Illinois is off a bye week and well rested, which should provide an extra blast to the team. They will attack  Minnesota U via a two-quarterback system for the first time this season Saturday. The Gophers defense, was exposed last week allowing 38 points vs a Purdue offense that must be considered average at best, so the Illini Im betting will find the same ways to gauge the Gophers D. Note: Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meeting.

Play on Illinois 1 unit reg selection 

The Longhorns are 34th in the country in allowing just 346.3 yards per game, and those numbers would even be better if they werent caught looking ahead to this game against Kansas State . They did win in a 48-45 shoot out vs the Iowa State Cyclones, but it was far from a wide awake effort by Texas and very correctable. Remember, they held the University of Oklahoma to 28 yards  and eight yards rushing in the first half of their  game. On offense the Longhorns Quarterback Tyrone Swoopes and the Texas offense have showed significant progress over the previous two weeks and Im betting will  continue to progress against Kansas State. The Wildcats had a  energy draining game vs Oklahoma last week, and might still be a little exhausted after the celebrations. I know Manhattan has not been a friendly place for the Longhorns , but we need them to be competitive not win, and Im betting they will be. Texas head coach. Note Longhorn HC  Charlie Strong is 20-8 SU and 21-7 ATS away , including a perfect  13-0 ATS versus .666 or greater opposition.

Play on Texas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oregon is an explosive team, but they have proven in the past, that despite of all their talent, they sometimes fall asleep at the proverbial wheel when you least expect it.  Remember , that Oregon has Stanford on board, next , a team that gave them their first loss last season, and their only loss during the 2012 season. Meanwhile, California one of the nations most improved teams, behind a prolific offense, could easily put a surprise scare into the Ducks  and or at least  provide is with a back door cover. After an analysis of possible scenarios, a cover in this spot is not out of the question, as the home team treats this Friday night tilt like their own personal national title game. Note: The home team is 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series, and the Ducks are 0-4 ATS L/4 on Friday nght!

Play on the California Bears 1 unit reg selection 

Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos broke records last week and looked unbeatable vs what may be an over hyped SF 49ers group. Now after watching that , spectacle, its hard for the average layman to go against such greatness. But in the NFL things have a way of turning quickly. A natural letdown for the Broncos should also be expected this week vs a San Diego Chargers side that has been tough on the Broncos in the past.The Chargers are 8-0-3 ATS in their last 11 trips to Denver. The Chargers are also a bankroll expanding 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with winning home records. The Chargers rank fifth in total defense (316.4), third in passing yards allowed (29.6) and third in points allowed (16.3) this season and despite of some injuries in the secondary an extremely capable opponent for the public favs Denver. Note: Broncos are  0-7 ATS off a NFC contest when their opponent is looking for revenge, which the Chargers are. Remember when the Chargers surprised everyone last season going into Denver on a Thursday night in December last season pulling off an amazing effort.  History has a way of repeating itself. 

Play on SD Chargers 1 unit reg selection - ( Im even willing to play this at  +7.5 ...so in case you cant get this number at your book , feel confident that we have a soild wager in this spot. 

 The Hurricanes have had an array of doctor jekyll and my mr hyde type  results this season depending on the location of their games, going 4-0 at home with an average margin of victory of 22 points while losing all three of their road contests by an average of 13 points. They really cant be trusted on the road, and despite of having alot of talent, it sometimes seems like its not being managed properly, or the chemistry is just not there. VTech on the other hand despite of a down game, last time out against long time rival Pittsburgh U, are a hard working under rated team (program) that must not be disrespected. With that said, Im taking the points in this spot with the home dog. Note: The Underdog has cashed 5 of the L/6 meetings in this series.

 Virginia Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Pittsburgh Steelers are smarting after getting embarrassed last Sunday in Cleveland and believe me pros do not like to be embarrassed. Im expecting they bounce back in a big way vs a over rated Houston side this Monday night.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 15-0 SU at home on Monday nights, including 6-0 ATS when not favored by 6 or more points.

Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers 1 unit reg selection 

Head coach Andy Reid is 16-2 SU   in games when his teamsare playing with rest, including 7-0 SUATS with a .500 or less record on the season. Ried is a master in this situation:"Listen, I've done it this way for a long time and it's been fairly successful," Reid said. "Sometimes I think it's good to step away whether you're doing well or not doing well. Coming off a win or a loss I think sometimes it's good to get away and get recharged."

Play on Kansas City to cover 1 unit reg selection

My own numbers suggest a much closer game than the talking heads do. I also have a personal 144-64 ATS go against trend favoring the Panthers  that tells me that this makes for a viable clothes pin to the nose type of wager. Hold your breath folks, and lay down your bets. 

Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.Packers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.Panthers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 vs. NFC.

Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Titans Jake Locker (thumb) remains a question mark and no matter what he is less than 100%. Also watching Tennessee last week barely squeeze by Jacksonville last week 16-14 tells me alot about the current state of the team, all of which is negative. I know Washington has not been much better, but their are glimmers of hope with this team, and this week, Im betting they finally give their fans something to cheer about. It must be noted that Washington beat Jacksonville 41-10 earlier this season, so on head to head common performances, we have an edge on this number. 

Titans are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 games following a S.U. win.Titans are 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Washington to cover 1 unit reg selection 

New Orleans Saints to cover 1 unit reg selection 

New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees has  owned the Lions in the past . Brees is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in four career meetings with Detroit,  and  has thrown 14 touchdown passes and only one interception against the Lions. I know the Saints have disappointed this season, and Lions are a better team especially on defense. However, Im the belief that the Saints are still a good team, and I wont be surprised at all if they pull off the SU victory today. Note  The Saints own a 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS mark of late against the NFC North battles.

The Rams are coming off three consecutive defeats and are reeling at 1-4 while the Seahawks sit at 3-2 and facing questions about their ability to defend their championship. Im betting the Seahawks answer those questions immediately this Sunday. After watching QB Sam Austin of St.Louis look lost in the 2nd half of last weeks loss to SF it becomes obvious to me the Rams will be hard pressed to put points on the board vs a Seahawks side that feels disrespected by the pundits after last weeks lackluster loss to Dallas. Im not always crazy about backing road favs, but this time I believe the justification behind my analysis deserves a prudent investment. It must be noted St.Louis is a ugly  1-14 ATS at home in division matchups with a losing record before travelling  off to back-to-back road games.

Play on the Seattle Seahawks  1 unit reg selection

The Sun Devils are well rested and ready to take on their rivals the Stanford Cardinal this Saturday after a off week . Before that time off, they upset USC in their own back yard by a 38-34 count. I know Stanford has been a thorn in the Sun Devils side of late, but this time around Im betting on things changing, and for more importantly for us getting the cover. ASU head coach Todd Graham is 8-0 ATS as a home dog of less than 20 points versus opponents that own at least one loss on the season.It must be noted that Stanford has failed to cover 4 of their L/5 games away from home as favorites. 

Arizona State to cover vs Stanford 1 unit reg selection 

The Fighting Irish visit the Florida State Seminoles at Doak Campbell Stadium at 8:00pm ET on Saturday night for a big time prime time affair.

The Florida State Seminoles are just 1-5 ATS so far this season, only   covering the spread in a 43-3 win over Wake Forest . The Seminoles are averaging 12.6 points per game less on offense and allowing 8.6 points per game more on defense than they did in 2013, but Florida State has still  among the nation's best teams with a perfect 6-0 SU record. With all the off field allegations and distractions facing FSU QB Jameis Winston we may see those numbers sink even further vs a tough Notre Dame team that can play defense when they are paying attention.  It must also be noted that defending national champions are 10-17-2 ATS since 1980 as favorites of less than 14 points in matchups of two undefeated teams, Also Irish QB Golson is 18-0 SU during the regular seaason in his career as a starter with Notre Dame.

Play on Notre Dame 1 unit reg selection 

The Panthers have had extreme difficulties all year on defense. The team is allowing  41.7 points and 481.2 yards per game. Ouch. It has just two interceptions in 187 pass attempts and eight sacks. Making matters worse this week the  team is expected to be without three of its top outside linebackers, which will make it even more difficult to blitz.Meanwhile, South Alabama defense is doing fairly well  allowing 21.4 points and 374.8 yards per game. They are giving up 184 rushing yards per game and 190.8 passing yards per game, second-lowest in the Sun Belt. They have 13 sacks and five interceptions. Add my own numbers into the mix, and consdiering the injury situation, Im betting on the Jaguars romping to a one sided victory.

Play on South Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection

Northwestern HC Fitzgerald has been breaking down a lot of Nebraska game film over the past six days, because that is what he does and very good at I might also say. A week after his football program was beaten by Northern Illinois, Fitzgerald found flaws in Penn State that led to a 29-6 win on the road. With the  Wildcats in desperation mode needing a victory here to have any chance of remaining in the Big Ten hunt you can bet his team and the coaches , especially Fitzgerald will be ready for the Huskers and will not go down without a big time fight. The home dog we are backing owns a diligent defense, that allows just 17.3 ppg, and must not be underestimated.

Northwestern to cover 1 unit reg selection

Southern Miss to cover 1 unit reg selction 

Rod Carey and the Huskies football team will want to get back on the proverbial horse after their 28-game home winning streak came crashing down vs Central Michigan. Now with questions starting to be asked, I expect the Huskies to wake up and answer the bell in a big way this week. The line looks cheap thanks to the public perception and the books playing to those perceptions. My owns numbers suggest N Illinois should be a -17 point fav in this spot  and Im betting on that number easily being covered by a motivated side.

Northern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Saturday’s game against Virginia will be the annual Homecoming game for Duke. They will play a side that  is 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS when the betting line is between +3 and -3 the last two-plus seasons. Meanwhile, the Blue Devils have put together a 15-1 SU record in regular season contests with Anthony Boone under center.  Duke is also 13-0 SU and 11-2 ATS as favorites the last two-plus seasons.In three home games during the 2014 campaign, the program has averaged 46.7 points and allowed just 9.7 ppg. Im betting on them rolling again and get us the win in this spot.

Play on the Duke Blue Devils to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Baylor is lucky to have gotten a 3 point win vs a TCU side that controlled most of the game last week. Now Im betting on the Bears being in a bit of a letdown mode, after that huge Big 12 battle. This West Virginia side that is capable of hanging with them offensively ranking eighth nationally in total yards (552.2 YPG). Senior quarterback Clint Trickett has successfully passed for at least 300 yards in every game, with stud WR Kevin White (888 yards) leading the nation in receiving . It must also be noted Art Briles the HC of Baylor has failed to cover 4 of his L/5 on the road , as 13 point or less favs. Meanwhile West Virginia is 4-1 ATS L/5 as home dogs of 6 points or more.

Play on West Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Alot has been made  of the WKU offense this season but, the defense has not played up to par, allowing opposing teams to join in on shootout affairs in yielding 38.4 ppg and 516.8 ypg.As for FAU, it has struggled to get anything going on offense this season. It puts up only 21.2 ppg and 325.2 ypg, while scoring on just 68 percent of its red-zone drives. The numbers are not great but the team seems to score at the most opportune times. QB Jaquez Johnson has 998 yards with seven touchdowns and should substantially increase those numbers vs a pedestrian D. Home field advantage I feel will be golden in this spot. 

Florida Atlantic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Fresno State's up-tempo, spread attack has at times struggled this season minus some serious firepower that departed after last season.They have had a tough time in key situations - they're 107th in red-zone scoring (74.2 percent) and 114th in third-down conversion percentage (31.9 percent). Defensively speaking, The Bulldogs have struggled against the pass, ranking 123rd (out of 125) in pass efficiency defense. Opponents have thrown 19 TDs to four interceptions for 1,805 yards, completing 60.3 percent of their passes. Thats not a good omen for them this Friday night on the blue carpet . Meanwhile,   Boise State is 6-0 in home games against the Bulldgos.  The Bronco defense held each of its fi rst four opponents of the season Bulldogs since 2001, and despite of being with star WR Matt Miller. are still explosive, as his fill in, Sperteck is a talented option athlete, On defense, Boise State held all of their opponents to less than 100 yards rushing, These teams are truely night and day. Making taking Boise the right side.
Note: BSU 41-12 all-time when playing a game on anyday other than Saturday, including a 35-7 mark during the regular season and a 20-5 Boise State is record on Friday regular-season games. The Broncos’ loss at Air Force (Sept. 27) was ust the 10th league loss since 2000. Boise State is 101-10 in league games during that time - the highest winning percentage in the country (.910).Boise State is also 18-0 SU and 13-3 ATS off back to back road games including 11-1 ATS in conference play.

Play on Boise State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Sean Mannion has thrown five TD passes in five games - as much as he threw against Utah in one game last year , but alot of inexperience on offense might have been the problem early on, but I was betting the Beavers would get better as the season progressed, and I think I maybe correct in my assumptions.The most accurate representation, of the Beavers'  and their progression came in the most recent game: a 36-31 win at Colorado on Oct. 4. I think they are now ready to compete in this conference and the Utes better get ready. It must be noted that OSU really is solid up and down its defense. The Beavers' secondary is filled with playmakers. So if Travis Wilson or Kendal Thompson aren't careful, they may rack up the interceptions.

Utes are off a win last time out but that have not been cash friendly against the spread in their following game covering just 6  of the L/22 overall in this situation. Meanwhile Oregon State is off a rest week , and have been good bets in this situation in the recent past covering 16 of the L/21 occasions. The Beavers football program, is a backing bettor friendly 44-16 ATS in October games.  The Utes are 1-4 ATS L/5 in this series.

Play on the Oregon State Beavers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Eagles really are not getting much love, but the Giants on the other hand are media darlings. I have been slow to get on Chip Kellys bandwagon, and was not always buying into the hype behind the Eagles. But now that the pundits are jumping off the perceived Eagle Titanic Im jumping on, as I am now sold on their defense, and special teams, and feel their explosive offense is ready to go off on some poor opponent. Sorry Giants I'm betting your lovefest with the public ends with a thud this Sunday night.

Giants are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover 1 unit reg selection 

This Atlanta defense can be scored upon, and it is not good in forcing turnovers . When Jay Cutler the QB of the Bears does not give up turnovers his Bears are golden this season. Gaining yards on offense hasn't been the problem for Chicago; it just hasn't generated a great deal of points yet. The Bears are on the verge of breaking out with a enormous point game as long as they stay the course and protect the football. The Bears own a bankroll expanding 9-0 ATS mark as non-division dogs off  back-to-back Straight up  losses and the Falcons are a ugly 1-5 ATS in their last six at home off back-to-back away tilts.

Play on the Chicago Bears 1 unit reg selection

Play on the Seattle Seahawks 1 unit reg selection

It must be noted there is a long time lead trend that shows that  NFL winless underdog of 6 or more points like the Raiders with a week of rest versus  an opponent that has at least  one loss on the season like the Chargers is a cash friendly 20-4 ATS. With that said, Im betting on these long time rivals playing a hard fought close game.

Play on Oakland to cover 1 unit reg selection 

It's still only Week 6, but Sunday's showdown between the Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots - the winner of which will be 4-2, and in sole possession of first place in the AFC East - already feels like one of the biggest games to be played at Ralph Wilson Stadium in years. The home crowd will be raucous, and getting points in this contest with the host is to good to pass up. New England despite of last weeks win is not the team they used to be .NFL division road favorites off a Straight up home underdog win facing an opponent off a Straight up  win are 4-13 SU and 3-14 ATS since 1980, including 0-7 SUATS the last seven.

Play on the Buffalo Bills to cover 1 unit reg selection

Miami has better defense and offensive numbers than Green Bay to this point in the season, and are being very under rated in this spot as home dogs. 

Take the points the Miami Dolphins to cover 1 unit reg selection

Alabama is off their first loss of the season, and may have been exposed, for non national championship candidate. It seems Nick Saban has not bounced well of late failing to cover 11 of his L/14 times after his first win the season. Meanwhile, Arkansas despite of a late collapse , and losing in OT to Texas A&M on the road last time out , have been impressive, and very ready to break a SEC losing streak this week in front of their own fans. Hawgsville should be wild with crazy fans this week, and their Razorbacks will be ready to perform, and put Arkansas back on the College football map. Run Hawgs run! 

Play on Arkansas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

California Bears are now back as a media darling. The talking heads went from crapping all over them early on in the season, to a full fledged love affair now. Do these guys really know what they are talking about. I think for the most part most sports analysts and writers know xs and os, and nothing about how to beat the spread so I ignore most of their observations. With that said, I feel Washington has a good chance at a outright win here, with getting the points being golden. Remember this is a Bears defense that has allowed opposing team to torch them for 800 yards of offense. Meanwhile,  Huskies’ HC Chris Petersen is 13-1 SU and 10-4 ATS in the regular season entering a game off a rest week , including a bankroll expanding 6-0 SUATS off a point spread win, which he got last time out.

Play on the Washington Huskies to cover

 Coming off a 48-31 smackdown of Texas A&M, the Bulldogs are in the national spotlight. This is uncharted territory for Mississippi State football. The Bulldogs (5-0, 2-0 SEC) are ranked higher in the Associated Press poll than they have ever been (No. 7 was the previous high nearly 33 years ago). This is the first time they have defeated two teams ranked in the top 10 in a season, which LSU and Texas A&M were before meeting Mississippi State. Their quarterback, Dak Prescott, is in the thick of the Heisman Trophy race. This team is on a trip of destiny, and concentration remains intact. Auburn will be out to upset them, but that wont come easily, making the points golden in my humble opinion.

Play on the Mississippi State Bulldogs 1 unit reg selection

Im not paying attention to the pundits who are saying TCU will be in a major letdown after beating Oklahoma last week. This TCU team is for real, and Im betting they will be up for taking on Baylor explosive offense this week. Dont be surprised if the Froggies pull the SU upset on the road, and wake up the National Championship talk. 

Play on TCU to cover 1 unit reg selection

Troy to cover 1 unit reg selection

I like Dukes football program and talent base. I know they played horribly against Miami Fl last time out, but I still like their chances in this spot vs what my own numbers is a over hyped Gtech side. Tech coach Paul Johnson has covered only 7 of his L/19 in second of back to back games and has failed to cover 5 straight times under those perimeters. While everyone talking head in the land might be dismissing the Blue Devils , Im not. With that said, I am recommending we take the points. 

Play on Duke 1 unit reg selection 

Rice is starting to wake up after a slow start. The same thing happened last year when they looked asleep at the wheel in the early weeks of the season. After week three of the season since last year they are 11-1 SU. Meanwhile, Army might be off a win last week and getting respect from the linesmakers . But the truth is the military men are just 0-11 ATS/SU  L/11 after a win and are susceptible to a letdown. With that said, it looks like Rice is very ready for this matchup and good bets on a pickem type line. 

Play on Rice 1 unit reg selection

Florida State does not really seem to get up for most games and with bigger fish to fry than Syracuse in the coming weeks could come out flat enough for the Orange to give them a scare and cover the fairly big number, in what this program looks at as their biggest game of the season.

Syracuse to cover 1 unit reg selection

Indianapolis behind QB Andrew Luck is on a roll and ramping up in the high gear. The Lucky one owns  a bankroll expanding 12-2 SU and 11-2-1 ATS record against  division opposition in his NFL career, including 9-0 SUATS the last nine times.Indy has also owned this series of late, winning four straight times , and number 5 is just around the corner.

Play on Indianapolis to cover 1 unit reg selection

Washington was routed by the visiting New York Giants 45-14 as three-point home favorites, while the Seahawks are coming off a bye week after edging the Denver Broncos26-20 as four-point chalk in their Super Bowl rematch in Week 3. Pros hate to be embarrassed, and will be looking for redemption against a super bowl champ. You can bet they will leave everything on the field, making them solid bets in my humble opinion. It must be noted that 

defending Super Bowl champions  like Seattle are just  1-8 ATS as non-division road favorites of more than 3 points in Monday night games.

Play on the Washington Redskins to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Play on the NY Jets 1 unit reg selection 

Peyton Manning always gets up for games like this. The old super star can still sling the ball, and Im betting we see him and his team at their very best today.Key Trend:: 3-0 or greater undefeated NFL dogs playing with a week of rest are 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS since 1980, including 0-6 SUATS when facing a foe off a SU win. .

Play on Denver 1 unit reg selection 

Andrew Luck against top tier opposition is sub par , as he is only 6-8 SUATS versus .600 or better opponents – including 0-2 SUATS as a favoriteRavens QB Joe Flacco, is 30-16-1 ATS in his NFL career in non-division games versus .500 or greater opponents, The Colts are also 2-8 ATS in back to back home games.Baltimore has won three straight games since suffering a 23-16 home loss to the unbeaten Cincinnati Bengals in the season opener. Two of the wins came against the Pittsburgh Steelers andCarolina Panthers and were decided by a combined 48 points.The Ravens  also won the last meeting between the teams 24-9 in the playoffs two years ago on their way to winning the Super Bowl. The Ravens made  Indianapolis quarterback Andrew Luck look quite vulnerable  to end an eight-game skid ATS in the series that included seven straight-up wins by the Colts.

Play on Baltimore to cover 1 unit reg selection

Atlanta Falcons head coach Mike Smith is 16-3 ATS in his NFL career in games off a loss of 8 or more points, His team is off a disappointing loss to Minnesota last week and will be in a bounce back mode this Sunday.Falcons are also 17-2 ATS as pick or underdog  in the 2nd of back-to-back away games when playing off a SU non-division loss.Ryan is off to a strong start. He's thrown for 1,263 yards, completed 66 percent of his passes and tossed 10 TDs and 5 INTs in his first four games and of course will be key in a cover for Atlanta.

Play on Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection 

New Orleans is 14-0 ATS/SU when off a road loss where they rushed for less tan 150 yards. I very much expect the Saints to bounce back at home, after being crushed on national tv last sunday night  and for Tampa Bay to fall back down to earth after their big win against the Steelers last week. Note :The Saints (1-3) are ranked 29th in the NFL in yards allowed (396 per game), tied for 27th in points allowed (27.5 per game) and dead last in turnovers (1).  Rob Ryans success last year , seems like eons away, but dont give up on him yet, because this D, will step up for him when being questioned under some embarrassing circumstances. There is no question that Ryan's ability to both motivate and innovate got the most out of the Saints' young talent during their unexpected rise to prominence last year. I repeat pros dont like to be ridiculed and Ryan shows up the skeptics this week. 

Play on the New Orleans Saints 1 unit reg selection 

The Utes have played well, but they will play a UCLA side that Im betting is a potential National Championship candidate. (Last week UCLA crushed Arizona State 62-27). The Utes have played the Bruins tough lately, so there is no way the Bruins will over look this contest. It must be noted that last week, Utah blew a 21-0 first quarter lead  and lost 28-27 lto Washington State, and will have had the wind knocked out of them, by that uneventful showing. Thats not good in a contest vs a heavy weight with some huge punching power.  UCLA has covered 7 of their L/8 after scoring 50 points and than playing at home. 

Play on the UCLA Bruins 1 unit rg selection 

UNLV and San Jose State are two sorry football programs, that will fight this out to the bitter end , making getting points here golden in my opinion. In this battle of the bottom feeders , the points is the play. 

Take the points with UNLV 1 unit reg selection 

Georgia Tech possesses the No. 11 rushing attack in the country, but the offense is there by virtue of volume and not necessarily because its been particularly outstanding. Truth is their so one dimensional their pretty easy to read for good defenses. Meanwhile, Georgia Tech's run defense has not been strong, allowing 5.43 yards per carry, which ranks 114th in the nation. With two quality backs ready to attack for the Canes,(Duke Johnson and Joe Yearby) GTech is in trouble. ( Miami is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 meetings winning by an average of 15.8 ppg)

Play on the Miami Canes 1 unit reg selection 

, KSU gas some ugly numbers attched to their season as is evident by a  0-4 SU, ATS record and and  have been outstatted by 28 points and 229 YPG. After Arkansas beat them in DD fashion a few weeks ago, Northern Illinois has been in a cranky mood, and seathing with redemption dreams. Im betting on the Huskies crushing Kent State in a big way this Saturday afternoon.

Play on the Northern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection 

TCU and coach Patterson look like they finally have their dream team . This is argueably the best product the ol ball coach has assembled, and Im betting they make life difficult for the Sooners today. The Frogs have lost the last two encounters by 3 and 7 points and held Oklahoma to 20 and 24 points of offense. Could the third time around be a charm. Im taking the points.

Take the points with TCU 1 unit reg selection 

Inidana after a win in Missouri two weeks ago, were in a let down situation last week and lost to Maryland. Now with a new need for urgency on board, with conference football coming up against tough opposition the Hoosiers need to win. It must be noted that North Texas is off a win, but they dont do that well, in these situations as they are just 2-24 off a win SU and have failed to cover on 17 of those occasions. 

Play on the Hoosiers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Tar Heels are a disaster movie in how terrible on defense they are. Only two FBS teams give up more points per game (44.0), they cough up 543 yards of defense, and they’re on the field almost 35 minutes a game.UNC’s explosive offense might have somewhat of an advantage against the Hokie defense, and are pretty ihgh octane,  though Virginia Tech will likely not get smashed as badly as half asleep Clemson last week. Meanwhile, the Hokie offense is by no means explosive but should have a decisive advantage against the Heels defense that reminds me  of Swiss cheese.

The Hokies are 22-2 SU and 17-6-1 ATS in conference road openers.

Play on the VTech Hokies to cover 1 unit reg selection 

June Jones wasn't able to duplicate his high-octane offense from Hawaii at SMU and now hes gone (resigned) and now the Mustangs start a new era. Meanwhile,East Carolina has burst onto the national scene with a pair of quality wins against Power 5 competition and own a national ranking

Here is a quote from interim SMU HC. 'We can't keep going like this,'' interim coach Tom Mason said. ''That's my job. We just have to believe in ourselves.'''We're going to keep working,'' Krstich said. ''We still have eight games, and I have full confidence we can make it to a bowl game.''

The team has been said, to be getting along pretty good, and looking better in practices. Well Im not sure, about that, but what I do know is that according to my own numbers we have inflated line favoring East Carolina. With that said, I am recommending we put a clothes pin on our noses and pull the trigger here with the points. Believe it or not there is value to be had.

SMU is 7-1-1 in their L/9 as underdogs of 32 or more points.

Play on the SMU Mustangs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Florida is a much better team than many might think. I know they failed in their opportunity vs Alabama last week but Im betting they bounce back in a big way this week, vs a Tennessee side that played a over hyped Georgia program tough last and will now be in a letdown scenario. You have to remember Tennessee has 22 true freshman in the lineup, and these kids played like their hair was on fire last week. Now, its crash time for the Vols. It must be noted that  Gator QB Jeff Driskell is 16-4 as a starter and is a senior veteran who knows how to bounce back. Florida has also won 9 straight in this series and number 10 could come here. More importantly getting points looks to be golden.

Play on the Florida Gators to cover 1 unit reg selection 

We had a live dog traveling out to the land of the Mormons this Friday night. AS Utah State concedes around three TDs to a highly ranked opponent ( BYU). It must be noted that the Aggies are a cash making 9-0 ATS as dogs of 5 points or more. My own rankings also suggest this line is off by 4 points. I like the value we are getting here with a hard working under-appreciated side. Im also betting the  Aggies find a way to keep QB Hill in the pocket, while slowing this game down dramatically. 

Play on Utah State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Last year Oregon were upset by a 42-16 count vs Arizona. It was embarrassing and stunning. This time around I expect the Ducks to be very ready to play and also hand out some punushment in revenge mode.  It must be noted that the Wild kitties are just 0-8 ATS in their L/8 vs undfefated programs. Meanwhile Oregon is a bankroll expanding 26-5-1 ATS L/32 play with conference revenge.

Play on Oregon Ducks 1 unit reg selection 

Wow the media loves Dallas these days. At the beinning of the season, there was no love to be found for them. Now this lovefest . Its obvious the main stream media knows very little about betting , this game, even if they played or coached in the league. The truth is Dallas still on the whole is not focused, the defense is inconsistent, and overall the team has alot of gaping holes. Mind you they are not as bad as the so called msm made them out to be, and far from a Super Bowl contender now. In comes the New Orleans Saints who have the ability to really make the Cowboys look very ordinary. If a banged up St.Louis squad put 31 points on the board against the Boyz imagine what Drew Brees and his offense will do this Sunday night. Last week the Cowboys were out statted by over a 100 yards and were fortunate. This week, their fortunes turn for the worst.

New Orleans 1 unit reg selection 

Every body and his dog wants to take a dump on the SF 49ers. After some poor and truely unlucky outings. QB Colin Kaepernick is also in the news for all the wrong reasons and the Niners as a hole, are now most probably feeling very disrespected and ready to crush an over hyped opponent. In comes a over hyped Chip Kelly  side that is getting far to much respect . 

It must be noted  49ers head coach Jim Harbaugh, has not made qualified adjustments at half time, in the games, he lost. The old ball coach knows he now has to prove his grievences of not getting the pay he wants with wins. Enough of the belly aching Jim lets get the job done.

Eagles are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Eagles are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 4. 49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 4.

49ers are 24-8-3 ATS in their last 35 games following a ATS loss.

Play on the SF Giants to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Ravens are a cash friendly 12-2 ATS as home favorites versus an NFC opponent off a SU loss. Meanwhile Carolina is just 1-10 ATS in the  2nd of back to back AFC tilts  vs .500  or better  opposition. Bottom line: WR Steve Smith is a top flight reciever and would love to teach Cam Newton and Carolina a lesson after he was cut after 13 yrs of service. Hes fired up for a franchsie he no longer respects and this will also ignite his team mates. 

Baltimore Ravens 1 unit reg selection

I know the Titans are a bit of a doctor jekyll and mr hyde stero type as a team, and its sometimes hard to know what your going to get. But,  from a betting stand point ...Tennessee head coach Ken Whisenhunt is 22-10 SU and 25-7 ATS versus an opponent like Indy off a SU double-digit win in his NFL career, including 10-1 ATS in division action! Yes, Indy crushed Jacksonville last week, but what does that exactly mean. We will find out today. But until Im proved wrong about the Colts Ill go against them.

Tennessee Titans 1 unit reg selection 

 The Bills' defensive line would like to control the game as much as possible, and Im betting they can do that . That applies to both phases. If they can keep the running game contained, it will force the Texans into more passing situations. That's when the Bills' defensive line tends to really shine. Im expecting a big defensive effort , from Buffalo and a frustrated Texans side. This will lead us to a subsequent cover and possible  outright upset. 

Key Trends and Betting notes: Bills are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss.Texans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.Texans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.Texans are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Buffalo Bills 1 unit reg selection

Five letters here just for everybody out there in Packerland: R-E-L-A-X," Rodgers said Tuesday on his ESPN Milwaukee radio show. "Relax. We're going to be OK. Do you think that the Bears might take offense to this" thinking maybe he says dont worry we will win this week. Considering how badly the Packers have played in the first three weeks, Im betting the turnaround wont come that easily.

Chicago Bears 1 unit reg selection 

Dolphins when off a bad defensive performance are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. They just dont bounce back well. The underdog has cashed 5 of the L/6 in this series. Note: Maurice Jones-Drew, who has been bothered by a right hand injury, practiced fully on Thursday, meaning he's likely to play Sunday against Miami and this is one of the reasons I like Oakland this week. Final key betting trends and notes: The Dolphins are 0-20 ATS L/20 times as a favorite vs a team that has average less than 300 yards of offense per game, and that side is not 9 games below .500 on the season.

Oakland Raiders 1 unit reg selection 

(Played in London England)

The Trojans had a bye week to stew about their 37-31 upset loss at Boston College. But dont expect the Trojans to bounce back that easily against OSU side that has progressed from game to game and has proven to have a formidable defense and more balanced offense than in 2013. It must be noted that the Trojans are 1-5 off SU road fav loss. While Oregon St 6-0 ATS in 1st of back to back road games and 9-2  ATS away with conf revenge.  Also USC is a bankroll depleting 1-5 ATS  as favorites of  19 pts or less  vs a side with conference revenge. 

Oregon State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Nevada played Arizona tough last week, covering as 16-point underdogs, and now take a huge step down in class. San Jose State cant run the ball, they cant stop the run, and overall are inept on both sides of the ball. Nevada meanwhile is a balanced team, that can run, pass and play decent defense. Nevada has owned this series in the past winning 10 of the L/11 meetings and tonight Im betting will be no different. 

Nevada to cover 1 unit reg selection 

HC David Cutcliffe,  earned a berth in last year’s ACC Championship, and went 14-4 SU and 12-4 ATS in their previous 18 games. This team is no pushovers and must be respected at a TD underdog, vs a team in Miami Fl that is off a let down loss at Nebraska last week.

 Duke to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Watching the Missouri Indiana game last week, showed me that Missouri is just a little over rated and not the team many thought they were, as they lost that game at home. Granted Indiana played well, but most of the probems came via the Tigers flow, which seemed very uncooridnated. Some might think, that Missouri will be ready to bounce back this week, but Im not sold on them anymore, and feel South Carolina has progressed enough to hand them their second straight loss. It must be noted that Mizzou football program has only covered 2 of their L/16 away after a  loss as a favorite.

South Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Don't look for Clemson to fold, as they are off a upsetting loss to Florida State last time out in OT, that saw center Ryan Norton snap the ball over his QBs head in a key situation.  The Tigers have been through adversity before, and despite of probably being out side the ACC play offs are a tough bounce back team to deal with. Last year Florida State crushed them in embarrassing fashion , and they still bounced back to beat Ohio State in the Orange Bowl and still have a chance at a big bowl game this season. Im not going to make the mistake of discounting a team with a top tier QB like Watson at the helm of the offense, and instead we back them today in a tilt that Im betting ends in DD deficit favoring Clemson vs a side (North Carolina) that has shown a recent propensity to come out flat. 

Clemson to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Dawgs have done well in PAC12 season openers covering 5 straight events and have covered 4 straight as home underdogs of  10 or less points. The last time Stanford visisted the Huskies they were 7 point favs back in 2012 and left with their heads down losing 17-13.  It must be noted HC Peterson of Washington is 51-3 at home SU and has never seen his team lose by more than 6 points during that time ! 

Washington to cover 1 unit reg selection

Uconn is a team that looks very ineffecient on offense as was evident when they gained just 132 yards of offense in a loss to lower level USF  side last Friday night As a matter of fact UConnhas been on the wrong end of the stat sheet in all four contests this season. In the lone win vs Stony Brook thye grabbed a 3 point win , but were lucky to be on the right side of the scoreboard when the final whistle blew as they were outgained by a  300 to 223 count. It must be noted that the last time these team met last season UConn recorded a  28-21 road dog  . But were lucky to beat the the Owls as they were out stated , 372-235. This time around, Im betting Temple outstats and also outscores them, for a win and more importantly a cover.

Play on Temple 1 unit to cover 

Arkansas’ offensive philosophy is no secret. The Razorbacks want to run the ball -- a lot.  Arkansas averages 45 rushes per game. Razorbacks, who have the No. 1 rushing offense in the SEC (324.5 yards per game). I know Texas A&M held South Carolinas run game down in game 1, but Mike Davis was injured, so this will be a real test, one Im betting they cant withstand. The Aggies were last in the SEC in rushing yards allowed per game (222.3) and 110th in the nation and despite of the upgrades and kids maturing I still think this D is susceptible to being trashed despite of media accolades.Texas  A&M is 0-4 ATS at neutral sites of late,

Arkansas to cover 1 unit reg selection

With QB Taylor Kelly out for Arizona State, UCLA has a pretty big edge and this line is not reflecting it properly.UCLA is coming off a bye week and very focused rested and ready to hand out some punishment. I know this game is on the road, but the Bruins Im betting easily come out of this with a win and cover.

Play on UCLA to cover 1 iunit reg selection 

The Giants Defense after starting slowing are now forming up to be formidable opponents for all comers. The Giants ‘D’ came out on Sunday against the Houston Texans and dominated the first half of a cruise-control victory.They’ll head to Washington with what is also a  awakened offense powered by a rejuvenated Eli Manning, and a defense that’s brimming with confidence and expecting to continue its rise. Meanwhile Washington played a very good game last week with QB Cousins at the helm of the offense made the most of  his first start since Robert Griffin III suffered a dislocated left ankle. He threw for 427 yards and three touchdowns before misfiring in the final minutes with an interception and three straight in-completions during the Redskins loss. By the way Pillys defense is medicore in my humble opinion, so despite of the good work, Im still looking at these numbers with skeptic eyes. With that said and knowing from a betting standpoint that Eli Manning is a bankroll expanding 24-9-2 ATS as a dog off a SU win, including 9-1-2 ATS as a division road dog, Im recommending a wager with a team that is beginning to play capable football. 

Play on the NY Giants 1 unit reg selection

Oklahoma State hasn’t lost to Texas Tech in Stillwater, Okla., since 2001. The Cowboys’ five straight wins vs. the Red Raiders is the most consecutive wins in the series for either team.The past five years, have seen the Cowboys outscoring the Raiders 235-95 (5-0 SU). It must be noted that Oklahoma State is one of two teams in the Big 12 to still have a perfect red-zone scoring percentage. Texas Tech couldn’t stop Arkansas last week at all, let alone limit the Hogs to field goals and things look to get worse this week. I know the Cowboys had to replace 17 starters and 33 letter winners, but their recruiting has been fantastic as is evident by the top tier athletic talent that have put on the gridiron. 

Play on Oklahoma State to cover 1 unit reg selection

Seattle is 18-1 SU in its home games behind Russell Wilson and Denver is 3-30 ATS in its last 33. SU losses as an underdog, including 0-8 the last eight.Seattle’s serious record at home is well documented, where they are a bankroll friendly 7-1 ATS as favorites versus AFC opposition.The last 14 teams seeking single revenge-exact against Seattle, like the Denver Broncos this week ,have gone just 1-13 SU and 2-12 ATS.The Seahawks have a .698 winning percentage at home and .392 on the road since their new stadium opened in 2002. Visiting teams just dont like playing at the CLINK, especially against a physical Pete Carroll team that feeds off a crowds energy. Denver might want revenge, but as my late dad once told me. Son, you always dont get what you want.

Play on Seattle to cover 1 unit reg selection 

(This selection is part of a two team parlay and can be bet individually or together)

San Francisco is 16-1 ATS in games off a SU favorite loss and .8-0 away before back to back home games  off SU favorite  loss vs .500  or less opposition. Meanwhile, Arizona  2-9 L11  ATS 1-8 L9 at home and 1-8 ATS vs .500 or less opposition at  home  with revenge. The 49ers are a tremendous team, hard hitting and play with pride. Last weeks loss to Chicago at home, has not sat well with them this week, and Arizona Im betting will be on the wrong end of their fury.

Play on SF 49ers 1 unit reg selection 

(This selection is part of a two team parlay and can be bet individually or together)

Titans head coach Ken Whisenhunt is 16-1 ATS in games off a non-division contest when facing an opponent off a SU double-digit win like Cincinnati .Bengals  are a bankroll depleting 4-17 ATS at home in Game Two of the season versus a nondivision opposition! Key matchup:  Will be between the Bengals' passing game and the Titans' passing defense. The Bengals average average 301.5 yards per game via the aerial attack. Meanwhile,  the Titans have the league's best current pass defense, holding opposing quarterbacks to an average 163.0 yards in the first two games. Defense wins out and get us the cover.

Play on the Tennessee Titans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Losing quarterback Sam Bradford to another injury set the Rams back.QB Davis and Hill are adequate replacements, but Im betting their contributions will be slow and limiting. Also Rams WR Tavon Austin  is said to be less than 100%. Note:Rams second-year running back Zac Stacy hasn’t had a breakout game yet. He had 43 yards rushing in the opener, and bumped it up to 71 and a score in Week 2. The Rams have forced only one turnover in the first two games. They are one of nine teams with one or fewer takeaways.171 ypg is the aaverage number of yards rushing allowed by the Rams the first two weeks, ranking them a lowly 30th out of 32 teams. Im betting RB DeMarco Murray and the Cowboys run all over them against this week.

 Dallas Cowboys to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Texans are a turnover-forcing machine through two games. They’ve forced six, including four against the Raiders. That is part of the reason for their early season success. The Giants are 0-2 and getting very little respect. I suppose I can't completely blame the pundits. But the truth is the Giants are so desperate its not funny. Alot of jobs are on the line, especially after last years disasterous start of 0-6. With so much on the line, for the Giants Im betting  come out here and play a heck of a game. This game can also be played at a pickem to -1 vs NY Giants.

NY Giants to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Baltimore Ravens present a more serious test defensively to the Browns than Pittsburgh or New Orleans. The Ravens are a physical, aggressive group that has been very stingy giving up points. The only touchdown they allowed was a 77-yard deep throw, so if the pundits are thinking that Hoyer and Johnny M are going to stretch them this week, Im betting their mistaken. Baltimore has had 9 days to prepare . Bottom line: Cleveland DB problems will be exposed by Flacco and the Browns be able to use a four man rush this time around will be a bust. Look for Cleveland to come back down to earth with a thud. 

Play on the Baltimore Ravens 1 unit reg selection 

Washington is 10-2  ATS 1st back to back  division games. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is 1-6 ATS L7 at home off AFC opposition …Eagles on a short week after a Monday night comeback, and could easily  be in a letdown situation. SF on board next for Philly which could also easily have them looking ahead. Philly 1-5 ATS L/6 before SF. 

Play on the Washington Redskins 1 unit reg selection 

Bobby Haucks HC, UNLV is 3-23 SU andhave covered just 7 of his L/26  ATS on the road, including 0-9 SU and 0-8-1 ATS when entering off a SUATS loss. UNLV  is getting smashed as is evident by getting outgained by an average of 266 ypg this season. It must also be noted  Houston 8-1 ATS record as favorites of more than 14 points versus .333 or less opposition.  Im expecting an absolute beatdown of embarrassing proportions this Saturday when these two teams meet. 

Play on Houston to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Al Golden needs to gets things going quickly this week in a  big road test in Lincoln, Nebraska. In his 4th year. A loss to Louisville on the road on Labor Day Night and a ugly victory against FAMU had fans wanting heads to role. Hes at the end of his days here, if something does not change immediately. With his butt on the hot seat, and boatload full of talent at his disposal, Im betting he finally gets something done. I expect the  vaunted Cornhusker rushing game (324 YPG) won’t find the going quite so easy against a bruising Miami defense that has limited opponents to a minsicule 2.0 yards per carry. Look for this under rated Canes team to even possibly pull off the out right upset. But since we are getting points Im taking. 

Play on the Miami Florida Canes 1 unit reg selection 

Vandy was outscored 78-10 by Temple and Ole Miss. Many are now questioning new HC Masons decisions. They did beat UMass last week, but it wasnt easy (3 point win). This week I expect a last ditch effort by Vandy. Literally I expect they will draw a line in the sand , and be ready to play vs rival South Carolina. It must be noted that the Gamecocks came off an emotional game last week against Georgia winning 38-35 , and will now be in a let down mode. Note: Spurrier is just 1-4 ATS as a road favorite of 12 or more points, and just 1-4 versus the spread after playing the Dawgs. Also Vandy is 5-2 ATS L/7 in this series and have a recent history of playing S.Carolina tough. 

Vanderbilt to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Indiana’s defense was on the field for 113 plays and allowed 571 yards against Bowling Green last time out they looked horrendous.Missouri's offense has been extremely effecient averaging (405.7 ypg) to assure plenty of points (41.7 ppg). It has been very efficient on third down (22-of-42) and in scoring touchdowns on red-zone drives (9-of-13). With that said, Missouri will have no problems putting up points, and its defense, which shut out Central Florida in the second half, is now in top form allowing just 17.3 ppg, while forcing nine turnovers.

Play on the Missouri Tigers 1 unit reg selection 

 The Crimson Tide opened as 16-point favorites at Bryant-Denny Stadium, but it was bet down to 14.5 points by Wednesday. Towards game time I would not be surprised for the game to get bet up towards -16 again as the public weekend warriors pile in on Alabama. In contrarian fashion I however, like the Gators to be very competitive this week. My own belief, is that the Crimson Tide are no longer, a true national championship contender. Until proven wrong, Im willing to go against them here today and get behind a Florida Gators program on the rise. It must be noted that Alabama is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home but 0-5 ATS in its last five games overall.

Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Paul Johnson GTech  is 17-2 ATS as a dog in his career in games vesus an opponent off a SU loss. Visitor 4-0 ATS in this series . 

The Yellow Jackets are going to run the ball with the triple option and the Hokies are going to have to try to contain it to the best of their abilities and give the offense a chance to put points on the board and capitalize with every opportunity given. This is an obvious game situation. But Im betting that last weeks loss by VTech to East Carolina was devastating to their mental state. These are not pros, and dont bounce back like pros. Kids take things hard, and Im betting that above mentioned loss will sting  well into this game and possibly the season. GTech has a way of making the best of teams, lose confidence quickly with their hard to handle run game.

 Play on Georgia Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 No. 20 K-State is about to face No. 5 Auburn.The Tigers are the first non conference opponent with a top-five ranking to play at K-State since Penn State in 1969. So you can bet this will be  a raucous atmosphere here tonight, favor in the home team.“This will likely be our greatest attended game ever,” K-State athletic director John Currie said last week. “We actually have not sold standing room-only tickets, because we know our student section will be as full as it has ever been that night.

Bottom line:Im betting on KState being able to Establish the run. They will keep Auburn honest  knowing  the caliber of wideout Lockett.  Bill Snyder’s attack keys on getting the run game being efficient and chalking up yards, behind Big 12 leading rusher Waters  or the committee of versatile running backs. KStates ability to run will  keep the Auburn defense on its heels while also keeping Gus Malzahn’s high-powered offense on the sidelines. The decided factor will come from the energy of this huge crowd.

Play on the Kansas State Wildcats to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Philadelphia is  2-10 ATS off a SU non-div win vs below 500 AFC opponent. Meanwhile,the Colts are  7-0 Monday Night Football favs of two points or more and 11-1 ATS L12 at home off an away tilt. It must be noted that QB Andrew Luck of the Indianapolis Colts is a perfect 10-0 SU and ATS in games off a loss in his NFL career.Colts are also a 5-0 ATS  in this series.

Im looking for a fairly hard fought game, but with the contest on the line no one is better than Andrew Luck. Luck's fourth-quarter QBR is 72.6, his best of any of the four quarters and 20 points higher than his third-quarter QBR.

Play on the Indianapolis Colts to cover 1 unit reg selection

NY Jets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Seahawks have not faired well in their  first time  road game of the season as is evident by a 1-8 ATS record  in its last nine road openers. The Chargers according to my own power ratings are a far superior team than many might think, and Im betting they prove it here this week.  Note: Chargers are  4-1 ATS as dogs off 1-pt SU loss…San Diego Chargers to cover  1 unit reg selection

Brady and the Patriots are looking to bounce back from a rare season-opening defeat when they visit Matt Cassel and the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday.

New England 7-0 ATS off division road game vs non-div opponent and 9-2 L11 Away in game  Two Meanwhile, Minnesota are 0-6 L6 ATS  Home in game  One. Meanwhile, Bill Belichick is 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS record in his last 11 away games off a SU favorite loss which comes into play.New England is also a bankroll expanding 16-3 ATS off a SU favorite loss when facing winning opposition.

Also the Patriots when on the road and off a loss and failed ATS and their  opponent is off off a win SU/ ATS positive betting trends light up  as the  Patriots in this situation are a cash friendly 11-0 ATS covering by an average of 16.4 ppg. 

Note : Minnesota RB A Peterson is out for this game. line has moved and is a play only at -6 or less.

Play on the New England Patriots to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Saints have dropped 12 of 16 in the all-time series but have won two of the last three in Cleveland.

New Orleans is   5-1 L6 Away in game Two while Cleveland is  1-8 home vs NFC opposition and an ugly  0-7 home underdogs of 3 pts or more  vs opponent off a road game. I know its never easy winning on the road in the NFL especailly while playing on the road in back to back games, but this situation has beatdown written all over it, especially after the Saints heart breaking loss to Atlanta 37-34 last week! Redemption city here we come. 

Play on the New Orleans Saints 1 unit reg selection 

Dallas is 9-0 ATS as dogs vs AFC opposition and 6-1 ATS  L7 Away in game One. Meanwhile, Tennessee is 0-5 H off an away game vs non-div opposition and  0-4 at home off SU underdogdog win. I am still of the opinion that Dallas is not as bad as the pundits make them out to be.

Play on Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Dolphins will have to take on the resurgent Buffalo  running game without starting linebacker Dannell Ellerb , which is a major loss. There are more nagging injuries on the Fins defense, and Im betting Buffalo runs all over them this week in a win. 

Play on the Buffalo Bills to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Navy as we all know loves to grind the ball on the ground. But today they will get a run for their money via a Texas State side  that ran for 378  yards in last week’s 65-0 walkover win against  Arkansas-Pine Bluff. Both these teams love to run and I can see the game clock running quickly and for this tilt to be much closer than many pundits might think. 

Play on Texas State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

For the second time in consecutive seasons Western Kentucky took a bit of a step back in week two on the road against a team from a so-called "Power Five" conference. Last season the Hilltoppers struggled with turnovers against an average Tennessee team Last week they were holding a 27-21 lead heading into the fourth quarter before surrendering 21 points in the final stanza to fall 42-34 to Illinois. This team does suffer, on defense, but the offense is explosive. I expect they will make enough adjustments on defense to slow Middle Tenn a bit, and than continue to sling away on offense and get the win!

Kentucky is 10-4 SU and 15-1 ATS as single-digit dogs since 2010 and in my opinion and according to my own power numbers the superior team in this tilt even on the road. 

Play on Western Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Alabama is a 48-point home favorite Saturday vs. Southern Miss. When the Crimson Tide have been favored by 38 or more points  going back to Week 3 of 2011, they have dumped the cash consistently for their backers failing in 6 of 7 attempts to cover the spread. This game is all about staying healthy for Alabama and not so much about cruel and unusual punishment.

Play on Southern Miss to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Arkansas deserves respect this week behind an offense that averages 300 ypg on the ground behind Alex Collins and John Williams. Tech has had problems stopping the run in the recent past and Im betting on a repeat performance today.After two easy paddy cake wins to begin their season and with Oklahoma State on Texas Techs calender next week, the Techies maybe a little distracted and than shocked at the outcome of todays battle.

Play on the Razorbacks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Lousiville remains a power house and are 22-3 ATS vs ACC L/25 and a perfect 11-0 ATS on the road! Bobby Petrino'd  Louisville is in its first season in the Atlantic Coast Conference. It must be noted that home team in this situatio when facing a new ACC member is a perfect 0-6 SU.

Louisville to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Maryland won their first game against USF despite of 6 turnovers. They are so very lucky and Im betting lady luck wont be on their side this week. West Virginia has revenge on board for last years beating at the hand the Terps. and behind a revamped and upgraded offense have the tools to get their redemption. WVU is still 8-1 in this series a and 4-0 in College Park and will add to those  positive numbers after today/

Play on West Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Marshall when playing at home have very little mercy for less superior squads, and continue to pile up points of late not matter how big the lead is. That is evident by Marshalls 9 straight home wins that have seen them average 50 points in offense per tilt. Its been almost two years since the Thundering Herd have failed to cover at home. Get ready for the Herd to roll Ohio in ugly DD fashion.

Play on Marshall to cover 1 unit reg selection