3* Early NBA SMASH on Pacers +1.5
The Pacers lost in Toronto by 15 points Sunday. But when we examine that matchup more closely, we find that these two teams were actually tied with 8 minutes remaining in the game before Indy ran out of gas. The Pacers will have much energy on their home floor tonight. We also find that Pacers star Danny Granger only scored 8 points in that game, 14.4 points lower than his team-best average. Looking further into things, the Raptors are expected to be without Hedo Turkoglu tonight. While the Raptors didn't need him Sunday, he is a very important part of this team and a guy they really rely on late in games, especially on the road. Toronto has had its fair share of struggles on the road, going just 9-16 away from home so far this season. The Raptors are playing their best basketball of the season right now, but I expect the Pacers to be extremely motivated in this spot following a loss to Toronto in their last game. Plus, I expect Granger to perform much better at home tonight, and I expect the Raptors to miss Turkoglu. Lastly, we can't ignore the fact that the home team is a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take the Pacers.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Bobcats/Trail Blazers UNDER 189.5
Portland has gone over in 6 straight and Charlotte is 5-0-1 Over in its last 6 and this has elevated tonight's line. This matchup has typically been a low scoring one. In fact, we haven't seen a total set this high between these two teams since 2007, and that line was just 190. In the last two meetings, we have seen lines of 179.5 and 171 respectively, and we have seen total scores of just 162 and 154. Both of these teams prefer to play in the half court, and that

3* NBA "Total" Dominator on Warriors/Thunder UNDER 214
The Under is a perfect 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams when the Warriors have visited the Thunder and I fully expect this trend to continue. The Thunder prefer to play at a slower pace, averaging just 98.7 ppg at home, and they are strong defensively, allowing only 94.7 ppg at home. In fact, OKC is even 15-5 Under in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots per game over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing an average of 196.5 points scored in these spots. The Thunder enter on a 6-1 Unders run and the Warriors are 4-1 Under in their last 5 road games. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Hawks/Magic UNDER 193.5
Each of the last 3 meetings between these teams have finished Under the number while averaging only 177.7 combined points scored. Revenge is a great defensive motivator. In fact, Atlanta is on a 25-7 Unders run when revenging a loss of 10 points, and we are only seeing 184.7 combined points in these games. The Under is also a perfect 8-0 in the Magic's last 8 games playing on 1 day's rest and 7-1-1 in the Hawks' last 9 games following a S.U. win. Bet the Under.

3* Friday Night NBA SMASH on Blazers +6
I know the Blazers will be without Brandon Roy tonight but they have not been hopeless without him as LaMarcus Aldridge has picked up the slack. I like Portland catching these six points for a few reasons tonight. First off, the Blazers are only allowing 93.5 ppg on the road this season. Secondly, the Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. And thirdly, the Trail Blazers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. I'll take the points here.

3* SMASH on Memphis Grizzlies +5
The Spurs are coming off a much-needed win over Atlanta, but they'll have a difficult time getting past one of the hottest teams in the NBA tonight without Tony Parker on the floor. The Grizzlies have won 7 of their last 8 with that lone loss coming by just 2 points on the road, including a 92-86 win over the Spurs. We can't exactly bank on revenge from the Spurs either when you consider that they are just 3-13 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss over the last 2 seasons and 5-19 ATS revenging a road loss vs. an opponent over the last 2 seasons. Expect Memphis to take the Spurs right down to the wire.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Lakers/76ers UNDER 204.5
I expect these two teams to keep this total Under the 200 mark tonight. The Lakers are 10-2 Under after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season, with the average total score coming in at just 190.1 in these spots. After an easy win over Indiana, the Lakers will be much more concerned about being fresh for their next game against Boston than they will about hammering the 76ers. Plus, this is the Lakers 6th straight road game so I expect Phil Jackson to give his bench plenty of minutes tonight, and that bench hasn't been getting the job done over the course of the season. Philly has played to the Under in 5 straight and 8 of its last 9 games as it has been held under the century mark in 7 of its last 9 contests. The Under is also 6-0 in the 76ers' last 6 home games. We'll take the Under here.

5* NBA on TNT Total of the Year on Celtics/Magic UNDER 190
This matchup has been an Unders machine with the last 6 meetings playing to the Under and 6 of the last 7 meetings in Orlando coming in Under the number. I fully expect this trend to continue this evening as these two Eastern Conference powers engage in a defensive battle. The Magic are struggling from the field, and as a result, we've seen them play to the Under in 5 of their last 6 and 8 of their last 10. Boston has played to the Under in 4 of its last 5 as well. One thing we can usually count on is Boston bringing the "D" against top notch competition, especially now that K.G. is back. In fact, Boston is 11-1 Under in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons and we are only seeing an average of 177.8 points scored in the games. The Under is also 5-0 in the Magic's last 5 games playing on 2 day's rest, 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record, and 6-0 in the Celtics' last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Under.

3* Thursday Night NBA SMASH on Knicks -3
This is a good opportunity to fade the Raptors tonight. First off, Toronto is just 8-16 on the road. Secondly, it is just 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games after playing a game the previous night. Thirdly, the Knicks will be extremely motivated to get the "W" here after falling at home to the Raptors just 13 days ago by 8 points. The thing that goes unseen with the score is that the Raptors shot 12 of 22 from 3-point land in that game playing with 3 day's rest. The 3's shouldn't fall as easily tonight in a back-to-back. The Knicks don't find themselves laying points very often these days, but they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. You also have to like the fact that they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. NY is also 15-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Lay the small number here tonight.

3* NBA Non-Conf. SMASH on Spurs -3
Expect the Spurs to dig down deep after 3 straight defeats to get the win and cover tonight. The Hawks have struggled immensely in San Antonio, going 1-11 SU & 2-10 ATS in their last 12 meetings there. Also, the Hawks are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 3-15 ATS in road games versus teams outscoring their opponents by 3 or more points per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. It's gut check time for the Spurs and I have them answering the call.

5* Wednesday Night NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Thunder -5.5
The Thunder are one of the most resilient teams in the NBA so I expect them to be extremely motivated to get back in the win column tonight after back-to-back defeats. In fact, OKC is 16-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season and 9-1 ATS off a road loss this season. This is also a great spot for the Thunder as they have had 3 days to rest while the Bulls are playing their 4th road game in 6 days. The Thunder are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on 3 or more day's rest and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. It's been a good road trip for the Bulls, but expect them to fall SU & ATS tonight against the much fresher Thunder.

3* NBA "Total" Dominator on Bucks/Mavs UNDER 198
This matchup has seen a lot of Overs in recent years, but tonight's situation looks very favorable to the Under. First off Milwaukee is 9-4 to the Under in its last 13 road games. Secondly, plays Under on any team, Milwaukee in this case, after a huge blowout win by 30 or more, against an opponent that led by at least 15 points at halftime in its last game, are 15-1 over the last 3 seasons. And when the team is off a blowout win by just 20 or more points in the above situation, the Under is 103-48 since 1996. Both of these teams had ridiculous shooting percentages from the floor in their last games, better than 57%. That won't happen again tonight. Bet the Under.

5* 43-0 ATS Tuesday NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks +7
It's hard not to like the Bucks catching this many points in Dallas tonight when you consider that the Mavs are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. And that's not all. The Mavericks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games. Meanwhile, the Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when their opponent scores 100 or more points in their previous game and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. And there's more. Dallas is 0-7 ATS this season at home when facing up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots per game. All together, we have a 43-0 ATS Angle in our favor tonight. In addition, it is also worth mentioning that the Bucks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 meetings with Dallas and the underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Take the points tonight.

4* Major NBA Vegas Line Mistake on Pacers +5.5
This is the second game of a home and home between the Pacers and the 76ers. The 76ers took the first game at Indianapolis by 10 points which tells me that Indiana will be extremely motivated to return the favor here tonight. "This is one we could've and should've won," Brandon Rush said. "We couldn't make shots when we needed." A big reason for the loss was that Indiana was exhausted, playing their fourth game in five nights. They'll be much fresher tonight. A couple things that look good for us are the Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on 1 day's rest and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss. Plus, the Pacers are 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia and Pacers are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings overall. The underdog is also 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. I also can't justify laying this many points on a team that is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games as a favorite and 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. With all this in mind, odds makers are overvaluing the 76ers tonight. We'll take the points.

3* Sunday NBA SMASH on Lakers -4.5
Let's just say that Thursday's loss to the Cavs has lit a match under the Lakers, and now I expect them to dominate the rest of this Eastern Conference trip. The Lakers have won 4 straight over Toronto by at least 8 points, and I expect this trend to continue. A couple things that really stick out here are the Raptors are just 16-36 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 10-26-1 ATS in their last 37 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Plus, the Lakers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Toronto and the favorite is 8-3-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings. The Raptors won't have a chance if Chris Bosh doesn't go off and that is not very likely considering he has scored just 12 in each of his last two games against the Lakers and is only averaging 16.8 vs. Los Angeles in his career. We'll take the Lakers.

3* Saturday Night NBA BEST BET on Thunder +7
Condensed writeup due to amount of game to handicap. The Thunder are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and playing back-to-back has been no problem as they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 in the role. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Off a huge win over the Lakers Thursday, this one has letdown written all over it for Cleveland.

3* Friday Night NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Suns -6
Tough spot for the Bulls tonight as this is their 3rd road game this week, and they have already lost their first two by 17 and 7 points respectively to lesser teams to fall to 4-15 on the road this season. The Suns are 16-4 at home this season where they are winning by nearly 10 ppg. I should also mention that the Bulls are losing by more than 9 points per game on the road. The Bulls are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points while the Suns are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 home games versus a team with a road winning rate of less than 40%. We'll take the Suns.

5* NBA "Total" Dominator of the Month on Blazers/Celtics UNDER 185
When Kevin Garnett went down with an injury, the Boston Celtics lost their identity as a shutdown defensive team. Well guess who's back? Garnett returns to the lineup tonight and I expect his presence to provide the C's with a big lift no matter how much he plays. Portland has been a strong defensive team on the road, only allowing 93.2 ppg, but it hasn't been able to do much on the offensive end, scoring only 93.8 ppg. With Brandon Roy not in the lineup tonight, I expect the Blazers to struggle offensively against a Celtics squad primed and ready to dig in on the defensive end. The Blazers are really hurting on the interior with both Greg Oden and Joel Przybilla's absences leaving them paper thin. Expect Boston to really slow this game down to take advantage of scoring opportunities inside tonight. Portland is going to want to make this game a track meet and I just don't see the Celtics letting the Blazers control the tempo on their home floor. Each of these two teams have played to the Under in 3 straight and the last two head-to-head matchups have averaged only 174 points. We'll take the Under.

3* NBA on TNT SMASH on Cavs -2.5
While the Lakers would like to avenge an embarrassing Christmas Day home loss to the Cavs, Cleveland isn't going to lay down here. In fact, I think Cleveland will want this game more, again! The Lakers are the defending NBA champs, not feeling as though they need to prove anything to anyone. Meanwhile, Cleveland still feels as though it has plenty to prove. Here's what Phil Jackson had to say; "We don't assign a whole lot extra importance to that game..." referring to tonight's contest. The Cavaliers are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points, and with the betting public all over the Lakers, I'll go against the grain with Cleveland here.

3* NBA "Total" Bailout on Bulls/Clippers UNDER 195
The Bulls have been an Unders machine on the road at 11-6-1 to the Under this season. Meanwhile, the Clippers have been an Unders machine at home, going 16-6 Under. The last time these two teams met in LA we only saw 170 points put up on the board while facing a similar number (196). With that in mind, we should be seeing a lower number tonight, but the Clippers have elevated the line by playing to the Over in 5 straight. The Clippers are also 11-3 Under in home games where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points this season with the average combined score totaling just 188 points in those games. Take the Under.

5* NBA "Total" Dominator on Heat/Bobcats UNDER 191
This system can't be ignored tonight: Plays Under on any team, Miami in this case, after a blowout win by 30 or more points against an opponent which led in its previous game by 15 or more points at the half, are 14-1 the last 3 seasons (already 2-0 this season). Charlotte is the best defensive team in the NBA, allowing only 92.9 ppg, and that number goes down to 91 ppg when playing at home. Both of these teams have played some high scoring games of late, but that is because they were playing teams that prefer to play uptempo basketball. These two teams prefer to play in the half court. Bet the Under.

3* Tuesday Night NBA SMASH on Pacers +6
Indiana has been a much better team since getting Danny Granger and Troy Murphy back on the floor together. I expect big games from those two tonight after they stunk it up against the Hornets in their last game. The Pacers will be extremely motivated tonight after enduring an 80-114 loss to Miami on December 27th. It is worth noting that Granger did not play in that game. Plays on road underdogs revenging a road blowout loss of 30 or more points are 25-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Plus, the Underdog is 20-6-2 ATS in the last 28 meetings. We'll take Indiana and the points in this revenge spot.

3* NBA on TNT SMASH on Suns +2
I know the Grizzlies are playing some ball right now, but I still believe the Suns are the better team. This is the last game of a 4-game road trip for the Suns and they do not want to come away empty handed so they will be lacking no motivation tonight, especially since they were embarrassed at home by the Grizzlies earlier this month. The Suns are 42-13 their last 55 games against the Grizzlies, including 7-2 over the last 3 seasons. Plus, plays on road teams that average 103 or more points per game, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 42-8 ATS the last 3 seasons. This system is already off to a perfect 5-0 ATS start this season. We'll take the Suns in this highly motivated spot.

5* NBA on TNT *BEST BET* on Magic +6.5
The Orlando Magic have fallen flat on their faces the last 2 games with disappointing performances against Denver and Portland, but now they've had 2 days to rest and prepare for the team that beat them in last year's Finals. Rest has been a very important betting angle for the Magic when playing out on the road. In fact, the Magic are 14-3 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 102.3 to 96.4. These team has also responded rather well to being embarrassed. Orlando is 16-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, bouncing back to win by an average score of 101.6 to 93.5. We also have to figure in that the Magic are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings against the Lakers in Los Angeles and the Underdog is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings overall. We'll take the points.

3* Sunday Night NBA SMASH (ESPN) on Nuggets -6.5
This is an extremely tough spot for a Jazz team that isn't very good on the road to begin with. Utah is just 7-11 on the road this season and will be asked to play a Nuggets team that is 17-3 at home after just playing yesterday. Plus, the Nuggets will be extremely fresh and well prepared having not played since the 13th. On top of that, the Nuggets have had Utah's number, winning each of the last matchups by at least 9 points. The Jazz are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings with Denver. Plus, the Nuggets are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games when playing on 3 or more days rest. Lay the points.

3* NBA "Total" Dominator on Suns/Bobcats UNDER 208
With both of these teams playing last night, fatigue figures to be an issue, especially for a Suns team which relies on its uptempo game. Expect the Bobcats to slow the pace, and also for each team's shooting percentage to suffer due to tired legs. The Suns are 13-8 to the Under on the road this season and 13-5 Under against the Eastern Conference. Charlotte is one of the elite defensive teams in the NBA this season, holding its opponents to just 90.0 ppg at home. The Under is also 9-1 in the 'Suns last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Bucks/Warriors OVER 216
The Bucks have lost 3 in a row so you can count on then going after a "W" hard tonight. Likewise, the Warriors have lost 2 in a row, so they will be equally motivated to win. With both of these teams having had a day to rest, and in highly motivated spots, I anticipate a lot of points being put up on the scoreboard tonight. When these teams faced off earlier this season, we saw 254 total points. That's no aberration either as the last meeting last season between these two teams saw 247 total points. In fact, the Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Golden state lost the first meeting between these two teams this season to set a solid Over situation here. Plays Over on home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210, revenging a loss vs. an opponent and coming off an upset loss as a favorite, are 45-18 the last 5 seasons. The average posted total in these spots has been 217.2 points, and we are seeing an average combined score of 222.3 points. Bet the Over.

5* Friday NBA *BEST BET* (ESPN) on Magic -4.5
With all the injury problems of the Blazers, I just can't see them getting the job done against a hungry Magic team tonight. The Blazers are really hurting inside right now with Joel Przybilla and Greg Oden out. The news gets worse as Brandon Roy is listed as doubtful for tonight's contest. Orlando was just embarrassed in Denver in its last game, and I expect that loss to provide more than enough motivation for the Magic to get the job tonight. Expect a big game from Howard since the Blazers are missing their key frontline guys. Here's the clincher: plays on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, good team outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are 33-8 ATS the last 5 seasons. For the record this system is a perfect 5-0 ATS this season. Take Orlando.

3* NBA "Total" Line Mistake on Spurs/Bobcats UNDER 189
We'll take the Under tonight in a battle of top 5 scoring defenses. Plus, both of these teams prefer to play in the half court on the offensive end. The Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings and 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Charlotte. These two teams haven't topped 189 points in 11 meetings dating back to 2005. Not much else needs to be said here. I think we are getting pretty good value with this line.

4* Major NBA on TNT "Total" Dominator on Bulls/Celtics OVER 194
We played on the Over with the Celtics last night as they combined with the Nets to beat the total by 11 points. The Celtics are now 6-1 to the Over their last 7 games, and I'll ride the Over with them again here. Plus, the Bulls are 5-2-1 to the Over in their last 8 games. The Bulls and the Celtics have been an Overs machine whenever they have gotten together. In fact, the Over is a perfect 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Boston in this series and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings overall. Going back 3 seasons, we've seen this matchup go 11-3-2 to the Over, including 8-1 to the Over in Boston. A big key tonight is that Boston is playing without Kevin Garnett and Rasheed Wallace so it will be forced to play small ball. And when the Celtics play small ball, they score a lot more points. That's why the Bulls/Celtics series was such a high scoring one in last year's playoffs when Garnett was sidelined. While Boston is known for being one of the league's better defensive teams, it has struggled in KG's absence. In fact, the Celtics have allowed their opponents to score 102 or more points in 5 of their last 8 games. The Bulls have struggled to score the basketball this season, but they are improving in that area. The Bulls have now scored 101 or more points in 5 of their last 8 games. Lastly, Chicago is 18-5 Over versus very good teams outscoring their opponents by 6 or more points per game over the last 2 seasons. Take the Over.

3* Wednesday Night NBA SMASH on Thunder -1
This is a really tough spot for the Spurs tonight after an emotional win over the Lakers last night. In fact, the veteran Spurs are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. While the Spurs have been playing good basketball, the Lakers are just the fourth winning team they have beaten this season. It's been tough for the veteran Spurs to hang with the youthful Thunder too, as the Thunder are 3-1 in their last 4 games against San Antonio. The Spurs are just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this matchup. The Thunder are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Take the Thunder.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator of the Week on Celtics/Nets OVER 187
Boston has played to the Over in 5 of its last 6 games as its defense is not the same without Kevin Garnett on the floor. This line opened at 190, and the fact that it has been bet down to where we see it now creates additional value in taking the Over. We only saw 162 points in the first meeting between these two teams this season, but keep in mind that Harris, Lee, Dooling, Douglas-Roberts and Yi Jianlian missed that game. That means that 66.1 points were missing from the Nets' lineup. With all those guys expected to be on the floor tonight, I expect New Jersey to provide enough of a scoring punch to push this one Over.

5* Tuesday NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Grizzlies -5
Sunday the Clippers came through for us for an easy win over Miami. That win came at home where they have won 6 in a row. Expect a different story on the road tonight where they have lost 4 straight. The Clippers are just 12-27 ATS in their last 39 road games, 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Grizzlies have won 5 straight at home and they will be extremely motivated tonight as they look to bounce back from a 2-point loss at Charlotte. The Clippers have visited Memphis once already this season and the Grizzlies handed them a 15-point loss as a 5.5-point favorite and I expect a similar result tonight. The Grizzlies are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 home games, and 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the Grizz.

3* Monday Night NBA SMASH on Hawks +4.5
While Boston would like to avenge Friday's loss to the Hawks, I don't think it will have enough left in the tank after playing against the Raptors Sunday. The Celtics are a veteran team, and lacking depth with Marquis Daniels out and Kevin Garnett expected to miss again. In fact, the Celtics are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on zero days rest and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Monday games. The Hawks take great joy in facing the team they measure themselves against, and they have already won the season's first two meetings, including an 11-point win in Boston. After getting absolutely destroyed by Orlando Saturday, expect the Hawks to be extremely motivated tonight. In fact, the Hawks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Also, plays on road teams, explosive offensive team scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half, are 24-3 ATS the last 5 seasons. Boston needed 29 points from Rasheed Wallace and a triple double from Rajon Rondo to defeat the Raptors yesterday, and I don't see either of those guys having as strong of a game against a very athletic Atlanta team. We'll take the points.

3* Sunday NBA SMASH on Clippers -2
The Clippers are playing their best basketball of the season, going 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS their last 5 games with wins over the Celtics, Blazers, and Lakers. I expect no letdown here either as the Clipps have had 3 full days to get geared up for Dwayne Wade and company. The Clippers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite and the home team is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. This Clippers teams is finally getting a taste of winning, and it seems to like what it's tasting. Lay the points.

3* Saturday Night NBA SMASH on Magic -3.5
This is a letdown spot for the Hawks after a big win over Boston and a bounce spot for the Magic after a poor performance against Washington. Orlando has dropped 4 in a row, and losing has been a rarity for this team over the past few seasons. I expect the Magic to be very hungry tonight against a team they are 4-0 SU & ATS against in the last 4 meetings. Plus, it makes sense to take the favorite in this spot as plays against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, playing on back-to-back days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 57-25 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the Magic.

4* Major NBA Super System Side Winner on Grizzlies -3
We just can't ignore the fact that Memphis is a perfect 7-0 ATS this season when playing at home against a team it already lost to on the road, winning these games by an average of 10 points. Utah just crushed the Grizzlies Wednesday to end their 4-game winning streak, and you can bet that defeat is not sitting well. Memphis is a solid 10-5 at home this season while the Jazz are just 6-10 on the road, and I'll take Memphis to have its revenge tonight.

5* Eastern Conference Game of the Month (ESPN) on Hawks -3
Atlanta gets up for the C's unlike any other team. They already defeated Boston by 11 points in the Garden, and I like them to come through again here against a Celtics squad playing without Kevin Garnett. Boston has dropped 3 of its last 4 road games, needing OT to win at Miami Wednesday, and the Heat aren't as good as the Hawks in my book. Atlanta is 13-4 SU & 12-5 ATS at home this season and I think home court will treat them well again tonight. The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings and the Celtics are only 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta. Atlanta desperately wants to assert itself as just as much of a contender as Orlando, Cleveland, and Boston in the East. They take another step toward doing so tonight.

3* NBA "Total" Dominator on Bobcats/Knicks UNDER 199.5
This line opened at 197, but has been bet up to 199.5, and it is holding right there for now as the books are begging for more action on the Over. But the Over isn't justified tonight. These two teams just played in New York on December 20th and we saw only 192 combined points. They played in Charlotte on December 15th and we saw only 181 combined points. Those lines closed at 196 and 197 respectively and the books didn't hesitate to come right back with the same number, knowing the public would be all over the Over after seeing them play high scoring games. Plays Under on home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games, are 44-16 the last 5 seasons. The average posted total in these games has been 195.3 and the average total score has been 188.2. The Under gets the call here.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Celtics/Heat UNDER 188.5
I'm expecting a defensive battle in Miami tonight. The Heat have played to the Under in 6 of their last 7 games and I expect this trend to continue against a Celtics team ready to clamp down on the defensive end following a lengthy 3-day layoff. The Under is 12-3-1 in the Celtics' last 16 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and 12-4 in the Heat's last 16 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The Heat are only allowing 93.2 ppg at home while the Celtics are only giving up 92.2 ppg on the road for a total of 185.4 points. This tells me we are getting a few extra points of value. With both of these teams' preferring to play in the half court, we'll take the Under tonight.

3* NBA "Total" Bailout on Rockets/Lakers UNDER 199.5
The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams and also 5-1 in the last 6 meetings at the Staples Center. While LA has been on a scoring spree lately, we can't lose sight of the fact that it has been playing uptempo teams that don't play much defense (Sacramento, Phoenix, Golden State, Sacramento). Houston has played to the Under in 5 of its last 6 games, failing to reach the century mark in all 5 of those games that went Under. Plus, Plays Under on any team (LA) after 5 or more consecutive overs, a good team outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, are 117-67 since 1996. Bet the Under.

3* NBA Public Massacre on Pistons +8.5
The public is piling on the Mavs because the Pistons have dropped 9 in a row SU & ATS, but because of that, odds makers have spotted the Pistons a couple extra here. Detroit has not played since Dec. 31 so it has had plenty of time to get ready for this one. While Dallas will be out for revenge after getting slaughtered by the Lakers in its last game, the Mavs just haven't proven that we can lay this kind of chalk on them at home. In fact, the Mavericks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. I expect an extremely well rested and hungry Pistons team to keep this one within the number tonight.

3* NBA "Total" Dominator on Magic/Pacers UNDER 210
The Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in this series in Indiana. The Under is 13-6 in the Magic's last 19 road games and 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss. The Under is also 8-2 in the Pacers' last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Both of these teams are coming off poor performance and I expect both to clamp down on the defensive end tonight. Bet the Under.

5* Monday Night NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks pk
After 3 straight losses, expect a rested Hawks team that has had Miami's number to get back in the win column tonight. The Heat have not been able to match up well with the athletic ability of the Hawks in recent years. In fact, Atlanta has won 4 of the last 5 meetings by at least 10 points. The Heat are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games and 8-21 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Hawks are 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 Monday games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss. We'll take Atlanta tonight.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Mavs/Lakers UNDER 200
I have found a lot of ammo to support the Under here. The Lakers are 8-0 Under as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score in these games totaling just 190.6 points. The Lakers are also 20-6 Under in Sunday games over the last 2 seasons. The Under is 4-0 in the Mavericks' last 4 road games and 21-10 in their last 31 Sunday games. These two teams combined for just 174 points in the season's first meeting and I expect another highly competitive defensive battle here. I also like the fact that the public is all over the Over. We'll go against the grain and get the cash.

3* Saturday Night NBA Blowout on Spurs -6
The Wizards are coming apart at the seams. Reports have surfaced that Gilbert Arenas and teammate Javaris Crittenton allegedly drew guns on each other during a locker-room argument over a gambling debt. This team has no chemistry off the court and it is showing up on the court. San Antonio is rolling right now and it has certainly had Washington's number, winning 8 straight over the Wizards with all of those wins coming by at least 7 points. The Spurs are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points, and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. the NBA Southeast. Take the Spurs.

4* Major NBA on TNT SMASH on Spurs -7
San Antonio is finally running hot, having won 9 of its last 11, with 7 of those wins coming by double digits. Look for the Spurs to post another double digit win tonight against a Heat team that will not have its legs after player a tough one in New Orleans last night. The Spurs are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and they have had their way with the NBA Southeast division, carrying a 6-0 ATS run against the division into this one. The Heat are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. the NBA Southwest. As this season goes on, it is becoming more and more evident that Dwayne Wade does not have a good enough supporting cast. I think the Spurs just have too much fire power tonight with Manu Ginobili, Richard Jefferson, Tim Duncan, and Tony Parker. Take the Spurs.

5* NBA Total of the Week on Grizzlies/Pacers UNDER 208
The Pacers have fell short of the century mark in 7 straight games now and it is going to be very difficult for them to get there tonight after leaving it all out on the floor only to come up short in Chicago last night. This matchup has been an Unders machine with 8 of the last 10 games played in Indiana coming in Under the number. Plus, the Under is 7-1 in the Pacers' last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. Indiana isn't the same high scoring team this season because of its injury issues. That's why it is 14-6 Under when the total is greater than or equal to 200 this season, and we are only seeing a 203.6 combined points scored in these games. We'll bet the Under tonight.

3* NBA SMASH on Rockets -5.5
Expect the Rockets to bounce back strong tonight, after getting embarrassed in Cleveland against, against a Hornets team that is just 2-12 on the road this season. Houston has proven that it will respond after poor outings. In fact, it is 13-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, rebounding to win by an average score of 101.4 to 90.3 in these spots. It is also 11-2 ATS after scoring 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 99.2 to 90.3. The Rockets have defeated the Hornets by 9 or more points in each of their last 3 home games and I expect this trend to continue. Lay the number.

3* NBA Marquee Matchup on Hawks -3
This is a statement game for the Hawks, to show that they belong in the Eastern Conference discussion, against a Cavs team that embarrassed them in the playoffs last season. With an extra day of rest and preparation time on the Cavs, expect the Hawks, which are 12-2 SU & 11-3 ATS at home and an awesome 21-8 SU & ATS in all games this season, to take care of business tonight. The Hawks are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 2 days rest and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Atlanta is also 8-1 ATS when playing only its 2nd game in 5 days this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 111 to 94.9. When rested, the Hawks have been extremely dangerous, and they will be lacking no motivation tonight. Lay the number.

3* Monday Night NBA SMASH on Nuggets -1
Denver has struggled on the road this season and it looks like it will be without Chauncey Billups tonight, but I still like the Nugs to come away with the win. The Kings' Tyreke Evans is listed as doubtful, and if he can't go, it will be an even bigger blow for the Kings as he is their leading scorer, distributor, and steals guy. Regardless, I like the Nuggets in this spot as plays on road favorites after 2 or more consecutive losses, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season, are 45-19 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Kings are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog period. Take Denver.

3* Sunday Night NBA SMASH on Clippers +7
This is a letdown spot for Boston who is coming off a big Christmas Day win over the Magic. It will be impossible for the Celtics to get up for this game the same way. The Clippers return home where they have played their best ball this season and they will be hungry after a bad Christmas loss to Phoenix. This game reminds me a lot of the last time the Celtics visited the Clippers. It was last February and Boston was a 10-point favorite, but ended up losing the game straight up by 2 points. The Clippers don't play again until the 30th so they will leave nothing out on the floor while we should see Boston giving some of its top guys a few extra minutes of rest since it plays again tomorrow. The Celtics are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5. Take the Clippers.

3* Saturday Night NBA SMASH on Spurs -2
The Bucks are just 4-12 their last 16 games while the Spurs have rattled off wins in 6 of their last 8. Expect a couple day's rest to do this veteran Spurs team some good here as they take care of business on the road tonight. The Spurs are the more talented and the more experienced team, and they should bring a high energy level to this one coming off a loss and with plenty of rest. The Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record and the Bucks are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. the tough NBA Southwest Division. We'll lay the number.

5* Christmas Day NBA *BEST BET* (ABC) on Lakers -5
While the Cavs would love to make a statement with a win here, I just don't see it happening. This will be Cleveland's 4th road games in 6 days with Wednesday's overtime game with Sacramento really taking a toll. The Lakers haven't played since the 22nd so they will have the big edge in terms of fresh legs. The Lakers won both meetings last season by double digits, and I can make a strong argument that they are now better with Ron Artest, while Cleveland seems to have taken a small step back. I won't be surprised if Shaq has a good game as he will be motivated to play his former team, but at the end of the day, the Lakers just have too much fire power with Gasol, Bryant, Bynum, Odom, and Artest. Cleveland had tons of trouble matching up with LA's size defensively last season and we saw the trouble it had again in the playoffs when facing the Magic. Size and length will prevail again here. The Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. This line is soft. Take LA.

5* Wednesday NBA *BEST BET* on Heat pk
I'll back a rested Heat team at home that has had Utah's number tonight, especially since the Jazz have played a lot of games in few days. The Jazz are 1-10 ATS in the last 11 meetings, including 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss and I expect them to bounce back here against a Jazz team that is just 5-8 on the road. Take Miami.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Rockets/Magic UNDER 200.5
Good Unders spot here as Houston put up a lot of points last night and I don't think it can do it again against a Magic team that is very good defensively and will likely be looking ahead to a Christmas game with Boston. The last 9 times these teams have faced off, the final score has been under the 200 mark. Bet the Under.

5* NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder +10
The Thunder are an incredible 10-0 ATS after a game where they did not cover the number this season, bouncing back to win by an average score of 103.7 to 93.7 in these spots. The Thunder will be lacking no motivation tonight after falling to the Lakers 85-101 exactly 1 month ago. The Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and they are 11-5-2 ATS in their last 18 meetings in Los Angeles against the Lakers. Take the points tonight.

3* Monday Night NBA SMASH on Suns -2
I'll grab the Suns at home laying just a deuce as they are 10-0 at home this season, winning by an average of 14.1 points in these games. They can really run and gun on their home floor and I expect them to run a tired Cavs team, which just played last night, to death here. Plus, the Suns will be out to avenge a 17-point loss in Cleveland earlier this month. We have a nice system in our favor as well: plays on all teams where the line is +3 to -3, an explosive offensive team (>=102 ppg) against a good offensive team (98-102 ppg), after a blowout win by 15 points or more, are 30-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Favorite is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings and the Suns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. Take the Suns.

5* Saturday Night NBA *BEST BET* on Bobcats -3
Tough spot for the Jazz playing back-to-back against a Bobcats team that is well rested and has been strong at home all season. The Cats are 9-3 SU & 8-4 ATS at home this season while Utah is just 4-7 SU & ATS on the road. Charlotte is a perfect 2-0 SU & ATS at home against the Jazz the last 2 seasons, winning those games by 7 points on average. Plus, Utah is just 8-18 ATS when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 101.2 to 107.5, and just 3-9 ATS in its last 12 back-to-backs. The Home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Bobcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. Lastly, the Jazz are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Lay the number.

5* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on Thunder -5
Detroit is really banged up with Tayshaun Prince out and Rip Hamilton and Ben Gordon listed as questionable. Even Rodney Stuckey is not at 100% percent. Even if Hamilton and Gordon are able to go, they won't be healthy enough to drop a big night on the Thunder. Detroit is just 3-10 on the road this season and it has lost back-to-back road games by 11 and 8 points. The Thunder have lost 3 in a row so they will be very hungry to get back in the win column tonight. It's not that the Thunder are playing bad, they have just come up against superior teams (Cleveland, Denver, Dallas) and they will be excited to go up against an opponent they believe they are better than tonight. The Thunder have won the last two meetings in this series by 10 and 8 points and they are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against the Pistons. It has also been a money play to take the Thunder after a game where they failed to cover the spread as they are a perfect 9-0 ATS in this role this season, winning by an average score of 103.1 to 93.2 in these games. The Thunder are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Bet the Thunder.

3* Thursday Night NBA SMASH on Knicks +3
The Knicks are playing better ball than the Bulls right now and I feel they are worth a shot catching 3 points here because of it. The Bulls have dropped 6 of 7 and 11 of 13 SU and they are just 1-5-1 ATS & 2-9-2 ATS during those skids. Meanwhile, the Knicks have won 4 of 5, including a pair of nice road wins at Atlanta and New Orleans during this stretch. They are 4-1 ATS in those games and 10-4 ATS their last 14 games. The Knicks beat the Hawks by 7 points on the road back on December 4th while the Bulls were destroyed at Atlanta 83-118 on December 9th. While I know the Bulls are a much better home team at 6-5 at home this season, they are just 3-6-2 ATS in those games and 6-15-2 ATS in all games this season. The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Chicago. They are also an impressive 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Bulls are a terrible 2-11-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite and 0-6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take the points.

3* Wednesday NBA SMASH on Mavs -2
Dallas has been among the best teams in the NBA on the road this season with a 9-4 SU & ATS mark. The Mavs enter this contest having won 4 straight and I expect them to keep rolling. OKC is a solid 6-6 SU & 7-5 ATS at home this season, but the teams it has lost to at home tell the story tonight. Since November 29th, OKC has lost at home to Houston, Boston, and Cleveland - all better teams, while it has defeated Philly and Golde State. I think the Mavs just have a few too many weapons for the Thunder to contend with tonight and that will be the difference. The Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite while the Thunder are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Plus, the Mavericks are 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 road games in the series. Take Dallas.

3* NBA SMASH on Bobcats -4.5
The Knicks have rattled off 4 straight, but I look for their winning streak to end in Charlotte tonight. The Bobcats will be a hungry team off back-to-back losses and they will be very confident in this one against a team they have owned. The Bobcats are 3-1 SU & ATS their L4 and 7-3 SU & ATS their last 10 home games against the Knicks. Charlotte is 8-3 at home this season and the reason it is defending its home court so well is because it is holding its opponents to just 89.8 ppg. The Bobcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less points, and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. It is also worth noting that the Bobcats are 18-6 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots per game over the last 2 seasons. Lay the number.

3* NBA "Total" *Crunch Time Bailout* on Wizards/Clippers OVER 193.5
The Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams and I expect this trend to continue tonight. Washington has a very talented offensive lineup and it is starting to show as the Wiz have scored 102 or more points in 5 of their last 6 games. Defense is the issue with Washington right now, and during this same stretch it has allowed 102 or more points in 5 of 6 games. The Over is also 25-11 in the Wizards' last 36 vs. the NBA Pacific. Expect Washington's offense to stay sharp as it goes after a much needed win tonight, but also expect its defense to continue to struggle as it is allowing 101.2 ppg. We'll bet the Over.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Warriors/76ers UNDER 211.5
Odds makers have set the bar too high here as this is not the same high-scoring Warriors team of a year ago, especially on the road where they have played to the Under in 4 straight while only besting the 100-point mark 1 time during this stretch. Philly is only averaging 91.3 ppg at home on the season and has now played to the Under in 3 straight while failing to score more than 91 points during this stretch. It is worth nothing that the 76ers are 8-3 Under at home this season. Also, Philly is 17-4 Under after playing 2 consecutive home games since the beginning of last season with the average score totaling just 185.7 points. Lastly, the Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia between these two teams. Bet the Under.

3* NBA "Total" Dominator on Suns/Nuggets OVER 225.5
We've seen these two teams combine for 232 and 233 points in each of their last two games and I expect another high scoring affair tonight. In fact, the Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings, including 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Denver. The Nuggets have been held under the 100-point mark in 3 straight games so they will really look to push the pace in their return home tonight where they are averaging 117.2 ppg. We'll take the Over.

5* Saturday Night NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets -8.5
The public is on the Suns here and that is right where the books want them. Phoenix is in a tough spot, having just played a hard-fought game against the Magic last night. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are back home where they are 9-1 this season (winning by 13.9 ppg) and with a day's rest in their favor. Fatigue will play a major factor in this one as the Suns are only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. This has been a matchup dominated by the home team as the home squad is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings. In fact, the Suns are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Denver. Since the beginning of last season, Denver is on a 12-1 ATS run as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points, winning in these spots by 15.6 points on average. We'll take the Nuggets at home tonight.

5* NBA Total of the Week on Blazers/Cavs UNDER 187.5
The public is all over the over, driving this line up from its opening mark of 184. Right away, you have to like the Under here when you consider that plays Under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), in December games, are 24-4 the last 5 seasons (85.7%). You also have to like the fact that Portland is 14-3 Under in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons. The Under is also 7-1 in the Trail Blazers' last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. I expect a very physical, defensive battle resulting in the Under coming through for us tonight.

5* NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Magic -2
The Jazz have historically been a good home team, and they are 9-3 at home this season, but this is a really tough spot for them tonight. The Jazz played the Lakers tough for 3 quarters last night and then they were absolutely crushed in the 4th. While they would like to bounce back tonight, I don't think they'll have the legs to get it done against a Magic team that is rested and that has been one of the best road teams in the league the past couple seasons. In fact, the Magic are 10-2 on the road this season. Plus, the Jazz get the Lakers again in two nights so I expect them to be much more concerned with having their revenge in that game than this one. Utah is just 7-18 ATS when playing on back-to-back days since the beginning of last season, losing in these spots by 7 points on average. The Jazz are also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. With their banged up roster, I just don't see Utah having the depth to get it done tonight. The Magic are 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Utah and 13-3-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings overall. Take the Magic.

4* NBA Total Dominator on Warriors/Nets UNDER 219

Way too many points tonight for a New Jersey team that is only scoring 88.2 ppg at home on less than 40% shooting and 26.5% shooting from behind the arc. I know the Warriors like to get out and run as evidenced by their 114 ppg against on the year, but the Nets don't have the fire power to keep up with a high-scoring game, and they have now won two out of their last three. I think this means they want to keep up their hot streak to get out of the cellar as the laughing stock of the NBA. I think they slow the pace down to keep this one close so go with the UNDER.

4* Major NBA "Total" Revenger on Bucks/Celtics UNDER 195.5
This line opened at 191 and has been bet all the way up to where we see it now as the public is pounding the Over. I already like the Under at its opening line and this line move has created additional value. Boston is only allowing 90.6 ppg and I can't see a Bucks team that has struggled to score the rock on the road all season (just 93.6 ppg) getting loose for a big night here. Boston went through a little 3-game spell where it forgot how to play defense but since the Celtics have held their last 4 opponents to 90 or fewer points and all 4 of those games were played on the road. Milwaukee is 15-4 Under in road games against Atlantic Division opponents since the beginning of the 2007 season. The average total score in these games has been just 188.2 points. Pound the Under.

3* SMASH on T-Wolves/Raptors UNDER 208
With Chris Bosh and Andrea Bargnani both listed as questionable for tonight's game, points will be tough to come by for the Raptors. Bosh is suffering from the flu and Bargnani is dealing with a bad ankle. Even if 1 or both are able to go, their effectiveness will be extremely limited due to their conditions. Here's the clincher: Toronto is 8-0 Under in home games versus terrible defensive teams allowing 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average score totaling just 199.4 points. And this trend is a perfect 3-0 this season. Bet the Under.

3* NBA "Total" Dominator on Blazers/Knicks OVER 200
This line opened at 204 and it has been bet all the way down to where we see it now creating solid value on the Over. We've seen the Knicks play 7 straight games where the final score would have come in over this number and I believe that trend continues tonight. Portland is a pretty good defensive team, but it certainly takes a hit on the defensive end after losing Greg Oden. In fact, the Blazers have allowed 106 or more points in 3 of their last 4 games. The Knicks love to push the pace at home where they are scoring 103.9 ppg and allowing 109.1 ppg. NY is 14-3 Over in home games off a home win since the beginning of the 2007 season, with the combined score totaling 215.6 points in these games. Also, NY is 22-6 Over in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins during the same span, with the combined score totaling 215.3 points in these games. We'll take the Over.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Hawks/Mavs UNDER 204.5
Expect Atlanta to really buckle down on the defensive end tonight after a pair of subpar performances to keep this one Under. In fact, Atlanta is 15-5 Under after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons and 20-6 Under in road games after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher since 1996. Plus, with both teams having played last night I don't expect a lot of running and gunning here. Bet the Under.

5* NBA Central Division Game of the Year (ESPN) on Cavs -12
The Bulls have lost 5 straight games on the road with 4 of those losses coming by 15 or more points. The Cavs are rolling, having won 13 of their last 16 games. In their last 2 games, they crushed Dallas by 16 and Phoenix by 17 points. Plus, they'll be very hungry tonight after going down to Chicago by 1 point at home in the season's first meeting back on Nov. 5. Before that loss, the Cavs had won their two previous home games against the Bulls by scores of 14 and 25 points and I expected another lopsided win here. The Bulls are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 meetings in Cleveland and the Cavaliers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. the NBA Central. Plus, the Bulls are short on quality depth right now with Tyrus Thomas expected to be out until mid-December and with Kirk Hinrich also listed as doubtful for tonight. Lay the number.

3* NBA *Crunch Time Bailout* on Kings pk
The Kings are 7-2 SU & ATS at home this season and they are rolling with 3 straight blowout wins. Meanwhile, the Pacers are just 2-4 SU & ATS on the road and have lost 6 of their last 7, including their last 2 by double digits. The Kings will be up for this one big time as they look to avenge 4 straight losses to the Pacers. We also have to take into consideration that the Kings have had the extra day of rest and they are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 2 days rest. Lastly, plays on all teams where the line is +3 to -3, an explosive offensive team (102 or more ppg) against a good offensive team (98-102 ppg), after a blowout win by 15 points or more, are 28-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the Kings.

3* SMASH on Hawks -9
After a poor showing at Detroit in their last game, expect to see the Hawks, who are 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS at home this season, crush the Raptors, who are 2-8 SU & 3-7 ATS on the road this season and just played last night. Toronto is 0-8 ATS after allowing 105 points or more 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons, losing in these spots by 10.7 points on average. Take the Hawks.

5* NBA "Total" Dominator on Raptors/Hawks OVER 211
The Raptors are giving up 112.1 ppg on the road this season and their poor defense gives us a solid Overs opportunity tonight. The Hawks are 6-2 Over at home this season and they'll be hungry to run up the score after being held to just 88 points last game. The last time these two teams faced off, they combined for 228 points and I believe they are good for at least 215 tonight. Plays Over on Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - cold team failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, are 25-6 the last 5 season. Bet the Over.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Suns/Knicks UNDER 227
This matchup has gone Over the total in 8 straight meetings in New York. Both the odds makers and the betting public are very conscious of that. That's why the books have set this number 7.5 points higher than the previously posted high in New York of 219.5 to catch the public as they pound the over tonight. This has created outstanding value in taking the Under, especially since the Suns will be more worried about Cleveland tomorrow night and they will be without spark plug Leandro Barbosa. Plus, Mike D'Antoni knows his former team well. In fact, he knows them well enough to know better than to think he can beat them in a foot race when Phoenix is the superior run and gun team. I don't expect the Knicks to completely take the air out of the ball, but I do look for them to be more selective about when they run, likely doing so when Steve Nash is on the bench so the Suns can't counter as quickly. Of those 8 straight Overs in New York, it is worth noting that, only two have gone over the number we have here, and one of those games was an overtime affair. Bet the Under.

4* Major Sunday NBA "Total" Dominator on Magic/Knicks OVER 205.5
New York plays absolutely no defense at home, allowing 111.2 ppg. With New York controlling the tempo, making this an up and down game, I look for a lot of points to be scored. First off, plays Over on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (Orlando) playing on back-to-back days, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season, are 55-25 since 1996. The Over is also 6-1 in the Knicks' last 7 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 and 5-1 in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. With Orlando playing back-to-back, its defense will suffer as well. Bet the Over.

3* Saturday Night NBA SMASH on Cavs -6.5
Both the Mavs and the Cavs played last night, but Cleveland was upset at Charlotte and that is the key. Expect the Cavs to respond in a big way at home tonight. Cleveland is 16-2 ATS off a road loss since the beginning of last season, exploding to win in these spot by an average score of 103.5 to 90.8. It is also 9-1 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite during this span, winning by an average score of 102.7 to 89.9 in these spots. Lay the number.

3* SMASH on Cavs/Bobcats UNDER 186
Only 169 total points scored in the first meeting this season and I'm expecting low scoring affair here as plays Under on any team (Bobcats) after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against an opponent after leading in its previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 29-6 since 1996. This system shows how the line can be inflated based on a teams previous game and that is certainly the case here. We'll take the Under.

5* NBA Total of the Week on 76ers/Celtics UNDER 189
I really think this is a strong Unders opportunity tonight. Philly just played last night in an up and down game and now it must take on a Boston team that hasn't played since Sunday. Boston is one of the premier defensive teams in the league, especially at the Garden where it is only allowing 88.4 ppg. The Celtics should be especially concerned with the defensive end tonight after giving up 105 points to the Knicks last game. These teams have already met once this season and only 179 total points were scored. It is also highly in our favor that the Under is 6-0 in the 76ers' last 6 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 6-0 in the Celtics' last 6 game after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Also, consider that the Under is 15-3 in the 76ers' last 18 games as an underdog of 11.0 or more points. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Top Side on Bobcats -2
The Bobcats are 14-4 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less the past 2 seasons and 12-2 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more since the beginning of last season. The Raptors have struggled on the road at just 2-6 on the season as they are allowing 111.1 ppg away from home. Bet the Bobcats.

4* Major NBA "Total" Annihilator on Nets/Nuggets UNDER 203
The Nets are awful. They are 0-13 on the season and scoring only 84.9 ppg. The Nets have broke the century mark only once this season and have scored 94 or fewer in the rest of their games, including 85 or fewer in 8 games. The Nets could actually score a few more points, but they know that they don't have the bodies to run and gun with most teams so they have taken the air out of the ball to stay as competitive as possible. That's why the Nets are only giving up 95.1 ppg. Plus, I don't expect Denver to try to really run up the score here when it plays on the road tomorrow night. New Jersey is 8-0 UNDER after 5 or more consecutive losses this season and Denver is 7-0 UNDER after a combined score of 205 points or more this season. The UNDER is also 5-0 in the Nets' last 5 road games. Bet the Under.

3* SMASH on Bucks +9
San Antonio's half court style of play is not conducive to many blowouts, especially when it is not defending well, which it has not. The Spurs are allowing 97.5 ppg and that's bad for them. Milwaukee is on fire, having won 7 of 8 as rookie Brandon Jennings continues to take the league by storm. They have also covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 and are an impressive 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Spurs. The Bucks are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog while the Spurs are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. Think San Antonio is being overvalued tonight. Take the points.

5* ESPN Game of the Month on Celtics -6
Without Jameer Nelson, I don't give the Magic a chance at Boston tonight against a highly motivated Celtics team ready to make a statement after getting knocked out of the playoffs by the Magic last season. Expect a big game from Kevin Garnett, who was forced to miss last year's playoff series with an injury, and expect Rajon Rondo to dominate the point guard battle. The home team is 25-12 ATS in the last 37 meetings and the Magic are just 5-14 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Boston. Expect the Celtics to send a message tonight.

3* SMASH on Grizzlies/76ers OVER 194
I think the odds makers have undershot this number when you consider how poorly the Grizzlies have played on the defensive end on the road, allowing 117.3 points per game in 6 road contests. Memphis would prefer to get out and run with its young and talented lineup and an uptempo game is sure to bring out the best in the 76ers offensively. In games against uptempo teams Phoenix and New York, the 76ers scored 115 and 141 points respectively. The Over is 7-1 in the 76ers last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Bet the Over.

5* NBA Western Conf Total of the Month on Jazz/Spurs UNDER 199.5
We'll look to take advantage of another solid Unders situation tonight. Both of these veteran teams just played last night so they won't have the legs to make this one a fastbreak affair. Besides, this one is in San Antonio where the Spurs prefer the halfcourt game. Tony Parker and Manu Ginobli are both listed as doubtful for this game which forces coach Popovich to take the air out of the basketball even more than usual to give his team the best chance to win. Parker and Ginobli are the Spurs' best open court players and without them they won't get much of anything in transition tonight. The Under is 4-0 in the Spurs last 4 games playing without rest, but here's the clincher: San Antonio is 12-1 Under after a game where they had 2 or less steals over the last 3 seasons, with the average score in these spots totaling just 183.1 points. Without Parker and Ginobli (for much of the night) last night, the Spurs weren't able to come up with many thefts. Same case tonight and that limits transition buckets. Bet the Under.

5* Wednesday Night NBA *BEST BET* on Nets/Bucks UNDER 189
The Nets are really hurting for offense right now with all their injuries. They have scored 83 or fewer points in each of their last 5 games and find themselves in a really tough spot tonight having just played last night. Milwaukee has put up some big offensive numbers recently but consider the opponents (New York, Denver, Golden State, Dallas), all teams that like to run and gun. We certainly won't see the Nets push the tempo tonight as they just played last night and they know they can't win that way. We've seen this matchup play to the Under in 3 straight, 10 of the last 14 overall, and 8 of the last 11 in Milwaukee. The Nets have gone Under in 6 straight now I'll ride the Under with them again here.

4* Major NBA Underdog Shocker on Washington Wizards +5
This is a very tough spot for the shorthanded Cavs, which just played an uptempo basketball game last night against the Warriors. Washington has lost 6 straight so it couldn't be hungrier, and it has had 3 days to rest and prepare. No matter how much better Cleveland may be, Washington always seems to play the Cavs tough. In fact, the Wizards are 5-2 in their last 7 home games against the Cavs. In terms of the number, the Cavs are just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 overall meetings and the Underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 overall meetings. With Shaquille O'Neal, Anderson Varejao, and Jamario Moon likely sidelined tonight, and with Antawn Jamison likely to see his first action of the season for the Wiz, I can't see the Cavs escaping with a win. Take the points.

5* NBA Line Mistake of the Week on Bulls/Kings UNDER 198
Chicago's defense is very strong this season and the books are not taking that into account enough with this line. In fact, the Bulls have held 6 of their 9 opponents to 90 or fewer points and the Under is 7-2 on the Bulls this season as a result. The Kings aren't as strong as the Bulls defensively, but Chicago has struggled on the road this season, scoring only 88 points per in 4 road games. In fact, Chicago is 19-6 Under versus poor defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage of 46% or better over the last 2 seasons. Also, the Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in this head-to-head. Bet the Under.

3* SMASH on Bucks -1
Without Josh Howard, Tim Thomas, and likely Eric Dampier, the Mavs are in a tough spot being shorthanded playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back. Besides that, the Mavs will be much more interested in their next opponent as they look ahead to a revenge matchup with San Antonio after falling to the Spurs on 11/11. The Bucks have won 4 in a row as teams have not had an answer for rookie sensation Brandon Jennings. Also, the Mavs have found Milwaukee an extremely difficult place to play in recent years, losing 9 of the last 12 games there. In fact, the Mavericks are 0-9 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Milwaukee. Bet the Bucks tonight.

3* NBA Crunch Time Bailout on Raptors/Clippers UNDER 206
Can't see this one going over with the amount of players out and the amount of players playing banged up in this one. No Eric Gordon (LA's 2nd leading scorer), Chris Kaman is questionable with a virus and will be lacking energy if he does go. On the Toronto side Turkoglu and Bosh are both banged up among others. Basically, recent results have forced odds makers to set an unrealistic line here. Plays Under on road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (Raptors) after going over the total by 30 or more points in their last three games, playing on Friday nights, are 76-39 since 1996.

5* Friday Night NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +5
The Kings, who only have one less win on the season than Houston, are not getting nearly enough respect tonight, especially when you consider that they are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. It is also crucial that Sacramento is well rested here as it is 18-7 ATS when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 103 to 101.8. The Rockets got out of the gate fast but are since coming back down to earth. Sac is improved and I like it outright tonight.

3* SMASH on Nets +15.5
The Magic are being way overvalued against the winless Nets tonight, especially when you consider that the Magic are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Nets played the Magic to a 10-point game in the first meeting and I like them to keep this one within the number tonight.

3* NBA "Total" Revenger on Cavs/Heat UNDER 180.5
Miami has played to the Under in 6 straight games and the Cavs have come in Under the total in 6 of their last 7. The Under is the play again here. Cleveland just played last night so tired legs will be an issue. Also, it is going to be very tough for the Cavs to get up for this one after such an emotional win last night over a Magic team that knocked them out of the playoffs. Miami and Cleveland both prefer to play half court hoops and both teams are playing exceptionally well on the defensive end, especially the Heat. Miami has held 5 of its 7 opponents to 89 or fewer points, allowing only 88.6 ppg this season. Meanwhile the Cavs are only allowing 90.2 ppg this season. This matchup has long been an Under machine with the Under going 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Miami and 13-6 in the last 19 meetings overall. The Under is 6-0 in the Heat's last 6 games playing on 1 days rest and 14-2 in their last 16 games following a S.U. win. Bet the Under.

3* SMASH on Nuggets/Bucks UNDER 197
We've seen the Under in all 5 of Milwaukee's games this season and I believe we'll see it again here. Denver is coming off an emotionally and physically draining win in Chicago last night and will find it very difficult to get up for this one, especially with the Lakers on deck. The Bucks are averaging only 90.4 ppg and giving up just 85.2. Denver is 14-4 Under when playing its 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Under.

3* SMASH on Blazers/T-Wolves UNDER 190
System Play: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (Blazer); excellent free throw shooting team (79% or better) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less turnovers per game) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 turnovers forced per game) are 35-12 the last 5 seasons. Bet the Under.

5* NBA Total of the Month on Jazz/Celtics UNDER 189
Deron Williams is questionable for tonight's game and even if he can go, I don't expect his normal points considering he only scored 5 points against the Knicks weak defense when playing with the back injury a couple nights ago. Boston is only allowing 84.4 ppg this season and it hasn't played since the 7th so I'm expecting continued strong defensive play. Plus, Utah is going through its normal road struggles, scoring only 95.0 ppg on the road. The Under is 13-3-1 in the Celtics' last 17 vs. the NBA Northwest and I look for this trend to continue here. Bet the Under.