5* NBA Underdog Shocker of the Year on Utah Jazz +3
The Jazz have really struggled on the road this season, but they have all the motivation in the world to get up for this one. Utah has lost 3 in a row and it's last loss was as bad as it gets, falling at home as a 13-point favorite to a lowly and shorthanded Timberwolves team. The Jazz will be out for blood tonight and they will not be lacking any confidence against a team they have owned. Utah has won 3 straight over the Hornets by a minimum of 11 points and it has taken 7 of the last 9 overall. In fact, the Jazz are 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Deron Williams has gotten the better of his rivalry with Chris Paul as his size and strength gives the smaller Paul problems on both ends of the floor. Without Tyson Chandler on the defensive side of the ball to go against the size and length of Utah, the Hornets are going to struggle to stop the Jazz on the interior. You can bet Jerry Sloan has ripped into his team about their recent defensive effort and history says the Jazz will put the clamps on tonight as they are a perfect 9-0 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The Jazz have won in these spots by an average score of 18 points. Also, the Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. We'll pound Utah tonight!

4* Major NBA Eastern Conference GOTM on Atlanta Hawks +2
I love the Hawks tonight as this one has letdown written all over it for the Magic after murdering Cleveland last night. Atlanta has now lost 2 in a row and is also playing with double revenge against the Magic so expect the Hawks to be ready to go tonight. Atlanta was drilled by the Magic the last time these teams faced off and that sets up a very favorable system here. Plays on underdogs revenging a blowout loss vs. an opponent of 30 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 27-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Bet the Hawks!

3* ESPN Game of the Week on Magic -3
It appears both teams got caught looking ahead to this one as each team fell to inferior opponents in their last game. But I give the edge to the Magic with fresher legs and home court against a team they have owned. Orlando is 3-1 SU and ATS versus Cleveland at home the last 3 seasons and 6-3 SU and 8-1 ATS in all games against the Cavs the past 3 years. The Cavaliers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 3-10 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Southeast, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. The Magic are a ridiculous 40-13 ATS in their last 53 games following a SU loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Central. The Cavaliers are also 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Cleveland won by 4 at home when these teams faced off on March 17th to set up the clincher - Orlando is 27-6 ATS revenging a same season loss vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 104.5 to 95.8 points in these games. Bet the Magic!

4* Major NBA Public Opinion GOTM on Spurs -4
The Spurs are in a heated race in the West for the No. 2 seed in the playoffs and after back to back defeats, including a bad one as a 13-point favorite against the OKC Thunder, expect the Spurs to bounce back strong tonight. The Spurs have not lost 3 in a row since starting the season 0-3 so I'm confident they get things turned around here. The Spurs have owned the Pacers winning five of the last six meetings by an average of 15.2 points. It's also going to be hard for Indiana to match intensity tonight off a big come from behind win against division rival Chicago in its last game. Looks like a letdown spot for the Pacers and the numbers support it. Plays against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in non-conference games, off a close home win by 3 points or less are 29-6 ATS since 1996. Bet the Spurs.

5* NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Nuggets -4
Denver has found its way into the No. 2 spot in the West and that's where this team wants to end up. The Nuggets are rolling, having won 4 in a row and 9 of their last 10. With a game against the Clippers next, we won't have to worry about Denver overlooking a Jazz team that is nipping at its heels, especially since the Jazz beat Denver 97-91 in the last meeting on March 6th. With home court, revenge, and playoff seeding motivation all in their favor, I like the Nuggets here. Utah is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 road games when playing against a team with a winning record, losing by an average score of 103.9 to 116.9 in these spots. Denver is 7-0 ATS off a home no-cover where they won straight up as a favorite this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 112.4 to 104.6. Bet the Nuggets!

5* 2009 NBA GOTY on Suns -1
The Suns return home after 3 straight road games and 3 straight losses, including a terrible loss to the lowly Kings last time out. The Suns won't quit on this season no matter what and since they are still alive in the playoff race, I expect one of their most motivated efforts of the season tonight. I expect Houston to be much more concerned about its revenge game with the Lakers coming up next as well. Phoenix is 15-4 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 107.3 to 99.3 and 8-1 ATS after allowing 120 points or more this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 116.1 to 106.3. Pound the Suns!

4* Major NBA Public Massacre of the Week on Nets -1.5
Detroit just played a tough one at Cleveland yesterday and it is going to be very tough for the Pistons to bounce back on the road against a Nets team that is coming off its most embarrassing loss of the year. This one is all about pride and I expect the Nets to play with a lot of it tonight to snap a 5-game losing streak. The Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Nets are 18-6 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Take New Jersey.

4* Major NBA Letdown Game of the Week on 76ers -3
I love the 76ers in this spot tonight. Atlanta finds itself in a big letdown spot following a big win over the Lakers and also in a look ahead spot with Boston up next. The 76ers have lost back-to-back games and will be very hungry to get back in the win column tonight. Atlanta has really struggled on the road this season and has lost 6 of its last 7 away from home. Philly won the last meeting 109-94 on the road and should have no trouble taking the Hawks down again at home in this spot, especially since Atlanta is 12-25 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average score of 88.7 to 99.4 in these spots. Take Philly.

5* NBA Southeast Division GOTY on Heat +3.5
Miami has had this one circled ever since it was crushed 99-122 at Orlando just over a month ago. Miami defeated the Magic 103-97 in its only home game against them this season and I like the Heat to take them down again in this revenge spot tonight. Miami is 26-11 at home this season, having won 6 straight at home, including wins over Boston and Utah. There are a few things to take into account for this matchup and the first is that the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. And the Magic are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday games. Orlando is a fine road team, but it will have no answer for Dwayne Wade and the Heat tonight in this severe revenge spot. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Public Massacre on Kings +5
Phoenix is watching its playoff hopes slip away with an OT loss in Utah last night. The Suns have now lost 7 of 8 on the road and we'll fade them here playing back-to-back against a Kings team that will be out for serious revenge after getting clobbered 129-81 the last time these teams faced off. The public is all over the Suns here and that means there is great strength in siding with the house. Here's the key: plays on underdogs revenging a blowout loss of 30 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 26-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

3* SMASH on Atlanta Hawks +4
Off back-to-back losses to the Spurs and Celtics, I expect Atlanta to breakthrough Sunday, especially since Kobe has an injured ankle and will not unnecessarily be pushing it. Atlanta is 13-4 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, 10-1 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games this season, and 13-4 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. Take the points.

3* NBA Saturday Night BEST BET BLOWOUT on Jazz -8.5
Utah lost by 4 in Phoenix 3 nights ago in its last game and will be out for revenge here. That loss actually marked the second straight time this season that the Suns have defeated the Jazz so Utah will be even more focused to get the job done tonight. The Suns have lost 6 of their last 7 on the road as they continue their season-long struggles away from home. Phoenix is 0-11 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. Utah is 11-2 ATS in home games after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 106.1 to 93.3. The Jazz have their revenge tonight.

3* NBA on TNT BEST BET on Blazers -6.5
It's been a nice little winning streak for Phoenix, but now the Suns go back on the road, where they have lost 5 of their last 6, and they do so without fresh legs after playing a game last night. To make matters worse, Portland has had 2 days to rest and prepare and will be playing with revenge after losing to Philly last game. Phoenix is 11-25 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season, 6-14 ATS as an underdog this season, and 1-8 ATS in road games after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games this season. Portland is 8-0 ATS in home games after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons and 17-6 ATS in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Blazers.

4* Major NBA Total of the Week on Celtics/Magic UNDER 191.5
This head to head result could be the deciding factor in which of these teams finishes with a better record, and therefore earns home court advantage if they are to meet in the playoffs. With the stakes that high, I expect defense to take center stage in this one. The last 2 meetings in this series have been very intense defensively and the result has been total score of 170 and 165. Boston is 13-3 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season, 10-1 UNDER in road games off a home win by 10 points or more this season, and 19-5 UNDER in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season. Orlando is 13-3 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season and 9-1 UNDER after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games this season. Bet the Under.

5* NBA Favorite of the Year on Spurs -9
Off back-to-back home losses to Boston and Houston, the Spurs have major incentive to blow the Warriors out tonight. The Spurs were a 12-point home favorite in the first meeting this season and crushed the Warriors 123-88. I expect Tony Parker to have a huge game against the Warriors pathetic defense. The favorite is a healthy 7-0-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the home team is 18-6-1 ATS in the last 25 meetings. Also, The Warriors are just 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings in San Antonio. The Warriors are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. Lay the number!

4* Major NBA Public Massacre of the Week on Nuggets +3.5
I know the Nuggets have struggled on the road of late, but I like them to win in Phoenix tonight against a Suns team playing without Amare Stoudemire and Leandro Barbosa. Both of those players are so critical to the Suns run and gun style and without Barbosa the second unit really drags. Phoenix is 0-10 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season, losing in these spots by an average score of 103.3 to 109.8. Phoenix is also 3-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season, losing in these spots by an average score of 102.9 to 110.6. Denver gets the nod.

3* Fri Night NBA BEST BET on T-Wolves +11.5
With Houston looking ahead to its meeting with San Antonio, I expect the T-Wolves to keep this one close. Minnesota has lost to the Rockets three times this season and only one of those losses was by more than this number. The Wolves will be out for revenge. Minnesota is 8-0 ATS in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. Houston is 0-7 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points this season. We'll take the points tonight.

5* Wednesday Night NBA BEST BET BLOWOUT on Oklahoma City -2
We'll take the Thunder in a great spot tonight at home and with fresh legs against a Bulls team coming off an emotional come from behind win against the Celtics last night. If you beat Boston on St. Paddy's Day, Karma will hunt you down and that's what happens to the Bulls tonight. The Thunder are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games. OKC has been one of the best covering teams in the NBA this season, especially at home. The Thunder are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 home games and 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Bulls only have 10 wins against 26 losses on the road this season. The Thunder have won 6 of their last 9 games SU including their last 4 at home. OKC takes care of business.

3* Public Massacre on Celtics -4.5
I liked the C's when this one opened and I'm really liking them now that is has dropped a couple points. I'm well aware of the injury problems to Boston, but the key here is that Miami really struggles on the road and that the Celtics will be hungry to get back in the win column and to avenge a loss to Miami last week. Boston is 27-6 at home this season and plays on Home teams (BOSTON) - a very good team (>=+7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a loss by 6 points or less are 27-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. The public has jumped ship from the Celtics bandwagon to provide exceptional value in backing the world champs. Lay the points.

3* Magic/Cavs "TOTAL" BLOWOUT on Magic/Cavs UNDER 194
The Cavs defense has been something to behold this season, allowing only 88.4 ppg at home. With this being a revenge spot for Cleveland, which lost in Orlando back in late January, I expect that defense to really get turned up here. First off, Cleveland is 17-8 UNDER when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points this season. Cleveland is 10-1 UNDER in March home games over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 home games, 12-4 in Cavaliers last 16 vs. Eastern Conference, 7-1 in Magic last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. Bet the Under!

5* NBA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK on Hornets -3.5
There's been plenty of talk about the Rockets and the Jazz in the West lately, but the Hornets have quietly won 9 of their last 11. With a win tonight, New Orleans can move into second place in the NBA Southwest and that's precisely what is going to happen. Home court has dominated this series and that comes as no surprise since both teams are much better at home than they are on the road. New Orleans is 23-9 at home this season and 7-1 over its last 8 home games with that lone loss coming to Boston. During this stretch the Hornets have blowout wins over Dallas and Orlando and Orlando has proven to be one of the best road teams in the NBA. New Orleans returns home off a 4-game road trip and will be looking to erase the sour taste an 18-point defeat to the Bulls has left. New Orleans is 19-6 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons and 16-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets are also 14-4 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons and 24-11 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. It has been like clockwork with the home team covering the last 4 in this matchup and this trend will continue tonight. Take the Hornets in a blowout.

3* Sunday NBA BEST BET on Mavs/Lakers OVER 211
Dallas is 9-1 OVER in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score in these spots totals 218.1 points. The Over is also 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The Over gets the call here.

3* Saturday Night NBA BEST BET on Spurs/Rockets UNDER 184
In 2 meetings this season, we've seen these 2 teams put up totals of 152 and 187. In the game where 187 points were scored, the Spurs allowed the Rockets to score over 100 points and there's no way that happens here. This matchup is always a physical defensive game so it comes as no surprise that 8 of the L10 games have gone under the number the last 3 seasons. Looking back even further, the Under is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings. The odds makers have designated a point total range here that usually always gets the public on the over, but the numbers indicate that that is the wrong call. The Spurs are 15-5 UNDER in road games where the total is between 180 and 184.5 points over the last 2 seasons and the Rockets are 10-1 UNDER in home game where where the total is between 180 and 184.5 points over the last 2 seasons. What will really magnify the intensity of this matchup is the fact that Houston pulled even with the Spurs in the win column with last night's win over Charlotte. The last thing to keep in mind is that both of these teams are similar in that they step up their defense more than anything else in big games and the result has been an unders machine. The UNDER is 20-6 in the Rockets last 26 vs. a team with a winning SU record and 17-5 in the Spurs last 22 vs. a team with a winning SU record. Bet the Under.

3* Friday Night BAILOUT on Golden State +1
The Warriors are a team which has Dallas' number at home because the Mavs cannot match Golden State's pace for an entire game. In fact, Golden State is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS at home against Dallas the last 3 seasons. In all, the Warriors have won 10 of the last 14 meetings the last 3 seasons. What will really have Golden State head hunting here is that fact that Dallas put a 117-93 whooping on the Warriors last time they faced off. Golden State is 13-4 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. Take the Warriors!

4* Major Friday Night NBA BEST BET on Bobcats +1.5
Houston has really struggled on the road this season, especially of late, losing 5 of their last 7. With a big game against the Spurs up next, I expect the red hot Bobcats, winners of 6 of their last 7, to catch the Rockets looking past them tonight. The Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite. The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take Charlotte!

4* Major NBA on TNT Total of the Year on Cavs/Suns UNDER 219
The Suns have been scoring tons of points under their new coach and that has taken this number way too high. Cleveland is one of the premier defensive teams in the NBA, allowing just 92.3 ppg on the road this season. When these teams met last month, the Cavs held the Suns to just 92 points. Good defenses have been able to slow down Phoenix as just recently the Magic and Spurs have held it under the century mark. One major thing to consider is that the Under is 6-0 in the Suns last 6 games as a home underdog. Lastly, plays under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 35-12 since 1996. Bet the Under!

3* NBA Total Annihilator on Knicks/Pistons UNDER 206.5
Plain and simple. The Under is a perfect 10-0 for Detroit when revenging a straight up loss as a favorite this season. The average total score in these contests is 176.5 points. The Knicks defeated the Pistons 104-92 in the last meeting and Detroit will take that very personally here. With NY having just played last night, the Knicks won't have enough legs to take this one over against one of the best defensive teams in the NBA in a revenge spot.

4* Major NBA Public Massacre of the Month on Hawks -2
I cashed in with the Jazz last night with my Public Opinion Game of the Week, but now it's time to fade away with the Jazz playing back-to-back against an athletic Hawks team which will be out to avenge a blowout loss at Utah a couple weeks back. With 12 straight in the win column, the target on Utah's back is huge and I fully expect the Hawks to knock it off. The Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. The Favorite is 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Lay the number.

5* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH on Knicks +3.5
This is a great spot for the Knicks tonight as they have endured 3 straight setbacks to the Bucks this season and will be out for revenge. All of those wins for Milwaukee came before Christmas. The Bucks have since endured some critical injuries that have slowed their early winning ways considerably. The Bucks are just 3-7 SU and ATS in their last 10 games. While the Knicks are just 7-22 on the road SU, they are 16-12 ATS and I really like them to win this one outright in this triple revenge spot. NY is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season, winning by 3.0 ppg in these spots, so I'm not worried about fatigue. NY is also 18-6 ATS revenging a home blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more since 1996, winning these games outright by 1.5 points on average. Lastly, Milwaukee is 8-25 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 6.1 points in these spots. Fade the Bucks!

3* NBA Public Opinion Game of the Week on Utah -3
We've seen what good health can do for the Jazz as they have rattled off 11 straight and 14 of their last 15. While Utah's road record is just 12-17 on the season, I don't think it's too far of a stretch to say it would be better than .500 if the Jazz had been healthy all year long. The Jazz have won 4 of the last 5 in this series and with Mike Dunleavy out for sure and with leading scorer Danny Granger expected to miss as well, the Pacers won't have enough fire power to compete in this one. The Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite, 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Take Utah!

4* Major NBA Vegas Line Mistake of the Week on Magic/Pistons UNDER 187
Detroit knows it can't get in a shootout with the Magic. The Pistons will rely on solid halfcourt defense and a slower tempo at home tonight and that game plan is very conducive of an unders situation here. In the first two meetings this season, we've seen these teams score 170 and 178 total points respectively. One thing we have come to count on is Detroit playing its best defense against the best teams and the result has been an unders machine. Detroit is 18-6 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 2 seasons. The average combined score in these games totaled just 181. 2 points. Detroit is 9-1 UNDER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score totaling just 175.7 points in these spots. Bet the Under.

3* SMASH on Pistons +2
Great spot for the Pistons with the Magic coming off a big road win over the Celtics yesterday. That puts the Magic in an inevitable letdown spot against a team which has had its number. Detroit is 16-3 against the Magic over the last 3 seasons and 9-1 at home during that span as Detroit's tough defense has gotten the best of the Magic. Detroit has a 6-point win at home and an 8-point win on the road this season over Orlando and it will be ready to strike again after going down to the Hawks last game. The public is on the Magic, right where odds makers want them to be, but Mr. Joe Public is failing to take into account how well the Pistons are playing right now. Allen Iverson has been out of the lineup for Detroit and the Pistons have regained their chemistry. Plays on home teams after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 55-25 ATS since 1996. Bet Detroit.

4* Major Sunday Night NBA BEST BET BAILOUT on Denver Nuggets -7
The Nuggets are in a tight race in the Northwest Division, just a half game in front of Utah and Portland. The Nuggets have struggled on the road recently, but I don't see those struggles taking place today against a team they have dominated. Denver has won 118-85 at Sacramento and 118-99 at home in this season's meetings, making it quite clear that the Kings don't have the offensive fire power to keep up. Off a loss to division rival Utah, the Nuggets have heavy motivation to win here to keep the top spot in the division. Sacramento is 5-14 ATS as a home underdog this season,losing by an average score of 98.1 to 109.6 in these spots. The road team is 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5, 27-7-1 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Lay the points.

3* NBA Total of the Week on Suns/Spurs UNDER 219.5
Odds makers have been forced to post a high number here by the Suns recent totals, but this game is at San Antonio and the Spurs will look to enforce their half court, slow down style of play. With Steve Nash and Grany Hill both banged up for Phoenix, the Suns' transition game will not be running at full strength today. Plays under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SAN ANTONIO) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 35-9 since 1996.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA BEST BET BLOWOUT on Cavs -9.5
Condensed writeup due to amount of games to handicap. The Cavs won't feel sorry for themselves after losing to Boston, they'll get right back on the horse and take it to the Heat tonight. Expect a huge game from LeBron, who struggled last night against the Celtics. Here's the nuts: Cleveland is 11-0 ATS off a road loss this season, winning by an average score of 103.7 to 86.2 in these spots. Lay the number.

4* Major Friday Night NBA BEST BET on Timberwolves +15.5
The Lakers have already defeated the Wolves 3 times this season. The most they have won by is 13 points with the latest win coming by just 3 points in a game where the Lakers just coasted back on February 22nd. Blowing out Minnesota is not high on the Lakers list tonight as they head into a big 3-game road trip with Portland, Houston, and San Antonio next. The biggest thing for the Lakers at this point is to keep Kobe Bryant and the starters fresh so I anticipate seeing a lot of the bench in this one. The Wolves were embarrassed brutally at Golden State last time out and they know they will need to step up their play so they aren't embarrassed like that tonight. While Minnesota is just 10-19 on the road this season, it is 18-11 ATS in those games as it has been continually undervalued. The Timberwolves are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Lakers are 19-40 ATS in their last 59 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Timberwolves are 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. Take Minnesota.

3* SMASH on Jazz -9
The Jazz are on fire and will be ready to destroy the Nuggets tonight. The Utah is playing the best ball of any team in the division right now as it is now healthy and this will be a statement game for the Jazz. What fuels Utah's fire even more is that they were defeated at Denver 117-97 in the last meeting. With revenge on the mind against a Nuggets team which just played last night, I look for the Jazz to roll. Utah has won 22 of the last 25 in this series at home and it takes on a Nuggets team which is 0-4 SU and ATS its last 4 on the road. Melo busted out with a big 38-point effort as to show George Karl and everyone else that he needs to be in the lineup but all that performance did was drain him emotionally and I see him having a very mediocre game tonight. Denver is just 6-18 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Utah is 15-5 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Jazz are winning by double digits on average in both of these spots. Can't see Utah winning by less than 14 in this statement game.

3* SMASH on Nets +9
The Nets are playing good basketball, having won 3 of their last 5 SU and all 5 ATS. They took Boston right down to the wire 2 nights ago and I like them to be even more competitive against the Magic tonight. This is a look ahead spot for the Magic as they go to Boston next while this is a revenge spot for the Nets who were defeated 101-84 here as a 13-point underdog a month ago. The public is on the Magic and that is the wrong place to be in this spot. While NJ is just 14-15 on the road this season, it is 18-11 ATS. The Nets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. The Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Off a big win over the Suns and with Boston up next, the Magic won't bring their A-game tonight.

3* NBA Northwest Division GOTW (TNT) on Nuggets -5
The Blazers have struggled on the road all season long and are just 1-5 in their last 6 road contests. Denver returns home after back-to-back road losses and will be very motivated to bury the Blazers here as Portland is now just a half game back in the standings. Denver is 22-7 at home this season and a strong 7-2 in division play. Portland just played last night and had to use a lot of energy to come back from a double digit deficit against Indiana. The Trail Blazers are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Denver and 9-23-1 ATS in the last 33 meetings overall. The Trail Blazers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 road games, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. The Nuggets are 26-7-1 ATS in their last 34 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take the Nuggets.

3* NBA on TNT SMASH on Hornets -6
This is Dallas' 4th game in 5 nights and it just won a highly emotional game against the Spurs last night. The Mavs aren't going to have enough left in the tank here. Plus, Dallas is 0-4 SU and ATS in its last 4 road games. New Orleans is red hot having won 5 in a row and I think this team is really clicking right now. Don't be surprised if the Hornets make a nice run to end the season. The Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win, and 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 Thursday games. The favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Lay the points.

5* NBA Blowout of the Year on Jazz -8.5
You don't want to take on the Jazz on their home floor without fresh legs and that's exactly what the Rockets will have to do tonight. Also, each of the first 2 meetings this season were Rockets wins in Houston so I expect the now healthy Jazz to really be out to send a message tonight. Houston has lost 4 of its last 5 road games SU and ATS to the likes of the Knicks, Grizzlies, Bucks, and Bulls so playing the red hot Jazz on the road does not figure to treat them well. The Jazz are an incredible 57-25-2 ATS in their last 84 games as a home favorite. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning SU record, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. This is the type of game where the Rockets will miss Tracy McGrady as the Jazz have too much star power going against the Rockets tonight. The rout is on!

4* Major NBA Vegas Line Mistake on Knicks pk
The Knicks have posed major problems for the Hawks this season and are 2-0 ATS as a result with an 8-point win here in late January. Atlanta's offense has really struggled of late and that does not bode well for the Hawks either as the Knicks have been scoring at will. You might be thinking revenge, but Atlanta is just 11-24 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average score of 88.0 to 99.1 in these spots. The biggest thing that will kill the Hawks tonight is NY's ability to knock down threes. Atlanta is 4-16 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, losing these contests by an average score of 93.1 to 105.9. This line is a gift and we'll take it.

4* Major NBA BEST BET BLOWOUT on Houston Rockets -8
The Raptors would like to bounce back tonight after back-to-back double digit defeats in the first 2 games of this 3-game road trip, but I just don't see it happening against a Rockets team which has won 9 in a row at home. The Rockets are 24-6 at home on the season, winning those games by an average of 8.7 ppg. They'll easily beat their average against one of the coldest teams in the NBA tonight as the Rockets have outscored opponents by an average of 14.5 points during the nine-game winning streak at home. Toronto crushed Houston 94-73 back in January and the Rockets will be out to avenge that loss. The Raptors are 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Lay the number!

3* NBA BEST BET on Thunder +5
We'll take the Thunder in a great spot tonight. First off, the Thunder just took the Mavs to OT last Friday before losing by 2. So that gives OKC some extra incentive to win here. Secondly, the Mavs will be far more worried about their next game against a Spurs team that just crushed them 93-76 last week. And to prove that the last meeting between these teams was no fluke, OKC played the Mavs to a 4-point game in Dallas back in December as well. The Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Thunder are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games, 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog, and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southwest. The Mavericks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. Bet the Thunder!

4* Major Sunday NBA BEST BET on Nets +4
The Hornets have lost 4 straight ATS and 7 of their last 9, yet the public is still all over them here and that has the books licking their chops. It's been a struggle for the Hornets on the road of late and it will be a struggle for them today as Chris Paul will not be able to have his way with the very quick Devin Harris guarding him and going at him. The Hornets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing SU record, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Nets are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog of 4.5 or less points, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Take the points.

3* Saturday Night NBA SMASH on Jazz -16
Condensed writeup due to amount of games to handicap. This looks like a lot of points to lay at first glance and that's exactly what the books want the public to think. When you look closer, you see a red hot Jazz team, which has won 6 in a row SU and ATS, playing the lowly Kings on 3 days rest. The Kings just played last night and they will not have nearly enough left in the tank to compete here. The last time the Kings won and then played the next night happened a week ago. They beat Memphis and then lost by 21 at Dallas. Jazz win this one by 20 easily. Lay the number!

3* Saturday Night NBA SMASH on Bulls +1.5
Condensed writeup due to amount of games to handicap. After being embarrassed by Washington, we'll take the Bulls at home in this bounce back spot against a Houston team that has lost its last 3 SU and ATS on the road. These losses have come to Milwaukee, Memphis, and NY and the Bulls are playing better than all of those teams right now. Houston is just 4-14 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 3 seasons, losing by 5.6 points on average in these spots. Take the Bulls.

4* Major NBA Side of the Night on Lakers -2.5
Look, I know LA just played last night in Phoenix, but LA is a deep team, even without Bynum, and Kobe loves challenges like this, so I don't see fatigue being an issue. Plus, Bryant departed with 57 seconds remaining in the third quarter and the rest of the starters followed suit to start the fourth as Los Angeles' reserves took over the rest of the way. LA has dominated Denver to the tune of 10-3 SU and ATS the last 3 seasons. The Nuggets have hit a rough patch, going 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS in their last 4. They were blown out 76-114 4 nights ago by Boston and the Lakers aren't going to let the Celtics one up them in any way as they look to clinch the best record in the NBA to seal home court throughout the playoffs. Denver is 2-11 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons while LA is 14-3 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Take LA!

3* SMASH on Blazers -5.5
The Blazers need this one badly as they have struggled on the road. They get a T-Wolves team tonight that is struggling without their star and one that the Blazers have owned. Minnesota is just 3-13 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season, losing by an average score of 95.3 to 104.9 in these spots. Minnesota is also 4-14 ATS as a home underdog this season. Portland is 8-2 SU and ATS in its last 10 versus Minnesota. Bet the Blazers.

5* Friday Night NBA "TOTAL" BLOWOUT on Bucks/Hornets UNDER 200.5
New Orleans is allowing just 90.8 ppg at home this season. That one number tells me how badly the books have missed this one. Milwaukee's poor defensive play of late has elevated this line, but after getting stomped by Dallas, expect the Bucks to play much tougher tonight. This line is also elevated by the fact that 7 straight have gone over in this series. Squares are going to see that and jump. But the Under is 9-2 in the Hornets last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5, 11-4 in Hornets last 15 Friday games, and 13-6-1 in Hornets last 20 vs. Eastern Conference. The Under is also 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games as a road underdog. Plays under on road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, on Friday nights are 73-37 under since 1996. This system shows you how odds makers elevate lines as team continue to go over or under them. The value is high in this one. Bet the Under!

3* NBA on TNT "TOTAL" Annihilator on Cavs/Rockets UNDER 184.5
Expect a defensive battle in Houston tonight as Houston has held 4 of its last 5 opponents under 88 points and the Cavs have held 3 of their last 4 under 79 points. Here is the game-breaker: Houston is 10-1 UNDER in a home game where where the total is between 180 and 184.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The average score in these games was 175.6 points. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston and 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. Bet the Under!

4* Major NBA on TNT Game of the Week on Houston Rockets +3
The public is all over the Cavs tonight and that is going to get them burnt. Houston is 10-2 SU and 8-2-2 ATS in its last 12 home games against the Cavs. Houston is on fire, having won 5 in a row, and is 23-6 at home this season. This is a statement game for the Rockets to show the rest of the league that they will not be a pushover come playoff time. The Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Houston and 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings overall. Houston is also 15-5 ATS after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. A tough Rockets home team will take it to a Cavs team that hasn't looked unstoppable on the road lately. Take the points.

5* NBA Total of the Year on Bucks/Mavs OVER 208
After scoring just 76 points last night in San Antonio, expect the Mavs to have an offensive explosion tonight against a Bucks team that has allowed 110 or more points in 6 of their last 7. On the other side of the coin, the Bucks have scored 120 or more in 4 of their last 7 and have scored 103 or more in 6 of their last 7. The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Dallas and Over is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings overall. The Over is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 vs. NBA Central and 7-1 in Mavericks last 8 vs. a team with a losing SU record. The Over is 12-3 in Bucks last 15 vs. a team with a winning SU record and 5-1 in Bucks last 6 games as an underdog. Bet the Over!

3* NBA Game of the Night on Magic -2
After a poor performance against Chicago last night, expect the Magic to bounce back strong against the defensively challenged Knicks. Orlando has no trouble playing uptempo hoops and will outscore the Knicks tonight. Orlando is 12-2 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season, winning these games by an average score of 108.4 to 97.6. Orlando is also 15-3 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Lay the number.

3* NBA Road Warrior on Bobcats +7
The Bobcats were embarrassed at Houston 2 nights ago. I expect much better from them in Phoenix tonight as Boris Diaw and Raja Bell return to the desert to show the Suns what they are missing out on. While the Bobcats are just 6-19 on the road, they are 15-10 ATS in those games. The Suns are just 10-17 ATS at home this season. Charlotte crushed the Suns 98-76 at home earlier this season and that is significant because the Suns are just 1-9 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a favorite this season, losing by an average score of 98.7 to 107.0 in these spots. Phoenix is also just 4-17 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. Life without Amare Stoudemire did not treat the Suns well Sunday and it will hurt not having him on the floor again here. Take the Bobcats!

4* Major NBA Deadly Dog of the Week on Bulls +3
The Bulls are playing their best ball of the season right now, having won 7 of their last 11 SU and are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12. The Bulls are 15-11 at home so they have more than been holding their own in the United Center all season. In addition, the Magic embarrassed the Bulls last time they visited and that puts Chicago in a big revenge spot tonight. The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss, 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog, and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. I'll take the points!

5* NBA Western Conference GOTY on Kings +7.5
The Hornets have lost 5 of their last 6 on the road. Those losses include one to Minnesota and one to Memphis. Their lone road win during this stretch was a 2-point narrow escape against the Thunder. The Kings have covered the spread in 3 of their last 4. Returning home off a blowout road loss puts them in great position to bounce back tonight. At just 13-13 on the road this season and 10-5-1 ATS, the Hornets have not earned this kind of road respect, but the books have given it to them because, just as they figured, the public has jumped all over the Hornets. The Kings have dominated the Hornets at home, going 13-2 SU and 11-3-1 ATS since 1996. Even over the last few seasons when the Hornets have been the better team, the Kings are 3-1 SU and ATS at home. New Orleans is 0-7 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game this season, actually losing by an average score of 97.9 to 98.3 in this spot. The Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss. The Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings which means that the Hornets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and the home team is 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Take the points but we may not even need them as the Kings have an excellent chance to win this one outright.

3* ESPN Prime Time Total on Pistons/Cavs UNDER 179.5
The under has to be the play here as these teams have taken things Under in 6 straight over the last 2 seasons and 12 of 16 over the last 3 seasons. While Detroit's offense is lacking, its defense has still been rock solid, and that has this one poised for the under again. Cleveland won 90-80 on Feb. 1 and that is key for a couple different reasons. First, because only 170 points were scored. Second, because Detroit is 7-0 UNDER revenging a home loss vs. an opponent this season. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA National TV Total Annihilator on Celtics/Suns UNDER 224.5
With Garnett out for Boston and Stoudemire for the Suns, those are two big missing pieces that will help keep this one under. Boston has been an unders machine on the road at 20-8 under away from home this season. They have been even better against the league's best offenses, going 10-2 UNDER in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season. The average score in these games totaled 187.3 points. Boston is also 9-1 UNDER in road non-conference games this season. Teams from the west aren't used to seeing a defense like this one. The books have been forced to keep this number high because of what the Suns have done each of the last 3 games, but that was against the Clippers and Thunder. This one goes Under Sunday.

4* Major NBA Blowout of the Week on Jazz -7
Condensed writeup due to amount of games to handicap. Utah is rolling and it has had the Hornets number. No way New Orleans can hang against one of the best home teams in the NBA after a tough OT loss against the Lakers last night. New Orleans is 2-11 ATS as an underdog this season, losing by an average score of 89.8 to 98.7. Utah is 15-2 ATS in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons, winning in this situation by an average score of 108.1 to 92. Lay the number.

3* NBA Public Massacre of the Week on Thunder +9
The Suns run up the score on the Clippers in back-to-back games and the public is in love with them again. Odds makers are looking to score big off of that here. The Thunder are not the same pushover they were early in the season and Kevin Durant is playing some very confident basketball. Prior to the All-Star break, the Thunder played the Lakers to a 7 point game and they played New Orleans to a 2 point game after it. Plays against any team (PHOENIX) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against division rivals, on Friday nights are 24-4 ATS since 1996. The Thunder are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Phoenix and the Underdog is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Suns are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 Friday games and 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games following an ATS win. The Thunder are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Friday games, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5, and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. Take the Thunder.

5* NBA Southwest Division GOTY (ESPN) on Rockets -3.5
Houston is 20-6 at home this season and it owes the Mavs a huge defeat tonight. Dallas has had its way with the Rockets recently but I don't see that happening here as the Rockets are primed and ready for revenge. Here's the other key: Houston is 24-5 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 98.3 to 87.6. The Rockets are outstanding defensively on their home floor and I expect them to give the Mavs fits tonight.

3* NBA "TOTAL" REVENGER on Spurs/Pistons UNDER 181
Expect a defensive battle in Detroit to come in under the number tonight. The Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in this matchup. In the last 7 meetings between these teams, only 2 games have reach 170 or more points and neither of those reached the 180 mark. The Under is 7-1 in Spurs last 8 vs. NBA Central and 16-5-1 in Pistons last 22 vs. NBA Southwest. The Under is also 7-1 in Pistons last 8 vs. a team with a winning SU record. In the first meeting this season, we saw 166 points scored and I expect a similar result tonight. Take the Under.

5* NBA UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR on Nets +8
The Nets came out flat in their first game following the All-Star break. Now it will be Dallas' turn to come out flat tonight in its first game after the break. There will be no trouble for Devin Harris getting up for a game against his former team as he dropped 41 on them the last time they faced off. Coming off a bad game last night, I expect Harris to be phenomenal. While Dallas is 17-8 SU at home, it is just 8-17 ATS and it gets a Nets team that is 17-10 ATS on the road this season here. Here's the key: NJ is 8-0 ATS in road games after playing a game as a road underdog this season, winning by 4.8 ppg in this spot. The Mavericks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest and the Nets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. Bet the Nets tonight.

4* Major NBA Total of the Week (ESPN) on Magic/Hornets UNDER 189.5
Both of these teams came away with hard fought wins last night and will not have enough left to push this one over. When these teams met on Christmas Day, we only saw 156 total points scored. With Nelson out for the Magic and now with Chandler gone for the Hornets, both of these teams are without key players and that is going to make a big difference against good teams. NO is 9-1 UNDER in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 2 seasons, the average points scored in these games is 185.4. NO is also 10-1 UNDER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. The average score in these games totaled just 182.7 points. Bet the Under!

4* Major NBA "TOTAL" Annihilator on Bucks/Pistons UNDER 196
Milwaukee has been offensively challenged on the road of late, due to its injury problems to key players, and it comes up against one of the better defensive teams in the NBA tonight. The Pistons are allowing just 93.9 ppg this season and I expect a very good defensive effort tonight as they'll be fresh coming off the All-Star break. In fact, the Under is 5-1 in the Pistons last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Under is also 4-1 in the Bucks last 5 road games. Lastly, plays Under on Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, second half of the season are 46-19 the last 5 seasons. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Total of the Week on Blazers/Warriors UNDER 217.5
Scoring 144 points, like the Warriors did last time out, forces odds makers to set an inflated number. We'll make them pay for doing so here as the Blazers will have no part in Golden State's up and down game. Portland averages just 95.8 ppg and allows 96.8 ppg on the road this season. 6 straight in this matchup have not topped this number and 20 of the last 21. The one that did was a 218 point total. Portland is 27-12 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 2 seasons, 16-6 UNDER in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons, and 23-7 UNDER versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. The average score in all 3 of these systems doesn't come even close to the number we are faced with today. Bet the Under.

4* Major Wednesday Night NBA BEST BET on Jazz +2.5
With LA playing back-to-back, a rested and prepared Jazz team, whose last taste of ball was a terrible blowout loss at Golden State, will be ready to take bounce back against the best team in the league tonight. The Jazz are 20-6 at home this season and 57-10 over the last 2. Plays on home teams (UTAH) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, playing with 2 days rest are 48-14 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Home team is 11-4-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Take the Jazz!

3* SMASH on 76ers -11
Memphis is just 3-18 on the road this season and just 6-15 ATS in those games. It is just 1-6 in its last 7 road contests, losing all 6 of those by double digits. Plus, Rudy Gay, second on the team with 18.8 points per game, will be out until after the All-Star game with a left hip flexor. The 76ers have won 3 in a row and 13 of 17. Memphis is 1-16 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons and Philly is 9-1 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Lay the points.

4* Major Anti-Public Annihilator on Knicks +4.5
The Knicks have lost 4 in a row to give us additional value with this line. 4 losses initially looks like a team is slumping, but that is not the case for NY which has played the Lakers, Cavs, Celtics, and Blazers all very tough. Now they get a chance to end their skid against a team they dropped 138 points on earlier this season and I expect them to take full advantage. The Warriors will not have the same intensity tonight as they played with in a big win over Utah last game as that win puts them in a letdown spot. Golden State is just 4-13 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and 1-10 ATS off a home win this season. Plus, the Knicks play uptempo basketball even better than the Warriors and that really stands to expose Golden State's defense, just like it did in the Big Apple when NY won 138-125. While NY is just 7-17 on the road it is 14-10 ATS and comes in having covered the number in 9 of its last 11. Take the points tonight!

4* Major NBA Bounce Back Game of the Week on Nuggets pk
Denver was killed in its last game to the tune of 70-114 in New Jersey. This team is far too good to lose like that and I fully expect the Nuggets to come out with fire tonight. Denver has had Miami's number with a 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS mark the last 3 seasons, which includes an 11-point home win over the Heat early last month in which Melo did not play. The Heat are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record while the Nugs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Take the Nuggets!

4* Major NBA Monster Line Mistake on Bucks +7
The Rockets do not deserve to be laying 7 points on the road today. The Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games, 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. The Bucks are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southwest. Milwaukee has a losing record on the season but is a solid 14-9 at home. Houston is a game below .500 on the road and has lost 3 of its last 4 road games SU and ATS. Houston is just 9-18 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. The Bucks have an excellent shot to win this game and we'll take them tonight.

5* NBA Game of the Month on LA Clippers +2
The Clippers are finally healthy again and it has showed with back-to-back blowout wins over Memphis and Atlanta in which they put up over 120 points in each. They have had a day to rest and will now look to end their road trip strong tonight. The Bobcats have lost 5 in a row, including yesterday's loss at Miami. These teams are going in two different directions right now and Charlotte is not going to be able to keep up with LA's pace without fresh legs. The Road team is 7-0-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Charlotte is only 3-8 straight up in the second of back to back games this season and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. Pound the Clippers!

5* NBA Vegas Line Mistake of the Month on Kings +7
The Kings beat the Thunder by 4 at home a week ago and I like them to have a great chance to win again today. OKC is in a letdown spot after a big win over Portland and will not be able to get up for the Kings the same way. Plus, the Thunder have played better ball of late but they still don't deserve to be laying these kind of points. The only other time OKC was this big of a favorite this season, Memphis tied them at the end of regulation. We lost the cover in OT but had the right side unmistakably. Plays against home teams (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off an upset win as a home underdog against opponent off a home loss are 40-16 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Double Digit BLOOD BATH on Blazers -8
Off a loss to the lowly Thunder, Portland returns home and will be out for blood today. The Knicks have given it all in three straight home losses to the Lakers, Cavs, and Celtics and will have a very tough time getting up for this one in the aftermath. Portland is 18-5 at home this season. The Trail Blazers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite period. Bet the Blazers.

3* National TV Total SMASH on Lakers/Cavs UNDER 206
3 straight and 5 of the last 6 in this series have gone under the number and this is the highest number we have seen during this stretch. While the Lakers won the first meeting this season, the Cavs have had great success against LA because they have been able to control the tempo and because they are a solid defensive team. Cleveland is only allowing 89.0 ppg at home this season. With this being the last game of a long road trip for LA, I expect the Lakers not to mind playing a little bit more half court basketball. Cleveland is 19-6 UNDER in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons, average total in these games is 185.3. The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland, 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less, and 9-4 in Lakers last 13 games as an underdog. Bet the Under!

4* Major NBA "TOTAL" Dominator on Timberwolves/Rockets UNDER 200.5
Condensed writeup due to amount of games to handicap. Every time Houston plays at home you have to give the under a look as the Rockets are 41-26 UNDER in home games over the last 2 seasons. This is a solid spot to take the Under here. The Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games following a SU loss, 6-2 in Rockets last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and 19-9 in Rockets last 28 games as a home favorite. Bet the Under!

4* Major Friday Night NBA BEST BET on OKC Thunder +4.5
Portland has struggled on the road at just 12-13 SU and 10-15 ATS on the season and most of its ATS road wins came early on as the Blazers are now just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 on the road. OKC is much improved and yet it continued to be undervalued at home because the public is still fading away on the Thunder. Not a good idea. The Thunder are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 home games, 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Northwest. The Thunder are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall and 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog. Plus, the Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the Thunder.

4* Major NBA on TNT GOTM on Celtics -5.5
The Celtics have had this one circled since Christmas Day and they get the Lakers in a great spot tonight. Not only will LA miss Andrew Bynum, but they will also miss out on playing with fresh legs. The Lakers are playing back-to-back, 3 in 4, 5 games in 7 nights and all on the road. The most critical factor is that Kobe has expended a lot of energy on this road trip. Boston is playing the best basketball in the NBA right now and has won 4 straight in the Garden over LA, all by 6+ points with 3 of those wins coming by double digits. LA snapped Boston's first long winning streak of the season, and the Celtics won't let it happen again. Plus, KG is going to be very motivated here after missing 2 games with the flu. Boston's defense is superior and that also gives it a big advantage. The Lakers are 0-8 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=43% - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 94.9 to 103.0. Boston is 9-1 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 108.9 to 94.8. Take the Celtics!

3* SMASH on Heat/Pistons UNDER 180
Detroit is 16-5 UNDER when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points this season, with the average score totaling 177.4 ppg in these spots. Detroit has gone UNDER in 3 straight games and 5 of the last 7 matchups in this series have gone under. Detroit's defense has really started to pick it up but the offense is yet to match. With Miami in a letdown spot off a blowout win, I'll take the Under here.

5* NBA Eastern Conference GOTY on Pistons -4
This is the best spot I've seen to back the Pistons this season. After going down to the 2 best teams in the East, Boston and Cleveland, the Pistons have had 3 days rest and will be fresh and hungry for a win at home tonight. Detroit has won 5 in a row against the Heat and each of the last 2 have been by double digit margins. The Heat are a lousy 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less and 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Wednesday games. Also, Miami is only 2-12 ATS when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points this season. Oddsmakers are expecting to see a great defensive effort from the Pistons and that means a big win and a cover in my book. Lay the number.

3* SMASH on Lakers/Raptors OVER 214.5
LA has scored 110 or more points in 4 straight, and with Bynum out, I expect the offense to continue to push the ball more to get more transition buckets and less baskets in the Triangle Offense. Also, with Bynum out, the defense will suffer, especially on the road where LA is already giving up over 100 ppg this season. Plays Over on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, in non-conference games are 27-9 the past 5 seasons. Take the Over!

3* SMASH on Clippers/Magic UNDER 199
Without Jameer Nelson, the Magic offense is not going to be a smooth sailing ship for a while. The Clippers offense has really struggled, scoring 95 or less in 6 straight games and they face one of the NBA's elite defensive teams tonight, allowing only 91.4 ppg at home. The Under is 4-0 in the Magic last 4 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater and 10-2 in the Magic last 12 games as a home favorite period. Bet the Under!

4* Major NBA Vegas Line Mistake of the Month on Milwaukee Bucks +5
Both teams are banged up with injuries so I don't see any real advantage there. What I do see is that this line was inflated to begin with because of New Jersey's past dominance of the Bucks and now the public is betting it up to give us even better value. The Bucks have won back-to-back games and come in well rested tonight to face a New Jersey team that is just 9-15 SU and ATS at home this season. The Bucks are 16-11 ATS on the road. The key tonight is that an upset win on the road against Philly last game puts the Nets in a big letdown spot. Plays against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW JERSEY) off an upset win as a road underdog, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 45-21 ATS the last 5 seasons. NJ is 1-8 ATS in home games off an upset win as an underdog this season, losing these games badly by an average score of 95.2 to 104.3. Lastly, the Nets are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win. Take the points.

3* Monday Night NBA BEST BET on Clippers +10.5
The last 2 games in this matchup have been decided by 1 point with the Clippers coming out on top in each. A well-rested Clippers team, which has lost 5 in a row will be hungry for a win tonight. The Clippers have won 4 of the last 5 and are on a 7-2 ATS run in Miami. Miami is 4-14 ATS in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons, losing these games on average by a score of 93.3 to 93.6. Miami is 1-8 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. The average score in these spots is Miami 97.1, Opponent 102.2. Take the points.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA BLOWOUT on Blazers -9
Condensed writeup due to amount of games to handicap. Portland has 3 days of rest while Utah must play back-to-back and on the road where it has lost 8 of 9. The Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. And the Jazz are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Portland. The Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take Portland.

5* Friday Night NBA Total of the Year on Clippers/Cavs UNDER 189
The books have set this number just under the 190 mark because it looks attractive to the overs-loving Joe public, but I have this one finishing 10 points under this number. Cleveland just played and emotionally and physically draining game in Orlando last night, and while it now has the incentive to bounce back, you're not going to see Cleveland get up for the Clippers. Each of the last 2 games at Cleveland has gone under the number in this matchup with scores totaling 171 and 182. Defensively, Cleveland has been sensational at home, allowing teams only 89 ppg and that is a big reason why this one stays under. The Under is 5-1 in Cavaliers last 6 vs. NBA Pacific, 10-3 in Cavaliers last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, and 36-17-1 in Cavaliers last 54 Friday games. Bet the Under!

3* ESPN Prime Time SMASH on Celtics -5.5
As much as Detroit would love to win this game, it just isn't the same team without Chauncey Billups and won't be able to get the job done. Boston is 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games while the Pistons are 3-7 SU and ATS in their last 10. Boston is deeper, more talented at nearly every spot on the floor, and it wants it more. The Celtics have already buried the Pistons by double digits twice this season and I like them to do it again tonight. The Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite period, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest, and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Pistons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning SU record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Plus, The Celtics are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Detroit. Take Boston.

3* NBA Bookmaker Trap on Wizards +10.5
Philly's recent winning spree has caught the attention of the public, giving the books a perfect opportunity to set their trap. Philly has won 9 of its last 11 games, but it has only been a favorite 4 times during the stretch with the highest number it laid being 7.5. It has failed to cover each of its last 2 games in the favorite role and the books are clearly asking bettors to lay way to many points with Philly tonight. Plays on road teams (WASHINGTON) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game are 39-14 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

3* NBA on TNT Late Night SMASH on Suns -1
The Suns ended their tough road trip with back-to-back wins and now they are back at home and ready to show the world that they should not be counted out yet. San Antonio has been on fire, but this will be its sixth game out of its last 8 on the road and I expect its veteran legs to be tired against a Suns team has shown a tendency to push the ball more. The key for Phoenix is momentum and confidence which was created by a pair of blowout road wins preceding this one. Plays on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 35-11 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the Suns.

4* Major Eastern Conference Game of the Week on Magic -4
The Magic have made great strides this season and now this is a statement game for them to prove they belong in the discussion of the NBA's elite. Orlando is 17-4 at home this season and is 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in all meetings with the Cavs the last 3 seasons. The Magic are a deeper team and they have a huge advantage on the interior with Howard and the Cavs have struggled on the road recently with 8 losses this season. Here's the key: Orlando is 13-1 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season, winning these games by an average score of 107.1 to 95.6. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Monster Line Mistake on Grizzlies +7.5
This is about as bad a line as I have seen all season. I know the Grizz have lost 10 in a row, but the Thunder have not proven in the least that they deserve chalk like this. Memphis has already won in OKC by 6 points this season and it will get up for this game as it sees it as a great chance to end its losing streak. Plays on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after 8 or more consecutive losses, with a losing record are 25-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

5* NBA "TOTAL" Dominator on Hawks/Knicks OVER 207
Condensed writeup due to amount of games to handicap. The books have set the bar too low here. The Knicks average 107.3 ppg at home but also allow 106.8. The Hawks are a very athletic team and will match the Knicks bucket for bucket tonight. This one is going to be a shootout. The last time we saw these teams play in NY we saw 220 points score and the Hawks have extra incentive to come quick tonight after laying an egg against Miami. Atlanta is 24-11 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Take the Over.

4* Major NBA Blowout of the Week on Lakers -11
The Bobcats are playing better ball but it really hasn't translated on the road where they are only scoring 90.3 ppg. LA averages 108.9 ppg at home. The Lakers are 15-5 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LA LAKERS 111.6, OPPONENT 97.9. The Bobcats are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater. Lay the points.

3* SMASH on Thunder -1.5
I like the Thunder at home tonight laying a small number. The Thunder are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games overall, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games, and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 vs. the Eastern Conference. OKC is also 13-1 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. The Nets have lost 5 of 6 while the Thunder have won 4 of 7. They are playing better ball than the Nets right now and I like them to get the W tonight.

4* Major NBA Divisional Dagger on Hawks +4
The Hawks have already beaten Miami in Miami by 14 points earlier this season and after losing yesterday to Phoenix they will be hungry to get right back in the win column. Here's the key: Atlanta is 14-4 ATS as an underdog this season while Miami is 6-21 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. You also have to look at Miami in a letdown situation after a big win over Orlando. Miami is 3-15 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons and 0-9 ATS in home games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. To branch out even farther, plays against home teams (MIAMI) off an upset win as a home underdog against opponent off a home loss are 40-15 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points!

3* Sunday NBA SMASH on Bulls +5.5
The Bulls have lost 4 straight and will be out for blood against a team they are confident they can hang with. The Bulls are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The Timberwolves are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. Expect the Bulls to bounce back Sunday. Take the points.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA BEST BET on Jazz -2
(condensed writeup due to amount of games to handicap) The Cavs played an emotionally and physically draining game at Golden State last night and will not be ready to bounce back against one of the best home teams in the NBA. Utah is 13-3 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons, 16-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons, and 12-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Take the Jazz.

4* Major NBA Anti-Public Annihilator on Warriors +6.5
The Warrior have proven time and time again to be strong in the home dog role and the books are giving them too many points tonight. All the public sees here is that Cleveland has a way better record, but the Cavs have been shaky on the road lately, winning just 2 of their last 6, with two of those losses coming to the lowly Wizards and Bulls. Cleveland's lack of depth has been its biggest culprit lately as they don't have an interior presence that can score with Big Z out and Delonte West's injury rids them of one of their best perimeter shooters. The Warriors are 21-5-2 ATS in their last 28 games as a home underdog of 5-10.5 points and 15-4 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Take the points.

4* Major Friday Night NBA BLOWOUT on Hornets pk
Odds makers have figured in the Hornets' injuries too heavily into this line and we are going to make them pay. All they will need is Chris Paul tonight who has been sensational. The Wolves are only 6-13 SU and 6-12-1 ATS at home this season. New Orleans is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS at Minnesota the past 3 seasons and is 12-3 ATS in all games at Minnesota since 1996. Minnesota is 1-9 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season, losing these games by 11.1 ppg. New Orleans is 12-1 ATS in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 109.2 to 100.8. New Orleans has cleaned Minnesota's clock in each of the past two meetings, winning by 34 and 32 points respectively. There will be no answer for Chris Paul tonight and the Hornets will roll.