-6 with a no cover attached to that score. No. 11 Notre Dame also was 24.5-point favorite favorites against Boston College in 2011 and won only 16-14. Im betting on no cover here again.

NOTRE DAME is 7-20 ATS  as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.  UMass has 19 returning players and 17 retuning starters and must not be disrespected behind up and coming QB Blake Frohnapfel who threw for 393 yards vs a solid Temple defensive secondary last week in a underdog win. 

umass to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ohio (3-0) returns 20 starters including 10 starters on offense, seven on defense and three specialists. They also return all five starters on the offensive line. This a very dangerous team, that could spring the upset here vs a Minny team that has a tendency of playing up or down to their competetion! 

Ohio to cover  1 unit reg selection 

This one is all about mathematics, and certain over projection of how good Baylor is both offensively and defensively. Rice is very under rated. Yes over matched on paper, but the number says its a take.

Rice is 8-0 ATS L/8 after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored, which happend last week.

Rice to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Stanford had a big win vs USC last time out and will now be in a letdown mode, and probably not as explosive out of the gate, vs a Oregon State side that would love to pull off an upset. The Cardinal also saw starting QB Kevin Hogan injure his ankle, and despite of it  being sore it  is luckily not broken. But with said, the QB may not start and if he does, will not be 100%.  Also if Stanford builds a good lead. Backups Ryan Burns and Keller Chryst have minimal game experience, I don't think the points will come as freely. This will give us room for back door cover. Keep an eye on True freshman quarterback Seth Collins, for OSU, this guy is the real deal, and getting better with each game out.Gary Andersen is 16-3-1 ATS As a a underdog of 3 or more points.

Play on OSU to cover 1 unit reg selection