3* No Doubt Rout on Portland Blazers -

We are getting a lot of value with Portland today thanks to a less than impressive run recently. However, when you look at Portland's schedule during those games it is easy to see why they have been hovering around .500 over their last eight games. They took the Indiana Pacers to overtime in their last outing, and I think facing a soft defense like Minnesota's will be a welcome site for Portland.

Minnesota is surrendering 101.6 points per game this season. That has come against opponents averaging 100.9 points per game. In today's matchup they host a Portland team that is averaging 107.6 points per game on the road. The Trailblazers have averaged 109.8 points per game against division opponents, and I don't think the Timberwolves will be able to slow them down today.

You should play against home teams like Minnesota when they are playing on back-to-back days and trying to revenge a loss where their opponent scored 110 points or more in the last meeting. The last time these teams met the Blazers put up 115 points and walked away with a double-digit win. This system has a 95-47 (67%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Utah Jazz +

The Jazz are a well rested team coming into this matchup. They have had three days to prepare for their road matchup with the Mavericks, and that should easily allow them to keep this game within a single digit margin. Utah may not have a great record straight up when playing on the road, but they have hovered around .500 against the spread. That gives them a better ATS record than the Mavericks who are at 11-14 ATS when playing at home.

The Jazz have a bad reputation for being a soft defense, but I would argue they are a team that is a lot better than they get credit for. They have held opponents to 100.9 points per game, which is well below their opponents offensive scoring average that is just shy of 102 points per game. This will be the Mavericks fifth game in the last 10 days. With rest profiles heavily in favor of the Jazz I don't see Dallas winning this game in the blowout the oddsmakers expect.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play against the Mavericks. You should fade home favorites like Dallas when they are making 45.5 to 47.5 percent of their shot attempts against a team allowing a shot percentage of 45.5 to 47.5 percent after 42 games, when that home team is coming off two straight games making over 50 percent of their shot attempts. This system identifies teams being overvalued by the oddsmakers because of their recent shooting performance that has proved unsustainable over an extended number of games. The system has a 57-25 (70%) record against the spread.

4* Total Dominator on Blazers/Pacers UNDER

The total on this game is set way too high. The Indiana Pacers have one of the best home court advantages in the NBA, and I think that will allow them to control the pace of this game. The Pacers defense has been unbelievably hard to score on this year, and they are surrendering a mere 84.8 points per game when playing at home. On the offensive end of the court the Pacers are not a high scoring team. They haven't needed to average triple digits to win games, which is a big reason the under is 17-8 when playing in Indianapolis.

Portland has really been struggling recently. Over the Trailblazers' last five games they have averaged a mere 91.8 points per game. They have also gone under the total in seven of their last eight games. The normally soft Portland defense has stepped up during that five game stretch. They are holding opponents to 98.8 points per game which is five points under their defensive scoring average on the season. With the offense struggling, and the defense playing so well, the under becomes a very strong value play.

This matchup fits into a system indicating this should be a low scoring game. You should play the under when the total is between 190 to 199.5 points and the road team is well rested playing four or less games in the last 10 games and they have won 60 to 75 percent of their games on the season, when they are playing against a team with a winning record. The under is 147-85 (63%) in this situation.

3* Total Dominator on Spurs/Nets UNDER

This game should play out to be a defensive battle. A big reason for the Nets success in the New Year has been outstanding defensive play. They suffered a three game stretch of poor defense a week ago, but I like the Nets to get back to playing solid defense in this matchup with the Spurs. San Antonio will be without Duncan and Parker tonight, and that will take a big hit out of the Spurs offensive production.

On the defensive end of the court San Antonio will be fine. They have played without there stars before and still manage to put up solid defensive numbers. San Antonio is holding opponents to a mere 96.3 points per game on the road this season, and that has come against much better scoring teams than the Nets. Brooklyn averages 97.5 points per game overall, and I think they will struggle to match that number in this game.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the under. You should play the under when one of the teams (San Antonio) is coming off two or more consecutive overs, and their opponent (Brooklyn) is coming off three or more consecutive overs. This system identifies matchups where the oddsmakers have a history of setting the total to high, and the under has delivered a 216-144 (60%) record over the last five seasons.

3* Total Annihilator on Kings/Raptors UNDER

This is a lot of points for two teams that have been trending towards the under recently. The Raptors have gone under the total in three of their last four games, while the Kings have gone under in four consecutive games. Both teams are playing great defense right now, and nothing in this matchup indicates that will be changing today.

Over their last five games the Raptors have held opponents to 92.2 points per game. They have been a solid defensive team all season allowing an average of just 95.2 points per game on the road. The Kings may have a decent scoring average at home, but that has come against opponents who are surrendering over 100 points per game on the season. On the defensive end of the court Sacramento has allowed just 95.4 points per game over its last five games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play on the under. When the total is between 200 to 209.5 points in a non-conference matchup and one of the teams (Sacramento) went under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game the under has a 54-25 (68%) record over the last five seasons. I expect this matchup to be a defensive battle, and it should stay comfortably under the posted total.

4* Vegas Insider on Pelicans -

The Atlanta Hawks are coming off a tough home loss to the Indiana Pacers last night. Playing in a back-to-back situation like this should prove to be too much for the Hawks to overcome against a New Orleans team that has won four of its last six games. The Pelicans are playing some great basketball right now, especially on the defensive end of the court. Over their last five games they have held opponents to a mere 90 points per game.

New Orleans is averaging 100.2 points per game at home. They should have no problem scoring points against one of the Eastern Conference's softest defenses. The Hawks are allowing 104.7 points per game on the road this season. On the offensive end of the court, Atlanta is coming off an 85 point performance last night, and things will not get an easier today against this red hot Pelicans defense.

The oddsmakers have a history of undervaluing the Pelicans when they are coming off a loss. New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games following a straight up loss, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games when playing on one day of rest. Meanwhile, the Hawks have a 2-6 ATS record in their last eight games when playing in the second leg of a back-to-back situation.

5* Western Conference Blowout of the Month on Rockets -

The Phoenix Suns are playing in a tough back-to-back situation after losing at home last night to the Chicago Bulls. Now they are traveling to Houston where they will face a Rockets team that is looking for its fourth consecutive win. Houston is playing on three days of rest, so they should be well prepared to face the Suns.

The Rockets have been a very dangerous team on their home court. They have a 20-7 record, and are averaging 105.7 points per game for their fans. They have the luxury of facing a very soft defense in this matchup. The Suns are allowing 101.3 points per game this season, and playing in a back-to-back situation against an outstanding offensive team like Houston makes this matchup scream blowout.

This game fits into a very profitable system backing the Rockets. You should play on home teams like Houston when they are averaging 14.5 to 16.5 turnovers per game, and they are facing an average pressure defense that has forced 14.5 to 16.5 turnovers per game after 42 or more games in the season. This system has a 97-60 (62%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

4* Eastern Conference Game of the Week on Hawks +

The Indiana Pacers are playing in a very tough spot tonight, making the Atlanta Hawks an easy call in this game. The Pacers are playing in a back-to-back situation after facing Orlando yesterday. This will be Indiana's fourth game in the last six days, and I think traveling from Indianapolis to Atlanta will prove to be too much.

The Hawks are a solid 16-6 when playing at home. They have also been a great team to back against the spread in those games posting a 15-7 record. Eight of the Pacers 10 losses have come on the road this season, and facing this well rested Atlanta team puts them in a dangerous situation that could result in their 11th loss of the season. Indiana has continuously been overvalued by the oddsmakers, and that has resulted in five ATS losses in their last seven games.

The Hawks play well against teams that rely on their three point shooting. They are 13-5 ATS in home games this season when facing a team that attempts 18 or more three-point shots per game. Atlanta is also 8-0 ATS as a home underdog of three points or less. The Pacers defense has shown signs of struggle recently thanks to their difficult schedule. Over their last five games Indiana has allowed over five points per game more than its defensive scoring average for the season. The Hawks are a very good team that averages 103.1 points per game, and that should prove to be too much for Indiana to handle tonight.

3* Total Dominator on Bulls/Kings UNDER

This matchup sets up perfectly for a play on the under. The Kings are coming into this game having given up 106.4 points per game over their last five games. Sacramento has been struggling defensively, and that has forced the oddsmakers to set this total higher than it should be. The Kings are facing a horrible Bulls offense, and I just don't see their defensive woes continuing in this matchup with Chicago.

The Bulls may not be a great team on offense, but they have one of the league's best defenses. Chicago has surrendered 92.7 points per game this season. Their defensive scoring average is a full eight points below the average opponent Sacramento has faced this season. The Kings offense has been putting up below average numbers since losing DeMarcus Cousins to an ankle injury, and with his status doubtful today I expect them to continue struggling on offense.

The Bulls have gone under the total in five of their last six games while the Kings have stayed under the total in three consecutive games. There are too many variables indicating this will be a low scoring game. Both teams are coming into this matchup with a day of rest, Chicago is playing great defense, the Kings are struggling to score without Cousins and the list goes on and on. Take the under because this one will be low scoring.

4* Western Conference Total of the Week on Spurs/Pelicans UNDER

This matchup should play out to be a defensive battle. The Spurs defense has been solid on the road, holding opponents to a mere 95.3 points per game. They are not a team that has been putting up big offensive numbers recently either. San Antonio is averaging just 95.4 points per game over their last five games.

The Pelicans come into this matchup with a very underrated defense. They have held opponents to 98.7 points per game when playing on the road, but over their last five games they have surrendered just 89.8 points per game. Just like the Spurs, New Orleans has been in a bit of a scoring slump. They have scored an average of 93.6 points over their last five games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system indicating this game will stay below the total. You should play the under in a game involving two good three point shooting teams that make 36.5 percent or more of their attempts, in a matchup involving two average rebounding teams that have a +3 to -3 rebounding margin on the season. This system is 270-178 (60%) to the under throughout the last five seasons. The system points out the fact that the oddsmakers tend to set the total far too high for games with good three-point shooting teams, not taking into account how well the teams have played defensively.

5* NBA Total of the Week on Blazers/Wizards OVER

The Portland Trailblazers are one of the highest scoring teams in the league this season. They are averaging 108.3 points per game overall, and when playing on the road that number increases to 108.7 points per game. They are also a very soft defensive team that has allowed 105.1 points per game on the road. Their high scoring and poor defensive play are a big reason the over is such an easy call in this matchup with the Wizards.

Washington comes into this matchup averaging just over 100 points per game at home. I think they have a lot of potential to exceed there scoring average since they will be facing a soft defense in this game. Portland is allowing 103.4 points per game overall against opponents whose scoring average is 100.8 points per game. When the Trailblazers are playing on the road that number gets even worse.

The over is 20-6 in Portland's road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots per game over the last 2 seasons. The over is also 13-3 in Washington's home games against good teams that are outscoring opponents by three or more points per game. These two angles combined for a 33-9 (79%) record in favor of the over.

4* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Week on Portland Trailblazers -

The Toronto Raptors are playing in a very tough spot today. Last night they were on the road against Denver, and now they have to turn around and head to Portland to play the Trailblazers in the second game of a back-to-back. Portland is a very good team when playing at home posting an 18-5 record, so I like the Trailblazers to pick up an easy win over the Raptors.

Portland has several key advantages in this game. They are an outstanding scoring team averaging 108.4 points per game. Toronto on the other hand comes into this matchup averaging a mere 97.4 points per game on the road. The Raptors are -4 in rebounding margin on the road this season, while Portland has a +5 figure in rebounding margin when playing at home. The Trailblazers have also dominated head-to-head matchups with Toronto over the last three seasons. They are 3-1 both straight up and against the spread in the last four meetings between these teams.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Trailblazers. You should play on a team like Portland when they are a 3.5 to 9.5 point home favorite, and they are playing in a game involving two teams shooting 43.5 to 45.5 percent after 42 or more games, and they are +3 to +5 in rebounding margin against a team that is -3 to +3 in rebounding margin on the season. This system has a 72-36 (67%) record against the spread.

3* No Doubt Rout on Miami Heat -

We are getting a lot of value on Miami thanks to a four game run at home from the New York Knicks. None of those four wins have come against decent competition, so I don't think the Knicks have done anything special by winning at home against four bad teams. The competition gets a lot tougher tonight with the defending champions in town.

The Miami Heat are coming off two days of rest so I like their chance to have a strong showing on the road today. The Knicks are 11-15 at home this season and 9-17 against the spread in those games. They don't get a lot of benefit from home court advantage, and a well rested team like Miami should have no problem coming to town and picking up a big win. The Knicks are also 7-16 ATS as an underdog this season.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Miami Heat. You should play on a team that is revenging a straight up loss to an opponent as a favorite when they are coming off a home loss. This system identifies teams being undervalued by the oddsmakers, and it is 121-73 (62.4%) against the spread.

3* Bailout Blowout on Utah Jazz +

The Warriors are 4-6 in their last 10 games and none of those wins have come consecutively. They are coming off a big win over the Clippers last night, and they are playing in a back-to-back situation when they face the Jazz this evening. After a big win over a division rival I think the Warriors are playing in a letdown spot tonight. Golden State has played very sloppy basketball on the road averaging 17 turnovers per game, and they are facing a Utah team that is coming off three days of rest.

The Jazz are playing well right now picking up back-to-back wins in their last two games. These teams met earlier this season in Salt Lake City with the Warriors picking up the win. Golden State has not won multiple regular season games in Utah in the same season since the 1980-81 campaign. The Jazz have covered the spread in three of their last four meetings against Golden State, and I see no reason why that trend won't continue for today's game.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing Utah. You should play on home underdogs like the Jazz when they have played five or less games in the last 14 days, and they have a losing record on the season. This system identifies home teams that are being undervalued by the oddsmakers. It has resulted in a 42-18 (70%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* No Doubt Rout on Brooklyn Nets +

The Nets have been on an incredible run since the New Year. They have posted a 10-2 record in 2014 and we are getting a lot of value on Brooklyn as an underdog on their home court in this game. Oklahoma City is coming off a big upset win as an underdog against Miami, and I think that has the Thunder playing in a letdown spot in this matchup with the Nets.

These teams met earlier this month in Oklahoma City and it was Brooklyn that walked away with a victory. The Nets picked up a two point win on the road as a double-digit underdog, and considering how well Brooklyn has played recently there is no reason to expect a different outcome in this matchup on their home court. The Nets defense has been a key factor in their recent run. They have held opponents to a mere 91.8 points per game over their last five games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play against the Thunder. You should fade teams like Oklahoma City when they are revenging a home loss against an opponent when that opponent is coming off an upset loss as a favorite against a division rival. This system has resulted in a 58-26 (69%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

5* Pacific Division Game of the Year on Warriors -

This game has blowout written all over it. Golden State has played extremely well against division opponents this season. They have a 6-3 record, and the Warriors have the luxury of playing host in this matchup with the Clippers. Golden State is averaging 104.8 points per game at home this season, and they should score at will against a Clippers defense that has surrendered 103.9 points per game against division opponents.

The rest profile also favors Golden State in this matchup. They are coming off a day of rest as they prepare for their fifth consecutive home game. The Clippers have had a crazy schedule playing seven straight on the road before returning home last night to face Washington. Now they are playing in a back-to-back situation as they head north to face the Warriors tonight. This will be the Clippers fifth game in the past seven days.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play on home teams like Golden State after 42 or more games in the season when they are an average ball handling team committing 14.5 to 16.5 turnovers versus an average pressure defense that is forcing 14.5 to 16.5 turnovers per game. This matchup identifies home teams that are being undervalued by the oddsmakers and it has resulted in a 94-59 (61%) record against the spread.

3* No Doubt Rout on Indiana Pacers -

The Indiana Pacers should dominate this game from the start. They have the best home court advantage in basketball, posting a 21-1 straight up record and a 16-6 ATS record in home games this season. The Pacers lost two of their last four games, and that has created value in this matchup with Phoenix. If not for those two recent losses I suspect the Pacers would be a much larger favorite.

The Pacers defense has been unbelievably good this season. They are holding opponents to a mere 83.7 points per game at home, while scoring an average of 99.5 points in those games. The Suns defense has struggled this season, and they are going through a really rough stretch recently. Phoenix has surrendered 104.2 points per game over its last five games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Pacers. You should play on home favorites like Indiana when they are a well rested team playing their second game in five days and they are facing an opponent that is playing their fourth game in the last five days. This system is 29-10 (74%) against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* No Doubt Rout on Dallas Mavericks -

We are getting a lot of value on the Mavericks as such small favorites on their home court. Houston is playing in a back-to-back situation after playing host to San Antonio last night. I expect the Rockets to struggle without a day of rest and playing against a team like Dallas that has a 15-7 record at home this season. The Rockets have been a .500 team on the road for most of the season, and I have them losing big against the Mavericks who are coming into this matchup with two days of rest.

Houston gets a lot of media attention for their high scoring offense, but it is actually Dallas that has the statistical advantage in this matchup. The Mavericks are averaging 106.6 points per game at home this season, and I expect them to score at-will against a Rockets team that has surrendered 105.7 points per game on the road. Dallas has also played incredibly well against division opponents. They are averaging 106.9 points per game against the division and have a 7-3 record in those games.

Dallas is 14-4 ATS in the second half of the season against poor defensive teams that are allowing 99 or more points per game over the last two seasons. The Mavericks also have a 26-12 ATS record in all games when the line has been set at three points or less in either direction. Houston on the other hand has a 9-20 ATS record on the road when coming off an under. The Rockets have failed to score 100 points or more in three straight games, and I expect them to struggle keeping pace with the Mavericks in this matchup.

5* Eastern Conference Game of the Month on 76ers +

The wrong team appears to be favored in this game. Boston is playing in a tough back-to-back situation after getting blown out last night on the road against New York. Philadelphia on the other hand is coming into this matchup with a day of rest. The 76ers offense gives them a big advantage in this game. They are averaging 101.4 points per game against division opponents, while Boston comes into this matchup averaging a mere 91.7 points in division games.

The Celtics are struggling just like the 76ers right now, and with the rest profiles favoring Philadelphia it looks like they catch the first break. Boston has lost four of its last five games, scoring a mere 89.8 points per game while allowing over 100 points per game during that stretch. The 76ers might also be 1-4 in their last five, but it has not been from a lack of offense. They are scoring 101.6 points per game during their last five games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the 76ers. You should play on road teams like Philadelphia after allowing 100 points or more in two straight games when they are averaging 98 to 102 points per game, and they are playing a poor defensive team that is allowing 98 to 102 points per game. This system is 80-26 (76%) against the spread over the last five seasons. Boston has not done a good job of protecting their home court, and playing without rest makes Philadelphia an easy call in this game.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Memphis Grizzlies +

The Trailblazers are struggling right now having dropped three of their last five games. Even when they have been winning, Portland is squeaking by its opponents. They have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games, and that is a trend I think will continue in this matchup with the Memphis Grizzlies.

Memphis has a very stingy defense, and after seeing Portland get held to just 88 points in their last outing I like the Grizzlies chances to put on a strong defensive performance. Memphis is surrendering a mere 94.2 points per game on the road this season. The Grizzlies defense is playing incredibly well recently, allowing just 86 points per game over their last five games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Grizzlies. You should play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Memphis when they have gone under the total by 36 or more points in their last five games, and they have a win percentage of 45 to 55 percent on the season. This system identifies teams with undervalued defenses, and it has resulted in a 50-23 (69%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

5* Vegas Insider of the Month on Utah Jazz -

The Sacramento Kings have not played well when they are completely healthy, so I do not like their chances tonight when they will try to avoid a fourth straight loss. The Kings will be visiting the Utah Jazz, and things don't look good since both DeMarcus Cousins and Rudy Gay are listed as doubtful for this matchup. Sacramento already struggles in road games with a 6-13 record and without Cousins and Gay the Utah Jazz should win this game in a blowout.

Utah will have no problem scoring points as they face one of the league's worst defenses. The Kings have surrendered 106.7 points per game on the road this season. Over its last five games Sacramento has allowed 113 points per game. That puts them in a tough spot tonight against a Jazz team that has a 6-2 record at home in their last eight games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Jazz. You should play against road teams like Sacramento when they are revenging a loss where their opponent scored 110 or more points and they are a bad team that has won 25 to 40 percent of its games on the season playing another team with a losing record. This system is 48-18 (73%) against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Philadelphia 76ers +

The Phoenix Suns are playing in a back-to-back situation after coming off a road game last night in Cleveland. That has them playing in a letdown situation today as they come into Philadelphia without rest to play their second consecutive road game, and third overall game in the last four days. There is a lot of value on Philadelphia as an underdog in this matchup since they are coming off a day of rest and played at home in their last outing.

The 76ers have played well on their home court, and I like their chances to pull off an upset in this game. Philadelphia averages 100.8 points per game at home while Phoenix is averaging 99.3 points per game on the road. Over their last five games the Suns have surrendered 100.8 points per game, so I don't think Philadelphia will have any problem getting points on the board in this matchup.

The Suns have not fared well against teams with a losing record. They are 1-10 ATS in the second half of the season against a team that has won 25 to 40 percent of its games over the last two seasons. I think we are getting added value on the 76ers with the return of Evan Turner. In the last meeting between these teams Turner had to miss the game because of a sore knee. It is also worth noting that the last time these teams played in Philadelphia it was the 76ers who picked up a 104-101 victory.

4* Vegas Insider on Golden State Warriors -

We are getting a lot of value on the Warriors today thanks to a couple bad performances against some very good teams. I have Golden State getting things back on track tonight with a big win over Portland. The Trailblazers have been horrible defensively. They are surrendering 110.2 points per game over their last five games, and things could get really out of hand tonight against this Warriors team that averages 105.9 points per game at home.

While Golden State has had a few struggles on the defensive end of the court recently, you also can't ignore the fact that they held opponents to an average of 92.8 points per game during their recent 10 game win streak. Portland has lost its last two games on the road, scoring just 97 points in their last outing against Oklahoma City. I expect a similar performance out of the Trailblazers in this game, thanks to a strong defensive performance from Golden State.

The Warriors are 20-7 ATS after allowing 100 points or more in two straight games. Portland on the other hand has a 1-10 ATS record in road games after two straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more. This matchup also fits a system to play on favorites like Golden State when they are allowing a shooting percentage of 43.5 to 45.5 percent and are playing a poor defensive team allowing 45.5 to 47.5 percent when both teams have a +3 to +5.5 figure in rebounding margin. This system is 39-17 (70%) against the spread.

4* Total Dominator on Nets/Celtics UNDER

The total in this game seems to be quite a bit higher than it should be. Boston is playing some solid defense right now surrendering just 87.8 points per game against division opponents. The Celtics offense has been horrible this year, so I think the Nets are poised for a strong defensive performance too. Boston averages 95.1 points per game and should struggle against this Brooklyn team that has held opponents to 96.4 points per game over its last five games. That five game stretch has come against opponents with a lot more scoring potential than the Celtics bring to this matchup.

The under is 14-4 in Boston's last 18 home games when coming off a matchup with a non-conference opponent. The under is also 12-4 when Boston has been an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Brooklyn is well rested right now, playing just their second game in five days. The under is 26-14 in the Nets last 40 games when playing in a 2-in-5 situation over the last two seasons.

There is a very profitable system backing the under in this matchup. You should play the under when the total is between 190 to 199.5 points and the road team is well rested playing their second game in five days, and they have won 40 to 49 percent of their games on the season. This system is 48-21 (70%) to the under for the last five seasons. With both teams playing solid defense recently I expect this to be a very low scoring game.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Brooklyn Nets -

The Celtics are a bad team and I like the Nets to win this game in a blowout. Brooklyn is the hottest team in the league since the New Year winning nine of its last 10 games. They have covered the spread in eight of those games, yet the oddsmakers still seem to be undervaluing the Nets. A once struggling offense from Brooklyn is now averaging 103.1 points per game over its last five games.

Boston comes into this game with a 3-16 record in their last 19 games. I don't expect home court advantage to be a big factor since it is a short travel time from Brooklyn to Boston, and the Celtics fan base will probably be more excited about seeing Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett than they will their own players. Pierce and Garnett were key factors in turning the Celtics franchise around, and this will be the first game on their old home court since the blockbuster trade that sent them to the Nets.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play against the Celtics. You should play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Boston when they are coming off a loss by 10 or more points, and they are facing an opponent that has scored 100 points or more in three straight games. This system has a 43-19 (69%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Portland Trailblazers -

This line seems inappropriate given Portland's margin of victory when playing at home this season. The Trailblazers are a very high scoring team averaging 109 points per game for the home fan base. They will face a soft defense tonight when they play host to the Minnesota Timberwolves. Minnesota is surrendering 103.5 points per game on the road this year.

Portland is playing with a day of rest, and they are coming off a win at home in their last outing. This will be the third consecutive road game for Minnesota, and the wear and tear of all that travel will catch up with them tonight. The Timberwolves are also playing in a back-to-back situation after squeaking by Golden State last night.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play against Minnesota. You should fade underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Timberwolves when they are a poor defensive team that has allowed 99 or more points per game and they are facing an opponent that has surrendered 100 points or more in four straight games. This system identifies teams that are being overvalued by the oddsmakers and it has resulted in a 64-39 (62%) record against the spread.

5* Bailout Game of the Month on Nuggets +

Denver is playing in the perfect spot to pull off an upset over Indiana. The Pacers are playing their fourth consecutive road game, and their fourth game in the last seven days. That is a lot of travel, and the fact that Indiana is also playing in a back-to-back situation adds even more value to the Nuggets. With the Nuggets playing the host role in this matchup they are an easy call tonight.

I expect the wear and tear of Indiana's road trip to catch up with them tonight. The Nuggets are a very high scoring and uptempo team, and combined with the altitude and facing a tired team like the Pacers that gives them a big advantage in this matchup. Denver averages 103.4 points per game and they are poised to put up another big number today. Over their last five games the Pacers have surrendered an average of 102 points per game.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to fade the Pacers. You should play against a team like Indiana when they average 98 to 102 points per game against a team allowing 102 points per game or more when they are coming off a matchup with a combined score of 215 points or more in two straight games. This system identifies potentially tired defenses and has resulted in a 72-35 (67%) record against the spread.

3* Total Annihilator on Rockets/Grizzlies UNDER

With the Grizzlies playing at home I think they will control the pace of this game. That puts a lot of value on the under since they are surrendering just 96.3 points per game this season. The under is 22-8 in Memphis games after a matchup where both teams scored 90 points or less.

This is the second leg of a home-and-home series between these teams. In the first game these teams combined for a score of 175 points, and there is no reason to expect an outcome much different than that in this matchup. Memphis has gone under the total in five consecutive games, and the Rockets have gone under the total in five of their last seven games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the under. You should play the under when a team, like Memphis, is facing a division opponent and they are coming off a road win over a division rival. This system has gone under the total at a rate of 69-36 (66%) over the last five seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Washington Wizards +

The oddsmakers may have favored the wrong team in this matchup. Washington has won four of its last six games, with their two losses coming by small single-digit margins. The offense is rolling right now, averaging 105.2 points per game over their last five games. They should score at-will against a Suns defense that has surrendered 105 points per game over their last five games.

The Suns are coming off a big win over the Pacers, and I have them playing in a letdown situation in today's matchup with the Wizards. Phoenix has shot over 50 percent in their last two games, and that is a feat that is simply unsustainable. They have shot over 50 percent just three times in their last 19 games while shooting under 45 percent in nine of those games.

The Suns are 45-74 ATS after two straight wins by 10 or more points. You should play on road teams like Washington when they average 98 to 102 points per game, and they are coming off a loss by six points or less and are facing a poor defense that is surrendering 98 to 102 points per game. This system is 45-19 (70%) ATS over the last five seasons.

5* NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month on Wizards/Suns OVER 207

This total is set far too low given how well these teams have been playing on offense recently. Over their last five games the Wizards are averaging 105.2 points per game. The Suns have also been on a scoring binge averaging 113 points per game over their last five games. These teams have an 11-3 record in favor of the over in their last 14 games combined.

Both offenses are playing great right now, but both of these defenses have been horrible. Washington has surrendered 101.2 points per game over their last five games, and I think that number will only get worse against a high scoring team like the Suns. Phoenix has had a notoriously bad defense all season, but somehow they have managed to play worse than average recently allowing 105 points per game over their last five games.

The over is 13-2 in the Suns last 15 home games against opponents who attempt 18 or more three point shots per game. The over is also 13-5 when the Suns are playing against a team with a losing record this season. You should play the over when the total is 200 points or more and the road team is coming off a loss by three points or less and their opponent has scored 100 points or more in four straight games. The over has a 54-23 (70%) record in this situation.

3* No Doubt Rout on Memphis Grizzlies +

The Memphis Grizzlies had a season's best win streak snapped in a three point loss against New Orleans in their last outing. I like the Grizzlies chance to get things back on track in this home-and-home series with the Houston Rockets. Houston is facing a well rested Memphis team that is playing just their second game in the past seven days. This will be the Rocket's fourth game during that seven-day stretch.

Houston is playing through a lot of injuries right now, and I expect them to struggle with this tough Memphis defense. The Grizzlies are surrendering a mere 94.6 points per game on the road this season. Over their last five games the Grizzlies have held opponents to just 90 points per game. The Rockets on the other hand have a soft defense, and I think that is what will end up costing them in this matchup. They are allowing 103.8 points per game over their last five games.

Memphis is 43-28 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record, and they are 31-18 ATS against good shooting teams making over 46 percent of their shots. A big reason for their success against good teams goes back to their outstanding defensive play. The Grizzlies are not getting enough credit from the oddsmakers in this game. This matchup presents a perfect opportunity for Memphis to pull off an upset, so I like the Grizzlies chances of at least keeping this game within five or less points.

3* Oddsmakers Error on LA Lakers +

The Lakers may not be winning a lot of games right now, but they have certainly been exceeding the oddsmaker's expectations. Los Angeles has covered the spread in five consecutive games, and they look to make it a sixth straight Thursday night against the Miami Heat. Miami comes into this matchup having lost four of their last seven games, covering the spread in just two of those games.

The Lakers offense is firing on all cylinders right now. Over their last five games they have averaged 110.2 points per game. The Heat on the other hand have been struggling on defense recently. In Miami's last five games they have surrendered an average of 100.6 points per game. The Lakers defense has certainly had their share of struggles too, but that has only created value in this matchup. Los Angeles has a 26-11 record against the spread when playing on the road after allowing 100 points or more in four straight games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Lakers. You should play on underdogs of 10 or more points when they are revenging a loss where their opponents scored 100 or more points, and when that opponent is coming off a straight up win as a favorite where they failed to cover the spread. This system is 47-21 (69%) against the spread over the last five seasons. You should also play against home favorites of 10 points or more like Miami when they average 103 or more points per game, and they are facing an opponent that has scored 100 points or more in four straight games. This system is 27-6 (82%) against the spread.

5* Blowout Game of the Month on Spurs -

The Thunder have played a brutal schedule recently, and it will catch up with them today against the Spurs. Oklahoma City is playing in a back-to-back situation after making a late comeback last night against Portland. It was very obvious that the wear and tear of their recent schedule is catching up with them. The Thunder are now playing their fifth game in the past seven days. The Spurs on the other hand are coming into this matchup playing on two days of rest, and have the benefit of home court advantage.

San Antonio has won seven of their last eight games. They are one of the toughest home teams in the league, and I don't see the Thunder keeping pace with their high scoring offense in this game. The Spurs are averaging 105.3 points per game at home. They also have a very underrated defense that is surrendering 96.6 points per game this season. The Thunder take a hit in production when playing on the road. They average 2.2 points per game less, while the defense is surrendering 1.2 points per game more.

The Spurs have a 38-20 ATS record when playing only their second game in the last five days. They are also 17-6 ATS when coming off a game making 55 percent or more of their shot attempts. In head-to-head meetings between these teams the home team has also been the favorite, and they have posted a 6-1 ATS record. With the Spurs playing at home with two days of rest, and the Thunder playing in a back-to-back situation this game has blowout written all over it.

3* No Doubt Rout on Sacramento Kings +

The wrong team is favored in this matchup. Sacramento is coming into this game playing with a day of rest, while New Orleans is playing in a back-to-back situation after a road game in Memphis last night. The Pelicans managed to pull off an upset win in that game, but they are still just 2-9 in their last 11 games overall.

Rudy Gay has been a big difference maker for Sacramento. He is averaging 23 points per game in the Kings previous six games, and Sacramento is 8-3 when he scores 20 or more points. I expect Gay, along with the rest of the Kings roster, to have an easy time scoring points. New Orleans is surrendering an average of 102.9 points per game this season.

You should play on teams like Sacramento with a line of three points or less when they are revenging a loss where their opponent scored 100 or more points in the previous meeting, and they are coming off a home loss by 10 points or more. The Kings suffered a tough loss at the hands of Oklahoma City, and I think their poor performance against a top tier team like the Thunder has actually created value for this matchup. New Orleans is nowhere near the talent level of the Thunder, so expect a much better performance from the Kings in this outing. This system identifies teams being undervalued by the oddsmakers, and it has resulted in a 107-62 (63%) record against the spread.

5* Western Conf. Game of the Month on OKC Thunder -

The Thunder have a lot to play for in this game, and I like their chances to pick up a big win on their home court. First place in the Northwest Division is on the line, and tonight Portland will run into a red hot Thunder team and the league's leading scorer. Kevin Durant is riding seven consecutive 30-point performances as Oklahoma City tries for their fourth consecutive win.

The Trail Blazers are playing in a back-to-back situation after getting crushed by Houston last night. It was a 13-point loss for Portland, and I expect them to struggle again against this Thunder team that is 18-3 at home this season. Oklahoma City will also have the revenge factor on their side. Portland squeaked off a four point win the last time these teams met, and with a day of rest coming into this game I expect the Thunder to easily get that revenge.

The Trail Blazers are a very soft team defensively. They surrender an average of 104.2 points per game on the road this season. Oklahoma city is 53-32 against poor pressure defenses that are forcing 14 or less turnovers per game. They are also 40-25 ATS when coming off a performance scoring 105 or more points in their last outing. The Thunder have dominated the head-to-head series between these teams posting a 6-3 ATS record over the last three seasons.

3* No Doubt Rout on Memphis Grizzlies -

These teams are headed in opposite directions. The Grizzlies come into this matchup having won six of their last seven games. Meanwhile the Pelicans have dropped their last eight consecutive games, and are showing no signs of life after getting blown out at home by a double-digit margin in their last outing.

The Pelicans have been horrible defensively this season. They are allowing an average of 106.4 points per game when playing on the road. With a defense that plays so poorly, I don't think the Pelicans will be able to make enough stops to keep this game close. New Orleans should also struggle to get points on the board against this tough Grizzlies team. Memphis is surrendering just 96.6 points per game this season.

The Grizzlies should have plenty of motivation for this game. They suffered a bad loss in New Orleans the last time these teams met, so they will be playing for revenge today. Memphis is 21-9 ATS when they are revenging a loss where their opponent scored 100 or more points. The Grizzlies are also 41-26 ATS versus good offensive teams that are scoring 99 or more points per game.

4* Vegas Insider on Brooklyn -

The Brooklyn Nets have really turned their season around since the New Year. They have won six of their last seven games both straight up and against the spread. They should easily continue their success today against the Knicks. New York has really struggled recently. In their last five games the Knicks are 2-3 and have surrendered an average of 104.4 points per game.

Brooklyn comes into this matchup playing on three days of rest. I don't expect the Knicks to get a lot of benefit from home court advantage. Its a short trip for the Nets to make their way to Madison Square Garden since it is just 20 minutes away from the Barclays Center. I think Brooklyn will be playing with more motivation in this game too. The Nets are playing for revenge after dropping a game to the Knicks last month.

The Nets are 14-4 ATS in road games when playing just their second game in the last five days. They are also 9-1 ATS in road games when playing six or less games in the last 14 days. The rest profiles are heavily in favor of the Nets for this game, and with the Knicks sitting on a 5-15 ATS record at home I think Brooklyn is an easy call.

3* No Doubt Rout on Sacramento Kings +

Oklahoma City is playing in a letdown situation after coming off two big wins over Houston and Golden State. There is also a good chance they will be looking ahead to their matchup with Portland, so I expect a poor performance from the Thunder in this game. The Kings are playing well right now having won four of their last six games, and they have covered the spread in five of those six matchups.

The Kings are on a scoring binge right now. They are averaging 104 points per game over their last five games. They have also been dominating the rebounding margin with a +8 figure during that stretch. I think the fact that Oklahoma City has won back-to-back games against tough opponents has caused the oddsmakers to overvalue the Thunder in this matchup. With the Kings playing as well as they have recently, they are an easy call getting so many points in this game.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Kings. You should play on road teams like Sacramento when they are averaging 98 to 102 points per game, and they are playing against a poor defensive team that surrenders 98 to 102 points per game when they are coming off a loss by six points or less. Sacramento suffered a single point loss to Memphis in their last outing. This system is 45-18 (71%) against the spread over the last five seasons.

4* No Brainer on Indiana Pacers -

The Clippers have not played well on the road this year, and I expect them to struggle against a Pacers team that has a 20-1 record at home this season. Indiana is 15-6 ATS in those games. They come into this matchup playing with a day of rest, while Los Angeles is playing in a back-to-back situation after facing the Knicks last night.

A big reason for Indiana's success at home has been outstanding play on the defensive end of the court. They surrender a mere 83.3 points per game at home this season. I think the Pacers will easily put up a big number on the offensive end of the court since Los Angeles has surrendered 100.4 points per game on the road.

Indiana has been a good team to back all season, but they are a great team to back when playing as a favorite. They are 22-9 ATS as a favorite this season, and they are 3-1 ATS in head-to-head matchups with Los Angeles over the last three seasons. The Clippers have a long history of struggles against good defensive teams. They are 76-111 ATS against teams allowing 91 points per game or less. With Los Angeles playing on back-to-back nights and facing one of the best teams in the league, I think Indiana is poised to pick up a double-digit win in this game.

4* Western Conf. Game of the Week on Golden State +

These teams have split two meetings this season, and I think Golden State has the advantage in the third matchup of the year with Oklahoma City. The Thunder are in a back-to-back situation after playing on the road against Houston last night. The Warriors on the other hand are playing with a day of rest, and that should prove to be a big advantage with their uptempo style of play.

Even with a win over Houston last night the Thunder have lost three of their last five games. The Warriors are coming into this game having won 11 of their last 13 games. They have a winning record on the road, and a big reason for their success away from home comes from an offense averaging 102 points in those games. Golden State has been solid defensively this year, surrendering an average of 99 points per game.

The first two meetings of the year between these teams were decided by a single point. I like the Warriors to end that trend with a comfortable win against the Thunder. Golden State is 19-8 ATS when playing their second game in five days. This matchup also fits a system to play against home favorites like the Thunder when they have won two of their last three games, but are facing an opponent that has won six or more of their last eight games. This system is 132-77 (63%) against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Dallas Mavericks -

The Suns have been struggling recently dropping three of their last four games. A big reason for their recent slump has been poor play on the defensive end of the court. Phoenix is surrendering an average of 105.8 points over their last five games. They will be in serious trouble tonight against a Mavericks team that comes into this matchup averaging 108.2 points per game over their last five games.

Dallas has been a profitable team to back on the road this year. They have a 13-7 ATS record. The Mavericks seem to have the Suns number in recent years. Over the last three seasons Dallas is 6-3 both straight up and against the spread when facing Phoenix. Even when the Suns have come court advantage the Mavericks are 3-2 straight up and against the spread. When these teams met last month the Suns shot 50 percent on three point attempts and over 90 percent from the free throw line. Its unlikely they will be able repeat that feat, so I like the Mavericks to get some revenge tonight.

Dallas is a very good ball control team, and when they are not committing turnovers they are covering spreads. The Mavericks are 26-12 ATS after three straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. The Suns come into this matchup with a 4-14 ATS record at home after having lost three of their last four games. The Suns are not a team that plays well when they are forced to play a lot of closely grouped games. This will be their eighth game in the last two weeks, and Phoenix is 8-19 ATS when playing eight or more games over a 14 days span.

4* Total Annihilator on Mavericks/Suns OVER

I think the total for this game is set much lower than it should be. Dallas is coming into this matchup averaging 108.2 points per game over their last five games. They are not a team that takes a big hit in offensive production when playing on the road, and I like their chances to continue their scoring binge against this soft Phoenix defense. The Suns are surrendering 105.8 points per game over their last five games, and there scoring defense at home has actually been worse than when the Suns are playing on the road.

The Suns should also score at-will in this game. Dallas may be on a tear on the offensive end of the court, but there defense has been non-existent recently. The Mavericks have surrendered 105.2 points per game over their last five games. The Suns are a very good scoring team at home, averaging 108.1 points per game when playing in Phoenix. These teams met last month and the total was set at 208 points. They combined for a total of 231 points in that game, yet the total set by the oddsmakers has barely increased. I think that represents strong value on the over tonight.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play on the over. You should take the over when the total is over 200 points, and the teams went over the total by more than 18 points in their last meeting, and one of the teams (Dallas) went over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game. This system has a 159-94 (63%) record in favor of the over.

3* Main Event on OKC Thunder +

The last time these teams met the Thunder picked up a 31 point victory. A change in venue will narrow that gap, but I don't think it is enough to justify the Rockets coming into this game as the favorite. Over the last three seasons Oklahoma City has dominated the series with Houston. They have won nine of the last 14 meetings between these teams, which includes taking four of seven when playing in Houston.

The Thunder are playing with a day of rest after dropping a close game with Memphis, while the Rockets are coming off a hard fought victory in New Orleans last night. Houston is 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games when coming off a win, while the Thunder are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a loss. The Thunder are also 52-32 ATS over the last three seasons when facing a poor pressure defense that is forcing 14 turnovers or less per game like Houston.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Thunder. You should play against home teams like Houston when they are playing on back-to-back nights and they are trying to revenge a loss where their opponent scored 110 points or more. This system is 93-47 (66%) against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* No Doubt Rout on Dallas Mavericks +

We are getting a lot of value on the Mavericks as they seek their fourth consecutive win tonight. Dallas is playing with revenge on their side after losing a close game against the Clippers earlier this month. It was a game Dallas dominated statistically, but still ended up falling short. I like their chances to get that revenge since they are playing so well right now. Over their past five games Dallas has averaged 104.8 points per game, while surrendering just 98.8 points per game.

Even the bench players for the Mavericks are getting in on the action. They outscored the Magic reserves 42-14 on Monday. I don't think the Clippers recent run will be sustainable without Chris Paul. He is arguably the best player on the team, and against a top-tier opponent like Dallas his production will be sorely missed. When the Mavericks can avoid turnovers they are a spread covering machine. Dallas is 25-12 ATS after three straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last two seasons.

The Mavericks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team winning 60 percent or more of their home games, and they are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 road games against any team with a winning record at home. Dallas is also 7-2 ATS in their last nine games when playing on one day of rest. The Clippers had four days off coming into this game, and with that much rest it will be hard to play with the mentality it takes to beat a team like the Mavericks. Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in their last five games when playing on three or more days of rest.

3* Bailout Blowout on Jazz +

We are getting a lot of value on the Jazz as an underdog at home in this matchup with Denver. I think the oddsmakers have overvalued the Nuggets based on their recent win streak. Utah is also on a nice run winning three of their last five games and covering the spread in four of their last six games. Utah should have no problem getting points on the board against Denver. The Nuggets have allowed an average of 103.5 points per game against division opponents this season.

In head-to-head matchups between these teams the Jazz have dominated the series when they are playing at home. Utah is 30-7 straight up against Denver since 1996. These teams also met last month in Denver and the Jazz picked up a 10 point win on the road. Utah is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games when coming off a double-digit loss at home, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play on home underdogs like Utah when they have a losing record on the season, but are extremely well rested playing five or less games in the last 14 days. This system is 41-18 (70%) against the spread over the last five seasons. You should also play against road teams like Denver when they are coming off a home win by 10 points or more and they are revenging a home loss of 10 points or more against their opponent. This system is 161-100 (62%) against the spread.

5* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on the Rockets -

The Celtics are in a horrible slump right now. They have lost 11 of their last 12 games. Boston is coming off a five game road trip, and I think they will have a bad letdown performance in their first game back home. This will be Boston

3* Total Annihilator on Hawks/Grizzlies UNDER

The total on this game is set far too high considering how these teams have been playing recently. In their last five games the Atlanta Hawks have averaged a mere 90 points per game. They have played well defensively during that stretch holding opponents to just 90 points per game. They are up against a Grizzlies team that is not known for putting up big numbers on the scoreboard. Memphis averages 96.2 points per game, and I expect the Grizzlies to struggle to match that number in this matchup since the Hawks are playing so well defensively right now.

The under is a perfect 8-0 in the Grizzlies last eight home games against Southeast division opponents. It is also 29-15 when Memphis is coming off a win by six points or less. The Grizzlies squeaked by Phoenix in their last game winning by just five points. They uncharacteristically gave up 99 points, and I expect to see a much stronger defensive performance in this matchup, especially since Memphis is playing with a day of rest. The Grizzlies opponents have averaged over 101 points per game on the season, and they have held those opponents to just 97.5 points per game on the year. They are poised to improve on that number in this game since the Hawks are having so many problems scoring points right now.

This matchup fits into a system to play on the under when the total is set between 190 and 199.5 points, and one of the teams (Atlanta) is coming off a game allowing 80 points or less when they are facing an opponent that has scored 100 points or more over in four or more consecutive games. This system is 46-17 (73%) in favor of the under. The fact that Memphis has been scoring so many points has created a lot of value on the under in this matchup.

5* Atlantic Division Game of the Month on Knicks -

The Knicks have been on fire in the New Year, and this line is giving far too much credit to Philadelphia. New York has won four of their last five games straight up, and covered the spread in all five of those games. Philadelphia on the other hand has lost three in a row both straight up and against the spread. The 76ers are showing no signs of life, while New York does not even begin to resemble the team that lost 13 of their first 16 games this season.

The Knicks should be able to score at-will against this soft 76ers defense. Philadelphia is allowing an average of 111.2 points per game this season, and they get no benefit from home court advantage where they have surrendered 111.9 points per game. The Knicks defense on the other hand has been solid, especially recently. Over their last five games New York has held its opponents to a mere 92 points per game.

The Knicks have been a good team to back on the road recently. They are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games when their opponent has a losing record at home. They are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven games when playing with a day of rest. Philadelphia is playing in a back-to-back situation after getting blown out by a double-digit margin at home last night against Detroit.

4* Total Dominator on Magic/Kings OVER

There should be no shortage of scoring between the Magic and Kings tonight. Orlando has been horrible defensively when playing on the road, allowing an average of 102.1 points. Meanwhile, the Kings have scored an average of 101.4 points when playing at home. The Kings are also a soft team defensively which only adds value to the over. Sacramento has surrendered an average of 105 points per game overall this season.

Over their last five games Sacramento has averaged 108.8 points. There defense has been horrible in those games, allowing an average of 112.6 points per game. The Magic have not been scoring a lot of points recently, and I think that has forced the oddsmakers to set this total much lower than it should be. Even a team like Orlando should score a lot of points against Sacramento's non-existent defense.

The Kings have gone over the total in nine of their last 10, and the oddsmakers have still not set the bar high enough in this matchup. The over is 12-4 in Sacramento's games against teams who are called for 21 or less fouls, and 24-13 against poor pressure defense teams that are forcing 14 or less turnovers per game. The over is also 5-1 in Orlando's last six games against a team with a losing record and 5-1 in their last six head-to-head meetings between these teams.

3* No Doubt Rout on Houston Rockets -

The Houston Rockets are going for seven consecutive wins over Atlanta tonight, and I still don't think the oddsmakers have realized the gap in talent between these teams. The last time they met, Atlanta was not even close to beating Houston losing by almost 30-points. That was back when the Hawks had center Al Horford, and Houston was without James Harden. Atlanta is struggling recently losing three of their last four games, and in this rematch they will be without Horford, while the Rockets will have Harden in the lineup.

Over their last five games Atlanta has averaged a mere 91.8 points per game. I expect them to struggle to keep up with this Houston team that is averaging 105.9 points per game on the road this season. Atlanta has not received a lot of benefit from home court advantage when these teams face off. The Rockets are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings when the Hawks are playing at home.

This game fits into a very profitable system to make a play on Houston. You should play on road teams like the Rockets when they are coming off a home win by 10 points or more, and they are a good team that has won 60 to 75 percent of their games on the season, and are facing a marginal team that was won 51 to 60% of their games. This system has a 47-20 (70%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

5* Eastern Conference Game of the Week on Pistons +

Toronto is coming off back-to-back losses against two of the best teams in the Eastern Conference. Those games put an end to their win streak, and I think it will be hard for the Raptors to recover since they are playing in a back-to-back situation. Now Toronto has to face a Pistons team that is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games against Atlantic division opponents.

Detroit is coming off a strong defensive performance last night, holding New York to just 89 points. If not for a rare poor shooting performance it is a game the Pistons would have won. They should have no problem bouncing back against this Toronto team that is surrendering 99.3 points per game at home this season. The Raptors are scoring a mere 91.4 points per game over their last five games, and their poor defensive play will cost them tonight. The Pistons come into this matchup scoring 99.3 points per game on the road.

This game fits into a very profitable system for a play on Detroit. You should take road underdogs like the Pistons after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, and they have won 25 to 40 percent of their games in the season. This system identifies teams the oddsmakers are undervaluing, and it has led to a 162-102 (61%) record against the spread.

4* Vegas Insider on Sacramento Kings +

Portland had an incredible run to open the season, but it seems like reality may be starting to kick in. The Blazers have lost three of their last five games straight up, and eight of their last 10 against the spread. The oddsmakers refuse to give up on Portland listing them as a five point favorite on the road against a Kings team that has shown a lot of improvement recently. Sacramento may not have a great record this year, but they have covered the spread in three of their last five games which included matchups against the Heat, Spurs and Rockets.

The Kings are a team that steps up their level of play depending on who their opponent is. A quick glance at the schedule shows that they have not only covered the spread against the three previously mentioned opponents, but also Golden State and Oklahoma City. They have been on fire recently, averaging 105.8 points per game over their last five games. That is big trouble for a Blazers team whose biggest weakness is their play on the defensive end of the court. Portland comes into this game allowing an average of 103.4 points per game over their last give games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Kings. You should play on a team like Sacramento when they are playing in a game involving two defenses that have allowed 102 points per game or more on the season when they are coming off four or more consecutive games scoring 100 points per game or more. This system is 67-34 (66%) against the spread over the last five seasons. The Kings are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games against a team with a winning record, and that is a trend I expect to continue tonight.

3* Total Dominator on Wizards/Bobcats UNDER

The way Washington and Charlotte matchup puts a lot of value on the under. Washington is not a high scoring team, averaging just 98.3 points per game against opposing defenses that have allowed an average over 100 points per game on the year. The Bobcats are also a low scoring team averaging just 91.7 points per game at home this season.

The under is 32-18 in Washington's last 50 games when playing against a team with a losing record. Defensively the Wizards have been decent this year. They should have no problem keeping a bad team like the Bobcats from putting up any big offensive numbers. It is the same story for Charlotte's defense. The Bobcats have held opponents to a mere 93.8 points per game at home, and they should make easy work of the Wizards tonight.

The under is 32-19 over the last two seasons when the Wizards are playing as a road underdog. It is also 25-14 when Washington is coming off a game against a non-conference opponent. The under is 8-1 in Charlotte's last nine games as a home favorite this season, and 13-4 in all their home games on the year. Neither of these teams scores a lot of points, and both are better defensively than they are getting credit for, and that makes the under the play in this game.

3* Total Annihilator on Wolves/Sixers OVER

These two teams should have no problem scoring enough points to send this game over the total. Minnesota comes into this matchup averaging 106.8 points per game. They have the luxury of facing a Philadelphia defense that is allowing 110.8 points per game at home this season. It is a similar story for the 76ers. They are averaging 104 points per game at home, but will be up against a Timberwolves defense that is allowing 103.9 points per game.

For the most part, the oddsmakers have been unable to set the bar high enough on the total for these teams. Minnesota has gone over in six of their last eight games, while Philadelphia has gone over the total in seven of their last 10 games. If not for going under in three of their last four I suspect this total would be set even higher. I don't think the 76ers recent trend is an indication of anything. They played six consecutive road games, but in this matchup they are at home and playing with a day of rest.

The over is 14-6 when Philadelphia is playing against a team with a losing record this season. It is also 15-4 in home games when playing a team making 76 percent or more of their free throw attempts. This matchup also fits into a very profitable system for a play on the over. You should play the over when a team, like Minnesota, is off a home loss against a division rival, and playing against an opponent coming off a road win by three points or less. This system has a 79-42 record in favor of the over.

3* Total Dominator on Wizards/Warriors OVER

Golden State is one of the hottest teams in the league right now, and a big reason for their success has been their unstoppable offensive play. In their last five games the Warriors are averaging 108.2 points per game. It has taken a big offensive number to win games since defensively Golden State leaves something to be desired. The Warriors have allowed an average of 100 points per game on the road this season.

The Washington Wizards have been a great team to follow with an over play. They have exceeded the oddsmaker

3* No Doubt Rout on San Antonio Spurs -

I like San Antonio's chances to cover a single digit line at home since Los Angeles is playing in the second half of a back-to-back. The Clippers will be without Chris Paul for this matchup, and Paul was a big impact player when these teams met last month. San Antonio has a chance for revenge after being handed one of their most lopsided losses of the season in that game.

The Spurs depth will give them a huge advantage over the Clippers. San Antonio leads the NBA with 46.3 points per game from from the bench. They are averaging 104.2 points per game at home this season, and the Spurs defense is allowing a mere 96.7 points per game overall. The Clippers have a 9-9 record on the road this season, and San Antonio will easily be one of the best home teams they have faced.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system that backs San Antonio. You should play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Spurs when they are an excellent offensive team averaging 102 points per game or more, against a poor defensive team allowing 98-102 points per game, after a combined score of 205 points or more in four straight games. This system is 45-18 (71%) against the spread.

4* Heavy Hitter on Chicago Bulls -

The Atlanta Hawks have lost five consecutive games in the second leg of a back-to-back situation. They are coming off a heartbreaking single-point loss last night against Golden State, and now have to travel to Chicago to take on a Bulls team that has quietly won four of their last six games. Unlike Atlanta, the Bulls come into this game well rested, getting a break after beating Boston on Thursday.

A big reason for Chicago's recent success is their defensive play. Over the last five games they have held opponents to a mere 88.2 points per game. Chicago may not be a high scoring team, but they have a big opportunity to get some points on the board tonight when they face an Atlanta defense that is allowing 105.6 points per game on the road.

The Hawks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against Eastern Conference opponents. They face a Bulls team that has a 5-2 ATS record in their last seven games. In the last five head-to-head meetings between these teams the Bulls have a 4-1 ATS record when playing in Chicago. Chicago is an easy call in this matchup since Atlanta has continuously proven they can't play in the second half of a back-to-back situation.

5* NBA Game of the Week on New Orleans Pelicans -

The Pelicans are an easy call in this game. The Celtics lack the offensive firepower it will take to keep pace with this New Orleans team, and Boston has struggled to keep up with oddsmaker

3* No Doubt Rout on Utah Jazz -

The home team is the play in this matchup. The Jazz are a better team defensively than Milwaukee, and I think that gives them a big edge in this matchup. Utah has held opponents to 99.5 points per game at home this year, while Milwaukee is allowing 101.6 points per game on the road. Both teams average 92.7 points on offense, but with the Jazz playing at home against such a soft defense I think they have a good opportunity to improve on that number.

The Jazz also have an extra day of rest prior to facing the Bucks. Milwaukee played on New Year's eve, and they with this being their fourth game this week, and third on the road, I expect to see them look run down. The Bucks are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games against Northwest division opponents. They are also 2-10 following a straight up win. Milwaukee is coming off and upset win as an underdog over the Lakers, and I don't think they can put together back-to-back wins on the road.

This matchup fits into a system to play against road underdogs like Milwaukee when they are a terrible team being outscored by six or more points per game, and facing an opponent that is coming off a win by six points or less. This system is 106-61 against the spread. The Jazz are also 5-2 in their last seven games when playing with two days of rest, and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games against Central division opponents.

4* Total No Brainer on Warriors/Heat OVER

Golden State is one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now, and a big reason for their recent success has come from an offense that is scoring a lot of points. Golden State comes into this matchup averaging 102.2 points per game over their last five games. Three of those five games have been played on the road, so there is no reason to expect the offense to cool down in this matchup with Miami.

The Heat are one of the best teams in the league, and I don't think they will have any problems keeping pace with Golden State in this game. Miami averages 108.1 points per game at home, and they are allowing an average of 99.7 defensively. The oddsmakers have continuously set the total too low in Miami's home games, and that as resulted in an 11-5 record for the over.

This matchup fits into a system to play the over when one of the teams, in this case Miami, is coming off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, and they are a well rested team playing only their second game in five days. This system is 25-5 to the over for the last five seasons. The over is also 4-1 in Golden State's last five games against Eastern Conference opponents, and 7-2 in Miami's last nine games overall.

3* Total Annihilator on Wolves/Pelicans OVER

This total seems a bit low considering the complete lack of defense these teams have shown this season, as well as their outstanding scoring potential. New Orleans comes into this game averaging 103 points per game, and I expect them to score at-will against a Minnesota defense that has surrendered 102.2 points per game this season. It should be an easy night to make baskets for the Wolves too. They are averaging 107.4 points per game at home this season, and face a New Orleans defense that has allowed 106.5 points per game on the road.

Minnesota is one game below .500 this season, and that bodes well for the over in this game. New Orleans is 11-0 to the over when playing against a team with a losing record this season. They are also 22-7 to the over against teams shooting under 43 percent from the field with a defense that allows over 46 percent shooting from opponents. Minnesota may not shoot at a high percentage, but their up-tempo pace of play has certainly offset that fact. Not only do the Wolves average 107.4 points per game at home, but they are at 106.2 points per game overall this season.

The Over is 10-4 in the Pelican

3* Oddsmakers Error on Boston Celtics -

The Celtics should be a much larger favorite on their home court against Atlanta. The Hawks are 5-10 on the road this season, and their defense has been nothing short of horrible in those games. Atlanta is allowing 106.5 points per game on the road against opponents whose typical offensive average is only 99.4 points per game. The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in three straight games, and they are 3-12 ATS in road games after missing the cover in two or more consecutive games.

Boston may not have a great record, but they have played well defensively this season and that gives them a big matchup advantage in this game. They also come into this game with an extra day of rest over the Hawks. This is Atlanta

4* Total Dominator on Bobcats/Jazz UNDER

The total on this game has been set far too high considering how poorly both of these teams are offensively this season. The Bobcats come into this game averaging just 92.9 points per game. They are shooting a mere 42.2 percent from the field, and 32 percent on three point attempts. They have been saved be decent defensive play, allowing 94.2 points per game, and they should easily improve on that number against this Jazz team that averages just 93 points per game on offense.

Utah may not have the same strong defensive numbers that the Bobcats do, but these teams met just over a week ago and the Jazz held Charlotte to a mere 85 points. The total in that game was very similar, set at 189 points yet the combined score for these teams was just 173 points. I don't think a change in venue is enough to expect an extra 16 points scoring from these teams.

The under is 4-0 in Charlotte's last four games against a Western Conference opponent, and it is 7-1 in their last eight games against a team winning 40 percent of their games or less. The under is 10-4 in the Bobcats last 14 games played on a single day of rest. The Jazz are also trending towards the under with a 12-4 record following an ATS win, and a 5-2 record in their last seven games against Southeast division teams.

4* No Brainer on Utah Jazz -

This is a very small number for the Jazz to be laying against a bad team like Charlotte. The Bobcats are entering their second game of a five game road trip, and they have lost three of their last four coming into this stretch. The first loss to start their recent skid came at the hands of the Utah Jazz. Charlotte played host in the last matchup between these teams, but this time it will be the Jazz with home court advantage.

There is a lot of value on Utah as a small favorite with the Bobcats coming off an overtime loss in their last game. The wear and tear from playing back-to-back games on the road is hard enough when you only have a single day of rest in-between, but the fact that they also had to play through overtime tells me the Bobcats will be even more worn out than normal. The Bobcats are 19-33 ATS when coming off two or more consecutive losses.

This matchup fits into a system to play against underdogs like Charlotte when they are revenging a straight up loss as a favorite against their opponent. This system is 138-86 (62%) against the spread when that team is coming off a road loss where they covered the spread. Charlotte has a 9-28 ATS record in non-conference matchups over the last two seasons, and I expect that trend to continue tonight against the Jazz.

3* No Doubt Rout on Houston Rockets +

There is a lot of value on Houston as an underdog in this matchup. This game could go either way, but it will almost certainly be very close. I don

3* Main Event on Philadelphia 76ers +

The Phoenix Suns might be the most overrated team in the NBA right now. They opened the season with an impressive run, and there is certainly no denying that. However, I don

3* No Doubt Rout on Golden State -

The last time these teams met the game was playing in Phoenix and the Suns walked away with a four point win. This is a chance for revenge for the Warriors who will play host to their division rival. Golden State is hot right not having won four of their last five games. They are playing with a day of rest, and I think that gives them an advantage over a Suns team that will be shaking off a little rust since they have not played a game since before the holiday.

A big reason for Golden State's recent success has been their outstanding defensive play. The Warriors have held two of their last three opponents under 85 points. They average 104.9 points per game at home this season. They should continue to score at will against a Phoenix defense allowing 104.5 points per game against division opponents, and I like their chances for the defense to shine against the rusty Phoenix Suns.

The Suns have struggled when playing good teams. They are 16-30 against the spread when playing a team that is outscoring their opponents by three or more points per game. You should play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Phoenix when they are coming off a win by 20 points or more over a division opponent, and facing a team that is coming off a home win like Golden State. This system is 29-8 (78%) against the spread.

4* No Brainer on Memphis +

This is a lot of points for the Grizzlies to be receiving considering Houston is coming off a big emotional win last night. Playing in a back-to-back situation at this point in the season is a hard enough task on its own, but after crushing the San Antonio Spurs yesterday I am not sure the Rockets will be coming into this game with the mentality it takes to pull off a near double-digit win. The Grizzlies have been solid on the road this season, posting a 6-5 record, and scoring should not be a problem against this Rockets defense allowing 102.3 points per game.

The Grizzlies have played well recently, picking up wins in their last two games. I think there is a lot of value on a team coming into this game with two days to prepare. It has taken some time, but it seems like the Grizzlies are finally starting to adjust to the loss of Marc Gasol. In their last five games Memphis has held opponents to 96.6 points per game, and their stingy defense should give them a great chance to pull off an upset in Houston.

The Grizzlies are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games when playing on two days of rest. They are also 73-44 ATS in road games when playing just their second game in a five day stretch. Houston on the other hand has posted a 0-6 ATS record in their last six games following a straight up win, and they are 8-28 ATS in home games when playing their fifth game in seven days.

3* Total Dominator on Bulls/Nets UNDER

What was projected to be a Christmas Day shootout between two of the top teams in the league has quickly become a game between two of the worst teams in basketball. The Nets and Bulls are bad, and bad teams don't typically score a lot of points. Chicago comes into this game averaging just 90.9 points per game on the road. The Bulls have a solid defense, but they are not winning games because of a major lack of scoring. They have held opponents to just 93.3 points per game, and that has come against a schedule that features teams with a combined average of 99 points per game scored. They catch a small break in this matchup against Brooklyn since the Nets are averaging a slightly lower 97.6 points per game.

Brooklyn has been soft defensively, but they are no worse than any other team Chicago has faced. The Bulls opponents are giving up 99.6 points per game and even a soft schedule like that has not helped Chicago score points. I think that creates significant value on the under in this game. The Nets won't be able to score on the Bulls defense, and Chicago can't score against anyone. The under is 12-2 when Chicago is playing against a team with a losing record this season, and it is 14-3 in Bull's games when the total is set between 180 to 189.5 points.

This matchup fits into two very profitable systems to make a play on the under. First, you should play the under when any team has lost four of their last six games, in a matchup involving two bad teams that are winning 25 to 40 percent of their games on the season. This system is 189-128 in favor of the under for the last five seasons. The second system is to play the under after one of the teams (Brooklyn) has failed to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games, also in a matchup involving two bad teams. This system is 48-23 to the under for the last five seasons.

4* Vegas Insider in New Orleans Pelicans +

The Kings are one of the worst teams in the league this year, and there is a lot of value on the Pelicans in today's matchup. New Orleans is coming into this game playing with a day of rest after playing a close game with Portland in their last outing. They will surely be trying to end their five game road trip on a positive note. The Kings come into this game having lost five of their last seven games.

The Pelicans will have a significant matchup advantage against this soft Sacramento defense. The Kings are allowing 103.3 points per game this year, and they will have their hands full against a Pelicans team that has had no problem putting up big offensive numbers. New Orleans comes into this matchup averaging 102.4 points, and they have the luxury of facing a Sacramento team that is just 5-10 straight up and against the spread at home this season.

This will be Sacramento's fifth game in the last seven days, and they are 29-61 ATS when playing in this scenario. They are also 5-15 as a home favorite of six points or less over the last two seasons. The Pelicans on the other hand are 31-14 ATS in road games when coming off four or more consecutive losses. The Kings have a 4-13 ATS record in their last 17 home games against a team with a losing record and it seems the oddsmakers have once again given them too much credit in today's matchup.

3* No Doubt Rout on San Antonio Spurs -

San Antonio has been dangerously good at home this year. They are 9-3 in home games, while Toronto is just 6-6 on the road. The Spurs are scoring 102.9 points per game at home, and they should have no problem exceeding that number against a soft defense like Toronto's that has allowed opponents an average of 99 points per game this year. The Spurs have played extremely well defensively, and they get a day of rest while the Raptors are playing on back-to-back nights.

With Toronto coming into this game having won three of their last four games, and the Spurs losing two of their last four I think we are getting a lot of value on San Antonio. The Spurs clearly outmatch the Raptors, and I don't think recent results are relevant in this game considering the opponents these teams have faced recently. The Spurs recent losses have come against the Clippers and Thunder, two teams that are considerably better than the Raptors.

San Antonio is 31-16 ATS in non-conference games over the last two seasons. The Raptors come into this matchup with a 16-34 ATS record against good shooting teams that are making over 48 percent of their attempts from the field. The Spurs have posted an 18-7 ATS record when playing against a losing team that has won just 40 to 49 percent of their games on the season. With San Antonio coming into this game with a day of rest and the Raptors playing last night on the road I think the Spurs are poised to win this game in a blowout.

3* Total Dominator on Hawks/Heat UNDER

I don't expect defense to be an issue for either team in this game since they are both coming in well rested. Atlanta has been known to be a little soft defensively, but they are coming off a performance in which they held Utah to just 85 points, and two days to prepare should help the Hawks slow down Miami's offensive attack. The Heat are also coming into this game with two days rest, so I expect their already stingy defense to have another strong performance.

Both of these teams are below their overall scoring average when playing against division opponents. There is a lot of value on the under with when you have two well rested teams from the same division facing off. The under is 24-11 in Miami's last 35 games against division opponents, and the under is 17-6 in Atlanta's last 23 games when playing a team that has won over 70 percent of their games on the season.

When two teams have been trending towards the over the oddsmakers have a tendency to set totals much higher than they should. This matchup fits into a system to play the under when one team is coming off three or more consecutive overs, and their opponent is coming off four or more consecutive overs. The Hawks are coming off five straight overs, and its been four straight for the Heat. This system has a 59-24 (71%) record in favor of the under for the last five seasons.

4* Total Annihilator on Knicks/Magic UNDER

There is a lot of value on the under in this matchup between the Knicks and Magic. These are two very bad teams, and I don't see a scenario where either team is able to do enough scoring to sent this game over the total. The Knicks have been horrible on the road averaging just 93.2 points per game. They under is 4-8 in New York's 12 road games this season.

The Magic have also had problems scoring points, and I expect them to struggle against New York's underrated defense. New York has certainly been horrible this year, but defensively they have played extremely well. The Knicks have held opponents to just 94.1 points per game on the road this year. The Magic are scoring just 96.6 points per game this year, and they have put that number up against opponents who are surrendering a lot more points than New York at 99.6 points allowed per game.

The under is 8-1 in New York's nine games as a road underdog this season, and they are 22-10 to the under when playing just their second game in the last five gays. The under is also 14-3 when Orlando is revenging a blowout loss of 20 points or more against their opponents. This matchup also fits into a system to play the under when one of the teams (Orlando) has lost four of their last six games, in a matchup involving two bad teams that have won 25 to 40 percent of their games on the season. This system is 189-127 to the under for the last five seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Milwaukee Bucks +

There is a lot of value on Milwaukee as such a large underdog with Caron Butler back in the lineup. In his first game back from a knee injury Butler came up big with 22 points and 11 rebounds. It was one of the best offensive performances of the season for the Bucks who ended up winning 116-106 against Philadelphia. The Bucks are a team that will rapidly improve as they get healthy players back on the roster, and tonight is a perfect opportunity to jump on them before the oddsmakers catch on.

This will be Charlotte's fifth game in the last seven days, and if their last performance against Utah is any indication it appears the brutal stretch of schedule is starting to catch up with them. The Bobcats lost outright as a home favorite against Utah even though they had one of their best defensive performances of the season. They managed to score just 85 points on the offensive end of the court, and that won't be enough to keep pace with this Bucks team that has gone over 100 points in each of their last three games.

The Bobcats have not received a lot of benefit from playing at home posting a mere 7-9 record. They have a matching record against the spread in those games. In their last five games Milwaukee has averaged 102.2 points per game. The Bucks offense is hot right now, and they should have no problem keeping this game close against a Charlotte team that is averaging 90.9 points per game at home this season.

3* Main Event on Toronto Raptors +

Toronto is a much better team than they are getting credit for in this matchup. They have the benefit of getting the Thunder who are playing in a back-to-back situation after facing the San Antonio Spurs last night. That was a big win for the Oklahoma City, and I don't see them coming into this game with the mentality it takes to win by a double-digit margin.

Toronto has played well recently winning four of their last six games both straight up and against the spread. They are playing with a day of rest which gives them a big advantage over the Thunder. The Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games overall, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games against a team with a winning record at home.

You should play against a home favorite of 10 points or more like Oklahoma City when they have won eight or more of their last 10 games and have a winning record on the season when they are facing a team with a losing record. This system is 105-59 (64%) against the spread over the last five seasons. With a day of rest, and after winning three of their last four I like the Raptors chances to play a close game with the Thunder today.

3* No Doubt Rout on LA Clippers -

The Clippers are loaded with talent, and they should have no problem picking up a blowout win over the Nuggets in this game. They have a beast with DeAndre Jordan, and the combination of Blake Griffin and Chris Paul simply make them too much to handle for this struggling Nuggets team that has lost three of their last four games. Jordan is tied for second in the NBA with an average of 13 rebounds, and tied for fourth with 2.2 blocks per game.

The Clippers come into this matchup having won five of their last six games. They are playing at home with two nights of rest, and that gives them a huge advantage over a Nuggets team that is coming off a four point loss just last night against Phoenix. The Clippers are 10-2 in home games, and they are scoring 111.2 points per in each of those games. Against a soft Nuggets defense that is playing without rest I think they should have no problem putting up another huge offensive number tonight.

The Nuggets come into this game with a 2-8 ATS record in their last 10 games against Pacific division teams. The Clippers on the other hand are 4-0 ATS in their last four against Western Conference opponents. The Nuggets have struggled on the road against teams with a winning home record, posting a 4-9 ATS record in those games. Denver is also 1-5 ATS in their last six games when playing without a day of rest.

4* Total No Brainer on 76ers/Bucks OVER

This total is set far too low considering how easily both of these teams should score in this game. The 76ers have had no problem getting points on the board all season, averaging 102.3 points per game. They should continue to score at-will against a Bucks defense that has allowing over a point per game more than their opponents scoring average.

Milwaukee has had trouble scoring this year, but that will change in this matchup. The 76ers have one of the worse defenses in the league, allowing an average of 112.4 points per game on the road this season. Philadelphia has allowed 120 points or more in each of their last three games, and they have gone over the total in four consecutive.

This matchup fits a system to play the over when the total is 200 points or more, and one team (Milwaukee) has gone over the total by 18 points or more in their previous game, and their opponent went over the total by 24 points or more in their previous game. This system is 156-94 (62%) in favor of the over. With both defenses playing so poorly, it is safe to expect a shootout tonight.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Utah Jazz +

The Jazz have won eight consecutive games over the Bobcats, and with Utah playing better recently I have to believe they will make it nine straight. Both teams are playing in a black-to-back situation, and both have won three of their last six games. It is Utah's scoring ability that gives them a significant advantage in this game. The Jazz are averaging 93.1 points per game, but are more than capable of scoring in the triple digits. They are also a much better shooting team than the Bobcats, especially from the three throw line.

The Jazz are coming off a bad loss last night, but they are a team that has responded well to a poor performance in the past. They are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a loss by more than 10 points. Playing in a back-to-back situation has not had as big of an impact on Utah as it has Charlotte. The Bobcats are 14-31 ATS when playing without a day of rest. They are also 14-36 ATS against teams from the Northwest division.

I don't think home court advantage will do much for the Bobcats in this game. Charlotte is 32-55 ATS in home games over the last three seasons. They are also 8-27 ATS when playing in a non-conference game. In the Bobcats recent win streak they have benefited from poor shooting performances from their opponents. It has certainly not been the Bobcats defense winning games because their points surrendered in their last give games is above their overall season average. I expect Utah to win this game straight up, but we will still take the points.

3* Total Annihilator on Minnesota/LA Lakers UNDER

The total in this game is far too high given the way these teams matchup. The Lakers defense has played well at home when you consider the fact that their opponents are averaging over 101 points per game. The Timberwolves are not a strong shooting team averaging just 42.6 percent from the field. I don

4* Total Dominator on Utah/Atlanta UNDER

The Jazz are playing some pretty solid defense recently, and they have gone under the total in three of their last four games. I don

3* Main Event on Oklahoma City -

Since Derrick Rose went out the Bulls have lost 10 of their 13 games. They are not just losing, they are getting crushed. They have covered the spread two times in that 13 game span. Now we catch them up against one of the hottest teams in the league when they face the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder are averaging 107.7 points per game at home and they should have no problem outscoring a Bulls team that averages just 90.5 points per game.

The Thunder also have the advantage from a rest profile perspective. They had the night off yesterday and will face a Bulls team that is coming off a demoralizing loss to Houston last night. Chicago was on the road again last night, and at this point they have to be throwing in the towel until they can get some rest, and regroup playing at home. Their game against Houston was not even close, getting beat by 15-points last night.

Oklahoma City has covered the spread in six of their last seven games. Meanwhile, the Bulls have posted a 7-17 ATS record this season. In the month of December Chicago is 1-8 against the spread. Don't let the Bulls defense trick you into thinking they have a chance in this game. The Thunder are 16-5 ATS against good defensive teams that have allowed a shooting percentage on defense of less than 43 percent over the last three seasons. The bleeding won't stop in Oklahoma City for the Bulls, so lay the points on the Thunder.

4* Total Annihilator on Bulls/Rockets UNDER

Both Houston and Chicago are coming off close losses, and I think they will show up with a defensive mentality in this game because of it. Chicago lost by a single point against Orlando, while Houston was crushed in their last game by Sacramento. The Rockets are coming off a three game road stretch, where they allowed an average of 109.7 points, and that has created a lot of value on the under in this game because their defense plays substantially better in home games.

Houston is allowing 95.5 points per game at home this season, and they have the luxury of facing a Bulls team that averages just 90.2 points per game on the road. I don't expect the Rockets offense to have a big night against the stingy Bulls defense, and that puts even more value on the under. Chicago has held opponents to just 92.4 points per game this season.

The under is 20-7 when Houston is playing six or less games in the last 14 days. It is also 35-18 when the Rockets are at home and coming off three straight games allowing 100 points or more. The Bulls are also trending towards the under. They have gone under the total in five of their last six games, and the under is 4-1 in Chicago's last five games when coming off an ATS loss. With both teams playing with at least a day of rest, this game should turn out to be a defensive battle.

4* Vegas Insider on Toronto Raptors -

I think we are getting a lot of value on Toronto after Charlotte's uncharacteristic shooting performance on Tuesday. They made 8 of 17 attempts from beyond the three point line, but Charlotte is actually last in the league in that department shooting just 29.7 percent on the season. I don't expect that to be a performance they can repeat, especially against a Raptors team that has won three of their last four games.

The Bobcats are not a big scoring threat. They average just 89.5 points per game on the road, and they should struggle mightily against Toronto. The Bobcats are playing in a back-to-back situation after facing off with Sacramento last night. Toronto on the other hand is playing on three days of rest, so they will be the fresh team on the court tonight.

The Bobcats are 22-46 ATS when playing six or more games in the last 10 games, and they are 14-29 ATS when coming off a game they covered the spread. This is a revenge game for the Raptors after losing by just two points earlier this season. Toronto is 72-48 ATS when revenging a loss of three points or less.

3* Total Dominator on Jazz/Magic OVER

Both of these teams have played poorly on the defensive end of the court. The Jazz are allowing over 103 points per game on the road this year, and Orlando has allowed over 101 points per game overall. Their lack of defense puts a lot of value on the over. The over is 20-8 in Orlando's last 28 home games against non-conference opponents.

In their first five games at Amway Center the Magic were allowing 89.6 points per game. They have since given up 107.3 points per per game in their last six games there. The Jazz are also trending heavily to the over after losing back-to-back games where they gave up 100 points to San Antonio and 117 points against Miami. Since both defenses have been playing so poorly I expect to see big offensive numbers from both of these teams.

The over is 7-2 in Orlando's last nine games against Northwest division opponents. In the last seven head-to-head meetings between these teams the over has a 6-1 record. After failing to cover the spread in six of their last eight games, Utah has an 83-56 record towards the over, and given the way these teams matchup there is no reason to believe these trends won't continue.

3* Bailout Blowout on Denver Nuggets +

The Thunder's win streak should come to an end today against the Denver Nuggets. This is Oklahoma City's fifth game since last Tuesday, while the Nuggets are playing in just third third game during that same time span. The Nuggets have been dangerously good at home this season posting a 7-3 record, and they have been on fire winning 10 of their last 13 games overall.

Denver is not an easy place to play. Whether it be the altitude, or the home fan base. winning at the Pepsi Center is no easy task to accomplish. Denver averages 102 points per game, and they should score at-will against a Thunder defense that is allowing 100.6 points per game on the road. Denver is +6 in rebounding margin at home this season, and in a game between two very good teams winning the battle of the boards will go a long way towards winning this game.

This matchup fits into a system to play against road favorites like Oklahoma City when they have won over 75% of their games on the season and have covered the spread in four of their last five five games, when they are playing in a matchup against a team with a winning record. This system is 60-24 (71%) against the spread. It is a great way to identify teams that have been overvalued by the oddsmakers.

3* Total Annihilator on Spurs/Clippers UNDER

The Clippers are coming off seven consecutive road games, going under the total in five of those seven games. They held four of their seven opponents under 90 points during that stretch. That tells me these team is really clicking defensively since they have typically allowed over 100 points per game this season.

The Spurs also have a solid defensive unit. They are allowing just 90.4 points per game on the road this season. The Spurs are 17-6 to the under when playing in road games where the total is 200 points or more over the last two seasons. They are also 12-3 to the under when facing a Pacific division opponents.

This matchup fits into a a very profitable system to play on the under. You should play on the under when a team like San Antonio has gone over the total by 48 points ore more in their last seven games, and they are winning 75% of their games or more on the season, and are facing another team with a winning record. This system is 38-18 (68%) to the under over the last five seasons.

3* Total Annihilator on Wizards/Knicks OVER

Getting points on the board should be an easy task to accomplish in this game since neither of these teams have played well defensively this season. Washington is allowing 99.6 points per game this year, while New York has given up 101.7 points per game when playing at home. Both of those numbers are significantly higher than their opponents scoring averages have been this season.

This will be New York's fifth game in the last seven days, and their defense is already trending in the wrong direction as the wear and tear of this brutal stretch of schedule catches up with them. They gave up 106 points on Saturday to Atlanta. The Wizards are also playing through a touch stretch of schedule. This is their third game in the last four days, and they are coming off back-to-back performances allowing over 100 points per game.

Washington is the kind of team that responds with a big offensive performance when coming off an embarrassing loss. The over is 19-7 in the Wizards last 26 games following a straight-up loss of more than 10 points. The over is also 15-7 in Washington's last 22 games against Eastern Conference opponents. The Knicks on the other hand have posted an 8-3 record to the over in their last 11 homes games. I expect this game to be an offensive shootout that should easily exceed the posted total.

3* No Doubt Rout on Indiana Pacers -

The Pacers average margin of victory in home games is a whopping 13.2 points per games. They are off to an 11-0 start at home which is their best ever. To say things are going well for the Pacers would be a huge understatement. In the last three season's Indiana has dominated the series between these teams, posting a 7-1 straight up record and a 6-2 record against the spread.

A big reason for the Pacers success is their stingy defense. They have held opponents to 89.5 points per game overall, but when playing at home that number drops to an outstanding 83.1 points allowed. Their big, physical style of play will give them matchup advantages all over the court, and facing a team that is 5-6 on the road like Detroit tells me this game should end in a blowout.

The Pistons have struggled on the road against good three point shooting teams. They are 10-23 ATS in road games against teams making over 36 percent of their three point attempts. You should play against a team like Detroit when they are revenging a same season loss against an opponent, and they are coming off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog. This system is 166-104 (62%) against the spread over the last five seasons.

3* No Doubt Rout on Phoenix Suns +

The Warriors have not played well recently. They have lost three of their last five games, and failed to cover the spread in four of those five. They are below .500 on the road this season, and face a Suns team that is an impressive 7-3 in home games. Phoenix is scoring 105.6 points per game at home this season, while the Warriors are allowing 101 points per game on the road. I think there is a lot of value with the Suns whenever they are playing on their home court.

We also have a favorable advantage with rest profiles. Golden State is playing their sixth game in the last 10 days, while the Suns will be playing in just their fourth during that same time-frame. Phoenix has been on fire recently, picking up wins in their last four consecutive games. They have continuously been undervalued by the oddsmakers, winning two of those four games straight up from the underdog position.

The Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record, and they are 16-5 ATS against Western Conference opponents. When playing on a single day of rest they have a 15-5 ATS record while Golden State has a 1-4 ATS record when they are on just one day of rest. In the last nine head-to-head meetings between these teams the home team is 7-2 ATS.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Sacramento Kings +

The Rockets have not played well on the road this year. They are allowing 109.7 points in those games, and they will playing in their third consecutive road game in the last four days tonight. The wear and tear of the schedule should catch up with them, and I expect Sacramento to play a very close game.

I think there is a lot of value on Sacramento based on the way these teams are trending. In their last five games the Rockets have shot considerably lower than their overall average this season. They have been below 45 percent from the field in four of those five games, which is quite a bit less than their average of almost 48 percent on the year. The Kings have been shooting well, and their defense has played incredibly well. They have held two of their last four opponents under 36 percent shooting from the field.

This matchup fits into a system to play on a team like Sacramento when they have scored over 100 points per game in four or more consecutive games in a game involving two poor defensive teams allowing over 102 points per game. This system is 61-32 (66%) against the spread over the last five seasons. I like Sacramento's chances to pull off an upset tonight at home, but we will take the points.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Utah Jazz +

The Spurs are an old team, so rest profiles are a big factor in their games. San Antonio is playing in a back-t0-back situation when they are on the road against the Utah Jazz today. They were at home last night to take on Minnesota, and without a day of rest between games I am calling for this one to be much closer than the oddsmakers expect. San Antonio also had several players get more minutes than normal in their last game.

The Jazz are also playing in a back-to-back situation, but they were on the road against Denver last night, and had the luxury of sleeping in their own bets prior to this game. It hasn

4* No Brainer on Dallas Mavericks -

This matchup has blowout written all over it. The Mavericks have been incredibly good when playing at home this year. They have a 9-2 straight up record, and face a Milwaukee team that is just 3-8 on the road. Dallas averages 106.7 points per game at home this season, while Milwaukee has scored just 89.6 points per game overall.

The rest profiles also favor the Mavericks in this game. Dallas is playing with two days off after their four game span on the road. Milwaukee played last night at home against Chicago in a losing effort and now they are forced to play on the road for the second leg of back-to-back games. The Bucks have lost three out of their last four, and I can

4* Heavy Hitter on Portland Blazers -

The Portland Blazers have been the biggest surprise team in the NBA this year, and it seems the oddsmakers have still not caught on to how talented this 19-4 team really is. Portland is 17-6 ATS, averaging 106.4 points per game. They have a great opportunity to build on that number against a 76ers team that is allowing 109.2 points per game.

The 76ers are playing on back-to-back nights after getting crushed by Toronto on the road yesterday. The Trailblazers come into this matchup with a day of rest, and the better team that is more rested should easily win this game in a blowout. The 76ers are already a bad team defensively, and without fresh legs on the court this game should get out of hand quickly.

This matchup fits into a system to play against home teams like Philadelphia when they are being outscored by three or more points per game, and they are coming off three consecutive games scoring 100 points or more. This system is 122-70 ATS over the last five seasons. You should also play on road favorites like Portland after scoring 105 points or more in three straight games. This system is 198-124 against the spread.

3* No Doubt Rout on Atlanta Hawks -

The Hawks demolished the Knicks last time they came to Madison Square Garden, and the Knicks have not done a lot to convince me the outcome will be any different this time around. These teams met back on November, 16th and the Knicks were blown out with a 90-110 final score. New York has had all kinds of shooting issues this season, averaging just 42.4 percent from the field in home games.

Both of these teams are playing in a back-to-back situation, but it is Atlanta that is the more rested team. Prior to last night

5* Heavy Hitter on Golden State Warriors -

The Golden State Warriors have an explosive offense, and against a horrible defensive team like the Rockets I think they are poised to put a big number on the scoreboard. Combine that with a defense that plays exceptionally well at home and the Warriors become a strong value play. Golden State is 7-2 straight up on home games, while the Rockets are just 5-5 on the road.

The Warriors are averaging 104.8 points per game at home this season. They should score at-will on a Houston defense that has allowed 109.5 points per game on the road. This is also a revenge game for the Warriors. They were crushed when playing at Houston last week, and this time they have the benefit of playing host. I think they get their revenge with a strong first half, which is something that was missing the last time these teams met.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings between these teams the favorite has a 9-4 ATS record. The Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against Pacific division teams, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. Golden State had yesterday off, so they should be well prepared for Houston. The Rockets on the other hand played last night in a losing effort against Portland. With the rest profiles favoring Golden State I think they get a big win in this game.

3* Bailout Blowout on Phoenix Suns -

Phoenix has played well at home this season. They are 6-2 straight up, while the Kings are just 2-4 on the road. The Suns biggest advantage in this game is their defense. Sacramento has not done a lot of scoring in road games, and Phoenix is allowing just 99.9 points per game.

The Suns also have the benefit of playing on two days of rest coming into this game, while Sacramento is playing their fifth game in the last eight days. The oddsmakers have undervalued the Suns all season and that has led to a 15-5 ATS record. On their home court with the better rest profile I think Phoenix picks up a big win in this game.

This matchup fits into a system to play on home teams like Phoenix when they are playing in a double revenge situation having two straight losses against their opponent, when that opponent is coming off a loss of 15 points or more as a home favorite in their previous game. This system is 57-26 (69%) against the spread.

5* Pacific Division Total of the Month on Suns/Kings UNDER

The total on this game has been set far too high. The Kings only average 98.8 points per game, and they should struggle against a Suns defense that is playing with two days of rest. Sacramento is also playing with a day off, and with both teams being rested I think both defenses will play well tonight. Phoenix has allowed just 99.9 points per game this year.

Nothing about this game indicates that either team is going to be able to exceed their scoring average, or end up allowing more than their defensive average for points against. The total on this game reflects a potential shootout, but the numbers say this game will be a defensive battle. The under is a perfect 9-0 when Sacramento is on the road and coming off a blowout loss by 20 points or more. It is also 15-5 when Phoenix is coming off an upset win as a road underdog.

This matchup fits into a system to play the under when a team like Phoenix is facing a division opponent and they are coming off a road win against a division rival. This system is 66-30 to the under for the last five seasons. You should also play the under when the total is 200 points or more and there is a well rested team like Phoenix that is playing four or less games in the last 10 days, and have won between 51% to 60% of their games on the season. This system is 96-52 (65%) in favor of the under for the last five seasons.

4* Vegas Insider on Toronto Raptors -

The Raptors have several key advantages in this matchup with Philadelphia. Toronto has four new additions available for this game after making a blockbuster trade. They traded Gay, Gray and Acy to Sacramento in exchange for forwards Patrick Patterson, John Salmons and Chuck Hays, as well as getting guard Greivis Vasques. That will make them a very difficult team to defend against with the added depth.

The 76ers defense has been absolutely abysmal on the road this season. They are allowing 111.1 points per game, which is a big reason they have a 1-9 record in those games. Toronto should score at-will in this game, and with the added depth from their new additions I think they get an immediate boost defensively. The Raptors should also be able to force a lot of turnovers in this game. The last time these teams met the 76ers had 20 turnovers. Their average of 18 per game ranks them among the worst in the league.

This matchup fits into a system to play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Philadelphia when they are revenging a loss where their opponent scored 100 points or more, and they are coming off a game where they covered the spread but lost straight up as an underdog. This system is 96-53 (64%) over the last five seasons. The 76ers are also 4-14 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last two seasons.

3* No Doubt Rout on Brooklyn Nets +

The Nets have several key advantages in tonight's game against the Clippers. Los Angeles is playing their sixth consecutive road game tonight, and they are playing in a back-to-back situation. Last night the Clippers were on the road against Boston. Six games in nine days with all the travel is a difficult obstacle to overcome. Brooklyn on the other hand is playing their second straight game from the comfort of their home court, and they have benefited from a night of rest between games.

After a rough stretch to open the season, the Nets are finally playing as a team. They have quietly won three of their last five games, including two straight coming into this game. I think the Nets will put up some big offensive numbers against the Clippers. The first thing to go when players tire is their defense. Los Angeles is already allowing an average of 99.1 points per game, and playing on the road against several of Doc Rivers former all-stars will simply be too much to handle.

The Brooklyn Nets are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games against Pacific division teams. In head-to-head meetings the Clippers have a 1-12 ATS record their last 13 games when playing in Brooklyn. The Clippers are playing in a letdown spot on the road today. They are 46-70 ATS in road games when coming off two or more consecutive wins. I think the Nets have a good chance to win this game straight up, but we will take the points against the Clippers.

4* No Brainer on Memphis Grizzlies +

We are getting a lot of value on Memphis as a six point dog on their home court. The Thunder couldn't keep up with the Grizzlies in last season's Western Conference semifinals, and in these teams first meeting since the playoffs it is Memphis that once again gets the nod. The Grizzlies have been solid defensively this year, and I don't see a scenario where Oklahoma City will be able to score enough points to cover this spread.

The Thunder have played poorly on defense, especially when on the road. They are allowing 100.7 points per game. The Grizzlies are coming off a confidence boosting win over Orlando, followed by a day off yesterday. For Oklahoma City this will be their fourth game in the last six days. The wear and tear of so many games in a short time span will catch up with the Thunder today.

The Grizzlies are 33-19 ATS against teams that are scoring 99 points per game or more. They are also 28-16 ATS against teams making 46% or more of their shots. The reason for their success against these strong offensive teams is because their physical style of play on defense. That is something the Thunder are not used to facing, and it creates a significant matchup advantage for the Grizzlies.